TruthIsAll
02-27-2009, 01:19 PM
Why does the media keep covering up election fraud?
TruthIsAll
Feb. 27, 2009
Even liberal commentators like Olberman and Maddow won’t touch it.
Just as in 2000, 2002, 2004, and 2006, the mainstream media in 2008 will not cover the real story of massive ongoing Election Fraud. But it does a great job in covering it up – by assuming zero fraud and forcing the Final Exit Poll to match the recorded vote by using an impossible number of returning Bush voters. Repeat it one more time. By hook or crook, the exit pollsters (i.e., and the media which sponsors them) force the Final to match the recorded vote using impossible weightings – and then still have the gonads to claim that the preliminary exit polls were “wrong”.
It is an insult to the intelligence of the American people. The media wants us to believe that in 2004 and 2006 and 2008, more Bush voters returned from the prior election to vote than were still living. Fool America once, shame on you. Fool America three times, shame on America for letting itself be fooled.
Time Magazine keeps promoting the exit pollster canard that preliminary exit polls have a Democratic bias. They say the bias is due to Democratic voters being more anxious to be exit-polled than Republicans. They fail to consider the possibility that the discrepancy is due to uncounted and miscounted votes. This specious argument was refuted by the Final 2004 National Exit poll which indicated that returning Bush voters accounted for 43% of the 2004 vote and Gore voters just 37%. And of course, they repeat the exit pollster mantra that better training, exit poll stations closer to the polling booth and older interviewers, blah, blah, blah will solve the “problem”. There is no “problem” with the unadjusted exit polls. The real “problem” is that votes are miscounted and elections are stolen. And of course, the media won’t investigate – they are complicit; they know the truth and won’t report it.
Exit Pollsters Edison-Mitofsky have not yet released the unadjusted state exit poll data and preliminary national exit poll timeline. Maybe because it would show that Obama actually won by a 20 million vote landslide. Now that’s a mandate. In 2004, the unadjusted exit polls showed that Kerry won by a 52-47% margin.
Have the exit pollsters become gun-shy? CNN doesn’t have the latest vote count, which has been up at USA Leip since December. Why not? On Election Day, 121.2 million votes were recorded and Obama had 52.3%. Since then, 10.2 million have been recorded; Obama has won 59.3% of these late votes. Is that a red flag?
The early exit polls were right; the finals are always adjusted to match the bogus vote count. Kerry won easily in 2004. Obama’s landslide was denied in 2008, just as the Democratic landslide in the 2006 midterms was denied.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/
CNN recorded vote:
Obama 66,882,230
McCain 58,343,671
Margin: 8,538,619
Actual recorded vote:
Obama 69,457,159
McCain 59,935,404
Margin 9,521,755
This is my response to the Time article.
Time: After exit polls got a deservedly bad reputation for initially predicting a John Kerry win in 2004, pundits and politicians alike were hesitant to put their faith in the early-voting numbers. So when the exit polls tonight came out showing very positive data for Barack Obama, Democrats weren't, understandably, ready to declare victory yet.
TIA: The Final Exit Poll should have gotten a bad rep, not the preliminary National or the unadjusted state exit polls. John Kerry won the 2004 election. And in 2008, Obama won by at least double his recorded margin. Time is covering up the fraud by not explaining the rationale for the weights used in the 2004 and 2008 Final National Exit Polls. That's because there is no rational explanation other than this one: in each of the last three elections the number of returning Bush voters were increased to impossible levels in the Final Exit Polls in order to force a match to the (miscounted) votes.
Time: The Kerry fiasco was just the worst example of a problem that has long been endemic to exit polls. Over the past 20 years, they have slightly favored the Democratic candidate for President in every election. Many observers believe that's because Democrats are more willing to talk to exit pollsters. Exit polls also suffer from an unusually high margin of error due to the difficulty of choosing sample precincts that mirror all of the diverse precincts in the area.
TIA: Exit pollsters Edison-Mitofsky know quite well how to assign precincts. They have said that 2004 voter turnout confirmed their design and have been doing exit polls for thirty years. And once again, the famous reluctant Bush responder theory (rBr), debunked in 2004, has once again reared its ugly head. It is a canard that the media repeats Time and again. Democrats are always more willing to talk to the exit pollsters? What a joke. Then how come the final National Exit Poll in 2004 showed that returning Bush voters accounted for an impossible 43% of the electorate and Kerry voters just 37%. How come the Final 2006 NEP reported that Bush voters accounted for 49% and returning Kerry voters just 43%? And finally, how come the Final 2008 NEP reported that Bush voters accounted for an mpossible 46% and returning Kerry voters 37%? The answer is simple: The vote counts were corrupted and the early exit polls were right. Democrats lose votes to fraud in every election. It should be obvious by now. Time does not even mention election fraud as a possible reason for the discrepancies. Nor does it mention that the Final Exit Polls in 2004, 2006 and 2008 were all forced to match the recorded vote by adjusting the number of returning Bush voters to impossible levels (see the tables below).
Time: But if this year's exit polls turn out to be more accurate than in past years, as they appear to be, it's not by accident. The National Election Pool (a consortium of ABC News, Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox and NBC News), working with Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International, made changes this year in an effort to do better.
TIA: But the Final Exit Poll did not do better in 2008. It went along with the same program as in 2004 and 2006. The Final was forced to match the recorded vote count by using an impossible number of returning Bush voters. Apparently, the Time reporter was too lazy to catch the 46/37% mix. Or if he did see it, he chose to ignore it. When a feasible set of returning voter weights is used (“feasible” means that there must be fewer returning Bush voters than voted in the prior election) the calculations show that Obama won by at least double his recorded 9.5 million vote margin. And that is conservative because it assumes the Final 2008 NEP vote shares – which were also probably changed to lower Obama’s margin, just like they were changed in 2004 to cover up the election theft.
Time: For one thing, there has been a strict quarantine in place since 2006 to avoid early leaks of totally unreliable data — which is what happened in 2004. This year, no exit poll data was released until 5 p.m. E.T., and only a handful of National Election Pool officials were allowed to see the early data.
TIA: What unreliable data? Can Time be more specific? We were lucky to see the leaked 2004 data. Otherwise, there would have had nothing tangible to confirm initial suspicions that the election was stolen. The quarantine is just another part of the coverup. But the National Exit Poll gives us enough to confirm that fraud occurred. In 2004, the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate showed that Kerry was a 52-47% winner. The preliminary National Exit Poll, downloaded at 12:22am, showed that Kerry won by 51-48%. Unadjusted, pristine exit poll data is the most reliable. Adjusted data forced to match the recorded vote (i.e. the Final National Exit Poll) is the most unreliable data.
Time: The exit pollsters are also getting better training to help them avoid oversampling Democrats. Here is how an exit poll is supposed to work: pollsters stand outside more than 1,000 precincts around the country, all of which have been scientifically chosen to represent a particular area. As voters leave their polling places, the interviewer tries to randomly select about 100 of them to fill out a questionnaire. For example, the interviewer might approach every ninth voter. But this is a lot easier said than done when you are standing more than 40 feet outside of a busy polling place at rush hour. About half of the people approached decline to participate (a percentage that has been steadily rising over the past several decades).
TIA: But the 2008 Final over-sampled returning Bush voters by 9%(46/37%). Even if one believes that Bush won by the recorded 2.% margin (which is obviously not the case), there was a 6.5% over-sampling of Bush voters. On the other hand, if you believe the unadjusted exit poll which Kerry won by 52-47%, then there was a whopping 14% over-sampling of returning Bush voters.
Time: In recent years, exit pollsters have received better training to help them stick to the random selection. This is not easy to do with a large labor force that works for you only one day a year. But it may also help that exit pollsters now include some older people — which may entice more older voters to participate.
TIA: That’s great, but it won’t help. The data will be forced to match the recorded vote anyway. The question is not who collects the data, but who counts it.
Time: In some places, pollsters are allowed to stand closer to polling places than they were before, which may also help improve the response rate. And the questionnaire is a little shorter, so more voters may be willing to participate.
TIA: Another “improvement”. But it won’t help. The data will be forced to match the recorded vote anyway.
Time: Still, the challenge of choosing precincts that accurately reflect the broader region remains immense, as does the quest to pull a truly random sample of voters. The 2006 congressional election included a bias for the Democrats once again, and several of the Democratic exit polls during the primary contest between Obama and Hillary Clinton ended up being wrong, even though some of these reforms were already in place. Still, for this election at least, the exit polls do not appear to have gone too far astray.
TIA: The Democratic landslide in the 2006 midterms was denied by election fraud, just as it was in 2008. In 2006, at 7pm the National Exit Poll showed a 55-43% Democratic margin and a 47/45% returning Bush/Kerry voter mix. The mix was changed to an implausible 49/43% in the Final, cutting the margin in half to 52-46%. But past is prologue. In 2008, we only have the Final NEP - also forced to match the recorded vote – and it shows an impossible 46/37% returning Bush/Kerry voter mix.
In the primaries, as expected, Obama did much better in the exit polls than the recorded vote. But he also won all the caucuses where the votes were head-counted, not machine-counted. The GOP wanted to run against Hillary. So Rush Limbaugh called for Operation Chaos to get Republicans to vote for her. The pre-election polls in NH matched the preliminary exit polls and the hand-counted ballots showed Obama was the winner, but the machine counts showed Hillary. There is solid evidence that Obama may have won the primaries by 2 million votes. The nomination was almost stolen – not by Hillary, but by the GOP who wanted her to run.
Preliminary 2004 National Exit Poll (12:22am, 13047 respondents)
VOTED 2000
Votes Weight Kerry Bush Other
New 13.45 11% 55% 43% 2%
DNV 7.34 6% 61% 37% 2%
Gore 47.70 39% 91% 8% 1%
Bush 50.14 41% 10% 90% 0% (41% implausible)
Other 3.67 3% 71% 21% 8%
Share 100% 51.43% 47.60% 0.97%
Votes 122.30 62.90 58.21 1.19
Final National Exit Poll (13660 respondents (forced to match the recorded vote)
VOTED 2000
Weight Kerry Bush Other
DNV 17% 54% 45% 1%
Gore 37% 90% 10% 0%
Bush 43% 9% 91% 0% (43% impossible)
Other 3% 71% 21% 8%
Share 100% 48.48% 51.11% 0.41%
Votes 122.30 59.29 62.50 0.50
Final 2008 National Exit Poll (forced to match the recorded vote count)
VOTED 2004
Weight Obama McCain Other
New 11% 69% 30% 1%
DNV 2% 82% 13% 5%
Kerry 37% 89% 10% 1%
Bush 46% 17% 82% 1% (46% impossible)
Other 4% 66% 24% 10%
Share 100.0% 52.62% 45.94% 1.44%
Votes 131.37 69.13 60.35 1.89
2008: THE TRUE VOTE
Assumptions:
Final NEP vote shares, but with a revised, feasible returning voter mix
Annual 1.2% voter mortality;
95% turnout of living 2004 voters
Results:
If Kerry won by 52-47% (unadjusted exit poll), Obama has 57.5%.
If Bush won by 50.7-48.3% (Zero fraud?),Obama has 55.2%.
Vote04 Vote Mix Obama McCain Other Obama McCain Other
DNV 21.7 16.0% 15.42 5.86 0.43 71% 27% 2%
Kerry 59.1 43.7% 52.63 5.32 1.18 89% 9% 2%
Bush 53.4 39.5% 9.09 43.82 0.53 17% 82% 1%
Other 1.1 0.8% 0.75 0.27 0.11 66% 24% 10%
Total 135.43 100% 77.88 55.28 2.27 57.5% 40.8% 1.7%
Recorded 131.37 100% 69.46 59.93 1.98 52.9% 45.6% 1.5%
TruthIsAll
Feb. 27, 2009
Even liberal commentators like Olberman and Maddow won’t touch it.
Just as in 2000, 2002, 2004, and 2006, the mainstream media in 2008 will not cover the real story of massive ongoing Election Fraud. But it does a great job in covering it up – by assuming zero fraud and forcing the Final Exit Poll to match the recorded vote by using an impossible number of returning Bush voters. Repeat it one more time. By hook or crook, the exit pollsters (i.e., and the media which sponsors them) force the Final to match the recorded vote using impossible weightings – and then still have the gonads to claim that the preliminary exit polls were “wrong”.
It is an insult to the intelligence of the American people. The media wants us to believe that in 2004 and 2006 and 2008, more Bush voters returned from the prior election to vote than were still living. Fool America once, shame on you. Fool America three times, shame on America for letting itself be fooled.
Time Magazine keeps promoting the exit pollster canard that preliminary exit polls have a Democratic bias. They say the bias is due to Democratic voters being more anxious to be exit-polled than Republicans. They fail to consider the possibility that the discrepancy is due to uncounted and miscounted votes. This specious argument was refuted by the Final 2004 National Exit poll which indicated that returning Bush voters accounted for 43% of the 2004 vote and Gore voters just 37%. And of course, they repeat the exit pollster mantra that better training, exit poll stations closer to the polling booth and older interviewers, blah, blah, blah will solve the “problem”. There is no “problem” with the unadjusted exit polls. The real “problem” is that votes are miscounted and elections are stolen. And of course, the media won’t investigate – they are complicit; they know the truth and won’t report it.
Exit Pollsters Edison-Mitofsky have not yet released the unadjusted state exit poll data and preliminary national exit poll timeline. Maybe because it would show that Obama actually won by a 20 million vote landslide. Now that’s a mandate. In 2004, the unadjusted exit polls showed that Kerry won by a 52-47% margin.
Have the exit pollsters become gun-shy? CNN doesn’t have the latest vote count, which has been up at USA Leip since December. Why not? On Election Day, 121.2 million votes were recorded and Obama had 52.3%. Since then, 10.2 million have been recorded; Obama has won 59.3% of these late votes. Is that a red flag?
The early exit polls were right; the finals are always adjusted to match the bogus vote count. Kerry won easily in 2004. Obama’s landslide was denied in 2008, just as the Democratic landslide in the 2006 midterms was denied.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/
CNN recorded vote:
Obama 66,882,230
McCain 58,343,671
Margin: 8,538,619
Actual recorded vote:
Obama 69,457,159
McCain 59,935,404
Margin 9,521,755
This is my response to the Time article.
Time: After exit polls got a deservedly bad reputation for initially predicting a John Kerry win in 2004, pundits and politicians alike were hesitant to put their faith in the early-voting numbers. So when the exit polls tonight came out showing very positive data for Barack Obama, Democrats weren't, understandably, ready to declare victory yet.
TIA: The Final Exit Poll should have gotten a bad rep, not the preliminary National or the unadjusted state exit polls. John Kerry won the 2004 election. And in 2008, Obama won by at least double his recorded margin. Time is covering up the fraud by not explaining the rationale for the weights used in the 2004 and 2008 Final National Exit Polls. That's because there is no rational explanation other than this one: in each of the last three elections the number of returning Bush voters were increased to impossible levels in the Final Exit Polls in order to force a match to the (miscounted) votes.
Time: The Kerry fiasco was just the worst example of a problem that has long been endemic to exit polls. Over the past 20 years, they have slightly favored the Democratic candidate for President in every election. Many observers believe that's because Democrats are more willing to talk to exit pollsters. Exit polls also suffer from an unusually high margin of error due to the difficulty of choosing sample precincts that mirror all of the diverse precincts in the area.
TIA: Exit pollsters Edison-Mitofsky know quite well how to assign precincts. They have said that 2004 voter turnout confirmed their design and have been doing exit polls for thirty years. And once again, the famous reluctant Bush responder theory (rBr), debunked in 2004, has once again reared its ugly head. It is a canard that the media repeats Time and again. Democrats are always more willing to talk to the exit pollsters? What a joke. Then how come the final National Exit Poll in 2004 showed that returning Bush voters accounted for an impossible 43% of the electorate and Kerry voters just 37%. How come the Final 2006 NEP reported that Bush voters accounted for 49% and returning Kerry voters just 43%? And finally, how come the Final 2008 NEP reported that Bush voters accounted for an mpossible 46% and returning Kerry voters 37%? The answer is simple: The vote counts were corrupted and the early exit polls were right. Democrats lose votes to fraud in every election. It should be obvious by now. Time does not even mention election fraud as a possible reason for the discrepancies. Nor does it mention that the Final Exit Polls in 2004, 2006 and 2008 were all forced to match the recorded vote by adjusting the number of returning Bush voters to impossible levels (see the tables below).
Time: But if this year's exit polls turn out to be more accurate than in past years, as they appear to be, it's not by accident. The National Election Pool (a consortium of ABC News, Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox and NBC News), working with Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International, made changes this year in an effort to do better.
TIA: But the Final Exit Poll did not do better in 2008. It went along with the same program as in 2004 and 2006. The Final was forced to match the recorded vote count by using an impossible number of returning Bush voters. Apparently, the Time reporter was too lazy to catch the 46/37% mix. Or if he did see it, he chose to ignore it. When a feasible set of returning voter weights is used (“feasible” means that there must be fewer returning Bush voters than voted in the prior election) the calculations show that Obama won by at least double his recorded 9.5 million vote margin. And that is conservative because it assumes the Final 2008 NEP vote shares – which were also probably changed to lower Obama’s margin, just like they were changed in 2004 to cover up the election theft.
Time: For one thing, there has been a strict quarantine in place since 2006 to avoid early leaks of totally unreliable data — which is what happened in 2004. This year, no exit poll data was released until 5 p.m. E.T., and only a handful of National Election Pool officials were allowed to see the early data.
TIA: What unreliable data? Can Time be more specific? We were lucky to see the leaked 2004 data. Otherwise, there would have had nothing tangible to confirm initial suspicions that the election was stolen. The quarantine is just another part of the coverup. But the National Exit Poll gives us enough to confirm that fraud occurred. In 2004, the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate showed that Kerry was a 52-47% winner. The preliminary National Exit Poll, downloaded at 12:22am, showed that Kerry won by 51-48%. Unadjusted, pristine exit poll data is the most reliable. Adjusted data forced to match the recorded vote (i.e. the Final National Exit Poll) is the most unreliable data.
Time: The exit pollsters are also getting better training to help them avoid oversampling Democrats. Here is how an exit poll is supposed to work: pollsters stand outside more than 1,000 precincts around the country, all of which have been scientifically chosen to represent a particular area. As voters leave their polling places, the interviewer tries to randomly select about 100 of them to fill out a questionnaire. For example, the interviewer might approach every ninth voter. But this is a lot easier said than done when you are standing more than 40 feet outside of a busy polling place at rush hour. About half of the people approached decline to participate (a percentage that has been steadily rising over the past several decades).
TIA: But the 2008 Final over-sampled returning Bush voters by 9%(46/37%). Even if one believes that Bush won by the recorded 2.% margin (which is obviously not the case), there was a 6.5% over-sampling of Bush voters. On the other hand, if you believe the unadjusted exit poll which Kerry won by 52-47%, then there was a whopping 14% over-sampling of returning Bush voters.
Time: In recent years, exit pollsters have received better training to help them stick to the random selection. This is not easy to do with a large labor force that works for you only one day a year. But it may also help that exit pollsters now include some older people — which may entice more older voters to participate.
TIA: That’s great, but it won’t help. The data will be forced to match the recorded vote anyway. The question is not who collects the data, but who counts it.
Time: In some places, pollsters are allowed to stand closer to polling places than they were before, which may also help improve the response rate. And the questionnaire is a little shorter, so more voters may be willing to participate.
TIA: Another “improvement”. But it won’t help. The data will be forced to match the recorded vote anyway.
Time: Still, the challenge of choosing precincts that accurately reflect the broader region remains immense, as does the quest to pull a truly random sample of voters. The 2006 congressional election included a bias for the Democrats once again, and several of the Democratic exit polls during the primary contest between Obama and Hillary Clinton ended up being wrong, even though some of these reforms were already in place. Still, for this election at least, the exit polls do not appear to have gone too far astray.
TIA: The Democratic landslide in the 2006 midterms was denied by election fraud, just as it was in 2008. In 2006, at 7pm the National Exit Poll showed a 55-43% Democratic margin and a 47/45% returning Bush/Kerry voter mix. The mix was changed to an implausible 49/43% in the Final, cutting the margin in half to 52-46%. But past is prologue. In 2008, we only have the Final NEP - also forced to match the recorded vote – and it shows an impossible 46/37% returning Bush/Kerry voter mix.
In the primaries, as expected, Obama did much better in the exit polls than the recorded vote. But he also won all the caucuses where the votes were head-counted, not machine-counted. The GOP wanted to run against Hillary. So Rush Limbaugh called for Operation Chaos to get Republicans to vote for her. The pre-election polls in NH matched the preliminary exit polls and the hand-counted ballots showed Obama was the winner, but the machine counts showed Hillary. There is solid evidence that Obama may have won the primaries by 2 million votes. The nomination was almost stolen – not by Hillary, but by the GOP who wanted her to run.
Preliminary 2004 National Exit Poll (12:22am, 13047 respondents)
VOTED 2000
Votes Weight Kerry Bush Other
New 13.45 11% 55% 43% 2%
DNV 7.34 6% 61% 37% 2%
Gore 47.70 39% 91% 8% 1%
Bush 50.14 41% 10% 90% 0% (41% implausible)
Other 3.67 3% 71% 21% 8%
Share 100% 51.43% 47.60% 0.97%
Votes 122.30 62.90 58.21 1.19
Final National Exit Poll (13660 respondents (forced to match the recorded vote)
VOTED 2000
Weight Kerry Bush Other
DNV 17% 54% 45% 1%
Gore 37% 90% 10% 0%
Bush 43% 9% 91% 0% (43% impossible)
Other 3% 71% 21% 8%
Share 100% 48.48% 51.11% 0.41%
Votes 122.30 59.29 62.50 0.50
Final 2008 National Exit Poll (forced to match the recorded vote count)
VOTED 2004
Weight Obama McCain Other
New 11% 69% 30% 1%
DNV 2% 82% 13% 5%
Kerry 37% 89% 10% 1%
Bush 46% 17% 82% 1% (46% impossible)
Other 4% 66% 24% 10%
Share 100.0% 52.62% 45.94% 1.44%
Votes 131.37 69.13 60.35 1.89
2008: THE TRUE VOTE
Assumptions:
Final NEP vote shares, but with a revised, feasible returning voter mix
Annual 1.2% voter mortality;
95% turnout of living 2004 voters
Results:
If Kerry won by 52-47% (unadjusted exit poll), Obama has 57.5%.
If Bush won by 50.7-48.3% (Zero fraud?),Obama has 55.2%.
Vote04 Vote Mix Obama McCain Other Obama McCain Other
DNV 21.7 16.0% 15.42 5.86 0.43 71% 27% 2%
Kerry 59.1 43.7% 52.63 5.32 1.18 89% 9% 2%
Bush 53.4 39.5% 9.09 43.82 0.53 17% 82% 1%
Other 1.1 0.8% 0.75 0.27 0.11 66% 24% 10%
Total 135.43 100% 77.88 55.28 2.27 57.5% 40.8% 1.7%
Recorded 131.37 100% 69.46 59.93 1.98 52.9% 45.6% 1.5%