1968-2008 Final National Exit Poll

12/26/09

Compare the returning voter mix required to match the recorded vote margin.

Note the elections in which the GOP was in power (Nixon 1972, Bush 1988 and 1992, Bush Jr. 2004 and 2008). In each of these elections, there was a wide divergence between the returning voter mix and the previous election recorded vote margin. The deviations ranged from 6.5% to a whopping 17.3% in 1992. That is a strong indication of election fraud.

On the other hand, when the Democrats were in power (Carter in 1980, Clinton in 1996 and 2000), the margin-mix deviation ranged from 0.5% to 1.4%.

Gore would have won in 2000, but SCOTUS stopped the Florida recount and 185,000 spoiled ballots (70% for Gore) were uncounted in Florida and 5.4 million were uncounted nationwide.



1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 Average
Recorded
Dem 42.9% 36.2% 50.1% 41.0% 40.6% 45.6% 43.0% 49.2% 48.4% 48.3% 52.9% 45.5%
Rep 43.6% 60.7% 48.0% 50.7% 58.8% 53.4% 37.4% 40.7% 47.9% 50.7% 45.6% 49.4%

Previous margin -0.7% -24.5% 2.1% -9.7% -18.2% -7.8% 5.6% 8.5% 0.5% -2.4% -4.7%

Final NEP
Returning Voter Mix
Dem 55.0% 35.0% 30.0% 42.0% 34.0% 33.0% 28.0% 38.0% 41.0% 37.0% 37.0% 35.5%
Rep 35.0% 44.0% 53.0% 41.0% 44.0% 58.0% 53.0% 31.0% 33.0% 43.0% 46.0% 44.6%

MixDifference -9.0% -23.0% 1.0% -10.0% -25.0% -25.0% 7.0% 8.0% -6.0% -9.0% -9.1%

Margin/mix
Discrepancy 8.3% -1.5% 1.1% 0.3% 6.8% 17.2% -1.4% 0.5% 6.5% 6.6% 4.4%