TruthIsAll
08-27-2009, 04:49 AM
New York State
Initial (lever) votes vs. Late (paper ballots)
17,553 Precincts
2000 Total Gore Bush Other Gore Bush Other
Initial
Lever 6,270 3,747 2,222 300 59.8% 35.4% 4.8%
Late
Paper 552 361 181 11 65.4% 32.7% 1.9%
Final 6,822 4,108 2,403 311 60.2% 35.2% 4.6%
2004 Total Kerry Bush Other Kerry Bush Other
Initial
Lever 6,892 3,993 2,796 104 57.9% 40.6% 1.5%
Late
Paper 499 321 167 10 64.3% 33.6% 2.1%
Final 7,391 4,314 2,963 114 58.4% 40.1% 1.5%
Top 15 NY counties
Election Day (Lever) votes
2004
Total Kerry Bush Nader/other
5267 3253 1943 72
Share 61.8% 36.9% 1.4%
2000
Total Gore Bush Nader/other
4742 3045 1482 215
Share 64.2% 31.3% 4.5%
Net Change
525 208 461 -143
Share -2.4% +5.6% -3.1%
NY 2004 pre-election polls
Undecided voter allocations: Kerry 75%; Bush 25%
Kerry Bush Kproj BProj Kma Bma
2-Jul 55 36 61.00 38.00 61.00 38.00
13-Jul 58 30 66.25 32.75 63.63 35.38
20-Jul 51 29 65.25 33.75 64.17 34.83
14-Aug 53 35 61.25 37.75 64.25 34.75
2-Sep 56 37 60.50 38.50 62.33 36.67
17-Sep 48 40 56.25 42.75 59.33 39.67
22-Sep 55 39 58.75 40.25 58.50 40.50
27-Sep 51 31 63.75 35.25 59.58 39.42
3-Oct 53 41 56.75 42.25 59.75 39.25
11-Oct 53 41 56.75 42.25 59.08 39.92
16-Oct 58 35 62.50 36.50 58.67 40.33
24-Oct 57 36 61.50 37.50 60.25 38.75
27-Oct 54 38 59.25 39.75 61.08 37.92
28-Oct 52 37 59.50 39.50 60.08 38.92
29-Oct 57 39 59.25 39.75 59.33 39.67
Avg 54.07 36.27 60.57 38.43 60.74 38.26
2000 Exit Poll
State Aggregate
National Gore Bush Margin Error
Recorded 48.38% 47.87% 0.51% -
WPE 49.38 46.87 2.51 2.01
New York
Recorded 60.2 35.2 25.0 -
WPE 61.9 33.5 28.3 3.3
Evaluation of Edison/Mitofsky Election System - January 19, 2005
2004 Exit Poll
State Aggregate
National Kerry Bush Margin Error
Recorded 48.27% 50.73% -2.46% -
WPE
IMS 52.0 47.0 5.0 7.4
DSS 52.2 46.8 5.3 7.8
VNS 51.8 47.2 4.7 7.1
Best GEO 51.0 48.5 1.5 5.0
Composite 50.3 49.1 1.2 3.8
New York
Recorded 58.4 40.1 18.3 -
WPE
IMS 64.5 34.0 30.5 12.2
DSS 64.3 34.1 30.2 11.9
VNS 64.1 34.4 29.3 11.4
Best GEO 65.1 33.8 31.3 13.0
Composite 63.1 35.5 27.6 9.3
Initial (lever) votes vs. Late (paper ballots)
17,553 Precincts
2000 Total Gore Bush Other Gore Bush Other
Initial
Lever 6,270 3,747 2,222 300 59.8% 35.4% 4.8%
Late
Paper 552 361 181 11 65.4% 32.7% 1.9%
Final 6,822 4,108 2,403 311 60.2% 35.2% 4.6%
2004 Total Kerry Bush Other Kerry Bush Other
Initial
Lever 6,892 3,993 2,796 104 57.9% 40.6% 1.5%
Late
Paper 499 321 167 10 64.3% 33.6% 2.1%
Final 7,391 4,314 2,963 114 58.4% 40.1% 1.5%
Top 15 NY counties
Election Day (Lever) votes
2004
Total Kerry Bush Nader/other
5267 3253 1943 72
Share 61.8% 36.9% 1.4%
2000
Total Gore Bush Nader/other
4742 3045 1482 215
Share 64.2% 31.3% 4.5%
Net Change
525 208 461 -143
Share -2.4% +5.6% -3.1%
NY 2004 pre-election polls
Undecided voter allocations: Kerry 75%; Bush 25%
Kerry Bush Kproj BProj Kma Bma
2-Jul 55 36 61.00 38.00 61.00 38.00
13-Jul 58 30 66.25 32.75 63.63 35.38
20-Jul 51 29 65.25 33.75 64.17 34.83
14-Aug 53 35 61.25 37.75 64.25 34.75
2-Sep 56 37 60.50 38.50 62.33 36.67
17-Sep 48 40 56.25 42.75 59.33 39.67
22-Sep 55 39 58.75 40.25 58.50 40.50
27-Sep 51 31 63.75 35.25 59.58 39.42
3-Oct 53 41 56.75 42.25 59.75 39.25
11-Oct 53 41 56.75 42.25 59.08 39.92
16-Oct 58 35 62.50 36.50 58.67 40.33
24-Oct 57 36 61.50 37.50 60.25 38.75
27-Oct 54 38 59.25 39.75 61.08 37.92
28-Oct 52 37 59.50 39.50 60.08 38.92
29-Oct 57 39 59.25 39.75 59.33 39.67
Avg 54.07 36.27 60.57 38.43 60.74 38.26
2000 Exit Poll
State Aggregate
National Gore Bush Margin Error
Recorded 48.38% 47.87% 0.51% -
WPE 49.38 46.87 2.51 2.01
New York
Recorded 60.2 35.2 25.0 -
WPE 61.9 33.5 28.3 3.3
Evaluation of Edison/Mitofsky Election System - January 19, 2005
2004 Exit Poll
State Aggregate
National Kerry Bush Margin Error
Recorded 48.27% 50.73% -2.46% -
WPE
IMS 52.0 47.0 5.0 7.4
DSS 52.2 46.8 5.3 7.8
VNS 51.8 47.2 4.7 7.1
Best GEO 51.0 48.5 1.5 5.0
Composite 50.3 49.1 1.2 3.8
New York
Recorded 58.4 40.1 18.3 -
WPE
IMS 64.5 34.0 30.5 12.2
DSS 64.3 34.1 30.2 11.9
VNS 64.1 34.4 29.3 11.4
Best GEO 65.1 33.8 31.3 13.0
Composite 63.1 35.5 27.6 9.3