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TruthIsAll
09-27-2010, 03:42 PM
TruthIsAll 11:15 AM on 9/22/2010
36 Fans
There is no way the GOP can win without
1) Low Democratic turnout
2) Election Fraud
http://richardcharnin.com/2010Electi onForecast Models.htm



redsox4 12:04 PM on 9/22/2010
10 Fans
BLHAHAHAHA HAHAHAHAHH AH! You live in a dream world! hate to tell you the, this country is Conservative! always has always will! If and win the Democrats win they always win when the run to the right to center! Been proven over and over the past 60 years.


Tails 02:34 PM on 9/22/2010
275 Fans
We're so Conservative we elected a black guy!


HerrMonk 01:34 PM on 9/22/2010
77 Fans
Win what?

There's a lot of races going on.


HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Angelus2007 01:51 PM on 9/22/2010
45 FansFollow
Not saying there hasn't been election fraud in the past. But blaming election fraud is just incorrect. It is the equivalent of sticking your fingers in your ears and going "nananananana". You have to ask your self why did "x" democrat lose and if your answers are turnout and fraud you are missing the point and democrats will never keep the house and senate. For every democrat the loses there are reasons, they may be message, issues, ability to motivate, ect, and possibly fraud. In many cases it has to do with either the democrat not getting the message out, or not connecting with the voters in that state/district.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/


TruthIsAll 03:27 PM on 9/22/2010
36 Fans
The reason they lost in 2000, 2004 was election fraud.
In 2006 and 2008, the landslide margins were cut in half.

I proved it mathematically.

Its very simple. The 2004 and 2008 Final National Election Poll is the key.
In order to match the recorded vote, the NEP had to have millions more returning Bush voters from the prior election than were still alive.Do the math.

First you must read the full post and go to the links provided to the 2004, 2006, 2008 analysis.

You provide a link to 538. Did you see my 25 questions for Nate Silver?
He never responded to them.
http://richardcharnin.com/TwentySilver.htm



corwin 06:41 AM on 9/23/2010
19 Fans
Oh ? Yoiu understand math ? and you're a Dem .fraud on the face of it. Dems don't take science/math courses. If they did Pres O would know there aren't 57 states and Slo Jo wouldn't say "I finished in thetop half (he was 76th of 85) of my Law School class."Sometimes you guys are just too easy
ANd,you'proved it mathematically' It gets bigger once it's inside,too?


TruthIsAll 07:38 AM on 9/23/2010
36 Fans
Did you do the math?


TruthIsAll 08:15 AM on 9/23/2010
36 Fans
If you did the math, show us.
If you did not, I will now give you the information you need.

In 2000:
Bush had 50.5 million votes.
2.5 million died prior to 2004 (1.25% annual voter mortality)
1.5 million did not vote in 2004 (97% living 2000 voter turnout)

Therefore there were 46.5 million returning Bush 2000 voters in 2004.
With me so far?

According to the Final 2004 National Exit Poll, which was FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote:
52.6 million (43%) of the 122.3 million who voted in 2004 were returning Bush voters.

So the MATH question for you is:
Given the FACTS that
a) there were 46.5 million returning Bush 2000 voters in 2004
and
b) the Final NEP needed 52.6 million returning Bush voters to match the recorded vote...

c) How many returning Bush 2000 voters were PHANTOMS?

Can you do the MATH?


TruthIsAll 03:34 PM on 9/22/2010
36 Fans
If you believe that Bush won fairly in 2004 and that Democratic landslides in 2006 and 2008 were not denied, then you must believe that the

a) Recorded vote matched the True Vote (i.e. there was no fraud)
b) Pre-election LV polls were a close match to the recorded vote
c) Pre-election RV polls overstated the Democratic True Vote
d) Unadjusted and preliminary exit polls overstated the Democratic True Vote
e) Final National Exit Polls were correct in forcing a match to the recorded vote by requiring millions more returning Bush voters than were alive
f) Elections were fraud-free even though the recorded vote counts were not verifiable

On the other hand, if you believe that Kerry won in 2004 and Democratic landslides were denied in 2006 and 2008, then you must also believe that the

a) Recorded vote was incorrect (i.e. the vote counts were fraudulent)
c) Pre-election LV polls underestimated the Democratic True Vote
b) Pre-election RV polls were a close match to the True Vote
d) Unadjusted and preliminary exit polls were a close match to the True Vote
e) Final National Exit Polls were impossible in matching to the recorded vote by requiring millions more returning Bush voters than were alive
f) Elections were fraudulent and resulted in a 3-5% reduction in the True Democratic share


corwin 06:41 AM on 9/23/2010
19 Fans
SOme ogf my bewst friends were liberal arts majors