TruthIsAll
08-11-2010, 09:47 PM
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[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"] [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Introduction[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]1[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]1[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]From Hanging Chads to Phantom Voters[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]5[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]2[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Media Lockdown[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]20[/quote][div style="line-height: 1.7em;float:left;margin-top: .3em;margin-left: 4em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;"]1  2[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Professional statistical organizations, media pundits and election forecasters who projected a Bush victory never discuss Election Fraud. On the contrary, a complicit media has been in a permanent election fraud lockdown, as it relentlessly promotes the fictional propaganda that Bush won BOTH elections. They want you to believe that Democrats always do better in the exit polls because Republican voters are reluctant responders. But they never consider other, more plausible explanations – such as uncounted and stuffed ballots. Millions of mostly Democratic ballots are uncounted, spoiled and stuffed in every election and favored a Bush I and II in 1988, 1992, 2000 and 2004. That’s why the Democratic True vote (and exit poll share) is always greater than the Recorded vote.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image The media never considered the possibility that the votes may have been miscounted and that the exit polls were essentially correct. They just took it for granted that the vote count was accurate (i.e. the election was fraud-free). After all, isn’t that why the exit poll results are always adjusted to match the vote count? They never did the analysis. It would have shown that the adjusted Final NEP weights were impossible and that the adjusted vote shares were implausible. And they would have come to the same conclusion as the spreadsheet-wielding bloggers: the election was stolen.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image The mainstream media has been avoiding the issue of election fraud since the 2000 selection. Instead, it has promoted these myths: Bush won Florida and defeated Gore in 2000; the GOP captured the Senate in 2002; Bush defeated Kerry by 3 million votes in 2004; the Democrats won 30 GOP House seats in 2006; Obama won by 9.5 million votes in 2008. None are true. The media does not want the public to know the truth about GOP 2000-2008 election fraud.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image It’s understandable, since the media commissioned most of the pre-election polls and the National Exit Poll.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Forecasters of a Bush victory in 2004 were “correct” only because of a rigged vote-count. Kerry won the True Vote.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]3[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]The Simple Math[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]29[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image This chapter introduces the basics of statistics and probability as applied to elections. Only a minimial high scool math background is necessary.
[div align="center"style="clear:left;float:left;width: 10em;border: 0px solid black"]Margin of Error[br]examples: p32-33[/quote][div align="center"style="float:left;width: 10em;border: 0px solid black"]Regression Analysis[br]examples: p35,36[/quote][div align="center"style="float:left;width: 10em;border: 0px solid black"]Correlation[br]examples: p36-38[/quote][div align="center"style="float:left;width: 10em;border: 0px solid black"]Sensitivity Analysis[br]example: p38[/quote][div align="center"style="float:left;width: 12em;border: 0px solid black"]Monte Carlo Simulation[br]example: p.39[/quote][/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]4[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Forbidden Data[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]40[/quote][div style="line-height: 1.7em;float:left;margin-top: .3em;margin-left: 4em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;"]The True MATH: Confirming Election Fraud (p49-51)[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Key data factors are ignored by media pundits and election forecasters, including: Uncounted Votes (40), Undecided Voter Allocation (Zogby, Harris, Gallup, p41-44), Pre-election Trend (44), Voter Mortality (45), Incumbent Approval (46), Pre-election Registered & Likely Voter Polls (48), Voter Turnout (52), Returning Voter Turnout (53), New Voters (58), Late Recorded Votes (62).[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image The pre-election polls confirmed the national exit poll...The Kerry/Bush vote split of the difference in sample size between the RV and LV subset matched the 12:22am Preliminary National Exit Poll: 57-41-2%. (p49)[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Simple mathematics proves that the 1968, 1988, 2004, and 2008 elections were fraudulent...In each election more voters from the prior election returned to vote than were alive. The statistical anomaly has no rational explanation other than election fraud. (p52)[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]5[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]The Election Forecasting Game[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]63[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]6[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]The Election Model: A Trip to Monte Carlo[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]71[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]7[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Exit Polls: Forced to Match[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]78[/quote][div style="line-height: 1.7em;float:left;margin-top: .3em;margin-left: 4em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;"]1988-2004 State Exit Poll Discrepancies (p84-91).[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Only a few are aware the Final National Exit Poll is always forced to match the recorded vote count--regardless whether or not it is legitimate.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Edison-Mitofsky provided four state exit poll measures. Kerry's unadjusted exit poll lead evaporated as the matching process to the recorded vote-count proceeded in the National Exit Poll Timeline. (p82)[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image The corporate consortium that comprises the National Election Pool -- Fox, CNN, CBS, ABC, NBC and AP -- not only hires the national exit pollster but also controls the reporting of preliminary and final exit poll data. (p82)[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Why has the 2008 exit poll report not been released? Would it confirm the Final National Exit Poll? When the impossible returning voter percentages are adjusted to a feasible mix, the NEP indicates that Obama won by at least double his recorded margin. (p82) [/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]8[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Calculating the True Vote[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]97[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Forcing Final National Exit Poll numbers to match the vote count- come hell or high water - perpetuates election fraud.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Recursive True Vote averts the perpetuation of election fraud due to Final NEP use of implausible or impossible return-voter mix for matching a bogus vote-count.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image The Recursive True Vote Model calculates the True Vote for all elections from 1968 to 2008. (p99-109)[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image In order to match the official vote, an average 94% turnout of prior election Democrats and 106% of Republicans was required.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]9[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]1968–1996: Age of Innocence[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]101[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]10[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Shock to the System[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]114[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]11[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]2004: Silent Scream of Numbers[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]117[/quote][div style="line-height: 1.7em;float:left;margin-top: .3em;margin-left: 4em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;"]Uncounted and Switched Votes[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Unlike 1988-2000, the 2004 exit poll discrepancies cannot be explained by uncounted votes alone.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Election fraud is a combination of overt voter disenfranchisement and covert vote miscounts (stuffed and uncounted ballots and switched votes), not faulty exit polling as stated by the mainstream media and academia.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]12[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Ohio Endgame[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]150[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]13[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Florida: Phantoms in Cyberspace[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]157[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]14[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]New York: Urban Legend[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]164[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]15[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Oregon: Mail-In Democracy[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]169[/quote][div style="line-height: 1.7em;float:left;margin-top: .3em;margin-left: 4em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;"]Oregon VBM+HandRecount Sys vs New York Lever Sys: 2000-2008,    2[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Adjusting the Oregon 2000 recorded vote by allocating the Nader vote,
Gore's adjusted 51.8-47.4% margin is very close to Kerry's 52.0-47.0% unadjusted state exit poll aggregate margin.  [/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Oregon's recorded vote closely approximated the unadjusted national exit polls in both 2000 and 2004 as well as in the 2004 state telephone survey.
Was this because voting was done exclusively by mail rather than by machine?[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]16[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]2006 Midterms: Quantifying the Risk[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]174[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]17[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]2008 Primaries: Operation Chaos[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]184[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]18[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]2008: Landscape Denied[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]191[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]19[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]A Conversation about the 2008 Election[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]208[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]20[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Myths and Anomalies[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]212[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]21[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Vote Swing vs Exit Poll Red-Shift[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]221[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image The exit poll naysayers claim that since there was virtually zero correlation between swing (change in Bush vote share from 2000 to 2004) and redshift (exit poll discrepancies), it indicates there was little if any fraud in 2004. The claim is based on the false premise that the 2000 recorded vote-count was the True Vote.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]22[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]False Recall[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]226[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]23[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]A Simple Proof[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]236[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;line-height: .1"][/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"] [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Appendix[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]A[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Online Debates[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]245[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;text-align:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]1[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"]USCV and the Implausibility of rBr[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]248[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;text-align:left;float:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]2[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"] A View of the Exit Poll Debate[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]291[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;text-align:left;float:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]3[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"]Hobson's Choice[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]308[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;text-align:left;float:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]4[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"]The Clincher[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]332[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;text-align:left;float:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]5[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"]The Game[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]385[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;text-align:left;float:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]6[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"]2006 Election Fraud Probability Analysis[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]387[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;text-align:left;float:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]7[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"]Generic Polls for Forecasting the Midterms[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]392[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;line-height: .1"][/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]B [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Election Fraud Analytics[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]395[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]C [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Response to the TruthIsAll FAQ[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]411[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]D [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Election Models[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]429[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]E [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]An Open Source PC/Internet Voting System[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]438[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]F [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]References[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]440[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"] [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Acknowledgements[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]451[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;line-height: 1.0"][/quote]
[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;line-height: 1.0"][/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"] [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Introduction[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]1[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]1[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]From Hanging Chads to Phantom Voters[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]5[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]2[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Media Lockdown[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]20[/quote][div style="line-height: 1.7em;float:left;margin-top: .3em;margin-left: 4em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;"]1  2[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Professional statistical organizations, media pundits and election forecasters who projected a Bush victory never discuss Election Fraud. On the contrary, a complicit media has been in a permanent election fraud lockdown, as it relentlessly promotes the fictional propaganda that Bush won BOTH elections. They want you to believe that Democrats always do better in the exit polls because Republican voters are reluctant responders. But they never consider other, more plausible explanations – such as uncounted and stuffed ballots. Millions of mostly Democratic ballots are uncounted, spoiled and stuffed in every election and favored a Bush I and II in 1988, 1992, 2000 and 2004. That’s why the Democratic True vote (and exit poll share) is always greater than the Recorded vote.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image The media never considered the possibility that the votes may have been miscounted and that the exit polls were essentially correct. They just took it for granted that the vote count was accurate (i.e. the election was fraud-free). After all, isn’t that why the exit poll results are always adjusted to match the vote count? They never did the analysis. It would have shown that the adjusted Final NEP weights were impossible and that the adjusted vote shares were implausible. And they would have come to the same conclusion as the spreadsheet-wielding bloggers: the election was stolen.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image The mainstream media has been avoiding the issue of election fraud since the 2000 selection. Instead, it has promoted these myths: Bush won Florida and defeated Gore in 2000; the GOP captured the Senate in 2002; Bush defeated Kerry by 3 million votes in 2004; the Democrats won 30 GOP House seats in 2006; Obama won by 9.5 million votes in 2008. None are true. The media does not want the public to know the truth about GOP 2000-2008 election fraud.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image It’s understandable, since the media commissioned most of the pre-election polls and the National Exit Poll.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Forecasters of a Bush victory in 2004 were “correct” only because of a rigged vote-count. Kerry won the True Vote.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]3[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]The Simple Math[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]29[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image This chapter introduces the basics of statistics and probability as applied to elections. Only a minimial high scool math background is necessary.
[div align="center"style="clear:left;float:left;width: 10em;border: 0px solid black"]Margin of Error[br]examples: p32-33[/quote][div align="center"style="float:left;width: 10em;border: 0px solid black"]Regression Analysis[br]examples: p35,36[/quote][div align="center"style="float:left;width: 10em;border: 0px solid black"]Correlation[br]examples: p36-38[/quote][div align="center"style="float:left;width: 10em;border: 0px solid black"]Sensitivity Analysis[br]example: p38[/quote][div align="center"style="float:left;width: 12em;border: 0px solid black"]Monte Carlo Simulation[br]example: p.39[/quote][/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]4[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Forbidden Data[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]40[/quote][div style="line-height: 1.7em;float:left;margin-top: .3em;margin-left: 4em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;"]The True MATH: Confirming Election Fraud (p49-51)[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Key data factors are ignored by media pundits and election forecasters, including: Uncounted Votes (40), Undecided Voter Allocation (Zogby, Harris, Gallup, p41-44), Pre-election Trend (44), Voter Mortality (45), Incumbent Approval (46), Pre-election Registered & Likely Voter Polls (48), Voter Turnout (52), Returning Voter Turnout (53), New Voters (58), Late Recorded Votes (62).[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image The pre-election polls confirmed the national exit poll...The Kerry/Bush vote split of the difference in sample size between the RV and LV subset matched the 12:22am Preliminary National Exit Poll: 57-41-2%. (p49)[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Simple mathematics proves that the 1968, 1988, 2004, and 2008 elections were fraudulent...In each election more voters from the prior election returned to vote than were alive. The statistical anomaly has no rational explanation other than election fraud. (p52)[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]5[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]The Election Forecasting Game[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]63[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]6[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]The Election Model: A Trip to Monte Carlo[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]71[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]7[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Exit Polls: Forced to Match[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]78[/quote][div style="line-height: 1.7em;float:left;margin-top: .3em;margin-left: 4em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;"]1988-2004 State Exit Poll Discrepancies (p84-91).[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Only a few are aware the Final National Exit Poll is always forced to match the recorded vote count--regardless whether or not it is legitimate.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Edison-Mitofsky provided four state exit poll measures. Kerry's unadjusted exit poll lead evaporated as the matching process to the recorded vote-count proceeded in the National Exit Poll Timeline. (p82)[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image The corporate consortium that comprises the National Election Pool -- Fox, CNN, CBS, ABC, NBC and AP -- not only hires the national exit pollster but also controls the reporting of preliminary and final exit poll data. (p82)[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Why has the 2008 exit poll report not been released? Would it confirm the Final National Exit Poll? When the impossible returning voter percentages are adjusted to a feasible mix, the NEP indicates that Obama won by at least double his recorded margin. (p82) [/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]8[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Calculating the True Vote[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]97[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Forcing Final National Exit Poll numbers to match the vote count- come hell or high water - perpetuates election fraud.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Recursive True Vote averts the perpetuation of election fraud due to Final NEP use of implausible or impossible return-voter mix for matching a bogus vote-count.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image The Recursive True Vote Model calculates the True Vote for all elections from 1968 to 2008. (p99-109)[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image In order to match the official vote, an average 94% turnout of prior election Democrats and 106% of Republicans was required.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]9[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]1968–1996: Age of Innocence[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]101[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]10[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Shock to the System[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]114[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]11[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]2004: Silent Scream of Numbers[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]117[/quote][div style="line-height: 1.7em;float:left;margin-top: .3em;margin-left: 4em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;"]Uncounted and Switched Votes[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Unlike 1988-2000, the 2004 exit poll discrepancies cannot be explained by uncounted votes alone.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Election fraud is a combination of overt voter disenfranchisement and covert vote miscounts (stuffed and uncounted ballots and switched votes), not faulty exit polling as stated by the mainstream media and academia.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]12[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Ohio Endgame[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]150[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]13[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Florida: Phantoms in Cyberspace[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]157[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]14[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]New York: Urban Legend[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]164[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]15[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Oregon: Mail-In Democracy[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]169[/quote][div style="line-height: 1.7em;float:left;margin-top: .3em;margin-left: 4em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;"]Oregon VBM+HandRecount Sys vs New York Lever Sys: 2000-2008,    2[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Adjusting the Oregon 2000 recorded vote by allocating the Nader vote,
Gore's adjusted 51.8-47.4% margin is very close to Kerry's 52.0-47.0% unadjusted state exit poll aggregate margin.  [/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image Oregon's recorded vote closely approximated the unadjusted national exit polls in both 2000 and 2004 as well as in the 2004 state telephone survey.
Was this because voting was done exclusively by mail rather than by machine?[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]16[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]2006 Midterms: Quantifying the Risk[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]174[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]17[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]2008 Primaries: Operation Chaos[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]184[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]18[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]2008: Landscape Denied[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]191[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]19[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]A Conversation about the 2008 Election[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]208[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]20[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Myths and Anomalies[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]212[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]21[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Vote Swing vs Exit Poll Red-Shift[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]221[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;margin-left: 7em;margin-bottom:.3em;margin-top:.5em;width: 60em;padding-left: 3em;font-style: italic;font-size: 13px;font-weight: normal;line-height: 1.0;text-align:left"]image The exit poll naysayers claim that since there was virtually zero correlation between swing (change in Bush vote share from 2000 to 2004) and redshift (exit poll discrepancies), it indicates there was little if any fraud in 2004. The claim is based on the false premise that the 2000 recorded vote-count was the True Vote.[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]22[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]False Recall[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]226[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]23[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]A Simple Proof[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]236[/quote]
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[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"] [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Appendix[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]A[/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Online Debates[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]245[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;text-align:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]1[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"]USCV and the Implausibility of rBr[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]248[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;text-align:left;float:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]2[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"] A View of the Exit Poll Debate[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]291[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;text-align:left;float:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]3[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"]Hobson's Choice[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]308[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;text-align:left;float:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]4[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"]The Clincher[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]332[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;text-align:left;float:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]5[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"]The Game[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]385[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;text-align:left;float:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]6[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"]2006 Election Fraud Probability Analysis[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]387[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;text-align:left;float:left;width: 2em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: .4em;font-weight: bold"]7[/quote][div style="text-align:left;float:left;width: 27em;;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 1.6em;font-weight: bold"]Generic Polls for Forecasting the Midterms[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]392[/quote]
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[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]B [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Election Fraud Analytics[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]395[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]C [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Response to the TruthIsAll FAQ[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]411[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]D [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Election Models[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]429[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]E [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]An Open Source PC/Internet Voting System[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]438[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"]F [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]References[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]440[/quote]
[div style="clear:left;float:left;width: 2em;margin-top: .3em;text-align:left;font-weight: bold"] [/quote][div style="float:left;width: 27em;margin-top: .3em;padding-left: 2em;text-align:left;font-family: Times New Roman,Verdana,Arial;font-size: 15px;font-weight: bold"]Acknowledgements[/quote][div style="float:left;text-align:right;width: 3em;margin-top: .3em;font-weight: bold"]451[/quote]
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