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Virgil
11-13-2008, 11:31 AM
This is a 9 page article on Wall Street and it has 110 comments. The artcile was the subject of the blog entry at http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/portfolio-cover-after-the-fall/ where it has 27 comments.

http://www.portfolio.com/news-markets/national-news/portfolio/2008/11/11/The-End-of-Wall-Streets-Boom
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The End
by Michael Lewis Nov 11 2008
The era that defined Wall Street is finally, officially over. Michael Lewis, who chronicled its excess in Liar’s Poker, returns to his old haunt to figure out what went wrong.

To this day, the willingness of a Wall Street investment bank to pay me hundreds of thousands of dollars to dispense investment advice to grownups remains a mystery to me. I was 24 years old, with no experience of, or particular interest in, guessing which stocks and bonds would rise and which would fall. The essential function of Wall Street is to allocate capital—to decide who should get it and who should not. Believe me when I tell you that I hadn’t the first clue.

I’d never taken an accounting course, never run a business, never even had savings of my own to manage. I stumbled into a job at Salomon Brothers in 1985 and stumbled out much richer three years later, and even though I wrote a book about the experience, the whole thing still strikes me as preposterous—which is one of the reasons the money was so easy to walk away from. I figured the situation was unsustainable. Sooner rather than later, someone was going to identify me, along with a lot of people more or less like me, as a fraud. Sooner rather than later, there would come a Great Reckoning when Wall Street would wake up and hundreds if not thousands of young people like me, who had no business making huge bets with other people’s money, would be expelled from finance.

When I sat down to write my account of the experience in 1989—Liar’s Poker, it was called—it was in the spirit of a young man who thought he was getting out while the getting was good. I was merely scribbling down a message on my way out and stuffing it into a bottle for those who would pass through these parts in the far distant future.

Unless some insider got all of this down on paper, I figured, no future human would believe that it happened.

I thought I was writing a period piece about the 1980s in America. Not for a moment did I suspect that the financial 1980s would last two full decades longer or that the difference in degree between Wall Street and ordinary life would swell into a difference in kind. I expected readers of the future to be outraged that back in 1986, the C.E.O. of Salomon Brothers, John Gutfreund, was paid $3.1 million; I expected them to gape in horror when I reported that one of our traders, Howie Rubin, had moved to Merrill Lynch, where he lost $250 million; I assumed they’d be shocked to learn that a Wall Street C.E.O. had only the vaguest idea of the risks his traders were running. What I didn’t expect was that any future reader would look on my experience and say, “How quaint.”

I had no great agenda, apart from telling what I took to be a remarkable tale, but if you got a few drinks in me and then asked what effect I thought my book would have on the world, I might have said something like, “I hope that college students trying to figure out what to do with their lives will read it and decide that it’s silly to phony it up and abandon their passions to become financiers.” I hoped that some bright kid at, say, Ohio State University who really wanted to be an oceanographer would read my book, spurn the offer from Morgan Stanley, and set out to sea.

<snipped>

mikita
11-13-2008, 07:21 PM
thanks Virgil.

Code_Name_D
11-14-2008, 12:07 AM
While my journey into the wonderful world of economics is no where near as deep, productive, or percent, I can’t help but relate to his story as something of my own. I never had the chance to be a speculator. But I do remembering debating this Harvard Professor on DallNet who was convince that manufacturing in and of itself was “obsolete.” If you do an internet search of my name, you will come up with a bloger who is a fanatical adviser, crowing about how he mopped the floor with my arguments, the same guy who was trying to tell me that goods could be shipped from Singapore to LA faster than the speed of light, or that the best way to eliminate poverty, was to pay workers nothing, or that paying workers nothing wasn’t slavery.

My exploration into economics more often than not becomes a study of the lies and mythologies, rather than the actual way of things. I begin to wonder if any one knows. If some how economics is a discipline still stuck in the dark ages, drawing its knowledge and wisdom from sacred texts, rather than serious research.

And reading this helped me to get a perspective of just how bad the situation is. And yet, as my research has took me into another aspect of economics, I can’t help but think, its far worse than even they understand it.

Now we are watching the commodities markets start to brake down. Food prices are skyrocketing, oil prices are dropping, and without any rational or technical as to why. Normal laws of economics such as supply and demand no longer seem to apply. There is growing evidence that a barrel of oil is under-priced. Sooner or later, the market will figure this out, and it will be another speculative rush, possibly driving the price of oil above $200 a barrel.

Decisions about how a finite and invaluable resource is to be used are being made by speculators who treat the whole thing like a game, like the monkey playing with a loaded gun. What will result is an even more wasteful reality. Once peek oil sets in, speculators swoop in to make the situation even worse, turning a painful transition to almost certain economic, if not environmental death.

And not far away from my thoughts is Obama’s efforts to restore the economy. The fact that he surrounded himself by people who participated in the disaster, if not playing an active role in sowing the very seeds of our current destruction, dose not fill me with confidence.

I suspect they will try to rebuild the house of cards, to restore integrity to thieves and morons, to set every thing as it was before it collapsed. They will do far more harm than good.

Virgil
11-14-2008, 08:55 AM
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/11/12/AR2008111202846_pf.html
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Bailout Lacks Oversight Despite Billions Pledged
Watchdog Panel Is Empty; Report Is Unfinished

By Amit R. Paley
Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, November 13, 2008; A01

In the six weeks since lawmakers approved the Treasury's massive bailout of financial firms, the government has poured money into the country's largest banks, recruited smaller banks into the program and repeatedly widened its scope to cover yet other types of businesses, from insurers to consumer lenders.

Along the way, the Bush administration has committed $290 billion of the $700 billion rescue package.

Yet for all this activity, no formal action has been taken to fill the independent oversight posts established by Congress when it approved the bailout to prevent corruption and government waste. Nor has the first monitoring report required by lawmakers been completed, though the initial deadline has passed.

<snipped>

Virgil
11-14-2008, 01:52 PM
This is #2 over 24 hours at http://www.viralvideochart.com/ It shows how the television pundits are always buy, buy, buy as is often cited at the Barry Ritholtz blog that mocks all the big boys of television including Ben Stein as seen in this video doing the cheerleading on the financial sector stocks.


Peter Schiff Was Right 2006 - 2007 (2nd Edition) 9:59
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2I0QN-FYkpw