Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Wed Oct 26, 2022 11:58 am

tension on the fronts
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 10/26/2022

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The scant information about the real situation on the fronts and the intentions of the parties to the conflict to meet their current objectives continues to cause all kinds of rumours. At this time, Ukraine aspires to build on its successes in previous offensives and, with the reinforcement of the innumerable weapons received from its partners, inflict another heavy blow on Russian troops. It is especially evident that Ukraine intends to recover Kherson, either through battle or after the Russian withdrawal, an option that wins in the last few hours. Russia has called for the evacuation of the city's civilian population, and despite some sources claiming reserves are being sent to prepare for battle, the fact that Russia is removing even monuments it considers important - such as the status of the Russian general Suvorov,

In any case, with difficulties on all fronts, Russia cannot aspire at this time to recover the initiative but to defend those fronts that it considers feasible to defend. It is in this context of uncertainty that all kinds of theories also arise. Russia and Ukraine accuse each other of preparing a dirty bomb as a false flag operation to discredit the enemy, allegations that, without any evidence, should be considered only conspiracy theory, although they collaborate to further increase the already high tension .

Original: Voenkor Kotenok

Military expert Boris Rozhin has spoken for the Voenkor Kotenok channel about the defense of Kherson, the assault on Avdeevka and the possibilities of an offensive from Belarus.

What awaits Kherson: Stalingrad or Izium?

At the present time, contradictory information is being received in this direction. If the political decision is made for a withdrawal from the right bank of the Dnieper, of course there will be no Stalingrad there. This can be caused, for example, by the threat of detonation of the Kajovka dam.

If the political decision is made to keep Kherson and the territories on the right bank, long and intensive battles can be expected in this area. Despite the obvious logistical problems and the threat of the use of prohibited weapons, the question of a possible withdrawal from Kherson remains more political than military.

It must be remembered that Izium was abandoned for purely military reasons after the invasion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Balakleya, with the consequent threat that the grouping of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in Izium would be besieged. This made it necessary to organize a withdrawal beyond the Oskol to prevent the troops from being pocketed.

Why is the enemy failing in Svatovo?

Our troops have reinforced the defenses there and moved reserves, which has made it possible to somewhat stabilize the front after the withdrawal from the Oskol river line. Additionally, counterattacks in the Torsky and Terna area have clouded enemy plans to advance north of Kremennaya.

The latest enemy attack attempts in the direction of Svatovo have been unsuccessful. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have not been able to break through Svatovo quickly, although according to plans they should have taken it by October 17.

However, the opponent continues to accumulate troops in this area and has not abandoned offensive plans both in relation to Svatovo and Kremennaya. To reinforce these plans, an increase in the presence of foreign mercenaries has been noted in this area of ​​the front.

Why is it still not possible to take the fortified area of ​​Avdeevka or isolate the enemy in Ugledar?

The reason is obvious: the enemy has important fortifications there and we don't have enough troops in this area. In both cases, the frontal assault on the fortified areas of Avdeevka and Ugledar does not promise anything good for our troops, but would only reduce the strength of other more promising areas.

The offensives in Peski and Pervomaiskoe, as well as the battles in Marinka, clearly show that, with the current grouping, it is impossible to achieve any quick success or create an operational encirclement of the Ukrainian troops. You can only hope to displace the enemy by continuing to hit their positions with artillery.

The commander of the ground forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has announced the threat of invasion of the Russian Armed Forces from Belarus. To what extent are the enemy's fears justified? It can be done? Necessary?

Currently, according to official figures, there are about 9,000 Russian troops deployed in Belarus, not only near the border with Ukraine, but also in north-western Belarus, near the border with Lithuania and Poland, where there is a build-up of Russian troops. NATO countries, which is a threat to Belarus.

To attack Ukraine again from Belarusian territory, a larger group is needed, which is not being formed. That's not to say it can't be formed, but at present, the chances of a direct Russian attack on kyiv from Belarus are not great at all. However, the war will be long and it cannot be ruled out that this option may be seen.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/10/26/tensi ... more-25801

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Media Continue To Push 'U.S. Officials Said' Claims Even When Those Are Obvious Lies

Back in April it was widely reported that the U.S. government is intentionally lying about the war in Ukraine:

In a break with the past, U.S. is using intel to fight an info war with Russia, even when the intel isn't rock solid - April 6, 2020 - NBC News

It was an attention-grabbing assertion that made headlines around the world: U.S. officials said they had indications suggesting Russia might be preparing to use chemical agents in Ukraine.
President Joe Biden later said it publicly. But three U.S. officials told NBC News this week there is no evidence Russia has brought any chemical weapons near Ukraine. They said the U.S. released the information to deter Russia from using the banned munitions.

It’s one of a string of examples of the Biden administration’s breaking with recent precedent by deploying declassified intelligence as part of an information war against Russia. The administration has done so even when the intelligence wasn’t rock solid, officials said, to keep Russian President Vladimir Putin off balance. Coordinated by the White House National Security Council, the unprecedented intelligence releases have been so frequent and voluminous, officials said, that intelligence agencies had to devote more staff members to work on the declassification process, scrubbing the information so it wouldn’t betray sources and methods.


Despite knowledge that the U.S. government officials are lying to them 'journalists' at major U.S. media continue to report their 'not rock solid' claims as facts.

The New York Times reports on the northern Kherson region, where new Russia troops deployments prevent a long planned Ukrainian attack:

“They are not preparing to exit now,” Gen. Kyrylo O. Budanov, the head of Ukraine’s military intelligence service, said in an interview with a Ukrainian news outlet, Ukrainska Pravda, that was published on Monday. “They are preparing to defend.”
...
“They are creating the illusion that everything has gone,” General Budanov said. “At the same time, on the contrary, they are bringing in new military units there and preparing the streets of the city for defense.”
The loss of Kherson would be a severe military and symbolic blow for Mr. Putin, who has rejected requests from his commanders on the ground that they be allowed to retreat from the city.


A look at the map will immediately throw the last assertion into doubt.

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The northern Kherson region on the right side of Dnieper river is a strategic launching pad that allows for future attacks in several directions - Mykolaiv, Odessa, Kryvy Rih, Nikolaiev, Dnipro and beyond. No officer who has learned a bit about wars would want to give up such a strategic position. That is why the assertion that commanders requested a retreat from that area strikes me as obviously false.

A click on the link the New York Times provides to support its claim convinces me that it stinks:

President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia has thrust himself more directly into strategic planning for the war in Ukraine in recent weeks, American officials said, including rejecting requests from his commanders on the ground that they be allowed to retreat from the vital southern city of Kherson.
A withdrawal from Kherson would allow the Russian military to pull back across the Dnipro River in an orderly way, preserving its equipment and saving the lives of soldiers.


The mid September report quoted above provides zero evidence that the claim made by 'American officials' is based on anything but fantasy. It is simply an assertion, likely a false one, by U.S. officials.

In a current Washington Post piece U.S. officials make a similar but different assertion which, again, is likely false:

The confidant who vented to Russian President Vladimir Putin recently about his military’s handling of the war in Ukraine was Yevgeniy Prigozhin, the founder of a Russian mercenary group that is playing a critical role for Moscow on the battlefield in Ukraine, according to two U.S. officials familiar with the matter.
Prigozhin’s criticisms echoed what he has been saying publicly for weeks, the officials said, speaking anonymously to discuss sensitive intelligence. But the revelation that he felt comfortable sharing such a harsh rebuke of the Russian military effort with Putin in a private setting shows how his influence is rising as Moscow’s war falters.
...
The Washington Post previously reported that a Russian insider confronted Putin personally to spotlight mismanagement of the war effort but did not name that individual. The Post reported that the exchange was considered significant enough to include in the daily intelligence briefing provided to President Biden.

Prigozhin’s frustration with the Russian Defense Ministry and his growing tension with Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu are also the subject of a separate U.S. intelligence report that has been circulating among officials in Washington, according to people who have read the file.


So U.S. intelligence is claiming that Prigozhin and Putin recently had a meeting during which Prigozhin vented his anger. How would the U.S. know that? Does it have microphones inside the Kremlin? Is there a mole deep inside Putin's administration who serves him his tea? I don't think so.

Down in the 11th paragraph the Post finally says that Prigozhin himself is strongly denying any recent meeting with Putin as well as any 'venting':

Prigozhin denied recent personal contact with Putin in comments to The Washington Post made late Monday through his press service.
“First, I did not communicate personally with Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin either recently or in any foreseeable future. I did not criticize the management of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation during the conflict in Ukraine. Therefore, I cannot comment on anything,” he said, adding that he had no right to criticize or praise the work of Russia’s armed forces since he was not a military expert.


That statement sounds more truthful to me than any of the claims those anonymous U.S. officials make.

So why do U.S. officials come up with such nonsense?

NBC News and other outlets told us why:

The administration has done so even when the intelligence wasn’t rock solid, officials said, to keep Russian President Vladimir Putin off balance.
That is of course not the real reason. Putin is a professional. He knows what requests his commanders have made or not made. He knows that he did not meet Prigozhin.


The real function of those false assertions is to project Russia as weak, to deceive the U.S. public to keep up the support for the U.S. proxy war against Russia. That may or may not work. But as long as 'journalists' are willing to write down such nonsense there are also no costs to any of the 'U.S. officials' producing it.

They will only stop making up shit when they are called out for it.

Posted by b on October 25, 2022 at 14:09 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/10/m ... .html#more

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About the course of the NWO. 25.10.2022
October 25, 18:00

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Answers to questions about the course of the SVO in Ukraine for the channel of military commissar Yuri Kotenok.

About the course of the NWO. 25.10.2022

What option awaits Kherson - Stalingrad or Izyum?


- At the current stage, conflicting information is coming from this direction. If a political decision is made to withdraw from the right bank of the Dnieper, then, of course, there will be no Stalingrad there. This can be caused, among other things, by the threat of a dirty nuclear bomb and the explosion of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station. If a political decision is made to hold Kherson and the bridgehead on the Right Bank, then we can expect long-term intense fighting in this direction.
Despite the obvious problems with logistics and the threat of using weapons of mass destruction, the issue of keeping Kherson is still more political than military.
It is worth recalling that Izyum was abandoned purely for military reasons after the breakthrough of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Balakleya and the threat of encirclement of the Izyum grouping of the RF Armed Forces, which forced them to organize a retreat beyond Oskol to avoid the boiler.

- Why is the enemy slipping near Svatovo?

- Our troops have strengthened the defense here, plus reinforcements have been transferred here, which allowed us to somewhat stabilize the front after retreating from the line on the Oskol River. In addition, counterattacks in the area of ​​Torskoy and Terna confused the enemy's plans to advance north of Kremennaya.
The last attempts of enemy attacks in the direction of Svatovo were unsuccessful. The Armed Forces of Ukraine did not succeed in breaking through to Svatovo, although according to the plans, Svatovo should have been taken on October 17th.
Nevertheless, the enemy continues to accumulate forces in this direction, not abandoning offensive plans both in relation to Svatovo and Kremennaya. To reinforce these plans, the presence of foreign mercenaries is increasing in this sector of the front line.

- Why can't we still take the Avdeevsky fortified area and cut off the Ugledar ledge of the enemy?

- The reasons are trivial - the enemy has strong fortifications here, and we do not have enough forces in this direction.
In both cases, the frontal assault on the Avdeevsky and Ugledarsky fortified areas does not promise anything significant to our troops, rather, it only distracts from more promising directions.
The offensive in the area of ​​Pesok and Pervomaisky, as well as the battles for Maryinka, clearly show that it is impossible to achieve any rapid advances in the current grouping here, as well as to achieve a real operational encirclement of the Ugledar and Avdiivka groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the current stage. Only the slow pushing back of the enemy with the grinding of his positions by artillery.

- Commander of the Ground Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Syrsky announced the threat of an invasion of the RF Armed Forces from Belarus. To what extent are the fears of the enemy justified? Can? And is it necessary?

- At the moment, according to official data, about 9,000 Russian troops are deployed in Belarus, not only near the border with Ukraine, but also in northwestern Belarus near the borders with Lithuania and Poland, where there is an accumulation of groups of NATO countries that pose a threat to Belarus.
For an attack on Ukraine from the territory of Belarus, a larger grouping is needed, which at the current stage has not been formed there. This does not mean that such a grouping will not be formed on the territory of Belarus, but at the current stage, the likelihood of a direct attack by the Russian grouping on Kyiv from Belarus is not very high.
However, the war will go on for a long time, and we can still see this option.

- Iranian drones. How effective are they?

- At the current stage, Iranian drones demonstrate high efficiency and successfully break through the local Ukrainian air defense, achieving both purely military and media successes. This led dozens of countries to become interested in the possibility of purchasing Iranian drones. Tehran also demonstrates complete satisfaction with the experience of combat use. Of course, at the official level, no one is going to admit this, which is quite in line with the practice of modern hybrid wars with the standard pattern of behavior of the parties: "It's not us, but we know that ... (winking)".
Obviously, NATO will make serious efforts to reduce the effectiveness of Iranian drone strikes, but, as the practice of the war in Yemen has shown, even an integrated air defense system built on American air defense and electronic warfare systems is not able to fully guarantee the safety of objects attacked by Iranian drones and missiles. .
It is expected that in November-December we will see new unmanned and missile systems with a "heavy Iranian accent" at the front.

- The enemy is preparing a new wave of mobilization. How to react?

- An increase in the size of the enemy grouping in Ukraine requires a symmetrical increase in the size of the Russian Armed Forces grouping in order to eliminate the disparity in numbers and prevent situations where the enemy is trying to solve his operational problems at the expense of a numerical advantage.
In addition to replenishing existing units and sending to the front those called up for partial mobilization, further active work is needed to form volunteer units, recruit into PMCs, form units from the local population, etc.
It should be understood that another wave of partial mobilization may be required to bring the grouping of the RF Armed Forces in Ukraine to 800-900 thousand people by the end of the winter and the beginning of the spring campaign of 2023.

- Did Igor Strelkov and other famous people of 2014 go to the front? Is there a need for war veterans in the Donbass?

- There is certainly such a need, especially against the background of attracting large masses of mobilized and active recruits to volunteer formations. Every war veteran is a valuable combat experience, including the experience of modern warfare.
From my point of view, any person who wants to participate in the NWO should have the opportunity to do so and benefit the country and people. This applies both to participation in hostilities at the front and to work in the front line. Opportunities to participate and help are plentiful. Someone is fighting, someone is catching Ukrainian terrorists, someone is carrying humanitarian aid, someone is establishing a new life in the liberated territories. Consolidation of efforts is the key to achieving victory in the war in Ukraine with the US and NATO. This is our main historical task at the moment.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/68388 - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7936833.html

Simulated nuclear explosion
October 25, 16:10

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In the photo, the assembly and preparation of a nuclear explosion simulator during exercises. USSR. Mid 80s

Western and Russian “liberotic” channels are circulating the topic that Russia deliberately raised a wave around the “dirty bomb” created by Ukraine (combat use of radioactive materials without a chain reaction) in order to distract the world community from its own preparations for the use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine. And that it makes no sense for Ukraine to use a "dirty bomb" because it would be too obvious and pointless. That Kyiv will never take such a stupid step. But in reality, this is absolutely not the case!

In fact, Ukraine has every opportunity to manufacture and conduct an almost complete simulation of a nuclear explosion on its territory and shift the blame for it to Russia.
Today, Ukraine has a highly qualified staff of nuclear scientists, there are stocks of radioactive materials in industry, in medicine, and in research centers. In addition, on the territory of Ukraine there are dozens of repositories of nuclear production dating back to the Soviet era (for example, one of the largest in the Dnepropetrovsk region), as well as storage facilities for spent nuclear fuel at Ukrainian nuclear power plants.
During the era of the Cold War, nuclear munitions of small and ultra-low (from 0.1 to 0.001 kt) yield were developed and put into service, both for artillery and for special-purpose units. In TNT equivalent, this is from 100 to 10 tons of explosives.

And to create a device that simulates a low-power nuclear explosion, you need very little. The usual 20-foot standard (sea) container, containing 21 tons of cargo. Approximately 40-60 kilograms of radioactive material (for example, uranium-235 from spent fuel storage facilities) and 10-20 tons of explosives. Explosives are loaded into the container along with a container of radioactive material. An explosion detonator may well be used, which has been in service with the Armed Forces of Ukraine since the Soviet era, a nuclear explosion simulator IU-59, which is a barrel weighing 205 kg. which contains explosives and a special pyrotechnic mixture simulating an atomic explosion. The simulator is designed to simulate an air or ground nuclear explosion.

Such a "bomb" can be easily - on a conventional trailer - delivered to any point in Ukraine, and there at the right time (for example, during the next Russian missile strike) it is blown up with a complete imitation of all the elements of a nuclear explosion: the appropriate power, flash, mushroom cloud and radioactive contamination.
Is it necessary to say what will follow this provocation? Russia will be under unprecedented pressure of accusations and harassment. Everything will be done to turn it into a rogue country!

At the same time, only qualified experts in the course of a special investigation will be able to distinguish a real nuclear explosion from its imitation. And it is quite obvious that Ukraine will allow only those experts who represent “friendly” countries to enter its territory. Well, such as those who investigated the Skripal case.
The information we have received about the preparation of such a provocation has been brought to the attention of the countries of the “nuclear club”, as well as members of the UN Security Council, over the past few days. And, judging by the nervous and coordinated reaction of the Western countries, which immediately accused Russia itself of such preparation, the information hit the mark. A provocation is really being prepared and Western curators are aware of this plan. But now it will not be easy to carry it out. Preparation is lit. And this deprives the developers of provocation of the factor of surprise and reliability. Now the world knows that Ukraine has a "dirty bomb"!

https://t.me/ramzayiegokomanda/969 - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7936581.html

Google Translator

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The West must stop blocking negotiations between Ukraine and Russia

Ukrainians have been paying a terrible price for the failure of ensuring sensible and reasonable negotiations from 2014 to February 2022 – which could have prevented the invasion by Russia in the first place, and once the war started, could have led to the end of this war

October 25, 2022 by Vijay Prashad

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Russian and Ukrainian delegations at the negotiating table on March 7, 2022. Photo: Belta news agency via Xinhua

Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022. This war has been horrendous, though it does not compare with the terrible destruction wrought by the US bombardment of Iraq (“shock and awe”) in 2003. In the Gomel region of Belarus that borders Ukraine, Russian and Ukrainian diplomats met on February 28 to begin negotiations toward a ceasefire. These talks fell apart. Then, in early March, the two sides met again in Belarus to hold a second and third round of talks. On March 10, the foreign ministers of Ukraine and Russia met in Antalya, Turkey, and finally, at the end of March, senior officials from Ukraine and Russia met in Istanbul, Turkey, thanks to the initiative of Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. On March 29, Turkey’s Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu said, “We are pleased to see that the rapprochement between the parties has increased at every stage. Consensus and common understanding were reached on some issues.” By April, an agreement regarding a tentative interim deal was reached between Russia and Ukraine, according to an article in Foreign Affairs.

In early April, Russian forces began to withdraw from Ukraine’s northern Chernihiv Oblast, which meant that Russia halted military operations around Kyiv, Ukraine’s capital. The United States and the United Kingdom claimed that this withdrawal was a consequence of military failure, while the Russians said it was due to the interim deal. It is impossible to ascertain, with the available facts, which of these two views was correct.

Before the deal could go forward, then-UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson arrived in Kyiv on April 9. A Ukrainian media outlet – Ukrainska Pravda – reported that Johnson carried two messages to Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky: first, that Russian President Vladimir Putin “should be pressured, not negotiated with,” and second, that even if Ukraine signed agreements with the Kremlin, the West was not ready to do so. According to Ukrainska Pravda, soon after Johnson’s visit, “the bilateral negotiation process was paused.” A few weeks later, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin visited Kyiv, and following the trip, Austin spoke at a news conference at an undisclosed location in Poland and said, “We want to see Russia weakened.” There is no direct evidence that Johnson, Blinken, and Austin directly pressured Zelensky to withdraw from the interim negotiations, but there is sufficient circumstantial evidence to suggest that this was the case.

The lack of willingness to allow Ukraine to negotiate with Russia predates these visits and was summarized in a March 10, 2022, article in the Washington Post where senior officials in US President Joe Biden’s administration stated that the current US strategy “is to ensure that the economic costs for Russia are severe and sustainable, as well as to continue supporting Ukraine militarily in its effort to inflict as many defeats on Russia as possible.”

Long before the Russian invasion of Ukraine, since 2014, the United States has – through the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative of the US Department of Defense – spent more than $19 billion in providing training and equipment to the Ukrainian military ($17.6 billion since Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022). The total annual budget of the United Nations for 2022 is $3.12 billion, far less than the amount spent by the US on Ukraine today. The arming of Ukraine, the statements about weakening Russia by senior officials of the US government, and the refusal to initiate any kind of arms control negotiations prolong a war that is ugly and unnecessary.

Ukraine is not in Iowa
Ukraine and Russia are neighbors. You cannot change the geographical location of Ukraine and move it to Iowa in the United States. This means that Ukraine and Russia have to come to an agreement and find a solution to end the conflict between them. In 2019, Volodymyr Zelensky won by a landslide (73%) in the Ukrainian presidential election against Petro Poroshenko, the preferred candidate of the West. “We will not be able to avoid negotiations between Russia and Ukraine,” Zelensky said on a TV panel, “Pravo Na Vladu,” TSN news service reported, before he became president. In December 2019, Zelensky and Putin met in Paris, alongside then-Chancellor of Germany Angela Merkel and France’s President Emmanuel Macron (known as the “Normandy Four”). This initiative was driven by Macron and Merkel. As early as 2019, France’s President Emmanuel Macron argued that it was time for Europe to “rethink… our relationship with Russia” because “pushing Russia away from Europe is a profound strategic error.”

In March 2020, Zelensky said that he and Putin could work out an agreement within a year based on the Minsk II agreements of February 2015. “There are points in Minsk. If we move them around a bit, then what bad can that lead to? As soon as there are no people with weapons, the shooting will stop. That’s important,” Zelensky told the Guardian. In a December 2019 press conference, Putin said, “there is nothing more important than the Minsk Agreements.” At this point, Putin said that all he expected was that the Donbas region would be given special status in the Ukrainian constitution, and during the time of the expected Ukraine-Russia April 2020 meeting, the troops on both sides would have pulled back and agreed to “disengagement along the entire contact line.”

Role of Macron
It was clear to Macron by 2020 that the point of the negotiations was about more than just Minsk and Ukraine; it was about the creation of a “new security architecture” that did not isolate Russia – and was also not subservient to Washington. Macron developed these points in February 2021 in two directions and spoke about them during his interview with the Atlantic Council (a US think tank). First, he said that NATO has “pushed our borders as far as possible to the eastern side,” but NATO’s expansion has “not succeeded in reducing the conflicts and threats there.” NATO’s eastward expansion, he made clear, was not going to increase Europe’s security. Second, Macron said that the US unilateral withdrawal from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty in 2019 – and Russia’s mirroring that – leaves Europe unprotected “against these Russian missiles.” He further said, “As a European, I want to open a discussion between the European Union and Russia.” Such a discussion would pioneer a post-Cold War understanding of security, which would leave the United States out of the conversation with Russia. None of these proposals from Macron could advance, not only because of hesitancy in Russia but also principally because they were not seen favorably by Washington.

Confusion existed about whether US President Joe Biden would be welcomed into the Normandy Four. In late 2020, Zelensky said he wanted Biden at the table, but a year later it became clear that Russia was not interested in having the United States be part of the Normandy Four. Putin said that the Normandy Four was “self-sufficient.” Biden, meanwhile, chose to intensify threats and sanctions against Russia based on the claims of Kremlin interference in the United States 2016 and 2018 elections. By December 2021, there was no proper reciprocal dialogue between Biden and Putin. Putin told Finnish President Sauli Niinistö that there was a “need to immediately launch negotiations with the United States and NATO” on security guarantees. In a video call between Biden and Putin on December 7, 2021, the Kremlin told the US president that “Russia is seriously interested in obtaining reliable, legally fixed guarantees that rule out NATO expansion eastward and the deployment of offensive strike weapons systems in states adjacent to Russia.” No such guarantee was forthcoming from Washington. The talks fizzled out.

The record shows that Washington rejected Macron’s initiatives as well as entreaties from Putin and Zelensky to resolve issues through diplomatic dialogue. Up to four days before the Russian invasion, Macron continued his efforts to prevent an escalation of the conflict. By then, the appetite in Moscow for negotiations had dwindled, and Putin rejected Macron’s efforts.

An independent European foreign policy was simply not possible (as Macron had suggested and as the former leader of the Soviet Union Mikhail Gorbachev had proposed in 1989 while talking about his vision for a “common European home” that would stretch from northern Asia to Europe). Nor was an agreement with Russia feasible if it meant that Russian concerns were to be taken seriously by the West.

Ukrainians have been paying a terrible price for the failure of ensuring sensible and reasonable negotiations from 2014 to February 2022 – which could have prevented the invasion by Russia in the first place, and once the war started, could have led to the end of this war. All wars end in negotiations, but these negotiations to end wars should be permitted to restart.

https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/10/25/ ... nd-russia/

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Resist U.S. war, extend solidarity to the people of Donbass!
October 20, 2022 Melinda Butterfield

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Melinda Butterfield speaks at protest outside U.S. Armed Forces Recruiting Station in the Bronx, Oct. 15. SLL photo: Gary Wilson

Remarks given by Melinda Butterfield, Struggle-La Lucha co-editor, at the “No to NATO, War and Racism” protest in the Bronx, New York, on Oct. 15.

I think it’s important to bring up the struggle of the people who are directly affected by the conflict in Ukraine – that is, the people of the Donbass region and Ukrainian anti-fascists who have been forced into exile for the last eight-and-a-half years.

This summer, the people in the city of Donetsk, who have lived under Ukrainian bombs for more than eight years, have faced their toughest stretch ever surviving. The attacks have been constant and getting worse because of the infusion of more advanced U.S. and NATO weapons.

This war didn’t start last February, when Russia intervened. It started with a coup against the elected Ukrainian government, sponsored by the United States, in 2014. We know how that works – we’ve seen it many times in Latin America and other places around the world.

The people in the eastern part of Ukraine said “No – we don’t want to live under a regime that’s filled with fascists. We don’t want to live under a regime that answers to Washington and NATO.” And they had a big struggle.

Unfortunately, it was crushed in many parts of the country. But in Donetsk and Lugansk, in the Donbass region bordering Russia, they were able to declare independence, form a people’s militia, and defend their independence for the last eight-and-a-half years.

When we talk about the struggle here, we use the slogan, “When people’s rights are under attack, what do we do? Stand up, fight back.” When trans rights, Black people’s rights, abortion rights, immigrant rights are under attack, we say: Stand up and fight back. In Donbass, they stood up and fought back! Just like they are doing now in Haiti. And in the same way, the people there have been demonized and discounted.

Unfortunately, here in the United States, even in the anti-war movement and the left, there’s very little consciousness about the Donbass people’s struggle. But they are the ones on the front lines. They are the ones who have been taking the brunt of the Ukrainian attacks for almost a decade. It is imperative that we extend our solidarity to them, build bridges of unity with them, with our struggles, our communities and other liberation struggles from Palestine to Haiti to Puerto Rico.

There’s another development that could confuse the movement here, and we’ve got to be alert to it. That is the referendum held at the end of September in Donetsk, Lugansk and the Zaparozhye and Kherson regions to join the Russian Federation.

The reason that happened is not because Russia was trying to make a land grab against Ukraine. It’s something Russia has resisted for the last eight years, even as a movement to join Russia was building in those areas. It was an emergency measure of last resort.

The people don’t want to live under Ukrainian bombs and fascists anymore. Now they have the constitutional protection of the Russian Federation, which gives Russia more power to protect them with their nuclear deterrent and other measures.

The way the referendum is being presented here is just the U.S. projecting its land-grabbing imperialist policies onto Russia. It discounts the context and the wishes of the people there. It’s against self-determination. So it’s important that we not get confused about this or let it turn into another thing to divide and shut down the anti-war movement, like what happened last February.

Solidarity with the people of Donbass! Let’s build a fighting anti-war movement. Let’s fight for what we need here at home, and take back that $70 billion the U.S. has committed so far this year for war in Ukraine.

https://struggle-la-lucha.org/2022/10/2 ... f-donbass/

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From Cassad's Telegram account:

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Colonelcassad
Special operation, 25 October. The main thing from RIA Novosti :

▪️An IED exploded near the building of the Zaporozhye regional television company in Melitopol, injuring 6 people, including a child;

▪️The Russian Armed Forces repelled all attacks by Ukrainian troops in the Kherson region, the RF Ministry of Defense reported;

▪️IAEA experts will head to Kyiv and Zhovti Vody in the coming days after Russian warnings that Ukraine is preparing a “dirty bomb”;

▪️Russia urges West to influence Kyiv to abandon plans for provocation with "dirty bomb" - letter from Nebenzi to UN Secretary General

▪️Russia did not plan and does not plan to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine - a letter to the UN Secretary General;

▪️ There is fuss in the ruling circles of Kyiv because of the data on the "dirty bomb" - the permanent mission of the Russian Federation to the UN;

▪️Zelensky said that Ukraine "does not have a cent" and called on allies to provide him with $17 billion;

▪️Russian efforts to disable Ukraine's energy infrastructure look "competent and efficient," write Western media;

▪️Macron, during a visit to the Pope, asked the pontiff to call Putin and Biden to resolve the crisis in Ukraine.

***

Colonelcassad
1:30
The offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Starobelsky direction
Chronicle of battles for October 21-25, 2022

▪️Having been defeated in the battles for Horobievka , the Ukrainian formations went on the defensive north of Kupyansk . Territorial defense units were deployed to the front line to strengthen the frontiers.

▪️Due to repeated failed attempts to storm the heights in the Kislovka-Orlyanka sector, the Armed Forces of Ukraine were tasked with outflanking the fortified area. After conducting reconnaissance in force, the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to take Russian positions in the sections Pervomaiskoye (Pershotravneve) - Orlyanka and Berestovoe - Kuzemovka .

▪️The direction of the main attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is from the side of Makiivka in the direction of Krasnopopovka . On October 21, with the forces of up to 3 armored personnel carriers of 66 ombr, reinforced with armored vehicles, units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to break through the defense line of the 20th Army of the RF Armed Forces and reach the Svatovo-Kremennaya road .

The Ukrainian formations did not abandon their attempts to gain a foothold on the heights between Makeyevka and Krasnopopovka for two days , but were forced to withdraw under artillery fire, having suffered heavy losses in people and equipment.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine were never able to reach the Svatovo-Kremennaya road and gain a foothold on the heights near the road.

▪️Ukrainian formations failed to expand the bridgehead towards Nevsky . After 4 days of continuous fighting, the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have lost their offensive potential: rotation and replenishment are needed.

▪️Territorial defense units at the rear positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Borovaya and Kupyansk suffered significant losses from artillery fire of the RF Armed Forces.

The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine transferred to Liman , near Borovoye and Kupyansk a reserve of mercenary units and Western PMCs to release Ukrainian units and replenish the advancing group.

🔻Most likely, in the future, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will try to occupy the heights at the Orlyanka-Kislovka line and reach Upper Duvanka , followed by a breakthrough to the borders of the Belgorod Region and blocking the RF Armed Forces in Svatovo .

***

Forwarded from
Operation Z: Military commissars of the Russian Spring
‼️🇷🇺🇺🇦Svatovsko-Kremenskaya defensive operation: the enemy is attacking, trying to break through the front"🅾️vazhnykh" and ZVO
▪️The Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to try to break through to the Svatovo-Kremennaya highway in groups of up to 40 militants with armored vehicles. During the day, 6 groups were destroyed.
▪️The enemy is making attempts to attack at Orlyanka , Raigorodka, Makeevka and Chervonopopovka . The offensive here was stopped, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine could not develop small tactical successes between Makeevka and Terny .
▪️Efforts continue to force the river Zherebets .
▪️From the side of Dibrov , the enemy tried to go on a counterattack, 2 armored groups were destroyed by fire from tanks, artillery and MLRS.
▪️The Russian army around the clock inflicts fire damage on positions and identified enemy concentration areas in the Liman direction.
▪️A day earlier, as a result of the active actions of the RF Armed Forces , more than 120 Ukrainian militants, 3 tanks, 2 infantry fighting vehicles, 1 armored personnel carrier, 3 pickup trucks and 1 vehicle were destroyed .
▪️The enemy continues to transfer reinforcements from Izyum , strengthening the shock fist, incl. preparing new attacks in the direction of Torskoy .
▪️Enemy DRGs are actively working, trying to infiltrate through the front line for additional reconnaissance and harassing attacks in the rear.
▪️Intense fighting continues around the clock.

***

Forwarded from
Brussels connection
🇷🇴Truth and lies about the strengthening of the military presence of NATO countries in Romania

✅In recent days, Spain and France have carried out measures to build up the NATO grouping. Also, verified information about the future plans of Madrid and Paris in this direction has appeared.

❌Unconfirmed information about the American contingent is being disseminated , which misleads specialists, journalists and ordinary readers.

📌Since July of this year, Romania has been the hub for the deployment of units of the 2nd battle group of the 101st airborne division of the United States. From the republic, paratroopers periodically leave for exercises in other countries and have already visited Bulgaria, Hungary, Slovakia, Finland, Germany, Greece and Poland (all this is easy to track on the unit's Facebook page).

According to official figures , there are about 2,400 American troops in Romania. There has been no official information about an increase in this number. However, in recent days, Western media, at the suggestion of CBS News , began to write that 4,700 American paratroopers had arrived in Europe. This immediately gave rise to publications in the press about the " unannounced"an increase in the presence of the United States near the borders of Ukraine. But nothing, except for the reports of journalists, confirms this. And, therefore, it has the most dubious reliability.

📌📌Most likely, CBS News journalists simply did not bother and indicated the staffing of the 2nd battle group (4700 people), while in fact it initially arrived in Romania not at full strength. In addition, the publication exaggerated the proximity of the exercises currently taking place in the republic to the borders of Ukraine.

PS To avoid misunderstanding, only the latest and nearest actions of France and Spain are marked on the map. The presence of other contingents from the NATO BTG is not taken into account intentionally, as it has not yet changed.

https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin

Google Translator

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Kremlin Decries West’s Response to Concern Over Dirty Bomb Use

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Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov. Oct. 25, 2022. | Photo: Twitter/@jaccocharite

Published 25 October 2022 (12 hours 12 minutes ago)

Russia has expressed concern over Ukraine's plans to detonate a dirty bomb.


This issue has drawn the rejection of the U.S. and other Western countries. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov has called their attitude "unacceptable" considering the "seriousness of the danger."

Russia has expressed concern about Kiev's intention to use a radioactive weapon and then blame Moscow. The U.S. and other Western countries have rejected such claims.

In this regard, the Kremlin spokesman said, "This attitude, far from being serious, is unacceptable given the seriousness of the danger we are talking about."

Faced with "the grave danger posed by the implementation of the Ukrainians' plans," Russia has raised the issue with the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) and UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres.


Russia has asked to convene the UNSC to discuss the issue. In recent contacts with his counterparts from the UK, France and Turkey, Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu conveyed Russia's concern.

The Defense Minister also spoke in a telephone conversation with U.S. Secretary of State Lloyd Austin, who has said that Russia's claims are false.

Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces and First Deputy Defense Minister Valery Gerasimov has also raised the issue with the Chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Mark Milley, and his British counterpart, Admiral Tony Radakin.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Kre ... -0014.html

"The Russians must be crazy, the fascist regime that bombs a nuke plant on territory it claims would never do anything like that!"

Russia Sanctions European CEOs Supplying Arms To Ukraine

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A German tank. | Photo: Twitter/ @oryxspioenkop

Published 25 October 2022 (17 hours 31 minutes ago)

"Any unfriendly action by Western countries will receive a timely and adequate response in the future," the Russian diplomacy stressed.

On Tuesday, the Russian Foreign Affairs Ministry announced that its country will establish sanctions against top executives of European defense and arms companies that supply weapons to Ukraine.


This decision is a reply to the sanctions that the European Union (EU) adopted against Russia on Oct. 6, after Donetsk, Lugansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhia decided to join the Federation.

The Russian diplomats stressed that the European sanctions, which aim to contain the economic development of their country, are "unilateral" and "illegitimate" since they undermine the norms of international law related to the self-determination of peoples.

They also accused the European Union of "ignoring for many years" the discrimination and extermination of the Russian-speaking population in those republics and regions.


The Russian sanctions will also affect members of the European Council Parliamentary Assembly who passed an anti-Russian resolution in mid-October. In addition, Moscow decided to expand the list of EU representatives who are prohibited from entering Russian territory.

"We insist that any unfriendly action by Western countries will receive a timely and adequate response in the future," the Russian Foreign Affairs Ministry stressed.

Previously, in their eighth package of sanctions against Russia, the Europeans included a provision according to which Russian fuels can only be transported internationally if Moscow agrees to sell its energy products at or below the fixed price.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Rus ... -0010.html

Well, it's not as though any of these clowns were going to visit Russia any time soon so I dunno the point other than symbolism.

Confiscate their plants in Russia....
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Thu Oct 27, 2022 11:59 am

About the mobilization
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 10/27/2022

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In September, after the defeats in Kharkov and finally accepting that the current group of troops in the war zone would be unable not only to meet the objectives but also to fight to keep the territories under his control, the Russian president decreed the partial mobilization of Bookings. Russia aspired to quickly recruit 300,000 reservists, supposedly with military and even combat experience, on whom much hope had been pinned. The lack of troops in the war zone was pointed out as the main reason why the Russian troops had not gained control of the entire DPR in seven months, were in a difficult situation in Kherson and were rapidly losing the territory of Kharkov that so hard to catch.

From the beginning, the Russian authorities warned that the incorporation of these mobilized troops would be gradual and that its effects would not be evident until December. The troops had to be assembled, trained, equipped and later sent to the front to collaborate in the defense of the territories as members of already existing units. However, practically from the beginning, the problems have been evident and have been widely exploited by the Ukrainian and Western press as part of their narrative of the decline and disorganization of the Russian state. Still, the problems are real. Thus it should be understood that the difficulties in mobilization are already mentioned from the highest spheres of the State and related journalists.

This is how Antifashist picked it up yesterday :

Dmitry Peskov, spokesman for the President of the Russian Federation, has referred to reports of a shortage of equipment for reservists called up due to partial mobilization in the country. “An advisory council has been created, which met yesterday and in which the president spoke. There have been problems with the equipment, there still are, but the strong measures taken are already paying off. The regions are getting involved in the issue and the commission will deal with it,” he stated. According to Peskov, the problems will go away.

For his part, Alexander Sladkov's war correspondent explained that a complete mobilization is not taking place because it would imply additional costs. In an appearance on Govorit Moskva radio and referring to the possibility of full mobilization in the country, Sladkov pointed to the lack of equipment to equip reservists called up due to partial mobilization. The correspondent also referred to the problems for the training of the reservists, an issue that he is also considering.

“We cannot equip 300,000, plus the volunteers, prepare them as it should be, as we can do. And how many more financial barriers are they going to invent for us?” the journalist complained, adding that not all reservists receive all the material they should. Some do not have thermal underwear, others do not have winter uniforms, about 15% are well equipped and the rest are in civilian clothes. There is a shortage of gloves and "some have helmets from World War II, so things are tough here." According to Sladkov, the many failures in logistics are due to saturation.

On October 25, Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin has called for large-scale production of equipment and uniforms to ensure that all mobilized reservists receive their equipment. According to Mishustin, protective gear is extremely important for soldiers.

On the same day, Russian President Vladimir Putin noted that the equipment for the participants in the special military operation must not only be accessible, but must be comfortable and modern. According to Vladimir Putin, it is impossible to operate according to the previous standards, which may already be outdated, but instead focus on the real needs of the troops.


The acceptance that the difficulties of mobilization are real and that they not only involve recruitment but also the problems of equipping these soldiers is one more sign that Russia was not prepared for a long war in which it would be forced to mobilize troops at on a large scale, a burden that has dragged on since, in the first weeks of the intervention, it was evident that its objectives were not going to be met quickly. In this time, Moscow seems to have hoped to maintain stability on the front while waiting for a Western weariness that has not arrived and that should no longer wait. Ukraine, which also suffers from the problems of the need to mobilize troops and does so, on occasions, capturing men in the middle of the street,

The Russian difficulties in equipping the recruited troops once again highlight the poor logistics of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, but also the inefficiency of the Russian State, which, with a powerful military industry, has not been able to create the right conditions so that those soldiers he recruits to go to the front do so in decent conditions. The difficulties are not at all different from those Ukraine has encountered in recent months and years. However, Ukraine has two factors in its favor: the collaboration of the international press to hide any shortcomings and the constant supply of weapons and equipment from its NATO partners.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/10/27/25808/#more-25808

Google Translator
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Ukraine Proxy War Propaganda: Lessons from MKULTRA
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 25, 2022
Rainer Shea

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It’s useful for communists to view the enemies of Marxism as cults, or at least as in the vein of cults. This is especially true during our time of renewed great-power competition, when the CIA and NATO have been opening up the legal systems for ubiquitous psychological operations while partnering with neuroscientists to innovate in their cognitive warfare.

Cults are historically the most powerful psychological weapons that the forces of reactionary intrigue have used, leading individuals who could otherwise have become revolutionaries into pseudo-Marxist intelligence fronts like the People’s Temple or the LaRouche Organization. They can do so much damage because they’re capable of emotionally binding their members to them, making potential communists into either vulnerable targets for the forces of reactionary intrigue or active agents for the state. To them, you’re either someone to entrap, someone to assassinate, or someone to use as a disposable weapon against your own cause.

Though the LaRouche Organization (for one example of a modern pseudo-Marxist cult) is still around, and trying to use anti-imperialist rhetoric to rope naive individuals into its honeypot scheme, it and the other entities of its ilk are relatively small manifestations of the traps these psyops are laying. They’re the entities that are specifically meant to recruit potential revolutionaries into front organizations for the intelligence agencies. For this reason, they can appropriately be called cults, as they fulfill the cult criteria of an intensive, direct group dynamic where leaders are immediately present to abuse and indoctrinate members. The larger-scale psyops are the ones which share the cult traits of indoctrination and hostility towards perceived enemies, but which are too loose in their control to accurately be called “cults.” In the journey that class conscious individuals go on, mass media psyops are the precursors to the more focused dynamics of manipulation which the intelligence centers have set up.

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The biggest of these large-scale psyops at the moment is the one which solidifies support for NATO. It’s the cultural hegemony that imperialism’s narrative managers are cultivating during the Ukraine proxy war, in which Russia is viewed as the unambiguous bad actor within this conflict and NATO is seen as the noble force trying to stop Russia’s wicked machinations. All knowledge that disproves this narrative, such as the Leninist economic analysis disproving Russia being an imperialist power, the history of the U.S. meddling which installed an imperialist puppet regime in Kiev, or the threat of ethnic cleansing in the Donbass posed by the Kiev regime, is preemptively rejected by this belief set. Its followers are conditioned, through continuous repetition within our media’s rhetoric, to disregard any challenges to the pro-NATO account as malicious disinformation.

The belief set’s aim is to negate the possibility for critical thought. It promotes a simplistic and crude version of geopolitical analysis, reducing the entire picture to individual personalities. It portrays Operation Z as Putin’s operation, when any country in Russia’s situation would have intervened in Ukraine and Putin is merely the one who happened to be in power when force became necessary. It says Ukraine can’t be fascist because Zelensky is Jewish, when the country is truly ruled by a U.S.-puppeted permanent state that threatened Zelensky into being complicit in the backing of the Nazi militias. It maintains its psychological control over the population by perpetually manufacturing false flags, and painting Russia as the perpetrator of a deliberate pattern of war crimes. It plays on empathy, and twists it into a zealous loyalty towards imperialism, just like it’s done throughout the wars against Serbia, Syria, and the other targets of “humanitarian” imperial schemes.

Imperialism’s narratives are possible to defeat within somebody’s mind. When exposed to the right information, one can train themselves to reject the lies they’ve been exposed to about this and other U.S. wars. What the indoctrination system of NATO does is poison the psyches of its followers so that recovering them from their sickness, from the xenophobia and constrained analytical capacity they’ve been conditioned into, becomes fraught with obstacles. Obstacles that consist of the kinds of mental blocks which afflict those whose neurology has been rewired by MKULTRA mind control programming.

The range of what constitutes MKULTRA is quite wide. It need not involve drugs, they’re only one among the countless tools that a predatory actor can use to mold someone’s mind into shapes of their choosing. The process encompasses any operation to subject someone to psychological shocks, for the purpose of destroying their old neurological framework and making way for a new one. Those who practice it view human beings as meat puppets, able to be taken apart and put back together into new, “correct” forms.

We saw this with Manson’s cult, wherein CIA mind control researchers used Manson as a tool to prime his followers for the same kind of homicide-ready mentality that other MKULTRA victims have been conditioned to adopt. We saw this with the LaRouche cult, which used psychoanalysis practices to thoroughly assimilate members into the leader’s CIA-influenced beliefs. I’ve personally encountered individual movement wreckers who’ve gone beyond the usual abusive relationship tactics that wreckers use on their manipulation targets, and employed deliberate traumatization methods to try to desensitize me towards assisting in their goals for violence against my own cadre members. MKULTRA wasn’t a failure, the Manson murders showed that. And it’s perhaps getting more prevalent as a counterinsurgency weapon while class struggle intensifies, and the ruling class seeks to escalate its campaign of violence against radicals.

The psychological tools that the current war propaganda campaign utilizes can be analogized to MKULTRA insofar as similarly to CIA mind control, these tools are damaging the mental health of those they target to make the indoctrination more effective. The frequent documentation of this conflict’s atrocities on social media poses a mental health risk to those exposed to these horrific events, a fact which the intelligence-puppeted tech companies are exploiting to give more power to NATO’s narratives. Users of imperialist-controlled social media sites, news sources, and search engines are corralled towards content which depicts the vilest of the war crimes, which are the ones that Ukraine commits in order to pin them on Russia. Social media is a tool for amplifying the psychological influences, and damages, of false flags, shoving unspeakable acts of violence in people’s faces and telling them that Washington’s geopolitical rival is behind it.

The other kinds of mental health harms that Washington’s Ukraine proxy war is causing are the exceptional stress rates which people have been experiencing due to the inflation the conflict is exacerbating, and the mass fears of nuclear war that have emerged since NATO’s propagandists portrayed Putin as threatening nuclear confrontation. These manipulators are manufacturing crises, then exploiting those crises to traumatize the masses into embracing their militarist “solutions.” Which has been a trend for imperialist propaganda throughout the new cold war. As the journalist Caitlin Johnstone wrote in 2019 in response to a study showing how anxiety had increased since Trump’s election:

Pacific Standard and its “growing body of research” ignore the most obvious and significant culprit behind this phenomenon which is tearing people’s health to shreds: the mass media which has been deliberately fanning the flames of Trump panic. The always excellent Moon of Alabama blog has just published a sarcasm-laden piece documenting the many, many aggressive maneuvers that this administration has made against the interests of Russia, from pushing for more NATO funding to undermining Russia’s natural gas interests to bombing Syria to sanctioning Russian oligarchs to dangerous military posturing. And yet the trending, most high-profile stories about Trump today all involve painting him as a Putin puppet who is working to destroy America by taking a weak stance against an alarming geopolitical threat. This has had the effect of manufacturing demand for even more dangerous escalations against a nuclear superpower that just so happens to be a longtime target of U.S. intelligence agencies.

Now we’re seeing the consequences of the further escalations that these psyops led to: a new war in Europe that the imperialists are willing to risk escalating to atomic proportions. Which creates more opportunities for exploiting trauma to promote imperialism’s lies.

I may be able to avoid the effects of these mass media psyops due to my getting educated on imperialism’s deception tactics, but I’m not immune to propaganda or manipulation, as evidenced by how I’ve gotten targeted by the types of psyop agents who go after those that have gained class consciousness. The path to becoming a revolutionary is one in which you need to first unlearn the indoctrination the cultural hegemony has instilled within you, and then learn to resist the even more intensive, personal manipulation that you’ll be met with when you enter the scene of radical organizing. The more experience I get, the more knowledge I gain on how to resist manipulation. So I know it’s possible to find one’s way out of this sinister maze of psyops, and effectively resist imperialism.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/10/ ... m-mkultra/

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“THE US SIGNALS READINESS TO LAUNCH NUCLEAR STRIKE AGAINST RUSSIA”

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By John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

Last week on October 19 the US Navy announced that “General Michael ‘Erik’ Kurilla [lead image, lower right] , commander of CENTCOM, conducted a visit aboard the USS West Virginia [top], a U.S. Navy Ohio-class nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine at an undisclosed location at sea in international waters in the Arabian Sea. Kurilla was joined on the USS West Virginia by Vice Admiral Brad Cooper [lower left], commander of the U.S. Navy’s Fifth Fleet and NAVCENT.”

The Fifth Fleet and the Naval Forces Central Command (NAVCENT) are headquartered at Bahrain on the Persian Gulf. From Bahrain down the Gulf to the Masirah Island airbase, off Oman, is a flight distance of 1,047 kilometres. From Masirah to the West Virginia and its escort was within helicopter flight range.

Two days later, the Pentagon reported that “on October 21, Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III spoke by phone with Russian Minister of Defense Sergey Shoygu. Secretary Austin emphasized the importance of maintaining lines of communication amid the ongoing war against Ukraine.” They spoke again on October 23, according to Austin’s spokesman, because Shoigu had “requested a follow up call.”

Less than 24 hours elapsed before Austin telephoned his Kiev counterpart, Alexei Reznikov, to “reiterate[d] that the United States rejects the public and false allegations by Russia about Ukraine and any attempt to use them as a pretext for further Russian escalation of its unlawful and unjustified war against Ukraine.”

The same day, in the Moscow evening, the US Joint Chiefs of Staff issued a communiqué confirming that “Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark A. Milley spoke with Chief of Russian General Staff Gen. Valery Gerasimov today by phone. The military leaders discussed several security-related issues of concern and agreed to keep the lines of communication open. In accordance with past practice, the specific details of their conversation will be kept private.” RIA, the Russian state news agency, reported that in their conversation the generals “discussed the possibility raised by Moscow that Ukraine might use a ‘dirty bomb’.”

“The call took place shortly after a similar conversation between Gerasimov and his British counterpart.”

Admiral Sir Tony Radakin, the British chief of staff, announced that Gerasimov had requested their conversation. According to Radakin, he had “rejected Russia’s allegations that Ukraine is planning actions to escalate the conflict, and he restated the UK’s enduring support for Ukraine. The military leaders both agreed on the importance of maintaining open channels of communication between the UK and Russia to manage the risk of miscalculation and to facilitate de-escalation. The conversation followed the Defence Secretary’s call with his Russian counterpart yesterday and a call between the Foreign Ministers of France, the UK, and the USA last night.”

That preceding call of foreign ministers, involving Secretary of State Antony Blinken for the US, produced a joint statement of “committ[ment] to continue supporting Ukraine’s efforts to defend its territory for as long as it takes. Earlier today, the defense ministers of each of our countries spoke to Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoygu at his request. Our countries made clear that we all reject Russia’s transparently false allegations that Ukraine is preparing to use a dirty bomb on its own territory. The world would see through any attempt to use this allegation as a pretext for escalation. We further reject any pretext for escalation by Russia.”

Blinken then telephoned his Kiev counterpart, Dmitry Kuleba, to repeat both parts of the message – that the Ukraine should not escalate to using a nuclear weapon, and that Russia should do likewise.

In case there was hardness of hearing or weakness of command and control in Kiev, or ambiguity between what Reznikov and Kuleba thought they were hearing from Washington and London, British Defence Secretary Ben Wallace had met Austin at the Pentagon on October 18. They then telephoned to talk again on Sunday, when they “reaffirm[ed] the U.S.-UK defense relationship and the importance of transatlantic cooperation. Their conversation today was a continuation of their discussion at the Pentagon last week, which covered a wide range of shared defense and security priorities, including Ukraine.”

Austin telephoned Kiev again yesterday to repeat to Reznikov that he should make sure the allegation of a Ukrainian nuclear weapon escalation was “false”; and that the allies had given Moscow this assurance in exchange for Moscow’s undertaking against “further escalation” – read Russian nuclear response.

At the same time yesterday, Vzglyad, the Moscow security publication, published its assessment of the escalating nuclear threat to Russia from the US, as the Kremlin, Defence Ministry, General Staff and the Stavka see it now. A translation into English follows.


Left to right: General Valery Gerasimov; General Mark Milley; Admiral Sir Tony Radakin; General Lloyd Austin.

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Source: https://vz.ru/


The US has shown its readiness to launch a nuclear strike on Russia.
October 24, 2022
Text: Alexander Timokhin

Does the United States have the ability to instantly, within a few minutes, launch a disarming and unreciprocated nuclear strike on Russia? For decades, it was assumed that no, any US attack would cause an immediate similar response from the Russian armed forces. But now there is reason to believe that Washington has come to a different conclusion – and brazenly demonstrates it.

On Thursday, October 20, an exceptional event took place in the Arabian Sea. It was publicly announced that Michael Kurilla, commander of the US Central Command, paid a visit to the Ohio-class West Virginia SSBN (submarine with ballistic nuclear missiles), which specially surfaced in the Arabian Sea. This submarine, like all its ‘sister ships’, is armed with 24 Trident II ballistic missiles, each of which can carry 10 warheads at a maximum, which in total gives the vessel an ammunition supply of 240 strategic nuclear warheads.

But the fact is that the purpose of such vessels is always to be secretive and never to reveal the location of their patrol. The fact that now the location of this SSB [ballistic missile submarine] is expressly highlighted, it is impossible to understand otherwise than a special signal. It is difficult to remember when earlier in this way any American military commander so clearly and openly visited a boat at sea on combat duty. All this is directly related to the nuclear deterrence system that exists between Russia and the United States.

Nuclear deterrence and nuclear attack

Nuclear war, the preparation for it and its conduct, is not as simple as the average person thinks. Let’s briefly list the key concepts.

When two sides – in this case, Russia and the United States – both have nuclear weapons, and the means of their delivery to enemy territory, a missile attack warning system, and the technical capability to launch ballistic missiles after this system detects the launch of enemy missiles, then a simple missile attack becomes suicide for the attacker. If the United States or Russia launches their ballistic missiles at the enemy, the enemy will be able to launch their missiles before the attacking side’s missiles reach their target.

Such a strike, when a counterattack is carried out before the enemy’s missiles have reached target, is called a ‘counter-counter’ [ответно-встречным]. It is applied with the help of intercontinental ballistic missiles based in deep underground silos and ready to launch immediately.

The problem is that the interval from launch command to the counter-strike takes time. And besides, it is necessary that someone from among the leaders who have the authority to order such a strike would be physically able to do it — that is, would be alive, conscious, and so on.

This vulnerability can be exploited by delivering a so–called обезглавливающий удар (for Americans, the term is decapitation strike). A strike aimed at destroying the leadership. There are various ways to prevent or to balance the consequences of such a strike — we will not list them, nor the methods of their application (not only by missile strike).

In addition to the decapitating blow, there is such a thing as a disarming blow (удар обезоруживающий — counterforce strike). Its goal is to attack the nuclear arsenal of the victim country in such a way that the enemy, even with a workable leadership, simply does not have time to launch its missiles in response. To do this, the time for which the blow is struck should be less than the enemy needs to make a decision and pass the order to the launchers.

Therefore, in addition to providing a retaliatory nuclear strike, the country’s nuclear forces have been invested with the means of ensuring the guaranteed possibility of a retaliatory strike. Which will be produced even if the enemy struck first, and all his missiles hit their targets before at least something was launched in response. The most common way to ensure a retaliatory strike is strategic submarines. As a result, the enemy’s attack in any case causes a counter-counter or retaliatory strike. Nuclear war turns out to be a dead end; it cannot be won; and even the initiator who has attacked successfully also dies.

This principle is called “mutually assured destruction”. It was this, and not anything else, that guaranteed the absence of major wars on our planet since 1945.

However, today the situation is somewhat different. The number of nuclear warheads has become such that the exchange of nuclear strikes cannot lead to the guaranteed death of all living things. The number of carriers of nuclear weapons has fallen to such numbers that even after a massive, all-out strike, wildlife, untouched cities and towns, and people will remain in the Northern Hemisphere. A nuclear war without the death of all participants has become possible.

The second problem is the combat stability of the Russian nuclear forces in their current configuration. Russia was able to revive the Missile Attack Warning System (SPRN). The missiles that are supposed to retaliate and counter-strike are regularly updated.

But now our fleet has fewer ships than Japan. There is no possibility to intercept or block all dangerous waters with the operations of Russia’s anti-submarine forces. And this means that, as in the case of the Arabian Sea, the Americans and the British who can hold the area, will be free to manoeuvre there in order to strike from locations where the missiles can reach us too quickly. For example, in the Northern, Norwegian, Barents, Mediterranean and Arabian Seas.

Russian strategic submarines are few in number today compared to the Soviet times. Together with the qualitative superiority of the US Navy, this creates an environment where the Americans can destroy our submarines immediately before the attack begins. This, alas, is a fact known to specialists. At the same time, 44% of all strategic nuclear warheads in Russia are placed on submarines. And almost all of them are in two (!) fleet bases vulnerable to the first strike. The Russian strategic aviation has never learned to fight like the American one, and it is not a means of guaranteed retaliation.

The combination of these factors creates a technical opportunity for the United States to launch a successful disarming nuclear strike against Russia without receiving a significant blow in response. At the same time, the intensity of anti-Russian propaganda is such that the western man in the street will not have to justify anything — from that perspective everything is already prepared. And right now there is the hint of the possibility of such a strike when the West Virginia surfaced in the Arabian Sea.

Chinese factor, flight time and impact mechanics

Some experts believe that the American SSB was carrying out tasks to put pressure on China during the CPC [Chinese Communist Party] Congress. On the one hand, it is indeed easy to attack China from the Arabian Sea ‘from the rear’ – the approach of missiles to its populated areas will be from its deserts in the west of the country.

But there is no logic in such pressure. The Americans don’t know exactly where the Chinese have missiles. In addition, China does not have its own full-fledged SPRN [missile attack warning system]. The Americans can organize a sudden strike on this country with Pacific submarines from other directions. They simply do not need to threaten China from the Indian Ocean, and without this, they have a full array of threats.

In contrast to China, the coordinates of Russian underground launchers and the corridors along which mobile installations moved until recently are known to the Americans extremely accurately. We gave them all the information ourselves during mutual inspections of each other’s missile positions. Thus, the strategic missile submarine in the Arabian Sea is a hint not to China, but to Russia. At the very least we should not rule it out.

In order for the strike on our country to be successful, it must be delivered faster than we will have an alarm, an assessment of the situation for the command to launch. To do this, the distance from which the strike is carried out must be about 3,000 kilometres, otherwise the flight time of the missiles will be too long. So now let’s look at the map.

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When the SSB is deployed in the northern part of the Arabian Sea, it just happens to be at about such a distance from the installations of the 31st Missile Army of the RVSN [Russian Strategic Rocket Forces, HQ Orenburg] and some parts of the 33rd Guards Army of the RVSN [Russian Strategic Rocket Forces, HQ Omsk], which allows the submarine to deliver the same disarming blow in the minimum flight time.

It is clear that such a task cannot be solved by one submarine. And it is clear that such a task cannot be solved solely from the Arabian Sea. But no one is talking about ‘one’ and ‘only’. The deployment of SSBMS in this sea area is not a preparation for a strike against Russia. But this is a demonstration that technically the United States can strike such a blow if it sees fit. And they’re not bluffing.

There is one technical aspect that is little-known to the layman. A ballistic missile can fly not only along the normal trajectory for itself, when the payload is lifted into the upper point of the trajectory and drops down from there. In addition to ballistic trajectories, missiles can also fly along the so-called flat (depressed in English terminology). The meaning of the flat trajectory is that the rocket goes very low, not even rising to 300 kilometres. With such a trajectory, ranges and accuracy suffer greatly, the dispersion of combat warheads increases, but this turns out to give a serious gain in flight speed to the target and a very small flight time.

If during a strike from the Arabian Sea, for example on the 13th missile division [13th Orenburg Red Banner Rocket Division] in the Orenburg region, employing a conventional trajectory, the flight time of the missiles is comparable to the time required for making a decision and passing the command for a counter-strike. However, when striking from there by a flat trajectory, the picture changes dramatically, and not in our favour.

At the same time, there are ways to compensate for the dispersion of interceptors. Firstly, these are the new fuses in the W76-2 combat warheads, which allow for time-synchronized detonation of the warheads, preventing them from flying past the target. Secondly, there is the mutual overlap of the affected areas when working on a target from several submarines. Thirdly, the US has made progress in hypersonic gliding attack warheads.

A clear sign of the ambition of the United States to deliver such disarming strikes sometime in the future would be evidence that they are firing missiles along flat trajectories, and there is such evidence. Since 2015, three videos of such tests have been filmed by random eyewitnesses – and have become publicly available.

The Americans are clearly working on launching missile strikes using such schemes. And now they are showing us their readiness to bring a strategic submarine to the point of a salvo ‘at point-blank range’. Across Russia.

Of course, it’s easier said than done. One still needs to deploy a sufficient number of submarines to strike. It is necessary not to frighten the enemy and not to cause an emergency exit to the sea of all its strategic missile carriers, not to cause the dispersal of strategic bombers, tankers and cruise missiles with nuclear warheads. What is necessary is that that the mobile ground-based missile systems do not have time to ‘run away’ too far for the inconspicuous B-2 and B–21 bombers, which will go in the second wave to mop up those remnants of the strategic missile forces that would have survived the missile strike – unless the [US] launch team still did not pass through the [Russian] system known as Perimeter [western name, Dead Hand] or otherwise.

It’s all very complicated, and the risks of loss of surprise are very high. But their chances of success are not zero. With the visit of West Virginia to our ‘soft underbelly’, the Americans clearly show how far they are willing to go if they deem it necessary. The Americans are sending an extremely clear signal – for them, nuclear war is no longer unthinkable, and not impossible.


http://johnhelmer.net/the-us-signals-re ... more-69043

It is the prepping of the populace which is most worrying.

I'm too old to hide under my desk or to physically kiss my ass goodbye.

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From Cassad's Telegram account:

***

Colonelcassad
Special operation, 26 October. The main thing from RIA Novosti :

▪️According to the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, the enemy tried to attack in the Kupyansk, Nikolaev-Kryvyi Rih directions, as well as in the Kherson region. Attacks are repulsed, the enemy has suffered losses;

▪️During the day, 10 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were destroyed by air defense systems, 13 shells of the American MLRS "HIMARS" were shot down;

▪️Putin at a meeting with the heads of intelligence agencies of the CIS countries: Ukraine has become an instrument of US foreign policy, has practically lost sovereignty, its territory has been turned into a testing ground for biological experiments;

▪️Talks were held between Shoigu and the defense ministers of India and China, the Russian minister raised concerns about possible provocations by Ukraine with the use of a "dirty bomb";

▪️The Kyiv regime has already completed technical preparations for the provocation: specialists from the Ukrainian enterprise Yuzhmash have prepared a dummy missile of the Iskander complex, which is planned to be filled with radioactive material and then allegedly shot down over the Chernobyl nuclear power plant, a source familiar with the situation told RIA Novosti;

▪️Minister of Defense of Ukraine Reznikov: the operation of Ukrainian troops in the south has slowed down;

▪️More than 70 thousand people left the right bank of the Dnieper to the left in the Kherson region. The remains of Prince Potemkin, monuments to Potemkin, Ushakov, Suvorov and Margelov were also taken out of Kherson;

▪️Prisoners in Ukraine were punished for complaints during checks by the UN and the Red Cross, Vladislav Egilnitsky, a serviceman from the DPR who returned from captivity, told RIA Novosti;

▪️An air raid alert was announced in the Kyiv, Odessa, Cherkassy, ​​Kirovograd, Nikolaev regions of Ukraine;

▪️Washington Post: Ukrainian officials admit there is little they can do to protect the grid from Russian strikes designed to disable military-related infrastructure;

▪️The regime of restrictions on flights to 11 airports in the south and central part of Russia has been extended until November 3, according to the Federal Air Transport Agency;

▪️The Government of the Russian Federation supported the draft law on the status of a combat veteran for volunteers participating in a special operation;

▪️The Chairman of the Economic Community of West African Countries, the President of Guinea-Bissau came to Kyiv after Moscow and said at a press conference with Zelensky that Putin had told him that he was ready for negotiations on Ukraine.

***

Colonelcassad
💡Consequences of strikes on the energy infrastructure of Ukraine - Rybar's analysis Rybar's team

continues a systematic analysis of the consequences of fire damage to Ukraine's energy infrastructure facilities. The final (hopefully not the last) strike of the RF Armed Forces was delivered on Saturday, October 22.

🔻On that day, the following objects were exposed to fire:

▪️Goal No. 1 - cutting off the Rivne NPP from the power system at a voltage of 330 kV
➖Substation Rivne 330 , voltage 330/110/35/10 kV
➖Substation Lutsk-Severnaya , voltage 330/220/110/10/6 kV
➖Substation Kovel 330 , voltage 330/220/110/35 kV
➖Substation Khmelnitskaya 330 , voltage 330/110/10 kV
➖Substation Shepetivka 330 , voltage 330/110/35kV - at least the 330/110kV autotransformer was damaged.

▪️Goal No. 2 - impact on the Odessa energy district and the creation of a shortage of electricity in the Odessa region .
➖Substation Pobuzhskaya 330, voltage 330/110/35/10 kV
➖Substation Kvartsit 330, voltage 330/150/35 kV
➖Substation Polyana 330, voltage 330/110/10 kV - presumably
➖Substation Trikhaty 330, voltage 330/220/150/35/10kV - presumably
➖Substation Ukrainka 330, voltage 330/150/35kV - presumably
➖Substation Ardzhalik 330, voltage 330/110/10kV

🔻Intermediate conclusions:

After large-scale strikes on Ukrainian energy facilities on Saturday, power supply was able to be restored everywhere , albeit with rather serious restrictions.

▪️The main blows fell on the center and west of the country - it was there that the restrictions on electricity consumption reached the greatest extent.

▪️In the same Kharkov , they were able to launch subway escalators, since the deficit from strikes did not affect so much.

▪️However, it would be fundamentally wrong to say that the strikes passed without a trace and their consequences were completely overcome .

Now it is already obvious that once again the target of the strikes were autotransformers with a voltage of the highest side of 330 kV . Such strikes cannot disable the substations themselves completely , but they create significant difficulties in supplying the territories adjacent to the substations.

▪️The transfer of power to the remaining autotransformers leads to their overloads at maximum loads and emergency situations . This entails the operation of emergency automatics and repeated disconnections of consumers.

This can explain the numerous complaints of consumers that rolling blackout schedules are not respected and there is no electricity even when it should be in accordance with the schedule.

▪️In fairness, the Ukrainian power industry is doing everything they can to stabilize the situation, and rolling blackouts are designed to smooth out the morning and evening consumption peaks. But it is already clear that this is clearly not enough.

🔻We have no illusions that the population and authorities of Ukraine will appreciate the humanism of the Russian authorities in choosing targets for strikes. We were and will be enemies for them.

Therefore, if the strikes have already begun, they must be applied with maximum efficiency , disabling not the objects of electricity transformation, but the general substation control points (OPU) .

Only strikes against them will be able to completely disable the substation without physically destroying its high-voltage power equipment.

Otherwise, acting as it is now, the effect will have to wait too long.

***

Colonelcassad

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The situation in the Starobelsky direction
as of 16.00 on October 26, 2022

🔻On the Kupyansky sector, the Armed Forces of Ukraine went on the defensive, there are no significant changes in the front line.

🔻On the Svatovsky sector of the enemy, with the help of a reinforced consolidated battalion tactical group, he tried five times to storm the positions of the RF Armed Forces in the Kuzemovka area from the direction of Peschanoe . Russian troops repelled the blows.

🔻In the Limansky sector, units of the 3rd motorized rifle division of the 20th Army, after successfully repulsing the attacks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, went on the counteroffensive in the previous days:

▪️Parts of the Russian army knocked out the Ukrainian formations from Makiivka and Novosadovoe. They destroyed the enemy's bridgehead on the eastern bank of the Zherebets River, from which attacks were carried out in the direction of the Svatovo-Kremennaya highway.

▪️Along the entire length of the river south of Makiivka , the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation pushed the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the coastal villages. Fights are going on in Terny , Yampolovka , Torskoy .

🔻In the Lisichansk sector, the enemy command went on the defensive after several unsuccessful attempts to storm the positions of the RF Armed Forces near Belogorovka.

https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin

Google Translator

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Dirty bomb, destruction of Kakhovka Dam-Ukraine’s dangerous games
Originally published: Donbass Insider on October 25, 2022 by Christelle Néant (more by Donbass Insider) | (Posted Oct 26, 2022)

For several days now, the threat of Ukraine using a dirty bomb or destroying the Kakhovka dam has been causing an extremely dangerous rise in tension. By allowing Kiev to do whatever it wants, even the worst war crimes and terrorist acts, the West is encouraging Ukraine to continue playing with fire, at the risk of provoking a disaster that would go beyond the country’s borders.

On 23 October 2022, the Russian Defense Minister spoke by telephone with the Defense Ministers of the United States, France, the United Kingdom and Turkey. Sergei Shoigu discussed the situation in Ukraine, and in particular Russia’s concerns about possible provocations by Ukraine with the use of a dirty bomb (a conventional bomb surrounded by radioactive material that will be dispersed upon detonation).

The next day, the head of Russia’s CBRN (Nuclear, Radiological, Biological and Chemical) protection troops, Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov, held a press conference on the risk of a dirty bomb provocation by Ukraine. The aim is to try to isolate Moscow on the international scene by making Russia look like a terrorist state that has used nuclear weapons against a country that does not have them.

But in my view this is not the only goal for Kiev, London, Washington, or even Brussels. A dirty bomb provocation would allow Ukraine to secure Western support in terms of weapons and money, reinforcing the anti-Russian propaganda present in the West, and serving as a diversion from the growing social tensions that are becoming problematic in Europe.

The monstrous rise in energy bills as a result of sanctions against Russia and the sabotage of Nord Stream is becoming a major problem for European governments, which are now facing protests against higher energy prices and against support for Ukraine (with people understanding that the two are linked). And Kiev understands perfectly well that at some point Western governments will have to face a choice: try to ease social tensions by reducing or even stopping military and financial aid to Ukraine, or risk facing serious internal unrest that could lead to uncontrollable chaos or even the fall of the governments in charge (which would lead to the same consequence as choice n°1).

Moreover, in the United States, the mid-term elections are approaching and Joe Biden’s health is deteriorating rapidly (after shaking hands with invisible people, he falls asleep and mumbles sentences without any head or tail during his interviews). As a result, the Republicans have a chance to win these elections (the latest polls give them a slight lead over the Democrats), thus changing the political balance of the country. But some Republicans want to reduce aid to Ukraine.

Looking at all this, it becomes clear that the Ukrainian authorities need to do something spectacular to divert the attention of Western populations from the consequences of their countries’ support for Ukraine and to justify continued or even increased financial and military aid to Kiev.

To do this, Ukraine has two options. The first option is to destroy the dam at the Kakhovka hydroelectric power station, thereby flooding a large part of Kherson and surrounding towns and cutting off Russian troops from their reinforcements, in an attempt to recapture the town and achieve a major military victory that can be used in the media to obtain more weapons and more money. Aware of the risk of the Ukrainian army implementing this plan, the Russian authorities have called on Kherson’s civilians to evacuate the city to avoid casualties in the event of flooding, and have begun draining the reservoir to reduce potential damage.

And for those who think that such a plan seems crazy, and that the Ukrainian authorities would not go that far, here is a screenshot of two posts from the Telegram channel of the 35th brigade of the UAF (Ukrainian Armed Forces).

| Noahs flood is coming | MR Online

Translation: ‘Noah’s flood is coming’ (Скоро будет Ноев потоп) and then ‘Learn to swim’ (Учитесь плавать). I think it’s hard to make the message any clearer. Especially since at the same time the shelling of the Kakhovka hydroelectric power plant by the Ukrainian army continues.

On 24 October, the Ukrainian army fired 19 American Himars missiles at the Kakhovka hydropower plant. Fortunately, 16 were intercepted and the remaining three did not inflict critical damage to the hydropower plant. But it is clear that the Ukrainian army will continue to bomb until it gets the desired result, just as it continues to bomb and try to regain control of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.

This brings us to the second option that Kiev could use to its advantage: using a dirty bomb to accuse Russia of using nuclear weapons against Ukraine. If this plan seems even crazier than the first one, it should not be ruled out on the grounds of its apparent madness. Because if the use of a dirty bomb by Ukraine would inevitably cause deaths or pollution of part of its territory, these are not blocking parameters for the Ukrainian authorities. I recall that in 2020, a Ukrainian MP had proposed using dirty bombs against Russia and Hungary.

As a reminder, in April 2022, Ukraine shelled Kramatorsk, which is under its control, as civilians were evacuating the town by train, causing a bloodbath. On 11 August 2022, the Ukrainian army shelled a brewery in Donetsk, causing an ammonia leak, without worrying for a second about the consequences for civilians or the environment.

For months, the Ukrainian army has been bombing residential areas of Donbass towns with missiles containing “Petal” mines, which have already killed one civilian and injured 80 others, including three children. Not to mention the repeated terrorist attacks that have caused numerous victims among innocent civilians (the latest in Kherson killed a passer-by).

Finally, in eight months of conflict, the Ukrainian army has bombed 29 times, and attacked 10 times with drones the nuclear power plant of Zaporozhye, which is under Russian control, without ever worrying about the catastrophic consequences that such attacks could have, including for civilians and territories that are under Ukrainian control!

These few non-exhaustive examples show indisputably that Ukraine does not shy away from any method, even the dirtiest or most inhumane, if it serves its interests. Therefore, the information transmitted by the Russian Ministry of Defense is worrying.

“According to the information available, two Ukrainian organisations have received direct orders to create a dirty bomb. The work is in its final stage. In addition, we have information about contacts between the Ukrainian president’s office and representatives of the United Kingdom regarding the possible receipt of technologies for creating nuclear weapons,” said Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov.

It should be remembered that Ukraine has everything it needs to create a dirty bomb, between the three still-active nuclear power plants under its control in Rovno, Khmelnitski and Yuzhnooukrainsk (whose storage pools contain up to 1,500 tonnes of enriched uranium), and the former Chernobyl nuclear power plant (where more than 22,000 nuclear fuel assemblies are located). Ukraine also has more than 50,000 cubic meters of radioactive waste, and a mining and processing company that extracts up to 1,000 tonnes of uranium ore per year from several mines in the Kirovograd region.

Scientifically, the Kharkov Institute of Physics and Technology was involved in the USSR’s nuclear programme, and several test systems, including the Hurricane thermonuclear systems, are still in operation there. In addition, the Nuclear Research Institute of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine in Kiev has a BBP-M reactor, which is used for research involving high-level radioactive materials. It is this second institute, which is allegedly involved with the Eastern Mining and Processing Company, in the Kiev dirty bomb project, according to Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova.

According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, Ukraine is planning to pass off the use of its dirty bomb as the detonation of a low-yield Russian nuclear warhead containing highly enriched uranium in its payload. The aim is for the presence of radioactive isotopes in the air to be recorded by the sensors of the international monitoring system installed in Europe, and to accuse Russia of using tactical nuclear weapons against Ukraine.

For the moment, the Western countries contacted yesterday by the Russian Defense Minister are playing blind, pretending not to see Ukraine’s actions, just as they have not “seen” the Ukrainian army’s bombing of civilians in the Donbass for the past eight years. Except that here their pseudo blindness could have consequences of a completely different level.

As a result, on 24 October 2022 the Chief of Staff of the Russian Armed Forces and First Deputy Minister of Defense, Valery Gerassimov, held telephone talks with the British Chief of Defense Staff, Admiral Antony Radakin, regarding Ukraine’s possible use of a dirty bomb. Russia has also said it wants to raise the issue at the UN.

It is to be hoped that these steps will lead Ukraine to renounce its provocation (as other denunciations of future provocations have prevented many of them in the Donbass during the eight years of the war), and that the West will understand that this is an impassable red line, the violation of which could have terrible consequences for itself.

Translation :Vz yan for Donbass insider

https://mronline.org/2022/10/26/dirty-b ... ous-games/

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Russia: Nuclear Retaliatory Strike Drills Completed

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Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu said Russia held nuclear strike drills aimed at practicing a massive counterattack against the enemy. Oct. 26, 2022. | Photo: Twitter/@Resonant_News

Published 26 October 2022

On Wednesday, Russia held "an exercise to practice command and control of the Armed Forces."

According to Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu, the exercise included retaliatory nuclear strike drills to practice a massive counterattack against the enemy.

RELATED:
Kremlin Decries West’s Response to Concern Over Dirty Bomb Use

Shoigu said the drills overseen by Russian President Vladimir Putin have tested "the readiness of Russia's strategic offensive forces to carry out a massive nuclear strike in response to an enemy nuclear attack."

A Yars intercontinental ballistic missile was launched from the Plesetsk Cosmodrome and a Sineva ballistic missile was launched from the Barents Sea at the Kura test site in Kamchatka.

The exercise also involved two Tu-95MS long-range aircraft firing cruise missiles. The Kremlin said all tasks were completed fully and all missiles hit their targets.


This came amid warnings from Russia about Ukraine's plans to detonate a dirty bomb. Concerns about Kiev's intention to use a radioactive weapon have been raised with the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) and UN Secretary-General António Guterres.

Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu has briefed his counterparts from the UK, France and Turkey, including U.S. Secretary of State Lloyd Austin, on the matter.

Russia's concern has been rejected by the United States and Western countries, with Ukraine calling it "absurd."

https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Rus ... -0015.html

Iran: Ready for Talks With Ukraine on Alleged Drones to Russia

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Iranian Drone | Photo: Iran Press

Published 26 October 2022 (13 hours 49 minutes ago)

On Wednesday, Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian rejected "baseless" claims of Iran's supplies of drones to Russia, expressing Tehran's readiness for talks with Kiev on such allegations.


Amir-Abdollahian made the remarks in a joint press conference with his visiting Belarusian counterpart Vladimir Makei in Tehran.

"We strongly dismiss the baseless claims of some countries on Russia's use of Iranian drones in the war against Ukraine. We invite Ukrainian authorities to attend a bilateral meeting of experts, and present any evidence supporting the accusations," he was quoted by Press TV as saying.

Iran's principled policy is to oppose arming either of the parties involved in the Ukraine conflict, reiterating Tehran's opposition to the ongoing conflict.

In recent weeks, Ukraine and Western countries like the United States have accused Tehran of exporting suicide drones to Moscow for use in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.

Noting cooperation in different fields, including defense between Iran and Russia, Amir-Abdollahian said Monday that "in the past, we have taken weapons from Russia and given it weapons as well, but not during the Ukraine war."

https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Ira ... -0012.html

Well, some Russian bloggers would beg to differ.....The Iranians probably sent a bunch to hold the Russians over until their production was up and running, but what are diplomats if not liars? Given the productive capability arrayed against Russia by 'non-belligerents' these complaints are just more hypocrisy.
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Fri Oct 28, 2022 12:25 pm

Kherson waiting
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 10/28/2022
Original Article: Alexander Kots / Komsomolskaya Pravda

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This trip has an added purpose. Is it possible to get from one region of Russia to another through various republics and regions? It is not a trip from Moscow to Yalta. I started in Belgorod, where I came from the special military operation zone to repair the car and where I understood that the region has become an integral part of itself, just like Donbass. A stop in Lugansk, then in Donetsk. I left the DPR capital the next day to the sound of artillery and gardeners blowing fallen leaves off the trees to move them off the sidewalks into green spaces. As my old unit leader used to say, war is war, “there has to be order in the unit”.

I proceeded to Mariupol on the highway, the same one that has been on the front line for eight years. Now you can see the rusty gas stations covered with weeds and artillery holes in the asphalt. So you get to the entrance to the Zaporozhie region. A checkpoint where trucks and passenger cars with Russian license plates wait in line connects the mainland with the “new territories”. There is no longer a border as such, but martial law provides for the verification of documents and cargo.

My trip passed through the entire Zaporozhye region. Russia has managed to “settle treacherously”, leaving in its wake a perfect highway on which my spare wheel stopped bouncing and complained only about the slightest irregularities. Gas stations ran out just before reaching the Kherson region, as did the highway. At the last gas station, flashing neon lights beckoned customers to stop. But I decided that the hundred liters of gasoline that I had in the trunk, added to the hope for the best, made it unnecessary to stop to fill the half-full tank 140 kilometers from the destination. Actually, I did not know that this would be the last gas station, after which the beautiful landscape would be transformed and the road would be "painted" with burned Ukrainian equipment.

“Don't go over the bridge”, a Rosgvuardia soldier advised me upon arrival at the Dnieper. kyiv has managed to fire dozens of US missiles at a point on the Antonovsky Bridge, hampering communications between the two shores. To get to the other side, you have to wait in line for the ferry. In ten minutes of “river excursion”, I arrive at Kherson.

The first impression is very similar to Donetsk. Not openly, but it feels like it.

There are explosions somewhere far away and an old tram is calmly passing along one of the tracks. There are not many people on the streets, thousands have left in recent days. But those who remain cause the usual sense of wonder. What else would have to happen for someone to take their minors or elders in their arms to a safe area? There are also all the conditions. There are temporary accommodation options on the Left Bank and subsidies for the purchase of housing in other regions of Russia. The level of calls for evacuation clearly indicates that the coming times will not be a time for the usual routine of the city. However, on the right bank, it seems that there are those who are not yet fully aware of the dangers that threaten Kherson in the coming days.

I see the first signs of trouble quickly: at the entrance of a supermarket. The shelves in the pharmacy section are half empty. Against the background of the Ukrainian bombing, the supply of goods from the Left Bank has been seriously hampered. The day before, the Ukrainian Defense Ministry had happily announced that all Dnieper crossings are within range of its artillery. And although it is not entirely true, the consequences are felt starting with the medicines and continuing with the rest of the products. Yes, at first glance the shelves are full of products. But the dairy section is clearly empty, the sausages are running out...

There is no reason for optimism at the moment. Shops and cafes are slowly closing in the city. Transportation stops working. The gradual disappearance of the usual amenities creates the illusion of temporality. I remember him in Slavyansk, Donetsk, Lugansk. Many regretted not leaving on time and not getting their family out of there.

A large part of the population that has left the city is pro-Russian, so the concentration of, as they say here, "people who are waiting" (people who are waiting for the return of the Ukrainian government) has increased. It is seen, for example, in the circulation of the hryvnia instead of the ruble. Or that the Russian ruble is even rejected. My colleague, who has been working in the Kherson region for eight months, has counted a dozen such places. It is not an indicator of political tendencies, it is simple business. There are those who think that the ruble will begin to fall and prefer griva just as they preferred the ruble during the Russian offensive. The authorities are trying to take action, but they have enough things to worry about.

In recent days, monuments of Russian commanders have been removed from Kherson, which may be bombed during the Ukrainian offensive. The statues to Fyodor Ushakov and Alexander Suvorov have been moved to the left bank. One of Kherson's attractions was the monument to Grigory Potemkin, the Russian field marshal who annexed Crimea and Novorossiya to the Russian Empire. By decree of Catherine the Great, Prince Potemkin-Tavrichevsky was buried in Kherson.

"Here is his tomb," shows the rector of Kherson Cathedral. Father Pyotr shows me the tomb. With his help, we lift the heavy stones that hide the marshal's burial place. Underneath is a narrow passageway to the crypt, in which the prince's coffin lay until a few days ago. The coffin, with its ashes and the monument, was evacuated from the city by ferry. But it will come back. After all, Potemkin Tavrichevsky is the one who founded Kherson. Same as Sevastopol, Nikolaev and Dnipropetrovsk (then Ekaterinoslav).

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/10/28/jerso ... more-25818

Google Translator

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THEY FIND THE FIRST CONCLUSIVE EVIDENCE OF THE ATTACK AGAINST THE NORD STREAM
Oct 26, 2022 , 12:01 p.m.

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Sweden retains the necessary evidence to determine who perpetrated the attack (Photo: AFP)

The Swedish government found the first conclusive evidence about the attacks perpetrated against the Nord Stream gas pipelines. Following the investigation of the explosion that blew up three of the four natural gas pipelines between Russia and Germany, an explosive-laden but undetonated underwater drone was found near the fourth unexploded pipeline.

The investigation revealed that a cable had been cut that would have controlled the explosion of that drone. To deactivate the device and get it to safety, the Swedish Army's Artillery Disposal Unit intervened.

Who carried out the attack? So far, Sweden, which has conducted the entire investigation with secrecy, retains the necessary evidence to determine responsibilities, since the drone model makes it clear who the perpetrator is.

Sweden has not revealed the model of the drone or any other information surrounding it, they even banned media coverage of the recovery of this drone.

It is not yet known the model of the drone, the types of explosives it contains or which country operates said drones; however, by default it is not difficult to point to a culprit. You just have to know who benefits economically and strategically if these Russian gas pipelines stop operating. The certainty that we have is that Europe is the great loser.

https://misionverdad.com/encuentran-la- ... ord-stream

Google Translator

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Statement by Permanent Representative Vassily Nebenzia at UNSC Briefing on Threats Posed to the Integrity of the UN Charter
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 27, 2022

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Mr.President,

We thank UN Legal Counsel S.Soares for the briefing.

Since our Western colleagues are very much eager to hype up some fakes about alleged deliveries of Iranian drones to Russia, let me dot the i’s and cross the t’s from the very start. We called this meeting for another cause. There is “format 2231” that is used to discuss issues of implementation of UNSC resolution 2231. What we want to discuss today is a much broader issue. It has to do with the risks that some member states pose to the integrity of the UN Charter and the capability of the Security Council to deliver on its key function of maintaining international peace and security.

I refer to the recorded attempts by the United States, Great Britain, and France who have been joined by Germany, to articulate a direct individual instruction to the UN Secretariat in violation of Article 100 of the Charter.

Letter S/2022/781 that Permanent Representatives of the UK, France, and Germany circulated in the Security Council, follows up on prior claims of these countries about alleged violations of resolution 2231 and says that they “would welcome an investigation by the UN Secretariat team responsible for monitoring the implementation of UNSCR 2231 and stand ready to support the work of the Secretariat in conducting its technical and impartial investigation”.

Letter S/2022/782 of the Permanent Representative of the United States directly demands the UN Secretariat to carry out such an investigation.

This is not Russian propaganda, as our Western colleagues like to say. These are facts. Anyone who is willing to can read those letters.

These letters are a written proof that the mentioned delegations are in breach of para.2 of Article 100 of the Charter of the United Nations, which prescribes to each member state “to respect the exclusively international character of the responsibilities” of the Secretariat and not to seek to influence its staff in the discharge of their responsibilities.

Besides, the United States, Great Britain, France, and Germany are in fact driving the Secretariat towards a dual violation – first, of para.1 of Article 100, according to which the Secretariat should not receive instructions from any government, and secondly, of the mandate of the Secretariat in the context of UNSC resolution 2231 by making it act ultra vires.

Let me dwell on this second point in more detail.

Western delegations keep saying that the UN Secretariat is allegedly authorized to monitor the implementation of 2231. This is not true. Paragraph 2(a) of Note S/2016/44 of the President of the Security Council, which is entitled “Security Council tasks under Security Council resolution 2231 (2015)” directly states that the Security Council itself should monitor the implementation of the resolution. Sub-paragraphs (c) and (d) thereof unambiguously stipulates that it is the Security Council that should answer to the enquiries from Member States regarding the implementation of the resolution and respond to information regarding alleged actions inconsistent with the resolution.

Paragraph 4 of the Note reads that the Security Council shall convene informal meetings at the expert level to carry out these functions, including those that have to do with obtaining information from member states. So it is obvious that any incoming information from member states should be considered by Council members at informal meetings. Let me underscore that the Note makes no single reference to the role of the Secretariat in this process.

What’s also important is that under paragraph 5 of the Note, the Security Council should seek to make decisions related to its functions in the context of 2231 by consensus, under a no objection procedure with a deadline of at least five working days.

It means that any action with regard to the functions listed in paragraph 2 of the Note, be it monitoring of the implementation of the resolution or considering reports about its possible violations, require a separate decision of the Security Council. The Council adopted no such decision with regard to claims about alleged violations of 2231 by Russia and Iran. What’s more, it is obvious that there are principled differences among Council members on this matter.

Now let me draw your attention to paragraph 6 of the Note which provides an exhaustive list of the functions of the UN Secretariat with respect to resolution 2231.

– Assist the facilitator in the organization of informal meetings of the Security Council;

– Manage all incoming and outgoing communications related to implementation of the resolution and assist the facilitator in corresponding with Member States;

– Draft correspondence, speaking notes and briefings of the facilitator;

– Maintain and archive all information and documents relating to the Security Council’s work related to the implementation of the resolution;

– Maintain and promote publicly available information on the restrictions imposed by the Security Council, including through the Council’s website;

– Provide administrative support for the Security Council’s review of

recommendations from the Joint Commission.

As you can see, there is not a word in this entire list about conducting any “investigations” whatsoever.

Sub-paragraph 6(g) clearly states that the Secretariat may perform other tasks only when tasked by the Security Council. The Council articulated no such instruction for the Secretariat, especially in terms of conducting an investigation.

Our Western colleagues and representatives of the Secretariat attempted to justify such “investigations” by making a reference to paragraph 7 of the Note. In particular, they say that the biannual report of the Secretary-General should include what the English version of the Note calls “findings”, which seemingly implies that there is something that needs to be found. But this is a deliberate distortion. Under those findings, the Note does not imply surveys or investigations. What it implies is analytical conclusions. This is how “findings” is translated in all official UN languages. Its is “выводы” in Russian, “le conclusion” in French, “las conclusiones” in Spanish, “調查結果” in Chinese, and “نتايج” in Arabic.

Mr.President,

Steps of the Western delegations who insist that the Secretariat must “investigate” the issue of drones, create a very dangerous precedent in the work of the United Nations. From the legal perspective, they are trying to expand the authorities of the Secretariat by assigning to it new uncharacteristic functions by infringing on the prerogatives of the Security Council.

Such an approach does not meet the basic principles of the work of the United Nations, including the division of competences among its main bodies and their respective specialist areas. It also runs counter to plain logic. If the Secretariat can unilaterally resolve substantive and policy matters upon receiving “orders” from certain member states, then why have collective bodies like the Security Council and the General Assembly at all?

The fact that the Secretary-General was tasked to prepare reports on the implementation of the resolution does not mean that the Secretariat was by default authorized to collect data and respond to reports of member states about alleged violations of the resolution. This should be done by the UNSC Sanctions Committees with the support of respective groups of experts, but not by the Secretariat. I hope we all do understand that Team 2231cann not be considered a sanctions committee by definition, because it is a division of the Secretariat.

I assume everyone understands now that in the context of resolution 2231, the Secretariat acts solely as a focal point. So we proceed from the point that the only thing the Secretariat can do upon receipt of the letters the UK, Germany, France, and the US is to convey them to the facilitator of “format 2231” for circulation among the Security Council members. As for the SG’s report, it should merely state that such letters have been received. Colleagues,

This is blatant hypocrisy and double standards on the part of Western delegations. They pretend to be the main champions of the UN Charter, they include calls to “uphold the principles of the UN Charter” in various non-specialized UNGA resolutions, and accuse other member states of violating it.

But what do we see today? When it is convenient to them, the very UNSC members who only two weeks ago argued about the need to protect the UN Charter with foam at their mouth, openly violate the Charter themselves now and nudge the Secretariat to do the same. Speaking about the United States that have been in breach of resolution 2231 for the past 4 years since they unilaterally withdrew from the JCPOA in 2018, this is a new unprecedented level of neglect of the Charter and decisions of the Security Council.

Unfortunately, the Secretariat does not seem to try and resist this sort of unabashed political pressure. We heard the Spokesperson of the Secretary-General say that they were ready to act upon request of separate member states. This runs counter to the letter and spirit of Article 100 of the Charter and resolution 2231 itself.

This creates serious risks for the integrity of the UN Charter, effectiveness of the work of the Security Council, and the Organization at large. We call on UNSC members to protect the Charter, condemn the steps of Western delegations that clearly undermine it, and also speak up calling the Secretariat to observe Article 100 and its mandate in line with the framework set out in Note S/2016/44 of the President of the Security Council.

We also request Mr.Soares to confirm that initiation of an investigation upon request of some delegations and not the entire Security Council constitutes a violation of Article 100 of the UN Charter, and that the Secretariat’s consent to do it will also constitute a violation.

Thank you.

Right of reply:

Mr.President,

Today’s remarks by the states that have requested the UN Secretariat to carry out an investigation had little connection to legal aspects. They once again indulged in sly rhetoric that the Secretariat must be responsive to requests by member states. It was particularly touching to hear the United States, that is the main violator of resolution 2231, accuse Russia of breaching this document. The Secretariat should respond to addresses of member states, that is true, but it must act on the basis of its clear-cut mandate and the UN Charter rather than wishes of particular states.

When citing our request for an investigation in Yelenovka, our Western colleagues are being very cunning, because this has nothing to do with today’s discussion and resolution 2231. The question that we raise here is completely different. We wonder what the UN Secretariat is guided by when claiming ready to embark on an investigation of an alleged violation of UNSC resolution 2231 upon request of several Council members rather than the entire Security Council? Where does this mandate come from? They refer to the practice rather than legal norms and fail to mention that we submitted consistent written objections every time an investigation was mentioned that violated resolution 2231. The fact that some information to that end was previously included in SG’s reports does not signify the presence of some sort of legitimate practice, and definitely not a UNSC practice. This was initially at odds with the mandate of the Secretary-General and the Secretariat at large. Once again, neither the Secretary-General, nor the Secretariat of the United Nations hold such mandate. Russia has always objected to such practice. How can we be talking about setting the practice if it disregards effective mandates and if there are standing objections from a P5 member state? There is a term “persistent objection” which excludes establishment of a practice, and we started to raise these objections back in 2016, and continue to do so now.

Today we were called to allow an investigation if we have nothing to hide. But the question is not if anyone is hiding anything. The question is if such an investigation may be considered legitimate in the absence of a relevant mandate from the Security Council, the only body that can authorize such steps. The representative of Ireland went as far as stating that the letters containing requests were enough and that no other UNSC-issued mandate was needed. This is a remarkable claim from the 2231 facilitator. This looks like total legal nihilism. We would recommend to our Irish colleagues to better study the material, otherwise we will be compelled to doubt the ability of this country to head this subsidiary body of the Council.

The position of Western states, whereby they hypocritically twist facts does no longer surprise anyone, and so we are not surprised. However some UNSC members overdid themselves today. How can an issue of mandate observance under resolution 2231 raised at the meeting of the Security Council, the body that adopted this resolution, be considered an attack on the Secretariat, an act of blackmail against the Secretary-General and especially a violation of Article 100 of the UN Charter? This is a favorite trick of our Western colleagues – accuse others of what they commit themselves. Yet in general, Mr.President, we are thankful to our colleagues for providing an exhaustive list of violations of Article 100 by the Secretariat – I mean the investigations that “format 2231” carried out in breach of its mandate. Now all those violations have been put on record of this meeting as well as the fact that we pointed at those violations in every given case. What you are doing now is you try to make the Secretariat commit a violation only because such violations used to happen before. We know this pattern very well.

Let me ask Mr.Soares again. Will a launch of an investigation upon request of separate member states rather than the Security Council as a whole constitute a violation of Article 100 of the Charter and provisions of resolution 2231? Will a consent to carry this out also violate the Charter?

Thank you.

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Remarks to the press by Permanent Representative Vassily Nebenzia following UNSC meeting on threats posed to the integrity of the UN Charter

Vassily Nebenzia: You saw it all. The question was not on the investigation itself, but on its legality. The question was who is supposed to give a mandate for such an investigation. It clearly follows from [resolution] 2231 and the Presidential Note on the implementation of this resolution that it is the Security Council which is entitled and obliged to give a “green light” to any investigation into alleged violations of 2231. That was point 1.

Point 2 is that we posed a direct question to the Legal Counsel. We asked how the UN interprets this situation. Unfortunately, we have not heard the reply, and we intend to send a letter to the Secretary-General requesting him to answer to our inquiry.

Thirdly, I was a bit astonished that our colleagues were basically justifying the illegal practice that they are willing to engage in by referring to the previous illegal practices of 2231 contact point in terms of conducting investigations. As you know, 2231 contact point is neither a group of experts nor a sanctions committee, but a part of the Secretariat. And that brings us back to the question who is entitled to carry out investigations and who is entitled to give approval so such an investigation can start.

Q: The UN lawyer said that absent any new guidance from the Security Council they will continue to prepare the reports as they did previously. Do you feel like this meeting backfired on you a little bit?

A: Why? The report is a semi-annual event. The current situation and the discussion we had has nothing to do with the report itself, which is a regular thing. The report may reflect that this request was made but the decision as to how to proceed with this request can only be made by the Security Council.

Q: In terms of the possible investigation into the drones that were allegedly used by Russia in Ukraine. The Legal Counsel did not say anything to note. But does that mean that your threat to withdraw cooperation if the Secretary-General does decide to launch the investigation…

A: I would not link these things. We will seek clarification from the Secretary-General on our request. And then we will see how the Secretariat will react.

Q: In terms of withdrawing cooperation Your Deputy Ambassador said the other day that …

A: Not just my Deputy. I said that in my statement.

Q: Yes, you are still threatening to withdraw cooperation. What would that actually mean?

A: I would not call it “threatening to withdraw”, but of course we will have to view our cooperation in light of the reaction of the Secretariat to our legitimate concerns.

Q: Ambassador, a question on the grain deal. Martin Griffiths said that he is relatively optimistic that it will get renewed, extended for a longer period – possibly expanded. What can you tell us about the negotiations?

A: I am happy that Martin is relatively optimistic, but we will still have to see the implementation of the second part of the deal before any decisions are made.

Q: Can you explain a little bit what Russia exactly needs to see?

A: Russia needs to see the exports of its grain and fertilizers to the world’s market. It has not happened since the beginning of the deal.

Q: What’s the main hurdle to that?

A: I think I have been saying that for a long time. The hurdles remain the same: insurance, transactions, ports of call for our ships. Those are the main three. There are fertilizers that have been arrested in European ports which were meant to be distributed free of charge in the countries in need. But the fertilizers are kept there and they are sort of getting slowly destroyed because this kind of fertilizers cannot be kept [in storage] indefinitely if not put to use. Those were the main things that were on the agenda a few months ago, and they still remain.

We recognize that the Secretary-General and his team are trying to do their best to resolve those issues, but unfortunately, it is not just them that it depends on. And the issue is still there.

Q: What are you expecting from tomorrow’s meeting? Will the IAEA Director be addressing the Council at an open meeting?

A: I am not sure if it will be an open meeting, but I know that Director-General Grossi will be here to brief us.

Q: What’s the point of your meeting on biological weapons? Just give us a clue what this is about.

A: This will continue what happened earlier this year. We accumulated a lot of data to that end. You know that we had a meeting in Geneva within the scope of the Biological Convention. I think it is the high time we started the investigation which is provided for in the articles of the convention.

Q: But it’s not like a dirty bomb… Your made a claim that Ukraine was about to use a dirty bomb potentially. Do you believe they are about to use a biological weapon?

A: That is not exactly about that. It is about the Biological Convention as such. And of course the role of the US in biological programs in Ukraine

Q: If Russia withdraws from the grain deal, how are you going to get your ammonia out without any UN help?

A: So far the UN help was not so helpful. We did not get our ammonia out with or without UN.

Q: A lot of countries are concerned that North Korea might again be on the edge of conducting its 7th nuclear test. Does Russia have any concerns if this is about to happen? If so, what should the Council do?

A: Let’s solve problems as they arrive. I would not speculate before anything happens. But of course, these prospects are not very welcome.

Q: Should there be new sanctions if it happens?

A: Let’s not replace and substitute for the Security Council.

Q: What’s the point of sending a letter in 310 pages to the members of the Security Council?

A: That’s the body of evidence that we have on our claims on the violations of the Biological Convention.

Q: Who prepared this?

A: Competent agencies.

Thank you very much.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/10/ ... n-charter/

Liberal Democracy: The Bedfellow of Fascism
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 27, 2022
Erica Caines

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John McCain giving a speech with a neo-naziDead US senator John McCain went to Ukraine and stood on stage with neo-Nazi Oleh Tyahnybok back in 2013.

Antifascism, as a politic and concept, has grown more appealing in the last 6 years because of the rise of right-wing authoritarianism domestically and globally rooted in patriarchy and ongoing (settler) colonialism. Nonetheless, there remains much confusion about fascism. Earlier this month, I was a featured panelist for a roundtable discussion with the editors of For Antifascist Futures: Against the Violence of Imperial Crisis and author of On Microfascism: Gender War and Death at the Red Emma’s bookstore in Baltimore. It was a compelling cultural and political exploration wherein we engaged the feminist and anticolonial dimensions of antifascism with readers and has since led me to deeper exploration of fascism’s historical relationship to liberal democracy, in the context of this current political and pop culture infused moment.

African revolutionaries like George Padmore, W.E.B Dubois, Walter Rodney, and most famously Aime Cesaire, have all declared that fascism was only ever considered a new phenomenon when it touched Europe, but it always existed within colonial practices applied in the colonies. As historian Allan ES Lumba acknowledges in the essay “Left Alone with the Colony,” featured in the book AntiFascist Futures:Against the Violence of Imperial Crisis

“Fascism is not a neat category of political ideology but rather a historical reaction to recurring threat of revolutionary decolonization and the chronic instability of a geopolitical system structured around capitalist empires.” (pg. 72)

I found this particularly useful in helping to gauge the contemporary mainstream usage of fascism which has led many to believe that it’s a thing of the past, and we are simply witnessing a reemergence rather than a continuation.

When George Jackson advised in 1970 that we “settle our quarrels” because “fascism was already here,” it was with the astute understanding that the ongoing decolonization movements happening in the US and abroad were creating a crisis for the white world. Fascism, which emerged in Europe inspired by movements in the US like Jim Crow, did not break from the totalitarian logic and practice of European colonialism. Understanding ourselves as a colonized people within the US (politically, economically, and socially), we can understand that our lives are dictated by the authoritarian policies of a ruling class of a settler colony. The US has always been fascist from inception.

Yet, the US has been able to skirt its history and fascist foundation with its flippant use of “democracy”. Declaring itself as the one true beacon of democracy, “the shining city on the hill”, the US continues to play footsie with fascism in spite of its rhetoric on “human rights”. Liberal democracy breeds fascism, as it is the best ideology and state formation for providing legitimacy to capitalist dictatorship— an unbridled power of capital. Glancing upon the history of the European colonial project, one can clearly see that in all of the colonial empires, workers were provided with forms of “democratic participation” while the colonial empires simultaneously imposed fascism as governance. This should resonate with the current “democratic processes” that exist under this settler colony.

Since the 2020 election cycle began, “fascism” took on a plethora of new meanings, none of which actually accessed the ongoing material conditions surrounding the rise of fascism outside of the Republican Party. In fact, one could easily conclude that “fascists” and “republican” were interchangeable words if they paid close enough attention to the elections. But they are not. The confusion around fascism, weaponized by liberals to drive people to the voting polls, has disallowed any inspection of the primary role the Democratic Party (with its neoliberal, populist, and austerity police state policies) has played by sheltering and coddling this current iteration of fascism.

AntiFascist Futures opens with an essay by anthropologist Nadia Abu El-Haj entitled “The Banality of Knowledge” that provides a great intervention in understanding the direct connections between never-ending wars and the continuation and expansion of of fascism particularly pertaining to truth and lies:

“While I recognize the ubiquity, significance, and political power of patently false claims, I want to explore a different configuration of a post-truth world––of knowledge and power––that also operates today. What if the lie, or for that matter, the secret is not the only way to undermine the power of “facts”? How else are (significant, foundational even) “factual truths,” the kinds of truths that exist in the domain of human action and are “political by nature,” rendered politically inconsequential? Given the now widely accepted aphorism that knowledge is power, in actual practice (how) does “knowing” inform politics?” (pg 24)

When we review what has been told to us about the US/EU/NATO proxy war in Ukraine, including the more than $60 billion spent to arm Azov Battalion, Ukrainian National Guard of nazis, the struggle over historical and political facts and truths becomes alarmingly revealing. Many have and continue to approach the US/EU/NATO proxy war in Ukraine as some new phenomena, while having overlooked or disregarded the 2014 coup and the 8 years-long civil war between Ukraine and the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics. As such, they have dismissed the fascist elements of the Ukrainian government itself, the Azov Battalion training nazis globally (from Brazil to Charlottesville), and the United States and its allies instigating Russia over its recognition of the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics as independent states for the possibility of NATO expansion. None of this is insignificant. There has been a cost for the lies told to American citizens in order for the US to continue to garner support for its attempts to expand NATO and its own imperialist, hegemonic goals.

Mainstream media, a long arm of the state, has continued to deny the 2014 coup as well as the existence of nazis in Ukraine, going so far as to even show Ukrainian soldiers with nazi regalia on national TV. And while the Democratic Party is sounding the alarms about the “loss of democracy” with January 6th trials and another push to “vote out fascism”, they ironically continue to fund and arm nazis in Ukraine to “save democracy.” These lies, that have intentionally caused political and historical confusion, have created the space for fascism to not only grow more organized but increasingly more normalized. We are witnessing iterations of fascism play out in the contentious and close election in Brazil, for example; it can be seen in the liberal embrace of the recent appointment in Italy reinstating Mussolini’s party; even the assassination attempt of the Vice President of Argentina can be traced to a growing fascist movement.

Instead of addressing the global impact of this lie, mainstream discourse has found ways to focus on individuals. Whether the reckless antics of a head of state or the rantings of a manic African petty bourgeois celebrity, mainstream liberal discourse has chosen to lean into liberal individualism as “analysis.” This, of course, disconnects the hate-filled rhetoric from the ruling class (which politicians and celebrities alike are subservient to) that sympathizes with fascism. This is not about individuals, however, this is about a system that continuously emboldens individuals, who then become organized; what does it mean to rail against this when we are not organized to take power?

Public discourse prioritizing a good/bad false dichotomy has resulted in surface level conversations about antiBlackness and antisemitism that ignore the function of US imperialism that doesn’t give a damn about the African or the Jew, which is identified through these attempts to continuously expand NATO. How can one attempt to have serious discussions about antisemitism while voting for a party that continues to arm nazis, who have played an integral role in a worldwide upsurge of fascism? Are people expected to ignore the US (and Ukraine’s) vote against the UN General Assembly’s resolution condemning Nazism, neo-Nazism and all forms of racism? How does one contend with attempts to have serious discussions about antiBlackness while never challenging the expansion of AFRICOM, in spite of the uprisings in the Sahel and The Horn? Are people expected to look favorably upon the Countering Malign Russian Activities in Africa Act (HR 7311) which threatens to punish African nations for not supporting a proxy war? Does the latest efforts of western occupation of Haiti being led by the U.S. signal concern for Black lives?

Neoliberalism and fascism are representatives of two distinct structures or expressions of the same underlying class rule and yet, contemporarily, the rise of fascism in the west is a very real response to the ravages of neoliberalism. What does that mean for the African? Liberal bourgeois democracy, historically and contemporarily, plays a role in the expansion and assertion of fascism. Until we are organized to not only recognize but understand who and what our enemies are and take power, the “discourse” will continue to launder our rage into a far more critical position than we are finding ourselves in now.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/10/ ... f-fascism/

Leftists Denounce Rampant Decommunization Attempts in Eastern Europe
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 27, 2022
Peoples Dispatch

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Decommunization - EuropeSoviet Red Army Monument at Liberty Square in Budapest. (Photo: via Facebook)

The rise of the far-right and the ongoing Russia-NATO war in Ukraine have led to a spike in Russophobia and attacks on communists and their symbols in Eastern Europe


Leftist parties in Europe have slammed the rampant attempts at decommunization and attacks on communists and their symbols in several Eastern European countries. On Tuesday, October 25, the European Left party in Hungary denounced the motion submitted in the parliament by the far-right Jobbik party which calls for the removal of the Soviet Red Army Monument from the Liberty Square in Budapest. On October 23, communist sections in Serbia, including the New Communist Party of Yugoslavia (NKPJ) and the Union of Communist Youth of Yugoslavia (SKOJ), protested the repeated vandalization of the Tomb of People’s Heroes by right-wing fringe groups as well as the attack on the NKPJ office in Belgrade last week.

The rise of the far-right and the ongoing Russia-NATO war in Ukraine has led to a spike in Russophobia and anti-communism across Europe, especially in East European countries. Right-wing governments, especially Poland and Ukraine, had initiated a process of decommunization long ago and already destroyed numerous Red Army memorials and Soviet monuments from the Cold War period. In several countries, communist publications have been censored, communist parties are banned and their members are facing persecution. Baltic states, including Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, have already banned communist parties and initiated a project for decommunization. In the Balkan countries, communist memorials and partisan memorial cemeteries are being subjected to repeated vandalization by neo-Nazi groups.

The European Parliament had passed a controversial resolution in September 2019 calling for the erasure of all memorials of “totalitarianism” across Europe, including memorials dedicated to the Red Army. Attacks on Soviet memorials are also taking place in the Czech Republic, Germany, and other European states. With the onset of the Russian military action in Ukraine, several European countries, including Moldova, have called for a ban on the public display of Soviet and Russian symbols.

On September 29, Members of European Parliament (MEPs) from the Communist Party of Greece (KKE), Kostas Papadakis and Lefteris Nikolau-Alavanos, met with UNESCO executives in Paris and registered an official complaint over the vandalization and demolition of anti-fascist and Soviet cultural monuments in various European countries. The communist MEPs demanded urgent measures to protect the monuments and end the destructive actions by governments, regional and local administrations, and far-right groups. They also stressed the need to bring all those responsible for their destruction to justice and to end any persecution of those who stood up to protect the monuments.

Regarding the decommunization process in Poland, Bartosz Bieszczad from the Polish Communist Party (KPP) told Peoples Dispatch on October 26, “anti-communist hysteria is in full swing in Poland. In March 2022, the “Institute of National Memory” called for the complete removal of all place names and symbols commemorating socialism and the liberation of Poland in 1945. This is accompanied by mass falsification of history regarding WWII and the Polish People’s Republic. In some places, like Olsztyn, locals are defending their historical monuments. In most, however, the perpetrators can act with impunity. The objectives of these actions are not only to slander the superior socio-economic system, but also to fuel hatred against Russians and condition Polish people into being willing cannon fodder for NATO.”

On October 25, the European Left party of Hungary stated in its publication amiidonk that the “Jobbik party chairman’s proposal to demolish Soviet Red Army Monument in Budapest’s Liberty Square is distasteful and, moreover, they are in line with the views of the anti-communist Fidesz party which would have demolished the monument long ago if it were not for interstate treaties and diplomatic interests prohibiting it. The monument dedicated to the Soviet Red Army erected in 1946 has nothing to do with the tragic events of 1956 in Budapest, nor with the current fascist policy of Viktor Orban’s government, nor with the Russia-Ukraine war.”

On October 23, the secretariat of the Union of Communist Youth of Yugoslavia (SKOJ) said in a statement, “for the last four years, the Tomb of the People’s Heroes has been under constant attacks by fascists and neo-Nazis, and unfortunately only one perpetrator (Robert Rundo) of these mindless, vile attacks has been found and prosecuted to this day.”

SKOJ criticized the authorities for not responding to public demands to protect such tombs and other monuments from vandalization.



Neo-fascist, far-right parties have made massive gains in elections across Europe this year. In Italy, a party that descends from the political heritage of the late dictator Benito Mussolini has come to power. In France, neo-fascist Marine Le Pen added almost three million votes to her 2017 tally in this year’s presidential election. Hundred years ago, industrialists, bankers and the elite backed fascists to stop European communist parties from coming to power. Today, as capitalism faces a crisis in its home world, finance capital is propping up neo-fascism with both financial support and space in corporate-controlled media. Whenever capitalism is in crisis, capitalists always back anti-people, anti-democratic forces to stop any form of socialism.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/10/ ... rn-europe/

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From Cassad's Telegram account:

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forwarded from
Operation Z: Military commissars of the Russian Spring
‼️🇬🇧The Russian army went on the offensive on the Svatov-Kremensky front, liberating a number of settlements
The situation on the hot section of the Donbass front in 2 days.
▪️26.02"🅾️brave" and the Western Military District launched a counteroffensive in the southern sector: the settlement of Makeevka was liberated by the BTGr .
▪️Two battalion tactical groups made a roundabout maneuver and took N. Nevskoe and Novosadovoe settlements .
▪️There are fights on the outskirts of the settlement. Terny and Torskoye , assault groups with the support of tanks are pushing the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
▪️The enemy tried to counterattack from the side of Yampol and Seversk , with the active use of the MLRS, was thrown back.
▪️In the northern sector of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, they tried to advance near the settlement. Kuzemovka , scattered by return fire.
▪️The Armed Forces of Ukraine are also trying to break through with battles to the Krasnoechensekoe-Makeevka-Chervonopopovka crossroads . They suffer losses from mines, howitzer and tank fire.
▪️Artillery of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation hits the positions and places of accumulation of enemy forces along the entire front from Kupyansk to Seversk .
▪️American howitzers M777 of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are covered with Krasnopol high-precision projectiles.
▪️Bad weather conditions make it difficult for aviation to work, it is during such periods that the Armed Forces of Ukraine try to organize offensive operations.

***

Colonelcassad
❗️Chronicle of the special military operation
for October 27, 2022

🔻Kyiv region

▪️At night, the RF Armed Forces continued to strike at Ukraine's energy infrastructure facilities. During a night raid, kamikaze UAVs hit autotransformers at the Kievskaya 750/330/35 kV substation.

Presumably, the substation Belotserkovskaya 330/110/10 kV also became one of the targets.

🔻Belarusian direction ( map ):

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▪️The Ukrainian command expects a possible offensive of the RF Armed Forces from Belarus. In the village of Derevnaya , Minsk region, a citizen of the Republic of Belarus passes to Ukraine data on the movement of military personnel of the Union State.

▪️The Volyn section on the Ukrainian side was reinforced by several battalions trained at the 184th training center in Starychi. In the vicinity of Lukov, a command post of the company of the 1st radio engineering brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was organized.

▪️Several reconnaissance groups operate in the Kiev sector in the area of ​​Rudnya-Ilyinetskaya and near Kriva Gora.

▪️In the Chernigov sector , in the vicinity of Bleshni and Mkhov, several battalions of territorial defense were deployed. In the Desna training center, reconnaissance groups are being trained under the leadership of English mercenaries.

🔻Starobelsk direction ( map ):

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▪️In the Kupyansky sector , the 14th Ombre of the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to storm Nikolaevka and Orlyanka, came under massive fire from Russian MLRS, suffered losses in manpower and equipment, and then retreated.

▪️In the Svatovsky section of the 1st BTGr, the 71st Jaeger Brigade attempted an offensive towards Chernopopovka, however, having lost several tanks and combat vehicles, they retreated to their original positions.

▪️On the Limansky section of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the forces of the 25th brigade tried to storm the positions of the RF Armed Forces near Torsky, but failed.

The plans of the enemy command are to conduct a simultaneous offensive from the north-eastern outskirts of Terny and east of Nevsky. At the same time, Ukrainian forces are planning to reach the southern outskirts of Kremennaya.

▪️In the Lisichansk section of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, they tried to gain a foothold near Belgorovka, but the attack was repulsed and the enemy retreated to Grigorovka.

🔻Soledar direction:

▪️In this sector of the front, the situation has not changed; positional battles continue on the outskirts of Bakhmut (Artemovsk), Soledar and Experienced.

🔻Donetsk direction:

▪️Ukrainian formations once again fired at the settlements of the Donetsk agglomeration , including Donetsk, Makeevka, Yasinovataya and Kashtanovka. In addition, a second blow was dealt to the fuel storage facility in Shakhtersk.

🔻Zaporozhye direction:

▪️At night, the RF Armed Forces carried out several missile strikes on the objects of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Zaporozhye and the village of Balakovo in the suburbs of the regional capital.

▪️Artillery duels continue along the entire line of contact: the Russian Armed Forces have worked on targets in Orekhovo, Zaliznichny, Olgovsky and Gulyaipole.

🔻Dnipropetrovsk region

▪️At night, the RF Armed Forces attacked the Geran-2 UAV kamikaze on the territory of the Pavlograd Mechanical Plant , where the production of components for ammunition and missiles was established.

🔻Southern Front: Nikolaev-Berislav direction

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▪️In the Mykolaiv sector , Ukrainian formations fired on the neighborhoods of Zeleny Guy, Ternovy Pod, Kiselevka and Petrovsky.

▪️On the Andreevsky site , Ukrainian formations are transferring military equipment and personnel to the eastern bank of the Ingulets River.

▪️In the Berislav sector , Ukrainian formations are concentrating forces along the line of contact. In the area of ​​​​Novaya Kamenka, a Ukrainian AN / TPQ-50 radar was deployed to conduct counter-battery combat.

***

forwarded from
Unofficial Bezsonov "Z"
The Ukrainian servicewoman highly appreciates the ability to fight our mobilized and criticizes the Ukrainian side for underestimating:

“Chmobiki, right?
Homeless people, right?

Are you civilians and the rest - fucked up or what? Do you think that ours are dying at the hands of inept mobilized? in some directions, they almost fall in droves at the hands of their inexperienced mobilized?
You are really finished ... "


https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin

Google Translator
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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blindpig
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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Sat Oct 29, 2022 12:20 pm

From Intermarium to a future without the existence of Russia: the geostrategic project of Ukrainian radicalism
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 10/29/2022

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On September 17, a posthumous collection of the works of Oleksandr Maslak, a philosopher and former member of the Council of the National Corpus (political arm of the Azov movement), whose political program was co-authored, was presented in Kiev . Committed to the idea since the late 1990s, Maslak is considered one of the "architects" of the Intermarium alliance promoted by the Ukrainian radical right. In this context, he has also been one of the main promoters of the rapprochement between Poland and Ukraine, with explicit defense of a strong political-military alliance between the two countries as the basis for the consolidation of Intermarium. Maslak died in September 2017 in a traffic accident.

The compilation book refers to this role of promoter of the alliance of the two seas (Baltic and Mediterranean, through the Black Sea) with its title: “ Oleksandr Maslak. Ukrainian architect of Intermarium ”. The publication corresponds to the “Orientir” publishing house, co-founded by veterans of the “Ukrainian-Russian war”, including the late member of the National Corpus and veteran of Azov, Mykola Kravchenko.

The event was held at the Museum of the Hetmanate of kyiv, the venue for the meetings of the youth wing of the Union of Hetmans-Statesmen that Maslak helped found at the beginning of the new century together with some members of the current National Corpus such as Eduard Yurchenko and Oleksandr Alfiorov. , one of the participants in the act of homage.

A member of the nationalist movement since the 1990s, Maslak maintained a nonpartisan position within it, and focused his initiative on promoting the political union of the Baltic and Black Sea countries: the Baltic-Black Sea Union, or Intermarium. For Maslak, Intermarium is emerging as a geopolitical axis in Central and Eastern Europe in which Ukraine is called to occupy a prominent place. According to Maslak, the country's geopolitical space would be strengthened by a union that would also help protect Ukraine, particularly in its strategy of " painful defeat " of the Putin regime. Located in the center of the axis between the two seas, this political union would thus fulfill the role of a protective shield for all the countries of Eastern Europe.

On the spot, historian Oleksandr Alfiorov, a friend of the philosopher, recalled that in its origins, both in the 1990s and in the first decade of the new century, the Intermarium proposal could have seemed fanciful. But not in a 2022 in which Poland, the Baltic countries and Ukraine appear as the main strategic allies against Russia.

In the more general political dimension, the political scientist Yuriy Noevy, another friend of Maslak, presented him as the protagonist of the "conservative turn" in Ukrainian nationalism which, due to the influence of the diaspora in the 1990s, originally contained important liberal roots. According to Noevy, Maslak is one of the ideologues “ who influenced his generation. The ones who led the people of action in the right direction .”

A correct direction based, as Maslak reflected in an interview , on a return to conservative political philosophy, with references to thinkers such as Joseph de Maistre, Edmund Burke, Carl Schmitt, Eric von Kuehnelt-Leddin , Russell Kirk, Nicolas Gómez Dávila , René Guénon, Julius Evola and even the Spanish traditionalist Donoso Cortés (known for his speech in the Congress of Deputies supporting the dictatorial solution to confront the revolutionary movement of 1848 and appealing to the inevitable confrontation between the dictatorship of the insurrection and the dictatorship of the Government or the saber). As Maslak points out in said interview, the common point in all these defenders of conservative political philosophy is “loyalty to the cultural tradition in its various incarnations ”, understood as a system of vital coordinates in the face of the disorientation associated with “ modern mass anticulture ”. What can be summed up in the defense of " cultural conservatism ", although in a perspective of revolutionary reconquest of the conservative project. Hence the thesis of the “conservative revolution”.

In his approach to the question, Maslak's main thesis is the defense of the need for “ an effective combination of a new economic nationalism, technological archaeofuturism, cultural conservatism and meritocracy ”. The archeofuturist meritocracy advocated is presented as “ a combination of devotion to the principles…of cultural tradition, a bold, strategic and innovative vision of the future of the country and the world, and the appointment of the most capable to leadership positions ”.

Regarding the civilizational and cultural project for Ukraine, Maslak sums it up in “ the resurgence not only of Ukraine, but also of all European nations. The recovery of its vitality and cultural potential. A way out of the situation of spiritual and social decline. The reactivation of the system of civic virtues that cement the national community ”. The framework of confrontation with Russian multiculturalism, rather than a limitation, is actually presented as a historic opportunity to deepen this objective.

Referring to Maslak's ideas, Kraina magazine editor-in-chief Artyom Skoropadskyi singled out Oleksandr Maslak as one of the leading ideologues of more modern Ukrainian nationalism and conservatism. According to him, he replaced the nationalist figures of the 1930s and 1940s, filling an intellectual vacuum that had lasted more than 70 years. In this way, the compilation book “ is a textbook for a young intellectual, a Ukrainian nationalist. Because we all read Kobzar [Taras Shevchenko] , we all read Lypa, Stepan Bandera. And this is the newest ideology of Ukrainian nationalism .”

Of particular interest was the presence, among the speakers, of the ideologue of the Azov movement, Olena Semenyaka, promoter together with Maslak of the Intermarium Support Group and participant in the past -together with the author- in the Ukrainian Traditionalist Club. Until now, Maslak, Kravchenko and Semenyaka constituted, in fact, a central part of the ideological group of the National Corpus and the Azov movement (and, by extension, of the type of nationalism on which the Ukrainian state itself is based today).

Mentioning Maslak's historical works, in particular an Austrian commission on the history of Ukraine, intended to be translated into German, Semenyaka pointed out in his speech at the event that the author: “Wanted to correct the existing imbalance in the consciousness of society western on the history of Ukraine ”.

At the request of the Austrian publisher, he focused on the history of the 20th century, in particular, preparing a chronicle of the Holodomor, an episode " that few people in the West knew about at the time " in Europe, according to Semenyaka. In the aforementioned book, Maslak also agreed with the Austrian publisher to focus on the “history of the elites”. According to Semenyaka, it is often pointed out that “ Ukraine is a literary nation; that the history of, for example, the 18th and 19th centuries is the history of rural teachers who were committed to education ”. And here Maslak came to break with that vision and affirm that: « No, history is a matter of the elites«. And so, according to the Ukrainian ideologue, Maslak undertook a review of the history of the formation of the Ukrainian state [as a manifestation of its own and differentiated civilizational sphere]. It would be, according to her, “ the best challenge, the best response to Russian historiography, which always shows Ukraine as a kind of subterranean subspace, a space between civilizations ”.

Regarding another of his lost works, a book in which the figure of Taras Shevchenko is revisited, Maslak presents the writer and poet as a builder of the Ukrainian state whom, moreover, he " wanted to strip of socialist overtones ." For him, Shevchenko " was first and foremost an elitist figure and he wanted to reinterpret his legacy in that way ," says Semenyaka.

Appreciating the Ukrainian advances of September 2022 in the Kharkov region, Semenyaka took advantage of the intervention to point out that, in the context of the possible collapse of the "Russian Empire", Ukraine faces the prospect of becoming the center not only of Eastern Europe , but also of the geopolitical area of ​​"Eurosiberia" [a formulation that, de facto, links with Dugin's Eurasian idea, but limits it to the "white" area of ​​present-day Russia, to the exclusion of its non-Slavic regions].

This is a position that implies, in Semenyaka's view, the incorporation into Ukraine of part of the current Russian Federation, a thesis not shared by an Alfiorov who points out the need for this country to strengthen, above all, its economy and technological position. According to the historian, also linked to the world of the National Corpus, Ukraine, “ as part of European civilization ”, is historically and civilizationally close to two other civilizations: “ To the east… the Eurasian civilization, to the south… the Islamic civilization. Here is the border of Europe .” Hence, according to the nationalist historian “ When Russia disintegrates…there will be no need to take any territory ”. According to him, what Ukraine needs is “think about space, about transnational capitals, and about the control by Ukraine of the states that will be formed in the place of the Russian Federation, first of all, in economics ”.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/10/29/de-in ... ucraniano/

Google Translator

***********************

Monument to Sudoplatov unveiled in Donetsk
October 28, 14:14

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So the time has come when monuments to the NKVD generals have become the norm.
Another monument to NKVD General Pavel Sudoplatov was unveiled in Donetsk.

PS. I am sure that the return of Iron Felix to the Lubyanka is inevitable.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7940664.html

Russian Defense Ministry about the attack on Sevastopol
October 29, 14:16

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Russian Defense Ministry about the attack on Sevastopol

The Kiev regime's attack on Sevastopol ( https://t.me/opersvodki/10230 ) involved nine UAVs and seven autonomous maritime drones.
In the course of repelling an attack on the outer roadstead of Sevastopol, the Black Sea Fleet destroyed four naval drones, three more were destroyed on the inner roadstead.
The sea minesweeper "Ivan Golubets", as well as the bonnet barrier in Yuzhnaya Bay, received minor damage. The attacked ships are involved in ensuring the security of the "grain corridor" as part of the export of agricultural products from Ukrainian ports.

The preparation of the drone attack on Sevastopol and the training of the military personnel of the Ukrainian 73rd Special Center for Maritime Operations was carried out under the guidance of British specialists located in Ochakov, Mykolaiv region
According to available information, representatives of the same unit of the British Navy participated in the planning, provision and implementation of the terrorist attack in the Baltic Sea on September 26 of this year. to undermine the Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 gas pipelines, the Defense Ministry said.

PS. It is also worth noting that the photos with smoke that illustrated the attack on Sevastopol were the result of the exercises of the marines https://t.me/boris_rozhin/68685 .

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7942522.html

Remembering Alexis Castillo
October 29, 12:42

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In memory of Alexis Castillo

Alexis Castillo, a Colombian communist who decided to take his place in the struggle after the Odessa tragedy on May 2, 2014, died in the Donbass. His call sign was “Alfonso”, in honor of the legendary FARC partisan commander Alfonso Cano.

Here is what his friend, Portuguese journalist Bruno Amaral de Carvalo, who lives in Donetsk, writes: “We could talk on the phone for hours about everything and nothing. About military operations, about how we would like to see the future, about international politics, about punk bands in Madrid and the Basque Country, and about our favorite dishes. We always said goodbye with the words: "Be careful, brother," as if each conversation could be the last. As if I could no longer confess to him how much I miss cod, as if he could no longer proclaim his arguments for the superiority of rum over vodka. This time everything turned out to be true ... he fell, convinced of the rightness of his fight against fascism. Many mothers on both sides mourn their sons, and there is nothing worse in war than this line of bodies, floating before our eyes… one day we will look from the distance of the wrinkles of time at all these young guys who never got old and never recognized their grandchildren. Today is the night of sobs of Alexis's mother, his wife and with them - so many more in Colombia and Donbass. His beliefs made him give his life for a foreign land that had just become his. Farewell forever, brother."

Colombian President Gustavo Petro wrote: “Alexis, a Colombian who died in Donbass; his revolutionary ideas, perhaps erroneous, or perhaps not, led him to this war with open eyes. A young guy who decided to be a revolutionary died. Revolution is Peace. Our press won't talk about it."

About open eyes, the world and the press - the Petro government has so far supported all anti-Russian international resolutions, invited the CIA to their country "to help fight economic crime" and NATO to the Colombian Amazon "to protect nature." The press won't talk about it any more.

(c) Oleg Yasinsky

https://t.me/olegyasynsky/607 - zinc

Peace be upon you.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7942144.html

Partial mobilization ends
October 28, 21:06

Partial mobilization ends

Due to the achievement of the planned targets for the call of 300,000 people, the notification of citizens about the conduct of partial mobilization is terminated from today.
After the start of partial mobilization, 95,000 people have already been sent to the NWO zone - 82,000 mobilized and 13,000 volunteers.
Another 218,000 mobilized continue to train and coordinate on military training grounds. The declared figure for the mobilization of 300,000 people has been reached. At the current rate of dispatch, we can expect a significant increase in manpower of the RF Armed Forces at the front in the second half of November.

Putin acknowledged the mistakes made during the partial mobilization, pointing out that they were inevitable.

It is necessary to modernize the entire system of work of military registration and enlistment offices, mistakes were inevitable, since mobilization has not been carried out for a long time (c) Putin

The system itself, in the form in which it is being activated now, has not been activated in our country since the time of Stalin. And if in the USSR, before the start of the collapse, it was still maintained in a more or less adequate state, then in the "holy 90s" and later, when "Russia went to the West", if they were engaged in it, then according to the residual principle, since to fight with the West was not supposed, and the war was looked at as conflicts of professional high-tech contract armies in third world countries. There was practically no preparation for a big war in Europe on a front of 1000+ kilometers, which actually requires such measures, which causes many of the problems already identified (not only in mobilization measures). As usual, overcoming problems is already in the process. The fact that the authorities almost immediately recognized the existing jambs, which are objective, that's good. It would be much worse if they pretended that everything was fine. Recognizing mistakes and problems is the first step to fixing them. And even now one can see how a number of problems identified at the beginning of the mobilization have either been eliminated or are in the process of being eliminated. Of course, there are still a lot of problems in terms of supply, organization and coordination. It is impossible to fix a problem that has decades of prerequisites in a month of active work.

The publications in Telegram with the questions “How to check whether 300,000 people were really called up for partial mobilization are smiling a lot? What if the authorities are hiding the TRUTH ?!”

In fact, in war conditions, mobilization issues are a matter of military secrecy and are part of a long-term strategy, where the least of all someone cares about the awareness of bored citizens from the Internet.
And in the conditions of war, any sane state deals with both the issues of concealing important military information and the issues of disinformation of the enemy. Therefore:

1. You can declare that you have scored 300,000, and call for 1,300,000
2. You can claim that you have scored 300,000, and call for 250,000.
3. 250,000 or as many as 1,300,000.
4. You can declare 300,000, call for 300,000 and do nothing beyond that.

This can and should be done both to hide information about the real parameters of mobilization, and to misinform the enemy in order to cause him to underestimate or overestimate the parameters of mobilization. The effectiveness of such measures can have a significant impact on the course and outcome of hostilities.

War is a way of deception. Players with open cards do not live long in this world.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7941870.html

Google Translator

***************

NATO was rehearsing for an amphibious assault on Eastern Ukraine
October 28, 2022 Arnaud Develay

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French Navy’s aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle during mission Clemenceau 21.

From November 18 to December 3, 2021, a NATO maritime exercise was organized by the French Navy (Marine National) off the Mediterranean coast and along France’s Atlantic seafront.

Code-named POLARIS 21, the large-scale simulation aimed to “mobilize all components of the French Navy, including its latest-generation assets, land and air assets from the French Army and Air Force, as well as combat ships and aircraft from France’s partner nations: the United States, Spain, Greece, Italy and the United Kingdom.”

Billed as a “laboratory for tomorrow’s warfare,” POLARIS 21 was to be conducted around what was termed “high-spectrum” military actions, corresponding to the future missions of the French Navy in a hardened strategic context. It in turn completed the preparation of the naval air group before its next operational deployment, which began in February 2022.[1]

The technical file for POLARIS 21 described “Mercure” (the Russian Federation) as the main threat in this war-game simulation.

“Mercure is a huge country straddling North Asia and Europe that forms a federation of 16 autonomous regions with no direct access to the Mediterranean. The legislative power is represented by a parliament of 400 deputies elected by direct universal suffrage for 5 years. There are several political parties all represented in parliament. The executive branch headed by the head of government appointed by the president. The president elected for 6 years. Current president Virgo Medvetine has managed to stay in power for 20 years and has silenced his main opponents. He advocates a strong Mercure and exacerbates the nationalist feeling of the Catharist people…

… Mercure’s foreign policy is expansionist. Leader Mercure seeks to reaffirm his country as a major player on the world stage, after years of self-effacement from the U.S. superpower. Moskulova (capital of Mercure) is today essential in the resolution of the crisis of Mercmania, which could lead to a civil war at any time. The President of Mercure does not hesitate to challenge the Western countries to which he blames the overthrow of the VIOLETA regime in 2011 and the support for OTSOE against the independence of MERCMANIA in 2015. Moskulova could intervene militarily to support the independence of this separatist territory. The ambition of President Virgo Medvetine is to restore the unity of the ‘Catharist world’”[2]

The file goes on to describe MERCMANIA (Crimea) as:

“almost autonomous and the government of Otsoe (UKRAINE) does not really care because there is hardly any exchange with the rest of the country because of the Catharist community. The latter, completely infiltrated, by the mafias who take advantage of its geographical location outside the direct control of Mercure. The secret services of Mercure also use the enclave to settle a few miscellaneous cases outside of any jurisdiction. During the 2015 Mercmania crisis, Otsoe sought diplomatic and military support from Akitania, but with no real success. It was ultimately from the UN and the threat of action by a few members of the Security Council that restrained the ardor of Mercure, which obtained a status quo. It is now an autonomous enclave recognized only by Mercure since 2015. The Septime inhabitants driven out of almost the entire enclave and kept around the edges with Otsoe. As early as 2013, Catharist militias appeared, demanded autonomy, and refused to recognize Otsoe as an official language. The young Catharists refuse their incorporation into the army and join the self-defense forces set up by Mercure’s military secret service. In 2014, the Otsoe government attempted to negotiate a rapprochement with the Catharist majority. The self-appointed parliament of Montluqon (capital of Mercmania) refuses any discussion and officially calls for its attachment to Mercure. In 2015, Mercure paramilitary troops sent by 12 NATO UNCLASS RELEASABLE TO EXERCISE POLARIS 21 plane to Mercmania and established barbed-wire borders. Europe is sending observers who stationed in a sort of buffer zone near Saint-Yorre. Under international pressure, Mercure returns half of its troops and maintains a contingent of 500 men. Mercmania is the cradle of the Catharist royalty of the 9th century and of the orthodox Catharist religion.”

At this point, it is of interest for the reader to recall three notable elements:

a) The first involves the Western refusal to ever recognize the result of the referendum held in Crimea in 2014, which saw the local population vote overwhelmingly in favor of rejoining Russia.

b) The second deals with a naval agreement between Ukraine and the UK that was signed on June 21, 2021, which calls for the United Kingdom “to sell two refurbished Sandown-class mine-hunters to Ukraine and produce eight small missile warships for the country. The Agreement also calls on the United Kingdom to construct a new naval base on the Black Sea as the primary fleet base for the Ukrainian Navy and a base on the Sea of Azov. The agreement [further] provided for the sale of missiles to Ukraine, and for training and support for these.”[3]

c) The last is an incident involving UK warship “HMS Defender” in the Black Sea on June 23, 2021 (two days after the signing of the above-mentioned naval agreement).

Wikipedia recalls the latter incident as follows:

“On 23 June 2021, the United Kingdom’s HMS Defender undertook a freedom of navigation patrol through the disputed waters around the Crimean Peninsula.[6]

In an account partially contradicted by the UK government, the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation and border guards said they fired warning shots from coast guard patrol ships and dropped bombs from a Sukhoi Su-24 attack aircraft in the path of Defender after, according to the Russian Defence Ministry, it had allegedly strayed for about 20 minutes as far as 3 km (2 miles) into waters off the coast of Crimea, which Russia annexed in 2014 in a move mostly unrecognised internationally. The UK military denied any warning shots were fired and said the ship was in innocent passage in Ukraine’s territorial sea, later clarifying that heavy guns were fired three miles astern and could not be considered to be warning shots….

On 27 June, secret documents relating to the passage of HMS Defender through Ukraine’s territorial waters were discovered at a bus stop in Kent. These documents revealed that the Royal Navy considered different hypothetical reactions from Russia in response to the ship’s passage and was prepared for the possibility that Russia may respond in an aggressive manner.” [4]

What are the implications of these events when viewed through the prism of the Russian Federation’s initiating of the Special Military Operation?

The West never recognized the reattachment of Crimea to Russia. It was therefore likely that, not unlike what is transpiring on a regular basis off the western coast of Syria, American Poseidon reconnaissance flights would have gained in frequency in order to probe the coast off the peninsula and supervise the movements of ships based in Sevastopol.

The naval agreement between Ukraine and the United Kingdom was to act as a tripwire. These “Ukrainian” naval bases in the Black and Azov Seas were likely going to be used as hubs for NATO ships to prepare an amphibious assault on the port cities of Odessa and Mariupol while Kyiv was massing ground troops on the western front lines of these regions.

Had Moscow ignored the quickly developing situation, it would have been forced to confront a situation which would have impeded its ability not only to prevent a genocide on its doorstep but also to preserve its own territorial integrity. With NATO warships allowed to roam in the area, time was of the essence and Moscow could not afford not to act.

The POLARIS 21 simulation under these circumstances was likely designed to prepare to engage the Russian fleet before it got the chance (as it did in Syria) to create a buffer zone in order to confront the incoming NATO fleet and thwart its amphibious operation.

This could help explain POLARIS 21’s stated goal of “winning the war before the war.”[5]

1.Martin Manaranche, ”French Navy to Kick Off ‘POLARIS’: Its Largest Ever Exercise,” Naval News, November 16, 2021, https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/20 ... -exercise/
2.http://eurasia-sever.by/wp-content/uplo ... -21-1.pdf↑
3.Alan Tovey, “Ukraine navy deal to boost British shipbuilding,” June 23, 2021, The [London] Telegraph, https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/20 ... pbuilding/; Dan Sabbagh, “UK-Russian naval dispute: both sides will claim victory,” The Guardian, June 23, 2021, https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/202 ... s-concerns; https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-s ... pabilities
4.Lucy Fisher, “Exclusive: Dominic Raab warned MoD about Royal Navy’s Crimea plans,” The Telegraph, June 24, 2021, https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/20 ... mea-plans/; Paul Adams, “Classified Ministry of Defence documents found at bus stop,” BBC News, June 27, 2021, https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-57624942
5.Paul Adams, ”Classified Ministry of Defence documents found at bus stop,” BBC News, June 27, 2021, https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-57624942

https://struggle-la-lucha.org/2022/10/2 ... n-ukraine/

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US Brings World to Brink of Nuclear Armageddon As Europe Self Destructs, w/ Ali Abunimah

The growing risk of nuclear armageddon cannot be ignored
Originally published: The Electronic Intifada on October 26, 2022 by Ali Abunimah (more by The Electronic Intifada) | (Posted Oct 28, 2022)



Ukraine is losing the war and time is on Russia’s side.

You wouldn’t know it from the cheerleading propaganda that has filled Western media for months, but this is a fair conclusion from looking at the fundamentals.

That’s what I told Rania Khalek when I appeared on her BreakThrough News show Dispatches last week to talk about what remains an extremely dangerous crisis.

You can watch it above.

Soon after Moscow invaded Ukraine in February, the United States and the European Union imposed unprecedented sanctions on Russia, confidently predicting that they would turn the ruble into rubble and quickly bring Russia’s economy to its knees.

It hasn’t worked out that way at all.

The Russian currency is at its strongest level in years and Russia’s oil and gas revenues have surged.

Meanwhile, people in Germany scramble for firewood while in Poland many are forced to burn garbage just to stay warm as winter approaches.

Germany, Europe’s manufacturing heartland, faces the prospect of rapid and potentially irreversible deindustrialization due to unaffordable energy prices making its formidable companies globally uncompetitive.

One recent analysis, for instance, predicts that Germany could be forced to cut car production by as much as 40 percent in 2023.

The future looks even more grim after the bombing of the Nord Steam pipeline, almost certainly by the United States or its proxies.

Military miscalculations

Just as U.S. and European leaders grossly miscalculated their economic leverage over Russia, they appear to have overestimated their ability to challenge it militarily using Ukraine as their proxy.

Prominent Western war industry think tanks, such as the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington and the Royal United Services Institute in London are warning that NATO countries have simply run out of conventional weapons to send to Ukraine.


They suggest it would require a massive transformation towards a war economy—possibly taking years—to replace the weapons that have already been sent to Ukraine, let alone to produce enough for a sustained conventional war in Europe.

And as I told Khalek, there’s no sign that such a transformation is currently being attempted, or even could be done amid the growing political and economic crises in the West.

Meanwhile, as I noted in February prior to the invasion, Russia is in a strong position.


It has vast and effectively limitless energy resources, it is one of the world’s top wheat producers and has a formidable military industry.

It is fighting what most Russians would see as an existential war close to home, which means it will be able to mobilize resources and people for a potentially long conflict.

What Russia lacks, especially in manufactured goods, it can obtain from China, which cannot afford to let Russia lose.

Beijing knows that if NATO prevails, it will be vulnerable to the West’s anti-China governments causing trouble for it, not least in Taiwan.

Horrifying possibility
These realities mean that NATO strategy amounts to daydreaming that Russia will run out of munitions, or that a coup in Moscow will replace President Putin.

But there is one other horrifying possibility.

In the absence of a real prospect of an exhausted Ukraine being able to defeat Russia, I told Khalek that there is more and more talk of tactical nuclear weapons—or possibly a “dirty bomb”—being used to try to change the balance on the battlefield or force more Western intervention.

While Western media claim it is Russia threatening to use nuclear weapons, it is Ukraine and its leaders who are pushing in that direction.


Ukraine is only getting more desperate as the Democrats—who have been willing to write check after check to Ukraine—look likely to lose control of Congress in U.S. elections next month.

(Although high-profile right-wing Republicans have been making antiwar noises, those need to be taken with a huge pinch of salt. No matter who wins the elections, the war party always remains in charge in Washington).

No one survives a nuclear war
Any sober analysis would indicate that the way out of this horrible war is what it always was: through high-level negotiations.

This is not only to avert more disaster for Ukraine and its people, but because the chances of a nuclear war, whether intentional or through miscalculation, are simply growing too high.

Recall that the war did not start in February, but in 2014, when the U.S. supported neo-Nazis to carry out a coup in Kiev and sparking the war in the eastern, mostly Russian-speaking Donbas region.

That was the final straw for Russia, which had swallowed several rounds of NATO expansion in violation of Western pledges at the end of the Cold War.

Russia had made clear for years that it would not tolerate Ukraine being turned into a forward NATO base and that Ukraine should remain neutral.

That is still the basis for ending the madness. But instead, there has only been more reckless talk of escalation.

Fear of nuclear war
I told Khalek that in the 1980s, people still lived in the shadow of sudden nuclear destruction, a reality brought home by the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis and the 1983 NATO exercise Able Archer, which the Soviets thought was cover for a real attack.

There was the movie The Day After, which brought to tens of millions of homes the reality that there would be no surviving a nuclear war and the nuclear winter that would follow.

All these fears motivated mass anti-nuclear movements in Europe, including the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament, the Greenham Common Women’s Peace Camp and the massive anti-nuclear movement in Germany.

These movements helped bring about the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces treaty which eliminated thousands of shorter range nuclear weapons from the European continent.

The United States withdrew from the treaty in 2019, just as it withdrew from the landmark Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2002.

That treaty banned national anti-missile defense systems that could undermine the grim logic of Mutually Assured Destruction—the guarantee that if one superpower attacked the other the response would be so costly that no one would ever dare launch a nuclear first strike.


Sobering up?

In Europe there appears to be no leadership or even an intellectual class willing or able to stand up to a war-crazed consensus bent on inflicting suffering on the continent’s people in order to support a clique in Kiev motivated by a 1940s-style Nazi ideology.

Germany, the most powerful European country, has rolled over as its ostensible ally, the United States, almost certainly bombed its key energy pipeline.

Instead of standing up for their own peoples’ interests, European leaders, increasingly detached from any democratic accountability, comfort themselves that they live in a garden, while the rest of the world is a jungle—an attitude as delusional and dangerous as it is racist and colonialist.

There are some glimmers of sobering up.

French President Emmanuel Macron has publicly voiced the growing resentment at how Europe—having been cut off from cheap and plentiful Russian energy supplies—is being price-gouged by U.S. energy producers.

American intelligence agencies, through their mouthpieces such as The New York Times are now starting to signal that Ukraine has “little chance” of defeating Russia on the battlefield.

And several dozen Democratic lawmakers wrote to President Biden with a timid call for negotiations with Russia.

But at the first whiff of pushback from the war party, the lawmakers—many among them alleged progressives—withdrew the letter urging a ceasefire in Ukraine in a show of spinelessness astonishing even for Democrats.

Still, even if these hairline cracks in the pro-war camp aren’t enough to force a change now, they are likely to grow.

With the threat of nuclear destruction only becoming more real, any signs of hope are welcome.

https://mronline.org/2022/10/28/the-gro ... e-ignored/

******

From Cassad's Telegram account:

***

Colonelcassad
Special operation, 28 October. The main thing from RIA Novosti :

◾️Shoigu reported to Putin on the completion of partial mobilization in the country

◾️the task of conscripting 300 thousand people has been completed, no additional tasks are planned, the recruitment of troops will continue only at the expense of volunteers and contractors, Shoigu said

◾️Putin announced the need to modernize the entire system of military registration and enlistment offices

◾️Russian aviation, missile troops and artillery destroyed five ammunition depots of the Ukrainian military in the DPR, Kherson region and Nikolaev, the Russian Defense Ministry reported

◾️Russian air defense systems shot down a Ukrainian Mi-8 helicopter, six HIMARS and Uragan MLRS shells and three drones

◾️in the LPR, DPR and Kharkiv region, Russian troops destroyed more than 230 Ukrainian soldiers in a day, and more than 180 in the Nikolaev-Krivoy Rog direction

◾️The Russian Foreign Ministry reported that more than 70 vessels were detained, and some removed, during the implementation of the Ukrainian part of the food deal due to systematic violations and attempts to smuggle in caches

◾️US allocates new $275 million military aid package to Ukraine, Pentagon says

◾️US Secretary of State Blinken said Washington is working on delivering two NASAMS air defense systems to Kyiv in November

**************

Colonelcassad
📌 Chronicle of the special military operation
for October 28, 2022

🔻Belgorod region

▪️Ukrainian formations fired at the village of Krasnoye in the Shebekinsky district of the Belgorod region, there were no wounded or injured.

🔻Starobelsk direction ( map ):

▪️There are no significant changes in the Kupyansky sector , artillery duels are taking place along the line of contact.

▪️In the Svatovsky sector , the enemy attempted an attack on Kuzemovka, however, having lost about 10 pieces of equipment, he retreated to the Berestovoye area.

▪️On the Limansky sector , Ukrainian formations attempted to storm Krasnopopovka from the side of Nevsky, but on the march they got into the fire bag of 252 infantry regiments of the 20th combined arms army. Having suffered significant losses, the enemy retreated to positions near the eastern bank of the Stallion .

However, in this sector, the Armed Forces of Ukraine retain significant reserves in the form of 6 armored personnel carriers , which allows the enemy to carry out attacks, regardless of losses.

▪️Artillery duels are taking place in the Lisichansky sector in the area of ​​Belogorovka and Grigorovka .

🔻Soledar direction:

▪️There are no significant changes in the situation at the front. There are fights on the eastern outskirts of Bakhmut , in the suburbs near the asphalt plant, as well as on the outskirts of Opytny and Soledar.

🔻Donetsk direction:

▪️After a temporary lull in the night, the enemy again fired at Donetsk, Makeevka, Yasinovataya and Gorlovka , there are victims among civilians.

🔻Lugansk People's Republic:

▪️During the night, Ukrainian formations shelled Pervomaisk, damaging civilian infrastructure in the city.

As a result of the shelling, a young woman died, her child was left an orphan.

🔻Zaporozhye direction:

▪️The Armed Forces of Ukraine attempted to storm the positions of the RF Armed Forces on the heights near Vremyevka, but the attack ended in failure: the enemy retreated, having suffered losses in manpower and equipment.

🔻Dnipropetrovsk region

▪️The RF Armed Forces carried out repeated strikes on enemy targets in Pavlograd. At the same time, Russian artillery worked on targets in Nikopol.

🔻Southern Front: Nikolaevsko-Berislavskoe direction

▪️At night, the RF Armed Forces attacked enemy positions in Nikolaev, Davydov Brod and Bereznegovat.

▪️The Armed Forces of Ukraine, in turn, fired at Novaya Kakhovka, Kherson, Bolshaya and Malaya Lepetikha . Most of the shells were intercepted by air defense systems.

***

forwarded from
Voenkor Kitten Z
Military expert Boris Rozhin on the main points during the special military operation of the Russian Federation in Ukraine at 22.54 Moscow time on October 28, 2022, specially for the Voenkor Kotenok Z @voenkorKotenok channel :

1. Donetsk direction.

Fights for Pervomaiskoye continue . The pace of progress is low. Enemy attempts to counterattack in the area of ​​the DAP and Vremyevka were repelled .
In the Marinka area - no changes. In general, positional tendencies dominate here. The enemy also continues to shell the Donetsk agglomeration.

2. Artemovsk direction. Fights continue for the fortified area in Experienced . The village itself is under the Armed Forces of Ukraine.


There are fights in the industrial area on the eastern outskirts of Artemovsk . The asphalt plant near Veselaya Dolina is controlled by Wagner PMC.
The enemy, at the expense of reserves collected in Chasov Yar , made limited counterattacks in the Kurdyumovka area. Frontline changes here are minimal.

3. Soledar-Seversk.

The front here has completely switched to positional warfare. The pace of advancement in Soledar is low. The enemy periodically counterattacks north of Soledar .
Ours are pressing on Belogorovka .
In the area of ​​​​disputed - positional battles.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine have not yet given up hope of trying to break through to the Lisichansk Oil Refinery and Novodruzhesk .

4. Svatovo-Kremennaya.

In the Krasnolimansky direction, fighting is underway in the area of ​​​​Terna and Torskoye . The enemy has strengthened his grouping here.
Torskoye - under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The enemy did not refuse
plans to throw to the Svatovo-Kremennaya highway. Fighting continues to the west and north-west, where in some areas our troops pushed the APU a little, but in general, the main task here so far is to stabilize the front, as the enemy continues to try to break through the front to the north-west of Svatovo due to available reserves .

5. Kherson direction.

The enemy launched a series of attacks on the Krivoy Rog and Nikopol directions. Didn't succeed, suffered losses. In general, the situation on the front line is still quite stable, despite rumors about a possible withdrawal of Russian troops across the Dnieper .
The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine declares that Russia, on the contrary, is preparing Kherson for defense.

***

Colonelcassad

Image

The situation in the Starobelsky direction
as of 16.00 October 28, 2022

🔻In the Kupyansk sector, the enemy does not take active offensive actions. Artillery duels are taking place along the line of contact.

🔻In the Svatovsky sector, the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine lost part of the territories in the Kuzemovka area and retreated to Berestovoye .

▪️From the Berestovoye area , a reinforced enemy battalion made another attempt to attack Kuzemovka. After the loss of more than 10 armored vehicles, the Armed Forces of Ukraine retreated to their original positions.

🔻On the Limansky sector, the Ukrainians daily make attacks in the direction of Krasnonopopovka with the forces of 2 battalion tactical groups, reinforced with armored vehicles.

▪️During another assault attempt, the enemy came under attack from Russian artillery and army aviation, after which he retreated back to the bridgehead near the Zherebets River.

▪️The Armed Forces of Ukraine still have a reserve of at least 6 battalion tactical groups at their disposal. This still allows the Ukrainian command to rotate and try to wear down the defense of the RF Armed Forces, regardless of their own losses.

🔻There are no significant changes in the front lines in the Lisichansk sector. The RF Armed Forces are continuously shelling the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Belogorovka and Grigorovka.

***

Colonelcassad
Official losses of the Donetsk People's Republic from January 1 to October 27, 2022.

Military

Killed - 3539
Wounded 14989

Civilians

Killed - 1014
Wounded - 3265

Total

Killed - 4553
Wounded - 18254

https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin

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"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Sat Oct 29, 2022 10:38 pm

Drone Attack On Sevastopol

This morning at 4:20 local time the Russian fleet in the Crimean port of Sevastopol was attacked by nine unmanned aerial vehicles and seven autonomous maritime drones. Earlier a maritime drone that had run aground in Crimea and had been found and pictured.

Image

During today's attack a large U.S. drone had flown circles south of Crimea. It likely relayed data from and to the drones.

The maritime drones are British and Russia alleges that British specialists had trained the Ukrainian navy in using them. It also says that British soldiers were involved in the attack on the Nord Stream pipeline.

The Ukrainians published two videos shot by the maritime drones while attacking. One of the video shows extensive gun fire impacts near the drone from a Russian helicopter that is attacking it.

The Russians say that all the aerial drones and 4 of 7 maritime drones were defeated before they could caused damage. They also say that one mine seeking ship was damaged in the harbor. It is possible that the damage is greater than Russia admits.

As a consequence of the attack Russia declared that the deal which allowed for grain exports from Odessa has been suspended. That deal had already been in danger as the 'west' had not fulfilled its part of the deal which would have allowed for the export for Russian fertilizer to third parties.

I find it likely that Russia will take additional measures to punish the Ukrainian navy for the brazen attack. Additional attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure is another possibility.

Meanwhile all recent attempts by the Ukrainian army to penetrate the Russian held lines have failed. It is notable that these are now much smaller in size with just a battalion or in some cases just two companies in the lead.

It is now definitely mud season in Ukraine during which it is impossible to cross most farmland even on feet. This will hinder the attacking forces on both sides until winter sets in.

Posted by b on October 29, 2022 at 16:24 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/10/d ... l#comments

**************

STAB IN THE BACK – NOT ONE INCH BUT RIGHT TO THE HEART

Image

By John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

“Not One Inch” is the title of a new book by American historian Mary Sarotte after the notorious promise which US Secretary of State James Baker (lead image, 2nd from right) gave Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev (left) in 1990, and which now has come to its final test on the battlefields of World War III against Russia.

The work was recently awarded the Pushkin House prize for best book of the year, which is not less promising than Baker was. This is because Pushkin House is a London propaganda agency on the side against Russia. The publisher of the book is Yale University which has been printing a stream of Russia warfighting tracts for years.

Sarotte acknowledges the principal sources for her version of the story are Baker himself – “[he] generously allowed me to access the collection of his papers that he had donated to Princeton University, including documents from crucial meetings in Moscow in 1990” – together with the Bush and Clinton presidential libraries. Out of what Sarotte counts as “more than a hundred participants in events”, the only Russian source she reports consulting in Moscow was the Gorbachev Fund archive and four Russians she says she spoke to: they are Yeltsin-government officials in retirement like ex-foreign minister Andrei Kozyrev living in the US where he “has asked [to] keep his exact location off the record.”

The money to pay Sarotte she says she received from the Henry Kravis fund created from his tax-deductible KKR investment dividends; the German Foreign Ministry through the German Marshall Fund; the US State Department; the US Agency for International Development; and the US Embassy in Moscow.

Following this money trail to Sarotte’s conclusion one inch from the end of her book, she reports having discovered that for the future of Europe, “European security remains centered on Washington. US withdrawal would create a massive security vacuum in Europe… The Atlantic Alliance, as an expression of deep American engagement in Europe, remains the best institution to take on this mission.” To respond to what she calls President Vladimir Putin’s “violent aggression” against Georgia and the Ukraine, she recommends “putting out the fire and keeping the structure stable.”

With NATO war-fighting talk like this, why read on?

Because Sarotte provides fresh proof of the stab in the back for the Kremlin and the Soviet Union in 1990, and consequently for the Russians fighting today; and because Sarotte has revealed whose hand wielded the dagger – Gorbachev’s.

From her uncovering of official German and US records, Sarotte credits Chancellor Helmut Kohl (3rd from right) and his staff, along with Baker and the White House staff of President George Bush (extreme right) with outsmarting the Russians. In fact, her records show the Russians knew what the NATO game was, anticipated their every move, were prepared in advance, played them off against each other, the Germans against the Americans, who – they admitted to themselves – had no comparable idea of what the Russians were thinking.

They didn’t need to. Gorbachev saw to that. As quoted and retold, the records also reveal it was Gorbachev who refused and rejected every position the Politburo, the KGB, Marshal Sergei Akhromeyev, the Foreign Ministry and the Central Committee’s experts on Germany had advised, recommended, decided.

The stab in the back came from Gorbachev: the Russians knew it then, they knew later; they know it now. But Sarotte doesn’t understand the Russian meaning of what she’s written, or the implications for the way the Stavka is directing the war today.

Image
Left: President Gorbachev meeting Secretary of State Baker at the Kremlin in Moscow, February 9, 1990. The Russian behind Gorbachev was his interpreter, Pavel Palazhchenko. Right: the cover of Sarotte’s book with the subtitle indicating “stalemate”.

Out of the Berlin and Washington records and interviews Sarotte has conducted, she judges Kohl, his national security adviser Horst Teltschik, Bush, his national security adviser General Brent Scowcroft, and Baker, to have been the masters of their Russian counterparts. Arithmetically it appears to be so in the book – Scowcroft is mentioned 185 times; Teltschik 97 times. Their Russian counterparts, Marshal Akhromeyev, Gorbachev’s military advisor, 5 times; Valentin Falin, head of the Central Committee’s International Department and principal negotiator on Germany, 90 times.

Falin lived in Hamburg between 1992 and 2000 and died in Moscow in 2018, but he was ignored during Sarotte’s research interviewing, just as Gorbachev had ignored him during the negotiations over Germany in 1989-91. Sarotte quotes from Falin’s 1997 memoir in German: “On February 10 the unification of Germany was announced as, de facto, an already completed task without any conditions, without clearing up the connection to the foreign aspects.”

“This carelessness” — Sarotte quotes Falin, interpreting him as speaking literally of Gorbachev, not euphemistically — “will take its revenge on us.” Sarotte missed the subtlety; as a source Sarotte dismisses Falin as “combative”, “disgruntled”, “sarcastic”, and “bitter”. What she claims to know about him came, she has footnoted, from the archive of former Chancellor Willy Brandt.

Sarotte provides enough of a record, however, to reveal that in addition to Falin, Vladimir Kryuchkov, head of the KGB, Akhromeyev, even Foreign Minister Eduard Shevardnadze were very clear in their understanding of what the Germans and Americans were planning, and what Gorbachev should do in response. They told Gorbachev many times over in case he was hard of hearing. He wasn’t. Sarotte relies on Scowcroft to have realised their opposition to Gorbachev’s line at the negotiations as “an insurrection in real time” and “the most remarkable I have ever seen.”

Compared to Scowcroft, Sarotte is uncomprehending. Towards Akhromeyev she is discreditably stupid. “He increasingly began to oppose Gorbachev, offering his support to the leaders of the coup attempt that would take place a little over a year later. When it failed, he took his own life.” Sarotte calls this Akhromeyev’s “downward slide”, adding contemptuously of his suicide note that it “was addressed to no one”.

“No one” – that’s Sarotte’s guess: no source, no footnote, no comprehension of the note’s Russian language, no interest in the sequence of events preceding when Akhromeyev had participated in the plan to put a stop to Gorbachev’s scheming; no conception that Akhromeyev was addressing his successors on the Stavka today.

The point Sarotte misses completely — the Russian point — is how Gorbachev’s betrayal escaped his colleagues when they realised it full well; and why they decided not to eliminate him at the Foros dacha in Crimea when they could have done in August 1991, and when Gorbachev’s wife, Raisa Gorbacheva, expected them to do.

Quite another point: the mentality which Sarotte lets slip towards Akhromeyev explains why this war is being fought now by the Russians the way it is, and the way it will be – and also why Sarotte’s side remain as uncomprehending in real time forward as she is towards the past.

How did Gorbachev agree to the US terms over the unanimous advice of his advisers and ministers? Why did he accept the “not one inch” undertaking from the US when no other Russian official did? And why did he agree to withdrawing the Soviet military forces from Germany without reciprocal US troop and nuclear arms withdrawals, thereby preventing the Soviets from having the counterforce to ensure Baker’s promise was kept?

In Sarotte’s retelling of the story, the secret assessment of the German Foreign Minister Hans-Dietrich Genscher, dated January 12, 1990 – one month before the fateful Baker promise to Gorbachev – was that “Moscow was undecided as to what to do next”. According to Sarotte, it was also the American view that “Gorbachev himself apparently did not yet know what he wanted and both Washington and Bonn noticed this indecisiveness.”

The alternative Russian reading is that the Americans and Germans were in the dark. She quotes White House intelligence assessments that the Soviet leadership was losing its will, desperate for cash and food loans from the west, and panicking. They had begun to view Gorbachev as susceptible to entrapment, their target to exploit. So that’s what the Americans did – and Gorbachev did as the knowing men on both sides anticipated.

At the end of January 1990, Falin had articulated the consensus position of the Foreign Ministry, the Defense Ministry, the General Staff, the KGB, the Politburo, and the Central Committee that the reunification of Germany would be acceptable on condition the new state was neutral between NATO and the Warsaw Pact, the west and the east. That meant the simultaneous withdrawal of both the Soviet and US and British armies from German territory. It meant exclusion of Germany from NATO.

Gorbachev responded by punishing the messenger – he excluded Falin from his meetings with the Americans and the personal circle of his advisers — while concealing from them that he had decided to ignore the message. On January 27, Gorbachev was two weeks away from telling Baker, then Kohl, then Genscher that he would accept their word and allow reunification without conditions. He told Kryuchkov, according to Sarotte’s record, that “the presence of our troops will not allow that”; Gorbachev was implying Soviet forces would remain in the reunified state as a guarantee of neutrality. “No one should count on the united Germany joining NATO”.

The indecisiveness on the Russian side at that point was how far to trust what Gorbachev was telling his chiefs, ministers and staff. Sarotte relies on the diary record of Anatoly Chernyaev, officially Gorbachev’s foreign policy advisor at the time. He was one of the few Gorbachev trusties then and later. Chernyaev’s diaries he donated himself to George Washington University in Washington, DC. “Unlike the combative Falin,” Sarotte has written, “Chernyaev was resigned to German reunification”. What she means is what she, the Americans and Germans believed they could get out of Gorbachev – reunification inside NATO, Soviet troops to withdraw, US troops to stay.

This was Gorbachev’s stab in the back; Chernyaev was his loyal accomplice.

On February 7, 1990, as Baker was arriving in Moscow, Scowcroft’s deputy on the National Security Council, Robert Blackwill wrote a note to Scowcroft that it was “the Beginning of the Big Game [his capitalization]…there is a good chance that Gorbachev will give Kohl his bottom line on German unification.” How to stop Kohl and the Germans from agreeing if Gorbachev stuck to the neutrality-troop withdrawal conditions — Blackwill told Scowcroft. The answer was first to make clear and certain to the Germans that the US would not tolerate such a deal because it “would forfeit the prime assets that have made the United States a postwar European power.”

The second point was in Baker’s guidance which he took into the Kremlin talks with Gorbachev — this was that the Germans could be compelled, so Gorbachev had to be suckered. The record reported by Sarotte shows that Baker tried the tactic on Shevardnadze beforehand, proposing on February 7 with calculated hypothetical in a subjunctive tense whether there “might be an outcome that would guarantee that there would no NATO forces in the eastern part of Germany. In fact, there would be an absolute ban on that.”

Of course, Baker understood, as Shevardnadze could not have missed, that this left US forces with nuclear weapons in western Germany. Sarotte quotes from Baker’s “generously” provided handwritten notes: “End result: Unified Ger. Anchored in a * changed (polit) NATO– * whose juris. would not move * eastward!” The stars and exclamation point were Baker’s marks of his confidence in his ploy.

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The fateful meeting between Baker and Gorbachev followed two days later on February 9. Sarotte reports no record of what transpired on the day in between, Thursday February 8.

Instead, she reports what Baker told Bush in a memorandum dated that day, summarizing what had been said in the meeting with Shevardnadze the day before. She also reports what White House officials led by Scowcroft agreed with Bush, in order to make sure Kohl stuck to the US line on keeping Germany inside NATO with US troops and nuclear weapons. Between Scowcroft and Bush that meant “keep[ing] the lid from blowing off in the months ahead.” Scowcroft wanted to send a man to tell Kohl before he was scheduled to arrive in Moscow after Baker departed. Baker stopped Scowcroft’s move. He thought he had the better measure of Gorbachev; he didn’t trust Scowcroft with Kohl. As Sarotte reports her own judgement: “the two men [Baker and Scowcroft] balanced each other temperamentally, with Baker inclined to push for action and Scowcroft inclined to consider all consequences carefully.”

The truth of the matter — if Sarotte had understood Scowcroft and met him more than once — was that as a military officer he had a much better grasp of the way the Russians were thinking than Baker. Baker was the lawyer tactician; he was more confident his hypothetical subjective ploy would trick Gorbachev, as it had Shevardnadze, than Scowcroft was confident that even if tactically tricked, Gorbachev would succeed in imposing a strategy of deception on his own people.

Not a single Russian record of February 8, 1990, has been identified in 313 pages of Sarotte’s footnotes and references. She failed to look for Shevardnadze’s memorandum of the Baker conversation; she asked no other Russian participant; she didn’t find in the Gorbachev archive the briefing papers he was given during the intervening day. She ignored Gorbachev himself, then still loquacious with his trusted American friends Stephen Cohen and William Taubman; Sarotte ignored them too.

Image
Gorbachev with his two American spokesmen, left with Stephen Cohen, 2011; right, with William Taubman in 2018. For more on Taubman’s version of Gorbachev’s story, read this.

Baker opened with the hypothetical: if the Russians insisted on troop and nuclear weapons withdrawal from Germany and reunification with neutrality, the Germans might resume Adolph Hitler’s old ambition and “create [their] own nuclear potential” after NATO withdrew. “Would you prefer”, he said to Gorbachev, “to see a unified Germany outside of NATO, independent, and with no US forces, or would you prefer a unified Germany to be tied to NATO with assurances that NATO’s jurisdiction would not shift one inch eastward from its present position?”

This was a patsy punch. There wasn’t a single Russian at the table who believed that Baker’s, or Bush’s, or any US assurance at all could be accepted and trusted unless the Soviet military retained its counterforce in Germany, including nuclear weapons. But Gorbachev decided otherwise. Aloud, for their hearing, he replied — reports Sarotte — “any expansion of the ‘zone of NATO’ was not acceptable. Baker responded: ‘we agree with that’.”

Of course Baker did. Of course, Gorbachev would say at the time and repeat until his death that he had accepted the US promise of “not one inch”. But every other Russian at the table, especially Akhromeyev, realised that Gorbachev had accepted the reunified Germany would remain inside the “zone of NATO”; and with that, Gorbachev had begun the process of withdrawing all Soviet forces to the Russian border, leaving US forces and the nuclear arms inside Germany, and allowing their proxies, including the Germans, to move eastward.

On February 9 Akhromeyev and Kryuchkov knew that “not one inch eastward” was not the only US undertaking which was worthless. Sarotte records finding in a National Security Agency (NSA) file a memorandum of conversation by Robert Gates of his meeting with Kryuchkov during the afternoon of February 9. The KGB chief told Gates he rejected Baker’s hypothetical, dismissed reunification of Germany for some time to come, and warned that Gorbachev was on his own, having taken “an important and even dangerous turn”. Gates recorded being “amazed” that Kryuchkov was “openly opposing Gorbachev in a meeting with a senior American official.”

Gates and his superiors up the line to Bush then decided not to meet Kryuchkov again. Gorbachev had become their man. Their strategy was to protect him for long enough to fulfil their objectives, and then get rid of him. That, they had already decided, was Boris Yeltsin’s assignment.

Sarotte reports the Americans and Germans were cock-a-hoop. “Bush and Kohl needed,” she concluded, “to persuade Gorbachev to give up his legal [sic] right to keep troops in divided Germany. While doing so, they needed to avoid undermining Gorbachev so much that it might hasten the storm that Kohl feared: a coup that would topple the Soviet leader before he blessed reunification. As Baker put it, ‘ensuring a unified Germany in NATO’ would ‘require every ounce of our skills in the months to come.’ He was more right than he knew.”

That’s another of Sarotte’s faulty ideas. By the time in August 1991, when Kryuchkov and Akhromeyev had the opportunity to remove Gorbachev for his betrayal, Yeltsin delivered on the first part of his assignment by rallying support for Gorbachev in Moscow; four months later he delivered the second part – the coup the US backed, not the one Kohl had been afraid of. Not US nor German skills, but the betrayals of Gorbachev and Yeltsin delivered the outcome they were hoping for.

This is how the President of Russia, the Defence and Foreign Ministers, the General Staff, the intelligence agencies – the Stavka – understand the history and judge US assurances to be worth today. Not to understand these things is not to understand why we are at war.

Why didn’t Akhromeyev and Kryuchkov get rid of Gorbachev when they could have in 1990, or in August 1991 at Foros? That’s another story. Not to be told here yet.

What can be said is what Akhromeyev’s last words mean. “I cannot live when my fatherland is dying and everything that has been the meaning of my life is crumbling. Age and the life that I have lived give me the right to step out of this life. I struggled until the end.” The end for the marshal came on August 24, 1991. Almost thirty-one years later, on February 24, 2022, Putin and the Stavka decided they did not have the right to step out of this life, and that faced with the war Germany has been planning since the Third Reich, and the US since 1945, Russia would not commit suicide.

http://johnhelmer.net/stab-in-the-back- ... more-69049

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Ukraine: War, Propaganda, and Blindness
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 28, 2022
Thierry Meyssan

Propaganda makes you stupid. We know that the Ukrainian integral nationalists have committed abominable massacres, especially during the Second World War. But we don’t know what they have been doing on our doorstep for the last thirty years, including the civil war they have been waging for the last eight years. Our own stupidity allows us to endure the war cries of our political leaders on the side of these criminals.

When war comes, governments always believe that they must boost the morale of their people by showering them with propaganda. The stakes are so high, life and death, that debates get tougher and extremist positions become popular. This is exactly what we are witnessing, or rather how we are being transformed. In this game, the ideas defended by some and others have nothing to do with their ideological presuppositions, but with their proximity to power

In the etymological sense, propaganda is just the art of convincing, of propagating ideas. But in modern times, it is an art that aims at reconstructing reality in order to denigrate the adversary and magnify one’s own troops.

Contrary to a widespread idea in the West, it was not the Nazis or the Soviets who invented it, but the British and the Americans during the First World War [1].

Today, Nato coordinates efforts in this area from its Strategic Communication Centre in Riga, Latvia [2]. It identifies the points on which it wants to act and organizes international programs to carry them out.

For example, NATO has identified Israel as a weak point: while former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was a personal friend of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, his successor, Naftali Bennett, recognized the validity of Russian policy. He even advised the return of Crimea and Donbass and, above all, the denazification of Ukraine. The current Prime Minister, Yair Lapid, is more hesitant. He does not want to support the fundamentalist nationalists who massacred a million Jews shortly before and during the Second World War. But he also wants to stay on good terms with the West.

To bring Israel back into line, Nato is trying to persuade Tel Aviv that in case of a Russian victory, Israel would lose its position in the Middle East [3]. To this end, it is spreading the lie that Iran is Russia’s military ally as widely as possible. The international press is constantly claiming that Russian drones are Iranian on the battlefield, and soon the medium-range missiles will be too. Yet Moscow knows how to manufacture these weapons and has never asked Tehran for them. Russia and Iran have repeatedly denied these allegations. But Western politicians, relying on the press and not on mere reflection, have already imposed sanctions on Iranian arms dealers. Soon Yair Lapid, son of the president of the Yad Vashem memorial, will be surrounded and forced to side with the criminals.

The British, on the other hand, traditionally excel in activating networked media and enlisting artists. MI6 relies on a group of 150 news agencies working within the PR Network [4]. They convince all these companies to take up their imputations and slogans.

They are the ones who successively convinced you that President Vladimir Putin was dying, then that he had gone mad, or that he was facing strong opposition at home and that he would be overthrown by a coup. Their work continues today with cross interviews with soldiers in Ukraine. You hear Ukrainian soldiers say they are nationalists and Russian soldiers say they are afraid but must defend Russia. You hear that Ukrainians are not Nazis and that Russians, living under a dictatorship, are forced to fight. In reality, most Ukrainian soldiers are not “nationalists” in the sense of defenders of their homeland, but “integral nationalists” in the sense of two poets, Charles Maurras and Dmytro Dontsov [5]. This is not the same thing at all.

It was only in 1925 that Pope Pius XI condemned “integral nationalism”. At that time Dontsov had already written his Націоналізм (Nationalism) (1921). Maurras and Dontsov defined the nation as a tradition and thought their nationalism against others (Maurras against Germans and Dontsov against Russians). Both abhorred the French Revolution, the principles of Liberty, Equality and Fraternity and denounced Jews and Freemasons relentlessly. They consider religion as useful for the organization of society, but seem agnostic. These positions lead Maurras to become a Petainist and Dontsov a Hitlerian. The latter will sink into a varègue (Swedish Viking) mystical delirium. The next pope, Pius XII, repealed the condemnation of his predecessor, just before the war broke out. At the liberation, Maurras was condemned for intelligence with the enemy (he was a Germanophobe), but Dontsov was recuperated by the Anglo-Saxon secret services and exiled to Canada, then to the USA.

As for the Russian soldiers we see interviewed on our TV news, they do not tell us that they are forced to fight, but, unlike the integral nationalists, they are not fanatics. For them, war, even when defending their own, is always a horror. It is because we are repeatedly told that Russia is a dictatorship that we understand something else. We do not accept that Russia is a democracy because, for us, a democracy cannot be an authoritarian regime. Yet, for example, the Second French Republic (1848-1852) was both a democracy and an authoritarian regime.

We are easy to convince because we know nothing about Ukrainian history and culture. The most we know is that Novorossia was ruled by a French aristocrat, Armand-Emmanuel du Plessis de Richelieu, a personal friend of Tsar Alexander I. He continued the work of the Prince of Ukraine. He continued the work of Prince Grigori Potemkin who wanted to build this region on the model of Athens and Rome, which explains why today Novorossia is still of Russian culture (and not Ukrainian) without ever having known serfdom.

We in Ukraine are unaware of the atrocities of the interwar period and the Second World War, and have a vague idea of the violence of the USSR. We ignore that the theoretician Dontsov and his disciple Stepan Bandera did not hesitate to massacre all those who did not correspond to their “integral nationalism”, first the Jews in this Khazar country, then the Russians and the Communists, the anarchists of Nestor Makhno, and many others. The “integral nationalists”, who had become admirers of the Führer and deeply racist, returned to the forefront with the dissolution of the USSR [6]. On May 6, 1995, President Leonid Kuchma went to Munich (to the CIA offices) to meet with the leader of the integral nationalists, Steva Stesko, the widow of the Nazi prime minister. She had just been elected to the Verkhovna Rada (Parliament), but had not been able to take her seat because she had been stripped of her Ukrainian citizenship. A month later, Ukraine adopted its current constitution, which states in its Article 16 that “preserving the genetic heritage of the Ukrainian people is the responsibility of the state” (sic). Subsequently, the same Steva Stetsko twice opened the session of the Rada, concluding her speeches with the war cry of the integral nationalists: “Glory to Ukraine!

Modern Ukraine has patiently built its Nazi regime. After proclaiming the “genetic heritage of the Ukrainian people”, it enacted various laws. The first one grants the benefit of human rights by the state only to Ukrainians, not to foreigners. The second defines who the majority of Ukrainians are, and the third (enacted by President Zelensky) who the minorities are. The trick is that no law speaks about Russian speakers. Therefore, by default, the courts do not recognize them the benefit of human rights.

Since 2014, a civil war has pitted the integral nationalists against the Russian-speaking populations, mainly those of Crimea and Donbass. 20,000 deaths later, the Russian Federation, applying its “responsibility to protect,” launched a special military operation to implement Security Council Resolution 2202 (Minsk Agreements) and end the martyrdom of Russian speakers.

President Zelensky and his friend, Benjamin Netanyahu. The latter is now making support for Ukraine his main election campaign theme. Netanyahu is the son of the private secretary of Zeev Jabotinsky, a Ukrainian figure who allied with the mainstream nationalists against the Bolsheviks. He tried to put the Ukrainian Jewish community at the service of these anti-Semites, but was unanimously denounced within the World Zionist Organization, of which he became a director.

Nato propaganda tells us about the real sufferings of the Ukrainians, but it does not mention the eight years of torture, murder and massacres that preceded it. It talks about “our common values with Ukrainian democracy”, but what values do we share with the integral nationalists and where is the democracy in Ukraine?

We do not have to choose between one or the other, but only to defend peace and therefore the Minsk Agreements and resolution 2202.

War drives us crazy. There is a reversal of values. The most extremist triumph. Some of our ministers speak of “stifling Russia” (sic). We do not see that we are supporting the very ideas we believe we are fighting against.

Translation by Roger Lagassé

Notes:

[1] “The techniques of modern military propaganda”, by Thierry Meyssan, Translation Pete Kimberley, Voltaire Network, 18 May 2016.

[2] “The NATO campaign against freedom of expression”, by Thierry Meyssan, Translation Pete Kimberley, Voltaire Network, 5 December 2016.

[3] «Iran, Israel and Russia», Voltaire, international news N°11, 21 October 2022.

[4] “Anti-Russian War Propaganda Network”, Voltaire Network, 26 March 2022.

[5] “The ideology of the banderists”, by Thierry Meyssan, Translation Roger Lagassé, Voltaire Network, 21 June 2022.

[6] “Ukraine : the Second World War continues”, by Thierry Meyssan, Translation Roger Lagassé, Voltaire Network, 26 April 2022.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/10/ ... blindness/

Putin: ‘The Situation Is, to a Certain Extent, Revolutionary’
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 28, 2022
Pepe Escobar

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In an all-encompassing address to the plenary session of the 19th annual meeting of the Valdai Club, President Putin delivered no less than a devastating, multi-layered critique of unipolarity.

From Shakespeare to the assassination of Gen Soleimani; from musings on spirituality to the structure of the UN; from Eurasia as the cradle of human civilization to the interconnection of BRI, SCO and the INSTC; from nuclear dangers to that peripheral peninsula of Eurasia “blinded by the idea that Europeans are better than others”, the address painted a Brueghel-esque canvas of the “historical milestone” facing us, in the middle of “the most dangerous decade since the end of WWII.”

Putin even ventured that, in the words of the classics, “the situation is, to a certain extent, revolutionary” as “the upper classes cannot, and the lower classes do not want to live like this anymore”. So everything is in play, as “the future of the new world order is being shaped before our eyes.”

Way beyond a catchy slogan about the game the West is playing, “bloody, dangerous and dirty”, the address and Putin’s interventions at the subsequent Q&A should be analyzed as a coherent vision of past, present and future. Here we offer just a few of the highlights:

“The world is witnessing the degradation of world institutions, the erosion of the principle of collective security, the substitution of international law for ‘rules’”.

“Even at the height of the Cold War, nobody denied the existence of the culture and art of the Other. In the West, any alternative point of view is declared subversive.”

“The Nazis burned books. Now the Western fathers of ‘liberalism’ are banning Dostoevsky.”

“There are at least two ‘Wests’. The first is traditional, with a rich culture. The second is aggressive and colonial.”

“Russia has not and does not consider itself an enemy of the West.

Russia tried to build relations with the West and NATO – to live together in peace and harmony. Their response to all cooperation was simply ‘no’.”

“We do not need a nuclear strike on Ukraine, there is no point – neither political nor military.”

“In part” the situation between Russia and Ukraine can be considered a civil war: “When creating Ukraine, the Bolsheviks endowed it with primordially Russian territories – they gave it all of Little Russia, the entire Black Sea region, the entire Donbass. Ukraine evolved as an artificial state.”

“Ukrainians and Russians are one people – this is a historical fact. Ukraine has evolved as an artificial state. The only country that can guarantee its sovereignty is the country which created it – Russia.”

“The unipolar world is coming to an end. The West is incapable of single-handedly ruling the world. The world stands at a historical milestone ahead of the most dangerous and important decade since World War II.”

“Humanity has two options – either we continue accumulating the burden of problems that is certain to crush all of us, or we can work together to find solutions.”

What do we do after the orgy?

Amidst a series of absorbing discussions, the heart of the matter at Valdai is its 2022 report, “A World Without Superpowers”.

The report’s central thesis – eminently correct – is that “the United States and its allies, in fact, no longer enjoy the status of dominant superpower, but the global infrastructure that serves it is still in place.”

Of course all major interconnected issues at the current crossroads were precipitated because” Russia became the first major power which, guided by its own ideas of security and fairness, chose to discard the benefits of ‘global peace’ created by the only superpower.”

Well, not exactly “global peace”; rather a Mafia-enforced ethos of “our way or the highway”. The report quite diplomatically characterizes the freezing of Russia’s gold and foreign currency reserves and the “mop up” of Russia’s property abroad as “Western jurisdictions”, “if necessary”, being “guided by political expediency rather than the law”.

That’s in fact outright theft, under the shadow of the “rules-based international order”.

The report – optimistically – foresees the advent of a sort of normalized “cold peace” as “the best available solution today” – acknowledging at least this is far from guaranteed, and “will not halt the fundamental rebuilding of the international system on new foundations.”

The foundation for evolving multipolarity has in fact been presented

by the Russia-China strategic partnership only three weeks before imperially-ordered provocations forced Russia to launch the Special Military Operation (SMO).

In parallel, the financial lineaments of multipolarity had been proposed since at least July 2021, in a paper co-written by Professor Michael Hudson and Radhika Desai.

The Valdai report duly acknowledges the role of Global South medium-sized powers that “exemplify the democratization of international politics” and may “act as shock absorbers during periods of upheaval.” That’s a direct reference to the role of BRICS+ as key protagonists.

On the Big Picture across the chessboard, the analysis tends to get more realistic when it considers that “the triumph of ‘the only true idea’ makes effective dialogue and agreement with supporters of different views and values impossible by definition.”

Putin alluded to it several times in his address. There’s no evidence whatsoever the Empire and its vassals will be deviating from their normative, imposed, value-laden unilateralism.

As for world politics beginning to “rapidly return to a state of anarchy built on force”, that’s self-evident: only the Empire of Chaos wants to impose anarchy, as it completely ran out of geopolitical and geoeconomic tools to control rebel nations, apart from the sanctions tsunami.

So the report is correct when it identifies that the childish neo-Hegelian “end of history” wet dream in the end hit the wall of History: we’re back to the pattern of large scale conflicts between centers of power.

And it’s also a fact that “simply changing the ‘operator’ as it happened in earlier centuries” (as in the U.S. taking over from Britain) “just won’t work.”

China might harbor a desire to become the new sheriff, but the Beijing leadership definitely is not interested. And even if that happened the Hegemon would fiercely prevented it, as “the entire system” remains “under its control (primarily finance and the economy).”

So the only way out, once again, is multipolarity – which the report characterizes, rather vaguely, as “a world without superpowers”, still in need of “a system of self-regulation, which implies much greater freedom of action and responsibility for such actions.”

Stranger things have happened in History. As it stands, we are plunged deep into the maelstrom of complete collapse. Putin in fact did nail where we are: on the edge of a Revolution.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/10/ ... lutionary/

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The military-industrial media complex strikes again
October 29, 2022 Eve Ottenberg

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Thousands of protesters gathered in Paris Oct. 22 to call for an end to France’s membership in the U.S.-led NATO, chanting “Let’s get out of NATO.”

Tens of thousands protested against the skyrocketing cost of living and against Macron in France October 16, led by left-wing politician Jean Luc Melenchon, but there were few front page or top-of-the-hour headlines in the U.S. Huge protests occurred in Rome the same day to demand an end to Italy’s involvement in NATO, but no coverage on the west side of the Atlantic. Thousands protesting in Paris October 22 against NATO, but little notice in North America. Massive protests against NATO and inflation due to sanctions on Russian energy in France, Germany and Austria in September, but little news of it here in the heart of the empire. German police beat citizens protesting energy shortages and record-high inflation, both due to Russia sanctions, the week of October 17, but that was not covered in the USA. Seventy thousand Czechs protested in Prague September 3 against NATO involvement in Ukraine, demanding gas from Russia (before some mysterious imperial somebody with means and motive blew up Nordstream 1 and 2, probably to nip the political effects of those protests in the bud) and ending the war, but that got little coverage in U.S. corporate media.

Ever get the sense there are things our media hides from us? Hmm. Ever wonder why enormous protests against the policies of the Exceptional Empire and its attack dog, NATO, seem, um, to be downplayed? Ever think our corporate news outlets behave more like the propaganda arm of our neoconservative state department and military than a free press? Well, if so, you may be onto something.

Lots of Europeans are unhappy about NATO, the Ukraine war, sanctions on Russia and the wild inflation and deindustrialization – which will result in gargantuan unemployment – those sanctions caused. As their living standards sink like stones, Europeans know who is to blame, namely their supposedly great ally across the Atlantic, and many have soured on their so-called alliance with the hegemon. But Washington doesn’t seem to care. Let the Europeans go broke and protest. The important thing is not reporting this news to the American people, who, if they heard about it, might get a subversive inkling that their government had not behaved in an entirely honorable manner.

Meanwhile lies swarm everywhere. Some unintentional, others not. Most recently we have U.S. joint chiefs of staff chairman Mark Milley claiming that if Ukraine falls, the current world order will collapse. Sadly, this is hogwash. What will collapse are the tumescent egos of U.S. and European politicos and military men. Not surprisingly, they conflate that with the world order. But there are other, far more sinister reasons to make such garishly incendiary pronouncements, namely to prepare the American population for the unthinkable – and it is unthinkable because if the U.S. attacks Russia with nukes, both the U.S. and Russia will be annihilated. Will Biden and his generals get a nuclear war? Unclear. But what’s clear as day is that Americans travel like lemmings to their doom, thanks to the fibs of their rulers and media.

Somehow all the big news gets blacked out. Like China dumping $100 billion worth of U.S. treasuries and what that means if this becomes a trend (I’ll tell you what it means: we’re $30 trillion in debt and we can’t pay, so when we cart SUVs full of cash to the supermarket, we’ll make those Weimar wheelbarrows look petite). Or how sanctions on Russian energy backfired and caused ruinous inflation in Europe, pretty awful inflation here in the U.S. and pushed the whole west toward recession…or maybe ultimately depression. Or how Biden’s ever more reckless sanctions on China could wind up bankrupting us all. China is, after all the chief U.S. trading partner. Sanction China, as Biden recently did to its chip and semiconductor sector, and prices for everything explode upwards.

But money isn’t everything. What about Biden’s devil-may-care attitude toward continued human life on this planet, which he endangers every time he opens his mouth to bloviate that the U.S. will throw its military into the fray, should Taiwan and China go to war? True, Biden’s bellicose pronunciamentos do make the news – he is, after all, the ruler of one of the most violent empires in human history – but details of their global life-and-death implications, namely that they could kill us all? Not so much.

No, this news is not of interest to the editorial bigwigs who tell us what to think. They’re too busy stuffing our heads with bubble gum for the brain-like rubbish about Tik Tok, or celebrity drivel or anything else deeply stupid enough to cretinize viewers and readers, so they won’t notice that their utility bills doubled in recent months, or their grocery bills shot up many percentage points, or the world is closer to being incinerated in a nuclear apocalypse than it has ever been.

But they notice anyway. And even though they may lack the finely tuned mental framework to fit it all together, thanks to their news consumption habits, lots of people have begun to glimpse that Washington’s idiocy could get them blown up tout de suite and meanwhile is bleeding them dry and will very soon be bleeding them drier. Hence the public’s growing reluctance to keep handing Ukraine, the most corrupt country in Europe, blank checks. The GOP even climbed onto the bandwagon and announced it won’t fund this misbegotten war if it regains congress. I, for one, will be astonished if Republicans have the backbone to keep that promise. Anyway, Biden plans to preempt this oath by forking over more billions to Kiev now. This will not, ahem, help the Dems, which is probably what Republicans count on. But then Biden gets to look like he’s a man of principle (the show must go on), while the rest of us go broke and calculate our distance from atomic ground zero. Americans struggle with utility bills, grocery and gas prices, medical and educational debt. They don’t need to fund defense contractors to the tune of billions of dollars so Ukrainians and Russians can kill each other halfway around the world. And they certainly don’t need a war that has humanity teetering on the brink of nuclear Armageddon.

In an unexpected dribble of good news, on October 24 the Washington Post reported that some 30 members of the progressive caucus urged Biden to get diplomacy to end the war rolling. The next day, they sniveled and recanted. This was the first time any Dems had the guts not to cheerlead for more bloodshed and more war on Moscow. What caused this initial sea change, I don’t know. But it was good news. Better late than never, it seemed. It appeared to mean some on the so-called left in Washington had finally come to their senses and just might not behave as disgracefully as so many European socialists did once World War I started when they abandoned their erstwhile pacifism. For a long time, honestly, it has looked like that was the inheritance Dem progressives wanted to claim, an inheritance not just of shame and mass murder, but, were the Ukraine war to morph into World War III, human extinction.

For less than a day the sun of reason and goodness shone down. Briefly, the people who consider themselves of the left decided this danger of humanity’s mass execution was worth speaking out about and that diplomacy for peace is the only sane route out of the fiasco. But then, the next day they chickened out of bucking their party’s bloodlust. Even their timid gesture was too much to ask. These people are not leftists. They are cowards. They are a disgrace to the left. If anyone in the progressive caucus ever speaks out for diplomacy again, I’ll be very impressed.

Speaking of being impressed, how about that Washington Post actually playing this story big, about progressives calling for diplomacy, instead of burying it? That was unexpected, to say the least. Because it’s long been sickeningly obvious that our mainstream media show one side of the story: the NATO, Washington, imperial, war-mongering side. And it’s been doing that, shamelessly, for a generation. (It did that earlier too, but with a bit of actual embarrassment, whenever it got called out.) Remember Iraq’s infamous weapons of mass destruction? The editors who hyped that lie for months on end went on to bigger and better things, and so did the politicians – Biden even became president! – while an entire country, Iraq, was bombed to smithereens, based largely on mendacious reporting and political chicanery and now, decades later has simply swirled down the drain.

And who can forget the frenzy whipped up to justify NATO’s criminal 1999 bombing of Serbia? Nowadays Biden and NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg would have you believe NATO is a “defensive” organization. What it did to Serbia should have tossed that mistake in the trash long ago. Instead, the error persists (not accidentally). When Russia reacted to the chance of Ukraine joining NATO and thus the presence of a hostile bomb-happy axis on its borders, western rulers protested that NATO is “defensive.” So also clamor our media, prevaricating just as they do every time they mention the U.S. defense department, which should ditch that moniker and return to the previous, more honest “war department.”

You know things are bad when absurd chuckleheads like former Italian prime minister Silvio Berlusconi are the ones almost nailing reality on the head. He did that October 20 with his remarks that Ukraine provoked Russia into its invasion. It could be argued that Kiev did so by slaughtering 14,000 Russian speakers in the Donbass since 2014 and then, last winter, massing huge numbers of troops on that region’s border, in preparation for what Moscow took to be a genocide. But actually, Ukraine’s supposed instigation had lotsa help. It would have been more accurate for Berlusconi to say that Ukraine’s puppet master, the U.S., provoked Moscow with its nonstop incitement by expanding NATO eastward since the Soviet Union’s fall, as numerous American experts and diplomats – from cold war brain-trust luminary George Kennan to former ambassador to the USSR Jack Matlock to CIA chief William Burns to great powers expert John Mearsheimer, and others – had warned, and more recently egged Moscow to attack with a 2014 Kiev coup and the eight years of violent nonsense that followed, and that Washington did so with premeditation to rupture the economic relationship between Russia and Europe; but nonetheless Berlusconi landed his verbal dart on the board with the bullseye. And when you have to go to Berlusconi for informed commentary, you’re in trouble, because he recently chose his side in the Italian government and it was the fascist one. So now things are so bad that fascists are among the people objecting to imperial propaganda. Fun times.

But we have the same disastrous mess here in the U.S., where the next presidential election could shape up to be a choice between Trump’s fascism or Biden’s nuclear war. Choice? Ho, ho. That’s no choice. That’s death on the installment plan or instant death. Either way, it’s disastrous for ordinary people, because Trumpism either ends what civilization we have in America, which has a dire, global because imperial impact, or Bidenism directly ends civilization on earth.

At the start of the Ukraine war, Biden promised not to launch World War III. He broke that promise, by flooding Ukraine with weapons, CIA operatives and some special forces. To call this reckless is an understatement. Biden’s refusal to use his considerable weight to promote peace negotiations killed thousands of Ukrainians and Russians, will likely kill many more, and also endangers the lives of billions of other people, worldwide – 5.3 billion from nuclear-winter-induced starvation, who would suffer a slow, agonizing death. And I’m not talking about the canard that Russia may use a low-yield nuclear device on the battlefield. I’m talking about Moscow and Washington determining that they really are in a hot war and the long-range, high-yield nuclear missiles that could then begin to fly.

Biden’s sole task is to prevent this. His desire to be seen as the new FDR, as a friend of the unions, as some sort of social democrat, means nothing if he can’t de-escalate this war with Moscow. If Biden wants any legacy other than that of earth’s destroyer, leaving humanity a cold, charred, radioactive planet, he will stop his war-mongering garbage at once and throw his definitive, presidential heft behind peace negotiations with Moscow. And Washington must be an in-person party to those negotiations. Absent that, anything else he does goes down in history, if there even is a history, as a waste.

Eve Ottenberg is a novelist and journalist. Her latest book is Hope Deferred. She can be reached at her website.

Source: Counterpunch

https://struggle-la-lucha.org/2022/10/2 ... kes-again/

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Russia suspends its participation in the "grain deal",
October 29, 17:50

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Russia suspends its participation in the "grain deal",

Taking into account the October 29 this year. Kyiv regime with the participation of British experts of a terrorist act against ships of the Black Sea Fleet and civilian ships involved in ensuring the security of the "grain corridor", the Russian side suspends participation in the implementation of agreements on the export of agricultural products from Ukrainian ports.

All in all, great news.
After the terrorist attack on the Crimean bridge, Ukraine lost more than a third of its distribution and generating capacities.
After the drone attack on Sevastopol, Russia has every opportunity to completely close the export of any product from Ukraine by sea.
Retribution should be as heavy and painful as possible. We are waiting for strikes on the Odessa seaport.

PS. Video from British naval drones attacking Sevastopol.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7943166.html

Google Translator

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From Cassad's Telegram account:

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forwarded from
Readovka

Today, the Kiev regime launched a terrorist attack on the ships of the Black Sea Fleet, which ensured the security of the "grain corridor". The attack involved nine UAVs and seven maritime unmanned vehicles. All targets were destroyed , both in the air and in the water. One ship received minor damage. The answer was not long in coming. Russia withdrew from the grain deal immediately after the attack , which caused hysteria in Kiev and condemnation of the West.

⚔️The situation on the fronts for the past day:

⚫️Svatovo-Kremennaya direction

As a result of the blows of the Russian army, two companies of militants were defeated along with units of foreign mercenaries in the areas of Timkovka, Ivanovka, Tabaevka and Krakhmalnoye of the Kharkov region. More than 70 people, 1 tank, 2 infantry fighting vehicles, 2 armored personnel carriers and 10 vehicles were liquidated.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine continue unsuccessful attacks near Chervonopopovka LPR. More than 70 personnel, 4 tanks, 2 armored vehicles and 3 pickup trucks were destroyed by active operations of artillery and front-line aviation.

⚫️Ugledar direction

In the morning, our troops launched an attack on Ugledar. As a result of the actions of aviation and artillery, the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffered significant losses. It is known about the defeat of two Buk-M1 air defense systems by Russian kamikaze UAVs. As a result, the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the west of Vuhledar will lose their “air defense umbrella”.

Our columns broke the first line of defense and headed for Pavlovka. Even now, the Russian Armed Forces control a large section of the Pokrovsk-Bakhmut-Mikhailovka highway with artillery.

⚫️The Kherson direction

of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, consisting of two companies , made an attempt to break through in the direction of Bruskinskoye, but were met by Russian aviation and the Uragan MLRS. The enemy suffered losses and fled.

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forwarded from
Voenkor Kitten Z
Military expert Boris Rozhin on the main points during the special military operation of the Russian Federation in Ukraine at 22.58 Moscow time on October 29, 2022, specially for the Voenkor Kotenok Z @voenkorKotenok channel :

1. Ugledar.

Offensive operations of the Russian troops began in the morning. The troops reached the outskirts of Pavlovka . There was fighting in the middle of the day. The enemy managed to be pushed a little, but it is too early to talk about breaking through the front.

2. Marinka.

Some advance of our troops to the north of the village is reported.

3. Avdiivka.

Fighting continues for Pervomaiskoye and in the direction of Vodyany. Small shifts in our favor.

4. Artemovsk.

Fights in the industrial zone and for the fortified areas in the Experimental area.
There is no significant progress towards Kurdyumovka yet.

5. Svatovo-Kremennaya.

The enemy stepped up pressure in the direction of the Svatovo-Kremennaya highway , which is under enemy fire. The enemy also captured the village of Nevskoye next to the village of Terny . Serious enemy attacks continue in this direction.

6. Kherson.

The enemy continues to probe our defenses in the Nikopol and Krivoy Rog directions, but cannot achieve significant results. At the same time, the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffer regular significant losses here during such attacks and reconnaissance in force.

The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine declares that they want to capture Kherson before the end of November.

***

Colonelcassad
Full text https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1835797/ of the Russian Foreign Ministry's statement on the "grain deal". There are a number of other interesting points.

On October 29, the Ukrainian armed forces, under the cover of a humanitarian corridor created as part of the implementation of the “Black Sea Initiative” to export Ukrainian agricultural products, launched massive air and sea strikes using unmanned aerial vehicles against the ships and infrastructure of the Russian Black Sea Fleet at the naval base in Sevastopol.

In connection with the actions of the Ukrainian armed forces, which were led by British specialists , directed, among other things, against Russian ships that ensure the functioning of the said humanitarian corridor (which cannot be qualified otherwise than as a terrorist attack),The Russian side cannot guarantee the safety of civilian dry cargo ships participating in the "Black Sea Initiative" , and suspends its implementation from today for an indefinite period. Appropriate instructions were given to Russian representatives at the Joint Coordination Center in Istanbul, which controls the transportation of Ukrainian food.

Without security guarantees for bulk carriers, the "grain deal" cannot function. The suspension of Russia's participation in the "grain deal" removes any guarantees associated with the operation of seaports, terminals and granaries.

It can also be noted that today the Minister of Agriculture of the Russian Federation said that Russia is ready to supply its grain to world markets at affordable prices (as well as 500,000 tons free of charge), including completely replacing Ukrainian grain.

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Sun Oct 30, 2022 2:31 pm

commitment to the end
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 10/30/2022

Image

Many have been the foreign soldiers who, on both sides of the front line, have fought throughout the eight years of war in Donbass and the last few months of open war spread throughout the country. Faced with mercenaries and soldiers of fortune moved by the search for adventures or to extract economic revenue from the misery of the population caused by the war, many arrived in Donbass as simple volunteers. A part of these volunteers, without military experience, was used mainly for propaganda. Over time, those who acquired fighting skills and a certain ability to handle the language, without which the soldiers would be nothing more than a hindrance, were integrated into the units created spontaneously in the spring and summer of 2014. One of they were the Vostok battalion, created by Alexander Jodakovsky and who continues to fight on the front lines to this day. Just yesterday, Jodakovsky announced that the troops had gone on the offensive in the Ugledar sector, where the battalion has experienced very hard times in these months.

The Vostok battalion was the first destination of several of the Spanish volunteers who went to Donbass in the first months of the war. It was also for Alexis Castillo, Alfonso, whose death in combat was known this past Friday. In Donbass since 2014, Castillo joined a war already unleashed and in which there were contradictory interests and objectives on many occasions. While a part of the soldiers and volunteers, local or international, fought openly and directly for Russia, others did so under different shades of the red flag. Russian imperialists, national-Bolsheviks, nostalgic for the Soviet Union and internationalists shared ranks in the DPR and RPL militias since the summer of 2014 in a coexistence that was not always easy, but in which they all shared a goal: to defend the population of Donbass from the Ukrainian military aggression.

Aware of what happened on the Maidan in February 2014, it was the May 2 massacre that prompted him to make the decision to join the fight. This is how he explained it several years ago to Slavyangrad , as he also did to all kinds of general or independent media that came to Donetsk to report on a war that had fallen into oblivion. Although lower in rank than the great figures of the war, Alexis quickly became one of the recognizable faces of the DPR militia and also of the city of Donetsk, where he was recognized on the streets.

"When the time comes, if you are not willing to take up arms to defend your people or to fight, you cannot call yourself a communist," Alexey Markov, commander of the Prizrak brigade since Alexey's murder, explained to the Basque journalist Ibai Trebiño. Mozgovoy in 2015 until his death in a traffic accident two years ago. As an internationalist - an adjective that best defined his ideology, not at all in favor of those nationalisms that are disguised with apparently leftist policies to hide their reactionary tendency - Alexis added to that idea the need to defend and fight for a foreign people. Although he wasn't for long.

"What I want is to learn Russian," he said repeatedly in the group of Spanish-speakers who met in a cafe in the center of the city. His willingness to learn was not limited to the local language, but to its customs and history. By then, Castillo had made Donbass his town and the DPR not only his army but his home, a Republic in which he saw potential for a dignified life. As he explained he to Slavyangradin a long conversation in the then quiet city of Donetsk, the Republic had its own industry and enough fertile land to build its own economy. Although aware of the importance of Russian support, he always advocated building its own economy. His fate was already definitively and irremediably linked to the Donetsk People's Republic. In September 2016 he celebrated that, among so much death, a new life appeared, Miguel, born in war and who has lived every day of his life without ever knowing peace.

The ceasefire in Minsk had meant the consolidation of the front and the limitation of the battle to the line of separation and especially to certain "hot" areas. The danger to the civilian population, especially those in the rear, was markedly reduced, but this was not the case for the soldiers of the DPR and RPL armies. In 2017, Castillo was injured for the second time. The first had been at the end of 2015, in the fight for the Donetsk airport. Unlike in the first, that although he required hospitalization, his life was not in danger, the 2017 injury could have cost him a leg as well as his commander, whom Alexis appreciated and loved.

A young man full of vitality, he did not lose his smile or the desire to live like any other young man despite the war, the shortcomings of an area under an economic blockade or the hardships involved in the battle. But above all, he never lost face of the war. His first battle took place at the Donetsk airport, possibly the hottest area of ​​the 2014 autumn-winter campaign. He lost his life on Friday in the town of Peski, a few kilometers west of those same positions. Alexis and his group were trying to repel a Ukrainian attack when a well-aimed artillery attack took their lives. As in his early days, Alexis Castillo was fighting on the front line, a short distance from Donetsk, where the Russian troops have not been able to keep the Ukrainians away. who continue to attack the city with artillery attacks causing fatalities almost daily. As in much of Donbass and despite having less prepared equipment than that of the Russian soldiers, the Republican troops continue to bear much of the weight of the fight, especially in the first line of fire. On Friday, before the Peski casualties were known, the DPR updated the casualty data: since January 1, more than a thousand civilians and more than 3,500 soldiers of the Donetsk People's Republic had died.

Just a few hours after Alfonso 's death was confirmed , the president of Colombia, Gustavo Petro, wrote on his social media profile a phrase with which he perfectly defined a man he did not know: "Alexis is a Colombian who has died in the Donbass; his revolutionary ideas, perhaps wrong, perhaps not, led him to this war with open eyes. A young man who wanted to be a revolutionary has died. Revolution is Peace. This will not appear in our media.” Petro echoed the information of the RT journalistHelena Villar, which included a fragment of a documentary from the Russian public channel in which Alexis Castillo showed a Spanish-made anti-tank weapon found among the remains of the Ilich metallurgical company in Mariupol. "This is a weapon for war," explained the militiaman. "This is not how they are going to achieve peace," he added, aware for many years that peace has not been in the interest of the Western powers or their satellite countries. Unlike President Petro, neither President Pedro Sánchez nor the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Spain, a country of which Alexis Castillo was also a citizen, have spoken for the moment.

A few weeks ago, Alexis communicated the news of the death of another internationalist comrade. In parting from him, as she had done on previous occasions, she promised to carry on. It will have to be others who do it now for him and for his fallen companions. Yesterday, the Central Committee of the Donetsk Communist Party, of which he was a member, announced the news defining Alexis as a worthy and modest man who was faithful to his internationalist work until the end.

It is likely that Alexis will not receive one of the great funerals that Donetsk has seen in these years and that he will not receive posthumous medals. It is also possible that those who in his life tried to distort his figure and his intentions to construct his own story will continue to do so in death. Ukrainian propagandists already boast that the soldier, years ago included in the Mirotvorets list, linked to figures from the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, has been "liquidated". This was not the population to which Alexis Castillo appealed, neither as a communist nor as a soldier, always aware that he had gone to war to protect the people, not the system that had created the circumstances that led to the war.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/10/30/compr ... more-25832

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**************

British Navy Involved in Nord Stream 2 ‘Terrorist Attack’
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 29, 2022

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UK forces participated in an operation which damaged Europe’s energy security

Units of the British Navy were involved in a “terrorist attack”, which destroyed the key Nord Stream gas pipelines, the Russian Defence Ministry alleged on Saturday.

The preparation of this terrorist act and the training of military personnel of 73rd Marine Special Operations Center were carried out under supervision of British specialists in the city of Ochakov, Nikolayev region in Ukraine.

According to the available information, representatives of this unit from the British Navy were involved in plotting, organising, and implementation of the terrorist attack in the Baltic Sea on 26 September this year to blow up the Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 gas pipelines.


The accusation follows a Russian Foreign Ministry claim that NATO conducted a military exercise during the summer, close to the location where the undersea explosions occurred.

The September incident put the pipelines, connecting Germany to Russia, out of commission. Western countries have blocked a transparent international investigation.

The Defence Ministry further alleged that the same UK operatives trained Ukrainians involved in a drone offensive in Crimea earlier on Saturday.

The Russian Foreign Ministry in cooperation with Russian competent authorities is working out practical steps in connection with the involvement of British specialists in the preparation of a terrorist attack in the Black Sea on October 29 and training the Ukrainian military, as announced by the Russian Ministry of Defence.

At the same time, the Russian military said that it had information about the involvement of British intelligence agencies in a series of explosions at the #NorthStream1 and #NorthStream2 gas pipelines in the Baltic Sea. Russia has repeatedly advocated a joint investigation into the attacks. Proposals have been sent to the governments of Denmark, Sweden and Germany. The fact that the Western countries refused this proposal confirms: they have something to hide. Now we understand exactly what they are hiding.

– Russian Foreign Ministry


In late September, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova noted that this summer, NATO conducted military drills not far from Bornholm, which featured intensive use of “deep-sea equipment.’’

Meanwhile, Sky News has cited a UK defense official as saying Nord Stream 1 and 2 could have been damaged by a remotely detonated underwater explosive device. At the time, the broadcaster said the pipelines might have been breached by mines lowered to the seabed, or explosives dropped from a boat or planted by an undersea drone.

RT | Russian Foreign Ministry

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/10/ ... st-attack/

US Sends Fewer Arms to Ukraine as Russia Prepares its Next Big Move
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 29, 2022



Update on Russian military operations in and around Ukraine for October 29, 2022

– Front lines have stabilized as Ukraine’s offensive momentum grinds into positional fighting;

– Russian forces are preparing the defense of Kherson and likely only to give up the city if something goes wrong;

– Ukrainian and Russian forces were until recently both overstretched. Russia is mobilizing 300,000 additional troops, Ukraine cannot;

– US arms shipments become more and more meager in both quantity and quality.

References:

Independent – Ukraine news – live: Russia ‘completes’ Kherson evacuation as more blackouts hit Kyiv: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/wo

Reuters – Ukrainian forces largely in control of key road in the east, says Kyiv: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/

NYT – Russia Completes Draft for Ukraine War and Plans No More Call-Ups, Kremlin Says: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/10/

Al Jazeera – Ukraine minister tells Iranian counterpart: Stop sending weapons: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/1

BBC – Ukraine war: Kyiv set for longer power cuts after air strikes: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe… US Department of Defense –

Sabrina Singh, Deputy Pentagon Press Secretary, Holds a Press Briefing Oct. 28, 2022: https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcri

SAAB – AT4 Family: https://www.saab.com/products/at4 Army Recognition – T-72A MBT Main Battle Tank – Russia: https://www.armyrecognition.com/russi

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/10/ ... -big-move/

Major Protest in Prague Demands Resignation of Government, Decrying its Support for Kiev and Anti-Russia Sanctions
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 29, 2022

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Union demonstrators are shown protesting against soaring inflation earlier this month in Prague. © Getty Images / Sean Gallup

Tens of thousands of demonstrators filled Prague’s central square, on Friday, to decry rampant inflation amid the Czech government’s support for anti-Russia sanctions and aid packages to Ukraine.

They called for direct gas talks with Moscow and the resignation of Prime Minister Petr Fiala and his cabinet. Participants chanted “resign, resign” while waving Czechian national flags.

The latest rally follows two similar protests last month, including one that reportedly attracted an estimated 70,000 people.


The crowd in Wenceslas Square demanded an end to Czechia’s participation in anti-Russia sanctions over the Ukraine crisis, which have contributed to soaring energy and food prices.


“Russia’s not our enemy, the government of warmongers is our enemy,” the Associated Press cited one speaker at the rally as saying. A group named Czech Republic First, which has organized the protests, opposes NATO and has called for the country to adopt a militarily neutral stance.

“This is a new national revival, and its goal is for the Czech Republic to be independent,” Reuters quoted organizer Ladislav Vrabel as saying. “When I see a full square, no one can stop this.”

Fiala’s government has shrugged off the protestors, calling them “pro-Russian” and accusing their organizers of listening to Russian disinformation campaigns. Czechia joined NATO in March 1999, just days before the US-led bloc attacked Yugoslavia, and became a member of the EU in 2004.

“We know who our friends are and who is bleeding for our freedom,” Interior Minister Vit Rakusan said on Friday in a Twitter post. “And we also know who our foes are, and we will not let them steal our patriotism.”

Czechia has been hit particularly hard by the European energy crisis, at least partly because of its historic reliance on Russian natural gas. Households in the country are reportedly incurring the second-highest electricity prices in the EU, behind only Estonia. Czechia’s inflation rate soared to 18% in September.

RT

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/10/ ... sanctions/

***************

From Cassad's Telegram account:

***

forwarded from
Equality.Media
= Ukrainian ship with 66% grain went to the West

🚢From August to October, 350 out of 455 ships with 6.1 out of 9.3 million tons (66%) of Ukrainian grain and its products were sent from the unblocked ports of Ukraine to developed countries, Equality calculated according to the UN and MarineTraffic. 65% of exported products are fodder, i.е. livestock feed.

Seriously starving countries, where more than 10% of the population suffers from malnutrition, got only 1.18 million tons (13%) of cereals, including 25% of wheat. In particular, 11 ships with 0.36 million tons of grain (4%) went to the poorest countries in Africa.

Total - 9.3 million tons
🇪🇸Spain - 1.80 (or 19% of the weight)
🇹🇷Turkey - 1.29 (14%)
🇮🇹Italy - 0.86 (9%)
🇨🇳China - 0.84 (9%)
🇳🇱Netherlands - 0.55 (6%)
🇪🇬Egypt - 0.42 (5%)
🇧🇩Bangladesh - 0.27 (3%)
🇹🇩Romania - 0.25 (3%)
🇮🇱Israel - 0.24 (3%)
🇩🇪Germany – 0.22 (2%)
Other countries – 2.59 (28%)
––––––
Western countries and NATO – 6.15 (66%)
Starving countries – 1.18 (13%)

The West has been hysterical for months that Russia, by blocking the ports of Ukraine, allegedly doomed Africans to starvation. The "grain deal" assumed that the Russian Federation would release the ports so that ships could supply grain to the starving. In fact, Ukraine transported it mainly to Europe and historically exports mainly fodder.

In the Russian Federation, 80% of grain exports are wheat, but sanctions prevent it from being supplied. The countries of the center of world capitalism have little to do with the hungry, especially since the main cause of hunger remains the inequality caused by the current world order. The word itself is mentioned more than 150 times in the FAO report .

On October 29, the Russian Federation suspended participation in the "grain deal" after the attack on the Black Sea Fleet. Even before the deal was concluded, experts feared ( [ 1 ] [ 2 ] ) that, under the pretext of grain supplies, Kiev was trying to import weapons. With the unblocking of ports, the US Department of Defense has become more active in supplying Ukraine by sea, WP wrote , without specifying whether we are talking about routes through neighboring countries or ineffective control. There are precedents. It was on the ship that left Odessa in August that there was explosives to blow up the Crimean bridge, the FSB established .

***

Colonelcassad
The Russian Defense Ministry reports that maritime kamikaze drones were launched off the coast of Odessa in the "grain corridor" from one of the chartered civilian ships.

1. It was established that the launch of marine unmanned vehicles was carried out from the coast near Odessa.
2. Subsequently, the maritime drones moved along the security zone of the "grain corridor", then changed the route in the direction of the Russian ship base in Sevastopol.
3. The coordinates of the movement of one of the marine drones indicate the starting point in the sea area of ​​​​the security zone of the “grain corridor” in the Black Sea.
4. According to experts, this may indicate a preliminary launch of this device from aboard one of the civilian ships chartered by Kyiv or its Western patrons for the export of agricultural products.

Here I can only remind you that back in the summer I wrote about the fact that a civilian vessel used within the framework of the "grain corridor" could be used to attack Russian infrastructure (for example, the Crimean bridge).

The idea of ​​a possible operation is expressed in the following. A Ukrainian ship (possibly under the flag of a 3rd country) leaving Odessa passes through the Bosphorus, unloads as part of a grain deal, and then in one of the European ports (for example, in Cyprus in Limassol from the British Air Force base in Akrotiri, where there is a large airfield for delivery of such cargo) loads a container or missile launcher (boats with explosives or UAVs can be considered as an alternative)and a team of performers, most likely NATO officers. Further, the vessel returns to the Black Sea with a conditional cargo to Trabzon or Batumi, without being subjected to a check on the grain deal.

During the voyage, having predicted a period of bad weather and operating at night, the ship makes a detour towards the Crimean bridge and launches missiles at target designation of NATO reconnaissance aircraft regularly operating in the Black Sea + using possible options for "illuminating" an object on the ground from the GUR agents MOU. After launches, the calculation is removed on a motor boat and leaves the launch site, and the vessel returns to its destination, where the installation is removed from the vessel and transported to one of the NATO bases in Georgia. The possibility of loading the plant/container in Turkey cannot be ruled out.

***

Colonelcassad

Image

The situation in the Starobelsky direction
as of 15.00 October 30, 2022

🔻On the Kupyansky sector, units of the 14th mechanized brigade, with the support of artillery and aviation, made another attempt to storm the positions of the RF Armed Forces in Orlyanka , Pershotravnevo , Tabaevka , Berestovo .

During the attack, strike detachments of the 14th brigade partially entrenched themselves on the outskirts of the line, however, Russian troops with artillery fire and MLRS knocked out the formations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to their original lines.

▪️The Ukrainian formation was given the task of reaching Lower Duvanka at any cost. The commander of the 14th brigade ordered the reserves to be brought into battle and the offensive to continue. In Sinkovka , there is a mangroup of the RER of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

At the same time, part of the personnel of the 2nd battalion of the 14th brigade refuses to attack the Russian lines from the position area in Novoosinovo due to heavy losses in manpower.

🔻In the Svatovsky sector, Ukrainian formations unsuccessfully attempted to dislodge Russian troops in the Stelmakhivka and Makeevka sectors . The attacks were repulsed.

▪️The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine intends to resume the offensive in the direction of Raygorodok . Additional units have been deployed to the Borovoy area .

🔻In the Limansky sector, assault detachments of the 3rd battalion of the 66th mechanized brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked the positions of the RF Armed Forces in the direction of Chervonopopovka .

▪️Support for the advancing formations of the 65th brigade was carried out by strike groups of the 25th airborne brigade from the Kolodezi area , which were transferred to the settlement the day before. The RF Armed Forces successfully repelled the attack.

🔻During the fighting in the entire direction, Russian troops eliminated at least 52 Ukrainian servicemen, more than 100 were injured of varying severity. Two tanks, eight infantry fighting vehicles, five armored personnel carriers and nine armored combat vehicles were destroyed .

***

Colonelcassad

Image

The situation at the Ugledarsky site
as of 15.00 October 30, 2022

▪️During the attack on Ukrainian positions in the village of Pavlovka , the Marine Corps of the Pacific Fleet, together with the OBTF of the DPR and the MGB MGB, were able to penetrate 3.5 km deep into the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and break through it, reaching the southern outskirts of Pavlovka.

As a result, Russian fighters destroyed 28 strongholds and positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and over 70 enemy people, excluding the wounded. Now the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are cleaning up the settlement.

▪️In parallel with this, the Pacific Fleet soldiers entrenched themselves on the commanding heights in the area south of the village of Novomikhailovka , destroying 20 people of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

▪️Army aviation helicopters and artillery of the Russian Armed Forces are conducting massive fire on Ukrainian strongholds, supporting the advancing Russian units. More than 400 objects were hit during the day .

▪️The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is taking measures to curb the advance of Russian troops, using tactical and army aviation. In the area of ​​​​Konstantinovka, the calculation of the Buk air defense system of the RF Armed Forces hit a Mi-8 helicopter, and the operator of the Igla MANPADS of the Marine Corps of the Pacific Fleet shot down the SU-25 of the Armed Forces of Ukraine over Nikolsky .

▪️In the vicinity of Bogoyavlenka and Prechistovka , additional units of the 68th Jaeger Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were deployed. DRG 68 obr sent to the Yegorovka area to attempt sabotage in the rear of the Russian army.

🔻Given the pace of advancement of the Russian fighters of group V, the purge of Pavlovka will be completed in the near future , and Ugledar will be taken into a semicircle. Russian troops will return the positions lost in the summer.

If reinforcements are not transferred to the Ukrainian formations, very soon Russian troops will reach Vodyanoy and the Yuzhno-Ukrainskaya mine .

In this case, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will have to retreat and build defenses along the Uspenka - Konstantinovka line along the Sukhie Yaly River .

And this, in turn, will jeopardize the supply of the enemy’s Donetsk grouping along the Zaporozhye - Donetsk highway .

***

Colonelcassad

Image

The situation in the Zaporizhia direction as of 11:00 on October 30, 2022

Along the front line, engineering formations are equipping strongholds.

▪️Units of the 3rd battalion of the 65th mechanized brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, equipped with NLAW anti-tank systems and AT4 RPGs, arrived in the Belogorye - Charivnoye positional area .

▪️A tank company is located in the reserve of the 65th brigade in the area of ​​Kirovo and Kamyshevakhi . Members of the national battalion "Azov" are expected to arrive in the Zaporozhye region.

▪️In connection with the activity of the Russian Geran-2 UAVs in Novoyakovlevka , Kamyshevakh and Lezhino , mobile positions of the Gepard ZSU on the basis of trucks were equipped.

▪️Also, several EDM-4S UAV countermeasure systems were handed over to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and electronic warfare equipment is operating in Matveevka and northeast of Zaporozhye .

▪️Russian troops are conducting a massive shelling of Ukrainian positions along the entire line of contact. The command of the OTG "Dnepr" requested additional counter-battery radars to search for and destroy artillery and MLRS of the RF Armed Forces.

https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Mon Oct 31, 2022 12:10 pm

Russia announces its withdrawal from the grain export agreement
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 10/31/2022

Image

On Saturday, after denouncing a drone attack against the Russian Black Sea fleet in Sevastopol, Crimea, the Russian Federation announced the suspension of its participation in the agreement for the export of grain and agricultural products from Ukraine through three ports in the south of the country. Moscow accuses Ukraine and the United Kingdom of having used the planned export corridor for the use of maritime drones sent to attack Black Sea ships. In its usual line, Ukraine accuses Russia of attacking its own ships to justify unilaterally disassociating itself from the process.

The agreement was negotiated with the participation of the United Nations and the mediation of Turkey, which thereby achieved a privileged position with both countries at a time when this balance is especially lucrative. The negotiation resulted in two separate agreements, although with identical terms, signed by each country with Turkey and which were also signed in separate ceremonies on June 22.

The signing took place at a time of strong food price inflation, not only due to rising energy costs, but also due to problems in the supply chain of products such as grain, in which both Russia and Ukraine are two of the world's largest producers, the agreement was seen as a major step forward. Inevitable every time the two countries take a constructive step, the United Nations secretary general expressed his hope that the agreement could be a first step towards peace. The naive hopes of Antonio Guterres have not been fulfilled and, since then, the war has not only not stopped, but has entered an even crueler phase for the civilian population on both sides of the front line.

The agreement sought to unblock the export of Ukrainian grain through a green corridor that had to be demined by the Ukrainian navy and through which, with the mediation of Turkey and after reviewing the cargo, Ukraine could put its products back on the market. world. Despite the fact that the weight of Ukrainian grain production amounts to around 3% of world production, both Russia and Ukraine are important countries in terms of exports, an aspect heavily used as an element of pressure against Moscow, which was blamed for provoking a world famine.

Largely dominated by speculation, grain prices fell immediately after the signing of the agreement, when there was not even a guarantee that the treaty would be respected. The background and the breach of agreements since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, with Minsk at the head, made it impossible to guarantee compliance with the signed terms. However, unlike in the Minsk process, where progress depended largely on Ukraine's willingness to take certain steps, this time compliance depended largely on Moscow's adherence to the signed terms.

In these four months, Ukraine has had the opportunity to export one of its flagship products, the grain, which, according to what had been insisted in the press for weeks, was going to save the world from famine, thereby also avoiding new waves of migratory derived from the lack of bread. That discourse of solidarity with the less privileged world disappeared immediately after the resumption of exports. In one of his speeches, Russian President Vladimir Putin accused Ukraine of exporting a large part of its grain to European Union countries, forgetting the third world countries that he intended to save from famine. Days before, at the end of September, an article published by The Wall Street JournalIt was shown in the same terms, reflecting the discomfort of Eastern European producers due to the massive arrival of Ukrainian grain at a lower price. By then, the media that have unconditionally supported Ukraine, such as The New York Times , also admitted that the export ships were going to countries like England or Ireland with a commercial objective and not to Yemen, Ethiopia or other countries at risk of famine. The reality is that the grain produced by Ukraine, part of which is to be destined for domestic consumption and part of which is located in territories beyond kyiv's control, cannot, in any case, prevent a world famine if it is not part of a structure of fair distribution of resources.

On June 9, Volodymyr Zelensky called for Russia to be expelled from the FAO for risking the world to famine due to the Ukrainian blockade. It is foreseeable that this speech will be repeated again as a pressure tool for Russia to remain or return to an agreement in which it has collaborated in the export of Ukrainian grain. Thanks to the agreement, Ukraine has obtained income that has probably been used to buy arms - Ukraine depends on the European Union for salary and pension payments, so that is not where it has invested those funds - while Russia has not has never managed to unblock its exports of products as important as fertilizers. “Russia has encountered difficulties in exporting agricultural products and fertilizers under the agreement because ports, insurers,The New York Times . The United States and its allies need not impose sanctions against Russian exports, which could be criticized for compromising global food security, but the threat of secondary sanctions is enough.

The export agreement, which expired at the end of November and had to be renewed, had already been strongly questioned by Moscow precisely because its function seems to have been solely to guarantee a source of income for kyiv. The attack on the Black Sea fleet in Sevastopol, which included, according to Moscow, ships participating in the process, has been the catalyst for something that possibly would have happened anyway. To compensate for the problems of the possible paralysis of the export of Ukrainian grain, temporarily stopped yesterday, but resumed today although without security guarantees, Moscow offers developing countries 500,000 tons of Russian grain (Ukraine alleges that it will possibly be grain " stolen Ukrainian”) and fertilizers at zero cost. In previous weeks, Moscow had proposed the delivery of Russian fertilizers held in European ports to developing countries also free of charge. Despite the importance of these products, whose price has skyrocketed due to the increase in energy prices and the paralysis of exports from Russia, one of the great world powers in the sector, the concern of the European authorities for food security in the third world is selective. Although it has fallen into oblivion in recent weeks, it is likely to increase markedly in the coming days. At least until Russia is forced to sign a new agreement.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/10/31/25840/#more-25840

Google Translator

**************

From Cassad's Telegram account:

***

Colonelcassad
🔹Chronicle of the special military operation
for October 30, 2022

🔻Belgorod region

▪️Ukrainian formations attacked the border village of Nikolskoye in the Belgorod region. The power line was damaged, the settlement was partially de-energized.

🔻Starobelsk direction :


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▪️In the Kupyansky sector, units 14 of the Ombre of the Armed Forces of Ukraine made an unsuccessful attempt to storm the Russian positions in Orlyanka , Pervomaisky , Tabaevka and Berestovo . Russian artillery hit the Ukrainian formations, forcing them to retreat with losses to their original lines.

▪️In the Svatovsky sector, the enemy tried to take Stelmakhivka and Makeevka by storm . Russian troops repulsed the attack, the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were forced to withdraw.

▪️In the Limansky sector, assault detachments of the 3rd battalion of the 66th mechanized brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked the positions of the RF Armed Forces near Krasnopopovka . Russian units repulsed all enemy attacks, forcing him to retreat with significant losses in personnel and equipment.

🔻Soledar direction:

▪️Positional battles continue on the outskirts of Bakhmut ( Artemovsk ), Soledar and Experienced .

🔻Donetsk direction:

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▪️Subdivisions of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue their attack on Ugledar . The Russian servicemen cleared the heights and began an assault on the village of Pavlovka . By the end of the day, the Russian Armed Forces had established control over half of the village, and fighting continued on the northern outskirts of the village.

▪️Russian troops were advancing south of Novomikhailovka . Soldiers of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation took possession of the dominant heights and advanced in the direction of the village of Vodiane .

▪️Subdivisions of the RF Armed Forces continue the operation to reach the flank of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Avdeevka . Russian military personnel are completing the cleansing of Vodyany and the capture of Experienced , after which they will continue to move north.

▪️The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is gathering additional forces to contain the advance of the RF Armed Forces. On the sector of the front, the enemy involved tactical and army aviation, and also transferred the DRG to the Yegorovka area to attempt sabotage in the rear of the Russian army.

▪️Ukrainian formations shelled Donetsk , Gorlovka , Yasinovataya , Makeevka , Zaitsevo and other settlements of the agglomeration.

🔻Zaporozhye direction:

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▪️The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine continues to transfer personnel and armored vehicles to forward positions in the Belogorye - Charivnoye region . On the entire sector of the front, Ukrainian formations are deploying complexes to counter Russian UAVs.

▪️Ukrainian artillery fired on Energodar and the Zaporizhia Nuclear Power Plant from positions in Novokievka . As a result of the strikes, a power line was damaged, the city was partially de-energized. Russian troops struck back at the enemy's firing point.

🔻Southern Front: Nikolaevsko-Berislavskoe direction

▪️The Ukrainian command continues to prepare for the offensive along the entire front line. At the same time, Russian units are carrying out measures to strengthen the defense.

▪️Russian soldiers from the Far East, special forces units and the Airborne Forces repelled another attack on the Davydov Brod-Berislav road.

▪️The RF Armed Forces carried out strikes against enemy positions in Nikolaev , Belyaevka , and Shevchenkovka . At night, Russian troops hit the training center for special operations forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Ochakovo , from where the attack on Sevastopol Bay was coordinated on October 29 .

Google Translator

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NATO Planned a Preemptive Strike on Russia Using the Cover of a French-Led Naval Exercise in the Mediterranean
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 30, 2022
Sonja Van den Ende

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New U.S. Army command in Wiesbaden to coordinate war support for Ukraine. [Source: stripes.com]

Revelations further underscore mendacity behind Biden administration claim that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was unprovoked


POLARIS 21 was a large-scale French naval exercise in the Mediterranean that took place from November 18 to December 3, 2021, off the island of Corsica between France and Spain.

Officially, the aim of the training was to test the capabilities of the sea and air elements to face future wars, using the latest systems and naval vessels to develop tactics.

The scenario of the exercise—which saw the participation of 23 ships, one submarine, 65 aircraft and 6,000 personnel from six NATO nations including the U.S.—was to enable the Allies to maintain control of the Mediterranean in the event of a threat from the Russian air force and navy.

Journalists have come into possession of documents which detailed plans for the NATO coalition to use the POLARIS exercise to send a French carrier strike group to preemptively attack Russia in the case of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, which the U.S. and NATO were in the process of provoking. The UK signed an agreement with Ukraine that granted it access to naval bases in Ukraine that could be used to attack the Russian Federation.

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Charles De Gaulle nuclear-powered aircraft carrierFrench aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle, from which NATO preemptive strike was to be carried out. [Source: wikipedia.org]

According to Slavisha Batko Milacic writing in Global Village Space, the POLARIS 21 exercise became for the Russian Federation a signal of the real preparation of NATO for the start of hostilities against it—as happened when a full-scale U.S.-NATO military operation to affect regime change in Libya (Operation Odyssey Dawn) that followed two NATO air-sea exercises (Baltops-2010 and Frisian Flag-2010).

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U.S. Air Force jet participating in Frisian Flag exercise prior to the launching of Operation Odyssey Dawn over Libya. [Source: northernskiesaviation.com]

Defender Europe 21 and Regime-Change Plans

The POLARIS 21 exercise was carried out in conjunction with the U.S. Army Europe-Africa’s Exercise DEFENDER EUROPE 21.

It was set up under the premise that Russia was an aggressor power like the Nazis—though it was the Soviet Union that had stood up to the Nazi invasion in World War II.

Significantly perhaps, the Headquarters of the U.S. Army Europe-Africa’s command for the so-called “Eastern front” is in Wiesbaden, Germany, which was headquarters of the Nazi Wehrkreis XII during World War II.

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[Source: janes.com]

From the Russian point of view, its special military operation in Ukraine was necessary in the face of a potential preemptive strike by NATO—combined with the fact that NATO wanted to use Kyiv as a base for conducting a war against the Russian Federation.

Ukraine has now very clearly evolved into a proxy war. The West’s aim is to overthrow Putin’s government, fitting the pattern of past military interventions against nationalist regimes in Libya, Ukraine, Syria and Iraq.

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Could Putin be next? The brutal killing by the U.S. and Western proxies Muammar Gaddafi, the democratically chosen leader of Libya, killed by the West, just after NATO exercises Baltops-2010 and Frisian Flag-2010, after which the U.S. and NATO destroyed Libya completely. [Source: groundview.org]

In Syria, Russia had supported the sovereignty of the legitimate government of President Bashar al-Assad, while the U.S. and EU supported various jihadist groups like al-Qaeda, al-Nusra and eventually ISIS, in Arabic called DAESH—the amalgamation of all terrorist groups.

Wikipedia reported that 26 NATO members participated in the Defender-Europe 21, a U.S.-Army led military exercise including operations in the Baltics that extended into March. This month, 14 NATO countries are participating in a followup exercise, Steadfast Noon, designed to train flight crews to handle thermonuclear bombs.

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DefenderEurope - United States Army Europe and Africa[Source: search.yahoo.com]

These exercises assume Putin’s willingness to use nuclear weapons—though, was put on high nuclear alert because of heavy U.S. and NATO provocation, and U.S. leaders have been the ones more frequently threatening nuclear war.

In 2019, the Trump administration withdrew from the INF treaty (Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty) which put a cap on the deployment of U.S. and Russian strategic warheads.

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Ronald Reagan and Mikhail Gorbachev sign the INF Treaty in better times in 1987. [Source: nytimes.com]

This was a good example of the move away from diplomatic engagement by U.S. leaders waging a new Cold War that has already become hot.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/10/ ... terranean/

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With one rocket for three
October 31, 14:02

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Only facts.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine officially announced the destruction of 44 out of 50 missiles launched in Ukraine.
The Prime Minister of Ukraine announced the defeat of 18 objects in 10 regions.
Thus, according to official Ukrainian statements, 6 missiles were able to hit 18 targets (3 per brother) in 10 regions.

Under Stalin, they were sent into battle with one rifle for three ...
Under Putin, with one rocket for three ...
What kind of country is this.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7946671.html

Conference on "Restoration of Ukraine" - disputes over the division of production began
October 31, 12:55

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Conference on "Restoration of Ukraine" - disputes over the division of production began

War promises profit. This also applies to the war in Ukraine. The end of hostilities is not yet in sight, and disputes over the division of booty have already begun. This is the significance of the so-called "Conference of Experts on the Reconstruction of Ukraine", held in Berlin on October 25 under the leadership of Chancellor Scholz and President of the European Commission von der Leyen.

Large sums are at stake. In early July, Prime Minister of Ukraine Denys Shmyhal estimated the amount needed for restoration at $750 billion, and in September the WB and the European Commission estimated at $349 billion. These figures, given after several months of war, are now clearly outdated. And this is not counting the billions with which the United States and Europe support the Ukrainian army.

There is a heated debate about how to raise such large sums, and who will benefit from them. One thing, however, is certain. The population of Ukraine will not see any of them. No matter how many billions there are, they will end up in the bank accounts of Ukrainian oligarchs and Western corporations. And the latter not only look forward to good “recovery” deals, but also dominance over the Ukrainian economy.

German corporations in particular are eagerly awaiting the profits from the war and leading roles in Ukraine in the future.
The day before the conference, Scholz and Shmyhal opened the 5th German-Ukrainian Business Forum. The Committee for Eastern European Economic Relations, which organized this forum in cooperation with other business associations and the government of Ukraine, was pleased: “A large number of conference participants showed the broad interest of German business in participating in the recovery. This is the first such conference in Germany since the beginning of the war, and at the same time it is at the highest level.”

A working group of German companies and business associations compiled a dossier for the 'rebuild Ukraine' forum that encouraged the Ukrainian government to 'use funds and policy decisions strategically to create incentives for the private sector to invest and create wealth'.

The dossier describes numerous investment opportunities, which are divided into groups such as construction, logistics and infrastructure, digitalization, energy, healthcare and agribusiness.

Ukrainian Trade Minister Yulia Sviridenko promised the assembled business representatives to reduce the role of the state through privatization. German Economy Minister Robert Habek (The Greens) lured them in this way: “Ukraine is a premium trade partner in terms of raw materials, energy and as a supplier. Therefore, it deserves any investment to bring Ukraine closer to the EU internal market.”

The next day, the conference turned to the task of allocating the large sums needed to integrate Ukraine into the EU internal market as a raw material supplier and subcontractor.

“While one should be careful with historical comparisons, this is no less than the Marshall Plan for the 21st century,” wrote Scholz and von der Leyen in an article for the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. With the Marshall Plan, the United States helped Western European capitalism get back on its feet after World War II.

"Recovery will be a very big task," Scholz added. “And we need to invest very solid sums to make everything work as it should. Ukraine cannot do this alone. The European Union cannot do it alone either. Only the entire world community can do this.”

Von der Leyen also stressed that no single country or union can manage the recovery alone. Strong partners like the US, Canada, Japan, UK, Australia and other countries, as well as institutions like the WB. Every euro, every dollar, every pound, every yen is an investment in Ukraine.

However, in Scholz's "world community" views on the division of labor differ greatly when it comes to "recovery". Washington, Brussels, Berlin and other European capitals are haggling fiercely over who pays, who decides, and who profits.

Washington believes that since it is providing military aid, Europe should bear the lion's share of the cost of recovery. Germany's attempts to become the leading economic power in Ukraine are suspicious in the US and other European countries. So Washington is not ready to hand over the management of the "restoration" of Ukraine into the hands of Brussels or Berlin.

There is also debate over whether support for Ukraine should be in the form of subsidies or loans. The US and Germany prefer subsidies, while most other European countries favor loans.

The conference in Berlin was not supposed to make decisions, but only to assess the terrain. Scholz and von der Leyen invited prominent economic experts, politicians, members of think tanks and representatives of international institutions such as the World Bank and the IMF to give "expert advice on how to move forward."

The think tank German Marshall Fund (GMF) has released a detailed study of Ukraine's recovery. He calls for the transfer of leadership not to the EU, but to the G7, so as not to deepen the conflict with the United States.

"Because security and recovery are interdependent, they should be the common task of the West," Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff, head of GMF research, wrote in the Tagesspiegel newspaper. “Under no circumstances should the US take over military assistance and leave the recovery to Europeans and other donors. Experience shows that mutual accusations will begin immediately.

The study goes on to suggest that "an American of global repute" be appointed as the supreme coordinator. This is because only the United States "is able to assemble the necessary global coalition and create consensus among Ukraine's partners."

Kleine-Brockhoff had already played a key role in provoking the Ukraine conflict in 2013–14 as director of the GMF and as head of planners under German President Gauck.

The struggle for future economic control over Ukraine is only one indication that this war is being waged not for the sake of "defending democracy" but for the sake of imperialist interests. After the "restoration", as it is imagined in Berlin, Brussels and Washington, Ukraine will not be "free", but a semi-colony of the West - a source of cheap raw materials and even cheaper labor force, under the control of an authoritarian oligarchic regime that reveres Hitler's accomplices, censors the media and prohibits a dozen parties since the beginning of the war.

However, control over Ukraine is only a secondary goal of NATO. The main interest is Russia, its vast lands and huge reserves of raw materials. In order to defeat Russia in the war and take control of it, the US and its European allies are fanning the war, regardless of the risk of nuclear catastrophe.

(c) Peter Schwartz

https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/1 ... o-o27.html - original in English

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7946450.html

Impacts on the energy sector of Ukraine 10/31/2022
October 31, 11:38

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Attacks on the energy infrastructure of Ukraine have reached a new level, losses account for up to a third of all electricity generation - Zelensky's fake blackouts can be replaced by real ones

. As we wrote earlier ( https://t.me/readovkaru/1628), the main share of generation in Ukraine is provided by nuclear power plants and coal-fired thermal power plants. These stations provide a consumption base of approximately 9 GW (~6 + ~3 GW respectively). At the same time, Ukraine's consumption now fluctuates between 10.5-12 GW. The rest of the power is compensated by gas thermal power plants and hydroelectric power plants. At the same time, HPPs are used primarily to cover peak loads and compensate for generation losses after missile strikes. So, if before October 10, when the first blow to the energy system occurred, the generation of HPPs rarely exceeded 0.8 GW, then on the 11th, generation through HPPs doubled to 1.32 GW.

At the moment, damage to the Dniester (0.7 GW), Kremenchug (0.7 GW) and Dnieper (1.5 GW) HPPs is reported. Yes, they did not operate at full capacity, so it is too early to talk about the loss of 3 GW of generation. But even 1 GW for today's Ukraine is a huge power. Do not forget that damage to the outdoor switchgear of a hydroelectric power plant affects the overall connectivity of the power system.

Today's strike, which also affected the distribution facilities of the Dnieper hydroelectric power station, deprives Ukrainian power engineers of room for maneuver. They will not be able to compensate for the loss of generation at the expense of their largest hydroelectric power station. The only reasonable solution would be to maximize the use of coal and gas thermal power plants, but this can be prevented by both the eternal shortage of fuel and the continued strikes of the RF Armed Forces. Moreover, specifically the Dnieper hydroelectric power station helped to stop the energy shortage in the Kyiv region and transfer excess power to the east of the country.

The impact on the Dnieper HPP in its real effect is comparable to attacks on high-voltage substations of 750 kW and 330 kW https://t.me/readovkanews/45841

- zinc



Against the backdrop of dozens of missile arrivals across Ukraine, the failure of a number of critical infrastructure facilities, the Armed Forces of Ukraine said they shot down 44 out of 50 missiles fired. To comment on this is only to spoil.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7946229.html

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"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Tue Nov 01, 2022 11:49 am

Battles in the Donetsk area
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 01/11/2022

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In recent days, the fighting has intensified around the city of Donetsk with heavy fighting in practically all areas, from Peski, where the DPR suffered casualties to repel the Ukrainian advance attempt, to Ugledar, a sector of the front that has remained static for months. Observing the positions of these towns, to which Avdeevka and Marinka must be added as the most important fortified positions for Ukraine, it is evident the danger that the status quo means for Donetsk, the most important city in Donbass and from which the Russian troops do not They have managed in eight months of military intervention to drive away the Ukrainians.

Last Saturday, the founder and commander of the Vostok battalion, whose troops have been fighting and suffering in Ugledar for months, openly announced the start of an offensive in the area. Alexander Jodakovsky was referring to the use of all kinds of weapons and aviation, scarce in this war due to the risk that their use entails, in an operation for which he wished luck. Throughout the day, Khodakovsky mentioned advances towards Pavlograd, a town south of Ugledar recaptured by Ukraine last June after being captured by the DPR.

Away from the headlines, with a barely cinematic fight that more closely resembles trench warfare in which too many soldiers on both sides of the front lines have died for years, it's hard to imagine the state of these towns after months of battle. However, the sector of the front that is located around Ugledar, a town of little importance in itself, is strategic, since its control could compromise the supply route of the Ukrainian troops from the city of Zaporozhie, mainly to Marinka. . Heavily fortified, this suburb of Donetsk, under Ukrainian control since the summer of 2014, is one of the stones in the DPR's shoe and from which it has not yet managed to expel Ukrainian troops,

Yesterday morning, Alexander Jodakovsky updated the information giving, not only a sample of how soldiers experience war, but also implicitly stating the reason for the offensive:

The night forces hostilities to stop, because neither the enemy nor we have a clear picture of where each one is and it is dangerous to work with the artillery. Logically, it doesn't make much sense for the enemy to keep holding Pavlovka. It is not a key position for them. But the crossings of the river, which is flooded by the rains, are under our control, which puts the enemy in a difficult situation: it will not be easy for them to retreat, so they will have to fight or surrender.

Why did we sacrifice Pavlovka then and now we have to get her back? The problem is that you have to organize the defense lines in the towns that you have to use basements that have openings towards the front. Sitting in a basement like this, a soldier can't see anything around him, only what is in front of him. At Pavlovka, the enemy approached with conventional vehicles from the flanks and was out of sight. When you're sitting in a basement during house-to-house raids, the place becomes a trap, hence a handful of marines, commanders among them, were taken prisoner like this. Not because they are weak in spirit, but because they were held hostage by the defense method.

That said, Ugledar, who controls the high-altitude territory, was a problem. From Pavlovka to the first apartment building in Ugledar there are about 1,800 meters and a natural barrier, which, as expected in this weather, is full of water. From Ugledar you can see everything for tens of kilometers around and you can correct artillery even without the need for drones, hitting Pavlovka in broad daylight. In the mines near Ugledar there is a powerful optical system, which for some reason could not be destroyed either by artillery or by air. As long as it is there, the enemy, who already has the advantage of height, will not be afraid of our electronic warfare system and can correct fire in any direction.

Hence I said that our offensive was premature. In this section of the front, after taking Pavlovka, it is simply mandatory to advance towards Ugledar. Otherwise, the defenders of Pavlovka will be held hostage again. Supply and rotation will be interrupted. It will be impossible to move around Pavlovka: 1800 meters from privileged heights will make our guys moving targets even for machine guns and taking Ugledar in these conditions will be very difficult. If the command is satisfied with the prize of taking Ugledar and wants to wait, seeking first to suppress Ugledar's surveillance forms and wait for the weather, we will find ourselves in a difficult position controlling Pavlovka. But if the command decides to really go after Ugledar now…

Khodakovsky's words indicate the need for Russian aviation and artillery support to eliminate the difficulties from which the infantry has suffered so much in these months. If the offensive is part of a tactic of attacks on Ukraine's strong points, Ugledar among them, with the use of artillery and aviation instead of the frontal assaults that are causing so many casualties among the Russian and, above all, Republican troops, A change in trend can be seen around Donetsk with the attempt to cut supply lines to places like Marinka, key to the Ukrainian strategy in this area. Otherwise, the possible capture of a town of little strategic importance can serve to cover up the war report of the Ministry of Defense,

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/11/01/25852/#more-25852

Google Translator

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Preparation and service of subpoenas are terminated
October 31, 18:19

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A clarification was issued from the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation. The issuance of subpoenas for partial mobilization ends today.

Preparation and service of subpoenas are terminated

On behalf of the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation, General of the Army Sergei Shoigu, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation sent instructions to the commanders of the military districts and the commander of the Northern Fleet until November 1 of this year. report on the completion of partial mobilization activities. The preparation and delivery of subpoenas is terminated.

◽️In accordance with these instructions, all activities related to the conscription for military service by the military commissariats, together with the executive authorities of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation, of citizens who are in reserve, have been stopped.



Alert stations and headquarters, collection points for citizens of military commissariats, as well as buildings and structures allocated by decisions of the executive authorities of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation, used for partial mobilization measures, are subject to release for functioning or use for their previous purpose.

Also, according to the instructions, all personnel of the military commissariats involved in ensuring partial mobilization are ordered to return from October 31 of this year. to carry out their duties as usual.

In the future, the work of military commissariats in recruiting the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will be organized only by accepting volunteers and candidates for military service under the contract.

PS. So far, that's all. They exhaled at the checkpoint "Upper Lars" ...

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7947483.html

War in Ukraine. Summary. 01.11.2022
November 1, 0:15

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War in Ukraine. Summary. 01.11.2022

1. Carbon.

The battle for Pavlovka continues. It is not yet possible to completely break the enemy's resistance in the village. Our troops control more than half of the village.
Fighting continues near Novomikhailovka and in the direction of the road to Ugledar.
In Marinka - positional battles.

2. Avdeevskoe direction.

Fighting continues in Pervomaisky, Vodyany and in the Experimental area. The pace of progress is low.
The enemy continues shelling the Donetsk agglomeration.

3. Artemovsk.

Fights for fortified areas in the Experimental area (not to be confused with Experienced in the Donetsk region) and in the direction of Kurdyumovka.
On the eastern outskirts of Artemovsk - no change. The city itself continues to turn into Popasnaya.

4. Svatovo-Kremennaya.

The enemy continued to attack in the direction of the Svatovo-Kremennaya highway and to the northeast of Svatovo. He did not achieve significant results, having suffered significant losses in people and equipment. However, the Armed Forces of Ukraine still have the resources to continue such attacks, so they will definitely continue in the coming week.
Our troops periodically counterattack in the area of ​​Terna and Torskoe, but these are rather restrictive actions.
An attack on Krasny Liman or Kupyansk should not be expected before the second half of November/December.

5. Kherson.

The enemy made attempts to attack in the direction of Berislav from the Nikopol direction, suffered losses in people and equipment, and did not achieve results.
Also, attempts at reconnaissance in combat in the Krivoy Rog directions were not successful.
In the Kherson region, the evacuation of civilians from potential flood zones during the explosion of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station continues.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/68998 - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7948002.html

Google translator

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President of Russia Vladimir Putin with Defense Minister of Russia Sergey Shoigu after a wreath-laying ceremony at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier. (Kremlin.ru, CC BY 4.0, Wikimedia Commons)

Russia’s ‘dirty bomb’ scare
Originally published: Consortium News on October 25, 2022 by Scott Ritter (more by Consortium News) | (Posted Oct 30, 2022)

I n the span of a few hours on Sunday, the senior-most Russian defense authorities–Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu and General Gennady Gerasimov–called their counterparts in the U.S., U.K., France, and Turkey, with the same message–Ukraine is preparing to detonate a so-called “dirty bomb”— high explosive-wrapped radiological material, designed to contaminate large areas with deadly radioactive isotopes.

Russia is not only concerned about the immediate impact of Ukraine detonating such a devise in terms of the harm that would be done to people and the environment, but also about the potential for such an event to be used by Ukraine’s western allies to directly intervene militarily in the ongoing conflict, similar to what occurred in Syria when allegations about the use of Sarin nerve agent by the Syrian government against civilians were used by the U.S., U.K., and France to justify an attack on Syrian military and infrastructure targets. (It turned out that the allegations of Sarin use were false; the jury is still out about the use of commercial chlorine as a weapon.)

Russia is to raise the matter at the U.N. Security Council on Tuesday, Reuters reported.

In return, Western governments on Monday accused Russia of plans to deploy a dirty bomb. “We’ve been very clear with the Russians … about the severe consequences that would result from nuclear use,” said U.S. State Department spokesman Ned Price.

There would be consequences for Russia whether it uses a dirty bomb or a nuclear bomb.

Ukraine is requesting that the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) send a team to Ukraine to investigate.

A Dud
For all the press attention that has been given to the possibility of a “dirty bomb” being used in Ukraine, history shows that despite the hype, a “dirty bomb” is not a weapon that is either easily produced or procured or causes the kind of mass casualties its proponents hope for.

The current “dirty bomb” scare isn’t Russia’s first encounter with the concept. In November 1995 a “dirty bomb” comprised of high explosives and cesium was uncovered in Moscow’s Ismailovsky Park, and in December 1998 another cache of radioactive material was found attached to an explosive charge near a railroad track in Chechnya. Both devices were disarmed by Russian security forces.

In May 2002 F.B.I. agents arrested Jose Padilla, an American citizen who converted to Islam, as he returned to the United States from a trip that took him to Egypt, Pakistan, and eventually Afghanistan, where, sometime in 1999-2000, he allegedly met with Abu Zubaydah, Osama Bin Laden’s operations chief. According to Zubaydeh, he and Padilla discussed the possibility of Padilla building and detonating a “dirty bomb” inside the U.S.

While Al Qaeda had apparently drafted plans for such a weapon–and in fact had accumulated radioactive medical isotopes for use in a “dirty bomb” (these materials were seized by the U.N. in 2002)–none of this information was shared with Padilla, who arrived in the U.S. with neither a weapon design nor means to accomplish the task. He was tried and convicted, nonetheless.

The closest the world has come to the actual production and employment of an actual “dirty bomb” came in 1987, when Iraq built and tested four devices designed to spread a cloud of radioactive dust for the express purpose of killing humans–in this case, Iranian soldiers (Iraq was, at that time, engaged in a long and bloody conflict with Iran.)

The device in question–an air-dropped bomb measuring 12 feet in length and weighing more than a ton–was, according to documents turned over by Iraq to United Nations inspectors, intended to be dropped on troop areas, industrial centers, airports, railroad stations, bridges and “any other areas the command decrees.”

According to the document, the bomb was intended to induce radiation sickness which would “weaken enemy units from the standpoint of health and inflict losses that would be difficult to explain, possibly producing a psychological effect.” Death, the document noted, would occur “within two to six weeks.”

The Iraqis chose zirconium as their radioactive source. The Iraqis had zirconium in quantities due to its use in incendiary weapons. By irradiating zirconium flakes in the Iraqi nuclear reactor located in Tuwaitha, the Iraqis produced the radioactive isotope Zirconium 95, which had a half-life of 75.5 days, meaning the bomb would have to be used soon after it was manufactured.

The weapon was tested three times in 1987, including a final test involving two actual “dirty bombs” dropped by aircraft. The weapons were a bust, loosing their radioactive properties shortly after detonation. In fact, one would need to stand within ten feet of the point of detonation of the bomb to absorb a lethal dose of radiation, something the high explosive charge of the bomb itself made moot. The project was abandoned.

The Iraqi results were replicated by Israel which, between 2010 and 2014 carried out 20 explosive tests of actual “dirty bombs” in the Negev desert. The research found that the radiation was dispersed in a manner that the danger posed to humans was not substantial, concluding that “the main impact of such an attack would be psychological.”

False Flag, or False Alert?
The Russians are serious about the threat posed by the possibility of a Ukrainian “dirty bomb.” While the history of “dirty bombs” does not point to a threat on the scale or scope of an actual nuclear weapon, one can “worst case” a scenario which provides the potential for the significant loss of life and property from the radioactive fallout such a weapon could produce. Such an outcome would be a disaster which Russia and, presumably, the Western allies of Ukraine would like to prevent.

So far, the Russian allegations appear to have fallen on deaf ears, with Ukraine dismissing the claims as absurd, and non-government affiliated western analysts flipping the script, accusing Russia of actually planning a false flag attack on Ukraine using a “dirty bomb” of its own construction.

But the reality is that Russia takes its senior military-to-military connections with its western counterparts very seriously, given the role such contacts play in the kind of deconfliction cooperation that keeps small-scale incidents from exploding into war. The possibility that Russia would deliberately corrupt this communication channel with disinformation is highly unlikely. Russia appears to be legitimately concerned about the possibility of Ukraine building and using a “dirty bomb”, so much so that it has taken the unprecedented step of reaching out to multiple senior Western defense authorities to prevent such an occurrence from happening.

If, at the end of the day, the appropriate phone calls are made by the West, and Ukraine backs down, then Russia will have succeeded. And if it turns out that the Russian information is wrong, there was no harm from the effort. However, if Russia is correct, and Ukraine not only is preparing to use a “dirty bomb”, but detonates one, and the West did nothing to prevent it, then Russia is on the record for having provided the West with due warning.

https://mronline.org/2022/10/30/russias ... omb-scare/

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Russia Informs the UN it Will Inspect Ships as Black Sea Grain Corridor Closes
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 31, 2022

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Ukraine’s “abuses” of the humanitarian corridor forced Moscow to suspend it, an envoy has told the Security Council

Ukraine “grossly violated” the Istanbul agreement on grain exports via the Black Sea and forced Moscow to suspend it indefinitely, Russia’s envoy to the UN Vassily Nebenzia told the Security Council on Monday. The Russian Navy will inspect all cargo ships bound for Ukraine, even those unilaterally cleared by the Turkish-based coordination center, he added.

“This subversive action of Kiev grossly violates the Istanbul agreements and, in fact, puts an end to their humanitarian dimension. It is now obvious to everyone that the Black Sea humanitarian corridor is being used by the Ukrainian side for military sabotage purposes,” Nebenzia said, referring to Saturday’s drone attack on Sevastopol.

Russia “cannot guarantee the safety of civilian ships participating in the Black Sea initiative,” Nebenzia added, as “we do not know what other terrorist attacks Kiev is preparing with the support of its Western sponsors.”


On Sunday, after Moscow announced the suspension of the arrangement, the Joint Coordination Center (JCC) in Istanbul said it had greenlit 16 ships to navigate the corridor on Monday and “informed” Russia about the decision. According to maritime traffic data, at least two ships left the Black Sea port of Odessa in the morning, reporting Istanbul as their destination.

“Decisions and measures taken without our participation are not binding on us,” Nebenzia told the UN. Moscow “cannot allow ships to pass without our inspection and will be forced to take independent measures” to inspect ships authorized by the JCC without Russian approval.

Meanwhile, the UN coordinator for the Black Sea grain initiative, Amir Abdulla, insisted that “the food must flow.”

The UN and Türkiye mediated a deal in July under which Ukrainian grain could be exported via the Black Sea, while Western obstacles to the exportation of Russian grain and fertilizer would be removed. The US and its allies insist they had never sanctioned grain exports – but their sanctions on Russian ships and insurance made them impossible in practice.

Moscow has criticized the West for not keeping its side of the deal and pointed out that the bulk of Ukrainian exports had gone to the EU and not the African nations most affected by food insecurity.

Russia halted its compliance with the pact on Saturday, after Kiev launched a major drone attack on the Black Sea Fleet and civilian vessels involved in securing safe passage for agricultural cargo from Ukrainian ports. On Sunday, after studying the wreckage of the unmanned combat vehicles, the Russian Defense Ministry said that those behind the attack made active use of the UN-brokered grain corridor.

RT

Russia closes Black Sea ‘grain corridor’

Further navigation through the route is impossible because Kiev uses it for military operations against Russia

The Russian military closed the so-called “grain corridor” used to ship Ukrainian agriculture products through the Black Sea on Monday. The move was provoked by the actions of Ukraine, which used the route to launch attacks on Russia, the Russian Defense Ministry said.

Earlier, Moscow suspended its participation in the grain deal with Kiev, which was mediated by the UN and Türkiye in July. The decision was taken in the wake of a massive drone attack on the Russian naval base in the Crimean port city of Sevastopol, which experienced some naval drones allegedly using the “grain corridor” to reach their targets, according to the Russian military.

Any navigation through the “corridor” would be halted “until the situation with the Ukrainian terrorist attack against the military and civilian vessels in Sevastopol” was cleared, the defense ministry said in a statement. The ministry also said that Kiev should commit to not using the corridor for military purposes. At the same time, it maintained that Russia had not withdrawn from the deal but merely suspended it for an indefinite period of time.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/10/ ... or-closes/

Russia Offers an Alternative to the Ukraine ‘Grain Deal’
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 31, 2022

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Moscow could provide poorer nations with grain from its own stocks

Russia is ready to provide poorer grain-importing nations with supplies from its own stocks to replace Ukrainian exports, Kremlin Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov told journalists on Monday. Earlier, Russia suspended its participation in the so-called “grain deal” with Ukraine following an attack on its navy base in Sevastopol.

“We can guarantee the Russian side’s readiness to compensate for the missing [grain export] volumes from its own stocks,” Peskov said. Earlier, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov said Moscow would continue to support African nations despite halting its compliance with the pact.

The Kremlin spokesman also said only a tiny portion of all Ukrainian agricultural products exported under the deal were destined for the poorest nations anyway, while “not-so-poor nations located in Europe got the rest.”

Moscow also believes that the grain deal between Russia and Ukraine, which was reached in Istanbul with UN and Turkish mediation, is now in limbo for security reasons.

“The deal could hardly be implemented when Russia says it cannot guarantee maritime security in the designated waters” of the Black Sea, Peskov said, adding that the implementation of the agreement is now “much more risky, dangerous and not guaranteed.”

The Kremlin has not said the deal is dead altogether, however. Moscow is “still in contact” with other parties, including the UN and Türkiye, Peskov said. Currently, Russia is “not ready to say” what conditions would have to be met for it to resume its participation in the deal.

Under the agreement reached in July, Russia provided a secure “grain corridor” through the Black Sea to facilitate the exportation of Ukrainian agricultural products. The agreement was praised as critical for easing the global food crisis and helping the world’s poorest nations to avoid starvation. Last week’s decision by Russia to halt its compliance with the deal caused a grain price surge.

Moscow suspended its participation in the deal after a massive drone attack on its naval base in the Crimean port city of Sevastopol. According to the Russian Defense Ministry, the naval drones launched as part of the attack used the grain corridor to reach their targets and one of them may even have been launched from a civilian vessel supposedly chartered to ship Ukrainian grain.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/10/ ... rain-deal/

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From Cassad's Telegram account:

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🔹 Chronicle of a special military operation
for October 31, 2022 In the morning, the Russian Armed Forces launched massive missile strikes on Ukraine's critical infrastructure . Russian troops hit the substations and outdoor switchgear of the Kaniv, Kremenchug, Pridneprovskaya, Dneprovskaya, Kievskaya and Dniester hydroelectric power stations, as well as the Zalyutino substation in Kharkov.

The attack led to large-scale emergency power outages throughout the country and an even greater decrease in the stability of the unified Ukrainian energy system.

🔻Belgorod region

▪️The Armed Forces of Ukraine fired at the border village of Krasnoye in the Belgorod region, there were no wounded or injured among civilians. In the evening, air defense systems intercepted several air targets over Belgorod.

🔻Starobelsk direction :
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▪️On the Kupyansky sector , the enemy, with the support of foreign mercenaries, made another attempt to advance towards Kuzemovka and Orlyanka, but failed and retreated.

In the vicinity of Dvurechnaya , assault detachments of the 14th Ombre were formed for a diversionary strike in the Tavolzhansky sector.

▪️In the Svatovsky sector , the enemy command is concentrating forces in the Borovoy area for a further offensive on Raigorodka.

▪️In the Limansky sector , units of the 66th Ombr and 25th Ovdbr of the Armed Forces of Ukraine stormed the Russian positions near Krasnopopovka, but did not achieve success and retreated.

▪️In the Lisichansk sector , the reconnaissance groups of the Ukrainian 81st air brigade operate on the front line and look for weaknesses in the Russian defense.

🔻Lugansk People's Republic:

▪️During the day, Ukrainian formations fired at Alchevsk, Svatovo, Kremennaya and Pervomaisk from the HIMARS MLRS.

In Alchevsk, shells hit residential areas, as well as the Metallurg Hotel.

🔻Donetsk direction :
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▪️Soldiers of the NM DNR and 150th Motor Rifle Division advanced on the northern outskirts of Maryinka and took control of boarding school No. 3.

The RF Armed Forces also occupied several streets not far from Druzhby Avenue in the center of the settlement and are mopping up the surroundings of the Maryinsky City Council.

▪️The Armed Forces of Ukraine once again fired at the Donetsk agglomeration : Donetsk, Makeevka, Yasinovataya, Gorlovka and Yelenovka were hit.

🔻Ugledarskoe napravlenie :
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▪️Russian troops liberated more than half of the village of Pavlovka by taking control of the crossing near the Kashgalach River. The Ukrainian Armed Forces maintain control over the state farm on the opposite bank of the river.

▪️In the northeast, the RF Armed Forces are advancing south of Novomikhailovka - success in this sector will allow us to take control of the Ugledar-Konstantinovka highway and attack Ugledar from the northeast.

▪️In Konstantinovka, Russian units shot down a Ukrainian Mi-8 transport helicopter.

🔻Zaporozhye direction:

▪️In the Zaporozhye region , the RF Armed Forces worked on targets in Olginsky, Gulyaypole and Zaliznychny, as well as in the Nikopol region and Marganets on the northern bank of the Dnieper.

🔻Southern Front: Nikolaevsko-Berislavskoe direction

▪️At night, Russian troops attacked Bereznegovatoy, destroying the location of the artillery unit of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin

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"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Wed Nov 02, 2022 11:53 am

.Life under martial law
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 02/11/2022
Original Article: Izvestia

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Radical changes have taken place in the DPR in recent weeks: joining the Russian Federation and declaring martial law. However, the main issue on the Republic's agenda remains security: calm will only be possible when the front line moves away from the city, only then will it be possible to talk about a complete solution to problems, old and new. new. How does Donetsk live right now and how does it deal with humanitarian problems?

He hadn't been to the DPR for over a month. It turns out that I left one state and have returned to another. However, those transformations have not changed a few things: despite the unification, I still had to go through two customs and waited two hours in line. A few days ago the border structures of the DPR were finally dismantled. Right now, there is a checkpoint on site, where Russian customs check documents and inspect vehicles. That makes queues last. “Breathing has become somewhat easier,” said a Donetsk resident I met in line. "We will feel that the unification is complete when all the barriers finally disappear."

The first thing that catches your eye when entering Donetsk are mothers with children and even babies on the streets. Following what happens on the news, in Russia they are perplexed: “Is anyone still there? Can you live there? Yes, life is hard and dangerous. But the population remains there, they are hundreds of thousands. At the same time, the sound of cannon fire, which can be heard in all areas, does not stop for a single hour. Victims are recorded daily, there is no exception to that rule. Because of petal mines alone , more than 80 civilians have been injured in the last three months according to the Center for Control and Coordination.

On October 25, one such person, a 76-year-old man, was killed during a shelling at the intersection of Univertsitetskaya and Panfilov, practically in the center of the city. He was lying at the scene of the tragedy by the broken windows of a café, his black beret covered in blood. Beside him was a bottle of kefir. My friend Ruslan, who works in one of the factories in the city, was also injured there. He was riding a bicycle towards his house and found himself at that fateful moment at that intersection.

"A moment, a buzz in the sky, a silence and you end up lying on the asphalt," explains Ruslan. “A second in which you don't orient yourself, you don't hide… After the explosion, people run screaming. I saw that my right hand was covered in blood, my jacket was torn, but I could move my fingers. I realized that despite the shock. I could go back to work, it was close. I got on the bike and continued. At the checkpoint, the guard said: "You are injured, I will bring a bandage." He cured me, gave me water. Then I started to feel bad. That was when the ambulance arrived. At the hospital it turned out that the shrapnel had gone through the arm and ruptured three muscles. But the bone is intact. Everything is sewn. Everything is fine, I've even been lucky. Miracle."

The recent decree of martial law has not changed anything in the DPR, everything remains the same. Some articles in the special regime have caused concern among the population, such as "the possibility of recruiting residents to carry out defense tasks, for example digging trenches", or "requisitioning properties, including vehicles, in exchange for the corresponding payment". But practically at the moment of the publication of the decree, the republican authorities explained that “there will be no drastic changes and the freedoms of the citizenry will not be limited. The Republic has been living under martial law for eight and a half years. Now it has just become official.”

One of the towns that has been experiencing eight and a half years of martial law is Alexandrovka. It is 300 meters through the fields to the Ukrainian positions and three kilometers along the "road of life" to Donetsk.

"It's very stressful, they attack every day," said Konstantin Chaly, the mayor, who has been injured twice in the last two months. “The school, in whose basement there is a shelter and which was repaired and adapted two years ago, has been destroyed and cannot be repaired. The fourth floor collapsed onto the third; the third over the second, and so on. But the shelter still does its job: our people hide there every day.”

There are still many residents in Alexandrovka. Despite the danger, there are still at least 700.

“There are good connections with the city. Taxis don't arrive, it's too dangerous, but there is public transport: two minibuses. Two heroic drivers risk their own lives several times a day. I bow to them. They don't break for nothing."

One of the most pressing issues in Donbass in the water. Currently there is simply no supply. Since February, the urban agglomeration that includes Donetsk has been cut off from its main source of supply: the Seversky Donets-Donbass canal, which originates in Slavyansk.

In June, with the help of military builders and comrades from Moscow who came to help the Voda Donbassa employees, they managed to build several new canals and circulate water from three reservoirs located in the central part of the DPR. But time is running out, there are only reservations for the rest of the year. Furthermore, these sources only cover about a quarter of the city's needs.

"We are taking the following emergency measures," Sergey Mokry, chief engineer of Voda Donbassa , told Izvestia . “Installation of an underwater pipeline has started from Kipuchaya Krinitsa, which is located 35km south of Donetsk in the Starobeshev area. With that help, we will be able to supply the southern neighborhoods of the city. With this pipe, Donetsk will be able to hold out for another 150 days.”

How can a humanitarian catastrophe be avoided? Experts say that a pipeline project is being discussed to transfer water from Russia, from the Don, 200 kilometers away. In terms of cost and scale, its construction is comparable to that of the Crimean bridge, so its construction is hardly possible. The main hope is that the territory through which the canal passes will be recovered by the military.

The scarcity of water directly affects the heating season, which has not yet started in the DPR (with the exception of social infrastructures). The main reason is the lack of water in the heating system. Wells for the boilers and pipes are currently being drilled in the Donetsk yards, there is no other option. Surplus water from the mines is also used. Everything there is used.

To the reasonable question put to the population of Donetsk “Why don't you leave if you are in mortal danger every day, if the living conditions are so difficult?”, the population answers “Where? Who wants us?”, “It's scary to start from scratch”.

Several hundred people work at the Donetsk Opera House: vocalists, dancers, musicians. However, the theater (like other cultural institutions) does not act within its four walls right now: massive events are prohibited. "But the artists and musicians continue to meet, keep fit and rehearse," explains Oxana Antonenko, director of the theater. "It's not a surrender, we understand what we need." According to the director, new productions and performances by the artists are regularly held in small city venues or on tours in Moscow. “In spring we perform near Mariupol with the program On the street with the orchestra ”, adds Oxana. “We go to hospitals, schools. In September we were in Moscow at the See the music festival, we performed on the new stage of the Bolshoi Theater with the ballet Peer Gynt and in the opera The Amorous Adventures of Sir John Falstaff . We are preparing more programs for November.

Elmira A., an employee of the local history department of the Central Library of the Republic, says that until the summer she was completely sure that she would never leave Donetsk, “it never crossed my mind”. But in early autumn, when it became clear that the situation was not going to change, doubts arose. "Sometimes I even start packing," she admits. “But I have always had this feeling: if I leave, it means that I have not been able to hold on, that I have given up. The city is its people. What if everyone leaves? It may be wrong, but this feeling remains and somehow keeps me going.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/11/02/la-vi ... more-25860

Google Translator

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Some Ukraine Items ...

Earlier today these two tweets passed my timeline.

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The first lauded UK cybersecurity efforts to protect networks in Ukraine. The next one reported of successful efforts by some group from the Donetsk republic to hack into the U.S. provided military software used to manage the battlefield in Ukraine.

The hack seems to be very real.

---
Back in April I warned of uncontrolled weapon proliferation from the war in Ukraine:

The U.S. and its proxies in Europe are moving an enormous amount of weapons into Ukraine. But no one has an idea where those weapons will end up. It is likely that many of those will proliferate outside of the Ukraine and some of those weapons will inevitably hit those who now deliver them.
...
The U.S. pushed an enormous amount of weapons into Syria. Those weapons did not end up with the 'moderate rebels' the U.S. propaganda had elevated but in the hands the most ideological committed and most brutal actors on the ground: ...
...
In a repeat of that 'strategy' the U.S. is currently pushing an enormous amount of weapons as well as mercenaries into Ukraine. The bigger stuff it delivers is not of much concern. But the huge amount of small arms and small ammunition, the anti-tank weapons and the handheld anti-air systems are of serious, long term danger. These fit into a car trunk and can easily be smuggled across boarders.
...
If there is a lesson to learn from Syria it is that the most ideological committed and most brutal people on the ground will not only proliferate their ideology into other countries. They are also the groups which inevitably end up holding the most dangerous weapons. They will give some to those groups in other countries which have the same ideology.


On Sunday Finland said that it sees signs that such proliferation is happening:

Finland's National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) said it has received preliminary information that criminals in Finland might have captured military arms, such as assault rifles, meant for Ukrainian forces.
"Weapons shipped [by various countries] to Ukraine have also been found in Sweden, Denmark and the Netherlands," NBI Detective Superintendent Christer Ahlgren told Yle.

International media outlets have reported that the European law enforcement agency Europol has anticipated criminal gangs stashing weapons in border areas. This past summer Europol issued a statement warning that the proliferation of firearms and explosives in Ukraine could lead to an increase in firearms and munitions trafficked into the EU via established smuggling routes or online platforms.

"We've seen signs of these weapons already finding their way to Finland," Ahlgren said.
...
"Three of the world's largest motorcycle gangs—that are part of larger international organisations—are active in Finland. One of these is Bandidos MC, which has a unit in every major Ukrainian city," he explained. "We know that contacts and routes are being warmed up, so that they're in place."


The Bandidos are an organized criminal group prohibited in several countries. Police is likely able to handle them. The Ukrainian Nazis and their international proliferation are a much bigger problem.

In response to the concerns voiced by Finland the U.S. military yesterday announced that is has finally started to check where all those weapons are ending up:

A small number of U.S. military forces inside Ukraine have recently begun doing onsite inspections to ensure that Ukrainian troops are properly accounting for the Western-provided weapons they receive, a senior U.S. defense official told Pentagon reporters Monday.

The official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to provide a military update, would not say where the inspections are taking place or how close to the battlefronts the U.S. troops are getting. The official said U.S. personnel can’t do inspections “close to the front lines,” but said they are going where security conditions allow.
...
The effort is part of a broader U.S. campaign, announced last week by the State Department, meant to make sure that weapons provided to Ukraine don’t end up in the hands of Russian troops, their proxies or other extremist groups.


Notice the slimy propaganda phrasing AP has been using here: "... Russian troops ... or other extremist groups."

That it took eight month to even start this lame weapon control effort shows the lack of concern our well guarded rulers have for their own security.

---
For some curious reason the New York Times has been unable to 'independently confirm' that 10 Russian suicide drones were sufficient to apparently hit 18 targets:

The Ukrainian military said Russia fired 55 missiles on Monday, 45 of which were shot down. Thirteen civilians were injured, the Ukrinform news agency reported. The Foreign Ministry said 18 “objects of civilian critical infrastructure” were damaged. None of the figures could be confirmed independently.

One really wonders why ...

Posted by b on November 1, 2022 at 11:39 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/11/s ... .html#more

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ELECTRO-SHOCK THERAPY FOR SLOW LEARNERS IN THE ELECTRIC WAR (PART III)

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By John Helmer, Moscow
@bears_with

Until capitulation in war, the winning side is the one that learns fastest. The loser is the slowpoke.

In Washington, the turnover of staff inside President Biden’s White House has been so rapid, the learning process for the new staff has been almost as retarded as the incapacity to learn has been accelerating on the part of Biden himself.*

On October 25, the Washington Post revealed how protracted this state of incomprehension is on the US side. “Russia’s ongoing attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure have been so methodical and destructive that administration officials say they are being led by power experts who know exactly which targets will cause the most damage to Ukraine’s power grid.”

Five days earlier, on October 20, the Russian Ministry of Defense had made this official for the first time in its daily war bulletins. “During the day [October 19-20], the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continued to strike with high-precision long-range air-based weapons at the military control and energy systems of Ukraine. All assigned objects have been hit.”

Six days before that, the Kiev regime made it official. In a press interview on October 14, the chief executive of the DTEK power utility, Maxim Timchenko, said: “These strikes are not aimed at generating facilities to prevent us from producing electricity but at connection systems tied to the Ukrainian energy system. They hit open switchgears, transformers, switches, so that a station that can produce electricity cannot be connected to the unified power system. That is, the key targets are Ukrenergo transformer high-voltage substations and power distribution equipment at thermal power plants. What [are] the tactics behind this? Since Soviet times, we have built unified energy systems so that if one of the generation flows fails at some part of the system, another one picks it up. That is, everything is looped and we work in a single system. In Soviet times, a power system scheme was built, where everything is set up for similar events that are happening today.”

“I think the Russian military [consults] their power engineers and they explain how to cause maximum harm to the energy system.”

The Ukrainians aren’t either so uncomprehending or so slow to react. Although they continue to tell pollsters from Kiev they want the war to continue – 89% in Kiev and Galicia, 69% east of the Dnieper River – their feet are doing the talking differently. Polish Border Guard figures – reported daily — show that in the days before the Russian raids on the electric grid began in earnest on October 10, more Ukrainians left Poland to return home across the frontier than the movement from the Ukraine into Poland.

After October 10, however, the cross-border flow has changed direction. Significantly more Ukrainians are now moving to Poland. Vienna press reports are suggesting in parallel that more refugees are crossing into Austria from Poland.

For the time being, the Russian plan of attack is not hitting the electric grid powering the passenger trains between Kiev, Lvov, and the Polish terminal at Przemysl. Instead, they have been cutting power to trains moving east from Kiev towards the Dnieper River and the front from Kharkov to Odessa.

North American experts on infrastructure warfare believe the Russian strategy is to intensify the pressure on Washington, Warsaw, and Berlin to decide if they are willing to take over the direct war-fighting as the Ukrainian resources are being exhausted – replacing air defences, artillery, electricity supplies and equipment, fuel, troops, and advisors. “There’s a logistical limit for NATO to fight to the last Ukrainian”, one of the expert sources observes. “It’s not to the last Ukrainian who can be put on to the battlefield. It’s to the last volt to get him there, supplied with food, fuel and ordnance.”

In this stage the choice is between direct war and proxy war.

In operational terms the sources say there isn’t much choice. “Weapons and ammunition can be replaced, troops trained to use new systems, cash transferred from Washington and Brussels for Kiev to pay the soldiers, and so on. But the infrastructure cannot be fixed with replacements or money. I’m sure the kitchen sink is being thrown at the country. But how are you going to tie in German power transformers, etc., to the Ukrainian grid? What a mess.”

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In this video clip published on October 29 by Boris Rozhin on his Colonel Cassad Telegram channel, a combination passenger and freight train – diesel powered, not electric – is shown moving at speed through a station. The cargo, reported by Rozhin, includes modernized T-55 tanks from Slovenia. “A total of 28 cars will be delivered. The tanks certainly old, but due to modernization, it cannot be said that it is useless...with proper use and an intelligent crew, it is still quite dangerous…should not be underestimated.”

“I’m suspecting a strategy of inducing collapse and de facto surrender,” a North American military source says, “widespread dysfunction in order to present a fait accompli to the US after the November 8 elections change the balance of power in Washington. ‘You can leave now, otherwise it’s you who have broken it so you will have to pay for what comes next. We can make it into a black hole. And we both know your knees are wobbling. Here are our draft armistice terms.”

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The Ukrainian Energy Minister German Galushchenko (right) told the German publication Der Spiegel on October 21: “’We are doing everything to provide access to electricity and heat. This winter will be extremely difficult, the most difficult in the history of our independence’. The minister noted that at the same time, energy consumption has already been reduced by 10%, and Germany has sent repair equipment, generators, transformers and other assistance to Ukraine. ‘In light of the large-scale missile attacks, we need continued [support], even in large quantities….Ukraine needs air defense systems to protect energy facilities from Russian missiles and drones,’ the minister stressed.”

The Russian raids between October 22 and October 27 have reduced consumption by significantly more than Galushchenko’s announcement of the week before. Follow the Rybar Telegram channel for unofficial situation reporting in English here.

The US and NATO response is more substitution of forces from the Polish and Czech direction to support Kiev and Lvov, and from the Romanian-Moldovan direction to defend Odessa.


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Source: https://t.me/s/rybar

For Rybar’s commentary on US training of Ukrainian forces in Romania combined with attacks on the electricity grid between the Odessa region and Moldovan power plants, read this. For USAF targeting for the Sevastopol drone attacks of October 28-29, click. For Italian radar tracking confirmation of the operation of the Sigonella, Sicily, airbase to provide the drone guidance support, read.

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“Tonight a Ukrainian attack hit the Russian naval base in Sevastopol hard. It is not yet clear what damage was done to the Russian fleet, but it seems that the frigate ‘Admiral Makarov’, the current flagship of the Russian fleet in the Black Sea, was hit (what damage it suffered is not yet clear). During the attack (apparently carried out by marine drones) a USAF Northrop Grumman RQ-4B (reg. 11-2046 – callsign FORTE10) was conducting a surveillance mission in the area south of Sevastopol. The aircraft arrived over the Black Sea at 08:30 CEST on 28 October and left at around 08:45 CEST on 29 October. This type of mission is usual for USAF drones based at Sigonella.” Source: https://www.itamilradar.com/

Asked to say if the loss of capacity is now 30% or greater, DTEK chief executive Timchenko said: “I certainly don’t want to challenge the minister’s statement. t can be perceived in different ways. ‘Out of operation’ in terms of the fact that we have lost connection systems – [that] is correct. That is, if we do not have connections with generating stations, as I said, then we have lost 30% of the capacity when it comes to the process of energy delivery to the consumer. Why were the rolling blackouts implemented? Because the power that was produced could not be delivered to the grids.”

An American grid maintenance specialist notes that “well-off Ukrainians who can afford the cost are tying in thousands of small generators but this creates fresh hazards to both utility crews conducting repairs and the electrical gear they are working on. The biggest danger will be due to improper installation of generators in residential or small commercial settings. Such improvised tie-ins — in many cases completed by unqualified personnel without inspection — will lead to dangerous voltages and currents being backfed onto utility lines.”

Timchenko of DTEK acknowledged that the Russian strategy is to leave the Ukrainian power plants capable of generating the electricity, but to cut off the lines connecting them to the grid, the military supply links in the west and south, and the front regions where the Ukrainian Army claims to be recapturing ground and preparing new offensives. “There is enough own capacity within Ukraine to get through the winter and for normal operation. The problem is the hits and damage done to the infrastructure that allows this power to be provided… I believe that we cannot have some kind of Armageddon, a situation where everything will be broken, and we will end up having a total blackout. I don’t believe [we will have] this scenario. Although I did not believe in a war with Russia. Everything is possible, but based on how we have performed and how the system has performed in terms of sustainability, I have confidence that we will cope with these challenges.”

“Again, in conjunction with the military. I rely heavily on Ukrainian Air Defense Forces. Still, even with such a massive attack, more than 50% of the missiles have been shot down. These are certain lessons for us and for the military, how to deal with such situations.”

A Canadian military source is skeptical of Ukrainian announcements of high rates of interception of Russian missiles and drones, and their republication in the London, Washington, and Berlin press. “Do you remember the quip from German soldiers near the end of World War Two? I believe it went something like this: ‘If you see a lot of planes, that’s the Americans. If you see fewer planes, that’s the British. If you don’t see any planes, that’s the Luftwaffe.’ This is my impression of Ukrainian air defence.”

The Canadian source also dismissed experts being promoted in US media. “The video evidence shows police and militiamen firing wildly in the air with personal weapons at the sight of the incoming drones. That’s morale boosting. It isn’t air defence.”

An expert source in the US adds: “The Russians know that US-NATO is throwing what it can in terms of air defence weaponry at the Ukraine. They also know that re-supply is an issue right across the west, including the US defence industry, because stocks are running down and delivery just in time is proving far too late. So, I suspect the Russians are throwing cheap, easy to manufacture drones at Ukrainian targets, many of which are shot down, while more than enough get through. But the secondary mission is to exhaust limited stocks of US- NATO anti-aircraft missiles. After some days of this, the Russians switch back to using their more expensive and accurate cruise and ballistic missiles, as well as drones, at infrastructure targets and against depleted Ukrainian AD.”

The “secondary” mission becomes the strategic Russian objective when the Pentagon and the Joint Chiefs of Staff are being compelled to decide whether to rush more advanced missile interception systems to the battlefields in the west and south; and also whether to risk American operators inside the Ukraine because Ukrainians cannot be trained fast enough.

According to a Reuters report from the Pentagon on October 11, “the United States has approved sending Ukraine a total of eight National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile Systems (NASAMS) so far, with two expected to be delivered soon and six more sent over a longer time frame. ‘We think that we’re on track to get those first two over there in the very near future,’ [Pentagon spokesman Admiral John] Kirby said during a briefing for reporters. ‘We are certainly interested in expediting the delivery of NASAMS to Ukraine as soon as we can.’”

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NASAMS=Norwegian or National Advanced Surface to Air Missile Systems. The initial Ukrainian announcement of NASAMS deployment and training does not say which model is being supplied: https://news.yahoo.com/and https://en.wikipedia.org/
The Raytheon announcement of October 25 also omitted to identify the model; it did qualify the number and acknowledged the delay in delivery.

The North American source comments: “How will it look when the NASAMS don’t work, just as other US air defence schemes have time and again in the past. How to explain $20,000 drones beating multi-billion dollar systems? The problem for [Joint Chiefs Chairman General Mark] Milley is acute — how to deliver and operate NASAMS without the Russian side capturing it?”

Russian sources believe the Stavka strategy is not (repeat not) aimed at Ukrainian morale. They know this is holding up, just as the US and British airforces discovered was true of the Germans and Japanese during (and despite) the Allied strategic bombing campaigns of World War II.

Public opinion polling by the Kiev International Institute of Sociology, measured by telephone calling between October 21 and 23, confirms this, albeit with significantly greater enthusiasm for the war from the Galicians and those in Kiev who are benefitting from the foreign cashflows:

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Source: https://www.kiis.com.ua

“In our opinion, a more significant impact on representativeness can be either a generally lower willingness of citizens with ‘pro-Russian’ attitudes to participate in surveys, or the insincerity of those who did take part in the survey (taking into account the obvious facts and prevailing opinions in the media regarding the Russian invasion , some citizens will not want to say what they really think ‘in public’). If to talk about the general willingness of respondents to participate in the survey, then in recent surveys we see either the same indicators or somewhat lower (although it should be borne in mind that the lower willingness to participate of ‘pro-Russian’ citizens can be compensated by the higher willingness to participate of ‘pro-Ukrainian’-minded citizens).”

As this Kiev qualifier concedes, walking may be a better measure of Ukrainian sentiment than talking. But Russian sources interpret the Stavka strategy as aimed at the politically weak governments in Warsaw, Berlin, Paris and London; they are already facing swelling domestic protests at spending more and more money on the Ukrainians, while budget cuts are being imposed on domestic welfare and consumption, including what the French are calling pénurie de carburant.

“If Ukrainian refugee flows accelerate – and they will when this October’s unusually warm temperatures come to an end – then the political choices for war or peace will sharpen,” a Moscow source says.

For the time being, the Polish Border Guard arrival and exit data, issued each day, show relatively stable and equal flows of Ukrainians into Poland and of those returning home. However, the daily figures also reveal that following the October 10 raids against the electric grid there was a small increase in cross-border movement into Poland, accompanied by a larger drop in the number of Ukrainians who had previously been crossing to return home and have opted to stay in Poland.

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Source: https://twitter.com/

Counting October 1 through 29, a total of 695,700 Ukrainians crossed the border into Poland; this is an average of 23,990 per day. However, on the days from October 11 through 16, the daily inflow jumped to between 25,000 and 26,000. This is an increase of 5.5%.

Counting the repatriation movements, a total of 677,200 Ukrainians crossed from Poland into the Ukraine for an average of 23,352 per day. Between October 11 and 16, this outflow dropped to 17,300 on the first day, and averaged 18,033 over the six days. That was a decline of 22.8%.

Sources in Warsaw say they are expecting the inflow to accelerate with the onset of winter, and the outflow to shrink. Combined with the Russian campaign against the electric grid, the effect may be another overwhelming refugee problem inside Poland, and also westwards into Germany, Czech Republic, Austria, and Hungary.

MAP OF UKRAINIAN POPULATION MOVEMENTS SINCE FEBRUARY 24, 2022

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Source: https://frontex.europa.eu/

Reading the daily Rybar report on the Russian operations, and the daily tweet from the Polish Board Guard, and it will become clear why the passenger trains, bus and car routes out of Galicia and into Poland will continue to remain open.


[*] A Brookings report, issued in October this year, reveals that the Biden White House staff turnover in the first two years of the administration has been more rapid than any predecessor in the past forty years – and this isn’t counting yet departures likely after the November 8 elections.

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http://johnhelmer.net/electro-shock-the ... more-59402

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Is the U.S. and NATO Running Another Operation Gladio in Europe?
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on NOVEMBER 1, 2022
Christopher Helali

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[Source: russiancouncil.ru][

[In Part Two of this three-part series on foreign mercenary fighters in Ukraine, (see Part 1) the nexus between mercenaries with experience in Syria, Ukraine and U.S.-EU-NATO armed forces becomes more apparent. This second part of the investigation looks at Shaun Pinner, Alexander Tobiassen, John Harding, Sjoerd Heeger, Craig Lang and Ben Fischer.—Editors]


From Bosnia and Northern Ireland to Syria and Onwards to Ukraine: Shaun Pinner

While in Syria, British mercenary Aiden Aslin [whose experiences are discussed in Part One of the series] befriended fellow UK citizen Shaun Pinner (aka Snowy), a 48-year-old former British soldier. Pinner spent nine years in the Royal Anglian Regiment, an infantry unit in the British Army, completing two tours in Bosnia and three tours in Northern Ireland in the 1990s. Pinner was even featured in 1994 on the front cover of Soldier, a British military magazine.

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Shaun Pinner (circled in red) and his unit in Bosnia. [Source: facebook.com]

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Shaun and his unit in Northern Ireland. [Source: facebook.com]
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The Tactical Medical Unit (YBT) in northeast Syria. Kneeling from left to right, Kevin Howard, Lucas Chapman, Damien Rodriguez, John Harding (Unit Commander). Standing from left to right, unknown, Justin Schnepp, Taylor Hudson, Konstantin Gedig (Andok Cotkar), unknown, Shaun Pinner. [Source: web.archive.org]

In 2016 and 2017, Pinner was in Syria with Aslin and John Harding, the unit commander (who would later join him in the Azov Battalion) fighting with the YPG against ISIS. He was a member of the Tactical Medical Unit (YBT) alongside U.S. citizens including Justin Schnepp, Damien Rodriguez, Lucas Chapman, Taylor Hudson and Kevin Howard.

Howard (aka Kane Harley) was a former U.S. Marine who went on to serve in the French Foreign Legion before going to Syria. He committed suicide in 2019. Taylor Hudson also served in the French Foreign Legion. According to conversations with people who were in northeast Syria at the time, the medical unit was notorious for rampant drug abuse amongst its members.

YBT members used medical supplies that were critical for battlefield injuries for their personal consumption. The drug of choice was tramadol. Following a lengthy investigation, YPG leadership disbanded the unit and sent home a few of its members, notably its commander. Other former members have made varying claims as to why the unit was disbanded.

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From left to right, Shaun Pinner, unknown, Lucas Chapman and Kevin Howard in Syria. [Source: facebook.com]

After leaving Syria in late 2017, Pinner traveled to Ukraine. Landing at the airport in Kyiv, he was picked up by Alexander Tobiassen. Pinner joined the Azov Battalion, a neo-Nazi group that was formally integrated into Ukraine’s National Guard following the 2014 Maidan coup d’etat.

He has fought against the Lugansk and Donetsk People’s Republics for a few years and, in a 2019 documentary titled Robin Hood Complex: Ukraine—Europe’s Forgotten War, director Emile Ghessen interviews Pinner and other fighters who are former British military soldiers who fought in Syria and now are fighting with the Azov Battalion in eastern Ukraine.

In the documentary, Pinner is seen next to John Harding, his former commander of the Tactical Medical Unit (YBT) who is now with him in Azov.

Harding also served in the British military prior to leaving for Syria and Ukraine. All three of the men, Pinner, Harding, and “Tony,” also reveal their distinctive black and red tattoos that they have which says “Happy Days” with a sniper’s crosshair. Aiden’s recent photograph after his surrender shows that he also has this same distinctive tattoo.

Pinner also states during his interview that he gets paid to do all these travels to war zones to fight. This was unique since other internationalists I spoke to who traveled to Syria reported no compensation for their volunteer time.

Pinner also describes his motivation for coming to Ukraine as a desire to “train to a NATO standard.” When asked about Azov Batallion’s Nazi ideology, he downplayed it, claiming that there might be a small contingent, “but all we see is nationalists.”

In October 2020, Pinner earned his green beret and airborne wings, becoming a Ukrainian Marine. Like Aiden, Shaun also married a Ukrainian woman and lives in Mariupol.

Western media also reported heavily about Shaun Pinner in the lead-up and initial phases of the Russian Special Military Operation. He was seen on the front lines near Mariupol with Aslin where they were both serving in the 36th Marine Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. According to media reports, he was the commander of a unit on the front.

When Aslin surrendered to Russian forces, the media could not confirm Shaun’s whereabouts. Shaun eventually surrendered to Russian forces. Both Aiden and Shaun remained in custody for crimes that included their military service in the Azov Battalion on the Donbas front.

Shaun has recently been interviewed in the Russian media. It was even reported that during the interview he said that he would want, along with Aiden Aslin, to be exchanged for Ukrainian politician and businessman Viktor Medvedchuk, who is currently imprisoned by Ukrainian authorities.

Shaun Pinner pleaded guilty in court for crimes including “terrorism, committing a crime as part of a criminal group, and forcible seizure of power or forcible retention of power.” The court sentenced Shaun Pinner to death on June 9, 2022. He, along with Aiden Aslin, have indicated through their lawyer that they will appeal the ruling.

Along with Shaun and Aiden, John Harding was also arrested and imprisoned after being captured in July. He has been charged and faces the death penalty for being a mercenary member of the fascist and neo-Nazi Azov Battalion and for war crimes. In a video posted widely to Telegram, Harding asked for former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson to intervene to save them.

Shaun Pinner, Aiden Aslin, and John Harding were released as part of a prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine in September 2022.

The U.S. Army Vet Aiding Shaun Pinner and Aiden Aslin in Ukraine: Alexander Tobiassen

Alexander Tobiassen was born in Florida and moved to Newport, Rhode Island, with his family when he was four years old. At 17, he joined the Rhode Island National Guard, completed U.S. Army Infantry School and Airborne School in Georgia. Tobiassen deployed to Afghanistan in 2012 as a turret gunner on an MRAP.

He left his deployment early and returned stateside. He was honorably discharged from the Army due to an injury. He resorted to a life of drugs and crime, saying in a recent interview that, at that time, “I was essentially a junkie.”

Eventually, his addiction turned from OxyContin and Percocet to heroin. He was living in Washington, D.C., at the time. He was arrested for attempting to rob a Cumberland Farms convenience store in Middletown, Virginia, in December 2015.

A Newport County grand jury indicted Tobiassen with one count of first-degree robbery, felony assault,

In a recent article on Tobiassen, he recounted his thoughts in late 2016. “My life is such a mess and disaster,” he said. “I want to go to Iraq. I want to be a soldier again. I want to complete a deployment because I left mine early.”

He traveled through Jordan to Iraq to join the YPG. That ultimately did not work out due to logistical issues. Tobiassen, instead traveled to fight in Ukraine. Tobiassen states in the article that he “fought in the Donbas conflict several times.” He joined the Georgian National Legion, a unit founded in 2014 by Mamuka Mamulashvili. In 2017, he fought on the front lines with the Georgian National Legion against the people’s militias of Donetsk and Lugansk.

Tobiassen is married to Iryna, a Ukrainian woman, and has a four-year-old daughter named Sasha. He also has a ten-year-old son in the U.S. Tobiassen and his family were living in Odessa as of February. His wife and daughter have since left the country for Romania.

Currently on the front, Tobiassen has been in active combat since the start of the Russian Special Military Operation according to his Instagram. He is quoted as saying, “I’ve lived in Ukraine now for five years. This place is home to me. I have a Ukrainian daughter.” “I see this at this point as the fate of the free world,” he went on to say.

The Right Sector to YPG Pipeline: Sjoerd Heeger

Shaun Pinner, Aiden Aslin, John Harding, and “Tony” are not the only former YPG members with connections to neo-Nazi organizations in Ukraine.

In late 2016, Dutch national Sjoerd Heeger (nom de guerre Baran Sason), traveled from Europe to northeast Syria via Iraq to join the Kurdish YPG under the SDF. Sjoerd attended the YPG International Academy outside Al-Malikiyah (Dêrik) in the northeast corner of Syria. Upon completing his training around February 2017, Sjoerd was assigned to a Kurdish unit. He was killed fighting against ISIS in Deir ez-Zor on February 12, 2018.

While at the YPG International Academy, Sjoerd’s far-right political views were known to the other internationalists and to the YPG Academy leadership. What was unknown to many until his death was the full extent and depth of his background and beliefs.

Prior to his arrival in Syria, Sjoerd had traveled to Ukraine, where he joined Right Sector, a neo-Nazi group that formally became a political party following the Maidan coup. Little is known about his time with Right Sector or the full extent of his fighting in Ukraine. After his death, however, photos were made public on social media revealing his allegiance to Nazi ideology, and his blog and YouTube channel surfaced, where he made neo-Nazi views explicit.

In one photo, he appears next to a weapons cache in Ukraine holding a book titled Third Reich Pilgrim.

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Sjoerd Heeger poses next to weaponry and a book titled Third Reich Pilgrim. [Source: hermitagehelm.net]

His blog, titled “The Sword’s Awakening,” features pictures including him holding a pistol and axe in front of a Nazi flag, a drawing with a Ukrainian fighter with the colors of the Ukrainian flag and the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA), which collaborated with the Nazis to mass-murder Jews and ethnic Poles, with the black sun as a halo behind the fighter’s head, and Waffen SS artwork. His neo-Nazi views ran deep and his website, which includes his writings and musings on life, politics, and current events, are replete with fascist imagery and beliefs.


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Sjoerd with Nazi flag, axe and pistol. [Source: daserwachenderschwerter.wordpress.com]

Upon arriving in Syria, Sjoerd used the Kurdish nom de guerre Baran, claiming to have changed his ideological perspective. He publicly stated that he was supportive of the Kurdish struggle and of Abdullah Ocalan’s theory of “democratic confederalism.”

However, his views on the Kurds contradicted this supposed ideological conversion. Sources we spoke to who knew him claim that he viewed the Kurds as Aryans who were worthy of protecting and fighting for. According to some who interacted with him in Syria, he maintained his fascist views in private.

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Funeral for neo-Nazi Sjoerd Heeger, who was killed in action fighting with the YPG. [Source: internationalistcommune.com]

After Heeger’s death, U.S. Army veteran Craig Lang hailed him as a “brother” and said they would “meet again in Valhalla.” It is interesting to note how many of these internationals with links to the neo-Nazi groups in Ukraine use the term “Valhalla.” Even Aiden made an Instagram post for a fellow fighter who had died and, after posting a picture with him, said, “Till valhalla bro R.I.P.”

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Craig Lang and Sjoerd Heeger. [Source: twitter.com]

Lang is a hardened neo-Nazi, now living in Ukraine. He grew up in North Carolina and joined the U.S. Army in 2008, deploying to both Iraq and Afghanistan. In 2013, he attempted to murder his wife who he thought was having an affair. He was jailed and, in 2014, was dishonorably discharged. His wife took custody of their child and he lost his military benefits, gun license, truck and house. In May 2015, Lang left the United States to fight in Ukraine.

He joined Right Sector and had some kind of affiliation with the Georgian National Legion. Lang fought against independence militias in Donbas. He was part of “Task Force Pluto,” a squad of like-minded internationals who had a “fetish for death and torture.” Lang’s prominence in far-right and neo-Nazi social media prompted him to become a de-facto recruiter for other fascists from abroad who were looking to fight in Ukraine.

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Craig Lang in Ukraine in a Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty video. [Source: twitter.com]

According to David Plaster, another American who fought with Lang in Ukraine, Lang boasted about “fucking people up” and doing “extrajudicial shit” in the war zone in the Donbas, in particular to enemy combatants captured by Right Sector. This amounts to an admission of war crimes.

Lang and fellow American Alex Zwiefelhofer traveled to Africa in 2017 to supposedly fight against al-Shabaab, an al-Qaeda affiliate. While at the Kenya-South Sudan border, both were arrested and spent two months in jail in Nairobi. They eventually returned to the U.S. in 2017.

Upon arrival, Zwiefelhofer was found with child pornography on his phone but after he was released on bond, he fled. Lang was under investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice for possible war crimes committed against civilians in Donbas.

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Craig Lang’s Ukrainian document. [Source: southfront.org]

After a few months in the United States, according to the FBI, Lang and Zwiefelhofer traveled to Miami with weapons. It was there that they lured Deana and Serafin Lorenzo, both Army veterans, with an internet advertisement for used guns. Once the couple arrived to make the purchase, Lang and Zwiefelhofer opened fire on their truck, killing them in a hail of gunfire. They stole $3,000 in cash.

After murdering the couple, Lang spent time in Washington State and North Carolina, then traveled to Colombia. There he planned to join mercenaries plotting to assassinate Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Matthew McCloud, who joined Lang in Colombia, got cold feet and, upon returning to the U.S., was arrested.

He cooperated with the FBI and revealed Lang’s involvement in the killing of the Lorenzos. McCloud stated “He is also very troubled because of war. It caused him to do some very unspeakable things. He confided in me some very gruesome details. I can’t really elaborate on what I know for legal and safety reasons.” For reasons unknown, Lang did not follow through with his plans and instead boarded a flight to Kyiv.

Zwiefelhofer was arrested in the United States and is currently in prison. Craig Lang currently lives in Ukraine with his Ukrainian wife. Lang was facing extradition and appeared before a Ukrainian court. While there, he wore his hair in the oseledets style, popular among far-right nationalists and neo-Nazis. His mask was red and black, the colors of the UPA, and a patch on his sleeve had the number “88,” code for “Heil Hitler.”

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Craig Lang (center) speaks to supporters from Right Sector. The 88 patch is visible on his sleeve. [Source: buzzfeednews.com]

The Ukrainian court originally halted extradition, but they eventually reversed course. Lang appealed to the European Court of Human Rights. He claimed that his extradition would “violate all the UN conventions” and that he was being persecuted for his politics. He defended his actions during the war as a soldier serving Ukraine.

In the spring of 2021, ABC News Investigative Correspondent David Scott interviewed Lang in Ukraine. Responding to a question about right-wing extremism in Ukraine, Lang said, “I’m going to say that the amount of, like, neo-Nazis or people with extreme views is very, very minimal, very, very minimal.”

Currently, his status is unknown but he is still supposedly in Ukraine. Should he leave Ukraine, he would presumably be extradited to the United States.

From Kosovo to Ukraine to Syria and Back to Ukraine

One of Lang’s close friends in Task Force Pluto was Austrian citizen Ben Fischer, a high school dropout who, seeking to avoid an “indoor life,” joined the Austrian Army. Both have the same tattoo, Molon Labe, the classic Spartan phrase attributed to King Leonidas.

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From left to right, Benjamin Fischer, Quinn Rickert, Alex Kirschbaum, Craig Lang and Santi Pirtle. [Source: buzzfeednews.com]

Fischer served in the Austrian Army from 2009 to 2013. He was deployed to Kosovo on a KFOR Mission where he aided the CIA-trained Kosovo Liberation Army during their war to dismember Serbia. The Kosovo Liberation Army has also been accused of having had a massive network of illegal organ harvesting during the war, which amounts to war crimes.

Afterwards, he went to fight in Ukraine with Right Sector and then went to Syria to fight with the YPG in 2014. He eventually left Syria to rejoin Right Sector in 2015 where, according to multiple sources, he stayed until 2017.

A dossier has been created which highlights his history and background as well as the case for war crimes he committed against the people of Donbas. In 2017, Fischer was arrested at the Polish border, accused of having “killed soldiers who had already surrendered or civilians on the side of the Ukrainian troops in the battle for Donetsk airport.” His case is currently being handled by the Austrian government.

The case of these individuals identified in this article not only highlights their connections to both Ukraine and Syria but how these foreign mercenaries are all connected to U.S.-EU-NATO operations in three different regions where operations are ongoing. This sinister nexus of military personnel, neo-Nazis, and intelligence networks is eerily reminiscent of Operation Gladio following the Second World War—a state terrorist operation involving the creation of underground armies to fight the Soviet Union and political left in Europe.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/11/ ... in-europe/

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From Cassad's Telegram account:

***

forwarded from
Readovka
Map of hostilities and the situation on the fronts on the evening of November 1

📡Today there was little news from the battlefields. The usual for the country 404 morning “calibration”, negotiations over the “grain deal”, the beginning of conscription for military service are the brightest events today. But while the Russian soldier breaks the military machine of the 404th Reich (NATO), the Russian hacker leisurely breaks into the American command and control systems, in particular Delta, which is in the hands of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Which we are now very happy about.

⚔️The situation on the fronts for the past day:

⚫️Svatovo-Kremennaya direction

Our troops defeated a group of Ukrainian militants who acted together with foreign mercenaries in the area of ​​Orlyanka and Kuzemovka.

Artillery fire inflicted a defeat on the militants in the area of ​​Chervonopopovka and Makeevka, where the enemy tried to go on the offensive.

⚫️Donetsk direction

Russian forces carried out an offensive in the Nevelskoye area, the positions of Ukrainian militants were taken. During the assault, a large number of weapons were captured and prisoners were captured.

⚫️Ugledarsk direction

Heavy fighting continues in Pavlovka . Russian forces are systematically pushing the enemy, at the moment most of Pavlovka is under our control.

There are also clashes in the area of ​​the highway to Ugledar. Our troops are trying to take it under fire control, thereby complicating the logistical communications of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

⚫️Kherson direction

Today, Kherson and Zaporozhye directions are relatively calm. The Armed Forces of Ukraine carry out only local attacks. Attacks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine fell on the areas of the settlements of Mylovoe, Sukhanovo, Bruskinskoye, Kostromka and Zeleny Gay.

💡As part of partial mobilization, 87,000 out of 300 people have already been sent to the combat areas . In addition to the task of training and equipping, the state and the region face another important task - to provide those mobilized with monetary allowance. In addition to the usual wages, the regions provide financial assistance. But it is not everywhere and not everywhere the same. Read more in Readovka .

***

forwarded from
Southern News Service
Gagin: Hacking the American "DELTA" caused enormous damage to the Armed Forces

of Ukraine Experts hacked the American program " DELTA ", which was used by Ukraine to control troops, including mercenaries. This was reported to the publication "Southern News Service" by the adviser to the acting head of the DPR, Yan Gagin.

“The program contains information about Ukrainian and Russian troops, as well as the coordinates of military equipment. Now the military of the Russian Federation can view this data, ”the source said.

Gagin also noted that the program was owned not only by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but also by NATO officers who constantly coordinated the Ukrainian General Staff.

“The plans of the enemy were revealed, which allowed the Russian army to advance at the front in recent days,” the source added.

In addition, Gagin believes that the control of the Ukrainian troops will be, if not paralyzed, then difficult, which will also play into the hands of the RF Armed Forces.

“They will have to doubt and check their own intelligence about us, which will take time,” said the adviser to the acting head of the DPR. Military expert Daniil Bezsonov noted

on his Telegram channel that the program is “very convenient garbage.” “The fact that our special services got access to it suggests that we now know everything about the enemy and we know everything that the enemy knows about our forces and means and their deployment,” he wrote. @yugsn

***

forwarded from
Brussels connection
🇺🇸On the growth of military activity of the US Navy in Europe

There are reports that in mid-November an American aircraft carrier strike group (AUG) will arrive on the coast of Great Britain in the following composition:

▪️aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford
▪️cruiser USS Normandy
▪️three destroyers USS Ramage, USS McFaul and USS Thomas Hunder
▪️patrol ship USCGC Hamilton
▪️USNS Joshua Humpreys and USNS Robert E. Peary logistics ships

Ford's air wing will include:
🔸four fighter squadrons VFA 213, VFA 31, VFA 37 and VFA 87
🔸electronic warfare squadron VAQ 142
🔸AWACS squadron VAW 124
🔸two helicopter squadrons HSM 70 and HSC 9
🔸Logistic Support Squadron VRC 40

📌Thus, soon two aircraft carrier strike groups of the US Navy will operate in the European zone at once, since now there is already one AUG led by the aircraft carrier George HW Bush in the Mediterranean Sea and there is no information about its curtailment. Ships and aircraft of this group are actively conducting exercises with allies, including near Russian borders. For example, in mid-October, F-18 fighters took off from the deck of the Bush and trained to strike ground targets at a training ground in Lithuania. Obviously, the activities of the second arriving AUG, led by Ford, will be of a similar nature and, perhaps, more intense due to the understandable geographical factor.



📌📌In addition, in this context, let me remind you that in August , for the first time, a US Navy amphibious assault group was present in the Baltic in full force , which also actively conducted joint exercises with Washington's regional allies, including Finland. The main task of this ship formation is the delivery and support of the actions of the units of the US Marine Corps Expeditionary Force. In our country, THERE , all these movements are monitored and kept under control, sensibly and in time assessing the degree of change in military parity in the theater of operations, right? @brussinf

***

forwarded from
Beregini
Let's add some details on our own how we worked with the Joker, who sees all units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in real time . The program code for the DELTA combat control integration platform was written by military personnel of military unit A2724, graduates of technical higher educational institutions.

When developing the DELTA combat control platform, military personnel of A2724 military unit used the Worksection virtual project management system (page address: https://botan. worksection.com ).

And we know everything about this program for a long time. Even at the development stage, we got acquainted with a unit that calls itself "Air Intelligence". Then they considered themselves the Center for the implementation and maintenance of automated systems for the operational (combat) control of the armed forces of Ukraine. And we even know how they lost in the hardware struggle when purchasing a combat control program.

The Automation Department (GUSIS) did not involve specialists from the A2724 military unit to participate in the development of the terms of reference for the Dzvin-AS R & D and did not include the Delta IP in its composition, and the Everest company did not conclude contracts with the developers of the Delta IP ". Instead, we signed contracts with other subcontractors, including those that had previously contracts with the Armed Forces of Ukraine and government departments. Therefore, the Delta developers flew like their homemade drones over the JFO zone. Marat Masykhatovich, did you think we don't know about you?

We are Beregini ! We know everything!

https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin

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"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Thu Nov 03, 2022 11:52 am

Quick change of posture
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 11/03/2022

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Just three days after announcing its withdrawal from the agreement for the export of Ukrainian grain through three Black Sea ports, Moscow yesterday announced its return. On Saturday, Russia accused Ukraine of having used the planned humanitarian corridor for grain exports for a drone attack on civilian ships participating in the agreement and the Black Sea fleet in the city of Sevastopol. To this serious accusation, Moscow added the aggravating circumstance of the alleged participation of the United Kingdom in the planning and execution of the attack. Russia considered the agreement broken, so Ukrainian grain exports would have to stop immediately. Yesterday, before the confirmation of Russia's return to the agreement, Turkey, the third country through which the agreement was managed and the process has been carried out during this time,

Yesterday's Russian announcement implies that there has been a negotiation with the mediation of Ankara and the UN and the delivery, it is understood that not directly but through those mediators, of a series of guarantees that Ukraine would have presented in writing. According to President Vladimir Putin, Ukraine thus undertakes not to use the humanitarian corridor to carry out military attacks. The speed with which a supposedly broken agreement has been recovered, especially considering the seriousness of the Russian accusations against Ukraine and a NATO country, suggests that there are other reasons.

Although this is not the first time that, since the beginning of the military intervention, Russia has taken steps contrary to what was previously announced - it is the case of the ease with which soldiers and even commanders of the Azov regiment have been exchanged as prisoners of war despite the declarations of the authorities - it is the most flagrant case of a rapid change of position on an issue of such magnitude. In its statements these days, Turkey had maintained the hope of being able to resume Russian participation as soon as possible.

Apart from last Saturday's accusation, Russia had already shown its discomfort at the difficulties it is experiencing in exporting its own grain -both Russia and Ukraine are large producers and exporters of grain- and its fertilizers, possibly more important for world food security. than the agricultural products themselves. Despite not being subject to sanctions, secondary sanctions make it difficult for ships to arrive at ports and to contract insurance. That complaint was one of those mentioned yesterday morning by the Turkish foreign minister before the ratification of Russia's return to the agreement.

The Russian withdrawal from the agreement condemned the export of Ukrainian grain to stop or continue without security guarantees, but also deprived Russia of the possibility of inspecting the ships and thus maintaining some control over the possibility of using the humanitarian corridor for the transport of weapons. . Contrary to Russian expectations, the departure of ships from Ukrainian ports did not stop and the collaboration of the United Nations and Turkey could have kept the transport away from Russia, which would have been forced to impose a much more dangerous naval blockade than in the moment when the military intervention began. Russia would have exposed itself again to accusations of causing a famine in third world countries at a time when its support or neutrality is one of Moscow's objectives. Much to the annoyance of Western representatives like Josep Borrell, a large part of the countries of the global south prefer not to side with Russia or Ukraine in a European conflict in which NATO and EU countries are trying to force them to take a stand. The importance for Russia of maintaining this neutrality was made clear once again yesterday: after offering third world countries the export of Russian fertilizers blocked in European ports at zero cost, Moscow yesterday repeated its offer to deliver Russian grain to countries most at risk of famine. However, nothing indicates that Russian exports will be unblocked for the time being.

Ukrainian representatives have not hesitated to mock the rapid change of position of Russia, which as usual has not really offered a particularly coherent explanation for its abrupt exit and hasty return to the agreement. Oleksiy Arestovich, for example, commented yesterday that “ great Russia has needed nothing more than a warning from Erdoğan” to return to the agreement.

However, not everyone has seen the evidence of weakness in Russia's reversal. Samuel Ramani, a regular commentator on Western networks like the BBC , for example, described the Russian move as a victory for propaganda. “Turkey affirms that the grain agreement will focus on helping African countries such as Somalia, Djibouti and Sudan”, it stated yesterday to complain that it is “a victory for Russian propaganda, which allows it to show that it is concerned about security Africa's food supply and lends credence to misinformation that says the grain goes to rich countries." Long before Vladimir Putin raised that accusation, The Wall Street Journal had made similar statements.

The change in position represents a loss of credibility for Russia, which in just 72 hours has gone from a serious accusation to accepting written guarantees that do not convince those who have seen how Ukraine has failed for years to comply with an agreement that it had negotiated and signed. Nor does the threat with which Moscow has returned to the agreement seem particularly credible. According to Vladimir Putin, Russia will not hesitate to withdraw again in case of non-compliance. However, experience shows that Russian threats have not given the expected result in Ukraine for a long time: Neither the coercive diplomacy of the months before the Russian intervention managed to get kyiv to comply with the Minsk agreements nor the many red lines drawn by Moscow have prevented Ukraine from continuing to rearm and openly talk of recovering Crimea by military force. Yesterday, Volodymyr Zelensky even stated that Ukraine should not be afraid of the possibility of Russia using nuclear weapons in the conflict. If Russia intends to move forward in this conflict, be it militarily or diplomatically, it will have to do so by other means. The threats have proven to be nothing more than rhetoric that is quickly forgotten.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/11/03/rapid ... more-25867

Google Translator

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Biden Administration Again Plants False Nuclear Scare Stories

Last month I dissected the fear mongering the Biden administration released over alleged Russian nuclear threads:

[The report] quotes Biden as saying: "[Putin] is not joking when he talks about potential use of tactical nuclear weapons or biological or chemical weapons because his military is you might say is significantly underperforming."
Fact is that Putin has not talked about the "potential use of tactical nuclear weapons or biological or chemical weapons." Not. At. All.
...
All the war mongering talk and reports about Russia's alleged threat of nuclear weapon use in Ukraine is totally unfounded. That 'western' media suddenly engage in it shows that it is part of a well directed propaganda campaign.


I speculated that the intent of the campaign was to prepare for some false flag incident in Ukraine.

Two weeks later the Russian secret services found out that Ukraine was preparing a 'dirty bomb' which would spread radioactive substances with the help of chemical explosives. Such bombs are not a meaningful military threat but have a high 'scare' value. If it would use one of those the Ukraine would surely blame Russia for launching such a bomb.

When the Kremlin found out what Ukraine had planned it order Russia's Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu and Chief of its General Staff Valery Gerasimov to call their peers in the U.S., Turkey, Britain and France. Shoigu called U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin even twice:

Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu spoke with U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin on Sunday for the second time in three days and held a flurry of calls with three other counterparts from NATO countries.
Moscow provided no details on the conversation with Austin, which came after the two men spoke on Friday for the first time since May. Its readouts on the other calls said Shoigu had said the situation in Ukraine was worsening.
...
Shoigu spoke separately to Turkey's defence minister, Hulusi Akar, and Britain's Ben Wallace.

Shoigu's ministry said he had told his French, Turkish and British counterparts of Moscow's concern that Ukraine could detonate a "dirty bomb" - a device laced with radioactive material. Russia has provided no evidence to substantiate such a claim.


Calls on such high levels are only done for serious business. They are not done for propaganda value or to warn of non-existing threats. The fact that these calls happened means that the threat from Ukraine was real.

The calls seemed to have had the desired effect. For a few days the talk of a 'dirty bomb' calmed down. It has now been revived.

Today the Washington Post as well as the New York Times are back fear mongering about alleged threats which Russia has never made. Both stories are based on 'administration officials' meaning that the Biden administration has planted these stories.

Russia’s ‘dirty bomb’ threats challenge the nuclear calculus - WaPo
U.S. officials still maintain that Moscow is unlikely to go nuclear in Ukraine. But Washington doesn’t have many good options to prevent Putin’s worst intentions.

The dirty bomb speculation is tied to comments made by Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, and repeated last week by Putin, suggesting Ukraine planned to detonate a device loaded with fissile material on its own territory. U.S. officials believe it is more likely that Russia’s warnings were in fact the opening steps of a false flag operation, signaling the Kremlin’s intentions to use such a weapon and blame Ukrainians for the fallout, literally.
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Russian Military Leaders Discussed Use of Nuclear Weapons, U.S. Officials Say - NYT
The conversations alarmed the Biden administration because they showed how frustrated Moscow had become over its battlefield setbacks in Ukraine.

Senior Russian military leaders recently had conversations to discuss when and how Moscow might use a tactical nuclear weapon in Ukraine, contributing to heightened concern in Washington and allied capitals, according to multiple senior American officials.
...
President Vladimir V. Putin was not a part of the conversations, which were held against the backdrop of Russia’s intensifying nuclear rhetoric and battlefield setbacks.


Russia has not intensified its nuclear rhetoric and, since the Ukraine's push into the empty east Kharkov region came to a halt in late September, has not seen any recent battlefield setbacks. All attempts by Ukraine to break through the front lines have since been defeated at high cost for the attacking Ukrainian units.

Russia is in fact strengthening its front lines as more and more of the 300,000 mobilized reservists join its forces. It has degraded the Ukraine's transport and communication infrastructure by destroying some 40% of the countries 330 kilovolt electric substations. The destroyed transformers are Soviet era equipment without a 'western' substitute and there is no timely way for Ukraine to replace them. Russia has done this on the cheap by using Iranian suicide drones. In exchange Iran will receive SU-35 fighter jets. The financial damage of these strikes to Ukraine is much higher than the costs are for Russia.

There is absolutely no reason for Russia to think of using anything nuclear. It would contradict its policies and doctrines without giving it any advantage.

If in mid October Russian military leaders indeed talked to each other about something nuclear it is much more likely that they talked about Ukrainian or U.S. weapons than of the ones their country owns.

The core question in all this remains the same as a month ago. Why is the Biden administration doing this? Why is planting stories about non-existing 'Russian threats'?

During a recent talk Russia's president Vladimir Putin gave at the Valdai Club he was asked the same question. He answered it:

Ivan Safranchuk: Ivan Safranchuk, MGIMO University.
...
Nuclear rhetoric has intensified greatly as of late. Ukraine has moved from irresponsible statements to the practical preparation of a nuclear provocation; representatives of the United States and the United Kingdom are making statements with suggestions of the possible use of nuclear weapons.
Biden, let’s say, speaks about nuclear Armageddon, and straight away there are comments in the US that there is nothing to fear. At the same time, the United States is hurrying to deploy modernised tactical nuclear bombs in Europe. It looks like they are rattling the sabre while refusing to acknowledge the lessons of the Cuban Missile Crisis.

Mr President, could you please comment, is it true that the world is on the verge of the possible use of nuclear weapons? How will Russia act in these circumstances, given that it is a responsible nuclear state?

Thank you.

Vladimir Putin: Look, as long as nuclear weapons exist, there will always be a danger that they could be used. This is the first thing.

Second, the goal of the current fuss around such threats and the potential use of nuclear weapons is very primitive, and I would probably be not mistaken when I explain what this is about.

I already said that the dictate of the Western countries and their attempts to apply pressure on all the participants of international communication, including countries that are neutral or friendly to us, are achieving nothing, and they are looking for additional arguments to convince our friends or neutral states that they all need to confront Russia collectively.

Nuclear provocation and the inflaming of the possibility that Russia might theoretically use nuclear weapons are being used to reach these goals: to influence our friends, our allies, and neutral states by telling them, look at whom you support; Russia is such a scary country, do not support it, do not cooperate with it, do not trade with it. This is, in fact, a primitive goal.

What is happening in reality? After all, we have never said anything proactively about Russia potentially using nuclear weapons. All we did was hint in response to statements made by Western leaders.
...
As for Russia…We have the Military Doctrine, and they should read it. One of its articles explains the cases when, why, in relation to what and how Russia considers it possible to use weapons of mass destruction in the form of nuclear weapons to protect its sovereignty, territorial integrity and to ensure the safety of the Russian people.


The answer Putin gave seems plausible to me. I still have to find a better one.

To me this looks all very low-brow, demented and indeed primitive. When one reads these planted stories and checks their veracity one ends up shaking ones head. No serious person or foreign country will be influenced by such nonsense.

What the stories really show is that the neocons in the Biden administration have no real instruments left and no abilities to influence the execution of further Russian plans in Ukraine. In a month or two, when Russian troops will throw the Ukrainian army out of Donetsk and other regions, there will be nothing left for them to say.

Posted by b on November 2, 2022 at 16:16 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/11/b ... .html#more

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North Korean shells for Russia
November 2, 21:42

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The United States again accused North Korea of ​​"secretly supplying Russia with various barreled artillery ammunition."
Of course, the United States does not provide any evidence of this, just as there are no photo / video fragments of shells or missiles with North Korean markings that would be revealed during the hostilities.

At the same time, from the point of view of international law, there are no obstacles to the purchase of artillery ammunition from the DPRK. But officially neither Russia nor the DPRK reported any arms deliveries. The DPRK Foreign Ministry specifically issued an explanation where it stated that its country at the current stage is not participating in any way in the conflict in Ukraine (commenting on the stuffing about North Korean soldiers at the front), but is ready to send a large number of North Korean workers to participate in the restoration of Donbass.

From a resource point of view, North Korea has one of the largest arsenals of artillery systems and ammunition in the world, most of which are of Soviet origin. In particular, the DPRK has huge stockpiles of 122-mm and 152-mm artillery shells, 82-mm and 120-mm mortar mines, 122-mm rockets for Grad-type MLRS, etc.

Well, according to the Global Firepower 2022 rating.
In terms of the number of MLRS, the DPRK ranks 5th in the world (Russia in terms of MLRS No. 1, as well as in other categories of artillery), in terms of the number of self-propelled guns - 20th.
An important feature of the DPRK is that almost all more or less relevant artillery systems of the 50s and later were not thrown away, but carefully stored (in case of a global war with the United States and South Korea).
Under Kim Jong-un, the DPRK began to roll heavily into missiles - the number of MLRS, as well as various tactical missiles and ICBMs, grew. Nevertheless, in addition to full-time artillery and missile brigades, the DPRK has extensive stocks of barreled artillery in warehouses for long-term storage (in addition to the good old Soviet guns, there are also Chinese counterparts) and ammunition for them. Of course, in comparison with modern guns firing Krasnopols and Excaliburs, they are already outdated. But on both sides there are not so many such shells, and the old artillery of the Cold War era is more than relevant, given the mileage of the front.

In general, if something appears, it will inevitably come up. In the meantime, no recorded footage of the use of weapons or ammunition from North Korea has been recorded.

https://t.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7950963.html

Google Translator

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RUSSIA DECLARES ON THE PREVENTION OF A NUCLEAR WAR
2 Nov 2022 , 3:13 pm .

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Russia agrees to avoid a nuclear conflict (Photo: File)

Russia has repeatedly denounced that Ukraine and NATO seek to unleash a nuclear war with catastrophic consequences. The bombing of the Zaporizhye plant, the nuclear tests in the North Sea simulating total annihilation with Russia, and kyiv's plans to launch a "dirty" bomb are proof of this.

Against this dangerous background, the Russian Foreign Ministry issued a statement on the prevention of nuclear war. Here are some highlights of it:

*As a permanent member of the UN Security Council and one of the nuclear powers under the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, the Russian Federation has a special responsibility to strengthen international security and strategic stability.
*For Russia, the use of nuclear weapons has a purely defensive character and does not allow any expansive interpretation. It would only use them in response to aggression with weapons of mass destruction or aggression with conventional weapons, when the very existence of the state is threatened.
*We fully confirm our commitment to the January 3, 2022 joint declaration of the leaders of the five nuclear-weapon States on the prevention of nuclear war and the avoidance of an arms race.
*The most immediate task is to avoid any military clash of the nuclear powers.
*We urge the other official possessing countries of nuclear weapons to demonstrate in practice their readiness to work towards the fulfillment of this priority task and to reject dangerous attempts to harm each other's vital interests.
*Russia continues to advocate the formation of an updated and more sustainable international security architecture.

https://misionverdad.com/rusia-declara- ... ra-nuclear

Google Translator

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Who’s Afraid of US Troops in Ukraine?
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on NOVEMBER 2, 2022
M. K. BHADRAKUMAR

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A T-72 tank of the Russian Armed Forces is pictured in Donetsk

Very innocuously, the Biden Administration has ‘sensitised’ the world opinion that American troops are indeed present on Ukrainian soil in Russia’s immediate neighbourhood. Washington made a “soft landing” with an unnamed senior Pentagon official making the disclosure to the Associated Press and the Washington Post.

The official gave an ingenious explanation that the US troops “have recently begun doing onsite inspections to ensure” that Ukraine is “properly accounting” for the Western weapons it received. He claimed that this was part of a broader US campaign, announced last week by the State Department, “meant to make sure that weapons provided to Ukraine don’t end up in the hands of Russian troops, their proxies or other extremist groups.”

In effect, though, President Biden is eating his own word not to have ‘boots on the ground’ in Ukraine under any circumstances. There is always the real danger that the clutch of Americans on tour in Ukraine may come under fire from the Russian forces. In fact, the US deployment comes against the backdrop of intense Russian missile and drone attacks currently on Ukraine’s critical infrastructure.

Plainly put, wittingly or unwittingly, the US is going up the escalation ladder. So far, the US intervention involved deployment of military advisors to the Ukrainian military command, supply of intelligence in real time, planning and execution of operations against Russian forces and allowing American mercenaries to do the fighting, apart from steady supply of tens of billions of dollars worth weaponry.

The qualitative difference now is that the proxy war may turn into a hot war between the NATO and Russia. The Russian Defence Minister Sergey Shoigu estimated today at a joint board meeting of the Russian and Belarusian defence ministries that the number of NATO forces in Eastern and Central Europe had risen by two and a half times since February and might increase further in the near future.

Shoigu underscored that Moscow understands fully well that the West is pursuing a concerted strategy to destroy Russia’s economy and military potential, making it impossible for the country to pursue an independent foreign policy.

He flagged that NATO’s new strategic concept suggested moving from containing Russia “through forward presence” to creating “a full-scale system of collective defence on the eastern flank,” with the bloc’s non-regional members deploying troops to the Baltic countries, Eastern and Central Europe, and new multinational battalion tactical groups being formed in Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania and Slovakia.

It may not be a coincidence that Washington acknowledged the presence of its military personnel in Ukraine at a point when the Russians have alleged the participation of British intelligence in the recent sabotage act on the Nord Stream pipelines and the drone strikes on Saturday at the base of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet at Sevastopol. There are grey areas in the so-called special relationship between the US and the UK.

The US-UK calculus has been to get the Russians bogged down in a quagmire in Ukraine and to incite an insurrection within Russia opposing ‘Putin’s war.’ But it has miserably failed. The US sees that over 300,000 trained ex-military personnel from Russia are being deployed to Ukraine for launching a major offensive to end the war in the coming 3-4 months.

That is to say, the roof is coming down on the entire edifice of lies and deceptive propaganda that formed the western narrative on Ukraine. The defeat in Ukraine could have disastrous consequences for the US’ image and credibility as a superpower not only in Europe but on the global stage, undermine its leadership of the transatlantic alliance and even disable NATO.

The Biden Administration made a terrible mistake in assuming that the war would lead to a regime change in Russia ensuing from the collapse of the Russian economy under the weight of western sanctions. On the contrary, even the IMF admits that the Russian economy has stabilised.

The indicators show that the Russian economy will be registering growth by next year. The comparison with the western economies that are sinking into high inflation and recession is far too glaring to be missed by the world audience.

Suffice to say, the US and its allies have run out of sanctions to hit Russia. The Russian leadership, on the other hand, is consolidating by pushing ahead with the shift to a multipolar world order and a de-dollarised international financial system. If these processes proceed further, it will dent the status of the American dollar as “world currency.”

Fundamentally, it is the capitalist system itself which is responsible for this crisis. We are currently suffering under the effect of the longest and deepest crisis the system has known since the redivision of the world that took place in World War II. The imperialist western powers are once again preparing for war to redivide the world in the hopes of getting out of their crisis, much as they prepared prior to World War II.

The big question is what Russia’s response is going to be. It is all but certain that Moscow hasn’t been caught by surprise at the revelation in Washington regarding the presence of US troops in Ukraine. It is highly unlikely that Russia will resort to knee-jerk reaction.

The so-called ‘counter-offensive’ by Ukraine has fizzled out. It made no territorial gains or gained any significant breakthrough. But it suffered heavy casualties in the thousands and huge losses in military equipment. Russia has gained the upper hand and it is conscious of that. All along the frontline, that is becoming evident.

On the other hand, the fact remains that neither the US and Britain nor their NATO allies are in a position to fight a continental war. Therefore, it will be entirely up to the American troops moving around in the steppes of Ukraine to stay out of trouble and keep their body and soul together in such harsh winter conditions without electricity, heating or a decent body wash. Who knows, the Pentagon may even work out a ‘deconfliction’ mechanism with Moscow!

That said, seriously, the auditing of US weaponry on Ukrainian soil per se is not a bad thing at all. Ukraine is a notoriously corrupt country, after all. There is real danger that the weapons supplied by the US may reach Europe and turn that beautiful manicured garden into a jungle (like Ukraine or America) — to borrow the colourful metaphor used recently by Josep Borrell, EU’s foreign policy chief.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/11/ ... n-ukraine/

More Than 30, 000 NATO Troops Are Stationed Along Russia’s Border
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on NOVEMBER 2, 2022

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MOSCOW/MINSK, November 2. /TASS/. The West seeks to destroy Russia’s economy and military potential, making it impossible for the country to pursue an independent foreign policy, Russian defense chief Sergey Shoigu said at a joint board meeting of the Russian and Belarusian defense ministries on Wednesday.

He pointed out that the number of NATO forces in Eastern and Central Europe had risen by two and a half times since February and might increase further in the near future, which would put Russia’s allies, including Belarus, in danger. TASS has put together crucial statements made at the video conference meeting.

On West’s policy

“Russia undoubtedly is the main target of the collective West’s destructive activities, aimed at wiping out Russia’s economy and military potential and depriving it of the chance to pursue an independent foreign policy,” Shoigu noted. He stressed that Western countries were encouraging Kiev to escalate the conflict by providing it with intelligence and sending military advisors and mercenaries to Ukraine. They “are pointedly ignoring” the Kiev regime’s nuclear blackmail, which includes shelling attacks on the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant, the Russian defense minister added.

He emphasized that NATO’s new strategic concept suggested moving from containing Russia “through forward presence” to creating “a full-scale system of collective defense on the eastern flank,” with the bloc’s non-regional members deploying troops to the Baltic countries, Eastern and Central Europe, and new multinational battalion tactical groups being formed in Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania and Slovakia.

According to Shoigu, the number of NATO forces on its “eastern flank” has risen by two and a half times since February, exceeding 30,000, and may “increase further in the near future.” It “will also put our allies in danger, first and foremost, our brotherly country of Belarus,” he noted.

On security of Union State

Given this situation, the Russian Defense Ministry considers prioritizing the military security of the Union State of Russia and Belarus. The defense ministries of Russia and Belarus regularly hold joint activities, continue to shape “a common defense space” and conduct joint planning, Shoigu noted.

His Belarusian counterpart Viktor Khrenin highly appreciated the outcome of cooperation in 2022. “Despite the current developments, <…> we were able to achieve important results,” he said, adding that Minsk and Moscow had already begun preparations for the Union Shield 2023 operational exercise that had been announced before the launch of Russia’s special military operation.

On regional group of forces

Activities aimed at practicing combat coordination between military units meant to form a regional group of forces have been going on in Belarus since October 22, Shoigu pointed out.

Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko announced the deployment of the regional group of forces on October 10. Russian troops started to arrive in Belarus on October 15. According to the Belarusian Defense Ministry, about 9,000 Russian troops will be sent to the country along with some 170 tanks, as many as 200 armored vehicles and up to 100 guns and mortars.

US troops on the ground in Ukraine
American troops are on the ground in Ukraine, where they are monitoring NATO arms deliveries to the country, an anonymous Pentagon official told several US media outlets on Monday. It is unclear how many personnel are involved, or where they are located.

Speaking to the Associated Press, NBC News, and other members of the Pentagon press pool, the official said that the contingent of troops is led by Brigadier General Garrick Harmon, the US defense attache to Kiev.

“There have been several of these inspections,” the official told reporters, without revealing where the examinations have taken place. He added that the checks are not happening “close to the front lines,” but where security conditions allow.

The US inspected its arms shipments to Ukraine before Russia launched its military operation in February, but pulled its personnel out of the country days before it began. It is unclear how many troops have returned or when the checks restarted.

The Pentagon official would only say that a “small” number of troops are involved.

The US State Department announced last week that it would allocate “personnel to assist the government of Ukraine with handling…of US security assistance,” although it did not mention that these personnel would be drawn from the ranks of the military. The plan was announced after media reports, citing US intelligence agencies, claimed that Washington could not trace the weapons it sends to Ukraine.

One intelligence source told CNN in April that these weapons disappear “into a big black hole” once they enter the country. The anonymous Pentagon official told journalists that Kiev has been “transparent,” and has cooperated with inspectors thus far.

While Americans have fought and died in Ukraine of their own accord, Monday’s announcement marks the first time since February that Washington has acknowledged the presence of uniformed troops in Ukraine.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has cautioned the US and its NATO allies against getting involved in the conflict, and even before the announcement, he stated that the Kremlin views itself as fighting the “entire Western military machine” in Ukraine.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/11/ ... as-border/

No Pain, No Grain: Putin’s Black Sea Comeback
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on NOVEMBER 2, 2022
Pepe Escobar

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After the western military attack on Sevastopol briefly halted Russian grain transports, Moscow is back in business with a stronger hand and more favorable terms.

So, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan picks up the phone and calls his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin: let’s talk about the “grain deal.” Putin, cool, calm and collected, explains the facts to the Sultan:

First, the reason why Russia withdrew from the export grain deal.

Second, how Moscow seeks a serious investigation into the – terrorist – attack on the Black Sea fleet, which for all practical purposes seems to have violated the deal.

And third, how Kiev must guarantee it will uphold the deal, brokered by Turkey and the UN.

Only then would Russia consider coming back to the table.

And then – today, 2 November – the coup de theatre: Russia’s Ministry of Defense (MoD) announces the country is back to the Black Sea grain deal, after receiving the necessary written guarantees from Kiev.

The MoD, quite diplomatically, praised the “efforts” of both Turkey and the UN: Kiev is committed not to use the “Maritime Humanitarian Corridor” for combat operations, and only in accordance with the provisions of the Black Sea Initiative.

Moscow said the guarantees are sufficient “for the time being.” Implying that can always change.

All rise to the Sultan’s persuasion

Erdogan must have been extremely persuasive with Kiev. Before the phone call to Putin, the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) had already explained that the attack on the Black Sea Fleet was conducted by 9 aerial drones and 7 naval drones, plus an American RQ-4B Global Hawk observation drone lurking in the sky over neutral waters.

The attack happened under the cover of civilian ships and targeted Russian vessels that escorted the grain corridor in the perimeter of their responsibility, as well as the infrastructure of the Russian base in Sevastopol.

The MoD explicitly designated British experts deployed in the Ochakov base in the Nikolaev region as the designers of this military operation.

At the UN Security Council, Permanent Representative Vassily Nebenzya declared himself “surprised” that the UN leadership “failed not only to condemn, but even to express concern over the terrorist attacks.”

After stating that the Brit-organized Kiev operation on the Black Sea Fleet “put an end to the humanitarian dimension of the Istanbul agreements,” Nebenzya also clarified:

“It is our understanding that the Black Sea Grain Initiative, which Russia, Turkey, and Ukraine agreed on under UN supervision on 22 July, must not be implemented without Russia, and so we do not view the decisions that were made without our involvement as binding.”

This means, in practice, that Moscow “cannot allow for unimpeded passage of vessels without our inspection.” The crucial question is how and where these inspections will be carried out – as Russia has warned the UN that it will definitely inspect dry cargo ships in the Black Sea.

The UN, for its part, tried at best to put on a brave face, believing Russia’s suspension is “temporary” and looking forward to welcoming “its highly professional team” back to the Joint Coordination Center.

According to humanitarian chief Martin Griffiths, the UN also proclaims to be “ready to address concerns.” And that has to be soon, because the deal reaches its 120-day extension point on November 19.

Well, “addressing concerns” is not exactly the case. Deputy Permanent Representative of Russia Dmitry Polyansky said that at the UN Security Council meeting western nations simply could not deny their involvement in the Sevastopol attack; instead, they simply blamed Russia.

All the way to Odessa

Prior to the phone call with Erdogan, Putin had already pointed out that “34 percent of the grain exported under the deal goes to Turkey, 35 percent to EU countries and only 3-4 percent to the poorest countries. Is this what we did everything for?”

That’s correct. For instance, 1.8 million tons of grain went to Spain; 1.3 million tons to Turkey; and 0.86 million tons to Italy. By contrast, only 0,067 tons went to “starving” Yemen and 0,04 tons to “starving” Afghanistan.

Putin made it very clear that Moscow was not withdrawing from the grain deal but had only suspended its participation.

And as a further gesture of good will, Moscow announced it would willingly ship 500,000 tons of grain to poorer nations for free, in an effort to replace the integral amount that Ukraine should have been able to export.

All this time, Erdogan skillfully maneuvered to convey the impression he was occupying the higher ground: even if Russia behaves in an “indecisive” manner, as he defined it, we will continue to pursue the grain deal.

So, it seems like Moscow was being tested – by the UN and by Ankara, which happens to be the main beneficiary of the grain deal and is clearly profiting from this economic corridor. Ships continue to depart from Odessa to Turkish ports – mainly Istanbul – without Moscow’s agreement. It was expected they would be “filtered” by Russia when coming back to Odessa.

The immediate Russian means of pressure was unleashed in no time: preventing Odessa from becoming a terrorist infrastructure node. This means constant visits by cruise missiles.

Well, the Russians have already “visited” the Ochakov base occupied by Kiev and the British experts. Ochakov – between Nikolaev and Odessa – was built way back in 2017, with key American input.

The British units that were involved in the sabotage of the Nord Streams – according to Moscow – are the same ones that planned the Sevastopol operation. Ochakov is constantly spied upon and sometimes hit out of positions that the Russians have cleared last month only 8 km to the south, on the extremity of the Kinburn peninsula. And yet the base has not been totally destroyed.

To reinforce the “message,” the real response to the attack on Sevastopol has been this week’s relentless “visits” of Ukraine’s electrical infrastructure; if maintained, virtually the whole of Ukraine will soon be plunged into darkness.

Closing down the Black Sea

The attack on Sevastopol may have been the catalyst leading to a Russian move to close down the Black Sea – with Odessa converted into an absolutely priority for the Russian Army. There are serious rumblings across Russia on why Russophone Odessa had not been the object of pinpointed targeting before.

Top infrastructure for Ukrainian Special Forces and British advisers is based in Odessa and Nikolaev. Now there’s no question these will be destroyed.

Even with the grain deal in theory back on track, it is hopeless to expect Kiev to abide by any agreements. After all, every major decision is taken either by Washington or by the Brits at NATO. Just like bombing the Crimea Bridge, and then the Nord Streams, attacking the Black Sea Fleet was designed as a serious provocation.

The brilliant designers though seem to have IQs lower than refrigerator temperatures: every Russian response always plunges Ukraine deeper down an inescapable – and now literally black – hole.

The grain deal seemed to be a sort of win-win. Kiev would not contaminate Black Sea ports again after they were demined. Turkey turned into a grain transport hub for the poorest nations (actually that’s not what happened: the main beneficiary was the EU). And sanctions on Russia were eased on the export of agricultural products and fertilizers.

This was, in principle, a boost for Russian exports. In the end, it did not work out because many players were worried about possible secondary sanctions.

It is important to remember that the Black Sea grain deal is actually two deals: Kiev signed a deal with Turkey and the UN, and Russia signed a separate deal with Turkey.

The corridor for the grain carriers is only 2 km wide. Minesweepers move in parallel along the corridor. Ships are inspected by Ankara. So the Kiev-Ankara-UN deal remains in place. It has nothing to do with Russia – which in this case does not escort and/or inspect the cargoes.

What changes with Russia “suspending” its own deal with Ankara and the UN, is that from now on, Moscow can proceed anyway it deems fit to neutralize terrorist threats and even invade and take over Ukrainian ports: that will not represent a violation of the deal with Ankara and the UN.

So in this respect, it is a game-changer.

Seems like Erdogan fully understood the stakes, and told Kiev in no uncertain terms to behave. There’s no guarantee, though, that western powers won’t come up with another Black Sea provocation. Which means that sooner or later – perhaps by the Spring of 2023 – General Armageddon will have to come up with the goods. That translates as advancing all the way to Odessa.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/11/ ... -comeback/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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