POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 06/11/2023
The increasing Ukrainian offensive actions in various areas of the front in recent days have created a huge stream of striking photographs and audiovisual material used ,both to determine the situation at the front -sometimes prematurely and without really knowing the context in which these images are produced-, and to observe practically live the way in which the war is changing. Since the Crimean War in the mid-19th century, in which the first correspondents participated, the constant improvements in technology and dissemination of information have sought to speed up the times to bring historical facts closer to the public. The broadcast of images of the bombing of Iraq in the first Gulf War began to give the war a videogame image that continued with the introduction of ever lighter cameras to show the point of view of the embedded journalist in such a way that it was he definitively abandoned the fixed shot to show the battle in motion and with increasing speed. Communications have sought to broadcast the war live, from the ground and in motion, sometimes at the cost of image quality and, above all, the context.
The current war offers all the possibilities of improving image technology, which added to the increasing use of drones, a fundamental novelty of this conflict, is also representing progress at the service of propaganda. It is no longer a question of following journalists or soldiers moving through the trenches or trying to survive an attack using night vision cameras, but rather monitoring with better and better image quality in combat conditions or the broadcast of the combat itself. In recent days, the number of images of destroyed armored columns on the front has increased significantly, as have audiovisual captures of drones attacking or destroying enemy military equipment, a novel element that shows the usefulness of the use of unmanned vehicles to achieve military and information objectives. In this war where context is scarce, immediacy and spectacular images are replacing analysis, sometimes possibly at the cost of being able to give a fuller picture of events.
For weeks at the center of the official discourse, the Leopard tanks became one of the centers of the Ukrainian argument for their sure victory last January. Ukraine was already openly presenting itself as NATO's proxy army in a common war against authoritarianism or the evil symbolized by Russia. The euphoria for obtaining such precious material has made it inevitable that leopards become one of the most prized prizes from the moment its first use on the front was finally confirmed this week. It is not only about its destruction as a vehicle at the head of armored columns, but about showing its evidence, not only to prove the lack of Ukrainian progress, but also to deny the invincibility of Western military equipment, the main argument of the Ukrainian narrative.
On Thursday, after several failed attempts to show the destruction of Leopard tanks - some of which turned out to be other models of Western tanks or even combines abandoned in the fields of the Zaporozhye front line - several photos and videos showed what clearly could be identified as the first fallen leopards in the Ukrainian counter-offensive. On Friday, the anti-Russian propagandist Julian Röepke, a journalist for the Bild newspaper , lamented the four defeated Leopards that had been seen in just one day. At the end of April, media such as ForbesThey reported that Ukraine had received a promise to deliver another 14 Leopard tanks, joining the 71 the country had already received. The temporary or permanent loss of four tanks in a single day reflects the difficulty of this war and also the Ukrainian reliance on Western materiel.
The images published by the sides in conflict, always interested and seeking to create an image of their own victory and large enemy casualties, are, even so, an important element for the analysis of events. At the risk of generalizing from specific examples that may not fully represent Ukrainian tactics, destroyed Ukrainian columns have shown armored groups consisting of scant Leopards, a whole host of various Western armored vehicles, and tanks of Russian or Soviet origin that partner Westerners from Ukraine have donated to Kiev in exchange for being replaced by more modern and ideologically correct NATO materiel. Throughout the last few months, There has been talk of the logistical challenge that would be for Ukraine to integrate all this material with different maintenance needs into its doctrine. Recently, an article published byForeign Policypresented the current absence of a Ukrainian military industry as an asset, arguing that Russia's dependence on its military industry is a liability that kyiv does not have to worry about. Without its own military industry, Ukraine depends on its partners to have the necessary material to attack the Russian troops and continue the war. From the most optimistic pro-Ukrainian positions, it has been argued that Ukraine already has all the weapons it needs to wage war, so the importance of the flow of military assistance will fall in the short term. This is a questionable claim in itself, refuted by the latest announcements of new aid packages, but above all it ignores Ukraine's dependence on its Western allies, primarily Poland, to carry out the maintenance of all that diverse material that it is now trying to integrate into the brigades specifically created for the current offensive. The images that have been seen this week show the aerial surveillance to which these armored columns are subjected at the front.
The few advances that Ukraine has been able to achieve in Zaporozhye in this first phase of attack on the central front of the southern territories have been achieved on the basis of continued attacks after the defeat of armored columns. The Ukrainian argument these days goes through ensuring that a similar destruction in the case of Russian equipment would mean the death of all personnel, while Western equipment would allow the survival of the troops. However, that reasoning does not explain the destruction itself or how Ukraine is going to be able to recover these vehicles for later repair, if Kiev has a way to repair them. There are already images of Ukrainian troops being attacked by Russian artillery in their attempt to recover material lost at the front.
The graphic evidence of those abandoned armored columns at the front and the images of the monitoring and surveillance of the movements of tanks and armored vehicles for their subsequent destruction also show a qualitative change in the Russian performance. With an eight-year lead in the trenches of Donbass, Ukraine understood the importance of drones in modern warfare long before the Russian Federation. Russian reports from the front in the weeks before the start of the reactivation of large-scale hostilities already showed an increasing use of surveillance drones in sabotage and reconnaissance tasks, but also in the search for surgical artillery precision. Russia, apparently with the help of Iranian-designed material, it has also used drones as an integral part of its missile strikes with the aim of saturating Ukrainian defenses and forcing Kiev to make heavy use of its scarce anti-aircraft ammunition. And Lantset drones are becoming an essential weapon when it comes to attacking armored vehicles, something that had already been tested in previous months, but is gaining prominence these days when the Ukrainian attempt to advance over open fields has begun. in which their advances are anticipated by the troops on the other side of the front. Finally, drones are also the ultimate source for showing evidence of the destruction of enemy weapons and personnel, an essential element in maintaining calm at the front and in the rear.
These days in which Ukraine has asked its population for "silence" to develop its offensive, the Russian strategy goes through an opposite attitude. The open confrontation between the visible head of Wagner, Evgenny Prigozhin, and the Ministry of Defense and the General Staff is still recent. At a time of political uncertainty within the military sphere, the Russian authorities try to graphically show their military capacity and efficiency. All parties are aware that the coming weeks and months will mark the development of the war. Ukraine aspires to inflict a final military defeat on Russia, while Russia understands that preventing a substantial Ukrainian advance would be a victory that would leave Kiev and its partners in a weak position in the face of a possible negotiation. Also on the other side of the Atlantic, where it is feared that a failure to meet expectations would mean a slowdown in military aid flows or even calls for negotiations, the Ukrainian counter-offensive is seen as a decisive chapter. Of course, the priority in Washington is still not Ukraine or its population, always secondary. “Senior US officials are convinced that future support for the war in Ukraine and Joe Biden's global reputation depend on the success of the Ukrainian counteroffensive,” he writes this weekend.Political , making it clear that the priorities are focused on guaranteeing the American reputation. War has changed, but its essence remains the same.
https://slavyangrad.es/2023/06/11/27485/#more-27485
Google Translator
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Chronicle of the special military operation for June 10, 2023
June 10, 2023
Rybar
The situation remains tense in the Orekhovsky section of the Zaporozhye direction : the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not abandon attempts to push through the defense of the RF Armed Forces. The Ukrainian formations changed their tactics and, after losing almost a hundred pieces of equipment, they began to treat it more carefully - at night the enemy tried to approach the Russian positions through landings, however, having fallen into minefields and under fire, he retreated. Nevertheless, the most violent clashes in the sector are probably yet to come - the enemy has a large number of reserves both in manpower and equipment.
At the same time, there is a high probability of an early offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the left bank of the Kherson region . The enemy plans to take advantage of the fact that the Dnieper has become very shallow in the section from Zaporozhye to the Kakhovka reservoir. In addition, significant reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, after the failure in the Zaporozhye region, are being transferred to the Donetsk direction and Gorlovka .
Meanwhile, on the flanks of Bakhmut, fighting continues in the area of Dubovo-Vasilyevka, Berkhovka, Kleshcheevka and Orekhovo-Vasilyevka. Significant progress in this area was not achieved by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
During the night, the RF Armed Forces attacked the Mirgorod airfield in the Poltava region , damaging the runway, several pieces of equipment, and a storage of fuel and lubricants. In addition, several objects in the Odessa region and an ammunition depot near Zaporozhye were hit .
Attack on the Mirgorod military airfield in the Poltava region and other Ukrainian facilities
During the night, Russian forces carried out a combined strike against the Mirgorod military airfield in Poltava Oblast , where Ukrainian tactical aviation is based. Initially, information about this was reported by local authorities, and a little later, the fact of the strike was already confirmed by our sources. As a result of the attack, the runway and equipment on the site were damaged. A fuel and lubricants warehouse located nearby also caught fire.
Despite the defeat of the target, the huge object continues to function. By the way, planes take off from Mirgorod, whose area of responsibility includes the Kharkov region and the Russian border territories. Therefore, there should be as many accurate strikes on the places where the aircraft of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are based.
Why did the Ukrainian authorities, who usually hide the facts of attacks on key military targets, now decide to talk about it?
Probably, in a similar way they are trying to speed up the delivery of Western fighters, arguing this with their own losses in aviation technology. Despite the fact that in recent days the enemy has suffered high losses in vehicles "on the ground."
In addition, at night, Russian aircraft hit targets in the area of Karolina-Bugaz and Zatoka in the Odessa region. As a result of the work of Ukrainian air defense in Odessa , one of the anti-aircraft missiles hit a residential building. According to some reports, an ammunition depot near Zaporozhye was also hit .
Consequences of the destruction of the Kakhovskaya HPP
The fourth day has passed since the destruction of the Kakhovskaya HPP . The situation in the region remains difficult, but already relatively more controllable. In Aleshki, the water level dropped by two meters, in Golaya Pristan - by one. In Novaya Kakhovka, the water is almost gone and the authorities have already started cleaning the streets. Electricity is supplied to most of the settlements. PJSC RusHydro believes that the Dnieper will return to its usual course below the destroyed hydroelectric power station by June 16.
More than 6,000 people have already been evacuated from the flood zone. The EMERCOM of the Russian Federation, Russian servicemen and volunteers from various public associations are involved in rescue work. Nearly 2,000 people have been settled in temporary accommodation facilities.
According to recent estimates, the damage from the destruction of the dam at the hydroelectric power station amounted to about 11.5 billion rubles. More than 60% of the volume of water has already flowed out of the Kakhovka reservoir. Meanwhile, the authorities have created a special commission to deal with the consequences of the flood, it will be headed by Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian Federation Marat Khusnullin.
Residents of the Zaporozhye region published a video showing that part of the Dnieper became shallow and dried up. In the future, this may threaten the deterioration of the ecological situation in the region.
[youtube]http://rybar.ru/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/dnepr.mp4[/youtube]
At the same time, the disaster that befell the residents of the Kherson region did not become an obstacle to the ongoing shelling of the Armed Forces of Ukraine - today the enemy hit the south of the region, where the accommodation centers for the victims are located.
The situation on the front line and the fighting
[youtube]http://rybar.ru/wp-content/uploads/2023 ... obelsk.mp4[/youtube]
On the Starobelsk direction, the situation has not changed. Russian artillery and aviation deliver precise strikes on enemy positions. At the same time, in the Limansky sector, fighters of the RF Armed Forces shot down an enemy tank hidden near residential buildings with a Lancet kamikaze drone.
On the flanks of Bakhmut Ukrainian formations are still trying to bite into the defenses of the Russian army. Enemy attacks in small groups go along the front near Orekhovo-Vasilevka, Dubovo-Vasilevka, Berkhovsky reservoir , and also around Kleshcheevka .
Today, several Ukrainian assault groups tried to attack the positions of the 200th brigade of the Northern Fleet in the Dubovo-Vasilevka area. The armored group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was destroyed by the joint actions of artillerymen and fighters on the front line. Also, Ukrainian units were driven out of Berkhovka and the surrounding area. Now the Armed Forces of Ukraine are trying to counterattack south of the reservoir.
Yesterday and the day before yesterday, formations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine carried out a raid on the northern flank of the defense of the RF Armed Forces in the Orekhovo-Vasilevka area near the M03 highway to Slavyansk. In the ensuing battle, two armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were destroyed, and the tank retreated.
All day today, enemy units have been trying to break through the defenses of Russian fighters around Kleshcheevka . The shooting battle went on for more than five hours, but the servicemen of the RF Armed Forces repelled the attack, while the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffered losses and retreated. At the same time, attacks on the flanks of Bakhmut are likely to continue. According to Daniil Bezsonov , enemy reinforcements are being transferred from Kramatorsk to Bakhmut and Chasov Yar, as well as to Kremennaya
According to our information, the enemy, having failed in the Orekhovsky sector, is transferring forces to the Donetsk direction , including the areas of Marinka, Pervomaisky and, especially, Gorlovka . Reserves go through Kramatorsk and Slavyansk. In the opposite direction, disabled equipment, as well as the dead and wounded, are taken out along the same route.
Footage of recent battles for Novodonetsk in the South-Donetsk direction appeared on the network . The landed enemy fighters came under heavy fire from the RF Armed Forces, after which they were unable to build on their success. The Ukrainian formations occupying part of Novodonetsk had to retreat with heavy losses in manpower and equipment.
[youtube]http://rybar.ru/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/zp1.mp4[/youtube]
In the Zaporizhia direction, in the last few days, the most fierce battles unfolded in the Orekhovsky sector. In the morning, the enemy stopped making attempts to break through the Russian defenses at the Rabotino-Verbovoye line. line .
At the moment, Ukrainian formations are recovering from the previously incurred sensitive losses in manpower and armored vehicles. In addition, the enemy changed tactics - in the last attacks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, infantry was more actively used, ceasing to drive vehicles in columns directly into minefields. Ukrainian fighters tried to get close to the positions of the Russian Armed Forces through the forest belt, but again they did not succeed, falling under fire and losing a large number of people in the minefields. Such a change in approach is not surprising - the losses of the enemy in recent days have reached impressive proportions.
According to our information, over the past few days, Russian military personnel have managed to disable 77 enemy tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers, and armored vehicles in areas near Orekhovo and Vremyevka . The list includes only those machines, the destruction or defeat of which is confirmed by materials from open sources: in reality, their number is clearly higher.
A significant part of enemy vehicles was hit on the way to Russian positions, which is the result of dense mining and good interaction with aviation and artillery. The complex defeat of the advancing columns also speaks in favor of the latter: the detected and standing equipment was destroyed by artillery, helicopters, anti-tank systems and FPV drones.
All this clearly confirms the high losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and refutes reports of allegedly “insignificant damage”. Although far from all the equipment was destroyed, a significant part of it is in the area of fire and cannot be evacuated by the enemy to the rear.
Russian troops, meanwhile, continue to prepare for a new attempt to attack the enemy. At the same time, constant artillery fire is being conducted on the identified places of concentration of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
According to our information, the Ukrainian command is preparing an offensive on the left bank of the Kherson region : due to the shallowing of the Dnieper in the area from the Dnieper hydroelectric power station to the Kakhovka reservoir and the erosion of minefields, this task becomes feasible. Reserves are transferred, including from the Odessa and Nikolaev regions .
Shelling of rear territories and residential areas
Today the Armed Forces of Ukraine dealt another blow to the Crimean peninsula . Two rockets were fired from the vicinity of Odessa: one was shot down near Cape Tarkhankut , and the other fell into an open field near Simferopol . According to initial information, the Ukrainian formations again used the Grom-2 operational-tactical complex. This is confirmed by outgoing signals from missiles.
However , Alexander Talipov stated that modernized anti-aircraft missiles from the Soviet S-200 complex were used to strike at the Crimea. Their modification is quite real. There are enough examples of "artisanal" retrofitting of obsolete Soviet systems with the support of Western engineers. - from Swifts to R-27 missiles at the Kommunar plant.
This version is supported by the extremely low accuracy of the missiles. And their launch across the Crimea is actually a run-in after modernization in combat conditions. At the same time, the Grom-2 OTRK was also not massively introduced into the Armed Forces of Ukraine and is still being finalized.
In the Bryansk region, Ukrainian formations fired at the village of Aleshkovichi in the Suzemsky district. No one was injured in the incident, but several civilian structures were damaged.
Ukrainian formations continued to shell the border areas of the Belgorod region . In the Graivoronsky district, the village of Novostroevka-Vtoraya was hit twice : the fence and roof of the outbuilding were damaged, and the power line was also cut off.
In the Donetsk People's Republic, massive attacks by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Donetsk and nearby settlements continue. A man died from a shrapnel wound in the capital of the DPR.
Ukrainian formations continue to strike with British Storm Shadow cruise missiles at civilian targets in the Kherson region .
[youtube]http://rybar.ru/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/herson.mp4[/youtube]
In the village of Zhelezny Port, shells hit the Pozitiv hotel: according to some reports, the head of the region, Vladimir Saldo, was in the establishment at the time of the shelling, but the official was not injured.
At the same time, the temporary accommodation center on the Arabat Spit again came under enemy fire - it was there that part of the residents evacuated from the flooding zone was located. According to the latest information, one woman died.
https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/
Google Translator
(I neglected to post the artwork and some video. See link.)
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Attack on the Sea of Azov
June 11, 14:29
The RF Ministry of Defense announced an attempt to attack sea drones on the ship of the Black Sea Fleet "Priazovye". All drones were destroyed, the ship received no damage.
Today, at about 01:30 Moscow time, the armed forces of Ukraine made an unsuccessful attempt to attack the Black Sea Fleet's Priazovye ship, which is carrying out the tasks of monitoring the situation and ensuring security along the routes of the Turkish Stream and Blue Stream gas pipelines in the south eastern part of the Black Sea.
In the course of repelling the attack, all the boats were destroyed by fire from the standard weapons of the Russian ship, 300 kilometers southeast of Sevastopol. There were no casualties. The ship received no damage.
During this period, as in the course of previous similar attacks, the strategic reconnaissance unmanned aerial vehicle RQ-4B "Global Hawk" of the US Air Force conducted reconnaissance in the airspace of the central part of the Black Sea.
The ship "Priazovye" of the Black Sea Fleet continues to fulfill its tasks.
Despite the failures, the enemy does not leave hope to achieve results with the use of sea drones. So far, apart from the damage to the minesweeper Ivan Golubets, there are no special results.
https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8416732.html
How attacks were beaten off in the Orekhovo area
June 11, 12:07
How attacks were beaten off in the Orekhovo area
A voice message sent back on June 8 did not reach me until Saturday. In it, a comrade talks about how Russian troops fought off the first onslaught of the enemy.
- The heat is specific. The neighbors also had an attempt to break through, they went there to correct it. The bastards approached our positions at 100 meters. Can you imagine 12 hours of combat? Three hours of artillery preparation, when you simply cannot raise your head. The night was fun. But, thank God, they survived. Not without loss. But we also burned six of their cars. Three "Bradley", "Leopard" did the second. Two more minesweepers were going - theirs too. Those who were blown up by a mine were already finished off with ATGMs. Now it’s not a rod, they’re firing harassing artillery, they’ll regroup and they’ll probably go again. Pull, the Germans (as our soldiers call the enemy on the front end), reserves.
To the next question, “How are you?” the answer comes the next day.
- Hi brother! Starship specific! The battle has already been going on for days, several brigades are fighting, the equipment is immeasurable. It's hard, but we stand! We beat the German as best we can, and hold on. The next day, another 12 units were hammered. They stopped us 400 meters before us. Three "Leopards" have already entered. One on that point (where several more Bradleys were destroyed), and two more on the other flank.
- They say they are now letting Soviet technology go forward?
- No, everything is Pindos, Western. His is no longer there. But the projectile doesn't care whose. Humanitarian copters - day and night - help fucking. We cut off all approaches, if possible, with artillery.
- Doesn't the enemy crush our "birds" with electronic warfare?
- We do not let them go far, they drag it, of course.
The connection was interrupted again. Behind short but valuable messages from the very "front end" - sleepless nights, the smell of smoke and gunpowder burning, round-the-clock combat work and close proximity to death. These heroic people do not yet realize that they are actually making history. As their grandfathers once did on the Kursk Bulge. Gotta hold on guys! God help...
https://www.kp.ru/daily/27514/4776915/ - zinc
https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8416383.html
The situation in the Zaporozhye direction on the evening of June 10
June 11, 8:11 am
The situation in the Zaporozhye direction on the evening of June 10
Heavy losses forced the enemy to subject plans to a sharp adjustment:
The reserves deployed in the Krivoy Rog, Sumy, Kharkov directions are being transferred to the directions:
1). settlement Gornyak, Kurakhovka, Krasnogorovka, Staromikhaylovka, Marinka;
2) settlements of Nevelskoye, Pervomayskoye, Vodyanoye;
3) n.p. Dzerzhinskoye, at least 2 brigades were deployed in the direction of Mayorsk and Gorlovka.
The reserves go through the Kramatorsk-Slavyansk transport hub, entering each direction in the Zaporozhye and Donetsk regions to reinforce the existing groupings.
For the current groupings, it is currently established:
According to the strategic plan of the enemy, it is planned to push through the front line of defense along the Nesteryanka-Novoselovka line and to the south, with the forces of four brigades: 65 Ombr, 128 Obr, 108 Obr, 15 Obr NSU), and provide a bridgehead for the introduction of the main forces of the strike force.
The main strike force is aimed at the direction of Orekhov - Tokmak - Melitopol, it is planned to ensure the advance with the forces of 10 AK, the basis of the shock fist should be: 115, 116, 117, 118 ombr, which we talked about earlier.
Task: access to Melitopol from the north.
A flank attack is planned in the direction Malaya Tokmachka - Berdyansk, with the forces of 82 odshbr, 71 oembr, and 46 oambr, with the task of seizing control on the line of the settlement of Urozhaynoye, Novopoltavka, Semyonovka.
Task: Covering the left flank of the main group.
In the future, it is planned to conduct raid operations as part of battalion-tactical groups with the forces of: 46 detachments and 1 Special Forces "Azov" in the directions of the settlement of Mordvinovka, Novovasilevka, Botieva.
Objective: to capture the frontier along the coast of the Sea of Azov Stepanovka the first, Botievo and prevent the landing of amphibious assault forces of the RF Armed Forces.
The forces of the main offensive grouping up to 12 brigades (47, 66, 115, 116, 117, 118 ombr, 128 ogshbr, 108 obrtr, 15 guard NSU, 82 odshbr, 71 oebr, 46 oambr) Total for the offensive operation, including reserves (
in including marine brigades, as well as units located in the Kryvyi Rih direction, included in the single plan of the operation in the Zaporozhye direction) at the moment the enemy has prepared: Manpower
- up to 56 thousand people (68 battalions)
Tanks - up to 350.
AFVs of all types - up to 1000
Field artillery guns and mortars - up to 500.
MLRS - up to 140 units.
(From these figures it is necessary to subtract the number of those destroyed in recent days)
IMPORTANT. The Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine is carrying out information sabotage, spreading information that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are finally bogged down due to lack of funds to continue the offensive operation.
Under no circumstances can you trust this information, it is designed to weaken the vigilance of the RF Armed Forces, the enemy has more than enough forces.
The enemy will throw everything he has into battle, regardless of losses, you must use this to inflict critical damage on him.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin- the broadcast of hostilities in Ukraine continues as usual in Telegram, who are interested, subscribe
https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8416165.html
By volunteers and prisoners
June 10, 23:10
Measures delayed by at least a year.
Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu signed an order defining the procedure for organizing the service activities of volunteer organizations, the Defense Ministry said.
According to the order, volunteer detachments will sign contracts with the Ministry of Defense by July 1 to obtain the necessary legal status. At the same time, volunteers are given the right to conclude contracts either with the Ministry of Defense or with volunteer detachments, according to the Telegram channel of the military department.
It is noted that when volunteers conclude contracts with the state, social protection and support measures will apply to their families.
The Ministry of Defense noted that the measures taken will increase the combat capabilities and effectiveness of the use of the Armed Forces and volunteer detachments in their composition.
Earlier, the Ministry of Defense decided to provide volunteers with weapons and medical supplies.
https://vz.ru/news/2023/6/10/1216048.html - zinc
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On the mobilization of prisoners
A bill has been submitted to the State Duma that will allow the Ministry of Defense to mobilize prisoners for the war with Ukraine and conclude contracts with them, bypassing the pardon procedure. Prisoners who have entered military service will be released from punishment according to rules that have not yet been submitted to the Duma. It will be possible to retire from the army during the war no earlier than at the age of 65.
Amendments to the laws "On mobilization and mobilization training" and "On military duty and military service", as well as to the Criminal Executive Code, were submitted to the State Duma by the heads of the Defense Committee Andrei Kartapolov (former Deputy Defense Minister) and his first deputy Andrei Krasov. They propose to cancel the absolute ban currently in force in Russia on mobilizing prisoners in colonies and pre-trial detention centers, as well as concluding contracts for military service with citizens who have a criminal record.
In October, the State Duma has already allowed the mobilization of men who were imprisoned for most serious crimes - for example, murder, robbery, robbery and drug trafficking. The ban was retained only for those convicted of crimes against the sexual inviolability of a minor, as well as under "terrorist" and "extremist" articles. But then the amendments concerned those who were already at large. Now deputies are proposing to extend them to prisoners. They are already fighting en masse in Ukraine, but now the Ministry of Defense is recruiting them - as before PMC "Wagner" - through an out-of-court procedure for a secret presidential pardon. After the adoption of the amendments, pardon will no longer be required.
How the Federal Penitentiary Service will release prisoners from punishment instead of pardoning is still unclear. To do this, according to the amendments, a new article 80.2 should be introduced into the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation - but it is not yet in the Duma database of bills. The proposed amendments relate to the replenishment of the army with prisoners during the period of mobilization and in wartime. On May 18, the Supreme Court clarified that the mobilization announced in September in Russia continues until the presidential decree on its cancellation, and the period from the actual start to the actual cessation of hostilities is considered war time.
That is, after the entry into force of the amendments made, the Ministry of Defense will be able to take prisoners to the war with Ukraine (under a contract or in the event of a new wave of conscription for mobilization) until its complete cessation. At the same time, according to the amendments, they will be able to retire from the army by age until the end of the war only at the age of 65. Thus, the age limit for mobilized and contract soldiers in wartime is proposed to be increased by 15 years.
https://www.nur.kz/world/2022878-gosdum ... mya-voyny/ - zinc
But better late than never.
Prisons will obviously continue to unload and the FSIN targets for reducing the prison population will be reached well ahead of the target year of 2030.
https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8415671.html
Google Translator
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LOSING THE WAR — WHAT COMES NEXT ON THE BATTLEFIELD, AND THE POLITICAL CONSEQUENCES
By John Helmer, Moscow
@bears_with
There’s an old Russian adage about swallowing too much and trying to talk at the same time – if you don’t want to die of gastroenteritis, keep your mouth shut. This isn’t an option for understanding the past week of the war, and preparing for the next.
Bear in mind that, in the middle of the Ukrainian ground offensive and hours before the start of the largest NATO air operation since the alliance was created in April 1949, the war in the Ukraine is having almost no impact on President Biden’s (lead image) job approval polls and thus on his re-election chances in November 2024.
By contrast, President Putin, who goes to election between January and March of 2024, has declared his new approach to what will happen between now and then.
Despite the steady drift upwards of disapproval of the US president’s performance, and the widening gap between negative and positive voters since the start of the Special Military Operation, Biden’s conduct of the war has been the only policy which he and his election staff can calculate to have been a winner; that’s relatively speaking, when contrasted with Biden’s performance on the domestic economy, inflation, crime, immigration, and the direction of the country.
BIDEN’S APPROVAL RATING SINCE MARCH 1, 2022, TO NOW
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/
A look back at the history of this single Ukraine war measure reveals that the negative margin for Biden has been contracting, not enlarging, as the war has gone from bad to worse for the Ukrainians.
POLLING OF BIDEN’S CONDUCT OF THE UKRAINE WAR, NOW COMPARD TO MARCH 2022
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com
Since no significant anti-war policy has emerged in the Democratic Party, the only declared candidate opposing Biden for the nomination, Robert Kennedy Jr. has yet to declare what he thinks he would do that Biden hasn’t. “I don’t want Wall Street running the country. I don’t want the neocons running our foreign policy. I don’t like censorship. I think I’m skeptical about war,” Kennedy declared at the start of his campaign in April. That last line says nothing at all about the war against Russia.
On the Republican Party side, the bellwether for the candidate hopefuls – Andrew Napolitano, who is running for a seat on the Supreme Court, and Douglas MacGregor, the National Security Adviser’s job – are making the case that Biden’s conduct of the war is exposing US weapons and military strategy to defeat, not only on the Ukrainian battlefield, but in Germany and throughout the NATO alliance in Europe. To date, the front-running Republican candidates Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis are avoiding this point; the also-runners have no incentive to raise it.
So long as the partisan US media are reversing the meaning of the battlefield news, so that Ukrainian losses are recorded as Russian losses, and there is no direct and catastrophic defeat of US forces on the ground, at sea, or in the air, the Ukraine war can continue to be fought without damage to either the Democrats or the Republicans in Washington. At least, that is how they are reading the polls.
The contrast with Moscow is a sharp one, although it has yet to be noticed outside Russia.
On May 30 Putin signaled that in the outcome of the war, the Ukraine will cease to exist. “Basically, the territory that is called Ukraine”, Putin said, using the geographic term instead of the political and legal one, “was virtually controlled from the very beginning by people who, being led by the West, took the path of not just confronting Russia, but creating an “anti-Russia” on that territory… We are striking at the territory of Ukraine, but with long-range precision weapons, at military infrastructure facilities only, either at ammunition or fuel and lubricants warehouses used for combat operations. We have talked about the possibility of striking at decision-making centres. Of course, the headquarters of Ukrainian military intelligence is one of them, and a strike at this target was carried out two or three days ago. In response, the Kiev regime has chosen a different path – attempts to intimidate Russian citizens with strikes at residential buildings. This is an obvious terrorist approach.” In short, the Russian campaign is not against a state but on a territory run by terrorists.
The terrorist operations, it was implied, include the destruction of the Nord Stream gas pipelines on September 26, 2022; the Crimean Bridge bombing of October 8, 2022; the drone attacks on Russian targets, including the Kremlin, last month; and the subsequent operations against the Kakhovskaya dam and the Togliatti-Odessa ammonia pipeline on June 5-6.
Putin’s May 30 statement was followed by a second , also apparently impromptu comment on the evening of June 9. The novel elements in what follows are the references to Ukrainian “strategic reserves” and to the Russian General Staff.
“First, we can safely state that the offensive has begun. We know this from the fact that the Ukrainian army tapped its strategic reserves. This is my first point. Second, the Ukrainian troops failed to achieve their goals in all combat sectors, which is clear as day…I cannot say that the offensive has got bogged down. All I can say is that the counteroffensive attempts that have been made so far failed. But the offensive potential of the Kiev’s regime is still there. I believe Russia’s military leadership is realistic in its assessments of the situation and will proceed from these realities as it continues to plan up our actions in the short term.”
Source: http://en.kremlin.ru/
Since the commander-in-chief is doing the talking, he’s saying that he is letting “Russia’s military leadership” do all the running now, and it will be the military “realities” which will dictate the politics of the outcome. This also means that the “realities” of the territory of the Ukraine will be decided by military operations which, on the Russian side, have yet to get fully under way until the Ukrainian “strategic reserves” have been fully committed and defeated on the battlefield.
Putin’s reference to “strategic reserves” includes the US and NATO weapons which have been committed so far, and destroyed — and those still to come from stocks in Poland, Romania, Germany, and in the western territory around Lvov. Against them, Putin noted “the high effectiveness of Russian weapons, especially the latest weapons. Indeed, we still do not have enough of the latest weapons, but the arms industry, the country’s defence industry is making strides, and I am sure that the defence industry will, without a doubt, fulfil its goals. The production of modern types of weapons is going at a fast pace.”
What does this mean? In the first place, demilitarization will be run by the Russian General Staff until there are no strategic reserves left on the territory – not east of the Dnieper River, nor west. If the NATO summit scheduled for July 11-12 in Vilnius is planning to place the rump of the Ukraine under NATO protection – “a certain order of accession”, according to Deputy Defense Minister Vladimir Gavrilov (right) — then Putin is warning that there will be a Russian military solution to ensure that this cannot happen.
In short, no political solution for the Ukraine short of elimination of US and NATO strategic reserves. This is the prospect of Russian military defeat of the US and NATO on the European battlefield for the first time. It appeared last month in the Pentagon Papers leaks attributed to Jack Teixeira, and subsequently suppressed by the White House, State Department, and the New York Times.
Earlier on Friday last, according to the sequence of the Kremlin communiqués, Putin also made an unusual announcement of the operational deployment of nuclear weapons at the Polish and Ukrainian frontier by July 8. Speaking at a welcome for Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko, Putin said: “As for security, we will talk about it behind closed doors, one on one. Overall, the situation is stable, and I would even say good. We are collaborating confidently in this area.We are proceeding on schedule with regard to the most sensitive issues, which we have coordinated. As you know, the preparation of the relevant facilities will be finished on July 7–8, after which we will immediately start the process of deploying the corresponding types of weapons in your territory. So, everything is going to plan consistently.” For “sensitive”, “relevant”, and “corresponding types”, read nuclear arms to “correspond” with the US Aegis missile complex at Redzikowo, Poland, and warheads stored in Germany.
Listen to the discussion with George Eliason on Saturday’s War of the Worlds TNT Radio broadcast. The battlefield evidence referred to comes from Russian reports in all media. They should be interpreted with a salutary warning from Colonel Vladimir Trukhan (below, right).
Source: https://tntradiolive.podbean.com/https: ... june-2023/
Right: Colonel Vladimir Trukhan,now retired from a senior staff post at the Russian Ministry of Defense: “Demilitarization means the complete elimination of the military threat to Russia from the territory of Ukraine. Denazification means the end of the functioning of an ideology based on national superiority and disregard for other peoples on the territory of Ukraine. We can judge the achievement of these goals based on the results of the SVR, and not in the course of it. What is not clear here? The bonus was the addition of new regions to the Russian Federation. Judging by the actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and Kiev, I would venture to assume that this is not the last increase. This is Putin's stratagem — each new proposal is worse than the previous one…The Supreme Commander-in-Chief said to the military: ‘You have military science and military logic, you fight.’ He specifically said: ‘I am, of course, the Supreme Command, but I did not finish the General Staff Academy, so I trust the military.’ This is also a strong point of Russia -- the lack of political pressure… I repeat, the work is being carried out systematically. It will be difficult for us, because Zelensky will go to the NATO summit, where he will be told the following: ‘We gave you everything, where is the result?’ But these questions will not be asked to us.” English translation can be read here.
In the discussion of the June 6 attack on the Kakhovka Hydro-Electric Station (HES), the dam-busting precedents of the Soviet, German, British, and US military operations from 1941 to 1952 were mentioned. For more of the British history, read this and for the US destruction of the Sui-Ho Dam, click.
The history of Ukrainian attacks on the Kakhovskaya dam from July 8, 2022, to June 6, 2023, can be read in the Telegram reporting of Boris Rozhin (“Colonel Cassad”). For detailed analysis of method, motive, and consequences, including the Ukrainian testing of partial destruction last December, and the dam leaks before the June 6 operation, read this.
KAKHOVKA HYDROELECTRIC STATION BEFORE AND AFTER THE JUNE 6 EXPLOSIONS
Source: https://iz.ru/1524459/
Source: https://topwar.ru/
For the background story of the Ukraine-Russia grain and fertilizer agreements and the significance of the Togliatti-Odessa ammonia pipeline, read this. The Russian Foreign Ministry response to the attack identified the Kiev regime as the perpetrator of terrorism: “Let me remind you,” said Maria Zakharova, the Foreign Ministry spokesman, “that this was the case with all terrorist and extremist organizations. At first, the West fed them with a ‘spoon’, nurtured them, and then ‘fattened them up’, thinking that they were for the ‘slaughter’…At some point, these monsters began to devour their creators. If anyone among the public, experts, political scientists, OR people responsible for security, has at least some doubts that the Kiev regime will not then turn its terrorist insides against its creators, then they are cruelly mistaken. Unfortunately, then, it will be too late.”
As you read this, the NATO air forces will be taking off to fly at Russia in the first wave of operations called Air Defender 23. Read more here.
“By the time that we (and the Ukrainians),” comments a NATO operations veteran, “figure out that they have expended their combat power, Air Defender will be kicking off. At the current burn rate, and the Russian tempo of drone and missile strikes on rear areas, I’m betting they [Ukrainians] will be running low on ammunition, armoured vehicles and morale by then. This is where things will get very worrisome for them. If Air Defender isn’t covering a Ukrainian attack, it will be covering their retreat. Once the NATO trained and equipped Ukrainian reserves are used up, what stands between the Russians and the General Staff’s charge westward to the limit they will decide for their military reasons?”
Part of a column of German Leopard-2A6 tanks and US Bradley M2A2 infantry fighting vehicles destroyed on their move at Russian defence lines in the Zaporozhye area before they could open fire on June 7-8. Source: Russian Defense Ministry
https://johnhelmer.net/losing-the-war-w ... more-88116
Breakthrough of the enemy at the junction of the Zaporozhye Front and the DPR: ours cover the lost positions and counterattack
A difficult situation is developing in the South Donetsk direction, the enemy, after using large forces and flank attacks, occupied 3 small villages on the Vremevsky ledge.
Earlier it was reported that our units were forced to leave Neskuchnoe and Blagodatnoye, and now also Storozhevoe, retreating to positions where they are not threatened by encirclement.
Despite the fact that artillery preparation from the enemy continues, the defense in the sector from Vasilyevka to Marfopol is stable: servicemen of the 58th OA report that there are no problems with either shell hunger or reserves.
Summary of the situation on the Zaporozhye front.
Orekhovsky section of the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the Zaporozhye Front
@Roxanne_Oricia - 1:46 UTC · May 30, 2023
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@AnneFella - 17:03 UTC · May 30, 2023
#Dutch citizen I want to say that arming #Ukraine is the single best use of taxpayer money in decades. My only criticism is that the west isn’t sending enough, FAST enough. Ukraine is paying for political posturing with the lives of their sons & daughters. #ArmUkraineNow
citizen I want to say that arming #Ukraine is the single best use of taxpayer money 4 decades. My only criticism is that the West isn't sending enough, fast enough.
7/14 of the Leopard 2A6s, and 17/?? of the Leopard 2A4s. But despite that, not a single Russian tank has been destroyed by any of the Leopards. They are being used as rammers, to fight infantry, not for what they were intended to be used for, and that was to destroy Russian IFVs and Tanks. The Ukrainians are entirely misusing their arsenal of American and German weapons, which is infuriating NATO advisors in Berlin and Washington.
If the rate of casualties continue, the AFU will not have enough modernised equipment to fight, as they have already been depleted of T80s, T72s, and even T64s, however, they still have a significant strategic reserve, which they are now using to recover losses.
The parties seek to deplete the enemy's resources.
