Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

User avatar
blindpig
Posts: 10771
Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2017 5:44 pm
Location: Turtle Island
Contact:

Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:24 pm

The offensive in its third month
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 08/28/2023

Image

Twelve weeks after the start of the counteroffensive that Kiev had publicized so much and with which it was going to put the Russian Federation on the ropes, which would have no choice but to surrender before the insurmountable superiority of Western weapons, doubts persist. During the last week, news about Ukrainian advances and special operations have coexisted in the information space in Crimea with strong reproaches for Ukrainian tactics and growing doubts about whether Ukraine will achieve at least part of the objectives set for the summer campaign. August is coming to an end and the time to make a difference before the arrival of the mud season is running out. The delay in the start of the reactivation of the Zaporozhi front, which Zelensky has blamed on the slow delivery of Western weapons, and the enormous difficulties that Ukrainian troops have had in reaching the first line of Russian defense, known as Surovikin line, have significantly reduced the time given to Ukraine to achieve the goals set by its partners. As has recently been read in the major US media, the main objective was the capture of Melitopol, considered the key to pressure Crimea and to split Russian territory in southern Ukraine in two. The certainty that the current offensive will not achieve the capture of the city has also been reflected in the articles published in leading newspapers such as The New York Times .

Despite the fact that Ukraine constantly insists through statements by its officials that its objective is to recover the territorial integrity of the country according to its 1991 borders by military means - to which are added political demands such as a court that judges only the Russian crimes, war reparations and regime change in Russia - for those who are bearing the economic cost of the war, the current offensive should put Kiev in a position of strength to start a negotiation process with Russia. In this sense, the success of the 2023 military campaign cannot be measured solely in the kilometers of Ukrainian advance, but in the military and political pressure to which Russia is subjected at the end of this campaign of offensive actions that Ukraine and its Western allies they had been preparing, assembling,

To the concern that all kinds of Western military officials have shown in private and that has been transferred to the press, the justifications of political representatives have been added in public. Several weeks ago, Andriy Ermak's statements, stating that "everything is going according to plan" sounded like an excuse to avoid commenting on a development of events that did not at all resemble what was expected and desired by those who have invested months and billions of dollars in a plan so that Ukraine was right now fighting for Melitopol. The objective was always clear, a look at the map and knowledge of the minimum objectives of kyiv and Moscow made it clear that only that city could be the center of the ground offensive. Endangering Crimea is the only way for Ukraine or its partners to force Russia to accept imposed terms, as demanded by Kiev, which, for the moment, rejects any kind of negotiation if the Black Sea peninsula does not return under your control. Ukrainian maximalism would be reduced to having to accept the facts on the ground from the moment its partners slowed down the supply of arms and the flow of financing, so Kiev's opinion is not, under current conditions, the main voice that will determine the moment and the way in which the military action passes to the diplomatic level.

Although previously known, several reports have been published this week about a secret meeting that took place thirteen days ago in Polish territory and in which, as The Wall Street Journal had already announced , the Western partners had imposed on Valery Zaluzhny the priorities and the tactic to follow. Shortly before, The New York Timeshad argued in an article that Ukrainian soldiers are not fighting in the right places and, citing Pentagon sources, claimed that the United States was demanding Ukraine agree to a plan whereby Zaluzhny's troops would focus on the main target at the cost of directions secondary schools like Artyomovsk. This sector of the front had been chosen by Ukraine in search of a symbolic victory with which to compensate for the difficulties it was experiencing in reaching the first line of Russian defense. The Ukrainian propaganda of the first five months of the year had given Bakhmut a high profile with which to claim a strategic victory despite not being one. In any case, that victory has not occurred and so far Russia has managed to defend itself on the flanks.

On Thursday, coinciding with Ukraine's Independence Day, the EFE Agency announced the liberation of the town of Rabotino, for which Ukraine has been fighting for weeks. The Spanish media made that announcement, not only prematurely, but when kyiv had not even claimed it. The capture of the small town - with a population of 480 inhabitants according to the last census carried out by Ukraine in 2001 - was one of Ukraine's objectives to have a success to celebrate on August 24. Fighting was going on then, as it appears to be going on now, although it may be considered a Ukrainian success to have captured much of the town. On Thursday, when he began to consider himself released, Rabotino was empty of population, completely destroyed and with fighting both inside and around it.

With no other success to claim, Ukraine carried out what Oleksiy Danilov, president of the National Security and Defense Council, and Kirilo Budanov, head of military intelligence, described as a special operation in the Crimean peninsula: a landing whose sole objective was to plant a Ukrainian flag and present the facts as a great success that anticipates the liberation of the peninsula. However, this landing to achieve such a trivial objective is, in reality, the confirmation that night and transience are the only way in which Ukraine has managed to place its flag in Crimea, against the will of the population since 2014. Still, these kinds of actions are useful in maintaining the official Ukrainian discourse, in which perception is even more important than overt reality.

The case of Rabotino is a good example. Although the Russian troops say they are still fighting in the south of the town, it is possible that they are simply covering their withdrawal or buying time to strengthen the defenses of the following towns, which will undoubtedly be attacked by Ukraine once their positions are consolidated. With this advance, the most relevant success of the Ukrainian offensive, kyiv will have managed to advance ten kilometers in twelve weeks and will have overcome the minefields in the northernmost part of the front to reach the Surovikin line. That small advance was enough for Mikhailo Podolyak to proclaim that "Ukraine will soon control the so-called land corridor" to Crimea by fire. The reality is that Ukraine will have to overcome another 29km, not to reach Melitopol, but to reach Tokmak,

This weekend, The Guardian has published some details about that meeting, in which both the NATO military chief, US General Christopher Cavoli, and the British envoy, Tony Radakin, who according to the British press, Zaluzhny referred to as "our man" participated. Beyond the attempt by the British press to give importance to its military envoy, the presence of the United Kingdom is relevant. Despite not supplying amounts of weapons similar to those of its North American ally, London's role in providing real-time intelligence and media and political support has given it a presence well above the prominence it is achieving in the press. According to what he has learned, the message of the meeting was to analyze and modify the tactic used by the Ukrainian troops, which, as had already been leaked to the media, he was fighting in the wrong places and worrying excessively about the high number of casualties he had suffered at the start of the counteroffensive. The result, as has also been verified on the ground, was Zaluzhny's acceptance of taking the Orejovo front towards Melitopol as the main task of his troops. Actually, the change is only in the sense of forcing Ukraine to return to the idea of ​​the large armored columns in which the heavy losses in June occurred. This direction was always the priority, with secondary directions, like Artyomovsk, covered by expendable troops like those commanded by Andriy Biletsky.

According to The New York TimesDespite Zaluzhny's acceptance of the orders received from his foreign superiors, Colonel Alexander Syrsky, commander of the ground forces, insists, however, that Ukraine not focus solely on that axis of the front and seeks not to expose the Kupyansk front, on which Russia is slowly advancing. Ukraine's western partners are likely counting on the Oskol River obstacle to prevent Russian troops from reaching Kupyansk and engaging that part of the front. Breaking through the Russian defenses in the direction of Tokmak could pose a serious problem for Russia, although Surovikin's planned defense is not limited to the front line but is intended as a flexible and multi-echelon defense. The US and UK may hope that the breach of the Russian first line of defense at Rabotyn will lead to a Kharkiv-like scenario in September 2022, making any further front developments irrelevant, though that stance appears to be lacking of realism. Unlike last year, when Russia had not fully gone into the defensive phase, the southern front has been thoroughly prepared for that task. The fact that Ukraine, which has received military assistance comparable to the Russian military budget this year, has needed twelve weeks to reach the Surovikin line is proof of this.

Two months later than expected, since it seems clear that neither Ukraine nor its partners expected the difficulties and casualties that the Kiev troops have suffered these months, it is to be expected that the offensive will restart again, this time from Rabotino towards Tokmak, in search of fulfilling the tasks ordered by the providers of this war. As was the case in 2022, September is presented as a key month to determine what territory Ukraine is capable of capturing, how Russian troops adapt to the breach of their first line of defense in the Orejovo-Tokmak sector and perhaps also to find out if there is any Russian offensive intention in the Kupyansk area or if this push towards the Oskol only seeks to force Ukraine to reinforce its positions at the expense of the main front.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/08/28/la-of ... more-28016

Google Translator

*******

Chronicle of the special military operation for August 27, 2023
August 27, 2023
Rybar

Practically on the entire front line there is a relative calm. The parties conduct mutual reconnaissance and artillery duels.

The main clashes, as before, are taking place in the Rabotino area in the Zaporozhye direction . The enemy introduces new reserves into the battle, but the Russian forces steadfastly hold the defense in the village and its environs.

There were practically no shellings in the border areas today. This is probably due to the large-scale counter-battery actions carried out by Russian forces.

Image

The situation on the front line and the fighting

In the Kupyansky sector, Russian troops continue to conduct positional battles in the Sinkovka area and landings nearby. There was also information about the advancement of the RF Armed Forces in the Petropavlovka area , but there is no specifics at the moment.


In the Soledar direction , the enemy continues to gather additional forces and carry out rotational activities in preparation for a new offensive against Russian defensive lines. At the moment, clashes are taking place near Kleshcheevka , where the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from time to time sends small assault groups - units of the RF Armed Forces successfully stop all overruns, destroying manpower and equipment.


In the Vremievsky sector, the Ukrainian command has reduced offensive activity near Urozhayne and is preparing for new attacks. In turn, the Russian troops identify and lay fire on the places of concentration of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and also carry out measures to strengthen the defense. To the north-east of Urozhaynoye, a mortar crew and an enemy group in a forest belt were destroyed, and to the north of Priyutnoye , an accumulation of APU manpower of up to three platoons was dispersed by artillery strikes.


In the Orekhovsky sector, the enemy concentrated significant forces in the Rabotino area . Despite this, the Ukrainian formations were never able to establish control over the settlement. The RF Armed Forces continue to hold positions on the outskirts of the village, reflecting the incessant enemy advances. At the same time, units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to try to advance in landings to the west of Verbovoye .


In the Kherson direction, Russian troops continue to detect and suppress enemy attempts to transfer troops of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the islands in the Dnieper delta . In addition, the artillerymen of the RF Armed Forces are firing at targets and locations of Ukrainian formations on the opposite bank.

Shelling of rear territories and residential areas

Image
At night, a Ukrainian drone crashed into an apartment building in Kursk : glass was broken on several floors and in a neighboring building. Civilians were not hurt.

Image
Throughout the day, Ukrainian formations have been shelling the front-line settlements of the Donetsk agglomeration , including using cluster-type ammunition. In Donetsk , where the city's day is being celebrated today, the Kuibyshevsky district was under massive fire : according to the latest data, at least three children and one man were injured of varying severity. Residential buildings and a store building were also damaged. In addition, the enemy attacked the Central City and Nikitovsky districts of Gorlovka : two civilians were injured , including a girl .

Image
Ukrainian formations continue to strike daily on the left bank of the Kherson region. New Kakhovka , Kakhovka , Dnepryans and Korsunka were also under fire . In several settlements of the Novokakhovsk urban district, there were problems with power supply. In Aleshki , an UAF drone attacked the car of one of the Russian military correspondents - as a result of dropping an explosive projectile, the journalist received minor injuries.

Political events

On the supply of arms to Ukraine

The Military Informant channel published photos of Leopard 1A5 tanks in storage in Italy : they were bought by the Swiss company RUAG for subsequent delivery to Ukraine , but the government in Bern did not approve these plans due to the legally fixed neutral status.

However, the ban is highly likely to be temporary. In early August, we talked about the “ring exchange”, which will allow the Swiss to supply the Armed Forces of Ukraine with military products: weapons and equipment will be sold as compensation to countries that send their weapons to Ukraine.

Such a “replenishment of European arsenals” will allow Switzerland to earn money without transgressing its own legislation. The closest candidate for the implementation of such a scheme is Greece , which owns a fleet of several hundred Leopard tanks of various modifications.

About Syrsky's fault in the failure of the offensive

Western publications continue to look for those responsible for the failure of the Ukrainian summer offensive. This time, the head of the Ukrainian Ground Forces Oleksandr Syrsky became the scapegoat . According to the newspaper, Syrsky did not heed the Pentagon's recommendations when he called for measures to be taken to defend Kupyansk . According to Western officials, the Armed Forces of Ukraine should have concentrated their main efforts on one sector of the front, and not scattered their forces in all directions.

Moreover, the newspaper considers Syrsky’s statements about the “transfer of Russian reinforcements” to the Kupyansky sector to be groundless, since, according to the publication, the RF Armed Forces are not going to force the Oskol River . Earlier, the Wall Street Journal wrote that Ukraine made adjustments to its offensive strategy - the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine decided to send the main forces to break through the South direction . Judging by the reports that come from the Orekhovsky section, the Armed Forces of Ukraine really listened to their Western curators and decided to use their reserves.

About corruption scandals with Vladimir Zelensky

President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky said he would propose to the Verkhovna Rada to equate corruption with treason during martial law. Apparently, this is due to recent corruption scandals involving representatives of the Ukrainian authorities and regional military commissars.

It is noteworthy that against the backdrop of this populist statement, material was circulated on the network , which claimed that the current president of Ukraine bought a $5 million villa on the Red Sea coast in Egypt and registered it in the name of Olga Kiyashko, his mother-in-law. The author of the investigation is the Egyptian journalist Mohammed al-Alawi, however, at the moment, his evidence base raises questions.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

Google Translator

*********

.Citizens Rally Outside Artillery Factory in President Biden’s Hometown that Produces Parts of Cluster Bombs Destined To Kill Eastern Ukrainians and Russians
By Jack Gilroy - August 25, 2023

Image
Susan Schnall, President of Veterans for Peace, New York City, and a Vietnam veteran featured in the documentary Sir! No Sir! The Suppressed Story of the GI Movement to End the Vietnam War, speaks at a peace rally in Scranton, Pennsylvania, on July 22 outside munitions factory. [Source: Photo courtesy of Vera Scroggins]

Cluster Bombs Have Killed at Least 67,000 Vietnamese Since the Vietnam War Ended

One of President Joe Biden’s biographers, David Hagan, author of No Ordinary Joe, tells the story of a 10-year-old Joe Biden taking a $5 bet to climb a burning coal pile in his hometown of Scranton. Young Joe took the bet and scampered up the mountainous mound of fiery fissures and won the bet. Biden had the $5 bill framed and it hung in his Senate office for decades.

As a boy, Joe Biden was a risk-taker of his own life. Now, President of the United States and leader of NATO, he has taken all of us to the fiery brink of nuclear war.

Just off Interstate 81 near Scranton, Pennsylvania, Biden’s hometown, is Exit 185 to what is now called the President Biden Expressway.

On July 22, multiple peace and justice organizers went to Scranton to focus on what the Ukrainians and the President of the United States say is the most important weapons needed: artillery shells, and now the added dimension of putting bomblets inside artillery shells for use as cluster bombs.

Image
Young man at the protest holding a 155 mm shell and a bomblet. [Source: Photo courtesy of Vera Scroggins]

Drive down the steep slope of the President Biden Expressway to find the #4 Merchant of Death in the U.S., General Dynamics, operating the Army Ammunition Plant just a chip-shot away from the central shopping center of downtown Scranton.

Image
Army Ammunition Plant in Scranton, Pennsylvania. [Source: hsp.org]

During the Vietnam War students from the nearby University of Scranton protested outside the 155 mm artillery slaughterhouse. There is no record of any protests at the General Dynamics facility in decades. That changed on Saturday, July 22, when anti-war activists drove to Scranton from Vermont, Virginia, New Jersey, Long Island and New York City, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Pittsburgh and upstate New York.

Image
SUNY Cortland Professor Colleen Kattau plays the guitar at peace rally. [Source: Photo courtesy of Vera Scroggins]

The Haunting Nightmare of Children’s Screams

Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky has spent his time traveling to western capitals asking for more and more weapons to fight the Russians to the last Ukrainians.

The Biden administration has agreed to sell Ukraine cluster bombs which were known in the Vietnam War for their lethality because they are designed to maximize human suffering by exploding once they penetrate the skin.

Also, at least 67,000 Vietnamese have been maimed by unexploded cluster bombs since war’s end, along with thousands more people in Laos and Cambodia.

Image
B52s dropping cluster munitions over Vietnam. These bombs continue to cripple and kill children decades later. [Source: losangelesherald.com]

Scott Bennett, a former U.S. Army psychological warfare officer and State Department counterterrorism analyst, told Sputnik that the results of the introduction of cluster bombs in Ukraine will be “nothing but violent, indiscriminate civilian deaths, destruction of property, [and] the haunting nightmares of children’s screams. The supreme danger of the cluster bombs the U.S. is intending on sending to Ukraine is that they are 20 years old, which means they will have a very high ‘dud’ rate—probably 10-20% or more. This means these bomblets will be left unexploded all over the landscape waiting for unsuspecting civilians to detonate them—which seems to be the objective: terror.”

Image
Unexploded DPICM submunition, similar to the type transferred to Ukraine, found by Human Rights Watch researcher Bonnie Docherty in a field north of Baghdad, Iraq, in May 2003. [Source: hls.harvard.edu]

Even if the group that came out to protest on July 22 in Scranton was small, they made an important political statement and may yet help to spark more anti-war protests.

See video here.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1IxeWBAYzeo

One of the speakers said that, while people working at the artillery shell plant had to feed their families like everyone else, they should consider the victims of the bombs they help build and work with others in their community to build a peace economy instead of the war economy that now exists.

Image
Cecily O’Neil of Veterans for Peace, Binghamton, New York, holds sign calling for no more weapons to Ukraine. [Source: Photo courtesy of Vera Scroggins]

Of course, to question the region’s embrace of militarism by focusing on the largest artillery shell maker in the United States may have been sacrilegious to a region steeped in a religious embrace of militarism.

Image
[Source: Photo courtesy of Gary Ingraham]
The University of Scranton, a Catholic university just a few minutes’ walk from the Army Ammunition Plant, trains college students in the art of killing via its ROTC program. Ten colleges in northeastern Pennsylvania send students to train at the University of Scranton.

Image
Scranton ROTC students. [Source: news.scranton.edu]

Image
[Source: scranton.edu]

Just a short drive up I-81 to the little town of Archbald is the #1 Merchant of Death in the world, Lockheed Martin where laser-guided Paveway bombs are made to be fired from killer drones.

Image
Lockheed Martin facility in Archbald, Pennsylvania, where Paveway bombs are manufactured that are fired from killer drones. [Source: lockheedmartin.com]

Image
Paveway bombs. [Source: defencetalk.com]

A 20-minute drive from downtown Scranton to the largest military electronic storehouse in the nation is the U.S. Army Tobyhanna Depot, the biggest industrial employer in northeastern Pennsylvania employing more than 3,000 workers.

Image
[Source: cobases.com]

Scrantonians are just one of many Merchant-of-Death brainwashed and money-washed populations in the United States. The region is historically Democratic and their present congressional representative, Matt Cartwright, is a member of the House Progressive Caucus.

Image
Matt Cartwright [Source: wikipedia.org]

Cartwright is always ready and willing to praise new military contracts coming to northeastern Pennsylvania and always votes each session for more military spending.

Having lived in this coal-mining Lackawanna Valley for many more years than Joe Biden, and as a graduate of the University of Scranton, I knew well our reception by locals would not be with open arms. In Scranton, and in every little town and village north and south, are street lamps adorned with photos of their heroes, military veterans.

Image
Sign from the protest. [Source: Photo courtesy of Vera Scroggins]

Our estimate of Scranton participants at the rally was fewer than ten, and two of them were Trump supporters who parked their tractor-trailer alongside our gathering. Local television stations were asked to cover our event—none did—and a lone Scranton Times-Tribune photographer snapped a shot of the rally that was buried in its Sunday edition.

We will not give up on Scranton, The good people there deserve better than a house of death in the center of their town. President Biden repeats how he wants to renew passenger train travel to New York City from Scranton. Why not a more meaningful proposal like converting the ammunition plant into a rail production center?

In 1855, Scranton was the leading iron producer in the United States. Later, Scranton became known as the Electric City.

Image
[Source: visitnepa.org]

Amtrak Joe could leave a proud legacy by focusing on the building of electric trains in his hometown. The Steamtown National Historic Site is a block away from the Scranton Army ammunition maker of artillery shells.

Organizers of the Rally for Ukraine asked Scranton area Catholics to petition their Bishop Joseph Bambera to speak at our rally. Six women from Bishop Bambera’s hometown of Carbondale sent him a request to attend and speak. The women did not receive a response.

Bishop Bambera

Image
Joseph C. Bambara, the Bishop of Scranton who refused to attend the peace rally. What a hypocrite and coward! [Source: dioceseofscranton.org]

So, Pope Francis (in mask) and President Biden (in mask) did stand in. Biden spoke high praise for the 155 mm plant in his hometown and as he spoke Pope Francis appeared and advised the President that he needed to confess to his historic murderous deeds from the Middle East to Ukraine.

Image
[Source: Photo Courtesy of Gary Ingraham]

The Pope took the President by hand and led him across the street to the Army Ammunition Plant and lied on the concrete entrance to the 155 mm factory where the President confessed his sins as others lied down and blocked the entranceway.

No arrests were made. Armed guards did not leave their duty shack.

If Pope Francis was really in attendance he would likely have said the same words he spoke to the United States Congress in September of 2015: “Why are deadly weapons being sold to those who plan to inflict untold suffering on individuals and society? Sadly, the answer, as we all know, is simply for money: money that is drenched in blood, often innocent blood. In the face of this shameful and culpable silence, it is our duty to confront the problem and to stop the arms trade.”

Americans must demand economic conversion from designing and producing tools to kill into serving the real needs of health, housing, climate, and transportation. Are Americans ready to accept that they have been scammed by what Pope Francis told the U.S. Congress “The arms industry is drenched in blood”?

https://covertactionmagazine.com/2023/0 ... -russians/

******

US Political Analyst Daniel Patrick Welch: Western Media Is Pushing Putin/Prigozhin Plot
AUGUST 27, 2023

Image
Late Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin with soldiers of the Wagner PMC. File photo.

The Western Anglo-Saxon Empire is controlling people’s minds and their self-awareness to maintain its global hegemony, says US writer and geopolitical analyst Daniel Patrick Welch.

Welch, who studied Russian History and Literature at Harvard University, made the remarks in an interview with the Press TV website on Friday, August 25, while commenting on the Western media coverage of the death of Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin in a plane crash.

Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed his condolences over the plane crash that killed Prigozhin and nine others on Wednesday, August 23.

An investigation is currently underway into what caused the crash, which came two months after Prigozhin led a short-lived armed mutiny against the Russian military leadership in June.

Putin said that it was necessary to await the outcome of the official investigation into the crash, in which all 10 people on board were killed. The Russian president said the inquiry would take some time.

‘Putin did it!’ Blame game goes on for US

Welch scoffs at the reaction of Western media to the presumed death of Wagner’s boss and the immediate claim of Western sources that “Putin did it.”

“The first instinct that pops into my head on a news item like this is just to scream out. No, he didn’t. No, he didn’t. You hear about this of Yevgeny Prigozhin being killed in a plane crash outside of Moscow. Immediately, the Western press ramps up. Biden says it was Putin. The Sun calls it Putin’s revenge. British media is a joke anyway, but all of the Western outlets are screaming this.”

The airtight control over the information pipeline in the West is most apparent here, according to Welch: “In fact, what is sad for me and interesting is that this is actually how I found out about it. My acknowledgment of Prigozhin’s suspected death was from a friend who texted me, and said, ‘Hey, Putin doesn’t mess around.’”

The writer sees it as a foregone conclusion that Western press outlets will respond almost reflexively with a virtually preapproved text. “This is a friend who was joking, but the fact is that the news and that gargantuan lie and twist of the news are presented as one always. And that is how the Western Anglo-Saxon Empire maintains its hegemony. It’s as important as genocide. It’s as important as nuclear war,” he says.

And it pays off. “They are controlling people’s minds and people’s self-awareness so deeply that people might not even be fooled that they would have to look a little deeper. Why did Putin do this? Why would it be Putin?”

In preventing any further reflection, mainstream sources fall back on the assumed narrative that Putin is bad, so anything goes. “This is not a sock puppet, an autocrat, who runs Russia in the palm of his hand, as crazy as it might seem for Westerners to question that impulse.”

And again, it works smoothly, says Welch. “But evil is bad. That’s the thing you can use. Evil is bad. Why would he do it? Because he’s evil. Because that’s the thing you do to your enemies. Evil people do evil things.”

‘US accuses others of exactly what it does’
The irony, he believes, or perhaps part of the plan, is the US is accusing others of exactly what its own actions have been. “Well, if you really turn it over, it’s what the US does, and they do it all the damn time. They don’t care.”

Welch points out that this is basically the only script that US and US-friendly media follows, as we see in “hotspots” or points of interest (to the US) around the world. Readymade narratives immediately fill all available space: “Imran Khan disappeared both literally in being sacked with these ridiculous charges, but also from the press. Nope, no media, nothing. This isn’t important,” says the analyst.

Instead, the press decides what to focus on. “What is important is Putin’s psychosis. We’ll have a panel of idiot psychologists or whatever, whatever. Just stupid.”

“Stupid, or brilliant?” Welch says it might as well be all by design.

Karl Rove’s mantra: ‘We create reality and we respond to it’
“Maybe this is exactly what they want,” he says. “This is how they got to the point that Karl Rove smugly said, ‘We create reality and we respond to reality that is created by us. We watch people’s reaction to it.’”

This neocon mantra of George W. Bush’s advisor is now basically a mainstay of the political elite, claims Welch. “The press is useful in this regard–the population is so well managed, so dumbed down that they just say it.” And a compliant populace accepts it as real.

“They don’t notice that the Russians were shocked at this,” Welch points out. “This is not something that helps Russia at all.” By contrast, he believes, the Western propaganda machine was ready to go. “And the West and Ukraine and the US had print-ready fiction, ready to go. If this happens, we’ll just call it Putin’s revenge, and that will be the headline.”

‘Brzezinski’s chessboard’
The trouble is, Welch thinks that people don’t even realize that this almost impenetrable filter applies broadly. “It’s not Ukraine, it’s not Prigozhin, it’s not Niger, it’s not Imran Khan, it’s not Pakistan,” says Welch. “It’s the West’s need to control the world. It’s Brzezinski’s idiot chessboard, which goes all the way back to Mackinder, on who controls the homeland.”

He refers to former official Zbigniew Brzezinski, who advised many presidents and had a major influence on US relations with the USSR. “Brezhinsky is dead, finally, in a blessing to all of humanity. But his obsessive, Russian-hating, ignorance of history lives on in this grand scheme of the Great Game and how to corner, surround, and ruin China, Russia, and whoever gets in their way.”

Welch expands on this, saying it is not just a Cold War relic. “This goes back into Africa on the same ground. There’s no shady junta in Niger, who’s ruining the country, which they love to spout.” Some of the military leaders involved were actually trained by the US, he notes. “First of all, several of them were trained by the US in their constant attempts to plant spies and CIA creations in other governments, and it backfires.”

The objective, he believes, is to use a front story to distract people from what is actually happening. “They’ll talk about this so that no one will talk about Areva, the French mining company that has been digging and mining the resources and the hopes and the dreams and the future of the Nigerien people for 60 years, and the French government that uses it to profit from death, profit from other people’s hunger, from other people’s deprivation.”

‘We get rich, they just die’
The truth, in Welch’s view, is so straightforward that they do indeed need to cover it up. Corporate elite say, “We get rich, they just die.”

The challenge, he suggests is not to accept information at face value in either case. “Okay, so why would Putin do this? Why would young Africans rise up against this? Why is it happening this way? Cui Bono, to whom the benefit? What makes sense?”

https://orinocotribune.com/us-political ... zhin-plot/

********

From Soggy Helsinki.

Waiting to board our plane in hotel. Evidently Finnish hotels are designed and built with people of 100 pounds' weight and the height of 4'5" in mind. I, as you may expect, am neither. So, after Moscow and St.Petersburg Helsinki looks rather... timid. But I am happy to leave for calmer and smaller (in urban sense) pastures. Metropolis living is not for me. Especially such monsters as Moscow and St. Petersburg. Now to our goats, so to speak.

The butcher's bill for 404 grows, it is simply now a daily summary of Ukie bodies and looking at militarily illiterate psychos in Biden's Admin dreaming to "mobilize" whatever is left of 404 male, primarily 16-17 year old kids and 60+ people, yes, this is how they think. As I already stated--I was stunned by military illiteracy of not only political class in the West, but by NATO military top brass. Everything what is known about wars of the XX century and modern and future wars has been lost on them. It is surreal to observe people who pontificate non-stop on "multi-domain operations" while they do not know basic facts--forget math and physics of war--about WW II and modern (and future) weapon systems. This, not some PR BS matters in serious practical geopolitics.

When they try to portray the "battle for Rabotino"--a hamlet with pre-war "population" of a whopping 480 people--and which doesn't exist physically anymore--as some kind of "battle", it is difficult to explain to them that the piece of land which used to be Rabotino is "defended" by a few SSO who sit there and guide Russian artillery at VSU forces each-time they try to "enter" this pile of rubble--a classic "fire sack". This is ooh the "tactics" any Soviet kid knew in 5-6th grade. But then again, when one's Field Manuals and Doctrines are written for beating the crap from generally defenseless people what do you expect? Right, Zapp Brannigan's way of military thinking.

This all is so surreal that one begins to ask the question if they really teach anything real war related in NATO military "academies". That brings us to the issue of cadre officers. This topic needs a separate and in depth treatment. Larch sent me a recent piece by Andrei Ilnitsky (yes, in many photos he does look like Kevin Costner) and here is what this graduate of the Academy of General Staff wrote in his piece titled Induced Degradation of the World (in Russian):


Доминировавший долгие годы тезис о том, что в управлении страной должны быть интеллектуалы-технократы, — неточен, а в нынешних условиях цивилизационного противостояния с Западом — вреден. России нужны профессионалы с четким ценностным профилем служения Отечеству.
Translation: The thesis that dominated for many years that technocratic intellectuals should be in charge of the country is inaccurate, and in the current conditions of civilizational confrontation with the West is harmful. Russia needs professionals with a clear value profile of serving the Fatherland.

I may not agree with the entirety of otherwise good piece, but this is spot on. Remarkably, this also applies to combined West if it wants to survive. Without it--it is over. For Europe it already happened, for the US a slim chance remains. Remarkably, Larry touches on one of the major aspects of the issue--MSM.


We are now in an era where I believe that the mainstream media, especially TV and Cable, are largely irrelevant. Yet the tradition of using those platforms is still firmly embedded in the establishment mentality. Politicians raise tons of money, or try to, just to buy time on conventional TV and Cable that a diminishing number of people are watching. The action has shifted to podcasts, X and other social media platforms. That is what the vast majority of Americans are watching. Most politicians do not understand nor comprehend the shift that has taken place. There are exceptions. Barack Obama picked up on it early. Donald Trump is the king of social media. And Vivek Ramaswamy gets in. The rest are still welded to the legacy media and foolishly spend money on TV ads that people skip if they can.
In the end, the blame game started by the US MSM about VSU "not following Pentagon advice" is a kindergarten ploy to shift the blame for a catastrophe for NATO towards VSU generals who do NOT in effect have real operational control over what remains of VSU and are fully subservient to the will of Washington. I guess Nuland and Sullivan need some basic military education, forget about Operations--too complex for them, a lot of math and history. So, here we are today. The admission by one of the West's generals recently about effectiveness of Russian Air Defense of 92-98%, in terms of combat aircraft it is 100% (in Russian) sends shivers down the spine of NATO pilots. And this is even before they encounter Russian Air Force which is world class. Just basic facts. I guess those "backward" Soviets knew their craft when creating the most advanced and networked air defense in the world and made a bet on the industrial might of the nation. Should I quote Lieutenant-General Klokotov again? I guess not. Too much to unpack, especially before flying back home. And I really miss my Pacific Northwest, its magnificent mountains and ocean.

http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

User avatar
blindpig
Posts: 10771
Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2017 5:44 pm
Location: Turtle Island
Contact:

Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Tue Aug 29, 2023 12:09 pm

If the West pays
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 08/29/2023

Image

At the beginning of July, when the first month of the Ukrainian offensive was over and doubts began to appear as to whether the great attack was going to achieve the objectives demanded by the purveyors of the war, Oleksiy Reznikov was looking for a reason to encourage his partners to send more weapons The defense minister then had two options: claim that Ukraine is actually defending European civilization from Russian barbarism, or embrace the idea of ​​proxy warfare and encourage its partners to participate in it. Reznikov chose the second option and argued that the NATO countries should take advantage of the situation to use Ukraine as a testing ground. The allies, the minister argued, "can actually see if their weapons work, how efficient they are, and if they need to be upgraded."

Although without giving a name to the situation, even the mainstream media now accept that Ukraine receives orders on the correct use of weapons -one of the great complaints of the United States is the waste of projectiles-, tactics and strategy. Both the American and British press have published details about the recent meeting of the top military commanders in which Valery Zaluzhny had no choice but to accept the demands of his partners and focus the Ukrainian offensive in one main direction, the Orejovo-Melitopol axis. , instead of the attack in several directions that the Ukrainian command had prioritized. Completely dependent on his partners to keep fighting - Ukraine would simply lack the necessary ammunition to continue the war - Kiev's options to reject the suggestions of its allies are few and are limited to those aspects that do not contradict the interests of Washington, London and, to a lesser extent, Brussels. For example, Ukraine can afford to use Western weapons on Russian soil against the wishes of the West, as it has done in raids led by openly neo-Nazi groups, but not contradict its partners on what should be the main thrust of their offensive actions.

Ukraine's economic dependence on its partners makes the Western definition of a proxy fall short of defining the current situation. kyiv would not only not be able to continue fighting, but if Western assistance disappeared or diminished excessively, the country would not be able to cover basic state services. Hence, the West now has a tool with which to convince or coerce Kiev to follow the desired path, something that is not limited only to the military aspect. However, the ease with which Kiev's strategic objectives have been aligned with those of its suppliers has meant that up to now there have been no major disagreements or frictions, which have been limited to episodes such as the British complaints about the lack of Ukraine's gratitude or Zelensky's demands for NATO membership, at which point it became clear that Kiev has no decision-making power on some of the issues that matter most to it.

Billed as a hero since February 2022, Zelensky has seen how his media presence and stellar appearances in all sorts of countries and international forums have guaranteed him awards, receptions he couldn't even dream of before the start of the Russian invasion, and a unprecedented and virtually unrequited support for your country. However, even the already famous war president has suffered certain criticisms that have spread in media very close to the Biden administration, an indispensable ally of the Ukrainian president. Political He went so far as to publish an article in which it was made clear that the United States does not consider Zelensky essential and assured that a possible assassination of the president would give rise to a collective government that would continue with the plans already established. The subtext of the article was not a death threat to Zelensky, but a warning that he is not essential.

Political, as other media have also done, raised a series of criticisms of the Ukrainian president, which have increased since the Ukrainian offensive has shown signs of not being as powerful as had been expected. One of the recurring themes in critical speeches towards Zelensky concerns his democratic credentials. The criticisms, superficial and focused solely on the stage since February 2022, focused on the ban on political parties and Zelensky's refusal to hold elections at war. The authoritarian tendencies of the current Ukrainian president are not limited to this stage of the war that affects the entire country, but go back to the previous period, when the military battle was contained in Donbass and politics already sought to eliminate, harass,

With millions of people displaced by the war, either in other parts of the country or abroad, Zelensky was not manipulating reality by arguing that the conditions for holding an election did not exist. The Ukrainian president was backed by the country's legislation, which prevents elections from being held at times of martial law, now in force in the country. However, even his closest allies and the most radically pro-Ukrainian figures seem to have seen Zelensky's willingness to extend the state of emergency indefinitely as a problem that requires solving. Yesterday, the Ukrainian president responded to a criticism of the American Lindsey Graham that the US senator expressed to him in a direct conversation. Interestingly, the problem is not the holding of legislative elections, hardly surprising considering the use that the current Ukrainian government has made of the Rada, but the presidential elections. In a war presented as a struggle between democracy and authoritarianism , the West requires a president endorsed by the polls.

Zelensky was willing yesterday to convene the Rada to make the legislative changes that would be necessary to make it possible to hold elections in conditions of war, something that Ukraine will have to do sooner or later now that the continuation of the war in the long term seems a possibility. certainty. The need to give a democratic aspect to a government that has taken advantage of the war to ban the entire non-nationalist spectrum from the political scene - a trend that had already begun with the banning of the Communist Party - will increase as the war drags on, a situation which may be a favorable condition for Zelensky. With every minimally opposition party banned, marginalized, demonized and exiled and with figures like Poroshenko or Timoshenko with nothing different to contribute, the only possible opposition might appear to be the nationalist extreme right. But even in that case, once the rhetoric and arguments of parties like Svoboda have been assimilated by the state, and by Zelensky personally, none of the figures of nationalism can threaten Zelensky either.

Under conditions of exodus from the country and hundreds of thousands of men at the front, the guarantees of elections under these conditions would be scarce, if the country manages to organize the necessary logistics to carry them out. What's more, that is Zelensky's main argument, which in his response to Lindsey Graham's opportunistic criticism made his demands clear. Zelensky, aware that even in the absence of elections he is not going to lose the favor of his allies, set his conditions. The Ukrainian president is willing to hold an election, but only if the countries where millions of Ukrainians have taken refuge take over the process at home, with observers all over the country, including in the trenches, and with generous funding. abroad. With war as the only priority,

“I'm sorry, I'm not asking for anything,” said Zelensky, who, although he has based the country's economy on foreign credit lines, added that “I am not going to hold elections on credit. Nor am I going to take money away from weapons and give it to elections.” The Ukrainian president even suggested the desired amount in order to hold an election. Zelensky mentioned the figure of 5,000 million for elections in peace and, although he did not mention a specific figure, he reminded that the process would be even more expensive in war conditions.

Zelensky is willing to hold procedural elections in which to legitimize his figure again. Of course, he is only willing to do so under conditions in which opposition political forces cannot participate and with specific financing for it. It must be the United States and the European Union who finance the process and send the observers. In that case, the Ukrainian president would be willing to comply with the wishes of his allies. Ukraine no longer acts as a proxy, but practically as a colony. However, as in the military aspect, here too Zelensky's interests coincide with those of his partners: they are all interested in holding formal elections, despite the fact that neither the necessary political nor security conditions exist with those who continue to exalt the Ukrainian democracy . Hence, it cannot be ruled out that the Rada receives orders to adapt the legislation to the service of Zelensky's re-election. If holding elections in Ukraine is necessary for the West, Zelensky will have to find a way to simulate a normal electoral process . As long as the West bears the costs.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/08/29/28022/#more-28022

Google Translator

********

Chronicle of the special military operation for August 28, 2023
August 28, 2023
Rybar

Fierce fighting continues near the southern outskirts of Rabotino in the Orekhovsky sector . Statements about the breakthrough of Ukrainian formations to Novopokrovka do not correspond to reality. The enemy suffers significant losses, but does not abandon his attempts to seize the strategic heights on this line.

Today , Russian air defense crews destroyed two Tekever reconnaissance UAVs in the sky over the Crimean peninsula . In addition, a Ukrainian Neptune anti-ship missile fired from the outskirts of Odessa was shot down .

During the day, the Armed Forces of Ukraine repeatedly tried to strike Russian targets in the rear. One drone was shot down in the Lyubertsy region near Moscow . Two more devices were destroyed over the territory of the Bryansk region during an attempt to attack a military airfield. In addition, several kamikaze UAVs hit administrative buildings in Energodar .

Image

Destruction of reconnaissance UAVs near Crimea

Image
Today, crews of the 31st Air Force and Air Defense Division shot down two reconnaissance UAVs that were monitoring the situation on the Crimean Peninsula . The drones turned out to be the already well-known Portuguese-made Tekever . One of the "Tekevers" of the AR3 modification took off from the Nikolaev region, flying through the Kherson region to the Karkinitsky Bay and the Crimea , where it was destroyed by the Pantsir air defense missile system 23 km north of Evpatoria . And the second UAV of the AR5 modification took off from the south of the Odessa region, heading for Cape Tarkhankut , entered the airspace of the peninsula and was shot down by air defense units southwest of Razdolny .

Soon after the news of the downing of the UAV, a logical development of this story followed: the Russian Ministry of Defense announced the downed cruise missile of the Armed Forces of Ukraine off the coast of Crimea. But there were no further comments. According to our information, a Ukrainian anti-ship missile " Neptune ", fired from the Odessa region, was shot down near the Russian peninsula . The declared range is up to 300 km , which is enough for attacks on the Crimea.

The flight of the Tekevers deep into the peninsula was not accidental: Ukrainian formations used the gaps between the zones for detecting air defense systems and leaked into the Crimea, intending to identify the positional areas of the air defense system. And the fact that expensive UAVs acted as a decoy should not be embarrassing - the latest reconnaissance equipment with a high-quality camera is installed on Portuguese drones, which increases the ability to detect Russian air defense systems and radars .

A similar tactic was used by the Armed Forces of Ukraine during the attack on Cape Tarkhankut, when the S-300 air defense system was hit. First, two UAVs were forced to launch missiles at them, and then the Russian anti-aircraft complex was destroyed. And in this case, the methods were similar: in the area of ​​​​10.24 and 10.40, two Tekevers were shot down, and an hour later there was an attempt to hit the Neptune. Of course, I am glad that the units of the 31st Air Force and Air Defense Division quickly adapted to such tricks of the enemy and successfully repelled the attack.

But the fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine began to use "Neptunes" against ground targets indicates the refinement of the complexes : the ability of missiles to fly above the surface of the water makes them a dangerous threat. On the other hand, this indicates a shortage or even absence of other means of destruction previously used for attacks in the Crimea - drones " Strizh ", OTRK " Grom-2 " and S-200 air defense systems .

The situation on the front line and the fighting

In the Starobelsky direction, the RF Armed Forces, with the support of artillery, repel attacks by assault groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of ​​\u200b\u200bSerebryansky forestry and Torsky . ATGM crews prevent attempts to rotate Ukrainian fighters. Also, units of the 12th Special Forces Brigade and the 42nd Mechanized Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffered significant losses in manpower and equipment when trying to break through in the Kuzmino area . A similar situation unfolded to the north in the area of ​​Sinkovka and Novoselovsky .


The situation in the Soledar direction remains stably tense. The enemy is working on Russian positions with artillery, from time to time undertaking reconnaissance in force. The enemy's encroachments are stopped by return fire. In addition, FPV drones and copters with drop systems destroy the enemy where it is problematic to do so with " classic " methods .


In the Vremievsky sector , the enemy continues to try to break through further beyond Urozhaynoye , accumulating forces in a previously occupied settlement. Air and artillery strikes are carried out on open enemy concentrations, including with the use of corrected air bombs from the UMPC.

Image
Fighting continues in the Orekhovsky sector in the Rabotino area . Statements about the breakthrough of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to Novopokrovka are not true, at the moment, clashes are still observed on the southern outskirts, where the forces of the 15th brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine were already sent to support the offensive. Also, the paratroopers of the 1st battalion of the 82nd airborne infantry brigade of Ukraine once again tried to break through to Verbove from the west with the support of artillery and aviation, but the attack was repulsed and the Armed Forces of Ukraine retreated.


Enemy losses are growing daily. With the tactics of the "meat" assault, the Ukrainian command was able to wedge between the villages, but the price of this is really high - 21 killed and 52 wounded were confirmed for the assault . Subdivisions of the 3rd Battalion of the 118th Ombre of the Armed Forces of Ukraine advanced to help the 82nd Airborne Brigade. Now the Armed Forces of Ukraine are evacuating the wounded on six armored vehicles and regrouping before the next attack. The plans of the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine include a breakthrough to heights 136.8 and 110.3 for a subsequent strike on Novopokrovka.

Shelling of rear territories and residential areas
Intensity of shelling of frontline territories for August 21-27, 2023


Last week, Ukrainian formations continued to shell Russian front-line settlements with cannon and rocket artillery , firing several hundred different pieces of ammunition every day. Compared to last week, the enemy increased the intensity of shelling of the Donetsk People's Republic by 65% , while the amount of ammunition fired in the Belgorod region decreased by 45% . In the Kherson region, the situation has not changed significantly.

The situation is still difficult in the Donetsk agglomeration : four civilians were killed in the region in a week, and at least 29 more were injured of varying severity. The number of victims in the Belgorod region has sharply increased - three dead and six wounded. This was largely the result of the active use of cluster-type ammunition by the enemy - as a result of only one hit in the village of Urazovo in the Belgorod region, six people were injured, one of whom continues to be in serious condition.

The difficult situation continued in other front-line regions - the Bryansk , Kursk and Zaporozhye regions , as well as in the Luhansk People's Republic . They regularly come under fire from Ukrainian formations, but only a small part of the acts of aggression of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is covered in open sources.

In addition, over the past week, Ukrainian formations have made a series of attempts to attack the rear regions: enemy drones were intercepted in the Moscow region , the Republic of Crimea and the Kaluga region . Only one of the eight drones managed to reach the capital, damaging the skyscraper under construction in the Moscow City business center . Modified anti-aircraft missiles of the S-200 complex were also used for strikes. One of these was shot down by Russian air defenses near Obninsk in the Kaluga region .

Shelling of rear territories 28 August 2023


At night, Ukrainian formations again tried to attack Moscow with drones . Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said that one drone was shot down in the Lyubertsy area - fragments of the device fell near a residential building, slightly damaging its facade.


At the same time, according to the information of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, air defense crews destroyed two UAVs over the territory of the Bryansk region . According to Baza, the target of the Ukrainian raid in the Bryansk region was a military airfield, but air defense systems were able to repel the attack. As a result of the incident, the object, like equipment, was not damaged.


In addition, local authorities reported shelling of the village of Novaya Tavolzhanka in the Belgorod Region . As a result of the shelling, three private houses were damaged. There were no casualties.

Image
As a result of the incessant Ukrainian shelling of the Donetsk agglomeration, a civilian was killed again today. This time the victim was a young guy born in 2002 in Gorlovka , another woman was injured. In addition, Donetsk , Yasinovataya , Makeevka and other settlements of the DPR were hit .


The Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to strike at the administration's facilities on the territory of Energodar . According to blogger Romanov , two kamikaze UAVs flew into the city. One got into a flower bed, the second into a residential building. The GUR of Ukraine published a video of the attack. On the footage, a kamikaze UAV crashes into a residential building, some of the premises of which are used for commercial purposes.

Image
Over the past day, the Armed Forces of Ukraine fired more than 50 shells at the civilian infrastructure of the Kherson region : Novaya Kakhovka , Kakhovka , Korsunka , Krynki , Podstepne , Sagi , Rybalche and several other settlements were hit . In Novaya Kakhovka, due to shelling, a fire broke out in one of the sections, but there were no casualties.

Political events
On the possible supply of American tactical electronic warfare systems to Ukraine

The other day there were reports that the Ukrainian authorities are actively urging the United States to transfer to the Ukrainian Armed Forces TEWS mobile tactical electronic warfare systems from General Dynamics, and possibly from Lockheed Martin , used, among other things, on the Stryker armored personnel carrier. Thus, the Ukrainian command hopes to at least partially compensate for Russian air superiority, and American companies once again test new equipment in real combat conditions. Colleagues from the Goodwill Revenge channel made a detailed analysis of the features of American tactical electronic warfare systems, which, most likely, will soon appear in Ukraine.

Who sells the seed fund of Ukraine?

The seed fund is the basis of stable agriculture and the ability to largely control the yield of agricultural crops. Now in the territories of Ukraine, while public attention is riveted to military operations, there is a complete elimination of the seed fund and the seizure of the best arable land. The process is managed by Monsanto representatives . And this is quite expected, since Monsanto, Cargil and Dupont are already the happy owners of 52% of Ukraine's land fund . Who sells the seed fund of Ukraine and what benefits Monsanto will receive - read on our website .


On the supply of "neutral" Leopards

As soon as we wrote yesterday about the supply of weapons from Switzerland to Ukraine under the "circular exchange" scheme through Greece, the information was confirmed today. According to Flight, the German government has offered the Greeks to transfer up to 100 of their Leopard 1A5 GR tanks to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. And in return, the country will receive 96 vehicles of this type, owned by the Swiss company RUAG .

Previously, the government in Bern refused to issue a permit for the sale of "Leopards-1" because of the assigned neutral status. However, such a deal de jure does not violate local legislation: according to it, the equipment will not go to Ukraine, but to replenish the reserves of a third country that helps the Kiev regime.

It is characteristic that, apparently, the Germans will pay for everything, who, in addition, offered the Greeks to overhaul the tanks. Well, the Swiss will be the main beneficiaries: they will sell weapons for money, which the EU gives away to Ukrainians for free.

On Ukraine's plans to join NATO

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, in an interview with Ukrainian media, confirmed earlier rumors in the media that the United States would provide Ukraine with security guarantees based on the Israeli model. In fact, this implies comprehensive assistance in military supplies, financial support, and training of military personnel, but without direct US intervention in hostilities. Against this background, European Commissioner for the Internal Market Thierry Breton said that Ukraine will not be able to join NATO as long as the conflict continues , otherwise it will provoke a big war.

Other Western military support to the Ukrainian Armed Forces

Journalists of the Financial Times published an article in which they spoke about the disappointment of members of the Ukrainian formations with some Western weapons: as an example, they cite outdated Leopard tanks that are supplied by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. They, according to Ukrainian militants, have weak armor. In addition, the Western media once again confirmed that the Europeans and Americans are actively transmitting intelligence to the Armed Forces of Ukraine for strikes on Russian territory. Not to say that this is some kind of big news, but in any case, this is increasingly being publicly spoken about in the American media.

On the visit of the leadership of non-constitutional state bodies of Ukraine to the United States

The heads of the National Anti-Corruption Bureau and the High Anti-Corruption Court of Ukraine (non-constitutional government agencies created after the Euromaidan) went to the United States, where they plan to discuss the so-called " increasing independence " of anti-corruption agencies.

These departments are under the direct control of curators from the United States and allow them to directly put pressure on local businesses and objectionable officials (who, however, no longer exist). The trip was organized against the backdrop of information circulating on the net that they plan to transfer part of the powers of NABU to the SBU, which causes concern among Americans who do not want to give direct control over this area of ​​state activity to the locals.

On possible elections in Ukraine in 2024

El Pais newspaper journalists published an article according to which the Ukrainian authorities allegedly plan to hold presidential and parliamentary elections in 2024. This is allegedly due to the fact that Zelensky hopes to stop the fall of his popularity and maintain power amid possible negotiations with Russia.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

(Other images at link.)

On the possible supply of American tactical electronic warfare systems to Ukraine
August 28, 2023
Revenge of goodwil

The news about the negotiations on the supply of Tactical Electronic Warfare System (TEWS, tactical electronic warfare system) to Ukraine could not bypass us ( well, we love everything electronic ). For Goodwill Revenge, the news was more interesting than just a Stryker with a bunch of antennas. We hope it will be for you too. Let's get started.

Image

Where did it all begin?

You won’t find anything on the Internet: this is a piece of a slide from some kind of presentation. In fact, apart from Propheta, we were unable to find anything. But it is clear that the path of descent of electronic warfare into the tactical link is not at all a quick process. It is striking that the main attention is paid to RER (the next generation of SIGINT). And the issue of countering UAVs did not go unnoticed (FIST-X C-UAS).

Tactical Electronic Warfare System (TEWS) is a specialized all-weather 24-hour ground-based tactical electronic support and electronic destruction system that provides the commander with the ability to create multiple dilemmas for a planning enemy by reducing the time from sensor to gunner (options to create multiple dilemmas to adesigning enemy by decreasing the sensor to shooter timeline).

Specially left Google translation. The bottom line is this: the system provides options (i.e., multiple choice of options) to create uncertainty about the enemy’s plans by reducing the response time to a threat.

It allows the commander of a brigade combat group to detect, localize, identify the enemy and makes it possible to act / react / counter with the use of electromagnetic interference, depriving / violating and worsening the enemy's ability to communicate, coordinate and synchronize.

That is, its task is to sow chaos at the tactical level at a distance of 1-1.5 km. To achieve this goal, TEWS provides:

target distribution for electronic destruction;
compatibility with the EWPMT (Raven Claw) system is an electronic warfare information system for command posts and launchers that visualizes the progress of electronic warfare;
support for SIGINT is, as it were, a full-cycle RER, that is, the interception, identification and analysis of radio electronic communications in the network;
machine learning and AI support;
support for the air component of the system (balloon, UAV).
The manufacturer claims that the system is highly automatic: the crew does not need to delve into the signals, select demodulators. Everything that she has worked out is displayed to the commander on an electronic card. And the rest of the specific information rises to the CP.

TEWS is a modular system that allows it to be integrated into any vehicle, in addition, it can be deployed both in a stationary version and in a portable one. Examples of transport bases for placement:

Let's take a closer look at the system.

Image

General form. If everything is more or less clear with whip antennas, the drone on the wire is also clear, then under the domes, perhaps, modules of radio, electronic intelligence and direction finders are hidden.

Image
Image

The top photo shows the extreme overexposed version of TEWS. A more advanced version of the direction finder catches the eye.

Image

In this photo, TEWS is folded

Image

These photos are more interesting: they were taken at the Joint Warfighting Assessment 2019 (something like a final exercise). The footage shows the battle group of the 2nd Stryker Brigade. It was during these exercises that the military testing of TEWS took place, according to the results of which it was modernized.

It can be seen that there is no lift with a direction finder on the first machine. On it, under a stationary dome, there is a TEWS system unit (green circle). Judging by the appearance, the direction finder is surrounded by yellow circles, it is its modified version that is located under the dome with a lift.

Image

More photos - this is TEWS-I - the infantry version. Modularity at its finest. It differs from the striker version by the absence of a lift with a direction finder and two "cylindrical" antennas. The blocks are hidden in air-conditioned cabinets.

Now we can definitely say that the stationary dome is a detector module, the two whip antennas are the antennas of the HF and VHF jammers. A presumably direction finder is marked with a yellow circle.

And now to the interesting

Image

Direction finders and jamming stations already familiar to our readers. The whole point of the system is to collect and summarize information for subsequent decision-making. This is the point, and it is the approaches to collection and visualization algorithms that affect the effectiveness of electronic warfare systems.

conclusions
The Americans were well aware that it was possible to achieve parity in infantry training, the number of armored vehicles (due to Leopards and armored personnel carriers), and they leveled the number of artillery with the range and accuracy of Himars and axes. But the APU will not have air supremacy. Therefore, they relied on information dominance, including the quality of command and control, intelligence and electronic warfare (their technologies and military thought in this direction have stepped significantly further than ours, let's be frank and without capricious moods).

As soon as the situation on the battlefield began to change: we began to resolve the issue of communications (yes, not in the way we would like), propaganda began to work at the very least, Two Majors, Rybar, a bunch of copyright channels of front-line soldiers and volunteers appeared (well, yours obedient servants including ) and the electronic warfare turned out to be not as bad as they expected, then the Americans will have to supply aircraft and their electronic warfare equipment to return the lost positions.

But, since no country in the world currently has effective means of countering UAVs, now the Americans are faced with a dilemma.

And who said that difficult decisions should be made only by Russia?

With local oscillator accuracy, your DMV.

Author: Goodwill Revenge

Google Translator

(Other images at link.)

********

Ukraine SitRep - U.S. To Prolong Its Proxy War
Milley is uttering deluded nonsense.

U.S. Joint Chiefs' Gen. Milley cites Ukrainian counteroffensive 'breakthrough'

Ukraine's soldiers have penetrated the first line of Russian defense in spots along the southern front between the two countries, U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Mark Milley said Friday during a television interview with a Jordanian news outlet.
"Specifically on the axes of advance that (Ukrainian forces) are attacking right now, (Ukrainian forces) have attacked through the main defense belt," Milley told Al-Mamlaka Television.


Image

Show me a picture of Ukrainian tanks tackling a dragon's teeth barrier.

Image

You have none? Well, then you haven't even reached the first defense line.

Ukraine has taken Robotyne, a hamlet in ruins that once housed 480 people. It has cost the Ukrainian army at least a full battalion, 500 men and 30 armored vehicles, of its dwindling forces.

The CIA media asset David Ignatius has delivered the latest White House message on Ukraine. It is continuing to push for a fight down to the last Ukrainian:

As Biden administration officials assess Ukraine’s slow progress in this summer’s counteroffensive, they have been candidly discussing with Kyiv what they see as “lessons learned.” The bottom line for the administration is that this war will probably grind into next year — and that the United States and its allies must remain steadfast in helping Ukraine keep pushing forward.
I heard this same sentiment across all levels of the U.S. government in recent days. The summer has been frustrating and, in some ways, disappointing for Ukraine and its Western backers. But rather than look for a quick diplomatic exit ramp, most senior U.S. officials appear more convinced than ever of the need to stand fast with Kyiv. The United States, in their view, cannot be seen to abandon its ally.


There is a shimmer of realism breaking through but it is mixed with fantasies about the chances to bog Russia down:

But Ukraine probably won’t deal any decisive blow before year’s end. That means a continuation of this grueling war into 2024 and beyond, and a continuation of the heavy casualties and emotional trauma for both sides. U.S. officials believe strategic patience remains the best weapon against Russian President Vladimir Putin, who still thinks he can outlast Ukraine and the West.

Well, yes, Russia can outlast Ukraine and the West. Just look at the stupid advice the West is giving to Ukraine:

American commanders have long believed that the Ukrainians waste artillery fire in crushing barrages that emulate Soviet tactics. By one U.S. estimate, the Ukrainians have fired about 2 million rounds of 155mm artillery ammunition since the war began, nearly exhausting Western stockpiles. U.S. officials urge Ukraine instead to weight its artillery fires toward the most important targets and use them to advance quickly toward their objectives.
Pentagon officials have also urged Ukraine to rely less on drones for battlefield awareness and more on ground reconnaissance forces, which can assess Russian positions better. And they have pressed Kyiv to give junior officers more latitude to exploit opportunities along the sprawling front. On all these points, U.S. officials believe the Ukrainians are responding positively. But the discussion has been prickly in recent weeks.


The above is not sound military advice but an acknowledgement that the West can not produce enough artillery ammunition and drones for Ukraine to proceed:

A recent Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) report estimates that Russia fired 12 million artillery shells in 2022 and estimated the military would discharge seven million in 2023. This could indicate that Soviet-era stockpiles are thinning out. Still, the report notes that Russia is producing 2.5 million shells a year, in addition to munitions imports from North Korea and Iran.

In stark contrast, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) estimated in January that the United States could only produce 93,000 155mm shells a year, all of which go to training exercises. If the military achieves an accelerated production schedule, it will produce 240,000 shells yearly, still less than 10 percent of Russia’s current production. Ukrainian artillery fires 8,000 rounds daily, consuming an entire month of current U.S. munitions production. Even if the Pentagon achieves its stated goal of manufacturing 90,000 shells a month by FY 2025, it still is only half of Russia’s current production level.


That lack of production capability is being covered up by a 'send anything we have, no matter how useful' attitude:

As Biden administration officials assess the likelihood that the war will continue into next year and perhaps beyond, they’re considering several important new augmentations of Western support. There’s growing backing in Washington for providing rocket-launched cluster munitions, for example, which could strike deeper than the artillery-fired versions the United States began supplying last month.

The White House also wants Ukraine to increase its terror attacks on Russian ground:

ith Ukrainian forces stymied on the ground, U.S. officials believe that President Volodymyr Zelensky will take the fight increasingly to Russian territory and occupied Crimea. Friday’s reported Ukrainian attacks — with 42 drones launched at Crimea and a missile aimed at Moscow, according to Russian reports — is a foretaste of what’s ahead. The Biden administration’s position is that it doesn’t encourage or enable Ukrainian attacks on Russian territory, but officials do expect more.

They try to play innocent but in reality, as the Economist reports, the targeting of those attacks is done by Western intelligence:

Russia’s extensive air-defence and electronic-warfare capacity means that any Ukrainian attack requires meticulous planning. Ukraine has developed algorithms that appear to work. Operators launch in the early morning (when defenders’ concentration might be lapsing) and use an order of attack designed to keep air defences busy. They gather intelligence (often from Western partners) about radars, electronic warfare and air-defence assets.
Those are diversion attacks, not stuff that will decide the war.

The strategic advantage is clearly on the Russian side:

Field Marshal Helmuth von Moltke the Elder, the military architect of German unification and one of history’s most famed soldiers, would instantly grasp the state of affairs in this summer of Ukrainian discontent. After Kiev and its Western backers hyped the prospects for the spring counteroffensive against Russia, the counteroffensive has posted fitful progress to date. Moltke would ascribe the disappointing results to the fact that the Ukrainian military confronts a foe waging the strongest form of warfare.

Strategic offense coupled with tactical defense.

Moltke lays out the logic succinctly: “The tactical defense is the stronger [form of war], the strategic offensive the more effective form—and the only one that leads to the goal.” In other words, the contender that seizes or occupies some object or parcel of territory, then defends it tactically, primes itself for strategic and ultimately political success. In colloquial terms: grab something and hold it, and dare your enemy to come and take it back while fighting at a daunting disadvantage. For the German sage, in short, waging offense through defense blazes a path to triumph.

Advantage: Russia.


Tactical defense is what Russia has been doing over the last months. It has ground down the attacking Ukrainian forces by all means available to it. When they are done with it the Russian forces will launch their strategic offensive campaign. They are then likely to rapidly progress through thinned out Ukrainian lines.

No illegal rocket-launched cluster munitions, no F-16, no terror attack on Russia, can prevent that.

The Ukrainians are simply fighting the wrong war, for the wrong cause:

Ivan Katchanovski @I_Katchanovski - 14:49 UTC · Aug 27, 2023
Commander in Chief of Ukrainian Forces & popular Ukrainian writer pose with red & black flag & popular Ukrainian newspaper propagates this. This was flag of far-right OUN & UPA which collaborated with Nazi Germany & was involved in mass murder of Jews, Poles & Ukrainians. This flag was used by far-right Right Sector. Mainstreaming & whitewashing of OUN & UPA symbols, such as their flag & their "Glory to Ukraine & Glory to the Heroes" greeting, continues. https://life.pravda.com.ua/culture/2023/08/27/256152/


Image

That flag, and the mindset behind it, is why Russia will not allow the Ukraine, and the U.S., to win.

Posted by b on August 28, 2023 at 12:48 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/08/u ... .html#more

*******

Ukraine: The Wunderwaffe Delusion
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on AUGUST 28, 2023
Chay Bowes

Image

Why Ukraine’s Western backers are happy to feed Zelensky’s fantasies about American F-16s
The 50-year-old jet won’t turn the tide of the conflict in Kiev’s favor, but it profits its partners to keep pretending
As the Western establishment media begrudgingly accepts what many analysts have long predicted – that Kiev’s counteroffensive is a catastrophic failure – it seems that Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky hasn’t gotten the memo.

He seems adamant that the mercurial F-16 fighter jet is the missing link required to spur his depleted military to victory against Russia. There is, however, a little problem with his thesis – there’s more than one, actually, but let’s start with the most obvious.

Even as Ukraine’s long-awaited, much-hyped, but now obviously failed counteroffensive grinds to a bloody and costly halt, it seems the pro-war enthusiasts in the West and their proxies in Kiev still believe that the F-16, an American fighter jet that first took to the skies nearly 50 years ago, can somehow save the day for Zelensky and his NATO handlers. But at the same time trouble seems to be brewing in paradise as the Western media, which has thus far played such a pivotal role in overhyping Kiev’s military capabilities, is now less than convinced that this aging American castoff can play anything close to a defining role in NATO’s stalling proxy war against Russia.

While Ukrainian casualties mount, Kiev still insists that its long-telegraphed counteroffensive is indeed “inching forward,” even though the stark reality is that only a tiny fraction of its stated goals have been achieved with vast amounts of Western materiel lost in the process. This all comes as Ukraine’s Western “partners,” who were previously so eager to “stand with Ukraine as long as it takes,” become less and less absolutist in their convictions. A coming winter, domestic woes, failed sanctions against Russia, and endless demands from Kiev to replace cash and equipment are all starting to wear on an increasingly nervous NATO. Zelensky’s failed offensive is now accelerating the natural progression of war weariness in the West, where once there was supreme, almost absolute, confidence that Ukraine’s heroic warriors would easily cast out the barbarous Russian invaders. It seems that now even the spokesman for Ukraine’s decimated air force, Yury Ignat, seems to accept that when it comes to actually defeating the huge Russian military machine, talk is very cheap. Ignat recently revealed that Ukrainian fighters can barely take off before they are targeted by an overwhelming array of Russian fighters and anti-aircraft systems. He also noted that Russian fighters are far more advanced and have a far longer combat range, something the Ukrainian president conveniently forgets to mention during his awkward cockpit photo ops in Denmark, where he yet again peddles the now-tired promise of the latest in a long line of “game changers” – all of which the Russian Army has proven to be anything but. All they change, sadly, is the length of the conflict and the number of Ukrainian men doomed to die fighting it.

While the NATO architects of this conflict are of course eager to dangle the carrot of F-16 deployment to an increasingly desperate Kiev, in reality the fighters are highly unlikely ever to see service in the skies above Ukraine, at least not while the conflict is in its current active phase. Only three “partner” countries (Norway, Denmark, and the Netherlands) have promised to hand a few of the fighters over to Kiev, and there are still massive logistical issues that would need to be ironed out before they could even land in Ukraine, let alone take off and enter combat.

It’s important to pay attention to where information about the reality of the F-16s’ potential deployment comes from. That’s why, when US Joint Chiefs of Staff Chair General Mark Milley warned that the planes won’t act as a “magic weapon” for Ukraine, many sober, nonaligned analysts took note. Milley pulled no punches as he tried to pour some cold water on Kiev’s expectations regarding the aging jet. “The Russians have 1,000 fourth-generation fighters,” said the general following a meeting of the multinational Ukraine Defense Contact Group in May. “If you’re gonna contest Russia in the air, you’re gonna need a substantial amount of fourth- and fifth-generation fighters, so if you look at the cost curve and do the analysis, the smartest thing to have done is exactly what we did do, which is provide a significant amount of integrated air defenses to cover the battlespace and deny the Russians the airspace.”

It seems that when a message isn’t playing to the narrative, the message gets conveniently shelved. General Milley’s comments are a sobering reminder of the undeniable battlefield reality, a truth routinely lost on Zelensky and company as the PR prerogative trumps the strategic reality on the ground yet again in Kiev.

Interestingly, Milley also addressed the huge costs associated with the provision of the F-16 to Ukraine: “If you look at the F-16, ten F-16s cost a billion dollars, the sustainment cost [is] another billion dollars, so you’re talking about $2 billion for ten aircraft.” He also suggested that if the cash sent to Ukraine so far had been spent on this type of weapon, not on artillery and air defense, Kiev would be in a much worse position than it is today. “There are no magic weapons in war, F-16s are not and neither is anything else,” he said. Of course, the blunt and, from a Ukrainian point of view, dismal reality is that Ukraine’s dilapidated infrastructure can’t even begin to accommodate these complex jets. Ukraine has no appropriate training facilities on its soil, and a mere eight Ukrainian pilots have begun training in Denmark. More are set to start the process in the US in October, but it would take years of preparation to have adequate pilots in any meaningful numbers. Another fact glossed over by Kiev is that the F-16s, should they ever get as far as Ukraine, will need a lot of ground maintenance infrastructure and highly complex logistical support, all of which would have to be deployed into what is essentially a war zone. No one on the NATO team seems to want to address the minor detail that the Russian Air Force will be hunting both the jets and the infrastructure from day one – another inconvenient reality conveniently ignored.

While it now seems obvious that the actual provision of F-16s to Ukraine is probably nothing more than a far-off mirage, many now see the jet in the context where it actually belongs – as another NATO castoff cynically dumped into Ukraine by Washington’s allies on the promise of higher-tech replacements by a cash-hungry Uncle Sam. But given the dire performance of Western hardware on the battlefield so far, it will surprise no one if the US ultimately cans the entire project rather than suffer the embarrassing, and inevitable, images of burning F-16s joining those of American Bradleys and MaxxPros in the fields of southern and eastern Ukraine.

So as the increasingly uneasy architects of this catastrophic conflict finally begin to accept that this all only ends one way, they’re likely to string Kiev along for as long as possible when it comes to the illusive F-16s, just like they’ve been doing with their promises of EU and NATO membership. Let’s not forget, it was those very same hollow promises that set Ukraine on the road to this devastating conflict with Russia, a conflict only the very foolish could now believe will be won with a handful of 50-year-old fighter jets.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2023/08/ ... -delusion/


******

War in Ukraine. Summary 08/29/2023
August 29, 2:35 p.m

Image

War in Ukraine. Summary 08/29/2023

1. Zaporozhye direction.
Fierce fighting continues in the area of ​​the settlement. Rabotino. The enemy continues to attempt to break through Rabotino to the south, as well as to the east of Rabotino.
The main goals of the enemy are to break through to the settlement. Willow and to Novopokrovka, as well as take the heights between them.
The Russian Armed Forces are trying to tie up the enemy with battles in the Rabotino area in order to deplete his offensive potential.
Given the approaching rainy season and subsequent mudslides, the time for the enemy offensive is running out, while not a single serious operational goal in the Zaporozhye direction of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has been achieved, which leads to growing US statements about the need to prepare for the spring-summer campaign of 2024.
In a number of sectors of the front, the enemy has already begun to engage in defensive tasks and engineer equipment for positions before the impending stoppage of the front.

2. Vremievsky ledge.
As well as near Rabotino, the enemy strives to break out of the viscous battles in the area of ​​the settlement. Staromayorskoye and Urozhaynoye, in order to restore momentum to the offensive, which had broken up into a series of tactical battles without serious progress. Move to n.p. Zavitne Bazhanya, the opponent cannot yet. Attempts to expand the zone of offensive pressure at Priyutnoye have also not brought him success so far.
It is expected that the enemy may try to resume attacks on the settlement at the expense of accumulated to the west of Ugledar. Novodonetskoye for the purpose of further actions in the direction of Staromlynovka, simultaneously with frontal attacks in the area of ​​​​Urozhaynoye and Staromayorsky.
As in the Orekhovsky sector, our troops had to wait for the period of thaw, so that the enemy offensive on the Vremevsky ledge finally stopped. The enemy had little time left here either, despite propaganda threats to continue an active offensive during the autumn.

3. Artemovsk.
After the enemy failed to capture Kleshcheevka, Andreevka, and Kurdyumovka, the front stabilized here, and again the content of the battles was reduced to battles for landings and heights west of the Kleshcheevka-Andreevka-Kurdyumovka line.
Due to heavy losses and the transfer of part of the reserves to the Svatovo-Kupyansk direction, the enemy cannot support attacks to the south-west of Artemovsk at the same pace.
As a result, during the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine that began on May 10 with the aim of "semi-surrounding Artemovsk", the enemy was unable to take at least one village and break through our front. Syrsky's plan actually collapsed, just like his plan to defend Artemovsk during the battles for the city.
In the area of ​​​​Artemovsk itself, the enemy is showing local activity in the area of ​​\u200b\u200bdachas. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation solve purely defensive tasks here.
To the northwest of Artemovsk - also without major changes.

4. Svatovo-Kupyansk.
In the Svatovo-Kupyansk direction, the offensive of the RF Armed Forces continues with an average advance rate of up to 1 km per day and several occupied defenders.
The enemy suffers heavy losses in men and mat. parts, which forces him to transfer additional reserves to the Kharkov region. (including at the expense of the Zaporizhia and Artemivsk directions).
In the area of ​​Kupyansk, fighting continues near the settlement. Sinkovka (settlement - mostly in the gray zone, but not yet taken by the RF Armed Forces) and in the direction of Petropavlovka, as well as in the direction of Kislovka through the forest to the west of Sinkovka.
Enemy counterattacks have not yet been able to stabilize the front due to their limited nature and insufficient forces.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/96156 - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8597209.html

Google Translator
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

User avatar
blindpig
Posts: 10771
Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2017 5:44 pm
Location: Turtle Island
Contact:

Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Wed Aug 30, 2023 11:25 am

Target Crimea
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 08/30/2023

Image

The smile and the certainty of its victory remain Ukraine's answer to all questions, doubts and reproaches. The notorious military difficulties that Kiev is currently facing have not changed either the objectives or the way to achieve them despite the fact that, for the first time in many months, Zelensky and his team are encountering negative information that does not come from the press. Russian but Western. Since 2014, when the process of demonizing the Russian press and cultural products in the country began, Ukraine has had no difficulty imposing a discourse that equates the Russian press and propaganda, an idea that has also spread easily in Western countries. . Special attention deserves the Baltic countries, where even the Russian opposition press has suffered difficulties or has been expelled.

This nine-year work of demonizing the Russian media and its professionals means that all information published in Russia is taken into account only as a sample of propaganda or simple Russian allegations. Yesterday, the few media that reported the news claimed that Russia was alleging an alleged Ukrainian bombardment against a town in Donetsk , a Ukrainian bombardment against Gorlovka that caused three fatalities among the civilian population. Unlike the Russian bombings, in which the information provided by Ukraine is published without doubts or nuances, all Russian information, even those accompanied by the images that prove it, is observed with doubts, all kinds of reluctance or simply ignored.

The control of information carried out after the start of the Russian military intervention, added to the practically unconditional support of the Western press in its fight against Russia, has made it possible to easily impose the Ukrainian discourse without having to worry about dissent or incorrect opinions. However, Zelensky and his team are now faced with information, unthinkable just six months ago, that contradicts the account that the Ukrainian government has worked so hard on. To the reports about the high number of casualties among the troops and the enormous losses of military material or the articles that criticize the Ukrainian tactic or its reluctance to follow the American plan despite lacking the necessary equipment to carry it out, we must add what has been published these days on the BBC. In an extensive report, the British public media, which cannot be accused of lacking pro-Ukrainian sympathies, stresses the growing number of young Ukrainians who do not want to fight and actively try to avoid conscription and hide from the authorities or try to leave the country. They have to do it illegally, since one of the first measures of the Zelensky government after the Russian invasion was to prohibit (with some exceptions) men of military age from leaving the country. According to the BBC , crossing the Carpathians to Romania or bribing border officials are the most common methods for men of military age who do not wish to fight.

To counter this type of information, the Ukrainian press continues its usual campaign of exaltation of the soldiers at the front, but also with articles that sound like a warning: although society seems to be unaware of this, "sooner or later, everyone will have to struggle". That is the message conveyed, for example, by The New Voice of Ukraine , which, citing the hero Oleg Sentsov, who several years before the Russian military intervention defended that Ukraine should be reinforced with nuclear weapons, affirms that “literally, the war will touch the whole world. Many still do not realize that they will have to fight. Despite the rumors, the Ukrainian Defense Minister, Oleksiy Reznikov, has stated that there will not be, at least for the moment, an expansion of the mobilization, an option to which Zelensky opened the door a few days ago. However, the Ukrainian message seems clear and seeks to make the population understand that the state of war is here to stay.

The approach is inevitable taking into account the balances at the front and the Ukrainian objectives. Forgotten the negotiations that at the end of March 2022 were able to make Ukraine recover a large part of the lost territories through diplomatic channels -with the exception of Donbass and Crimea, losses that Kiev would have to accept-, the war until the end continues to be the only option. It is despite the notorious difficulties that the Ukrainian troops are having to break the Zaporozhye front, clearly pointed out by those who are paying the economic cost of the war as Ukraine's main task.

The simplification of the facts and their interpretations has always been a fundamental part of the Ukrainian conflict, something successive governments have actively taken advantage of. Kiev has made us forget the existence of an internal and civil conflict in the Russo-Ukrainian war, in the same way that it has erased from the collective memory the reason why the Minsk agreements, the only peace agreement that has been signed since the start of the hostilities in 2014, failed resoundingly. Now, Ukrainian officials present a story in which Ukrainian victory is not only inevitable, but necessary for the security of Western civilization, so, as Mikhailo Podolyak reminds daily, no negotiation is possible.

The Ukraine, like Russia, has entered into the process of accepting that the war will be long. And despite the military and economic difficulties and the absolute dependence on the outside when it comes to having the necessary material to continue fighting, kyiv refuses to lower its expectations. The statements by President Zelensky and his most media advisor are, once again, proof of this. They are also convinced that Ukraine's real objective is and always has been the Crimean peninsula. Fulfillment of the Minsk agreements would have meant the recovery of the Donbass territories, an insufficient counterpart for Ukraine, aware that its European partners would have considered this situation as an acceptable peace, with which the Crimean issue would have fallen into oblivion . That is the real reason why Ukraine sabotaged, practically since its signing, the peace process in Donbass. Despite almost nine years of war for control of the DPR and the PRL before even the arrival of Russian troops, Ukraine's interest has never been Donetsk and Lugansk but Sevastopol or Yalta.

Like Kiev, the West is aware of the importance of Crimea for the parties to the conflict, which is why the current offensive has been planned precisely to try to endanger Russian control over the peninsula. Less skilled at hiding his objectives, Emmanuel Macron made it clear months ago: the objective was to put Russia on the ropes to force Moscow to negotiate in conditions of weakness. Mikhailo Podolyak has also shown himself in this line, who these days has published on his social networks that Ukraine will not have to fight for each town, but that "as the Ukrainian forces advance south and reach the administrative border with Crimea, facts will take a different form. In the end, it will all end quickly and in an instant, just as it began."Western diktat has been the strategy since the beginning of the preparation of the offensive.

However, that is where the differences between the allies can appear. Berlin or Paris could demand that Russia withdraw from all territories with the exception of Crimea, whose capture is considered unfeasible even for the Pentagon, while the Ukrainian discourse considers the recovery of the peninsula an essential requirement to achieve peace. If peace is equivalent to Ukrainian victory, there can be no peace without the recovery of the most precious territory. Zelensky's words in the last few hours make this aspect clear enough. "There will be fewer casualties when we are at the administrative borders of Crimea," he said on Monday, adding that, in his opinion, "a political push for Russian demilitarization on the Ukrainian territory of Crimea is possible." His words, which are not an opening to diplomacy, they insist on both the goal and the means. kyiv seeks a defeat of the Russian army that is decisive enough to force Russia to capitulate to Ukraine.

Zelensky's words are not a search for a resolution to the conflict, but the verification that his government is willing to make the war chronic until it achieves its objectives. Neither the capabilities of his opponent, nor the realization that Ukraine is not even getting close to Melitopol, nor the possibility of losing support from its partners is, for the moment, a sufficient reason to moderate his objectives. Yesterday, Mikhailo Podolyak insisted that Ukraine will fight to the end "even if it is left alone against Moscow", a confirmation that the war has become the main political tool of the Kiev government, which with its arrogant speech of sure victory has Self-imposed objectives that are not believed in even by their most willing partners to install an eternal war on the European continent.

With his statement this week, Zelensky falls for an even less realistic argument than the military capture of the peninsula. Crimea is not only the most important of the Ukrainian territories, but also the place where Moscow has a decisive advantage, the favor of the population. Endangering control of the peninsula, something Ukraine is not even close to achieving, could force Russia to negotiate on weak terms, but not to voluntarily abandon Crimea as the Ukrainian president seems to want to believe in the latest of his outlandish demands. . Propaganda may be able to shape the discourse and create a state of opinion, but not to modify the facts.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/08/30/28029/#more-28029

Google Translator

*******

Chronicle of the special military operation for August 29, 2023
August 29, 2023
Rybar

Today, the amount of information on the Web about the state of affairs at the front has decreased significantly. Nevertheless, fierce fighting continues near Kleshcheevka , in the Orekhovsky and Vremevsky sectors , as well as in the entire Starobelsk direction .

The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation published footage of the defeat of the Ukrainian echelon with ammunition in the occupied territory of the DPR at the Mertsalovo railway station . Ukrainian formations, in turn, are fiercely shelling Russian border areas: the village of Klimovo in the Bryansk region received the most damage .

Among other things, Volodymyr Zelensky appointed Oleksandr Poklad , who was responsible for organizing the terrorist attack on the Crimean bridge last year, as deputy head of the SBU.

Image

Attack on the Ukrainian train at Mertsalovo station

Today, the Russian Defense Ministry published footage of the defeat of the Ukrainian echelon with ammunition in the occupied territory of the DPR. The train stood on the tracks of Mertsalovo station , where a large industrial clay storage warehouse is located. The affected object was well suited for placing ammunition due to the presence of covered areas and a railway line. It is also remote from large settlements, which made it easier for the Armed Forces to maintain secrecy.

This is the second such strike by the RF Armed Forces in recent times: on August 16, Russian troops destroyed a similar echelon with ammunition at the Mezhevaya station in the Dnipropetrovsk region. As before, objective monitoring of arrivals and secondary detonations is carried out by a drone that flew 50 kilometers beyond the front line.

The situation on the front line and the fighting

There are no significant changes on the front line in the Starobelsky direction . Positional battles continue in the Kupyansky sector near Sinkovka , as well as in the area of ​​Petropavlovka , Kislovka and Kotlyarovka . The Ukrainian command, meanwhile, is pulling new forces to the line of contact. The situation is similar in the Serebryansky forestry near Kremennaya .


Artillery and aviation are working on the advancing units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Vremievsky sector in the area of ​​Cherished Desire , which so far keeps the enemy from too active operations in this sector. On the outskirts of Urozhaynoye , the activity of the battles decreased, the enemy sent units battered by battles to the rear for resupplying, which slowed down the pace of the offensive.

Positional clashes continue in the Priyutnoye area. The Ukrainian formations are trying to finally “grind off” the ledge in the Novodonetsky area with further advance towards Staromlynovka , but at the moment they are not showing much activity.


In the Orekhovsky section, fierce clashes continue on the southern outskirts of Rabotino . Both sides actively use artillery and mortars, UAV operators use Lancet kamikaze drones against the approaching enemy equipment. At the moment, Russian troops manage to hold positions on the ruins of the destroyed village.

Shelling of rear territories and residential areas
This morning, the Russian Defense Ministry announced the downing of two enemy unmanned aerial vehicles in the Tula region . There was no damage, no one was hurt.

Image
In addition, the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked the village of Klimovo in the Bryansk region from the MLRS. According to the governor, there are dead, including a guy born in 2003 and a woman, another person was taken to the hospital with minor injuries. A school, several administrative buildings and residential buildings were damaged in the village, power supply was disrupted, some buildings caught fire. Authorities later urged citizens to move around the village with caution. The Ministry of Defense also announced the downing of a UAV over the territory of the region.

Image
Late in the evening, Ukrainian formations fired on the village of Troitskoye , Korenevsky district, Kursk region . Fragments from several shells damaged power lines, they are being restored, civilians were not injured. Local residents also reported shelling of the village of Tetkino, but there were no reports of casualties or damage.

Image
The Belgorod region also came under attack : this time, Bezymeno, the Pankov farm, Terebreno and Novaya Tavolzhanka became the target of attacks by Ukrainian militants.

Image
From the very morning, Ukrainian formations have been subjected to severe shelling of the Donetsk agglomeration and other settlements of the DPR. In the Tsentralnogorodsky district of Gorlovka, three employees of the local dairy were killed as a result of shelling with 155-caliber NATO ammunition: unfortunately, they died on the spot even before the ambulance arrived.


In addition, the building itself and vehicles were also seriously damaged. In addition, the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked Donetsk, Svetlodarsk, Yasinovataya and Makeevka : there is no information about the victims and destruction at the moment, but the shelling continues, so new victims are not ruled out.

Image
Ukrainian formations continue the terror of the left bank of the Kherson region . Last night Novaya Kakhovka and Kakhovka, Cossack Camps, Aleshki, Dnepryan and Korsunki were shelled .


In Dnepryan, houses, a gas pipeline were damaged by several blows, one residential building was completely destroyed. The village cemetery was also under attack, where several graves were destroyed.

Political events
Personnel changes in the SBU

An interesting reshuffle took place in the SBU: Oleksandr Poklad became the new deputy chief . Previously, he served as head of the counterintelligence department of the structure. In the media field, this man has long been entrenched in the reputation of a performer of various "dark deeds". At various times, the Ukrainian media accused him of creating his own organized criminal group, working for the oligarch Dmitry Firtash, organizing murders and kidnappings of dissidents.

However, another episode of the biography of Alexander Poklad is much more important: it is he who is behind the organization of the terrorist attack on the Crimean bridge, as well as the constant attacks on this strategic facility in the Kerch Bay. And his promotion to the deputy head of the SBU is not only recognition of the “merits” of the Poklad by the higher authorities, but also a potential sign of the upcoming intensification of Ukrainian terrorist activities in Russia.

And again about the transfer of intelligence to the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the West

Yesterday we mentioned an article by The Economist, whose journalists, citing their sources, write that Ukrainian drone operators receive information about radars and air defense systems from Western partners, which affects the choice of targets and tactics for their use.

We would like to add that the authors of the article did not indicate an important detail: US and NATO intelligence is transmitting raw data to Ukraine, which require additional verification and evaluation. Somewhere they were given by agents, somewhere a satellite filmed, and somewhere an interception fell out. This is the complexity of reconnaissance operations - only the sum of all available information can make a more or less complete picture of the situation close to reality. And the fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine strike on the basis of what the “partners” tell them can hardly be called 100% information. Therefore, sometimes Ukrainian formations launch drones to check what Western intelligence has provided them. Hence the low efficiency of such raids.

On the methods of Ukrainian propaganda


The video from Kiev , where a song about “a package for the corpse of the Russian Vanka” is played at a children's party, is not only an illustration of the fact that Ukrainian propaganda has no limits on what is permitted. As Andrei Medvedev rightly noted , soon this generation of teenagers with such instilled values ​​will grow up and take up arms. As we have written more than once, as long as modern Ukrainian statehood exists, there will be no peace on the lands of the former Ukraine: neither in the West nor in Kiev do they want it in principle. Such hatred for everything related to Russia, implanted literally from the cradle, is only a logical manifestation of such a policy.

The main goal of such propaganda is to form among the younger generation the backbone of the most ideologically charged representatives who will dictate the will of the rest. So that even with a strong reduction in the population of Ukraine, there will always be those who will ensure the continuation of the war with Russia. Therefore, any artificial or natural freezing of the conflict will mean not a truce, but a pause before a new round of war, which, if Western fuel is maintained, will go to the last Ukrainian. The current Kiev statehood simply does not mean otherwise.

On financial assistance to Ukraine from South Korea

South Korea is preparing to provide Ukraine in 2024 with an assistance package 8 times the current amount of allocated funds. In addition, the Ukrainian authorities may receive $100 million for reconstruction, $200 for humanitarian aid, and another $100 will be transferred through international organizations. At the same time, President Yoon Seok-yeol announced a package of military supplies earlier, but there are no details yet.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

Google Translator

(Other images at link.)

********

Zelensky’s Latest TV Interview Shows How Much the Ukraine Conflict’s Dynamics Have Shifted
Posted on August 29, 2023 by Yves Smith

Yves here. Below Andrew Korybko, among other issues, is talking up the prospect of a ceasefire and a frozen conflict. While Ukraine and the US may think that’s a viable endgame, this again is another instance of the dynamic we described in our May post, US Geopolitics: Believing Impossible Things:

But to me, the most intriguing is the weird bargaining, which very much like bargaining over death, is bargaining with yourself. For some time, since at least General Mark Milley’s quickly deflated trial balloon last November, there has been more and more talk from pundits and even sometimes from officials how Ukraine should negotiate with Russia, after some sort of retaking of ground so as to better Ukraine’s bargaining position.

Of course, the idea that Russia will do anything more than go through the motions of negotiating for appearances’ sake is delusional. As former Indian diplomat M. K. Bhadrakumar reminded readers in his latest post, Putin warned Ukraine and its backers last July, the longer the conflict lasted, “the harder it will be to negotiate with us.” That was before Merkel and Hollande bragged about their Minsk Accords duplicity, which has led Putin to make embittered statements about what a mistake it had been to try to cooperate.

The ceasefire/frozen conflict talk is a new variant of what we saw in May. There is no way, given present facts, that Russia would agree to that.


First, Russia has deemed four formerly Ukraine oblasts as Russian territory. It has not secured full control of them and that step would be the bare minimum that Russia would accept, which means more territorial acquisition. Second and even more important, a stated aim of the Special Military Operation was the “demilitarization” of Ukraine, which the Istanbul negotiations showed could be met by the exit of NATO forces (little green men) and weapons from Ukraine and a commitment that Ukraine would never enter NATO. Note this negotiation took place before Porshenko, and later Merkel and Hollande admitted to entering into the Minsk Accords in bad faith and using it to buy time to arm Ukraine. The US and NATO officials have repeatedly said that who joins NATO is NATO’s business and they will never agree to restrict membership. So that requires Russia to continue to prosecute the war until NATO members are so drained that they are not capable of mounting a threat for a long time.

Third and most important, the Russian public would not accept a ceasefire. Putin is one of the least belligerent individuals in Russian public life.

Russia might have a problem selling the Global South on continuing to prosecute the war if Ukraine were to declare a unilateral ceasefire. But Russia succeeded in persuading them that Russia was not the bad guy in refusing to extend the Ukraine grain deal, that Ukraine and the West had persistently failed to live up to their part of the bargain, which critically included allowing Russia to ship fertilizer, which many of these countries badly needed.

On top of that. other developments in Ukraine seem at odds with Zelensky’s new improved war messaging. Alexander Mercouris’ report of August 28 gives two examples. One is that the Ukraine parliament is in the process of passing legislation to block any ceding of territory for peace (at 43:00). Second is that Ukraine plans yet another large mobilization (at 42:10).

So perhaps Zelensky is simply preparing the ground for a much wider set of options as his recent mantra of Ukraine settling only for its maximalist demands now clearly has no support among Ukraine allies (save the crazies in the Baltics who are not driving this train)

By Andrew Korybko, a Moscow-based American political analyst who specializes in the global systemic transition to multipolarity in the New Cold War. He has a PhD from MGIMO, which is under the umbrella of the Russian Foreign Ministry. Originally published at his website

Image

Zelensky is clearly preparing his people for a ceasefire, but he’s also talking about security guarantees from NATO and his country’s alleged production of its weapon systems, both of which will rankle Russia. The US’ recent elections pressure on him is for purely soft power purposes, but it still shows that their differences on a host of issues are growing after the failed counteroffensive.

The “Kyiv Post” reported on Zelensky’s latest TV interview here, the highlights of which will be shared below and then analyzed in the larger context of the NATO-Russian proxy war in Ukraine:

* Zelensky is tacitly walking back his envisaged maximalist endgame by already declaring victory

– “It’s already clear that he [Putin] has not occupied us as he wanted. We did it, [we defended against his attack], this is already a great victory for the people.”

* He’s preparing the public for freezing the conflict along the lines of the Israeli-Palestinian one

– “We are ready to fight for a long time without losing people. It can be so. Minimize casualties following Israel’s example. You can live like that.”

* Ukraine believes that it’ll lose Western support if it invades Russia’s pre-2014 territory

– “There would be a big risk that we would be definitely left alone and on our own.”

* The “Israeli model” will likely characterize US-Ukrainian ties for the indefinite future

– “From the US, we probably have the Israeli model, where there are weapons, technologies, training, and financial aid.”

* Hard and soft security guarantees are actively being pursued

– “With the United States, it will be a more powerful bilateral treaty, with Britain – a strong one. There are states that simply do not have weapons, but they have finances, serious sanctions in case of repeated aggression.”

* An official NATO intervention could trigger World War III

– “We don’t need them, because it would be a NATO war, and that would mean the Third World War.”

* Ukraine might abandon military means for reconquering Crimea

– “I believe that it’s possible to politically push for the demilitarization of Russia on the territory of the Ukrainian Crimea. That would be better. Any combat would still have losses [casualties], wherever it is. Everything must be calculated.”

* Elections can be held next year if the West foots the bill and observers are sent to the trenches

– “If you [allies] are ready to give me 5 billion because I can’t just take 5 billion from the state budget. It seems to me that this is the amount needed to hold elections at a normal time. And in wartime, I don’t know what this amount is, that’s why I said – if the US and Europe give us financial support.

I’m sorry, I’m not asking for anything. I will not hold elections on credit. I will not take money from weapons and give it for elections either. The most important thing: let’s take risks together. The observers should then be in the trenches, they will need to be sent to the front line”

* Ukraine is now allegedly producing NATO weapon systems

– “We have domestic artillery on the battlefield today, using NATO-standard 155mm shells, which have never been seen before in Ukraine. We now have production and production of not one system, but several systems.”

These highlights show how drastically the conflict’s dynamics have shifted in the nearly three months since the counteroffensive began.

The first takeaway from Zelensky’s interview is that the counteroffensive failed, which is why he’s preparing the public for freezing the conflict. This is being achieved by already declaring victory, suggesting that Crimea can be reconquered through political means instead of military ones on the pretext of saving his soldiers’ lives, and referencing the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as a future model. Ahead of that scenario, he wants to reassure his people that the West will still ensure their security.

To that end, he brought up the “Israeli model” as the likely way forward for US-Ukrainian relations together with a mix of hard and soft security guarantees from other NATO countries. Zelensky also appears aware of the Western public’s growing concerns that he’s leading everyone to World War III, which might be why he explicitly ruled out invading Russia’s pre-2014 territory together with denying that he has any interest in NATO formally intervening in his side’s support.

About that, it’s already involved in this conflict via the arms, intelligence, logistics, mercenary, training, and other forms of support that it’s provided to the Ukrainian Armed Forces, but this is still below the level of dispatching uniformed troops to kill Russian soldiers. It also can’t be discounted that he’s worried about Poland unilaterally intervening in Western Ukraine, which readers can learn more about here and here, and that could be another reason why he warned that NATO troops could lead to World War III.

As for holding the now-delayed parliamentary elections sometime next year and not delaying the upcoming presidential ones that are scheduled for spring, this is a direct result of the pressure that Senator Lindsey Graham exerted on Zelensky during their meeting in Kiev last week. It’s the latest evidence that the failed counteroffensive is widening preexisting differences between the US and Ukraine all across the board, in this case over superficial commitments to “democracy”.

Readers can learn more about the latest difficulties in their ties by reviewing the following analyses:

* “A Vicious Blame Game Is Breaking Out After The Counteroffensive Predictably Failed”
https://korybko.substack.com/p/a-viciou ... s-breaking

* “US Policymakers Are Caught In A Dilemma Of Their Own Making After The Failed Counteroffensive”
https://korybko.substack.com/p/us-polic ... -a-dilemma

* “The NYT & WSJ’s Critical Articles About Kiev’s Counteroffensive Explain Why It Failed”
https://korybko.substack.com/p/the-nyt- ... l-articles

In sum, both sides know that the counteroffensive failed, but neither wants to take responsibility for this.

A ceasefire of some sort therefore appears inevitable. The problem, however, is that freezing the conflict entails considerable reputational damage to the American and Ukrainian leaderships. Neither has yet to feel comfortable enough that their people fully blame the other for this debacle, hence why they remain reluctant to take the first step in what might then become a fast-moving process. It’s for this reason why they continue blaming each other and will likely continue doing so for the next few months at least.

President Putin made it clear on three occasions in mid-June that he was still interested in politically resolving the proxy war, but Zelensky’s latest claim that Ukraine is allegedly producing NATO weapon systems means that his reputation might also be damaged if he agrees to a ceasefire. After all, the special operation was partly commenced to demilitarize Ukraine and specifically eliminate the threat that NATO’s clandestine expansion there posed to Russia’s objective national security interests.

With Ukraine now openly producing NATO weapons systems, President Putin either has to ensure that these facilities are destroyed before agreeing to a ceasefire or informally freezing the conflict otherwise he stands to “lose face” among his domestic audience by tolerating this latent military threat. It might also be the case that Zelensky is just bluffing and could have lied about this just to make his Russian counterpart look bad in the event of a ceasefire, however, though nobody can really say for sure.

In any case, the Ukrainian leader’s latest TV interview drove home the point that the conflict’s dynamics have drastically shifted. Zelensky is clearly preparing his people for a ceasefire, but he’s also talking about security guarantees from NATO and his country’s alleged production of its weapon systems, both of which will rankle Russia. The US’ recent elections pressure on him is for purely soft power purposes, but it still shows that their differences on a host of issues are growing after the failed counteroffensive.

Looking forward, observers can expect the aforesaid to widen, but not to the point of rupturing their relations. The US-Ukrainian blame game will intensify during this period too as each side prepares their people for the seemingly inevitable scenario of freezing the conflict. As this is happening, Russia might also begin preparing its own people for the same, which could move the conflict towards the Israeli-Palestinian model by sometime next year unless something serious happens to derail this trajectory.

https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2023/08 ... ifted.html

Yves Smith is a smart cookie, Korybko is a bit wet behind the ears. Coulda been 'frozen' back in March 2022, way too much water under the bridge now. This ends with all of Novo Russia returned to Russia. It didn't have to b this way except for a) US grand strategy, b)Nazis in Ukraine.

*******

Ukraine SitRep: Topography Shapes The Battle Field - Abysmal Medical Service Causes Death

The New York Times repeats claims by the Ukrainian government that it 'liberated' Robotyne. The account though is more pessimistic than earlier reports:

Ukraine’s military said on Monday that its forces had retaken the southern village of Robotyne, a tactical victory that underlines the immense challenge Kyiv’s counteroffensive faces in punching through deep and dense Russian defenses.
...
[T]he Ukrainian counteroffensive that began in early June has advanced only a few miles southward to reach Robotyne, in intense fighting with heavy casualties and equipment losses, and a similar distance on another axis to the east. The ultimate target of the thrust to Robotyne is the city of Melitopol, about 45 miles farther south, and more layers of Russian defenses lie in the way.
...
About 15 miles south of Robotyne lies the Russian-controlled city of Tokmak, a road-and-rail hub whose recapture would be strategically significant.
But satellite images show that to reach Tokmak, Ukrainian forces will have to breach two more Russian defensive lines made up of trenches, dense minefields, earthen berms and anti-tank barriers.


Those defense lines are not an easy problem to solve. They are on the hills following the contours of the land while the Ukraine army has so far stuck to the low lands.

Big Serge ☦️🇺🇸🇷🇺 @witte_sergei - 19:53 UTC · Aug 28, 2023
I love to advance along the floor of the battlespace into a fire bag.


Image

In my usual effort of trust but verify I checked the topographic map of Ukraine and compared it with the deployment map. You can see the town Orikhiv (Opixia in Cyrillic script) on the upper left of these pictures:

Image

---

Image

Big Serge is of course largely right. The Ukrainian forces are mostly stuck on the low ground at about 170 feet above sea level while the Russian forces occupy the hills of some 450 feet height to the left and right flank of the Ukrainians. Robotyne was already an uphill battle which may explain why it took so long. (I have unfortunately failed to recognize this previously because most online maps lack contour lines.)

Being at a higher ground allows one to see further - and to shoot further. A mortar fired from a hill to the ground below will fly further than one fired from the low ground to the heights above. Running and storming uphill is more difficult than running downhill.

Unless the Ukrainians manage to control the hillsides their progress in Robotyne will by a short and bloody endeavor.

---
I have stated previously that the ratio of wounded versus dead soldiers on the Ukrainian side is not at the usual 3 to 1 ratio that many estimates use. Based on anecdotal reports and various video clips I concluded a year ago that the ratio on the Ukrainian side is more like 1 to 1 because evacuation and medical care in Ukraine is extremely substandard:

[iThe evacuation of wounded soldiers from positions under artillery fire is extremely difficult and Ukraine's military medical service is not exactly up to date. There are no helicopter evacuations and no tracked medical transport vehicles that could take the wounded out.
A lot of wounded will thereby miss the 'golden hour' and simply die before they can be brought into effective medical care. We can also assume that the Ukrainian staff only counts the heavily wounded and that people who get patched up and send back to the front line are likely not included here.[/i]

Western media had so far avoided the theme. The British Spectator has now breached the silence with an on-the-ground report of the wars first aid crisis:

I am told by those working here that many of those lost in the war die while they are being moved back to safety rather than on the front line. The long journeys to hospital, sometimes up to ten hours, can be lethal, and the availability of adequate first aid is the difference between life and death.
Ukrainians believed that the very best care would be available for their soldiers. But the stark truth is emerging: soldiers are dying in their hundreds or even thousands due to poor medical provision. The problem is being ignored by the military hierarchy, whose focus is on sourcing weapons and pushing the counteroffensive rather than prioritising injured fighters.


Ukrainian front line medics are often untrained and are expected to join the fighting until their service is needed. They lack vehicles to evacuate the wounded. Their supplies are unreliable and of bad quality. Bureaucracy and, of course, corruption is unbound:

One example is the proliferation of low-quality medical supplies being used to treat Ukrainian soldiers. A few weeks ago Volodymyr Prudnikov, the head of Ukraine’s Medical Forces Command’s procurement department, was accused of supplying 11,000 uncertified Chinese tactical medical kits to the front line. It is alleged that Prudnikov awarded £1.5 million-worth of contracts to a company co-founded by his daughter-in-law and was attempting to pass the Chinese kits off as Nato standard. He has been fired and now faces an investigation, but has yet to comment.
It is just one example of the profiteering that is needlessly risking the lives of soldiers. Another example of corruption occurred last year in Lviv, where 10,000 tactical first aid kits worth £700,000 were sent by American volunteers and then mysteriously disappeared. It was recently reported that the US is investigating this case.

More questions arise when it comes to the contents of the first aid kits that do make it to the front line. Tourniquets are perhaps the most-needed first aid tool, particularly when the evacuation process is prolonged. But if tourniquets are badly made, they can be lethal. There have been complaints from the front line about Chinese-made tourniquets that either gradually lose pressure or come apart, leading to renewed bleeding with fatal consequences. A Chinese tourniquet costs just £2, while a Ukrainian ‘Sich’ tourniquet is £15. An authentic American CAT tourniquet comes in at around £35.


In my last weekly review I had linked to a Ukrainian piece about tourniquets. It reported how a doctor who criticized the bad quality of the supplied tourniquets was punished for speaking out:

Anton Shevchuk, Head of the Medical Service of the 82nd Separate Air Assault brigade, who requested that Medical Forces Command replace poor-quality Chinese tourniquets and asked social activist Oksana Korchynska to help with this, has been given a "severe reprimand."
...
The number of poor-quality tourniquets that the Medical Forces Command initially issued to the 82nd Brigade exceeds 10,000.
The 82nd brigade is fighting within the artillery fire bag around Robotyne.


Tourniquets well applied to wounded arms and legs can cut off blood vessels and thereby stop bleeding. If they can not hold pressure the wounded will bleed to death.

The medical evacuation on the Russian side is reportedly much better. A few months ago Russia's defense minister Sergei Shoigu stated that the time to a first aid point for a wounded soldier was down to ten minutes while the time to reach a medical operation center was down to one hour (machine translation):

Russian military doctors involved in the special operation achieved a mortality rate in hospitals of less than 0.5% – the lowest figure in the history of military medicine, said at an expanded meeting of the board of the Russian Defense Ministry, the head of the military Department, Army General Sergei Shoigu.
"Military medics especially showed themselves during a special military operation. First aid is provided within 10 minutes. The wounded get to medical units within 1 hour, and to military hospitals - within the first day. We achieved a low mortality rate at the stages of evacuation of the wounded. In the hospital unit, the mortality rate was less than half a percent. This is the lowest figure in the entire history of military medicine, " he said.


I have no way to verify that data. But I also have not found even one complain about medical frontline services on the Russian side while the sorry state of medical help on the Ukrainian side has received some notice.

This only confirms my take that the 10 to 1 artillery superiority on the Russian side and other factors, like medical services, guarantee that the numbers of Russian casualties in the war are much lower than the Ukrainian ones.

Posted by b on August 29, 2023 at 11:36 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/08/u ... .html#more

*******

RUSSIA SUPPLIES GAS TO EUROPE THROUGH TURKSTREAM
28 Aug 2023 , 9:48 am .

Image
Russia reliably supplies gas to Hungary via TurkStream (Photo: TurkStream)

At the beginning of August, the S&P Global Commodity Insights agency reported that Russian gas flows reached a record supply to Europe, but through the TurkStream gas pipeline, thus registering the highest figure since last December: 2.28 billion cubic meters in July 2023, whose main beneficiaries were Hungary and Serbia.

Türkiye plays an important geostrategic role as it acts as a corridor for the transit of Russian natural gas through the Black Sea. With the current geopolitical circumstances, it has great potential to become a regional gas center, specifically in southern and eastern Europe.

In October 2022 , Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, held an important meeting where they discussed building a Russian gas center in Türkiye to further develop trade with third countries; The importance of beginning the construction of another gas pipeline to cover the demand for this hydrocarbon was even considered, because only the TurkStream and the BlueStream would not be enough in view of the expectation of making the Anatolian country the hub par excellence between Europe and Asia .

Image
Gas pipelines connecting Russia and Türkiye (Photo: Bruegel)

It would undoubtedly make Türkiye a crucial factor in the energy sector, precisely because of its geographical location. Regarding the progress of the project, the Russian side has recently expressed some considerations:

Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said in an interview that Gazprom is working with Türkiye to include other possible participants in the project, such as Azerbaijan or Iran.
The Kremlin spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, stated that they continue to study all the variables of this great energy cooperation project, especially pricing. In this context, Turkish officials associated with the negotiations told Middle East Eye that "we would like to get resale rights for Russian gas and re-export it. We need a discount from Moscow to do that."
On the other hand, the political party to which President Erdogan belongs presented a bill last March to structure the next commercial dynamics of gas in that country and promote a more competitive market, a clear sign of the value of the development proposed by Russia.

The Ukrainian crisis and sanctions against the Russian energy sector have affected gas supplies to Europe. However, this resource continues to reach the European region through different channels under the resale mechanism, which has significantly distorted trade in this sector.

Image
Russian gas continues to flow into Europe (Photo: S&P Global)

It should be noted that the destroyed Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline could have made Germany an important hub in the European gas market. Now, the TurkStream pipeline has become more relevant as an alternative route for Russian gas to reach Europe, as it is known to be relatively cheap compared to other sources of natural gas, being a resource of great commercial appeal within the global market.

Türkiye, by distinguishing itself as a key commercial point, takes advantage —and will continue to do so— of the wide advantages offered by serving as a redistribution base for gas from the Slavic federation.

https://misionverdad.com/globalistan/ru ... turkstream

Google Translator

*******

THE ECONOMIC INTERESTS BEHIND THE CONFLICT IN UKRAINE
Posted by Roger Keeran | Aug 28, 2023

Anyone paying the slightest heed to the conflict in the Ukraine can appreciate the utter falsity of the American narrative of its cause, namely that the dictator Vladimir Putin embarked on an “unprovoked” war in a bloodthirsty effort to restore the Russian czarist empire. Alas, most Americans are not paying heed, so the narrative marches shamelessly on, like the emperor with no clothes.

Fortunately, such academics as John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs and The Nation have explained that this conflict was indeed provoked, provoked by the United States that since the collapse of the Soviet Union has recklessly expanded NATO to the entire western border of Russia, an obvious threat to Russian national security. The United States intends to include the Ukraine in NATO’s embrace, and since 1991 it has blatantly interfered in the internal politics of the Ukraine to support forces favorable to the West. This has included supporting a coup against the duly elected president Victor Yanoukovitch in 2004, backing the so-called Maidan rebellion of 2014, undermining the so-called Minsk Accords (I and II of 2014 and 2015), and backstopping the current corrupt president Volodymyr Zelensky.

A recent book in French by the Italian economist Giulio Palermo, Le Conflit Russo-Ukrainien: L’imperialisme US à la conquete de l’Europe (Editions Delga, Paris, 2022), not only recounts this history but goes far beyond anything I have seen in English in explaining the economic interests of American imperialism in this conflict.

Of course, it does not take an economic genius to see that the big winner in this conflict is neither Russia nor Ukraine, but the American arms industry. Since the conflict began Ukraine has received more that $75 billion making it far and away the top recipient of American foreign aid in the world. This includes $18.3 billion in security assistance, $23.5 billion in weapons and equipment and $4.7 billion in grants and loans for weapons. (Council on Foreign Relations, July 10, 2023). Of course, the bulk of this money goes right into the pockets of U.S. arms manufacturers. Lockheed Martin supplies Javelin anti-tank missiles and Himars rocket launchers. Raytheon supplies Javelin missiles and Stinger anti-aircraft missiles, and so forth.

Palermo goes beyond this obvious fleecing of the America taxpayer to explain that two of the main beneficiaries of this conflict are American banking and investment interests linked to agriculture and the American oil and gas companies.

American banks and investment companies have a longstanding interest in gaining control of Ukrainian agriculture, the so-called breadbasket of Europe. As far back as 2014 the pro-western president, Petro Porochenko, negotiated a $15.5 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that insisted in return on the liberalization of land sales, that is to say the sale of state land to private investors. This meant an end to a government moratorium on such sales that had existed since 2001. Under Volodymyr Zelensky, the privatization of land expanded. On March 31, 2020 the Zelensky government rammed through an unpopular law legalizing the sale of farmland, a measure long demanded by the IMF and other international investors.

According to a February 2023 report by the Oakland Institute, a think tank, about five million hectares (double the size of Crimea) of the most fertile land in the world “have been ‘stolen’ by private interests from the state of the Ukraine.” Altogether more than 28 percent of the arable land is now controlled by “oligarchs, corrupt individuals, and large agribusinesses.”

American financial interests (as well as European and Saudi Arabian) are the main investors and beneficiaries of this process. Among these are Vanguard, (a Pennsylvania-based financial company that is the largest provider of mutual funds in the world) and Goldman Sachs-owned NN Investment Partners Holdings. According the to the Oakland Institute, “several large US pension funds, foundations, and university endowment are also invested in Ukrainian land through NCH Capital — a US-based private equity fund, which is the fifth largest landholder in the country” (Ukraine). The Oakland Institute could not be clearer: “The above points to Ukraine’s agricultural land being a major stake in the war.”

Another stake in the war, perhaps even greater than Ukrainian farmland, is the European market for gas and oil. Like farmland, gas and oil interests have been almost completely ignored by American commentators. The great benefit of Palermo’s account is that he explains how the war fits into the long-term strategies of the American gas and oil companies abetted by whatever administration is in Washington. Historically, this market heavily depended on Russian gas and oil. At the start of the war, the European Union imported 40 percent of its natural gas and 25 percent of oil (pétrole) from Russia.

U.S. oil companies have long hungered for this European market. This hunger intensified after the financial crisis of 2007-2009, when massive new investments in oil and gas increased the U.S. production of natural gas by 70 percent (between 2011 and 2014) and made the U.S. the largest producer of oil (pétrole) in the world surpassing both Russia and Saudi Arabia). American oil and gas companies needed an outlet for this surplus. After having previously used military and economic attacks against the historic providers of gas and oil to Europe (Iran, Iraq, Libya, and Venezuela), the U.S. had one remaining rival for the European market — Russia.

On behalf of the oil companies, Washington went after European dependence on Russian energy. Washington opposed the Nordstream pipeline, a plan to supply European natural gas needs by a pipeline running from Russia to Germany (Nordstream I (two actual pipes) and Nordstream 2 (two pipes). The pipeline began operation in 2011. Russian invaded Ukraine in February 2022, and on September 26, 2022, the Nordstream pipeline was blown up by three separate explosions. No one claimed responsibility, but anyone with a brain could see that the only beneficiary was the U.S. gas and oil companies.

After the Russian invasion, the U.S. reacted by imposing three strict economic sanctions designed to cripple the Russian economy. The first was the freezing the assets of the Russian state bank abroad. The second was to exclude Russia from the main international monetary exchange system known as Swift. The third measure was imposition of sanctions against the importation of Russian gas and oil, sanctions that Washington pressed Europe to follow. Given its much greater dependence on Russia (whereas the U.S. imported virtually no Russian gas or oil), the lack of sufficient infrastructure to handle American gas and oil, and the higher price of American products, Europe has found it difficult to comply. Nevertheless, American gas and oil companies benefitted from the war and the sanctions. By 2022 Europe had become the primary destination for American liquified natural gas, accounting for 65 percent of all exports, an all-time high for American gas exports to Europe.

Any objective assessment of U.S. policy toward Ukraine would have to conclude it is an abject failure with one glaring exception. All of the weapons and training have not turned the tide for Ukraine; the failing Ukrainian spring/summer offensive shows that. More arms for the Ukraine have just meant more death and destruction. Nor have the arms and sanctions had any effect on Russian policy or economy. Russia replaced its exports to Europe by finding new markets in China, India and elsewhere. The ruble after falling slightly after the onset of the conflict, is now as strong as ever. The Europeans who pay more for energy have hardly benefitted by U.S.-imposed sanctions on Russia. Africans have not benefitted by the war-induced escalation of grain prices. Nor has the war benefitted American taxpayers who must pay for the greatest military boondoggle since Afghanistan.

The only clear winner in this bloody conflict is American imperialism, namely the American military industry, American banks and equity firms tied to Ukrainian agriculture, and American gas and oil companies that have seized the European market.

https://mltoday.com/the-economic-intere ... n-ukraine/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

User avatar
blindpig
Posts: 10771
Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2017 5:44 pm
Location: Turtle Island
Contact:

Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Thu Aug 31, 2023 12:00 pm

A booming industry
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 08/31/2023

Image

In recent months, some experts have been surprised by the ease with which aspects of normal life have returned to parts of Ukraine. Guardian, for example, has reflected the nightlife of the Ukrainian capital this summer. In reality, kyiv has experience of being the capital of a state at war where the front lines are many kilometers away. The Russo-Ukrainian war has affected Kiev in ways the Donbass war never did, but since the Russian withdrawal from northern Ukraine, Russian missile attacks, which have caused significant damage and military and civilian casualties, have not completely disrupted life, especially of the more affluent classes, able to take refuge away from the war when it lurks and willing to continue their lives in moments of tranquility.

The change that war entails for the civilian population has its parallels in the case of industry and other economic sectors. Few are the economic spheres that have not been affected by the war, be it by physical destruction, the march of the working population abroad or the power cuts due to missile attacks. Abandoned by a strategy of privatization, deregulation and deindustrialization of much of the heavy industry inherited from the Soviet Union, the secondary sector is widely suffering the direct and indirect effects of the war. The same is true of the primary sector, with export difficulties, but also production difficulties as a significant part of the most fertile land is located in an area under Russian control or excessively close to the front line.

However, as has been read in various media in the last month, Ukraine has an industry that continues to boom despite the difficulties of the war. It is not about the military industry or aerospace production or shipping production, once hallmarks of socialist Ukraine, but about surrogacy, one of the symbols of neoliberal Ukraine. This industry was already a source of income for companies profiting from their market position before the war. Much more affordable in its prices than the same process in the United States and Canada, Kiev was a rising destination for the reproductive exploitation of young women with few employment options in a country whose economy had been in crisis for years. The increasing deregulation of the last governments that,

"How Ukrainian pregnant mothers have survived the war," headlined The New York Times a year ago in an article that praised the ability of one of the companies to rent apartments to keep women safe. In reality, the impetus to protect women may not be surprising. After all, they are the tools to create the final product. “When Russia invaded, the once-booming Ukrainian surrogacy industry seemed in danger of collapsing. However, surrogate mothers and agencies have managed to continue deliveries and customers come back to pick up their babies," the newspaper added, describing, without any criticism, an industry that produces and delivers products to foreign customers.

It is probable that the stabilization of the front and the understanding of the nature of the war, which in no way is going to reach cities like Kiev or beyond the Dnieper, has favored the recovery of this buoyant industry designed specifically for its export vocation. “The war has destroyed a large part of the Ukrainian economy,” says a Politico report, "but a key industry, delivering babies through surrogate mothers, continues in the midst of the epic struggle." The article focuses on one of the big agencies, whose practices appear, from the accusations in the article, downright questionable. The report mentions, for example, the disappearance of embryos sent by an American couple, which were possibly implanted in another pregnant woman. And the case in which the embryos were confused and, after giving birth to the surrogate mothers, the babies were given to two wrong couples, is also mentioned. The agency mentions the error as an isolated case, but confirms that the two couples had to meet in Germany to exchange their babies to repair the agency's slip .

Like practically all the articles published in the general press about the surrogacy industry in Ukraine, Político , as well as The New York Timesa year ago, praises the epic Ukrainian struggle and the courage of both surrogate mothers and families who come to kyiv or send their genetic material to obtain their product. There is no interest in the reports to know the context in which surrogacy has its peak: the exploitation of the poverty of young women in one of the poorest countries in Europe. Even before the start of the Russo-Ukrainian war, the abusive practices of the companies took advantage of the lack of job expectations of a part of the population, coming in many cases from depressed areas of a country whose economy had been suffering from the deindustrialization crisis for years. , liberalization and austerity of the economic plans of the International Monetary Fund and its Ukrainian allies. The main attraction of Ukraine in the case of surrogacy is fundamentally the price, with which other countries cannot compete whose women demand higher amounts for offering their bodies to achieve the happiness of others. Deregulation and the certainty that money can make any irregularity detected along the way disappear have done the rest to make Ukraine a center for the production and delivery of children for export abroad, specifically to those countries that are now financing the war.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/08/31/una-i ... more-28038

Google Translator

******

Chronicle of the special military operation for August 30, 2023
August 30, 2023
Rybar

Ukrainian formations carried out a massive attack with drones on the rear territories of Russia. In Pskov , four Il-76 transport aircraft were damaged at the military-civilian airfield. And in the waters of the Black Sea, the fire of the crews of naval aviation destroyed several boats with a landing of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Russian troops carried out combined strikes using missiles and kamikaze drones on the infrastructure and military installations of Ukrainian formations in the Odessa , Zhytomyr and Cherkasy regions , as well as in Kiev .

In the Orekhovsky sector, fierce clashes continue in the area of ​​Rabotino and Verbovoe , where the enemy managed to advance towards the defensive lines of the RF Armed Forces. In the Kherson direction, the enemy's DRG landed on the left bank of the Dnieper near Podstepne: a battle is underway.

Massive shelling of the border Belgorod , Kursk and Bryansk regions , as well as the Donetsk People's Republic , continues : at least 15 people were injured, another was killed.

Image

On the massive UAV UAV attack on Russia

Image
Last night, Ukrainian formations used drones to attack Russian rear facilities. Air defense crews and electronic warfare neutralized drones over the territories of at least six regions.

Pskov was subjected to the most massive attack . The enemy launched 21 drones at the military-civilian airfield. Despite the interception of most of the UAVs, some of them achieved their intended goals. Four Il-76 military transport aircraft were damaged (two units caught fire and it is not known whether they can be restored).

In the Kaluga region, one apparatus was destroyed over the territory of the Sukhinichsky district , the second fell into an empty tank for oil products in the Dzerzhinsky district : the resulting fire was quickly eliminated.

In the Bryansk region, seven aircraft -type drones were intercepted : debris fell on the 16th building of the Kremniy EL plant, the largest manufacturer of microelectronics. Also damaged was the building of the investigative committee in the Soviet district .

In addition, air defense systems destroyed two devices each over the territories of the Ryazan and Oryol regions. And on the outskirts of Moscow, electronic warfare units suppressed a drone in the Ruzsky district - having lost control, it crashed into a tree in the village of Lukino .

Where exactly the attacks on Pskov were delivered is unknown. And although one of the most obvious options seems to be the flight of Ukrainian UAVs through the Republic of Belarus or the launch from the Baltic states , this is hardly the case. Considering the changed dynamics of the UAV defeat near Moscow (over the past two weeks, more and more UAVs have begun to reach the northwestern outskirts of the capital), the option of flying around Belarus is quite possible. Then the takeoff in the Sumy region - the passage through the Bryansk region (there are downed UAVs) - the Kaluga region (an incident in the Dzerzhinsky district) - the Moscow region (the downed UAV in the Ruza region) - the Tver region - and, finally, the defeat of the Pskov region when entering from the south east.

The cruising range of a UAV of the "Beaver" or "Coulomb" type (not to mention other types ) for 1000 km is quite enough for itself, which, alas, confirms Engels' experience in Saratov . And if in Crimea the means and forces of air defense have managed to adapt, over and over again repelling massive strikes from Ukraine, then in continental Russia, so far, judging by the experience of Pskov, everything is not so good. The problem is not even that the drones overloaded the air defense and reached their targets. The problem is that after a year and a half of the NWO, the scarce expensive aircraft were without shelters .

About the enemy's attempt to land on Cape Tarkhankut

Image
On the night of August 30, Ukrainian formations again tried to land on the Crimean peninsula : at least nine high-speed boats with reconnaissance groups of the GUR and MTR headed for Cape Tarkhankut . The local coast is quite convenient for landing and dropping DRGs. First, the supply groups delivered fuel and food to the Bezymyannaya gas production unit, after which boats set off one after another from the port of Vilkovo along the route Snake Island - the Bezymyanny - Odessa - Storm installation.

The sortie was timed to coincide with the so-called "day of memory of the defenders" of Ukraine. According to the plan, the Ukrainian formations were supposed to show the effectiveness of landing operations in the Crimea. The advanced boats were detected in advance by Russian troops. Su-24 and MiG-29 aircraft of the naval aviation of the Black Sea Fleet struck with four RBC-500 cluster bombs approximately 60 km west of Russian Olenevka .

Once again, we note the reaction of the Russian command to changes in the nature of enemy actions. After one PR raid by the DRG of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Tarkhankut, the necessary measures were taken: this time, the GUR detachments were unable to get close to the Crimea. After, on the night of August 30, the planes of the naval aviation of the Black Sea Fleet thwarted the attempts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to land on Cape Tarkhankut , the surviving boats with enemy personnel returned to Vilkovo .

This morning, Ukrainian sabotage groups again advanced first to Zmeiny Island , and then towards gas production units (GDU). Such interest in the GDU is due to the fact that mobile radars or communications equipment can be easily placed on abandoned platforms. However, the Russian Armed Forces detected enemy activity near offshore installations and took off Su-30SM fighters , which discovered one of the enemy's high-speed boats near the Odesskaya GDU. The crew worked on the target from the cannon and damaged the boat.

And already after, at around 13.20-13.30 Su-24M bombers of the naval aviation of the Black Sea Fleet struck with RBC-500 cluster bombs on the accumulation of watercraft of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Zmeiny Island. According to some reports, during the raid, three enemy boats were destroyed at once . In total, Russian pilots hit up to seven boats with DRGs per day. In the event of the death of the personnel stationed there, these are quite tangible losses for the enemy.

However, what happened does not mean that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will abandon plans to send sabotage groups to the Crimea or activity near gas production facilities, so the problem of effective counteraction to the enemy in this area remains relevant.

On the downing of a Ukrainian drone by a helicopter gun


A very remarkable episode took place at night: in the Orel region , the crew of a Mi-28N helicopter destroyed a Ukrainian drone from a 30-mm cannon. The video shows horizontally running bursts of shells and an explosion in the sky.

After massive air raids by UAF drones, there have been occasional proposals to turn to Soviet experience and use helicopters to intercept small targets. However, the case is rather an exception to the rule: in the current realities, this method of combating UAVs is unlikely to be effective. It is almost useless to use the old unused Mi-24s on the front line: they have no radar, and they can only look for objects visually. Taking into account the fact that a significant part of the UAV drone attacks occur at night, the effectiveness will be minimal. The Ka-52 and Mi-28N have full-time radars, but these modern helicopters (especially the Alligators) are now indispensable on the front lines. Creating separate drone-hunting squadrons from them is now an unaffordable luxury.

In itself, the presence of a radar in a helicopter also does not guarantee the detection of enemy drones, and much depends on the work of the gunners. And it’s not so easy to hit a drone with an onboard cannon: even the recording shows that the target was not destroyed from the first stage. So for now, the question of finding the most effective measure to counter drone raids in the western regions of Russia remains relevant.

The situation on the front line and the fighting

During the night, Russian forces carried out a series of combined strikes with Geran kamikaze drones and cruise missiles against military targets in Kiev and Odessa Oblast . Local residents also reported explosions in the Cherkasy region , but the details of the raid are unknown.

In the Zhytomyr region, the head of the military-civilian administration announced the defeat of an infrastructure facility and a railway track, due to which several trains were delayed.



In the Starobelsky direction in the area of ​​the Torsky ledge , the enemy made several attempts to attack the Russian defensive lines with the forces of 21 and 63 MBRs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but was unsuccessful, losing the BMP retreated. During the counter-battery fight, the M777 howitzer was also destroyed by a well-aimed hit.

Ukrainian formations are hastily erecting a second line of defense, as well as mining approaches to positions and transferring reserves to Yampol from the suburbs of Seversk and Krasny Liman , expecting a Russian offensive in this area.



Today, in the Soledar direction , the Armed Forces of Ukraine undertook another attack on the positions of the RF Armed Forces near Kleshcheevka , but having come under fire from Russian artillery, they were dispersed and retreated. In the evening it became known that yesterday a helicopter from the 18th separate brigade of army aviation of the Air Force of Ukraine was shot down in the Bakhmut sector, as a result of which six officers-pilots were killed.

Image
In the Vremievsky sector, Ukrainian formations are regrouping due to heavy losses during attempts to occupy the Staromayorskoye - Urozhaynoye line . Marines of the 35th Marine Corps of the Ukrainian Navy were withdrawn to Shevchenko for restoration.

At the same time, Russian fighters are engaged in a shooting battle with units of the 1st rifle battalion of the 1st tank brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in a landing a few kilometers west of Staromayorsky, knocking out the Armed Forces of Ukraine from their positions. Now Russian artillerymen are conducting a massive shelling of the front line. However, the enemy continues to accumulate reserves for an offensive with the aim of breaking through to the Sea of ​​Azov. Three groups of the 23rd brigade arrived in Rovnopol after being re-equipped, and assault detachments of the 31st brigade also returned to the line between the Shelter and Cherished Desire after restoration.


And to the north, five artillery crews of M777 howitzers with long-range precision-guided munitions and six Akatsiya self-propelled howitzers were drawn up to Berezovoi and Shevchenko. Also , five British Challenger tanks and an unidentified air defense system were deployed to the Kurakhovo railway station . It is not yet clear where the weapons will be sent: it could be both Marinka and Avdiivka . But it can also be the Yuzhnodonets direction , which is more important and promising for the Ukrainian command due to the need to cut off the land supply of the Russian Armed Forces grouping in the Zaporozhye region.

Image
In the Orekhovsky sector near Rabotino , due to huge losses in manpower and the futility of moving south through the village, the command of the Ukrainian group adjusted plans, pulling the forces of 82 odshbr to the area east of Rabotino. With the joint efforts of two battalions of the 82nd and 46th brigades of the Airborne Forces of Ukraine, they attacked the positions of the Russian army northwest of Verbove with the support of artillery shelling the front line with cluster munitions.

Also, separate assault groups of the DShV, reinforced by detachments of the SSO of Ukraine, launched an offensive south to heights 136.8 and 110.3 in the area of ​​Balka Krivoy and were able to make some progress in this direction. They are under fire from artillery and aviation. In the second line to Malaya Tokmachka, reinforcements from 118 ombr of 10 AK of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as second-echelon units from the 15th brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine were deployed. At the same time, their movement to the south is complicated by the destruction of the crossing over the Konka near the village.



At the moment, the efforts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are focused on fire suppression of anti-aircraft missile systems and radar stations of the RF Armed Forces. Three Su-27s armed with HARM missiles operate daily in the air. In Krasnaya Krinitsa, the Bukovel electronic warfare crew operates. And as part of the counter-battery fight in settlements north of Orekhovdeployed units of the 148th ABR of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, supplemented by UAV crews as part of the formation of reconnaissance and strike complexes as part of the artillery troops. The idea of ​​the enemy is clear in principle: they want to penetrate the defenses between the villages, flooding the front line with meat and destroying the defensive positions of the RF Armed Forces with artillery. The example of Rabotino shows that this was not particularly successful. But a little to the east, they were able to squeeze out the RF Armed Forces from several strongholds and at the moment they continue to put pressure, despite the losses.

Image
In the Kherson direction, detachments of the 126th detachment of the Terodefense again landed in the gray zone on the left bank of the Dnieper , 4 km northwest of Podstepne near the eco-farm. A boat with supplies and provisions was sent there at night. Probably, in the near future, attempts will again be made from there to storm the positions of the Russian army near the Cossack Camps , as we said a couple of days ago. At the same time, detachments of the 121st troop troop of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are waiting on the opposite bank. Another enemy DRG, under the cover of mortars and copters with a grenade drop system, again landed on Pereyaslavsky Island. Artillerymen of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are firing at it.

To the west, units of the 406th artillery brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are firing at Staraya Zburyevka and Kozulikhsky Island from the Novodmitrovka-Belozerka line . The strikes on the island indicate that this area is at least in the gray zone, on which our reconnaissance groups operate. Also yesterday, closer to midnight, another Tekever UAV took off from Odessa, which flew to Tendrovskaya Spit and Karkinitsky Bay , and another Tekever flew from Kobzartsev in the direction of Skadovsk through Antonovka. They probably had to track the landing of the DRG GUR, which could not reach the peninsula. Unlike the previous flight to the Crimea , APU operated at a distance from air defense systems. But the very fact of another unhindered passage through the Kherson region is alarming.

Shelling of rear territories and residential areas

Image
Russian electronic warfare equipment detected and suppressed a Ukrainian aircraft-type drone on approach to Voronezh . According to official information, there were no casualties, the outbuilding was damaged. Special services worked at the scene.

In the morning in the Bryansk region, the enemy attacked a cellular communication station in Bryansk with two drones , casualties and destruction were avoided, the fire at the crash site was eliminated. Another drone was shot down over the Sovietsky district of the city and in the sky over the region: there were no consequences on the ground.


Late in the evening, Ukrainian formations attacked the capital of the Bryansk region for the fourth time in a day. Several enemy UAVs tried to attack the television center in Bryansk, local residents report loud explosions. A fire is visible at the site of the fall of the wreckage, but the governor says that all the drones were successfully intercepted, there are no casualties or destruction.

In the Kursk region, local residents reported shelling of the village of Tetkino in the Glushkovsky district, but there was no official information about the victims and damage.

Image
As a result of a strike on the village of Novaya Tavolzhanka , Belgorod Region . no one was hurt, but power lines were damaged - the settlement is partially de-energized, in neighboring Murom the power is completely turned off. Operational teams are engaged in restoration work. Local residents also reported arrivals in Dronovka, Spodaryushino and Prilesie , but no official information has yet been received.

Image
Throughout the day, the Armed Forces of Ukraine inflict massive rocket and artillery strikes on settlements and civilian infrastructure in the Donetsk People's Republic . In the Petrovsky district of Donetsk, as a result of multiple hits on the Galaktika shopping center, eight people were injured of varying severity, one girl and a woman received shrapnel wounds in the Kirovsky district, a person was wounded in Staromikhailivka, houses and an office building in the Kievsky district were damaged.

The enemy fired two AGM-88 HARM anti-radar missiles in the Voroshilovsky district , one of which hit an uninhabited high-rise building, and the second fell near the railway station, no one was injured. In addition, the Armed Forces of Ukraine fired artillery at the railway station in Yasinovataya and dropped a projectile from a UAV on the territory of a local agricultural complex: the extent of the destruction and information about the victims are not known at the moment.

In addition, one of the enemy's ammunition hit the section of the road between Dugouts and Makiivka : unfortunately, one person died from his wounds on the spot. A drone also attacked correctional colony No. 5 in Gorlovka - there was no information about the consequences, one person was injured in the Kalininsky district. In Svetlodarsk, as a result of shelling from the HIMARS MLRS, a school and a pumping station were damaged, three people, including one girl, received shrapnel wounds, they are receiving medical assistance.

Image
Ukrainian formations continue to strike at settlements on the left bank of the Kherson region . Last night, Kakhovka , Dnepryan , Podstepne and Sagi were under artillery fire . And in Novaya Kakhovka, a kamikaze drone hit the building of the public reception of the United Russia party. Later, the city was subjected to new shelling. The shells hit a house not far from the Golden Fish kindergarten: fires started from the fragments on the roof of the house and in the yard of the kindergarten.

Political events
On the statement of Pope Francis

Pope Francis, during a meeting with the Catholic youth of Russia, urged not to forget about the imperial heritage of Great Russia: "Saints, rulers, great Russia of Peter I, Catherine II, that empire - great, enlightened, great culture and great humanity." Advisor to the head of Zelensky's office, Mikhail Podolyak, called the pontiff's speech an instrument of Russian propaganda, pointing out that it allegedly encourages the misanthropic ideology of the Russian authorities.

After criticism, the head of the press service of the Holy See, Matteo Bruni , said that the pontiff, in his own words, wanted to encourage young people to preserve and promote what is positive in the great Russian cultural and spiritual heritage. Nevertheless, the words of the Vatican are unlikely to convince the Ukrainian authorities. Well, then the Pope of Rome was added to the odious website "Peacemaker".

On the continuation of the demonstrative fight against corruption


A bill announced by the Ukrainian president was submitted to the Verkhovna Rada , within which it is proposed to equate corruption with treason. The bill will provide for an innovation that will radically change the mechanism for investigating major corruption cases - not only NABU, but also the SBU will have the right to investigate corruption worth over UAH 24 million.

Nevertheless, the initiative of Volodymyr Zelensky found criticism among other deputies of parliament - the ex-speaker of the Verkhovna Rada Dmitry Razumkov complained that the president's project allows the SBU to put pressure on its political opponents and "bury" its own corruption cases.

About regular protests of wives and mothers of dead members of Ukrainian formations

[youtube]http://vk.com/video-216162493_456241421[/youtube]

In the center of Kiev, a rally was held by relatives of members of Ukrainian formations who went missing or were captured by Russia. Protesters with placards for several hours demanded that the authorities find and return home their relatives.

Nevertheless, such incidents in Ukraine prefer to be hushed up. At the same time, even within the framework of the already existing exchange processes, the Ukrainian authorities are striving to return the fighters of the national battalions, since the latter can be used for propaganda purposes, and then sent back to the front.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

Google Translator

(Other images at link.)

******

A tip of the hibachi to 'b' at MOA for the reference to 'Big Serge' who provides some very good analysis. I'll posts some highlights, do check out the link.

Escaping Attrition: Ukraine Rolls the Dice
The Zaporizhia Summer Blockbuster

BIG SERGE
AUG 29, 2023

<snip>

At this point, however, the appearance of some of Ukraine’s last remaining premier brigades, which had previously been held in reserve, confirms that the axes of Ukraine’s attack are concretized. Only time will tell if these precious reserves manage to achieve a breach in the Russian lines, but enough time has passed that we can sketch out what exactly Ukraine has been trying to do, why, and why it has failed to this point.

<snip>

So now we come to the operational minutia. For a variety of reasons, Ukraine has chosen to attempt a frontal assault on Russia’s fortified Zaporizhia front, with the intention of breaching towards the sea of Azov. How can this be accomplished?

We had a few clues early on, accruing from a variety of geographic features and alleged intelligence leaks. In May, the Dreizin Report published what was purported to be a Russian synthesis of Ukraine’s OPORD (Operational Order). An OPORD functions as a broad sketch of an operation’s intended progression, and the document shared by Dreizin was billed as a summary of Russia’s expectation for Ukraine’s offensive (that is, it is not a leak of Ukraine’s internal planning documents, but a leak of Russia’s best guess at Ukraine’s plans).

In any case, in a vacuum it was anybody’s guess as to whether Dreizin’s OPORD was authentic, but we’ve subsequently been able to cross-check it. This is because of the other, even more infamous leak from earlier this spring, which included the Pentagon’s combat power build plan for Ukraine.

NATO was very generous and built Ukraine a mechanized strike package from scratch. However, because this mechanized force was cobbled together with a variety of different systems from all corners of the NATO Cinematic Universe, Ukraine formations are uniquely identifiable by their particular combination of vehicles and equipment. So, for example, the presence of Strykers, Marders, and Challengers indicates the presence of the 82nd Brigade in the field, and so forth.

Thus, despite Ukrainian pretensions of operational security, it’s actually been trivially easy for observers to know which Ukrainian formations are in the field. There have been a few deviations from the script - for example, the 47th Brigade was supposed to field the Frankenstein Slovenian M55 tanks, but in the end the decision was made to send the underpowered M55’s to the northern front and the 47th was deployed with a contingent of Leopard Tanks originally operated by the 33rd Brigade. But these are minor details, and on the whole we’ve had a good sense of when and where specific AFU formations get on the field.

Based on identifiable units, the Dreizin OPORD looks very close to what we actually saw at the onset of the Ukrainian offensive. The Dreizin OPORD called for an assault by the 47th and 65th Brigades on the Russian lines south or Orikhiv, in the sector bounded by Nesterianka and Novoprokopivka. Directly in the middle of this sector is the town of Robotyne, and sure enough that’s where the first big AFU assault came overnight on June 7-8, spearheaded by the 47th Brigade.

Now, from this point it becomes difficult to evaluate the Dreizin OPORD simply because Ukraine’s attack became instantaneously derailed, but one thing we can say is that Dreizin’s source was correct about the order that Ukrainian units would be introduced into battle. Based on this, we can flesh out the OPORD and feel pretty safe wagering that this is what the Ukrainians were hoping to achieve:

Image
Ukraine’s Dream: The Drive to the Sea

The intention seems to have been to force a breach in the Russian line using a concentrated armored assault by the 47th and 65th Brigades, after which a follow on force of the 116th, 117th, and 118th would begin the exploitation phase, driving for the Azov Coast and the towns of Mikhailivka and Vesele to the west. The objective was clearly not to get bogged down in urban fighting attempting to capture places like Tokmak, Berdyansk, or Melitopol, but to bypass them and cut them off by taking up blocking positions on the main roads.

Simultaneously, a lesser - but no less critical - thrust would come out of the Gulyaipole area and drive along the Bilmak axis. This would have the effect of both screening the main advance to the west and wedging the Russian front open, splintering the integrity of the Russian forces caught in the middle. Overall, this is a fairly sensible, if ambitious and uncreative plan. In many ways, this was really the only option.

So what went wrong? Well, conceptually it’s easy. There is no breach. The bulk of the maneuver scheme is dedicated to exploitation - reaching such and such a line, taking up this blocking position, masking that city, and so forth. But what happens when there’s no breach at all? How can such a catastrophe occur, and how can the operation be salvaged when it comes untracked in the opening phase?

Indeed, this is precisely what has happened. Ukraine finds itself stuck on the edge of Russia’s outermost screening line, spending substantial resources trying to capture the small village of Robotyne, and/or bypass it to the east by infiltrating the gap between it and the neighboring village of Verbove. So instead of that rapid breach and turning maneuver towards Melitopol, we get something like this:

Image
Ukrainian Counteroffensive with Mapped Russian Defensive Lines

We could be generous and say that Robotyne is the last village before the Ukrainian attack reaches the main Russian defensive belt, but we’d be lying - they will also have to clear the larger town of Novoprokopivka, two kilometers to the south. Just for reference, here’s a closer look at the mapped Russian defenses in the battlespace, based on the excellent work of Brady Africk.

The discussion about these emplacements can get a little muddled, simply because it’s not always clear what is meant by that popular phrase “first line of defense.” Clearly there are some defensive works around and in Robotyne, and the Russians chose to fight for the village, so in some sense Robotyne is part of the “first line” - but it is more proper to speak of it as part of what we would call a “screening line”. The first line of continuous fortifications across the front is several kilometers further south, and this is the belt that Ukraine has yet to even reach, let alone breach.

As of this moment, it appears that Russian troops have lost total control of Robotyne but continue to hold the southern half of the village, while Ukrainian troops in the northern half of the village remain subject to heavy Russian shelling. We should probably at this point consider the village to be continuously contested and a feature of the gray zone.

At this point, we need to acknowledge something that everybody missed about Russia’s defense. I previously expressed high confidence that Ukraine’s forces would be unable to breach the Russian defenses, but I mistakenly believed that the Russian defense would function according to the classic Soviet defense-in-depth principles (elucidated in great detail by the writings of David Glantz, for example).

Image
Idealized Defense in Depth by a Motor Rifle Brigade

Such a defense, put simply, is open to the idea that the enemy will breach the first or even second lines of defense. The purpose of the multilayered (or “echeloned” in the classic terminology) defense is to ensure that the enemy force gets stuck as it tries to break through. It may penetrate the first layer, but as it goes it is continually chewed up by the subsequent belts. The classic example is the Battle of Kursk, where powerful German panzers broke into the Soviet defensive belts but subsequently became stuck as they were ground down. You can think of this as being analogically similar to a Kevlar vest, which uses a web of fibers to stop projectiles: rather than bouncing off, the bullet is caught and its energy is absorbed by the layered fibers.

I was actually quite open to the idea that Ukraine would generate some penetration, but I anticipated them getting stuck in the subsequent belts and sputtering out.

What was missing from this picture - and this is a credit to Russian planning - was an unseen defensive belt forward of the proper trenches and fortifications. This forward belt consisted of extremely dense minefields and strongly held forward positions in the screening line, which the Russians evidently intended to fight for fiercely. Rather than breaking through the first belt and getting stuck in the interstitial areas, the Ukrainians have been repeatedly mauled in the security zone, and the Russians have consistently counterattacked to knock them back when they do manage to get footholds.

In other words, while we expected Russia to fight a defense in depth that absorbed the Ukrainian spearheads and shredded them in the heart of the defense, the Russians have actually shown a strong commitment to defending their forwardmost positions, of which Robotyne is the most famous.

On paper, Robotyne was expected to function as part of a so-called “crumple zone”, or “security zone” - a sort of lightly held buffer that puts the enemy through pre-registered fires before they bump into the first belt of continuous and strongly held defenses. Indeed, a variety of aerial and satellite surveys of the area taken before Ukraine went on the attack showed Robotyne laying well forward of the first solid and continuous Russian fortification belt.

What was missed, it seemed, was the extent to which the Russian defenders had mined the areas on the approach to Robotyne and were committed to defending within the security zone. The scale of the mining certainly seems to have surprised the Ukrainians, and creates a strain on Ukraine’s limited combat engineering capabilities. Even more importantly, the dense mines have created predictable avenues of approach for the Ukrainian forces, which force them to repeatedly run through the same gauntlet of fires and Russian standoff weaponry.

<snip>

It’s crucial to understand that the Russian toolbox is fundamentally different than it was during the battle for Kherson last year, due to the rapidly expanding production of a variety of Russian standoff weapons - most notably the Lancet and the UMPK glide modifications for gravity bombs.

The Lancet in particular has been a star performer - there are claims that the trusty little loitering munition is responsible for nearly half of Russia’s artillery kills - and has filled a crucial capability gap that troubled the Russian army episodically throughout the first year of the war. Contrary to some western assessments that Russia simply could not manufacture drones in sufficient quantities, production of the Lancet has been successfully ramped up in a short period of time, and mass production of other systems like the Geran are coming online as well.

The proliferation of the Lancet and similar systems means, in a nutshell, that nothing within 30km of the contact line is safe, and this in turn disrupts the AFU’s deployment of critical support assets like air defense and engineering, magnifying their vulnerability to Russian mines and fires. In fact, we’ve increasingly seen Ukrainian artillery use decline in the Robotyne area due to the threat of lancets (they seem to be transferring tubes to other fronts), and the AFU is favoring the use of HIMARS in the suppressive role.

<snip>

So, whence goes the war from here? Well, the obvious question to ask is whether we believe Ukraine will ever have a more potent assault package than the one they started the summer with. The answer clearly seems to be no. It was like pulling teeth to scrape together these understrength brigades - the idea that, following on a defeat in the Battle of Zaporizhia, NATO will somehow put together a more powerful package seems like a stretch. More to the point, we have American officials saying fairly explicitly that this was the best mechanized package Ukraine was going to get.

It does not seem controversial to say that this was Ukraine’s best shot at some sort of genuine operational victory, which at this point seems to be slowly trickling away into modest but materially costly tactical advances. The ultimate implication of this is that Ukraine is unable to escape a war of industrial attrition, which is precisely the sort of war that it cannot win, due to all the asymmetries that we mentioned earlier.

In particular, however, Ukraine cannot win a positional-attritional war because of its own maximalist definition of “winning.” Since Kiev has insisted that it will not give up until it returns its 1991 borders, an inability to dislodge Russian forces poses a particularly nasty problem - Kiev will either need to admit defeat and acknowledge Russian control over the annexed areas, or it will continue to fight obstinately until it is a failed state with nothing left in the tank.

https://bigserge.substack.com/p/escapin ... aine-rolls

Read the whole work.

*******

American nuclear weapons in Europe
August 30, 20:40

Image

FAS estimates that there are about 100 American B61 nuclear bombs deployed at six air bases in five European countries. At the same time, preparations are underway at the British airbase Lakenheath for the possible acquisition of nuclear weapons as well.

Image
Image

@poisk_mil - zinc

Of course, when the West throws tantrums about the transfer of Russian nuclear weapons to Belarus, about nuclear weapons already deployed in Europe and their carriers, the United States hypocritically keeps quiet.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8600755.html

Google Translator

******

Image

Luxurious Villa owned by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s family discovered on Egyptian Coast
Originally published: Punch Newspaper on August 22, 2023 by Arthur Nkono (more by Punch Newspaper) | (Posted Aug 30, 2023)

Egyptian investigative journalist Mohammed Al-Alawi provided exclusive materials concerning the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy. According to the documents, Zelenskyy’s family has acquired a luxury villa in “the city of millioners” El Gouna. According to investigation, Olga Kiyashko, whose name matches the name of Zelenskyy’s mother-in-law, owns a VIP estate worth $5 million. Political scientist Abdulrahman Alabbassy draws a conclusion that the president’s relative purchased the estate with the humanitarian aid funds allocated to Ukraine by the West to repel Russian military aggression.

Image

There is a magnificent estate in the VIP resort El Gouna, often referred to as the Venice of Egypt, on the coast of the Red Sea. The estate is a luxurious villa with beautiful interior decorations and a swimming pool. It is located on a coastline and grants its owners a beautiful view of the sea and a beach recreation. There is a lot of luxury real estate in Egypt, created for wealthy citizens and foreigners, so there would be nothing remarkable about this villa if not for one small detail. The new owner of this villa is a citizen of Ukraine Olga Kiyashko, the full namesake of the mother of the of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s wife.

This was found out by Egyptian blogger and journalist Mohammed Al-Alawi, who provided exclusive results of his findings. Below is a video recorded by Al-Alvawi directly near the villa, registered in Zelenskyy’s mother-in-law’s name. According to Al-Alawi, the information about the purchase came to him through his own trusted sources, the reliability of which is beyond doubt.

Image
The document indicates that the villa was purchased by Zelenskyy’s mother-in-law in May 2023. According to the document, the price of the villa is 150,000,000 Egyptian pounds or approximately $4,850,000.

El Gouna is famous for its special treatment of rich and famous foreigners. Many rich people from all over the world buy villas here to relax and have a good time.

Next door to Zelenskyy’s villa is an estate that belongs to the world-famous Hollywood actress and public figure Angelina Jolie. Perhaps it was the neighborhood with the actress that played a key role in Zelenskyy’s decision to purchase real estate in El Gouna. After all, it is known that the president of Ukraine was once a comedian and actor.

Egypt is one of the most hospitable countries in the world, and Egyptians love it when famous people buy real estate here. However, in the case of Zelenskyy’s villa, there are serious reasons to believe that it was purchased with “dirty” money, which was withdrawn from humanitarian financial assistance to Ukraine from Western countries.

Image
Political scientist AbdulrahmanAlabbassy gave a comment about the discovery of Zelenskyy’s elite property. According to Alabbassy, many members of the Ukrainian elite have acquired real estate in Egypt over the past year. Until the second half of 2022, nothing like this was observed.

“I am surprised that relatives of top Ukrainian officials began to buy luxury real estate after the start of Ukraine war. I don’t remember anything like this before,” said Alabbassy. –

It is surprising that Ukraine is waging a bloody war with Russia, and relatives of Ukrainian officials are buying up real estate in Egypt instead of donating their riches to the needs of the country. A suspicion is creeping in that Ukrainian bureaucrats, with the help of their relatives, are stealing financial aid to Ukraine from the West. I am quite certain that Zelenskyy’s mother-in–law’s purchase of a villa in El Gouna is the result of corruption and the theft of humanitarian aid to Ukraine. I sincerely sympathize with the Ukrainian people.

It is yet unclear whether President Zelenskyy will personally spend weekends at this beautiful villa. In any case, it is unlikely that it will be empty for a long time.

Google Translator
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

User avatar
blindpig
Posts: 10771
Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2017 5:44 pm
Location: Turtle Island
Contact:

Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Fri Sep 01, 2023 12:12 pm

Attacks in the rear
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 09/01/2023

Image

This week, Ukraine has launched its most ambitious attack inside Russian territory. Making it clear that the red lines that existed a year ago are no longer in force, Ukrainian drones attacked military bases and airports, one of them, the one in the city of Pskov, 600 kilometers from the Ukrainian border. Without going so far as to fully claim responsibility for the attack, Ukraine has insisted on its drone-making capabilities and has even boasted that it is surprising its allies, who are looking, according to Kiev, to learn from the proxy army. The epic and the arrogance are always present in the Ukrainian narrative. The attack again shows that air defenses are more prepared to shoot down missiles than to detect and destroy drones, with a much greater ability to avoid barriers. This phenomenon has been observed on both sides of the front, both on the front line and in the rear. Despite Ukraine boasting of their use, Russian drones are also playing a key role in defense on the southern front, something that the Ukrainian narrative hides in its constant attempt to portray Russian forces as incapable of innovation and compliance their military tasks. Arrogance generally goes hand in hand with contempt for the adversary.

The objective of using drones at the front is evident as part of the tools with which the armies in the fray try to fulfill their tasks of attack or defense, reconnaissance and precision work in collaboration with artillery or infantry or as a method of destroying opponent equipment. In this sense, the Lantsets have gained a great presence in the Russian media space. With them, Russia has managed to destroy, damage or disable a significant number of Ukrainian armored vehicles on the Zaporozhye front and thus delay the advances of Kiev's troops, so few in these three months of offensive that even its allies are beginning to worry.

Faced with the obvious objective of using drones on the front line of the war, their use in the rear has different nuances. In the areas attached to the battle, the intent to destroy logistics points, magazines or critical infrastructures is clear and this war is showing its use accompanying, and sometimes replacing, missile attacks. But as the distance of the line of separation between the two armies increases, this goal decreases to acquire another meaning. In the case of Ukraine, which is facing a country with large expanses, the attack hundreds of kilometers away, especially if, as has happened this week, it occurs in different regions simultaneously, the drones serve to meet multiple objectives.

On the one hand, any attack or possibility of it occurring obliges Russia to divert resources that could possibly be used on the front. This tactic is basic and is applied by both armies. Russian troops are trying, for example, to advance from the east towards the city of Kupyansk in part to make the situation difficult for the Ukrainian defense in the Kharkiv region and to force the Kiev command to divert part of its reserves, which according to the preferred tactic by the United States they should concentrate on breaking through the Zaporozhye front. Ukraine acts in the same way with its constant pressure on the Belgorod border towns, forcing Russia to permanently maintain resources that could be used on the front. In the case of the constant threat of drone attacks in areas not only far from the Ukrainian border but between them, it is also sought to force the Russian Federation to disperse its resources and make it more difficult for them to send to war. However, this is not the main objective.

Aware that its war is not only waged on the ground but also requires a political and communication strategy that constantly presents successes that justify continuing to receive weapons and financing from its partners, Ukraine uses these attacks to highlight its potential and try to delegitimize the Russian. kyiv has the advantage of being favored by the Western media, which continues to publish the Ukrainian war reports as absolute reality. In this way, Ukraine can allow itself to claim to have shot down all the Russian missiles without having to explain why images of impacts of those projectiles have been recorded from the ground. And kyiv can also afford to exaggerate the successes of its drone strikes, as has happened again this week,

Above all, the attacks far from the border are a warning against the Russian population and, in this sense, share the same logic as the artillery in the city of Donetsk. The objective is twofold. On the one hand, it seeks to frighten the population and assure them that the war has arrived at their doorstep and that there is no safe place. That has been the Ukrainian strategy against Donetsk, bombed practically daily and with no other military objective to frighten, since May 20, 2022. Little by little, material damage, civilian casualties and places where have produced impacts. War seems to be on every street, in every building. The danger is considerably lower in Russian cities, where Ukraine cannot afford to attack on a daily basis and where a large part of the drones are shot down before reaching their targets. However, the raison d'être of these attacks is the same. In addition to frightening the population due to the danger posed by the uncertainty of whether the war will strike at a given moment or not, Ukraine also seeks a second objective: that the population lose confidence in the ability of the Russian authorities to protect them. Kiev is aware that it is not going to win the war based on drone attacks against Moscow buildings or airports far from the front, but these images are useful for its propaganda, with which it presents itself with more strength than reality and presents as more weak to your opponent.

The ultimate goal is even more cynical. A few days ago, in an interview, Volodymyr Zelensky referred to the risk of taking the war to Russian territory (beyond the Crimea, where Kiev seems to have received authorization from its suppliers to attack any target) and explicitly mentioned the danger of losing the support of its partners in case of doing so. A few hours later, "unidentified drones", as described by Mikhailo Podolyak in his postson social networks, they simultaneously attacked several Russian cities far from the front. Ukraine seeks not just to show military force but to perpetuate these attacks and perhaps expand them. Hence, the message published yesterday by the adviser to the Office of the President Mikhailo Podolyak is no coincidence, who in addition to denouncing, as he does daily, any peace initiative that does not involve complete Russian military defeat and regime change, added the one he considers the main prerequisite: “give Ukraine full green light”. It is not a secret that Podoliak refers to the use of all types of weapons, especially those delivered by the West, in any theater of war. Bearing in mind that the only restrictions currently in place are limited to the use of Western weapons on the Russian mainland.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/09/01/ataqu ... more-28045

Google Translator

*******

Chronicle of the special military operation for August 31, 2023
August 31, 2023
Awakened dragon

Ukrainian formations again attacked the Bryansk region with drones : air defense systems intercepted several drones, there were no casualties and no damage. In addition, an attempt to penetrate the enemy's DRG into the territory of the Navlinsky district was suppressed at night : two saboteurs were eliminated, five were detained.

On the fronts, fighting continues along the entire line of contact. While on the southern flank of the defense of Bakhmut , Russian troops were able to occupy several new positions and repel enemy attacks, in the Orekhovsky sector , units of the RF Armed Forces are under incessant roll-up of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the north-west of Verbovoye .

The tense situation persists in the Kherson direction as well . According to some reports, Russian troops under artillery fire are trying to gain a foothold on the island of Nestryga . At the same time, the Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance group again managed to land in the area of ​​the Antonovsky bridge .

Image

On the massive UAV UAV attack on Russia

Image
Last night, a Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance group tried to penetrate the territory of the Navlinsky district in the Bryansk region . The units of the FSB, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and the Russian Guard discovered the enemy and entered into battle with him: two saboteurs were eliminated, five were detained, three of them were injured.


According to the FSB, members of the DRG planned to carry out terrorist attacks on military and energy infrastructure facilities. Each of them had with him a significant set of weapons, including M4 assault rifles, explosive devices and grenades.

Nevertheless, the Russian side was also not without casualties: two National Guardsmen were injured - as the department assured, they will be presented for state awards.

The situation on the front line and the fighting

In the Starobelsky direction, fierce fighting continues in the Kupyansky sector , where Russian troops continue their positional offensive towards the Oskol River. In addition, the RF Armed Forces are expanding the zone of control in the Sinkovka area , where they were previously able to recapture several new positions from the enemy.


In the Soledar direction, Ukrainian formations are undertaking sorties at the Kleshcheevka - Kurdyumovka line , but so far without success. As a result of several counterattacks, the Russian fighters managed to gain a foothold in their zone of control and expect further attacks by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.


In the Donetsk direction, the predominantly positional nature of the conduct of battles is preserved, which is characterized by artillery duels and the use of UAVs, occasionally attacks by assault groups occur. It was reported about the destruction of the ammunition depot of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the vicinity of Maryinka . Several attacks of assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were repelled in the Avdiivka area . The enemy suffered significant losses in manpower and equipment, without achieving success.

Image
Artillery duels continue on the Vremievsky site . Russian troops are engaged in an active counter-battery fight. According to the Warrior of the Far East , three vehicles were destroyed in different areas, as well as two enemy howitzers. However, on the western and southwestern outskirts of Staromayorsky, there is a concentration of forces of the 23rd Ombre and 128th troop detachment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. 120-mm mortar crews of the 128th brigade are conducting a massive shelling of positions of the RF Armed Forces in landings to the west. Also, Ukrainian formations transferred 80 mobilized to the area of ​​the Grusheva beam in the direction of Priyutnoye to reinforce the 31st brigade. Units of the 31st brigade also occupy the lines northeast of the village, preparing for an attack.


Judging by the movements of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the enemy plans to attack the strongholds of the Russian army northeast of Priyutnoye and west of Staromayorsky after artillery preparation, due to their favorable location. The positions between Priyutny and Staromayorsky are placed in landings at tactically advantageous heights, from which the current lines of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Staromayorsky and Urozhayny are fired . And in order to move south, the Armed Forces of Ukraine need to capture this bridgehead, so the efforts in this area are not surprising.

Image
On the Orekhovsky sector in the second half of the day yesterday, two assault groups of the 15th brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine conducted reconnaissance in force north-west of Verbove with the support of artillery and two Su-25 attack aircraft. The attacks were repulsed, but after a couple of hours, the Armed Forces of Ukraine began a massive shelling of the forward positions of Russian troops in Verbove and its environs. After the artillery preparation, the Armed Forces of Ukraine went on the offensive again.


With the forces of four assault detachments of the 82nd brigade and 46th brigade of the DShV of Ukraine, the enemy again attacked the strongholds of the RF Armed Forces, operating from the area of ​​\u200b\ u200bthe Chubenkov beam . Artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which was recently supplied with a batch of cluster munitions, supported the attackers with fire.


At the moment, the attacks have been repulsed, and the Ukrainian paratroopers again suffered losses and retreated to their original positions. Due to the lack of forces in the assault groups from Malaya Tokmachka , formations of 118 ombr, which were in reserve, were moved to the area west of Verbovoye.

Image
A very curious situation is developing in the Kherson direction in the southwestern islands: Ukrainian formations have been shelling Nestryga Island from mortars and artillery for several days. And since this happens, it turns out that Russian troops are either trying to gain a foothold, or are already on the island. And in this situation, control over the islands of Belogrudy and Maly Belogrudy is also with the RF Armed Forces. And to the east, the situation is less pleasant: a DRG consisting of seven people was again deployed to the Antonovsky Bridge , which indicates the presence of a bridgehead on the left bank. They were hit by artillery, but the results are unknown.


Also, assault detachments of the 126th brigade of the territorial defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to gain a foothold on the left bank northeast of Podstepnoe . The TRO forces are setting up positions and preparing to attack. The command of the Ukrainian grouping in the direction plans to storm the borders of the Russian Armed Forces, using the bridgehead on the left bank, as well as landing on the right side, where units of the 131st reconnaissance battalion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are already actively preparing. To reinforce 131 orbs in the vicinity of Tokarevka , assault groups of 121 troop units with a total strength of up to 120 people were deployed. Together with 131 orbs, they are planned to be used to attack Korsunka .

Shelling of rear territories and residential areas
The Armed Forces of Ukraine once again tried to strike with a drone on Moscow . Air defense systems eliminated the threat in the Voskresensky district of the Moscow region. According to preliminary data, there were no casualties or damage.

Image
Ukrainian formations continue to attack the Bryansk region : in the morning, four enemy UJ-22 Airborne drones tried to hit the urban infrastructure in the regional capital.


The alarm was raised by local units of the Russian Guard and the Ministry of Internal Affairs, with the help of anti-drone rifles and small arms, they destroyed all air targets. According to the authorities, there were no damages or casualties at the crash site.

Image
In the neighboring Kursk region, the village of Tetkino in the Glushkovsky district came under fire : roofs, windows and facades in four households were damaged. There were no casualties. Also, local residents reported arrivals in the area of ​​​​the settlements of Elizavetovka and Oleshnya .

Image
The official authorities of the Belgorod region did not report on the strikes of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, however, information was received from local sources about the shelling of Repyahovka , Bayrak and Balok .

Image
Ukrainian formations continued to terrorize the civilian population of the Donetsk agglomeration . And although today the total number of arrivals in the territories of the DPR was significantly less than in previous periods, a number of local sources still reported on the victims. ten civilians were wounded: six in the Kirovsky district of Donetsk , four in the Volnovakha district . Throughout the day, Yasinovataya , Gorlovka , Aleksandrovka and Makeevka were under enemy fire .

Image
The Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to strike at settlements on the left bank of the Kherson region . New Kakhovka , Kakhovka , Vasilievka and Gornostaevka came under artillery fire .


In addition, a Ukrainian drone crashed into an aerial platform of electrical distribution systems in Dnepryany : there were temporary problems with power supply in the village.

Political events
About possible personnel changes

Personnel changes continue to be discussed in Ukraine: local sources claim that Defense Minister Alexei Reznikov will leave his post in September , who will then allegedly leave as ambassador to the UK.

There was talk of the politician's resignation back in the winter: then the media indicated the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate, Kirill Budanov , as his replacement . Now the media are calling several personalities as a candidate to replace Reznikov, including Rustem Umarov , head of the State Property Fund and adviser to the head of the banned Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar people.

It is possible that this time the rumors about the change of the Ukrainian Minister of Defense will not be confirmed. However, now the likelihood of such an outcome of events is much higher than in February: against the backdrop of an offensive that obviously went wrong, the Kyiv authorities need to find someone who can later be blamed for any failures.

The corresponding information background for the dismissal of Reznikov is ready: he recently became a defendant in a scandal about public procurement of low-quality goods at inflated prices. And in itself, the post of Minister of Defense in Ukraine is not related to command and control, and anyone can be appointed there without any impact on the combat capability of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

At the same time, the Kyiv authorities will try to solve another problem: now the West is actively discussing the subject of military assistance to Ukraine in 2024, taking into account the current realities. So Reznikov's resignation can easily be filed under the sauce of the success of the "fight against corruption" and use this as an argument for continuing deliveries in the same volumes.

On problems in the supply of Western equipment for the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has said that Ukraine will need about 160 more F-16 fighter jets to gain an upper hand in the skies. At the moment, about 50 F-16 fighter jets have been promised to Ukraine, but their deliveries will begin only next year. Obviously, this number of fighters is critically small, and the delivery times themselves are extremely extended. Earlier, The New York Times wrote that Ukraine would most likely need years to train and train enough pilots in order to achieve coverage of its airspace. In this situation, the number of fighters does not play a role.

Such deliveries of NATO equipment have other problems. In addition to the difficulties associated with the maintenance and repair of the supplied weapons, the Armed Forces of Ukraine faced a new problem - as it turned out, there are not enough specialists in NATO countries who can use Leopard 1a5 tanks. To solve this problem, it is necessary to involve in the training of soldiers who served in the 80s of the last century. It is expected that such an approach will take even more time for the training of tankers and will certainly affect the quality of the training itself.

On "strengthening Ukrainian democracy"

The discussion of possible presidential elections in Ukraine in 2024 is gaining new momentum. Volodymyr Zelensky said that if the elections are still held during the clashes, he will again run for president. Earlier, he noted that he sees no point in holding elections in the conditions of the NWO. In addition, the Constitution of Ukraine prohibits holding elections during martial law. Apparently, Zelensky changed his rhetoric after a series of statements by Western officials who felt that holding presidential elections would help "strengthen Ukrainian democracy." Ironically, during his 2019 presidential campaign, Zelenskiy vowed that he would only run for one

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

Google Translator

(Other images at link.)

*******

80 Years After the Battle of Kursk
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on AUGUST 31, 2023
Sergio Rodríguez Gelfenstein

Image

It is true that the Battle of Stalingrad, which ended in February 1943, marked a turning point in the development of the Second World War because it was Germany’s first major defeat in the war and the one that signaled the beginning of the Soviet counteroffensive to dislodge the Nazi army from its territory. It was still the Battle of Kursk though, of which the 80th anniversary has been celebrated on August 23, that established the certainty that Nazi Germany would be defeated, and the Third Reich would have no possibility of consolidating itself on the planet.

In the spring of 1943, the eastern front line featured a salient that was 250 kilometers long and 160 kilometers wide. In the center of that bulge was the Soviet city of Kursk, located very close to where the conflicts in Ukraine take place today. On April 11, the Soviet High Command met to begin planning operations in the Kursk Arc. Generals Vasilevsky, Antonov and Zhukov oversaw designing the operational plan for the actions. The next day the plan was ready, and, in the evening, they presented it to Stalin.

According to Zhukov, Stalin listened “perhaps like never before” to the generals’ considerations but continued to express concern about what might happen in Moscow’s strategic direction. It was decided to create a staggered defense in depth in the most important directions, but with an emphasis on Kursk. Likewise, the strategic reserves of the High Command were concentrated in the vicinity of the areas considered to be most dangerous.

Likewise, guidelines were drawn up by the Central Committee of the Communist Party and the State Defense Committee to make an even greater effort in the production of tanks and self-propelled artillery.

Hitler considered it necessary to eliminate the possibility of this front extending westwards, endangering the very existence of his project. To counter such a possibility, he designed an offensive plan that was structured around a “double pincer” movement from the north and south in order to create a large “pocket” that would close the Kursk salient, leaving the Soviet troops isolated.

The German leader assumed that a victory at Kursk would reaffirm the German strength, questioned after the defeat at the Battle of Stalingrad. He also hoped to capture large numbers of Soviet prisoners for use as labor in the armaments’ industry.

The Nazi offensive, initially scheduled for May 1943, was delayed awaiting the arrival of new tanks with wider tracks, better armament and armor than previous models. The German delay to attack gave the Red Army time to build a series of defensive belts that included minefields, barbed wire fences, anti-tank ditches, and machine gun nests. The Soviets also had time to concentrate their own armored units. Perhaps what is happening today in Ukraine had its closest simile in the Battle of Kursk.

At the beginning of July 1943, Hitler managed to muster some 800,000 men, 2,900 tanks, 7,000 guns, and 2,000 aircraft. For its part, the Soviet armed forces were around 2 million strong and had 3,250 tanks, 20,000 artillery pieces and 3,500 aircraft on the Western Front. Zhukov believed in the summer of 1943, on the eve of the battle, that the Soviet armed forces outnumbered the German ones both quantitatively and qualitatively.

The German attack, called Operation Citadel, began on July 5 from both the north and the south as planned. After the corresponding artillery preparation, the armored and infantry land forces advanced, supported by aviation. Initially, the combative actions favored the Germans, who managed to overcome the first defensive belt and advance towards the enemy lines. But as the days went by, the Soviet army recovered and on July 11 managed to stop the attack.

O July 13, Hitler convened in his headquarters in East Prussia the field marshals von Kluge and von Manstein, who were the main military commanders in the operations. He was disappointed with the depth of the advance of only 12 kilometers to the north and 35 kilometers to the south (as Zelensky and his NATO bosses are today at the weakness of their counteroffensive). At the time, the Allied landing in Sicily was taking place simultaneously, which opened another war front against the Nazi-Fascist axis.

The military leaders did not agree among themselves in their assessment. Von Kluge proposed going on defense, as he was aware of the strength of the Soviet counterattack. But Von Manstein instead requested that the attack continue because he believed that victory was within reach. Hitler, attentive to what was happening in the west, only allowed offensive operations in the south to continue until Soviet reserves could be destroyed. After that decision, a considerable number of troops, the most suitable ones, were transferred from the west to the Soviet front.

The actions began on July 5. Despite the good structuring of the Soviet defense and the heroism of the soldiers, the enemy at the cost of heavy casualties managed to advance up to 10 km. in some sectors, but could not break through the well-organized defensive line of the Soviet army. By July 10, the Germans had lost a considerable number of tanks. On July 12, Stalin ordered to go on the offensive.

Operation Roland then began, which showed significant advances for the Germans on July 15 and 16, when they were about to take the city of Prókhorovka. But the Soviet High Command acted immediately, sending its best generals to face the dangerous situation in order to give a forceful, timely and effective response.

On July 17, the Soviets began a major offensive that put an end to German advances. However, on the 23rd the offensive had to stop due to the need to replenish reserves, regroup troops and restructure cooperation between large army units and between these and other types of armed forces. All this required 8 to 10 days.

Although Stalin constantly insisted on continuing the offensive, Generals Zhukov and Vasilevsky managed to convince him that there was no need to rush and that the operation should continue when the conditions were right. In particular, the multilateral supply of troops had to be resolved. Stalin accepted the proposal of his generals.

Over the next several weeks, the Soviet armed forces launched various counteroffensives that pushed back the German armies and culminated in the capture of the city of Kharkov on August 23. Thus ended the Battle of Kursk.

According to Marshal Zhukov, the Battle of Kursk, which took place simultaneously in that region and in those of Belgorod and Oryol, is one of the most outstanding of the Second World War. Not only were the most important German military groups annihilated, but also “the faith in the Nazi leadership and in Germany’s ability to counter the growing power of the Soviet Union was undermined among the German people and among Hitler’s allies.”

The defeat of the Germans at Kursk paved the way for vast offensives by the Soviet armed forces to expel the invaders from the national territory including Ukraine and Belarus and subsequently proceed to the liberation of Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Yugoslavia, Romania and Bulgaria and extirpate Nazi fascism from Germany itself.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2023/08/ ... -of-kursk/

*Correction: The Battle of Moscow was the first major Nazi defeat. If not for that the Stalingrad fight wouldn't have mattered much if it happened at all.

******

Image

Agent Zelensky – Part 2
By Scott Ritter Extra (Posted Aug 31, 2023)

Originally published: Dissident Voice on July 18, 2023 (more by Dissident Voice) |
Empire, Imperialism, Strategy, WarEurope, UkraineNewswirePart 2, Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky
In the intelligence business, every agent is assigned tasks by his or her handlers. In the case of Agent Zelensky, I’ve identified ten obligations that define his relationship with his foreign intelligence masters. Once you’ve examined each of these, it becomes clear why Zelensky the comedian said one thing, and Zelensky the President did another. What are the true reasons behind the current situation in Ukraine today? What kind of operation has the CIA been running in Ukraine over the course of many years? You will find the answers to these and other questions in Part 2 of my investigative documentary film, “Agent Zelensky.” Click here to watch Part 1. https://mronline.org/2023/08/09/a-scott ... ky-part-1/

(Video can be viewed here: https://mronline.org/tag/part-2/)

https://mronline.org/2023/08/31/agent-zelensky-part-2/

*********

Spain’s Defence Minister Comes to Defence of EU Chief “Diplomat” Josep Borrell in War of Words With Russia That Borrell Initiated
Posted on September 1, 2023 by Nick Corbishley
“When Russia insults the high representative of the European Union, it is insulting all Europeans.”

A couple of weeks ago, as reported here, the co-founder and honorary president of El País, José Luis Cebrián, penned an op-ed in the newspaper titled “Defending Ukraine to the Death… of Ukrainians” in which he warned about the potentially dire consequences of the war in Ukraine for Europe’s future. As I noted in my post on that piece, Cebrián raised concerns about the real objectives of the war, the way it is being waged and the way it is subordinating the objectives of the EU project to those of the NATO military alliance.

In conclusion, Cebrián wrote:


This is not a war between Russia and Ukraine, but a proxy war between NATO and Russia. Neither of them can be absolute losers if we aspire to a lasting peace in Europe and want to prevent the conflict from spiralling into a third world war. But the voices in favour of a ceasefire do not seem to have much effect on the rulers of democratic Europe, ours included, ready as they are to defend Ukraine until the death of the last Ukrainian.

“Spawn of Satan”

In other words, even the rare voices of disquiet within European policy circles that are calling for a change of direction on the war are getting short shrift from most of the region’s rulers. Which brings us nicely to one of this week’s episodes of farcical European leadership. On Tuesday, Cadena Ser, a Spanish radio broadcaster belonging to Grupo Prisa, which also happens to be the parent group of El País, ran a story with the following bizarre headline:

Robles Lashes Out at Russia for Calling Josep Borrell a “Spawn of Satan”: “We cannot accept Threats”

Margarita Robles is Spain’s acting minister of defence and on Tuesday she gave a speech at the headquarters of SATCEN, the EU satellite coordination centre, on the outskirts of Madrid. Also in attendance was Josep Borrell, the EU’s high representative for foreign affairs and security policy and a former cabinet colleague of Robles’ in the Pedro Sánchez government.

During that speech Robles brought up some of the recent incendiary comments made by Vladimir Solovyov, a prime-time Russian television presenter and pro-Putin propagandist, about Borrell. On his daily TV show Solovyov had called Borrell a litany of names including “idiot”, “enemy of the Slavs,” “enemy of the Russian people”, “little demon” and “spawn of Satan.” He also noted that Borrell, while “supposedly holding the position of quasi foreign minister of the European Union, behaves like a minister of war.” That one is true.

Solovyov also launched a verbal onslaught against Borrell’s native country of Spain, which he described as the “world’s evil” for its centuries of colonising other countries. And this, I imagine, was probably the final straw for Robles, who responded with these words:

“We cannot accept threats or insults from Russia. When Russia insults the high representative of the European Union, it is insulting all Europeans. Threats are not acceptable. Russia has to know that the European Union will continue to support Ukraine, because supporting Ukraine is supporting peace, freedom and security.”

As Cebrián said, people like Robles are willing to defend Ukraine “until the last Ukrainian.” They are also perfectly happy to use even the most insidious examples of Orwellian doublespeak, such as “war is peace”, to justify their ends.

In return for her unyielding support for Ukraine, Robles was awarded the “distinction of honour” by Ukraine’s Ministry of Defence of Ukraine on Monday. The acting Minister of Defence received the medal from the Ukrainian ambassador to Spain, Serhii Pohoreltsev. Zelensky’s government also gave honours to Spain’s Secretary General of Defence Policy, Admiral Juan Francisco Fernández Núñez, and the Director General of Defence Policy, Lieutenant General Fernando López del Pozo.

Robles’ defence of Borrell is absurd for at least three reasons:

1.Robles, a senior albeit acting minister of the Spanish government, was not responding to comments made by a senior official of the Russian government, but rather a Russian propagandist working for Russian state television. In other words, it wasn’t “Russia” insulting Borrell; it was a Russian TV presenter. By directly responding to Solovyov’s insults, Robles gave greater prominence to those insults while bringing the ministry she represents down to Solovyov’s level.
2.Robles’ assertion that when Russia insults Borrell, Europe’s gaffe-prone chief diplomat, it is insulting all Europeans is farcical. For a start, there are tens of millions of Europeans from non-member countries who are not EU citizens and whom Borrell does not represent in any shape or form. They include millions of Russian citizens living in Western Russia. It is also arguable whether Borrell even represents EU citizens given nobody ever voted for him. In fact, Robles’ assertion is reminiscent of former US NIAID Director Anthony Fauci’s statement that “attacks on me, quite frankly, are attacks on science”.
3.It wasn’t Solovyov, or any Russian for that matter, that began this latest war of words; it was Borrell himself. Channelling his inner John McCain, he said in an interview with El País on August 19 that “the Russian economy is too small compared to the real geopolitical players.” Asked about EU relations with China, Borrell stressed that the Asian giant is not Russia: “China is a real geopolitical player, while Russia is an economic dwarf, it’s like a gas station whose owner has an atomic bomb.”


Describing Russia as an economic dwarf is not just offensive, it is plain wrong. Russia’s autarchik economy has weathered 18 months of all-out war against it from both the US, the world’s [declining] economic superpower, and the EU, the world’s largest trade bloc. It is one of the world’s biggest exporters not only of energy but all sorts of vital commodities. It also just overtook Germany to become the fifth wealthiest economy in the world and the largest in Europe on PPP (purchasing power parity) terms, and is on target to grow at a rate of around 2.5% this year, while many EU countries, including Germany and the Netherlands, are sliding into recession.

What’s more, despite 11 rounds of sanctions against Russia, Europe’s economy is still heavily dependent on the natural gas coming out of Russia’s “gas station” — only now it’s in liquefied form, which is a lot more expensive and more difficult to transport. According to a new report by Global Witness, an environmental watchdog organisation, EU member states are now buying 40% more Russian LNG, which is currently exempt from EU sanctions, than it did in 2021. Their purchases in the first seven months of this year are actually slightly higher than they were during the same period of last year.

In fact, three EU countries were among the top five biggest clients of Russian LNG in the first seven months of this year: Spain, in second place after China, Belgium in third and France in fifth (after Japan). These three countries have become busy destinations for LNG carriers, whose supplies are unloaded onto sophisticated terminals and cooled backed into gaseous form and sent to power plants in countries like the Netherlands, Greece, Portugal, Finland, Italy and Sweden.

“Envy and Impotence”

Borrell’s provocative comments from the El País interview are not mentioned in any of the three Spanish articles I have read on Robles’ speech, despite (or perhaps because of) the fact that they would have added some much-needed context to the diplomatic spat. But the comments were certainly picked up by senior Russian officials.

Hours after the El País interview aired, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova described Borrell’s statements as the product of “envy and impotence”, adding that “the EU is bankrupt” and ruined itself when it stopped buying quality [Russian] fuel at an affordable price. In response to the “atomic bomb” comment, Zakharova said that only one EU country has nuclear weapons, while the others have not been able to produce them. “There is nothing to be proud of, which is why they are so angry. So everything Borrell said is the result of envy and helplessness,” concluded Maria Zakharova.

For his part, Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said the EU’s chief diplomat’s racist worldview is what prevents him and other Western leaders from accepting the reality of a nascent multipolar world. “Today’s West is steered by people like Josep Borrell who divide the world into a blooming ‘garden’ and ‘the jungle,’ where the latter clearly applies to most of humanity.” said Lavrov. “I dare say, this racist worldview certainly prevents them from accepting the onset of multipolarity.”

This is not Lavrov’s first clash with Borrell. That came in early February 2021, a full year before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, when the EU’s chief diplomat visited Moscow with the ostensible goal of getting EU-Russia relations back on track after years of ratcheting tensions. It was Borrell’s first (and quote possibly last) visit to the Kremlin and the first of any EU diplomat since 2017. As I reported for NC at the time, it was a diplomatic disaster:

Borrell’s big mistake was to go all the way to Moscow to lambaste the Putin government for its rough treatment of Navalny, which he could have done from the comfort of his own office in Brussels. That rough treatment includes allegedly trying to poison Navalny with a Novichok-type nerve agent. That was in August [2020]. After apparently taking ill on an internal flight in Russia, Navalny was taken to Germany, where he spent five months recovering. On January 17 [2021], he returned to Russia and was duly arrested for violating parole from a 2014 sentence for embezzlement. Last week, the court sentenced him to two years and eight months in a prison colony.

Borrell called for Navalny’s release and an investigation into his poisoning, neither of which went down well with his hosts. Nor did his allusions to the rule of law, international human rights and respect for the sovereignty of other nations.

The Russian Federation’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov responded by lashing Brussels for its own failings. He called the EU “unreliable” and accused Germany and France of arrogance in their dealings with Russia. Then, he delivered the coup de grace. He accused Brussels of double standards over Spain’s imprisonment of Catalan separatists. And Borrell’s glass house began to shatter…

After the press conference Russia expelled three EU diplomats, from Germany, Poland and Sweden, for allegedly participating in protests against Navalni’s imprisonment. Germany, Poland and Sweden responded in kind, by expelling three Russian diplomats from their territory. Rather than getting EU-Moscow relations back on track, Borrell’s visit drove them to a new low, which will no doubt delight hawks in Washington and NATO.


On his return to Brussels, Borrell wrote on his EU blog that his visit had confirmed that “Europe and Russia are drifting apart.” German broadcaster Deutsche Welle said his visit was “perhaps the biggest shambles” in the EU’s short-lived history of international diplomacy. That, of course, was before Borrell’s infamous speech at the European Diplomatic Academy last October in which he compared Europe to a garden and “most of the rest of the world” to a dark, invading jungle.

Borrell may have apologised for making that statement but the damage had already been done. And that damage was worldwide. With Borrell in charge of EU diplomacy, not only is the EU doing many things badly on the international stage, mainly due to its subordination to the interests of NATO (and by extension, the US); it is also saying things badly. And in the world of foreign relations that matters a lot, especially if Europe wants to maintain any semblance of soft power in the gradually emerging multipolar world.

https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2023/09 ... iated.html
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

User avatar
blindpig
Posts: 10771
Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2017 5:44 pm
Location: Turtle Island
Contact:

Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Sat Sep 02, 2023 11:54 am

Dynamics of the Proxy War
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 02/09/2023

Image

The war in Ukraine is not the first to take place on the European continent since World War II, but it is the most intense and the one that is having the most economic consequences for the countries that, without directly intervening, participate by supporting the Ukrainian proxy. In this context, the possibility of profiting from the suffering of others is essentially limited to the United States and can be summed up in the consequences of the war in several key sectors of the economy: arms production and the energy sector.

The data on the profits of the big arms companies and their growth on the stock market have been more than verified in the year and a half that have elapsed since the beginning of the Russian military intervention. United States companies stand out in these benefits, as it could not be otherwise considering that it is the world's leading military industry. Compared to European countries, which have suffered the side effects of the sanctions they themselves have imposed against Russia, the United States lives a very different reality in which it is able to profit from the war in Europe without feeling its consequences. The situation is especially evident in the case of energy products, mainly gas. It is no coincidence that the United States was one of the main suspects in the Nord Stream case,

Washington, which has fought against the project since it was raised, openly welcomed the opportunity that the disappearance of the much hated gas pipeline represented. Blinken's smile and the jubilation of Victoria Nuland confirmed the joy of the United States, that with the war and the possibly definitive closure of the two Nord Streams, not only the expansion that never came into operation, they have achieved a goal that took decades searching.

European countries reacted to the Russian invasion by vowing to give up addiction cheap and reliable energy supplied by Russia and imposed sanctions against gas and oil that transited through the pipelines. However, as has become known this week, Russia continues to be the second supplier of liquefied gas on the European continent, with strong sales increases to countries that, such as Spain or Belgium, have been two of the staunchest defenders of sanctions. . In the Spanish case, the situation is particularly paradoxical considering that the Minister of the Environment, now acting, Teresa Ribera, described it as "shame" that Russian liquefied gas has not already been sanctioned. Despite being willing to buy gas in other markets at higher prices, European countries have not yet managed to replace Russian gas,

However, the main benefit for Washington is not the increase in its deliveries, but the disappearance of the main competitor of its allies. The objective of the United States is not only economic but it is fundamentally political. Breaking the energy ties between Berlin and Moscow means notably hindering any possibility of resuming in the future, even in the long term, the political ties between the two countries, also preventing any attempt to form a Berlin-Moscow-Beijing axis.

Also the military aspect of this war has political objectives in the case of the United States. The profits of big arms companies and the push for rearmament taking place globally, especially at the European level, make an economic case for the Biden administration, especially in terms of justifying continued military aid to Ukraine. Next year's presidential elections involve a primary process in which a part of the Republican Party, the one most closely linked to Donald Trump and the sectors most to the right, can use the Ukrainian question as an argument.

That position also extends to a part of the Republican establishment , such as former presidential candidate Mitt Romney, who this week called the war in Ukraine "the best investment in national security that the United States has ever made." Romney's speech hasn't changed, although the context in which it occurs and, above all, the response he gets from his Democratic opponents has. During the election campaign that would ultimately bring Barack Obama and Joe Biden to the White House, Romney was ridiculed for using, in his Cold War mentality, the Russian threat as an argument for increased military spending.

Romney's words do not differ at all from the message of one of the historical figures of the Democratic Party, Senator Richard Blumenthal, recently returned from a trip to Kiev that he shared with the Republican Lindsey Graham and the progressive Elizabeth Warren. Graham, who along with John McCain even went so far as to visit Azov troops and other Ukrainian units in Mariupol during the war years in Donbass, was one of the first political representatives to admit the obvious: the United States is aware that it is fighting a proxy war against Russia and is ready to fight Moscow “to the last Ukrainian”. That idea has become widespread both as an argument in favor of the continuation of military supplies to Ukraine and as a criticism of it, and has become the basis of US policy toward war. It is expected that it will also be one of the centers of political debate in reference to foreign policy during the campaign for the Republican primaries first and the general elections later.

The message is clear and seeks primarily to highlight the importance of the United States, actually the first step in taking credit for any Ukrainian success. Returning from his trip to Ukraine, Blumenthal has stated that "as Zelensky says frankly and openly, Ukraine could not have survived without America and our allies." And despite admitting that the current counteroffensive is "far from a surefire success," "the only way you can lose is if America disengages."

The logic of proxy warfare is evident in that speech, as it is in Blumenthal's description of the second part of the plot, which exploits the benefits his country is reaping, a message that is not directed at Ukraine or the US. European allies, but to the national public. “Even Americans who have no vested interest in the freedom and independence of democracies around the world should be satisfied that we are getting our money's worth with our investment in Ukraine,” he wrote Aug. 29 in an article published by the Connecticut Post, in which he wanted to make it clear that the war is coming cheap to the United States. “For less than 3% of our nation's military budget, we have enabled Ukraine to downgrade Russia's military potential in half, he wrote.

The message is the same as the one raised months ago by Condoleezza Rice and Robert Gates, who wrote in an article published by The Washington Post that the United States has a partner "willing to bear the consequences of war so that we don't have to." themselves in the future." It has long been hidden by none of the factions of the US political establishment that Ukraine is a useful tool for achieving important political, economic and military goals. In this logic, the cost that the war has for Ukraine in the form of destruction, death and indebtedness is nothing more than collateral damage whose consequences do not seem to be an important factor to take into account.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/09/02/dinam ... more-28050

Google Translator

******

Chronicle of the special military operation for September 1, 2023
September 1, 2023
Rybar

Ukrainian formations again attacked the rear settlements of Russia with drones: enemy devices were intercepted in Pskov , in the sky over Belgorod and the Bryansk region , and also on approach to Moscow near the city of Lyubertsy . One drone of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was still able to reach the goal - the city of Kurchatov in the Kursk region was attacked .

On the Day of Knowledge, the enemy massively shelled the settlements of the Donetsk agglomeration . Residential buildings and civil infrastructure facilities were damaged. According to the latest data, 23 civilians were injured , three people died, including a six-year-old girl.

In the Zaporizhia direction, Ukrainian formations, at the cost of significant losses, were able to establish control over Rabotino . At the moment, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have concentrated on trying to break through the defenses of the RF Armed Forces near Verbovoye . In addition, against the background of the forced evacuation of the civilian population, there is a possibility of intensifying fighting in the Gulyai-Pole area .

In the Kherson direction, Russian troops continue to suppress enemy attempts to gain a foothold on the left bank of the Dnieper . Nevertheless, the Armed Forces of Ukraine managed to land troops on Alekseevsky Island , east of the Antonovsky Bridge , and at the turn of the Podstepnoye - Cossack Camps , where the enemy maintains its presence for several days.

Image

Attack of Ukrainian UAVs on the rear settlements of Russia


Ukrainian formations once again used drones for a massive attack on the rear settlements of Russia. In Pskov, observers at one of the airspace control posts found a single unidentified object in the sky. According to preliminary data, the device was intercepted over the Kresty microdistrict , which is located in close proximity to the International Airport. Princess Olga.



In the Kursk region, the UAF drone struck Kurchatov , where the nuclear power plant of the same name is located: an administrative building and a non-residential building were damaged. The incident did not affect the operation of the nuclear power plant. Another drone was shot down on approach to Moscow near the city of Lyubertsy : according to preliminary information, casualties and destruction were avoided. In addition, UAVs were intercepted over the Belgorod and Bryansk regions last night .

The situation on the front line and the fighting

Image
In the Starobelsky direction, the enemy is building up forces. Near Kupyansk , the situation is relatively stable. After the tactical advance of the Russian army, the battles moved to the positional stage with the mutual use of artillery, mortars and drones. Due to the activity of Russian reconnaissance groups, the Ukrainian command transferred a battalion of an unidentified formation to Kupyansk, as well as reinforcements to the Dvurechnaya area , believing that the RF Armed Forces were preparing to continue the offensive.



In addition, to the west of Kupyansk in Bolshiye Khutory, an enemy unit was noted, armed with American equipment, namely the Hammer BBM and the Bradley IFV . And to the south, in the Borovaya area , the 67th mechanized brigade is under staffing, which suffered losses, including in the Kupyansky sector. 600 prisoners were transferred there from prisons in Vinnitsa, Volyn, Dnepropetrovsk and Zhytomyr regions, who should leave for the battle zone within three days. The Armed Forces of Ukraine pulled reinforcements to this line, partially weakening other areas. For example, south of Kislovka at the turn of Berestovoye - Kotlyarovkaparatroopers of the 25th air brigade are operating, which confirms the serious losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Kupyansk.



In the Soledar direction , during protracted battles, the RF Armed Forces, according to some reports, managed to level the control zone in the Berkhovka area . In addition, Russian forces were able to recapture several heights west of Kleshcheevka and north of Kurdyumovka . Artillery and unmanned aircraft of Russia are working on the entrenched enemy in the forest belt near Kleshcheevka.


The situation in the Vremievsky area remains relatively stable. In the Staromayorsky area , the enemy made attacks, but to no avail. Artillery strikes and mutual reconnaissance are taking place in the remaining sections of the direction.

Image
In the Orekhovsky section , as in the past two months, the main battles unfolded south of Orekhovo , where the Ukrainian Armed Forces unsuccessfully stormed Rabotino for several weeks . The enemy took an operational pause in the storming of the village and moved the strike vector in the direction of Verbovoye with the forces of 82 odshbr and 46 oambr, however, he could not achieve success there either. After that, the Armed Forces of Ukraine increased their pressure on Rabotino, and by September 1, the RF Armed Forces left the almost completely destroyed settlement to prepared positions to the south.

More curious in this case is how actively the enemy aircraft works in the area. Over the past day, ten Su-25/27 and MiG-29 aircraft from the Mirgorod , Kanatovo and Dolgintsevo air bases were noted, which hit not only the front line, but also to the depth of the front along Molochansk and Tokmak with HARM missiles and MALD decoys . In addition, from the settlements of Stepnogorsk , Yegorovka , Preobrazhenka , Novopavlovka and Gulyaipoleforcibly evacuate civilians. And if this is not surprising in the suburbs of Orekhov, then Gulyaipole is knocked out of what is happening and indicates a possible activation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in this area.

Image
In the Kherson direction in the island zone on the Dnieper , the Armed Forces of Ukraine are still trying to gain a foothold, sending more and more reconnaissance groups, with the support of artillery and mortars. Somewhere it works, but somewhere it doesn't. In the Golopristan sector, the Armed Forces of Ukraine sent two groups to Frolov Island and Maly Belogrudy . One boat was blown up by an anchor mine, and the other was destroyed on the way to the island.

Near the Antonovsky Bridge, as a result of an artillery attack by the RF Armed Forces, a DRG of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was destroyed, which equipped positions under the bridge itself. According to some reports, the Armed Forces of Ukraine lost ten people killed and wounded. However, 1 km east of the bridge on Alekseevsky Island , four groups of the 124th Territorial Defense Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in four boats were able to land on the shore. Now TRO units are equipping observation posts. A similar situation is still developing at the Podstepnoe - Kazachchi Camps line , where detachments of the 126th detachment of the TRO have been on the left bank for several days and are preparing to resume fighting.

Shelling of rear territories and residential areas

Image
The Armed Forces of Ukraine will continue to terrorize the border areas of the Kursk region . Not counting today's UAV attack on Kurchatov , the village of Troitskoye, Korenevsky district, was fired upon . Three arrivals were recorded. No harm done.

Image
At the same time, acts of aggression against the Belgorod region have become more frequent . Air defense systems shot down an enemy drone in the sky over Belgorod . In addition, the settlements of Leninsky , Murom , Novaya Tavolzhanka , the villages of Terebreno and Bezymeno were shelled .

Image
Today, Ukrainian formations fired on the settlements of the DPR most fiercely: the Armed Forces of Ukraine launched numerous strikes from the MLRS on Donetsk during the celebration of Knowledge Day. Only in the capital of the DPR, 16 people were injured. Unfortunately, children were among the victims . One of them was a six-year-old girl who later died . The total death toll has risen to three . In addition, Gorlovka , Yasinovatsky district , Zaitsevo , Aleksandrovka and Luhanske were hit .

Image
The Armed Forces of Ukraine again fired at the Kherson region : this time both Kakhovka , Kardashinka , Korsunka , Cossack Camps and Dnepryans came under attack . In Dnipro, as a result of the shelling of Ukrainian terrorists, two residential buildings were destroyed, but there were no casualties.

Political events
On the study of Ukrainian combat experience by Western analytical centers

Assertions that the successful experience of military operations of the NATO countries was not so effective in the NVO zone are gradually penetrating into the Western information field. The French publication Le Monde cites the opinion of experts from RAND , an influential think tank associated with the Pentagon.

According to them, the United States currently lacks the practical skills to overcome defense in depth without air superiority. At the same time, the counterinsurgency strategy and tactics that the US military has used for decades in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria are not applicable in Ukraine .

Such news suggests that at some levels in the West, the experience of the summer offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Zaporozhye direction is being actively studied. How much it will be taken into account in NATO will become clear over time: as practice shows, they can also be in illusions under the influence of ideological considerations.

However, we would pay attention to the very fact that think-tanks are involved in the USA for such tasks. No matter how strange their expertise may sometimes be, the presence of such structures sometimes allows you to get a more or less unbiased view from the outside, which increases the likelihood of making the right decisions.

On changes in the church calendar in Ukraine

Colleagues from the channel " The Devil Walks in Dixie " released an entertaining material. Ukrainian sects - we are now talking about the OCU and the UGCC - from today have finally approved the transition to a new church calendar . In this regard, most of the most important Orthodox holidays and events will be celebrated 13 days earlier - this is the Intercession, and the Exaltation of the Holy Cross, and Great Lent, and Easter. And, of course, Christmas is now planned to be celebrated in a Western way - December 25th.

In principle, there is nothing new and surprising in this event: at the end of June, Zelensky proposed to the Verkhovna Rada to postpone Christmas to this date, and since the beginning of the SVO, sectarians have only been saying that Orthodox Ukrainians should “celebrate Christian holidays together with the civilized world " .

Another disclosed scam of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine

The Ministry of Defense of Ukraine planned to purchase low-quality dry rations in the amount of $11 million , but the idea was uncovered by the investigators of the Office of the Prosecutor General - they seized a supply of a million food packages.

The incident itself is indicative - they want to hang all the problems and show the fight against corruption on the country's Minister of Defense Oleksiy Reznikov, who is preparing to be dismissed , thereby preparing a clean place for the new head of the department, which, according to some reports, may be the leader of the State Property Fund of Ukraine Rustem Umerov .

Reznikov himself will be sent on a well-deserved vacation in the role of ambassador to the UK. There, he will already have a great opportunity to explain to Western partners the reasons why, despite the supply of equipment and weapons, the vaunted offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine did not justify itself.

Mobilization and losses in the Armed Forces

Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine Oleksiy Danilov said that limitedly suitable men can be mobilized into the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. He noted that the National Security and Defense Council will clarify who exactly will be considered conditionally fit for military service in the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In addition, Danilov indicated that the security forces would establish the names of both the doctors who issued the fake certificates and the dodgers themselves: according to him, the lists of dodgers and corrupt officials would be published in two weeks.

Today, the Ukrainian Commissioner for Missing Persons Oleg Kotenko thanked Germany for the transfer of ten refrigerators to store the bodies of military personnel. Nevertheless, Kiev has long been calm about the colossal losses that were a direct consequence of the “meat assaults”. At the same time, none of the Ukrainian authorities and command intends to abandon them. Losses will be made up for by newly mobilized citizens - even those who were previously legally declared unfit for military service.

At the same time, the Cabinet of Ministers allowed students and cadets who receive education in aviation specialties to travel abroad and are not subject to conscription during mobilization. They may leave Ukraine to receive practical flight training in foreign educational institutions or in aviation schools due to the closure of airspace in Ukraine. It is possible that under this pretext, those who have significant financial resources and do not want to be slaughtered in the war zone can also leave the country.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

Google Translator

(Other images at link.)

*******

Assessment of the Ukraine and Russian Armies as Fall Battles Approach
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on SEPTEMBER 1, 2023
Vladislav Ugolny


Over the past three summer months, media all over the world has closely followed Ukraine’s much-hyped counteroffensive. However, nothing spectacular has happened. On reaching Russia’s line of defense, Kiev’s armed forces were able to capture several villages of no strategic value at the cost of significant casualties and destroyed Western equipment. For its part, Russia prioritized defensive tactics throughout this time, but also attempted to launch its own offensive in some directions.

What happened at the front this summer and why was neither side able to achieve significant success? And what condition are the two armies in as they approach the fall campaign?

Switching counteroffensive tactics

Ukraine’s counteroffensive in Zaporozhye Region and the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) has now been going on for over two and a half months. During this time, Kiev’s army managed to reach the first of Russia’s three lines of defense on a narrow stretch of land east of the village of Rabotino – the section of the front where the fighting is currently focused. Ukraine was forced to employ almost all its operational and strategic reserves to achieve this advance.

After the losses suffered in June, the Ukrainian command decided to abandon the tactics of employing large mechanized units to advance. Instead, it engaged in infantry assault operations backed by armored vehicles and artillery – a strategy similar to the one used by Russian troops in Artemovsk (Bakhmut).

This decision significantly slowed the pace of the counteroffensive and buried the strategic goal of reaching the Sea of Azov. However, the strategy made it possible to gradually break through, moving south and southeast.

As a result, by mid-August the Ukrainian army had entered Rabotino, engaged in street battles there, and captured two villages on the Vremevsky ledge: Staromayorskoye and Urozhaynoye. To the east of Rabotino, the Ukrainians were also able to reach Russia’s first line of defense.

Expert discussions

The slow progress disappointed Western and Ukrainian experts, and they began looking for someone to blame for the failed counteroffensive, which was supposed to end in victory. The prevailing opinion was that the Russian army – which had recovered from setbacks last fall and managed to build an effective line of defense with minefields, resilient infantry, artillery, aviation and helicopters – had been underestimated.

However, some quite ridiculous reasons for Ukraine’s failures were also put forward. For example, British intelligence blamed shrubs and weeds for the Ukrainian Army’s misfortunes while Ukraine’s Deputy Minister of Defense Anna Malyar attacked journalists who wrote about the losses suffered by the 82nd brigade.

There were also attempts by the sides to blame each other: Western experts accused the Armed Forces of Ukraine of ineffective operational control of the troops, while Ukrainians remarked that the aid provided to them was insufficient and too slowly delivered. At one point, the military’s Commander-in-Chief Valeriy Zaluzhny even said the Americans do not understand the nature of the ongoing conflict, and are trying to apply their experience of fighting partisan detachments to the realities of the current war. Zaluzhny himself claimed that the operation is more like the Battle of Kursk in 1943.
RT

Battles for Rabotino

Over time, the Ukrainian Armed Forces drew an increasing number of new units into the battles for Rabotino. While initially the counteroffensive was carried out by the 46th airmobile brigade and 47th mechanized brigade, eventually the Ukrainians were forced to pull the 116th, 117th and 118th mechanized brigades, National Guard forces, units of the 71st Jaeger and 1st tank brigades, and many separate units, including the special forces of the Marine Special Operations Center. Finally, in mid-August, Ukraine played its trump card and introduced the 82nd Air Assault Brigade, armed with US Stryker armored fighting vehicles, German Marder infantry fighting vehicles, and British Challenger tanks.

Initially, the 82nd Brigade was supposed to be brought into battle after Ukraine broke through the first line of Russian defense, in order to achieve further results. However, Kiev’s failures led to the premature deployment of the brigade and its first losses. Nevertheless, the Ukrainian Army managed to reach Rabotino and push the Russian troops to the southern outskirts of the village, as well as advance south-east of Rabotino, posing a threat to the Russian flanks.

By Ukraine’s Independence Day, celebrated on August 24, Ukrainian journalists and military bloggers declared that the village was under the full control of the Ukrainian Army, but there was no official confirmation of this. As of August 26, battles continue, with both sides suffering losses and pulling in additional forces.

The Vasilevka front

In June, the Ukrainian Army also tried to move in the direction of Vasilevka – a city controlled by Russia and located near the Kakhovka Reservoir. Employing the 128th mountain assault brigade and 65th mechanized brigades, the Ukrainians drove the Russian troops out of the villages of Lobkovoye and Pyatikhatki. However, having suffered considerable losses, Ukraine did not further engage in active assault operations, and limited itself to demonstration attacks.

This success allowed the Russian Army to employ some of its troops located in this direction to reinforce defenses in the area of Rabotino.

The Vremevsky ledge

The Ukrainian Armed Forces concentrated its entire marine corps in this direction: four brigades reinforced by artillery, including the 23rd and 31st mechanized brigades, units of the 1st and 4th tank brigades, as well as territorial defense forces and aviation.
RT FA Ukrainian Leopard 2 tank and several Bradley fighting vehicles destroyed by the Russian forces. © Telegram / Russian Defense Ministry

After they captured the Levadnoye-Ravnopol-Makarovka line, for a month and a half Ukrainian troops advanced in the fields along the flanks of Staromayorsky and Urozhaynoe. Eventually, this advance allowed Kiev to push Russian troops out of the area and pose a threat to Staromlinovka.

Ukrainian media outlets exaggerate the strategic importance of this village, calling it the main stronghold of the Russian defense in the area and ignoring the fact that the Russian Armed Forces’ first line of defense is located at an “operational depth”, significantly south of Staromlinovka. This village is indeed located at the crossroads of several important routes, but the Russians have several supply routes in the area.

The results of the Ukrainian counteroffensive

According to the OSINT community Lostarmour, in the course of its summer counteroffensive the Ukrainian Armed Forces has lost about 46 International MaxxPro armored fighting vehicles, 37 Bradley tanks, eight Leopard tanks, and three Stryker engineering version armored vehicles. These are merely the Western armored vehicle types that have been visually confirmed. In the area of Rabotino there are several tank graveyards, which keep growing. In Staromayorsky, 31 Ukrainian armored vehicles were burned to destruction – and that’s not counting the losses suffered in the course of nearby battles.

Considering the lack of weapons unification in the Ukrainian army and the associated problems with the supply, maintenance, and restoration of damaged equipment, such losses reduce the number of motorized units. The military is now entirely dependent on the supply of armored vehicles and equipment from Western allies. The only alternative is the militarization of civilian vehicles.

Even Ukrainian troops describe the shortage of armored vehicles experienced by their “Counteroffensive Guard”: “The Steel Cordon Brigade… In the second case, the group walks 7 km to carry out an assault operation. That’s 7km on foot. And when you’re completely f***ed up and almost arrive at the destination, they start urging you on with all their might.”

Moreover, in the course of the summer battles, the Ukrainian Army has not been able to effectively manage troops at the tactical and operational levels. The largest units in the Ukrainian army are still brigades (numbering 2,000-4,000 people), while Russia has divisions (4,000-20,000 people) and combined-arms units (over 40,000 people) which Ukraine can fight only by merging separate brigades of varying combat capability.
RT

Russia’s strategic plan

As it prepared for the defense of the land corridor to Crimea, the Russian command reinforced the site of future battles with a line of defense, and also pulled a large group of troops in the direction of Kupyansk and Krasny Liman.

A possible Russian offensive in the direction of the Oskol River posed a threat to the Ukrainians, since it could result in the loss of an important site captured by Kiev in October 2022. This forced the Ukrainian military to transfer newly formed brigades to the area. In this way, the 88th, 41st, 32nd, 43rd, 44th, 42nd, and 21st mechanized brigades were pulled here from the south. Also, it is possible that the 8th brigade and the 13th Jaeger brigade are presently moving towards Kupyansk.

Russian troops carried out several demonstration attacks in the direction of Borovaya and Kupyansk in July-August of this year. Occupying several dozen square kilometers, they forced Ukraine to transfer reserves to this direction and distract General Alexander Syrsky from the battle near Artemovsk.

Future prospects

Here is how the fighters of Ukraine’s 46th brigade assess the Melitopol direction: “Next up is Novoprokopovka and that’s probably it. Further on is the Russians’ main line of defense. Moreover, a deep wedge in the area of Rabotino would be an opportunity for the invaders to hit us in the flank from the areas of Kopan and Novofedorovka. And then we would either have to expand the front in the direction of Nesteryanka-Kopan and Belogorye, or we would get something similar to what we could’ve gotten in Bakhmut — flank envelopment with encirclement.” This means that the Ukrainians do not expect to break through Russia’s first line of echeloned defense in this area.

The summer campaign is coming to an end. Perhaps a warm and dry September will somewhat prolong the bloodshed, but in October the rains will turn the steppe into a huge mud pit, which is particularly dangerous for NATO’s heavy armored vehicles.

Both armies are exhausted by the summer battles and as soon as the weather takes a turn for the worse, will most likely start tending to their wounds and preparing for future battles. During this time, Ukraine will try to obtain aviation to use in its second counteroffensive attempt, although a better idea would be to first replenish the mechanized brigades.

As for the Russian Army, it will continue setting up its defense, and may launch a series of counterattacks in order to improve its tactical positions or, alternatively, it may shift its focus to the Artemovsk or Kupyansk directions. Also, during the fall and winter, the Russian military industry will continue addressing the issue of supplying the army with shells, armored vehicles, and longer-range barrage ammunition for counter-battery warfare.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2023/09/ ... -approach/

Dunno why the images don't work.

********

On the nature of the fighting at Rabotino
September 1, 15:32

Image

On the nature of the fighting at Rabotino

There was talk about an alleged breakthrough of our main line of defense near Rabotino in the Orekhovo-Tokmak area and, as a result, a long-awaited turning point in the counteroffensive. It seems to us that there is no breakthrough or turning point, and here's why.

So, about two weeks ago, the Armed Forces of Ukraine reached the front line of our defense east of Rabotino and since then they have been trying to do two things: expand the bridgehead and overcome this front line. From the map ( https://s1.hostingkartinok.com/uploads/ ... 60d9d7.jpg) at the end of the post, you can see why you can’t throw all your strength forward: you get a deep and vulnerable gut, fraught with flank strikes and encirclement. Even the current penetration from this point of view is already dangerous, and that is why the enemy is storming Rabotino so desperately: the capture of this village and the surrounding heights will allow expanding the front to the left, eliminating the flank threat from this side.

At the same time, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are advancing along the main line of defense to the right, towards Verbovoye. Apparently, the plan here is to force our troops north of Verbovoye to retreat in order not to be cut off. The goal is the same: to expand the bridgehead and eliminate the flank threat. Only after that it is possible to throw all forces down, to the south, to overcome the hill along which the line of defense passes.

There are several problems here. First, the advance along the front, and even in the lowland between the two commanding heights, makes vulnerable the flanks, which will stretch as they move forward. This could be fully observed to the west, near Staromayorsky and Urozhayny, where, in the same way, the Armed Forces of Ukraine advanced where they could (along the lowlands), eventually got stuck and even rolled back.

Secondly, attempts to advance from a small bridgehead in three directions (forward and sideways) require three times as many forces and means that need to be delivered to the front line under shelling through the fields and the only country road. With this, judging by the daily shots of the destroyed equipment, there are problems.

But the most important thing is the slow pace. The concept of "breaking through the front" is appropriate when the bill goes to hours, days at most. Then the enemy does not have time to react, and you can move on, breaking the defense and entering the operational space. It's like billiards, when a skilled player, without missing, can finish the game in minutes, without even giving the opponent a chance to retaliate.

It's not like that here. The fighting near Rabotino has been going on for almost three months, and for the last month on the southern front - almost exclusively near Rabotino. During this time, the defenders can not only slowly bring up reserves, but also strengthen defensive lines, if necessary, build new ones, cover fresh minefields, and equip firing points. In a sense, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are now in a worse position than they were three months ago: then they enjoyed the advantage of choosing the direction of the strike, but now that’s it, there’s no escape from the rut near Rabotino, and it’s very likely clear what and how they will do.

In order to develop success, the Armed Forces of Ukraine need to multiply the advancing grouping. It is doubtful that they could not do this before and will be able to now without exposing other sectors of the front. Without a multiple amplification, even local success will lead to nothing: the goal of the operation is not Rabotino, not Verbovoye, and not even overcoming the first line of defense. The goal is to reach the sea, and it is as far away as it was three months ago. The Armed Forces of Ukraine had a chance in early June, in an attempt to make a sharp leap forward, and they did not realize it.

Now it is impossible to enter the operational space, as we advance, it will be filled with new frontiers and fortified areas, new impregnable workers. There is less and less time, ahead of autumn, rains and winter.

https://t.me/vatfor/8800 - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8603407.html

Attack of sea drones on the Crimean bridge 09/02/2023

September 2, 3:51 am
At night, the enemy made an attempt to attack the Crimean bridge with unmanned drones.
Drones were timely detected on the approaches to the bridge and eventually destroyed.
A total of 3 drones were sunk. There was no damage to the bridge or civilian ships.
Movement on the bridge after the attack is carried out in the usual way.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8604321.html

Google Translator

******

Book Your Fondest Memories Here: Have an Exciting Vacation in Ukraine!
By Felix Abt - September 1, 2023 1

Image
[Source: independent.co.uk]

Already made vacation plans? How about something completely new? How about a country where “the air smells of freedom”?

How about a vacation in Ukraine?

The brave political tourists have led the way: British prime ministers (three in number), the American president, the German chancellor, the entire European Commission and many others have traveled to Kyiv in the last 12 months to be looked after by the much-praised tour guide Zelensky. Some have enjoyed it so much that they have become repeat visitors.

Image
German Interior Minister Nancy Faeser (left) and Labor Minister Hubertus Heil (right) enjoy the view of Kyiv from a balcony and sip champagne, together with Mayor and tour guide Vitali Klitschko and German Ambassador Anka Feldhusen (center). Klitschko’s ex-wife Natalia does not live in Kyiv with their three adult children (2 sons, 1 daughter), but in Germany. [Source: twitter.com]

Image
More excitement for German Interior Minister Nancy Faeser: Tour to a war zone and, fittingly, with an Aryan-looking Ukrainian tour guide wearing a T-shirt with the slogan “BLACK RIFLES MATTER.” [Source: twitter.com]

The war will not bother you, the organizers guarantee. And an occasional air alert will provide exciting conversation when you get back home. Besides, it takes place almost exclusively in the eastern Donbas, where the Ukrainian Russians live. And no foreign visitor has ever cared about them. Why should you?


All travel information about Ukraine conveniently at your fingertips. [Source: visitukrainetoday]

The website Visitukraine.today offers a rich selection: Eternal Kyiv. Hiking in the Carpathians. Austrian Lviv. Gastrotour through Odessa. Not to forget: snail races in Ladomyria Ethnopark. The frontline city of Kharkiv also beckons. At the Palace Hotel, a suite costs 250 euros.

Image
Wherever you are, book your hotel in Ukraine comfortably online. [Source: visitukrainetoday]
Air traffic has been suspended, but buses run from all over Europe. Those who prefer luxury can be picked up by a chauffeur in Warsaw, Krakow or Chișinău.

The tourist jewel, however, has so far been reserved for journalists: A tour of the “de-occupied heroic cities”—that’s the name of the recaptured territories. Five hours Bucha, Irpin, Hostomel, expert guide included. Costs 295 euros.

The most breathtaking of all: Visitukraine.today is also great for those who want to stay longer. A link leads to the Ukrainian Foreign Legion, which recruits foreign mercenaries. They are rewarded and honored with an exclusive tour to the Donbas, paid for by the generous taxpayers of NATO countries.

Image
Special offer for long-term foreign visitors. [Source: visitukrainetoday]

https://covertactionmagazine.com/2023/0 ... n-ukraine/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

User avatar
blindpig
Posts: 10771
Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2017 5:44 pm
Location: Turtle Island
Contact:

Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Sun Sep 03, 2023 1:37 pm

the wear and tear of war
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 09/03/2023

Image

Exactly three months have passed since the reactivation of large-scale hostilities on the Zaporozhye front, when the first German Leopard tanks, American Bradley vehicles and other Western armored vehicles began to advance on towns such as Rabotino or Pyatnashka on their way to the real objectives: the cities of Melitopol and Berdiansk. Since the beginning of the planning of the counteroffensive, broadcast live, Russia has had a constant flow of information offered by the media and official statements, which have announced both the objectives and the weapons that Ukraine was going to dispose of. . The objective of the offensive, as Volodymyr Zelensky and Mikhailo Podolyak have made even clearer this week, has always been to put Russia on the ropes in Crimea.

To achieve that goal, Ukraine has relied on continued assistance in tactical and strategic planning and the provision of real-time intelligence from its partners. And though not quite as quickly as the demanding Ukrainian proxy demanded, kyiv has made available the tanks, armored vehicles, mine clearance equipment and ammunition it has demanded. Despite Russian hopes that Western industry and reserves would not be able to cope with the huge demand for shells caused by the intensity of the war, announcements of new weapons deliveries come on a weekly basis. This same week, Ukraine has confirmed that it will immediately have the first American Abrams tanks, which will join the once so desired Leopard, whose result has not met the exaggerated expectations of its supposed invincibility. Kiev troops will soon also have depleted uranium ammunition approved this week by the United States, joining that already approved by the United Kingdom.

As controversial or more so than cluster bombs, depleted uranium projectiles remind us that everything is justified in the common war that the West fights against Russia through the use of the Ukrainian army as a tool. The ammunition shortage or the difficulty of the Western military industry to produce the necessary quantities to compensate for the falls in Western warehouses has not occurred so far, but the number of articles that, for months, have highlighted this possibility remind us that none of In recent decades, the supplying countries have waged a war with the intensity of the Russo-Ukrainian one. Short-term supply is guaranteed, but questions about how long the West can sustain the current flow of military assistance to Ukraine are not just the subject of the Russian press.

This week, Ukraine and, above all, its related media and allies, have wanted to highlight the great result of the advance of ten kilometers in almost thirteen weeks to the town of Rabotino, the first line of Russian defense. The town, empty and destroyed, has been considered liberated by Ukraine, although fighting continues in its surroundings and Kiev troops have not been able, in more than a week, to consolidate their positions or use that minimal advance to endanger other Russian positions. The declaration that the liberation of Rabotino opened the door to the advance towards Crimea that Dmitro Kuleba carried out last week was nothing more than a propaganda message at a time when more and more media consider the long war that they hoped to avoid with the current counteroffensive as a certainty and try to deny that there is an incipient stagnation. The current offensive was the only bet of Kiev's allies for 2023 and the current advances do not correspond to the exaggerated optimism that political representatives have shown for months, who have ignored the leaks of the establishment more aware of the difficulties, described as unrealistic the aspirations of complete victory for Ukraine, understood as the possibility of capturing Crimea. With such high expectations, the failure to capture important targets, primarily Melitopol, would put Ukraine and its partners in a position of weakness vis-à-vis Russia, which would have consolidated its most important positions by creating a war of attrition that could undermine Ukrainian capabilities. to receive sufficient supplies and, above all, to replenish their forces.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stortenberg this week highlighted Ukrainian progress and linked it to Western assistance, a thinly veiled way of justifying such renditions going on indefinitely. Ukraine's partners are aware that although Kiev's troops would continue to fight Russia as long as they had ammunition, defeat would be a given without the huge assistance they enjoy today. "The support that together we are providing to Ukraine is making a big difference right now on the battlefield because the Ukrainians have launched an offensive," he said, adding that "they are making progress, they are gaining territory." The vagueness of the comment, Without presenting specific cities or addresses in which progress is being made, it contrasts with the statements that were produced a year ago when commenting on the rapid and successful Kharkov offensive. The staunch defenders of Ukraine still have the possibility of a rapid advance after surpassing Rabotino, something that contrasts with the certainty that the Russian defenses are not limited to that first line that Ukraine claims to have surpassed and, above all, underestimates the ability of Russian troops, who have shown a much greater defensive solvency than a year ago.

The official narrative has been forced to adapt to clarify that victory will not be as quick as expected, but tries to maintain the perception that everything is going according to plan.and the small contingencies that arise along the way are simply problems of simple explanation. The West seems to have decided that the fundamental problem is the Ukrainian tactic which, still dependent on its Soviet heritage, prefers to avoid the huge losses that the plans demanded by the United States would guarantee, which tries to use a plan of great ground attack without air cover to which it will never He would send his own troops. Ukraine, for its part, blames the slowness of the offensive on the gradual rather than massive supply of weapons and the delay in the delivery of Western aviation. The F16s will arrive in Ukraine once the pilots have been trained in their handling. For now, despite announcements from a handful of European countries about the start of the training programme,

This figure points to another of the great problems of this war: the ability to relieve troops who have fallen or are exhausted after months in battle. For more than a year, the Western ability to monopolize speech has made that problem seem unique to Russia. It is evident from its reliance throughout the past winter on Wagner's troops, many of them conscripted from Russian prisons to be sent as cannon fodder to the battle for Artyomovsk, that the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation has suffered because of the numerical inferiority in which it has found itself in Ukraine, most likely due to poor planning and intelligence failures at the start of the special military operation. At that time, the Russian military authorities underestimated the defense capacity, will to fight and ability to mobilize foreign aid of the Ukrainian state and the quick operation they expected has turned into a long trench warfare that has required rethinking and partial mobilization. with which Moscow has tried to balance forces in terms of troops on the ground.

The number of Ukrainian casualties is the best-kept State secret, but the indications point not only to enormous losses -it cannot be otherwise, taking into account the intensity of the war- but also to difficulties in replenishing those troops through the mobilization. Proof of this are the videos of forced recruitment in the middle of the street that have been seen for months, but, above all, the information that has begun to proliferate in recent weeks. Although it was an obvious reality, Western media have begun to publish articles about that part of the population that, for various reasons, does not want to fight in the war against Russia and that flees the country by bribing border agents, through the Carpathians or simply hides from the draft. The fact that Zelensky fired all the officers of the regional recruitment offices, leaving the lucrative business in the hands of the SBU, is another indication of the difficulties of replacing personnel. In recent days, Zelensky has proposed to the Rada legislation that would make corruption, for which he mentions the example of bribery to avoid conscription, a crime of treason in times of war, yet another indication of the need to strengthen measures to prevent the loss of human resources to send to the front. It is no coincidence either that the Western press, in this case the Spanish one, reports the appearance of companies seeking to recruit people -mercenaries- to go to the war in Ukraine.

To these news we must add the persistent rumor of the expansion of the mobilization, which has increased in recent weeks and which was not denied by Zelensky when asked by the press. Despite months of Ukrainian propaganda about the impending Russian mobilization, which has not yet happened, it is Ukraine that appears to be struggling to replenish its losses. Statements by David Arajamia, leader of the Ukrainian delegation at the failed Ankara talks last year, have added even more certainty of the existence of these difficulties. The deputy from President Zelensky's party has raised the possibility that those men of military age who left the country on the basis of falsified medical reports be returned to Ukraine to be sent to war.

Although possibly unfeasible, Arajamia's proposal is yet another indication of the obvious wear and tear that troops are suffering in the war and that is common to Russia and Ukraine. Both countries also share a negative demographic trend inherited from the consequences of the dissolution of the Soviet Union, although the larger population of the Russian Federation may be, in the long term, a differential element in recruiting capacity. Without even the slightest clear possibility that a political resolution to the conflict, a military defeat of one of the parties or a ceasefire will take place in the medium term, the attrition of the troops and the difficulties in replenishing those losses can become an issue crucial in the coming months.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/09/03/el-de ... more-28056

Google Translator

*******

Chronicle of the special military operation for September 2, 2023
September 2, 2023
Rybar

On the front line, the situation remains relatively stable. Near Bakhmut, after the grouping of enemy forces, signs of an impending offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine appeared, and in the area of ​​the Vremievsky ledge, Ukrainian forces continue to roll up near Staromayorsky, Priyutny and Urozhayny. In the Orekhovsky sector, after the retreat of the RF Armed Forces from the southern outskirts of Rabotino, the enemy is concentrating equipment and personnel to develop the offensive, fighting is going on in the vicinity of Verbovoye.

At night, an attack by several unmanned boats south of the Crimean bridge was repelled off the coast of Crimea . The target of the attack was the patrol ship of the Black Sea Fleet "Inquisitive" . All involved devices were destroyed.

In the meantime, Ukrainian formations were fiercely shelling the border settlements in the Kursk , Bryansk and Belgorod regions . Numerous artillery strikes also hit settlements in the Kherson region and the DPR .

Image

Night attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine by unmanned boats near the Kerch Strait

Image
At night, Ukrainian formations carried out another attack by three unmanned boats south of the Kerch Strait . Initially, it seemed as if the Crimean Bridge was the goal of the Armed Forces of Ukraine , but, judging by the geography of the movement of BECs, their task was different.

Drones hunted the patrol ship of the Black Sea Fleet "Inquisitive" . One of them tried to hit the side of the ship, but was destroyed, after which the Russian sailors began searching for the second. He was hiding from the "Inquisitive" among civilian ships, and after being discovered, he tried to attack him, but was first damaged by small arms, and finished off in the area of ​​02.10.

Later, information appeared about the destruction of another unmanned boat in the same area. Curiously, a small-sized UAV was launched from the area of ​​Cape Takil , which, judging by the patrol zone, was supposed to record strikes on the Inquisitive.

If we take into account the fact that the attack on four Il-76 transporters in Pskov was carried out by saboteurs, then here we can also conclude that a certain DRG with a copter was targeting BECs. A similar takeoff of a copter was recorded in July at Cape Opuk . There is a threat inside the country at a depth from the front line, and we need to work on it.

The situation on the front line and the fighting

In the Starobelsky direction, the situation has not undergone significant changes. The parties conduct mutual reconnaissance and artillery duels. The enemy is making attempts to roll over in the area of ​​\u200b\u200bSerebryansky forestry and Torsky , but to no avail.

Image
After a lengthy regrouping at Bakhmut, the Ukrainian formations again launched a simultaneous attack on the northern and southern flanks. In the direction of Zaliznyansky and Razdolovka , combined units of the 10th brigade, 30th brigade, 56th brigade and 77th brigade carried out reconnaissance in force with the intention of assessing the state of the defense of the Russian army north of Bakhmut.

Similarly, four attacks were carried out by assault groups of 5 and 80 brigades at the turn of the northern outskirts of Kleshcheevka - Bakhmu t. The offensive was repulsed, but the concentration of the enemy remains.


To reinforce the total strength of the grouping, the 13th battalion of the 95th battalion of the DShV of Ukraine was transferred to the Stupochek area from the Kremensky sector , which had just completed the restoration of combat capability.

Judging by the movements, in the coming days, the Ukrainian formations are planning to attack again in the south of Bakhmut with the forces of new units of the airborne assault troops. And the choice of the Kleshcheevka site was due to its low, according to the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, stability.


There are no significant changes in the Vremievsky area . Ukrainian formations are undertaking new surges at Staromayorsky , Priyutny and Urozhayny , artillery duels are going on between the parties. The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine pulls reserves to the site and prepares for an offensive in the direction of Novodonetsky , Staromlynovka or Priyutny .


At the Orekhovsky sector , the Armed Forces of Ukraine are regrouping after Russian troops withdrew from the southern outskirts of Rabotino . Nevertheless, the Ukrainian formations have not yet been able to gain a foothold in the abandoned positions of the RF Armed Forces and have not moved to Novopokrovka . At the same time, fierce battles are going on west of Verbovoye , where the enemy is trying to penetrate the defenses of the RF Armed Forces and break through to key heights near the village.

Shelling of rear territories and residential areas

Image
In the Kursk region, the village of Uspenovka, Korenevsky district, was shelled by the Armed Forces of Ukraine . According to the governor, a local resident suffered from an explosion, she is receiving medical assistance. The glazing in one of the households was also damaged. In addition, information was received about the shelling of Tyotkino .

Image
The shelling of the border areas of the Bryansk region continues . In the village of Klimovo, as a result of the arrival, there were no victims and no damage. In Kurkovichi , one house was damaged, there were no casualties. In Belaya Berezka, as a result of artillery strikes of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, seven residential households were partially destroyed.

Image
At night, Ukrainian formations once again tried to attack the Belgorod region with drones . Two enemy UAVs were shot down over the Korochansky and Yakovlevsky regions . During the day, the enemy shelled Novaya Tavolzhanka and Urazovo . In the latter, a man was killed by fire from Ukrainian formations, two more civilians were injured, and about 20 houses were damaged. In Golovchino, air defense systems went off, and in the village of Dolgoe , Ukrainian UAVs dropped IEDs twice. There were no casualties, the blast wave knocked out the glass and cut the facade of a private household and damaged one car and an infrastructure communications facility.

Image
Ukrainian formations continue to shell the settlements of the Donetsk People's Republic , using cluster munitions and MLRS. In the Petrovsky district of Donetsk , six people were injured, a local school, at least five residential buildings, a kindergarten and power lines were damaged, about two thousand subscribers were left without electricity. Two people received shrapnel wounds in Aleksandrovka . In the Nikitovsky district of Gorlovka, residential buildings and transformer stations were hit: about 2,300 people were also left without electricity, no casualties were reported. In the village of Mironovsky , rockets from the MLRS HIMARS damaged the building of a technical school, no one was injured. In addition, during the day,Golmovsky , Svetlodarsk and Yasinovataya : information about the destruction and victims is being specified.

Image
In the afternoon in Berdyansk in the Zaporozhye region, Russian air defense systems worked. What exactly was intercepted by anti-aircraft gunners is unknown, but there were no reports of any destruction in the city. In addition, Ukrainian formations fired at Pologi , Tokmak and the village of Horse Discord from the HIMARS MLRS. As a result, a transformer burned down in Tokmok, there is no information about the victims.

Image
Daily shelling of the left bank of the Kherson region continues . Under the blow of the Armed Forces of Ukraine during the night were Novaya Kakhovka , Dnepryans , Kakhovka , Naked Pristan and Kardashynka . In addition, Maslovka was attacked by UAVs in the morning , as a result of which a civilian was injured. The gas pipeline was also damaged.

Political events
On the sale of Ukrainian children on the dark web

The Network is discussing information about the sale of Ukrainian children on the darknet into sex - slavery and for organs . Screenshots of announcements are being circulated, from which it follows that minors are sent first to Poland , and then transported to any European country. Even express delivery is available. And there are many such posts. Even assuming that the recent announcements are part of some IPSO, there are a few things to take into account.

In early August, a criminal gang was uncovered in Ukraine that trafficked in babies. And judging by the fact that they have been working quietly since 2014 (!), turning into a transnational network, children were sold a lot and successfully. Recently, it also became known that a number of Ukrainian businessmen living in Italy , with the support of the Kiev administration, organized a channel for the supply of human organs from Ukraine to Turkey .

Partially covering up the shadow market is a campaign organized at the highest level, in which European officials loudly accuse Russia of kidnapping children, and soldiers of violence against them. However, even Ukraine's Ombudsman for Children's Rights Darya Gerasimchuk had to admit on the air of the Polish TV channel Belsat that the country's Prosecutor General's Office did not have a single confirmed fact of violence by the "Russian occupiers". Which, however, does not prevent further spread of fakes on this topic.

The Ukrainian authorities organized an initiative to "return minors from the occupation." But her success is rather doubtful, because according to their data, about 20 thousand children left (of which as many as 17 thousand were found), but in fact over 300 thousand moved to Russia. In general, given that cases of child trafficking are increasingly appearing in the media, and child traffickers are caught almost every month, we can conclude that the scale of crimes has clearly increased. The growing influence of the Ukrainian mafia also contributes to this : the unprecedented flow of refugees has become a catalyst for the machinations of criminal networks. Not to mention the fact that the transformation of Ukraine into a gray area for the organization of illegal business isone of the priorities of Western investors.

About the case against Kolomoisky

In Ukraine, they continue to play the card of the struggle for all the good against all the bad: today there was news about the initiation of a case against the Dnepropetrovsk oligarch Igor Kolomoisky : the SBU accuses him of fraud and laundering property worth 500 million hryvnias .

Such actions pursue several goals at once: for the population, the appearance of a war on corruption is created as part of the same media campaign against the “wrong military commissars” and the potential resignation of Defense Minister Alexei Reznikov. All this makes it possible to somewhat reduce public discontent from the consequences of protracted hostilities.

A similar picture is being created for Western sponsors and voters, where imitation of the anti-corruption measures of the Kiev regime and imaginary successes in this field can be used as an argument for continuing military supplies from NATO countries in the same volumes.

For the SBU, such cases are an element of a hardware fight against the NAB, the State Bureau of Investigation and other “anti-corruption” bodies completely controlled by the West . This is especially true in the light of information about plans to transfer part of the powers of the SBU to them and leave it only counterintelligence, which will further consolidate external control over the power field of Ukraine.

As for Kolomoisky himself, he acts as a backdrop in these stories: there were no real threats to him or his assets scattered around the world from the Kiev regime, and there still aren’t to this day. The oligarch was not seriously affected by all the previous “conflicts” with the authorities, even though in recent years he has gone into the shadows from the media field. Let's say more: every news about sanctions, a search or seizure of Kolomoisky's property is indirect evidence of the implementation of another scheme, on which he will definitely make money.

In the evening, a preliminary hearing on the Kolomoisky case was held at the Shevchenkovsky court in Kiev . The oligarch was taken into custody until October 31 with the possibility of making a bail in the amount of half a billion hryvnias.

On the abolition of the deferment from mobilization when obtaining a second higher education

The story of the tightening of mobilization in Ukraine received a new continuation. This time, the head of the National Defense Council Alexei Danilov confirmed that the Ministry of Educationthey are working on the issue of canceling the "armor" for those who go to receive a second or third higher education, being fit for military service. In his words, “if a person can serve in the army, is fit, waits for training or not, the relevant ministry will decide.” Danilov complains that the number of people of military age who want to get another higher education has grown significantly. He sees one of the measures of struggle by the publication of a list of names of draft dodgers and doctors from the All-Union Leninist Committee, who help Ukrainians "slope" from service. What this will actually turn into is not difficult to guess: in addition to the security forces and doctors, representatives of the Ministry of Education will most likely be involved in the corruption scheme.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

Google Translator

About enemy tactics
September 2, 14:46

Image

About enemy tactics


Back to enemy tactics. What is typical for the actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the line of contact - how the forces of the counterattack are echeloned.

Directly at the forward positions on the LBS and strong points (at a distance of up to 1-5 km, in the immediate rear), up to 15% of the personnel of the listed number of units are deployed. As a rule, these are not assault groups. These units ensure the withdrawal of attack aircraft to the front, conduct surveillance and aero-visual reconnaissance.

At a distance of 5-10 km from the LBS, at strong points and in shelters (mainly in forest belts), up to 35% of the manpower of the units is located. They form the basis for the formation of groups of consolidation, evacuation, tactical reserve of attack aircraft.

In the rear areas at a distance of up to 15 km from the front line, the remaining 50% of the personnel of the units are deployed. Use for placement of stationary objects and buildings with basements. It is on their basis that assault detachments are formed. Despite the use of an echeloned troop distribution system on the LBS, the enemy was unable to minimize losses among the personnel and equipment on the front end due to the concentrated fire of our artillery and minefields. However, he ensured a stable influx of the reserve of the offensive grouping to the LBS, counting on a debilitating effect. This is typical for the entire front line. It is especially manifested in the areas of the most acute battles: the Zaporozhye and South-Donetsk sectors of the front, the Bakhmut (Artemovsk) direction. The only site where this system has not been implemented is Kupyansky.

@Multi_XAM - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8605331.html

Paratroopers of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to kill on the spot
September 2, 19:55

Image

The combat order of the 117th Ombre of the Armed Forces of Ukraine that came into the possession of our military, which, among other things, contains an order not to capture and shoot Russian paratroopers.

Image

Signed by war criminals lieutenant colonel Zurab Chikhelidze and lieutenant Roman Vlasik on July 25, 2023.

PS. The combat order itself is clearly caused by the fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine were not able to crack the defense of the airborne units in the Zaporozhye direction and the huge losses of the 117th Ombr, which in July went to mince meat at the Rabotino-Verbove line. Since July, none of these settlements has been taken by the enemy.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8606056.html

Results of one and a half years of NWO: control of territories
September 2, 18:48

Image

Results of one and a half years of NWO: control of territories

General statistics

Prior to the start of the NWO, the Lugansk and Donetsk People's Republics, according to the LostArmour map, controlled 16,787 km² of territory.

As of August 24, 2023, the control of the former Ukrainian territory within the borders of 2014 (after the annexation of Crimea, but before the declaration of independence of the LPR and DPR), within which polygons were drawn on the LostArmour map, is 81253 km². Exactly one year before, on August 24, 2022, control within the former 2014 borders was 99657 km² (mainly decreased due to two retreats in the Kherson and Kharkiv regions).

As of August 24, 2023, Russia controls 14.09% of the territory within the former borders of Ukraine in 2014 (after the return of Crimea and before the appearance of the LPR and DPR), and 17.78% within the former borders of Ukraine in 1991 (a year ago it was 17.28% and 20.98% respectively).

Statistics by regions and republics

Kherson region of Russia (within current borders) - 19048 km² out of 26881 km² (70.86%

) km²), more than for other subjects under consideration. Probably, the water surface was also included in the reference area of ​​the Kherson region.

Image

Zaporozhye region of Russia — 20,191 km² out of 27,183 km² (74.28%)

Image

Donetsk People's Republic of Russia — 15,449 km² out of 26,517 km² (57.51%)

Luhansk People's Republic of Russia — 26,208 km² out of 26,684 km² (98.22%)

Image

Kharkiv region of Ukraine under the control of Kharkiv VGA - 636 km² out of 31418 km² (2.02%)

Image

Changes in control over the year

1. On September 30, 2022, referendums were held in the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, the Donetsk People's Republic and the Luhansk People's Republic, in which the overwhelming majority of the population voted in favor of joining the Russian Federation. During the referendum, parts of the Nikolaev region were temporarily attached to the Kherson region - the Kinburn Spit, which previously belonged to the Ochakovsky district, and parts of the abolished Snigirevsky district, they became part of the new subject of the Russian Federation. The remaining three regions entered the borders of the former Ukrainian subject of the Zaporozhye region, as well as the declared territories of the independent DPR and LPR. However, both after the entry of new regions into Russia, and at the moment, parts of all four subjects are under temporary Ukrainian occupation.

2. In September-October 2022, due to military failures, the RF Armed Forces left a significant part of the controlled territories in the Kharkiv region, the entire territory of the DPR beyond the Seversky Donets and part of the territory of the LPR, which from July 3 to approximately September 19, 2022 was completely controlled by the LPR and Russia. Control over six cities was lost: Balakliya, Volchansk, Izyum and Kupyansk of the Kharkov region, Svyatogorsk and Krasny Liman of the DPR.
2.1. Subsequently, during the winter, spring and summer campaigns, part of the territory of the Kharkiv region lost as a result of the “Balakleya embarrassment”, the DPR and LPR was returned to Russian control: a number of settlements on the left bank of Oskol in the Kharkiv region, the so-called “Tor ledge” in the DPR with attempts to consolidate in the village Torsky, a number of settlements in the west of the LPR. The RF Armed Forces continue to advance to the west.

3. At the end of August 2022, during a local offensive, the village of Komsomolskoye in the Mykolaiv region was taken under control, but after that, during the southern counteroffensive of the VFU, control was lost over part of the territories of the right-bank Kherson region (the Sukhoi Stavka area in August-September and most of the territory north of the Davydov line Brod - Dudchany in October). As a result of the terrorist shelling of the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station by the VFU, there was a threat of its destruction and cutting off the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation from the main forces; Troops, civilians, the Kherson Zoo and part of the historical values ​​of the city were evacuated. The predicted dam failure occurred on June 6, 2023.

3.1. Subsequently, both the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the armed formations of Ukraine had zones of fire and physical control both on the left and on the right banks of the Dnieper.

4. From May 2022 to May 2023, the Russian Armed Forces, NM DPR, NM LPR, PMC "Wagner" and other Russian armed forces advanced in the east of the DPR, during which the cities of Soledar and Artyomovsk, occupied in 2014, were returned, the latter is a large transport hub, key to the return of the Slavic-Kramatorsk agglomeration. At the moment, the RF Armed Forces are on the defensive, repelling the Ukrainian offensive in this direction.

5. The advance of the RF Armed Forces continues in the area of ​​the city of Marinka, the airport of Donetsk and Novobakhmutovka on the outskirts of Avdiivka. A number of settlements were liberated.

6. In October-January 2023, the NM of the DPR and the RF Armed Forces improved the situation in the area of ​​the city of Ugledar DPR.

7. On the sector of fronts from the former Kakhovka Reservoir to Ugledar, for most of the year, the RF Armed Forces stood on the defensive and prepared to repel the announced Ukrainian counter-offensive, local offensives were carried out with small tactical advances. From June 2023 to the present, the VFU have been attempting an offensive in the areas of the village. Kamensky, the villages of Pyatikhatok, Rabotina, town. Great Novoselka. Despite knocking out Russian forces from about a dozen settlements, the armed formations of Ukraine have suffered disproportionate losses in manpower and equipment and have not yet achieved a single declared goal. Similar, even more unsuccessful, offensive attempts have been carried out since May 2023 in the Artemovsk region of the DPR, as a result of which, at the moment, the AFU has not been able to dislodge Russian forces from any settlement.

During the year of hostilities, Russia, the LPR and the DPR managed to:

1. Liberate significant territories in the east of the DPR, including the city of Soledar and the large city of Artyomovsk.
2. Take control of most of the territory of the city of Marinka and reach the borders of the city of Krasnogorovka in the DPR.
3. Advance in the vicinity of Avdiivka, making it easier in the future to encircle and liberate the city.
4. Dislodge the AFU from the vicinity of the city of Kremennaya LPR, create a bridgehead on the right bank of the river. A stallion with prospects for further advancement in the direction of Borovaya, Kharkov region.
5. Prepare for a defensive operation during the Ukrainian counter-offensive in the summer of 2023.
6. With the cancellation of the "grain deal" to introduce a virtual naval blockade of Ukraine, preventing the supply of weapons by sea to its territory.

https://lostarmour.info/articles/itogi-1,5let-svo - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8605713.html

"Peacekeeping" plans of Romania and Poland
September 3, 12:11

Image

Plans for a "peacekeeping" operation by the troops of Romania and Poland providing for the occupation of part of the territory of Western Ukraine as part of the "creation of a security zone".

1. Romania occupies the Chernivtsi region.
2. Poland occupies the territory up to the Kyiv and Vinnitsa regions.

Image

https://t.me/PodariNadezhdy

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8607379.html

Google Translator
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

User avatar
blindpig
Posts: 10771
Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2017 5:44 pm
Location: Turtle Island
Contact:

Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Mon Sep 04, 2023 12:04 pm

Azov and the Ukrainian state
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 09/04/2023

Image

Although the result of previous decades and heir to a whole series of political and paramilitary organizations of the most extreme nationalist right, the embryo of what would soon be the Azov battalion, later a regiment and now a brigade, was born from the revolution Maidan and its consequences. The irregular change of government that took place between February 21 and 22, 2014 caused the rejection of a part of the population, mainly in Crimea and Donbass, but also in other large cities such as Odessa or Kharkiv. In the latter case, that of Ukraine's second city, protests against what was perceived as a nationalist coup met with resistance from a radical nationalist sector that was actively used by local and regional authorities to prevent a repeat of a coup scenario similar to that of Sevastopol, Simferopol, Donetsk or Lugansk.

That spring, when there were clashes and violence against pro-Russian sectors , current authorities such as Mayor Kernes or former Governor Avakov, then Minister of the Interior, found in Andriy Biletsky's environment an unbeatable partner to achieve their objectives. During those weeks, the threat of the "men in black" became especially important, a group directly linked to Biletsky, the origin of the organization with which the white leader would become famous in later months. success _of Kharkiv, which through violence suppressed the protests and even repressed the defense of the statue of Lenin that presided over one of the central squares and in which thousands of people participated, later spread to other regions through the incorporation of the Azov seed to the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine as a police battalion.

The first week of April, a few days before the Yatseniuk government with the signature of the acting president Turchinov decreed the start of the anti-terrorist operation In Donbass, a meeting involving Andriy Biletsky and Dmitro Korchinsky finally convinced the reluctant Azov leader to enlist his battalion in the Ministry's troops. A few weeks later, the battalion would have its first public role in the capture of Mariupol, a date that it celebrated annually in the city until 2021. At that time, the separation between the different far-right paramilitary organizations had not yet taken place, so people like Igor Moisichuk, later a representative for the Radical Party, or Korchinsky, the future leader of Bratstvo, accompanied Biletsky in the first steps of what was to be the best armed and organized far-right paramilitary battalion in Europe. However, the bulk of the circle closest to Biletsky and which would become the first hard core of the Azov battalion was the Borodach Division led by Maksym Zhorin. The division, which also included the now “Hero of Ukraine” Denis Prokopenko, did not hide its far-right ideology or its insignia, a modified totenkopf with the beard that gave the unit its name and the SS runes next to it.

That was the symbol used by Zhorin in 2016 when he led the Azov contingent that patrolled the city of Odessa for a week in the days leading up to the commemoration of the second anniversary of the Odessa massacre. Once again, the political authorities, on that occasion the then governor Mikhail Saakashvili, made use of Azov at a time when he doubted the loyalty of the local police officers at his disposal. At that time, almost a year had passed since the first US initiative to ban funding and training for the Azov battalion, described not only by Russia and the People's Republics, but by the United States Congress as neo-Nazi and white supremacist. In June 2015, when Azov was already a key piece of Ukrainian control of Mariupol, The Daily Beast,“Not all members of the ultranationalist militias that the United States trains have SS tattoos, not all embrace fascism. But they are enough to make it worrying . "

Although at that time there was already an effort by Ukrainian and Western propaganda to whitewash the image of Arsen Avakov's shock troops, the outlet explained that "a good part of the Azov battalion denies, at least publicly, having neo-Nazi or supremacist beliefs white. Instead, they claim that the swastika-like symbol on their flag and logo is not a swastika but an N and I combined to create “national identity”. It is hardly convincing considering the ideology of Biletsky, its founder and military commander. In addition, the numerous swastika tattoos sported by members of the battalion and their tendency to go into battle with swastikas or SS insignia on their helmets make it very difficult for other members of the group to convincingly deny neo-Nazi affiliation."

As would be the case in 2018 with a new ban, that ban was quietly lifted months later. Since 2014, whether as a battalion, regiment or brigade, Azov has become so integrated into the official structures of the Ukrainian state that a specific ban could not, in any way, have any practical effect. Still, possibly as proof that budgets are copied from year to year, that prohibition remained in the Defense Appropriation Act last year. What's more, that ban is currently the subject of controversy both for and against Azov. On this occasion, compared to the 2014 proposal, which came from Democratic Congressman John Conyers, a veteran of the fight for civil rights and against racism in the United States, the two amendments, also the one against Azov, come from the Republican Party.

As reported by Aída Chávez, a journalist for The Nation, one of the few US media outlets that have denounced the far-right character of Azov throughout the years of war in Donbass, for the first time since 2018, seeks to remove the amendment that prohibits the United States from arming, financing or instructing the Azov regiment . But it's also the first time someone, in this case Congressman Andrew Ogles of Tennessee, has tried to toughen the ban. Its goal is to “prohibit assistance under the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative until the president certifies to Congress that the Government of Ukraine is not providing funding, equipment, training, fuel, or other assistance to the Russian Volunteer Corps, the Azov battalion.” or any other neo-Nazi militia." Evidently, The initiative to paralyze assistance to Ukraine until it is verified that these mentioned units lack state support is absolutely unfeasible, although it is sufficiently representative that five years have had to pass for a single deputy to seek to implement a ban that has existed since 2018. Without However, the two groups specifically mentioned, RDK and Azov, not only have state support, but are also units that the state is now making enormous use of. The Russian Volunteer Corps, the they are not only supported by the state, but are also units that the state is now making enormous use of. The Russian Volunteer Corps, the they are not only supported by the state, but are also units that the state is now making enormous use of. The Russian Volunteer Corps, the Kirilo Budanov's Russian partisans , acts as special forces of the Ukrainian military intelligence (GUR), while Azov's units are divided between GUR and the 3rd Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Image

Both Azov groups are part of the reorganization managed by Maksym Zhorin after the defeat at the Battle of Mariupol, in which Ukrainian and Western propaganda made them the heroes of Azovstal. The reconstruction of the most famous of the ultranationalist groups occurred in parallel to the process of national and international legitimization of the regiment. According to what could be read, for example, in The Times , the character of the regiment had changed. Azov had purged itself of neo-Nazi and far-right influences from 2014 and, depoliticized, integrated into state structures. The proofs of this were the elimination of the wolfsangel as a symbol of the regiment, the separation of the military movement from its political arm, the National Corpus, and the march of its most political figures. Already at that time that reasoning was fallacious, but time has made the manipulation even clearer. A few weeks ago, the commander of the 3rd Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Andriy Biletsky, who never ceased to be the spiritual leader of the Azov movement, informed Volodymyr Zelensky and the staff of the President's Office about the progress in the Artyomovsk front, commanded by himself, the white leader. In front of him, Maksym Zhorin, visible head of the Borodach Division in 2014 and also a member of the National Corpus, stoically observed the explanations. The separation between the political and military wings occurred only in the imagination of those who in 2022 wanted to legitimize Azov, Prokopenko or the heroes of Azovstal . Neither the National Corpus nor its leaders ever claimed that there was a break between them. And although Azov slightly modified his symbol, this is still a modified wolfsangel . In case there was any doubt as to whether the symbols of the extreme right are still the hallmark of the movement, this very week, soldiers from the brigade have posed with a flag made up of the black sun and the wolfsangel original that the battalion used in 2014.

Azov, as the most publicized and best organized, mobilized and armed of the far-right ultranationalist battalions, has been an integral part of the Ukrainian state for many years. The Russian invasion and the prominence achieved by the regiment in the battle for Mariupol only accelerated the legitimization process that began in 2014 for a group with clear white supremacist overtones. In these years, not only since February 2022, the state has also adopted a large part of Azov's ideology, making it increasingly difficult to differentiate the group's ideas from those of the official discourse. Azov has performed in Israel or in the United States, where he was received at Stanford University by former US ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul. At the Azov proselytizing rally, Francis Fukuyama delivered an exalting speech,end of story In this context, the ban on arming, financing and training Azov is not only, in practice, an empty measure, but an anachronism that does not correspond to the position of the United States, ready to assist any group that fights against Russia. every last Ukrainian. In this work, there is no better tool for Kiev and Washington than the most ideologized sectors and with a greater feeling of hatred for Russia, a hatred that over the years they have also manifested against the population of Donbass.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/09/04/azov- ... more-28065

Google Translator

Like Anax said, "Ukrainian nationalism is Nazism." Which makes the goal of 'de-nazification' more difficult but more necessary.

*******

Chronicle of the special military operation for September 3, 2023
September 3, 2023
Rybar

In the Starobelsky direction, fighting intensified in the Svatovsky sector near Novoegorovka , where the RF Armed Forces, according to preliminary data, managed to slightly improve their tactical position and expand the zone of control around the village. This information is indirectly confirmed by the data of the enemy resources, which state that the Russian fighters are trying to take control of the heights in the vicinity of the settlement that have not yet been occupied during the last advance .

Meanwhile, clashes continue on the flanks of Bakhmut : the RF Armed Forces have occupied another stronghold in the Kleshcheevka area , but the situation in the area remains difficult. Positional battles are also taking place near the Berkhovsky reservoir . In addition, the Russian servicemen managed to beat off several more enemy overruns at Verbovoye .

In the morning, the RF Armed Forces attacked the infrastructure of Ukrainian ports on the Danube with drones of the Geran family . A fuel storage facility in Reni was hit , where oil loading equipment was damaged. In addition, it is known that drones attacked Izmail , but there is no information about the consequences of this raid.

Image

Attacks by Russian troops on the port infrastructure of Reni

Image
In the morning, Russian troops attacked the port infrastructure in Reni with drones of the Geran family . Earlier we already wrote that Ukrainian agricultural products are exported through the ports on the Danube and attacks on the ships of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Navy are being prepared there . One of the known targets chosen was a port fuel storage facility. Judging by the footage from the scene, at least two tanks were destroyed as a result of the attack. In addition, the equipment necessary for pumping fuel was seriously damaged.

Not to say that this strike caused critical damage to the port infrastructure, but given the cheapness of the drones used for the attack, it turned out to be quite effective. Especially if the oil pumping equipment was nevertheless destroyed. In addition, drones also worked on other objects, including the port of Izmail . One way or another, such attacks should be carried out systematically. This is necessary both in order to secure the Black Sea Fleet , and in order to deprive the enemy's economy of additional income from the sale of grain.

The situation on the front line and the fighting

Fighting intensified in the Starobelsk direction near the village of Novoegorovka , where Russian troops are expanding the zone of control, wedging into the enemy’s defenses in the direction of the Oskol River . The RF Armed Forces also achieved some tactical successes in the vicinity of Stelmahovka , taking control of the Kupyansk-Svatovo sector .


Fierce battles continue on the flanks of Bakhmut in the Soledar direction : Russian troops managed to advance and occupy a stronghold in the Kleshcheevka area . At the same time, hostilities are taking place in the area of ​​​​the Berkhovsky reservoir : the parties are exchanging artillery strikes, drones are operating along the line of contact.


At the Vremyevsky section , the Armed Forces of Ukraine stepped up the work of artillery and unmanned aircraft on the Novodonetskoye-Novomayorskoye line . There is a transfer of reserves and manpower to Bolshaya Novoselka for further advancement to the front line in the area of ​​Priyutnoye and Staromlynovka .


Fighting continues in the Orekhovsky sector northwest of Verbovoye . The village itself is in the gray zone. On the site, the enemy lost several tanks and Bradley, but he could not achieve success. Units of the 47th Ombre of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are currently unable to overcome minefields. Meanwhile, despite the withdrawal of the RF Armed Forces from the southern outskirts of Rabotino , the village remains in the gray zone - neither side can gain a foothold there, as it already happened in Pyatikhatki .


Shelling of rear territories and residential areas

Image
In the Kursk region, Ukrainian formations fired on the village of Tetkino , but they managed to avoid casualties and destruction. In addition, EW assets were intercepted by two UAVs near the villages of Kozino , Rylsky District and Gornal , Sudzhansky District. Later, in the evening, the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked Kurchatov with a drone , causing damage to non-residential premises.

Image
Today, the Armed Forces of Ukraine launched combined strikes on the settlements of the Belgorod region . In the village of Urazovo , Valuysky district, shell fragments damaged four residential buildings and a car, no one was injured. In the sky over the Belgorod region , an enemy drone was shot down by an air defense system, according to preliminary data, there were no injuries or damage. Local residents also reported strikes on the village of Gorkovsky , but no official information has yet been received.

Image
The enemy continues to strike at the left bank of the Kherson region . Under the fire of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, civilian objects of the Cossack Camps, Kardashinka, Kakhovka, Podstepnoye, Krynok and Novaya Kakhovka fell : in total, over 35 shells were fired by the enemy.

Political events
On the assessment of the Ukrainian conflict by Western think-tanks

Recently, we have often written about the Western perception of the experience of hostilities in Ukraine and how it is influenced by the ideological attitudes prevailing in NATO countries. The clearest example of the latter was given by Ilya Kramnik , who analyzed an article in the latest issue of the British Armed Forces magazine.

The author of the material argues that the actions of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation or the Armed Forces of Ukraine are "2-3 generations" behind what a modern war should look like. Therefore, it is not worth drawing conclusions from everything seen: after all, British reconnaissance with target designation is better and can easily compensate for the enemy’s multiple higher consumption of ammunition. Such fabrications are a clear illustration of what we have said more than once when discussing the work of Western think tanks: even if think-tanks draw the right conclusions, this does not at all guarantee that in the armed forces of NATO countries - be it the United States, Britain or France - will take into account this expertise and react accordingly.

It is characteristic that statements in the style of “there is no real war” were widespread in the Russian information field until 2022 regarding the conflicts in the Donbass, the Middle East and the Caucasus. So it’s even kind of funny to watch how the West sometimes jumps on the same rake.

On the trial of Igor Kolomoisky

In Ukraine, the farce continues with the criminal prosecution of the oligarch Igor Kolomoisky. Vladimir Zelensky indirectly commented on the case against him , criticizing in his regular evening address those “who robbed Ukraine, putting themselves above the law and all rules.” Ironically, it is Kolomoisky who is one of the oligarchs who most strongly contributed to Zelensky's rise to power.

In the Ukrainian media space, they believe that one of the reasons for the arrest is pressure from the United States , where the oligarch is considered one of the organizers of systemic corruption. At the same time, the case was initiated by the SBU in order to get ahead of the Western-controlled NABU , which was also preparing to press charges. In the future, this will help Kolomoisky escape real punishment.

On the mobilization of conscripts with limited serviceability in Ukraine

According to the new decree of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, citizens who are limitedly fit for service due to health reasons will now be able to mobilize. Now even HIV-infected people, carriers of viral hepatitis, citizens with mild mental disorders, as well as slowly progressive diseases of the central nervous system, will be called up to the Armed Forces of Ukraine . In addition, the health requirements for paratroopers and marines have been simplified.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

Google Translator

(Other images at link.)

*******

Monument to the defenders of Donbass in Luhansk
September 3, 17:28

Image

A monument to the defenders of Donbass was unveiled in Luhansk yesterday in the LPR.
Two large sculptures at once - one is dedicated to the heroes of the Great Patriotic War who defended and liberated Donbass, the other is dedicated to the heroes of 2014-2023, who defended and liberated Donbass from Nazism.

Image

Image

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8608015.html

Google Translator

*******

A Comprehensive Ukrainian Defeat is the Only Possible Outcome of its Conflict with Russia
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on SEPTEMBER 3, 2023
Scott Ritter

Image
On Independence Day, Zelensky and his wife attended a memorial ceremony in Kyiv © Handout / UKRAINIAN PRESIDENTIAL PRESS SERVICE/AFP

Kiev was offered a peace deal long ago, but chose war instead, egged on by its Western backers. Now its fate is sealed.


September 2 marked the 78th anniversary of the World War Two surrender ceremony onboard the USS Missouri in Tokyo Bay. This moment formalized Japan’s unconditional capitulation to the United States, and its allies, and marked the end of the conflict. From the Japanese perspective, it had been ongoing since the Marco Polo bridge incident of July 7, 1937, which started the Sino-Japanese War.

There was no negotiation, only a simple surrender ceremony in which Japanese officials signed documents, without conditions.

Because that is what defeat looks like.

History is meant to be studied in a manner that seeks to draw out lessons from the past that might have relevance in the present. As George Santayana, the American philosopher, noted, “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” The Ukrainian government in Kiev would do well to reflect on both the historical precedent set by Japan’s unconditional surrender, and Santayana’s advice, when considering its current conflict with Russia.

First and foremost, Ukraine must reflect honestly about the causes of this conflict, and which side bears the burden of responsibility for the fighting. ‘Denazification’ is a term that the Russian government has used in describing one of its stated goals and objectives. President Vladimir Putin has made numerous references to the odious legacy of Stepan Bandera, the notorious mass murderer and associate of Nazi Germany who is feted by modern-day Ukrainian nationalists as a hero and all but a founding father of their nation.

That present-day Ukraine would see fit to elevate a man such as Bandera to such a level speaks volumes about the rotten foundation of Kiev’s cause, and the dearth of moral fiber in the nation today. The role played by the modern-day adherents of the Nazi collaborator’s hateful nationalist ideology in promulgating the key events that led to the initiation of the military operation by Russia can neither be ignored nor minimized. It was the Banderists, with their long relationship with the CIA and other foreign intelligence services hostile to Moscow, who used violence to oust the former president of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovich, from office in February 2014.

From the act of illicit politicized violence came the mainstreaming of the forces of ethnic and cultural genocide, manifested in the form of the present-day Banderists, who initiated acts of violence and oppression in eastern Ukraine. This, in turn, triggered the Russian response in Crimea and the actions of the citizens of Donbass, who organized to resist the rampage of the Bandera-affiliated Ukrainian nationalists. The Minsk Accords, and the subsequent betrayal by Kiev and its Western partners of the potential path for peace that these represented, followed.

Ukraine cannot disassociate itself from the role played by the modern-day Banderists in shaping the present reality. In this, Kiev mirrors the militarists of Imperial Japan, whose blind allegiance to the precepts of Bushido, the traditional ‘way of the warrior’ dating back to the Samurai of 17th century Japan, helped push the country into global conflict. Part of Japan’s obligations upon surrender was to purge its society of the influence of the militarists, and to enact a constitution that deplatformed them by making wars of aggression – and the military forces needed to wage them – unconstitutional.

Banderism, in all its manifestations, must be eradicated from Ukrainian society in the same manner that Bushido-inspired militarism was removed from Japan, to include the creation of a new constitution that enshrines this purge as law. Any failure to do so only allows the cancer of Banderism to survive, festering inside the defeated body of post-conflict Ukraine until some future time when it can metastasize once again to bring harm.

This is precisely the message that was being sent by Putin when, during the Saint Petersburg International Economic Forum this past July, he showed a video where the crimes of the Banderists during the Second World War were put on public display. “How can you not fight it?” Putin said. “And if this is not neo-Nazism in its current manifestation, then what is it?” he asked. “We have every right,” the Russian president declared, “to believe that the task of the denazification of Ukraine set by us is one of the key ones.”

As the Western establishment media begins to come to grips with the scope and scale of Ukraine’s eventual military defeat (and, by extension, the reality of a decisive Russian military victory), their political overseers in the US, NATO, and the European Union struggle to define what the endgame will be. Having articulated the Russian-Ukrainian conflict as an existential struggle where the very survival of NATO is on the line, these Western politicians now have the task of shaping public perception in a manner that mitigates any meaningful, sustained political blowback from constituents who have been deceived into tolerating the transfer of billions of dollars from their respective national treasuries, and billions more dollars’ worth of weapons from their respective arsenals, into a lost and disgraced cause.

A key aspect of this perception management is the notion of a negotiated settlement, a process which implies that Ukraine has a voice as to the timing and nature of conflict termination. The fact is, however, that Kiev lost this voice when it walked away from a peace deal brokered between its negotiators and their Russian counterparts last spring, at the behest of its NATO masters as communicated through then-UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson. The decision to prolong the conflict was predicated on the provision to Kiev of tens of billions of dollars in military equipment and assistance. The authorities duly staged a mass mobilization, meaning that Ukrainian troops vastly outnumbered their Russian counterparts.

Kiev’s new NATO-trained and equipped force achieved impressive territorial gains during a fall offensive. The Russian reaction was to stabilize the front and carry out a partial mobilization of its reserves to accumulate enough manpower to accomplish the mission assigned from the outset of the operation – denazification and demilitarization. Denazification is a political problem. Demilitarization is not. In the case of Ukraine, it means to effectively destroy Ukraine’s ability to wage armed conflict on a meaningful scale against Russia. This objective also presumably entails the need to remove all NATO military infrastructure, inclusive of equipment and material, from Ukraine.

Russia has been undertaking the successful demilitarization of Ukraine’s armed forces since the initiation of partial mobilization. The equipment Ukraine is provided by the West is similarly being destroyed by Russia at a rate that makes replacement unsustainable. Meanwhile, Russia’s own defense industry has kicked into full gear, supplying a range of modern weapons and ammunition that is more than sufficient.

The harsh reality is that neither Ukraine nor its Western allies can sustain the operational losses in manpower and equipment that the conflict with Russia is inflicting. Russia, on the other hand, is not only able to absorb its losses, but increase its strength over time, given the large number of volunteers that are being recruited into the military and the high rate of armament production. At some point in the not-so-distant future, the balance of power between Russia and Ukraine in the theater of operations will reach a point in which Kiev is unable to maintain adequate coverage along the line of contact, allowing gaps to open up in the defensive line which Russia, able to employ fresh reserves, will exploit. This will lead to the collapse of cohesion among Ukrainian troops, more than likely resulting in a precipitous withdrawal to more defensive positions that could be established west of the Dnieper River.

Ukraine, through its actions in 2014, lost Crimea. Ukraine, and through its choices in 2022, lost the Donbass, Zaporozhye, and Kherson. And if Kiev persists in extending this conflict until it is physically unable to defend itself, it runs the risk of losing even more territory, including Odessa and Kharkov.

Russia did not enter the conflict with the intent of seizing Ukrainian territory. But in March 2022, Kiev rejected a draft peace agreement (which it had preliminarily approved at first), and this decision to eschew peace in favor of war led to Russia absorbing Donbass, Zaporozhye, and Kherson.

As one of its conditions to even begin negotiating for peace with Moscow, Kiev demanded the return of all former Ukrainian territories currently under Russian control – including Crimea. To achieve such an outcome, however, Ukraine would have to be able to compel compliance by defeating Russia militarily and/or politically. As things stand, this is an impossibility.

What Ukraine and its Western partners do not yet seem to have come to grips with is the fact that Russia’s leadership is in no mood for negotiations for negotiations’ sake. Putin has listed its goals and objectives when it comes to the conflict – denazification, demilitarization, and no NATO membership for Ukraine.

This is the reality of the present situation. Russia is working to achieve its stated goals and objectives. As things stand, there is little Ukraine or its partners in the US, NATO, and the EU (the so-called ‘collective West’) can do to prevent it from accomplishing these aims. The timeline is not calendar-driven, but rather determined by results. The longer Kiev – and its Western partners – drag out this conflict, the greater the harm that will accrue for Ukraine.

It is time for Ukraine and its Western partners to move to the path of peace and reconstruction. But this can only happen when Ukraine surrenders and accepts reality.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2023/09/ ... th-russia/

*******

END OF THE WAR, END OF US EXCEPTIONALISM

Image

By John Helmer, Moscow
@bears_with

Doctors in hospitals for the criminally insane have reported that the sharpest pain patients with superiority complexes suffer is the belief there are others who are more superior than they are. Unless they are stopped, they kill to cure.

US exceptionalism is a disease of this type. The American exceptionalists believe that if the US isn’t conquering and victorious — great again as in MAGA — it is defeating itself because, they think, the US can never be beaten by a foreign adversary on the field — not on the battlefield, nor in the marketplace, nor in the mind and on the page. So this is where the whitecoats arrive today: the Russian General Staff and the Stavka are defeating the Americans on every front, weapon system, intelligence summary, and mind. This has never happened before. Failing to see and understand this is delusional; those who kill to cure this aren’t all hospitalised.

A book repeating the US, NATO and Ukrainian version of how and why Russia’s Ukrainian battlefield campaign began on February 23, 2022, is symptomatic, nothing new. “We have no idea of exactly how the conflict will end”, concludes Owen Matthews (aka Bibikov) in a fresh publication from the state-subsidised printing press of Rupert Murdoch. But “we already know how it will not end. There will be no complete victory for either Russia or Ukraine. NATO is too invested to allow Kyiv to fall to the Russian army… this war will eventually end — with a negotiated peace.”*

Incomprehensible to Matthews is that the terms of the negotiated peace will be those of the Russian non-aggression treaties for the US and for NATO of December 17, 2021, and they will be dictated at the end of the war by the force which prevails. They will be as definitive as the German terms signed by the French in the Compiègne Wagon on June 22, 1940; and the American terms signed by the Japanese on the USS Missouri on September 2, 1945.

Instead, Matthews dismisses the treaties in two paragraphs, based on what Matthews says an anonymous British Foreign Office official told him in March 2022 was “fantastical…[they] simply did make any sense…there was nothing in it that NATO could possibly agree to.”

What preceded, and also what followed those treaties, was the doing, in Matthews’s psychopathological terminology, of “fantasies about anti-Russian fascists coming to power in Kyiv”; “paranoia over Western attempts to subvert and undermine Russia”; and other “lies and eschatological fantasies”. At the centre of this madness, according to Matthews, is the single figure of Vladimir Putin, advised by “Soviet-era fantasists and paranoiacs”; “on the point of paranoia about the [corona] virus”; “secluded and inaccessible in his Covid bunker”; obsessed by pseudo-historical revenge and “a kind of death cult”; surrounded by “the most deluded and most ideologically driven members of Putin’s entourage”; and speechifying “a set of unbelievably illiterate conspiracy clichés…especially when the former Marxists in the Kremlin sincerely believed that inexorable historical forces were on their side.”

There is no question in Matthews’s diagnosis of who is in the madhouse, and who is superior. “By the time I met [Vladimir] Zelensky in Kyiv in July [2022] he cut a profoundly impressive figure – hard-eyed, emphatic in his speech.”

With unintended irony — the reader won’t take long to detect it — the book is titled “Overreach”.

Image
Left to right: the book; the author; his wife, Zhenia Kravchenko, self-portrait; grandfather Alexei Kravchenko, an early 20th century Moscow painter whose Russian homes Matthews lives in when he is Russia.

For an earlier version of Matthews’s misrepresentation of Russia’s World War II history, read this.

This time round Matthews wants readers to know how important he is himself. So important in fact that the Kremlin spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, once invited him to lunch, and the then-US Ambassador, now CIA director William Burns was “a frequent guest” at his wife’s summer dacha where he told Matthews that “Putin’s chief character traits were a mixture of insecurity and grievance”. Matthews’s wife, Zhenia Kravchenko, is a little-known painter compared to her grandfather, Alexei Kravchenko, It is his apartment on Povarsky Street in the Khamovniki quarter of the old city of Moscow, and his dacha which are Matthews’s admission tickets to the upper-class Moscow world he displays in the book for the tusovka (in-crowd). This is upper class in the pre-Revolutionary fashion in which the members of the intelligentsia used to think of themselves – and Mr and Mrs Matthews still do.

In his pitch for promotion in the New York book market**, Matthews also trots out his Jewish credentials which, combined with tsarist military officers and Jewish money, ran down the babushka line. “There were to be 11 generals in the immediate [Bibikov] family between 1760 and 1942…It is with my grandfather, Boris Lvovich Bibikov, that my family’s involvement with Ukraine comes into sharp, personal focus. His father Lev had scandalised his anti-Semitic family by marrying Sofia Naumovna, a wealthy heiress to a Crimean flour-milling fortune whose parents had, like many Ukrainian Jews, converted to Orthodoxy to further their social ambitions.” Matthews omits to say if he has taken advantage of the Russian and Israeli passports for which these antecedents qualify him.

Propaganda doesn’t grow on trees. It is cultivated and is paid for. Who has paid Matthews? He’s not on the list of British government agents in the Integrity Initiative scheme although some of them endorse his books. He lists himself as a working journalist: “Since 2006 he has combined the jobs of Newsweek’s Moscow bureau chief and Istanbul correspondent… He currently contributes regularly to Foreign Policy, Spectator, Daily Mail, Telegraph and The Critic.” Where Newsweek’s money comes from, and how much of it shares with Matthews, are unclear. Newsweek doesn’t list Matthews as its correspondent in Istanbul. The Istanbul files for Newsweek do not reveal a single article by Mathews since 2006. The Newsweek Moscow archives has no article of Matthews since the start of the special military operation, or before it. Instead, the bylines are those of individuals based either in New York or Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. According to Newsweek, Matthews appeared intermittently between 1997 and 2018 and was never bylined from either Moscow or Istanbul. There has been no appearance in Newsweek by Matthews since September 2018.

The other publications Matthews claims to have been writing for as a freelancer were not paying enough to support at least three homes, international travel, children’s school bills, expenses, and the lifestyle of Matthews’ membership of the Khamovniki upper class.

Image

The Newsweek publication file for Matthews stopped on September 17, 2018. Matthews claims he is represented by Northbank, a London PR agency, but Northbank doesn’t acknowledge Matthews as a client.

Following the money trail is one guide to the source of Matthews’s propaganda. Another is his use of the credibility by association technique. For example, in the back-of-book acknowledgements Matthews wants it to be known that he has been having dinner, other “hospitality”, and fifteen minutes of celebrity with Peskov, the Kremlin spokesman; the late Boris Nemtsov and his daughter Anna Nemtsova; dacha neighbour and filmmaker Nikita Mikhalkov; the ex-Polish foreign minister Radoslaw Sikorski, and the Alfa group’s London exiles Peter Aven and Mikhail Fridman.

Matthews has also extended the blind attribution method for sourcing pioneered by Bloomberg and the Financial Times in stockmarket promotions. What Matthews has done is to identify 143 anonymous sources – one for every three pages — whom he footnotes and lists in the reference section of the book as “interview with the author”, with place, month and year. The places range from Przemysl, Poland, to Istanbul, Kiev, Donetsk, London, Rome, and Moscow; not one of the 143 is identified as a US official or an American. Matthews and the Murdoch printing house have omitted an index from the print edition, which makes unravelling what Matthews has done, and with whom, difficult.

From this known background and the unknown money supply, Matthews has distilled many more than the 107 standard lies in the Anglo-Ukro-American inventory itemised last month by Bernhard Horstmann in Hamburg. Matthews has repeated every one of them.

There are some novelties. He cites the Ukrainian Secret Service (SBU) as his source for several major findings without revealing how Matthews himself came by them; for example, he sources an SBU report for the claim that there were Russian military special forces shooting at protesters on the Maidan in January and February of 2014. The Odessa House of Unions fire of May 2, 2014, which killed at least 46, was provoked by “a radical group of anti-Maidan protesters” who had been taking directions from Sergei Glazyev, then a Kremlin adviser. The downing of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 over the Donbass on July 17, 2014, occurred “one day the Buk [anti-aircraft missile] had successfully downed a Ukrainian transport plane” – a combination of missile firings explicitly ruled out by Dutch military intelligence reports and unsubstantiated by US military satellites; Matthews doesn’t identify his Buk firing source and ignores the Dutch and US evidence.

Unreferenced Ukrainian military intelligence is also Matthews’s standby source for such fabricated factoids as Russian Kalibr and Kinzhal missiles in their final descent on to Ukrainian targets “light up the sky with their tail-flames”; and that following US sanctions in March 2022 Russian factory production of T-72 tanks had to be suspended “due to lack of processors”.

There is another novelty in Matthews’s method; he calls it the “shat cat.” After all 414 pages of Matthews’s Westminster School and Oxford University- educated English, it is odd that he doesn’t appear to know the verb in English for defecation, or its past tense. Instead, when describing in unusual SBU-sourced detail the state of the Kiev residence of the deposed president, Victor Yanukovich, Matthews reports that a pedigree pet cat had been left behind when Yanukovich left “which had shat on the carpets and upholstery after it was locked in the room.”

The book unlocks the Ukrainian room into which Matthews has firmly locked himself, revealing many such sphincter-type mistakes. The droppings include the report that Sergei Glazyev had been influential with Putin – “rising esteem and ideological closeness” — and that he had been “promoted” out of the Kremlin and into a post at the Eurasian Economic Union; in fact, Glazyev had been sacked by Peskov and other Kremlin staff; his new post was a demotion and banishment to political oblivion.

The Nord Stream pipelines had been blown up on September 26, 2022, “almost certainly by Russia itself”, according to Matthews on page 129. But five pages later he wasn’t so sure, claiming they had been “mysteriously blown up”. Then after another 150 pages, Matthews claims the “mystery” had been solved “according to Swedish, Danish and UN investigators.” It had been Russian saboteurs, he wrote, who carried out the operation in “one of the most extraordinary acts of self-harm in the history of warfare”. Matthews forgot to identify the Swedish, Danish and “UN” sources for this. That’s what creatures with pedigrees do when locked into rooms.

Matthews’s account of how and why Petro Poroshenko lost the Ukrainian presidential election of 2019 is more of the shat cat effect. “Perhaps Poroshenko told the wrong lies, or failed to sell them convincingly enough. Or more likely Ukrainians were tired of years of war and confrontation with Moscow and preferred Zelensky’s promises to bring peace to Donbas and reverse discrimination against Ukraine’s Russian speakers.” At this point Matthews happened on the truth – but he then forgot what had been Zelensky’s election mandate when in secret he was arming for a Ukrainian offensive against Russia and the Donbass territories – as ex-German Chancellor Angela Merkel and ex-French president Francois Hollande have admitted publicly to have been their NATO strategy.

Matthews’s explanation instead for Zelensky’s reversal of the Ukrainian vote is Putin’s “bullying” (page 147), “hectoring” (page 149), and “most fatefully, Zelensky also began strengthening Ukraine’s ties to NATO and accelerating its path to membership. To the Kremlin, it was further proof that Zelensky was Washington’s puppet” (page 150). In Matthews’s locked room, these were Russian “fantasies”, “paranoia”, plus shat cat – “a confluence of Western weakness in the aftermath of the humiliating withdrawal from Afghanistan, the retirement of Angela Merkel as Europe’s senior statesperson, the electoral weakness of Zelensky and a revamped Russian army seemed to present a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity[to] an elderly Russia over a young one, of paranoid Soviet-minded conspiracy theorists over a generation of post-Soviet, postmodern practical capitalists” (page 158).

After the special military operation commenced, Matthews was embedded on the Ukrainian side during the first days and weeks; his sources for what happened were either his interviews with anonymous Ukrainians, or the BBC, or the New Yorker.

Image
Source: https://www.latimes.com/

Central to the book’s argument is that the one-day Battle of Antonov Airport at Hostomel, near Kiev, between Russian special forces and paratroopers and Ukrainian defenders on February 24-25, 2022, was more than a costly tactical defeat for the Russians. The Russian failure “to establish air superiority was fatal to their assault on Hostomel – and would become a serious strategic weakness as the war progressed.”

Matthews claims to have Chinese and British military sources for his idea that there has been a strategic defeat of the Russian war aims, and this triggered a warning by Chinese generals to their counterparts on the Russian General Staff not to use nuclear weapons. This, plus a glimpse inside a secret Sino-Russian security treaty, Matthews claims have heard tell by a “source who has regular personal contact with the leaders of the People’s Liberation Army.” Matthews footnotes this source in an interview he says he held in London less than a month after the special military operation had begun. The internal evidence is that this source is British, not Chinese. He may be the “Downing Street official with direct knowledge” whom Matthews identified two paragraphs earlier in his text, and also footnoted as having been interviewed in London at the same time.

Alternatively, the source might be the chop suey delivery man to the Chinese military attaché office on Portland Place in London. In Matthews’s locked room there is no telling which, and no reason in evidence for believing either.

He also reports a British Army source as telling him that Russian forces weren’t nearly so numerous on the Ukrainian border before their February 24 move as the US had been claiming its intelligence revealed, and the Anglo-American media had been broadcasting for weeks. Instead, according to Matthews and the British Army, Russian forces were operating at 60% of their official manpower levels, and had too few men to operate their machines. This is another of the reasons, according to Matthews, that the Ukrainians have been winning the war. The numbers of casualties on the Russian side Matthews exaggerates; he minimizes or ignores the losses on the Ukrainian side.

Then he reports the US conversion of Russian battlefield defeat and positional stalemate into its opposite — Ukrainian victory. “The stalemate on the ground,” Matthews claimed for May-June 2022, “was about to be broken by an intervention by the United States not of men, but of game-changing military materiel”. Matthews was talking about American M777 howitzers and HIMARS rockets which began to be shipped to Kiev. He also claims “a UK source” for his report that US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin had spoken to Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu by telephone to “reassure Shoigu that the US was not about to enter the war and that aid should not be construed as a military attack on Russia”.

Image
Russian military drone video showing identification of Ukrainian M777 howitzer and its destruction.

The footnote says “interview with the author, London, June 2022.” Matthews appears not only to believe that Austin’s “reassurance” was the truth, but also that Shoigu should have believed the American to be telling the truth. Matthews omits to say why the reader should judge Shoigu to be as gullible towards Americans as Matthews himself — unless Matthews also believes that a man like himself who has had eleven Tsarist generals in his family since they lost the Crimean War to the British and French in 1856 is made of genetically superior material.

This difference between fact and fabrication, truth and falsehood Matthews explains himself as the difference between the Russian and the Ukrainian sides, and between Matthews and everybody else. “The truth doesn’t make you free if you don’t want to hear it” (page 253) he says about the large majority of Russians who support the war and its aims. Any evidence to the contrary, Matthews excuses, comes from “polling in a totalitarian state”; also from Russian “fantasies” and “paranoia”.

Matthews has confused a genuine point of difference between the two sides. Since the Battle of Antonov Airport, the Russians have learned from their tactical mistakes and errors, and adjusted their operational strategy accordingly. The Ukrainians and their US and NATO advisers have not. This is such a crucial issue for analysing how the war has been lost by the Americans first of all, it deserves a book. But Matthews cannot write it; Murdoch cannot print it; there is no bookstore in London or New York which will sell it. “Overreach” might even be its title, though without the irony.

Matthews also misses who on the Russian intelligence and political side in Moscow made the miscalculations leading to the Hostomel failure; and what role the Russian General Staff has played since then to change the dynamics of the decision-making in the Stavka, subordinating President Putin, as he himself has conceded publicly. But to comprehend that this is what has happened, and that the Russian military success has followed, not from Putin’s personal direction but from his subordination to the collective decision-making of the General Staff and Stavka — this is a truth flying in the face of everything Matthews and his paymaster wish to believe, publish, pay for.

In his final pages Matthews quotes an anonymous “senior UK military official based in Kiev, as declaring in July 2022 that the war has achieved the “exact opposite” of Putin’s war aims: “the country’s [Ukraine] real military capabilities were bigger by a factor of ten than they were at the beginning of the war. Ukraine had a million men and women under arms, with thousands being trained in Poland, the UK and US in the use of NATO’s most sophisticated weaponry.” The British military advisor added: “That’s not propaganda, by the way.”

When one side fails to learn, and characterises the thinking of the other side as mad, there cannot be argumentation in good faith. There can be no evidence-based research. This is the political point of book, although it’s not a reason to give Matthews or Murdoch’s publishing company money for it. The point, simply, is that in this war between the US and NATO against Russia, there is no longer any method for proving facts, the truth, either beyond reasonable doubt – the criminal homicide standard in an Anglo-American court of law – or on the balance of probabilities – the civil fraud standard. In this war we are beyond the truth.

Are we, though, beyond the point of peace? That is going to be the outcome of this war. If that peace is inconceivable to the likes of Matthews and the exceptionalists, it will be achieved without them.

[*] In June 2023, seven months after Matthews had finalised his book manuscript, he told Pushkin House, which had just awarded him a $10,000 prize for Best Book of the Year: “The most likely outcome [of the war] is a Korean scenario with a line of control and a barbed wire fence.” Where the line and the fence would be drawn Matthews omitted to say. He also omitted to acknowledge that the US and NATO are now fighting to prevent the line and the barbed wire being drawn along the Dnieper River, between Kiev and the Polish border. On the west side of the line is where the American exceptionalists and those with uncured NATO superiority complex will live.

[**] In New York Matthews has been ignored by the New Yorker, and trumped by the Russia war-fighting faction whose Moscow apartments are in quarters as upper-class as Matthews’s, and whose Jewish credentials are unembarrassed by Orthodox conversions and by tsarist army officers. Keith (aka Konstanin) Gessen also trumps Matthews as a Russia war-fighter by being American and Harvard-educated. He signals the strategic realisation that the US should commence armistice negotiations with Russia for a “better outcome… because, bad as it’s been, it could get much, much worse”. As the line of the coming Russian winter offensive points across the Dnieper towards Lvov, the New Yorker is making a case for a Korean War partition and demilitarised zone, “freezing the conflict in place, and working to secure and rebuild the large part of Ukraine that is not under Russian occupation.” The timing is Christmas, when the Ukrainian Army will have lost all its strategic reserves, and before the Russian offensive begins. In the meantime, “let the Ukrainian counter-offensive play out. But at the end of this year, or maybe early in 2024, [the US] will have to talk with Zelensky about negotiations.” By Christmas, Gessen is signalling, Matthews’s book will have overreached itself and been consigned to the remainder table.

https://johnhelmer.net/end-of-the-war-e ... tionalism/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

User avatar
blindpig
Posts: 10771
Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2017 5:44 pm
Location: Turtle Island
Contact:

Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Tue Sep 05, 2023 12:20 pm

The war in the Black Sea
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 09/05/2023

Image

The rupture of the Black Sea Grain Initiative, which for a year allowed the export of Ukrainian agricultural products after a joint review by Turkey, Russia and Ukraine, has brought clear consequences for the political and military situation, with a notable worsening in security due to increasing naval escalation. The Russian announcement of its withdrawal from the agreement, signifying its termination, came on the same day that Ukraine attacked the bridge linking Crimea with mainland Russia using naval surface drones. Just three days earlier, and in contrast to Russian statements, which for weeks indicated strong reluctance to extend the agreement, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan had prematurely announced the extension of the initiative's validity period.

Turkey's position as a reliable mediator had been seriously undermined a few days earlier by Erdoğan's actions, until then fully aware that his country's ability to benefit - or perhaps profit - from its status as interlocutor required a certain pretense of neutrality. Turkey had managed to insert itself as a practically essential party in the initial attempts to carry out a political negotiation between Kiev and Moscow, in the process that led to the grain export agreement and, finally, in the exchange of prisoners with the highest profile of those who have occurred since the beginning of the Russian military intervention. Ankara's good relations with the Russian and Ukrainian capitals and its geographical position made Turkey the best able to mediate between the two countries.

Breaking with an apparent dynamic of neutrality and, above all, calculated pragmatism, Erdoğan announced in the hours prior to the NATO summit that Ukraine deserves to join the Alliance, a comment that upset Moscow, for whom that input assumes a red line. The words of the Turkish president, in reality a comment that was not going to have any significance, since Ukraine was not, in any way, going to receive an access invitation, came just a few days after Zelensky's visit to the country. Without any prior announcement or explanation from Erdoğan or his government, Zelensky managed to return to Ukraine with Denis Prokopenko, the regiment commander, and other prisoners captured in Azovstal who, according to the exchange agreement, were to remain in Turkey until the end of the war.

This series of actions and statements did not break the relationship between Russia and Turkey, which is known to be essential for Moscow in economic and political terms, but it did increase mistrust in an ally that was considered reliable. Russia, which months before had not been able to explain why it had handed over its most important prisoners of war to a third country, could only protest the handover without asking for explanations. It was clear that Erdoğan was not going to publicly offer a reasoning as to why he unilaterally breached the agreement and Russia's interest was in turning the page by trying to give as little publicity as possible to the release of the Azov commanders and other Ukrainian units who fought in Mariupol.

Proof that relations between the two countries have not been broken or cooled to the extreme came yesterday, with Erdoğan's visit to the Russian city of Sochi, where he met with Vladimir Putin for several hours. However, yesterday's images, much colder than usual, also showed that mistrust has increased. And once again, the Turkish president was overconfident and announced something prematurely that he could not deliver. In the morning, Erdoğan's communication team circulated the news that there would be an important announcement related to the Black Sea grain export agreement, information collected by news agencies, which hinted that the reactivation of The initiative. Evidently,

As usually happens on every occasion when an important announcement from the Russian president is expected, the meeting did not give the result expected by Erdoğan, who failed to obtain Vladimir Putin's commitment to return to the agreement. Moreover, the press conference confirmed that the positions have not moved. On the one hand, the Turkish president, who in the past has sided with Russia in its complaints about the operation of the agreement, rejected the possibility of an alternative proposal to the original agreement. In practice, that means demanding Russia return to an initiative from which only Ukraine could benefit. Despite being willing to negotiate, the Russian president also maintained his position and once again repeated Moscow's demands to return to the agreement. In this context, Erdoğan's words implying that an agreement could be reached,

What's more, Vladimir Putin not only raised the usual Russian demands -such as the unblocking of Russian exports and the reconnection of the agricultural bank to the SWIFT system- but added one more linked to the current situation. Asked about the gas pipelines that pass through the Black Sea, the Turkish Stream and the Blue Stream, the Russian president stated that it is necessary to guarantee the safety of the Russian ships that protect these infrastructures. The precedent of the Nord Stream, especially the suspicions towards Ukraine, makes this protection essential, now more difficult due to worsening security conditions. Whether or not it is a matter of cause and effect, it is clear that the attacks have multiplied in the Black Sea, which, although since February 2022 has been the scene of military actions, it had not been from the danger that now exists for navigation. The current situation, which has worsened notably in recent weeks with cross threats against ships entering the ports -although only Ukraine has attacked a Russian cargo ship, an action to which Russia has not responded with similar measures-, would require negotiation which, at the moment, does not seem possible.

The danger in the Black Sea persists at both ends of the front. Ukraine continues to threaten to expand its operations to attack Russian positions in Crimea, has attacked ports on the Russian mainland, and vows to target military or civilian vessels heading for Russian ports. Russia, for its part, continues to attack Ukraine's naval infrastructure on both the sea and river coasts. The attacks against the port of Odessa, which had been sporadic until the breakdown of the agreement, have become constant and the bombardments against the Ukrainian river infrastructure have also increased.

One of these attacks, carried out with the use of kamikaze drones, reached the Ukrainian infrastructure on the banks of the Danube, a few meters from the Romanian border, an aspect that Ukraine used to try to achieve one of its great objectives: further involve NATO. Following the script of last year, when Ukraine distorted reality to try to convince its allies that a Russian missile had hit Poland, several Ukrainian representatives, including the Minister of Foreign Affairs, claimed yesterday that Russian drones had hit Romania. As a member of NATO, Bucharest could appeal to collective security in case it feels attacked by the Russian Federation. However, like last year, the affected country quickly denied the attack. Despite the insistence of Dmitro Kuleba, which claimed to have graphic evidence of the attack, Romania categorically denied Ukraine's claims. As in the case of Poland, Romania demonstrated again yesterday that NATO's will is to avoid any direct confrontation with Russia despite Ukraine's constant attempts. In the same way as Turkey, which is seeing in the war an opportunity to gain geopolitical weight and obtain economic benefits, the NATO countries prefer to be essential for the continuation of the war but never directly, financing it so that it is Ukraine that puts the soldiers, death and destruction.

The situation in the Black Sea, which could perhaps have been avoided with the extension of the grain export agreement, points to a worsening and continued escalation. Ukraine, which has stopped hiding that its real objective is the Crimean peninsula, now has a naval armament that it lacked a year ago, with which it is capable of causing increasing damage to Russian troops and infrastructure, a spiral of danger difficult to stop in the context of offense.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/09/05/la-gu ... more-28071

Google Translator

******

Chronicle of the special military operation for September 4, 2023
September 4, 2023
Rybar

Ukrainian formations made another attempt to land on Cape Tarkhankut in Crimea : thanks to the professional work of Russian aviation, four enemy boats were destroyed in the Black Sea, one managed to return to the shores of Ukraine.

In the Bryansk region, a sabotage and reconnaissance group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine crossed the border near the village of Podyvot , however, having met with a rebuff from the border guards of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, it was forced to retreat. However, according to some reports, one of the Russian servicemen was killed during the skirmish.

A relative lull has set in at the front: in the Starobelsky direction, the Russian army continues its positional offensive in the Serebryansky forestry area, and the fighting near Kleshcheevka in the Soledarsky direction does not subside .

In the area of ​​​​Verbove in the Zaporozhye direction and Urozhaynoye in the Vremievsky section, the Armed Forces of Ukraine made unsuccessful offensive attempts, having lost several units of armored vehicles and manpower, retreated to their original positions.

Massive shelling of Russian territory also continued: settlements of the Bryansk , Belgorod , Kherson regions and the DPR were under attack throughout the day . At the same time, last night, Russian troops launched kamikaze drone strikes on the port and oil infrastructure of Reni and Izmail .

Image

About another attempt to land a Ukrainian DRG near Cape Tarkhankut

Image
On the night of September 4, units of the GUR and SOF of Ukraine again tried to land at Cape Tarkhankut in the Crimea . Only unlike previous attacks, the DRG slightly changed the route: five boats with personnel left the Zatoka region , and not Vilkovo . Enemy reconnaissance groups by midnight passed the Golitsyn gas production plant and headed for the peninsula. At that moment, south of Tarkhankut, the Tekever UAV from Snigirevka was already operating , providing guidance for Willard-type boats and their escort.

Units of the 31st division of the Air Force and Air Defense of the Russian army first shot down a Portuguese-made drone from the Pantsir air defense missile system, leaving the DRG GUR of Ukraine without eyes, and then lifted the aircraft of the naval aviation of the Black Sea Fleet into the air. Ukrainian boats turned around and moved back to Zatoka. The first three boats were discovered by a Su-24M bomber 43 km northwest of Tarkhankut, where four RBC-500 cluster bombs were dropped on them.

The boats went down with the people on board. Another was at that moment to the west of the gas producing environment. A Russian Su-30SM plane dropped two RBC-500 bombs on it. Another boat managed to reach the coast of Ukraine and return to Zatoka. As we assumed earlier, the Ukrainian authorities will continue their PR attacks on the peninsula, despite the suicidal nature of such actions. The successful attack on the S-300 air defense system and the landing near Olenevka for the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine seemed to be beneficial in terms of information, so no one is going to reckon with losses.

Russian sailors and air defense units, without the slightest problem, were able to detect and destroy the threat even before approaching the Crimea. The level of Russian military personnel has increased many times over a year and a half of the NWO. And yes, such an outing on the day of negotiations on a grain deal quite clearly shows that it is definitely not worth negotiating with the Ukrainian side on some kind of settlement in the Black Sea.

Sortie of the DRG of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Bryansk region

Image
This morning, a Ukrainian DRG of up to 30 people tried to penetrate the territory of the Bryansk region near the village of Podyvot'e . This was preceded by mortar training in the vicinity of the settlement. Unfortunately, during the repulse of the attack, one border guard was killed, and several more soldiers were injured. The enemy began to show activity shortly before the landing. In the border areas, small-sized UAVs were actively working, monitoring the situation in this zone. And in the Middle - Buda field artillery guns were pulled together.

The concentration of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Chernihiv and Sumy regions has been maintained for quite a long time. DRGs operate along the border with copters, and kamikaze drones are periodically launched across Russian territories. The enemy contingent essentially remains the same, and at Novgorod - Seversky even the mobilized are being trained. So the attacks of the DRG are unlikely to stop, especially considering how the Armed Forces of Ukraine use such newsbreaks to divert attention from failures in the offensive.

About human destinies on unknown sectors of the front
A video in memory of Guards Captain Vadim Epifanov (callsign Cunning), who was presented to the title of Hero of Russia the day before, appeared on the NgP RaZVedka channel . In the summer, the Khitrets reconnaissance company carried out assaults on the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kherson direction , landed on the islands and "nightmare" the Ukrainian formations with surprise attacks, forcing the enemy to roll back to the opposite bank of the Dnieper.

The next such operation was to be an exit on July 7 near the village of Krynki . A group under the command of Sly landed on one of the islands, but fell into a carefully prepared ambush. The sabotage detachment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine aimed to capture the company commander, put up a machine-gun crew and pulled in reinforcements in order to force the Russian unit to surrender.

Instead, Cunning took the fight and, having received dozens of bullet wounds, was able to delay the enemy, ensuring the withdrawal of his group. Despite the reports already familiar to many and in some places the frozen front line, behind every report and attempts to prevent the enemy from advancing further, human stories are hidden, often full of heroism and self-sacrifice. And we need to talk about them as often as possible.

The situation on the front line and the fighting

At night, the Russian Armed Forces launched strikes with kamikaze drones on targets in the Odessa region : according to some reports, hits fell on the port infrastructure of Reni and Izmail , as well as on oil terminals.


In the Starobelsky direction, assault detachments of the Armed Forces of Ukraine carried out a series of attacks on Russian positions in the area of ​​​​Serebryansky forestry . All attacks were suppressed by units of the RF Armed Forces with small arms and artillery fire. At the same time, Russian artillerymen worked on the objects and places of concentration of the enemy in front-line settlements, including in Torskoy .


In the direction of Soledar, Ukrainian formations continue to gather additional forces in the direction of Bakhmut and make episodic attempts to break through the defenses to the north and south of the city. At the same time, clashes near Kleshcheevka do not subside : Russian artillerymen are firing at the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at tactical heights and in forest plantations near the village. Nevertheless, at the moment, the main attention of the Ukrainian command is aimed at preparing for the resumption of intense fighting in the area. Due to reckless and senseless attacks, the enemy often surrenders. From the site, footage appeared of escorting captured members of Ukrainian formations who were not ready to take part in the next offensive against Russian positions.


In the Vremievsky sector, the front line did not undergo significant changes. The parties exchange artillery strikes, conduct sabotage and reconnaissance activities. To the north-east of Nikolsky, an infantry fighting vehicle with personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was destroyed during the rotation. In Elizavetovka, they managed to destroy the enemy's ammunition depot.

Fighting continues in the area of ​​​​Urozhaynoye and Staromayorsky . Settlements and forest plantations occupied by the enemy are treated with artillery and air strikes. According to Voin DV , the enemy is amassing reserves in Bolshaya Novoselka , and other settlements to the north near the Mokrye Yaly River .


Fighting continues in the Orekhovsky sector in the Rabotino area . The south of the settlement continues to be in the "gray zone". In the morning, the movement of enemy equipment was discovered, several tanks were hit by anti-tank gunners of the 42nd MSD from the anti-tank systems. Fighting is also taking place west of Verbovoye . The enemy has not yet reached the outskirts of the settlement, but caught on to nearby landings, as evidenced by the footage of the shelling of positions occupied by the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the ACS.

Shelling of rear territories and residential areas

Image
In the Bryansk region, before the entry of the DRG, the enemy carried out artillery preparation and fired at the village of Podyvot'e , Sevsky district: the administrative building and outbuildings were partially damaged. There were problems with power supply in the village, no one was injured. Later, the enemy attacked the village of Zernovo , Suzemsky district, one woman received shrapnel wounds, she received medical assistance. One house and a power line were damaged. In the village of Belaya Berezka , the enemy damaged the administrative building, there were no casualties.

In addition, the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to attack infrastructure facilities in the region. In the Vygonichsky district , an enemy UAV fell into a field as a result of the work of electronic warfare, without causing damage. At the same time, another apparatus was landed not far from the Klintsovskaya CHPP, and casualties and destruction were avoided. Local residents also reported about the shelling of Novye Yurkovichi and Aleshkovichi : no official information has yet been received.

Image
In the Belgorod region, local residents reported shelling of Terebreno , Murom , and the Balki farm : there is no official information about casualties and damage.

Image
Ukrainian formations continue to massively shell the settlements of the Donetsk People's Republic from cannon and rocket artillery . In the capital of the region, the central districts of the city came under fire: several dozen civilian objects and cars were damaged. According to the latest reports, two civilians, including a teenager, were injured. And in neighboring Makiivka, a man in the Central City district was injured as a result of the detonation of a GP.


The Bakhmut district also ended up under indiscriminate enemy fire : in the village of Mironovsky , as a result of shelling from the Uragan MLRS, two civilians were killed, at least eight more, including two children , were injured of varying severity. The impact damaged several schools and other administrative buildings. All the victims were provided with the necessary medical assistance.

Image
During the day, the Armed Forces of Ukraine launched artillery strikes on the left bank of the Kherson region . Dozens of shells were fired at the settlements: Alyoshki , Vasilevka , Golaya Pristan , Kakhovka , Krynki , Novaya Kakhovka . In Dnipro, the blows fell on a poultry farm, and in Raisky , on a civil enterprise and a nursery, there were no casualties. An enemy UAV was shot down near the village of Proletarka .

Political events
On the expulsion of Ukrainians of military age from Poland

According to the Polish media, the country's authorities began to extradite Ukrainians of military age. As evidence, the journalists cited data on the expulsion of citizens of a neighboring state from the country. True, there is a nuance: crimes, including the transportation of illegal immigrants across the border, became the basis for expulsion. Another reason for the deportation was the requests of the Ukrainian prosecutor's office, but even in this case, the authorities were mainly looking not specifically for draft dodgers, but specifically for criminals. So for now , there is no talk of a mass expulsion of Ukrainians home. However, Kiev is already actively working on finding ways to call on even more people to compensate for the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine this year:

Recently, Zelensky instructed to check all applications for disability and unfitness for military service issued by commissions after February 24, 2022. The official reason is the same “fight against corruption”. On the eve of the Verkhovna Rada introduced a law on the abolition of the deferral of mobilization for Ukrainians over 30 years of age, receiving a second or higher education. In Ukraine, this is one of the popular ways to avoid being drafted, which is why universities have constantly expanded the number of places to admit such applicants. Well, the news about the extradition of Ukrainians, first of all, will have a positive effect on the image of the ruling coalition in Poland . After all, the citizens of the country have repeatedly wondered why sexually mature, healthy and fairly drunk Ukrainians of military age are walking along the Polish streets, and not sitting in the trenches.

On the prospects of a grain deal

Talks were held in Sochi between Turkish and Russian Presidents Tayyip Erdogan and Vladimir Putin . The cornerstone is the so-called "grain deal". The Russian side is ready to return to the implementation of the agreement if the Western countries fulfill their part of the agreement: they allow Russian fertilizer and grain producers to enter the world markets, connect Rosselkhozbank to SWIFT and unlock Russian assets abroad. At the same time, the share of Ukraine, even after the closing of the “agreement”, is the same 5%, without creating an imaginary threat of a shortage of goods, and instead of rising, prices began to decline.

According to the Turkish leader, Vladimir Putin's claims are justified if 44% of Ukrainian grain continues to go to European countries, and Ukraine needs to "soften its approach in order to resume the deal." Erdogan also added that at the moment there is no alternative to the Black Sea agreements, but he is working on a new document that can suit both sides. Why such a document should not be considered seriously - no need to explain: cargo ships will once again be used to attack the Russian fleet and transport weapons.


About another example of pressure on the UOC

The Ukrainian security forces continue their pressure on representatives of the canonical UOC of the Moscow Patriarchate. In the morning, the police cordoned off the Kremenets convent in the Ternopil region. The UOC states that the goal of the schismatics is to close the monastery and evict the nuns. People are allowed inside only upon presentation of a passport.

The arrest of Kolomoisky and what does the interdepartmental struggle have to do with it

Ukrainian sources report that the Dnepropetrovsk oligarch Igor Kolomoisky, who was arrested in Ukraine , is currently in the SBU pre-trial detention center, and not in the Lukyanovsky pre-trial detention center , as previously assumed. This is expected, given the fact that this case is an element of the structure’s hardware struggle with organizations completely controlled by the West, like the same NABU.

The SBU seeks to prevent the transfer of the oligarch into the hands of competitors, as they could use him to extract evidence against Zelensky and his entourage. In addition, the arrest of Kolomoisky by the Security Service makes it possible to increase the dependence of the oligarch on Bankova through a “managed” criminal case, which is being conducted by bodies associated with the Office of the President.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

Google Translator

(Other images at link.)

******

Defense Minister of Ukraine submits his resignation

Image
The minister resigned after there have been several corruption scandals in the Ukrainian army. | Photo: Twitter @AChikadibi5200
Published 4 September 2023

The Ukrainian president Volodímir Zelenski had brought forward the minister's departure the day before, who was indirectly involved in a corruption case.

Ukraine's Defense Minister Alexei Reznikov declared that he had submitted his resignation to the Verkhovna Rada (Ukrainian Parliament).

"By virtue of the decision of the President of Ukraine, Volodimir Zelensky, I submitted my resignation to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine," Reznikov wrote on the Facebook social network.

Zelenski justified the change in order to promote "a new approach and other forms of interaction both with the military and with society in general" amid the war with Russia.


Reznikov's dismissal was expected, due to corruption scandals in his ministry. Although the minister himself has not been personally involved, several Ukrainian media outlets and political representatives held him responsible.

The latest scandal in the Ukrainian Defense Ministry has to do with uniforms: 180,000 summer jackets were bought to fight in winter. Reznikov had promised to resign if the fraud was proven.

Zelensky nominated Rustem Umerov, head of Ukraine's main privatization agency, for the post of defense minister. Umerov's candidacy must be approved by parliament before his appointment.

https://www.telesurtv.net/news/ucrania- ... -0012.html

Google Translator

*******

OK, This Is Huge!!
I mean it. TASS reports.

МОСКВА, 4 сентября. /ТАСС/. Многофункциональный сверхзвуковой истребитель-бомбардировщик Су-34 применил гиперзвуковую ракету "Кинжал" в ходе спецоперации на Украине. Об этом ТАСС сообщил источник в военном ведомстве. "Самолет Су-34 применил гиперзвуковую ракету "Кинжал" в ходе СВО. Первый экипаж, который успешно выполнил такую задачу, был представлен к госнаградам", - заявил собеседник агентства. "Кинжал" - это новейший российский комплекс с гиперзвуковыми аэробаллистическими ракетами. Носителем ракет является специально оборудованный для этого перехватчик МиГ-31К. Кроме того, ранее сообщалось, что под "Кинжалы" должны быть оборудованы стратегические бомбардировщики Ту-22М3 и истребители-бомбардировщики Су-34.

Translation: MOSCOW, 4 September. /TASS/. The Su-34 multifunctional supersonic fighter-bomber used the Kinzhal hypersonic missile during a special operation in Ukraine. This was reported to TASS by a source in the military department. "The Su-34 aircraft used the Kinzhal hypersonic missile during the NWO. The first crew that successfully completed such a task was presented with state awards," the agency's interlocutor said. "Kinzhal" is the latest Russian complex with hypersonic aeroballistic missiles. The carrier of the missiles is the MiG-31K interceptor specially equipped for this purpose. In addition, it was previously reported that Tu-22M3 strategic bombers and Su-34 fighter-bombers should be equipped with Kinzhals.

I hope I do not need to elaborate on massive strategic implications of that. Russia has around 160 of these powerful planes (now, most likely even more) and Su-34 is a mainstay of Russia's ground-attack combat aviation in full and expanding production cycle.

Image

Mathematics here is simple--it increases by order of magnitude the number of carriers of Kinzhal and with the combat range of Su-34 with full 12 ton load in excess of 1,100 kilometers one can only imagine what a nightmare for anyone in the ocean the news of a take off of a squadron (between 8 and 12) of such birds would mean. So, they did figure out how to integrate Kinzhal with Su-34. Now, gentlemen, start your stop-watch before 3M22 Zircon gets integrated with Su-30SM/35 and same Su-34.

http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2023/09 ... -huge.html

******

The Arrest of Igor Kolomoysky Consolidates US Influence Over Zelensky Ahead of Likely Elections
Posted on September 4, 2023 by Yves Smith

Yves here. It seems difficult to fathom why Igor Kolomoysky returned to Ukraine to get himself arrested, since he was bunkered in Switzerland and reportedly had enough of his former fortune left (Alex Christaforu reported yesterday $800 million; I haven’t attempted to verify) to live comfortably. And Kolomoysky would hardly be the first rich person to hide out in Switzerland on a long term basis; recall Marc Rich, convicted for criminal tax fraud in the US and after a very long time in exile, pardoned by the US. One has to assume someone he trusted baited him to come….confirming that no one in Ukraine who has any influence can be trusted.

The other peculiar part of this saga is the apparent volte face by Zelensky on elections. Recall Ukraine has already shut down all opposition press, banned opposition parties, and has been attacking Russian Orthodox churches and considering a formal ban. So having elections with this as a background is a farce, and Zelensky had accordingly said none would be held until the war was over. But the cancellation of elections made it too easy to depict Ukraine as a non-democracy and was embarrassing to the US. So it appears that fake Ukraine elections will be coming in 2024.

By Andrew Korybko, a Moscow-based American political analyst who specializes in the global systemic transition to multipolarity in the New Cold War. He has a PhD from MGIMO, which is under the umbrella of the Russian Foreign Ministry. Originally published at his website

Image

In an ironic twist of fate, this oligarch went from pulling the Ukrainian leader’s strings to having his life ruined by the same man who he thought was his puppet.

Many observers were shocked when the SBU arrested Zelensky’s former patron, oligarch Igor Kolomoysky, on charges of fraud, corruption, and money laundering over the weekend. The Ukrainian leader then thanked the security serves in his evening address “for their determination to bring every case stalled for decades to a just conclusion.” This development comes two and a half years after the US sanctionedKolomoysky on related pretexts, thus suggesting that the latest move was endorsed by them.

His arrest is due to several converging factors that also explain why it happened at this particular time. First, the vicious blame game that broke out between the US and Ukraine last month over the failed counteroffensive threatens to derail their relations if it isn’t soon resolved. At the core of this dispute are US accusations that Ukraine is arrogantly ignoring the military-strategic advice that it’s been given. Accordingly, the US has an interest in removing those who it suspects of negatively influencing Zelensky.

It’s unclear exactly what sway Kolomoysky might have still exerted over Zelensky after the latter fell largely under US influence since the start of Russia’s special operation a year and a half ago, but it makes sense why Washington wouldn’t want to risk the chance that he could play a role in their escalating spat. This observation doesn’t explain why he was arrested only just now, however, thus leading to the second relevant factor regarding the urgent need to manage Ukrainian and US public opinion.

People in both countries are growing fatigued and frustrated with this conflict. The challenge this poses for Ukraine is that it reduces support for prolonging the proxy war, plus folks are now starting to remember some of his other unfulfilled promises like fighting corruption. As for the US, a lot of Americans no longer want to fund Ukraine, or they at least want accountability for how their money is being spent after fearing that figures in this infamously corrupt country are stealing their tax dollars.

It therefore made sense for Zelensky to finally stage a public spectacle by allowing the arrest of his corrupt patron. He killed two birds with one stone by satiating both publics at no cost to himself. In fact, the latest phase of his anti-corruption campaign actually works in his political interests, thereby segueing into the third factor pertaining to the newfound US pressure on him to hold presidential elections next spring as planned.

Zelensky will almost certainly run for re-election even though he hasn’t yet officially announced his candidacy. He’s still somewhat popular with his people, as are most leaders whenever there’s a conflict being fought on their territory (or the territory that they claim as their own in this case), but his failure to effectively fight corruption despite prior promises disappointed many. By letting the SBU arrest his former patron Kolomoysky, however, Zelensky hopes to regain some of his base’s lost trust.

These three factors – the US wanting to consolidate its influence over Zelensky as bilateral ties become more complicated; the need to satiate the Ukrainian and US publics’ anti-corruption demands; and the incumbent’s undeclared re-election campaign – account for Kolomoysky’s arrest at this particular time. Simply put, it serves both states’ interests. In an ironic twist of fate, this oligarch went from pulling the Ukrainian leader’s strings to having his life ruined by the same man who he thought was his puppet.

https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2023/09 ... tions.html

******

Image

US Officials Keep Boasting About How Much The Ukraine War Serves US Interests

One of the most glaring plot holes in the official mainstream narrative on Ukraine is the way US officials keep openly boasting that this supposedly unprovoked war which the US is only backing out of the goodness of its heart just so happens to serve US interests tremendously.

Caitlin Johnstone
September 3, 2023

One of the most glaring plot holes in the official mainstream narrative on Ukraine is the way US officials keep openly boasting that this supposedly unprovoked war which the US is only backing out of the goodness of its heart just so happens to serve US interests tremendously.

In a recent article for the Connecticut Post, Senator Richard Blumenthal assured Americans that “we’re getting our money’s worth on our Ukraine investment.”

“For less than 3 percent of our nation’s military budget, we’ve enabled Ukraine to degrade Russia’s military strength by half,” writes Blumenthal. “We’ve united NATO and caused the Chinese to rethink their invasion plans for Taiwan. We’ve helped restore faith and confidence in American leadership — moral and military. All without a single American service woman or man injured or lost, and without any diversion or misappropriation of American aid.”


As Antiwar’s Dave DeCamp recently observed, this type of “investment” talk about Ukraine has been getting more common. Last weekend Senator Mitt Romney called the war “the best national defense spending I think we’ve ever done.”

“We’re losing no lives in Ukraine, and the Ukrainians are fighting heroically against Russia,” Romney said. “We’re diminishing and devastating the Russian military for a very small amount of money … a weakened Russia is a good thing.”

Last month Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell argued that Americans should support the US government’s proxy warfare in Ukraine because “we haven’t lost a single American in this war,” adding that the spending is helping to employ Americans in the military-industrial complex.

“Most of the money that we spend related to Ukraine is actually spent in the US, replenishing weapons, more modern weapons,” McConnell said. “So it’s actually employing people here and improving our own military for what may lie ahead.”

McConnell has been talking about how much this war benefits the US since last year. During a speech back in December the ailing swamp monster argued that “the most basic reasons for continuing to help Ukraine degrade and defeat the Russian invaders are cold, hard, practical American interests.”

“Helping equip our friends in Eastern Europe to win this war is also a direct investment in reducing Vladimir Putin’s future capabilities to menace America, threaten our allies and contest our core interests,” McConnell said.


As we’ve discussed previously, US empire managers have been talking about how much this war serves US interests ever since it began.

In May of last year Congressman Dan Crenshaw said on Twitter that “investing in the destruction of our adversary’s military, without losing a single American troop, strikes me as a good idea.”

“It is in America’s national security interests for Putin’s Russia to be defeated in Ukraine,” tweeted the perpetually war-horny senator Lindsey Graham.

Last November the imperial war machine-funded think tank Center for European Policy Analysis published an article titled “It’s Costing Peanuts for the US to Defeat Russia,” subtitled “The cost-benefit analysis of US support for Ukraine is incontrovertible. It’s producing wins at almost every level.”

“US spending of 5.6% of its defense budget to destroy nearly half of Russia’s conventional military capability seems like an absolutely incredible investment,” gushed the article’s author Timothy Ash. “If we divide out the US defense budget to the threats it faces, Russia would perhaps be of the order of $100bn-150bn in spend-to-threat. So spending just $40bn a year, erodes a threat value of $100–150bn, a two-to-three time return. Actually the return is likely to be multiples of this given that defense spending, and threat are annual recurring events.”


And of course the mass media have been all aboard the same messaging. A few weeks ago The Washington Post’s David Ignatius wrote an article explaining why westerners shouldn’t “feel gloomy” about how things are going in Ukraine, writing the following about how much this war is doing to benefit US interests overseas:

“Meanwhile, for the United States and its NATO allies, these 18 months of war have been a strategic windfall, at relatively low cost (other than for the Ukrainians). The West’s most reckless antagonist has been rocked. NATO has grown much stronger with the additions of Sweden and Finland. Germany has weaned itself from dependence on Russian energy and, in many ways, rediscovered its sense of values. NATO squabbles make headlines, but overall, this has been a triumphal summer for the alliance.”

I suspect I’ll be periodically reminding my readers of that paragraph — and Ignatius’ parenthetical “other than for the Ukrainians” aside — for the remainder of my writing career.

So on one hand the western political/media class have been hammering us in the face with the message that the invasion of Ukraine was “unprovoked” and that the US and its allies played no antagonistic role in paving the road to this conflict whatsoever, and on the other hand you’ve got all these empire managers enthusing about how much this war benefits US interests.

Those two narratives seem a wee bit contradictory, do they not?

A critical thinker can reconcile this contradiction in one of two ways. First, they can believe that the world’s most powerful and destructive government is just a passive, innocent witness to the violence in Ukraine, and is only benefitting immensely from the war as a complete coincidence. Second, they can believe the US intentionally provoked this war with the understanding that it would benefit from it.

From where I’m sitting, it’s not difficult to determine which of these is more likely.

https://caitlinjohnstone.com.au/2023/09 ... interests/

Arrogance worthy of the Roman Senate

******

AFU during the summer offensive lost 66,000 people and 7,600 pieces of equipment and weapons
September 5, 13:30

Shoigu published the official assessment of the RF Armed Forces of the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine during the summer offensive in the southern direction.
66,000 losses in manpower and more than 7,600 pieces of equipment and weapons are declared. The results of such mass bloodletting are clearly visible on the maps, where, as in June, there are battles near Pyatikhatki, Rabotino, Urozhaynoye, Novodonetsky.

Ukrainian Armed Forces during the summer offensive lost 66,000 people and 7,600 pieces of equipment and weapons
( Collapse )

About a special military operation.

The Russian Armed Forces continue to operate actively along the entire line of contact.

The Kiev regime, despite the colossal losses, has been trying to conduct a so-called counter-offensive for the third month already. The armed forces of Ukraine did not achieve their goals in any of the directions.

The Ukrainian leadership is desperately trying to demonstrate to Western curators at least some success in offensive operations in order to further obtain military and economic assistance, which only prolongs the conflict.

The most tense situation has developed in the Zaporozhye direction. The enemy brought into battle brigades from the strategic reserve, whose personnel were trained under the guidance of Western instructors.

Thanks to the selfless actions of the military personnel of the 810th brigade and the 177th marine regiment, the 56th airborne assault and 71st motorized rifle regiments, as well as units of the 76th airborne assault division, significant damage was caused to Ukrainian units.

Acting decisively in the Kupyansk and Kremensk directions, our troops liberated the Novoselovskoye settlement, significantly improving their position along the front line.

During the offensive, the military personnel of the 1st, 12th and 26th tank regiments showed courage and courage.

The Russian Armed Forces continue to destroy the military infrastructure of Ukraine with precision strikes.

In the past month alone, 34 command posts of the armed forces of Ukraine of the operational-tactical command and control level were hit.

Since the beginning of the so-called offensive, enemy losses have exceeded sixty-six thousand people and seven thousand six hundred pieces of weapons.

In an attempt to hide the failure of the offensive, Ukrainian militants attack civilian targets and pass off these attacks as military victories.

As a result of the competent actions of our combat crews, 159 Hymars rockets, over a thousand unmanned aerial vehicles, and 13 cruise missiles were shot down over the past month.

I thank the personnel for the fighting spirit and focus on victory.

***

Thematic part of our conference call.

First, let's discuss how the United Aircraft Corporation is implementing the plan for the supply of heavy military transport aircraft and modernized strategic missile carriers.

This year, the Armed Forces should receive six Il-76MD-90A and four Tu-160M.

At the meeting, we will outline measures for the unconditional implementation of the 2023 supply plan.

***

The next question concerns the preparation of objects of the Ministry of Defense for the heating season.

Maintenance and repair of heat generating facilities were carried out in advance.

The work was completed in full, including maintenance, overhaul and current repairs of the barracks and housing fund of communal facilities.

The navigation delivery has been completed, standard fuel reserves have been created in the regions of the Far North.

Heating has already been launched in five subjects.

Today we will hear a report on readiness for the upcoming heating season in other regions.

***

Next, we will discuss the state of the military transport aviation fleet, which solves a wide range of tasks on the territory of the country and abroad.

Thus, since the beginning of the special military operation, 8,000 sorties have been carried out, almost 376,000 military personnel, over 2,700 units of military equipment and 132,000 tons of cargo have been transported.

In addition, military transport aviation was involved in extinguishing fires and supporting the operations of our group in Syria.

At the meeting, we will consider the possibilities for the further development of military transport aviation.

https://telegra.ph/Vstupitelnoe-slovo-M ... anii-09-05 - full link

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8612805.html

Google Translator

While the numbers on the daily reports from MOD are considered a bit inflated(unlike the Ukes which are grossly inflated) these numbers, given recent circumstances, are probably close to reality.

I have neglected to include photo of trans person purported to be official UA rep and pertinent comments. I still have doubts about this, cannot see how the Nazis would tolerate that. In any case it's cheap propaganda inflaming prejudices needlessly. If this person has been inserted into the Uke propaganda apparatus the target is the liberal Western audience in order to bolster their support of their governments support of the war. These dumb bunnies do not perceive that 'diversity', long respected by the genuine left, has been appropriated by the Owners and weaponized to divide the working class and supplant working class politics in anticipation of the hard times coming to the West. The people victimized by the stirred up rancor are collateral damage ...
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

User avatar
blindpig
Posts: 10771
Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2017 5:44 pm
Location: Turtle Island
Contact:

Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Wed Sep 06, 2023 11:48 am

A key month for the counteroffensive
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 09/06/2023

Image

Three months after the start of the Ukrainian counteroffensive that was intended to break through the front and deal a decisive blow to the Russian military group in southern Ukraine, the battle continues, centered on the towns on the front line. Russia - and part of the pro-Ukrainian media, which is already seeking to prepare the final offensivefor later years - has given up the offensive. However, nothing has been said yet and September could be a decisive month before the weather once again makes large-scale military operations in open country areas difficult, as is the case in Zaporozhye. The small Ukrainian advances mean that this is the moment in which the Kiev troops must make a push to try to consolidate those gains and translate them into minimally relevant success. Otherwise, they will confirm the Russian impression that Ukraine does not have the offensive capabilities to break through the front. In any case, the objective has ceased to be the Azov Sea to focus on much more modest ones such as consolidating the capture of Rabotino, still questionable, and advancing, not towards Melitopol but towards Tokmak.

Original Article: DonRF

In red, the attacks that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are carrying out right now and their most immediate objectives. In blue, the planned attacks. Having arced the front line in the Rabotino-Verbovoe area, they are trying to get to the main line of defense south of Novoprokopovka and, after that breakthrough, directly to Tokmak. September is his last time, so the stake will be as strong as possible. Some Telegram channels talk about sending Russian reserves, supposedly in significant numbers, while the opponent has already sent everything he has, including the two reserve brigades for the next campaign. The troops from other fronts and some isolated units remain.

Image

And there's a time window left, a month or maybe six weeks at the most, all taking into account that the troops are completely exhausted. Things are being very hard there. A lot. But it is not difficult only for Russia. Every effort is being made against the opponent's rear: aviation is actively involved, and KAB precision-guided weapons are used. The reservations are ready. Right now, the moment of truth is continued and they will break through the defense line creating a ledge to Tokmak or else they will drown. The second option is more possible, although the possibility of the first cannot be ruled out. War is like that.

The opponent has fully invested in this attack. To the point that he is preparing to mobilize students and demands that Germany return 160,000 Ukrainian fugitives [people who left the country with medical certificates falsified by doctors or by bribing recruitment authorities- Ed]. Before locking up the doctors and military commissioners. Before Kolomoisky's arrest. Either they reach Tokmak and then there will be a second round in the spring, or they will die in the steppe and in the spring there will be an active defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Because it will not be possible to obtain such a quantity of weapons a second time. NATO's arsenals have begun to empty. Everything there is has been sent, including cluster bombs and depleted uranium ammunition. During 90 days of offensive, they have fired at least half a million shells and MLRS missiles. That's six months of production if the NATO countries continue to put up with running out of stock. And if there is a time when they do not shoot. The problem is that they will continue to shoot. And the West is not willing to suffer shortages without results.

The weather favors them until October, although the forecasts are not exact and are sometimes wrong. But they don't have many options, neither military nor political. So September is going to be hot in that sector of the front, not exactly in terms of weather. Overall, it's unlikely they'll run to the sea, but Tokmak is their chance to justify themselves for a lackluster campaign that's been butchery and lay the groundwork for the next one. For Russia, it's a chance to wear down NATO's best proxy connections and have a new winter-spring window of opportunity.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/09/06/28078/#more-28078

Google Translator

*******

From the Telegram account of Cassad:

Ministry of Defense of Russia

⚡️ Report of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation on the progress of the special military operation ( as of September 6, 2023 )

Part 1 ( see part 2 )

▫️ Tonight, the Aerospace Forces of Russia carried out a group strike with long-range precision weapons at the training base for sabotage groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The object is hit. The target has been reached.

▫️In the Donetsk direction, units of the "Southern" group of forces, in cooperation with aviation and artillery, repelled ten attacks by assault groups of the 80th airborne assault, 110th mechanized and 59th motorized infantry brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the areas of the settlements of Kleshcheevka, Orekhovo-Vasilevka, Khimik, Nevelskoye and Marinka of the Donetsk People's Republic.

▫️In addition, in the area of ​​​​the city of Artemovsk of the Donetsk People's Republic, fire damage was inflicted on accumulations of manpower and equipment of the 17th tank brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. During the fighting in this direction, the enemy lost up to 285 Ukrainian servicemen, a tank, two infantry fighting vehicles, five vehicles, a Gvozdika self-propelled artillery mount, a Rapira cannon, and an unmanned aerial vehicle control center.

▫️ In the South-Donetsk direction, units of the Vostok group of forces, with the support of aviation and artillery, repelled an attack by an assault detachment of the 38th mechanized brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near the settlement of Novodonetskoye of the Donetsk People's Republic.

▫️In addition, the accumulation of enemy manpower and military equipment in the areas of the settlements of Urozhaynoye and Novodonetskoye of the Donetsk People's Republic was defeated. Enemy losses in this direction amounted to over 180 Ukrainian servicemen, five tanks, two armored combat vehicles, two cars, a Polish-made Krab self-propelled artillery mount, two Gvozdika self-propelled howitzers, and a D-20 gun.

❗️In the Zaporizhia direction, units of the Russian group of troops, supported by aviation, artillery and heavy flamethrower systems, repelled four enemy attacks in the areas of the settlements of Verbove and Rabotino in the Zaporozhye region. There are no changes in the tactical position of the Russian troops.

▫️During the day, up to 40 Ukrainian servicemen, a tank, two armored combat vehicles, two pickup trucks, two US-made M777 artillery systems, three US-made M109 Paladin self-propelled artillery mounts, a British-made FH-70 gun, two Msta- B", two D-30 guns and two Gvozdika self-propelled artillery mounts.

▫️ In the Kupyansk direction, units of the "Western" group of troops, with the support of aviation and artillery, improved the tactical situation in the area of ​​​​the settlement of Sverdlovka of the Luhansk People's Republic by conducting active defense.

▫️In addition, two counterattacks of the assault groups of the 95th Air Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were repelled in the area of ​​​​the settlement of Sergeevka in the Luhansk People's Republic. During the day, the enemy’s losses amounted to 40 Ukrainian servicemen, two vehicles, a US-made M109 Paladin self-propelled artillery mount, and a D-30 howitzer.

▫️ In the Krasnolimansky direction, competent actions of units of the grouping of troops "Center" in cooperation with aviation and artillery repelled two attacks by assault groups of the 12th Special Forces Brigade and the 63rd Mechanized Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the areas of the settlement of Chervonaya Dibrova of the Luhansk People's Republic and Serebryansky forestry.

▫️Up to 50 Ukrainian servicemen, two armored combat vehicles, a Gvozdika self-propelled artillery mount and a D-30 howitzer were destroyed.

▫️ In the Kherson direction, as a result of air strikes and Russian artillery fire, the enemy’s losses amounted to 65 Ukrainian servicemen, four vehicles and a Msta-B howitzer.

▫️ Operational-tactical and army aviation, missile forces and artillery of the groupings of troops of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation defeated enemy manpower and military equipment in 103 districts.

▫️ Air defense systems intercepted 12 HIMARS and Uragan multiple rocket launchers per day. In addition, 17 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were destroyed and suppressed by means of electronic warfare in the areas of the settlements of Makeevka, Novonikolskoye, Melovatka of the Luhansk People's Republic, Berestovoye of the Donetsk People's Republic, Pshenichnoye, Semyonovka of the Zaporozhye Region, Olshana of the Kharkiv Region and Krynki of the Kherson Region.

▫️ In total , since the beginning of the special military operation, the following have been destroyed: 467 aircraft, 248 helicopters, 6426 unmanned aerial vehicles, 435 anti-aircraft missile systems, 11696 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 1148 combat vehicles of multiple launch rocket systems, 6253 field artillery guns and mortars, as well as 12749 units of special military vehicles.

https://t.me/mod_russia/30179
https://t.me/mod_russia/30180

Google Translator

I think 'discounting' those MoD totals 25% is realistic.

*******

STEPHEN BRYEN: WASHINGTON TAKES BIG RISKS TO SALVAGE UKRAINIAN ARMY COUNTER OFFENSIVE, RISK OF WIDER WAR
SEPTEMBER 4, 2023

By Stephen Bryen, Substack, 9/2/23

Tass, the Russian State news service, says that an attempt by Ukraine to blow up the Kerch Strait bridge to Crimea was prevented when the Russians blew up a Ukrainian sea drone.

According to news reports, the Ukrainians tried three times to hit the famous bridge on September 1st.

Thanks for reading Weapons and Strategy! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

The Russians have created a sea barrier of sunken ships to protect the bridge from sea attacks. These obstacles channel any attacking vessel and give the Russian an opportunity to interdict them and destroy them.

But there is more to the story than what is in Tass.

According to a report on the Military Channel, the Ukrainian attempt to destroy the bridge was aided and abetted by US overhead assets coordinating the Ukrainian operation.

The US fielded a Global Hawk Forte II (RQ-48) which is equipped with sophisticated sensors; a US Navy P-8A Poseidon (to track Russian ships and submarines); an Army CL-60 Artemis (Airborne Reconnaissance and Targeting Multi-Mission Intelligence System​) and a Navy EP-3E Aries II, a multi-intelligence platform based on the venerable P-3. These platforms were intended to support the Ukrainian attempt to probe vulnerabilities in Russia’s defenses adjacent to and on the bridge while also supporting the Ukrainian counter-offensive in southern Ukraine.

The Russians, at least so far, have said nothing other than they repulsed the attacks on the bridge.

The Kerch Strait bridge connects the Russian mainland to Crimea. It features a roadway and also supports the transit of freight trains. It is a vital roadway for Russian military operations in Crimea, Kherson and Zaphorize. The bridge is important enough that, after it was seriously damaged by a Ukrainian truck bomb attack, and repaired, Vladimir Putin himself drove a Mercedes car across the bridge.

Like the Nordstream pipeline, the US has made no secret of its desire to destroy the bridge. Whether the bridge can survive is anyone’s guess. especially when the US is pouring significant efforts into its destruction.

The overall situation in the Kherson and Zaphorize regions, the focus of the main thrust of Ukraine’s counter offensive, appears to show that Ukraine will not succeed in its declared objectives to breach Russia’s defenses and re-take Melitopol. Meanwhile the Ukrainians have lost significant amounts of armor and incurred heavy casualties. Not only have these losses taken a toll, but many of Ukraine’s best units have been chewed up.

Washington’s best hope is to try and stabilize the front and bring the intense fighting to a halt, buying time for Ukraine to mobilize new forces, train them, and reequip their troops. That enterprise would take six months to a year if it happens. The plan, if it can be called that, is so far based on Russian reluctance to commit the bulk of its forces into an offensive to break the Ukrainian army. While there has been talk about Russia launching a big operation in the Kupyansk area, it has so far not materialized. Some suggest that Russia is waiting for Ukrainian forces to be reduced even further than they are already, before Russia’s generals are willing to risk a true offensive.

The problem for the Russian side is that if they wait too long they will have to repeat everything again and take losses that the Russian public might not be willing to accept. There is a lot of talk in Moscow and on social media, some by serious politicians, that Russia should nuke Ukraine and go home. Others say that Russia should attack the supply depots in Germany and Poland and elsewhere, to in effect strangle the Ukrainian army. None of these proposals have gained much traction, but that could change if the war is drawn out. Oddly, Ukrainian attacks using drones and sabotage of installations on Russian territory may backfire on Ukraine by creating significant public anger in Russia that will require strong action by the government.

The potential for new troubles has been aided and abetted by an interview with Ukraine’s chief of military intelligence Kyrylo Budanov who says that Ukraine should take the war to Russian territory. This would mean using its main army forces to attack across Russia’s border (not just fire artillery shells, send in swat teams, or carry out arson, drone attacks and assassinations). His interview, if it is taken seriously, could have unintended consequences for Ukraine by stepping up the overall Russian response beyond the alleged limits of the Special Military Operation. For example, that could mean massive attacks on Kiev, or Odessa, or other actions designed to cripple Ukraine and its government.

Budanov makes many claims and a good many of them have to be taken with a grain of salt. However, we don’t know which ones the Russians will take seriously.

Meanwhile, Washington continues to take big risks, starting with the supply of cluster munitions and, now, depleted uranium anti-tank shells. The use of US intelligence assets to target Russia is also a risk that could lead to a bigger conflict in Europe. If the Washington escalation continues it is hard to predict what will happen in the weeks ahead.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2023/09/ste ... wider-war/

********

Flagman ran on Rabotino
September 5, 20:19

Image

For those who doubted.
Another cemetery of Ukrainian and NATO equipment in the Rabotino area, led by the British Challenger 2 tank.

Image

According to "Front Bird", the tank was hit by "Kornet" anti-tank systems. The pickup from the video, which was winding among the destroyed armored vehicles, was also destroyed a little later.

Thus, these shots show the first ever Challenger 2 destroyed in combat.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8613813.html

Google Translator

******

The fog of war brought down to earth
September 4, 2023

On these pages, I have in recent weeks expressed the hope that the war in Ukraine will soon be coming to an end. I have had in mind an imminent Russian military victory and Ukrainian capitulation. I came to that conclusion shortly after Russian Defense Minister Shoigu said publicly that the Ukrainians had used up all of their reserves in men and materiel. Separately, but pointing in the same direction, there were reports from credible sources that Ukrainians have suffered 400,000 deaths so far in the conflict plus a multiple of that number in those injured and hospitalized. Taken together, this suggested that the Russians could now safely launch their own massive offensive and sweep the table.

In the meantime, many commentators in the U.S. and European mainstream, beginning with CNN and Bild, appear to acknowledge that the Ukrainian counteroffensive has been a failure and that Ukraine cannot possibly recapture the territory it has lost in the Donbas, not to mention the Crimea. By consensus, the Ukrainians failed in their attempt at blitzkrieg and are now back to a war of attrition, for which Russia’s superiority in numbers of men and artillery pieces gives them the upper hand.

What is missing is a timeline for the Russian victory in a war of attrition.

The fact remains that even under conditions of disastrous Ukrainian losses of men and materiel these past two months, there are still Ukrainian soldiers coming out in many sorties across various points of the front every day. The Russian war correspondents visiting their tank officers and those manning the artillery and multiple rocket launchers (Grad), allow us to hear that the Russians must be quick to move their equipment within minutes of firing lest they be victims of return artillery fire from the Ukrainian side. The reports from the field sound very much as if a serious and deadly war is still going on, not a simple rout of one side.

Moreover, there is another nagging problem that puts in question the notion that a Russian victory is just around the corner. The problem is that after watching every day the artillery duels in which the Russians destroy Ukrainian artillery and multiple rocket launchers of U.S., Polish and other origin in Donetsk and Lugansk regions, in the Zaporozhie and Kherson regions and list the equipment models and numbers of Ukrainian soldiers killed at each location, I then listen to accounts of how the Ukrainians have just bombed residential districts of Donetsk city. Yes, every day there are multiple artillery and HIMARS attacks on the city, with destruction of buildings and daily deaths and injuries. How can this be? The Ukrainians are firing from just a few kilometers outside the city. Why are the Russians unable to locate and destroy these Ukrainian fortified areas across the line when they seem to be doing so well elsewhere on the thousand kilometer line of confrontation?

In conclusion, I find that we remain in the midst of the fog of war and nothing can be taken for granted.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2023

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2023/09/04/ ... -to-earth/

*******

NATO Cannot Help Ukraine Win a War Against Russia
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on SEPTEMBER 5, 2023
Ilya Kramnik

Image
Ukrainian soldiers prepare a U.S.-supplied M777 howitzer to fire at Russian positions in Kherson region, Ukraine, Jan. 9, 2023.Ukrainian soldiers prepare a U.S.-supplied M777 howitzer to fire at Russian positions in Kherson region, Ukraine, Jan. 9, 2023. (Libkos/AP, File)

More than 18 months into the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, NATO military aid to Kiev remains a constituent part of the conflict. This factor seeps into public consciousness, influences the political perception of the conflict, and affects the situation on the battlefield, whichever side of the hostilities people find themselves on. All these aspects are important in their own right, and each will influence the course of the conflict and its eventual outcome. But how long will NATO be able to provide military assistance to Ukraine?

Gloomy prospects for Ukraine

NATO began providing assistance to Kiev as soon as the conflict started in 2022, and the volume of aid increased throughout the course of last year. This assistance largely influenced the attitude of ordinary Ukrainians toward the hostilities and reinforced the myth of a speedy and inevitable “victory” for Kiev, certain to happen because “the whole world supports us.”

The same attitude prevailed in the area of public policy – the aid provided by a particular country indicated whose side it was on. Ukraine’s allies in NATO (primarily the US) provided direct military assistance, while neutral countries offered only financial and organizational assistance, or no help at all.

On the battlefield, NATO aid is fully responsible for the combat capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (UAF). If this aid is discontinued, the Ukrainian army will lose its combat capability within a few weeks, or as soon as the current ammunition stocks run out.

How likely is it that NATO assistance will continue? To answer this question, we need to understand the stocks of weapons and military equipment among members of the bloc – and it is important to note that many are lacking in this regard.

The US stands out for its available resources, and its weapons arsenal is larger than that of all other NATO countries. However, even though Washington has provided Kiev with large quantities of weapons and ammunition, it is still only supplying a relatively small share of what it has. Other countries with large weapons arsenals are Greece and Turkey. However, these stocks exist because of age-old tensions between the two countries, which limits their possible transfer to Ukraine.

In most other NATO countries, military stocks are relatively small and are intended mainly for export, particularly when the buyer is interested in used equipment which can be put to use in its existing condition or modernized.

These factors impose a limit on the volume of aid allocated to Ukraine, and are why military assistance to Kiev, which started in 2022 and peaked in early 2023, has begun to decline. It also means that unless the US starts handing over reserve military equipment, or, together with other allies, finds alternative suppliers, assistance will be cut further.

Why have things turned out this way?

NATO could have avoided this situation by increasing the production of weapons and military equipment back in 2022, and deploying additional production facilities. In this case, some progress would already have been visible by the winter of 2023-24.

Image
A Ukrainian soldier carries a drone close to the frontline near Avdiivka, Donetsk region, Ukraine, Friday, Feb. 17, 2023. (AP Photo/Libkos, File)

However, the bloc did not have a unified vision regarding additional weapons production, which severely complicated the decision-making process. Not a single NATO politician was ready to guarantee arms manufacturing companies a steady, large-scale demand for weapons once the conflict in Ukraine ended. Moreover, even though the scale of the conflict is significant, it is in some cases insufficient to ensure the necessary demand for new weapons. Finally, it should be noted that a number of Western politicians and military leaders believed that the current military aid to Ukraine would suffice to meet the goals of 2023 – obviously, this was due to false conclusions made as a result of the battles in the Kharkov and Kherson regions in the summer-fall of 2022.

The result of these misguided conclusions has been twofold. On the one hand, Ukraine did not receive the necessary equipment and weapons to break through Russia’s well-prepared defensive lines. Indeed, we can posit that no army within NATO is currently prepared for this, and that perhaps this lack of practical and theoretical readiness prevented the bloc from realistically assessing the capabilities of Russian troops and their defensive positions.

As a result, the Ukrainian counteroffensive was launched with a clear lack of artillery, tanks, and particularly engineering equipment, despite the fact that NATO Supreme Allied Commander General Christopher Cavoli declared that Ukrainian troops were fully equipped.

On the other hand, NATO made a number of decisions and signed contracts to equip Ukrainian troops on a long-term basis. This included the transfer of missile defense systems and other weapons which, due to insufficient production capacities, will not be available for several years. Like the decision to transfer fighter jets – which hasn’t yet been publicly finalized in terms of volume and timing – these contracts were assessed by numerous experts as “post-war,” i.e. intended to compensate after the conflict for the losses sustained.

However, the unsuccessful course of the Ukrainian counteroffensive launched in July makes the full-scale implementation of these contracts and intentions uncertain. Their prospects will be even more doubtful in the event of a successful Russian offensive in the coming fall or winter.

The upcoming US elections give rise to more doubts concerning NATO’s assistance to Ukraine in the coming year, considering that the subject of military aid will come under fire from the Republicans. There is no need to exaggerate the “pro-Russian” aspect of this criticism, since some Republican politicians treat Russia pragmatically at best – but little will prevent them from publically pointing out every mistake of the Biden administration, exclusively in their own interests.

What does it all mean?

Will NATO be able to significantly increase aid to Ukraine in the near future? No. Military production is an inertial industry, and even if the decision to considerably increase the production of weapons were made tomorrow, it would take up to two years to yield any results. Considering the unfavorable public image of Ukraine’s unsuccessful counteroffensive, it may take even longer.

Interestingly, Soviet-made military equipment, or Eastern European equipment produced under a Soviet license, has turned out to be the most effective for Ukraine’s army. Soviet tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, and other equipment that does not require special training, maintenance, infrastructure, and ammunition can be put into battle immediately, and its combat readiness level is higher compared to Western models that need to be incorporated into the new environment.

If, back in 2022, NATO had made use of Eastern European military-industrial cooperation, which allows the production of T-72 tanks, BMP-2 infantry fighting vehicles, a number of 122-152 mm artillery systems, and some other types of weapons and military equipment, this decision could have had consequences for the course of the conflict. However, this never happened, and – given the fact that the Polish defense industry is now shifting to the licensed production of South Korean-designed equipment – will likely not happen in the future. This means that for Ukraine, issues such as the insufficient supply of military equipment, the vastly different types of weapons, the shortage of ammunition, and the resulting problems with the management of troops will all remain unsolved. In such circumstances, the success of a new counteroffensive is hardly possible.

Generally, the ball – or in other words, the military-technical initiative in the conflict – is now in Russia’s court, and it depends on Russia how well this opportunity is used. It is quite likely that the initiative to transfer Western fighter jets to Ukraine will be quietly abandoned, since the AFU will no longer be able to use them. Russia knows full well that this is the case. In theory, this state of affairs should increase the willingness of the US to negotiate, although the upcoming election season will greatly complicate any potential talks.

So, unless something extraordinary happens, the West will most likely continue to support the Ukrainian armed forces to the extent necessary to continue resistance. This means Ukraine will not have enough equipment and weapons to launch a large-scale new counteroffensive unless the US decides to share its weapons arsenals. Such a decision, however, would go against US practice in recent years as well as its strategic planning, which sees China as the main rival on which to focus its financial, military, and technological resources.

Ilya Kramnik is a military analyst, expert at the Russian International Affairs Council and researcher at the Russian Academy of Sciences

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2023/09/ ... st-russia/

******

About soldier's life in the LPR
September 6, 12:13

Image

Interesting observations and advice on everyday life on the translation from the fighters at the front on the borders of the Luhansk People's Republic.

About soldier's life in the LPR

News for mobs of the second wave (if there will be one) and those who want to sign a contract:

1) The ability to cook is very important. Cooking food at the level of "tasty and satisfying" should be able to 80% of the unit. And at least one talented guy with the skills "cooks like in a cafe / restaurant."

2) Of the dishes that are required for the ability to cook - pasta / buckwheat with stew, onions and garlic, as well as borscht / cabbage soup. Better from natural products, then it will be easier to cook from concentrates.

Soups are obligatory because no one needs constipation.

An interesting fact: in the north of the LPR, bread is rather mediocre. Mostly white wheat, no crust, medium in taste, sour, although white.

Moscow rifled loaf of a good manufacturer is a work of art.

Again, the “Ukrainian flax”, which you can buy at Dixy in Moscow, is a high-quality white bread that is superior to local white bread.

Strange, like these lands were near Kiev, and "palyanytsya" (bread) there is mediocre. And, frankly, although this may offend someone, I visited the Ukrainian Crimea in 2011, St. the north of the LPR is the lowest.

On the contrary, our soldier's bread, baked by military bakeries, is fucked up and fucked up. We use it, among other things, as a product for exchange with local residents, and it is invariably in demand.

The photo looks like something. Taste... Cool. Obviously they put flour according to the norm, the technology is strictly observed. In any case, those guys who bake in our rear and provide for the regiment.

There is no gray bread in our area. This, according to knowledgeable people, it is necessary to take Kharkov. They bake there.

Almost no black bread. Borodinsky there or Stolichny. There is a strange similarity to Rizhsky, but it is rather gray bread with spices from Rizhsky.

Dry rations are issued on the road, when transferred from Belarus, for example.

There are stocks of dry rations in the subdivisions, but they are NZ.

Intelligence and signalmen are given rations for small teams (due to autonomous work and self-sufficiency). This is a cardboard box, where bags of food are thrown, which are poured and brewed with boiling water: oatmeal with various stray, two types of mashed potatoes (with onions and milk), dry borscht (muck). Dry rations, jam, sugar, salt also go here. Several cans of civilian canned fish and meat, which is very cool - mackerel, herring, sprats (!!!), soup with meatballs, ham in a can.

Separately, I will say for the crests who read us: WE ARE SUPPLIED WITH CHOCOLATE-NUT PASTE IN THESE RATCHES! We are provided with an excellent analogue of Nutella REGULARLY, FUCK! There are really a lot of these packages, like in small cups from yogurt. These cups in each box 3-4 bundles of 9 pieces, emnip.

However, the basis of food, both at the front and in such autonomies like us, in the rear is the food supplied, both from the army and through humanitarian aid. A car arrives, dumps food and leaves. What you can get:

1. 2-3 boxes of beef, pork, chicken (with bones, brr), turkey stew. As a rule, good quality, with a meat content of 70%.

2. Soup concentrates: beetroot, borscht, cabbage soup. Here comes the “Voronezh Appetizer” made from sauerkraut. It is added little by little to soups.

3. Green peas, beans, corn in jars.

4. Once every few months, you can get a 25 kg bag of sugar. We slowly use sugar ourselves and pass it on to friendly locals, just like condensed milk.

5. Condensed milk in bottles and jars. We also give to local residents. We eat ourselves.

6. Once in the spring we received 20 kg of dry mashed potatoes, poured with boiling water.

7. Occasionally you can get a package of ordinary white onions, but as a rule you have to take them in stores. In general, the locals had trouble with him in February. No onions, no garlic.

8. Once we received a package of frozen chicken thighs. Ate for a week with the whole gang. Marinated, fried.

9. A box of waffles, honey gingerbread, dryers can be received every 2-3 weeks.

10. Juices in boxes, 2-3 packs per unit. Orange, apple, cherry, multifruit. Once was a banana-apple.

11. Tomato paste in a plastic jar. Very rarely (I remember a couple of times) 1-2 heads of garlic.

12. A box of two liver pates every 2-4 weeks. I like it, but others don't. Therefore, I feed them to cats, they adore him.

13. Butter and processed cheese in one-time packages of 10 g.

I never had to go hungry. But a week before the vacation, I caught food poisoning and lay in bed for a week. Run and lay. It was tough. Although I do my best to be hygienic.

The rest rarely get poisoned, but at least 1-2 times in 7 months, almost each of us ran to the toilet too often.

As for the water, in the north of the LPR it is disgusting.

All water in all water sources is highly mineralized, with a taste of earth and stones even after boiling. The kettle becomes clogged with scale after cleaning to perfect condition in 2 days.

In some villages, this water is also rotten. If you drink it raw, then you will shit for up to 3 days every 20 minutes, or even more often. In some villages, this is not the case, but there the water still tastes bad.

And now, attention, as the rear of the ZVO decided)) In winter and until April, the front and rear were regularly supplied with bottled water. There was enough for everyone. Then the order came to carry bottled water to the front, and to the rear, to give birth to containers for boiling and storing water from somewhere, to use “proven sources” (which everyone is looking for for themselves).

Therefore, the most strategic acquisition from the first vacation was a water filter jug, with 4 additional cartridges. This holiday I will buy 6 more pieces. This filter copes with the local water quite well. You can drink without boiling if there is no rotten water in the village. You drive in, fill the tank with 100 liters and take it to your place.

Due to the lack of bottled water, we add juices from the issued one and buy soda. The sugar made everyone fatter.

As for the physical form. He left for the NWO as a very strong, in kind, little man in his 30s. Without a belly, with wings/lats, with well-developed muscles.

At the moment, I have merged the quality of muscles and strength by 1/3. I keep fizuha.

Fat gained up to 5 kg. Instead of his 72-74 kg, he began to weigh 77-79 kg in spring and summer. He limited sweets and for 2 months he slightly threw off. Digging dugouts helped with this.

https://t.me/vault8pro - zinc

In the photo, a depressed American armored personnel carrier M113 in the Svatovsky direction. Apparently hit by an anti-tank mine.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8614587.html

Google Translator
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

Post Reply