Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Sat Dec 24, 2022 7:54 pm

Bandera’s ‘Insurgency-in-Waiting’: OUN-B and the ‘Capitulation Resistance Movement’
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 23, 2022
Moss Robeson

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Activists attend a rally called “Night Watch” in front of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s office in Kyiv. They demanded “no capitulation” to Russia ahead of the next Normandy Format summit in Paris, on Dec. 8, 2019, among Ukraine, Russia, Germany and France.

‘NO CAPITULATION’

Valeriy Zaluzhny, the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian armed forces, last month told the chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, who has suggested that now is the time for Ukraine to negotiate with Russia, “We will not stop on this path under any circumstances. The Ukrainian military will not accept any negotiations, agreements or compromise decisions.” Since then, Zaluzhny has apparently taken a selfie with a portrait of Nazi collaborator Stepan Bandera.

In November 2021, Zaluzhny appointed Dmytro Yarosh, a notorious “Banderite” paramilitary leader who founded the extremist Right Sector, as an advisor. This is significant even if the arrangement didn’t last. Not long after Volodymyr Zelensky’s rise to power in spring 2019, Yarosh said the new Ukrainian president would be lynched if he “betrays” the nation. Just ahead of the election, the last season of Zelensky’s TV show aired, including a scene where the government is overthrown by Right Sector-style radicals who create a “Military-Nationalist” regime which causes the country to collapse into 28 independent states. According to Yarosh,

He just needs to understand one truth: Ukrainians should not be humiliated… Zelensky said in his inaugural speech that he was ready to lose his ratings, popularity, position… No, he would lose his life. He will hang on some tree on Khreschatyk [the main street of Kyiv] – if he betrays Ukraine and those people who died during the Revolution and the war.

A year ago, Zelensky seemed more concerned about a coup d’etat than a Russian invasion. In late November, he bizarrely told journalists there was a Russian-backed plot to overthrow him being planned for the first or second day of December, apparently referring to a rally in Kyiv being organized by the far-right “Capitulation Resistance Movement” to demand his resignation.

During the same marathon press conference, Zelensky lashed out at a controversial journalist (and speaker at the rally) for escalating tensions with Russia: “During the last week I had two or three international calls daily, including with the leadership of the EU, the US and Britain because of you.” Within a few days, Yuri Butusov, the provocative “journalist,” filmed himself firing artillery at eastern Ukraine to “avenge Holodomor,” and he joined a special council formed by the “Resistance Movement.” On December 1, Butusov and other nationalists demanded Zelensky’s removal from power. That month, journalist Leonid Ragozin referred to Butusov as a “spin doctor… who represents a group of security officials and politicians who attempted to impeach Zelensky by accusing him of betrayal in the so-called Wagnergate affair.”


In early February 2022, a couple weeks before Putin’s invasion, Ragozin observed, “While downplaying the risk of a Russian offensive and even reprimanding the West for sowing panic, the Ukrainian leadership appears preoccupied with a different threat – that of a coup.” In the same article (“What is Zelenskiy afraid of?”), he described the “Capitulation Resistance Movement” as “a radical street force dedicated to toppling Zelensky” and “a paramilitary force associated with the nationalist opposition that coalesced around former president Petro Poroshenko.”

Nationalists officially launched the “Capitulation Resistance Movement” (Rukh Oporu Kapitulyatsiyi, ROK) in October 2019 to sabotage Zelensky’s peace mandate after the political newcomer crushed Poroshenko and his political party in elections held earlier that year. “No Capitulation” became the slogan of a broader, far-right-led campaign against Zelensky and his government, with protests typically spearheaded by the neo-Nazi Azov movement and the ROK. “Zelensky ran as a peace candidate,” and the hardliners vigorously opposed him, the late Russia expert Stephen F. Cohen explained to journalist Aaron Maté that month.

“He won an enormous mandate to make peace. So, that means he has to negotiate with Vladimir Putin.” But there was a major obstacle. Ukrainian fascists “have said that they will remove and kill Zelensky if he continues along this line of negotiating with Putin… His life is being threatened literally by a quasi-fascist movement in Ukraine.” Peace could only come, Cohen stressed, on one condition. “[Zelensky] can’t go forward with full peace negotiations with Russia, with Putin, unless America has his back,” he said. “Maybe that won’t be enough, but unless the White House encourages this diplomacy, Zelensky has no chance of negotiating an end to the war. So the stakes are enormously high.”

That was three years ago. After Russia invaded, the ROK became the FURM, or the Free Ukraine Resistance Movement, which has mostly flown under the radar. After interviewing a representative of the FURM in early March, a neoconservative US journalist referred to the “Resistance Movement” as an “insurgency-in-waiting, one of many, no doubt, that plans to resort to guerrilla warfare in the event that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s attempted conquest of Ukraine turns into a prolonged occupation of major population centers.”

After keeping tabs on this “quasi-fascist” movement for a few years (although it mostly went dark after Russia invaded), I feel comfortable speculating that the ROK was partially responsible for making Zelensky feel that negotiating peace with Russia would be too dangerous for him. I also suspect that once Putin declared war, Zelensky as an actor felt his only choice was to become an action hero, not just to rally international support for his country, but to become so popular in Ukraine and the West to rule out a coup d’etat.

However, I don’t think Zelensky feels anywhere close to enough Western (particularly US and UK) support to negotiate with Russia, which would make the mantra adopted by Kyiv and Washington, “Nothing About Ukraine Without Ukraine,” an epic Catch 22 if Zelensky is too scared of fascists in the military to take the initiative. It might be fit for a Dr. Strangelove sequel unthinkable to Stanley Kubrick because “the Ukraine” was hardly a blip on Washington’s radar during most of the original Cold War. But perhaps the new framework is not so different after all. In his book, Blowback: America’s Recruitment of Nazis and its Destructive Impact on Our Domestic and Foreign Policy, Christopher Simpson wrote this about US support for the remnants of the OUN-B’s Ukrainian Insurgent Army at the dawn of the Cold War:

In practice… contradictory forces within the U.S. national security community produced a situation in which some CIA and OPC agents promised nearly unlimited military support to the [Nationalist/Banderite] insurgency [in western Soviet Ukraine] but actually delivered relatively little. In the end, U.S. aid was given to the rebels only insofar as it served short-term… [U.S.] objectives, no more… Instead, they were used as martyrs—some of whom died bravely; some pathetically—and grist for the propaganda mills of both East and West.

Whatever the accuracy of my speculation may be, the “Capitulation Resistance Movement” (ROK/FURM) is undoubtedly a critical vehicle for the OUN-B, or the clandestine Banderite faction of the far-right Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists, which played an important role in the “Holocaust by Bullets” in western Ukraine, and largely hijacked the diaspora during the Cold War. I would argue that if World War III starts in Ukraine, then the OUN-B has also played an important role in fulfilling this prophecy which the Banderites began to preach by 1945. “Do we… really want to provoke another world war?” an OUN-B affiliated publication asked five years later. “Of course not,” it answered, with the caveat that “a third world war will come, because it is inevitable.”

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Chiang Kai-Shek and Yaroslav Stetsko in Taiwan, 1955. Stetsko was Bandera’s deputy and led the OUN-B from 1968 until he died in 1986. The OUN-B headquarters building in Kyiv is named after his wife, Yaroslava.

‘FREE PEOPLE’

Andriy Levus was always the first among equals of the Capitulation Resistance Movement’s coordinators. He made it official by February 2022 when Levus announced his leadership of the Free Ukraine Resistance Movement. For years, Andriy Levus has been an assistant to far-right politician Andriy Parubiy and coordinated an important OUN-B “facade structure” called Free People, of which there have been several iterations. From the start, Free People has served as a “second organization” for members of a militant Banderite youth group. All of these entities, including the “Bandera Organization” itself, are headquartered at the OUN-B’s Yaroslava building in Kyiv. So was the Capitulation Resistance Movement. This first installment will explain how “Free People” became its vanguard.
Old pictures of the OUN-B’s Youth Nationalist Congress, which uses the emblem of the “Dontsov beast,” a hybrid lion-wolf-hedgehog invented by fascist ideologue Dmytro Dontsov, who translated Mein Kampf into Ukrainian.

‘BANDERA YOUTH’

In 1993, the OUN-B, having recently returned to Ukraine after many years abroad, established the Congress of Ukrainian Nationalists (KUN), a far-right political party, as the foundation of its above board apparatus in the homeland. The network began to unravel by the end of the nineties after failures at the ballot box, and the paramilitary wing of the organization (Tryzub) went rogue. The KUN effectively replaced Tryzub with a youth wing, which the OUN-B later separated from its unpopular party to create the Youth Nationalist Congress (Molodizhnyy Natsionalistychnyy Konhres, MNK) in early 2001. The far-right MNK has resisted turning “Free People” into a political party, probably so that it doesn’t suffer the same fate as the KUN, which is practically irrelevant, and apparently autonomous but led by an OUN-B member.

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Dmytro Yarosh (center with sunglasses on his chest) and members of Tryzub in 1995 with Yaroslava Stetsko, who led the OUN-B from 1991-2001, and died in 2003 after a decade of chairing the Congress of Ukrainian Nationalists, which is now led by Stepan Bratsiun (in the suit), who married Stetsko’s niece.

Andriy Levus joined the “Bandera Youth” in his early-to-mid twenties. It’s where he met his wife. The first leader of the MNK is the editor of the OUN-B newspaper. The second MNK chairman was the deputy head of OUN-B by 2013 and a deputy commander of the “Maidan Self-Defense” in early 2014. The third MNK leader quickly became an “assistant-consultant” to far-right politician Andriy Parubiy, who formerly led the paramilitary arm of the neo-Nazi “Social National Party of Ukraine.” The third MNK leader manages the OUN-B’s publishing house. By 2009, when Andriy Levus turned thirty years old, the OUN-B made him the director of its Ukrainian Information Service in Kyiv, and he also started working for Parubiy. It appears that Levus hasn’t left his side.


Ten years later, Volodymyr Zelensky’s overwhelming electoral victories spelled the end of Andriy Parubiy’s chairmanship of the Verkhovna Rada, or Ukrainian parliament. Levus continued working with Parubiy, a leader of Poroshenko’s “European Solidarity” party, after organizing the “Resistance Movement.” After all, Parubiy and Levus largely directed the muscle behind the “Maidan revolution” in early 2014. Five years later, an OUN-B organizer of the Capitulation Resistance Movement told The Daily Beast, reacting to Zelensky’s landslide election victory, “We are going to raise a new Maidan revolution if he makes a single step away from our course.”

FREE PEOPLE 1.0 — ‘EURO OFFENSIVE’

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In October 2013, almost a month before the “Euromaidan” began, members of the OUN-B’s Youth Nationalist Congress led a “Euronastup” march in Kyiv.

The first iteration of the “Free People network” was established in April 2013 as the OUN-B’s contribution to the Euronastup (“Euro Offensive”) campaign led by Serhii Bondarchuk, a minor politician. A Free People blog initially functioned as the Euronastup website. That summer, Bondarchuk organized a “national round table” (with Levus as its “executive secretary”) to push the Ukrainian government to sign a controversial Association Agreement with the European Union on November 29. In early November, about ten days after kicking off a “Euroreferendum” petition campaign, Bondarchuk predicted that the delivery of a million signatures on November 22 could represent the “beginning of Euromaidan.” In fact, the protest movement (which he apparently named) started the night before, after the pro-Russian government signaled its decision not to sign.

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Bondarchuk and Levus (center) at the 10th Ukrainian World Congress (UWC), held in Lviv, August 2013. The UWC re-elected its Banderite president from Canada, and made the OUN-B leader from Australia its new secretary general.

FREE PEOPLE 2.0 — ‘EUROMAIDAN’

On November 22, 2013, an obscure international coordinating body of Banderite “facade structures,” formerly known as the World Ukrainian Liberation Front, convened at the OUN-B headquarters in Kyiv, located a short walk from Maidan Nezalezhnosti (Independence Square). Today this organization is called the “World Council of Ukrainian Statehood Organizations,” but only in Ukrainian. In English, it is known as the International Council in Support of Ukraine (ICSU). “Free People” became a dues-paying member five years later.

At this November 2013 meeting of the ICSU, its headquarters was relocated, at least on paper, from New York to Toronto, as the presidency changed hands to Yuri Shymko, a former Canadian politician. The year before, the ICSU called for US-backed “regime change” in Kyiv, and implored “nationally conscious Ukrainian patriots” around the world to “demand that enemy agents of Moscow’s fifth column be deported from Ukraine.”

The OUN-B network in Canada attained unprecedented influence during the Conservative premiership of Stephen Harper (2006-15), but has apparently been under the thumb of a Banderite from the Detroit suburbs who replaced Shymko as ICSU president. Borys Potapenko of Warren, Michigan, a former executive director of the League of Ukrainian Canadians, is today a leader of the “Free Ukraine Resistance Movement” and is said to be ranked #3 in the global OUN-B hierarchy.

From the first day of the Euromaidan protests, before they adopted that name, Euronastup campaigners provided tea and food to demonstrators, and set up an “information center” on Independence Square that said, “For the European future.” At the end of the first week, Stefan Romaniw of Melbourne, Australia read fifty greetings to the Maidan from Ukrainian organizations in twenty different countries. Romaniw did so as the new secretary general of the Ukrainian World Congress, the longtime chairman of the Australian Federation of Ukrainian Organizations, and the international OUN-B leader since 2009.

Two days later, riot police violently dispersed protesters and unleashed a massive escalation of the Euromaidan. The paramilitary Banderite organization Tryzub, led by Dmytro Yarosh, brokered the extremist Right Sector alliance, which included multiple neo-Nazi groups. The three main opposition parties, including the neo-fascist Svoboda party (with one or two OUN-B members in its leadership) established the “National Resistance Headquarters.” Andriy Parubiy also set up the Maidan Self-Defense (MSD) under his command, with Andriy Levus as his deputy.

Levus was initially put in charge of the “commandant’s office” and the “mobilization service.” The yellow Euronastup tents, next to the stage on the Maidan, became part of the “mobilization center” for the MSD. Levus explained in a December 2013 interview, “To the left of the stage is the so-called Military Commissariat. People come there, we collect them, and then distribute them by the hundreds. Over time, we check them.” The Youth Nationalist Congress formed the 14th and 15th companies, or “hundreds.” Levus took charge of them both, but it was the fourteenth that was named “Free People” (Vilny Liudy) and adopted an anarchistic V symbol.

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Euronastup tent, December 2013; and “Free People” MSD unit, February 2014

The so-called “Free People movement” might have played a small role in the protests aside from Andriy Levus, who became the deputy head of the MSD by February 2014. In the aftermath of Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych fleeing to Russia and ceding victory to the “revolution” later that month, Levus told the New York Times that in the final days, he was ready for a bloody showdown with the government, because “he had reinforcements on the way.”

Protesters in Lviv had overrun an Interior Ministry garrison and were en route to Kiev with the captured military weapons. “I’m reluctant to talk about this because we are protesters and not illegal armed groups,” Mr. Levus said. “But the square was about to look different. There would be more people, and they would not have had empty hands.”

On February 20, 2014 in Kyiv, dozens of protesters were killed in a mysterious “sniper’s massacre” that started around 9am. About forty-five victims were fatally shot by the time Andriy Levus reportedly started to negotiate a ceasefire with a government official. “I told him,” Levus told the New York Times, “We will guarantee the safety of the police if they leave the city.” As the Ukrainian Canadian scholar Ivan Katchanovski introduced his groundbreaking essay on the “Maidan massacre,”

The massacre of almost 50 Maidan protesters on February 20, 2014 was a turning point in Ukrainian politics and a tipping point in the conflict between the West and Russia over Ukraine. This mass killing of the protesters and the mass shooting of the police that preceded it led to the overthrow of the pro-Russian government of Viktor Yanukovych and gave a start to a civil war in Donbas in Eastern Ukraine, Russian military intervention in Crimea and Donbas, and an international conflict between the West and Russia over Ukraine. A conclusion promoted by the post-Yanukovych governments and the media in Ukraine that the massacre was perpetrated by government snipers and special police units on a Yanukovych order has been nearly universally accepted by the Western governments, the media, and many scholars… This paper is the first academic study of this crucial case of the mass killing… This academic investigation concludes that the massacre was a false flag operation, which was rationally planned and carried out with a goal of the overthrow of the government and seizure of power. It found various evidence of the involvement of an alliance of the far right organizations, specifically the Right Sector and Svoboda, and oligarchic parties, such as Fatherland. Concealed shooters and spotters were located in at least 20 Maidan-controlled buildings or areas. The various evidence that the protesters were killed from these locations include some 70 testimonies, primarily by Maidan protesters, several videos of “snipers” targeting protesters from these buildings, comparisons of positions of the specific protesters at the time of their killing and their entry wounds, and bullet impact signs. The study uncovered various videos and photos of armed Maidan “snipers” and spotters in many of these buildings. The paper presents implications of these findings for understanding the nature of the change of the government in Ukraine, the civil war in Donbas, Russian military intervention in Crimea and Donbas, and an international conflict between the West and Russia over Ukraine.

(more...)

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... -movement/

The Ukraine Lobby: Zelensky & Congress Salute “Representatives of the Diaspora”
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 23, 2022
Moss Robeson

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Natalia Jaresko, former Finance Minister of Ukraine, in red. Andrew Mac is in the 3rd row, without a tie.

During Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky’s address to a joint session of Congress on Wednesday, a group of Ukrainians sat in the gallery of the House Chamber. Soon after Zelensky stepped up to the rostrum, they cheered, “Slava Ukraini!” The President of Ukraine waved back at them and answered, “Heroyam Slava.” Some members of Congress looked up and turned around with surprised smiles.

A few minutes later, Zelensky prompted Congress’ first standing ovation during his speech by addressing “dear representatives of [Ukrainian] diaspora…” He paused for a moment and nodded at those in the gallery. Later on, they again chanted “Slava Ukraini!” This time, some members of Congress finished the Nationalist call and response: “Heroyam Slava!” But who were the special guests?

For starters, there was Andrew Mac, a lawyer in Washington and unpaid advisor to Zelensky that Politico has identified as “one of the biggest Washington power players for Ukraine.” A significant portion of the “representatives of diaspora” consisted of Ukrainians that work for the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the World Bank, or the Embassy of Ukraine. Perhaps an invitation went out to the World Bank Group-IMF Ukrainian Staff Association, or just its chairman, who sat in the front row of the gallery.

Also in the front row was Natalie Jaresko, the Ukrainian American former Finance Minister of Ukraine (2014–16), in which capacity she proudly negotiated “the largest IMF program in the institution’s history.” Her presence seemed like a bad omen. In 2016, Jaresko was considered a “top candidate for prime minister.” Earlier this year, Jaresko stepped down as the executive director of the Financial Oversight and Management Board for Puerto Rico, also known as “La Junta,” which Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has described as “the Wall Street-connected fiscal control board that the US gave power to over the island.” Now with Ukraine facing a debt trap after the war, Jaresko appears to be part of a financial clique that has taken the reins of the “Ukraine lobby” in Washington since Joe Biden took office.

On February 25, 2021, Volodymyr Zelensky appointed Oksana Markarova as the Ambassador of Ukraine to the United States. At the turn of the 21st century, Markarova interned at the World Bank in Washington between jobs at the Western New Independent States Enterprise Fund (WNISEF), which the U.S. Agency for International Development financed to invest in “small and medium-sized companies” in Ukraine. Natalie Jaresko, the CEO of WNISEF, co-founded Horizon Capital, “the leading private equity firm in Ukraine,” to manage this $150 million investment fund backed by the U.S. government. Markarova served as the Minister of Finance in 2018–20, but got started as a deputy minister under Jaresko in 2015.

The Ukrainian ambassador didn’t sit in the gallery, but feet away from the rostrum, so Natalie Jaresko sat next to Alexa Chopivsky, who is a program director of the Aspen Institute, a prominent Washington think tank founded in 1949. Jaresko chairs Aspen Institute Kyiv, its partner organization in Ukraine. Chopivsky’s father George sits on the board of directors of the Atlantic Council, which typically receives $100,000 a year from his Chopivsky Family Foundation. Jaresko is a former distinguished fellow with the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center, which is directed by John Herbst, a board member of the Western NIS Enterprise Fund who formerly served as the U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine (2002–2006).

Until recently, Alexa Chopivsky was the executive director of Ukraine House Davos, a sideshow at the annual World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland purporting to showcase the “new Ukraine.” Chopivsky chaired the organizing committee of Ukraine House Davos. The other three members represented the WNISEF, Horizon Capital, and the foundation named for Ukrainian oligarch Viktor Pinchuk that has contributed hundreds of thousands of dollars to the Atlantic Council.

Last year, Volodymyr Zelensky opened a permanent Ukraine House in Washington, which is essentially a cultural center associated with the Embassy of Ukraine. Alexa Chopivsky and Andrew Mac were among the “recipients of honorary awards” at the ceremony. Ambassador Markarova is one of three members of the advisory board of Ukraine House DC. In 2016, Markarova oversaw the launch of UkraineInvest, “the Ukrainian government’s foreign direct investment promotion agency.” Chopivsky joined its supervisory board.

Lesya Sevruk, a member of Ukraine House’s executive board, formerly worked as an advisor to UkraineInvest and Markarova in the Finance Ministry. Danylo Volynets, one of the other two members of the executive board, also sits on the board of the ITT Investment Group, which Markarova led for a dozen years. The Ukraine House DC Foundation is partnered with the Olena Zelenska Foundation and United24, which Volodymyr Zelensky launched as “the main venue for collecting charitable donations in support of Ukraine.”

Alexa Chopivsky and the CEO of Horizon Capital each moderated a “break-out session” at the July 2022 Ukraine Recovery Conference co-hosted by the Swiss and Ukrainian governments in Lugano, Switzerland. According to the event’s website, it was largely dedicated to discussing the “Recovery and Development Plan of Ukraine (within United 24 initiative of President Zelensky).” According to Multipolarista, “the Ukraine Recovery Conference’s economic proposal was little more than a repackaged Washington Consensus: a typical right-wing program that involves implementing mass privatizations, deregulating industries, gutting labor protections, cutting taxes on the rich, and putting the burden on Ukrainian workers.” In September, Zelensky virtually joined the “$125 million signing ceremony of a new Ukraine-focused fund” launched by Horizon Capital.

The administrative director of Ukraine House DC sat in the gallery of the House Chamber with her husband, an assistant to Ambassador Markarova and Third Secretary of the Embassy of Ukraine. At least two or three other “representatives of diaspora” present also worked at the embassy. That included its First Secretary for press and media, and a Next Generation Leader at the McCain Institute who formerly “worked for the U.S. Embassy in Kyiv as the principal liaison officer with Ukraine’s parliament.” There was also the Deputy Chief of Mission at the Embassy of Ukraine, unless she is now a consultant for the World Bank.

The aforementioned chairman of the World Bank Group-IMF Ukrainian Staff Association sat next to an alternate executive director of the IMF. Sitting behind them was Roman Kachur, an alternate executive director of the World Bank. In 2004–2007, Kachur was a vice-president of ITT Investment Group. In 2015–16, like former ITT president Oksana Markarova, he was a Deputy Minister of Finance under Natalie Jaresko, until he joined the board of directors of the World Bank.

Also invited to hear Zelensky’s speech to Congress were the leaders of the trio of Ukrainian American organizations favored by the Embassy of Ukraine. These are: US Ukrainian Activists (USUA) and United Help Ukraine (UHU) in Washington, and Razom for Ukraine in New York. These organizations have sprung up since 2014. The following year, one of their members described the embassy as a “playground for meetings, discussions and charity events.” In 2021, the USUA formed a 501(c)3 organization, and the Ukrainian government opened a bigger “playground” called Ukraine House.

Of course, the “representatives of diaspora” included at least a few veterans of the Ukraine lobby, which Nationalists led during the Cold War. Orest Deychakiwsky, a policy advisor for the U.S. Helsinki Commission, isn’t a “Banderite,” or follower of Nazi collaborator Stepan Bandera (1909–59), but his father was a member of Bandera’s fascistic Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists. In 1980, the OUN-B, or clandestine Banderite faction of the Organization, staged a controversial takeover of the Ukrainian Congress Committee of America (UCCA). Newer organizations like USUA, UHU, and Razom haven’t joined the allegedly corrupt, Banderite-led Congress Committee, which has struggled to keep up with the all pro-Ukraine activism in 2022.

Banderite proxies still run the UCCA, including its president Andriy Futey, who sat with his father Bohdan between IMF officials and Natalie Jaresko in the House Chamber. In 1984, four years after the Banderite “coup” of the UCCA, Bohdan Futey went from being its leader in Cleveland to the head of the U.S. Foreign Claims Commission. In 1987, Ronald Reagan appointed him to the U.S. Court of Federal Claims. A couple years later, in his book Old Nazis, the New Right, and the Republican Party, journalist Russ Bellant disclosed that he interviewed an OUN-B member. “You have to understand,” explained the Banderite. “We are an underground organization. We have spent years quietly penetrating positions of influence.” According to Bellant, Bohdan Futey was “described as [one of] the contact points between the OUN-B and the White House.” Since I started writing this, someone in the Ukrainian community has declared that “Andriy Futey leaks [sic] Waz ass!” For those who don’t read my Bandera Lobby Blog, “Waz” is the nickname of the U.S. leader of OUN-B.

The Banderite-led Congress Committee is a shell of its former self, which nevertheless pretends to remain the official spokesbody of the Ukrainian community, akin to the Ukrainian Canadian Congress. The UCCA’s most active branch, the Illinois Division, has two vice presidents for “Government and Community Relations.” One is an aggressive OUN-B leader in Chicago. The other is a friend of the “Bandera Lobby” in addition to a board member of Western NIS Enterprise Fund who joined the steering committee of “Ukrainian Americans for Biden.”

The Chicago area is a hotbed of Ukrainian nationalism, and where Natalie Jaresko grew up. Earlier this year she recalled, “I spent my Saturdays learning Ukrainian language, culture, literature, and history. With your eyes closed, you had to be able to go through the rivers and tributaries of Ukraine and the mountains and every major town.” Her brother John is the president of the parish board of St. Andrew’s Ukrainian Orthodox Church in Bloomingdale, a suburb of Chicago. A local OUN-B leader is vice president.

John Jaresko at least used to be a member of the right-wing Suburban Council of Ukrainian Voters (aka “Ukrainians for Trump”) in Illinois, led by members of the OUN-B affiliated Organization for Defense of Four Freedoms for Ukraine (ODFFU). In 2019, St. Andrew’s hosted a dubious OUN-B “extraordinary convention” that declared a new ODFFU board of directors and a new manager of its headquarters building in Manhattan, formerly known as the “Home of the Organizations of the Ukrainiain Liberation Front.” The Banderite president of UCCA-Illinois chaired the meeting. Andriy Futey sent his greetings to the overthrow of the “old board” that essentially made “Waz” the ODFFU leader in New York.

Although the “Bandera Lobby” is falling behind the “Ukraine Lobby,” it was the Banderites who started the call and response “Slava Ukraini — Heroyam Slava,” originally accompanied by a fascist salute. Numerous “Ukraine experts” in Washington, and in particular at the Atlantic Council, are on a first name basis with Walter “Waz” Zaryckyj as the longtime executive director of the Center for US-Ukrainian Relations (CUSUR), which is an OUN-B “facade structure.” In Bloomingdale, the Banderites installed CUSUR’s Washington bureau chief as the new ODFFU president. The UCCA and CUSUR can still bend ears in the Congressional Ukraine Caucus and Senate Ukraine Caucus. And their days may be numbered, but the OUN-B still looms large over the Ukrainian World Congress (UWC). “Waz” is the last known chairman of its International Scholarly Council. Banderites have held the UWC presidency throughout the 21st century, including a plotter of the “extraordinary convention” in Bloomingdale who later advised “Ukrainian Americans for Biden.”

Lenna Koszarny, the CEO of Horizon Capital and Executive Vice-President of WNISEF, is a Canadian vice president of the Ukrainian World Congress who served on the organizing committee of Ukraine House Davos. Another UWC vice president is the WNISEF board member who is also vice president of UCCA-Illinois. Lenna Koszarny, Natalie Jaresko, and George Chopivsky are all members of the UWC Advisory Council. Another member is Borys Gudziak, archbishop of the Ukrainian Greek-Catholic in the United States, who also made it to Washington on Wednesday.

Perhaps Zelensky’s interaction with Ukrainians in the gallery was orchestrated to put any Republican legislators on notice who might have thought about heckling him, and/or to send a message to certain parties that Zelensky is standing side by side with the self-described “rabid Ukrainian diaspora” that raged against him before the war. Volodymyr Zelensky has certainly won the hearts and minds of many, such as UCCA president Andriy Futey, who now fawns over him: “my hero!” But in 2019, days after the Banderite Bloomingdale conclave, the OUN-B launched the far-right “Capitulation Resistance Movement” in Kyiv against the newly elected President of Ukraine, when Zelensky was still presumed to be a peacemaker.

Nationalists in the diaspora cheered the protests, which threatened to escalate and topple the government. Zelensky subsequently appointed DC lawyer Andrew Mac as an advisor, reportedly “with a mandate to build relations with ethnic Ukrainians living in the United States.” On Wednesday night, Mac sat next to Irena Chalupa, who read poetry at the 1986 funeral of Yaroslav Stetsko, a Nazi collaborator who led the OUN-B from 1968 onwards. Stetsko, an antisemitic OUN-B ideologue, unsuccessfully declared the pro-Nazi “restoration of Ukrainian statehood” in 1941 German-occupied western Ukraine as its short-lived “Prime Minister,” on the eve of unleashing pogroms across the region. Chalupa sat between Andrew Mac and Michael Sawkiw, the UCCA’s Washington bureau chief, who mourned the death of Stetsko in a letter to a Ukrainian American newspaper.

Irena Chalupa, unrelated to Andrea and Alexandra Chalupa, worked for Stetsko in the OUN-B’s Cold War headquarters building in 1980s Munich before starting her career with the U.S. propaganda broadcaster Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL). Andriy Haidamakha, a Belgian-born Banderite who directed the Kyiv bureau of RFE/RL in 1990s Ukraine, succeeded Yaroslav Stetsko’s wife as OUN-B leader from 2001–2009. In those days, a veteran of the Ukrainian Waffen-SS led the OUN-B in Ukraine. From 2007–2011, Irena Chalupa directed the Ukrainian language service of RFE/RL. In 2014, the Atlantic Council partnered with the Ukrainian World Congress, and Chalupa subsequently became a leading contributor to the think tank’s “UkraineAlert” blog. Her British Banderite journalist husband also wrote for them after embedding with the Azov Battalion.

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Launch of Atlantic Council partnership with UWC, October 2014. George Chopivsky is standing front and center, and Andriy Futey is on the far right. Lenna Koszarny is dressed in white.

As previously reported by “Ukes, Kooks & Spooks,” the neo-Nazi press officer of the Azov Regiment visited Washington last month, and stopped by the Ukrainian Saturday school in Bethesda, Maryland where Chalupa teaches literature. The principal of the Taras Shevchenko School of Ukrainian Studies of Greater Washington also received an invitation to witness Zelensky’s speech to Congress. Irena Chalupa is among other things a producer for Stop Fake, an info warrior outlet in Ukraine that has whitewashed the far-right.

In early November, Azov Regiment fighter and photographer Dmytro Kozatsky appeared on MSNBC alongside Oksana Markarova to promote a book that includes photos by Kozatsky and an essay by the Ukrainian Ambassador. That same day, Markarova and Kozatsky attended a related event at Ukraine House, the US partner of United24, which used the same self-portrait by Kozatsky that made the front cover of the book. From Washington, after visiting the school in Bethesda, Kozatsky hitched a ride to New York with a motorcade sponsored by United Help Ukraine, the president of which attended the recent joint session of Congress.

The president of Razom for Ukraine also made it, although she had to catch a train in Manhattan, where she recently took a selfie with Kozatsky outside of the Ukrainian National Home, which is puppeteered by Banderites, next door to their US headquarters building. Earlier this year, Razom organized a protest in Manhattan at which protesters chanted, “Azov! Azov! Azov!” Years ago, Razom invited a member of Right Sector, a notorious extremist organization in Ukraine, to a meeting of the World Bank Group-IMF Ukrainian Staff Association.

This past September, the Azov movement sent a delegation to the United States, including the wife of the Azov Regiment commander and the leader of an anti-feminist group affiliated with the neo-Nazi movement, both of whom spoke at one of the USUA’s weekly rallies in front of the White House. At events with the Ukrainian community, the representatives of Azov promoted their new charity wing, in which the ideological female figurehead of their movement has gotten involved.

Earlier this month, Kozatsky returned to Washington to participate in an annual “Ukraine in Washington & Beyond” symposium organized by the US-Ukraine Foundation (USUF), an influential think tank, and self-described “do-tank.” Orest Deychakiwsky, a vice-chairman of the USUF, sat between the Greek-Catholic archbishop and president of “US-Ukrainian Activists” on Wednesday. Deychakiwsky co-chairs a task force of the USUF’s Friends of Ukraine Network, which described itself by 2019 as “the largest, highest level and most politically diverse group of Americans to call for arming Ukraine with American weapons.” That year, the Canary UK warned that the “Friends” were “pushing a frightening escalation of the armed conflict in Ukraine.” In 2020, Deychakiwsky joined the steering committee of the Democratic National Committee’s “Ukrainian Americans for Biden,” perhaps as its chairman.

In the summer of 2020, I wrote one of my first articles about the USUF hosting a webinar with a neo-Nazi leader of Right Sector. Deychakiwsky’s brother is a volunteer for United Help Ukraine who donated hundreds of dollars to the short-lived “Right Sector USA.” In years past, the USUF and UHU have both worked with a Ukrainian nationalist “volunteer movement” in Syracuse that is closely associated with the far-right Banderite paramilitary leader who founded Right Sector. The point here isn’t that “neo-Nazis” run the Ukraine lobby, but that the Banderite “representatives of diaspora” can almost say “mission accomplished” and retire. Of course, that won’t happen until the nuclear bombs start to fall.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... -diaspora/

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The Pentagon Audit: Assets Gone Missing
DECEMBER 23, 2022

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Photo: MintPress News.

By Lee Camp – Dec 16, 2022

The Pentagon – the U.S. “Defense” Department – was just audited for the fifth time. And they just announced they failed for the fifth time. If that’s not accountability, I don’t know what is!

When I say they “failed” their audit, I don’t mean they put a 9 instead of a 7 on one of the balance sheets, causing two soldiers to get accidentally left in Antarctica freezing their asses off. I mean, they really failed their audit. As The Hill put it, “The Defense Department has failed its fifth-ever audit, unable to account for more than half of its assets, but the—” Hold up. Hold up. Did ya catch that? They can’t account for over half their assets! This is the largest murder machine on the planet – nearly a trillion dollars spent every year – and they don’t know where half their shit is?! How is this not criminal?

If you worked at a shoe store, or a hardware store, or a daycare, and you couldn’t locate half your inventory, you’d be locked up right now! But apparently, if you’re simply responsible for more killing on the planet earth than any other modern organization, no one’s held accountable for anything.

Let’s get back to that quote, “The Defense Department has failed its fifth-ever audit, unable to account for more than half of its assets, but the effort is being viewed as a ‘teachable moment,’ according to its chief financial officer.” A teachable moment? It’s not like they left the gate open and their new puppy ran over to the neighbor’s yard and got all muddy. That’s a teachable moment! The U.S. military can’t account for trillions of dollars worth of killing devices.

But let me back up for a second. Federal law has required mandatory audits of all government agencies since 1990. The Pentagon simply ignored that requirement until 5 years ago. Why did no one in Congress demand they abide by federal law before that? Because it turns out – the Pentagon has all the things that go “bang-bang.” So they pretty much do whatever they want.

But even without that audit, the American people eventually found out that from 1998 to 2015, there were $21 Trillion of unaccounted-for financial adjustments on the Pentagon’s books. Believe it or not, I’m one of the few people who actually covered that story when it broke. (I would link to that video right now, except that YouTube has banned all my old videos around the world. Yay freedom of speech!) There was, however, one story in Forbes in which they asked if the government is hiding $21 Trillion in spending. And there was a great article about it in The Nation magazine. However, apparently the editors at The Nation realized they’d like to keep their legs below the knees so the article has since been wiped from The Nation’s website. Luckily, internet don’t forget so easily. And we found a web archive of Dave Lindorph’s article titled “The Pentagon’s Massive Accounting Fraud Exposed.”

To put the number 21 trillion into perspective, if you made $100,000 after taxes every year of your 70-year working life, you would have made $7 Million. In order to get $21 trillion, you’d have to live that same life 3 million times – which might not be too bad if your job is masseuse trainee test subject, but it would seem quite long if your job is cattle ranch diseased bull inseminator. (And then after the first million lifetimes, they finally reveal to you that bulls are male – so you haven’t been inseminating. You’ve been… Never mind.)

But the government and some of the mainstream media defended this mysterious $21 trillion by saying, “It’s not what you think. It doesn’t mean anything’s missing. It’s just financial discrepancies.” Yet Forbes, which is no lefty commie pinko rag, would disagree. They say, “…this is not simply a matter of boring accounting. Trillions in unaccounted outlays, if that’s what’s involved here, is trillions of our tax dollars being spent without our knowledge. If that’s the case, we’re talking about the biggest government financial deception in the history of the country. …Why is our government now systematically hiding these adjustments from public sight?”

Ah, you see, when something isn’t horrible, nasty, criminal corruption, you don’t take great pains to hide it, do you? If you’re collecting carrots from your neighbor’s garden in broad daylight, then it’s likely you have permission. If you’re doing it in the dead of night with a ski mask on and your smell cloaked in high-grade wolf piss, then it’s more likely you don’t have permission. (Also it was a dead giveaway that you were giggling and going, “Carrots! Carrots just for me!”)

As The Nation magazine put it (before they were somehow talked into deleting the article):

For decades, the DoD’s leaders and accountants have been perpetrating a gigantic, unconstitutional accounting fraud, deliberately cooking the books to mislead the Congress and drive the DoD’s budgets ever higher… DoD has literally been making up numbers in its annual financial reports to Congress – representing trillions of dollars’ worth of seemingly nonexistent transactions… according to government records and interviews with current and former DoD officials, congressional sources, and independent experts.”

Deliberately cooking the books. Any chance we could make that the military’s slogan going forward? (I mean, “Army of one” has really been played out. Let’s switch to “Deliberately cookin’ the books and killin’ some folks.”)

Of the $21 trillion over 15 years, there was actually one year alone that had $6.5 Trillion unaccounted-for financial adjustments. In one year! If that’s not an enormous fraud, I don’t know what it is. We need to start using the word “fraud!” We can tell it’s fraud because people have tried to cover up the goddamn paper trail. Back to The Nation’s investigation — “Indeed, more than 16,000 records that might reveal either the source or the destination of some of that $6.5 Trillion, had been ‘removed’…” Sure, that sounds not great, but think of it this way — That’s actually only 2,600 missing records per trillion dollars unaccounted for. So that’s not that bad. I mean, you try to make $6.5 trillion disappear without at least a few thousand documents thrown in your fireplace. It’s not easy. Plus, this shows how hardworking our Pentagon is. Fraud of this size takes a real “can do” attitude, burning the candle at both ends, barely seein’ your family, not even callin’ your mistress back. Impressive stuff.

Our military also covers up this gigantic fraud with gibberish and nonsense. For example, because the Pentagon doesn’t want every news outlet quoting them as saying, “We failed our audit for the 5th time,” they use the word “disclaimer” to mean they don’t know what the fuck is going on. So rather than saying, “We couldn’t find out how much money the Navy spent,” they say, “That area had a disclaimer instead of a clean opinion.” See how much nicer that sounds? Here’s an actual quote from the press conference a few weeks ago by the Undersecretary of Defense Michael McCord: “So even if you haven’t yet got to the point where you’ve got — turned a disclaimer into a clean opinion. If you are going faster, that is still progress.”

Let me translate: “If one Pentagon department doesn’t know where the fuck the money’s going, and they haven’t been able to turn that into knowin’ where the fuck the money’s going, some of them are able to more quickly tell us they have no idea where the fuck the money’s going than they used to be. And that is called progress.” No it’s not! It’s not progress! Sucking quicker is not progress unless you’re on a porn set and lunch break is fast approaching.

One report described it this way: “What they found were several new weaknesses in how DOD accounted for its assets, which include nearly 2.9 million military personnel; equipment and weapons including 19,700 aircraft and more than 290 ships; and physical items including buildings, roads and fences on 4,860 sites worldwide.” Again, let me translate: “Weaknesses in how DOD accounts for assets” means they literally don’t know where a lot of this stuff is. And by “this stuff” I mean equipment, weapons, aircraft, ships and yes, even buildings! How do you idiots lose buildings?!

“Well, sir, it was just here a minute ago. It was about 7 stories high, had windows and doors and the whole thing. …Do you happen to have a copy somewhere you can use instead?”

So, the Pentagon apparently has an $800-Billion Real Estate Problem. The Government Accountability Office euphemized this problem with a report titled, “DOD Needs to Improve Its Efforts to Identify Unutilized and Underutilized Facilities.” But it’s not just that they’re underutilized. The Pentagon has no idea what it owns, and when it does, it doesn’t know if those buildings are being used. Maybe that’s what happens when you have 30 Million acres spanning the globe in a disastrous global empire.

But it gets worse. How could it get worse than not knowing which buildings you own? How about not knowing what years you’re living in. “The Army also provided the GAO access to the Army’s own internal real estate database. Investigators noted that the Army’s database claimed that service officials reviewed facilities in the years 0012, 1776, 2201 and 3013.” Man, that is one advanced Pentagon inspection department. They’re already looking over facilities in the year 3000! Good for them. At least something at the DOD is advanced! Meanwhile, the trillion-dollar F-35 fighter jet catches on fire whenever someone turns the seat warmers on.

But despite all of this dumpster fire, the Undersecretary of Defense sounded downright chipper in his briefing. For example, he noted that “Ukraine’s ongoing war with Russia has offered DOD personnel ‘a very teachable moment for us on the audit,’ as it allows them to picture the critical nature of precise tracking of weapons and equipment in the event of a conflict.” Oh, so he’s saying sending weapons to the proxy war in Ukraine — trying to keep that war going as long as possible even as thousands of Ukrainians die — is a teachable moment because the DOD auditors can see in real-time where the weapons end up. Interesting.

Only one problem — they totally can’t. Even the mainstream media reported on it — before they were told to stop reporting on it. In August, CBS did an investigation on “Why military aid in Ukraine may not always get to the front lines.” According to the article, some responsible for delivering aid in Ukraine “…estimated that just ‘30-40%’ of the supplies coming across the border reached its final destination.” That’s right, even CBS and CNN reported that up to 70% of U.S. weaponry is not actually getting to the front lines.

After being pressured by the U.S. government, CBS and CNN have changed their reporting. But similarly, a Ukrainian veteran told The Grayzone, “The weapons are stolen, the humanitarian aid is stolen, and we have no idea where the billions sent to this country have gone.” A lot of the weaponry is simply being sold on the black market. (But there’s also the possibility that much of the U.S.-made arms were sent to the year 3000 — so the re-re-reanimated corpse of President Joe Biden can send it to the proxy war we’ll be fighting then in the Helix Nebula against an alien creature that looks a lot like a flying jellyfish but enjoys eating humans way more than our current jellyfish.)

So, let’s sum this horror show up — as The Nation magazine said, “…the Pentagon’s accounting fraud amounts to theft on a grand scale—theft not only from America’s taxpayers, but also from the nation’s well-being and its future.” And that is why the Pentagon just flunked their fifth-ever audit. They will never have a legit audit. Because if they did, the American people would realize we’ve been saluting and celebrating and glorifying the largest money-laundering operation in the history of humanity. Killing thousands of innocent people is almost an afterthought to our ruling elite. That’s just what they do when they’re bored. Their real love, their true passion, is theft and fraud.

https://orinocotribune.com/the-pentagon ... e-missing/

Ukrainian Blood Money
DECEMBER 23, 2022

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Photo: RT News.

By Slavisa Milacic – Dec 21, 2022

During and after the Kosovo war, accusations were made of people being killed in order to remove their organs to sell them on the black market. Various sources estimated that the number of victims ranged to over 300, which was claimed by Carla del Ponte, a former Swiss attorney general and Chief Prosecutor of two United Nations international criminal law tribunals. The allegations were first publicized by then Chief Prosecutor for the ICTY Carla Del Ponte in her book The Hunt: Me and the War Criminals in 2008.

According to the book, after the end of the war in 1999, Kosovo Albanians were smuggling organs of between 100 and 300 Serbs and other minorities from the Kosovo province to Albania. The perpetrators are said to have strong links to the Kosovo Liberation Army (UÇK). Claims were investigated first by the ICTY who found medical equipment and traces of blood in and around the house in Albania that had allegedly been used as an operating theater to remove the organs.(1)

In 2010, a report by Swiss prosecutor Dick Marty to the Council of Europe (CoE) uncovered “credible, convergent indications” of an illegal trade in human organs going back over a decade, including the deaths of Serb captives killed for this purpose.(2)

Unfortunately, similar things are happening in the Ukrainian conflict. Some of the representatives of the Ukrainian army who ended up in hospitals turn into experimental subjects for testing new medicines. The fate of the seriously wounded can be even worse; at the front, several hundred dollars can be paid for a seriously or mortally wounded person in a field hospital who is ready for organ harvesting. Naturally, Kyiv partially ignored this topic, and partially declared it to be Russian propaganda, but everything is not so simple.

Firstly, it turned out that the Russian media machinery was not up to par during this conflict. Because in the Russian media, the crimes of the Ukrainian army against Russian soldiers that were condemned by the West, the Russian media did not give too much importance. And they always individualized the crimes against Russian soldiers, while even the Western media said that pressure must be put on the Ukrainian General Staff on this matter.

Secondly, regarding this topic, some indirect evidence was unwittingly provided by the Ukrainians themselves. Finally, thirdly, these topics are not new, even Washington admitted that it conducted experiments on the inhabitants of Ukraine in its laboratories, although it declared that he took care of their safety.

Shortly before the war, on December 16, 2021, the Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada passed a law allowing the removal of organs from the dead without notarial consent from them or their official representatives. Moreover, the term “official representative” turns out to be as vague as possible; it may also be the person who undertakes the funeral. In military conditions, it turns out to be the unit commander. After all, in fact, an operation to remove the kidneys from an experienced surgeon takes no more than 15 minutes, and it can well be implemented in the field conditions of a front-line medical center. And such organs as the kidneys are extremely popular goods in the medical market of the USA and Europe. However, in case of actions within the framework of this legal act, transplantologists at least remain in the Ukrainian legal field. Then another question arises – how many organ removals take place officially, and how many not officially?

After all, exactly one year after the adoption of the new procedure for the removal of organs, on December 14, Russian hackers from the Anarchist Kombatant group hacked into the website of the Ukrainian military command and gained access to the lists of 35,382 military personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine who are listed as “missing”. At the same time, the data is quite verifiable – on 2000 sheets, with ranks and personal numbers of the missing.

It remains to be assumed that more than 35,000 people were buried, cremated, abandoned on the battlefields without any record. Anyway, 35,000 donor kidneys for the modern world, where their transplantation has long become a routine operation, is a rather small figure that cannot even satisfy the current demand of people who have been standing in line for transplantation for years.

However, let’s be honest, any big war generates significant breakthroughs in medicine. The First World War gave us new methods of treating poisoning and plastic surgery. The second – led to the massive use of antibiotics. Of course, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine also leads not only to a stormy surge of “gray” and “black” transpontology. Hundreds of Ukrainian prisoners who ended up in hospitals in the EU and, first of all, in Germany, receive experimental treatment that allows them to survive, and European doctors to develop new medicines. At the same time, medicine in Europe is very expensive, the treatment of one wounded person can cost 10 or even 100 thousand Euros.

Also the Ukrainian military directly, in numerous programs and publications, stated that they are given “completely new”, “experimental” drugs. That is, they test on them not certified and, in principle, drugs that are not approved for use. On the other hand, perhaps Europe, which has suffered enormous economic losses due to the sanctions war with Russia and assistance to Ukraine, should receive some real bonuses from supporting Ukraine. Organs taken from the dead will save the lives of several thousand Europeans and Americans. But isn’t it immoral to use war for the development of medical science and health care? Every European must answer this question himself.



1. https://www.france24.com/en/20110216-un ... nmik-eulex
2. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2010/ ... ges-kosovo

https://orinocotribune.com/ukrainian-blood-money/
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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Sun Dec 25, 2022 4:33 pm

From "special operation" to war
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 12/25/2022

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As the end of the year approaches and ten months have elapsed since the start of the Russian military intervention, which sought, as the Russian president stated at the time, to end the war that began in 2014, Russia seems to be finally making a more realistic assessment. facts and future prospects. Far from the triumphalism of the first weeks, when even the withdrawal from Kiev could be disguised with advances in the south and especially in the Donbass area, which had justified the intervention, Moscow is now preparing for a long war that has little to do with the idea of ​​the special military operation with which in February he thought he would be able to force the Ukrainian government to negotiate and accept clear terms: let Crimea and Donbass go.

Neither the Minsk diplomacy nor the threat of the Southern Command troops on the border had any effect in forcing kyiv to implement the Minsk agreements, which would have returned Donbass to Ukraine while guaranteeing the population certain rights that Ukraine has always considered unacceptable. Now that the Minsk process is closed and concluded, kyiv boasts, not only of having openly and explicitly refused for seven years to implement the political points, those that granted rights to Donbass, but of having used that time to rearm and reinforce its army. . Along these lines, the hero Zaluzhny told The Economist that for the Armed Forces the war began in 2014.

The siege of kyiv and the rapid loss of territories in the south, sacrificed in order to use the units that could have faced the Russian advance for the defense of the capital, also failed to force the Ukraine to an agreement. Despite the fact that the negotiations began at a time when kyiv seemed on the ropes - the fact that one of the negotiators was killed in a shootout between different branches of intelligence is illustrative of the moment - Ukraine managed to delay the process long enough in order to stabilize the situation, paralyze the Russian advance on the capital and encourage their partners to send offensive weapons to try to defeat the Russian army at the front.

The conflict thus became a trench warfare that has caused thousands of deaths and enormous destruction, consequences that could have been avoided if the principle of agreement that the Russian negotiator believed he had achieved in the Istanbul negotiations had been consolidated. However, the rejection by kyiv and its partners of the compromise, which implied accepting the loss of Crimea and negotiating for Donbass, has allowed Ukraine to present itself as the NATO army in the common war against Russia and recover part of the lost territories. .

Although the failure of the special military operation as an operation to quickly achieve objectives (negotiation and agreement, not the occupation of all of Ukraine as the Western press has repeated) was evident from the moment the war entered the trenches, the end of any attempt at negotiation confirmed it again. Since April, the war between Russia and Ukraine has not only not abated but has become a conflict incomparable with the wars the United States has waged in recent decades, with two well-armed armies now fighting for every meter of territory apart by a front that extends over a thousand kilometers and in which both sides have the tools to attack the enemy rear.

In this context, the words of President Vladimir Putin and Minister Shoigu suggest that Russia, despite clinging to the fiction of the special operation , has already understood that it is facing a war that can extend over time. This is how Boris Rozhin, Colonel Cassad , summarized this week the subtext of the words of the highest Russian authorities:

If we jointly analyze the speeches of Putin and Shoigu before the advice of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation.

1.The war with the West in Ukraine will be long. The course towards achieving the objectives of the special military operation has not changed. The list of official targets was announced in Putin's speech on February 24 (to which must be added the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions). Unofficial goals can be interpreted in very different ways.
2.There will be no negotiations, because the West is not ready to accept Russia on equal terms. Russia had no place in the "civilized world." Great.
3.The army will have more resources: more materiel, financing, human resources. But without fanaticism, so as not to harm the economy. The idea of ​​“guns instead of food” is not our option. An attempt will be made to find a reasonable balance.
Various errors of the pre-war period have been noted in terms of troop supply, mobilization system, repair facilities, underestimation of the role of drones, and the concept of multi-domain operations. Criticism about errors is desirable.
4.The army expects significant reform, which is a consequence both of the shortcomings that have been observed during the operation and of the growing threats from the United States and NATO. The country's sovereignty will be based on increasing the capabilities of the nuclear triad as the only real reliable guarantor of military and political sovereignty.
5.In a comment on social media, Rozhin also wrote that in the absence of a declaration of war by either side, Moscow can cling to the label of a special military operation . However, the words of Putin and Shoigu, the announced increase in the number of troops in the Armed Forces and the confirmation that the country is preparing for a long war in which it will have to defend not only the recently captured territories but also the peninsula of Crimea and even its military bases in the rear show that Moscow has accepted the reality of trench warfare that will require more funding, more weapons and also more danger.


Although the Russian intention last February was to end a war that had started in 2014, the argument of defending the people of Donbass could not be fulfilled this year either. Moreover, Donbass has been in recent months the most dangerous place for the civilian population. Although civilian casualties accumulate in all the places where the fighting continues, the situation is more serious in the surroundings of Donetsk, the most populous point in Donbass (more than a million people in its urban area, contrasting, for example , with the 70,000 that Artyomovsk had), where daily Ukrainian bombardments cause a continuous trickle of death and destruction. A situation difficult to solve for the Russian and Republican troops.

This is how Boris Rozhin explains it:

On the debate on the Donetsk bombings:

1.The only real way to reduce the intensity of the shelling of the city is the liberation of the western Donbass.
2.Counter-battery fire is necessary, but it can only indirectly affect the intensity of the shelling, since the opponent, attacking from nearby positions, does not stand still. And even the fastest reaction can only increase the costs for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, not guarantee the absence of shelling.
3.The further the front is from Donetsk, the fewer weapons can be used to attack the city. Under the current circumstances, the front must move at least 30-40 kilometers away in order to deprive the opponent of the opportunity to use conventional multiple rocket launchers and 155-millimeter artillery.
4.Even in that case, the enemy can use long-range artillery for shelling, although it will be more difficult, more expensive, and less effective.
5.On the other hand, some kind of frontal assault on Avdeevka also does not promise anything significant, since the outcome is not guaranteed and would involve a large number of casualties. The shelling of Donetsk would continue during the assault. But that is the dilemma.
6.In the current circumstances, it is necessary to press on Marinka and move towards Krasnogorovka and Kurajovo. And also try to press the enemy defenses in the Vodianoe area and in the direction of Tonenkoe


The analysis implies a complicated situation especially in the Donetsk area, fortified for eight years and where the Ukrainian Armed Forces have a huge number of positions from which to bomb different areas of the city. As they have been demonstrating since the end of May, when the shelling of the center of Donetsk began, Ukrainian troops are ready to continue attacking the city indiscriminately as long as they have the option to do so.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/12/25/de-la ... more-26272

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In Ukraine, it’s Patriot vs. Iskander for Now
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 22, 2022
M. K. BHADRAKUMAR

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Ukraine President Vladimir Zelensky addressed a joint session of the US Congress, Washington, DC, December 21, 2022

With the Republicans poised to take narrow control of the House of Representatives in the US Congress in January, the Biden Administration is hoping to extract as much funding as possible for the proxy war in Ukraine against Russia before the locus of legislative business shifts on the Hill. The White House is requesting nearly $45 billion in new funding. Who else could canvass better than an accomplished actor-politician?

Enter President Vladimir Zelensky. When Zelensky proposed on Sunday that he’d find time to visit Washington for a few hours on Wednesday, President Biden promptly accepted. For Zelensky too, it pays to be seen holding Biden’s hands amidst swirling rumours of a power struggle in Kiev.

To be sure, from the strategic perspective, the backdrop of Zelensky’s decision to travel to Washington urgently would have been the one-day trip by Russian President Vladimir Putin to Minsk on Monday, which shook up the geopolitics of European security. The Kremlin’s decision to provide Belarus with a nuclear deterrent puts Kiev and Washington on notice. (See my blog NATO nuclear compass rendered unavailing.)

Succinctly put, Belarus gets just the firewall needed to continue to support Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine. It serves a vital purpose for Moscow too, as Belarus gives just the strategic depth needed for the next phase of Russia’s special military operations in Ukraine.

In particular, NATO’s dreams of fortifying the Suwalki Gap and cutting off the massive nuclear base of Kaliningrad on the Baltic Sea from Belarus and the Russian hinterland have crashed. Indeed, post-Cold War history is changing course in the Eurasian landmass.

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In effect, Moscow may have signalled that the Anglo-American strategy to equip Ukraine steadily and stealthily to hit deep inside Russian territory will not go unanswered. In fact, on Monday, Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko declared that the S-400 and Iskander missile systems supplied by Russia have been deployed on combat duty.

Iskander is a unique mobile ballistic missile system with modern precision strike capability, with a range of 400 km, and is nuclear-capable. It is connected to a networked system of sensors and prompt strike missiles capable of attacking targets across the theatre at very short notice.

Iskander is capable of manoeuvring at high terminal phase speeds of 2.1 km/s, equipped with jammers to counter active seekers and is a useful means of having a functionality against moving targets as well as for striking significant stationary targets, including headquarters, industrial production facilities, critical civilian national infrastructure, and hardened storage sites.

At a strategic level, the Iskander system is likely to be central to any Russian attempt at escalation management and war termination in Ukraine. Evidently, Russia is preparing for all eventualities.

On the other hand, Biden was at his rhetorical best, with Zelensky by his side in the White House, flinging vituperative epithets at Putin, and repeating Washington’s triumphalist narrative that the US will support Ukraine “for as long as it takes.”

However, life is real and rhetoric seldom translates into reality in politics. The tea leaves need to be read carefully. A senior White House official while confirming in unattributed media briefing on Tuesday that Patriot missiles are on their way to Ukraine, also added the caveat that it will be months before the Patriot missiles arrive in Ukraine, along with the “several months” needed to train Ukrainian armed forces to field it.

The official said that the Pentagon “will train Ukrainians in a third country to operate that battery. Once trained, they will go in with the battery to man it in Ukraine; it won’t be US personnel who are doing that. And nothing will change in that regard… [we] are not seeking to engage in a direct war with Russia. And nothing about that will change tomorrow.”

Clearly, that was an attempt to reduce the hype, as it were. Moscow had warned that if the US went ahead to supply Patriot to Ukraine, there would be “consequences” and Russian forces could target it.

Elsewhere, the US official also reaffirmed that “President [Biden] has been very clear from the beginning. He hasn’t wavered from and he won’t waver from it tomorrow, or next month or next year, that the United States is not sending forces to Ukraine to directly fight the Russians.”

At the core of the Zelensky visit is the Biden Administration’s urgent need to shore up “bipartisan” and “bicameral” support in the Congress for additional $45 billion in funding for Ukraine.

That said, when asked pointedly at the White House joint press conference with Zelensky about providing Ukraine with long-range missiles that could strike Russia, Biden starkly admitted, “The idea that we would give Ukraine material that is fundamentally different than what’s already going there would have a prospect of breaking up NATO, and breaking up the European Union, and the rest of the world… [US’ allies] don’t want to start a third world war…

“I’ve spent several hundred hours face-to-face with our European allies and the heads of state of those countries, and making the case as to why it was overwhelmingly in their interest that they continue to support Ukraine. They understand it fully, but they’re not looking to go to war with Russia. They’re not looking for a third World War.”

Now, this is an extraordinary statement at this point in time. It is tantamount to an olive branch to Moscow that the US does not want to climb the escalation ladder. In turn, it gives an intriguing look to the Zelensky visit to the US.

Indeed, although Zelensky’s trip to Washington was choreographed as a strategic show of unity, the fault lines cannot be glossed over — a lurking fear that the backing for Kiev could wane as fighting drags on. Simply put, the case that US assistance to Ukraine should not be a “blank check” can only gather momentum in the Congress.

Biden anticipates that the Ukraine conflict will figure as a campaign issue in 2024, and questions will arise. As The Hill wrote, “The skeptics contend that the US has no vital interests at stake in Ukraine, the gush of money toward Kiev is excessive and polluted by corruption, and the war is a distraction from the plethora of problems at home that demand attention.”

Equally, the angst in the European mind is palpable that the Anglo-Saxon commentariat and northern and eastern European politicians are imposing their agenda. Significantly, German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier, an experienced diplomat, had a call with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Tuesday coinciding with Zelensky’s journey to Washington.

The Chinese readout highlighted that while exchanging views on Ukraine, Xi voiced support for the EU “in demonstrating its strategic autonomy and in leading the establishment of a balanced, effective and sustainable European security architecture to realise enduring peace and long-term stability in the European continent.”

For sure, the fact that Zelensky’s visit was long on weapons and abysmally short on peace talks will cause disquiet in Berlin and Paris, who after all still remain the European policy debate’s centre of gravity. There is mounting anxiety that question of how the Ukraine war ends is self-evidently huge.

The point is, Russia seems determined not to back down and the chances of an outright Ukrainian victory has never been anything more than an indulgence in fantasy. Looking ahead, while the Patriot is a defensive weapon to prolong the stalemate, Iskander is a potential game changer.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... r-for-now/

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From Cassad's Telegram Account:

***

Forwarded from
military chronicle
The Ukrainian Armed Forces are retreating to the outskirts of Marinka with heavy losses: details

Since December 20, units of the 79th Air Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, occupying positions in the western part of the city, have suffered heavy losses in Marinka.

During the counter-battery fight, serious damage was inflicted on the howitzer artillery battalion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with D-30 guns of 122 mm caliber.

According to the Military Chronicle, serious losses were recorded in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th airborne assault battalions of the 79th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, reconnaissance and airborne and tank companies of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

The number of dead and seriously wounded in these units since December 15 is estimated at the level of 350 to 460 people. Due to serious losses, the brigade had to be urgently reinforced with mobilized from the Nikolaev and Kherson regions, as well as to send a security company and engineering units retrained as attack aircraft to the line of clashes.

According to the Military Chronicle, the key reason for the heavy losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Marinka was the activity of artillery and armored vehicles of the RF Armed Forces. The T-72B3 tanks are rapidly advancing towards the western outskirts of the city with the support of drones, which allows the crews to scout dangerous positions and fire at firing points in buildings with minimal risk.

According to the radio intercepts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the units of the 79th Airborne Infantry Battalion recorded a shortage of communications and surveillance equipment, ammunition for machine guns and machine guns and means for dressing wounds, as well as quadrocopters, with the help of which reconnaissance of the positions of the RF Armed Forces was carried out. Also, units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine complain about an acute shortage of anti-tank weapons - there are not enough grenade launchers and ammunition for them.

Due to the rapid deterioration of the tactical situation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since the evening of December 23, the remaining forces have been accumulating on the western outskirts of Maryinka in the area of ​​​​Shakhtyorskaya and Poligraficheskaya streets, where the field headquarters is gradually transferred from the central fortified area.

In case of failure at the last line of defense, the units of the Ukrainian army plan to retreat to reserve positions to the fortified area in the area of ​​​​the Maryinsky dam, where the batteries of the BM-21 Grad complexes were previously located. However, control over the city in this case will be completely lost.

***

Colonelcassad

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The situation in the Soledar direction
as of 12.00 December 24, 2022

Fighting continues in Bakhmut and its environs. Russian troops are conducting a positional offensive, pushing through the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in several directions at once.

🔻On the Bakhmutsky (Artemovsky) and Soledarsky sectors , the most intense fighting takes place in Opytny , Kleshcheevka , Podgorodny , as well as in the directions of Dyleevka and Razdolovka .

▪️During the offensive of the Russian assault groups, control was established over three platoon strongholds (VOPs) and three firing positions on the southern outskirts of Podgorodny , two VOPs in Opytny on Shkolnaya Street, and several positions at the Yakovlevka-Razdolovka line.

▪️In addition, Russian units are storming the Ukrainian fortified areas in Kleshcheevka, Dyleevka and Druzhba, where the 28th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is holding positions.

▪️To slow down the offensive, shock detachments of the 3rd battalion of the 28th Ombre attempted a counteroffensive on the positions of the Russian Armed Forces in the Dyleevka area.

Support for the advancing troops was provided by helicopters of army aviation and artillery crews of the 28th, 53rd and 105th battalions of the 63rd brigade, which fired indiscriminately at Bakhmut, Yakovlevka, Ozaryanovka, Kurdyumovka, Mayorsk.

The attack was repulsed. Some units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were assigned to reserve positions to restore combat capability.

▪️In Bakhmut, the forces of the 58th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have equipped 28 firing positions on the southeastern outskirts of the city, three sniper pairs are operating in residential areas. Ukrainian formations are provided with ammunition, radio stations and thermal imagers.

https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin

Google Translator

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DNR faces. 2014-2022
December 25, 14:13

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We continue to sum up the results of the year.
Today we have the faces of the DPR. Those who marked themselves in 2014 survived until 2022 and took part in one way or another in the NWO in Ukraine.
This is not a rating - just a list of those who, within the framework of the CBO, are remembered for their activity more than others (no less famous and worthy of being included in the list of people).

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Aleksey Dikiy

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Akhra "Abkhaz" Avidzba

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Igor "Bes" Bezler

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Dmitry Tskhe

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Vladimir "Vokha" Zhoga

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Olga "Korsa" Kachura

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Pavel Gubarev

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Denis Pushilin

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Igor Strelkov

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Alexander Khodakovsky

Three of them - Olga Kachura, Dmitry Tskhe and Vladimir Zhoga are no longer alive. World who laid down their heads for Russia.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8055504.html

Google Translator

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The Claim That The Ukraine War Advances US Interests Discredits The Claim That It’s “Unprovoked”

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One of the most illustrative examples of how the mainstream worldview is based on narratives rather than facts is the way Republican officials like senate minority leader Mitch McConnell have been branded servants of Russia despite consistent track records as virulent Russia hawks.

“Moscow Mitch”, as Democrats absurdly titled him during the height of Russiagate hysteria in 2019, gave a speech on the Senate floor on Wednesday arguing that the primary reason to back Ukraine in its war against Russia is because doing so serves US interests.

“President Zelensky is an inspiring leader,” McConnell said in his speech ahead of the Ukrainian president’s visit to Washington. “But the most basic reasons for continuing to help Ukraine degrade and defeat the Russian invaders are cold, hard, practical American interests. Helping equip our friends in Eastern Europe to win this war is also a direct investment in reducing Vladimir Putin’s future capabilities to menace America, threaten our allies, and contest our core interests.”

McConnell argued that backing Ukraine “will massively wear down the arsenal that is available to Putin for future efforts to use bullying and bloodshed,” taking a stab at the Biden administration for not requesting more money for this immensely useful proxy war.

“So I’ll say it one more time. Continuing our support for Ukraine is morally right, but it is not only that. It is also a direct investment in cold, hard, American interests,” McConnell said. “That’s why Republicans rejected the Biden Administration’s original request for Ukraine assistance as insufficient.

“Finally, we all know that Ukraine’s fight to retake its territory is neither the beginning nor end of the West’s broader strategic competition with Putin’s Russia,” McConnell concluded. “Increasing the pressure on Putin’s regime can and should be a bipartisan priority.”



You see US empire lackeys gushing all the time about how extraordinarily efficient and cost-effective the proxy war in Ukraine is for furthering US interests against Russia, which is funny because they spend the rest of the time talking about how this invasion was “unprovoked” and rending their garments about how horrible it is. The official imperial position is somehow simultaneously (A) “We hate this war and never wanted it,” and (B) “This war benefits us tremendously.”

The only way to reconcile these two positions is to believe that Vladimir Putin acted against the interests of Russia in the service of the United States by invading Ukraine, for no other reason than because he is too stupid and evil to do otherwise. The other choice is to do what most empire loyalists do and simply not think very hard about those obvious contradictions.

Alternatively, you can consider the possibility that Putin was pressured into choosing between two bad options by the many aggressive provocations the empire has been making for years. Empire apologists always claim that western provocations had nothing to do with the invasion of Ukraine, but if that’s true then why did so many western experts spend years warning that western provocations would lead to an invasion of Ukraine?

Plainly the claim that the US is just an innocent bystander helping its good buddy Ukraine because it loves freedom and democracy is discredited by the claim — often made by those very same claimants — that this war serves US interests. But you hear them bounce seamlessly between the two all the time.


There’s a viral thread making the rounds on Twitter right now by a historian named Brett Devereaux that exemplifies this perfectly. In the first tweet in the thread he’s enthusing about how “for just 5% of the US military budget, we’ve disabled 50% of Russia’s military power,” then in the very next post in the thread he’s weeping about what a humanitarian crisis the war is and how we just want peace, and then in the very next post after that he’s saying “from a pure realpolitik perspective, Putin’s war was a massive blunder that has strengthened the US global position, degrading Russian capabilities (which frees up resources for other threats) and strengthening our alliances.”

California representative Adam Schiff, who has been calling this war “unprovoked” since the invasion, was saying all the way back during the Trump impeachment hearings of 2020 that “the US aids Ukraine and her people so that we can fight Russia over there and we don’t have to fight Russia here.”

Another congressman, Dan Crenshaw, said on Twitter this past May that “investing in the destruction of our adversary’s military, without losing a single American troop, strikes me as a good idea.”

“It is in America’s interests to help Ukraine defeat one of our most powerful foes,” tweeted The Atlantic’s David French in the wake of Zelensky’s PR appearance in Washington.

“It is in America’s national security interests for Putin’s Russia to be defeated in Ukraine,” tweeted warmongering senator Lindsey Graham.


Statements like these should fully discredit the official narrative that the US is helping Ukraine fight off an unprovoked attack by a reckless tyrant. These are mutually contradictory positions; either it’s a completely unprovoked invasion that Washington didn’t want, or it’s an excellent way of getting Washington everything it wants. It’s nonsensical and naive to believe both.

But of course they do not discredit the official Ukraine narrative in the eyes of the public, because the US has the most effective propaganda machine that has ever existed. The many glaring inconsistencies and misdeeds of the empire are simply airbrushed away with a little spin and sweet talk.

If it weren’t for the imperial spin machine, nobody would believe the US just coincidentally stumbled its way into a lucky proxy war that happens to help it advance its agendas of global domination.

https://caitlinjohnstone.com/2022/12/23 ... nprovoked/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Mon Dec 26, 2022 1:06 pm

Gandalf in Israel
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 12/26/2022

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At the beginning of 2015, at just twenty years old, Ilya Samoilenko dropped out of history studies in his native kyiv. He then decided to take the step of joining the Azov Regiment, where he would become known as Gandalf .

After going through a training camp with a "civilian organization", and thanks to his skills as a marksman, Samoilenko soon became an instructor, a role he held from late January 2015 until November of that year. He later joined the front in which he participated in various combat actions. The sources place him in Marinka (on the outskirts of Donetsk), then defended by Azov, as well as in Travneve, in the Svetlodarsk arc. Despite the Minsk agreements, and the OSCE monitoring, the "combat" sorties would continue in 2016 and 2017.

In December 2017, when he was operating the mine he was installing himself, it exploded when an artillery barrage began. Samoilenko lost the palm of his hand, along the wrist joint, in addition to suffering various injuries to his left leg, neck, face and eye. After a relatively long period of recovery and rehabilitation, he rejoined the Azov Regiment in August 2018.

In some interviews published in September 2019, both on the Chernoborka website and on 24tv.ua , Samoilenko offered some clues to understand the reasons for returning to the army, as well as his political philosophy and that of the Azov Regiment. According to his account, and despite the accident, he remained in the unit because he was unable to achieve the personal goals he set for himself when he joined it: " Put an end to the war ", which in his version does not mean a commitment to peace, but its imposition through victory in war. He therefore stated that “ If not very skilled diplomats agree to some kind of peace, then all of us, the military, are left with two spans of noses. Because we fight here, we shed blood, we die”. Asked if the objective was to enter the Crimea, Donetsk and Lugansk, Gandalf answered without hesitation: “ This is the main objective. Both mine and the regiment ... a decision by force . Currently, that objective coincides with the one set by Volodymyr Zelensky, who describes it as “just peace”.

As for his bet on Azov, the answer was equally unequivocal: “ The regiment is the most motivated unit with well-trained soldiers. And that's all we need to be successful in the military... preparation and motivation. The rest is a personal matter for each one . Regarding the stability and military continuity of Azov, he insisted on motivation and “the idea [that] moves a person from within. Is he in favor of Ukrainian nationalism? We have it. Because of Ukrainian militarism? And we have it again ”. Because, for Samoilenko, the expression of the will to belong to citizenship is expressed in the commitment to military service.

Regarding the ideology of the Regiment, Samoilenko pointed out in 2019 that in Azov " we have an idea, not an ideology ". After emphasizing that the members of the regiment are different, with different views of the world, he specified what united them: “ they are all united by faith and the goal of defending the sovereignty of Ukraine. By the method of force ”. Thus, “ as a soldier ”, he then maintained that “ the offensive and the hostilities will return the occupied territories to us. Do not think that it is possible to talk about anything with Putin and the terrorists .

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Regarding the future of Mariupol, he points out that, as a soldier, “ I see the military return of Mariupol. If I were a diplomat, I would talk about diplomatic options. But not in our case. Russia is a terrorist state, and there will be no negotiations on terms other than ours, and other than Russia's final capitulation. We have one goal: victory in the war. I won't even say it like that: we have a threat that needs to be eliminated. That's what's important. Russia is a threat to us… The goal of the Russians in this war is not the capture of territories, nor the mythical “denazification”, “demilitarization”, nor the capture of resources, the Ukrainian people. They just want to eliminate us .” And he concluded with the following statement: “Apart from stereotypes and ideological phrases, I can say that it is necessary to simply destroy the enemy in order to eliminate the threat to our country . At this point, Azov's speech, then considered radical, is indistinguishable from the Ukrainian national narrative, something that is not a sign of regimental moderation, but of the general radicalization that has been taking place in Ukraine since 2014 and that despite having increased since February, did not start with the Russian invasion.

Neither radicalism nor Holocaust denial are considered a problem as long as that ideology is subordinated to the common objective and respects the referents considered acceptable. Last week, the Israeli press covered the tour of Israel by Ilya Samoilenko and his entourage to publicize Azov, especially his role during the battle for Mariupol. In that propaganda role, Gandalf knew how to redirect his speech. The Times of Israel quoted Gandalf as stating that he "sees Israel and the Ukraine on the same side, the civilized fighting the uncivilized in a fight for the future of humanity", something that can hardly be misunderstood as a reference to Russia. , but also to Palestine.

The Haaretz newspaper for its part, mentioned how the Azov propagandist smiled as he described how a left-wing Israeli activist recently admitted nervously watching his meeting with him. There is no contradiction, incoherence or break in that smile. It is the one that, according to the account of the Czech journalists in their 2017 visit to Mariupol, Gandalf must have prepared when thinking about those who are still willing to believe his stories.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/12/26/ganda ... more-26276

Google Translator

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About the course of the NWO. 26.12.2022
December 26, 11:44 am

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Answers to questions about the course of the SVO for the channel of the military commander Yuri Kotenok.

About the course of the NWO. 26.12.2022

1) How to evaluate the outcome of Zelensky's visit to the States? How right are the Western media who claim that the trip did not bring practical results, since it did not affect the list of weapons supplied to Kyiv?

The list of weapons was determined by the Pentagon and the White House a week before the visit. Zelensky was needed to push through the defense budget with the necessary parameters before the House of Representatives came under the control of the Republican Party. And this task was solved, no matter how much the Republicans are now indignant about this performance. Zelensky here, as usual, played the role of a puppet, which is controlled from the Biden administration, including in the interests of US domestic policy. The United States perfectly defines the parameters of the war in Ukraine even without Zelensky, he is not needed for this.

2) There is a lot of PR around sending the "Patriot" air defense system to Ukraine. What is paramount in this case - the practical purpose of this system or the propaganda effect?

So far, all delivery parameters are unknown - neither the modification of the complex (PAC-2 or PAC-3), nor the number of launchers. As the practice of the war in Yemen has shown, this system has significant shortcomings, which were revealed by Iranian drones and missiles. Therefore, the effect of the 1st battery will be rather propaganda. In the case of deliveries of several batteries, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be able to strengthen the air defense of critical infrastructure. Newspaper publications that the Patriot air defense system will be delivered in 6 months should not deceive, it will appear in Ukraine much earlier. And where there is one battery, there will be others.

3) Is it worth talking seriously about the growing contradictions between Zelensky and Zaluzhny, or is this just another plot invented by journalists?

From the point of view of directive control, these contradictions are of little importance. Ultimately, all the real levers for the formation of a puppet administration are in the hands of the United States. And they can easily get rid of obstacles interfering with the general course. This applies to both Zelensky and Zaluzhny. Their personal competition is insignificant if the US is satisfied with the current nature of the formation of the colonial administration.

4) After 10 months of NWO, the pace of advancement in the DPR is low. Many people ask - is it really impossible to destroy the defensive lines with the help of carpet bombing? Is it true that the defense built by Kyiv in this direction has no analogues in modern history?

Impossible until the air defenses that prevent carpet bombing are suppressed. And the very principle of carpet bombing seems redundant. As the experience of the war in Ukraine shows, it is necessary to strive to increase the role of high-precision weapons and their number on the battlefield, as well as the speed of decision-making on their use for identified targets. Ideally, this time should be reduced as much as possible. Well, a breakthrough in defense requires the creation of the necessary numerical and logistical superiority in areas of a potential breakthrough. If there is no such superiority, then no amount of carpet bombing will help.

5) A lot of information about the transfer of forces to Belarus. In the event of a new attempt by a grouping of the RF Armed Forces from the north, will the Armed Forces of Ukraine have enough resources at the same time to repel this attack and hold the front in the Donbass?

It depends on which grouping can potentially be concentrated in Belarus and what tasks it will have. Since it is almost impossible to hide the accumulation of a large group, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will most likely strengthen the northern border (they are already strengthening it), fearing a potential strike. However, the RF Armed Forces may not plan such strikes, but they can successfully speculate on this topic in order to mislead the enemy command and make it difficult for him to maneuver with reserves. The maximum fog of war in this matter is very beneficial to the Russian General Staff.

6) “Experts” affiliated with Zelensky’s Office continue to tell the Ukrainian population about the upcoming attack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which allegedly will begin after the ground freezes. In particular, the possibility of an attack on the Belgorod region is being discussed. Is Kyiv ready to risk the accumulated reserves for the propaganda effect of seizing the border strip?

The presence of sufficiently significant forces gives the Armed Forces the opportunity to either carry out propaganda attacks on the territory of the Belgorod region, or to intensify attacks on Svatovo and Kremennaya, in the interests of which the enemy continues to attack in the direction of the Svatovo-Kremennaya highway, regardless of losses. The main objective of these attacks is to reach the highway (for example, in the Krasnopopovka area) and violate the integrity of the front of the RF Armed Forces in this area in order to create the preconditions for the assault on Kremennaya and Svatovo. Achieving some success in this regard has more military and propaganda prospects for the enemy. Hence the waste of resources.

7) In Ukraine, they threaten to hit Moscow and other Russian cities. What risks does Kyiv face if such a decision is made, and what opportunities does it have to implement it?

Well, if there is no question of using tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine, then in fact Kyiv does not risk anything, since the Russian Federation already uses almost the entire range of available weapons in Ukraine. And as the United States shows, a course towards further escalation is inevitable, because the United States does not consider Russian red lines that go beyond the parameters of nuclear doctrine to be significant. In a conventional war, the US will obviously raise the stakes to the limit - any costs to Ukraine or Europe are not significant.

8) There is an opinion that the Ukrainian side purposefully overestimates the damage from strikes on its critical infrastructure. What is the meaning of this and what is the real scale of the current destruction?

Disinformation associated with exaggeration or underestimation of the results of strikes is necessary to make it difficult for the Russian command to plan new strikes.
The less objective information, the more difficult it is to plan the next strike and form a pool of targets. The real scale of the strikes and their consequences seem to be critical, but not yet lethal for the energy system of Ukraine. Systemic consequences are already being felt, but further blows are needed to resolve the unified energy system and eliminate the remaining large thermal power plants and distribution stations.

9) Simultaneously with the build-up of artillery and rocket terror against Donetsk, a series of provocations against Russian peacekeepers in Artsakh is taking place. How independent is Baku in organizing provocations? Why does Russia demonstrate such a tolerant attitude towards what is happening?

Baku is taking advantage of the fact that Russia is busy in Ukraine and is trying, through provocations in Karabakh, to force Russia to make certain concessions. Ultimately, Baku is interested in completely absorbing Karabakh (including the ethnic cleansing of local Armenians) and squeezing out Russian peacekeepers by 2025. Under Pashinyan, Armenia simply cannot defend its national interests, and while Pashinyan remains in power, Armenia will face further losses of everything - from territory to national pride. It was obvious in 2018, it is even more obvious in 2022. Since Pashinyan suits the Armenians, apparently they don’t really need their own state in a hostile environment. The West is naturally interested in undermining Russia's positions in the Transcaucasus, playing along with Baku and at the same time playing through Pashinyan.
Russia's strategy will continue to be to try to maintain a certain status quo and the role of arbitrator. But it is obvious that this strategy will be subjected to attacks from different sides, since the status quo that is beneficial to Russia at the current stage does not suit Baku and the West.

10) Is it possible to single out the main lesson that Moscow learned from the events of 2022? What practical conclusions were/should be drawn from the failures in the Liman and Kherson directions?

The main lesson is that you can not fight half-heartedly. This lesson has obviously been learned, so the war in 2023 will be different.
It is necessary to add quantitative and qualitative superiority over the enemy and to carry out defensive and offensive operations more effectively. Actually, the measures already taken and the recently announced decisions regarding the changes in the army in 2023 are aimed precisely at this. How effective all this will be in practice, we will see during the winter and especially during the spring-summer campaign of 2023.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/73649 - zinc (broadcast of hostilities in Ukraine as usual in Telegram - if you are interested, subscribe)

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8057151.html

Google Translator

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Ukraine War Tolls Death Knell for NATO
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 25, 2022
M. K. BHADRAKUMAR

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President Vladimir Putin addressed an expanded meeting of the Russian Defence Ministry Board, Moscow, Dec. 21, 2022

The defining moment in US President Joe Biden’s press conference at the White House last Wednesday, during President Zelensky’s visit, was his virtual admission that he is constrained in the proxy war in Ukraine, as European allies don’t want a war with Russia.

To quote Biden, “Now, you say, ‘Why don’t we just give Ukraine everything there is to give?’ Well, for two reasons. One, there’s an entire Alliance that is critical to stay with Ukraine. And the idea that we would give Ukraine material that is fundamentally different than is already going there would have a prospect of breaking up NATO and breaking up the European Union and the rest of the world… I’ve spent several hundred hours face-to-face with our European allies and the heads of state of those countries, and making the case as to why it was overwhelmingly in their interest that they continue to support Ukraine… They understand it fully, but they’re not looking to go to war with Russia. They’re not looking for a third World War.”

Biden realised at that point that “I probably already said too much” and abruptly ended the press conference. He probably forgot that he was dwelling on the fragility of Western unity.

The whole point is that the western commentariat largely forgets that Russia’s core agenda is not about territorial conquest — much as Ukraine is vital to Russian interests — but about NATO expansion. And that has not changed.

Every now and then President Putin revisits the fundamental theme that the US consistently aimed to weaken and dismember Russia. As recently as last Wednesday, Putin invoked the Chechen war in the 1990s — “the use of international terrorists in the Caucasus, to finish off Russia and to split the Russian Federation… They [US] claimed to condemn al-Qaeda and other criminals, yet they considered using them on the territory of Russia as acceptable and provided all kinds of assistance to them, including material, information, political and any other support, notably military support, to encourage them to continue fighting against Russia.”

Putin has a phenomenal memory and would have been alluding to Biden’s careful choice of William Burns as his CIA chief. Burns was Moscow Embassy’s point person for Chechnya in the 1990s! Putin has now ordered a nation-wide campaign to root out the vast tentacles that the US intelligence planted on Russian soil for internal subversion. Carnegie, once headed by Burns, has since shut down its Moscow office, and the Russian staff fled to the West!

The leitmotif of the expanded meeting of the Board of the Defence Ministry in Moscow on Wednesday, which Putin addressed, was the profound reality that Russia’s confrontation with the US is not going to end with Ukraine war. Putin exhorted the Russian top brass to “carefully analyse” the lessons of Ukraine and Syrian conflicts.

Importantly, Putin said, “We will continue maintaining and improving the combat readiness of the nuclear triad. It is the main guarantee that our sovereignty and territorial integrity, strategic parity and the general balance of forces in the world are preserved. This year, the level of modern armaments in the strategic nuclear forces has already exceeded 91 percent. We continue rearming the regiments of our strategic missile forces with modern missile systems with Avangard hypersonic warheads.”

Equally, Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu proposed at Wednesday’s meeting a military build-up “to bolster Russia’s security,” including:

*Creation of a corresponding group of forces in Russia’s northwest to counter Finland and Sweden’s induction as NATO members;
*Creation of two new motorised infantry divisions in the Kherson and Zaporozhya regions, as well as an army corps in Karelia, facing Finnish border;
*Upgrade of 7 motorised infantry brigades into motorised infantry divisions in the Western, Central and Eastern military districts, and in the Northern Fleet;
*Addition of two more air assault divisions in the Airborne Forces;
*Provision of a composite aviation division and an army aviation brigade with 80-100 combat helicopters within each combined arms (tank) army;
*Creation of 3 additional air division commands, eight bomber aviation regiments, one fighter aviation regiment, and six army aviation brigades;
*Creation of 5 district artillery divisions, as well as super-heavy artillery brigades for building artillery reserves along the so-called strategic axis;
*Creation of 5 naval infantry brigades for the Navy’s coastal troops based on the existing naval infantry brigades;
*Increase in the size of the Armed Forces to 1.5 million service personnel, with 695,000 people serving under contract.

Putin summed up: “We will not repeat the mistakes of the past… We are not going to militarise our country or militarise the economy… and we will not do things we do not really need, to the detriment of our people and the economy, the social sphere. We will improve the Russian Armed Forces and the entire military component. We will do it calmly, routinely and consistently, without haste.”

If the neocons in the driving seat in the Beltway wanted an arms race, they have it now. The paradox, however, is that this is going to be different from the bipolar Cold War era arms race.

If the US intention was to weaken Russia before confronting China, things aren’t working that way. Instead, the US is getting locked into a confrontation with Russia and the ties between the two big powers are at a breaking point. Russia expects the US to roll back NATO’s expansion, as promised to the Soviet leadership in 1989.

The neocons had expected a “win-win” in Ukraine: Russian defeat and a disgraceful end to Putin presidency; a weakened Russia, as in the 1990s, groping for a new start; consolidation of western unity under a triumphant America; a massive boost in the upcoming struggle with China for supremacy in the world order; and a New American Century under the “rules-based world order”.

But instead, this is turning out to be a classic Zugzwang in the endgame — to borrow from German chess literature — where the US is under obligation to make a move on Ukraine but whichever move it makes will only worsen its geopolitical position.

Biden has understood that Russia cannot be defeated in Ukraine; nor are Russian people in any mood for an insurrection. Putin’s popularity is soaring high, as Russian objectives in Ukraine are being steadily realised. Thus, Biden is getting a vague sense, perhaps, that Russia isn’t exactly seeing things in Ukraine as a binary of victory and defeat, but is gearing up for the long haul to sort out NATO once and for all.

The transformation of Belarus as a “nuclear-capable” state carries a profound message from Moscow to Brussels and Washington. Biden cannot miss it. (See my blog NATO nuclear compass rendered unavailing, Indian Punchline, Dec. 21, 2022

Logically, the option open to the US at this point would be to disengage. But that becomes an abject admission of defeat and will mean the death knell for the NATO, and Washington’s transatlantic leadership goes kaput. And, worse still, major west European powers — Germany, France and Italy — may start looking for a modus vivendi with Russia. Above all, how can NATO possibly survive without an “enemy”?

Clearly, neither the US nor its allies are in a position to fight a continental war. But even if they are, what about the emerging scenario in the Asia-Pacific, where the “no limits” partnership between China and Russia has added an intriguing layer in the geopolitics?

The neocons in the Beltway have bitten more than what they could chew. Their last card will be to push for a direct US military intervention in the Ukraine war under the banner of a “coalition of the willing.”

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... -for-nato/

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From Cassad's Telegram account:

***

Colonelcassad
Special operation, December 25th. The main thing from RIA Novosti :

▪️Putin said that the conflict in Ukraine is based on the policy of the geopolitical opponents of the Russian Federation, aimed at pulling apart historical Russia, we simply have no other choice but to protect our citizens

▪️The Russian Armed Forces in the South-Donetsk direction repelled Ukrainian counterattacks in the direction of Pavlovka and Vladimirovka in the DPR, the enemy lost more than 50 servicemen; more than 80 Ukrainian soldiers and mercenaries were killed in the Donetsk direction;

▪️in the Kupyansky and Krasnolimansky directions, Kyiv lost about 90 people per day;

▪️Russian troops in the Artemovsk region (DPR) hit the temporary deployment point of foreign mercenaries

▪️The RF Armed Forces destroyed three American M777 howitzers and a Polish Crab installation;

▪️Erdogan said that the West only stepped up provocations and did not try to mediate the crisis in Ukraine;

▪️Deputy of the State Duma from the Crimean region Sheremet called Ukraine's statements on Crimea complete nonsense and suggested in response to the Kyiv authorities to prepare a plan to include Kyiv in the Russian Federation;

▪️Sanctions against Russia are very expensive for Europe, and only the United States benefits from them, Siluanov said.

***

forwarded from
Mariana Batkovna
13:32
WE WERE WAITING FOR THE RUSSIAN:
"I wrote a diary, in those very two and a half weeks of hell. So that if we don't survive, at least someone will find, read, understand how hard it was for us ...
June 30. The village is burning again. 14- Ukropov's soldiers began to leave the village. It was a terrible night, we couldn't sleep, we shuddered from every shot.
July 1, in the morning. Shooting. We managed to cook breakfast. At 17-00 we went outside and saw our soldiers, LPR. Joy, we thanked everyone, that they survived and waited for freedom.
We were waiting for the Russians. The Russian soldier - he will never offend a child, a woman. He will respect the life of people ... "
The village of Belaya Gora in the southeast of Lisichansk met us with fog and impassable mud. Together with volunteers from the team of my friend Yura Mezinov, they brought humanitarian kits for the few remaining local residents.
Subscribe, watch and listen to stories - real, live, mine.
There is only truth.
Your Maryana Naumova

https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin

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"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Tue Dec 27, 2022 12:49 pm

The enigma of the Nord Stream
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 12/27/2022

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The gas issue and the ever-persistent European allegation of Russian intentions to cut off supplies to the European Union, its main market, have accompanied these ten months of Russian military intervention that began on February 24. During this time, the official discourse in Brussels has been to reject the tyrannical Russian gas, understood not as a privilege that countries like Germany have enjoyed for years, but as a burden that implied dependence on a country now considered an enemy. However, given the enormous consumption needs of this privileged market, despite the attempt to diversify acquisitions including ideologically correct gas such as Qatar or Azerbaijan, the countries of the European Union have continued to purchase Russian gas in large quantities.

From the European point of view, the voluntary relinquishment of Russian energy implies the loss of competitiveness for a part of the industry, fundamentally the German industry, until now the growth engine of the EU economy. But the search for other markets by the large European consumers also implies consequences for those other markets, mainly for the countries with less purchasing power, which are now experiencing difficulties in meeting their energy needs due to the increase in prices that implies that the countries of The European Union have taken over, for example, the liquefied natural gas market. To win the energy war against Russia, the EU is willing, not only to give up its competitiveness, but also to do so at the expense of the well-being of countries with less purchasing power.

To these circumstances we must add the explosions that occurred on September 26 in the Nord Stream gas pipelines, inaugurated in 2011 by Chancellor Merkel and President Medvedev, and the never inaugurated Nord Stream-2. The sabotage, clear from the first hours of the event, meant disabling both gas pipelines, both the one that was in operation and the one that Germany refused to start up due to the situation in Ukraine. Just a few hours after the explosions occurred, which also caused an ecological disaster that has hardly been discussed, media such as Bloomberg they took Russia's culpability for sabotage for granted. The official discourse was limited to stating that Russia was seeking, by blowing up one of its critical infrastructures, which linked it directly and without intermediaries to its main customer, to finally justify cutting gas to the European Union. The fact that Russia has continued to supply gas to its Western European customers and that it has done so through the Ukraine, which means significant revenues for kyiv's coffers, destroys the argumentation of that widespread hypothesis.

Without any impetus to find the culprits, the passage of time has only consolidated oblivion, a way of not going back to the facts to avoid agreeing with those who called attention to the fact that Russia was the main victim for the disappearance of the Nord Stream. Faced with the hypothesis of Russian self-sabotage, other views were directed at the European Union's allies, some of them, mainly the United States, the main beneficiaries of the new situation. The fight of the United States against the Nord Stream does not go back to the last months, but throughout the last years it has tried to paralyze a project that it considered political, that is to say, a threat to its interests:

The sanctions against the Russian energy sector have meant an increase in the supply of liquefied natural gas from the United States at the expense of Russian gas, something that Washington hopes to consolidate in the future, keeping Moscow out of the lucrative European market, an added benefit for the United States. thanks to a war in which it is also profiting from increased arms sales. If, before the start of the Russian intervention, Biden promised that the Nord Stream-2 would not come into operation in the event of an invasion of Ukraine, after the explosions, an almost emotional Antony Blinken affirmed that the situation represented a great opportunity for the United States. However, the mere fact of being the party that benefits the most from the facts is not proof of guilt or complicity in the attack.

Only an impartial investigation, something hardly to be expected considering the flagrant disinterest of the affected countries in knowing the facts, could clarify what happened. Two months after the explosions, in an article that has barely achieved notoriety, The Washington Post has confirmed what logic had made clear on September 26: there is "no conclusive evidence" that Russia sabotaged the gas pipelines that it itself has built and of which it is co-owner. “World leaders were quick to blame Moscow for the explosions along the underwater gas pipelines. But some Western officials now doubt that the Kremlin was responsible," the outlet wrote, still from a narrative that seeks to maintain doubt about the Russian action.

“With winter approaching, it appeared the Kremlin intended to choke off power to millions across the continent, an act of blackmail , some leaders claimed, to threaten countries into withdrawing their financial and military assistance to Ukraine”, the article continues, repeating the account that has been insisted on until now despite openly contradicting the events both before and after the explosions. At all times throughout the ten months of Russian military intervention, Moscow has worked to maintain its income, hence the idea of ​​stopping in the short term - without having previously replaced the European market with other markets - the energy supply was always a simple act of propaganda or, at least, a poor analysis.

Faced with the media's attempt to maintain the doubt, their own sources affirm, not that there is no "conclusive evidence" but simply evidence. "There is no evidence at this point that Russia was behind the sabotage," the outlet quoted a European official, one of 23 testimonies from diplomats and intelligence officers from nine countries who were interviewed.

The media also admits that not even US intelligence, capable of intercepting conversations between Russian officials, has managed to obtain any evidence of Russia's guilt, to which, even so, The Washington Post clings. “Russia remains a prime suspect, in part due to its recent history of bombing civilian infrastructure in Ukraine and propensity for unconventional warfare. It is not such a big leap to think that the Kremlin would be able to attack the Nord Stream, perhaps to undermine NATO's resolve and squeeze allies that depend on Russian natural resources," he continues, citing more officials. Faced with the evident absence of evidence that Moscow did not commit an attack against itself, speculation and the consolidated idea that Russia is always guilty is enough to maintain the fiction. Even though, as The New York Times mentions this week, Russia has already begun to look for a way to initiate a difficult and extremely expensive repair, one more argument to stop seeing Moscow's hand in acts in which Russia is the main victim.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/12/27/26282/#more-26282

Google Translator

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Impacts on the energy structure and the IT sector of Ukraine
December 27, 1:42 am

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A blog reader from Ukraine about the impact of strikes on the energy structure of Ukraine on the IT sector.

Impacts on the energy structure and the IT sector of Ukraine

Mobile communications and the Internet in some form are present without interruption. A massive power outage leads to a decrease in the number of base stations in the network - standby generators, according to the standards, are only on every fourth or fifth (here I can be wrong), so that essentially remains voice communication and messages. After the transition to blackouts according to the plan (4 hours electrically on - 4-8 hours off), the entire grid comes to life because there are batteries everywhere.

Stationary "Internet works stably, generators are installed in all data centers. The problem is in the "last mile" - where there are switches and routers without uninterruptibles. In principle, this is corrected by installing the appropriate equipment.

Let's sum it up - problems arise immediately after impacts, when there are uncontrollable power outages. With planned shutdowns (usually after a couple of days), the Internet returns to normal.

Well, do not forget that at home there is equipment that also needs to be powered - you can hold out for 4 hours relatively easily, but then problems with powering the equipment begin.

And all this applies to the IT industry, where it is not a problem to invest and purchase (albeit exorbitantly) the appropriate equipment.

I read the comments to the Telegram - let's try to answer those that are essentially:

- "You can't stock up on generators / you also need to bring fuel" - I was talking about relatively large cities. There, as I understand it, the design of the network was carried out accordingly. With the supply of fuel there, obviously, there are also no problems (despite the fact that the generators are on a relatively small number of towers).

- "UPS is not for long" Speaking in numbers, an uninterruptible power supply (UPS) costing about $ 350 (these are now real prices there - i.e. twice the market) will give you the opportunity to fully charge your laptop and power your "home" router and even a wireless point for half a day. If you need more - then yes, problems. And, of course, if there is something at the entrance to the house, then an uninterruptible power supply is also needed there. We are still talking about the IT industry working "to the west"

- Uninterruptibles do not have time to recharge - yes, there is such a thing. But again, in our experience, this is critical in the first days after the strikes, and again, you can recharge from a running car (expensive, but this is about IT).

- In small towns, everything is getting worse and better (as I already wrote, I don’t have statistics). It's better because no one bothers with the planned shutdown of a village of 100 people. Worse, because the recovery takes much longer. Many people buy a backup generator + Starlink (cost with installation somewhere around 1000+)

- Offices of IT companies are usually equipped with generators + Starlink. Those. key people can always move to the office.

If we ignore the technical side of the issue, then the main problem is that many (Western) customers have not really wanted to work with Ukraine lately (or require additional resources in other regions "for safety net".

That is why it is difficult to get "honest" information even At the same time, objectively, according to statistics, Ukraine "works" at about 80% of productivity.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8059237.html

Israel helps Ukraine whitewash the Nazis
December 26, 22:52

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Israel helps Ukraine whitewash the Nazis

Representatives of the neo-Nazi Azov battalion travel around Israel with calls to support their imprisoned militants. They meet with Israeli politicians and the military.

Azov intelligence officer Ilya Samoilenko was exchanged in September.

He is one of hundreds of Azovites who surrendered in May after the siege of Mariupol.
“Israel values ​​freedom, values ​​strength, Israel values ​​honor. This is what we value,” he told the Haaretz newspaper this week.
Samoylenko also told The Times of Israel that "he sees Ukraine and Israel on the same side, civilized, fighting against the uncivilized in the struggle for the future of mankind," the newspaper summed up his words.
“We have a prosperous, beautiful, prosperous, beautiful civilization, and they have medieval savages,” he said. It seems that "they" in this case are Palestinians and Russians, whom Samoylenko considers "uncivilized".

Together with Samoylenko, Yulia Fedosyuk, the wife of a captive Azov man and an extreme right-wing activist, rides around Israel.
Both have been actively courting Israelis this week, as part of a broader effort to whitewash Azov's image in the West.
Before Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February, Azov's Nazi ideology was an accepted fact.

The Anti-Defamation League, the largest Jewish and pro-Israeli lobbying group, for example, warned in 2019 that Azov was a “Ukrainian extremist group” with “ties to neo-Nazis and white supremacists.” But now that the Western powers are arming Ukraine, including Azov, in their proxy war against Russia, this vile reality is being pushed out of sight.

As a result - with the help of the media, and now Israel and its lobby - Azov has been trying to create a new image in recent months.
The approval of Israel is a time-honored method of the European and American far right who want to gain conventional legitimacy.
In May, The Times of London reported that Azov was about to change his symbol, the wolfsangel (used by the Nazi army).
But even such a superficial change, it seems, would be excessive for Azov. Online Azov continues to use wolfsangel.
Recent posts on social networks show Azov people with wolfsangel.

In a tweet from the Azov-affiliated Azovstal Defenders' Families Association, Samoylenko and Fedosyuk visit Masada, and Samoylenko wears this Nazi symbol on his uniform.
Masada is the place of the mythical last resistance of the ancient Jews against the Romans. Today, Israel holds an oath-taking ceremony for soldiers there, in which they swear that "Masada will not fall again."

The Azovstal Association on Telegram posts a photo of the Azovites in Masada with the caption “When today in Israel we talk about the defense of Mariupol, the Israelis ... keep repeating “Mariupol is your Masada”.

The tweets also show the Azovites meeting with Israeli reservists, watching a film, and meeting with Naama Lazimi, a leading Israeli politician from the Labor Party, which is part of the outgoing government's coalition.
Shortly after the publication of this article, the Azovstal tweeter erased the post from the meeting with Lazimi. But we have a screenshot. Shahar Tenenbaum, Lazimi's spokesperson, also asked the Electronic Intifada to remove her name from the article.

At a meeting with Lazimi, Samoylenko "refuted the myths of Russian propaganda about the Azov Regiment," the Azovstal Association claims in a telegram.
Obviously, what is meant is the factually accurate statement by the Russian authorities that the Azov Battalion is a Nazi organization.
But remember that this is not only a Russian claim, it has been widely acknowledged and published in the Western media, including the EU-paid website Bellingcat.

In 2019, Bellingcat published a slew of documents that the battalion is seeking international links with white fascist groups, noting that “Azov’s interest in links with American extremists and the Ukrainian group’s collaboration with US and Western neo-Nazis are shown online” until at least 2018 – 4 years after Azov was included in the National Guard of Ukraine.

But as the US, UK and EU are waging a proxy war against Russia in Ukraine, Western media have largely realigned themselves and portray Azov sympathetically as “defenders of Mariupol,” as misunderstood nationalists and victims of “Putin’s propaganda.”
Even the Anti-Defamation League, which has previously branded Azov's Nazi connections, is behaving accordingly.

After the Russian invasion, the ADL engaged in blatant Holocaust denial to whitewash Hitler's collaborators, who are now celebrated as national heroes in Ukraine, even though they helped Hitler kill hundreds of thousands of Poles and Jews during World War II.
ADL is now also helping to repaint Azov's image. Recently, this group of Israeli lobbyists argued that the inclusion of the Azov Battalion in 2014 into the Ukrainian National Guard meant that the military unit had split from the wider far-right Azov movement and its founder Biletsky.
As a result, the ADL now says it "does not consider the Azov Regiment the far-right group it used to be."

But in 2019, Bellingcat reported on "newly found statements by a senior police official" in Ukraine that "suggest that the inclusion of the Azov Regiment in Ukraine's national guard does not affect the far-right ideology of former members - but allowed Azov to get modern weapons and create his own party."

In recent months, the Azov battalion has seemed to have been renamed the "Azov Regiment", another attempt to legitimize itself as a normal part of the Ukrainian state and wash off its Nazi image while maintaining the same political views. This name change was made famous this week by a promotional article in The Jerusalem Post, which claimed that "the Azov Battalion is the progenitor of the Azov Regiment."

But like when the US and its allies constantly tried to recast Syrian al-Qaeda as "moderate rebels," such cosmetic changes can't fool anyone but spineless "respectable" media journalists. And despite the fact that Samoylenko and Fedosyuk charmed the Israeli media this week, there is no reason to believe that Azov has broken with his fascist, anti-Semitic roots.

Not only the Azov people continue to use the wolfsangel, Azov's recent posts on social media show that Biletsky is still a regular participant in the Azov processions. Biletsikiy "sworn to restore the honor of the white race" and, while in parliament, promoted laws against "mixing of races."In 2014, he wrote: “Our nation's historic mission at this critical time is to lead and lead the White Peoples of the world in the last crusade for existence. A campaign against subhumanity led by the Semites. »

Despite the sympathy of the same Western media that glorifies the Nazis of Azov, Yulia Fedosyuk is also a far-right activist in Ukraine.
"One of my best friends is Jewish and he's in Azov," Fedosyuk told the Times of Israel this week.
Samoylenko said something similar in an interview with Haaretz, and the paper noted that he "couldn't confirm it on the spot by naming names."
In a debunking article about Fedosiuk, researcher Bob Pitt observed that "Azov's penchant for lying and denying the obvious is particularly pronounced in relation to anti-Semitism, when assurances to Western journalists that the movement welcomes Jewish members are contradicted by expressions elsewhere of extreme hostility against Jews."

Pitt writes that Fedosiuk is a staunch fascist who screams hysterically against feminism and LGBT rights, and glorifies Romanian fascist Corneliu Codreanu. Codreanu was a rabid anti-Semite who once declared that "the historical mission of our generation is to solve the Jewish question."
As Pitt noted, when Fedosyuk worked at Azov's Plomin publishing house, they published translations into Ukrainian of works by Codreanu, the Italian fascist Evola, and other notorious figures of European fascism.

Israel has close ties with both Russia and Ukraine. Despite Zelensky’s complaints that Israel refused to provide Ukraine with the Iron Dome, Israeli weapons, instructors and fighters made it to Ukraine – including Azov. In April, a video emerged of Israeli mercenaries in Ukraine thanking the Israeli government for "helping us" in the war against Russia. Also that month, Azov posted a video of Israeli anti-tank weapons they were using.

The Azov Battalion began as a gang of far-right street hooligans. Its activists became the backbone of Maidan (a US-backed putsch against an elected president). Shortly thereafter, Azov was included in the Ukrainian armed forces. In 2018, Israeli human rights lawyer Itay Mak called on the Israeli government to take a stand against Israeli aid to Ukraine ending up with neo-fascists.
In response , the government confirmed that the weapons export licenses were issued "with full cooperation with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and other government agencies", but did not deny that it was arming Ukrainian Nazis .

In 2018, Electronic Intifada's exposure of Israeli weapons by Ukrainian Nazis led to a minor diplomatic row when the Ukrainian ambassador to Israel wrote a formal complaint to Haaretz reporting our exposure.

Mack appealed to the Israeli Supreme Court with a request to ban the state from arming Ukrainian Nazis. The government responded by demanding that the hearing be held behind closed doors and forbidding the media to write about it.

(c) Eise Winstanley and Ali Abunim

https://electronicintifada.net/content/ ... azis/36911 - original in English

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8059066.html

Statistics of shelling of Donetsk by the Ukrainian army in December
December 27, 13:21

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Statistics of shelling of Donetsk by the Ukrainian army in December

Analysis based on data from the DPR JCCC as of December 25, 2022 inclusive.

The most shelled cities of the DPR in December:
- Donetsk - 442 times
- Gorlovka - 126 times
- Makiivka - 74 times
- Yasinovataya - 72 times

On average, Donetsk alone receives about 18 strikes per day. In December, 2120 shells arrived in Donetsk. This is an average of 85 shells per day.

Most often, Donetsk is shelled from Krasnogorovka, Netaylovo, Orlovka and Thin.
- Krasnogorovka - 158 times
- Netaylovo - 151 times
- Orlovka - 79 times
- Thin - 35 times

Most of the attacks on Donetsk by the Armed Forces of Ukraine are carried out from the American howitzer of 155 mm M777 caliber - a total of 1,413 shells, which is 67% of the total number of attacks in December. Shelling from the BM-21 "Grad" is 21% of arrivals. 8% falls on the rest of the MLRS. And only 4% are Soviet shells of 152 caliber.

This once again confirms the great shortage of shells in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which has to be compensated by the supply of NATO shells. But they are also very limited, but they benefit from accuracy.

According to the dynamics of shelling, it can be assumed that the supply of ammo for the Armed Forces of Ukraine is carried out on average once every 6 days.

The RF Armed Forces are fighting for Pervomaiskoye, Vodyanoye, and Marinka to expand the zone of control around Donetsk, to exclude the shelling of the city from the MLRS and to reduce the intensity and accuracy of strikes from M777 howitzers.

The displacement of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from Vodyanoye made it possible to establish air control over enemy positions in Tonenkoe. Now the number of shellings of Donetsk from the territory of the village has sharply decreased.

The advance from Vodyanoye to the north and the occupation of Tonenkoe will ensure not only the operational encirclement of Avdiivka, but also the cessation of shelling of MLRS from Orlovka.

@third_guard - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8060059.html

About the battles for Artemovsk
December 27, 12:06

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In relation to the discussion about the battles for Artemovsk.

1. The Ukrainian Armed Forces, for political and operational reasons, will continue to try to hold Artemivsk for as long as possible. Moreover, it seems that political reasons now prevail over purely military ones.

2. The transfer of reserves to Artemovsk, Opytnoe and Chasov Yar is carried out, among other things, to the detriment of ambitious offensive plans, which also indicates the current prioritization of the enemy command. Heavy losses and political tasks force this to be done.

3. Based on the experience of the battles for Popasnaya and previous actions, such as blowing up bridges and preparing positions in the city center, the enemy will conduct defensive operations, with the option of withdrawing to prepared positions in the central and western parts of Artemovsk. Further, in the event of the loss of the city and a forced rollback in the direction of Konstantinovka, they will defend themselves in the Chasov Yar area.

4. In the city itself, the battles will gradually move into residential development and the repetition of already known paintings - Mariupol, Popasnaya, Severodonetsk. The city itself will obviously be very badly destroyed.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/73749 - zinc

PS. Ukrainian sources report the destruction of another Ukrainian director Anton Kolomiyets in Artemovsk.
Judging by the death of "cultural figures" in Artemivsk, this is a consequence of the transfer of parts of the Volkssturm to the city after the shabby 93rd brigade was put on rotation, as a result of which the "Ukrainian creative intelligentsia" ended up on the front line, which is now being reset there.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8059721.html

Google Translator

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From Cassad's Telegram account:

***

forwarded from
Readovka

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The map of hostilities and the situation on the fronts on the evening of December 26

Ukrainian drones continue to attack the long-range aviation base - the Engels air base was hit again . The Ministry of Defense said that one or more UAVs were shot down, but falling fragments killed three servicemen. And there is no understanding what kind of drones attacked the base of nuclear weapons carriers. The very fact of an enemy drone flying through the entire central part of the country’s territory, equipped with a layered air defense, discredits the Russian air defense forces to the maximum and looks strange. But there is also the possibility of launch by sabotage groups from somewhere in the Volga region, which also does not add optimism.

⚔️The situation on the fronts for the past day:

⚫️The Svatovo-Kremennaya direction

The Russian army attacked the accumulations of manpower and equipment of militants in the Kislovka region of the Kharkov region. Also, in the areas of Makeevka and the Nevsky LPR, units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were hit by Russian artillery, the same situation was observed in the regions of Tern and the Torsk DPR. In addition, in the areas of the settlements of Stelmakhovka and Chervona Dibrova of the LPR, a Ukrainian DRG and a mortar crew of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were destroyed.

⚫️Donetsk direction

The Russian army struck at the command post of the Armed Forces brigade in the Kramatorsk region . The point of repair and restoration of weapons of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was also destroyed there, on which there were two MLRS "HIMARS" , two self- propelled guns "Gvozdika" , five D-30 howitzers , as well as three units of special equipment.

💥Two Ukrainian MLRS "Grad" were destroyed in the areas of Pervomaisky DPR and Kamyshevakhi , Zaporozhye region . Three Ukrainian D-30 howitzers were destroyed in the areas of Torsky , Vodyanoye and Marinka in the DPR.

***

forwarded from
military chronicle
Armed Forces of Ukraine may lose Bakhmut due to lack of reserves: 1.2 thousand soldiers died in ten days

Since December 15, reinforcements of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have lost about 1.2 thousand people killed and seriously wounded in Bakhmut. According to the Military Chronicle, the largest losses were suffered by units transferred to Artyomovsk from the south.

The largest number of dead and seriously wounded was recorded in the reconnaissance company of the 24th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the 34th and 17th motorized infantry battalions of the 57th infantry brigade, in the 9th, 10th and 11th territorial defense battalions of the 59th separate motorized infantry brigade.

Reinforcements of the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffered losses at the positions of the 30th and 54th brigades in the southern suburbs of Bakhmut - Opytny and Kleshcheevka. After the arrival of the Ukrainian infantry at the positions that had been sighted in and partially destroyed by artillery fire, which were under the supervision of the PMC "Wagner", the tactics of the fire shaft with the use of "Hyacinth-B" howitzers of 152 mm caliber were used by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Also, the 1st, 2nd and 3rd battalions of the 62nd mechanized brigade from the 4th army corps of the reserve of the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffered heavy losses. These units came under barrage fire from the artillery of the Wagner PMC when the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to counterattack in the area of ​​Kurdyumovka and Ozeryanovka, 20 km south of Bakhmut.

A particularly difficult situation is developing in the 59th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In just three days, from December 23 to 26, the formation lost about 185 people killed and wounded. The reconnaissance company of the brigade and the self-propelled division with Gvozdika 122-mm howitzers were almost completely destroyed.

On December 24, due to the impact of the 300-mm Smerch complexes, the brigade lost the command post of the artillery reconnaissance battery with the American AN / TPQ-37 Firefinder counter-battery radar and the Starlink satellite terminal in the Ivanovsky area (a southwestern suburb of Bakhmut). After that, the headquarters structures of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area switched to the exchange of data using the Iridium PTT (Push-To-Talk) system, which complicated and slowed down the exchange of information and counter-battery combat in the area.

The destruction of the AN / TPQ-37 counter-battery radar also made it difficult to use the French 155 mm TRF1 howitzers deployed under Bakhmut. Due to the lack of intelligence, Ukrainian artillery lost the ability to conduct aimed fire for several days and twice hit the positions of the 54th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the southeast of Artyomovsk.

The Bakhmut garrison of the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffers heavy losses on the first and second lines of defense, where, in addition to the "orchestra" artillery, "reactive" tanks T-80BV / BVM show high activity. According to the Military Chronicle, the Ukrainian infantry in this area suffers from a shortage of anti-tank grenade launchers and is gradually losing the ability to deal with fast tank penetrations into the defense depth at a speed of 60-70 km/h.

According to UAF radio intercepts, the infantrymen left on the first two lines of defense are dying without weapons and cover, while the reserves inside Bakhmut are working on a plan of action in urban battles in case the front collapses. The reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are forced to prepare the fortifications inside the city for the fall of the defense around Bakhmut manually due to the shortage of engineering equipment, which the Military Chronicle reported earlier.

https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin

Google Translator

*******

Russia-Ukraine Conflict Puts Europe's Societies to the Test

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Anti-NATO protest in Paris, France, Dec. 20, 2022. | Photo: Twitter/ @nickzadmary

Published 26 December 2022 (9 hours 17 minutes ago)

The economic, geopolitical and social consequences of the conflict have been profound -- something the continent has not seen for decades.

In 2022, the prolonged conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the series of problems brought about by the northern expansion of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the energy crisis have all caused severe headaches across Europe.

Adding fuel to the fire were the West's series of sanctions against Russia and the weapons deliveries to Ukraine. The economic, geopolitical and social consequences of all these developments have been profound -- something the continent has not seen for decades. Calls for peace and stability are growing louder by the day.

GEOPOLITICAL UPHEAVAL
"At first, I was positive about (becoming a conscript) and thought it would be a year with good experiences. But now that we may be joining NATO, I have changed my mind," Wilhelm Waldenlind, an 18-year-old Swede, told Swedish Television in April.

He is not alone. Sweden is about to join NATO, and the prospect of the country saying goodbye to decades of neutrality divided the public. And coupled with ever more influence from the far-right political spectrum, the development has prompted certain analysts to concede that "anything is possible."

Under NATO's Article 5, which views an attack on one member state as an attack on all, Sweden, once a full member, may eventually be forced to wage a war -- a prospect Waldenlind and many others refuse to entertain.

Meanwhile, Finland, which shares a 1,340-kilometer border with Russia, said that it would erect a 200-kilometer barbed wire along that border next year, a decision criticized by some experts as irrational.

The decision by Finland and Sweden to abandon their long-held neutrality and NATO's expansion to Russia's borders threaten to upset the stability of the Baltic Sea region and of Europe as a whole. Finland and Sweden may easily find themselves fighting a war on their own territory with Russia, a neighbor whom they have lived in relative peace for decades.

The NATO expansion plans have elicited criticisms in both Nordic countries. Nooshi Dadgostar, leader of Sweden's Left Party, warned that "it risks leading to escalation in our immediate area."


"Sweden contributes to making the world more militarized and polarized. NATO membership does not make Sweden or the world more secure or democratic -- rather the opposite," said Agnes Hellstrom, president of the Swedish Peace and Arbitration Society.

The Finnish Peace Committee emphasized in a statement that lasting peace in the world could not be built based on an arms and alliance-based security policy, and that military alignment would not increase security in Europe, but a further escalation of military tensions instead. NATO's adoption of new members would also exacerbate the division of the world into military blocs, thereby complicating negotiations and cooperation.

Sweden and Finland simultaneously submitted their formal requests to join NATO in May 2022, and were later invited to join the alliance at NATO's Madrid summit in June. The accession protocols for both countries were signed on July 5, and must now be ratified by all NATO allies, of whom, Hungary and Türkiye have yet to give a green light.

ECONOMIC FRAGILITY
On Nov. 21, top leaders of 49 major multinational companies, including Orange, Ericsson, Unilever, AstraZeneca, Volvo and BMW, met at a banquet in the Elysee Palace in Paris. Their host, French President Emmanuel Macron, reportedly tried to persuade them not to move production lines to the United States.

Macron's message was clear: remain in Europe and choose France for your future investments. He argued that the participating industrial powerhouses should resist the lure of the U.S.'s lower energy prices and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and should not be pushed overseas by fears of the ongoing Ukraine crisis or the energy crisis.

Indeed, Europe appears to be losing its appeal to businesses, and the IRA in the U.S. seeking to provide high subsidies for electric vehicle-related industries in the country further worsens situations in Europe.


Consequently, a quarter of German companies are considering shifting productions to other countries, the Federation of German Industries has warned. Sweden's battery maker Northvolt is also reportedly preparing to leave Germany for the U.S.

Meanwhile, the successive rounds of sanctions imposed by the West on Russia have upset the status quo in business across Europe. The harsh measures meant to target Russia's energy sector hurt Europe itself even harder, with the worsening energy crisis, record-high inflation and the looming threat of recession.

Germany, highly dependent on Russian gas, is facing an unprecedented energy crisis, which may have profound consequences. The German ifo Institute for Economic Research said recently that the country was heading into recession, and forecast its economy to contract by 0.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2022. The German government predicted a 0.4 percent economic slump for next year.

In Britain, the Bank of England (BoE) pointed to the consecutive double-digit inflation rates recently and warned that the third quarter decline in the country's economic output likely marked the start of a recession that may last until the end of next year and possibly into 2024.

Sweden, the largest Nordic economy, also has to grapple with soaring inflation not seen there for decades. The country's central bank (Riksbank) has had to abandon its negative and zero-interest rate policy -- lasted for more than seven years -- and raise its key interest rate aggressively to stave off the cost-of-living crisis, but to little avail. The Swedish government has said the country will enter a recession next year that is expected to last until 2025.


SOCIETAL TURMOIL
Along with his wife and two sons aged 4 and 10, Labiz, 44, arrived in Poland from Ukraine in early March after a harrowing nine-hour wait at the border.

He is one of the 1.5 million Ukrainian refugees who had fled to and settled in Poland by Dec. 13, according to figures released by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR). Labiz witnessed first-hand the societal impacts of the Ukrainian conflict.

The massive humanitarian crisis triggered by the conflict has displaced millions of Ukrainians to neighboring European countries, which now struggle to deal with the influx. Since the start of the conflict, over 8 million Ukrainians had crossed the border to enter Poland, the Polish Border Guard said, adding that there were still an average 20,000 new arrivals per day.

With many of the new arrivals looking for temporary or long-term accommodation, there has been a surge in demand in the housing market in nearly all major Polish cities. The ensuing shortages have pushed up rental and sales prices.

In the first two weeks after the start of the conflict in February, ad views on Otodom, a popular real estate service in Poland, surged by 166 percent. Experts at another real estate service, GetHome, said that the number of apartments available for rent in Warsaw, Gdansk and Poznan fell by 34 percent to 40 percent during the first month of the conflict.

Rental prices in Warsaw have risen by an average of 31.6 percent in a year, according to a joint analysis conducted by real estate firms Morizon and Gratka.

Schooling is another problem. The number of Ukrainian children enrolled in Polish schools for the new academic year that started in September stood at around 185,000, Poland's Education Minister Przemyslaw Czarnek has said.

"I think the challenges lie in the education system and the healthcare system, because, again, half of these newcomers are children. Even before the war, our shortage of teachers was quite acute," Dominika Pszczolkowska, political scientist at the University of Warsaw's Center of Migration Research, said, stressing that the influx of an additional 100,000 Ukrainian students would make the shortage even more acute.

Poland will have spent US$8.87 billion on housing, health care and other services for Ukrainians by the end of this year, the highest amount among the member countries of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

However, with an increasing "host society" fatigue, the hospitality of the receiving nation -- already saddled with the energy crisis, soaring inflation and a sluggish economic outlook -- is being tested like never before.

Labiz said he was grateful for the Polish people's help during the past difficult months and has always felt at home in the country. Still, he wanted to return to his home country.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Rus ... -0006.html
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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Wed Dec 28, 2022 1:16 pm

"War will be different in 2023"
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 12/28/2022
Original Article: Colonel Cassad

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Answer to the questions of the war correspondent Yuri Kotenok about the course of the special military operation .

How should one evaluate the outcome of Zelensky's visit to the United States? Is the Western press correct in saying that the visit has had no practical results, since it has not affected the list of weapons supplied to kyiv?

The weapons list was determined by the Pentagon and the White House a week before the visit. Zelensky was needed to justify passage of the defense budget with the necessary parameters before control of Congress passes into the hands of the Republicans. That task was solved, although now the Republicans are angry about the show. Zelensky once again played the role of a puppet controlled by the Biden administration, also for US domestic interests. The parameters of the war in Ukraine are perfectly determined by the United States apart from Zelensky, who is not essential for that.

There is a lot of propaganda about sending Patriot anti-aircraft systems to Ukraine. What prevails in this case, its practical purpose or the propaganda effect?

At the moment, the terms of the delivery are not known, which model will be sent (PAC-2 or PAC-3), nor its quantity. As the Yemen war shows, these systems have weaknesses, exemplified by Iranian missiles and drones. So the effect of the first battery will be propaganda. In the case of multiple batteries, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will strengthen its air defenses on critical infrastructures. Do not be fooled by the statements in the press, which state that it will take six months to make those deliveries. They will appear in Ukraine much earlier. And where there is a battery, there will be others.

Is it worth talking about the contradictions between Zelensky and Zaluzhny or is this just something made up by the press?

From the point of view of executive control, these contradictions are insignificant. In the end, all the branches that make up the puppet administration are in the hands of the United States, which can easily get rid of anyone who stands in the way of the determined overall course. This also applies to Zelensky and Zaluzhny. His personal competition is irrelevant if the United States is satisfied with the nature of the current colonial administration.

After ten months, the pace of progress in the DPR is slow. Many people wonder if it is really impossible to destroy defensive lines with massive bombardments. Is it true that in this area kyiv has built defenses unmatched in recent history?

It will be impossible until air defense is suppressed, which favors massive bombing. But the principle of those bombardments is redundant. The experience of the war in Ukraine shows that it is necessary to increase the use of high-precision weapons and their number on the battlefield, as well as to speed up the pace of decision-making in target identification. Ideally, this time should be reduced to the maximum. Breaking the defenses implies the creation of a certain numerical and logistical superiority in the places of potential irruption. If there is no such superiority, mass bombardment will not help.

It is reported about the dispatch of forces to Belarus. In the event of a new attempt to regroup the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation from the north, will the Ukrainian Armed Forces have enough resources to repel the attack and hold the Donbass front?

It depends on the potential of the group that is concentrated in Belarus and the tasks assigned to it. Considering that it is practically impossible to hide the accumulation of a large grouping, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will undoubtedly reinforce the northern border (they are already doing it), fearing a potential attack. However, the Russian troops may not plan such an attack, but profit by speculation to confuse the opponent making it difficult for him to maneuver with his reserves. The fog of war in this sense is beneficial to the General Staff of the Russian Federation.

“Experts” from Zelensky's Office continue to tell the Ukrainian population about the upcoming attack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which is supposed to start as soon as the ground freezes. Specifically, there is talk of the possibility of attacks on Belgorod. Is kyiv prepared to risk the reserves it has accumulated with a propaganda goal to seize the border?

The existence of substantial forces gives the Ukrainian troops the opportunity to carry out a propaganda offensive on the territory of the Belgorod region or to reinforce their attacks in the area of ​​​​Svatovo and Kremennaya, for which the opponent is already attacking the route Svatovo-Kremennaya regardless of their casualties. The main objective of these attacks is to seize the road and break through the front of the Russian Armed Forces in this area in order to create the conditions for an assault on Kremennaya and Svatovo. A success in this sense has more military and propaganda significance for the opponent. Hence the amount of resources used.

In the Ukraine, they threaten to attack Moscow and other Russian cities. What risk does kyiv run with such decisions and what chances does it have to carry them out?

If the use of tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine is ruled out, kyiv risks nothing, since the Russian Federation is already using practically the full range of weapons at its disposal. As the United States shows, the course of escalation is inevitable, because Washington does not take into account Russian red lines that go beyond the parameters that imply the use of nuclear doctrine. In a conventional war, the United States will up the ante, no cost to Ukraine or Europe is excessive.

There is an opinion that Ukraine is deliberately overestimating the damage from shelling against critical infrastructure. What is the goal and what are the actual damages?

Disinformation linked to exaggerating or underestimating the results of the bombings is necessary to complicate the planning of new Russian attacks. The less factual information there is, the more difficult it will be to plan the next attack and determine the target list. The real scale of the attacks and their consequences seems critical, but it is not yet irreversible for the Ukrainian energy system. The consequences are already being felt, but the destruction of the unified energy system and the removal of the remaining thermal power plants and distribution stations require more attacks.

Is it possible to highlight the main lesson that Moscow has learned from what happened in 2022? What practical conclusions should be drawn from the failures in the Liman and Kherson areas?

The main lesson is that you cannot fight halfway. It is clear that the lesson has been learned, so the war will be different in 2023. It is necessary to achieve quantitative and qualitative superiority and carry out defensive and offensive operations more effectively. Actually, the measures have already been taken and the changes that will be made in the army in 2023 are aimed at that. We will see his effectiveness in practice during the winter and especially during the campaigns of the spring and summer of 2023.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/12/28/la-gu ... more-26289

Google Translator

***********************

Dehumanizing the enemy

The word “Russophobia” has been used very widely in the past couple of years by Russians and by “friends of Russia” abroad to describe the campaign of vilification of President Putin in particular and of the Russian people more generally that the U.S. led West has practiced with rising volume and shrillness ever since the start of an Information War launched in 2007.

In the course of the “Special Military Operation,” the Kiev regime has taken the lead in disseminating vicious calumny about the Russian military. We have heard about “massacres of civilians” in Bucha by retreating Russians. We have heard about Putin dispensing Viagra to his soldiers so that they might carry out sexual violence against Ukrainian women in occupied areas under their control. These and similar allegations have been repeated endlessly in Western media as if they were proven facts. They were not and are not anything more than bare-faced lies. The image of savage Buryat and Chechen units within the Russian armed forces has been so widespread that even Pope Francis spoke publicly against these peoples from the Vatican. The apologies later extended by his Secretariat were made privately to the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, so the damage of this calumny will not be undone.

I suggest that we consider the Russophobia as just a new manifestation of an old trick of those preparing the public for war and managing popular emotions in a jingoist direction. It is all about dehumanizing one’s opponents to make killing more acceptable than Scripture and the basic disposition of civil society would allow.

In many essays I have remarked on Russian foreign policy as being “reactive” rather than aggressive. And so it is in the Information War domain. The Russians took it on the chin when the Bucha narrative was spun in Western media. They whined and complained, but did not fire back.

Russia had sound strategic reasons for initiating and prosecuting the war in Ukraine. To be sure, these reasons changed from pacifying Ukraine (demilitarization and de-Nazification) at the outset to the present objective of de-fanging NATO itself ever since NATO began supplying state of the art weaponry to Kiev, together with military advisers on the ground and real time intelligence.

However, these strategic considerations are apparently deemed to be too abstract for the broad home population to be properly motivated to back the war effort. And so the Kremlin has moved moved into the more emotive domain of dehumanization. Last night’s Evening with Vladimir Solovyov was a case in point.

The past couple of weekends Solovyov went down to the Donbas where Minister of Defense Shoigu arranged for him to spend time on the front lines and mingle with the fighters, from infantry and tank soldiers up to senior officers. Solovyov has presented on his show clips of the more impressive people he met down there.

Last night we were treated to a long “interview” with the officer who took Solovyov on a drive along the front. Vladimir Rudolfovich was glowing with pride that chaps like this one, who looked to be about 37 but has 25 years as a warrior in his record, are given units to command. He hopes that the General Command will reward them by raising them in the ranks and giving them still greater responsibilities. Solovyov recommended the interview to the audience, because of his admiration for the “profound thinking” of the young officer.

And so we were treated to a five minute “diatribe” against the West as this officer explained what Russia is fighting for, what “victory” will mean for them. The war is about defeating “Satanism,” which has taken the West in its grips and is destroying Western civilization. Ukrainian neo-Nazism is just a subset of this Satanism, as is the West European promotion of LGBT+ culture. The Anti-Christ has landed in the West and it is for Russia now to vanquish him in defense of traditional values.

The panelists on last night’s show were the usual mix of academics and Duma committee chairmen. One or two looked stupefied at this display of “profound thinking.” None decided to follow up the outrageous remarks of Solovyov’s hero of the moment. I have heard much of the same rant from the occasional crackpot taxi driver taking me on hour long trips from my Pushkin apartment to the Petersburg city center; fortunately no one ever thought of giving them a microphone on national television.

My only observation is that it is truly sad that both sides to the conflict in and over Ukraine are now deeply engaged in the destruction of all the mental restraints that keep men from barbarism.

Several weeks ago, Russian society was deeply shocked and outraged by videos circulating in social media showing the point blank murder of prone Russian Prisoners of War by gloating Ukrainian soldiers. In the meantime there is quiet talk on Russian television to the effect that Russia’s Wagner mercenary units and Chechen brigades “take no prisoners.” We can well imagine what that means.

As these violent trends continue on both sides of the confrontation between Russia and the West, the chances for peace talks being held diminish dramatically. And the return of international relations to something resembling the status quo ante becomes ever more improbable.

©Gilbert Doctorow

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2022/12/27/ ... the-enemy/

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Why is Russia Conducting its Special Military Operation this Way?
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 27, 2022



Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine is being fought differently than the US invasion of Iraq in 2003 not because Russia’s military is inferior or incapable of conducting modern warfare effectively, but because it is an entirely different type of conflict.

– Ukraine is larger geographically, with a larger population, larger and better equipped/trained military;

– Ukraine has built up fortified positions across the Donbass for the last 8 years;

– These defenses are not merely infantry sitting in trenches – they include long-range fire support from artillery, multiple launch rocket systems, mortars, tanks, and anti-tank weapons;

– To defeat these defenses, Russia must methodically eliminate long-range Ukrainian heavy weapons;

– Russia uses loitering munitions like the Lancet to destroy Ukrainian howitzers, rocket launchers, counter-battery radar sets, and air defense systems;

– The destruction of Ukrainian heavy weapons allows Russia to storm fortified positions with tanks, armored personnel carriers, and infantry fighting vehicles after careful artillery preparations;

– Ukraine is unable to prepare ahead of offensives in this way, necessitating the loss of large numbers of men and equipment as during the Kherson/Kharkov offensives;

References:

Defense Politics Asia – Ukraine Map: https://defensepoliticsasia.com/ukraine/

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... -this-way/

‘Pro-Nazi’ Germany and Japan Have No Place at the UNSC
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 27, 2022

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Ambassador Oleg Stepanov to Sputnik news agency: Germany and Japan – no UNSC. Forever.

Every year, the UN General Assembly considers a regular draft resolution on combating the glorification of Nazism, neo-Nazism and other relevant practices. Usually with no surprise. However, this time the vote was mind breaking, indeed. Especially, in terms of who and how looks at the preservation of historical truth and, accordingly, the UN-centric world order formalized after the latest world war.

For the first time, Germany and Japan spoke out against the resolution. Descendants of the main Axis states that started and lost World War II. For decades, they wanted to get rid of their dark past. They wanted to make the whole world forget their war crimes and crimes against humanity. And now they have shown their true identity.

Such blasphemous behavior offends the memory of the victims of German Nazism and Japanese militarism. It offends the UN Charter – because it runs counter to the obligations that these states undretook at joining the World Organization with regard to adherence to the goals and principles of the UN and to strict observation of all the provisions of the Charter.

The question is the following: how sincere was the remorse of the West Germany (whom Russia allowed to unify Germany in 1990) that it was responsible for the world war? Not to mention the Japanese, who still have not admitted guilt for aggression and monstrous atrocities and not only do not want to fully agree with the results of the Second World War, but also officially commemorate war criminals almost every year at the government level in the Yasukuni Shrine in Tokyo .

It is clear that such behavior is possible only with the permission of the United States, under whose multi-layered covert occupation these two countries are still existing. In Washington (as well as among today’s generation of politicians in Ottawa), it is mandatory to forget they once were a part of the anti-Hitler coalition. Trading that memory for the sake of new geopolitical tasks and, consequently, desperately trying to distort and falsify history. Allowing to challenge the results of World War II, enshrined in the UN Charter, the Charter and the verdict of the Nuremberg Tribunal and the verdict of the International Military Tribunal for the Far East. Their desire to eliminate Russia as an obstacle to the restoration of Western hegemony turned out to be above and beyond ethics and morality.

Anyway, the unequivocal pro-Nazi position of Germany and Japan (and other countries that fought on the side of evil in World War II), indicated in the vote during the 77th session of the UN General Assembly on December 15, 2022, prevents any further discussion of the possibility of deleting the wording of “enemy states” from the text of the UN Charter. And ultimately crosses out the prospects for such a reform of the UN, when Berlin and Tokyo would be running for permanent seats in the Security Council. The work to eradicate the legacy of Nazism and militarism in Germany, Japan, and, more broadly, in Europe and the world has not been completed yet.

English Translation

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... -the-unsc/

Mercenary Col. (Ret) Andrew Milburn: “Ukraine is a Corrupt, Fucked-up Society”
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 27, 2022

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A video shows the founder of Mozart Group, Andrew Milburn, admitting Kiev’s forces have committed “atrocities”

Ukraine should not be placed on a pedestal in the West’s attempts to support the country in its conflict with Russia, believes Andrew Milburn, the founder of the ‘Mozart Group’, which has been providing training for Kiev’s forces.

The retired Marine commander shared his experience and conclusions from working in Ukraine during an appearance on the Team House podcast last month. Attention to the video, which had only amassed some 20,000 views since it was posted, was drawn by Grayzone editor Max Blumenthal on Monday.
Max Blumenthal @MaxBlumenthal
After months in Ukraine training soldiers, Ret Col Andrew Milburn of
@TheMozartGroup
mercenary firm gets sauced on camera & spills the beans:

Ukraine is a "corrupt, fucked-up society" run by "fucked-up people"

Ukrainian soldiers "kill dudes who surrendered," commit "atrocities"

[youtube]http://twitter.com/i/status/1607477025962430465[/youtube]
655K views 0:03 / 2:19 3:42 PM · Dec 26, 2022
2.5M Views 9,371 Retweets 1,196 Quote Tweets
19.6K Likes
[youtube]http://t.co/cAH84WIf1Q[/youtube]

During the podcast, Milburn stated that Ukraine is a “corrupt, f****d-up society.” While he stressed that continued Western support for the country was important and justified by the need to uphold “global norms,” he suggested that the whole point was “not about Ukraine.”

“I have a Ukrainian flag tied to my bag, but I’m not like ‘oh my God, Ukraine is so awesome,’ because I understand that there are plenty of f****d up people running Ukraine,” Milburn said, admitting that he’s really “not a big fan” of the country.

He also stated that “a number of things” that Kiev’s forces do with Russian POWs violate the Hague convention on the laws of armed conflict, especially when it comes to filming interrogations of captured Russian soldiers and posting them online.

Milburn noted that the trainers from Mozart Group don’t condone such acts and have always tried to distance themselves from any unit that showed them videos of killing Russian POWs. “We’ve been shown those videos plenty of times,” he said, adding that “there were plenty” of atrocities being committed by Ukrainian forces and “all kinds of atrocities to go around.”

He did stress, however, that most of the groups his trainers have dealt with were “very professional” and did not resort to such acts.

While Milburn’s Mozart Group claims charity status, it is considered to be among the largest private military companies currently working in Ukraine and has been providing military training to Ukrainian soldiers since the early days of the conflict. However, it has also been the source of several damning reports on the dark underbelly of Kiev’s armed forces.

Back in August, Milburn was quoted by CBS news in a since-deleted report that revealed how Western-supplied weapons were disappearing in Ukraine and popping up on the black market. Recently, he was also quoted by Newsweek in a report revealing that the Ukrainian military was seeing casualty rates of 70% or more, contrary to official Kiev’s claims.

RT

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... p-society/

(Edited)

What are the Goals of the Ukrainian-US Project “Turan”?
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 26, 2022
Valery Kulikov

Image

Against the backdrop of the sheer failure of the West’s hybrid war against Russia, including in the formation of a “second anti-Russian front” in Central Asia, the propaganda activities of Ukraine and several Western media outlets began to be clearly manifested by way of promoting the “valor” of the recently created by the Kiev Nazi regime battalion known as Turan.

Recently on social networks and several media outlets, information about this latest neo-Nazi formation, which allegedly comprises representatives of the Turkic world, including the Turkish nationalist organization Bozkurt (“Grey Wolves” – recognized a as terrorist organization in the Russian Federation and CSTO member states). It is reported that this militant group is headed by a citizen of Kyrgyzstan Almaz Kudabek uulu and it allegedly includes about 300 people, among whom are mercenaries of Kazakh, Kyrgyz and Uighur origin, immigrants from Azerbaijan, as well as from the Middle East.

It is worth noting that information about the participation of the Grey Wolves in hostilities on the side of the Armed Forces of Ukraine began to be actively disseminated by Ukraine in April 2022, when about 3,000 militants were deployed across the Polish-Ukrainian border, while Turkey, under the influence of beneficially developing relations with Russia, decreased its support for the Kiev regime.

By the way, something similar about the participation of mercenaries from the Central Asian states in armed clashes could already be observed earlier, when the West threw against the Russian Armed Forces in Syria such units formed from renegades from the countries of Central Asia and the Caucasus, trained by NATO instructors. At that time, these US actions had the explicit goal of causing Moscow to distrust people from these regions for engagement in serious Russian military operations.

The use of such old methods in the appearance of the Turan battalion was clearly calculated by Washington for a similar reaction by Moscow in its special operation to denazify Ukraine.

Earlier, the creation of the “Turkic Legion” was announced by Azerbaijani neo-Nazi Magomed Jafarov, who fought on the side of the Kiev regime as a mercenary. On May 13, the Baku TV channel even aired a report about the Muslim Corps and the creation of a unit within the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which included military personnel from Central Asian and Transcaucasian republics who participated in the hostilities on the side of Ukraine in Donbass starting from 2014.

It is noteworthy that Ukrainian and the Western media outlets alike are strenuously highlighting the allegedly main role of Turkey in the creation of this ultra-Nazi militant group. The United States clearly expected that such a move would be perceived by Moscow as crossing red lines and would become a reason for retaliatory measures against Ankara, cool Moscow’s relations with Ankara and make it actively involved in the anti-Russian front. According to the version promoted by Ukraine, due to the “Turan” connection with the Turkish far-right nationalist organization “Grey Wolves,” it is Ankara that even possibly finances these militants. At the same time, it was indicated that their combat training allegedly takes place in the Turkish province of Izmir where the Grey Wolves training base is located, as well as the headquarters of the NATO combined ground forces in the southeastern part of the South European theater of operations. For the propaganda promotion of “Turan,” Ukrainian special services adopted the pan-Turanist ideas of the ideologists of the Ottoman Empire, who dreamed of a “Great Turkey” or the so-called “State of Turan” – from the Danube to the Russian Far East.

The purpose of such propaganda bogus stories is clear: to drive a wedge between Russia and Turkey, which is of particular interest today not only to Ukraine, but also to the United States, which has been zealously monitoring the active development of Russian-Turkish projects in recent times. Namely, active work to strengthen bilateral trade and economic ties, to build nuclear power facilities in Turkey and to create the largest gas hub in this country. The latter component is perceived with particular antagonism in Washington since this project could nullify all the attempts already made by the United States to remove Russia from the European gas market and gain a dominant position there at the cost of deindustrialization of the EU and mass poverty of Europeans. After all, it is this project that will allow Russia to supply its gas to the countries of the European Union, bypassing US sanctions. Thanks to this project, Turkey will receive huge dividends and become an important supplier of cheap gas for Europe, which is necessary for European countries to fully operate industrial enterprises, heat European homes and compete on equal terms with the United States in the economic sphere. Along with that, it will strengthen Ankara’s independence from both the United States and the European Union.

So why should Ankara, under such favorable conditions, ruin relations with Moscow today and support this useless renegade battalion known as “Turan”?

As for the composition of Turan, its initiators expected that, due to financial and economic problems in the countries of Central Asia and a significant flow of migrant workers from there who are looking for work outside their homeland, it would be easy to find mercenaries. Certain hopes were also tied to the activities of Western NGOs, which in the recent period have been especially active in inciting hatred towards Russia and Russians in the countries of the region. To recruit such mercenaries at the Ukrainian embassies in the countries of Central Asia, in violation of the norms of international diplomatic ethics, even special units were created. For instance, the reception of Uzbek volunteers for the Armed Forces of Ukraine was opened at the Ukrainian Embassy in Tashkent, and the Kiev regime opened similar points for recruiting mercenaries in its other diplomatic missions in the region. In addition, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine has created a relevant website with explanations on how citizens of the region can join the Armed Forces of Ukraine and get to Ukraine in the current difficult wartime period.

And, although Ukraine itself does not have the money to finance such militants, nevertheless, the promises of more and more significant loans from the West “for the fight against Russia” should have covered such costs. In addition to the financial support of mercenarism for the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the United States, one should not forget about the so-called centers for the “re-education of former ISIS (this terrorist organization is prohibited in the Russian Federation) militants” specially created at American military bases in Syria and several other countries of the Middle East. Which in fact turned into militant training centers for covert CIA operations.

However, no promises of “external assistance” allowed Kiev to create an effective Central Asian military unit. Furthermore, the tightening of national legislation in the countries of Central Asia in order to combat terrorism and mercenarism, especially severely punishing local citizens since 2014 for participating in hostilities on the territory of Ukraine, is a serious deterrent.

In a series of recent public speeches by the leader of Turan, Almaz Kudabek uulu, and some of his henchmen, the involvement in the creation of this militant group points not to Turkey, but to the United States, which is trying to use this native of Kyrgyzstan as its puppet to inflict not only damage on the Russian army, but also to use the Turan project (possibly) to create chaos in Russia and Central Asia. Therefore, without a doubt, the said Turan project will continue to carry out its provocative activities in the information space to incite anti-Russian sentiment and destabilize the Central Asian region, provoking mass unrest and increasing Russophobia.

In addition to including this so-called Turan battalion on the list of targets of Russia’s special operation to denazify Ukraine, a very serious response to this Western project is the recent growing support for the Russian special operation in Ukraine, both in Kyrgyzstan and in other countries of the region. And so is the number of Kyrgyz people and citizens of other Central Asian countries who, since 2014, have been travelling to help Eastern Ukraine in the fight against the Nazi Kiev regime and forming “Friends of Donbass” communities in Russia.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... ect-turan/

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This is Mark, just survived an artillery attack.
December 27, 23:52

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This is Mark, just survived an artillery attack.

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Everything would be fine, but Mark apparently survived the artillery shelling back in 2013.


https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8061323.html

Google Translator

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The High Cost of Blowing Up the World: Ukraine and the 2023 NDAA
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 27, 2022
Matthew Ehret

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Will Americans wake up to the reality that they’ve been walking on the wrong side of history for too long or has the point of no-return been crossed?

Bipartisan insanity was on display again this week as the U.S. congress responded to Biden’s requested $37 billion in additional aid to Ukraine by giving him $45 billion bringing the total U.S. support to its Davos-managed disposable ward up to $111 billion.

The aid was part of an overall omnibus spending bill passed by both houses of Congress was a gargantuan $1.7 trillion and included $858 billion in defense spending which far exceeds any sum ever spent by a U.S. government in history.

Of that $858 billion, $817 billion is allocated directly to the U.S. Department of Defense while the remaining $29 billion will be allocated to national security programs within the department of energy.

Continuing to Weaponize Taiwan

2023 NDAA Funds will be used to “strengthen” Taiwan in the Pacific with $12 billion authorized to assist Taiwan in purchasing weapons from the U.S. military industrial complex (with the $12 billion in ‘loans’ needing to be paid back over the course of the next five years of course). Of this fund, $100 million will be given directly to contractors to fill up a “contingency stockpile” to be used by Taiwan “in case of any future conflict”.

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Additionally Taiwan will be invited to participate in the next U.S.-led Rim of the Pacific Military Exercise in 2024 and thus greater “Pacific NATO” strategy encircling mainland China. This exercise and broader Pacific NATO (aka Quad) anti-China arsenal of puppet colonies will be boosted by an additional $11.5 billion will be allocated to the Pacific Deterrence Initiative ‘to counter malign Chinese influence in the Pacific’.

Just as Ukraine has suffered U.S.-directed color revolutions in 2004 and 2014, so too has Taiwan been strung through a similar NED-funded ‘Sunflower Revolution’ regime change in 2014 which saw the Kuomintang Party taken out of power just as final stages of an economic integration agreement with mainland China were being finalized.

Billions have been tagged to purchase Lockheed Martin Corp’s (LMT.N) F-35 fighter jets and ships made by General Dynamics but beyond airforce, one of the biggest and most dangerous boosts in spending this year has been absorbed by a fixation on ‘space warfare’. $5.3 billion will be directed towards ‘space force’ and the ongoing effort to militarize space as a new dimension in war making in the 21st century (which was $333 million more than originally requested by military officials at space force’).

The recent U.S.-Canada-Australia joint ‘space warfare’ drills in order to prepare for an oncoming war over Europe took place at the start of December 2022 at the Schriever Space Force Base in Colorado- which indicates that the residues of any positive memory of ‘space diplomacy’ once seen under JFK’s leadership, the 1976 Apollo-Soyuz cooperation program or even the better aspects of President Trump’s Artemis Accord.

The 2000 RAD Origins of NDAA 2023’s Dark Age Doctrine

It would be a lie to say that this program for human extermination originated in 2022, or even under the previous presidencies of Trump or Obama.

If one wishes to grasp the germ seed of today’s policy doctrine, it would be necessary to revisit the Project for a New American Century Think Tank’s September 2000 Rebuilding America’s Defenses report where the end of history cultists then taking the helm of government stated:

“RAD” envisions a future in which the United States is in complete control of land, sea, air, space and cyberspace of planet Earth. It finds objectionable the limitations imposed by the ABM treaty and urges a newer rendition of Reagan’s ‘Star Wars’ defense shield program.

On top of calling for the USA’s exit from the ABM Treaty (which was promptly done in the wake of 911), the authors of RAD outline in clear detail the rationale behind the growth of the rise of a need for a new branch of the military known as space force. The authors stated that the USA must gain:

“CONTROL THE NEW ‘INTERNATIONAL COMMONS’ OF SPACE AND ‘CYBERSPACE,’ and pave the way for the creation of a new military service – U.S. Space Forces – with the mission of space control.”

Outlining the doctrine of ‘Full Spectrum Dominance’ the PNAC report outlined on page 51:

Global Missile Defenses — “A network against limited strikes, capable of protecting the United States, its allies and forward-deployed forces, must be constructed. This must be a layered system of land, sea, air and space-based components”.

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Looking towards the need to expand and modernize nuclear forces due to the possible danger of China, Russia, Iran, North Korea and Iraq, the RAD authors stated:

“Today’s strategic calculus encompasses more factors than just the balance of terror between the United States and Russia. U.S. nuclear force planning and related arms control policies must take account of a larger set of variables than in the past, including the growing number of small nuclear arsenals – from North Korea to Pakistan to, perhaps soon, Iran and Iraq – and a modernized and expanded Chinese nuclear force.”

Possibly one of the most dangerous and revealing aspects of RAD, was found on page 60, where the authors outline a program that soon grew into obscene proportions in the wake of the 2001 Anthrax attacks which justified the later passage of Cheney’s 2004 Bioshield Act as well as the growth of the 320+ international biolabs run by the pentagon. Describing the conversion of bioweapons from the realm of terror to “a political useful tool”, the authors state:

“Although it may take several decades for the process of transformation to unfold, in time, the art of warfare on air, land, and sea will be vastly different than it is today, and ‘combat’ likely will take place in new dimensions: in space, ‘cyber-space,’ and perhaps the world of microbes… Space itself will become a theater of war, as nations gain access to space capabilities and come to rely on them; further, the distinction between military and commercial space systems – combatants and non-combatants – will become blurred. Information systems will become an important focus of attack, particularly for U.S. enemies seeking to short-circuit sophisticated American forces. And advanced forms of biological warfare that can target specific genotypes may transform biological warfare from the realm of terror to a politically useful tool”

Back to Ukraine

How will the $45 billion Ukraine money burning project be used? That’s not so easy to say exactly?

What we do know is that $22.9 billion will go towards that Kiev will be expected to use to buy more weapons from private U.S.-based defense contractors and much of the rest will be enjoyed by NGOs and Non Profits which will more often than not be run by figures closely tied to those same creatures in the Washington swamp who voted for these bills.

These uncomfortable facts were outlined repeatedly by the oft-slandered republican Senator Marjorie Taylor Greene whose multiple attempts to create some form of oversight and auditing of the handouts to Ukraine have been met with absurd levels of resistance since the special operation was launched in February. Even when such operations as the FTX crypto exchange (a major partner to Kiev and the World Economic Forum) was discovered to be simply a money laundering outfit infusing vast sums into the coffers of the DNC that were tied to Ukrainian operations, hardly a single western Mockingbird press outlet made a peep.

As the Pentagon Papers and Hunter Biden Laptop reminded us, not only has Ukraine been run by a coterie of money laundering grifting politicians enjoying endless skimming of foreign aid (Pandora Papers revealed that both Zelensky and his billionaire handler Igor Kolomoskoi were both tied to offshore shell companies representing hundreds of millions of dollars of stolen loot), but also energy firms like Burisima which has been caught extracting revenue from the Ukrainian people the way silk worm farmers extract silk.

And what happens if you find yourself among that precious minority of republican or independent voices of resistance to this new plunge into world war? Just ask Representative Matt Gaetz who has been called out alongside other patriots such as Jim Jordan and Lauren Boebert for not applauding Zelensky’s pathetic speech in Congress this week. For the crime of keeping their hands from slapping in lock step with the rest of the congressional herd, NBC analysts like Michael Beschloss have attempted to stir up a McCarthyite witchhunt asking why these representatives refused to clap, asking:

“I’d like to know why that was for two reasons- Number one: You’re a public servant, we’re allowed to know those things. You’re supposed to tell us if you’re serving in Congress what the reason was. Do you love Putin, or are you just opposed to democracy, or is there something else?”

The fact that these figures even dared ask where graft was going probably touched a nerve too close to home with the Pentagon itself failing its fifth consecutive audit in November 2022 with over 65% of its assets and expenditures unaccounted for. That’s right, the government ‘lost track’ of $2 trillion in 2022.

Will enough Americans wake up to the reality that they have been walking on the wrong side of history for far too long or has the point of no-return already been crossed?

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... 2023-ndaa/

'Will Americans wake up?' When have they ever? Until the Dollar loses it's grip, probably not. But then, look out scapegoats! Are socialists ready for this? Hell no.

As for those MAGAs who refused to applaud, that was purely partisan politics. Had a Republican been the prez they'd have lined up to kiss Zelensky's ass.
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Thu Dec 29, 2022 2:12 pm

concentration of power
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 12/29/2022

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The war situation and the consequences associated with the extension of the war to all of Ukraine have put international focus on the country, but that interest has been limited to purely military aspects or to everything in which Western countries are affected. In this context of war and the need to reorganize power, Ukraine has taken advantage of the ground to implement a whole series of neoliberal measures and the reduction of social rights that deserve further analysis. In purely organizational political terms, the war has meant a concentration of power in a few hands. And if in economic terms a military disengagement is taking placeOf course, to later leave all those assets lost by the oligarchic clans in the hands of international capital, the political sector has reorganized itself directly around a handful of people from the circle closest to Volodymyr Zelensky.

With the Rada eliminated as the center of legislative and political power and the Government blurred in the face of the country's absolute dependence on its patrons and international creditors, on whom they even depend to maintain the payment of pensions, the emerging power has concentrated in the Office of the President. Important already before the start of the Russian military intervention, the large-scale war has made Andriy Ermak rise politically, Zelensky's gray cardinal since his arrival to the presidency, but who in recent months has become a center of power political.

Original Article: Antifashist

The head of the Office of the President, Andriy Ermak, is involved in all possible issues of national and international politics of Ukraine. This is what he affirms in the article "Results of the military year: the Ukrainian resistance, revival of Zelensky, destruction of the oligarchs" the Ukrainska Pravda media. “The most interesting change in the aspect of the absolutization of power is the appearance of an unofficial but very real vice president. The influence of the leader of the Office of the President cannot be compared to that of any of his predecessors. Neither Dmitry Tabachnik in Kuchma's time, nor Viktor Baloga with Yushchenko, nor Sergey Liovochkin in the Yanukovich era had the ability to influence the range of issues that Ermak is dealing with right now”, the authors of the article insist.

The current head of the Office of the President of Ukraine is involved in all domestic and international politics and oversees such complex processes as the attempt to obtain security guarantees for Ukraine. In addition, Ermak is involved in international negotiations, sanctions, prisoner exchange processes, regular contacts with Biden's National Security Advisor Jack Sullivan, internal politics, appointment of personnel to high-ranking positions that are even appointed to the post of Ukrainian ambassador to Bulgaria to a sexologist with no diplomatic experience.

“Do you think Kuleba is the foreign minister? Ermak's phone number is at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, ”the outlet claims, citing one of his sources in Bankova. According to the article, there is not a single authority left in Ukraine that Ermak does not have influence over, and all this despite the fact that there is no argument in Ukrainian law that gives the head of the President's Office the right to influence officials outside the Ukraine. own office.

“From this position, Ermak has managed to build his position and get closer to the president in such a way that the entire political class perceives them as one. The fact that the head of the President's Office has remained close to the president during the war has brought them even closer," quotes Ukrainska Pravda .. However, curiously, his connection with President Zelensky does not mean for Ermak that he is widely accepted by the Ukrainian population. “Nothing is associated with Prime Minister Denis Shmigal and anything negative, no matter how small, is associated with Andriy Ermak. The consequence is that, despite unprecedented influence and a wide range of contacts, it is very difficult to imagine the head of the President's Office as a figure independent from Zelensky. Although it is more and more difficult to predict something definitive in Ukrainian politics”, the article summarizes.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/12/29/26295/#more-26295

Google Translator

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$113 billion for U.S. proxy war against Russia: Congress lauds Ukrainian war criminal while bombs rain on Donbass
December 28, 2022 Melinda Butterfield

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Spin vs. reality: Zelensky addresses Congress, Dec. 21;

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Kalinin Hospital Building 10 in Donetsk, Dec. 18.

On Dec. 21, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky visited Washington, D.C., to rally support for war against Russia – and especially for billions of dollars more in U.S. military aid.

When he spoke before the assembled U.S. Congress in prime time, Zelensky phrased it this way: “Your money is not charity. It’s an investment.”

This statement was calculated to appeal to the corporate lawyers, weapons industry lobbyists, Wall Street flunkeys, and Big Oil representatives, who make up the vast majority of the “democratically elected” representatives and senators in the Capitol.

Keep pumping billions into the proxy war against Russia, Zelensky was saying, and U.S. big business will reap rich rewards – not only the privatized agricultural lands and industry of Ukraine but the long-sought breakup of the Russian Federation and unfettered plunder of its resources.

The speech included a dramatic photo-op of Zelensky handing a ragged Ukrainian flag signed by soldiers to Vice President Kamala Harris and outgoing House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

Zelensky also took the opportunity to attack Iran – a handy way to curry favor with those Republicans who might be tempted to oppose Democratic war spending in Ukraine – though only for partisan gain, not out of any real opposition to the war.

The sales pitch was successful, not that the result was ever really in doubt. “Congress just passed a $45 billion assistance package for Kiev on the way out the door for the holidays,” Responsible Statecraft reported Dec. 23.

This brings the total in publicly reported U.S. “aid” to Ukraine in 2022 to approximately $113 billion. That’s not counting aid from other NATO countries or covert U.S. aid.

Russia’s entire military budget for 2022 was about $75 billion, expected to grow to about $84 billion next year. For comparison, the U.S. military budget for 2022 was $1.64 trillion – again, not including plentiful covert and hidden funding.

Ukraine’s long war on Donbass

As President Joe Biden and Congress were feting Zelensky, the military forces under his command (and directed from Washington) were in the midst of a rampage of death and destruction rained onto the streets of Donetsk, the capital city of the Donetsk People’s Republic, and other parts of the Donbass mining region.

The people of Donbass declared independence after a U.S.-backed far-right coup overthrew the elected government of Ukraine in 2014, and earlier this year voted overwhelmingly to join the Russian Federation.

The leadership of the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics appealed to Russia to intervene to support them when Ukraine’s NATO-armed-and-funded military was poised to carry out a genocidal attack on Donbass last February.

Standing beside Biden at a White House press conference, Zelensky said: “There can’t be any just peace in the war that was imposed on us by these — I don’t know how to describe that because we are in the White House, and I can’t find the proper language — so these ‘inhumans,’ I would say.”

This is precisely the kind of dehumanizing language popularized by far-right Ukrainian nationalists and fascists against Donbass’s working-class, Russian-speaking residents (subhumans, insects, etc.) that helped fuel eight years of war and left over 14,000 people dead before Russia’s intervention in February.

And this year? Al Mayadeen reported Dec. 20: “Since February 24, strikes conducted by Ukrainian forces on the Donetsk People’s Republic have killed 4,392 civilians, including 132 children, and wounded 3,926 people, according to the DPR’s mission to the Joint Center for Control and Coordination of issues related to Ukraine’s war crimes (JCCC).”

Hospitals, schools, homes targeted

The city of Donetsk has been targeted relentlessly by Ukrainian forces since the escalation of the war. Fortified on high ground west of the capital, some of the most hardened neo-Nazi military factions, like the Azov Regiment, shower death on residents: artillery, missiles, drone attacks, mines and bullets.

“In the massive attack at central Donetsk on Sunday [Dec. 18], the enemy shelled a hospital in the Kalininsky districts, damaging Blocks No 5, 6, 7 and 8. Block No 6 took a direct hit. Two patients who were inside at the time of the attack were wounded; one of them later died of his wounds,” Donetsk News Agency reported.

The hospital was shelled again on Dec. 20 while Zelensky was en route to Washington.

“In the Kievsky and Voroshilovsky districts, Ukrainian artillery strikes damaged the Donbass Arena stadium, Olympiysky sport complex, Yunost youth center, two dormitories of the Technical University, a boiler house, tram overhead lines, a public transport stop and an office building. … Twenty-seven homes and 10 infrastructure facilities have been damaged.”

Just a few days earlier, on Dec. 15, launched over 40 rounds from multiple-launch rocket systems (MLRS) at central Donetsk, “the most massive attack since 2014,” Mayor Alexei Kulemzin said. Nine civilians were wounded, including a 10-year-old child.

Most men have been drafted into service by the Donbass People’s Militia and sent to the front lines. Those who remain in the city are seniors, people with disabilities that make it unrealistic to flee, and their caregivers – primarily women. There are also residents who fled at the beginning of Ukraine’s war in 2014-2015 and later returned, refusing to leave their homes again.

In neighboring Lugansk, “On Dec. 16, at 4:10 a.m., the Armed Forces of Ukraine fired at Lantratovka, firing three rockets from the U.S. HIMARS multiple launch rocket system into the village. Eight people were initially reported dead, and 23 others were injured.

“Later, a source in emergency services said that 11 people were killed, about 20 were injured, and the fate of 20 others remained unknown,” according to Lugansk Information Agency.

Since entering the conflict, Russia’s military has focused on targeting arms depots, other military targets, and Ukrainian infrastructure essential to NATO’s weapons deliveries – not civilians. On the other hand, Kiev has shown no such restraint, as it has not throughout the war on Donbass, which is about to enter its ninth year.

Organize to stop the war

Perhaps the most notable thing about Zelensky’s carefully staged “surprise” visit is that it failed to inspire the pro-war sentiment heard earlier this year during the “Save Ukraine” campaign.

Millions of U.S. workers and oppressed communities are living paycheck to paycheck, losing their homes to skyrocketing rents, struggling to feed their families and fuel their homes and cars, and facing the consequences of unchecked climate collapse.

How could they help but notice the billions of their tax dollars being poured into the war machine and the profits of Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, and company?

The anti-war movement in the U.S. is finally starting to shake off the fear and lethargy that immobilized it earlier this year. While the political perspective of many of the established organizations remains confused at best, there is growing pressure from below to fight back.

The United National Antiwar Coalition has called for a Stop U.S. Wars Week of Action from Jan. 13 to 22, 2023, to coincide with the Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. holiday. The ANSWER coalition and CodePink, organizations that have taken moderate, anti-Russia positions since February, are calling actions around this time, including a protest in New York City on Saturday, Jan. 14.

Ahead of that demonstration, an important meeting is being planned in New York to give a clear anti-imperialist perspective to the movement. Entitled “People Speak Out to Stop Racism, Poverty and World War III,” it will feature talks by John Parker, who made an eyewitness visit to the front line in Lugansk, Margaret Kimberley of Black Agenda Report, and other notable activists.

This event will be held on Friday, Jan. 13, from 6-9 p.m. at St. Mary’s Episcopal Church, 521 W. 26 St. in Harlem, and will be livestreamed worldwide. For more information or to endorse, contact info@StopNATO.org.

https://www.struggle-la-lucha.org/2022/ ... n-donbass/

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Germany could become ‘bankrupt state’ due to energy spending
Originally published: Al Mayadeen on December 24, 2022 by Agencies (more by Al Mayadeen) | (Posted Dec 28, 2022)

Germany could soon become a dysfunctional, bankrupt state if it stays on the same path it is currently on and fails to deal with the ongoing energy crisis in light of its imbalanced financial policies, Bundestag Vice-President Wolfgang Kubicki said Saturday.

“If we continue that way and want to provide energy assistance for years, then we could face state bankruptcy rather than state socialism,” Kubicki told the German Bild am Sonntag newspaper.

According to the Parliament’s deputy speaker, the extra money Germany is currently planning to spend on energy imports from elsewhere than Russia would be withdrawn from other areas, as the surplus can be “neither printed on a money printing machine nor covered by taxpayers.”

“Many people have a feeling that Germany is on the way to becoming a dysfunctional state. Infrastructure, governing, energy prices, and the inability of the Bundeswehr to defend its country—we have to take countermeasures; otherwise, things could go wrong,” Kubicki stressed.

German left-wing politician and chairman of the Bundestag committee on energy, Klaus Ernst, commented back in September on statements by Chancellor Olaf Scholz that the sanctions should not hit Europe harder than Russia itself:

We have now imposed seven packages of sanctions and Gazprom is making record profits. At the same time, we are threatened with a wave of bankruptcies. Therefore: negotiate with Russia with an open mind.

The largest EU economy is anticipated to contract in 2023, as gas and electricity prices continue to skyrocket. According to the Ifo Institute for Economic Research, the Munich-based think tank, the ongoing energy crisis as a result of the war in Ukraine is “wreaking havoc” on the German economy and they project it could lead to a 0.3% drop in GDP next year.

German politician and fellow left-wing Bundestag member Sahra Wagenknecht condemned the government for dragging the country into a full-blown “economic war” with Russia who happened to be its top energy supplier, while she referred to the Bundestag concerning the fatal impacts that the Russian sanctions have on Germany.

The consecutive sanctions against Moscow prompted a race against the clock to diminish Germany’s reliance on Russian gas before winter. Groceries and food are other sectors experiencing the aftermath of soaring inflation which saw prices surge 12% in June before reaching 16.6% in August.

The Bundestag warned that Germany’s economic health is at stake considering the spiraling of energy prices out of control, which will serve as “a reminder of the good old days,” followed by Wagenknecht urging for the cancellation of restrictions and engaging in talks with Moscow.

Meanwhile, Germany’s gas exports have been a contentious issue within Berlin itself, with officials opposing that the Republic continue pumping oil and gas outside of its borders, with others arguing that Berlin should not abandon its allies within the European Union.

It was speculated that Germany might have to temporarily curtail its energy exports in the winter, including to France, one of the chief German energy importers.

For many years, Germany has been considered a key electricity exporter. According to data from the network regulator, last year, it supplied 17,400 GWh more electricity to other EU nations than it imported.

Germany’s main electricity buyers are France and Austria. According to statistics from the think tank Fraunhofer ISE, France imported 6,000 GWh of power from Germany from January to March this year, accounting for 5% of Germany’s total electricity production during that time period. According to the data, this amount was five times higher than in the same period the previous year.

According to analysts, a decline in German power exports may worsen supply shortages in France. Due to concerns with nuclear power plants, France may possibly suspend power deliveries to Italy for two years, according to speculations last month. However, France later denied these allegations.

The French government has urged the country’s national utility EDF to restart the country’s 32 presently inactive nuclear reactors as soon as feasible. They were taken offline early this year owing to corrosion issues and have since remained under maintenance. EDF has announced that its nuclear power output will fall to its lowest level in over 30 years owing to difficulties at the aging plants.

https://mronline.org/2022/12/28/germany ... -spending/

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From Cassad's Telegram account:

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Colonelcassad

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Soledar direction
situation as of 12.00 December 28, 2022

In the vicinity of Bakhmut (Artemovsk) and Soledar , intense fighting continues. Ukrainian formations are spreading information about a critical situation and a high probability of a defense breakthrough.

🔻In the Bakhmut (Artemovsky) section, assault detachments of the 57th Ompbr brigade tried to break through the positions of Russian troops on the southeastern outskirts of Bakhmut. As a result, a group of fighters from the 57th brigade was surrounded, from which only eight managed to escape .

▪️To restore combat readiness and regain control over the lost territories, 250 people from the airborne assault troops and SOF of Ukraine were deployed to the Bakhmut area.

▪️To the north-east of Bakhmut, units of the Wagner PMC established control over two strongholds in the Podgorodny area , where the formation of the 17th tank brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine arrived the day before to strengthen the borders.

▪️To the south, the assault on Experienced continues . Currently, fighting is taking place near the art school and the agricultural lyceum on Naberezhnaya Street .

▪️To the south-west, Russian troops recaptured three strongholds on the eastern outskirts of Kleshcheevka and south of the village, where the forces of the 24th and 60th mechanized brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are defending.

▪️Engineering groups of the 28th Ombre of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are equipping false firing positions for MLRS and artillery at the turn of Chasov Yar - Druzhba .

🔻In the Soledar sector, assault detachments of the RF Armed Forces are advancing from the Bakhmut secondary school to the Dekonskaya station in the south of Soledar.

▪️At the same time, the Wagnerites, with the support of the artillery of the NM of the LPR, are pushing through the fortifications of the Armed Forces of Ukraine along Sosyura Street . In addition, during the fighting from Yakovlevka , control was established over the company stronghold of the 128th Guards Brigade.

https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin

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Ukraine SitRep - Counter Artillery War - Financial Disaster

Since the mid of the year it has become clear that the war in Ukraine is one that is mainly fought by artillery.

Ukraine was clearly the underdog in that fight as the Russian forces fired eight times the amount of artillery munitions the Ukraine could make available. The U.S. and some European dependents stepped in. Some 120 M-777 guns and a myriad of modern track mounted artillery systems were given to the Ukrainian army. Hundred of tons of ammunition were moved in. The U.S. and some allies delivered HIMARS systems that could reach beyond the limits of gun artillery.

The Russian military reacted to it. It dispersed its depots and command centers thereby limiting the number of targets for HIMARS systems. It also intensified its use of electronic warfare which took down the drones the Ukrainian artillery used to find its targets:

The electronic suppression of Ukraine’s unmanned aerial vehicles blunted one of Kyiv’s biggest advantages in the early months of the war. The Ukrainians counted on superior intelligence—largely provided by UAVs—to make their smaller artillery arsenal more precise than Russia’s own, larger arsenal of big guns and rocket-launchers.

But the Russians’ electronic warfare prevented those drones from navigating and communicating—and deprived the Ukrainians of the precision they were counting on. “The defeat of precision was critical to unit survival” for the Russians, analysts Mykhaylo Zabrodskyi, Jack Watling, Oleksandr Danylyuk and Nick Reynolds explained in a study for the Royal United Services Institute in London.
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“The average life-expectancy of a quadcopter remained around three flights,” Zabrodskyi, Watling, Danylyuk and Reynolds wrote. “The average life-expectancy of a fixed-wing UAV was around six flights” and, “in aggregate, only around a third of UAV missions can be said to have been successful.”


Lacking real fighting capabilities the Ukrainian artillery switched towards easier fixed targets. In late November it again started to intensely bombard Donetsk city with artillery and missiles. As there are few military installations or even barracks within the city this clearly was a war against its civilian population.

'Western' map showing impacts in Donetsk city - December 1

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Source: Live UA map
December 5

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Source: Live UA map
December 18

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Source: Live UA map

Russian language papers wrote about the civilian casualties caused by the carnage. The political leadership of the Donetsk Republic requested an urgent operation against the threat.

As the heavily fortified frontline makes it impossible to quickly break through and hunt the artillery behind that line, the Russian military moved to other measures. A special cell was created to wage the fight against Ukrainian artillery around Donetsk. More counter artillery radars were moved in. More satellite picture interpreters began to look for firing positions. Longer range counter battery guns also appeared.

Over the last ten days the campaign began to show significant results. Many of the recent daily reports from the Russian Ministry of Defense noted the results of this anti-artillery campaign. Here is yesterday's one:

Within the counterbattery warfare, one U.S.-manufactured M-777 artillery system has been detected and destroyed near Netaylovo along with its crew that had shelled residential areas in Donetsk. Another M-777 artillery system has been destroyed near Preobrazhenka (Zaporozhye region).

One Uragan and two Grad multiple-launch rocket systems (MLRS) have been destroyed near Nevskoye (Lugansk People's Republic) and Seversk (Donetsk People's Republic).

Two Ukrainian 2S1 Gvozdika self-propelled artillery systems have been destroyed at their firing positions near Krasnogorovka and Prechistovka (Donetsk People's Republic).

Four Msta-B and two D-20 howitzers have been destroyed near Kupyansk (Kharkov region), Velikaya Novosyolka (Donetsk People's Republic) and Novogrigorovka (Kherson region).

Air defence facilities have shot down three Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles near Olginka, Guselskoye (Donetsk People's Republic) and Peremozhnoye (Zaporozhye region).

In addition, two Uragan MLRS have been intercepted near Kostogryzovo (Kherson region), and three U.S.-manufactured HARM anti-radiation missiles near Debaltsevo (Donetsk People's Republic).

And this one from today:

Within the counterbattery warfare, two U.S.-manufactured M-777 artillery systems, and one German-manufactured FH-70 howitzer, that were used for shelling residential areas of Donetsk, have been destroyed at their firing positions near Krasnogorovka (Donetsk People's Republic).

Three Ukrainian fighting vehicles for Grad multiple-launch rocket systems have been destroyed near Seversk.

Three Ukrainian Msta-B howitzers have been destroyed near Petropavlovka (Kharkov region), Berestovoye (Donetsk People's Republic), and Chernobayevka (Kherson region).

Ukrainian D-20 and D-30 howitzers have been destroyed near Georgiyevka and Maryinka (Donetsk People's Republic).


Another reports says that the reaction time between detecting and submitting target coordinates to active counter fire is down to two minutes. The setup and displacement time for a M-777 howitzer are each at least three minutes with a fully manned and well trained crew. When radar detects a firing Ukrainian M-777 the Russian response now comes in before the gun could be moved out.

The counter battery campaign can now be called a full success. The last Ukrainian artillery impact in Donetsk city was reported on December 23. [/i]
The campaign will have to continue until the Ukraine runs out of guns. Up to now the Ukrainians fire still more ammunition than the 'west' can produce:

“Ukrainian artillery use, conservatively, is probably around maybe 90,000 rounds per month,” Michael Kofman, the director of Russian studies at C.N.A., a Virginia research institute, said last week on the “War on the Rocks” podcast. “That’s a lot more than anybody makes in the West right now. So all of this has been coming out of stocks, which is like going through your saving accounts.”

With less guns available on the Ukrainian side the need for new ammunition will decrease.

That is bad news for those Ukrainians who man the frontline trenches. The heavy artillery fire they are under will only intensify and increase their already very high losses. In some time and some places the lines will break and leave space for the Russian military to move through.

The current fighting is concentrated around Bakhmut/Artyomovsk. The Ukrainian command has thrown in reserves to hold the city.

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Source: Military Land

Under permanent Russia artillery fire the sixteen brigades currently deployed in and behind Bakhmut will be decimated one by one. It is a slow fight where the lines move only little by little in favor of the Russian side. But it is very effective battle in a war designed to demilitarize Ukraine. Due to very uneven artillery fight the Ukrainian losses will be many times higher than the Russian ones.

On the economic side the Ukraine has already lost the war. It is living off loans from 'western' governments it will surely default on:

The Ukrainian government has struggled to raise money on bond markets during the war and is paying investors more than it is collecting, according to a Central Bank statement that points to the country’s deepening dependence on foreign aid.
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The economy has been projected to shrink about 40 percent this year, drying up tax revenue and indefinitely delaying previously planned spending that would have spurred growth.
The Central Bank statement, published on Monday, pointed to a less visible side of Ukraine’s financing shortfalls caused by the war: an inability to raise money on the market. Since Russia invaded on Feb. 24, Ukraine has not been able to roll over debt accumulated before the war. The country paid investors about $2.2 billion more than it collected in bond sales in that time, the Central Bank said.

All of that has left Ukrainian public finance, which has been wobbly at the best of times in the post-independence period, deeply reliant on assistance from the United States, the European Union, European countries that donate individually and other donors.


Even the U.S. controlled IMF is unwilling to throw more money into that black hole:

The budget passed by Ukraine’s Parliament for next year includes a deficit of about $36 billion. About half of the planned expenditures are for the army, the police and other military outlays. The deficit this year has run even higher, at about $5 billion a month.
The International Monetary Fund, which bailed out Ukraine through a long run of post-independence financial crises, has not continued large-scale lending during the war.

“They are worried about debt sustainability,” said Tymofiy Mylovanov, a former economy minister who is a professor at the Kyiv School of Economics. “If the I.M.F. is worried about debt sustainability and ability to finance, imagine what private investors are thinking.”


In contrast international trade with Russia has been booming this year and its financial numbers, recently mentioned by its president Putin, look better than those in the 'west':

First, the predicted economic collapse did not happen. True, we have posted a decline, and I will repeat the figures. There have been promises – or predictions or hopes maybe – that Russia’s economy will contract. Some said its GDP would drop by 20 percent or more, by 20–25 percent. True, there is a decline in GDP, but not 20–25 percent; it is in fact 2.5 percent. That is the first thing.
Second. Inflation, as I said, will be a little more than 12 percent this year – it is one of the most important indicators, too. This, I think, is much better than in many other countries, including the G20 countries. Inflation is not good of course, but it being smaller than in other countries is good.

Next year – we have mentioned this, too – we will strive for the 4–5 percent target, based on the economy's performance in the first quarter – at least, we hope so. And this is a very good trend, unlike in some other G20 countries, where inflation is on the rise.

Unemployment is at a historic low of 3.8 percent. We are running a budget deficit, this is true, but it is only 2 percent this year, next year too, then it is projected at one percent, and less than one percent in 2025: we are expecting about 0.8 percent. I would like to point out that other countries – both large developing economies and the so-called developed market economies – are running a much greater deficit. In the United States, I think, it is 5.7 percent, and in China, it is over 7 percent. All major economies are running deficits above 5 percent. We are not.

This is a good foundation for moving confidently into 2023.


When the war ends the Ukraine will have an incredible amount of debt that it will not be able to pay for in generations. It will have no more land to sell off to foreigners and no industry left that will be of any value.

The people who had thought up, designed and implemented the 'western' sanction war against Russia have done more damage to Ukraine and the 'west' that anyone had imagined. But they utterly failed to hurt Russia. They should all be fired for their demonstrated incompetence.

Posted by b on December 28, 2022 at 16:15 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/12/u ... .html#more

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Dehumanizing the enemy[
gilbertdoctorow Uncategorized December 27, 2022 11 Minutes


The word “Russophobia” has been used very widely in the past couple of years by Russians and by “friends of Russia” abroad to describe the campaign of vilification of President Putin in particular and of the Russian people more generally that the U.S. led West has practiced with rising volume and shrillness ever since the start of an Information War launched in 2007.

In the course of the “Special Military Operation,” the Kiev regime has taken the lead in disseminating vicious calumny about the Russian military. We have heard about “massacres of civilians” in Bucha by retreating Russians. We have heard about Putin dispensing Viagra to his soldiers so that they might carry out sexual violence against Ukrainian women in occupied areas under their control. These and similar allegations have been repeated endlessly in Western media as if they were proven facts. They were not and are not anything more than bare-faced lies. The image of savage Buryat and Chechen units within the Russian armed forces has been so widespread that even Pope Francis spoke publicly against these peoples from the Vatican. The apologies later extended by his Secretariat were made privately to the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, so the damage of this calumny will not be undone.

I suggest that we consider the Russophobia as just a new manifestation of an old trick of those preparing the public for war and managing popular emotions in a jingoist direction. It is all about dehumanizing one’s opponents to make killing more acceptable than Scripture and the basic disposition of civil society would allow.

In many essays I have remarked on Russian foreign policy as being “reactive” rather than aggressive. And so it is in the Information War domain. The Russians took it on the chin when the Bucha narrative was spun in Western media. They whined and complained, but did not fire back.

Russia had sound strategic reasons for initiating and prosecuting the war in Ukraine. To be sure, these reasons changed from pacifying Ukraine (demilitarization and de-Nazification) at the outset to the present objective of de-fanging NATO itself ever since NATO began supplying state of the art weaponry to Kiev, together with military advisers on the ground and real time intelligence.

However, these strategic considerations are apparently deemed to be too abstract for the broad home population to be properly motivated to back the war effort. And so the Kremlin has moved moved into the more emotive domain of dehumanization. Last night’s Evening with Vladimir Solovyov was a case in point.

The past couple of weekends Solovyov went down to the Donbas where Minister of Defense Shoigu arranged for him to spend time on the front lines and mingle with the fighters, from infantry and tank soldiers up to senior officers. Solovyov has presented on his show clips of the more impressive people he met down there.

Last night we were treated to a long “interview” with the officer who took Solovyov on a drive along the front. Vladimir Rudolfovich was glowing with pride that chaps like this one, who looked to be about 37 but has 25 years as a warrior in his record, are given units to command. He hopes that the General Command will reward them by raising them in the ranks and giving them still greater responsibilities. Solovyov recommended the interview to the audience, because of his admiration for the “profound thinking” of the young officer.

And so we were treated to a five minute “diatribe” against the West as this officer explained what Russia is fighting for, what “victory” will mean for them. The war is about defeating “Satanism,” which has taken the West in its grips and is destroying Western civilization. Ukrainian neo-Nazism is just a subset of this Satanism, as is the West European promotion of LGBT+ culture. The Anti-Christ has landed in the West and it is for Russia now to vanquish him in defense of traditional values.

The panelists on last night’s show were the usual mix of academics and Duma committee chairmen. One or two looked stupefied at this display of “profound thinking.” None decided to follow up the outrageous remarks of Solovyov’s hero of the moment. I have heard much of the same rant from the occasional crackpot taxi driver taking me on hour long trips from my Pushkin apartment to the Petersburg city center; fortunately no one ever thought of giving them a microphone on national television.

My only observation is that it is truly sad that both sides to the conflict in and over Ukraine are now deeply engaged in the destruction of all the mental restraints that keep men from barbarism.

Several weeks ago, Russian society was deeply shocked and outraged by videos circulating in social media showing the point blank murder of prone Russian Prisoners of War by gloating Ukrainian soldiers. In the meantime there is quiet talk on Russian television to the effect that Russia’s Wagner mercenary units and Chechen brigades “take no prisoners.” We can well imagine what that means.

As these violent trends continue on both sides of the confrontation between Russia and the West, the chances for peace talks being held diminish dramatically. And the return of international relations to something resembling the status quo ante becomes ever more improbable.

©Gilbert Doctorow

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2022/12/27/ ... the-enemy/

That sort of talk and other unpleasantness have been heard in the trenches for a good while now. What can one expect when warring against Nazis? The Russians are not angels, though the 'no quarter'statements are directed against the Nazis formations, best I can tell. "Take the 'tat', take the rap".

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In occupied Odessa
December 29, 12:40

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In Odessa last night, local masked Nazis demolished monuments to Catherine the Great and Field Marshal Suvorov.
If anyone has forgotten, then Odessa is a Russian city occupied by the Nazis.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8064195.html

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Not forgetting...

And I can never forget the woman I met, born in Odessa, who said, "We are all Russians!" A pox on the USA for keeping the evil of Nazism alive.

Payment of reparations to Ukraine. 29.12.2022
December 29, 11:01 am

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The Kyiv Nazis claim that 120 rockets were launched in Ukraine (apparently they consider them en masse with imitation targets).
Now in Kyiv they are feverishly calculating the damage and coming up with a number of "downed missiles" (I put it at 70-80 out of 120). The population of Ukraine, as usual, is intimidated by threats of landings for publishing the consequences of arrivals, which prevent them from writing stories about the successes of air defense.

If on the merits of the strikes, then at 10-30:

1. Objects were struck in at least 9 regions of Ukraine.
2. In 7 regions of Ukraine, there are additional problems with electricity, water, cellular communications, and the Internet.
3. In 5 regions of Ukraine, problems with railway communication are reported.
4. Metro stopped in Kyiv and Kharkov.
5. There are reports of at least two attacks on exposed Ukrainian air defense positions.

Rocket strikes continue.
Online broadcast is in telegram https://t.me/boris_rozhin . If you are interested please subscribe.

PS. Picture from the official Telegram of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8063707.html

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"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Fri Dec 30, 2022 12:30 pm

command drop
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 12/30/2022

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On December 26, the Novynarnia website reported the death the day before, " during the development of a combat mission ", of four Ukrainian soldiers who had entered the territory of the Russian Federation to carry out military activities, probably reconnaissance and sabotage. That same day, RIA Novosti broadcast an FSB video showing the place where, on the border of the Bryansk region, " the Ukrainian sabotage group " fell . Well equipped with weapons and explosives, according to Ukrainian propagandist Yevhen Karas , the group was killed after entering a minefield. The death of the members of the commando has been described as "heroes" by the media and international think-tankers , but also a reminder of central figures of Ukrainian nationalist radicalism such as Anton Geraschchenko .

The mention of Geraschenko cannot be surprising. As he himself detailed in an article published in Ukrainska Pravda , he participated in the meetings with which Interior Minister Arsen Avakov introduced groups like Azov into the structures of the National Guard. In the key meeting in which Andriy Biletskiy finally agreed to incorporate his paramilitary group into the official structures, Dmytro Korchynsky also participated, of whose group, the Bratstvo battalion, the deceased soldiers were members. The commando was commanded by 34-year-old Yuriy Horovets and included 32- and 38-year-old Maksym Mykhaylov and Taras Karpyuk, as well as 19-year-old Bohdan Lyagov (Apollo). According to a message on Facebookof Volodymyr Koskin, not all the members of the group would have died, since there is talk of two other components of the command.

Most of the deceased had a long history in the Bratstvo political movement, as well as in its propaganda and lobbying actions. Horovets, for example, still faced the courts at the beginning of 2022. The reason: the violent action that Bratstvo led in February 2021 against the Nash media structure , accused of being pro-Russian, with physical attacks on reporters from its television network.

They had also participated in the events before and after the Maidan coup in 2014. Both Horovets and Karpyuk participated, for example, in military actions such as the Battle of Ilovaisk, the attacks on Gorlovka or the defense of the Ukrainian positions in Mariupol. Taras Karpyuk suffered a serious injury in Ilovaisk from which he required a long recovery period afterwards and was part of the most combative group against the Berkut on Maidan (where he also received leg injuries).

The passage of volunteers through battalions such as Shakhtyorsk or Tornado, whose crimes against the population of Donbass were so serious that not even the Ukrainian authorities guaranteed them the amnesty that was given to other groups, and Santa María is also a common feature of the group members. Horovets also had links to the far-right Svoboda party.

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The Horovets group (bottom row, first right) in the Izium area in May 2022.

Considered successful saboteurs, for the members of the Horovets commando, the Bryansk action did not constitute the first exploratory or sabotage sortie since the start of the war in February 2022. Their members are known to have been in the fighting in Izium from May, the control of the Transnistrian border during the summer and the subsequent presence on the front line in the Kherson-Zaporozhye regions, including some of the reconnaissance actions in the Dnieper River area that Carlotta Gall spoke about in The New York Times . The fall in Bryansk shows the intervention of the group in the Ukrainian movements inside Russia, in areas located between Kharkov and the Belarusian border.

The members of the command respond in general to the ultranationalist and Christian image of Bratstvo. Horovets, for example, earned the nickname Saint ( Svyatosha ) among practicing Christians and nationalist patriots of the Ukrainian militaristic far-right. Especially in the case of Maksym Myjaylov, they also tried to show the anti-establishment, adventurous and, according to them, romantic image that is so comfortable with the Korchynsky ideology. Of course, fanaticism in civil provocation and the purpose of death in war were associated with them.

Far from the image defended in the West, in no case was the position of these volunteer soldiers and civil militants the defense of liberal society. On the contrary, an essential feature of his cause was the participation in anti-liberal crusades, such as the persecution of the LGTBI movement. In the text that accompanies a farewell video of Korchynsky, it is stated: “ They all fought the vatas [usual insult directed at the population of Donbass- Ed ] , the leftists, the LGBTs and other anti-Ukrainian crap! ”.

In his statements about the death of the group, the ultranationalist Serhiy Bondar, at the time detained on suspicion of having participated in the murder of journalist Oles Buzina, pointed out that Maksym Mykhaylov planned to die near Moscow. His anti-Russian obsession already led him to participate together with Taras Karpyuk, then both members of the Bratstvo leadership, in pro-Ukrainian protest actions in Russia. On January 26, 2013, both participated in Nevinnomyssk, a city east of Krasnodar, in an act of claiming the Cossack-Ukrainian character of the Russian region of the Kuban, defined as "Ukrainian ethnic territories." Virtually no one mobilized then in favor of the friendly Ukrainian Cossack Republic that they promoted. Held for 15 days, the Ukrainian embassy in Moscow, then politically directed from kyiv by the Yanukovych Administration, it obtained an early release of the two detainees. They would be available for the 2014 Maidan.

Strong nationalist sentiment, a desire for adventure and courage led the young Bohdan Lyagov to volunteer in Bratstvo and on his reconnaissance and sabotage missions.

As he told a local newspaper in November , Lyagov believed in victory in the war, but did not expect it to be quick. Personally, he said he did not believe in a planned life: " I don't make plans " he told the journalist, insisting that plans are for losers: " I always had fun when people talked about their plans, forgetting that death is near ”. It is necessary to be able to improvise rather than make plans, he said, although without completely giving up any purpose: « In general, after the victory I have the desire to visit the south of Italy and spend the sunset with a glass of Brunello di wine. Montalcino on the coast of the Mediterranean Sea . It would have been a better destination for a young person.

Korchynsky's ideological children, on social networks, he asked on the 28th for monetary aid for the relatives of the four deceased, more than soldiers, volunteers. “ They did everything possible for the cause of the struggle for the Ukrainian state and fulfilled their mission ”, He pointed out. And, as usual with him, he promised his eternal revenge, the one that will lead to more deaths that will once again justify the same promise of infinite war.

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Together with Vitaly Chorny, the Horovets team, only in the absence of the image-reluctant Karpyuk

For his part, the opportunistic Archpriest Volodymyr Koskin attributed the role of divine interpreter to thank those who always returned from the most difficult places for having distributed “ cotton bouquets ” [explosions] in Bryansk and Belgorod to “ our enemies ”.

“ Today you have fulfilled the words of Christ: «I tell you that there is no greater love than that which gives one's life for one's neighbor». I personally, as a priest and a volunteer, will do everything in my power so that your sacrifice is not in vain! The Kingdom of Heaven for you, dear brothers, and Eternity among the holy warriors and martyrs of God! To our, I hope, joyful meeting near the Throne of God's Glory. With respect and love in Christ Jesus .”

From a strictly military point of view, the fall of the Horovets command represents a serious human loss for the Bratstvo group. In barely two months, at least five of the members of its special action groups have fallen in the war, including an American volunteer incorporated into the group.

https://slavyangrad.es/2022/12/30/caida ... more-26302

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New Ukrainian attacks on civilians in Donetsk reported

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Ukrainian Armed Forces shell residential buildings in Donetsk city center | Photo: EFE
Posted December 29, 2022 (4 hours 36 minutes ago)

One person was killed and several injured by the attack with 155 shells and at least 16 multiple rocket launcher shells.

The mayor of the Russian city of Donetsk, Alexei Kulemzin, reported Wednesday that the Ukrainian armed forces once again shelled residential buildings in the city center, causing extensive damage.

According to the official, at least one person was killed and several injured in the attack, which included 155-caliber shells and at least 16 rounds from multiple rocket launchers.

In response to the bombardment perpetrated against Russian territory, the Russian army launched an attack against military and logistical objectives in the city of Odesa and in the kyiv, Zhitomir, Kharkov and Poltava regions, official media reported.


The governor of kyiv, Alekséi Kuleba, confirmed the activation of the air defense systems in the region and the mayor of kyiv, Vitali Klichkó, ​​indicated that "several explosions" took place in the capital, without offering further details.

For his part, the mayor of Kharkov, Igor Terejov, declared that the city also experienced a "series of explosions" and, according to his version of events, the blows caused the interruption of the metro service.

Since last February, the President of Russia, Vladimir Putin, has ordered a Special Military Operation to be carried out with the aim of protecting the physical and economic integrity of the Donbass region in the face of constant attacks by the kyiv neo-Nazi regime.

The Ukrainian army, with the monetary and logistical support of the United States and several countries of the European Union, indiscriminately bombards the civilian population of the Donetsk and Lugansk regions, who after an election process decided to become part of the Russian Federation .

https://www.telesurtv.net/news/reportan ... -0008.html

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EU economy faces more pain in 2023 after a gloomy year
By EARLE GALE | China Daily | Updated: 2022-12-29 07:10

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Electric power transmission miniatures are seen in front of displayed EU flag and words "Energy crisis" in this illustration taken, December 5, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Energy crunch will trigger contraction as high inflation drags down output

The 19 European Union nations that use the euro are in for a rocky 2023, with eurozone inflation set to soar higher and unemployment about to worsen, according to economists who blamed the high price of energy for the zone's woes.

The grim outlook was the consensus of 37 economists polled by newspaper Financial Times, or FT.

Around 90 percent of them said the eurozone was probably already in recession, and most said its GDP will contract further during 2023.

They said the zone's difficulties will trigger a fall in the value of real estate, with residential house prices set to drop 4.7 percent after the European Central Bank, or ECB, raised interest rates by 2.5 percentage points during 2022 and signaled further hikes to come.

Chiara Zangarelli, an economist at Morgan Stanley, told the FT that the Russia-Ukraine conflict and resulting disruption of fossil fuel supplies have been major causes of inflation and will continue to be a problem.

"Gas markets in Europe remain a key risk," Zangarelli told the newspaper. "Additional supply disruptions, or a particularly cold winter, could lead to renewed tensions and prices rising again, forcing another round of adaptation and demand destruction."

But, the economists said the eurozone has likely seen the worst of the energy crisis, and predicted the situation will improve as new sources of energy come online, and nations, businesses, and households adapt to the new normal. They added that Europe was fortunate to have had a relatively mild fall, which meant its reserves of natural gas and other fuels remained relatively intact.

Sylvain Broyer, chief economist for Europe, Middle East and Africa at S&P Global Ratings, told the FT: "The tail risk of gas rationing has likely been avoided for this winter, but the question of energy supply for the next winter is still open."

The economists said new sources of gas — from the Middle East, Norway, and the United States — as well as a renewed emphasis on nuclear power and a ramping up of renewable energy generation have all helped, but that no one knows whether Europe has diversified enough to not miss Russian fuel next winter, when stockpiles will be gone.

Significant driver

The economists said the high cost of energy has been the single most significant driver of inflation in the eurozone, and looks set to continue to be, with prices likely to rise by an additional 2.7 percent in 2023. And the economists said the eurozone's economy will likely shrink, by almost 0.01 percent. The prediction is worse than the European Commission's expectation that the economy will grow by 0.3 percent, Agence France-Presse reported. And it is worse than the ECB's prediction of a 0.5 percent expansion.

The economists told the FT they expect the ECB to counter high inflation with interest rate cuts in 2023, which could "lead to a severe recession in the euro area".

Consequently, inflation is likely to remain above the ECB's target of 2 percent for at least two more years, with the consensus saying it will sit around 6 percent in 2023, and 2.7 percent in 2024, the FT reported. And the economists said unemployment could rise from the record eurozone low of 6.5 percent recorded in October, to 7.1 percent by the end of 2023.

Many countries are now grappling with cost-of-living crises because wages are not keeping up with inflation, forcing households to make difficult choices in their spending.

Russia, meanwhile, has reacted to attempts to force lower global energy prices through an imposed price cap on its exports.

Agencies via Xinhua contributed to this story.

EARLE GALE in London

http://global.chinadaily.com.cn/a/20221 ... a6b10.html

Anti-war activist faces repression in Germany
December 29, 2022 Phil Wilayto

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German antiwar activist Heinrich Bücker making a speech last summer that became a pretext for repression, Treptower Park, Berlin.

June 22, 2022, was the 81st anniversary of Nazi Germany’s invasion of the Soviet Union, and a prominent German antiwar activist took the occasion to publicly question why the German government is now supporting neo-Nazi organizations in Ukraine.

As a result, that activist is now facing the possibility of up to three years in prison.

Heinrich Bücker runs Berlin’s popular Coop Antiwar Cafe, which since 2005 has been a gathering space for activists working on a wide range of issues. Since 2019 the cafe has co-organized the weekly event “Frente Unido América Latina” in front of the U.S. Embassy. He’s a member of the “Kommunistische Platform” in the party DIE LINKE; a member of the League of Anti-Fascists; and represents the U.S.-based World Beyond War in Berlin. The cafe also represents the “Aufstehen” Initiative in Berlin Mitte, backing the left politician Sahra Wagenknecht and organizing left events against sanctions and for peace.

On June 22, Bücker gave a speech at an event hosted by Berlin’s Friedenskoordination (Peace Coordination) at the Soviet War Memorial in Berlin’s Treptower Park, in which, according to a statement on the antiwar cafe’s website, he said that “… it seems incomprehensible to me that German politics should again support the same chauvinistic and especially Russophobic ideologies on the basis of which the German Reich found willing helpers in 1941. The SS and Wehrmacht used Ukrainian national-fascist organizations as repressive and murderous squads against their own countrymen, including millions of Jewish men, women and children.”

The collaboration of ultra-nationalist Ukrainian organizations with the Nazi occupation is a matter of historical record. And, before the present war, Western mainstream media would routinely report on the existence of present-day fascist organizations in Ukraine, such as the Azov Battalion, Right Sector, National Militia, C-14 and many others. For example, see this 2018 Reuters piece.

But that coverage has now ended.

On Oct. 19, Bücker received a letter from the Berlin State Criminal Police Office notifying him that he was under investigation for possible violation of Paragraph 140 of the German Criminal Code, which has to do with disturbing the public peace. A violation of the statute can be punished by a fine or a prison sentence of up to three years. The investigation was apparently prompted by a complaint by a Berlin attorney upset about Bücker’s speech.

“In Germany, we are currently experiencing a narrowing of the space for debate and massive restrictions on freedom of expression, caused by one-sided reporting in the mainstream-media,” Bücker writes. “There are now a number of individuals who are in the focus of the German criminal investigation authorities. Similar tendencies are also reported from other EU [European Union] countries.”

The Coop Antiwar Cafe itself also has come under attack. In addition to threatening emails, the cafe’s front windows were recently smashed.

Along with his June 22 speech, Bücker also initiated a statement on the war in Ukraine that questioned the official line that it’s simply an act of unprovoked Russian aggression. Instead, the statement, posted on the cafe’s website, points to the steady eastward expansion of NATO up to the very borders of Russia, and U.S. and European support for the 2014 coup that drove out the elected president of Ukraine and brought in a right-wing government anxious to join NATO and hostile to both Russia and the country’s ethnic Russian minority.

Another reason for the police interest in Bücker could be the prominent role he has played in promoting an anti-imperialist statement on the war in Ukraine initiated by the U.S-based Odessa Solidarity Campaign, a project of the Virginia Defenders for Freedom, Justice & Equality. That statement, similar to the one initiated by the Coop Antiwar Cafe, has been endorsed by more than 230 organizations and individuals in 22 countries, with nearly two-thirds of the endorsers from Germany.

Meanwhile, in the United States, the African People’s Socialist Party is calling for support in the face of expected indictments of four of its leaders and prominent supporters who have been actively speaking out against U.S. support for Ukraine. The APSP is a Pan-African organization that for the past 50 years has been opposing U.S. wars at home and abroad.

In response to the police pressure, Bücker’s allies and supporters in Germany have been preparing a united defense effort. Stay tuned for new developments and calls for solidarity.

For more information on repression directed against antiwar activists and efforts to support them, see:

Coop Antiwar Cafe http://coopcafeberlin.de/

African People’s Socialist Party https://apspuhuru.org/

Odessa Solidarity Campaign https://odessasolidaritycampaign.org/

Phil Wilayto is editor of The Virginia Defender newspaper and coordinator of the Odessa Solidarity Campaign. He can be reached at: DefendersFJE@hotmail.com.

https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/12/28/ ... n-the-drc/

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Russia accuses the West of not wanting peace, but the defeat of Moscow

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The foreign minister insisted that "we do not fail to warn our enemies in the West about the danger of their course to escalate the Ukraine crisis." | Photo: Ria Novosti
Published 27 December 2022

The head of the Foreign Ministry denounced that the main beneficiary of the "hot conflict" is the United States.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov denounced on Tuesday that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, together with what he called his Western "teachers", intends to dictate his will and not commit to real peace in the current conflict.

He noted that Russia is constantly being asked to seek solutions and compromises. At the same time, Zelensky "during his triumphant visit to the United States" said that "a just world means no compromises."

The Russian foreign minister said that "it is no longer a secret to anyone that the strategic goal of the United States and its NATO allies is victory over Russia on the battlefield" as a mechanism to significantly weaken or even destroy Russia. to achieve this goal, "our opponents are ready for a lot," Lavrov said.


The head of the Foreign Ministry denounced that the main beneficiary of what he called the "hot conflict" is the United States, which "seeks to get the most out
of it both in economic and strategic-military terms."

At the same time, Lavrov stressed, "Washington is also solving an important geopolitical task: breaking the traditional ties between Russia and Europe and further subjugating European satellites."

According to the statements of the Russian foreign minister, "the United States is doing everything possible to prolong the conflict and make it more violent."

"The Pentagon is openly planning orders for the American defense industry in the coming years, constantly raising the level of military spending for the needs of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and demanding the same from other members of the anti-Russian alliance."

The foreign minister insisted that "we do not stop warning our enemies in the West about the danger of their course to escalate the Ukraine crisis. With the contingent they raised in kyiv, the risk of an uncontrolled development of the situation remains very high. It is important to prevent disasters," he warned.

https://www.telesurtv.net/news/rusia-de ... -0005.html

Google Translator

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Typical News Updates From Ukraine

After having run out of missiles, the Russian military today fired another round of them at Ukrainian energy facilities.

Russia fires 120 missiles from air and sea - Ukraine - BBC

An air raid alert has been issued across Ukraine, as a fresh wave of Russian missiles targets major cities.
Presidential adviser Mykhailo Podolyak said more than 120 missiles had been launched at the population and civilian infrastructure.


54 of the 69 missiles were shot down.

Commander: Ukraine shoots down 54 out of 69 missiles fired by Russia - Kyiv Independent

According to Valerii Zaluzhnyi, the chief commander of Ukraine's Armed Forces, the Air Force shot down 54 out of 69 missiles Russia had fired against Ukraine during its eighth mass strike targeting energy infrastructure on Dec. 29.


All missiles targeting Kiev were destroyed.

AFP News Agency @AFP - 10:10 UTC · Dec 29, 2022

#UPDATE Kyiv authorities said Thursday that air defences downed all 16 missiles that targeted the Ukrainian capital as part of a new wave of Russian strikes on the pro-Western country.


Those which came through seriously damaged Kiev's energy facilities.[/i]

Energy Minister: Russia’s Dec. 29 mass strike causes damage to Ukraine’s power generation facilities, grid - Kyiv Independent

Energy Minister Herman Halushchenko reported on Dec. 29 that “some damage” was inflicted on Ukraine’s power generation facilities and energy grid during Russia’s mass strike despite the “excellent work” of the air defense.
The minister said that the energy situation is particularly “difficult” in Kyiv Oblast and the southern Odesa Oblast, as well as western Ukraine.
...
About 40% of Kyiv residents and 90% of Lviv residents in western Ukraine were cut off from electricity as of the morning, city mayors said.


Due to the attack some houses were damaged.

Arthur Morgan @ArthurM40330824 - 10:19 UTC · Dec 29, 2022
#Ukrainian air defense again hit civilian targets: now in Ivano-Frankivsk, a S-300 missile hit a residential building. There were no victims or injured.
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Posted by b on December 29, 2022 at 11:53 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/12/t ... l#comments

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US Patriot Missiles in Ukraine: A Desperate & Dangerous Escalation
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 28, 2022
Brian Berletic

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US appears to be in the process of transferring its Patriot air defense missile system to Ukraine. CNN in its article, “Exclusive: US finalizing plans to send Patriot missile defense system to Ukraine,” claims the US will approve and then quickly ship the system or systems into Ukraine in just days after the decision is made.

Paradoxically, CNN admits that training the large numbers of Ukrainians necessary to operate the system will take months. This has left analysts speculating that in fact NATO personnel already familiar with the system will operate it merely posing as “Ukrainians.”

This represents a significant escalation. While Western forces are believed to be covertly operating across Ukraine against Russian forces in a variety of roles, Western personnel operating an ever-growing number of sophisticated weapons may lead to mission creep in terms of other sophisticated Western weapons including Western aircraft and tanks entering the conflict with Western operators behind the controls.

The decision to send Patriot missiles follows a now steady tempo of Russian missile and drone strikes across Ukraine targeting military and dual-use infrastructure including the power grid. The Western media admits Ukraine’s own Soviet-era air defense systems are dwindling in number and running low on interceptor missiles.

The Financial Times in its article, “Military briefing: escalating air war depletes Ukraine’s weapons stockpile,” admits:

…ammunition and spares for the S300 and Buk systems, the mainstay of Ukraine’s air defences, are dwindling. Ukrainian officials have confirmed a claim by British military intelligence that Russia has been firing X-55 nuclear missiles — with the nuclear warhead replaced by an inert one — simply to exhaust Ukrainian air defences.

The article notes that buying additional ammunition and spare parts for the systems is not practical. It also notes efforts by the West to provide Ukraine their own air defense systems, however such systems suffer from similar problems in terms of limited quantities and limited access to ammunition.

Financial Times cites the German “Gepard” mobile anti-aircraft gun as being “highly effective.” No evidence was provided to substantiate that claim and ironically, shortly after the article was published, shortages of ammunition for Gepard systems were reported as was Switzerland’s unwillingness to supply additional ammunition to Ukraine.

Germany’s Rheinmetall company has announced it would expand ammunition production to compensate for Switzerland’s decision according to Anadolu Agency, but production would not begin until June at the earliest and Ukraine would not begin receiving ammunition until at least July and only if the German government places an order for the 35mm rounds the Gepard fires.

IRIS-T and NASAMS, two Western short to medium range air defense missile systems have been provided to Ukraine, albeit in small numbers that will increase incrementally over the course of several years. This represents a rate far too slow to replace Ukraine’s dwindling Soviet-era air defense systems.

Considering this reality, the decision by the US to transfer Patriot missile systems to Ukraine may not be because Washington believes they can make a difference, but simply because the US and its allies have nothing else more appropriate or numerous to send in its place.

But even the Patriot air defense system is plagued with problems ranging from its own critical shortage of ammunition to its inability to provide defense against drones and cruise missiles, the very systems they will be tasked with protecting Ukrainian skies against.

Patriot Missiles: Too Few, Too Feeble

Far from “Russian propaganda,” the Patriot’s shortcomings have been reported by the Western media for years. Al Jazeera in an early 2022 article, “Saudi Arabia may run out of interceptor missiles in ‘months’,” would admit to Saudi stockpiles of Patriot interceptor missiles running low and the inability of the US to manufacture enough to replace them.

The Wall Street Journal would report in March 2022 that additional missiles were eventually acquired, but not because the US was able to manufacture more, and instead because the US convinced Saudi Arabia’s neighbors to transfer missiles from their own stockpiles to Saudi air defense forces.

Faced with a growing shortage of missiles, Lockheed Martin pledged in 2018 to double annual missile production from 250 to 500, according to Defense News. By 2021, Camden News would report that Lockheed was on course to reaching its 500 missiles per year goal by 2024 after building a new 85,000 square foot expansion to existing production facilities.

However, even at 500 missiles a year, and if every single missile was subsequently sent directly to Ukraine, it would not be nearly enough to match the number of cruise missiles, drones, and other long-range precision weapons Russia is using as part of its ongoing special military operation.

The New York Times in an article titled, “Russia Is Using Old Ukrainian Missiles Against Ukraine, General Says,” cites Ukrainian sources who claim Russia is likely building at least 40 cruise missiles a month. Over the course of a year that works out to 480 cruise missiles. Considering the Patriot missile system falls far short of 100% effectiveness, the idea that 500 Patriot missiles could protect Ukraine against 480 Russian cruise missiles is unrealistic.

Annual missile production for Russia is likely higher, however. From October onward alone, the BBC reports that Russia has fired over 1,000 missiles and drones at targets across Ukraine. This is twice the number of missiles Lockheed plans on producing annually.

This reality is so obvious that Western analysts have commented publicly about their doubts regarding any impact Patriot missiles will have. Breaking Defense in its article, “Patriot missile system not a panacea for Ukraine, experts warn,” would cite a missile defense expert with the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Tom Karako, who called the transfer of Patriot missiles to Ukraine “a political gesture of support.”

The article would also note, citing Karako, that:

“We need to be careful about these scarce, precious assets,” Karako said. “While we’re only sending one battery, once it’s there, it’s probably not going to come back. And if they start expending munitions, they’re going to ask for more, right? And we don’t have just tons and tons of PAC-2s and PAC-3s [missiles] lying around that we can afford.

Karako would also point out that Patriots are needed for “deterring a Taiwan conflict,” highlighting the fact that the steady depletion of Western weapon stockpiles in its proxy war with Russia is not happening in a geopolitical vacuum and impacts the West’s ability to menace other nations in other regions of the planet – especially in East Asia.

The same article also pointed out how expensive Patriot missiles are versus the relatively cheap drones they would be attempting to intercept. But that’s even if the Patriot missile system can intercept them.

NBC News in a 2019 article titled, “Why U.S. Patriot missiles failed to stop drones and cruise missiles attacking Saudi oil sites,” would note how US-provided Patriot missile systems failed against cruise missiles and “triangular” drones used by Yemen against Saudi oil production facilities.

Despite Patriot missile batteries guarding the facilities, Saudi forces resorted to small arms fire in a failed attempt to down the drones. One attack temporarily disrupted half of Saudi Arabia’s daily oil output.

The article claims:

Drones and missiles can be detected by radar, but they tend to have small radar signatures and can fly close to the ground, sharply reducing the detection range and thus opportunities to fire on them from far away. They also are easy to maneuver, allowing them to hit the coverage gaps between radars and Patriot batteries. And drones and cruise missiles are often cheaper than a $2 million or $3 million Patriot missile, meaning the supply of Patriots can be depleted much faster than the bevy of drones launching attacks.

NBC News is describing precisely the threats Patriot missile systems transferred to Ukraine will face, but on a much larger and more sophisticated scale.

The article discusses extensive measures the US is taking to counter threats the Patriot is not well-suited to defend against – measures that only began being fielded as of 2021 – but not measures the US is prepared or even able to send to Ukraine in large numbers.

The US and its NATO allies have long neglected ground-based air defense systems in favor of achieving and maintaining air superiority over any potential battlefield through the use of warplanes. Several decades of fighting “small wars” against adversaries lacking anything resembling an air force has only compounded the problem.

Just as it will take years and large amounts of money to solve the current weapons and ammunition shortage the West faces as it continues to arm Ukraine, creating air defense systems in both the quantities and quality Ukraine’s requirements demand will take more time than Ukraine has, and more resources than the West may care to spend.

While it is common knowledge that wars are won through superior logistics, military technology, and strategy, one would be hard-pressed to recall when any war was won by “a political gesture of support.”

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... scalation/

Putin is Ringing the Death Knell for NATO
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 28, 2022
Olga Lebedeva

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Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Joe Biden, separately from each other, delivered keynote speeches in which they spoke, in fact, about the same thing — the Ukrainian crisis. The leaders of the two countries made their positions very clear.

We would like to refer to the opinion of an experienced geopolitician, a “disinterested person”, since he lives in a country that does not participate in the special military operation. This is Indian diplomat M. K. Bhadrakumar. His analytical article was published on the Indian Punchline. (See: Ukraine War Tolls Death Knell for NATO)

Joe Biden’s Virtual Confession

During Joe Biden’s press conference (which he co-hosted with his Ukrainian counterpart Volodymyr Zelensky, who visited Washington) at the White House on December 21, the US President virtually admitted that he was forced to fight a proxy war in Ukraine, because the European allies did not want war with Russia.

“Now, you say, “Why don’t we just give Ukraine everything there is to give?’ Well, for two reasons. One, there’s an entire Alliance that is critical to stay with Ukraine. And the idea that we would give Ukraine material that is fundamentally different than is already going there would have a prospect of breaking up NATO and breaking up the European Union and the rest of the world… I’ve spent several hundred hours face-to-face with our European allies and the heads of state of those countries, and making the case as to why it was overwhelmingly in their interest that they continue to support Ukraine… They understand it fully, but they’re not looking to go to war with Russia. They’re not looking for a third World War.”Mr. Biden continued: “We’re going to give Ukraine what it needs to be able to defend itself, to be able to succeed, and to succeed on the battlefield,” Biden said during his speech.

At this point, Biden realised that he had probably “already said too much” and abruptly ended the press conference. He probably came to realise that he showed the fragility of the Western unity.

Western experts have largely forgotten that territorial conquest is not Russia’s central agenda. NATO expansion is, although, of course, Ukraine is vital to Russian interests.

Putin: US wants to dismember Russia

From time to time, President Putin revisits the fundamental reason, for which the United States does what it does. In a nutshell, the Americans want to weaken and dismember Russia.

The day when Biden welcomed Zelensky in the White House, the Russian president, speaking at an expanded meeting of the collegium of the Ministry of Defence in Moscow, referred to the Chechen wars of the 1990s, when, just as today,

“…the use of international terrorists in the Caucasus, to finish off Russia and to split the Russian Federation… They [US] claimed to condemn al-Qaeda and other criminals, yet they considered using them on the territory of Russia as acceptable and provided all kinds of assistance to them, including material, information, political and any other support, notably military support, to encourage them to continue fighting against Russia.”

Putin has a phenomenal memory. He alluded at Biden’s cautious choice of William Burns to head the CIA. Interestingly, Burns was the contact person for the Moscow Embassy in Chechnya in the 1990s. Nowadays, Putin ordered a nationwide campaign to chop the huge tentacles that US intelligence agencies spread in Russia for purposes of internal subversion. The Carnegie Center, once run by Burns, was forced to close its Moscow office, and its Russian employees fled to the West.

Russia has learned from mistakes

The leitmotif of the meeting of the collegium of the Russian Ministry of Defense, where Putin spoke, was the statement of the fact that the confrontation between Russia and the United States would not end with the war in Ukraine. Putin urged senior Russian officials to “thoroughly analyse” the lessons of Ukrainian and Syrian conflicts.

“We will continue maintaining and improving the combat readiness of the nuclear triad. It is the main guarantee that our sovereignty and territorial integrity, strategic parity and the general balance of forces in the world are preserved. This year, the level of modern armaments in the strategic nuclear forces has already exceeded 91 percent. We continue rearming the regiments of our strategic missile forces with modern missile systems with Avangard hypersonic warheads.

Putin summed up: “We will not repeat the mistakes of the past… We are not going to militarise our country or militarise the economy… and we will not do things we do not really need, to the detriment of our people and the economy, the social sphere. We will improve the Russian Armed Forces and the entire military component. We will do it calmly, routinely and consistently, without haste.”


Conclusions

If neocons in the White House wanted an arms race, they now have it. The paradox, however, is that it will be different from the bipolar arms race of the Cold War era.

If the US intention was to weaken Russia before confronting China, the Americans have already failed:

*the United States is in confrontation with Russia, and the ties between the two great powers could be terminated, whereas the ties between Moscow and Beijing have been growing stronger.

*Neocons expected a win-win in Ukraine: Russia’s defeat and the ignominious end of Vladimir Putin’s presidency, followed by the consolidation of Western unity with the USA being the triumphant leader. This could be a powerful incentive for the upcoming fight against China for dominance in the world order. The Americans have failed here as well.

“But instead, this is turning out to be a classic Zugzwang in the endgame — to borrow from German chess literature — where the US is under obligation to make a move on Ukraine but whichever move it makes will only worsen its geopolitical position,” Bhadrakumar wrote in the article.

Undermining Russia from the inside has not worked either:

*The Russian people are not in the mood for a national rebellion.
*Putin’s popularity is still strong as Russia gradually realises its goals in Ukraine.

Thus, Biden may have a vague feeling that Russia does not see the crisis in Ukraine as a binary win-and-lose system, but is preparing to settle scores with NATO once and for all.

At this stage, the best option for the United States would be to leave the game and step aside.

Of course, such a move would be humiliating for both the USA and NATO. Washington’s transatlantic leadership would crumble. Even worse, the great powers of Western Europe — Germany, France and Italy — may start looking for “modus vivendi” (way of coexistence) with Russia. NATO cannot live without an enemy.

“The neocons in the Beltway have bitten more than what they could chew. Their last card will be to push for a direct US military intervention in the Ukraine war under the banner of a ‘coalition of the willing,'” M. K. Bhadrakumar concluded.

December 28, 2022


Enough of this 'neocon' - 'neoliberal' gibberish. Wtf difference doe's it make in the real world? These terms are only relevant to US partisan politics, the intramurals of the ruling capitalist class.

Dangers of Pentagon’s ‘Decapitation Strike’ against Russia
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 28, 2022
Drago Bosnic

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In recent decades, one of the political West’s favorite strategies have been the so-called “decapitation strikes” against various countries or non-state actors. One of the first examples of this happened in the 1990s in Europe, during the US aggression against Yugoslavia. At the time, NATO forces directly targeted the Serb/Yugoslav leader Slobodan Milosevic. In complete disregard for the safety of his family, NATO destroyed Milosevic’s mansions and residencies, causing casualties among civilians in the process. Although the attacks failed, the Serb/Yugoslav leader was still deposed and later imprisoned in the aftermath of a successful NATO-orchestrated coup.

A similar approach was used against Saddam Hussein in Iraq. These attacks failed, but after the US-led invasion forces occupied most of the country, he was taken prisoner by American troops and after a show trial by the new puppet regime in Baghdad, executed in 2006. A very similar fate awaited the leader of Libya, Muammar Gaddafi, who was also directly targeted during the 2011 NATO aggression on Libya. Unlike Saddam Hussein, Gaddafi never got a show trial, but was instead brutally killed by a mob. Again, in both cases, NATO strikes on the residencies of both leaders resulted in the deaths of their immediate family members and any civilians in their vicinity.

It should be noted that these decapitation strikes brought mixed results. While they did destroy much of the command structure of the targeted country or organization, the ensuing chaos and power vacuum were usually filled by someone with little regard for meaningful dialogue and brought even more suffering to the people of the affected country, causing decades of instability and factionalism. Such strikes were always conducted with impunity, as the targeted countries had no means to respond. It seems this has become such a favorite strategy in the Pentagon, that the US simply forgot that certain countries can “return the favor”, so now they’re suggesting the same against global powers such as Russia.

For months, in complete disregard of reality, some US officials have been calling for the elimination of Russian leadership. Threatening a country incapable of retaliating is one thing, despite how morally and legally reprehensible that is, but threatening a country whose response could quite literally end the world is a clear indicator of just how detached the US establishment has become. And yet, this doesn’t stop the said officials from continued calls for decapitation strikes against Russia, as stated by former CIA head David Petraeus, or direct calls for Putin’s assassination by both former US National Security Advisor John Bolton and a sitting US senator Lindsey Graham.

The comments by these US officials inevitably caught Russia’s attention, including its Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. In an interview with Russia’s TASS news agency published on Tuesday, he condemned that Washington DC obviously doesn’t rule out the assassination of President Vladimir Putin. The foreign minister noted that “some unnamed officials from the Pentagon actually threatened to conduct a ‘decapitating strike’ on the Kremlin… What we are talking about is the threat of the physical elimination of the head of the Russian state.” Moscow’s top diplomat cautioned against such a line of thinking. “If such ideas are actually being nourished by someone, this someone should think very carefully about the possible consequences of such plans,” Lavrov warned.

His comments were most likely directed at a late September article by Newsweek, when several Pentagon officials suggested a “decapitation strike to kill Putin in the heart of the Kremlin.” At the time, Putin stated that Moscow would “use all means necessary to defend Russia and its people”. As per usual, the Western mainstream propaganda machine immediately (and deliberately) took the Russian president’s words out of context and suggested that the remarks are “a clear sign” of Moscow’s planned usage of thermonuclear weapons. However, Russia has repeatedly stated that it doesn’t plan to deploy any of the weapons of mass destruction from its massive arsenal.

Lavrov also warned that some of the US vassals and satellite states are openly embracing this confrontational approach. “They seem to have gone completely beyond the bounds of decency,” he said, referring to a statement by former UK Prime Minister Liz Truss, who “without a shadow of a doubt declared during the election debates that she was quite ready to order a nuclear strike.” Russia’s top diplomat once again cautioned against such statements, but also recalled that they’re even worse in the case of the Neo-Nazi junta. “I am not even mentioning the Kiev regime’s provocations that go off the chart. Volodymyr Zelensky went as far as to demand preventive nuclear strikes by NATO countries on Russia. This is also beyond the bounds of what is acceptable,” he warned.

Indeed, such rhetoric is quite disturbing, to say the least. Given how heavily armed the global powers are, calls for decapitation strikes or assassinations of any of their leaders are extremely dangerous. However, such statements aren’t coming from Moscow or Beijing, as they are aware of the irreversible consequences of such actions. Unfortunately, this doesn’t seem to be the case in Washington DC, where a complete lack of etiquette (diplomatic or otherwise) seems to have become the norm. How exactly this could affect the world remains to be seen, as Russia is exercising restraint for the time being. This approach is the only sensible one, but the issue is that the political West often sees it as a sign of “weakness”.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... st-russia/

Russian Missile Strikes, New Defenses, & Fighting into 2023
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 29, 2022



Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for December 30, 2022:

– Russia conducts what may be the largest missile strike so far during the special military operation;

– Ukraine’s power grid continues to be degraded; – Fighting continues around Bakhmut;

– Western analysts insist Russian fighting around Bakhmut is “senseless” but it suits Russia’s strategy of attrition;

– Russia is also building extensive defensive structures across the line of contact;

– These lines force Ukrainian offensive troops to spend more time in well-prepared fields of fire resulting in major casualties;

– Russia appears to be settling into a protracted war of attrition while protecting its lines with these major defensive works.

References:

BBC – Russia fires 120 missiles from air and sea – Ukraine: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe

War on the Rocks – LOCALIZED OFFENSIVES: THE DIRECTION OF THE CONFLICT: https://warontherocks.com/2022/12/loc

New York Times – Russia is building a vast network of trenches, traps and obstacles to slow Ukraine’s momentum. Will it work?: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2

Russian Ministry of Defense (Telegram) – Centra MD engineering units erect fortifications within special military operation: https://t.me/mod_russia_en/5062

US Army, Fort Benning – Defeating the Russian Battalion Tactical Group: https://www.benning.army.mil/armor/ea

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... into-2023/

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Fri Dec 30, 2022 9:58 pm

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A war of rhetoric & reality
By Patrick Lawrence (Posted Dec 29, 2022)

Originally published: Consortium News on December 27, 2022 (more by Consortium News) |

Passing through Austin, Texas, the other night, we had drinks with a distinguished observer of global affairs and took the opportunity to ask how he thought the war in Ukraine would conclude. It is a common question these days. While no answer can be definitive, it is always interesting to discover what wise heads see out front.

“Either Russia prevails on its terms,” came the answer, “or there is a nuclear exchange.”

I do not think this stark assessment would have necessarily held up even a month ago. I may not have agreed with it, in any case. But the war has escalated markedly over the past week or two. And our Austin companion’s either/or prediction seems now to be the terrible truth of new circumstances.

There are numerous indications that Russia is preparing to launch a major offensive in coming weeks or months. With Volodymyr Zelensky’s circus-like visit to Washington last week, the Biden administration and the Democrat-controlled Congress have drastically, recklessly increased their investment in the Ukrainian president’s regime–a good-money-after-bad judgment if ever there was one.

This now shakes out as a war between rhetoric and reality. And the former, a war waged with immense volumes of Western weaponry in defense of ideological bombast, is far more dangerous than the latter, a war waged on the ground with clearly defined objectives.

As John Mearsheimer and Jack Matlock, two astute students of this conflict, have argued, neither side can afford to lose in Ukraine. But what is at stake for Russia and the West–Ukraine being the latter’s proxy–is very different.

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U.S. President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the war in Ukraine on March 26 at the Royal Castle in Warsaw. (White House, Adam Schultz)

A Russian defeat in Ukraine would be a direct threat to its security, sovereignty, and altogether its survival. These are legitimate causes. What people would not defend themselves against such a threat–especially given Washington’s long record of subterfuge in nations, not least the Russian Federation, that insist on their independence.

Near-Cosmic Confrontation

The Biden administration’s rhetoric since the Ukraine crisis sharpened prior to the outbreak of hostilities in February has cast this conflict as a near-cosmic confrontation between liberalism and authoritarianism. I do not see that this is very different from Bush II’s biblical baloney about Gog and Magog as it prepared to invade Iraq, or Mike Pompeo’s unhinged end-times talk when he was whipping up war fever against Russia and China while serving as Donald Trump’s secretary of state.

This irresponsible rhetoric has painted every breathing, walking-around American into a corner from which the only escape is capitulation. That is why it is dangerous. Russia can win battles and wage extensive artillery and rocket campaigns and remain open to negotiation at any opportunity conditions present. Putin made this point clear once again on Sunday.

It is difficult to see, by contrast, how our addled president can find his way to talks given how he and the third-rate neoconservatives who control his foreign policies have cast this conflict. And it is too easy to imagine these people reaching for the nuclear buttons once their follies become evident.

Two conclusions are due at this point.

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U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin on video-teleconference holiday call with soliders deployed to an undisclosed location in the U.S. Central Command area of operations, Dec. 23. (DoD, Lisa Ferdinando)

One, on the terms our Austin friend offered, we must hope Russia eventually prevails in Ukraine on its terms. This is the only available path to a stable, enduring global order once the guns go silent.

Two, I must return to my original assessment of Moscow’s “special military operation.” The Russian intervention was regrettable but necessary. Let us not forget the nomenclature here. This is a sovereign nation defending itself against an imperium that will not stop aggressing until it is forced to stop. Thirty years of ignoring Moscow’s repeated requests to negotiate a mutually beneficial post—Cold War security order are demonstration enough of this.

Braggadocio & the Battlefield

The braggadocio coming out of Kiev and Washington, always faithfully reproduced in corporate-owned media, seems to grow more preposterous in direct proportion to the diminishing prospects of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the AFU, on the ground. This war is going very badly for the Ukrainian side and its backers, never mind the pabulum you read in the major dailies. We read of battlefield victories that are not victories. We read that Russia is running out of matériel when there is no shred of evidence that this is so. As Alexander Mercouris noted in a podcast the other day, Kiev’s response to wave upon wave of punishing rocket and drone attacks amounts to fables to the effect that almost all the drones and rockets are shot down.

At this point the hollow hyperbole begins to turn menacing. Zelensky recently announced that Kiev’s campaign to retake Crimea has begun. He subsequently struck the pose of a benign Great Man: Vladmir Putin’s life will be spared, he declared–presumably when Ukrainian forces take Moscow. The Russian president must be hugely relieved.

The orgy of rhetoric escalated to new heights when the Pentagon flew Zelensky to Washington to meet Biden in the Oval Office and address a joint session of Congress. Zelensky continued to carry on about his regime’s coming victory while comparing the AFU with American revolutionaries fighting the British and American GIs battling the Nazi Wehrmacht. He even tossed in a Putin-is—Hitler remark.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who appears these days to be as mentally diminished as Biden, compared Zelensky with Churchill and called his remarks to Congress, which his hosts evidently wrote for him, one of the greatest speeches ever delivered on Capitol Hill.

I do not think I have ever seen a state visit so thoroughly Hollywood-ized. But it is important to get beyond mere derision. This garish display was timed to ease passage of a defense authorization bill that provides Ukraine with $44 billion more in weaponry during the coming year.

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Sergey Surovikin on Dec. 16. (Kremlin.ru, CC BY 4.0, Wikimedia Commons)

Washington put us all on notice when Zelensky got to town: It has no intention to seek a diplomatic solution to the Ukraine crisis and every intention to recommit indefinitely to its ideological war no matter how steadily Ukraine marches toward defeat. Biden, in this last connection, announced during his Oval Office encounter with Zelensky that the U.S. intends to ship a Patriot missile-defense battery to Ukraine. Cost: about $1 billion.

Meanwhile, in Moscow

Alexander Mercouris, a very close follower of events in and around Ukraine, recently listed the exceptional series of meetings Putin has held over the past couple of weeks with the entire, not to say sprawling military and national security establishment. In Moscow, the Russian leader met with all of his top military commanders and national security officials, often individually, before conferring with Sergei Surovikan, the general he put in charge of the Ukrainian operation earlier this year, at Surovikan’s headquarters inside the conflict zone.

Putin subsequently flew to Minsk with Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu for exchanges with the Belarus political and military leadership. Then it was onward to meet with the leaders of the two republics, Donetsk and Lugansk, that were incorporated via referenda into the Russian Federation last autumn.

It is impossible to avoid concluding that these back-to-back meetings, barely covered in the Western press, portend a new, near- or medium-term military initiative in Ukraine. As Mercouris put it, “Something very big is on the way.”

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Russia’s Dmitry Medvedev at a press conference in Russia, Dec. 5, 2019. (Government.ru, CC BY 4.0, Wikimedia Commons)

Among the most interesting encounters in all of this took place in Beijing last week, when Dmitry Medvedev, currently deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council and long close to Putin, had talks with Xi Jinping.

The Chinese readout of the meeting was somewhat anodyne, but I hazard a confident guess that Medvedev, whatever else he had to say and whatever was in the letter from Putin he brought with him, briefed the Chinese president on Russia’s military planning.

Four days after the Medvedev—Xi encounter, the Chinese Defense Ministry issued a statement directly related to the Taiwan crisis but pointedly broad in its implications. It read in part:

Facts have proved more than once that the U.S. is the direct threat to the international order and the culprit of the regional turbulence.

Let us not miss the import here. In my read, China has just signaled that it shares Russia’s assessment that its adversary in Ukraine is neither Ukraine nor the Ukrainian people; its adversary is the West as led by the American imperium. This is what getting the nomenclature right means. Name something correctly and understanding is bound to follow.

At some point in the not-distant future, the war of hollow rhetoric in behalf of imperial hubris will weaken and drift toward collapse. This degree of Surreal detachment from reality simply cannot be sustained indefinitely–not in the face of a new Russian initiative, whatever the form it turns out to take.

I am sure some or all of these following conclusions will come over bitterly among some readers, but here are mine. I do not want those waging war by rhetoric and display to win. I do not want the war waged by fanatical neoconservative ideologues to win. I do not want the imperium to win. I do not want the West to win so long as it insists intolerantly that the rest of the world observe its diktats.

Ukraine, as noted previously in this space, is the soil upon which these forces have chosen to wage their go-for-broke war not only against Russia, but also against the emergence of non—Western nations as influential powers in a new world order. To turn back these forces in Ukraine will be the most important victory and the most important defeat so far in our century, and very possibly for the rest of it.

https://mronline.org/2022/12/29/a-war-o ... c-reality/

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DEMOGRAPHIC EXPERT WARNS UKRAINE WILL EXPERIENCE “CATASTROPHIC DROP” IN BIRTH RATE

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Kiev is a “ghost town”, says former adviser to the President of Ukraine.

Written by Ahmed Adel, Cairo-based geopolitics and political economy researcher

The birth rate of Ukraine is expected to drop to catastrophic levels in 2023 and lead to the country’s population dropping to 35 million in the coming years. This is a demographic crisis that Ukraine will find extremely difficult to escape from, even if the war was to end tomorrow.

“Next year will see a catastrophic drop in the birth rate, and there is a risk that by 2030 the population of Ukraine will drop to 35 million,” said Professor Ella Libanova, Academician-Secretary at The National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and Director of M.V. Ptukha (Institute for Demography and Social Studies).

She added that the main factor is the war as it contributes to a high mortality rate, stress, overload, poor nutrition, and a lack of medical care, all of which has an effect on reproduction and birth rates.

The expert noted that a Ukrainian woman would need to give birth to 2.13 – 2.15 children in her lifetime to maintain Ukraine’s current population of approximately 43.1 million. According to her, in 2021, the average birth rate in Ukraine was 1.1, and in 2022 it will be“even less”.

Libanova said that many of the people that have left Ukraine are “young women of active reproductive and working age, which means that they are not working in Ukraine today and not giving birth to children here.”

“It is clear that the purely quantitative effect is negative. But given the catastrophic decline of the economy due to the war, most likely these women would not have found work in Ukraine, and their presence would have increased pressure on the labor market,” the professor explained.

According to M.V. Ptukha, the population of Ukraine has decreased every year since 1994. The current population is estimated at 43.1 million, butit is recalled that in the 2001 All-Ukrainian Census, nearly 48 million people lived in Ukraine.

The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), as of August 9, found that more than 10.5 million people fled Ukraine to go into neighbouring countries. Since then,more than 4.4 million people have returned to their homes.

Although many people have returned to their homes, Libanova stressed that Ukrainian women still abroad will be less incentivised to return “because each new month of their stay […] deepens their adaptation – their knowledge of the language improves, their children go to schools and universities, and mothers take on work.”

At the same time, according Oleg Soskin, a former adviser to the President of Ukraine, Kiev is becoming a ghost city due to the massive influx of people leaving.

“Rent in Kiev is falling and there is no longer demand. This means that migrants in Kiev are starting to leave, and there are 400,000 of them. Kiev is slowly becoming a ghost city thanks to Klitschko and all the people like Zelensky, Yermak and Shmyhal,” he said on his YouTube channel.

Soskin urged Ukrainians to leave towns and villages where production has stopped working and where there is no water, electricity, and heating systems.

“Manufacturing is going down, the economy is going down, banks are almost unable to hold out. Therefore, devaluation, inflation. Don’t linger in ghost towns,” he advised.

Following the Kiev regime’s terrorist attack on the Crimean bridge, Russia began launching missile attacks against Ukrainian infrastructure. The targets of the retaliatory strikes were energy facilities, defence industry, military command, and communications. The knock-on effects of such strikes mean electricity cuts and other inconveniences to citizens.

Soskin also highlighted that Ukrainians are being taken off city streets and forced to the front lines, which points out that Zelensky is becoming an “undisguised dictator in the eyes of the people.”

“Zelensky says what is democracy, what is freedom, and that we do not have a dictatorship, but in fact we are a dictatorship,” he said, before revealing that he receives videos of Ukrainians being forced off the streets of Dnieper, Chernivtsi, Krivoy Rog and other cities so that they can fight on the front lines.

Along with Kiev becoming a “ghost city”, people being forced off the streets to fight on the front lines, and Ukrainian women in Europe unlikely to return to their country, Ukraine faces a significant demographic crisis that will only worsen with its deepening economic crisis.

According to the Washington Post, at a closed-door meeting at the National Bank of Ukraine in December, central bank officials warned that if Russia’s attacks intensified,“people could flee Ukraine in droves, taking their money with them and crash the national currency as they seek to exchange their Ukrainian hryvnia for euros or dollars.”

“The Ukrainian government could be left without international reserves to pay for critical imports and unable to meet its foreign debt obligations — a doomsday scenario known as a balance-of-payments crisis,” the report added.

With such a dire economic situation, it is only inevitable that Ukrainian couples will have less children, and much later in life, even if wartime factors are suddenly excluded. This is a crisis that Ukraine cannot avoid now, even if the war is to end tomorrow.

https://southfront.org/demographic-expe ... irth-rate/

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Ukraine Comes Under Major Russian Missile Attacks

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Aftermath of the fall of a Russian missile in Ukraine, Dec. 29, 2022. | Photo: Twitter/ @InsightGL

Published 29 December 2022

Eyewitnesses reported strong blasts in the northwest of the Ukrainian capital and its outskirts.


On Thursday, Ukraine came under major missile attacks carried out by Russian forces from strategic aircraft and ships, the Air Force Command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces acknowledged.

The strikes followed overnight attacks with kamikaze drones. Presidential Advisor Mykhailo Podolyak said that over 120 missiles were launched against his country on Thursday morning.

Media reports said air raid sirens rang out across the country and in Kiev sounded for five hours. In Kiev, at least two people were injured in Darnytskyi, Mayor Vitali Klitschko said.

At least four S-300 missiles hit critical infrastructure facilities in the city of Kharkiv in the east of Ukraine, Kharkiv regional governor Oleg Sinegubov said.


Authorities reported explosions in the Lviv region in the west of Ukraine, and in the Poltava region in the central part of the country. In the southern Odesa region, fragments of a cruise missile fell on a building, Kyrylo Tymoshenko, deputy head of the President's office, said.

Citing Ukrainian media outlets, the Russian Defense Ministry's Zvezda broadcaster reported that explosions were heard in Kiev on Thursday morning.

Eyewitnesses reported strong blasts in the northwest of the Ukrainian capital and its outskirts, and according to some people in Kiev, glass was shaking in apartment buildings, it said. No more information is available at the moment from the Russian side.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Ukr ... -0010.html

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The ‘New Free World’
gilbertdoctorow Uncategorized December 30, 2022

In a recent exchange with readers in the Comments section of my website, I was asked whether Russians’ longtime inferiority complex vis-à-vis the West has shown any sign of changing during 2022. I was obliged to remark that the greater issue since the launch of the “Special Military Operation” has been the emergence of a Russian ‘superiority complex’ based on scorn for the gutless leaders of Western Europe as shown by their committing economic suicide to suit their overlords in Washington.

From the very first days of the war there was overconfidence in the Russian political and military leadership regarding their ability to subdue the Ukrainian military, together with its neo-Nazi brigades and NATO advisers. That overconfidence suffered a bruising blow in the first weeks as Russia experienced heavy personnel and equipment losses in its drive to take Kiev. But it quickly resurfaced once Russia re-strategized its conduct of the war to better utilize its vast superiority in artillery firepower.

As for Russia’s civilian population, there has been a steady rise in self-esteem as the country successfully weathered the imposition of “sanctions from hell.” Very capable management of finances by the Russian Treasury officials saved the currency from free fall and restored the exchange rates to status quo ante or better. Preexisting import substitution programs were expanded and complemented by ‘parallel import’ of critical supplies for manufacturing industry and for consumer retail, so that the population saw day by day that the much vaunted ‘economic sovereignty’ of their country was being assured. This turned the tide of popular feeling into pride and diminished respect for the West. Russian media amplified this effect by re-transmitting factually correct Western reports on the fall of living standards throughout the EU due to the impact of rampant inflation in energy costs on their entire economies.

Progress in the war effort in Ukraine has been painfully slow. Vast swathes of territory were conquered, then lost to a Ukrainian counter-offensive for lack of manpower on the ground. The expenditure of unprecedented volumes of artillery shells and rockets did not destroy the fortified Ukrainian lines around the exposed capital of Donetsk province, and there have been daily reports of civilian deaths and damage to residential districts in the Donbas which simply should not be. And yet, following the mobilization that began in September, Russia has held its lines along the entire front and there is the promise of its delivering a devastating blow to the Ukrainian military either in mid winter or in early spring. Meanwhile daily coverage of the destruction of the Ukrainian power grid is a constant reminder of who has the upper hand in this struggle.

The strengthened spirits of Russian patriots comes also from the demonstrable support for the armed forces from volunteers across this vast land. We see letters to the servicemen sent by schoolchildren. We see the dispatch of comestibles, warm clothing and other tokens of love from groups of patriots in city after city. This feeds into more general self-confidence. The early reports of the departure abroad of the ‘fifth column’ West-loving Liberals and of the cowardly, spoiled urban youth, IT specialists in particular, have been replaced on television news by the awards ceremonies honoring Russian heroes for their feats on the battlefield.

These changes in the broad popular mood feed into the cocky froth that I see time and again on the most popular talk shows. In half jest, panelists on the Evening with Vladimir Solovyov show speak about Russian troops marching through Warsaw to Berlin. Last night there was some discussion of a latest Hudson Institute featured article discussing what might happen if the Russians decided to bomb Poland or another NATO member state: namely, the authors concluded nothing would happen; there would be no nuclear response from Washington.

Why? If we listen to the experts on the Solovyov show, the answer lies in the present advantage Russia holds in strategic weapons, which it has modernized while the USA has only budgeted for modernization to come. The Yars, Poseidon and other new systems that are now entering into service are so threatening, so impervious to existing American defense capabilities, that any thought of a nuclear showdown with Russia at this moment has to be put aside. The panelists detailed how Russia has now put to sea several of its latest frigates carrying hypersonic missiles and cruising the world’s oceans, while the United States has fallen behind by years in its previously announced naval construction projects. And at the same time, China has brought forward by several years its own plans for an expanded navy.

Russian panelists on these shows laud America for having a smoothly running government machine which allows the presidential administration to function well under conditions of there being a mentally handicapped president. Biden is seen as an ‘object’ of his handlers. Russia has nothing comparable in terms of a deep state. The only negative in all this for the American side is that without a firm leader in command, American policy on the war vacillates daily as the opposing camps within the administration seize or lose the initiative from morning to night.

Some Russian panelists believe that for lack of a consistent policy on the war, the United States will cut its losses midway in 2023 and turn from Ukraine fully to the oncoming conflict with China over Taiwan.

All of which brings me to the remarkable analysis that a young specialist on China who is now invited regularly to the Solovyov show has been saying. His stand-out remark last night which I have used as the title for this essay is that 2022 has marked the emergence of a ‘New Free World,’ anchored by Russia and China, that has resources exceeding those of the U.S.-led Collective West. At these words, which clearly were delivered without any sense of irony or jest, John Foster Dulles must be turning over in his grave.

This China analyst insists that the most recent 20th Party Congress in China which gave President Xi his third term has installed around him known top ranking Party members who are ‘loyal’ to Russia and who despise America. There is every expectation that starting in 2023 there will be the approval and initial implementation of major Chinese investment projects in Russia, marking a significant departure from the economic relations of these two powers till now.

This same analyst says that with respect to China’s officially disavowing any intention to enter into alliances or to form military blocs, the reality is that the relationship with Russia very closely resembles an alliance with a military dimension. How else can one understand the recent joint Chinese-Russian naval drills in the South China Sea or the still earlier joint air force drills over the Sea of Japan. This, at the very moment when the United States and its allies denounce Russia as a military aggressor.

He insists that without Chinese backing from the very beginning, Russia would never have dared to venture upon the SMO. Chinese diplomatic support has been critically important in the UN Security Council. And China stepped up its import of Russian oil by 10% in the past year despite its overall reduced consumption due to the impact of Covid lockdowns on its manufacturing industry. The net result is that China was the single largest consumer of Russian oil, coal and other strategic commodities in 2022.

He notes that on the very day when Zelensky was in Washington, Xi received Dmitry Medvedev, Russia’s former President and present day close assistant to Putin. Their meeting, without masks and with warm handshakes for photo opportunities at the outset lasted well beyond the officially scheduled 45 minutes into several hours. That was clearly meant to be a signal to Washington and to the world. Moreover, today or tomorrow Presidents Putin and Xi are expected to have a lengthy video tête-à tête which will focus on coordinating actions in response to Washington’s future actions directed at either the Ukraine war or the Taiwan conflict. We do not have to wait long to see the emergence of a two front challenge to American global domination.

Meanwhile other panelists on the Solovyov show pointed to further proofs that the American century is over. As we know, China filed a suit in the WTO claiming that the United States has grossly violated WTO rules by imposing its embargo on export of state of the art semiconductors and related technologies to China. We were told last night that 126 members of the WTO have supported the Chinese position. What the Kremlin now expects is for the U.S. to effectively shut down the WTO, removing one of the important global institutions by which it has enforced its ‘rules-based order.’

I end this report by paying tribute to Charles Dickens for coining the expression which sums up the calendar year 2022 for the Russian Federation: ‘it was the best of times, it was the worst of times.’

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2022

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2022/12/30/ ... ree-world/

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Marketing the ‘Resistance Movement’
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 29, 2022
Moss Robeson


OUN-B and the ‘Capitulation Resistance Movement’ (Part II)

INTRODUCTION

An obscure Ukrainian band made international headlines in March after receiving the blessings of The Clash to rewrite the song “London Calling.” Left-wing English singer Billy Bragg at first shared “Kyiv Calling” on social media, but deleted the post and made a new one after he saw the following photo of the band showing off Banderite t-shirts spoofing The Ramones.

“This is deeply troubling,” Bragg said, explaining that Stepan Bandera (1909-59) was a Nazi collaborator who became the hero of far-right Ukrainian nationalists. “The knock on effect of this has been to allow Putin to smear all those who want a democratic Ukraine, free from Russian influence as neo-nazis.” Bragg later deleted this post after talking with the band and helping them write a statement “that both apologised for the offence caused by the shirts and clarified the band’s position.” In fact, “Kyiv Calling” served the purpose of raising money for the “Free Ukraine Resistance Movement,” which is essentially a front for the OUN-B, or Bandera’s wing of the Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists. If that is news to you, then you still need to read the first installment of this series.

There hasn’t been a lot of acknowledgment of the FURM or its predecessor in the digital Anglosphere. In its early days of 2019, the “Capitulation Resistance Movement” (Rukh Oporu Kapitulyatsiyi, ROK) called itself a “public supra-party movement,” whereas the OUN-B is a self-described “global supra-party structure.” Gordon Hahn, a political scientist, wrote that the ROK “consists of various ultra-nationalist groups.” Katharine Quinn-Judge, a former senior analyst for the International Crisis Group in Kyiv, once said the “Movement to Resist Capitulation” (a more literal translation of ROK) represented “a loose coalition of hard-liners supported by Poroshenko, some of whose associates have taken credit for stopping Zelensky’s early efforts to disengage Ukrainian forces on the frontline.”

In Part One, we heard from journalist Leonid Ragozin that the “Resistance to Capitulation Movement” was “a radical street force dedicating to toppling Zelenskiy” and “a paramilitary force associated with the nationalist opposition that coalesced around former president Petro Poroshenko.” Now compare that to the earlier descriptions to come from the Atlantic Council (AC), which is among the most influential think tanks in Washington. The “UkraineAlert” blog published by the AC Eurasia Center has described the “ROK Movement to Resist Capitulation” as “a democratic movement made up of distinguished diplomats and experts.” Weeks earlier, the AC’s Digital Forensic Research Lab similarly (mis)characterized the “Capitulation Resistance Movement” as “a diverse array of volunteers, diplomats, civil activists, scientists, and other actors.”




This installment will help to explain the discrepancy, but the short answer is that the “Resistance Movement” suggested to interested “foreign partners” that it was governed by its Strategic Council. This more respectable group of advisors is displayed on the ROK website instead of the far-right Coordination Council, roughly 50% of which consists of people involved in an OUN-B front group. More on the ROK leadership in Part 3 of this series. For now, we’ll look at the Banderite-led campaigns to promote the “Resistance Movement” in the West.

PUBLIC RELATIONS

OUN-B leader Stefan Romaniw and Olya Sydii at Stepan Bandera’s grave, 2019

In early 2019, a college-bound OUN-B member joined the secretariat of the Youth Nationalist Congress (Molodizhnyy Natsionalistychnyy Konhres, MNK) in Ukraine as its information and propaganda officer. Olya Sydii directed the MNK’s information center for nine months before the International Research and Exchanges Board rated the militant OUN-B front as one of the most influential youth organizations on social media in Ukraine.

By the time that report was published, Sydii had started college, and directed the media department of the Capitulation Resistance Movement in addition to the Free People production team and MNK information center. At some point Sydii also took over Free People’s Youtube channel. It became an ROK channel when she renamed it “Resistance TV.”

Olya Sydii joined the MNK in high school. She spent her senior year in Arkansas City, Kansas as part of the Future Leaders Exchange (FLEX) Program, a “competitive, merit-based scholarship funded by the U.S. Department of State” and administered by the American Councils for International Education. “Thanks American Council for the best mentoring program anyone can imagine,” Sydii once said. A month later, she led a mock funeral in Kyiv alongside far-right activists in Kyiv.
Olya Sydii and a member of the Azov National Corps leading a mock funeral for justice in Kyiv, December 2020

While applying for her FLEX scholarship, Sydii announced on Facebook that she played a “Yid” in the MNK’s annual “Insurgent Vertep,” or 1940s Banderite-themed antisemitic Christmas play. According to the script, she and her husband “Yid Moshko” would have thrown themselves at Stalin’s feet soon after Banderite insurgents pushed Moshko to the ground with a prop machine gun.

A year later, Sydii was taking propaganda photos around Washington, holding up the MNK’s emblem with the words “Ukraine Above All!” in front of US monuments. The organization’s symbol is a hybrid lion-wolf-hedgehog beast invented by Dmytro Dontsov, the fascist godfather of extreme Ukrainian nationalism. The hedgehog represents intransigence, and the refusal to compromise. In Washington, Sydii met, in her words, “the US representative who deals with the affairs of Ukraine, its improvement, etc”—an aide to Donald Trump’s Special Envoy for Ukraine, an opponent of the Minsk peace process.

As the Capitulation Resistance Movement got started, Sydii joined a mentoring program for FLEX alumni. Less than a month before the ROK officially launched, she participated in some kind of USAID event for Ukrainian youth organizers. The U.S. Agency for International Development has long been accused of being a CIA front. Earlier that summer, the MNK’s head of design, who presumably reported to Sydii, started working as a project director for a USAID-funded youth program. According to his Facebook profile, the ROK spokesperson graduated from this same program, and in June 2018, changed the setting of his profile picture from a far-right (Azov National Corps) protest to an event sponsored by the USAID.

The MNK used to be a member of the Reanimation Package of Reforms (RPR) Coalition, a USAID-funded group of Ukrainian civil society organizations that co-organized the high-level annual Ukraine Reform Conference. The OUN-B affiliated Center for Research of the Liberation Movement (TsDVR) in Lviv is still part of the RPR Coalition, and apparently like “Free People,” also a member of the “International Council in Support of Ukraine.” The RPR Coalition’s point person on national memory policy directs the TsDVR, and its “group manager” for youth policy is Olena Podobied-Frankivska, who also used to work for the TsDVR. In 2019, she became the head of the National Ukrainian Youth Association, a newly formed coalition of “patriotic” groups including the far-right MNK, the leader of which joined as a founding board member.

By early 2020, the Capitulation Resistance Movement had a website. About half of its webpages remained hidden, many of them still being drafted and mostly dedicated to other entities, all of which pointed to OUN-B: Free People, the “Free People Course,” MNK, the Ternopil branch of MNK that kickstarted “Protect Ukraine,” the OUN-B newspaper “Way of Victory,” two MNK camps (“Insurgent Fire,” held in memory of the Ukrainian Insurgent Army, and “Kolovrat,” as in a Slavic swastika), and three martyred MNK members. The latter included a template page reserved for a tribute to the modern “godfather” of the Youth Nationalist Congress.

The ROK website was presumably designed by Sergiy Repik, a member of the ROK Coordination Council who provided the same service for the MNK, Free People, and the OUN-B’s Ukrainian Publishing Union. In early 2021, Repik became the MNK’s new leader, but more about him later. The ROK website was never finished. FreeUkraine.TV, the simple FURM website, is entirely in English. “JOIN THE VOICE OF UKRAINIAN RESISTANCE,” it says at the top of the homepage. “We are the national decentralized citizen-led movement dedicated to the reoccupation and restoration of Ukraine following Russia’s invasion.” According to the About Us page, written at the start of the war:

If the Ukrainian government should fall, we will lead resistance to Russian occupation… Founded by the leaders of the Maidan Self-Defense group back in 2014, we are now a nation-wide resistance movement operating [in] almost all regions of Ukraine… We’ve literally ruined Putin’s plans to ruin Ukraine from inside by the Russia-led agents in Ukrainian Parliament active at that time. We knew that Putin would not stop. This is why even months before the full invasion we’ve already started to mobilise and train people for all levels of resistance… We are linked to a network of diaspora partners across Canada, USA, Australia, UK, Germany, Poland, Spain, Portugal, and Argentina of around 5000 people…

This statement has led some to suggest that the FURM is a “partisan outfit” which has “taken out arms depots and killed collaborators” inside Russian-occupied territory. The “network of diaspora partners” could be a reference to the Ukrainian World Congress, or perhaps more likely the OUN-B coordinating body known as the “International Council in Support of Ukraine” (ICSU), which the MNK front “Free People” joined in 2018. (To recap, “Free People” is essentially the political wing of MNK, and in turn the OUN-B. The ICSU is the international coordinating body of OUN-B “facade structures.”) The above paragraph was probably authored by Ostap Kryvdyk, a British-educated senior foreign policy advisor to far-right politician Andriy Parubiy.

It’s possible that Kryvdyk believes there are “around 5000” OUN-B members in the diaspora. If so, and the number sounds unrealistically high, it could be an inflated number he heard from the Bandera cultists. Ostap Kryvdyk is the “International Secretary” of the Free Ukraine Resistance Movement. According to LinkedIn, he had the same role in the Maidan Self-Defense, led by Parubiy, the former commander of a neo-Nazi paramilitary organization. Earlier in 2013, Kryvdyk performed similar duties for the Euronastup (“Euro Offensive”) campaign covered in Part One of this series.

After the so-called “Revolution of Dignity,” Ostap Kryvdyk advised Parubiy as the secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council. Kryvdyk later advised Parubiy as the first deputy chair (2014-16) and then chairman (2016-19) of Ukrainian parliament. Ostap Kryvdyk acted as Parubiy’s translator when they travelled to the United States and Canada in those years, often on trips arranged and accompanied by the Banderite ICSU leader Borys Potapenko.
Potapenko, Kryvdyk, and Parubiy in Kyiv, 2018

Kryvdyk and Parubiy visited the US headquarters of OUN-B in 2015. Eventually, Ostap Kryvdyk became an analyst for the “Ukrainian Strategic Initiative,” an OUN-B front chaired by the future leader of the “Resistance Movement.” In the meantime, apparently while still “managing foreign policy priorities” for Parubiy, Kryvdyk earned a master’s degree in international relations in 2017-18. He completed a program run by King’s College London for members of the Royal College of Defense Studies, the most prestigious component of the UK’s Defense Academy. On Twitter, Kryvdyk describes himself as a “professional revolutionary (twice)” and “RCDS [Royal College of Defense Studies] Member.”

Kryvdyk probably hasn’t joined the OUN-B, but he has certainly become a good friend of the “Bandera Lobby.” After “Kyiv Calling” went semi-viral, Kryvdyk sat with the band members during their media interviews. He appeared on CNN, and many articles quoted him as saying, “We want ‘Kyiv Calling’ to be the symbol of resistance to the new aggressor in Europe. No surrender. No compromise peace.”

Olya Sydii is the head of video production for Free People. The “Kyiv Calling” music video wasn’t uploaded to “Resistance TV” but a new “Free Ukraine Resistance Channel,” which the following month began to look for an “assistant, community manager” and a “videographer / blogger.” According to the second job listing, “We are creating a citizen journalism channel… which will help to attract support [for the ‘Resistance Movement’] both before the war ends and later during the rebuilding process.” Salaries would be paid for by “a large community of caring people from around the world.”

The second job listing also boasted an impressive “partner media network abroad to disseminate content.” For “Kyiv Calling,” the Free Ukraine Resistance Movement hired Borkowski, a PR agency in London, “to secure high-profile news and music media coverage that would highlight the FURM cause.” The agency has touted this as one of their success stories, citing “over 1,000 items of media coverage that drove over 500k people to watch the music video in just 24 hours.” Amidst the flood of nearly identical stories, The Guardian and other sources reported that money raised by the “war anthem” would help the FURM “lobby for international support.”

“Kyiv Calling” inspired Michael Weiss to remind his Twitter followers that he had recently interviewed the “second in command” of the FURM battalion, which he described as an “insurgency-in-waiting.” Weiss, the neocon news director of New Lines Magazine, apparently doesn’t know that he spoke to Ashot Topchian, a member of Free People. “Call me Anton,” Topchian told Weiss.

The voice on the other end of my Signal chat speaks fluent English, with an accent tinctured slightly by a Western education, which I’m soon to discover isn’t just any Western education. Anton spent a year at the Royal Military Academy at Sandhurst, Britain’s West Point. He retired as a major in the Ukrainian army in the 1990s. He sounds as if he’s in his 50s, although I don’t press him on this detail because the less Anton says about himself — even over a supposedly encrypted platform — the better. His bona fides were vouched for by an active-duty U.S. lieutenant colonel who was recently in Kyiv and was impressed by Anton’s depth of knowledge and Rolodex of high-level military contacts…

Has any third party or foreign country helped with supporting the Resistance Movement? “Not yet,” Anton insists, although he is hoping to change that. His organization addressed a letter to a top Ukrainian official urging him to ask U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan, as well as CIA Director William Burns and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, to help support his guerrilla battalion. “At the moment we have only materials sent from the West, but no Western instructors on the ground. We’ve been in communication with retired SAS [British special forces] and former U.S. military guys, but they’re not deployed here”… The Resistance Movement, the U.S. lieutenant colonel who introduced me to Anton explains, may not be first in line to receive such largesse owing to its domestic political baggage. It used to be known as the Capitulation Resistance Movement…

Days later, FURM leader Andriy Levus gave an online briefing to Chatham House, a prominent British think tank. The webinar was hosted by Orysia Lutsevych, former executive director of the western-funded Open Ukraine Foundation, which was founded by Arseniy Yatsenyuk, the former prime minister (2014-16) whose political party embraced “Free People” in 2016. Lutsevych is also a member of the Foreign Policy Council of the Ukrainian World Congress (UWC), which partnered with the “Resistance Movement.” For their Chatham House audience, Lutsevych introduced Levus as an “excellent panelist” tuning in from Kyiv, “where he is leading the civic resistance, jointly with the Ukrainian armed forces…”

THE CANADA CONNECTION

Less than a month after the October 2019 launch of the Capitulation Resistance Movement, the Banderites promoted their anti-Zelensky campaign at the twenty sixth triennial Congress of Ukrainian Canadians. They distributed pamphlets on the ROK at tables set up for the OUN-B’s League of Ukrainian Canadians (LUC) and the BCU Foundation, which is the charitable arm of the LUC-dominated Buduchnist Credit Union (BCU) Financial Group. The BCU is the largest Ukrainian financial institution in Canada, and underpins the Canadian OUN-B network. It is presumably still partnered with the International Council in Support of Ukraine. The Friends of Ukraine Defense Forces Fund, the ICSU-affiliated group of “activist fundraisers” mentioned in Part 1 for supporting “Free People,” is controlled by the OUN-B affiliated board members of the BCU Foundation.

The LUC delegation at the Congress included Martyn Stusiak, a member of the Youth Nationalist Congress who led the MNK in his hometown of Stryi in western Ukraine before moving to Alberta. He posted the following Facebook update: “Waiting for Resolution supporting Рух Опору Капітуляції [ROK]…” Either the Ukrainian Canadian Congress (UCC) watered down this resolution, or the Banderites never aimed for an official endorsement. The UCC unanimously adopted the LUC’s resolution on maintaining the “Territorial Integrity of Ukraine,” including a preamble which said that the UCC “recognizes the worries of concession by large sectors of Ukrainian society represented by broad movements such as the Capitulation Resistance Movement.” This laid the groundwork for the UCC to partner with the “Free Ukraine Resistance Movement” in 2022.
Delegation from the League of Ukrainian Canadians with their Capitulation Resistance Movement pamphlets at the 2019 Congress of Ukrainian Canadians

The Canadian OUN-B periodically promoted the ROK on ForumTV, the Banderite news program on “Canada’s only multilingual and multicultural television broadcaster.” In 2019-21, Steve Bandera, a third-generation OUN-B member and the Canadian grandson of you-know-who, served as the managing director of ForumTV. In that period they aired numerous interviews with leaders of the ROK. The Banderite-run Buduchnist Credit Union is the chief sponsor of ForumTV. About ten years ago, a Ukrainian Canadian blog (UkrCdn.com) reviewed the first episode:

Forum TV’s credits reveal its new leaders are not people with much expertise in media but rather members of the Buduchnist board that fund the program. The show’s Executive Producer is the Chair of the Board of Directors for the Buduchnist, another producer is also on the board and the associate producer is the President of Canadian Friends of Ukraine. All have impressive resumes in their own regards according to their LinkedIn profiles, but nothing about any sort of experience running a television show.

Days after the 2019 Congress of Ukrainian Canadians, the League of Ukrainian Canadians and BCU Financial Group sponsored the first ever book launch event for Nolan Peterson, a former US Air Force pilot turned conflict journalist based in Ukraine. Peterson is the senior editor of Coffee or Die Magazine, a military news website published by the right-wing Black Rifle Coffee Company. Ihor Kozak, a board member of the LUC and the BCU Financial Group (vice chair) who co-founded the Friends of Ukraine Defense Forces Fund, interviewed Peterson for ForumTV. After giving the conservative coffee company journalist a chance to promote his book, Kozak moved on to what he wanted to discuss.

Nolan, I’ve been following you closely, as I mentioned before, and I saw some of the latest reporting you did from Ukraine, over the past month or so, has been related to mass rallies that have been taking place in Kyiv and also across Ukraine, west to east, and the rallies were to warn President Zelensky and the new government against crossing the so-called “red lines.” The rallies were conducted under the banners — are being conducted under the banners — of the Capitulation Resistance Movement. Can you please provide your comments, your thoughts, on this movement? What does it mean to Ukraine, to the free world, to the conflict in itself?




Ihor Kozak was the first Soviet immigrant accepted into the elite Royal Military College of Canada. He apparently spent more than a decade in the Canadian armed forces working as an aerospace engineer. Kozak has been described as a “retired Canadian NATO officer” and “an independent defense and security consultant” who “advises legislative bodies and governments pro-bono, as well as think tanks and media in Canada, the United States, and Ukraine on the Russia-Ukraine conflict.” He is the token Soviet-born Ukrainian among the leaders of the Canadian OUN-B network.

In February 2020, the League of Ukrainian Canadians held its triennial congress, and adopted resolutions calling for closer cooperation with the Youth Nationalist Congress, Free People, the Capitulation Resistance Movement, and the Ukrainian Strategic Initiative, an OUN-B affiliated think tank. Andriy Levus, the leader of the “Resistance Movement,” in addition to Borys Potapenko, the Michigander president of the International Council in Support of Ukraine, sat front and center in the group photo taken at the LUC congress.
The event took place at the Old Mill Toronto, a self-described “historic, boutique hotel nestled by the Humber River,” same as the Nolan Peterson book launch. The venue’s CEO is a board member of BCU Financial Group — and so was her predecessor, a former executive producer of ForumTV. The hotel’s controller is also a BCU board member, as well as the treasurer of the Etobicoke branch of the OUN-B affiliated Ukrainian Youth Association in Canada. Ihor Kozak is also a board member of the hotel, which the Banderites have made their premier North American venue.

To conclude the 2020 LUC congress, the Old Mill Toronto hosted a Banderite gala attended by ROK coordinator Andriy Levus and leaders of the Conservative Party, including former prime minister Stephen Harper, who posed for pictures with Levus and numerous other OUN-B members. Borys Potapenko presented an award to Harper on behalf of the International Council in Support of Ukraine, an OUN-B coordinating body. It was also at the Old Mill Toronto that a delegation of MNK members representing Free People presented their “Stop Revanche” campaign to Conservative politicians, a year before the launch of the “Resistance Movement,” and just as Free People officially joined the ICSU. The U.S. leader of the “Bandera Lobby” didn’t miss either chance to rub shoulders with Canadian politicians.

THE BANDERA LOBBY

In September 2019, there was a celebration of the “125th Anniversary of the Organized Ukrainian-American Community” at the Princeton Club of New York. Walter Zaryckyj, the US leader of OUN-B and executive director of the Center for US-Ukrainian Relations, organized the event and delivered the opening remarks. CUSUR grew out of the Ukrainian American Freedom Foundation, another OUN-B “facade structure” led by Zaryckyj. Herman Pirchner of the American Foreign Policy Council gave the keynote speech. “In short, you’ve been successful for 125 years because you’re Ukrainians,” Pirchner told his audience. “Other ethnicities in the United States that have similar opportunities simply were not able to do the same thing…”

One week later, the OUN-B organized a dubious “extraordinary convention” in Bloomingdale, Illinois to declare a new leadership of the Organization for Defense of the Four Freedoms for Ukraine (ODFFU) and its Banderite headquarters building in Manhattan. The ODFFU, founded in 1946, is the U.S. counterpart of the League of Ukrainian Canadians, but the OUN-B evidently lost control of this group in the past decade. The “old board” of ODFFU denounced the “extraordinary convention” as a “coup d’etat” by “rogue members,” but “it had to be done” according to the international leadership of OUN-B. The meeting in Bloomingdale installed Mykola Hryckowian as the new president of ODFFU, although he had allegedly been expelled from this organization for stealing from the Christmas caroling fund.
Mykola Hryckowian and Olya Sydii behind the scenes of an ROK webinar

Hryckowian heads the “Washington bureau” of the Center for US-Ukrainian Relations (CUSUR), which is perhaps more like the Ukrainian bureau of Herman Pirchner’s think tank. The American Foreign Policy Council (AFPC) is said to be the “closest” and “longest abiding partner” of the Banderite CUSUR, which has a “fully functional bureau” housed in the Washington headquarters of the neoconservative group. Pirchner, who founded the AFPC forty years ago, is a Gold Circle member of the Council for National Policy, a secretive and influential right-wing umbrella organization. In 2019, he gave a shout out to Walter Zaryckyj and Borys Potapenko in the acknowledgements section of his new book, Post Putin.

Earlier that year at CUSUR’s tenth annual “U.S.-Ukraine Security Dialogue” roundtable event, Walter Zaryckyj introduced Herman Pirchner as “my dearest and oldest friend here in Washington.” Pirchner then introduced two panel speakers from Free People, including Andriy Levus as someone “who we’ve all known a long time.” (Their discussion topic: “Assessing the Security/Diplomatic Impact of Russian Hybrid Warfare in Ukraine.”) As Pirchner explained, “My first time walking through Maidan was with Levus as a guide,” during the AFPC’s first annual trip to Ukraine. By then, Hryckowian’s son started an internship at the AFPC, in which capacity he “prepared materials for a Department of Defense briefing, a Congressional testimony, and a senior level delegation to Ukraine.”

Since 2015, Herman Pirchner and the AFPC have led an annual delegation of Republican think tankers and former government officials to Ukraine, accompanied by Mykola Hryckowian (CUSUR) and/or Borys Potapenko (ICSU). The latter has apparently organized the fact-finding missions with the leadership of CUSUR and AFPC. Each time, the delegations have been received and guided in Ukraine by members of Free People, and eventually on behalf of the OUN-B’s “Ukrainian Strategic Initiative.” In 2021, the Republican delegation met with the “Strategic Council” of the Capitulation Resistance Movement.
Photo of Herman Pirchner by Andriy Levus in Ukraine

With connections made and experiences shared in Ukraine, conservative think tankers have welcomed visiting representatives of Free People with open arms in Washington. In 2018, Andriy Levus and Borys Potapenko co-authored an article that appeared in the AFPC’s “Defense Dossier” immediately after an article by Nolan Peterson. The following month, the executive director of the House Freedom Caucus joined that year’s trip to Ukraine. Soon, the “Ukrainian Strategic Initiative” sent its first delegation to Washington, including Ashot Topchian, the future deputy commander of the “Free Ukraine Battalion.”

In September 2019, the AFPC made its annual trip to Ukraine. Among other things, the delegation observed, “Opposition political groups remain in shock and even denial about their overwhelming rejection by the voters this year in three open, free and fair national elections… Some parts of the opposition in the Rada are willing to cooperate with [Zelensky’s political party] ‘Servant of the People’ on an issue-by-issue basis, but others are not, even portraying the new president and his associates as Moscow stooges.” Later that month, Pirchner celebrated the 125th anniversary of the organized Ukrainian community with CUSUR. In the days to come, the OUN-B launched its ODFFU “coup” and the Capitulation Resistance Movement.

In mid-October, Andriy Levus said, “I have known Michael Carpenter for a long time.” Mike Carpenter, a foreign policy advisor to Joe Biden, and at that point the managing director of the Penn Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement, spoke at a CUSUR conference the day before in Washington—and so did an advisor to the Capitulation Resistance Movement—where Carpenter described the “Steinmeier Formula” to make peace in Donbas as “the primary threat to Ukraine internally right now.” As the late Russia expert Stephen F. Cohen told journalist Aaron Maté that month, “unless the White House encourages this diplomacy, Zelensky has no chance of negotiating an end to the war. So the stakes are enormously high.”

Earlier that year, Michael Carpenter participated in the CUSUR conference at which Herman Pirchner introduced Andriy Levus, “who we’ve all known a long time.” Speaking at another CUSUR conference attended by leaders of OUN-B in 2018, Carpenter dissed the “ultra uber cautious Obama administration that was—members of which were afraid of their own shadow.” Amidst the 2020 presidential campaign, Carpenter predicted that a Biden administration would sharply increase military aid to Kyiv, and “help Ukraine beat back this—growing, by the way—Russian covert influence within its politics.” Once Joe Biden took office, Kyiv initiated an unprecedented crackdown on “Russian covert influence,” and Vladimir Putin subsequently began to assemble troops on the border. Whether or not the “Resistance Movement” received support from Washington, London, or Ottawa, the OUN-B helped slam shut the window for peace that Volodymyr Zelensky opened in 2019.

TBC in Part 3: “From Maidan 3.0 to World War III”

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Sat Dec 31, 2022 1:24 pm

The year of recognition and more war
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 12/31/2022

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The Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics capped the year in which they have been officially recognized first as independent and then as part of Russia by approving new constitutions. Faced with local self-government, a formula that can hardly be assimilated to regional autonomy, which the Minsk agreements promised for these territories and which Ukraine always refused to even consider, officially, the DPR and the DPR have achieved their goal. Since 2014, economic and political integration in Russia had been the explicit goal of both political structures. It was since its proclamation after the referendum of May 11, 2014 and especially after the open war that summer, after which Ukraine cut the economic ties that could have maintained the link between Donetsk, Lugansk and kyiv despite the political break. At that time, Ukraine disconnected the banking system and interrupted,de facto first and officially later, the payment of salaries, pensions and social benefits to the population of the PRD and the RPL. In addition to collective punishment for a vulnerable population in the conflict, which, according to the United Nations, affects the elderly the most, Ukraine has used this measure as a way of saving for its decimated public coffers, more interested in financing the rearmament of its army.

This economic rupture, together with Ukraine's stubborn refusal to negotiate even partial compliance with the agreements it had signed and which it now denies, assuring that they were only a way of buying time, allowed Russia to advance in a gradual integration of the regions. in its economic, political and social orbit. Vladimir Putin went from explicitly calling for the cancellation of the 2014 referendum, when he still considered that there was a possibility of using the OSCE-mediated dialogue to avoid rupture and war, to signing decrees according to which Russia temporarily accepted the documents issued by the DPR and RPL first and guaranteed quick access to Russian citizenship later. The trade blockade imposed by Ukraine on the demands of the nationalist extreme right further facilitated the economic integration of Donbass with Russia. The reduction of trade through the front against illegal plots, for which such important people as Petro Poroshenko still have pending cases, facilitated the introduction of theruble zone , which virtually eliminated the presence of the Ukrainian hryvnia and further cemented the separation of Ukraine. Throughout these years, kyiv has repeatedly refused to seek a mechanism to resume pension payments in Donbass, a move that would have allowed the hryvnia to regain some of the territory lost to the ruble.

The war in Donbass, with the military confrontation between Ukraine and the People's Republics supported by Russia to a greater or lesser extent, depending on the circumstances, always had an internal aspect, a civil war started as an anti-terrorist operationby the Government of Yatseniuk and Turchinov in April 2014 and a geopolitical aspect that went beyond the local situation. Using the war as an argument to advance his Euro-Atlantic integration, Petro Poroshenko included the aspirations to join the European Union and NATO in the Ukrainian Constitution, without there then being a sufficient majority to justify this Atlanticist will, which implied a break with the neutral tradition that had been maintained by independent Ukraine, which despite starting a path towards the West since the 1990s, was forced to maintain a certain east-west balance due to the existence of a social mass that did not understand Ukrainian feelings above all as an anti-Russian sentiment. That Atlantic will,

In 2022, Moscow considered finding itself facing a weak American presidency, that of Joe Biden, and a country that had seen its prestige reduced by the hasty and chaotic exit from Afghanistan. That nocturnal image of the last American soldier leaving Kabul, with the city already taken by the Taliban, showed Russia the difference of its Afghan withdrawal, for so many years understood as shameful. However, suddenly, the memory of the last Soviet tanks crossing the Friendship Bridge to Uzbekistan between red flags, where the families of the soldiers were waiting in an almost festive atmosphere and having left behind a government that would remain in power for three more years, he had ceased to be the image of humiliation.

Overestimating its position of strength and underestimating the political power that the United States, and therefore NATO, still maintains, Russia tried to impose a negotiation on the expansion of NATO towards its borders and demanded a written commitment, the same one that it failed to obtain. Gorbachev in the last moments of the Soviet Union, resigned to incorporate into the Alliance countries bordering Russia, Georgia and, above all, Ukraine. The resounding refusal of the United States and NATO to any negotiation, which is actually the refusal to include Russia in the security architecture of the European continent, exacerbated the geopolitical content of a conflict in which, until then, the warfare had been limited to Donbass.

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In a context of absolute refusal by NATO to negotiate the halt of its expansion to the east and by Ukraine to comply with the minimum political concessions that Minsk guaranteed to Donbass, Russia recognized on February 22, 2022 the independence of the DPR and the RPL , which he promised to defend. Days before, a rapid evacuation of the civilian population had begun, described by Ukraine and its partners as deportation, and barely 48 hours later, Vladimir Putin announced the start of a special military operation with which the war spread to all of Ukraine. In that war, faced with the ideas of demilitarization and denazificationthat Ukraine tries so hard to highlight to make clear the Russian failure, the defense of Donbass was one of the main arguments. For several weeks Ukraine had again intensified shelling of the front areas, then limited to the territory between Kominternovo, Gorlovka, Debaltsevo, Stanitsa Luganskaya and the Russian border.

With territorial defense units sacrificed on fronts then considered less important, mainly southern Ukraine and Lugansk, to keep the best units in the defense of kyiv, Russia was able, in the first weeks, to make a great territorial advance in southern Ukraine. Ukraine. The rapid advance was even more so in Lugansk, where, without any fighting, the RPL managed to capture towns that had been fiercely defended by Ukraine until days before. While the advance was slow and hard in Donetsk, the RPL managed to capture Schastie, Stanitsa Luganskaya or Starobelsk with hardly any resistance, which only appeared later in the big cities of the area: Rubezhnoe, Popasnaya, Lisichansk and Severodonetsk, battles that involved an immense destruction. The first week of July, the RPL announced the full release. During two months, Ukrainian troops did not have any military presence on the territory of the former Lugansk region. With the war apparently over in the region, a process of reconstruction and improvement of infrastructure such as roads began. However, this certainty that the battle had ended turned out to be premature and after the debacle of the Russian troops in Kharkiv, the battle returned to the LPR, where Ukrainian troops besieged Kremennaya and Svatovo and once again threatened Lisichansk or Severodonetsk. Security is also not guaranteed for the civilian population in localities previously considered calm. Perevalsk, in the rear, had the dubious honor of being the first place Ukraine used its brand-new US HIMARS, attacks that have been repeated, causing civilian casualties, at Alchevsk or Stakhanov.

The balance of this year in the DPR is even more complicated. As the richest and therefore most important region, the Ukrainian troop presence on the Donetsk front was always superior and there was no Ukrainian withdrawal in February. kyiv had large bastions there: Marinka, Avdeevka, Peski, Volnovaja, Svetlodarsk or Artyomovsk were prepared for trench warfare that, with much greater intensity, has continued throughout 2022. After a tough fight for the city's infrastructure , the Russian units managed to capture Svetlodarsk and in autumn they finally managed to capture Peski, on the Donetsk front, the only and partial success of the Russian troops on this front in recent months. The still failed assault on Arytomovsk continues, a battle that began last July and which, between devastation and death,

The great advance of the DPR and the Russian troops took place in the first months of the Russian intervention, when the republican troops from the north and the Russians from the Crimea, joined to situate the city of Mariupol. At that time, and also after a battle that left the city destroyed, the DPR had gained control of the route by capturing Volnovaja, which opened the way to the Azov Sea. The response of the Ukrainian troops, led in Mariupol by the Azov regiment, was different from that in other cities in southern Ukraine. Faced with examples such as Kherson, practically abandoned before the Russian advance, the Mariupol garrison, with units radicalized in their ideological hatred of Russia, were going to fight to the end, which condemned the city to an urban battle and the practical destruction of large urban and industrial sectors. Faced with the idea that the Azov soldiers became the “defenders of Azovstal”, the Ukrainian units prolonged the siege simply thanks to the protection provided by the Soviet infrastructure. In a dramatic turn of events, it was not Azov who defended Azovstal, but rather Azovstal who defended the regiment twice designated by the US Congress as neo-Nazi or white supremacist.

Russia achieved the capitulation of the Azov regiment and the Ukrainian units that accompanied it in May and began a long process of cleansing and subsequent reconstruction that will last for years. In these months, Russia has worked to remove the corpses of the population, sometimes buried in patios or alleys, and has begun the demolition of those buildings that are impossible to recover. In recent weeks, the DPR and the Russian authorities have begun handing over the keys to the apartments of the first neighborhoods built to accommodate the population that lost everything during the battle. Despite the fact that the enormous work has only just begun, the situation in Mariupol, which has enjoyed more attention and more funding, is less serious than in other cities with less media coverage, but who suffered a similar fate because of the war. This is the case of Rubezhnoe, Popasnaya or Severodonetsk.

And despite having possibly endured the worst battle of this war, the situation of the civilian population of Mariupol is, today, less dangerous than that of Donetsk. Since the end of May, when the Ukrainian troops began the indiscriminate shelling of the capital of Donbass, the situation for the population has worsened remarkably. A military city since 2014, Donetsk had lived, in its central districts, cut off from the danger of war. Keeping the shelling at a distance had been one of the DPR's achievements against a Ukraine that, in Minsk times, could not afford the image of shelling the center of the area's main city. Freed from Minsk and with nothing left to lose, Ukraine not only intensified but also generalized shelling against the civilian population of Donetsk,

That is perhaps the biggest failure of these ten months of Russian intervention. Faced with territorial gains or losses, the defense of the people of Donbass does not only imply the political acceptance of those entities as part of Russia. Just as the DPR and the RPL had sought as political structures and the population that resisted the Ukrainian attack for years, Russia accepted the two Republics after a new referendum as part of the Russian Federation. Accession occurred as a Republic, not as an oblast, and with the maintenance of their symbols. In this way, the DPR has acceded to Russia with the flag of the Donetsk-Krivoi Rog Republic, with which comrade Arytom tried to separate the area of ​​Ukraine dependent on Germany that was presumably going to emerge after the signing of peace of Brest-Litovsk with which Soviet Russia withdrew from the First World War.

Accession to Russia and with it the obtaining of Russian citizenship, their pensions and political and economic possibilities remains subject to the military situation. Russia has not been able to move the front from Donetsk or Gorlovka and now Ukraine is also threatening Svatovo or Severodonetsk. The prospects and promises for the future, the new constitutions and the possible reorganization and reconstruction of the economy to emerge from more than eight years of war are only long-term ideas that, in any case, will depend on the development of events. Eight years after their proclamation, the DPR and the RPL finally managed to be accepted as part of the Russian Federation. However, all those possibilities will have to be defended on the battlefield. To the surprise of a significant part of the population of Donbass, The arrival of Russian troops in the area has not meant, for the moment, a guarantee of security, quite the contrary. After eight years of suffering in harsh socio-economic conditions, 2022 has created an even more complicated military situation for the people of Donbass that does not promise to be resolved in the short term.

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Kiev Regime’s UN ‘Peace’ Summit Fantasy
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 29, 2022
Drago Bosnic

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Ukraine's Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba talks during an interview with The Associated Press in Kyiv, Ukraine, Monday, Dec. 26, 2022. (AP Photo/Efrem Lukatsky)In a Monday interview for the Associated Press (published on December 27) Dmytro Kuleba, the Kiev regime’s top diplomat, stated that the country wants a United Nations-backed “peace” summit to end the conflict with Russia by February 2023. He also conditioned the proposal with a demand that the summit would be held “only if Moscow faced a war crimes tribunal in an international court first.” Kuleba told the AP that the Kiev regime will “do whatever it can to win the war next year” as the conflict continues to rage on. The Neo-Nazi junta’s Foreign Minister also stated that he hopes both sides can reach a diplomatic deal.

“Every war ends in a diplomatic way. Every war ends as a result of the actions taken on the battlefield and at the negotiating table,” Kuleba said and added: “The United Nations could be the best venue for holding this summit because this is not about making a favor to a certain country.”

The NATO-backed puppet regime’s top official stated that his government would prefer if the UN Secretary-General António Guterres went on to serve as a mediator at the potential “peace” summit. Kuleba insisted that this was because Guterres has “proven himself to be an efficient mediator and an efficient negotiator, and most importantly, as a man of principle and integrity.” The UN spokesperson Florencia Soto Nino-Martinez responded to the comments and told the AP: “As the secretary-general has said many times in the past, he can only mediate if all parties want him to mediate.”

In a statement in response to Kuleba’s proposal, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told the RIA Novosti news agency that “Russia never followed conditions set by others. Only our own and common sense.” Peskov’s response clearly implies that the proposal is extremely unlikely to gain traction, especially when Moscow’s crucial position at the UN is taken into account. Additionally, the Kiev regime’s tendency to break previous deals and treaties also undermines the very idea that it would stick to the agreed guidelines. The same goes for virtually the entirety of the political West, which has repeatedly violated international agreements for decades.

For its part, the US insists that “the only acceptable resolution to ending the war in Ukraine is for Russian forces to pull out of the country.” Naturally, the demand is unreasonable at best, as Russia certainly doesn’t plan on renouncing its most basic security concerns stemming from decades of NATO’s crawling encroachment on Moscow’s western borders. In addition, prior to launching its counteroffensive, Russia already offered negotiations with NATO and the US, but was flatly rejected, leaving Moscow no other choice but to intervene.

Previously, in an interview with PBS (published on December 16), CIA Director William Burns said that the intelligence agency does not believe that Russian President Vladimir Putin is serious about holding negotiations with the Kiev regime. However, Putin has indeed offered peace talks on multiple occasions in recent months. On December 25, during an interview on Rossiya-1 state television, the president of Russia stated that the country is ready to negotiate to bring an end to the conflict. Putin also added that the Eurasian giant never refused initiatives for negotiations and that it was the other way around.

“We are ready to negotiate with everyone involved about acceptable solutions, but that is up to them – we are not the ones refusing to negotiate, they are,” Putin said and added: “I believe that we are acting in the right direction, we are defending our national interests, the interests of our citizens, our people. And we have no other choice but to protect our citizens.”

Still, the leader of Russia once again reiterated the position that Moscow is willing to initiate peace talks with the political West only, as the Kiev regime cannot be considered sovereign enough to negotiate an acceptable end to the conflict. This further reinforces Moscow’s stance that any “peace” summit on the territory of Ukraine would make little sense from a practical point. Additionally, the Kiev regime’s insistence that peace talks should be held only after Russia is prosecuted for alleged war crimes makes the idea even less viable, as the supposed atrocities Moscow is being accused of committing have never been proven and are essentially part of Kiev regime’s and NATO’s propaganda war against Russia.

This was evidenced by the immediate disinformation campaign launched in places like Bucha and later in the Kharkov region when hordes of journalists and reporters working for the political West’s massive mainstream propaganda machine flocked to these areas and immediately blamed Moscow for committing alleged atrocities. What’s more, the very idea of (ab)using the UN to further the goals of NATO and the US has to do with not only discrediting Russia, but also diminishing its influence in the world organization.

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Declassified Files Reveal Moscow Warned about NATO Expansion in 2001
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on DECEMBER 30, 2022
Ilya Tsukanov

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In the mid-1990s, the Clinton administration broke with its predecessor’s pledge to Moscow not to expand the Western military alliance “one inch east” of a reunified Germany. Three decades on, relations between Russia and the West are perhaps worse than they ever were even in the darkest days of the Cold War.

In 2001, riding off the post-Cold War high of lofty promises to Russia about integration into the ‘civilized world’ and seeking to maintain good relations with its newfound Western partners, Moscow carefully sought to warn NATO about the implications of the alliance’s continued eastward expansion. That’s according to British government documents released by the National Archives on Friday.

The files, which include Cabinet Office papers of the Tony Blair government from the period between 2000 and 2002, featured a remark by then-Russian Defense Minister Igor Sergeyev that continued NATO enlargement to the east would be a “major political error,” and that Moscow would be forced to “take appropriate steps.”

By that point, NATO had already swallowed up former Warsaw Pact members Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic, and was negotiating expanding into Slovakia, Bulgaria, Romania, Slovenia and the Baltic states, which would put the bloc’s strategic reach to within just 100 km of St. Petersburg, Russia’s second city.

A 2001 security paper drawn up for Blair defense advisor John Sawers chided Russian officials for their “obstructionist stance.” UK officials appeared to dismiss then fresh-faced Russian President Vladimir Putin’s assurances to Blair that he did not want to be seen as “anti-NATO,” and that he “would not try to slow down the process of NATO enlargement,” as disingenuous.

The security paper suggested that Putin’s “constructive” statements were “belied” by Russian espionage efforts against the UK, as well as Moscow’s links to Iran and Iraq.

“Despite the warmth of Putin’s rhetoric about the close links between Russia and the UK, the Russian intelligence effort against British targets remains at a high level. The Russian intelligence presence in the UK is at Cold War levels, and they continue to post active and hostile officers to work against British interests worldwide,” the document said.

Defense Minister Sergeyev did not shy away from expressing concerns about NATO expansion, both in private and in public. In the late 1990s and early 2000s, the marshal repeatedly criticized the Western bloc over the “lack of trust” with Russia in the framework of the alliance’s ‘peacekeeping’ operations in Kosovo after its 78-day bombardment of Yugoslavia. At a meeting of the NATO-Russia Council in 2000, Sergeyev warned of the dangers of Washington’s plans to withdraw from the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, which he characterized as a cornerstone of global strategic stability.

Sergeyev called on Europeans to scrap NATO and create a “pan-European system of collective security” without the United States. The marshal also criticized the use of NATO forces in Kosovo without United Nations and Organization for Security Co-operation approval, saying this undermined the global post-Cold War security architecture.


The National Archives document dump also revealed UK efforts to keep up diplomatic decorum, befriend Putin and pull the wool over his eyes on the West’s friendship with Russia. In a memo dated February 2001, Blair proposed to US Vice President Dick Cheney that Putin be granted a “position [at] the top table” and encouraged “to reach for Western attitudes as well as the Western economic model.” Blair recommended “treating [Putin] with some respect while preventing him from pulling European members of the [NATO] alliance away from the US.”

Blair compared Putin’s “mindset” to that of the late French President Charles de Gaulle, describing him “as a Russian patriot, acutely aware that Russia had lost its place in the world.”

The docs revealed that Blair had symbolically gifted Putin a pair of special No 10 cufflinks in October 2001 for the Russian president’s birthday, with Putin ‘honored’ as the first non-British leader recipient of the trinket. The same year, Putin was said to have informed Blair that Russia was ready to help ensure Britain’s energy security “for decades to come” through the construction of a new gas pipeline via Belarus.

Western distrust over Russia’s intentions and the NATO push to incorporate more and more Eastern European members in the bloc underscored its underlying hostility to Moscow, notwithstanding the supposed end of the Cold War. Putin sought to test the authenticity of Western intentions in the year 2000, recalling to that he once proposed to outgoing President Bill Clinton that Russia itself join NATO.

“I remember one of our last meetings with President Clinton in Moscow. During the meeting I said, ‘we should consider an option that Russia might join NATO’. Clinton replied, ‘Why not?’ But the US delegation got very nervous,” Putin recalled, speaking to US filmmaker Oliver Stone in 2017.

Putin’s strategy echoed the approach taken by Soviet Foreign Minister Vyacheslav Molotov, who asked to join NATO in 1954 in a test of the West’s strategic intentions vis-à-vis Moscow. The alliance turned the Soviet offer down, prompting Moscow to form the Warsaw Pact alliance a year later. That alliance helped to guarantee European security for the next three-and-a-half decades.

NATO expansion is one of the central causes of the current crisis in relations between Russia and the West, including the ongoing conflict in Ukraine -amid the bloc’s attempts to drag Kiev into the alliance. Russia has expressed concerns that the alliance’s conventional military forces, plus the missile defense systems placed in Poland and Romania, are designed to target Russia, threatening the country and undermining global strategic stability.

In December 2021, Russia proposed a twin set of draft security treaties to the United States and NATO. The proposals were designed to reduce tensions between Moscow and the Western bloc, and included a pitch not to deploy troops, military equipment, warships, missile systems and aircraft in areas where they might be seen as a threat to the other party, and a formal commitment by both sides that they do not see one another as adversaries. Moscow also asked Washington not to continue NATO’s eastward expansion, including into Ukraine and Georgia. The Western bloc rejected Russia’s proposals in January, citing its unwavering “open door” policy. Several weeks later, the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics reported an unprecedented increase in Ukrainian shelling and sabotage attacks of their territories, and, fearing that Kiev may be preparing a full-scale invasion, began an evacuation of civilians to Russia. Moscow responded by kicking off its special military operation to ‘demilitarize’ and ‘de-Nazify’ its neighbor.

George Kennan, venerated US diplomat, geostrategist and author of the famous 1946 ‘long telegram’ of advice on how to ‘contain’ the USSR in the first years of the Cold War, famously characterized NATO’s decision in the 1990s to expand as “the most fateful error of American policy in the entire post-Cold War era.” The decision, he said, would severely undermine the fledgling trust between Moscow and Washington, and “impel Russian foreign policy in directions not to our liking.” Twenty-five years on, Kennan’s warning has proven prophetic.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/12/ ... n-in-2001/

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Lack Of Good Analyses Contributes To The Decline Of The 'West'

What really hit me last year was the dearth of correct analyses in main stream media and in politics with regards to the war in Ukraine. Little if anything is based on facts. More than 90% of the published output is propaganda.

The 'western' plan was to draw Russia into Ukraine to then 'kill' it by economic sanctions. As Biden said when he announced those:

We have purposefully designed these sanctions to maximize the long-term impact on Russia and to minimize the impact on the United States and our Allies.
And I want to be clear: The United States is not doing this alone. For months, we’ve been building a coalition of partners representing well more than half of the global economy.

Twenty-seven members of the European Union, including France, Germany, Italy — as well as the United Kingdom, Canada, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, and many others — to amplify the joint impact of our response.

I just spoke with the G7 leaders this morning, and we are in full and total agreement. We will limit Russia’s ability to do business in Dollars, Euros, Pounds, and Yen to be part of the global economy. We will limit their ability to do that. We are going to stunt the ability to finance and grow Rus- — the Russian military.

We’re going to impose major — and we’re going to impair their ability to compete in a high-tech 21st century economy.

We’ve already seen the impact of our actions on Russia’s currency, the Ruble, which early today hit its weakest level ever — ever in history. And the Russian stock market plunged today. The Russian government’s borrowing rate spiked by over 15 percent.


The assumptions behind these sanctions about the state of the Russian economy were completely wrong. Russia no longer had a low level economy. Yes, its GDP in dollar terms was much lower than those of most European states. But its GDP per capita measured at purchase power of the ruble was quite high. Russia's GDP also includes a much higher percentage of real production and a lower percentage of dubious 'services'. Its health care sector is 5.6% of its GDP. In the U.S. it is 16.7%, without creating a much better outcome. If one looks at Russia's production of steel, concrete and electricity per capita, things of real value, one can see that it is as much developed as other major middle income countries in Europe.

The sanctions not only failed but hit back at those who issued them. Just look at Europe's energy crisis. Due to the sanctions issued in 2014, when Russia reintegrated Crimea, it knew what was coming and had prepared for it. Within weeks the rubel went so high that the central bank intervened to lower it. 'western' companies in Russia were quickly taken over or replaced by Russian ones. Trade with China and other non-western countries grew immensely. Russia's total GDP decline in 2022 will be 2.5-2.9%, not the 20+% some western 'experts' had predicted. Some of the European countries that issued the sanctions will have a much sharper decline.

Russia was and is rich. It produces lots of food and has all the natural resources it could wish for. Its economy is mostly self sufficient. Its population is well educated. It has the military means to defend itself. How anyone thought that Russia could be brought to its knees by sanctions is beyond me.

Them came the war. In April the attempt to make peace with Kiev failed after the U.S. prevented Kiev from signing a deal. In consequence the Russia forces pulled back from Kiev. It never had had enough troops there to conquer the city. (One needs 1 soldier per ~40 inhabitants to occupy a city. Russia had only half of the needed force near Kiev.) The 'experts' called that a 'defeat' when in reality Russia had switched to a different plan that required a different disposition of force. It next took the Luhansk Oblast from Ukraine and switched to defensive tactics. The new aim was to bleed the Ukrainian forces while incurring few Russian losses.

Then came the Ukrainian attempt to take Kherson. That failed. A parallel Ukrainian attempt in the Kharkiv region was more successful as Russia had already removed most of its forces from that area. But take a map and look at the Kharkiv area that Russia 'lost'. It has little industry and no important natural resources. What is its actual value for Russia? The southern land corridor from Russia to Crimea was way more important and that is where the troops had gone.

The Kherson region west of the Dnieper turned out to be difficult to supply. The new military command wanted the 30,000 troops holding it to move elsewhere. The Russian troops moved to the east side of the Dnieper without any losses. The Ukrainian military command in that area acknowledges that it failed in its main mission:

[Maj. Gen. Andriy Kovalchuk, who was tasked with leading the Kherson counteroffensive] set out to bisect the Russian-occupied area on the west side of the Dnieper and trap the Russian forces. “My task was not only to liberate the territory,” he said. “My task from the start was to occlude and destroy the force. That is, to not let them leave or exist.”

The first task was fulfilled by Kovalchuk's successor only after the Russian forces had withdrawn from the area. The second part of the task was, despite high Ukrainian losses, left unfulfilled.

Like with the Russian pullback from Kiev the 'experts' claimed that the move east of Kharkiv as well as into the Kherson region were Ukrainian victories. From a military perspective neither qualifies as such.

Now you have BBC 'experts' predicting ways the conflict could go in 2023. There analyses of the real situation are so bad that you wonder what disinformation they are based on.

Michael Clarke, associate director of the Strategic Studies Institute, Exeter, UK
...
Both sides need a pause but the Ukrainians are better equipped and motivated to keep going, and we can expect them to maintain the pressure, at least in the Donbas.
Around Kreminna and Svatove they are very close to a big breakthrough that would throw Russian forces 40 miles back to the next natural defensive line, close to where their invasion effectively began in February.
...
Andrei Piontkovsky, scientist and analyst based in Washington DC

Ukraine will win by restoring completely its territorial integrity by spring 2023 at the latest. Two factors are shaping this conclusion.

One is the motivation, determination and courage of the Ukrainian military and Ukrainian nation as a whole, which is unprecedented in modern war history.

The other is the fact that, after years of appeasement of a Russian dictator, the West has finally grown up to realise the magnitude of historical challenge it faces.
...
Barbara Zanchetta, Department of War Studies, King's College London
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The costs of the war, both material and human, might break the level of commitment of the Russian political elite. The key will be inside Russia.

Past wars in which miscalculation was a crucial element, such as Vietnam for United States, or Afghanistan for the Soviet Union, only ended in this way. Domestic political conditions shifted in the country that had miscalculated, making exit - either "honourable" or not - the only viable option.
...
Sadly, this will continue to be a long-protracted political, economic and military battle of resolve. And by the end of 2023 it will most probably still be ongoing.
...
Ben Hodges, former commanding general, United States Army Europe
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By January, Ukraine could be in a position to begin the final phase of the campaign which is the liberation of Crimea.

We know from history that war is a test of will and a test of logistics. When I see the determination of the Ukrainian people and soldiers, and the rapidly improving logistical situation for Ukraine, I see no other outcome but a Russian defeat.
...
David Gendelman, military expert based in Israel
...
The occupation of the Luhansk and Donetsk regions will continue but a major Russian breakthrough like a drive from the south to Pavlograd to encircle the Ukrainian forces in the Donbas is less likely.

More probable is a continuation of current tactics - a slow grinding of Ukrainian forces on narrow directions and a slow advance, like in Bakhmut and Avdiivka areas, with possible same tactics in Svatove-Kreminna area.


I can confidently say that, except for a small likelihood for the very last prediction to be true for some time, all others conclusions above are delusional nonsense. They are not based on facts and numbers but on wishful thinking. They are in themselves mere propaganda. (Watch Webb Union and History Legends having fun with them.)

The delusion about the military state of the war is even worse when it comes to the political side.

Putin, unaccustomed to losing, is increasingly isolated as war falters
A new gulf is emerging between the president and much of the country’s elite


The above headline is from today's Washington Post. The unfounded basic assumption of the piece is that Russia is failing in its war. Its conclusions rest on some Carnegie 'expert' and anonymous sources in Russia. It is contradicted by the reality of the war and the results of current polls in Russia which show strong support for Putin and the government. It also ignores the fact that Russia has good relation with most of the rest of the world and that it also has powerful allies:

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese leader Xi Jinping vowed Friday to deepen their bilateral cooperation against the backdrop of Moscow’s 10-month war in Ukraine, which weathered another night of drone and rocket attacks following a massive missile bombardment.
...
Putin, during his call with Xi, noted that military cooperation has a “special place” in the relationship between their countries. He said the Kremlin aimed to “strengthen the cooperation between the armed forces of Russia and China.”
Xi, in turn, said through a translator that “in the face of a difficult and far from straightforward international situation,” Beijing was ready “to increase strategic cooperation with Russia, provide each other with development opportunities, be global partners for the benefit of the peoples of our countries and in the interests of stability around the world.”

Ties between Moscow and Beijing have grown stronger since Putin sent his troops into Ukraine on Feb. 24. Just last week, Moscow and Beijing held joint naval drills in the East China Sea.

China, which has promised a “no limits” friendship with Russia, has pointedly refused to criticize Moscow’s actions in Ukraine, blaming the U.S. and NATO for provoking the Kremlin, and has blasted the punishing sanctions imposed on Russia.

Russia, in turn, has strongly backed China amid the tensions with the U.S. over Taiwan.


'Increasingly isolated' seems to mean something different to the Washington Post writer than to the rest of the world.

The delusion and lack of good analyses about military and political issues is accompanied by a delusion about the economic future of the 'west'.

Here is a bit of reality:

Credit Suisse contributor Zoltan Pozsar has continued his ongoing series about Bretton Woods III where commodities will dictate the new world order. For his last dispatch of the year, he described how the world is now shifting to a multipolar order “being built not by G7 heads of state but by the ‘G7 of the East’ (the BRICS heads of state).”
...
“My sense is that the market is starting to realize that the world is going from unipolar to multipolar politically, but the market has yet to make the leap that in the emerging multipolar world order, cross-currency bases will be smaller, commodity bases will be greater, and inflation rates in the West will be higher,” the author explained.


I could go on about these issues for some time.

My feel this year was that political, economical and military issues discussed in the main stream media have parted from the objective reality more than they have done at any previous time in my life. I sometimes look into a mirror and think 'well, maybe its just you.' But it is not just me. Other analysts have come to similar conclusion. But, like me, neither of them gets quoted in main stream media and neither is paid in a traditional sense to publish on these issues.

Which, thinking of it, may well be the root of this theme.

Posted by b on December 30, 2022 at 17:50 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/12/l ... .html#more

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On humanitarian work in 2022
December 31, 12:00

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On humanitarian work in 2022

From the end of February to the present day, the channel has been working on organizing humanitarian aid collections for the needs of the armies of the DPR, LPR and the RF Armed Forces.

This time (unlike in 2014), I was not directly involved in humanitarian work (I removed the “financing of terrorism” achievement and getting into the EU sanctions list back then), dealing with the organization of collections for various humanitarian organizations. This process was well debugged, as a result of which military and humanitarian aid was collected daily on the channel for both the military and civilians.

In total, over the past year I have worked with about 10 different organizations and groups, both large and small. The largest volumes of cargoes, with a significant contribution of the channel's readers, were collected by Vladimir Orlov and MOO "Veche" and Katya and Valya Kornienko. Also, a lot of cargo was collected by Anastasia Mikhailovskaya, Sergey Parshchikov, Vitaly Ishchenko and so on. On the worst days, it was about fees of 400-700 thousand rubles per day. In the best - up to 8-10 million rubles. On average - several million rubles.

I don’t know the exact figure, but I’ll assume that in total for the year all humanitarian groups who donated money on the channel collected up to 300-350 million rubles, which were used to purchase thousands of drones (including 2 Supercam S350 units with a control station for 20 million rubles ), up to 200 vehicles and mountains of various equipment and ammunition, which were delivered to front-line units on a regular basis. A large number of various cargoes were also purchased for the inhabitants of the liberated territories, where they were quickly delivered after the end of the fighting. From unfulfilled desires - to organize a collection for the purchase of a nominal tank from the channel to the front.

Reports on the delivery of goods were regularly published on the channel, as were the reviews of fighters and commanders about the delivered goods. People need to see who and what their money is going to. It was especially pleasant to watch the work of the UAVs purchased with the help of readers, which helped our military to fight effectively at the front. In this, you could immediately feel your personal contribution to helping the front, and many Ukrainian invaders found their end in Donbas thanks to the drones that were purchased with your help.

You can whine as much as you like that the army doesn’t have this or that, they didn’t prepare it here, they didn’t bring it here. This is all clear. And it was clear back in March. The reasons for this are also not a big secret. But here the choice is simple - either whine about it for a year, or make efforts to correct this situation. And during the year, we did what we could to help our army. It is important for our soldiers and officers to know that they have a strong rear behind them, where they are working both on the state and public lines to provide them with everything necessary for victory. In this, on the one hand, I see the practical embodiment of the thesis about the need for unity of the front and rear, which was one of the guarantees of the victory of the Soviet people in the Great Patriotic War. And our historical experience must certainly be used.

On the other hand, we see the work of a real civil society. Not the fiction that for a long time the Moscow liberals presented to us as "civil society", but a real civil society, which is capable of a collective awareness of problems and ways to solve them. And comparing the current situation with the situation in 2014, I can say that over the past 8 years our real civil society has grown, although we all know that we still have room to grow. With the legacy of the "saints of the 90s" we have not yet fully paid off.

To everyone who in one way or another helped the front and the inhabitants of the front-line territories, wounded soldiers and refugees - thank you very much for this year. The fact that we managed to do so much is first of all your merit. You are cool.

I think we all did a good job. And I am sure that in 2023 we will all do a lot more.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8069623.html

On the course of the NWO in Ukraine. 12/30/2022
December 30, 23:59

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Answers to questions about the course of the SVO for the channel of the military commander Yuri Kotenok.

On the course of the NWO in Ukraine. 12/30/2022

1) Into what stages would you divide the past 10 months of CBO?

1. From the beginning of the NWO to the departure from Kyiv.
2. Late March-early May - the end of the battle for Mariupol.
3. May-July - the liberation of the LPR.
4. August-September - APU counteroffensive. Loss of Izyum, a successful defensive operation on the bridgehead on the right bank.
5. October-December - the final formation of a positional front, withdrawal from Kherson.

2) What victory at the front do you consider the most significant?

The defeat of the enemy in the Severodonetsk-Lisichansk agglomeration, which allowed the liberation of the territory of the LPR. Further in importance, one can put the encirclement and defeat of the Mariupol grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In both battles, the enemy suffered heavy losses in manpower and equipment, losing large cities and leaving large territories.
In addition, the victory near Mariupol allowed Russia to break through a land corridor to the Crimea and make the Sea of ​​Azov an inland sea of ​​Russia.

3) A similar question, but with a minus sign. Which of the failures made the most painful impression on you?

The defeat at Balakliya, which entailed a forced withdrawal from Izyum and the subsequent loss of Kupyansk and Krasny Liman. This strike was warned, but no proper measures were taken, as a result of which the loss of territory and a significant material part was allowed. From a military point of view, this is our most significant defeat in 2022.

4) Now, 10 months after the start of the NWO, can we say that we were not sufficiently prepared for the level of military conflict that is taking place in Ukraine?

As events at the front showed, no one was fully prepared for the type of war that began in Ukraine. Including Russia, which has to adapt to a type of war for which it was not prepared. As I pointed out back in March, the war will follow the path of Syrianization, which implies extended fronts and an indefinite duration of the war with its maximum internationalization. The problems of the Russian Federation are mostly of an objective nature, which was further aggravated by various unforced errors of an organizational and managerial nature, some of which were officially recognized already in the autumn.

5) One of the main characters of the SVO was the fighters of the Wagner PMC, who showed themselves excellently in combat operations. Was this expected, given the participation of this PMC in the Syrian war, or was it still some kind of surprise?

Since I followed the operations of the Wagner PMC in Syria, Libya and Africa, there are no particular surprises about its success. The high-quality assault work of the Wagner could be observed in Syria (for example, during the assault on Palmyra and Akerbat) or in Libya, during the battles for Tripoli. Of course, for those who did not monitor the work of Wagner in remote theaters, the successes of the PMCs were somewhat unexpected. The main result of this participation is that PMCs received final legalization in Russia, even in the absence of a law regulating the activities of PMCs. Not de jure, but de facto.

6) What is the main domestic political outcome of the past months?

The main result is that Russia has finally acquired full military-political and economic sovereignty. The current world order is obviously collapsing and Russia is now fighting for its place in the future multipolar world. Nobody said it would be easy and painless. But now everything depends only on ourselves. Unlike most other countries that do not have a military-political subjectivity, we are now completely independent. That in itself justifies the beginning of the NWO, although even according to Putin, this was belated, following the promises of the West. Of course, these processes seriously affect the internal situation in the country. On the one hand, I like the changes that I see in society, but on the other hand, they are still insufficient. It will take some time before we fully pay off the "holy 90s"

7) Which countries have proved to be reliable partners of Russia during these months? And, on the contrary, which states have disappointed with their position?

China, Iran, Venezuela, North Korea, Belarus, Cuba. As for disappointments, I personally don't have any. Everyone behaves within expectations, even some partners in the CSTO, from whom I initially did not expect anything (this does not apply to Belarus, which, to the best of its ability, provided assistance to the Russian Federation). Separately, it is worth finding out Turkey, which sits on two chairs and is guided by its own benefit. Despite delivering weapons to Ukraine, Erdogan has managed to remain a useful companion for Russia, helping to redirect trade flows and build parallel import schemes. "Friend Rejep" is certainly not an ally and it is not recommended to turn his back on him, but the "nothing personal - just business" interaction scheme still works.

8) In your opinion, to what extent did the NWO bring Russia and the United States closer to the possibility of a direct clash? Or are these risks of a completely different nature?

These risks are now very high and such a collision could occur as early as 2023. The reasons for this are obvious - the United States, having failed to achieve the defeat and surrender of Russia, is forced to continue to raise the stakes, but they have not so many moves left before the issue of using nuclear weapons comes to the fore, as in 1962 or 1983. Russia, of course, is not interested in such a nuclear crisis, but one must be prepared for it in the event of a NATO attack on Belarus or Kaliningrad. The better Russia will convey such prospects to the West, the greater the chance that the notorious red line will not be crossed. In the meantime, we see how Russia's red lines are pointedly ignored, because they do not threaten the West with destruction. The West understands only strength, not concerns with protests in an embrace.

9) How adequate is the point of view that the whole of 2022 was a kind of preparation for the decisive campaign of the year 2023?

In my opinion, this is a simplification. 2022 was the first year of a war that will not necessarily last only 2 years. Considering the experience of the Iran-Iraq and Indo-Pakistan wars, as well as the experience of Syria, such a war could go on for much more than two years. The United States is already frankly planning to accompany the war until 2025-2026. We need to do the same, forming the readiness and ability to wage such a war for several years (if we finish earlier - good), simultaneously dealing with the issues of modernizing the country to the current economic and military-political realities. At the same time, it is important to understand that the Cold War, regardless of the timing of the war in Ukraine, will go on for a long time, just as the end of the Korean War did not lead to the end of the Cold War. So we need to tune in to a long conflict and serious work to develop the country in the new realities. Of course, the sanctions will not be lifted in the foreseeable future. In addition, other conflicts are likely, where the Russian Federation and the United States will collide on the territory of third countries. But whoever remembers the past Cold War knows how it happens. Well, regarding purely military successes at the front, everything depends solely on the military and how they will conduct the 2023 campaign.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin - the broadcast of hostilities in Ukraine continues as usual in Telegram, who are interested, subscribe



Happy New Year!
December 31, 1:00 am

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Happy New Year to all readers of "The Mouthpiece of Totalitarian Propaganda".

I apologize that this year I devote less time to the blog than usual, but there are force majeure circumstances, so part of my time that I devoted to the blog and to you is now spent on ensuring the smooth operation of the online broadcast in Telegram https://t.me /boris_rozhin , which affects both the number and format of publications in LiveJournal, which I try not to abandon to the best of my ability, because the war will end, and LiveJournal, as it was, will remain the main place for large texts, to which I I expect to return after the war, when the number of publications in Telegram will be reduced to 6-8 per day.

I'm not going to leave LJ anywhere, in terms of large texts, he still has no alternative. Yes, the pace of its modernization is slower than we would like, but this is also part of the specific traditions of the platform.

Separate posts will be published today about humanitarian aid, telegrams and some results of the years.

For other questions.

1. Why there was no action "2 carnations this year". The reason is simple - war. The organizers, in terms of training for the military, decided not to hold it. If they decide to hold it on March 5, I will support it without any problems. From Sevastopol, for obvious reasons, it is difficult for me to organize it, so it's up to comrades from Moscow.

2. Why is there no "Red Solyanka". Physically no time. I tried to publish interesting materials of a socialist and communist orientation, which were sent by readers during the year and which I managed to view in the military news stream, in LiveJournal. I will try to do this further, especially since the year 2022 has again confirmed the correctness of the classics and showed the dead end of capitalism, which cannot resolve the fundamental contradictions within itself. Socialism, as before, remains a more progressive system than capitalism, and capitalism cannot do anything about it - the basic parameters of the system interfere. The post about "Totalitarian calendars" physically did not have time to do. You can download calendars for the next year for subsequent printing here https://swalker.As usual, I recommend Lavrenty Pavlovich and other wonderful people. As you know, the domestic bourgeoisie, with great surprise, made the discovery in 2022 that the enemies of the people were not an invention of the "paranoid Stalin."

3. Will there be an amnesty this year. No, it will not. The reason is simple - war. How will the war end. then there will be an amnesty. In addition, the tightening of moderation is associated with the reluctance that some of the readers fall under tougher laws, under which the term on the Internet can be raised very easily. Otherwise, with adequate behavior and observance of the simple rules of the blog, you can comment as before without any problems. There are no plans to close comments.

4. Concerning coverage of the war. It is mainly carried out in Telegram https://t.me/boris_rozhin. It is pointless to demand that this be done here in full. I just don't have the physical strength to do it. I try to duplicate interesting things from Telegram here for you too. But if you are primarily interested in the war, then you better follow it on Telegram. As for the screams from the gallery - why don't you write about this or that, the answer is simple - I either have no time, or I'm not interested. And I try to write about what interests me first of all (how unfair this damned world is!)

5. Concerning disappointment in someone in connection with the war. I don't have them in my immediate area. All "lovers of Euromaidan Ukraine", "non-warriors", "white and blue cuckolds", fans of the "pillar road of civilization", "leftists for Euromaidan", etc. cut off from his social circles back in 2014-2015, therefore, with the beginning of the SVO, he did not have any "sudden discoveries" about friends and acquaintances.

6. Concerning support for the war. I wrote everything back in February 2014, which determined my subsequent participation in the Crimean Spring and support for Donbass, and humanitarian aid, etc. and so on, up to this day. As Ernest Hemingway wrote - 50 years of undeclared wars ahead and I signed up for the whole term.

We live in a historical time when the country and the whole world are changing. The scale of change is colossal and all of them are compressed into the most narrow period of time. We have yet to realize all this when the smoke of battle clears. Therefore, do not be surprised when you see people clinging to the elusive pre-war reality. Of course, not everyone is ready for what is happening, but here it doesn’t matter whether a person is ready or not - changes are inevitable, due to the tectonic processes of transformation of the world order, which changes for the 2nd time during the life of one generation. Actually, it is these processes that determine the content of 2022.

Happy holiday comrades, with the upcoming 2023 year.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8068934.html

Google Translator

Credit where credit is due, Boris has been correct more often than anybody, including the Kremlin. The chauvinism he occasionally displays, unbecoming of a communist imho, is a result of war, of history. What ya gonna do?
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV

Post by blindpig » Sun Jan 01, 2023 2:09 pm

Hawks for diplomacy
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 01/01/2023

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The increase in the public presence of the figure of the High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy has been, since the start of the Russian military intervention in Ukraine on February 24, one of the diplomatic effects of the extension of the war from Donbass to all of Ukraine. The little weight that the position had carried until now led to the disinterest of a large part of the main countries when it came to placing one of their diplomats at the head of European Union diplomacy in the latest formation of the European Commission. The task then fell to the Spanish representative, whose objective was to have a privileged position when it came to countering the Catalan independence narrative. Although without great skills for diplomacy,

At various times in the past year, the European Union's head of diplomacy achieved unexpected prominence for those who promoted him to the position. With the focus on Western diplomacy, mistakes can no longer be hidden by responding with sanctions against the designated enemy, as occurred after the incident with Lavrov at a joint press conference in which Borrell felt mistreated by the Russian Foreign Minister. , who simply responded with an argument that the representative of the European Union was not able to refute. In recent times, Borrell has understood the importance of the bloc's foreign policy, but also its risks. Perhaps due to a lack of preparation for the position, the High Representative has manifested himself in undiplomatic ways that repeatedly

In December, before an audience that included Latin American deputies, the High Representative referred to the difficult times for diplomacy and in an attempt to highlight the importance of the EU's relations with Latin America, Josep Borrell distinguished himself with one of his great sentences. “Like the discoverers and conquerors, we have to invent a New World. And we must recalibrate our strategic compass with full historical awareness in order to understand the magnitude of the changes we are facing”, stated Borrell, unable to even consider the possibility that the mention of the discovery would result in a claim of white and European imperial conquest and oppression against their peoples.

But if the High Representative has stood out for something in this year that has just ended, it has been for his ability to show the shortcomings of the European Union in the international context that has been generated around the war in Ukraine, in which the importance of the The EU has risen remarkably by becoming one of the main sources of funding for the kyiv government. It is there where Borrell has reached his maximum prominence in recent months and where he has made his best-known mistakes. It is possible that the merit resides in having achieved it both in a context in which the High Representative intended to make self-criticism and in what should be the defense of the bloc he represents against a supposed external anarchy that, in his vision, would threat.

In a speech before the diplomatic representation of the EU in other countries, Borrell was critical of the state of the bloc's diplomacy. At that time, much of the media highlighted the value of this self-criticism. They did so without realizing that the self-criticism was actually a criticism of the bloc's ambassadors, who according to the EU diplomacy leader should carry out the task of "countering the enemy story" with greater vigor, that is, the Russian and Chinese story. Borrell even went so far as to recommend that ambassadors retweet their tweets. Twitter is precisely one of the areas in which the High Representative has encountered difficulties in hiding his lack of experience for the position. “No more shopping in Milan, parties in Saint Tropez, diamonds in Antwerp. This is just the first step."

The war has helped Borrell and other authorities from the countries of the European Union to understand the world a little better. Macron has understood that the American and Norwegian partners understand business from the point of view of capitalism and are not going to reduce the prices of the gas they sell to the EU countries to replace the cheaper Russian gas. And together with Scholz, he has understood that the United States is not going to renounce a protectionism that makes the countries of the European Union lose competitiveness, prisoners of their own policies. With the application of sanctions to the Russian energy sector, to which the price cap on Russian oil has recently been added, The European Union has voluntarily renounced its main trading partner in this sector at a time when rising fuel prices are allowing Russia to maintain and even increase its income from the sale of oil and gas despite losing what it It was their main market. The era of abundance is over, the French president declared a few months ago.

Josep Borrell went one step further and wanted to delve into the idea. The war in Ukraine, which although he visited before February 24 - specifically to support the aggressor who refused to comply with the peace agreements, to comply with the ceasefire or to resume payment of pensions in Donbass - did not seem to notice then, he has made it clear that Europe was in danger. Europe, really just the European Union, was on the lookout for its enemies. Too Kantian and not Hobbesian enough.the European Union, too innocent, had not known how to navigate an apparently savage world. Almost unintentionally, Josep Borrell reached a clear conclusion: the prosperity of the European Union had been based on the facilities of the Chinese market and cheap Russian energy, both now considered a liability, a form of dependency on which the European Union must be undone. To this the head of EU diplomacy added the field of security, outsourced to the United States.

In one of his many contradictions, Borrell has repeatedly shown himself in favor of the idea of ​​a European army (Europe understood as the European Union), which would make NATO less important, while he has also been one of the staunchest hawks of the most Alliance radicals. The case of Ukraine is just the latest example. Faced with France's failed attempts to promote diplomacy in the weeks before the Russian intervention and even after it, the European Union has always clung to the position set by Washington. Even more radical than the representatives of the United States, Josep Borrell went so far as to announce that the Russian army would be "annihilated" in the event of the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine. The EU High Representative was not publicly disavowed, but he was indirectly: through an anonymous statement leaked to the press in which the obvious was stated, that Josep Borrell does not have the authority to make such a statement. Without his own army or NATO representative, in what capacity could Josep Borrell threaten Russia with a military intervention?

Borrell never explained those statements, nor has he specified what exactly the European Union is offering to replace China and Russia to restore prosperity. The High Representative has understood what the EU has decided to give up, but has not been able to offer any alternative. The only hope now is the United States, a friendship not to be taken for granted. What can happen in two years, Borrell wondered in clear reference to the possibility of the return of Donald Trump, an administration supposedly less friendly to the European Union than the current one, whose Secretary of State almost excitedly affirmed that the explosions in the Nord Stream gas pipelines and Nord Stream-2 were a strategic opportunity.

But it was not his inconsistencies or his inability to offer an alternative for the future beyond the status quo of dependence on the United States and the renunciation of cheap energy that finally managed to put the head of the European Union diplomacy in the target of the critics. What finally forced Borrell to apologize was an idea that reached a resonance in the continental media, also in the Russians, but which the High Representative had already used on at least two occasions in previous months.

“Europe is a garden. We have built a garden. Everything works. It is the best combination of political freedom, economic prosperity and social cohesion that humanity has been able to build. All three things together”, said Borrell to contrast that garden of the European Union with the rest of the world. “The rest of the world is not exactly a garden. Much of the rest of the world is a jungle and the jungle could invade the garden”, he added in a use of language dangerously similar to that which the far right uses to criticize immigration from those countries that Borrell considers “a jungle”. The diplomat somewhat apologized for the apparently racist, actually Western supremacist language, but did not explain the repetition of those terms, which Borrell had already used earlier this year. On May 9,

The High Representative was forced to qualify the racist tone of his statements, especially now that the European Union tries to force the rest of the world to join the sanctions against Russia, but no one has demanded to know why the socialist Borrell took his metaphor from one of the main neoconand one of the architects of the Center for the New American Century, Paul Kagan. An argument with a clear geopolitical content, Victoria Nuland's husband titled one of her works “The jungle grows again”, whose base was the danger of that growing jungle for the American garden. Kagan sought to defend the international liberal order, although not just any liberal order but the one built by the United States after World War II. The subordination of the countries of the European Union to the interests of the United States throughout this year, both in geopolitical and economic terms, shows that Washington continues, as the neocons wished , at the forefront of that order.

In a context in which the European Union and its member countries had to act independently, seeking, for example, a resolution to the Ukrainian conflict through the Minsk agreements, Brussels closed its eyes and entrenched itself alongside the United States in support unconditional support to Ukraine long before Russian troops crossed the border. When Ukraine needed a dialogue government in 2014, it had the misfortune of having either Turchinov or Yatseniuk in power. When the EU needed diplomatic talent to resolve the Ukrainian issue and relations with Russia, it found a retreating Merkel and weak and ineffective Scholz and a Macron who, despite trying to the end, never had anything to offer Moscow. To them must be added Josep Borrell, a politician with no diplomatic talent, a socialistwith neocon arguments , a hawk that got lost among failed statements and that put EU diplomacy at the service of the United States.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/01/01/halco ... more-26322

Google Translator

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WAR OF THE WORLDS BEGINS IN YOUR NEIGHBOURHOOD “BECAUSE — GERMAN CHANCELLOR MERKEL HAS JUST DECLARED — RUSSIA WAS NEVER PACIFIED”

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By John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

Angela Merkel (lead image), the chancellor who destroyed the Christian Democratic party in German politics always hated Russia and President Vladimir Putin most of all.

She concealed this for as long as she calculated she needed to preserve the votes of East Germany, German businesses and unions for her re-election. But lie after lie she leaked through her staff to the German and English press.

She even tried to promote a German candidate to rule the Ukraine in her war against Russia – until Washington installed their own in Kiev, and told Merkel to fall in line. She did.

The outcome of Merkel’s rule between 2005 and 2021 is her 4-election failure to win a majority of votes or seats in the Bundestag; the defeat of every German voting bloc which had supported her in power in Berlin; the rebuilding of the Berlin Wall in the minds of the remaining Germans who disagree and who resist; and the return of Russia-hating and Adolf Hitler’s war aims for Germany against Moscow. They are also the war aims of Joseph Kennedy, father financier of the US Democratic Party whose fascist line was tolerated by the White House until the fighting war started in earnest in Europe and Kennedy was gotten rid of.

No comparable resistance to the alliance between German and American fascism exists today in the US, Europe, Berlin or London. The resistance, however, is worldwide; does not speak English as a native language; and the Russian armed forces are stronger than they ever were. The problem for them is how wide and deep the demilitarized zone must be drawn to defend Russia for the foreseeable future – how far west of the Dnieper River? To the Oder and Neisse Rivers of Poland and Germany, or to the Berlin Wall?

With every new bombing, missile, and drone raid, the Stavka meeting daily in Moscow conducts its experiment in drawing the lines westward to the last Ukrainian, then to the last German.

In the Russian Foreign Ministry’s final briefing for the year, spokesman Maria Zakharova had not yet registered what Merkel said in Italian, in her interview with Corriere della Sera on December 27. That was: “ We all knew that it was a frozen conflict, that the problem was not solved, but this gave Ukraine precious time…the Cold War never really ended because Russia was never pacified.”

For Merkel’s “problem to be solved” and “pacify Russia” read the US and NATO war to destroy Russia. “Today we act like this under the pressure of war,” she added, “which I approve of.”

According to Zakharova, referring to Merkel’s earlier interviews in German with Die Zeit and Der Spiegel, “Angela Merkel’s confessions that the Minsk agreements only served to buy “time for Ukraine” leads to an interesting situation. The Western countries prevented their media from visiting Donbass. At the same time, they needed time, as they say, for the Kiev regime to grow stronger. This is real evidence of what Russian leadership has been talking about. All this indicates that the Ukrainian army and the West are using unacceptable methods not only on the battlefield, but also in the information war that they have unleashed against Russia. The Kiev regime and its Western handlers are trying to hide their own crimes and the truth about what is really happening in Ukraine.”

From the American-Ukrainian gun platform aimed at Russia to the American-Australian gun platform aimed at China, this is der krieg der welten — the war of the worlds. Listen to the discussion led by George Eliason from Donbass.

The history of the war of Russia-hating didn’t end in 1945 nor will it end in 2023.

“If you look at the Biden administration’s policies now,” Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told the Russian press last week, “it becomes clear that they want the ‘end of history’ to take place, not just in the works of political analysts, scientists or pundits, but in real life as well. Everything that we are now witnessing in Europe in its broadest sense and on other continents, where US ‘messengers’ want every country to take an anti-Russia position, to join the sanctions and to keep from talking with Russian representatives reflects an attempt to establish the end of history and the final and irreversible dominance of the ‘golden billion.’… These vain attempts are anti-historical and are aimed at stopping and suppressing the objective formation of a multipolar world. The course of history cannot be stopped. There is no end to history and there never will be. Humanity has more than once gone through many attempts to subjugate it that were undertaken by different forces, which wanted to dictate everything to everyone. It will play out the same way this time as well.”

MAP OF GERMANY AT THE ARMISTICE OF 1945

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Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/

MAP OF THE UKRAINE AT THE ARMISTICE TO COME

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Source: http://johnhelmer.net/

“Many countries and politicians –,” Lavrov continued, “there are not many of them in the United States, but they do exist and are trying to make their point of view known publicly in a vocal manner — are aware of the dead-end nature of this kind of policy and the fact that there is no alternative to building neighbourly relations on this planet (which is a relatively small place) which implies taking into account each other’s interests, living side by side without trying to subjugate their neighbours or countries that are 10,000 miles away.”

http://johnhelmer.net/ar-of-the-worlds- ... more-70459



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Russia says Ukraine’s conditions for peace summit are not acceptable

Earlier this week, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dymtro Kuleba proposed a peace summit after Russia faced an international tribunal for its alleged war crimes in Ukraine and agrees to pay remuneration for Ukrainian losses, among other conditions

December 30, 2022 by Peoples Dispatch

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Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. (Photo: TASS)

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov reiterated his country’s unwillingness to engage with Ukraine on the basis of the peace formula proposed by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. He alleged that Zelensky’s proposals were “illusory” and said that it was clear that “Kiev is not ready for the dialogue,” RT reported on Thursday, December 29.

Earlier this week, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dymtro Kuleba proposed a peace summit in February under the leadership of United Nations Secretary General António Guterres. In an interview with the AP published on Tuesday, Kuleba said that such a peace summit may include Russia only after it faces an international tribunal for its alleged war crimes in Ukraine and agrees to pay remuneration for Ukrainian losses.

Kuleba said that the basis of the summit should be the 10 points proposed by President Zelensky in November, during the G20 meet in Indonesia.

Zelensky, who reiterated his conditions during his visit to the US earlier this month, had asserted that there could be no talks with Russia until it completely withdraws from Ukrainian territory and restores Ukraine’s territorial integrity. He also demanded war remunerations, the release of all prisoners, and a regional security guarantee. Zelensky’s 10 points include price restrictions on Russian energy exports, ensuring Ukrainian grain exports, rebuilding destroyed infrastructure in Ukraine, and the establishment of safeguards to protect Europe’s largest nuclear plant at Zaporizhzhia.

After putting this proposal before the G7 countries, Zelensky also asked India to use its G20 presidency to help push his proposal through.

Though there has been no public response from the UN secretary general on the peace summit proposal yet, TASS reported that his office has expressed willingness to mediate, provided the proposal is adhered to by all parties involved.

“No talks under such illusory conditions”
Lavrov told RIA Novosti that Russia will never talk to anyone under the conditions proposed by Zelensky. He said that the Ukrainian president had “shown a complete lack of independence in making important decisions” during the last round of talks in March-April this year, and that he is putting forward “all sorts of ideas” as “peace formulas” hoping that he will be able to achieve them “with the help of the West.”

Both countries had initiated talks during the first few weeks of the war. They were, however, soon abandoned. Several reports alleged that the West had pressured Ukraine to abandon the talks.

Lavrov did confirm, however, that Russia is open to a negotiated settlement of the issues in Ukraine, as it had been in the past. Russian President Vladimir Putin had also expressed his desire to start negotiations with Ukraine earlier this month.

However, in another interview given to Channel One on Wednesday, Lavrov claimed that Russia’s aim is to complete the objectives of the “special operation” in Ukraine, namely the complete integration of four territories into Russia: Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson. He claimed that this integration had been sanctioned by the people in the regions concerned in the referendum conducted in September.

Referring to the referendum and Russia’s formal integration of these territories, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov had earlier said that the Ukrainian peace plan ignores the “reality on the ground, which one simply cannot ignore.”

Lavrov said that apart from recognizing the new status of the four republics, Ukraine should also know that Moscow “seeks to prevent creation and continuation of any threats to [its] security from Ukrainian territory.”

Russian “special operations” in Ukraine will complete a year in February 2023.

https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/12/30/ ... cceptable/

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From Cassad's Telegram account:

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Colonelcassad
The 1st and 2nd army corps of the DPR and LPR officially became part of the RF Armed Forces with their battle colors. Of course, they have long been in the operational subordination of the command of the Southern Military District, but the formalities are certainly necessary.

From my point of view, veterans of the 2014-2021 war and the 2022 campaign from the 1st and 2nd AK, this is the most valuable personnel fund of our armed forces, and the best brigades of the corps certainly deserve the title of the Guards - behind them are the years of war and difficult victory, despite all the difficulties and losses. I watched their entire path from the first days of the formation of militia units to full-fledged personnel units that fought throughout their existence. And they certainly deserve to be celebrated.

https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin

Google Translator

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New Year's blows. 31.12.2022
December 31, 2022

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For the second time in a week, the RF Armed Forces dealt a massive blow to Ukrainian infrastructure.
Various objects were hit in Kyiv, Nikolaev, Kramatorsk, as well as in Kyiv, Zaporozhye, Kharkov, Ternopil, Vinnitsa, Khmelnitsky, Nikolaev regions. In Kyiv, a hotel arrived with foreign mercenaries. At least 2 air defense missiles fell on residential areas. In Nikolaev, targets in the city were successfully hit. In Kramatorsk, the industrial zone is once again covered. In addition to air and sea-based missiles, various UAVs were used in the strikes. In a number of regions of Ukraine, the power is turned off. There are interruptions in communication and the Internet.

In Ukraine, people continue to be intimidated. demanding not to publish the results of the strikes, so that later they could lie about "almost all the downed missiles that ended back in March."

Photo / video, as usual, see in the cart https://t.me/boris_rozhin The shots from Astrakhan, over which a wave of cruise missiles passed, turned out to be especially epic.

Zelensky's gang tried to fire on Dzhankoy (all UAVs were shot down by air defense) and threaten to carry out terrorist attacks on Russian territory on New Year's holidays. Perhaps they will try to launch UAVs in the direction of the Moscow region or carry out terrorist attacks somewhere else. In this regard, their threats are little different from the threats of the leaders of ISIS, who in 2015 threatened Russia with terrorist attacks after the start of the operation in Syria.

PS. Minister of Energy of Ukraine General Surovikin received a state award today.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8069984.html

Google Translator

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BlackRock Logo To Be Added To Ukrainian Flag

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Kyiv has announced the addition of a fifth corporate logo to the Ukrainian flag following news that BlackRock will be playing a crucial role in the reconstruction of the nation. The world’s largest investment management firm will join Raytheon Technologies, Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin, and McDonald’s upon the now-omnipresent blue and yellow flag.

“I understand some Ukrainians may be frustrated at the continual additions to our nation’s glorious flag,” Ukraine’s President Zelensky said during a speech announcing the change. “Just last month we added the Raytheon logo, and now we’re adding BlackRock. I am sure it was a bit awkward for our American friends as they were continually adding stars to their flag back when they were adding lots of new states to their republic, too.”

“The only difference is instead of adding states, we’re adding multinational megacorporations,” the leader said.

Zelensky then took a large bite of a McDonald’s Big Mac™️, saying, “Mmm mmm, I’m lovin it!” in English, eliciting awkward applause throughout the Walt Disney Company Presidential Press Hall.


Critics have complained that BlackRock’s new role in Ukraine could draw accusations of corruption, with some noting that the the company’s managing director Eric Van Nostrand was hired straight into a senior advisory position in the Biden administration’s Treasury Department just this past August, explicitly to shape US economic policy on Russia and Ukraine.

Others have noted that BlackRock is a top beneficial owner of shares in major arms manufacturers who are reaping immense profits from the war in Ukraine, with tens of billions invested in Lockheed Martin, Boeing, General Dynamics, Northrop Grumman, and Raytheon.

These words of caution have however not been sufficient to dissuade the Ukrainian government from selling Ukraine piece by piece to western oligarchs like billionaire BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, and now one more giant corporation gets another slice of the nation.

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We can expect more such deals to be signed by Kyiv, which is slated to be re-named Goldman Sachs City early next year.

The McProxy War continues.

https://caitlinjohnstone.com/2022/12/29 ... nian-flag/


Google Translator

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About the "breakthrough of defense in Artemovsk"
January 1, 14:43

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About the "breakthrough of the defense in Artemovsk"

Regarding the pretentious stuffing spread since yesterday about the fact that "PMC Wagner broke through the defense and entered Artemovsk."

1. PMC "Wagner" did not break through any defense. PMC "Wagner" is pushing through the enemy's defenses in Opytnoye, on the outskirts of Kleshcheevka, near Podgorodny. There are no significant breakthroughs, taking into account the saturation of the enemy’s reserves of the front line, there are there - there is pushing and grinding. This is the essence of the battles going on there.

2. In Artemovsk "after breaking through the defense" PMC "Wagner" could not enter in any way, because PMC "Wagner" has been sitting in Artemovsk since the end of summer, first in the industrial zone on Patrice Lumumba Street, and then in houses on the southeastern outskirts Artemovsk, where we went in December. So we entered Artemovsk a long time ago.

3. Our troops as a whole have the operational initiative in the Artyomovsky direction, but the time has not yet come to throw caps into the air.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/74216

Video from the Artyomovsky direction (last night Prigozhin drove along the front there)

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/74142
https://t.me/boris_rozhin/74150
https:// t.me/boris_rozhin/74217
https://t.me/boris_rozhin/74161
https://t.me/boris_rozhin/74153

PS. In the photo, the T-90M tank is working in the Experimental area.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8071298.html

Revival of the Red Star.
January 1, 14:04

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Revival of the Red Star.

The Russian Ministry of Defense has introduced and has already begun to award a new medal - "Participant in a special military operation." The medal belongs to the departmental and assigns the status of a member of the SVO to the awarded.
It can also be given to civilians.

The front side of the medal depicts the Order of the Red Star (existed since 1930) - a Soviet award that was highly respected. The Order of the Red Star was awarded for great merits in the defense of the country, for ensuring state security, both in wartime and in peacetime.

The medal clearly indicates the continuity of the award - and rightly so, the connection between generations must be maintained.

https://t.me/zov_snb

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8070962.html

Google Translator

It is easy to be cynical about this revival but it nonetheless indicates that the Kremlin does have it's ear tuned to the sympathies of the masses.
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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