Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part IV
Posted: Mon Jun 20, 2022 11:01 pm
Ukraine SitRep - Lysichansk Cauldron - Sinking Morale - More Provocations
The former CIA and intelligence bigwig Graham Fuller predicts a gloomy outcome of the U.S-Russia proxy war in Ukraine. Gloomy for Ukraine, the U.S. and Europe:
Contrary to Washington’s triumphalist pronouncements, Russia is winning the war, Ukraine has lost the war. Any longer-term damage to Russia is open to debate.
American sanctions against Russia have turned out to be far more devastating to Europe than to Russia. The global economy has slowed and many developing nations face serious food shortages and risk of broad starvation.
There are already deep cracks in the European façade of so-called “NATO unity.” Western Europe will increasingly rue the day that it blindly followed the American Pied Piper to war against Russia. Indeed, this is not a Ukrainian-Russian war but an American-Russian war fought by proxy to the last Ukrainian.
Contrary to optimistic declarations, NATO may in fact ultimately emerge weakened. Western Europeans will think long and hard about the wisdom and deep costs of provoking deeper long term confrontations with Russia or other “competitors”of the US.
Europe will sooner or later return to the purchase of inexpensive Russian energy. Russia lies on the doorstep and a natural economic relationship with Russia will possess overwhelming logic in the end.
Europe already perceives the US as a declining power with an erratic and hypocritical foreign policy “vision” premised upon the desperate need to preserve “American leadership” in the world. America’s willingness to go to war to this end is increasingly dangerous to others.
All the above had already been said on this website in late February and March. But it is good to see that seasoned intelligence people are now coming to similar conclusions.
Two weeks ago I wrote that the Ukrainians will soon reach a breaking point. Today's 'clobber list' by the Russia Ministry of Defense has an additional part about Ukrainian troop loses that supports that take:
Since May 19, during the month, only the 14th Mechanised Brigade of the AFU has lost 2,100 persons who resulted dead and wounded. Due to low moral and psychological conditions, 800 persons destined for replenishing the losses of this unit, refused to go to the operational area and accused officers of incompetence, bribery and cronyism in paying money allowance.
About 100 servicemen of a reconnaissance unit of the 10th Mountain Assault Brigade have been relieved of combat duty and transported to Kremenchug for investigation.
A considerable part of the commanders of the 30th Mechanised Brigade of the AFU have abstracted themselves from managing their units and refuse to fulfil combat tasks. All kinds of pretexts are used for simulating illness. The majority of units have already been left without any officers.
A mechanized brigade has about 3,500 soldiers. In one month the Ukrainian 14th lost two third of its people. The replacements are not trained on mechanized equipment (tanks, APCs) that likely no longer exists and can only be used as unprotected infantry. It is no wonder that they reject to be send into a hopeless situation.
The Ukrainian leadership is still sending new units into the Lysichansk cauldron in the east. The Russians do not mind that. Their job is to "demilitarize" Ukraine. To enclose more troops in one swoop makes that easier.
The distance between the red Russian held area at the the top to the one at the bottom at the most narrow gap is a mere 15 kilometer or some 9 miles. There is only one open road running through it from west to east which is used for pushing resupplies to the Ukrainian troops in Lysichansk.
Currently fighting is taking place over Mykolaivka at the bottom of this detail map. Five kilometer north of it is the Lysichansk refinery. It will be the next target. The last road to Lysichansk runs directly north of it. When that road comes under direct Russian fire the cauldron will be closed and the boiling will start for those who are in it. For the ~20,000 soldiers in the cauldron it will mean surrender or die.
If that is still possible it will further lower the morale of other Ukrainian troops.
Ananke Group @AnankeGroup - 15:01 UTC · Jun 20, 2022
"We, soldiers of the 8th battalion of the 10th brigade, based near the city of Seversk. We appeal to you, Mr. President, Mr. Zaluzhny, and to the Ukrainian people [...] We demand the immediate rotation of our remaining troops, physically and mentally there are no more forces.
Embedded video https://twitter.com/AnankeGroup/status/ ... 6353859586
It is interesting that the troops also appeal to General Zaluzhny, the top commander of the Armed Forces of Ukrainian (AFU). It is the first time I hear that. The idea to fight in Lysichansk until the end came from Zelensky and his civilian advisors. Zaluzhny has reportedly been against that. He wanted those and other troops to retreat and wage a more mobile campaign. That would have shortened the front line and given a chance to create reserves that can rest and prepare for a later counterattack. There are rumors that Zelensky's advisors are now lobbying to replace Zaluzhny as he has increased his media presence. They probably fear a coup.
The Russian side reported yesterday that it had killed 50 generals and higher officer of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with a missile strike. The group was meeting to plan the further fight in the southern region of Odessa and Kherson. This now seems to have been confirmed:
Management Impact Solutions Consulting, LP - @MiExecSearch - 15:10 UTC · Jun 20, 2022
Russian Armed Forces beat out AFU generals, who were holed up in the rear. The military-civilian administration of Zaporozhye region confirmed results of a missile strike on AFU command post near the village of Shirokaya Dacha, 57 top-level officers were killed.
Last night, probably in response to the strike on the officers, the Ukrainians fired a missile against a gas and oil production platform in the waters near Crimea. The installation was damaged. Russia considers that to be a direct attack on valuable infrastructure within Russian territory and will likely give a strong response.
Yesterday Lithuania announced that it would immediately prohibit Russian goods under EU sanctions to cross from Belarus to the Kaliningrad enclave at the Baltic seas which is Russian territory. That is in breach of several international agreements which guarantee unhindered Russian access to the city. Russia has yet to announce a response to this new provocation.
Posted by b on June 20, 2022 at 16:47 UTC | Permalink
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/06/u ... .html#more
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From Cassad's Telegram account:
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forwarded from
Voenkor Kitten Z
Military expert Boris Rozhin with a brief summary of the results of the operation to denazify and demilitarize Ukraine as of 23.10 June 20, 2022, specially for the Voenkor Kotenok Z @voenkorKotenok channel :
1.
Severodonetsk.
Fighting in the industrial area around the Azot plant. The main enemy forces are actually blocked and do not have a full opportunity to retreat. The RF Armed Forces are systematically completing the operational encirclement of the grouping. There are isolated cases of surrender. Hostages are still being held at the plant itself. Completely cleared Metelkino.
2.
Golden.
After the occupation of Chekhirovo and breaking into the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Toshkovka, our troops launched an offensive against Belaya Gora and Mirnaya Dolina.
There are also battles in the direction of Nikolayevka and Rai-Aleksandrovka. The grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Gorsky and Zolote is actually in the operational environment. The only accessible road through Ray-Aleksandrovka is completely shot through.
3.
Soledar.
Heavy fighting for Belogorovka and Berestovoye. The Artemovsk-Lysichansk road is blocked. If the enemy loses Nikolaevka, the issue of moving to the Lisichansk Oil Refinery will be resolved.
4.
Artemovsk.
Fighting in the area of Semigorye and Vershina. There are battles for Klinovoe. The enemy expects to defend himself along the Pokrovskoye-Klinovoye-Zaitsevo line. The development of the offensive from the southeast is holding back the unresolved issue with the Uglegorsk TPP.
5.
Slavyansk.
Fighting in the area of Bogorodichny, Dolina, Krasnopolye, Prishib and Tatyanovka.
6.
Raisins.
Battles at Bolshaya Kamyshevakha and Kurulka. The flank activity of the Armed Forces of Ukraine had no success. The enemy expects an offensive to the Barvenkovo-Slavyansk highway.
7.
Kharkov.
The enemy has abandoned attempts to recapture Ternovoe and Rubezhnoye and is preparing for the defense of Stary Saltov. Fights are expected for the Great Passages, Tsupovka and Dementyevka.
The offensive announced earlier by the RF Armed Forces has not yet begun.
8.
Avdiivka.
No significant changes. Fights near Kamenka, Novobakhmutovka and New York. There is no progress to Krasnogorovka yet. The counter-battery work of the RF Armed Forces is intensifying. The enemy continues to intensively shell Donetsk, Gorlovka, Yasinovataya and other settlements.
9.
Odessa.
The enemy made an unsuccessful attack on Zmeinny Island, and also attacked the Chernomorneftegaz platforms, destroying one of them.
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation during the day delivered massive strikes in the Odessa region on the military infrastructure. More is expected in the coming days.
10.
Nikolaev.
Positional battles in the Krivoy Rog direction.
In the Nikolaev direction, there are no significant changes, the transition to the control of the Russian Armed Forces of the village of Pravdino is noted.
11.
Marinka, Zaporozhye, Vuhledar - no change.
***
forwarded from
Readovka
Map of hostilities and the situation on the fronts on the evening of June 20
Today, early in the morning, the Armed Forces of Ukraine resumed shelling of Donetsk , arrivals were recorded in the Leninsky, Kiev, Kuibyshevsky and Budyonnovsky districts of the city. According to unverified information, today's shelling was carried out with shells significantly exceeding 155 mm in power. It is likely that the Ukrainian military attacked with missiles from the American MLRS HIMARS. Well, since we started with arrivals, it is impossible not to note the shelling in Makiivka . In the LPR, Ukrainian militants launched a Tochka-U missile attack on the village of Horoshee and fired on Stakhanov from Hurricanes.
The situation on the fronts per day:
On the Kharkov front , units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have deployed an artillery battery, which periodically shells the residential areas of Kharkov . This was done to create fakes according to the "Buchan scenario".
In the Izyumo-Slavyansk direction , fighting continues without mutual advancement. Russian artillery makes a hole in the enemy's echeloned defense.
In the Severodonetsk agglomeration , the Ukrainian military, stationed at the Azot chemical plant in Severodonetsk , began to fly white flags. The situation for the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Severodonetsk direction is the most difficult, the fighting is already going on in the industrial area. There are also battles for Toshkovka . Russian troops went on the offensive along the entire front in the LPR. The grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, defending Gorskoye and Zolote , is in the operational environment. After the capture of Vrubovka and the advance of our troops in Chekhirovo (20 km from Lisichansk ), it was a matter of time.
In the Zaporizhia direction today, the Mining Division of the DPR army was unwinding the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of Vogledar . No significant progress was noted.
On the southern flank - the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not stop making attempts to capture and destroy positions on Zmeiny Island . The Ukrainian side carried out missile attacks on the infrastructure of the island, but thanks to the coordinated actions of Russian fighters, it did not have significant success in defeating our equipment, weapons and property. Units of the RF Armed Forces responded with precision-guided strikes at the Shkolny airfield , as well as, according to local residents, at the facilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Belgorod-Dnestrovsky and the vicinity of Ovidiopol . Ukraine responded by striking at the drilling platforms of Chornomorneftegaz.
🛡On our frontier
In the morning, Ukrainian militants were shelling the village of Suzemka in the Bryansk region.
"Calibration" The
Russian military attacked the Artsyz airfield in the Odessa region, destroying the Bayraktar TB2 UAV control station. The strikes were carried out on targets near the city of Druzhkovka near Kramatorsk . Russian air defense systems shot down a MiG-29 aircraft of the Ukrainian Air Force near the village of Apostolovo, Dnepropetrovsk region.
In the world: Vienna recognized the participation of Austrian mercenaries in the conflict with the Russian Armed Forces on the side of Ukraine. The Austrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs confirmed that some Austrian citizens did sign up as volunteers and went to Ukraine as mercenaries.
👁From the interesting: the Russian Army used the latest missiles "product 305" in Ukraine, the source said.
"Product 305" is a LMUR (Lightweight Multipurpose Guided Missile). It was first shown at the Army-2021 forum. Now the missile is used with the Mi-28NM, but it can also be launched from other helicopters, aircraft and even drones. Rocket strikes are carried out on important objects of the Armed Forces of Ukraine - for example, warehouses with ammunition and fuel and lubricants
***
forwarded from
Readovka
About 20 civilians left the territory of the Azot chemical plant on their own
- LPR ambassador to the Russian Federation Miroshnik Rodion Miroshnik.
“Today, about two dozen civilians independently went to the second gate of the plant, which is not controlled by militants. Now they are already safe , ”Miroshnik wrote in his Telegram channel.
The diplomat added that the exit of civilians is complicated due to constant shelling by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
As Readovka reported, there are up to a thousand civilians on the territory of Azot.
***
forwarded from
Rybar
Offensive on Donbass: the situation in the east of Ukraine
by the end of June 20, 2022
In the Kharkiv region , the Armed Forces of Ukraine made another unsuccessful attempt to cross the Seversky Donets and reach Izyum from the west.
In the Donbas , the Allied Forces are advancing in several directions in order to form several “cauldrons” for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
In the Severodonetsk direction, the Allied forces are advancing from the south to Mirnaya Dolina, Rai-Aleksandrovka and Nikolaevka to reach the southern outskirts of Lisichansk and finally cut off the supply of the APU grouping in Zolote and Gorsky.
On the Soledar direction , the Wagner PMC detachments entered the village of Klinovoye on the highway from Svetlodarsk and are fighting for Pokrovskoye on the outskirts of Bakhmut (Artemovsk).
Ukrainian artillery shelled Donetsk again. According to some reports, the APU was the first to use the American MLRS HIMARS for these purposes.
In response, the RF Armed Forces attacked the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Avdeevka, Sporny and Krasnogorovka.
In the Zaporizhia direction, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to pull units to the line of contact. Russian artillery attacked the objects of Ukrainian formations in Yulyevka.
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forwarded from
Rybar
The situation in the Odessa direction and in the area of Snake Island
as of 22.00 June 20, 2022
After systematic preparation, today at 4 o'clock in the morning the Armed Forces of Ukraine began the fire defeat of Zmeiny Island .
At the first stage, an attempt was made to destroy Russian facilities on Zmein with massive strikes. However, timely measures taken by the Russian command did not allow the Ukrainian forces to achieve their original goal.
Because of this failure, the Armed Forces of Ukraine decided to attack the Chornomorneftegaz gas production platform. The strikes were made on drilling rigs and block conductors at the Odessa field , 40 km east of the island. As a result, a fire broke out. The evacuation of the affected personnel of the company began.
Russian Armed Forces responded with precision-guided strikes at Shkolny and Artsyz airfields , and, according to local residents, at APU facilities in Belgorod-Dnestrovsky and in the vicinity of Ovdiopol .
What does this step on the part of the Armed Forces of Ukraine mean?
Once again, the Ukrainian authorities, under pressure from Western curators, tried to unblock the ports. However, despite the weapons supplied by Western countries, the attempt failed.
This was the reason for the transition to the favorite tactics of the Armed Forces of Ukraine of maximum terror against civilian objects.
However, now, in addition to a deliberate strike on civilians on the platform, this is also a threat of huge damage to the Black Sea ecosystem , in fact, directed not only against Russia, but also the countries of the Black Sea basin.
Ukrainian politics is now built on an irrepressible desire to please suppliers of weapons and military equipment. Desperate and even insane decisions will be made to achieve this goal.
No matter how many losses Ukraine suffers and how many civilians suffer, the goal of the current Ukrainian authorities is the same: to harm Russia by any methods and means . This is what should be taken into account when planning strikes against APU targets.
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forwarded from
Military correspondent re🅉reservist
The Ukrainian military, located at the Azot chemical plant in Severodonetsk, began to hang out white flags. This was stated by an officer of the People's Militia of the Luhansk People's Republic Andriy Marochko.
***
Сolonelcassad
Regarding the threats of the commander of the German Air Force to "strengthen nuclear deterrence" and other flirting with the topic of nuclear war.
NATO is now trying to probe further limits with the escalation of the war against Russia. It is important for them to understand under what circumstances the risks of direct confrontation and nuclear war scenarios increase unacceptably. Where they are sure that the risk of terminal scenarios is minimal, they will escalate, which is clearly seen from the increase in the volume and range of arms supplies, where the issue of supplying air defense systems and aircraft is already on the agenda. Therefore, according to Russia's reaction to provocations with the PMR, Kaliningrad or the supply of certain types of weapons, they are trying to build a model of the reaction of the country's leadership to certain actions in order to predict its reactions to certain actions related to the escalation of the war in Ukraine, because nuclear war in the West, of course, they don’t want to - the United States and NATO are interested in a controlled conventional conflict, where you can manually control its duration and intensity without the risk of nuclear war. Therefore, the probing of Russian "red nuclear lines" will continue.
https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin
Google Translator
The former CIA and intelligence bigwig Graham Fuller predicts a gloomy outcome of the U.S-Russia proxy war in Ukraine. Gloomy for Ukraine, the U.S. and Europe:
Contrary to Washington’s triumphalist pronouncements, Russia is winning the war, Ukraine has lost the war. Any longer-term damage to Russia is open to debate.
American sanctions against Russia have turned out to be far more devastating to Europe than to Russia. The global economy has slowed and many developing nations face serious food shortages and risk of broad starvation.
There are already deep cracks in the European façade of so-called “NATO unity.” Western Europe will increasingly rue the day that it blindly followed the American Pied Piper to war against Russia. Indeed, this is not a Ukrainian-Russian war but an American-Russian war fought by proxy to the last Ukrainian.
Contrary to optimistic declarations, NATO may in fact ultimately emerge weakened. Western Europeans will think long and hard about the wisdom and deep costs of provoking deeper long term confrontations with Russia or other “competitors”of the US.
Europe will sooner or later return to the purchase of inexpensive Russian energy. Russia lies on the doorstep and a natural economic relationship with Russia will possess overwhelming logic in the end.
Europe already perceives the US as a declining power with an erratic and hypocritical foreign policy “vision” premised upon the desperate need to preserve “American leadership” in the world. America’s willingness to go to war to this end is increasingly dangerous to others.
All the above had already been said on this website in late February and March. But it is good to see that seasoned intelligence people are now coming to similar conclusions.
Two weeks ago I wrote that the Ukrainians will soon reach a breaking point. Today's 'clobber list' by the Russia Ministry of Defense has an additional part about Ukrainian troop loses that supports that take:
Since May 19, during the month, only the 14th Mechanised Brigade of the AFU has lost 2,100 persons who resulted dead and wounded. Due to low moral and psychological conditions, 800 persons destined for replenishing the losses of this unit, refused to go to the operational area and accused officers of incompetence, bribery and cronyism in paying money allowance.
About 100 servicemen of a reconnaissance unit of the 10th Mountain Assault Brigade have been relieved of combat duty and transported to Kremenchug for investigation.
A considerable part of the commanders of the 30th Mechanised Brigade of the AFU have abstracted themselves from managing their units and refuse to fulfil combat tasks. All kinds of pretexts are used for simulating illness. The majority of units have already been left without any officers.
A mechanized brigade has about 3,500 soldiers. In one month the Ukrainian 14th lost two third of its people. The replacements are not trained on mechanized equipment (tanks, APCs) that likely no longer exists and can only be used as unprotected infantry. It is no wonder that they reject to be send into a hopeless situation.
The Ukrainian leadership is still sending new units into the Lysichansk cauldron in the east. The Russians do not mind that. Their job is to "demilitarize" Ukraine. To enclose more troops in one swoop makes that easier.
The distance between the red Russian held area at the the top to the one at the bottom at the most narrow gap is a mere 15 kilometer or some 9 miles. There is only one open road running through it from west to east which is used for pushing resupplies to the Ukrainian troops in Lysichansk.
Currently fighting is taking place over Mykolaivka at the bottom of this detail map. Five kilometer north of it is the Lysichansk refinery. It will be the next target. The last road to Lysichansk runs directly north of it. When that road comes under direct Russian fire the cauldron will be closed and the boiling will start for those who are in it. For the ~20,000 soldiers in the cauldron it will mean surrender or die.
If that is still possible it will further lower the morale of other Ukrainian troops.
Ananke Group @AnankeGroup - 15:01 UTC · Jun 20, 2022
"We, soldiers of the 8th battalion of the 10th brigade, based near the city of Seversk. We appeal to you, Mr. President, Mr. Zaluzhny, and to the Ukrainian people [...] We demand the immediate rotation of our remaining troops, physically and mentally there are no more forces.
Embedded video https://twitter.com/AnankeGroup/status/ ... 6353859586
It is interesting that the troops also appeal to General Zaluzhny, the top commander of the Armed Forces of Ukrainian (AFU). It is the first time I hear that. The idea to fight in Lysichansk until the end came from Zelensky and his civilian advisors. Zaluzhny has reportedly been against that. He wanted those and other troops to retreat and wage a more mobile campaign. That would have shortened the front line and given a chance to create reserves that can rest and prepare for a later counterattack. There are rumors that Zelensky's advisors are now lobbying to replace Zaluzhny as he has increased his media presence. They probably fear a coup.
The Russian side reported yesterday that it had killed 50 generals and higher officer of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with a missile strike. The group was meeting to plan the further fight in the southern region of Odessa and Kherson. This now seems to have been confirmed:
Management Impact Solutions Consulting, LP - @MiExecSearch - 15:10 UTC · Jun 20, 2022
Russian Armed Forces beat out AFU generals, who were holed up in the rear. The military-civilian administration of Zaporozhye region confirmed results of a missile strike on AFU command post near the village of Shirokaya Dacha, 57 top-level officers were killed.
Last night, probably in response to the strike on the officers, the Ukrainians fired a missile against a gas and oil production platform in the waters near Crimea. The installation was damaged. Russia considers that to be a direct attack on valuable infrastructure within Russian territory and will likely give a strong response.
Yesterday Lithuania announced that it would immediately prohibit Russian goods under EU sanctions to cross from Belarus to the Kaliningrad enclave at the Baltic seas which is Russian territory. That is in breach of several international agreements which guarantee unhindered Russian access to the city. Russia has yet to announce a response to this new provocation.
Posted by b on June 20, 2022 at 16:47 UTC | Permalink
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/06/u ... .html#more
***************************
From Cassad's Telegram account:
***
forwarded from
Voenkor Kitten Z
Military expert Boris Rozhin with a brief summary of the results of the operation to denazify and demilitarize Ukraine as of 23.10 June 20, 2022, specially for the Voenkor Kotenok Z @voenkorKotenok channel :
1.
Severodonetsk.
Fighting in the industrial area around the Azot plant. The main enemy forces are actually blocked and do not have a full opportunity to retreat. The RF Armed Forces are systematically completing the operational encirclement of the grouping. There are isolated cases of surrender. Hostages are still being held at the plant itself. Completely cleared Metelkino.
2.
Golden.
After the occupation of Chekhirovo and breaking into the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Toshkovka, our troops launched an offensive against Belaya Gora and Mirnaya Dolina.
There are also battles in the direction of Nikolayevka and Rai-Aleksandrovka. The grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Gorsky and Zolote is actually in the operational environment. The only accessible road through Ray-Aleksandrovka is completely shot through.
3.
Soledar.
Heavy fighting for Belogorovka and Berestovoye. The Artemovsk-Lysichansk road is blocked. If the enemy loses Nikolaevka, the issue of moving to the Lisichansk Oil Refinery will be resolved.
4.
Artemovsk.
Fighting in the area of Semigorye and Vershina. There are battles for Klinovoe. The enemy expects to defend himself along the Pokrovskoye-Klinovoye-Zaitsevo line. The development of the offensive from the southeast is holding back the unresolved issue with the Uglegorsk TPP.
5.
Slavyansk.
Fighting in the area of Bogorodichny, Dolina, Krasnopolye, Prishib and Tatyanovka.
6.
Raisins.
Battles at Bolshaya Kamyshevakha and Kurulka. The flank activity of the Armed Forces of Ukraine had no success. The enemy expects an offensive to the Barvenkovo-Slavyansk highway.
7.
Kharkov.
The enemy has abandoned attempts to recapture Ternovoe and Rubezhnoye and is preparing for the defense of Stary Saltov. Fights are expected for the Great Passages, Tsupovka and Dementyevka.
The offensive announced earlier by the RF Armed Forces has not yet begun.
8.
Avdiivka.
No significant changes. Fights near Kamenka, Novobakhmutovka and New York. There is no progress to Krasnogorovka yet. The counter-battery work of the RF Armed Forces is intensifying. The enemy continues to intensively shell Donetsk, Gorlovka, Yasinovataya and other settlements.
9.
Odessa.
The enemy made an unsuccessful attack on Zmeinny Island, and also attacked the Chernomorneftegaz platforms, destroying one of them.
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation during the day delivered massive strikes in the Odessa region on the military infrastructure. More is expected in the coming days.
10.
Nikolaev.
Positional battles in the Krivoy Rog direction.
In the Nikolaev direction, there are no significant changes, the transition to the control of the Russian Armed Forces of the village of Pravdino is noted.
11.
Marinka, Zaporozhye, Vuhledar - no change.
***
forwarded from
Readovka
Map of hostilities and the situation on the fronts on the evening of June 20
Today, early in the morning, the Armed Forces of Ukraine resumed shelling of Donetsk , arrivals were recorded in the Leninsky, Kiev, Kuibyshevsky and Budyonnovsky districts of the city. According to unverified information, today's shelling was carried out with shells significantly exceeding 155 mm in power. It is likely that the Ukrainian military attacked with missiles from the American MLRS HIMARS. Well, since we started with arrivals, it is impossible not to note the shelling in Makiivka . In the LPR, Ukrainian militants launched a Tochka-U missile attack on the village of Horoshee and fired on Stakhanov from Hurricanes.
The situation on the fronts per day:
On the Kharkov front , units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have deployed an artillery battery, which periodically shells the residential areas of Kharkov . This was done to create fakes according to the "Buchan scenario".
In the Izyumo-Slavyansk direction , fighting continues without mutual advancement. Russian artillery makes a hole in the enemy's echeloned defense.
In the Severodonetsk agglomeration , the Ukrainian military, stationed at the Azot chemical plant in Severodonetsk , began to fly white flags. The situation for the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Severodonetsk direction is the most difficult, the fighting is already going on in the industrial area. There are also battles for Toshkovka . Russian troops went on the offensive along the entire front in the LPR. The grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, defending Gorskoye and Zolote , is in the operational environment. After the capture of Vrubovka and the advance of our troops in Chekhirovo (20 km from Lisichansk ), it was a matter of time.
In the Zaporizhia direction today, the Mining Division of the DPR army was unwinding the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of Vogledar . No significant progress was noted.
On the southern flank - the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not stop making attempts to capture and destroy positions on Zmeiny Island . The Ukrainian side carried out missile attacks on the infrastructure of the island, but thanks to the coordinated actions of Russian fighters, it did not have significant success in defeating our equipment, weapons and property. Units of the RF Armed Forces responded with precision-guided strikes at the Shkolny airfield , as well as, according to local residents, at the facilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Belgorod-Dnestrovsky and the vicinity of Ovidiopol . Ukraine responded by striking at the drilling platforms of Chornomorneftegaz.
🛡On our frontier
In the morning, Ukrainian militants were shelling the village of Suzemka in the Bryansk region.
"Calibration" The
Russian military attacked the Artsyz airfield in the Odessa region, destroying the Bayraktar TB2 UAV control station. The strikes were carried out on targets near the city of Druzhkovka near Kramatorsk . Russian air defense systems shot down a MiG-29 aircraft of the Ukrainian Air Force near the village of Apostolovo, Dnepropetrovsk region.
In the world: Vienna recognized the participation of Austrian mercenaries in the conflict with the Russian Armed Forces on the side of Ukraine. The Austrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs confirmed that some Austrian citizens did sign up as volunteers and went to Ukraine as mercenaries.
👁From the interesting: the Russian Army used the latest missiles "product 305" in Ukraine, the source said.
"Product 305" is a LMUR (Lightweight Multipurpose Guided Missile). It was first shown at the Army-2021 forum. Now the missile is used with the Mi-28NM, but it can also be launched from other helicopters, aircraft and even drones. Rocket strikes are carried out on important objects of the Armed Forces of Ukraine - for example, warehouses with ammunition and fuel and lubricants
***
forwarded from
Readovka
About 20 civilians left the territory of the Azot chemical plant on their own
- LPR ambassador to the Russian Federation Miroshnik Rodion Miroshnik.
“Today, about two dozen civilians independently went to the second gate of the plant, which is not controlled by militants. Now they are already safe , ”Miroshnik wrote in his Telegram channel.
The diplomat added that the exit of civilians is complicated due to constant shelling by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
As Readovka reported, there are up to a thousand civilians on the territory of Azot.
***
forwarded from
Rybar
Offensive on Donbass: the situation in the east of Ukraine
by the end of June 20, 2022
In the Kharkiv region , the Armed Forces of Ukraine made another unsuccessful attempt to cross the Seversky Donets and reach Izyum from the west.
In the Donbas , the Allied Forces are advancing in several directions in order to form several “cauldrons” for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
In the Severodonetsk direction, the Allied forces are advancing from the south to Mirnaya Dolina, Rai-Aleksandrovka and Nikolaevka to reach the southern outskirts of Lisichansk and finally cut off the supply of the APU grouping in Zolote and Gorsky.
On the Soledar direction , the Wagner PMC detachments entered the village of Klinovoye on the highway from Svetlodarsk and are fighting for Pokrovskoye on the outskirts of Bakhmut (Artemovsk).
Ukrainian artillery shelled Donetsk again. According to some reports, the APU was the first to use the American MLRS HIMARS for these purposes.
In response, the RF Armed Forces attacked the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Avdeevka, Sporny and Krasnogorovka.
In the Zaporizhia direction, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to pull units to the line of contact. Russian artillery attacked the objects of Ukrainian formations in Yulyevka.
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Rybar
The situation in the Odessa direction and in the area of Snake Island
as of 22.00 June 20, 2022
After systematic preparation, today at 4 o'clock in the morning the Armed Forces of Ukraine began the fire defeat of Zmeiny Island .
At the first stage, an attempt was made to destroy Russian facilities on Zmein with massive strikes. However, timely measures taken by the Russian command did not allow the Ukrainian forces to achieve their original goal.
Because of this failure, the Armed Forces of Ukraine decided to attack the Chornomorneftegaz gas production platform. The strikes were made on drilling rigs and block conductors at the Odessa field , 40 km east of the island. As a result, a fire broke out. The evacuation of the affected personnel of the company began.
Russian Armed Forces responded with precision-guided strikes at Shkolny and Artsyz airfields , and, according to local residents, at APU facilities in Belgorod-Dnestrovsky and in the vicinity of Ovdiopol .
What does this step on the part of the Armed Forces of Ukraine mean?
Once again, the Ukrainian authorities, under pressure from Western curators, tried to unblock the ports. However, despite the weapons supplied by Western countries, the attempt failed.
This was the reason for the transition to the favorite tactics of the Armed Forces of Ukraine of maximum terror against civilian objects.
However, now, in addition to a deliberate strike on civilians on the platform, this is also a threat of huge damage to the Black Sea ecosystem , in fact, directed not only against Russia, but also the countries of the Black Sea basin.
Ukrainian politics is now built on an irrepressible desire to please suppliers of weapons and military equipment. Desperate and even insane decisions will be made to achieve this goal.
No matter how many losses Ukraine suffers and how many civilians suffer, the goal of the current Ukrainian authorities is the same: to harm Russia by any methods and means . This is what should be taken into account when planning strikes against APU targets.
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Military correspondent re🅉reservist
The Ukrainian military, located at the Azot chemical plant in Severodonetsk, began to hang out white flags. This was stated by an officer of the People's Militia of the Luhansk People's Republic Andriy Marochko.
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Сolonelcassad
Regarding the threats of the commander of the German Air Force to "strengthen nuclear deterrence" and other flirting with the topic of nuclear war.
NATO is now trying to probe further limits with the escalation of the war against Russia. It is important for them to understand under what circumstances the risks of direct confrontation and nuclear war scenarios increase unacceptably. Where they are sure that the risk of terminal scenarios is minimal, they will escalate, which is clearly seen from the increase in the volume and range of arms supplies, where the issue of supplying air defense systems and aircraft is already on the agenda. Therefore, according to Russia's reaction to provocations with the PMR, Kaliningrad or the supply of certain types of weapons, they are trying to build a model of the reaction of the country's leadership to certain actions in order to predict its reactions to certain actions related to the escalation of the war in Ukraine, because nuclear war in the West, of course, they don’t want to - the United States and NATO are interested in a controlled conventional conflict, where you can manually control its duration and intensity without the risk of nuclear war. Therefore, the probing of Russian "red nuclear lines" will continue.
https://t.me/s/boris_rozhin
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