Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part V

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part V

Post by blindpig » Fri Sep 29, 2023 11:56 am

Disinformation, propaganda and the will to inform
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 09/29/2023

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The verification of information is, without the need to create imaginary professional categories such as fact-checkers., a fundamental characteristic of any work that aspires to be classified as journalistic. War poses all kinds of difficulties for journalism professionals. The danger implied by being close to the front, the fog of war, the information that, despite being true at the time of its publication, ceases to be true minutes later as events precipitate, the difficulty in finding reliable sources and, above all, , the abundance of disinformation from the parties in conflict and their external allies are just some of the aspects that make journalistic work on the ground difficult. This difficulty can also extend to the analysis carried out from the safety of distant countries, where the danger from the front and the parties' demands for censorship or self-censorship are no longer a relevant factor.

The information coverage of the current Russian-Ukrainian war, in the same way as the Donbass war in previous years, has shown that the informative will is always subordinated to the political and communicative interests of the defended side. Self-censorship has been a large part of the way large and small media outlets have covered political and military information related to the Ukrainian conflict for years. Hiding the facts to avoid giving a bad image to Kiev's proxy has been the norm throughout the war, whether to erase from the collective memory the exaltation of people and groups who fought against the Soviet Union alongside Germany. Nazi,anti-terrorist operation . Only in this way can it be assumed, as is generally being done in the West, that what happened in Canada with the tribute to an SS veteran was a specific error , that the number of extreme right symbols in the images of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are an anecdote or that there is a unity of the Ukrainian people that includes the entire territory against the Russian forces.

Over the last decade, the work of the press, from which a more than limited number of professionals have distanced themselves, generally at specific moments, has been to collaborate in the presentation of Ukraine as a democratic country with Euro-Atlantic aspirations. Ukraine has obviously benefited from the solidarity caused by the Russian attack of February 24, 2022, but the justification of its actions in the name of the common goal precedes military intervention. In the time between the irregular change of government in February 2014 and the Russian recognition of the People's Republics of Donetsk and Luhansk on February 22, 2022, the press has actively collaborated with the political authorities in justifying the coup d'état, the manipulation of what happened on Maidan in February of that year, the beginning of the anti-terrorist operation , the use of the extreme right to threaten and harass the pro-Russian opposition , the lack of investigation of the Odessa massacre, the non-payment of pensions and social benefits in Donbass, the active failure to comply with the terms of the Minsk agreements, the glorification of Nazi collaborators and groups during World War II or the banning of opposition media or parties. Everything has been justified in the name of European values, the fight against Russia or the conflict between democracy and authoritarianism. In recent years, and perhaps in a certain sense still today, the only exception has been the issue of corruption, generally used to justify the creation of formally anti-corruption organizations that, in reality, were part of an entire external control structure, public-private with which to advance the main objective.

The current war has given Ukraine an even greater facility to place its narrative as unique and indisputable, on this occasion, not only in the national or regional press, but also on the main covers and opinion sections of the most important media in the world. western. Aware of the importance of presenting itself as both an innocent victim of an unprovoked attack and an army whose certain victory depends solely on it being well armed and financed by the free world, Ukraine has made the information front as important as the military one. . “Ukraine has skillfully used attention diversion,” says an article published by The New York Time this week in which he tries to defend his policy towards Russian and Ukrainian statements in the face of what seems like a new example of disinformation on the part of kyiv.

The media defends the use of attempts to divert attention to feign, for example, with an attack in Kherson - which ended with hundreds of Ukrainian soldiers wounded in the hospitals of Nikolaev - to cause surprise and carry out the real offensive in the region from Kharkiv. However, The New York Times puts the way Ukraine diverted attention on the same level, not to say that he openly lied, at the time when he announced the heroic death of the soldiers who had refused to surrender to the Russian troops on Snake Island in the first hours of the Russian attack. The sailors challenged the Russian troops as Zelensky claimed at the time, although they surrendered seconds later and were taken prisoner, transferred to Crimea and later exchanged as prisoners of war. By then, the imaginary heroic feat of the Ukrainian sailors was already a legend, it had been told by the mainstream media and openly justified by the need to raise the morale of the country and its troops.

The need to create an exaggerated victory is also the reason why The New York Times has seen the need to write an article to justify its source policy, which is similar to that of other large Western media and can be summarized in publishing any Kiev's allegation as a fact that does not require verification and assuming that any statement from Moscow is disinformation, propaganda or an attempt to confuse the population.

On Monday, using British Storm Shadow missiles, the Ukrainian Armed Forces hit one of the Russian Black Sea Fleet headquarters in the city of Sevastopol in broad daylight in what was possibly the most spectacular attack ever carried out in the city. until now. The images of black smoke over the white building, where the most relevant work may have been evacuated to safety long ago, was a victory high enough for Ukraine to use as an argument to obtain more long-range missiles from its partners. However, a war report that only causes material damage and lacks personnel casualties is a minor victory and Ukraine wanted to disguise the facts, as has been its modus operandi.since 2014, with an allegation of heavy casualties. The Ukrainian Special Forces Command, that is, military intelligence, claimed to have liquidated 34 officers of the Black Sea Fleet, including its commander, Viktor Sokolov. The entire press, including The New York Times , accepted the news as good and published it without nuances, without wanting to realize that all information presented by the intelligence services is, by definition, propaganda from one of the sides in conflict. . In the current war, that maxim is applied only to Russia.

As The Wall Street Journal reporter recalled Yaroslav Trofimov, a few months ago, Russian sources - although not officially Russia as the journalist suggests - spread rumors about the state of health of Zaluzhny, supposedly injured or even killed, in an attack. Weeks later, the routine was repeated with Kirilo Budanov, head of Ukrainian military intelligence. Both reappeared some time later, putting an end to the rumors. At that time, unlike the Sokolov case, no major media gave credibility to the news. On this occasion, however, the problem has not been the willingness of the media to publish any allegation - true or false - of Ukrainian civil or military intelligence as a fact that does not require verification or qualification, but rather the speed with which which your information has been refuted. “Until now, Ukraine had had a more sober record,” says Trofimov, who seems to have forgotten the hundreds of terrorists that Ukraine claimed to eliminate every day in 2014 or the times when Ukrainian attacks wiped out Motorola or Givi before they were murdered - most likely by the SBU assassination program - and then declared victims of internal fighting in the occupied territories. Not to mention the current war reports, with casualty figures that are incredible even for those who publish them as fact. “Few analysts believe the optimistic daily estimates of Russian casualties given by the Ukrainian military and which number in the hundreds, although they are widely reported in the Ukrainian press,” admits The New York Times, which like the rest of the press also relies on in those reports that he recognizes that they lack credibility to present an image of weakness of Russian troops.

Hours after the Ukrainian allegation, presented as news by the entire press, Dmitry Peskov refused to answer the question of what Sokolov's status was, something that the media understood as a confirmation of the facts without realizing that a large part The job of the Kremlin spokesman is precisely to know nothing. The next day, Sokolov appeared in the video conference with Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu, although without an official statement being made. Instead of a denial, Russia offered an image about the status of the commander of the Black Sea Fleet, thereby compromising the situation of the media that had taken the news for granted. Despite this being a common routine - propaganda is a reality of war and Ukraine has almost ten years of experience in it -, The press continues to be surprised each time Kiev forces it to justify having published a presumably false news item due to its excessive willingness to admit any communication from the Ukrainian proxy as absolute truth. When hours after the first images, Sokolov emerged in an interview stating that the Black Sea Fleet continues to carry out its assigned tasks and adding that “life goes on,” the media had no choice but to revise its coverage of the episode, although not to understand that blindly trusting an official source from a country at war is not the most advisable thing in journalistic terms, but rather to accuse Russia of disinformation.

“Now, Ukraine and Russia are offering conflicting narratives about whether a high-ranking Russian naval officer, the commander of the Black Sea Fleet, is alive or dead,” the outlet claims, based on Ukrainian allegations and Russian images. “Ukraine has claimed to be clarifying whether he died, which leaves open the question of why the military seemed so sure the day before,” adds the article, which seems not to want to understand the simplicity of the answer to its question: it was propaganda, Therefore, its importance did not lie in the veracity of the facts but in its ability to ensure that it was disseminated in the media.

Still, the basis of The New York Times' argument is the idea that "what is clear is that attention diversion, disinformation and propaganda are weapons regularly deployed in Russia's war in Ukraine to improve morale at home." , demoralize the enemy or lead his opponents out of a trap.” That this sentence perfectly describes Ukraine's actions since the beginning of the anti-terrorist operation does not occur to the reporters, who judging by their arguments will continue to give more credibility to any Ukrainian statement than to Russian evidence.

The desire to protect Ukraine from reality is not limited only to not asking uncomfortable questions about the level of casualties or damage that the country is suffering, but also extends to accepting any allegation as true and establishing the only possible reality well cooked ukrainian story. “It is often difficult to know when reports are false or why they may have been disseminated,” the outlet complains only in reference to what comes from Moscow. In the case of Ukraine, the doubt simply does not exist. Without the desire to verify and without admitting that the communication of one of the sides in conflict may contain enormous doses of propaganda, there can be no minimally objective information but the reproduction of the narrative of the side chosen as its own. The truth is a victim in every war and it cannot fail to be so if information professionals, in complete abandonment of their duties, have decided to put on a blindfold that prevents them from seeing even the most flagrant falsehoods of their side's propagandists. The result is half-hearted rectifications that are used to criticize those who have offered proof - which must also be verified - instead of those who have presented an allegation that clearly seems to be a crude exercise in disinformation.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/09/29/desin ... more-28239

Google Translator

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Chronicle of a special military operation for September 28, 2023
September 29, 2023
Rybar

Today, the Ukrainian DRG attempted to break through the border in Staroselye in the Belgorod region . Russian troops managed to repulse the raid, however, against the background of the enemy’s failures at the front, such attacks may become more frequent and begin on the borders of the Kursk and Bryansk regions . This is evidenced, among other things, by the increased activity of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Kharkov .

Fighting continues in the Serebryansky forestry , where the Russian Armed Forces are expanding the zone of control west of Kremennaya . Somewhat further south, near Seversk , the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is concentrating forces that can be used in both the Starobelsky and Soledarsky directions. Clashes also continue at the Rabotino-Verbovoe line and in the vicinity of Staromayorsky .

Meanwhile, the Ukrainian command is actively increasing its troop grouping in the Kherson region . A large convoy of equipment headed south passed through Dnepropetrovsk . In parallel, work continues to transfer sabotage groups to the islands on the Dnieper. In response, the Russian Aerospace Forces are actively using modernized FABs with UMPC modules, successfully hitting Ukrainian Armed Forces targets on the right bank of the river.

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The situation on the border of the Belgorod region

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In the morning, a Ukrainian sabotage group tried to break through the border to Starosel . A small detachment of up to six people began a battle with border guards. As a result of a short firefight, Russian units repelled the attack, and the DRG retreated - the Ukrainian Armed Forces failed to break through.

Looking at the actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, I immediately remember the end of May and the beginning of June of this year. Then, after the loss of Bakhmut, the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in order to interrupt the information feed, began an attack on Shebekino, using the legendary Vyrs from the RDK. Now, against the background of the lack of visible results at the front (at Orekhov they are also fighting against the defenses of the Russian Armed Forces at Verbovoy , at Bakhmut it was not possible to encircle the city), the DRG’s forays into the Belgorod region can slightly increase morale and draw attention to the northeast.

At the same time, attacks in the border areas may begin in other areas, including the Bryansk and Kursk regions . The concentration of forces near the border remains, and artillery is being massively fired at Russian positions, preparing the way for ground groups. This is indirectly confirmed by the activity of Ukrainian formations in Kharkov , where they noticed the movements of columns of military equipment. Yes, this could be a train to reinforce the group near Kupyansk , but the possibility of a second attack on Shebekino cannot be ruled out.

After all, short-term PR and victory on the Internet are more important for the Ukrainian authorities than a long-term tactical effect. Moreover, this kind of action will allow us to draw attention before attempting to strike somewhere in another direction, for example, in Soledarsky or in the south.

The situation on the front line and combat operations
Tonight, Russian troops again launched combined attacks on military targets on Ukrainian territory. In the Bogdanovka area in the Kirovograd region, an arsenal of ammunition of enemy ground forces was destroyed.

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In the Starobelsky direction, some activity has resumed in the Limansko-Kremensky section. After the advance of Russian troops towards Torskoye at the end of June, there was relative calm in the sector. The fighting boiled down to mutual artillery shelling, drone strikes and firefights.

In Serebryansky forestry, west of Kremennaya , units of the Russian Armed Forces are storming individual strongholds in order to take a more advantageous tactical position. From time to time, videos from captured positions and captured members of the Ukrainian Armed Forces appear on the Internet. At the same time, the Ukrainian command is afraid of the resumption of hostilities in this area and is trying to strengthen the lines. In particular, in the direction of possible Russian attacks from Dibrov and Balka Zhuravka, additional fortifications are being built.

To the south, in Seversk, a concentration of forces is observed, including the transfer of armored vehicles, which can be used both in Kremennaya and in the Soledar direction. At the same time, the formation of the next assault unit was completed there, which has already been sent to the front line. However, there is still relative calm in the area. Yesterday there was even an unusual episode when, at the unit level, the parties agreed on a temporary ceasefire in order to remove bodies from no man's land for burial.

But it did not last long - the Ukrainian Armed Forces used the humanitarian truce to strengthen their shelters, and less than an hour later they began working with artillery again. For the soldiers of the RF Armed Forces, however, this development of events did not come as a surprise at all: they only once again saw with their own eyes the attitude of the enemy towards their fallen comrades.


In addition, colleagues from the Chernozemsky Movement channel published footage of repelling an attack by an enemy assault group on the village of Novoselovskoye in the Svatovsky area . A detachment of up to 15 people tried to break through to the populated area under cover of darkness. But their movement was detected in advance by a drone, and the artillery accurately targeted the APU cluster.

Such enemy attacks have already become completely commonplace. As practice has shown, for the Ukrainian authorities it is more profitable to lose a couple of dozen people than the scarce Leopards. Moreover, two Leopard 2S had already been shot down in the same area earlier . Such a disdainful attitude towards human resources indicates that the enemy’s reserves have not yet dried up. But reserves do not last forever, and with each such attack the combat potential of the Ukrainian Armed Forces decreases.


At the same time, in the Kupyansky section of the Russian Aerospace Forces, a missile strike destroyed the bridge over the Oskol River near the village of Senkovoe .


In the Soledar direction, heavy clashes continue for control of the railway east of Kleshcheevka . In parallel, the enemy attacks in the direction of Andreevka . Despite numerous attempts to break through the Russian defense, the front line remains here without significant changes and the Russian Armed Forces manage to repel all attacks.


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Positional battles are taking place in the Donetsk direction . Artillery duels are taking place in the areas of Marinka and Avdeevka . Today, the Russian Aerospace Forces launched powerful strikes with FAB-500 smart bombs from the UPMK at the Avdee coke plant , where Ukrainian formations are located. The remains of the destroyed enterprise received significant damage. In addition, Russian troops repelled two attacks by enemy DRGs in the area of ​​Pervomaisky and Vesely .


In the Vremyevsky area, clashes continue in the plantings near Staromayorsky and Urozhayny . The enemy also made several attempts to attack in small groups in the direction of Priyutny , but had no success.

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In the Orekhovsky sector, all the fighting takes place near the Rabotino-Verbovoye line , where the Ukrainian Armed Forces are trying to wedge themselves into the Russian defense. There is a lull in other places: in the same Pyatikhatki , where the Ukrainian Armed Forces unsuccessfully tried to advance in the summer, it is now relatively calm. At night, Ukrainian formations decided to launch an attack on Russian positions near the village of Novoprokopovka with an armored group of two tanks and three infantry fighting vehicles.

The enemy was quickly discovered from the air: according to Archangel Spetsnaz , after the first vehicle was hit by an ATGM, the entire column turned around and began to retreat, during which another piece of equipment hit a mine and was abandoned by the crew. Despite the setbacks, the Ukrainian command does not plan to give up the onslaught and is carrying out a rotation. Several more units of the 71st Jaeger Brigade were sent to the rear for restoration, and assault groups of the MTR of Ukraine arrived at the line between Rabotino and Verbov.

Also spotted on the front line were two German-made Leopard 2A6 tanks from the 12th separate tank battalion. And foreign mercenaries were transferred to Malaya Tokmachka and Novodanilovka . At the same time, in recent weeks, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have suffered significant losses from the actions of the Russian Aerospace Forces, which are actively carrying out airstrikes on the front line with bombs containing UMPC. The increased intensity of their use forced the enemy to transfer additional Western-made air defense systems to the site.

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In the Kherson direction, Ukrainian formations continue to accumulate forces, while simultaneously continuing attempts to gain a foothold on the islands on the Dnieper . The enemy landed another batch of manpower in the northeastern part of Aleshkinsky Island . However, Russian troops observed these actions and struck the area where manpower was concentrated. After this, the Ukrainian Armed Forces evacuated the wounded by boat to the village of Nikolskoye .

In the central part of Pereyaslavsky Island , the Russian Armed Forces worked on an observation post of Ukrainian formations, and also hit another boat with personnel that left the village of Nikolaevka . The enemy also notes the intensity of Russian aviation's use of guided bombs with UMPC modules. In recent days, the Aerospace Forces have indeed carried out a series of precise attacks on the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the islands and the right bank of the Dnieper, causing them losses in manpower. In addition, at night there were explosions again at the Kulbakino airfield .

However, the Ukrainian command does not yet plan to abandon its plans, as evidenced by the arrival of new units in the Nikolaev and Kherson regions . And in Nikolaev itself, a new round of mobilization began with the distribution of agendas on the street, which fully fits into the framework of the enemy’s latest activities in the south.

In addition, we would like to add that recently another convoy of military equipment passed through Dnepropetrovsk in a western direction: 133 units and about 600 people, probably from the Ukrainian Navy Marine Corps command. 19 combat reconnaissance and landing vehicles, three BTR-70, one BTR-4E, one Humvee armored fighting vehicle, one infantry fighting vehicle, two control and communications vehicles based on ZIL-131 passed through Dnepropetrovsk under their own power. Additionally, on the trawls there were three Krab self-propelled guns, one Gvozdika self-propelled gun, two BRDMs, and one Humvee armored fighting vehicle. Among other things, three heavy mechanized TMM-3 bridges were spotted along with the rest of the equipment. This indicates the transfer of engineering formations to the Kherson direction.

The ongoing transportation of equipment and personnel to the west confirms that the Ukrainian Armed Forces intend to conduct a large-scale operation in Crimea and the Kherson region . The headquarters of the 35th and 36th brigade infantry regiments have already been deployed in Bereznegovaty and Vladimirovka in the Nikolaev region . And now, while the “cannon fodder” from the defense system is trying to gain a foothold in the island zone of the Dnieper, the command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces continues to form an attack group along the river and the Dnieper-Bug estuary.

Shelling of rear areas and residential areas

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Throughout the day, Ukrainian formations have been making attempts to attack the capital of the Bryansk region . Aircraft-type UAVs were shot down several times in the sky over Bryansk , but there were no casualties or damage. Local residents also reported arrivals in the village of Yamnoye ; there was no information about casualties or damage.

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During the day, the Ukrainian Armed Forces made several attempts to attack the Kursk region with drones. According to local authorities, the Ukrainian UAV was shot down by air defense forces near the village of Makarovka , Kurchatovsky district. Two more aircraft were suppressed by electronic warfare equipment near the village of Gornal , Sudzhansky district. Later, the village of Vesyoloye came under attack .

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Ukrainian formations continue to massively shell the border area of ​​the Belgorod region after a morning attempt to break through the border. In the village of Terebreno , Krasnoyaruzhsky district, seven residential buildings and several administrative buildings, as well as a power line, were damaged by shrapnel; there were no casualties among the population. In the sky above the Belgorod region, air defense crews shot down an aircraft-type drone, no one was injured.

In addition, local residents also reported shelling of the villages of Zadorozhny and Prilesye , as well as Grafovka, Staroselye, Murom, Bezlyudovka, Rzhevka and Novaya Tavolzhanka ; there were no reports of casualties or damage. Later, the city of Shebekino came under attack ; shells damaged several workshops of a local industrial enterprise. Due to damage to power lines, the city itself and nearby villages - Rzhevka and Nezhegol - are partially de-energized ; emergency crews are working at the scene of the accident. In the village of Tishanka , Volokonovsky district, grass on an area of ​​about two hectares caught fire as a result of shelling; fire crews are extinguishing the fire.

C A R T O C H A

The Ukrainian Armed Forces today somewhat reduced the intensity of shelling of the Donetsk agglomeration , but attacks on civilian infrastructure continue. Several districts of Gorlovka and Donetsk came under fire . According to local authorities, civilians were again injured in the capital of the DPR: one person was wounded in the Kuybyshevsky district.

[/img]https://rybar.ru/wp-content/webp-expres ... 8.png.webp[/img]
Ukrainian formations do not stop shelling the left bank of the Kherson region and. The enemy struck the village of Podo-Kalinovka : near the place of arrival there is a kindergarten and a school where classes were going on at that time. There were no casualties. The war is not only with the living, but also with the dead - in the village of Dnepryany , an arrival at the local cemetery was recorded. The Ukrainian Armed Forces also fired at Kakhovka, Korsunka, Krynki, Novaya Kakhovka, Podstepnoe and Otryvki .

Political events
Supplies of weapons to the Armed Forces of Ukraine by Western countries

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Last night, our reader from Germany filmed the movement of a large convoy of military equipment along the A6 autobahn in the Sinzheim area . As part of the echelon, you can see several units of armored vehicles, similar in visual outline to Marder or Bradley infantry fighting vehicles . The reader noted that with a high degree of probability the convoy is moving towards Kaiserslautern to the railway station. There, trains are being formed and then sent to the east. This option is quite justified, since a large amount of cargo can be transported along the railway line and relatively unnoticed.

Now preparations are underway in Ukraine for a new offensive. For this purpose, total mobilization was introduced, under which it was also necessary to replenish weapons reserves. Considering that the formation of five new mechanized brigades should be completed by the end of October, accelerated deliveries of equipment are quite logical.

Rumors about disagreements over arms supplies to the Ukrainian Armed Forces

Journalists from the Politico newspaper write in their materials about the existing disagreements between representatives of the US State Department and the Pentagon on issues of arms supplies to Ukraine. There is no clear opinion between departments about the limits of military assistance. In addition, the Pentagon military is allegedly trying to approach this topic more carefully, fearing the depletion of its own arsenals, as well as further escalation of the conflict. In turn, it is officials from the State Department who act as one of the key lobbyists for the further militarization of Ukraine.

Lack of unity is also observed in political circles. The Hill writes that Republicans in the US House of Representatives have decided to remove $300 million in aid to Ukraine from the defense spending bill, and also vote for this bill separately. This money was supposed to go to training Ukrainian soldiers and purchasing weapons. Previously, faction leader Kevin McCarthy promised to keep these funds within the defense budget.

In the context of the upcoming US elections, American officials and political actors will inevitably play the Ukrainian card in their own interests, playing a specific role in front of their electorate. Such disagreements will not stop or even significantly delay Western support for Ukraine, but this may give Russia some time to strengthen its position.

Islamic radicals in the ranks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces


The British publication The Sun published a video where a unit of the 241st TRO brigade rides along the roads to pathetic music. But an interesting detail was caught in the frame: one of its members was wearing two patches with the flag of extremists from the Islamic State. In itself, the presence of followers of radical Islamic organizations in the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has long been no secret - we previously talked about the distribution of citizenship by the Kiev regime to ex- Al-Qaeda militants . Since 2022, outright rabble have arrived in Ukraine, among others , so one should not be surprised at the presence of IS supporters there.

Another thing is that recently, as part of the trend to close down the media component of the “Ukraine ” project, Western media are preparing public opinion for certain decisions and are increasingly exposing the Kiev regime and the Ukrainians themselves as arrogant and dangerous savages. And a seemingly random video with the same random shot of members of the Armed Forces of Ukraine wearing the flags of the “Islamic State” on their uniforms is an excellent touch to such a portrait.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

Google Translator

(Other images at link.)

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Former Polish PM Szydlo Suspects Zelensky Knew He Was Applauding A Likely Nazi Genocidaire

ANDREW KORYBKO
SEP 27, 2023

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The innuendo is that Zelensky defiled the memory of his relatives who were murdered in the Holocaust because he thought it was more important to inspire those fascist Ukrainian battalions that are fighting Russia by glorifying a likely Nazi genocidaire.

The Nazi dimension of the spiraling Polish-Ukrainian dispute is quickly shaping up to be the latest bone of contention between these two. It broke out after the Canadian Parliament honored a Ukrainian Nazi whose division genocided Poles and Jews but who was enthusiastically applauded by Zelensky after being introduced as a World War II-era “hero”. Polish Minister of Education Przemyslaw Czarnek then announced that he’ll seek that individual’s extradition, which was extremely embarrassing for Kiev.

Even worse, however, is what former Polish Prime Minister Beata Szydlo tweeted about this scandal:

“The applause by @ZelenskyyUa and @JustinTrudeau of the SS Galizien veteran in the Canadian Parliament is part of a larger problem.

Canadian politicians - although it doesn't reflect very well on them - may not have known who they were applauding. But didn't the President of Ukraine guess what the 98-year-old ‘Ukrainian hero’ was doing during World War II? Perhaps the president @ZelenskyyUa did not notice the problem, just as he did not pay much attention to the cult of Ukrainian formations from World War II collaborating with Nazi Germany, which is becoming more and more common in Ukraine.

In recent months, Ukrainians had been fighting bravely against Russia and it seemed that they had new heroes. I hope that Ukrainian identity will not be built on the foundation of the red and black tradition.”


She basically said that Zelensky knowingly applauded a likely Nazi genocidaire of Poles and Jews.

This accusation suggests that the Polish government is done turning a blind eye to Kiev’s glorification of fascists. It’s true that she’s no longer the premier, but the significance of someone who served in that position leveling such an accusation can’t be ignored. The innuendo is that Zelensky defiled the memory of his relatives who were murdered in the Holocaust because he thought it was more important to inspire those fascist Ukrainian battalions that are fighting Russia by glorifying a likely Nazi genocidaire.

President Putin was earlier accused of antisemitism for questioning why this Jewish leader glorifies Bandera and his genocidal antisemitic followers even though he merely reminded everyone of the factual point that one’s ethno-religious identity at birth doesn’t automatically determine their political views later in life. It’s indeed possible for a Jew to be fascist, which Zelensky has proven on innumerable occasions, including the latest one in Canada that provoked Szydlo’s stinging tweet.

She’s saying the same thing as President Putin did, albeit indirectly of course, but it’s nonetheless identical in spirit. Szydlo is channeling the concerns of her compatriots who are also skeptical of the claims from Zelensky’s supporters alleging that he had no idea who he was applauding. Poles are doubly appalled because the Ukrainian leader didn’t just cheer on someone whose division genocided their people, but that same group also participated in the Holocaust that murdered Zelensky’s relatives.

The takeaway is that Zelensky is so consumed with Russophobia nowadays that he has no qualms about honoring a likely Nazi war criminal in spite of he himself being Jewish. Although President Putin and other Russian officials had been saying this for a while already, few in the West paid any attention to their claims, but now it’s impossible to ignore them after Szydlo indirectly made the same point. As a result, Western perceptions of Zelensky will continue worsening now that the truth about him is known.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/former-p ... o-suspects

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RT GERMANY: YALTA EUROPEAN STRATEGY 2023 – FATEFUL BATTLE OF THE WEST IN KIEV
SEPTEMBER 27, 2023

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RT (Germany) (Machine translation), 9/16/23

“The future of the world will be decided in Ukraine” – this was the motto under which the two-day conference of the “Yalta European Strategy” (YES) forum took place in Kiev last week. The event has been organized by the Ukrainian oligarch Viktor Pinchuk’s foundation since 2006. RT DE took the trouble to watch almost all of the video recordings of more than a dozen panels of the conference, which the organizer gradually published on YouTube a few days after it ended .

Why is that important? The YES has established itself as an annual meeting point for the loud and influential Ukraine lobby among the Western elites, a kind of mixture between a “Ukrainian Davos” and the “Munich SiKo on a small scale”. Ideas are developed, information is exchanged and plans for the future are made. It is a look into the workshop of Western thought about Ukraine, Russia, the West and the rest of the world. In a practical sense, it is the opportunity to understand what is being discussed and planned in governments, parliaments, editorial offices of well-known media, think tanks and military staffs about the current status of the Ukraine conflict.

Pinchuk is a multi-billionaire, media mogul and son-in-law of former President Leonid Kuchma. He also sees himself as a link between the Western establishment and Ukrainian business elites. As organizer of YES, he said in his welcoming speech:

“Ukraine is at the center of the universe. Ukraine has been at the center of European history for hundreds of years. Today it is at the center of world history. This war is the most important and significant war in world history.”

These words were received with enthusiasm by the audience. Many high-ranking and well-known participants who subsequently appeared in dozens of panels at the conference saw the situation similarly. Something eschatological was in the air, the philosophy of the morally based final battle between good and evil, rise and fall, form and chaos, reason and irrationality, etc.

So it started with images of the world apocalypse that President Vladimir Zelensky painted on the wall in his welcoming speech if Ukraine, as a champion of “democracy and humanism,” does not win this fateful battle:

“The speech is about the future of morality. If Russia wins, the world will turn into a world of slaves who will kill people like Putin just because they like it.”

He also compared Russia’s victory to the coming climate catastrophe. Historians and journalists gave this narrative a further “civilizational” component. According to the US historian Timothy Snyder, ancient Greek democracy and thus the civilization of the cities were only able to develop thanks to access to the fertile southern Ukrainian soil in the Black Sea region.

Later wars were mainly about control of these areas. The Polish colonization of the 16th and 17th centuries, Adolf Hitler’s attack on the Soviet Union and Josef Stalin’s project of modernization are examples of this. Today Ukraine is the main breadwinner of the world population. If she loses, there will be global hunger.

Since Russia went to war without ideas or a vision of the future, this war was also the war against hopelessness. “It makes Russians angry that Ukrainians have hope,” he claimed. By hope he meant the desired accession to the EU and NATO. Since Russia does not rely on the power of ideas, but on the right of the strongest – i.e. brute force – a Russian victory means the triumph of the forces of chaos and darkness.

His Ukrainian colleague Jaroslav Grizak also shared this idea. A defeat of Ukraine would mean nothing less than the end of human civilization. According to him, the previous world wars were about “improving the world” (although he didn’t say exactly what). The Ukraine war is about the sheer survival of humanity.

Russia is a central problem. It is not capable of becoming a “normal European country”. Since reforms that always fail are always followed by a strengthening of tyranny, there is the so-called “Russian pendulum”, which inevitably culminates in aggression against its neighboring countries. This pendulum must be stopped, demanded Grizak.

The majority of other Ukrainian participants in the forum from politics and the media supported the idea that Russia cannot be improved, regardless of whether Vladimir Putin is in power in the Kremlin or a “better person” like Alexei Navalny. “We in Ukraine often say that only a dead Russian is a good Russian,” explained a Ukrainian politician. At one of the panels, four Ukrainian military officers who had come straight from the front sat on the podium. The death (of the heroic Ukrainians and the “evil Russians”) was a central theme.

Among them was lawyer and fighter Masi Nayyem, who lost his right eye in the war. The uncovered, gaping scar at this point allowed him to have a say because it gave him the credibility of a sufferer. Nayyem described what his fondest dream is:

“I cannot say that I am waging this war in the name of new values. I want to take revenge. I want to take revenge in the most cruel way possible in view of international conventions. The more Russians die, the better it is for me as a participant in hostilities. I have the right to kill Russians, and that is my greatest wish.”

“What the heroes fight for and give their lives for” – that was the name of the corresponding panel. The monologues of the hand-picked war participants were undoubtedly the emotional highlight of the entire two-day conference. The Western spectators showed respect and admiration for the hard-tested fighters – after all, they sacrificed themselves for their interests, which they openly admitted on occasion.

But there was also a bit of culture and entertainment. A Ukrainian singer and a writer should explain to the audience what makes the Ukrainian idea “so strong.” The panel also had a meaningful name. However, the reason for this was quite easy to identify.

“Ukrainians are smarter and better than Russians,” said a Ukrainian rock singer based in New York in unaccented English. The writer and avowed nationalist Sergei Shadan, who has been showered with Western prizes and awards, compared Ukraine to a young and cool punk band and Russia to an aging cabaret singer who is completely unaware that her time is over. At the end, the two sang passionate songs about “Peremoga”, the Ukrainian victory.

The respectable audience was amused. These Ukrainians are a wonderful people! Not only does it go to war against the Russians heroically and without fear of death, but it also sings. But will the oft-touted Ukrainian victory come at some point? Are there problems on the way to the glorious future of a transparent, successful, digitalized, climate-friendly country, a mandatory NATO and EU member that attracts investments, feeds the world and develops the most advanced technologies – as Prime Minister Denis Shmygal enthused in his speech ?

Yes, these problems exist, and at least one panel has been devoted to each of them. For example, the organizers correctly recognized that the majority of the world’s population is not on the side of Ukraine. Or that voters in the West could vote out Ukraine’s supporters in their governments. And finally, that the Russians simply cannot allow a military victory for Ukraine.

However, these difficulties still appear to be surmountable. The Third World can still be convinced by adapting the narrative. After all, ordinary people are on the side of Ukraine, as Zelensky and a British participant suggested. For Africa, for example, it would make sense to declare that the Russian war against Ukraine was the last “Western”, imperialist-colonial war. Russia is an eternal imperialist, whereas the West has overcome its colonial past.

Problems with “Ukraine fatigue” in the West could be solved by increasing “reporting” on “cruel” Russian war crimes. “Then people know who is good and who is bad, and of course they feel like supporting the good side,” said a US lawmaker. His French colleague added that people in his country are well aware that supporting Ukraine is simply “in our own economic interest.”

And in addition to the heroism and ingenuity of the Ukrainian soldiers, only an intensification of arms deliveries can help against the slow advance of the Ukrainian army. “Weapons, weapons, weapons,” echoed so often through the hall on these days ( RT DE reported ).

Conclusion

YES 2023 was a first-class propaganda event, with the usual fantasies on this topic. It showed: The West is preparing for a long-term war against the “enemy of humanity” Russia. A Ukrainian (and therefore our own) defeat or a fragile peace are out of the question.

And this war is still being fought – as originally planned – by its loyal mercenary state Ukraine. However, its condition is worrying. It was therefore carefully examined whether the level of hatred against the enemy and the ambition of the remaining fighters were still high. The result: satisfactory.

Anger, sadness and a desire for revenge should now more than ever guide the soldiers’ final battle. The Victor Pinchuk Foundation has caught the spirit of the times and posted the one-eyed fighter Nayyem’s vows of revenge as the quintessence of the event, which lasted several hours, on the Internet. The short video translated into English is spreading like wildfire, and the bloody slaughter at the hands of strangers can continue.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2023/09/rt- ... t-in-kiev/

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On strengthening NATO aviation in the Baltics
September 29, 14:16

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On strengthening NATO aviation in the Baltics

Yesterday, the press service of the North Atlantic Alliance announced the transfer of two E-3A long-range radar detection aircraft to the Siauliai airbase. One of the Sentris has already flown from the Turkish base of Konya, and the second is likely to arrive soon.

The news was accompanied by standard language about the threat from Russia and the need to increase NATO capabilities on the Baltic flank. 150 service personnel will also be sent to Siauliai.

Indeed, the deployment of two E-3As in Lithuania will significantly expand the detection radius of Russian aviation and air defense in the northwestern part of the Russian Federation, as well as in Belarus. This is despite the fact that the Italian G-550 AWACS aircraft is already stationed in Siauliai.

This looks especially interesting against the background of the increasingly frequent flights of strategic aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces from Olenya to strike Ukraine. Their appearance in Lithuania makes it easier to monitor the bombers of the aerospace forces.

However, previously, constantly on duty E-3As from other air bases, such as Geilenkirchen, were quite enough for this. The fact that they were placed near the borders of the Russian Federation may mean that the Alliance is preparing for some important events in this direction.

https://t.me/rybar/52491 - zinc

One of the clear consequences of the activities of Gorbachev and Yeltsin in surrendering positions in Eastern Europe and the collapse of the USSR.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8668955.html

Google Translator

******

A NATO country could soon have a pro-Russian leader
Ivana Kottasová
By Ivana Kottasová, CNN
Updated 10:31 AM EDT, Thu September 28, 2023

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Former Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico has called for stopping military aid to neighboring Ukraine.
Martin Divisek/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock
CNN

Slovakia is getting ready to elect its fifth prime minister in just four years, and with Kremlin sympathizer Robert Fico’s opposition party leading the polls, it is one being watched with alarm in the West.

Since Russia invaded Ukraine last February, Slovakia has been one of Kyiv’s staunchest allies. The two countries share a border, Slovakia was the first country to send air defenses to Ukraine and it welcomed tens of thousands of refugees.

But all that could change if Fico comes to power. The former prime minister makes no secret of his sympathies towards the Kremlin and has blamed “Ukrainian Nazis and fascists” for provoking Russia’s President Vladimir Putin into launching the invasion, repeating the false narrative Putin has used to justify his invasion.

Fico has called on the Slovak government to stop supplying weapons to Kyiv, and said that if he were to become prime minister, Slovakia would “not send another round of ammunition.” He is also opposed to Ukraine joining NATO.

Grigorij Mesežnikov, a political analyst and the president of the Institute of Public Affairs, a Slovak think tank, said that like many Russia sympathizers, Fico is framing his support for Moscow as a “peace” initiative.

“He and his allies argue that we shouldn’t be sending weapons to Ukraine because it will make the war go on for longer. They are saying ‘there will be peace if we stop sending weapons to Ukraine’ because if we don’t the conflict will end sooner. So, in essence, they are not pro-peace, they are pro-Russian,” he told CNN.

Fico previously served as Slovakia’s prime minister for more than a decade, first between 2006 and 2010 and then again from 2012 to 2018.

He was forced to resign in March 2018 after weeks of mass protests over the murder of investigative journalist Jan Kuciak and his fiancée, Martina Kušnírová. Kuciak reported on corruption among the country’s elite, including people directly connected to Fico and his party SMER.

(more...)

https://us.cnn.com/2023/09/28/europe/sl ... index.html

Never too soon to get the propaganda rolling...

******

Nazigate: Canada’s Top General Won’t Apologize for Applauding Ukrainian Waffen-SS Vet
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on SEPTEMBER 28, 2023
Wyatt Reed

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As Canada’s top officials express embarrassment for honoring a WWII Nazi collaborator in parliament, the leader of the country’s military, Gen. Wayne Eyre, refuses to apologize for his standing ovation. The Canadian military has trained Ukraine’s notorious neo-Nazi Azov Battalion for years.

Canadian politicians have been in frantic damage control mode since feting a former member of the Waffen-SS during a parliamentary reception for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on September 22. The Speaker of Canada’s House of Commons, Anthony Rota, resigned following the incident, while Prime Minister Justin Trudeau lamented it as “extremely upsetting,” and opposition leader Pierre Poilievre branded the affair the “biggest single diplomatic embarrassment” in Canada’s history.

But amid the gratuitous public rites of contrition, one influential official has been conspicuously absent: Canada’s highest-ranking general. According to the Ottawa Citizen, Chief of the Defence Staff Gen. Wayne Eyre has “declined to apologize for his standing ovation” for Yaroslav Hunka, the now-notorious 98-year-old former member of the 14th Waffen Grenadier Division of the SS, whose members gained international infamy for hunting down anti-Nazi partisans, massacring thousands of civilians, and burning hundreds of Polish villagers alive.

The notion that the Nazi proclivities of figures like Hunka could have escaped Eyre’s notice now appears increasingly remote. In 2017, Ukraine’s Azov Battalion published photos on their website publicizing their meeting with high-level Canadian military officials, who had arrived in Ukraine to help train the notoriously neo-Nazi infested unit, which was officially incorporated into the Ukrainian National Guard.

US and Canadian military officers meet uniformed members of the neo-Nazi Azov Battalion during a November 2017 multinational training session in Ukraine.

Photos from a deleted page on Azov’s website: https://t.co/08C1FLQ6Ee pic.twitter.com/5RAIif6OFf

— Max Blumenthal (@MaxBlumenthal) March 20, 2022


A year later, Azov posted photos on its official social media channels showing Canadian military attaché Col. Brian Irwin meeting with its personnel. Responding to a query from journalist Asa Winstanley, a Canadian military spokesman justified training the fascist military on the grounds that the session “includes ongoing dialogue on the development of a diverse, and inclusive Ukraine.”

Командування полку АЗОВ зустрілося із канадськими дипломатамиhttps://t.co/7RA4h9xqMI#полк_Азов #АЗОВ pic.twitter.com/ZUbQtlP9Bi

— Azov Brigade (@azov_media) June 19, 2018


Just four months before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, The Friends of Simon Wiesenthal Center for Holocaust Studies sent a letter to then-Acting Chief of the Defense Staff Gen. Wayne Eyre and Defense Minister Harjit Sajjan demanding an investigation into the decision to train Ukrainian neo-Nazis. The Jewish group urged them to ensure that such instruction did not continue.

“If Canada is going to be providing military training to foreign forces, then it is our responsibility to know we are not training neo-Nazis,” said Jaime Kirzner-Roberts, policy director of the Friends of Simon Wiesenthal Center. “It is our obligation to our Canadian veterans who sacrificed so much defeating fascism in Europe.”

But such warnings apparently went unheeded. The Canadian military not only declined to discontinue its Nazi-training policies, it escalated its program of coaching avowed fascists. Since Russian military operations in Ukraine kicked off in Feb. 2022, Canada has invested a further $1.6 billion USD in the arming and instructing of Kiev’s military.

On the sidelines of Zelensky’s now-infamous address to the Canadian Parliament, Ottawa authorized the further disbursement of another $483 million USD in aid and training on F-16 fighter jets.

Canada’s scheme of funneling weapons to Kiev and coaching Ukrainian forces officially began in 2014, just months after anti-Russian forces toppled the democratically-elected government of Viktor Yanukovych in a brutal US government-backed coup d’etat. Under the auspices of “Operation UNIFIER,” more than 33,000 Ukrainian troops received “advanced combat instruction by Canadian soldiers,” Canada’s state-affiliated CBC reported in 2022.

Ukraine’s ambassador in Ottawa, Yulia Kovaliv, heralded the training initiative as a “very important initiative.”

“It is also important to further provide Ukraine with heavy weapons,” she added.

In the UK, where Canadian forces frequently travel in order to school Zelensky’s army in the art of killing Russians, the program received a similarly warm welcome. An ebullient British Defense Secretary Ben Wallace said in a statement at the time that he was “delighted” that “the Canadian Armed Forces will be joining the growing international effort to support the training of Ukrainian soldiers in the UK.”

“Canada’s expertise will provide a further boost to the programme and ensure that the Ukrainian men and women, coming to the UK to train to defend their country, will get a wide pool of experience and skills from both UK forces and our international partners,” Wallace crowed.

Just what exactly the nationalist-leaning members of Ukrainian armed forces did with the training and tacit blessing of Canada has yet to be ascertained. But Azov members have been implicated in a number of war crimes. Despite the unit’s recent push to whitewash its Nazi tendencies, Azov — which has since expanded to a full-fledged brigade under Kiev’s official command — retains as its leader Andrey Biletsky, who once described Ukraine’s role on the global stage as helping to “lead the white races of the world in a final crusade … against Semite-led Untermenschen.”

Biletsky has taken pains to distance himself from the comment, but the unit has not undertaken similar efforts to distance itself from Biletsky. In September 2023, Biletsky was photographed proudly shaking hands with Zelensky during an intimate meeting with the Ukrainian President on the outskirts of Bakhmut. And Zelensky himself appears to have few problems with publicly associating with the group.

In a post commemorating the encounter with Ukraine’s most celebrated Nazi formation, Zelensky declared: “I am grateful to everyone who defends our country and people, who brings our victory closer.”

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2023/09/ ... en-ss-vet/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part V

Post by blindpig » Sat Sep 30, 2023 11:54 am

Weapons to attack even further
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 09/30/2023

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The Ukrainian discourse of guaranteed victory, used not only to maintain high morale and national support for the war, but fundamentally to present the war effort as an investment and thus guarantee a flow of weapons and financing until its objectives are achieved, has been the basis of Ukrainian communication since the breakdown of negotiations at the Istanbul summit, the last opportunity to bring the conflict between Russia and Ukraine to the diplomatic stage. That has also been the starting point of seeing Western weapons as the only objective necessity to achieve that certain success that Ukraine promised, and continues to promise, to its partners. “Russia will have nothing to do,” said Zelensky about the demand to receive F16 aircraft, the penultimate of the many miracle weapons with which kyiv has promised to give the West a victory in the common fight against Russia. However, contradicting this discourse, Ukraine has always sought to expand the scope of the war to the maximum. Coordination in tactical and strategic planning, the provision of American and British intelligence in real time, the constant supply of weapons, financing and training, and the diplomatic, political and economic support in large quantities that the country has received since February 24 2022 have never been enough for Ukraine, a proxy with great ambitions that has always sought to directly involve those countries that participate in the war indirectly.

The first phase of the Russo-Ukrainian War, with the Russian advance in the south and the defense of Kiev, which quickly entered the trenches to give rise to some of the bloodiest battles of that part of the conflict, was accompanied by a fundamental motto: the Ukrainian demand to “close the skies.” This argument was part of the speeches of the Ukrainian authorities and was present in the international demonstrations that took place at that time. The fact that it quickly disappeared at the moment when NATO, in fact the United States, denied that possibility indicates a high degree of coordination between those who organized these events and the Ukrainian authorities. The argument was nothing more than a thinly veiled Ukrainian demand for NATO to enter into combat with Russia.closed . That was the logic with which the United States and its allies managed to avoid the Russian veto for the intervention that finally destroyed the Libyan State. The imposition of a no-fly zone implies the destruction of the air defenses, missiles and aircraft of the country in question, an attack that, in the case of the Ukrainian war, would necessarily have had to take place on Russian territory. kyiv's demand was thus a way of demanding its partners go directly to war with Russia, the red line that the United States does not intend to cross.

Time has meant that Ukraine has to settle for the indirect participation of its allies, who in return have promised a long-term commitment of supply and financing as long as it is necessary.which includes more and more weapons. Time has also eliminated taboos that seemed impossible a year ago, when the delivery of aircraft seemed a step towards war with Russia or the delivery of cluster munitions or depleted uranium projectiles did not even cross the minds of Western authorities. Ukraine is now closer to receiving each and every one of the weapons it has requested on its way to becoming, practically officially, NATO's army against Russia. However, it has made no progress whatsoever in its attempt to directly involve its allies. This shows, to the chagrin of Ukraine and associated lobbyists,

Despite these red lines that the United States has marked for its partners in Kiev, which it has even demanded - at least in the past - not to use Western-made missiles to attack Russian territory, Ukraine has continued to look for a way to involve its suppliers more actively in the day-to-day operations of the war. Only that could be the logic of the manipulation of the events that occurred last year in Poland, when, as the Polish Prosecutor's Office now admits, the remains of a Ukrainian anti-aircraft missile hit a Polish village, causing the death of two civilians. At that time, and in the face of Joe Biden's judgment, who rather quickly confirmed that it was not an incident that could activate NATO's Article V of collective defense, President Zelensky stubbornly insisted on the version of a deliberate Russian attack on Poland, something that not even the Polish authorities were suggesting. Although with less zeal and aware of not being able to achieve the desired result, Kiev also mentioned the possibility of creating armed NATO convoys to escort cargo ships through the Black Sea corridor after the Russian withdrawal from the grain export agreement. As expected, this naval version of the closing the skies in March 2022 was going to work. The limits on the supply of weapons or their use are flexible, but the United States' interest in making this war a conflict that could lead to the outbreak of an even more intense and extensive war is not. Hence the interest in maintaining distance from the front and avoiding any clash that Russia could understand as a direct confrontation, the casus belli of a war that both parties want to avoid.

The severity of the war and Ukraine's willingness to push the limits of both its allies and its enemies may make those red lines not seem so clear or a situation may be reached in which balances are in danger. It is not about the possibility of an episode similar to that of the Gulf of Tonkin or a new Caribbean missile crisis, but rather the growing danger of confrontation both in Russia-Ukraine and abroad. An example of this is the latest idea from Kiev, which according to what the media published this week not only wants weapons to attack on the Russian front and rear in Crimea and continental Russia but in much more distant places. The reason for this is undoubtedly the lack of great success in its current military campaign.

Almost four months after the start of the counteroffensive that was going to definitively grant the initiative of the war to Ukraine and that was posed as a turning point towards Ukraine's victory, progress is minimal and concern is increasing. Despite maintaining public appearances, more and more voices are showing frustration towards the blockade situation. Ukraine, for its part, promises future success if it obtains the weapons it requests. However, with growing certainty that promises of future achievements will not be enough to maintain the current level of military spending - or investment, as Ukraine and its staunch defenders define it - Kiev is looking for other solutions .. The images of tanks and armor destroyed or damaged on the front have confirmed the great role that drones are playing in this war, and especially in the current offensive. Ukraine has widely boasted about its ability to develop such weapons and use inexpensive drones to attack Russian targets. Sometimes, these targets are not Russian tanks or positions on the front but rather defenseless towns in regions such as Bryansk or Belgorod, although these details rarely make it into the media.

Kiev's latest demand confirms what has been seen with the images of the front and the results of the Ukrainian offensive: Russian drones, also developed from simple technologies and at a relatively low cost, are doing damage. So the solution proposed by kyiv is to obtain long-range missiles to attack factories in Syria or Iran where it assumes that the kamikaze drones used on the front are manufactured. Ukraine also proposes attacking a factory on the Russian mainland where all the drones that Russia uses on the front are presumably now manufactured. The time when Russia depended on Iran for the use of these small drones that are so conditioning the fight on certain fronts, especially the one that Ukraine considers central, seems to be long gone.

The proposal to attack these industries occurred, as published by The Guardian , last August and, as usual, Kiev proposed it as a counterpart, a form of payment for discovering that these drones also contain Western components. To compensate to Ukraine for those parts that, despite sanctions, end up in drones used on the front, kyiv demands to be able to attack three countries: Russia, Iran and Syria. Although it does not have the capacity to do so on its own, Ukraine's ambitions are endless. Nor does it seem a problem for Kiev that these possible attacks would extend the war to another region and another continent, that they could endanger other balances, including the Russia-United States in Syria, or that they would involve more actors in a war. that doesn't stop working to make it bigger and more dangerous. Iranian-designed drones are nothing more than the penultimate excuse.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/09/30/armas ... more-28246

Google Translator

*******

Chronicle of a special military operation for September 29, 2023
September 29, 2023
Rybar

During the day, Ukrainian DRGs attempted to penetrate Russian territory in the Bryansk region . One group of 50 people operated in the Lomakovka area , the other, under the cover of an infantry fighting vehicle, in the Kamensky farm area . The attack was repelled by Russian troops.

In the morning, the Ukrainian Armed Forces carried out a massive drone raid on the Kursk region . At least 10 enemy aircraft were shot down. One of them attacked a substation in Belaya Sloboda, Belovsky district. In addition, another device was shot down in the sky over the Kaluga region .

NATO reconnaissance has again intensified in the southwestern part of the Black Sea . Two aircraft were seen north of the Bosphorus . Two more reconnaissance assets patrolled the Black Sea waters. Such activity is usually observed in anticipation of attacks on Crimea or ships of the Black Sea Fleet .

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About the attempt to break through the DRG in the Bryansk region

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On the evening of September 29, news appeared about an attempt to violate the state border of the Russian Federation in the Bryansk region . A number of sources wrote about a group of 50 people, some about 10. Such a spread is understandable: there were most likely two attempts and, accordingly, the DRG. In the Lomakovka area , a group of up to fifty people with light and heavy weapons, including AGS, but without armored vehicles, was reported. The second group, of 10 people, operated in the Kamensky Khutor area . There were also reports of infantry fighting vehicles from there. If there were armored vehicles, they operated from the Ukrainian side of the border, since on the left bank of the Snov River there is a forest area convenient for covert movement.

The situation on the front line and combat operations

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In the Black Sea direction in the southwestern part of the Black Sea , suspicious NATO intelligence activity was again noted today: an American RQ-4B UAV and a British RC-135 aircraft are circling in the same area north of the Bosphorus . Also a little to the south, the Turkish ATR-72 base patrol aircraft of the Turkish Navy monitors the surface space. Prior to this, two American MQ-9A Reaper drones were in this zone all night . Such activity is usually observed when ships of the Black Sea Fleet are there . And usually this is accompanied by attempts to attacktheir unmanned boats: NATO intelligence directs the BECs and evaluates the results.

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In the Starobelsk direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces may have problems with logistics. Yesterday, a video of an attack by a Kh-38ML guided missile on a bridge over the Oskol River near the village of Senkovo ​​appeared online . The projectile was fired by a fighter-bomber, and the target designation was carried out by the Orlan UAV. The hit was precisely in the middle of the bridge, which will complicate its further repair. The use of this type of rocket was captured for the first time. Now the enemy has only one bridge left across the Oskol reservoir in the area of ​​​​the village of Gorokhovatka . It is noteworthy that footage was later publishedstrike on another crossing: such strikes on small bridges and crossings should be carried out systematically to disrupt the logistics of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

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In the Soledar direction, attempts are being observed by assault groups of Ukrainian MTR units to break through the Russian defensive line along the railway track south of Andreevka and in the Zelenopol region . The enemy’s goal is to cut off Kurdyumovka from the railway tracks in the west, thereby gaining a foothold on the southern flank of the Bakhmut group of the Russian Armed Forces, and create conditions for advancing in the direction of Kodema and further north, to the border areas of Bakhmut .


Andreevka and Kleshcheevka continue to remain in the “gray zone”. It is difficult for the enemy to gain a foothold here due to the scale of the destruction. The Ukrainian Armed Forces constantly send manpower to attack in small groups; the main battles take place along the railway tracks, behind which the Russian Armed Forces occupy positions. Today, near Kleshcheevka, the command of the 5th separate assault brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces sent its forces to attack in a wave of 10-15 people. Thanks to the coordinated work of motorized riflemen and artillerymen of the Southern Group, the enemy lost more than a hundred of its attack aircraft. This tactic of “meat” assaults brings the Ukrainian Armed Forces daily colossal losses in both manpower and equipment.


In the Donetsk direction, positional clashes continue in the area of ​​​​the Maryinsky fortified area . In the Avdeevka area , the Russian Aerospace Forces aircraft are striking with controlled aerial bombs at places of concentration of manpower and equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

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In the Vremyevsky sector, aviation and artillery of the Russian Armed Forces strike at the enemy’s front line and rear targets. New units of Ukrainian forces arrive in the rear areas north of Prechistovka and Bolshaya Novoselka , but in insufficient numbers to break through the defenses. At the same time, the enemy continues to carry out harassing actions on the line of combat contact, operating in small infantry groups, including DRGs.


At the Orekhovsky site, activity has decreased significantly. The enemy operates in small infantry groups near Verbovoy and Novoprokopovka . As before, FPV UAVs are actively used in the area to engage enemy groups. If the Ukrainian Armed Forces infantry still manages to reach the front line, they are taken into the fire bag, shot at close range. This becomes possible thanks to close interaction with intelligence units and the active use of reconnaissance UAVs.


In addition, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported that the 47th mechanized brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was being withdrawn to rear areas to restore combat effectiveness due to huge losses and refusal of personnel to go into battle. We cannot confirm this with certainty yet, but we cannot completely rule out this option. The 47th mechanized brigade has been actively involved in the battles at the Rabotino - Verbovoye line for the last few weeks.

The “meat assault” tactics allowed us to advance only a couple of tens of meters in just over three months, and the enemy’s losses were, to put it mildly, high. The 47th brigade is being sent for replenishment for the third time - and this applies not only to this unit. A similar fate befell the 82nd Separate Brigade , the 46th Separate Brigade , and even the 71st Separate Brigade , which entered the battle a few weeks ago. At the same time, the withdrawal of the 47th mechanized brigade to the rear will not significantly affect the capabilities of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the area. There are still enough separate formations of air assault troops and the National Guard there. And the preparation of new brigades is in full swing.

Shelling of rear areas and residential areas
Today one drone was shot down in the sky over the Kaluga region , there was no damage or casualties.

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In addition, Ukrainian formations staged a massive drone raid on the Kursk region . At least ten enemy UAVs were shot down, at least one of them was able to drop ammunition on a substation in the Belaya settlement , Belovsky district, and disable a transformer. Five nearby settlements were without power. In total , five thousand people were left without electricity in the Belovsky district . During the day, the Ukrainian Armed Forces shelled populated areas in the region. Borki , Gogolevka and Oleshnya found themselves under enemy fire .

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Against the backdrop of failures at the front, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are trying to shift attention to the Russian border region, as was the case after the capture of Artemovsk in the spring of this year. The enemy does not stop shelling settlements in the Belgorod region . In the villages of Dorogoshch and Tishanka , private houses, cars and power lines were damaged due to shelling. The village of Novostroevka - Second was attacked by an enemy UAV. A Ukrainian drone purposefully dropped an explosive device on cars parked near a residential building. The village of Nezhegol came under tank fire from the Ukrainian Armed Forces: a Chinese citizen was wounded . Also, settlements came under Ukrainian shelling. Vyazovoe ,Paved and Tishanka .

[/img]https://rybar.ru/wp-content/webp-expres ... 5.jpg.webp[/img]
Meanwhile, the enemy continues to shell populated areas of the Donetsk agglomeration every day . In Donetsk , the Kirovsky , Kuibyshevsky , Kievsky and Petrovsky districts are under fire , and there is destruction of a residential area. In addition, the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched strikes on Gorlovka and Yasinovataya : there was no information about damage or casualties.

In Yenakievo , several missiles from the HIMARS MLRS destroyed a hotel where construction workers from the Leningrad region lived. At the time of the strike, the mayor of Gorlovka , Ivan Prikhodko , was there ; the dead and wounded were miraculously avoided, but this once again raises the question of why the Armed Forces of Ukraine knew the whereabouts of an official at a fairly large distance from the front.

In the Zaporozhye region, Ukrainian formations twice attacked the city of Tokmak with MLRS. As Vladimir Rogov reported , the missiles were intercepted by air defense; there is currently no information about casualties or damage.

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Ukrainian formations continue to fire at civilian infrastructure on the left bank of the Kherson region . During the night, the enemy fired over 30 shells at the Cossack Camps , Krynki , Novaya Kakhovka , Dniepryan and Podstepne . As a result of the strike on Aleshki, one civilian was killed .

Political events
Who wants to make money on the restoration of Ukraine ?

Recently, articles on the topic of the restoration of Ukraine have become more frequent in the British media . The war in the country has not yet ended, and in the West they are already thinking about how to continue making money even after the end of the armed conflict. The British think-tank Royal Defense Studies Institute ( RUSI ) published a report on the organization of the reconstruction process in Ukraine. According to the department, the damage caused to Ukrainian infrastructure during the war reached $147 billion , and the World Bank estimates that $411 billion will be required to restore the country . At the same time, Ukraine’s special funds have currently managed to accumulate only $1.6 billionfor the specified needs.

Then the author of the report hints that Western partners will carefully monitor the spending of the collected amount . The fate of the initiative will depend on its correct use . That is why it is important for the Kyiv regime to ensure the fight against corruption and transparency in the distribution of financial resources. To achieve the goal, Ukraine has created several special departments: the Ministry of Communities , Territories and Infrastructure Development in 2022 and, in early 2023, the Reconstruction Agency , which has branches in the regions.

The listed institutions, together with (under the supervision of) the NGO RISE Ukraine , have deployed a comprehensive recovery management system called the “ Digital Recovery Ecosystem for Accountable Governance ”, which supposedly allows tracking of all reconstruction projects and expenses in an online format. The project is expected to become fully operational by the end of 2023 . However, the report cautions that key changes need to be made to ensure " trust, transparency and accountability ", including completing the judicial reform demanded by the European Union.

Of course, such publications are another act indicating the completion of the “Ukraine” media project, and also once again express the West’s intentions to establish complete control over any financial flows. And the image of Ukrainians as ungrateful savages formed in the British press will in no way prevent interested parties from cutting up the budget and leaving the country in ruins.

How Americans transport military equipment across the Atlantic for Ukraine


The day before, the US House of Representatives by a majority vote approved new aid to Ukraine in the amount of $300 million. And, despite the curtailment of the Ukraine media project, no one plans to stop the supply of weapons. In this regard, we decided to show the ways in which weapons from the United States get to Europe as part of supplying the Armed Forces of Ukraine, participating in exercises and implementing the Atlantic Resolve program.

Despite the obvious advantage in speed, air transportation plays much less importance in the supply and transfer of American military equipment and units to Europe due to its high cost. The main way to transport heavy military equipment across the Atlantic Ocean is by sea on ro - ro ships . The monopolist in this area is the American operator American Roll-On Roll-Off Carrier ( ARC ), a subsidiary of the Norwegian Wallenius Wilhelmsen .

Ro-ro ships allow you to transport large volumes of wheeled and tracked vehicles : Bradley fighting vehicles, missile systems, including HIMARS systems. However, due to their increased instability on water, ro-ro is not suitable for transporting goods that cannot be secured inside the ship. For these reasons, ammunition is loaded onto container ships or other vessels for transport using the breakbulk method, in which the cargo is placed on the ship using a crane. Another problem associated with ro-ro ships is the lack of necessary equipment to handle them in many American and European ports .

The bulk of equipment for Ukraine is loaded at the American port of Beaumont (Texas) and at the docks of the airbase in Charleston (South Carolina). Unloading operations are carried out in Bremerhaven (Germany), Gdansk and Gdynia (Poland), Aarhus and Esbjerg (Denmark), Klaipeda (Lithuania), Alexandroupolis (Greece) and Muuga (Estonia).

On the problems of the Ukrainian counteroffensive

The Times magazine published an article in which British Chief of Defense Staff Tony Radakin spoke about the problems in the so-called Ukrainian counter-offensive. According to him, the West underestimated Russia’s capabilities, and its defense turned out to be stronger than predicted, and the members of the Ukrainian formations themselves turned out to be insufficiently trained. At the same time, Ukrainian soldiers are hampered by a huge “ zoo ” of armored vehicles , which are difficult to maintain on the front line due to the shortage and variety of parts.

It is noteworthy that one of the reasons Radakin names is that Ukraine is fighting not with a “ professional army ”, but with former civilians, which on the one hand confirms the thesis about large losses on the part of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and on the other explains why it is more difficult to train and send them into battle. At the same time, he does not call the counteroffensive a failure and does not call for judging the success of the Ukrainian operation by it, because, in his opinion, “Russia suffered a complete fiasco when it did not achieve its goals in the war.”

Military expert and Colonel of the Austrian Armed Forces Markus Reisner said that Ukraine’s successes on the battlefield are too overestimated, because until now the capture of the defensive lines of the Russian Armed Forces entailed heavy losses on the Ukrainian side, and yet there has still been no real breakthrough of the Russian defense happened. Although he believes that Ukraine’s Western allies may lose the moment when the initiative on the battlefield passes to the side of Russian troops , one should not be too happy: the Armed Forces of Ukraine still have enough forces and resources, including mobilization resources .

On the possible in-house production of air defense systems and weapons in Ukraine

The head of the presidential office , Andrei Ermak , said that a fundamental decision had been made and the arrival of specialists was expected to help organize the production of air defense systems. Just yesterday, representatives of French defense enterprises concluded several dozen weapons contracts and memorandums of cooperation with the Ukrainian military-industrial complex.

In this regard, yesterday’s visit of French Defense Ministers Sebastien Lecornu and Grant Shapps from Great Britain to Kiev, as well as Stoltenberg’s statement about the allocation of more than $2 billion for artillery ammunition, seems logical. The German concern Rheinmetall also entered into an agreement with the Ukrainian Ukroboronprom for the repair of equipment transferred by Germany at one of the enterprises in Kiev with the prospect of its own production.

In addition, during Zelensky’s recent visit to the United States, Joe Biden also announced the creation of a joint venture for the production of weapons in Ukraine. Obviously, there are not many reserves left in the warehouses of NATO countries, and in the future, a more profitable option for them will be for Ukraine to provide itself with the necessary weapons.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

Google Translator

(Other images at link.)

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Ukraine’ Assassination Program Has Gotten So Out of Control that Some of Its Members Are Starting to Speak Out
By Jeremy Kuzmarov - September 28, 2023 1

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Ukrainian snipers attend shooting training near the front line amid Russia-Ukraine war in Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine, on February 18, 2023. [Source: businessinsider.com]

The Assassination Program Bears Parallels With the Vietnam Phoenix Program and Israeli Mossad Operations Targeting Palestinians
On September 9th, The Economist ran a remarkable story entitled “Ukraine’s Assassination Programme: Its Agents Have Become Expert in Dark Revenge.”


It spotlighted how the Ukrainian Security Services (SBU)’s Fifth Directorate and Special Operations Forces (SSO) are running an assassination program across regions of Ukraine occupied or reintegrated into Russia and in Russia itself, and that some SBU agents are starting to believe that these programs have gotten out of control.

An unnamed SBU counter-intelligence officer is quoted as saying that it made him uncomfortable that “marginal figures” were being targeted in operations that were designed “to impress the president rather than bring victory any closer…clowns, prostitutes and jokers are a constant around the Russian government. Kill one of them, and another will appear in their place.”

The same officer noted that Ukraine’s assassination campaign was being “driven by impulse rather than logic,” and “risked exposing sources and the extent of Ukrainian infiltration into Russia,” adding that “our security services shouldn’t do things just because they can.”[1]

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SBU operatives. [Source: euromaidanpress.com]

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[Source: uncensoredhistory.blogspot.com]

These comments provide an incredible admission of an out-of-control assassination program, subsidized in effect by U.S. taxpayers, that is engaging in wanton violence and killing.

A historical parallel can be found with the CIA’s Vietnam Phoenix Program, an assassination operation designed to liquidate civilian officials supportive of the National Liberation Front (NLF), which also got out of control and was used to resolve private disputes.

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Phoenix Program adviser John Wilbur with local assassination squad. [Source: uncensoredhistory.blogspot.com]

The Economist, predictably, did not mention the CIA, though we know from Vasily Prozorov, a former SBU officer who defected to Russia, that the SBU was advised by the CIA since 2014, and that CIA employees have come to the SBU’s central office to plot secret operations.

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Vasily Prozorov [Source: tellerreport.com]

A Ukrainian hit list on the Myrotvorets website is also now advertising itself as a CIA project based in Langley, Virginia, the location of the CIA’s headquarters.

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Valentyn Nalyvaichenko [Source: wikipedia.org]

The Myrotvorets site was launched just after the February 2014 Maidan coup backed by the U.S.

Former SBU Director Valentyn Nalyvaichenko said that Ukraine’s leaders decided that their policy at that time of imprisoning supposed Russian collaborators was “not achieving enough. Prisons were overflowing, but few were deterred. We reluctantly came to the conclusion that we needed to eliminate terrorists.”[2]

Many of these “terrorists” were actually patriots who supported the legitimately elected government of Viktor Yanukovych (2010-2014), who was deposed in an illegal coup backed by far-right nationalists that worshiped pro-Nazi figures like Stepan Bandera.

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Viktor Yanukovych [Source: slate.com]

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Women holding a poster of pro-Nazi Stepan Bandera, who has been rehabilitated in post-Maidan Ukraine. [Source: art-for-change.com]

They also favored close political-economic and cultural relations with Russia, which had been firmly established over generations. Many were involved in peaceful protests against the post-coup order that were violently suppressed or supported legal political parties that were banned.[3]

In eastern Ukraine, the “terrorists” supported the renegade Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics, which were established after the people living in those republics voted for their autonomy in referenda. They voted that way because they did not accept the Maidan coup and were outraged by the passage of draconian language laws that were an affront to their culture.[4]

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People cast ballots at polling station in Donetsk following U.S.-backed coup in May 2014. [Source: newsweek.com]

The rights of the people of Donetsk and Luhansk were recognized under the Minsk peace accords, which representatives of the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics signed and which Russia supported, though which Ukraine viewed largely as a ruse to buy time to build up Ukraine’s military capacity to wage war, as German Chancellor Angela Merkel admitted.

On August 31, 2018, the head of the Donetsk People’s Republic, Aleksandr Zakharchenko, was murdered, in a café where he was eating, after a bomb was set off by the death squads profiled in The Economist. (Zakharchenko’s bodyguard also died and 12 people were severely injured in the blast.)

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Aleksandr Zakharchenko [Source: newsweek.com]

A former mine electrician who staunchly supported the Minsk accords, Zakharchenko had been a compromise figure between the left-leaning and anti-establishment forces that led the Donbas uprising and the more conservative, pro-capitalist forces backed by the government of the Russian Federation.

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Aftermath of bombing of café where DPR leader Aleksandr Zakharchenko was killed by SBU assassins in August 2018. The Economist headline for this photo disturbingly read “A Dish Served Cold.” This was either a veiled effort at dark humor or a knock on Zakharchenko that his death was a revenge killing when it was really an aggressive act of state terrorism that was illegal under international law. [Source: economist.com]

Zakharchenko’s assassination coincided with that of other notable Russian-backed commanders in the Donbas, such as Mikhail Tolstykh (aka Givi), who was murdered by a flamethrower while he was working in his office, and Arsen Pavlov (aka Motorola), whose 2016 murder in an apartment complex bombing was falsely blamed on Russia in Western media outlets.[5]

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Arsen Pavlov, centreArsen Pavlov [Source: theguardian.com]

Yevhen Yunakov, the mayor of the town of Velykyi Burluk in the Kharkiv region, was another victim murdered by the SBU in a car bombing. The Economist reported that Yunakov was “one of dozens of people targeted in clinical operations” who were “shot, blown up, hanged, and even on occasion poisoned with doctored brandy.”[6]

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Yevhen Yunakov [Source: twitter.com]

Ukrainian General Kyrylo Budanov was quoted in The Economist piece stating, “if you are asking about [creating a version of] Mossad. We don’t need to. It already exists.”[7]

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Kyrylo Budanov [Source: wikipedia.org]

These comments provide a stunning rebuke to the pristine image that Ukraine has tried to cultivate given the ruthless reputation of Mossad, which has assassinated more people than any other intelligence service in the Western world—save perhaps the CIA with its drone and torture programs.

The parallel between Ukraine and Israel is that both countries feel they can get away with illegal practices because of the military backing and support that they get from the United States. A further parallel is that both are coming to be viewed more and more as pariah states among politically conscious citizens of the world—as they have both crossed over onto the dark side.

U.S. Intelligence Official Admits to Black Propaganda Operation Against Putin
The exposure of Ukraine’s assassination program in the mainstream media comes amidst the backdrop of the failure of Ukraine’s spring-summer counteroffensive, which has resulted in the demoralization of Ukraine’s army.

Maverick investigative reporter Seymour Hersh recently interviewed an intelligence official with access to up-to-date intelligence who said “it’s all lies,” in reference to claims of incremental progress in the counteroffensive. “The war is over. Russia has won. There is no Ukrainian offensive anymore, but the White House and the American media have to keep the lie going.”

The same official said that while believing Vladimir Putin’s decision to start the war was “stupid,” the Biden administration’s decision to wage a proxy war in response was “also stupid. And so now we have to paint him [Putin] black, with the help of the media, in order to justify our mistake.”.

These latter comments acknowledge the existence of a black propaganda campaign against Putin by the CIA along with British intelligence that the media has been central to.

CovertAction Magazine has previously reported on this campaign, which fits the pattern of past demonization campaigns targeting U.S. adversaries like Fidel Castro, Muammar Qaddafi, Saddam Hussein, Nicholas Maduro, Daniel Ortega and many others.

The accomplishments of the above leaders were all suppressed in the propaganda campaigns and supposed evil played up.

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An aspect of the CIA’s black operation against Putin using the media that goes back to at least 2014. [Source: businessinsider.com]
Putin fits the standard as a leader who has stood up to U.S. interests by strengthening national control over Russia’s economy following an era of foreign exploitation and looting under his predecessor Boris Yeltsin.

Putin has also increased the central authority of the Russian government and projected Russian power outwards, coming to the defense of the beleaguered people of Eastern Ukraine that were attacked by the Ukrainian military, with U.S. and UK backing following the 2014 coup that they orchestrated.

As I have analyzed elsewhere, the black propaganda campaign against Putin compares to that adopted against the German Kaiser during World War I, which helped whip the American public into a frenzy that led them to support U.S. intervention in the Great War—with dubious consequences that included the death of an estimated 100,000 American soldiers.

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Propaganda poster denouncing the Kaiser; the Putin of 100 years ago. [Source: topfoto.co.uk]

The current campaign against Putin has been so successful that many elements of the so-called left have embraced it and supported U.S. weapons supplies and covert military intervention in Ukraine.

However, the lies surrounding this campaign and delusions underlying U.S. policy in Ukraine are beginning to crumble.

More and more people are waking up to the Vietnam-like disaster that has been steadily unfolding—replete with Phoenix style terrorist operations that expose the true dark nature of the Ukrainian regime the U.S. has helped to prop up.


1.“Ukraine’s Assassination Programme: Its Agents Have Become Expert in Dark Revenge,” The Economist, September 9, 2023, 46. ↑

2.“Ukraine’s Assassination Programme,” 46. ↑

3.See Jacques Baud, Operation Z (Paris: Max Milo, 2022). Baud’s study makes clear that, if anyone deserved the designation terrorists, it was the Ukrainian Army and its assorted militias which, according to the UN, were responsible for 80% of artillery attacks against civilians in the years leading up to the launching of Russia’s Special Military Operation. ↑

4.Baud, Operation Z. ↑

5.The bomb that killed Pavlov, who has been featured on commemorative stamps in eastern Ukraine, was planted in the elevator in his building and detonated remotely. Another victim of the Ukraine assassination squad was Alexey Mozgovoy, an anarchist who led the Ghost Battalion and ran the town of Alchevsk, nominally part of the self-declared Luhansk People’s Republic (LPR). He was killed when his motorcade came under fire. ↑

6.“Ukraine’s Assassination Programme,” 46. ↑

7.“Ukraine’s Assassination Programme,” 46. ↑

https://covertactionmagazine.com/2023/0 ... speak-out/

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After Pushing Gains By Ukraine NYT Notes Its Losses

The New York Times reporting on Ukraine seems inconsistent. It was all about gains and going forward:

*A Brutal Path Forward, Village by Village - New York Times, September 2, 2023
*Ukraine Has Gained Ground But It Has Much Further To Go- New York Times, September 20, 2023
*Another Step for Ukraine: Armored Vehicles Breach Some Russian Defenses - New York Times, September 22, 2023


But a week after the above a different headline appeared:

Who’s Gaining Ground in Ukraine? This Year, No One. - New York Times, September 29, 2023

That headline is contradicted by the content of the piece.

As Antiwar summarizes:

Russian forces have gained more territory in Ukraine this year than the Ukrainian side despite the Ukrainian counteroffensive that was launched in June, The New York Times reported on Thursday.
The report noted that despite nine months of heavy fighting in Ukraine, only about 500 square miles of territory have changed hands this year. Russia has gained 331 square miles while Ukraine has gained 143, a difference of 188, which amounts to Russia’s net gain in territory so far this year.


Contradicting its headline the NYT graphics department admits as much.

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Russia is fighting a war of attrition:

The Times quoted Marina Miron, a postdoctoral researcher in war studies at King’s College London, who said Russia appears to be comfortable holding the territory it currently controls rather than seeking rapid gains.
“It’s not losing anything by not moving forward,” Miron said. “The whole strategy in Ukraine is for the Russians to let the Ukrainians run against those defenses, kill as many as possible, and destroy as much Western equipment as possible.”


As the Zelinski regime senselessly continues to push its army against the hardened Russian defense line there is no need for Russia's military to move forward. The numbers and time is on its side. It is Ukraine that has a mobilization problem, not Russia.

This thus will end badly for Ukraine with nothing to gain but likely many more losses.

Posted by b on September 29, 2023 at 10:01 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/09/a ... .html#more

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Paradoxes of Democracy: Elections Take Place in Russian-Controlled Parts of Ukraine While Authoritarian Rule Prevails in Kiev-Controlled Regions
SEPTEMBER 28, 2023

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Photo composition showing a voter placing his vote in a ballot box, on the left the Ukrainian flag, on the right the Russian flag and in the background a civilian with a soldier. Photo: Al Mayadeen.

By Dmitri Kovalevich – Sep 26, 2023

The Ukrainian authorities even before the 2014 coup were always very wary of any referendum initiatives or even polls addressing ‘uncomfortable’ issues of language, culture, economic or social policies.

On September 10, elections to regional and municipal assemblies were held across the Russian Federation. For the first time, they were held under Russian law in the two Donbass republics of Donetsk and Lugansk which formally became part of the Russian Federation in February 2022. Elections also took place in the two ‘new territories’, as they are called in Russia, of the Russian-controlled parts of Zaporizhzhya and Kherson regions (that is, the areas of those two regions lying south and east of the Dnieper River).

Ukraine gov’t does not like polls, referendums or even a census of its population
The governing regime in Ukraine as well as the Western countries allied with it condemned and refused to recognize the elections in the Donbass republics and new territories, just as they had earlier refused to recognize referendums in 2022 in all four territories to join the Russian Federation. International observers were threatened with all kinds of sanctions if they dared to witness and report the voting, as many of the inhabitants of the regions would wish. On election day, September 10, the Ukrainian army shelled polling stations, destroying election materials and voting infrastructure. Officially, Ukraine treats participation in these elections as “high treason”.

The Ukrainian authorities even before the 2014 coup were always very wary of any referendum initiatives or even polls addressing ‘uncomfortable’ issues of language, culture, economic or social policies. That’s because results were predictable in opposing the official, ultranationalist course of successive Ukrainian governments since secession from the Soviet Union in 1990/91. For similar reasons, Ukraine has not even conducted a census since 2001, rebuffing urgent recommendations by the United Nations to conduct one. The reason for this refusal is that a census would have demonstrated a sharp population decline caused by the disastrous political and economic course of post-Soviet Ukraine.

Fictious populist parties fill a void and undermine genuine democracy
In elections since 1991, it has been common to create fictitious populist parties that can ‘catch a wave’ and score surprise election results. This was the case in 2021 with the ‘Servant of the People’ party created by Volodymyr Zelensky and his cohorts. He and his ‘party’ swept the 2021 elections to the presidency and to the legislature (Rada). They did so by flirting with Russian-speaking voters as well as other voters opposed to, or uneasy with, the anti-Russia policies brought to the fore in Ukraine by the 2014 coup. They promised socially oriented policies and probes towards peace with Russia, but once in power immediately changed course to impose neoliberal policies, urge more NATO military intervention directed against Russia, and continue promoting right-wing, Ukrainian nationalism.

The actual absence of real democracy in post-Soviet Ukraine was always quietly approved by the Western countries. They have long simply slapped the label ‘democratic’ on the most dictatorial of regimes so long as they submit to a status of ‘ally’, that is underling, of the United States and NATO. Accordingly, any free election or referendum would not meet the standards of Western-style “democracy” if the results contradicted U.S. and NATO policies. Should such results occur, groups of pro-Western vigilantes and paramilitaries representing tiny portions of the electorate would be mobilized to conduct ‘color revolutions’ against elected officials getting in the way.

Had there been referendums on important issues in Ukraine before the upheavals and coup of late 2013/early 2014, the country would very likely have avoided the eight years of bloody civil war waged by Kiev against the Donbass republics and avoided the Russian military intervention begun on February 24, 2022. The world would not today be on the brink of nuclear conflict. Ukraine would have remained a neutral country with competing interests and allegiances being balanced; pro-socialist sentiments that are widespread in the east of the country would balance against the pro-capitalist and pro-European Union sentiments widely prevalent in the west. The country’s economic relations would be balanced between the West and the Russia-led economic bloc to the east, while its multicultural and multilingual character would be intact. But it was precisely this genuine model of democracy that was done away with because it contradicted the fraudulent Western brand of ‘democracy’.

Moldova threatened by Western-style ‘democracy’
Something similar to the Ukrainian political crisis is now rising again in neighboring Moldova (population 2.6 million). Transnistria (the Transnistrian Moldovan Republic, population app. 500,000) seceded from greater Moldova in the 1990s in reaction to Moldovan authorities embracing nationalism and pursuing cooperation with NATO.

This year, elections took place in the Autonomous Republic of Gagauzia (population app. 135,000). Located in the south of Moldova with its capital in the town of Comrat, the republic is predominantly populated by Gagauz, a Turkic people. Pro-Soviet sentiments have always been strong there.

The election of the Bashkan (president) of autonomous Gagauzia was won by the female Gagauz leader Eugenia Gutsol. But Moldovan President Maia Sandu has refused to recognize the vote, dismissing Gutsol for being “pro-Russian” and opposed to a pro-NATO course. In September, President Sandu declared that power in Gagauzia was now “in the hands of a pro-Russian criminal group”. Prime Minister Dorin Recean added that his cabinet would not work with a politician who favored strengthening ties with Russia. Thus, the non-recognition of an inconvenient vote threatens tiny Moldova with another conflict with an entire people, the Gagauz.

Transnistria is mostly populated by Russian speakers, with a significant Ukrainian population in its north. Gagauzia has a large ethnic Bulgarian population in its southeast. It is obvious that the policy of ethnic nationalism being increasingly promoted by the central government in the capital could only lead to the political collapse of the country.

But let us return to the elections in former Ukrainian territories. During the regional elections across Russia on September 10, including the new, former Ukraine territories, little attention was paid to issues surrounding the military intervention in Ukraine and geopolitics. After all, these were elections to municipal and regional bodies, not for the presidency and the national government. Alexei Makarkin of the Russian Center for Political Technologies summarized the election campaign in the magazine Profile, writing, “The majority of voters would like to live their usual lives, while the candidates, of course, try their best to avoid interfering with this.”

(One of the unexpected moments of the regional elections in Russia was the fact that American MMA boxer and anarcho-communist Jeff Monson, who has supported Donetsk in its conflict with Kiev and has become a Russian citizen, was elected as a deputy to the Kurultai (legislative assembly) of Bashkortostan, a Muslim autonomous republic of the Russian Federation. Monson had earlier condemned U.S. government policy and capitalism in general.)

Elections in Russia’s two Donbass republics and its two new territories
The four new regions of the Russian Federation held elections on September 10 with the rest of the country. Vladimir Putin’s United Russia party won the overwhelming majority of votes everywhere, from 74 percent to 83 percent. Second and third places were shared by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Liberal-Democratic Party. The Party of Just Russia (social democrats) placed in fourth place everywhere except Zaporizhzhya region where it finished third, displacing the Communist Party.

The Donetsk Republic elected a regional assembly (‘Peoples Council’) of 90 deputies while the Lugansk Republic elected 50 deputies to a similarly named assembly. Zaporizhzhya elected 40 deputies to its ‘Legislative Assembly’, while Kherson elected 36 deputies to its ‘Regional Duma’.

Residents of the new regions voted using Russian or Ukrainian passports as identification; displaced people from these regions living in other regions of the Russian Federation voted similarly. According to the Russian Central Electoral Committee, a total of 1,313 people were registered as candidates for regional parliaments in the new regions as of August 31. Ukrainian media tried to discredit the candidates by emphasizing their “low” social background. The vast majority of candidates in these regions were from the working classes. Many were housewives, students, pensioners, and unemployed, which was ridiculed by Kyiv.

Among the well-known Ukrainian personalities who ran for office were the acting leaders of the Zaporizhzhya region (Yevgeny Balitsky), Kherson region (Vladimir Saldo), and the incumbent leaders of the two Donbass republics. Candidate Dmytro Tabachnyk in Zaporizhzhya region was the head of the administration of former Ukraine president Leonid Kuchma (1994 to 2005) and also a former education minister (2010 to 2014).

Many of the candidates on the lists were previously members of parties banned in Ukraine, including the Communist Party of Ukraine, the Opposition Platform, the Sharij Party, and the Socialist Party.

Voter turnout in the new regions (former Ukrainian regions) was much higher than in the existing Russian regions. While the average turnout in the Russian Federation was 43.5%, in the new territories it ranged from 65% to 94%. In the Donetsk Republic, it was 94.34% and in the Lugansk Republic, it was 72.53%. Turnout in the Kherson region was 65.14%, while in the Zaporizhzhya region, it was about 70%. High voter turnout is also characteristic of Crimea since 2014.

The new regions of the Russian Federation are, as a rule, more loyal to Moscow than to Russian regions per se. Voting there under new and different laws for new and different parties as well as fears of possible retribution by Ukraine may have lowered slightly the turnout.

Predictably, Ukraine and the Western countries have dismissed the election figures. No official representatives from there were willing to observe and monitor the voting and counting process. The Russian Federation responded to disparaging Western comments by saying that the elections were an “internal” affair.

In Ukraine itself, elections are not likely to be held soon. The head of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council, Alexey Danilov, warned earlier in September that elections in Ukraine could be used by Russia for “destabilization”. “The holding of elections in the conditions in which our country finds itself is simply an issue of internal destabilization,” Danilov said. He also said that elections require discussion and debate, and public political discussion is impossible in today’s Ukraine because those in Ukraine holding pro-Russian views have not yet been purged from all institutions of government and the state.

Corruption remains intractable in Ukraine
The reluctance to hold elections is related to Zelensky’s falling ratings. A poll published in Ukraine in September showed that 78 percent of Ukrainians believe that Zelensky is personally responsible for corruption in the government and local administrations. The New York Times recently published an analysis of Ukraine headlines ‘Corruption is an existential threat to Ukraine, and Ukrainians know it’.

Corruption scandals in Ukraine do not cease for a single day. Entire shipments of humanitarian aid have been reported stolen. Payment of large bribes to avoid obligatory military service or in order to flee abroad is common. The military often purchases food and other supplies at much higher prices than prevailing market prices. Only recently in the Kiev region, the inoperative Trilessky distillery in the city of Zaporizhzhia was sold for the equivalent of US$176 by Ukraine’s State Property Fund. The sale includes adjoining land of 104 hectares containing warehouses, fuel oil facilities, a locomotive depot, auto repair shop, cellars, workshops, alcohol storage facilities, and even a summer cinema.

Zelensky is considered by many Ukrainians as personally responsible for all these problems, in part due to his earlier actions in effectively suppressing the operations of local self-government in the country, replacing elected bodies in a number of regions with military administrations appointed by him. The elected mayors of a number of cities were removed from power under various pretexts, described in detail by no less than the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a leading U.S. think tank in Washington.

The post-2014 government and state in Ukraine is highly centralized government with few real powers exercised by local or regional governments. Western media chooses to completely overlook this. The Carnegie analysis explains, “The government is increasingly undermining the very idea of local self-government.” It continues, “The standoff between the central government and the mayors in Ukraine has been going on since the 2020 local elections, the last major vote before Russia’s invasion. Back then, President Volodymyr Zelensky’s Servant of the People party was defeated in the mayoral elections in key cities.”

The authoritarianism and dictatorship that Zelensky has built in Ukraine has a flip side working very much to its detriment and that of its allies. The Ukrainian Telegram channel ‘Kriogen’ explains: “With such an unprecedented concentration of power in the hands of one person and one political force, there is no one else to whom to shift responsibility.”

Notwithstanding all the evidence to the contrary, Western governments and media continue to present Ukraine as a democracy while dismissing Russia and its elected local, regional and national governments as “authoritarian”.

(Al Mayadeen-English)

https://orinocotribune.com/paradoxes-of ... d-regions/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part V

Post by blindpig » Sun Oct 01, 2023 12:22 pm

The 2023 campaign in perspective
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 01/10/2023

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“Who is gaining ground in Ukraine?” asks The New York Times this week in one of the several articles in which the media evaluates the Ukrainian counteroffensive that began four months ago. “This year, no one,” he answers as a starting point. Despite the slightly condescending tone and the pro-Ukrainian point of view from which it is presented, the article offers a series of illustrative maps that make clear the failure, at least momentarily, of the main bet of Ukraine and its Western partners for the year 2023 On the crest of the wave after the Russian debacle in Kharkiv in September 2022 and the withdrawal from the city of Kherson and the territories on the right bank of the Dnieper River weeks later and with the confidence that came with the launch of a supply unprecedented to balance the forces on the front, Ukraine wanted to see the real possibility of fighting for the coast of the Azov Sea.

A cluster of circumstances, among which Western interests and Ukraine's willingness to not accept an agreement that does not involve the recovery of Crimea, condemned the Russo-Ukrainian war in March 2022 to enter the trenches to become an eternal war, that all parties already accept that it will be long. In his last visit to Kiev, Jens Stoltenberg reaffirmed NATO's willingness to support Ukraine as long as necessary and demanded that member countries increase their defense production capabilities to guarantee supply. This future support for an indefinite period of time implies Ukrainian requirements for ammunition that exceed current European production capacities, the complete emptying of the Soviet stock of the countries that were part of the Warsaw Pact and even the risk of shortages in their own arsenals. The latter is what Bulgaria wanted to show with its announcement of the delivery of defective or seized S-300 missiles, considered a risk for the country, but sent to Ukraine with the clarification that Kiev has the capacity to repair them. The fine line between concern for national security and war fatigue is blurred and could manifest itself in the coming hours in Slovakia, where former President Fico leads the vote count and could regain power by stating, among other things, that the country will not deliver “one more bullet to Ukraine.” Slovakia has already done for Ukraine everything it could do:

Russia, for its part, has announced a 70% increase in military spending in its budgets for next year. The Russian discourse justifies this increase by the need to wage the “Western hybrid war against Russia.” The increase in spending comes after partial mobilization in 2022, defense preparation against the Ukrainian counteroffensive and a notable increase in the effectiveness of Russian troops, which have successfully integrated elements such as drones into their doctrine and made clear that the discourse of low preparation and morale was simple Ukrainian propaganda. Even so, also for Russia the war has become the long-term race that it tried to avoid with its first attack on kyiv and the opening of negotiations to quickly achieve its objectives:

The territorial aspect is the center of the New York Times article, which to try to downplay the limited territorial gains of the Ukrainian offensive also incorporates the Russian advances throughout the year. Showing on different maps the marginal advances of the parties in 2023, the media explains, separately, that “the front line in Ukraine has changed little since last winter”, something that is notoriously true and is due, to begin with, to that the Ukrainian offensive of autumn 2022, which achieved the great success of Kharkiv, could not complete its mission. The hasty and disorderly retreat from Izium and its surroundings involved a rapid Ukrainian advance through the Oskol that reached the Russian border, but also threatened northern Lugansk. If Ukraine did not advance on Kremennaya and Svatovo, Compromising Russian supply lines in Donbass was not because of a tactical option but because it was there that Russian troops, at great cost, managed to stop the advance of the already worn-out Ukrainian Armed Forces. With all the battles stopped, the winter focused solely on the advance on Artyomovsk, an area that, due to its urban characteristics, was possible despite the weather conditions. However, the weather does not completely explain the paralysis of the rest of the fronts, which were paused mainly because preparation for the spring resumption had already begun. Ukraine had begun preparation for what was going to be the battle for the Sea of ​​Azov and Russia was already working on the defensive fortifications that are currently slowing or paralyzing Ukrainian advances.The New York Times ignores when assessing the territorial advances of the parties throughout 2023.

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Russian advances in red; Ukrainians in blue. Territorial progress of the parties in conflict since January 1, 2023.

“Russia sought to capture the entirety of Donbass, but it has only advanced very slowly,” he emphasizes without specifying that part of the Russian effort in the region was not offensive, but defensive and that if it has managed to make those small advances it is precisely because it has managed to stop to Ukraine in its objective of capturing all of northern Lugansk. The slow progress in Donbass cannot be considered a novelty either, as it only continues the trends of 2022, when it was evident that the fortifications that Ukraine worked on for eight years were going to be a huge obstacle for Russian troops. The fact that a large part of the mobilization and reorganization of the front has been dedicated to the central front, the Zaporozhye,

“Ukraine has achieved minimal gains in its counteroffensive,” he adds, opening the chapter on Ukrainian advances. “The dense Russian minefields and fortifications have made each attack extremely costly,” he adds, opening the door to speculation about that cost. The level of casualties of the Ukrainian Armed Forces continues to be respected as a state secret for which Ukraine cannot be questioned. However, the generalization in pro-Ukrainian media of the discourse of high losses is sufficiently significant of casualties that, due to the intensity of the battle and the damage being done, for example, by kamikaze drones, must be strikingly high.

“Despite nine months of bloody battle, less than 500 square miles of territory have changed hands since the beginning of the year,” states the article, which in a later graph shows 143 won by Ukraine and 331 by Russia. The baggage is poor especially considering the expectations, especially for Ukraine. And every mention of Russian offensive actions that has been commented on over the last year has been refuted by time. This absence of offensives can be attributed to a lack of potential or, as The New York Times seems to suggest,, to the tactic used. "The entire strategy in Ukraine is based for the Russians on letting the Ukrainians crash into those defenses, killing as much as possible and destroying as much Western equipment as possible," the outlet states, quoting Marina Miron, an expert at King's College London, who adds also that Russia awaits Western wear and tear. At this point, all parties are aware that the repetition of the supply in huge quantities that has occurred this year is going to be impossible for a large part of the countries that have collaborated.

Compared to the data provided by The New York Times , taken fundamentally from the main think-tank monitoring the war, the Institute for the Study of War, it is not only the advanced meters that have to be analyzed but also the trends and what each of the parties intended to achieve this year, especially this summer. The intention of Ukraine and its partners was to advance on Melitopol, not on Rabotino - where Ukraine has been suffering casualties and losses for weeks despite presenting that advance as strategic - to force Russia to negotiate in a position of weakness, which would allow Kiev to impose its dictation. The Russian objectives, apart from trying to advance, little by little, in Donbass, were to maintain the front line and defeat a Ukrainian offensive marked by NATO training, tactics and material. In this sense, although it is premature to take the results for granted and regardless of the small gains, it is the Russian objectives that are closer to being met.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/10/01/28255/

Google Translator

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Chronicle of a special military operation for September 30, 2023
September 30, 2023
Rybar

Ukrainian formations are increasing their activity in the Sumy and Chernigov regions near the borders of Russia. Various units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are moving into the region, including those from the RDK and the Russian Freedom Legion. New forays into the border regions of the Russian Federation are planned.

In the Kherson direction , the enemy continues to accumulate forces, transferring new infantry groups to the islands on the Dnieper. Ukrainian formations are trying to create a strong bridgehead for a further attack on Russian positions on the left bank of the river and a further breakthrough to Crimea .

At the Vremevsky and Orekhovsky sections of the Zaporozhye direction, the situation has not changed significantly. However, the Ukrainian Armed Forces intensified their actions in the Pologovsky and Vasilievsky sections. Local clashes occurred near Belogorye .

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The situation on the front line and combat operations

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After yesterday’s raids by the DRG to Lomakovka and Kamensky Khutor, the question of a possible attack by Ukrainian formations in the north-east of Ukraine once again arose. Unlike the May attack on Shebekino , this time the Ukrainian Armed Forces will try to act more widely. This is confirmed by enemy activity not only in the Bryansk region , but also in the Belgorod region . Units of the so-called “Russian Freedom Legion” arrived at the border in the Sumy region .

Similar movements are observed in Sumy , where the legendary Russians from the “Russian Volunteer Corps” were transferred. One of the DRGs is already at Grabovsky , so a strike should be expected from there too. In addition, electronic intelligence units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces intercepted information about the arrival of Colonel General Lapin in the Pogarsky district of the Bryansk region . The reconnaissance groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were tasked with determining his location and ambushing him.

The way Ukrainian formations are operating now is very similar to how they did everything in late May - early June: forays of PR troops across the border to create an information explosion and divert attention to this direction, while preparations for the main attack are going on in a completely different direction. . And if then these were the Orekhovsky and Vremyevsky areas, now it may be something else, such as, for example, the Kherson direction, where brigades of marines were transferred.

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In the Zaporozhye direction at the Rabotino-Verbovoe line the situation remains the same. The enemy's attempts to wedge between the villages did not bring the expected success to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Isolated collisions are noted in the west of Verbovoye , as well as in plantings to the southwest.

Due to serious losses, units of the 3rd battalion of the 117th infantry brigade and the 82nd airborne assault brigade were once again rotated. Replacement reinforcements arrived the other day, including the forces of the 65th brigade. It is with the forces of the 65th mechanized brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces that they plan to storm the heights south of Rabotino . Their location is advantageous for the defense of both Novopokropovka and positions in forest belts to the east, so the Ukrainian Armed Forces will concentrate their efforts on them.


And if the battles in the Orekhovsky sector have already become somewhat commonplace, then the activation of Ukrainian formations in the direction of Vasilyevka and Pologi is a rather unique event for recent months. In the area of ​​Grigorovka , Stepnogorsk and Kamensky , the arrival of unidentified units is noted, which are equipping control points in these villages.

Also, several groups of the 82nd Airborne Brigade took up positions near Belogorye (our artillery is already working on them). And enemy aircraft from the airfield in Dnepropetrovsk began firing at rear targets, including Pologi. Such activity of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in two areas indicates a possible attack on both Vasilyevka and Pologi. And in principle, taking into account Orekhov ’s problems , this option is quite logical for stretching the front. Another question is whether the Ukrainian Armed Forces have enough reserves for an offensive on a broad front.

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In the island zone of the Dnieper, Ukrainian tactical groups (TG) continue to gain a foothold on the islands and on the left bank. TG units "Normandy" and "Grom" rotated forward groups on Alekseevsky and Aleshkinsky islands .

The main events took place on Cossack Island , where the Ukrainian Armed Forces began to set up positions near the river bed. However, a Russian reconnaissance group carried out a successful raid on Kazatsky, taking two people prisoner. The rest of the 131st reconnaissance battalion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces fled to the northern part of the island and took up all-round defense. The evacuation group transferred reinforcements by boat, and on the way back to Nikolaevka it was sunk by artillery.

The activity of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the islands against the backdrop of a strengthening of troops in this direction is not surprising. By the time the Marine Corps is deployed to cross the Dnieper, the Ukrainian Armed Forces must have a solid foothold on the left bank. Therefore, the intensification of fighting on the islands is logical. By the way, in the last two days there has been no movement of columns from east to west: this means that the transfer of the Marine Corps group has been completed .

Shelling of rear areas and residential areas
Ukrainian formations attacked populated areas in the Bryansk region at least twice . In the village of Pogar, as a result of the strike, the power supply was disrupted, and in the village of Gorozhanka , three residential households were damaged. In addition, the Ukrainian Armed Forces carried out a drone strike in Trubchevsk . One civilian was injured, and the roof and glazing of the administrative building were damaged.

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At night, Russian air defenses intercepted a salvo of 9 Uragan MLRS missiles at Belgorod on approach to a populated area. Several settlements were shelled in the Shebekinsky urban district. In Murom , residential buildings were cut by shrapnel, Novaya Tavolzhanka was also shelled , there is no information about damage or casualties. In the Krasnoyaruzhsky district, several flights took place between Repyakhovka and Prilesye , and a fire broke out in a field.

In addition, Ukrainian formations, as before, fired at the Donetsk agglomeration . Donetsk, Gorlovka, Makeevka and Nikolskoye came under attack . Over Zaitsevo, several shells were intercepted by air defense systems.

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Against the backdrop of the concentration of enemy forces on the right bank of the Dnieper and military operations on the islands, attacks on peaceful settlements on the left bank of the Kherson region continue . Krynki , Dnepryany and Kakhovka are under fire . In Novaya Kakhovka, a residential building was damaged by mortar fire, and electricity and gas supplies were disrupted in the settlement. Fires were recorded in several settlements, but the cause is currently unknown.

Political events
About Ukraine's capabilities in using Taurus missiles

The main lobbyist of the German military-industrial complex and Bundestag deputy Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann declared Ukraine’s right to attack Russian territories with Taurus missiles . According to her, the German authorities must urgently supply missiles to the Ukrainian Armed Forces in order to hit the supply of Russian troops. Since there is little doubt that the Taurus is about to be delivered (or has already been delivered) to Ukraine, immediately after ATACMS, such statements are a clear herald of the imminent use of German missiles by Ukrainian formations.

In a similar way, Zimmerman and the Green Party prepared public opinion for the delivery of Leopard tanks , drawing criticism from supporters of a diplomatic settlement. In this game, even Chancellor Scholz is relegated to the role of moderate leader, who tries his best to keep hawks like Zimmerman in line, but in reality, of course, no supply decisions are blocked.

This behavior is caused primarily by the lack of a proportionate reaction of the Russian Federation to Storm Shadow missile attacks on Crimea . Berlin reasonably believes that after this, and even more so after the delivery of ATACMS, responsibility for the Taurus, capable of hitting at a much greater distance, will be at least tolerable .

On the adoption of the budget in the USA

The Republican majority in the House of Representatives plans to vote on a government funding bill that would remove the Ukraine aid clause . This was done to prevent a possible stop in funding the executive branch of government. However, this will not affect the supply of weapons to Ukraine - all necessary assistance packages are planned to be adopted by separate laws.

Defense Industries Forum

A forum of defense industries was held in Kiev , where the Ukrainian authorities spoke about the needs and requirements of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Zelensky even proposed creating a so-called “arsenal of the free world” in Ukraine, a network of military-industrial complex factories that would produce military products in the country. He promised special conditions to all countries that were ready to agree to this. Defense companies from Turkey, Sweden, the USA, Great Britain, France, Germany and others took part in the meeting.

Reception of the wounded at the US Army hospital

The American hospital of the US Armed Forces in Germany began to accept mercenaries of both American and non-American origin wounded in battles in Ukraine .

Visit of Josep Borrell

Josep Borrell arrived in Ukraine on an unannounced visit . He arrived in Odessa, there is no information about his further actions yet.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 23-goda-2/

Google Translator

(Other images at link.)


How Americans transport military equipment across the Atlantic for Ukraine
September 29, 2023
Rybar

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The day before, the US House of Representatives by a majority vote approved new aid to Ukraine in the amount of $300 million. And, despite the curtailment of the Ukraine media project, no one plans to stop the supply of weapons. In this regard, we decided to show the ways in which weapons from the United States get to Europe as part of supplying the Armed Forces of Ukraine, participating in exercises and implementing the Atlantic Resolve program.

Despite the obvious advantage in speed, air transportation plays much less importance in the supply and transfer of American military equipment and units to Europe due to its high cost.

The main way to transport heavy military equipment across the Atlantic Ocean is by sea on ro-ro ships. The monopolist in this area is the American operator American Roll-On Roll-Off Carrier (ARC) , a subsidiary of the Norwegian Wallenius Wilhelmsen.

Ro-ro ships allow you to transport large volumes of wheeled and tracked vehicles: Bradley fighting vehicles, missile systems, including HIMARS systems. However, due to their increased instability on water, ro-ro is not suitable for transporting goods that cannot be secured inside the ship. For these reasons, ammunition is loaded onto container ships or other vessels for transport using the breakbulk method, in which the cargo is placed on the ship using a crane.

Another problem with ro-ro ships is the lack of necessary equipment to handle them in many American and European ports.

The bulk of equipment for Ukraine is loaded at the American port of Beaumont (Texas) and at the docks of the airbase in Charleston (South Carolina). Unloading operations are carried out in Bremerhaven (Germany), Gdansk and Gdynia (Poland), Aarhus and Esbjerg (Denmark), Klaipeda (Lithuania), Alexandroupolis (Greece) and Muuga (Estonia).

https://rybar.ru/kak-amerikanczy-perevo ... a-ukrainy/

The Czech Republic will change the law to pay Ukrainian refugees to return to their homeland
September 29, 2023
Warsaw mermaid

The Czechs plan to soon introduce changes to the law that will finance the return of Ukrainian refugees to their homes. The new rules are also intended to extend the period of protection for them until the end of 2025.

The idea is to provide funding for the process of returning to your country. True, so far there are no special guarantees that this is not a hoax. But back in June of this year, advisers to the Ukrainian president focused on the need to encourage Ukrainians to return to their homeland. The Allies were encouraged to provide financial support to such people.

However, in general, things are very bad for Ukrainian refugees in the Czech Republic . According to the social policy platform PAQ Research and the Sociological Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, two thirds of them live below the poverty line .

At the same time, the republic is the country with the largest number of Ukrainians per capita in the EU - 32.2 refugees per thousand people. Poland has slightly lower figures (26.6).

At the same time, the government's aid program has been significantly reduced to reduce the budget deficit. The new rules cut solidarity payments, and from July 1, Ukrainians pay for their accommodation on their own.

By the way, they say that although qualified workers came to European countries, they ended up having to work in low-paid positions. It’s not just the lack of language skills, but also the fact that employers are “biased” towards them.

Warsaw mermaid

https://rybar.ru/v-chehii-izmenyat-zako ... na-rodinu/

Google Translator

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COMPARISON BETWEEN NATO TANKS AND THE RUSSIAN T-90M PRORIV
Sep 28, 2023 , 11:03 am .

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Russian T-90M Proriv (Photo: Archive)

An audiovisual infographic from Sputnik offers a comparison between the characteristics of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) tanks and the Russian T-90M Proriv. In the work it can be seen that the Russian tanks surpass the Leopard 2A6, Challenger II, Leclerc and M1A2 Abrams tanks of the NATO countries.

[youtube]http://vk.com/video-211380376_456241060 ... 82e9b51e50[/youtube]

The comparison is based on ammunition, effective range, dynamic protection, weight and cost. In all areas, the Russian T-90 Proriv is more efficient than the vehicles of NATO partners.

For example, the Slavic tank is cheaper if you compare the 4.5 million dollars of the T-90 with the 8.6 million dollars of the English Challenger II.

Another obvious advantage is that it is much lighter and uses a greater number of projectiles than the rest of NATO weapons.

Russian superiority in terms of weapons is evident compared to the Atlanticist organization, which boasts of a supposed military advantage that it can no longer sustain through narrative and focused wars against small countries.

https://misionverdad.com/comparacion-en ... roriv-ruso

Google Translator

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There will be no visa regime with Ukraine
colonelcassad
September 29, 17:50

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Putin signed a decree defining a list of documents that can be used to enter Russia from the territory of Ukraine. No visas, even an ordinary internal passport will do, including an expired one.

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This is a double-edged sword. On the one hand, the population of Russia continues to increase due to refugees from Ukraine. On the other hand, the intelligence services have more work to do, as the enemy continues to try to infiltrate spies and terrorists along with refugees.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8669475.html

Monument at the site of the deaths of Utkin and Prigozhin
September 29, 22:12

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A monument was unveiled at the site of the deaths of Prigozhin and Utkin.

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Also today, Putin met with “Sedy”, who now runs the Redut PMC, where some of the Wagner fighters went.
They promised to resolve all issues regarding social guarantees and security. Now "Redut" and "Volunteer Corps" are working with the Russian Defense Ministry. They are the ones who have now appeared in the Artemovsk area and will take part in upcoming operations. Putin today once again transparently made it clear that he has no complaints about the rank and file of PMCs and they, as before, are considered on an equal basis with the military, including in matters of guarantees.

Some of the Wagners signed individual contracts with the Russian Guard. The core of the PMC still operates in Belarus and Africa, separately from the Russian Defense Ministry. This group is commanded by "Lotos", who commanded the assault on Soledar, and also participated in the planning of the Battle of Artyomovsk. In Africa, Wagner PMC is most active in the Central African Republic, Libya and Mali. There is currently no official confirmation that the Wagner PMC has been transferred to Niger.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8670301.html

Google Translator

The monument should be a trash can.

*******

How Canada Emerged as a Haven for Nazi War Criminals
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on SEPTEMBER 29, 2023
Roger Jordan

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Government House Leader Karina Gould (left) and House of Commons Speaker Anthony Rota (right) embrace Yaroslav Hunka, a Ukrainian former member of Adolf Hitler’s Waffen SS. Standing behind Hunka in the middle is his son Martin. [Photo: @karinagould]

WSWS Editorial Note: Aided by the corporate media, Canada’s political establishment is trying to claim that parliament’s honouring last Friday of the 98-year-old Nazi Waffen SS veteran Yaroslav Hunka was the result of an unfortunate gaffe—a gaffe for which the House of Commons Speaker, Anthony Rota, is exclusively responsible.


The World Socialist Web Site has already exposed this false narrative at length.

Here we are republishing an article that first appeared on the WSWS on July 29, 2019. It discusses how and why Ottawa threw open its doors to Hunka and some 2,000 Ukrainian SS veterans. As the article explains, this was part of a broader policy of providing a safe haven to the Nazis’ Ukrainian fascist allies, so as to use them to advance Canadian imperialism’s interests at home and abroad.

Working in concert with the Ukrainian Canadian Congress (UCC), which had been founded at the government’s behest at the beginning of World War II, Ottawa used the Ukrainian fascists to combat left-wing influence among Canada’s large Ukrainian worker-farmer population and the labour movement more generally. The government also worked with the UCC to foment a rabidly anticommunist, virulently anti-Russian Ukrainian nationalism in collaboration with the CIA and British intelligence.

In recent decades, as Canada’s government under Liberals and Conservatives alike has worked with Washington and its NATO partners to harness Ukraine to NATO and the European Union, Ottawa’s alliance with the UCC and the Ukrainian far right has become an ever more important element of Canadian foreign policy.

A more extensive examination of the alliance between Canadian imperialism and the Ukrainian far right can be found in the May 2022 WSWS series “Canadian imperialism’s fascist friends,” including its fourth part: “How Ottawa provided the Ukrainian fascists refuge and incubated and promoted far-right Ukrainian nationalism.”

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Reichsführer Heinrich Himmler (in the foreground) in the company of German officers in front of the unit of the 14th Grenadier Division of the Waffen SS “Galizien”. Otto von Wachter is visible among the officers.

Earlier this month, Canada hosted the third Ukraine Reform Conference, a gathering of diplomats and officials from over 100 countries aimed at bringing Kiev even more directly under the geopolitical and economic domination of the Western imperialist powers.

After meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on the conference sidelines, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau vowed “to stand with Ukraine against Russian interference and aggression” and to support it in the struggle to end Russia’s “illegal annexation” of Crimea.

Trudeau’s portrayal of Russia as the aggressor in Ukraine and Eastern Europe turns reality on its head. It conceals the fact that Canada played a major supporting role in the US-orchestrated, fascist-spearheaded February 2014 coup that chased Ukraine’s elected president from power and brought a far-right, pro-Western regime to power in Kiev; and that the 2014 coup was the continuation of a longstanding US-led, Canadian-backed drive to expand NATO to Russia’s borders and harness Ukraine to the West.

Moreover, Canadian imperialism has been playing a leading role in the subsequent US-NATO war drive against Russia. This includes supporting Washington’s withdrawal from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty with Russia; taking command and providing the bulk of the troops for one of NATO’s four new “forward deployed” battalions in Poland and the three Baltic states; and deploying 200 Canadian Armed Forces personnel to Ukraine since 2015 to help prepare its army and National Guard to, in Trudeau’s words, “liberate” Ukrainian territory.

But Canada’s intimate alliance with far-right Ukrainian nationalists did not begin in 2014 or even in December 1991, when Canada became the first Western country to recognize Ukraine as a sovereign state. In the decades following World War II, Canada became a haven for far-right Ukrainian nationalists, many of whom had collaborated with the Nazis both in their drive to find “lebensraum” (living space) through the conquest of the Soviet Union and their genocidal “final solution to the Jewish problem.”

Under conditions of the postwar US-led military-strategic offensive against the Soviet Union—what euphemistically came to be known as the Cold War—these ultra-reactionary political forces came to be seen as useful allies due to their virulent anticommunism and hostility to anything and anyone associated with the Soviet Union.

In the immediate postwar period, Canada’s then Liberal government, working in close cahoots with US and British intelligence, opened Canada’s doors to Ukrainian Nazi collaborators. These included members of the infamous 14th Grenadier Division of the Waffen SS, also known as the Galicia Division.

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Yaroslav Hunka (front center) among Nazi Waffen-SS Galicia Division troops. [Photo: Ivan Katchanovski/Twitter or X]

Among the beneficiaries of this policy was Mikhail Chomiak, the grandfather of current Canadian Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland. During the war, Chomiak served as editor of a pro-Nazi Ukrainian nationalist newspaper, Krakivs’ki Visti, which used publishing equipment commandeered by the Nazis from a Jewish newspaper they had shut down. Chomiak emigrated to northern Alberta after fleeing to Vienna in late 1944 in the face of the advancing Red Army (See: Canadian media denounces exposure of foreign minister’s grandfather as Nazi collaborator).

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A recruitment poster for the Waffen SS Galacia division. It includes an image of Krakivs’ki Visti, which campaigned for its creation. Freeland’s maternal grandfather was Krakivs’ki Visti’s business manager.

The scale of the influx of Nazi collaborators only became public knowledge in the 1980s. A comprehensive study carried out by Alti Rodal on behalf of the federal government-appointed Deschênes Commission of Inquiry on War Criminals in Canada uncovered records proving that US intelligence agents in Europe had funneled Nazi collaborators from Eastern Europe through the Canadian immigration system using false papers. Rodal revealed that large numbers of identically typed applications were received by Canada’s immigration department from one address in West Germany. On closer inspection, this address turned out to be a US military base.

The Progressive Conservative government of Brian Mulroney established the Deschênes Commission in 1985, in response to a mounting public outcry over exposures of Nazis and Nazi accomplices who had found a safe haven in Canada and tasked the inquiry with identifying Nazi war criminals residing in the country.

Around the same time, the Simon Wiesenthal Center estimated that upwards of 2,000 Nazis and Nazi collaborators emigrated to Canada in the years after the war. A quarter-century later, in 2011, it would give Canada an “F minus” in its annual report ranking countries on their efforts to prosecute war criminals. This placed Canada on a par with Ukraine and the former Baltic republics, i.e., countries where the right-wing, nationalist regimes that have emerged since the Stalinist bureaucracy’s dissolution of the Soviet Union openly venerate the ultranationalists who aligned with the Nazis when they invaded the USSR.

War criminals in Canada

A significant number of those who made their way to Canada were members of the Nazi SS’s Galicia Division, which was made up of Ukrainian nationalist volunteers who fought on the side of the Wehrmacht against the Red Army during the Nazis’ war of annihilation against the Soviet Union. This preplanned onslaught—launched in June 1941 when a 3 million-strong force comprised of German troops, their Axis allies and fascist volunteers invaded the Soviet Union—led to the deaths of 27 million Soviet citizens and the Holocaust.

In waging war, suppressing the population, and pursuing the annihilation of the Jews, across Eastern Europe and above all in the USSR, Hitler’s Wehrmacht and SS shock troops relied on the loyal collaboration of ultraright-wing, anti-Semitic forces. Among the Ukrainian nationalists, in both occupied Poland and the USSR, the Nazis found eager collaborators. The Galicia Division was formed in 1943 out of volunteers recruited from the fascist Organisation of Ukrainian Nationalists (OUN), both of whose factions—the OUN (Melnyk) and the OUN (Bandera)—had welcomed the launching of Hitler’s war on the Soviet Union, actively participated in the mass extermination of Jews (the Holocaust) and continued to fight with the Nazis against the Red Army into 1945.

Massacres perpetrated by the division against Polish and Jewish civilians have been well documented, including at Huta Pieniacka, Podkamien and Palikrowy. At Podkamien, 100 Polish civilians were massacred in a hilltop monastery, and at least a further 500 in surrounding villages as the Red Army approached the German-occupied area in March 1944.

Members of the Galicia Division were initially prohibited from entering Canada due to their membership in the SS. But in 1950, Britain made an appeal to the Commonwealth for volunteers to accept a total of 9,000 division members who were at that time residing in the UK after being disarmed by British troops at the war’s end.

When Canada’s External Affairs Department, prompted by complaints from the Canadian Jewish Congress (CJC), raised concerns about the division’s ties to the Nazis and role in Nazi atrocities, the British government insisted that it had carried out background checks. “While in Italy these men were screened by Soviet and British missions and neither then nor subsequently has any evidence been brought to light which would suggest that any of them fought against the Western Allies or engaged in crimes against humanity,” claimed the British Foreign Office. “Their behaviour since they came to this country,” added London, “has been good, and they have never indicated in any way that they are infected with any trace of Nazi ideology.”

With this letter serving as political cover, Prime Minister Louis St. Laurent and his cabinet declared that Galicia Division members would be permitted to immigrate to Canada unless it could be proved that they had personally committed atrocities against civilian populations based on “race, religion or national origins.” Simply having been a Galicia Division member would not be considered a valid reason to prevent entry, even though the postwar Nuremburg Trials had found—given the organization’s leading role in the Holocaust, other atrocities and the bloody repression of civilians—all Waffen-SS members to have been complicit in war crimes.

The immigration of Nazi and Nazi-allied war criminals continued for more than a decade after the war and was a significant factor in Canada’s emergence during the Cold War as a political-ideological centre of far-right Ukrainian nationalism.

Speaking to a CBS “60 Minutes” programme in 1997, Canadian historian Irving Abella, who is currently Professor for Canadian Jewish history at York University, bluntly summed up the political climate of the time. “One way of getting into postwar Canada,” he said “was by showing the SS tattoo. This proved that you were an anti-Communist.”

Ottawa carried out this policy in close collaboration with US authorities, who similarly permitted ex-Nazis to settle in the US and recruited hundreds to act as spies against the Soviet Union and the Soviet-allied regimes in Eastern Europe. According to investigative reporter Eric Lichtblau, up to 1,000 former Nazis were made use of by the CIA in Europe, within the US itself, the Middle East and in Latin America.

The open door policy towards Nazi collaborators stood in stark contrast to the cold shoulder given by Canada to Jews desperately fleeing persecution. Abella coauthored a well-known book, None Is Too Many: Canada and the Jews of Europe, which was published in 1983 just prior to the establishment of the Deschênes Commission. Abella and Harold Troper detailed how Canada accepted a mere 5,000 Jewish refugees between 1936 and 1945. Most infamously, Canada was among the countries to refuse to provide asylum to the 900 Jewish refugees on the ship the MS St Louis, which sailed from Hamburg for the Americas in April 1939. Canada’s refusal to accept any of the refugees forced the St. Louis to return to Europe, where over 200 of its passengers later died in the Holocaust.

Exoneration of the Galicia Division

Due to the continued high-level protection members of the Galicia Division enjoyed from the government and other establishment circles, the Deschênes commission granted the Brotherhood of Veterans of the First Division of the Ukrainian National Army (Galicia Division) special intervener status in its hearings. This meant it was able to cross-examine testimony from witnesses, as well as make use of the standard right to submit legal documents and provide its own testimony.

The Nazi War Criminals commission also refused Soviet offers to gather testimony in the USSR, on the purported grounds that Moscow had refused to allow Canadian officials to interrogate witnesses in accordance with Canadian rules of evidence.

Outrageously, the Deschênes commission exonerated the Galicia Division of any wrongdoing in its December 1986 final report. Its most important findings in this connection read: “The Galicia Division (14 Waffengrenadierdivision der SS [gal. Nr. 1]) should not be indicted as a group,” and “Charges of war crimes against members of the Galicia Division have never been substantiated, either in 1950 when they were first preferred, or in 1984 when they were renewed, or before this Commission.”

The commission also summarily dismissed the charge that hundreds, if not thousands, of Nazi and Nazi-allied war criminals had immigrated to Canada, declaring these figures to be “grossly exaggerated.”

Another Ukrainian nationalist outfit given special representation rights before the Deschênes commission was the Ukrainian Canadian Committee (UCC), which has since renamed itself the Ukrainian Canadian Congress. In 1950, the UCC had successfully campaigned for the lifting of the ban on Galicia Division veterans entering the country.

The UCC continues to uphold the legacy of the Galicia Division. On Remembrance Day in 2010, the organisation saluted Ukrainian veterans of the Waffen SS as fighters for “freedom of their ancestral Ukrainian homeland.” The press release came from Paul Grod, the current head of the UCC. Grod has accompanied both Trudeau and his predecessor, Conservative Prime Minister Stephen Harper, on their trips to the Ukraine.

The case of Vladimir Katriuk

Nobody should believe that the Canadian ruling elite’s defence of pro-Nazi war criminals is a thing of the past.

In 2015, Vladimir Katriuk, a Ukrainian and member of the SS during World War II, died in Quebec at the age of 93. His personal fate exemplifies how the Canadian state actively connived to ensure Nazi war criminals escaped justice.

Katriuk, who came to Canada under a false name in 1951, was accused of war crimes, the most documented of which was his participation in the Khatyn massacre, carried out in what is now Belarus in early 1943. In the last years of Katriuk’s life, the Simon Wiesenthal Centre placed his name near the top of its list of the 10 most-wanted war criminals.

Katriuk’s case first came to prominence in 1999, when a federal court ruled that he had gained Canadian citizenship on false pretenses, because he had neglected to inform Canadian immigration officials about his Nazi past. After a lengthy period of deliberation, the Conservative government decided in 2007 that it would not revoke Katriuk’s citizenship and claimed there was insufficient evidence for him to be charged with war crimes.

Katriuk, who later joined the SS, was identified by multiple sources as being a machine gunner at the Khatyn massacre, which occurred on 22 March 1943. A total of 149 villagers were either burnt alive or shot by members of Battalion 118, a volunteer auxiliary police battalion of which Katriuk was a member, with the support of a Waffen SS unit. Evidence of his participation in other lesser known crimes has also been documented, as mentioned in a 2012 article by Swedish academic Per Anders Rudling.

Even in the last weeks of his life, when a Russian extradition request was submitted for the Ukrainian-born Katriuk, a spokeswoman for the Conservative government justified Canada’s refusal to allow Katriuk’s extradition to face trial on the basis of the political situation in Russia and its alleged “aggression” against Ukraine. “While I cannot comment on any specific extradition request, to be clear, we will never accept or recognize the Russian annexation of Crimea or the illegal occupation of any sovereign Ukrainian territory,” a spokeswoman for then Justice Minister Peter McKay declared.

Nothing has changed under Justin Trudeau’s Liberals. Anxious to cover up the ultraright-wing character of the forces Ottawa and Washington have allied with in their drive to harness Ukraine to Western imperialism and these forces’ ties to the Ukrainian nationalist collaborators with the Nazis, Foreign Minister Freeland has denounced the revelations of her grandfather’s ties to the Nazis as Russian-orchestrated “disinformation.”

When Trudeau visited Ukraine in 2016, he was accompanied by a strong UCC delegation and members of the Army SOS group, set up to procure military equipment for the pro-Kiev volunteer militias, which are drawn overwhelmingly from far-right, fascistic groups.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2023/09/29/nazigate/

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Russia raises military budget for 2024 by 70%: what does this mean?
September 30, 2023

It is always a pleasure to have an on-air chat with WION, the premier English-language global broadcaster of India. Yesterday was especially so when their program host posed a series of very relevant questions about the just announced Russian military budget for 2024 showing a 70% increase in spending over the current year. Naturally, one wonders about Russia’s intentions: how will these new funds be spent? On which weapons systems? What kind of message is Russia sending to the West by this increase? How will the increased military spending impact on social spending within Russia or, put another way, are guns and butter a sustainable political course?

In this introduction, I will not telescope my answers. I am hopeful that readers will open the link below and follow the logic set out therein.

However, I can say here that I set out the key drivers for the increased spending. One is the latest Russian assumptions on when the war in Ukraine will end, on how it may escalate into a general Russia-NATO war as the Biden administration resists admitting defeat in Ukraine, which is possibly imminent, by expanding the conflict and introducing NATO forces on the ground. The second is the expenses related to the near doubling of the size of the Russian army now underway following the induction of 300,000 men one year ago by mobilization of reserves and the sign-up of more than 400,000 volunteers that we have seen since the start of this year.

As regards the other issues, such as the 6% of GDP that the new military budget represents, or the 2% overall budget deficit that Russia is now incurring, I explain in this interview why such figures cannot be commented upon as if in a vacuum but must be compared to what countries in the West are now experiencing, as well as to Russia’s own Soviet past.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2023

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Th2POH8bQgA

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2023/09/30/ ... this-mean/

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'The Source Of Russian Brutality' As Proven By Fiction

The currently "Most Popular" piece at the National Interest website has a somewhat intriguing title:

The Source of Russian Brutality
Russia’s military operates on a Soviet, totalizing view of war that ignores distinctions between soldiers and civilians.


That is of course news to me as well as to the UN Office of the High Commissioner for Human Right which is counting civilian casualties.

From 24 February 2022, which marked the start of the large-scale armed attack by the Russian Federation, to 24 September 2023, OHCHR recorded 27,449 civilian casualties in the country: 9,701 killed and 17,748 injured.

Meanwhile the military casualties in the war exceed several 100,000nds. Compared to any other modern war the ratio of civilian casualties to military casualties is thus extremely low. How is that demonstrating 'Russian brutality'?

So lets see what the author, one Ivan Arreguin-Toft, is alluding to:

One need not be an expert on international law to understand how Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in March of 2022 has violated the laws’ core principles. The Kremlin’s pretexts, the alleged violation of Russia’s “sphere of influence,” cited by, for example, international relations scholar John Mearsheimer, remain inadequate to justify the invasion of an internationally recognized sovereign state.

Russia's reason for the war is the threatened entering of its neighbor country Ukraine into an aggressive NATO. The Secretary General of NATO recently said so. That may(!) be "inadequate" to justify a war. But what about a war over fake WMD claims in a country on the other side of the planet? Has any U.S. reason for waging wars ever been "adequate"?

On top of that, in its prosecution of an illegitimate war, Russia continues to practice war crimes—systematically and deliberately attacking noncombatants, including medical personnel and facilities. We may continue to debate whether allowing Russia to reclaim the USSR’s sphere of influence is acceptable as a tradeoff to prevent a global conflict. Still, there can be no question that Russia’s continual rape, torture, and murder of noncombatants is illegal and damages Russia’s reputation on the world stage.
The question, then, is, what explains Russia’s behavior?


Those are strong claims. Strong claims require strong evidence. But the link under "continual rape, torture, and murder" does not go to any evidence. The link instead goes to an overview of the Geneva Convention. In fact - the whole piece does not contain ANY evidence of 'Russian brutality'. ZERO! NONE!

So without presenting any factual evidence, statistic or even anecdote the author simply claims that Russia's behavior is somehow different from others.

He is then off to find something that would explain his farcical claim.

During the entire rule of Russia’s Tsars—from the very founding of the Russian state until 1917, Russia’s military was no more or no less brutal toward noncombatants than the militaries of any other state or empire. But the Russian Revolution and the horrific civil war that followed changed everything.

The first part might be true. All militaries were (and are) generally brutal against noncombatants. They often had to 'live off the land' they marched through and that includes robbing and killing everyone who had not left.

But the second part of the above claim, that the revolution and civil war changed that, is strange. Lets look for evidence:

In place of an aristocratic code of honor, Russia’s surviving officer corps were loyal to the person of Josef Stalin (although in 1938, he had three-quarters of them above the rank of lieutenant executed for treason) and, more broadly, to the international communist movement, which they believed was destined to liberate the world from its capitalist and imperialist chains.

Did any "aristocratic code of honor" ever stopped an aristocrat from killing a peasant? I doubt that.

Stalin's Great Purge was actually against Trotsky and others which wanted to spread communism around the world while Stalin preferred a socialism in one country policy of putting the Soviet Union first. Officers who preferred Trotsky's ideas were indeed purged but the numbers Ivan Arreguin-Toft puts into parenthesis are just totally nuts.

Here is what the purge of the army actually did:

The purge of the Red Army and Military Maritime Fleet removed three of five marshals (then equivalent to four-star generals), 13 of 15 army commanders (then equivalent to three-star generals), eight of nine admirals (the purge fell heavily on the Navy, who were suspected of exploiting their opportunities for foreign contacts), 50 of 57 army corps commanders, 154 out of 186 division commanders, 16 of 16 army commissars, and 25 of 28 army corps commissars.

That sounds like high numbers but more importantly we are taking General ranks here and not all 'people above the rank of lieutenant'. Moreover most of the purged were not executed. The total numbers were also much smaller than had been perceived:

At first, it was thought 25–50% of Red Army officers had been purged; the true figure is now known to be in the area of 3.7–7.7%. This discrepancy was the result of a systematic underestimation of the true size of the Red Army officer corps, and it was overlooked that most of those purged were merely expelled from the Party. Thirty percent of officers purged in 1937–1939 were allowed to return to service.

How can one get from those historic facts to "three-quarters of them above the rank of lieutenant executed for treason"?

One can't. And that is why one should reading that trash piece right there. The rest gets only worse.

During the cold war Ivan Arreguin-Toft had learned Russian while in the U.S. army. His duty included signal intelligence in Germany. We can be sure that he was also given the usual indoctrination lectures about the 'deviant Russian mind'. Since then he has dabbled in cyber-security which he is currently teaching somewhere. I find no evidence that he, at any time. has learned about history or sociology. The piece he delivered shows no such knowledge.

How all that qualifies him to make evidence free claims that Russia is extraordinary brutal is beyond me. Especially when his underlying theory is not based on historic facts but pure fiction.

What is most astonishing though is that there seems to be a market for such dreck.

Posted by b on September 30, 2023 at 14:16 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/09/t ... .html#more
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part V

Post by blindpig » Mon Oct 02, 2023 11:56 am

Long term implication
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 10/02/2023

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Two news items published in the last few hours by Western media clearly show the state of the war and Western involvement in it. This is information from American and British media that sheds some light on the role that the two main Western suppliers - not only of weapons, but also of training and intelligence - intend to play in the present and, above all, in the future. To these we must add the summit held by Zelensky in which his intention was to offer Ukraine as a lure to the large arms manufacturers to produce in Ukraine. As the German historian Tarik Cyrill Amar, an expert on Russia and Ukraine, has commented, Zelensky wanted to say to the Western arms industry: “You provide the technology (and the money) and I have the people. Let's keep the meat grinder going." In reality, Ukraine's objective is twofold: to achieve greater Western presence and involvement, in reality a guarantee that the country will not be abandoned as others have been in the past, and, above all, to achieve continuity. The maintenance of the structures created for the supply of weapons and financing of the State in conditions, no longer of war, but of a long war, is Ukraine's priority. News currently being published indicates that this objective is shared with Western partners.

This weekend, the British press published the United Kingdom's interest in sending British troops to Ukraine so that that is where the training of recruits for the Ukrainian Armed Forces takes place. The proposal, put forward by new Defense Minister Grant Shapps, would involve the presence of around 50 British instructors on Ukrainian bases in what would be the first official Western military presence since the Russian invasion. The proposal only involves the sending of instructors, which would be carried out under the logic of "reducing dependence on NATO military bases." It is not difficult to see in the idea a way to reduce costs for Western countries, which according to current planning have to train recruits and also house them. The perception of escalation represented by the possible presence of soldiers from NATO armies on the ground in Ukraine is also evident. So much so that, after the appearance of escalation that the news has entailed, Rishi Sunak wanted to specify that, in no case, is there the possibility of British soldiers entering into combat.

The objective of this British proposal is not to increase the country's direct involvement in the war, since, in practice, it would only mean a transfer of activities that are already being carried out in the United Kingdom to Ukraine. Even so, it is obvious that the presence of NATO soldiers in Ukrainian bases would increase the risk of direct confrontation between Russia and the Alliance and that the possibility of these soldiers being injured in Russian attacks would imply an overall increase in the danger of this war. , already strikingly high. The United Kingdom, even more belligerent than the United States, seems willing to take this risk, which also satisfies Ukraine, eager to involve its partners more directly in the common war against Russia. It is like this at least for the Minister of Defense,

The New York Times, for its part, published another piece of news last week that also points to the increase in Western involvement in the war. According to the American media, “a group of Ukrainian Army soldiers injured by Russian grenades and mortar shells recently arrived at the hospital to undergo surgery. It might seem like a familiar scene from the bloody war slowly continuing in Ukraine, except for two crucial differences: Many of the soldiers were American, and so was the hospital, the US Army's main medical center in central Germany. . The American media adds that “the Army has quietly begun treating Americans and other soldiers evacuated from Ukraine at its Landtuhl Regional Medical Center. Although the number is still low, currently there are 14,

The news presented by Western media indicates a growing involvement, although not directly and officially in combat, of Western countries in the war, something that Ukraine has been seeking for a year and a half. However, the trend is, above all, a form of preparation of kyiv's support structures in a context of chronic war. Hopes that quick success in the current counteroffensive would force Russia to negotiate an end to the war on Ukrainian terms have given way to concern over what increasingly looks like a deadlock. The long-term training programs of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are not, as kyiv would like to believe, a form of commitment to the country's security beyond the war, but the way in which Western countries seek to ensure that the war can continue. The requirements for this are not only limited to guaranteeing long-term financing, something increasingly complicated as Joe Biden has seen this week in his dispute with the Republicans, but it especially implies having an army in conditions to fight. To do this, it is necessary to maintain the flow of weapons, but also have open doors for the arrival of volunteers, mercenaries, soldiers of fortune and all other series of adventurers who complete the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and associated battalions. Minimally training these troops implies more spending and more infrastructure, for which the United Kingdom now seems to offer the possibility of sending its own soldiers to work on the ground, one more step towards a more direct intervention by Western countries, but, above all, towards the chronification of the war. The intensity of the war and the dilapidated state of Ukrainian healthcare, a problem that predates the start of the war by many years, means that the country is also not capable of covering the medical needs of those armies, so also in that Meaning depends on your partners.

With the idea of ​​assistance “as long as it is necessary” as a substitute for a real strategy in the war - which in the case of the United States is limited to wearing down Russia as much as possible at the expense of downplaying the casualties of Ukrainian troops -, the United States The United States and the United Kingdom are openly preparing for a long conflict in which the most important thing now is to guarantee the existence of an army capable of fighting. Hence the need to reconfigure the way in which troops are instructed and the ways of treating, at least, the most important soldiers, that is, the nationals of the supplier countries.

The New York Times article gives some clues about the figures in which Western participation currently moves directly on the front, which always occurs unofficially, as volunteers theoretically without affiliation to NATO armies. This practice is not new either. The events that recently occurred in Canada have made all kinds of information reappear about the years of the Second World War, but also about more recent times. The profile of one of the leaders of the Ukrainian Canadian Congress, for example, presents her two-month summer trip to Ukraine not as a form of sightseeing, but as an occasion to put her military skills to use. During that time, Oksana Kuzyzhyn, retired as a major in the Canadian Army, instructed the Azov regiment.

The indirect participation of Western countries in the Ukrainian war precedes the arrival of Russian troops on the Donbass front, although it has undoubtedly increased markedly since then. In the particular chapter of the soldiers who fight or have fought on the ground in the war, The New York Time states that “hundreds of Americans, many of them military veterans, rushed to help defend Ukraine.” During this time, it is known that the flow of foreigners, generally military - the intensity of the war makes the help of anyone without military experience absolutely useless - has continued, first with ideologically motivated people and later with mercenaries and soldiers of fortune. Although Russia has always wanted to see Polish mercenaries, it is likely that they will have to look for that pool, whose salaries come from those who finance the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, in more distant countries such as, for example, Colombia. In the case of American soldiers, The New York TimesHe states that, “nineteen months later, a few hundred may still be there, volunteering for local militias or serving under contract with the Ukrainian national army.” A figure significant enough to begin to wonder how this flow of foreign soldiers is managed and channeled and to what extent there is participation by Ukraine's supplier countries in these structures.

Obviously, it is the NATO countries that ensure that, whether on Ukrainian territory or abroad, the troops are trained and, as can be seen with the beginning of American medical assistance in Germany, also for treating their wounded. Both cases represent examples of long-term involvement of Western countries in the war and, above all, they are a sign of the chronicification of the state of war and of preparation for a conflict extended over time in which the forms of assistance to Ukraine will have to adapt to every moment.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/10/02/impli ... more-28265

Google Translator

******

Chronicle of a special military operation for October 1, 2023
October 2, 2023
Rybar

This morning the Ukrainian Armed Forces attacked Sochi airport in the Krasnodar region . Russian fighters managed to shoot down the device with small arms, since it was dangerous to use an air defense system near an active airport. Another unsuccessful attack attempt occurred in the Smolensk region , where five UAVs were shot down.

Meanwhile, Russian troops continue to destroy the enemy’s military infrastructure. The Russian Armed Forces carried out repeated attacks on the Kharkov Armored Plant , putting it out of action for a long time.

There are no significant changes on the front line: positional battles continue in the Soledarsky, Orekhovsky and Vremyevsky sectors, but the configuration of the front has not changed.

Image

Ukrainian UAV strike on Sochi

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At night, Russian troops launched another attack on the territory of the Kharkov Armored Plant (KhBTZ) on Bolshaya Panasovskaya in the northern part of the city. The target was one of the main workshops of the enterprise - all the missiles hit the target, and powerful explosions and detonations occurred inside.

This is not the first KhBTZ attack in recent times: just yesterday, Elder Edda posted footage of the consequences of the attacks on the facility on September 16-17. They clearly show serious destruction of the workshops of the main production activity and the neighboring reinforced concrete plant, which was used to park repaired armored vehicles.

Although several intact buildings still remained on the territory of the KhBTZ, ceilings in the main workshops collapsed, and the equipment inside was severely torn apart by the explosion. This means that the plant is finally truly out of commission and will not be able to repair equipment for at least a long time.

In this case, one cannot but pay tribute to the RF Armed Forces and their competent approach to the selection of specific targets, ammunition consumption, additional reconnaissance and systematic strikes. The effect was not long in coming - within two weeks the plant managed to inflict critical damage, something that had not been possible since the beginning of the SVO.

The situation on the front line and combat operations


In the Yuzhnodonetsk direction the situation has not changed significantly. The enemy is still making incursions in small groups, trying to dislodge Russian forces from forward positions. At the same time, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is preparing a new offensive, gathering personnel and equipment in rear points. To complicate the enemy’s logistics, the Russian Aerospace Forces destroy crossings where possible.


The tense situation remains in the Orekhovsky section of the Zaporozhye direction . Artillery is actively working on both sides, but the enemy is not making any attempts to storm, although they are transporting personnel. A night attack in the Rabotino area is possible .


In the Kherson direction, the enemy’s attempts to gain a foothold on the islands continue. DRGs are transported by boat and come under artillery and air strikes, including during the crossing. Air strikes are also carried out on rear targets where groups of Ukrainian suicide bombers are formed.

Shelling of rear areas and residential areas

Several UAVs were destroyed by air defense and electronic warfare forces over Smolensk . The Ministry of Defense reported the destruction of two aircraft, and the regional governor reported five UAVs intercepted over the city and region. Three were destroyed in the Zadneprovsky region. There were no casualties or damage.

During the day, Ukrainian formations attacked the village of Lyubechane in the Bryansk region , but there were no casualties. Two administrative buildings and residential buildings were damaged.

The day before, in the Kursk region , the enemy attacked several water towers and a communications tower near the Krupets international checkpoint and the village of Kozino with self-destructing drones. They failed to achieve their goal, but Ukrainian formations are increasingly using drones with a self-destruct timer to attack border regions.

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In the morning, the Ukrainian Armed Forces shelled the city of Shebekino in the Belgorod region . The strike hit the central market area and injured three civilians who received shrapnel wounds.
Several shopping pavilions, three cars and municipal garages were damaged. Emergency services are on site. The village of Dronovka also came under attack , and in the Belgorod region, air defense systems intercepted a drone.


Shelling of populated areas in the Donetsk People's Republic continued . A woman was wounded in Verkhnetoretskoye, Yasinovatsky district. Residential buildings were damaged in Gorlovka and Yelenovka. In addition, as a result of the shelling, the pipeline of the Seversky Donets - Donbass canal and filter station No. 2 were damaged.


Shelling by the Ukrainian Armed Forces also continued in the Kherson region . Under enemy fire , Krynki , Novaya Kakhovka , Dnepryany , Kardashinka and Kakhovka . Residential buildings are damaged, and electricity and gas supplies are disrupted in Novaya Kakhovka .

Political events
Victory of Robert Fico in the elections in Slovakia and attitude towards Ukraine

Today, some Russian channels are almost celebrating the victory of Robert Fico's party in the elections in Slovakia . However, despite the fact that another conservative “Orban” is, of course, a better starting position for establishing dialogue than the “conditional Maia Sandu ”, you should not be fascinated by Fico and expect a sharp change in foreign policy course.

Firstly, because Fico, for purely economic reasons, remained a supporter of European integration and it was during his last premiership that Slovakia entered the eurozone. Secondly, Fico is a talented populist who skillfully uses conservative rhetoric and the population’s dissatisfaction with the work of the previous government. He had previously demonstrated the well-known truth that election promises tend to be forgotten.

In general, against the background of increasingly frequent criticism towards military and financial assistance to Ukraine , it is not so difficult to integrate into the new media trend and blame economic problems on external irritants in the form of the Kiev regime and NATO. But whether such criticism will affect, say, the supply of military equipment through Slovakia, we will find out in the near future.

Arms supplies to Ukraine through Slovakia


Subscribers from Slovakia shared extremely interesting footage from the village of Hube in the central part of the country. The photo shows six T-72EA tanks on trawls, parked at an OMV gas station.

T-72EA is a Czech modification of the T-72M and T-72M1 tanks, carried out specifically for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. They are equipped with passive dynamic protection systems, a new communication system, a digital instrument panel and an improved engine. The equipment is on the right side of the road, which means it is moving east towards Ukraine. In total, 90 such tanks were ordered for the needs of Ukrainian formations, and on September 19, the Danish Minister of Defense announced the dispatch of another 15 T-72EA.

Ukrainian troops are rapidly preparing for a new stage of the offensive, as long as weather conditions allow. The accelerated deliveries of equipment that just underwent modernization in July of this year confirm this fact.

Statement by the head of the UK Ministry of Defense on sending instructors to Ukraine

The British edition of The Guardian writes that British Defense Minister Grant Shapps , during a visit to Kiev , announced the possible deployment of an instructor mission on the territory of Ukraine . According to Shapps, this will reduce the time for training Ukrainian units. He also called on foreign defense enterprises to open their branches directly in Ukraine.

In the end, he emphasized that the British Royal Navy has extensive experience and could well provide assistance and advice to Ukraine in protecting merchant ships sailing from Ukrainian ports. After reading Shapps' interview, you can't help but wonder: which of all the things he proposed has not yet happened? Training by the British in Ukraine has been going on for a long time, foreign companies are testing the waters to open their factories, and assistance in the Black Sea has been implemented from the very beginning of the Northern Military District. The bodies of British SAS servicemen were exchanged near Zaporozhye and in the Kharkov region for our prisoners.

The British minister only officially stated that one way or another it had already happened. Therefore, one should not be surprised by the arrival of more instructors: the number of trainees may increase, but the quality of their training will remain the same. Now we are only talking about the legalization of all of the above (and this and the increase in costs to taxpayers can be justified, and there is no need to hide military costs).

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak later denied this. However, this should not be taken as a fact. The British do not plan to officially fight with Russia, but advisory and instructional assistance is something else. As for Crimea, it is in Foggy Albion that they are interested in a complex operation, constantly urging the Ukrainian authorities and demanding strikes on the bridge and the peninsula. The fact that Rishi Sunak hastened to refute the words of the Minister of Defense can only indicate that the head of the defense department blurted out too much, and in London he was promptly corrected.

Participation of Cubans in the SVO

Foreign media continue to disseminate the most incredible information about how the Russian authorities are recruiting Cubans to participate in the Northern Military District. From stories about the fact that official Havana hands over its citizens to the Russian Armed Forces almost into slavery, they moved on to the fact that Cubans volunteer to go themselves because of very large money by local standards - two hundred thousand rubles.

Moreover, the Russian authorities allegedly willingly take on everyone: store owners, construction workers, refinery workers, telephone company employees, etc. The change in narratives is understandable because back in mid-September, the Cuban ambassador in Moscow made a statement that no one objects to their citizens signing an official contract and legally taking part in the operation along with the Russian army.

Questions are only addressed to those who violate local laws by becoming or helping mercenaries. Of course, neither the foreign media nor the foreign agent publications broadcasting their agenda are going to understand the nuances, much less ask the question whether the Cubans are fighting in Ukraine only for money.

Shutdown in the USA and financing of Ukraine

Yesterday, Joe Biden signed legislation providing temporary funding for 45 days to avoid a government shutdown. The document did not include the allocation of funds to Ukraine , which may have led some to see this as a sign of dwindling support for the Kiev regime. Naturally, this is not so: today the US President said that he expects Congress to develop and pass a separate bill to help Ukraine. Biden also actually promised allies that arms supplies to the country would not stop.

One should not expect anything different in today’s realities: all statements by American politicians about the need to abandon support for the Kyiv regime are aimed exclusively at the domestic audience as part of the election campaign. For now, the United States is still following the course of “war until the last Ukrainian,” and all the loud slogans of senators from Washington are an integral part of it. It is not always advisable to take them literally.

Well, when a fundamental decision is made to completely stop supporting Ukraine, it will become clear from completely different indirect signs, far from the public statements of Western politicians.

https://rybar.ru/piwigo/upload/2023/10/ ... a346b3.jpg

Google Translator

(Other images at link.)

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Canada’s Nazi War Criminal Past Can No Longer Be Ignored
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on SEPTEMBER 29, 2023
Owen Schalk

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Volunteers of the 14th Waffen Grenadier Division of the SS are sworn in, 1943. As many as 2,000 members of the unit arrived in Canada in the 1950s. Photo courtesy the National Digital Archives of Poland/Wikimedia Commons.

After WWII, thousands of war criminals were able to settle in Canada, where most lived openly without any fear of prosecution


Growing up, I always heard about the Nazi SS veteran who lived in our small town in rural Manitoba. His name was Herbie. He worked on farms in the area, and for a time at CN Rail, before passing away in peace and comfort in his 80s.

Herbie’s Nazi past was an open secret. Everybody in town knew he had fought for the Waffen-SS during the Second World War and hightailed it to Canada when the Allies triumphed. But nobody seemed to know how he had entered Canada so easily, or why the Canadian government didn’t do anything about this man whose Nazi past was known to everyone in the area.

Rumours circulated that Herbie was a war criminal. I remember hearing one story several times: while he was stationed at a concentration camp for Russian POWs on the Eastern Front, he shot and killed a prisoner simply because he wanted the man’s coat.

I was always confused why Herbie—an enemy combatant who had fought for what we supposedly recognize as one of the most vile and destructive regimes in history—was not arrested and extradited to Europe. Now I know why. It was a deliberate policy of Ottawa to welcome Nazi war veterans like Herbie into Canada after 1945.

The stereotype of Nazi-embracing Latin American dictatorships is a common one, but it distracts attention from the myriad ways in which the US and Canada welcomed thousands more Nazi veterans and allowed their ideology to fester, untouched, amongst many far-right diaspora groups.

In 1997, war crimes investigator and private detective Steven Rambam said, “Canada is where the Nazis are. Canada is the unknown haven for Nazis. Everybody knows about Argentina, but nobody knows about Canada.”

Whitewashing Nazi crimes

In Winnipeg, the largest city near my hometown, a man named Alexander Laak lived openly, unbothered by police. He was a Nazi lieutenant and the commander of the Jägala concentration camp in Estonia. Thousands of Jewish people were murdered at Jägala from 1942 to 1943, and Laak himself was reported to have kept female prisoners as sex slaves.

After the war, Laak lived comfortably in suburban Winnipeg. He was a member of a national diaspora group called the Estonian Central Council (ECC), and from 1955 onward, he worked for Canada’s Department of National Defence.

The Russian news agency TASS claimed that Laak had bought his house in Winnipeg with proceeds from valuables stolen from victims of mass executions in Estonia. The RCMP had apparently “talked to Laak and found nothing to incriminate him.” Nevertheless, Laak admitted that he “was in the Estonian army and fought against the Russians.”

In September 1960, Laak was found dead in his garage. The official cause of death was suicide by hanging, but there are theories that he was tracked down and killed by a so-called “Jewish Avenger” squad of Holocaust survivors.

Following Laak’s death, Canadian media reported that he had undergone and passed a police check before entering Canada. Another article in the Ottawa Citizen used scare quotes when reporting Laak’s crimes, aiming to discredit Soviet accusations that he had participated in the Holocaust.

One article reads: “A 53-year-old immigrant accused by Russia as a ‘Nazi war criminal’ sought by the Communists for ‘mass murders’ in Estonia committed suicide last night by hanging himself from a garage rafter.” The article also gave Laak the space to discredit his accusers: “Laak said he was the man the Russians were talking about but labelled the story ‘99 percent lies… It is only Communist propaganda.’”

Meanwhile, an earlier article headlined “Accused of Being Nazi: Family Tells of Struggle” did everything it could to clear Laak’s name, writing of the family’s “struggles in Canada to piece together war-disrupted lives.”

Dozens of other journalists penned articles claiming Laak was the target of “Red lies” and “Russian propaganda.” Following Laak’s death, the ECC said their organization had “come under a Soviet propaganda barrage.”

Efforts to complicate accusations against Laak were similar to how the media addresses (or fails to address) the crimes of Ukrainian Holocaust perpetrator Roman Shukhevych today. Whenever his name appears in the media—usually in connection to protests against the bronze bust of his likeness in Edmonton—it is often implied that the narrative around his crimes is “complex.”

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The Roman Shukhevych statue at the Ukrainian Youth Unity Complex in Edmonton after it was vandalized with the words “ACTUAL NAZI” in August 2021. Photo courtesy the Progress Report.

Amidst a wave of protest against the Shukhevych statue last year, CTV News quoted the Ukrainian Catholic Eparchy, the organization which erected the bust, as “dismiss[ing] accusations that Shukhevych collaborated with Nazi Germany and was involved in massacres of Jewish and Polish people as ‘Russian disinformation.’”

A CBC article claimed that Shukhevych has “fallen under increased scrutiny” in recent years. And a CTV article noted: “While Shukhevych is celebrated by some as a Ukrainian military leader, he is also criticized by others as being involved in massacres of Jewish and Polish people.”

Even amidst the ongoing outrage over Yaroslav Hunka’s visit to the House of Commons, the CBC ran an article in which they wrote of Shukhevych’s “alleged” war crimes and his hero status among many right-wing, ultranationalist Ukrainians:

Lionized by some in the Ukrainian Canadian community as a brilliant guerilla commander who led the largest insurgency in Europe against Stalin, Shukhevych is considered a war criminal by Jews and Poles for his alleged role in the Holocaust and an ethnic cleansing campaign against the Polish minority in Western Ukraine.

Canada: “Haven for Nazi criminals”

When meeting with historian Irving Abella, Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau was honest about the fact that Ottawa had no intention of prosecuting Nazi war criminals living in Canada. In their meeting, he told Abella that Canada was not seeking to prosecute Nazi veterans on its soil “because they were afraid of exacerbating relationships between Jews and Eastern European ethnic communities.”

In his research, Abella described the disturbing ways in which the Canadian government welcomed Nazis into the country after the war. In an interview with 60 Minutes, he told host Mike Wallace that one of the ways they could guarantee their entry into Canada “was by showing the SS tattoo… This proved you were an anti-Communist.” If true, this would explain how people like Herbie, Hunka, and Laak were able to enter Canada so easily after fighting for Hitler’s army.

We were made to believe that only south-of-the-border dictatorships like Argentina or Brazil welcomed Nazis, as if Nazi-coddling was endemic to Latinos—when all along Angloid Canada quietly made itself the hemisphere’s premiere Nazi sanctuary.pic.twitter.com/VPpUudbnnB

— Mark Ames (@MarkAmesExiled) September 27, 2023


The New York Times has described Canada as a “Haven for Nazi Criminals,” while the Jerusalem Post called Canada “a near-blissful refuge” for Nazis. B’nai Brith has accused Ottawa of “intentional harbouring of known Nazi war criminals.”

It is hard to disagree with any of these statements. For instance, when Jerusalem Post reporters hired Steven Rambam to search for Nazis, he tracked down around 150 suspected war criminals living openly in Canada. And this assignment didn’t test his investigative mettle; tracking them down was often as easy as looking up their names in the phone book.

In 2014, Rambam said, “It is to the Canadian government’s great and eternal shame that more was not done” to prosecute Nazi war criminals living here. Indeed, Canada openly spurned the petitions of national Jewish organizations which protested the government’s openness toward Nazi veterans:

In the late 1940s, the Canadian Jewish Congress actively petitioned Ottawa to keep a closer eye on refugee streams from Eastern Europe, as the CJC believed that many former Nazi collaborators were using them to enter the country under false pretenses. These warnings were almost completely ignored, and the Congress’ low-end estimate is that 2,000 war criminals were able to settle in Canada, where most lived openly without any fear of prosecution.

Indeed, it was a policy of the British after the Second World War to dump Ukrainian Nazi prisoners in Canada. A 1948 report from British official Beryl Hughes reads, “What little we know of [Ukrainian Nazis’] war record is bad… We’re still hoping to get rid of the less desirable Ukrainian POWs either to Germany or Canada.”

These Nazi veterans usually don’t hide their presence or their past actions. Often they are proud of them. For instance, Hunka writes of his time in Hitler’s army with pride and nostalgia. He posted photographs of himself in uniform on a blog for Ukrainian veterans of the SS Galicia Division and described the period under Nazi occupation from 1941 to 1943 as “the happiest years of my life.”

None of this stopped Parliament from applauding him, even though he was introduced as having fought “against the Russians” during World War II. And it didn’t stop the University of Alberta from distributing a $30,000 endowment fund in Hunka’s name over the past four years (which they finally closed yesterday amidst the uproar around the incident in the House of Commons).

There was quite literally an endowment named for a former member of the Waffen SS at a major Canadian university. There’s so much more to this story than the Speaker of Canada’s Parliament getting duped https://t.co/LRxpRGkUfy

— Luke Savage (@LukewSavage) September 28, 2023


Rehabilitating war criminals

After the war, the Canadian government welcomed between 1,200 and 2,000 members of the Ukrainian SS Galicia Division into Canada. Other Nazi veterans and collaborators came from Germany, the Baltics, and the Balkan states.

Over the past decade, the Canadian government has allocated millions of dollars to construct a Memorial to the Victims of Communism in Ottawa—despite a 2015 poll that found 77 percent of Canadians opposed the project. The monument was awarded funding under both the Harper and Trudeau governments, and received letters of support from Green Party leader Elizabeth May, former NDP leader Tom Mulcair, and former federal Justice Minister Irwin Cotler.

Funding for the monument has also come through a “buy-a-brick” campaign in which Canadians can donate money and dedicate a “virtual brick” to someone they consider a “victim of communism.”

After being announced in 2021, the “buy-a-brick” campaign was swamped with donations dedicated to Nazi war criminals and collaborators. The General Committee of United Croats of Canada dedicated a brick to Ante Pavelić, the leader of Croatia’s Nazi puppet regime and the country’s chief perpetrator of the Holocaust. Pavelić is responsible for the murders of approximately 32,000 Jews, 25,000 Roma, and 330,000 Serbs. Another brick was dedicated to Mile Budak, one of the most high-ranking figures in the fascist Ustaša. The bricks made no mention of these men’s actions, simply describing Pavelić as a “doctors of laws” and Budak as a “poet.” A third brick was purchased for Ivan Oršanić, another Ustaša member.

Meanwhile, the League of Ukrainian Canadians’ Edmonton Branch bought five bricks in honour of Roman Shukhevych, whose Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA) massacred thousands of Poles and Jews.

Confronting the past, and present

It is clear that the presence of Nazi veterans is widespread in Canada. Even so, the federal government is still hiding information on war criminals living in this country.

The 1986 Deschênes Commission investigated the presence of Nazi war criminals in Canada. However, many of the commission’s findings remain classified, and Ottawa continues to ignore appeals to release additional information.

Forty years later, the government is still sitting on a long-classified report about Nazis who settled in Canada. According to Ottawa Citizen journalist David Pugliese:

[The government] has heavily censored another 1986 report examining how Nazis were able to get into Canada. More than 600 pages of that document, obtained by this newspaper and other organizations through the Access to Information law, have been censored.

David Matas, the honourary counsel for B’nai Brith, has attempted to gain access to these documents. His efforts have been fruitless. “We’ve run up against a brick wall,” he told Pugliese.

It is past time we confront this dark history. We deserve to know how and why these Nazis were allowed to live comfortably in Canada.

As Friends of Simon Wiesenthal Center President Michael Levitt said, “It’s now time for Ottawa to not only release the unredacted files related to the Deschênes Commission, but to also address the stark reality that there are still former Nazis with blood on their hands living in Canada.”

Direct demands need to be made of Canadian officials to release all historical documents related to Nazi war criminals within our own borders.

We also need to ask why we are spending millions on a monument that may bear dedications to Nazi collaborators.

These questions must be dealt with. Failing to better understand our history will have troubling implications for Canada’s future.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2023/09/ ... e-ignored/

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American refuge for Nazis
September 30, 22:17

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A little hello from 2021 from CNN (!) on the ongoing scandal with the open celebration of a Nazi in the Canadian Parliament.

It's time to confront the grim postscript to America's role in defeating the Nazis.

America was home to thousands of Nazis and their collaborators who served in concentration camps, death squads and SS units. Some of them were even leaders of Nazi-allied governments. And we didn't just accept them—in some cases, we welcomed and protected them; we protected them from justice. It's high time to admit this.

Besides the obvious ethical reasons for historical honesty, there are also social ones. We are at the center of a heated national conversation fueled by a thirst for racial justice. But how can we hope to acknowledge the impact of centuries-old institutions like slavery and Jim Crow if we cannot be honest about how spoiled the perpetrators of the Holocaust are, which still has living eyewitnesses, victims, and veterans? We can't get to 1619 unless we get past 1945.

A rare case where the American government actually admits to collaborating with the Nazis is Operation Paperclip, in which approximately 120 Third Reich rocket scientists such as Wernher von Braun were recruited to work for NASA. Their work paid off, allowing America to land on the moon. Along the way, von Braun and others became superstars, lauded by the media and in the corridors of power.

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Ukrainian Nazi Yaroslav Stetsko had no inclination towards astrophysics; what he did have was the ability to organize the murder of Jews. On June 30, 1941, when Germany invaded Ukraine, Stetsko saluted the Nazis, proclaiming the creation of a Ukrainian state that would “work closely with the National Socialist Greater Germany under the leadership of Adolf Hitler.” During this time, members of Stetsko's Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists (OUN) killed thousands of Jews throughout Ukraine.

At the end of the war, Stetsko, who had written enthusiastically about the need to adopt German genocidal methods to exterminate Ukrainian Jews, fled to America, where he spent decades leading the OUN from the United States, traveling through the highest circles of Washington, D.C. . Both Ronald Reagan and George H. W. Bush celebrated Stetsko as a staunch anti-communist freedom fighter. He died in 1986.

The fight against communism is one of the reasons why Western governments welcomed Stetsko and thousands of others. As World War II quickly escalated into the Cold War, Western intelligence agencies recognized the potential for nurturing anti-Soviet groups to weaken the Kremlin's grip on Eastern Europe. As a result, those who fought against Moscow became a coveted asset. Some of the most organized and zealous activists also happened to be fascists and anti-Semites, whose vision of freedom—and wartime experience—included the purge of Jews and other ethnic groups from their homelands.

Juozas Ambrazevicius Brazaitis, another collaborator who signed the orders for the creation of Lithuania's first mass murder camp, also found a home in America. Albert Wass did the same, he is a Hungarian anti-Semitic poet who fought alongside the Nazis. So did Ferdinand Jurchansky, the foreign minister of Nazi-allied Slovakia, who deported 68,000 Jews to certain death.

In 1959, when the Anti-Defamation League raised questions about Yurchanski's background in an attempt to prevent him from obtaining an immigrant visa, the State Department responded that "Membership in a defunct Nazi Party is no longer, in and of itself, grounds for disqualification."

This is far from the only time the West has actively defended its assets. In 1992, the New York Times reported on Nazi hunter John Loftus, who detailed a heinous campaign of ethnic cleansing of up to 100,000 Polish peasants orchestrated by mass murderer Nikolai Lebed. Lebed, another Ukrainian nationalist who supplied the CIA with intelligence about the USSR for decades, was protected. Indeed, a US National Archives report based on declassified CIA files found that the agency actively sheltered Lebed, monitoring his media coverage and getting federal investigators to ignore his case.

America was not alone in this.Britain, which lost 384,000 soldiers in World War II, recruited men such as Estonian collaborator Alfons Rebane, an officer in the 20th Waffen-Grenadier SS Division, the military wing of the Nazi Party responsible for the Holocaust. During his service, Rebane received the Knight's Cross of the Iron Cross, Nazi Germany's highest military award; After the war he had a long career in British intelligence supplying arms to anti-Soviet rebels in the Baltic states.

Canada also hosted Nazis and their collaborators, including at least 2,000 Ukrainian Waffen-SS soldiers and collaborators from numerous other countries. In the case of Canada, collaborators played an additional role: they suppressed domestic trade unions. Eastern European “anti-communists,” as Nazi collaborators invariably called themselves, became strikebreakers, helping to stop socialism at home. It is not surprising that several of the industrial magnates who had the most to lose from organized labor were instrumental in bringing these people to Canada.

These and thousands of other Holocaust perpetrators received much more than safe haven. They had a chance to achieve the American dream. For the past 70 years, while their victims lay in pits, denied even the opportunity to properly bury them, they grew old and raised families, built communities, churches and schools. They even have monuments - in America there are memorials to Nazi collaborators from Serbia, Lithuania, Belarus, Ukraine, France and the Soviet Union. You can find them in Illinois, New Jersey, New York, Ohio and Wisconsin.

Indeed, it is telling that in three years of long-overdue debate over statues of slave traders and colonialists, monuments to American Nazi collaborators have barely made headlines.

That's why we must put an end to the comforting but false narrative of life in a country with zero tolerance for Nazis. Deporting people like Berger (who told The Washington Post that the case against him was built on “lies” and that he was 19 years old when he was “ordered” to go to the camp) is certainly fair, but we must do more.

We must not only deport all remaining Nazis among us, but also acknowledge the reason they were here in the first place.

(c) Lev Golinkin, 2021

https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/24/opin ... index.html - zinc

PS. Title photo of Diplomats visiting Nazi headquarters in 1939, from left to right: Lithuanian Ambassador Kazys Skirpa, General von Massow and Dr. Schmidt.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8672393.html

Brazil blocked arms supplies to Ukraine
October 1, 13:47

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Brazil blocked arms supplies to Ukraine

Unexpected news ( https://t.me/tupireport/14360 ) from Brazil: it turns out that the Lula da Silva administration was unable to sell old weapons to Germany due to Russian pressure.

According to Defense Minister Jose Mucio, the Brazilian government was not at all opposed to selling decommissioned ammunition to Germany, which would later end up in Ukraine. Russia broke into the deal, saying the following:

“We are selling you fertilizers, so we need to discuss this.”

Berlin (and Kiev) never received the ammunition, so it subsequently blocked ( https://t.me/favelasemrus/5014 ) the deal for sale of Brazilian Guarani armored personnel carriers to the Philippines.

Minister Musio's statement is very similar to an attempt to justify himself to Western partners, especially in the context of an increase in the order for Swedish SAAB fighters. Like, we would be happy to help you, but the Russians are holding us by the neck.

However, if Musio is not lying and Brazilian ammunition did not end up in Ukraine thanks to the timely intervention of Russia, all that remains is to applaud our Foreign Ministry - one of the few real successes in the Latin American direction since the beginning of the Northern Military District.

https://t.me/favelasemrus/5155 - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8673499.html

I had gotten the impression that Lula 'didn't want to get involved'.This move serves to counter US pressure with a plausible reason..

There would be hundreds of thousands of living people
September 30, 20:14

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From Tymoshenko's revelations.

“And, of course, 2008, when I, as Prime Minister, submitted an application for Ukraine to join NATO, for the provision of an action plan for membership in the alliance. And if then they had listened to my proposal and Ukraine would have been given an action plan for NATO membership "If Ukraine had opened the doors to NATO membership in 2008, there would be no war today. Today Europe would be in peace, there would be hundreds of thousands of living people and today there would not be the consequences of the tragedies that all of Europe is feeling today , and the whole world from the war that is happening in Ukraine."



The desired moment at 07-14

Another factual recognition of the huge losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which are measured in hundreds of thousands. Now there are estimates from 300 to 400 thousand irrevocable losses.
These people would be alive if not for the Euromaidan and NATO expansion to the east. Otherwise, hundreds of thousands more will die.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8672215.html

Citizen of the Russian Federation Elena Zelenskaya
September 30, 15:26

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Citizen of the Russian Federation Elena Zelenskaya. The passport was received in Crimea in April 2014. In the same month that I received it.
Of course, the passport application was submitted even when there were no plans to promote the clown to the role of Fuhrer.
The passport was found during a search of Zelensky’s apartment in Crimea, which was recently nationalized and put up for sale.
The proceeds will go to support the Crimeans participating in the SVO.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8671240.html

'Life was normal but then opportunism knocked.'

I’m not ready to die for Ukraine
September 30, 14:31

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Not ready to die for Ukraine

The brother of Kiev Mayor Vitaly Klitschko, ex-world boxing champion Vladimir, explained his refusal to serve in the Armed Forces of Ukraine by the desire to live for Ukraine, and not die for the country. He stated this on air on the ZDF TV channel.

“I’m not ready to die for the country. I'm ready to live for her. It’s more difficult than dying,” Klitschko said.

He added that most of the Ukrainians fighting were not mobilized.

Moreover, at the beginning of February 2022, before the start of the military operation, Vladimir Klitschko joined the Kyiv territorial defense brigade.

After the start of the Russian military operation, the Ukrainian authorities announced general mobilization in the country, and men aged 18 to 60 were prohibited from leaving the country.

Mobilization had to take place in several stages. At the first of them, former military personnel with combat experience, who served in the army under a contract or participated in hostilities in the Donbass, were to be drafted into the army, then - military personnel who served in military service before 2014 or served under a contract. At the third stage, graduates of military departments of universities (as reserve officers) and everyone who had no age or physical limitations were to be drafted into the army. At the fourth stage, the so-called public reserve can be recruited into service, that is, all citizens of the country without age or physical restrictions.

https://rbc-ru.turbopages.org/rbc.ru/s/ ... 512dcc9ef1 - zinc

Of course, the choice “not to die in Ukraine” is not available to the vast majority of those who are grabbed on the streets throughout Ukraine; unlike Klitschko, they cannot go to Germany - the borders are closed.

“Mobilization in Ukraine is proceeding normally” (c) Students, disabled people and women are next in line.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8671093.html

Google Translator

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EMMA GRAHAM-HARRISON: ‘THE CITY WANTS TO FINISH OFF WHAT RUSSIA’S ATTACKS BEGAN’: KYIV RESIDENTS FEAR PROPERTY GRAB
SEPTEMBER 30, 2023 NATYLIESB LEAVE A COMMENT

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By Emma Graham-Harrison, The Guardian, 9/9/23

About an hour after air raid sirens sounded in the early hours of 10 August, residents on Yaroslavska Street in the heart of Kyiv’s hip Podil district heard the crash of a building coming down.

Some looked out of their windows expecting to see the smoking remains of a Russian missile. Instead, in the dawn light, two excavators were tearing apart an elegant 200-year-old mansion.

Within hours, the house, built in 1811, was a pile of rubble. Protesters gathered outside with placards attacking developers and the city’s government. “What hasn’t been destroyed by the Russian rockets is being destroyed by our officials and builders,” read one placard.

The war, perhaps surprisingly, has not diminished the appetite for prime property in Kyiv, or halted the scramble to get hold of empty plots for construction. Property prices dipped only briefly when Russian forces besieged the city last spring, then rebounded as its streets returned to life. Kyiv has extensive air defences and the frontlines are far away, so some residents have returned, and it has become a new home for people fleeing the fighting further east.

Ksenia Semenova, a city council member who focuses on protecting historic Kyiv, said she got her first post-invasion call about an illegal demolition on 25 February 2022, the day after Russia launched missiles at the capital and sent its troops across the border.

“The developers told me: ‘We thought it was a good idea – lots of people had left Kyiv so we wouldn’t disturb anyone’s work or sleep’,” she said.

But while developers seek to take advantage of Russia’s invasion, it has also spurred opposition to their plans. Vladimir Putin’s ahistorical attempt at justifying the war by denying Ukraine’s national identity has bolstered support for activists fighting to protect the city’s built heritage.

“After the full-scale invasion, when Russia said we are not a real country and don’t have any history, cultural heritage became more important to people,” said Semenova.

Perhaps because of that heightened appreciation for Ukrainian history, the August destruction of the building in Podil caused an outcry. Mayor Vitali Klitschko has pledged to investigate and the property’s owner uploaded a defiant video to YouTube.

Relaxing on a sofa and waving documents that he claimed backed his position, Serhiy Boyarchukov said he plans to build four storeys of apartment hotels and a “clubhouse” where the elegant single-storey house – a rare example of residential wooden construction in the city – had stood.

“There was no complete demolition, there was a partial dismantling, and the basement and one wall stayed in place,” he said, adding that the work was authorised under a “reconstruction permit” issued by the culture ministry in March.

He did not address questions about why the demolition began at 5am during an air raid alert.

Activists are sceptical the mayor’s investigation will really hold anyone to account. They say that for years, city authorities have allowed Kyiv’s historic fabric to be sold off, torn down or decay beyond the point of repair.

Oleh Symoroz was a veteran of that peaceful struggle before he volunteered to fight for Kyiv, then went east when the city had been saved and lost his legs on the frontline in the east of Ukraine.

Now back home for rehab care, he was furious to find the city being destroyed from the inside while many of the people who campaigned to protect it are serving on the frontlines.

“I feel terrible this destruction is happening now. Worse than I did about it before the full-scale invasion,” he said, in an interview at the hospital where he is learning to walk again with prosthetic limbs. “We are away fighting for Ukraine, and they use this chance to destroy the city.

“There are not so many construction bosses on the frontline, but a lot of activists have been killed or injured or badly traumatised.” He added: “They have an advantage now.”

Another resident, Tetiana, expected city authorities would help when a Russian drone hit flats in her building on Zhylyanska Street, a few blocks from Kyiv’s main railway station. It killed four of her neighbours, including a woman who was six months pregnant, and demolished the hall and staircase leading to her door.skip past newsletter promotion

She was traumatised and frightened by the attack, but was not worried about being made homeless. She had seen politicians on the news visiting other buildings hit by Russian attacks and promising to help, and the reconstruction that rapidly followed.

So Tetiana was stunned to get a message just three days later announcing that her building had been declared structurally unsound and would have to be demolished. The attached survey was dated 17 October, the day of the attack.

“When could the person responsible for that report have done it?” she said. “The sun set just after six, which is around when the firefighters finished putting out flames, and curfew was at 9pm then.”

The surviving residents were urged to sign away the rights to their historic flats in the city centre. In return, they would be put on a waiting list for new homes on the outskirts of Kyiv about 12 miles away.

Tetiana refused, marking the start of a bureaucratic nightmare that has left her homeless – staying with friends and relatives – for nearly a year.

When her fellow survivors tried to register a residents’ association – a key step to getting their own survey and protecting the site of their building – they were rejected 15 times by city authorities on technicalities.

Tetiana, who asked to be identified only by her first name because of the stress of the long battle with city authorities, now believes officials want to use the damage caused on 17 October as an excuse to demolish her building and seize the land.

“What the Russians began, the city council is trying to finish off,” she said. “Even if our building isn’t sound, I don’t understand why they can’t use the money to rebuild. Why do they want to move us away and what do they plan to do with the land?”

Asked about the building, Kyiv’s city authorities only said: “The house cannot be reconstructed.” They declined to answer questions about why the building was not on the register of damaged objects, how they had been able to carry out the survey in a single day and why residents were being asked to move to the city’s outskirts.

Tetiana is determined to reclaim her flat and protect the historic property, but is braced for a long battle.

“There are a lot of old people in this building – maybe the Kyiv authorities thought: ‘Let’s wait and maybe they will die and the problem will be resolved.’ They didn’t take into account that there are still young people who decided to fight for their rights.”

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2023/09/emm ... erty-grab/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part V

Post by blindpig » Mon Oct 02, 2023 3:53 pm

CANADA AND THE NATO ALLIANCE HUNKER DOWN TO DEFEND RACE WAR AGAINST RUSSIA — THE NEW EVIDENCE

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By John Helmer, Moscow
@bears_with

North Bay, Ontario, is a small Canadian city of immigrants from Europe, their upwardly mobile children, and their children’s children.

It’s the town where Yaroslav Hunka (lead image) lives after he left the British prisoner of war camp where he and other Ukrainian soldiers of the SS Waffen Grenadier Galician Division were held after the end of fighting in Europe in 1945. North Bay is where his son Martin Hunka was chief financial officer of Redpath Mining, a mine engineering company. By North Bay standards, the Hunka family is better educated and wealthier than most, donating substantial sums of money to the local hospital, universities, and Ukrainian national organisations, and through the Redpath mining company to local politicians.

North Bay is also where the children of these men demonstrate Hitler salutes and Nazi Party slogans on the local high school football field.

This is the model of small-town church-going people of modest but respectable means who share the prevailing ideology of their homeland grandparents who were on the side of Adolf Hitler, Benito Mussolini, and Stepan Bandera in the last world war. The smiles remain the same, the stand-up stiff-arm salutes have changed. The minds remain fixed where they were in their grandparents’ ideology – that was the collective fascism of a century ago.* These people continue to believe that for their liberation, the Russian race should be destroyed – “suffocated” is the state policy term used by Canada’s Foreign Minister, Melanie Joly.

The churches they attend organised a rally for this goal at the North Bay City Hall featuring statements by the two Hunkas; they were St. Andrew’s United, Trinity United, Emmanuel United Church, and Omond Memorial United Church. “Nothing has changed,” Yaroslav Hunka said at what the churches called a “peace vigil”. “The same enemy. First Stalin was there and now this idiot. But Ukraine is not by itself like it was before. The whole world knows about Ukraine and the whole world supports Ukraine and that is very important.”

Martin Hunka added: “I think the support in Canada, the support around the world has been fantastic. At least now we have friends, whether that is going to translate into anything concrete on the ground, I think it already is.”

This is the town where the first Italian to become Speaker of the House of Commons in Ottawa ran a business and collected election campaign donations. That’s Anthony Rota, the man who invited the two Hunka men to be guests in the Speaker’s Gallery during the speech of Ukrainian president Vladimir Zelensky on September 22. Rota and the government’s leader of the House of Commons, Karina Gould, arranged for the two Hunka men to be seated in the front row of the gallery next to the leaders of Canada’s military and internal security forces, General Wayne Eyre, the chief of the Defence Staff, and Deputy Commissioner of the Royal Canadian Mounted Police, Bryan Larkin, protected by two armed bodyguards.

When Rota spoke to introduce Hunka, he had just read from his script that in December 1941, after World War II had begun, the then-British Prime Minister Sir Winston Churchill appealed to the House in Ottawa “to rally for continued support of his country at war. It was a defining moment of history, and one that must never be forgotten.” Hunka and the SS Galicians came next on the same page of Rota’s script. “We have here in the Chamber today Ukrainian-Canadians, Ukrainian-Canadian veteran from the Second World War who fought [for] Ukrainian independence against the Russians, and continues to support the troops today, even at his age of ninety-eight [cheering; applause]…. We thank him for all his service, thank you [cheering; applause].”

Rota was making an explicit equivalence in Canadian policy for war against Russia between Zelensky, Churchill, and Hunka. Ideologically, this was also the equivalence between Hunka’s service to the Reich, “and what is at stake — Ukraine’s freedom, but also preservation of the rules-based order which is a fundamental part of the future of the democratic world,” Rota wound up.

Rota didn’t write this 7-minute, multi-page 2,500 word speech by himself. In draft, Rota sent it for review and editing by Joly, the foreign minister; by Gould, in charge of the government’s business in the House; and by Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland. An Access to Information Act (ATIA) request for the circulation list of the draft speech and for the other preparations for the Zelensky appearance, including the invitation list for the Speaker’s Gallery, would provide the evidence. No Canadian reporter or publication has attempted to do this, yet.

Watch the hour-long House ceremony here. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pvm9i60M2zI
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For Canada’s black voters, underrepresented in the House of Commons, Rota also tried to link Zelensky’s and Hunka’s war against Russia to Nelson Mandela’s speech to the Canadian parliament.

Every member of the House of Commons, General Eyre and Commissioner Larkin, stood and applauded Hunka’s wartime killing of Russians. Twice.

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Top: the front row of Canadian officials in the Speaker’s Gallery of the House of Commons: from left to right, unidentified Canadian official; General Wayne Eyre (red ring), chief of Canada’s Defence Staff; Bryan Larkin, Deputy Commissioner of the Royal Canadian Mounted Police in charge of “specialized policing services”; unidentified Canadian official; Martin Hunka, retired chief financial officer of Redpath Mining, a mine engineering company of North Bay, Ontario; and his father Yaroslav Hunka of North Bay (red arrow). The two unidentified men not wearing decorations have been identified by a local source as bodyguards for the two ranking officers between them; the vetting by them of those seated next to them, the Hunkas, and those seated behind them, would have gone into considerable detail of their security files – details now denied by every senior official of the government who were on the House floor applauding. Bottom: https://www.cbc.ca/

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Source: https://pdba.georgetown.edu/
This is the House of Commons floor plan of 2005. There have been renovations, seating changes, and rule variations since then. Number 21 in this diagram is the Speaker’s Gallery where Eyre, Larkin, Martin and Yaroslav Hunka and the bodyguards were seated during Zelensky’s speech on September 22. In an attempt to explain how the Speaker’s Gallery was filled, the government organ CBC reported through a former chief of prootocol, Roy Norton, that in the standard procedure Joly’s ministry would have been consulted on filling the Speaker’s Gallery guest list. Notwithstanding, Norton claimed the government would have had “zero role in inviting Mr Hunka, or for that matter most of the people who sat in the gallery”. Norton had been a Canadian foreign ministry diplomat for many years, ending up as chief of protocol until 2019. He was out of government before wartime security measures surrounding the Ukrainian president and Canadian general officers took effect.

The standing, smiling, cheering, hand-clapping display of September 22 in Ottawa was, sociologically and psychologically speaking,* the same as German communities of the North Bay-kind and German officials of the House of Commons-type displayed throughout the 1930s and 1940s until they were stopped by the Red Army and silenced by Germany’s capitulation in May 1945. Not that their descendants in North Bay and across Canada have surrendered that German ideology in the seventy-eight years which have elapsed since then. The enthusiasm of the MPs to jump to their feet, shouting and saluting Hunka for killing Russians is evidence plain.

So are the subsequent attempts by the MPs, government ministers, and General Eyre to pin responsibility on Rota and claim ignorance for themselves. Eyre’s spokesman has announced “[the decision to recognize Hunka] was made independently within the Speaker’s office, without the involvement or awareness of people in attendance, including DND/CAF [National Defence/Canadian Armed Forces] members present.” The implication is that the chief of the Defence Staff twice stood to applaud without knowing who or why, and without understanding what Rota had said.

Deputy Prime Minister Freeland’s acute nervousness at concealing her role in celebrating Hunka and the Galician division was visible when she was questioned by a reporter six days after the event, on September 28. Asked whether she supports the reopening of the Deschênes Commission, the Canadian government investigation of war criminals in 1985-86, so that “Canadians can know how many veterans who fought with the Nazis are here in our country”, Freeland fidgeted with her hands for several seconds before evading a direct answer.

“As a government,” she said, “we are going to be very thoughtful about any further steps that need to be taken.”

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Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland at her press conference on September 28. Source: https://twitter.com/

A new investigation, if it were held and if the Deschênes Commission files on immigrant Ukrainian participants in German war crimes were reopened, would identify the German Army, SS and Nazi career of Freeland’s maternal grandfather, Mikhail Chomiak, who was still wanted for his war crimes in Poland in the 1980s. The first report of Chomiak’s active involvement in the liquidation of the Jewish communities of the Galician region around Lvov, appeared here in January 2017. At the time Freeland dismissed the evidence as Russian propaganda.

Hunka has identified the British Army and its intelligence units as likely to be holding files on him and other members of the Galician division during their time in British prisoner-of-war camps between 1945 and 1951. According to Hunka, “on the last day of the war, the Galicia Division broke contact with the CHA in Styria, Austria, and surrendered to the British Army. In the prisoner-of-war camp in Italy, I met many guys from different villages of the Berezhany region. I remember that Yaroslav Babuniak, Stepan Kukuruza, Yaroslav Lototskyi, Lev Bahlay, Volodymyr Bilyk, Ostap Sokolskyi, Lev Babiy, Yaroslav Ivakhiv were there from the Berezhany gymnasium. I think it was God’s will that we should go around the world like the tribe of Israel, tell the world about Ukraine, and forty-five years later come to it with help.”

A Canadian government press release claims the British government asked Canada to take Ukrainian POWs like Hunka as immigrants. Hunka himself has not revealed where he met Margaret Edgerton, the English woman he married in 1951, before the two moved to Canada in 1954.

Edgerton’s obituary reveals she was born in Warwickshire, but this does not reveal how she met Hunka “after the Second World War.” Altogether, nine years of British Army, MI6, and MI5 records on Hunka are so far unmentioned in the Canadian and international reporting of his case.

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Published in 2011 in Combatant News, a US-based platform for Ukrainian soldiers who had served the Ukrainian National Army (UNA), Hunka titled this statement “My Generation Memoirs”.

During two years of interrogations of Hunka and the other Galician veterans in Italy, the British government prepared some for covert operations against the Soviets in the Ukraine, and resettled others in the UK. “When the 8,500 Ukrainian former soldiers of the Galicia Division were transferred to the UK from Italy in May-June 1947 they were accommodated in prisoner-of-war (POW) camps in various parts of the UK, mainly in the agricultural areas of eastern England and southern Scotland. Occasionally the men were moved between camps. In July 1948 the numbers of men in camps at or near various locations were as follows: Hempton (Norfolk) – 1,682 men, Mildenhall (Suffolk) – 1,401, Allington (Lincolnshire) – 1,319, Moorby (Lincolnshire) – 1,264, Botesdale (Suffolk) – 1,010, Dalkeith (Scotland) – 958, Lockerbie (Scotland) – 463, other locations (including hospitals, where invalids were held) – 300. After the men were released from POW status (August-October 1948) and admitted into the European Voluntary Workers (EVW) scheme, the POW camps in which they were being held were taken over by civilian authorities and redesignated as hostels.”

Another Ukrainian account of British efforts to prevent Hunka and the other Galician veterans from being repatriated to Soviet Ukraine to face war crimes trials is described here. Because Hunka came from Berezhany, in the Ternopil region, the British classified him as a Polish national rather than a Soviet, and this protected him from deportation to his homeland.

That he and his associates may have participated in the killing of between 4,000 and 8,000 Jews in the area between 1941 and 1943 is suggested in this brief timeline. Hunka claims that in 1940 when he was a 15-year old high school student in Berezhany, he was one of six Ukrainians in a class of forty; two were Poles; and “the rest [32] were Jewish children of refugees from Poland. We wondered why they ran away in front of such a civilised Western people as the Germans.”

In 1941, when the killing of the Jews of Berezhany was under way, Hunka has written that “I was just 16 years old, and the next two years [1942-43] were the happiest years of my life. I did not imagine that what I experienced in those two years would give me love for my hometown so much that it would be enough for me for the rest of my life. Little did I know then that dreams of those two years, of the company of charming girls, of cheerfully cheerful friends, of fragrant evenings in the luxurious castle park and passages through the city would help me overcome the troubled times of the following years.”

In 1943, Hunka, then 18 years old, reports that “in two weeks, eighty thousand volunteers volunteered for the division, including many students of the Berezhany gymnasium. None of us asked what our reward would be, what our provision would be, or even what our tomorrow would be. We felt our duty to our native land – and left!” The massacres of several thousand Polish villagers started in the Ternopil region after this mobilisation in 1943, and after the Jews had been wiped out, including all of Hunka’s schoolmates. The most notorious of the Galician division’s attacks was the destruction of the Polish village and inhabitants of Huta Pieniacka in February 1944.

Hunka’s whereabouts as the Galician units moved through his home region killing Poles was almost certainly recorded by British military interrogators when Hunka was in their POW camp in Italy from 1945 to 1947. The British evidence on Hunka would have been passed to the Canadian immigration authorities if they had requested it at the time Hunka applied to leave the UK for Toronto.

The same evidence, and more, was gathered by the Polish authorities in Warsaw, where the Galician division and individual name files are being opened now at the Institute for National Remembrance (IPN). Soviet military and security files on Hunka are also available in Moscow.

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In January 2017 Galicians vandalized the memorials to the villagers of Huta Pieniacka with Ukrainian national and SS graffiti.

British government propaganda is reporting the Hunka affair as a debate between elderly Jews and nonagenarian Ukrainians arguing over past and disputed history which Rota, government ministers, General Eyre, and every member of the Canadian parliament knew nothing of until now. This is also the line taken by Gould whose first tweet to protect Hunka and herself claimed: “Like all MPs, I had no further information than the Speaker provided. Exiting the Chamber I walked by the individual and took a photo. As a descendent of Jewish Holocaust survivors I would ask all parliamentarians to stop politicizing an issue troubling to many, myself included.” What Gould meant was that she and the Jewish community do not want Hunka’s past record to upset the current alliance between the Jews and Ukrainians of Canada to prosecute the war against Russia.

The German Foreign Ministry, headed by Annalena Baerbock, the leading promoter in Berlin of race war against Russia, defended the standing salute for Hunka given by Sabine Sparwasser, German ambassador to Canada, who was in the Speaker’s Gallery near Hunka. According to the ministry spokesman, Sebastian Fischer (right), reading from a prepared statement, Sparwasser had no
idea what she was standing to applaud. “The true identity of Mr. Hunka, namely that he was a volunteer member of the Waffen-SS, was not known to those present, since his participation had not been announced.”

The British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) version of what happened in the past claims “the Galicia Division has been accused of committing war crimes, but its members have never been found guilty in a court of law.” This BBC report makes no reference to Poland or to the Polish massacres at all. It depicts public criticism of Hunka as a Jewish community protest, boosted by Moscow. “While far-right extremism still exists in Ukraine, it is much smaller than what Russian propaganda tries to make people believe…”

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Source: https://www.bbc.com/

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The Polish government investigation of Hunka has begun since the Hunka affair was publicised.

The mainstream Canadian media are also trying to restrict the public controversy to a debate between Jews and Ukrainians, and direct the ensuing public apologies to the Jewish community. Here, for example, Irwin Сotler, former Canadian justice minister and Liberal Party attorney-general, speaking from Jerusalem, makes the point that in 1948 “it was easier to get into Canada if you were a Nazi than if you were a Jew.” Сotler explained the reason for this was “indifference and inaction by successive Canadian governments. As a result we became a sanctuary for Nazi war criminals and no accountability.”

Сotler was misrepresenting the record. He knows that before the German invasion of the Soviet Union in 1941, the Anglo-American alliance took the same view as the German Reich that the “Judaeo-Bolshevik conspiracy” put Jews and Russians into the same category for targeting as enemies. After 1945 it took time before the same alliance, including Canada, removed Jews from the war targeting. Russians have remained, however. Сotler is as committed to waging the present war against them as Hunka and everyone else in the Canadian parliament.

[*] Fascism has been repeatedly defined on this website, and in the author’s books, to mean the state when rule is by force (and the fear of it); when state budgets, parliamentary votes, and oligarch fortunes are frauds upon the taxpayers; and when government propaganda has become so pervasive, no alternative public beliefs are permitted, and subversion is the rule. That’s when the majority of people believe what it is demonstrably not in their interest; and when they encourage the use of state force to suppress everyone who dares to calculate and say otherwise, so that no one can any longer apprehend what is in their interest, or not. There have been countless experiments by US psychologists to identify the fascist citizen or totalitarian personality, ever since this became a wartime priority in the 1940s. The most telling of these is Stanley Milgram’s obedience experiments at Yale in the 1960s. They demonstrated that normal individuals will administer fatal electrocution to others if they are convinced the authority to order them to press the button is legitimate. With a wave to Hunka, Rota got Canada’s parliament to demonstrate how easy it is to press the button.

https://johnhelmer.net/canada-and-the-n ... more-88614

That's a bullshit definition of fascism, stick with Georgi Dimitrov, https://www.marxists.org/reference/arch ... /08_02.htm. Well, whatever his other qualities Helmer is known as a business writer...

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Ukraine Endgame Accelerates as Congress Denies Any Funding in Stopgap Bill and Fico Wins in Slovakia Vote
Posted on October 1, 2023 by Yves Smith

Your humble blogger had intended to write a longer post about the gradually emerging contours of the Ukraine endgame tomorrow. But the dramatic outcome of Republican dissidents successfully standing firm on the issue of not authorizing any funding Ukraine in the shutdown game of chicken is a huge blow for the Ukraines’s prospects for future significant US support. And Ukraine suffered another blow with anti-Ukraine-support candidate Robert Fico winning the election in Slovakia on Sunday.

These are such important developments that we’ll give a short discussion today, with a fuller treatment in the next day or two. But several points now.

One is the importance of anchoring. The Republicans having zeroed out support for Ukraine through November 17 (the time frame of the continuing resolution just passed) sets the precedent for “just saying no” to the Ukraine money burn pit. Even though polls have shown falling support among voters for continuing Ukraine funding, the sentiments of the great unwashed seldom matter. What might have changed the dynamic?


First, as Alex Christaforu was early to call, was the meager $700 handouts to Maui fire victims compared to the $113 billion and (until just now) counting for Ukraine. Assuming an average population of 30 million from February 2022 till now, that’s nearly $3,800 per capita. And a dollar goes a lot further in Ukraine than Hawaii

Second was the factoid, that even Snopes could not deny, that if a shutdown had taken place, Ukraine government salaries would continue to be paid while many Federal employees would face furloughs. This laconic explanation didn’t make the bare facts any prettier:

If the U.S. government shuts down, American civil servants will, indeed, suffer a pause in paychecks that will have been caused by a lack of action in the present congressional session. The fact that Ukrainian workers will get paid during this time period is thanks, however, to congressional action in previous sessions of Congress.

Third are the official efforts to let the air out of Project Ukraine balloon. The wee problem has been that the propaganda about how well Ukraine has been doing and the great exaggeration of the odds for victory greatly complicated managing expectations to a more realistic level, particularly given how much we and our allies have bet on it. One top off that, we have splits among the elites,, with some still believing that victory is still possible (as if we are bleeding Russia when the reverse is happening), others who are realists knowing defeat is inevitable and looking for a way to pretty that up, and others simply regarding Ukraine as a diversion of resources from Project China, and thus necessary to cut back irrespective of possible embarrassment and collateral damage.

But the success until recently of greatly overhyping Ukraine, in a social media environment that is well disposed to create reputational pump and dumps means that once Ukraine and Zelensky were no longer sacred, the correction could be swift. The massive Congressional diss is very likely to create a feedback loop where more previously withheld or watered-down negative information information about the war will come forward.

A few hot takes:


Mind you, there will be efforts to get Ukraine back on the drip feed. Matt Gaetz is threatening a vote on McCarthy continuing as Speaker; I wonder if that is intended to check reviving Ukraine spending:


For instance, the US is clearly in need of someone to scapegoat and not happy with Zelensky, so it would seem a twofer to push him out. But that is tricky given how recently we’ve depicted him as the second coming of Churchill and how Zelensky has kneecapped any conceivable replacements. So the US needs time to execute its presumed preferred plan of cornering Zelensky to reverse himself and hold elections in 2024 (which he seems pretty sure to lose) and for us to find and pump up a tractable candidate. The sudden prospect of a funding drought both accelerates the timetable and reduces our leverage.

The second is the impact that the US hitting the money brakes, even if allegedly on a transitory basis, will have on EU/NATO allies. The US has been far and away Ukraine’s biggest backer. Even supplying a hodge podge and dwindling amount of often-dated weapons still kept up the appearance the West had Ukraine’s back. This chart is dated but it gives an idea of the relative importance of the US cash spigot. From the BBC:

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Notice how big the “financial” part is. We’ll elaborate on that in our next post.

Now let us look briefly at the Robert Fico win in Slovakia. He was first in a fragmented party system, but given that had a solid margin. From Aljazeera in Slovakia’s populist party opposed to Ukraine aid wins vote:

The populist party of former Prime Minister Robert Fico that wants to stop military aid to Ukraine and is critical of the European Union and NATO has won Slovakia’s election, results showed on Sunday.

SMER-SSD party scored 23.3 percent, beating the centrist Progressive Slovakia (PS) that garnered 17 percent of the votes, the Slovak Statistics Office said early on Sunday after completing the count of 99.98 percent of the votes from some 6,000 polling stations….

Analysts predict a Fico government could radically change Slovakia’s foreign policy to resemble that of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, straining a fragile unity in the EU and NATO on opposing Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022.

And from the Financial Times:

While Fico may struggle to form a stable coalition, his victory will raise alarm bells in Washington and Brussels because it could bring another anti-Ukraine voice into the EU alongside Hungary’s prime minister Viktor Orbán.

Fico has opposed sanctions against Russia and also claimed that Nato-led support for Ukraine undermines national sovereignty…

Slovak analyst Milan Nič, of the German Council on Foreign Relations, said: “The task for the west now is not to lose Slovakia and engage constructively with Fico, but I think that Moscow is celebrating what will be seen as cracks in Europe’s east and Hungary no longer being alone.”..

Fico now needs to find enough allies among Slovakia’s fragmented political parties to avoid another hung parliament. Since May the country has had a technocratic government, appointed by President Zuzana Čaputová after the previous coalition imploded.

A potential kingmaker in forming a new government is the Hlas party of another former prime minister, Peter Pellegrini, which came third with 14.7 per cent of the votes. Pellegrini replaced Fico in office before he fell out with his former mentor and left Smer to form Hlas.

“There seems to be a path for Fico to have a working coalition” if he joined forces with a smaller ultranationalist party and mended his relationship with Pellegrini, Nič said. The three parties together would have 79 of 150 seats in parliament…

Pavol Demeš, a former Slovak foreign minister, said: “Fico will not be as strong as Orbán, but the EU has already been struggling to keep unity on Ukraine and I’m sure international policymakers will be worried about how far Fico can go in terms of fulfilling all the rhetoric from his campaign.”…

On Sunday Fico said his stance was to continue helping Ukraine “in a humanitarian way” and eventually take part in its postwar reconstruction, but not to provide more military aid for now.

It is not yet clear if Fico can form a government. But his coming in first when Slovakia has historically been an ally of Ukraine is another proof that more and more citizens and as a result, their elected officials, are in fact not willing to do whatever it takes to support Ukraine when the costs keep mounting and there is no end in sight. And if Fico can form a government, Orban will no longer be isolated in questioning reflexively Russia-hostile stances. Even though Fico’s participation in EU and NATO decisions won’t change outcomes, it will force groupthinkers to defend their positions, which will be revealing.

And more immediately, what do Europe-savvy readers think these developments portend for the upcoming elections in Poland?

https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2023/10 ... -vote.html

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Both Opposition to and Support for Ukraine Aid May Be Less Than Polls Show
DAVID W. MOORE

Both Opposition to and Support for Ukraine Aid May Be Less Than Polls Show

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Last month, the Biden administration requested an additional $24 billion to aid Ukraine in its war with Russia. Some Republican leaders are skeptical or outright opposed to new funding, prompting Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell to urge his fellow legislators, “It’s certainly not the time to go wobbly.” That sentiment, of course, was reinforced by President Joe Biden during Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s recent visit to the United States.

At first glance, however, support among Republican voters appears to be wobbly already. Late last month, Daily Kos (8/31/23) headlined a story that noted declining support among Republican voters for supporting Ukraine: “McConnell Abandoned by Post-Trump Republican Electorate.” And three recent polls suggest that rank-and-file Republicans are indeed negative toward aid to Ukraine.

But all three polls wildly overstate how engaged Americans, including Republicans, are in this issue. Opposition, as well as support, is probably far lower than what the media tell us.
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Fox News Poll: Voters sound off on what US should do when it comes to helping Ukraine
“It’s odd that the party who cheered loudest when Rocky took down Drago in the ’80s is now more reticent to stand up to Russian aggression abroad, but that’s the new reality,” says Fox pollster Daron Shaw (8/17/23).

The most recent poll by CBS/YouGov (9/10/23) finds support for aid to Ukraine among Americans overall, but a decline in support among Republicans since last February.

Overall, 64% of Americans are positive about support for Ukraine—saying the Biden administration is either “handling things as they should be” (38%) or should be doing more (26%). Only 36% say it should be doing less. Among Republicans, 56% say the administration should be doing less.

An earlier poll by Fox (8/17/23) reports similar figures. Overall, 61% of registered voters have positive views about US support for Ukraine—40% who believe the US is giving the right amount of aid, and another 21% who want the US to do even more. Just 36% say the US should be doing less. Among Republicans, 56% believe the US should be doing less, the same figure CBS found.

The most negative results about aid to Ukraine are found in last month’s CNN poll (8/4/23), which reported that a majority of Americans overall believe the US has “done enough to assist Ukraine” (51%) and “should not authorize additional funding to support Ukraine in its war with Russia” (55%). Among Republicans, 59% say the US has done enough, and 71% are opposed to additional funding.

Wording makes a difference
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When CNN (8/4/23) asks if the US “should do more to stop” Russia, do respondents think that means continuing aid or increasing aid?
So all three polls report a majority of Republicans opposed to additional funding for Ukraine. But two of the polls, by CBS and Fox, find a net positive view of aid to Ukraine among Americans overall, while only CNN finds majority opposition.

The difference between CNN‘s and the other two polls is largely because of CNN’s tendentious wording:

CBS: Do you think the Biden administration should be doing more to help Ukraine in its conflict with Russia, should it be doing less, or is it handling things about as they should be?

Fox: Do you think the United States should be doing more to help Ukraine in its war with Russia, should be doing less, or is the US doing about the right amount to help Ukraine?

CNN: Do you think the United States should do more to stop Russian military actions in Ukraine, or has it already done enough?

(Note: Both CBS and CNN randomly rotated their response options.)

The CNN question gives just two options, compared with three in the other two polls. By itself, that is not a problem. What makes that question tendentious is that it provides a reason not to do more for Ukraine (because the US has “already done enough”), but provides no reason to do more (like, say, “the Russians refuse to stop their aggression”).

Also, the question is somewhat ambiguous: What does it mean for the US to do “more”? Does CNN mean more than the US has been doing, or does it mean to continue to provide aid at the same level? The other two polls make the issue clear—“more” means more than the US is doing now, because the middle option in those two polls (“doing the right amount” and “handling things as they should be,” respectively) essentially says the US should continue providing aid at the level it is currently doing. (The US has given Ukraine $77 billion so far over a year and a half of war, though it’s unclear how many respondents are aware of that.)

Given the problems with the CNN question wording, I’m inclined to discount its results in favor of the other two polls.

An idealized public
Still, even the other two polls have credibility problems. All three describe an idealized citizenry that is utterly at odds with reality. CBS suggests that 100% of Americans/voters have an opinion about the level of aid the US/Biden administration is providing Ukraine. For CNN, the comparable number is 99%. For Fox, 97%.

Such high responsiveness reinforces what two researchers have called the “folklore theory of democracy.” This notion of democracy posits that the vast majority of voters are well-informed and engaged on policy issues, so that when election time comes, they can make a sound judgment as to how well their elected leaders reflect the will of the people.

The reality, of course, is far different. As those authors make clear, the political science literature is replete with studies that describe widespread public ignorance of policy issues, as well as a lack of basic knowledge about the American government.

The illusion of public opinion
So, how did the three polls show virtually all Americans with an opinion on aid to Ukraine? Two major techniques.

First, they ask “forced-choice” questions, which give respondents positive and negative options to choose from, but do not provide an explicit “unsure” or “don’t know” option. Respondents feel obligated to give some answer, regardless of whether they have actually developed any opinion about it.

Second, the respondents are all “performing” for the interviewers. There is an implicit understanding that the respondents are there to answer questions. That is their “job.” If they didn’t want to answer questions, they wouldn’t be taking the poll. If the interviewer (or if the electronic form that respondents fill out online) explicitly offers the option of “no opinion,” then the respondent would feel free to choose that option. But with the forced-choice questions, respondents understand that they are expected to provide an answer.

CNN actually follows up volunteered “no opinion” responses by asking respondents if they “lean” toward one option or the other, thus ensuring they get close to 100% responses.

Unreliable results from unengaged citizens
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Seventy-six percent of the respondents whose opinions Pew (6/15/23) cites say they are not paying “very” close attention to the Ukraine War.
How reliable are responses from people who are relatively uninformed? Again, political science research has long answered that question, and the answer is—not very. As one researcher explains:

The consequences of asking uninformed people to state opinions on topics to which they have given little, if any, previous thought are quite predictable: Their opinion statements give every indication of being rough and superficial…. [They] vacillate randomly across repeated interviews of the same people.

How many people are “uninformed”? That’s a bit tricky to measure, because it’s not a simple matter of informed vs. uninformed. People have varying degrees of knowledge. Pollsters avoid the problem by mostly ignoring it. But now and then, pollsters do try to measure how much people know about a given issue.

Last June, for example, a Reuters/Ipsos poll (6/28/23) reported that only 18% of Americans were following stories about the Russian invasion of Ukraine “very closely.” Another 39% said “somewhat closely,” leaving 43% saying not closely (or they didn’t know).

An earlier poll by Pew (6/15/23) also found few people paying particular attention to the war in Ukraine: 9% saying extremely closely and 15% very closely. Another 35% said somewhat closely. Again, 42% said not too, or not at all, closely (or they didn’t know).

Of course, people with little to no knowledge on an issue can still express an opinion about it, and sometimes even feel strongly about it—probably because they see the issue linked to something else they do feel strongly about, like party identification, or perhaps a political leader with whom they closely identify.

Still, if the poll question provides respondents with an explicit “don’t know” option, people who don’t know much about an issue will often choose that. And respondents who express an opinion, but don’t really care one way or the other, are likely to admit it if asked.

Few with strong feelings
We can see this dynamic in a Pew poll last June (6/15/23), which—unlike the three polls described earlier—explicitly provided respondents with a “not sure” option. The result: Overall, 24% chose “not sure,” and another 1% did not respond.

Even that level of participation—75% expressing an opinion—may overstate the public’s level of engagement. It could reflect the “job” that respondents have taken on, to answer poll questions, regardless of how much they’ve really thought about the issue.

Evidence for this idea is found in the question asked of Pew respondents immediately prior to the one about continued aid: “Do you approve or disapprove of the Biden administration’s response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine?” Options allowed respondents to express intensity of opinion.

Percent Who Approve/Disapprove of Biden Administration’s Response to Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine

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As the table makes clear, overall just 30% of the respondents express a “strong” opinion: 13% who approve, 17% who disapprove.

Another 44% express mild opinions: 26% approve, 18% disapprove. Another 26% have no opinion.

What to make of the respondents who “somewhat” approve or disapprove?

Andrew Smith and I presented a paper at the annual meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research in 2010, which included research showing that respondents who expressed mild opinions (characterizing their feelings as “not strongly” or “somewhat”) also said in a follow-up question that they would not be “upset” if their opinion did not prevail.

The conclusions we drew were that large numbers of respondents who express an opinion on a “forced-choice” question, like the ones in the CBS, Fox and CNN polls, are not really invested in their own responses. They are simply not engaged enough to care strongly one way or the other.

Using that criterion, the Pew poll suggests that overall, about 7 in 10 Americans are unengaged in the issue of US aid to Ukraine. Among Republicans, about 65%; among Democrats, 72%.

Among people who are engaged, Republicans are clearly quite negative, by a margin of 31% who strongly disapprove to 4% who strongly approve. Engaged Democrats are more positive: 23% strongly approve, while just 5% strongly disapprove.

Had the other three polls also provided an explicit “unsure” option, and then measured intensity of opinion, the percentage of Republicans who strongly disapprove would no doubt be considerably below a majority. By the same token, the percentage of Democrats who approve would also be considerably below a majority. Most people are simply unengaged in this issue.

Performative vs. realistic polls
As a general rule, news media are not fans of polls that reveal how disengaged the public is on most issues. They prefer what I call “performative polls,” because such polls give the illusion of an attentive and informed public that is consistent with our general conception of how US democracy should work.

More importantly, reporting on polls that regularly show large segments of the public unengaged on the issues would call into question the utility of conducting the polls in the first place. Perhaps the media should spend more effort to keep the public informed on current issues than on performative polls that do little to enlighten.

https://fair.org/home/both-opposition-t ... olls-show/

Keeping in mind that Fair is a dem/liberal leaning outfit and does have a dog in this fight.

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Does Orban Have A Point In Describing The Ukrainian Conflict As A “Slavic Fraternal War”?

ANDREW KORYBKO
OCT 1, 2023

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Western Civilization exploited Slavic Civilization’s wayward Ukrainian component upon its post-Soviet independence as a sovereign state via the cultivation of extreme nationalism in order to divide-and-rule its Russian-centric Slavic opponent. By launching its special operation, Russia wasn’t engaging in an “imperial war of conquest”, but attempting to avert the West’s own such imperial war by neutralizing Ukraine’s “Trojan Horse” status to that end.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban described the Ukrainian Conflict as a “Slavic fraternal war” in comments that he made on Friday. He didn’t elaborate on why he chose that particular phraseology, but his point appears to have been to emphasize the need for others to stop fueling the flames. This aligns with Budapest’s stance towards the conflict, which contrasts with its Western allies’, who instead want to globalize it. That said, his description is still debatable for the reasons that will now be explained.

From the Russian perspective, Ukraine is merely NATO’s proxy for waging a Hybrid War against it. By reframing the conflict as a “Slavic fraternal war”, that bloc’s role in provoking and perpetuating it risks being overlooked in favor of focusing on Russia and Ukraine’s shared ethnic ties. The resultant impression is that Ukraine has been able to hold its own against Russia, which isn’t factually true since it’s only survived so far due to NATO’s assistance.

The Ukrainians’ objections will likely be that they consider themselves to be a distinct ethnic group from Russians so it’s therefore highly offensive to describe the conflict the way that Orban did. From their perspective, reframing it this way risks undermining Ukraine’s sovereign statehood by implying the possibility that more of the land that it claims as its own could – and possibly should – be incorporated into Russia. It also suggests that both parties share guilt for the conflict, which Kiev refuses to admit.

Nevertheless, although neither Russia nor Ukraine is likely to acknowledge it, they each tacitly agree with some of the other’s points. President Putin’s magna opus from July 2021 “On the historical unity of Russians and Ukrainians” concludes by recognizing Ukraine’s distinct ethnic identity and sovereign statehood. Likewise, Kiev doesn’t want the world to think that it survived thus far largely on its own lest those in the West who are against supporting it have yet another argument for cutting off aid.

Having constructively critiqued Orban’s debatable description of the Ukrainian Conflict as a “Slavic fraternal war”, it’s now time to draw attention to its merits. Apart from what was mentioned in the introduction, he might also have wanted to signal his belief in the emerging civilizational paradigm of International Relations. This school of thought posits that civilizations have a similar level of agency as states do in shaping the world order and was partially included in Russia’s latest Foreign Policy Concept.

With that paradigm in mind, the Hungarian leader’s reference to the “Slavic” and “fraternal” nature of the Ukrainian Conflict reconceptualizes its very nature. Instead of being the result of a Western-provoked international security dilemma like Russia regards it as or a so-called “imperial war of conquest” like Ukraine claims, it can now be thought of as an intra-civilizational conflict among fellow Slavs, albeit one provoked and perpetuated by Western Civilization.

To elaborate, there are grounds for reframing Ukraine as a “defector” of sorts from Slavic Civilization due to its efforts to comprehensively distance itself from Russia, to which end it informally allied with the West and conspired with NATO to clandestinely cross its neighbor’s national security red lines. Had Russia eschewed its special operation and instead let events naturally unfold, then Ukraine would have inevitably turned into Western Civilization’s “Slavic Trojan Horse” for Balkanizing Russia.

In that scenario, Slavic Civilization – or what can more accurately be described as Russia’s Eurasian Civilization in which Slavs have historically played the most important state-forming role – would cease to exist with time after its multidimensional conquest by Western Civilization. That outcome would represent the unprecedented expansion of Western Civilization over Northern Eurasia, which could set the stage for a clash with Chinese Civilization in the (then-former) Slavic/Russian lands.

To simplify this civilizational interpretation of the Ukrainian Conflict, Western Civilization exploited Slavic Civilization’s wayward Ukrainian component upon its post-Soviet independence as a sovereign state via the cultivation of extreme nationalism in order to divide-and-rule its Russian-centric Slavic opponent. By launching its special operation, Russia wasn’t engaging in an “imperial war of conquest”, but attempting to avert the West’s own such imperial war by neutralizing Ukraine’s “Trojan Horse” status to that end.

It might be that Orban didn’t intend to reconceptualize the Ukrainian Conflict to that extent by describing it as a “Slavic fraternal war” and only wanted to add a creative rhetorical flourish to his efforts aimed at dissuading fellow Westerners from further fanning the flames. Even if that’s the case, however, his language still inadvertently inspired a novel way of interpreting everything. Experts would therefore to well to build upon this paradigm in order to discover what other insight it holds.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/does-orb ... describing

Slavic/Russian "Civilization", Phttt! Otherwise, carry on.

******

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The Mad Propaganda Push To Normalize War Profiteering In Ukraine
“This move has been accompanied in recent weeks by some of the most appalling mass media headlines that I have ever seen, all geared toward normalizing the military industrial complex in the eyes of the public.”

Caitlin Johnstone
October 1, 2023

There’s been an astonishingly brazen propaganda push to normalize war profiteering in Ukraine as Kyiv coordinates with the arms industry and western governments to convert the war-ravaged nation into a major domestic weapons manufacturer, thereby turning Ukrainians into proxies of the military industrial complex as well as the Pentagon.

At an event in Kyiv which hosted 250 “defense” industry corporations from 30 different countries on Friday, President Zelensky gave a speech urging war profiteers to open factories in Ukraine to cut out the middleman of securing and delivering so many weapons from abroad. This is an investment that the arms industry would ostensibly have plenty of time to set up, given that western officials are now going out of their way to communicate to the public that this war will stretch on for many more years to come.

Zelensky’s speech twice made use of the phrase “defense-industrial complex”, and used the phrase “arsenal of the free world” no fewer than three times.

“Ukraine is developing a special economic regime for the defense-industrial complex,” Zelensky said. “To give all the opportunities to realize their potential to every company that works for the sake of defense — in Ukraine and with Ukraine or that wants to come to Ukraine.”

“Right now, the most powerful military-industrial complexes are being determined, as are their priorities and the global standard of defense. All of this is being determined in Ukraine,” Zelensky tweeted with photos from the event.


This move has been accompanied in recent weeks by some of the most appalling mass media headlines that I have ever seen, all geared toward normalizing the military industrial complex in the eyes of the public.

In an amazingly awful Wall Street Journal op-ed titled titled “In Defense of the Defense Industry” and subtitled “Populists of the right and left attack U.S. companies that make weapons. Who do they think protects us?”, Future of Capitalism’s Ira Stoll argues that the military industrial complex is actually a wonderful thing we should all love and support.

“The weapons industry protects America and its allies, keeping us safe from ruthless enemies who would otherwise exterminate or enslave us,” Stoll writes. “Raytheon helps make weapons systems that defend Israeli civilians against attacks from Iran-backed terrorist groups. These include the Iron Dome, David’s Sling, SkyHunter interceptor systems and Tamir missiles. Raytheon also produces the Javelin antitank missile that Ukraine has used against Russian armor and the early-warning radars that would detect incoming missiles aimed at the U.S.”

Stoll does not name the alternate universe he is describing in which the US military is used to keep Americans safe rather than to advance imperial interests abroad.

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Another recent Wall Street Journal article titled “The War in Ukraine Is Also a Giant Arms Fair” and subtitled “Arms makers are getting orders for weapons being put to the test on the battlefield” glorifies the way war machinery is being field tested on human bodies to the benefit of war profiteers.

“The Panzerhaubitze howitzer is part of an arsenal of weapons being put to the test in Ukraine in what has become the world’s largest arms fair,” writes WSJ’s Alistair MacDonald. “Companies that make the weapons being used in Ukraine have won orders and resurrected production lines. The deployment of billions of dollars worth of equipment in a major land war has also given manufacturers and militaries a unique opportunity to analyze the battlefield performance of weapons, and learn how best to use them.”

A Reuters article from two weeks ago titled “At London arms fair, global war fears are good for business” gushes over how much money is being raked in by arms manufacturers as a result of this war, with one unnamed arms industry executive telling Reuters, “War is good for business.”

Just the other day CNN anchor Erin Burnett followed up some clips of “far right lawmakers” voicing their opposition to funding for the Ukraine proxy war by pausing to explain to her audience that this funding is actually good for Americans, because it goes straight into the US arms industry.


“It’s worthwhile with all of this gaining some steam in public perception to be clear on some facts,” Burnett said. “First and foremost, the vast majority of this money is going to American companies and jobs, right, because those are the people that are making the Abrams tanks, the ammo and everything else. And you take Lockheed Martin, which makes the HIMARS, that have been core to Ukraine’s counteroffensive, the company announced it’s going to increase its workforce in Camden, Arkansas, by 20 percent, just because of this new demand.”

“That money is going to America,” Burnett added.

All this propaganda energy is going into normalizing the act of war profiteering because if you let the idea stand on its own, it would make people scream in horror. The fact that a deliberately-provoked war is being used as a giant field demo to show prospective buyers and investors how effective various weapons systems can be at ripping apart human bodies in order to profit from all this death and destruction is more nightmarish than anything any dystopian novelist has ever come up with.

Ukraine is a giant advertisement for weapons of mass slaughter, and the cost of that corporate ad is not money but human blood. If you look right at this thing it absolutely chills you to the bone. Which is why so much effort is being poured into making sure people don’t look at it.

https://caitlinjohnstone.com.au/2023/10 ... n-ukraine/

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Glory to urine
October 1, 23:07

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Wall propaganda in Europe.

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https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8674747.html

Google Translator
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part V

Post by blindpig » Tue Oct 03, 2023 11:54 am

From Lisbon to Lugansk
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 10/03/2023

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kyiv held yesterday, at the initiative of the head of diplomacy of the European Union, Josep Borrell, a summit that the media described as historic and unprecedented. All the foreign ministers of the European Union met in the Ukrainian capital, not to discuss issues that required a face-to-face summit, but to demonstrate the complete and unconditional support that Ukraine has had since February 24, 2022, but which had already begun in 2014. The summit, more media than political, takes place at a time when Ukraine's allies have wanted to show not only unity, but long-term commitment to compensate for growing doubts, both military and political. Volodymyr Zelensky seemed to hope to achieve with his presence in the United States Congress Republican approval for the increase in the budget available for Ukraine, another $24 billion added to the amounts already committed, which Joe Biden had demanded. However, the agreement to avoid a government shutdown - a temporary pact of only 45 days, during which time a more definitive solution will have to be negotiated - does not include financing for Kiev, which has caused deeply exaggerated, but It has given rise to the EU to come to the fore to present itself as the main supporter of the country.

The presence of the Foreign Ministers and the words of Josep Borrell, who in a conversation with El País stated that “the European Union, all of us, are facing an existential threat” are exactly what Kiev needed politically and in the media in this moment. Despite the reluctance of part of the Republican Party, the Ukrainian issue has been so overstated in the media that the idea that Kiev is fighting for our values , for our freedom or for the free worldhas become widespread enough to guarantee long-term financing. This is what even Russia has understood, which has not clung to its optimistic tendency and has understood that it is only a subsection. “They will continue to support. We should not think that something is about to change,” Sergey Ryabkov, Deputy Minister of the Russian Federation, told TASS. In any case, the head of European Union diplomacy already stated yesterday that EU economic assistance will continue and increase regardless of what happens in the United States.

Kiev's concern to maintain not only support but supply at current levels - absolutely unsustainable, for example, for the countries that met in Kiev yesterday - joins the growing doubts about the performance of Ukrainian troops on the front. . Despite attempts to overstate its successes, simple observation of the maps indicates that Ukraine is not close to meeting the objectives of its counteroffensive. Only those who, through the crudest propaganda, seek to continue maintaining the discourse of certain victory currently disagree with the view that the Ukrainian troops have encountered enormous difficulties that - inexplicably - they did not expect and are not being able to overcome them as their suppliers had planned. One of them is Ben Wallace, who in an article published this week in The Telegraph claims that “Ukraine is winning. "Now let's finish the task." But even in such exaggeratedly optimistic articles it transcends reality. The former UK Defense Minister admits, possibly without being aware of the implications of his words, that the average age of Ukrainian soldiers at the front is over 40 years old. This data can only indicate enormous casualties among the recruits, further proof of the cost that the advance of a dozen kilometers is assuming for Ukraine in the parts where it has been able to reach the Russian defense line.

At the meeting, the broad representation of the establishment EU politician heard exactly what he wanted to hear. Victory depends “directly on our cooperation,” said Volodymyr Zelensky, the person who has most clearly defined the meaning of that word. As the Ukrainian president never tires of repeating, victory - or peace, since he works hard to equate Ukrainian victory and peace - will occur when Ukraine recovers territorial integrity according to internationally recognized borders. That is, Kiev is willing to fight for the territories of Zaporozhie and Kherson captured by Russia in the last year and a half, those that the Russian Federation was willing to return in March 2022 in exchange for Ukraine accepting the departure of Donbass and Crimea. and neutrality, but also for what has been lost since 2014. The intention to fight for Crimea,

The opinion of that population, several million people who have suffered the consequences of their political decision in the form of collective punishment by Ukraine, has never been a relevant factor for either Kiev or its partners. This was demonstrated by their attitude during the years of the Minsk process, when no steps were taken to encourage Ukraine to comply with the peace agreement it had signed and which it now admits it never intended to comply with. kyiv, like its partners, never considered the possibility of guaranteeing Donbass the minimum political rights that the agreement negotiated by Angela Merkel, François Hollande, Petro Poroshenko and Vladimir Putin provided for. Obviously, the rights of this population are still not a factor to be taken into account today, nor is their will. Yesterday, during the visit to kyiv, This was highlighted again by Annalena Baerbock, German Foreign Minister, who advocated for a European Union “from Lisbon to Lugansk”. The EU, which has condemned each and every one of the initiatives in which the population has been given a voice, such as the referendum of May 11, 2014 in which, at the very least, it should have seen signs of rejection of the change of Government which he had actively supported in Kiev, has no intention of asking the population their opinion on joining the European Union. The idea of ​​unity of the people of Ukraine, one of the bases of the Western simplification of the meaning of the war, is enough to assume that support for theEuro-Atlantic path of the population is total and extends throughout the territory. From kyiv, of course, they have reacted enthusiastically to Baerbock's words. Mijailo Podolyak, who took advantage of the post to demand Taurus missiles from Germany, wrote yesterday that “the historical process is objective. The days of Russian dominance in Europe are over. So the European Union will extend from Lisbon to Lugansk (according to Ukraine's 1991 borders).”

Lugansk, specifically Stanitsa Luganskaya, was also the last place in Donbass that Josep Borrell visited before the Russian recognition of the independence of the LPR and the entry of Russian troops. Dressed in military green, his speech was as belligerent as it is now. A few days later, when the LPR troops advanced on Stanitsa Luganskaya without practically any battle, his speech proved to be out of touch with reality. However, the war has not only not diminished its importance but has given it to people like Josep Borrell, who take advantage of the springboard that kyiv continues to provide to acquire international media presence. This is the reason for yesterday's summit, in which the objective was only to show that, like the United States and the United Kingdom, The European Union is also willing to continue financing Kiev until the final victory against Russia, which would be, above all, against the part of the population that rejected the change of government in 2014 and which Ukraine has been trying to punish for nine years. With the approval and support of the European Union, the United States and the United Kingdom.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/10/03/28271/#more-28271

Google Translator

Edited

******

Chronicle of a special military operation for October 2, 2023
October 2, 2023
Rybar

The main events took place in the Vremevsky sector , where Russian troops expanded the zone of control towards the Grusheva gully, repelling the Ukrainian attack. To the east of Urozhaynoye, units of the Russian Armed Forces also managed to move forward at the Urozhaynoye - Novodonetskoye line . Positional clashes continue on the territory of Serebryansky forestry in the Starobelsky direction and in the Kleshcheevka area in the Soledarsky sector .

Despite a slight decrease in the intensity of shelling of the Russian border area, Ukrainian formations today launched attacks on populated areas of the Kursk , Belgorod , Kherson , Zaporozhye regions and the DPR . There are casualties among the population, and damage to infrastructure is also reported.

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The situation on the front line and combat operations

In the Starobelsky direction , assault units of the 63rd infantry brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the 12th brigade of the Azov Special Forces made several attempts to attack in the area of ​​Dibrova and Serebryansky forestry , but were unsuccessful.


There is relative calm in the Soledar direction . The most tense situation remains at the Kleshcheevka - Kurdyumovka line , where Russian military personnel are holding defenses near the railway. The enemy command continues to pull additional manpower and military equipment into this area.

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In the Yuzhnodonetsk direction, after the withdrawal of marine brigades to the Kherson direction , the main lines in the Vremyevsky sector were occupied by units of the 58th motorized infantry brigade together with the 128th TRO and 1st brigade of the President of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. According to Voin DV , to the west of Staromayorsky , assault groups of the 128th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, with the support of mortar crews, attacked the positions of the Russian Armed Forces in the landings, hoping to occupy tactically advantageous positions. However, the Russian Armed Forces repelled the attack and launched a counterattack under the cover of artillery fire and heavy flamethrower systems. As a result of a successful assault, Russian fighters drove the Ukrainian Armed Forces to the Grusheva gully .

Also, an intensification of fighting was noted at the Urozhaynoye - Novodonetskoye line , where assault troops of the Russian army were able to clear forest belts east of Urozhaynoye and advance to a depth of 200 meters. At the moment, Ukrainian formations are regrouping and preparing for an attack. Russian artillerymen are conducting massive shelling of the enemy's forward line. In the near future, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will most likely try to recapture the lost strongholds, but the concentration of forces in this area has decreased. This at least suggests that the South Donetsk direction is not a priority for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.


There are still no significant changes in the Orekhovsky section of the Zaporozhye direction . The parties engage in artillery duels, and Ukrainian formations periodically make forays between Rabotino and Verbov , but without any significant success.

Shelling of rear areas and residential areas
The Ukrainian Armed Forces shelled the village of Krupets, Rylsky district, and the checkpoint on the border using tanks and mortars. There were no reports of injuries or damage.

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Throughout the day, Ukrainian formations attacked border settlements in the Belgorod region . In the village of Kozinka, Grayvoronsky urban district, a shell damaged one residential building, but there were no casualties. Local residents reported shelling of the villages of Vyazovoye and Dronovka ; there was no information about casualties or damage.

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The Ukrainian Armed Forces continue shelling populated areas of the Donetsk People's Republic . During the day, information about casualties was received: one woman was seriously injured in Makeyevka , two people were wounded in the Petrovsky district of Donetsk . In the Kirovsky district of Donetsk, the building of school No. 80 was damaged. Among other settlements that came under enemy fire were: Aleksandrovka , Gorlovka , Yelenovka and Yasinovataya . In addition, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported on the work of air defense in the village. Red Partisan and Sands .

In the evening, Ukrainian formations shelled the village of Svetloye , Tokmak district, Zaporozhye region . As a result of the incident, the grass caught fire, no one was injured. In addition, Kamenka - Dneprovskaya came under attack : power lines and civil infrastructure were damaged in the village.

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In the Kherson region, Ukrainian formations do not stop shelling the left bank. Gornostaevka , Dnepryany , Kakhovka , Novaya Kakhovka and Sagi came under fire . There was no information about casualties or injuries.

Political events
About the prospects of the “Ukraine” project

The media project “Ukraine” is of less and less interest to the Western elite. Columnist for the German magazine Spiegel Roland Nelles writes about this . Despite the fact that the US remains dominated by pro-Ukrainian forces, the country's internal problems and the upcoming presidential elections are lowering the Ukrainian conflict down several positions on the list of priorities in Washington. Moreover, one of the latest Time articles states that it is becoming increasingly difficult for the American Congress to agree on the allocation of aid to Ukraine. This conclusion was made following the adoption of the temporary US budget law. Let us recall that almost half of the Republicans in the House of Representatives voted to exclude $300 million from the defense budget, which should go to help the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

However, we should not expect support for Ukraine to end anytime soon. The West is definitely tired of this conflict, but among the Western elites there are many who see in this confrontation an opportunity to profitably invest in the murder of Russians at the hands of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. In turn, when it becomes clear that the conflict has reached a dead end, diplomatic games will begin in which Crimea could become the West’s main bargaining chip in negotiations with Russia. By the way, The Times writes about this, citing sources in diplomatic circles.

About Western supporters of fighting “until the last Ukrainian”

Representatives of the Western establishment are once again openly declaring plans to fight to the last Ukrainian. Thus, former British Defense Minister Ben Wallace, on the pages of the Telegraph newspaper, called on Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky to mobilize more young people into the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Let us recall that general mobilization has already been declared in Ukraine. Ukrainian authorities, at least since mid-summer 2023, have been using various levers of pressure on society in order to convince/intimidate the population liable for military service to join the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Apparently, these measures not only do not bring results, but also act exactly the opposite - they force potential conscripts to escape from military commissars by any means. The ex-minister did not specify how Ukraine should “squeeze out” its last human resource.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

(Other images at link.)

Google Translator

******

The Average Age Of Ukraine's Army

Ben Wallace, the former Secretary of State for Defence of the UK, writes in the Telegraph:

Putin is desperately grasping at the final two things that can save him – time and the splitting of the international community. Britain can do something about both. We must help Ukraine maintain its momentum – and that will require more munitions, ATACMSs and Storm Shadows. And the best way to keep the international community together is the demonstration of success.
Ukraine can also play its part. The average age of the soldiers at the front is over 40. I understand President Zelensky’s desire to preserve the young for the future, but the fact is that Russia is mobilising the whole country by stealth. Putin knows a pause will hand him time to build a new army. So just as Britain did in 1939 and 1941, perhaps it is time to reassess the scale of Ukraine’s mobilisation.

Let us not pause for one day. Let us see this through. The world is watching to see if the West has the resolve to stand up for our values and the rules-based system. What we do now for Ukraine will set the direction for all of our security for years to come.


Think for a moment what the aside insert "The average age of the soldiers at the front is over 40" really means. Can Storm Shadows change that fact?

Roland Popp @RoPoppZurich - 5:43 UTC · Oct 2, 2023
Sollte stimmen, was Wallace da über das Durchschnittsalter an der ukrainischen Front sagt, 40 Jahre, dann sind die schlimmsten Mutmaßungen über Verluste weit übertroffen worden.
Paraguay 1870.

Translated from German by Google
If what Wallace says about the average age on the Ukrainian front is true, 40 years, then the worst assumptions about losses have been far exceeded.
Paraguay 1870.

Paraguayan War - Casualties of the war:

Paraguay suffered massive casualties, and the war's disruption and disease also cost civilian lives. Some historians estimate that the nation lost the majority of its population.


Ukraine ain't there yet. But looking at pictures of Ukrainian soldiers at the front Wallace seems to be right. If you are forty or above are you really still able to run, react and fight like when you were twenty? I am not.

The young Ukrainians are gone. They either have fled from Ukraine or are wounded, disabled or died. You can not mobilize what is no longer there.

A huge loss that will forever haunt that country.

End this war now!

Posted by b on October 2, 2023 at 7:50 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/10/t ... l#comments

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American Meddling Failed To Prevent Robert Fico’s Victory In The Latest Slovak Elections

ANDREW KORYBKO
OCT 2, 2023

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The reason why America meddled in this election is because it fears both the substance and symbolism of a hitherto stalwart NATO vassal defecting from the bloc’s anti-Russian proxy war coalition.

The “Direction-Social Democracy” (SMER) party of former Prime Minister Robert Fico emerged victorious after Slovakia’s latest elections on Saturday in spite of Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) warning before the vote that the US will go to any lengths to prevent that outcome. Nobody should have been surprised by that since CNN’s reporting made it obvious that Washington wanted him to lose. Here are three of their articles fearmongering about his democratically driven return to office:

* “A NATO country could soon have a pro-Russian leader”

* “With Kremlin apologist leading the polls, Slovakia vote threatens country’s support for Ukraine”

* “Pro-Russian politician wins Slovakia’s parliamentary election”

The reason why America meddled in this election is because it fears both the substance and symbolism of a hitherto stalwart NATO vassal defecting from the bloc’s anti-Russian proxy war coalition. Fico previously condemned the West’s role in provoking and perpetuating this conflict exactly as neighboring Hungarian leader Viktor Orban has done since the get-go. Just like him, Fico is also against arming Ukraine and could prevent others’ weapons from transiting across his country as well.

He’ll still need to form a governing coalition in order to make good on his promises, but few doubt that he’ll be able to. Assuming that’ll happen, then Slovakia will join Hungary in creating a center of anti-war gravity in the heart of both the EU and NATO, which complements Poland’s newly cautious stance towards this proxy conflict brought about by its dispute with Ukraine. These three could then form an influential force if the latter’s ruling “Law & Justice” (PiS) party wins re-election on 15 October.

Poland remains much more committed to this conflict than Hungary and post-election Slovakia, but there’s also no denying that the Polish people are incredibly offended at Ukraine’s ungratefulness. A critical mass of them might therefore vote for the anti-establishment Confederation party to protest PiS’ prior appeasement of Kiev up until recently despite that regime’s glorification of those who genocided Poles. If enough do so, then PiS might be compelled to form a coalition government with Confederation.

In that case, Poland might move closer towards Hungary and Slovakia’s position, which could inspire average Europeans to follow these countries’ lead during their own upcoming elections. The demonstration effect that was set into motion by Slovakia and which might soon manifest itself in Poland is therefore regarded by the US as a strategic challenge for good reason. That doesn’t justify its failed meddling in the latest Slovak elections, but simply places its motives into the appropriate context.

The fact that the CIA still failed to prevent Fico’s re-election dispels three popular myths, first and foremost that agency’s omnipotence. The second is foreign voters’ alleged inability to defy the American government’s will, the false perception of which has been exploited to suppress anti-establishment turnout. And finally, the Ukrainian Conflict is truly unpopular in some countries despite the media’s claims to the contrary and its crazed efforts to artificially manufacture support for this proxy war there.

With these symbolic outcomes in mind as well as the substantive changes to Slovak policy that are likely to follow its latest election, not to mention their possible impact on Poland in the coming future and the rest of Europe after that, the failure of America’s meddling campaign is a major development. It’s premature to describe it as a game-changer, but it still suggests a potentially impending inflection point in the Ukrainian Conflict, provided of course that the CIA doesn’t successfully sabotage related trends.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/american ... to-prevent

Morawiecki Suspects That Zelensky Struck A Deal With Germany Behind Poland’s Back

ANDREW KORYBKO
OCT 2, 2023

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Germany is poised to replace Poland as Ukraine’s top strategic partner no matter who wins the next elections since PO’s victory will likely lead to this happening right away while PiS’ would likely just delay this seemingly inevitable outcome for a short while. The only realistic way that this scenario could be offset is if PiS wins and then promulgates a much more muscular policy towards Ukraine aimed at coercing that country into preserving Poland’s sphere of influence.

Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki speculated during a campaign rally on Sunday that Zelensky cut a deal with Germany behind his country’s back and implied that Ukraine should give Poland a sphere of influence there out of gratitude for all that Poles have done for it since February 2022. His words represent the latest escalation in the Polish-Ukrainian dispute that exploded in mid-September and add credence to expectations that mutual distrust will continue worsening. Here’s what he said:

“I understand that it seems to [President Zelensky] now that he will have a close alliance with Germany. Let me warn you, Germany will always want to cooperate with the Russians over the heads of Central European countries.

It was Poland that welcomed a few million Ukrainians under our roofs, it was the Poles who welcomed the Ukrainians, it was we who helped the most at the time when the Germans wanted to send 5,000 helmets to besieged Kyiv. It is worthwhile for you not to forget this, President Zelensky.”

The following analyses describe the context within which Morawiecki shared his scandalous suspicions:

* “Poland & Ukraine Are Merging into a De Facto Confederation”

* “Poland’s Hyping Up the German Threat To Central Europe to Consolidate Its Regional Influence”

* “Olaf Scholz’s Manifesto For Foreign Affairs Magazine Confirms Germany’s Hegemonic Ambitions”

* “Poland & Ukraine Are Arguing Over Grain Once Again”

* “Here’s How Poland Is Slyly Taking Control Of Western Ukraine”

* “Ukraine’s Ungratefulness Is Finally Starting To Perturb Poland”

* “Kiev’s Prediction Of Post-Conflict Competition With Poland Bodes Ill For Bilateral Ties”

* “Germany’s Promised Military Patronage Of Ukraine Ramps Up Its Regional Competition With Poland”

* “Poland & Ukraine Have Plunged Into A Full-Blown Political Crisis With No End In Sight”

* “Poland Hinted That Germany Is To Blame For Its Dispute With Ukraine”

* “CNN’s Spin On The Polish-Ukrainian Dispute Dishonestly Ignores Why Poles Are So Offended”

* “Poland Chose The Right Time To Finish Its Investigation Into Last November’s Przewodow Incident”

The sequence of events leading up to this will now be summarized for the reader’s convenience.

Poland’s ruling “Law & Justice” (PiS) party took advantage of Russia’s special operation to carve out a sphere of influence for their country in Ukraine, which was seen as a serious step towards fulfilling the late Marshal Pilsudski’s “Intermarium” vision aimed at restoring Poland’s long-lost Great Power status. Germany also saw the latest phase of the Ukrainian Conflict as an opportunity to advance its own hegemonic vision over the EU, which placed it at odds with Poland, both in general and in Ukraine.

The Polish-Ukrainian grain dispute set into motion a self-sustaining cycle of distrust that prompted Kiev to proactively reduce its disproportionate dependence on Warsaw, to which end Ukraine recently clinched a military deal with Germany till 2027. Those two consider their agreement to be a means for pragmatically managing an increasingly rogue Poland, while Poland regards this an unfriendly scheme by its neighbors to contain it. A strategic dilemma has therefore come to characterize this triangle.

Ukraine no longer feels comfortable merging with Poland into a de facto confederation after the grain dispute showed that these plans entail unacceptable concessions to its sovereignty, which would institutionalize Ukraine’s junior partnership status vis-à-vis Poland if Kiev went along with this. In order to prevent that from happening, Kiev decided to counterbalance Poland’s disproportionate influence via the several-year-long military partnership that it just agreed to with Germany.

Poland expected that Ukraine would give it a sphere of influence, even if only over those western regions that used to be part of the interwar Second Polish Republic, after everything that it did to help Kiev survive Russia’s special operation thus far. This includes direct military aid, facilitating NATO’s arms shipments, and hosting millions of Ukrainian refugees. Instead, Zelensky compared Poland’s role in this conflict to Russia’s during his UNGA speech and then gave Germany a sphere of influence in Ukraine.

Germany was previously reluctant to get involved in the latest phase of the Ukrainian Conflict, but last year’s Nord Stream terrorist attack and this summer’s onset of the Polish-Ukrainian dispute convinced it to finally play a leading role. With nothing more to lose regarding ties with Russia and sensing an opportunity to divide-and-rule the region in pursuit of its hegemonic policy, Germany swiftly made up for lost time and subsequently sought to poach Poland’s envisaged sphere of influence in Ukraine.

The dynamics detailed in the preceding three paragraphs suggest that Germany is gaining strategic ground over Poland in Ukraine, and this trend is expected to continue even after the next Polish elections on 15 October. If the “Civic Platform” (PO) opposition wins, then Poland will return to its traditional post-Old Cold War status as a German vassal, which would then catalyze a competition with Ukraine for the privilege of being Germany’s most important junior partner in the region.

In the event that PiS maintains its electoral edge over PO, then it’ll likely be forced to form a coalition government with the anti-establishment Confederation party, which could prevent the incumbents from walking back their tough stance towards Ukraine. Should that happen, then Poland will remain on the strategic backfoot in its competition with Germany for influence in that country since it’ll be politically difficult for Warsaw to offer Kiev any perks that Berlin couldn’t match, let alone surpass if needed.

With this insight in mind, Germany is therefore poised to replace Poland as Ukraine’s top strategic partner no matter who wins the next elections since PO’s victory will likely lead to this happening right away while PiS’ would likely just delay this seemingly inevitable outcome for a short while. The only realistic way that this scenario could be offset is if PiS wins and then promulgates a much more muscular policy towards Ukraine aimed at coercing that country into preserving Poland’s sphere of influence.

Its newly concluded investigation into last November’s Przewodow incident, which determined that Ukraine was responsible for the wayward missile that killed two Poles despite Zelensky’s denials to this day, could be exploited as the pretext for this purpose. Poland could then threaten to stop the transit of third countries’ (especially Germany’s) military and economic aid to Ukraine until Kiev pays restitution for this in the form of institutionalizing its envisaged sphere of influence there.

What’s being proposed is a remix of the 1938 ultimatum that Poland gave to Lithuania, albeit this time without the implied threat of armed force if Ukraine doesn’t agree. Nevertheless, the threat of cutting off that country’s military and economic lifeline would likely be sufficient for coercing Kiev into complying with Warsaw’s demands. If PiS wins re-election and garners the political will to protect Poland’s interests despite the negative press that would provoke, then this could happen by year’s end.

Nobody should get their hopes up for this, however, since neither of the aforesaid variables can be taken for granted. Even if PiS wins re-election and assuming that it’s forced to enter into a coalition government with Confederation in that scenario, it’s still very unlikely that its leadership would be willing to hold NATO’s proxy war on Russia hostage unless Ukraine does Poland’s bidding. For this reason, the loss of Poland’s sphere of influence in Ukraine to Germany might already be a fait accompli.

*****

The population of Ukraine decreased from 52 to 23 million.
October 2, 22:25

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According to a document from the Migration Service of Ukraine, as of May 16, 2023, 23.37 million people lived in Ukraine.
Taking into account the summer offensive and the further flight of Ukrainian citizens abroad, this number will continue to decline. One can confidently say that under Zelensky this figure will drop below 20 million.

Let me remind you that “independent Ukraine” started with 51.7 million people.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8676808.html

Google Translator

*****

Thousands of Ukrainian Troops Surrender via Russian Radio Hotline
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 1, 2023
Oleg Burunov

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Captured Ukrainian soldiers. File photo – Sputnik International, 1920, 30.09.2023 © Photo : press service of the Russian Defense Ministry / Go to the mediabank

Amid Kiev’s botched counteroffensive, which has shown no progress since its initiation in early June, there is a growing number of Ukrainian soldiers opting to surrender by raising a white flag.

Clayton Morris, an American journalist, has expressed his astonishment at a series of videos showcasing the significant surrender of Ukrainian armed forces (UAF) servicemen. This surrender was seen even through the utilization of a newly established Russian radio frequency.

“This is amazing. This is a story the Western media does not want you to see,” Morris said on his YouTube channel, referring to “tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers laying down the weapons and surrendering to the Russian troops.”

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According to a reliable source, recently there has been a significant increase in the number of Ukrainian troops utilizing a dedicated radio frequency to communicate their willingness to disarm. The revelation comes after the individual’s statement was reported by Russian media. The frequency was set up by Russian forces in mid-summer.

“Now more than 10,000 Ukrainian servicemen have already chosen life and used the 149.200 ‘Volga’ frequency to surrender. The captives are well-fed and provided with all necessary medical care,” the source said.

According to the insider, the process of UAF soldiers laying down their arms has recently accelerated as Ukrainian troops have begun surrendering in groups rather than individually, particularly around the village of Rabotino, one of the main flashpoints of the Ukraine conflict.

After the start of Kiev’s counteroffensive in early June, Governor Yevgeny Balitsky of the Zaporozhye region confirmed that a large number of Ukrainian Armed Forces servicemen began surrendering in great numbers.

“Unlike in spring when one or two Ukrainian soldiers surrendered, now whole UAF units are laying down the arms; surrendering, there were no company [units]; we even witnessed platoon surrenders,” Balitsky pointed out.

He added that the Ukrainian POWs have decent living conditions and that no one beats or tortures them.
The remarks came after a source in the Russian special services told Sputnik that on the Zaporozhye frontline, Ukrainian soldiers are being urged to surrender with the help of leaflets in the form of hryvnias, which are being dropped on UAF positions.

“We are working to prevent pointless bloodshed among by Ukrainian soldiers. We are distributing leaflets asking those servicemen to surrender,” the source stressed.
The leaflets contain information on how UAF troops can contact the Russian military to discuss the time and place of surrender, according to the insider.

Since early June, the UAF has been trying to advance on the Zaporozhye, Yuzhnodonetsk and Artemovsk fronts, not least with the help of combat units trained and armed by NATO instructors.

Russian President Vladimir Putin emphasized earlier this month that Ukrainian troops had failed to achieve any significant success on all the frontlines.This week, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu informed reporters that during the failed counteroffensive in Kiev, the UAF suffered substantial losses of over 17,000 soldiers and more than 2,700 pieces of weaponry, all within the span of September alone. Since the start of this botched push, the UAF have reportedly lost at least 81,000 soldiers.

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2023/10/ ... o-hotline/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part V

Post by blindpig » Tue Oct 03, 2023 5:46 pm

“THE BEASTS WITH A RED STAR ON THEIR FOREHEADS” — CANADA’S ALIBI FOR REPEATING HITLER’S WAR — THE PODCAST

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By John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

Canada’s parliament, the Canadian Armed Forces and Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) demonstrate what the other NATO allies keep trying to hide. They aim to reverse the outcome of World War II and resume Adolf Hitler’s operation to destroy Russia.

However, the fate of soldier Yaroslav Hunka of the SS Waffen Galician division, whom the MPs, the chief of the Defence Staff, and the RCMP commissioner, saluted a few days ago for his exploits killing Jews and Poles in the Ternopil region of western Ukraine between 1943 and 1945, now rests with two dossiers. One is in the archive of the Polish war crime prosecuting authority, the Institute of National Remembrance, in Warsaw. The second is the Soviet Army intelligence and KGB archives on the operations of Hunka’s unit before it fled a thousand kilometres southwest to Austria in order to surrender to the British Army.

“Beasts in human form with a red star on their foreheads,” Hunka has called the Russians whom he was afraid to fight.

His Jewish schoolmates in the Berezhany Gymnasium – 32 of them refugees from Poland – caused him to “wonder why they ran away in front of such a civilized Western people as the Germans.” They were all murdered by June 1943 when the town was declared Judenfrei. Hunka remembered that time as “the happiest years of my life [dreaming] of the company of charming girls.”

A year later, the Red Army launched its offensive against Lvov and in four weeks Hunka’s division was destroyed at Brody, 70 kilometres north of Hunka’s home. Of 11,000 of the Galicians with Hunka in the battle of the Brody pocket, less than a third survived. He fled with the retreating Wehrmacht towards Graz, Austria. “It was now every man for himself”, a recent history of the Battle of Brody (lead image, July 14, 1944) has described the outcome for the Galicians.

What Hunka had already done to the “charming” Jewish girls of Berezhany, and what he did when facing the Russians has been described by the Speaker of the Canadian House of Commons, in a script drafted by the Canadian Foreign Ministry, applauded by General Wayne Eyre, chief of the Defence Staff, as “heroic”.

With Hunka as their inspiration, the Canadian military wants to repeat this battle against “the beasts with a red star on their foreheads” — this time with the Canadian Jewish community for allies, one of them the Leader of the House of Commons, Karina Gould. But she and her fellow government ministers must now decide whether to block Polish and Russian requests for assistance in documenting Hunka’s war record from Canadian, British and US military intelligence files. If they refuse, they will be protecting Hunka from prosecution for the war crimes in the Ukraine they declare they know nothing about, in order to improve themselves on Hunka’s performance at Brody seventy-nine years ago.

Watch the discussion with Matt Ehret on his Canadian Patriot website.
https://matthewehret.substack.com/p/unp ... dium=email
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Click to watch: https://www.bitchute.com/

Or listen to the soundtrack: https://johnhelmer.net/wp-content/webpc ... &nocache=1

For more on the story of how the Soviet KGB records convicted in US and German courts Ivan Demjanjuk, a Ukrainian killer at the Sobibor concentration camp, read this. Although Demjanjuk died in 2012 aged 91, new evidence against him keeps surfacing from sources in Germany, Poland and Russia.

The evidence available in Canada against Ukrainian war criminals has been concealed, starting with the Deschênes Commission of 1987.

In its summary conclusion, the Commission declared that “public estimates of the number of war criminals allegedly living in Canada had become grossly exaggerated, expanding from a ‘handful’ or ‘several hundred’ in the mid-1970s to ‘thousands’ by the mid-1980s. Some exaggeration may have resulted from the casual lumping together of ‘war criminals’ and ‘war-time collaborators,’ some from blanket accusations against all members of certain military units such as the ‘Galicia’ or ‘Halychyna’ Division (which the Commission formally cleared of collective war crimes), and still more from duplication.”

“Nevertheless, the master list of possible suspects compiled by the Commission contained the names of just 774 individuals; an addendum listed 38 names, and there was a further list of 71 German scientists and technicians. Of the 774 suspects on the master list, 341 were found never to have landed or resided in Canada, 21 had landed in Canada but had left for another country, 86 had died in Canada, and 4 could not be located in this country. The Commission could find no prima facie evidence of war crimes in the files of 154 further suspects. Therefore, it recommended that 606 files be closed.”

“In a further 97 cases, the Commission could not find prima facie evidence of war crimes, but believed that such evidence might exist in East European countries. The decision of whether or not to circulate these files abroad was left up to the government. Some 34 cases on the master list were outstanding because answers had not been received from foreign agencies. Time constraints had also prevented the Commission from fully investigating the 38 cases referred to it after October 1986 and the list of German scientists and technicians.”

“The Commission found prima facie of war crimes in just 20 cases, and, in a confidential Part II to the Report, made detailed recommendations to the government about how to proceed in each case” (emphasis added).

https://johnhelmer.net/the-beasts-with- ... more-88628

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Exclusive: British Government Funded a Plan for International Censorship of Critiques of NATO
OCTOBER 2, 2023

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By Jack Poulson – Sep 25, 2023

Leaked report from U.S. Special Ops contractor and NATO-partnered think-tanks defines criticism of NATO as disinfo. Recommends “coordinated action to pressure social media and digital market actors”.

A leaked 130-page report made public here for the first time documents an international censorship campaign funded by the British government and led by a public relations contractor for U.S. Special Operations Forces. The basic strategy is to redefine “disinformation” to include even factual criticism of the U.S. military or the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), and then to exert “coordinated action to pressure social media and digital market actors” to “moderate” such speech. The previously secret report also recommends “intensifying cooperation among the intelligence agencies within the EU [European Union]”, which in the past has included Ukrainian intelligence conducting what it described as a “multi-level special operation” in Spain to arrest a critical journalist for treason over his YouTube broadcasts.

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A screenshot of the introduction to the leaked final report of Open Information Partnership’s Ukraine War Disinfo Working Group. The term “disinformation” is defined to include large categories of verifiably true criticisms of Western governments, including those deemed “emotive” or to have originated from an anonymous source. Such a definition of disinformation is even more expansive than “malinformation”, which is generally understood as factual information shared out of context.
The international effort is coordinated by the U.K.-based government public relations contractor Zinc Network, which rose to prominence more than two years ago as the subject of the first piece of investigative journalism to be forceably labeled by Twitter as potentially obtained through hacking. Despite being based upon documents implicitly confirmed as authentic, the reporting was arguably panned by major U.S. outlets because of the embarrassing ties it revealed between Western intelligence agencies and prominent investigative journalism.

Based upon a fresh leak of a report internally released by the Ukraine War Disinfo Working Group of Zinc’s Open Information Partnership (OIP) earlier this month, the author is independently concluding that the U.K. government-funded network of think tanks and investigative journalists has recommended a coordinated campaign to pressure social media companies and “digital market actors” into suppressing even factual criticism of NATO-aligned governments.

We are further revealing from public procurement records that Zinc Network received more than $500,000 from a direct contract with U.S. Special Operations Command in Kenya and more than $3 million from a subcontract with U.S. Army Europe and Africa under the controversial U.S. intelligence contractor CACI. (Last month a federal judge again refused to dismiss a lawsuit against CACI regarding its alleged support for U.S. military torture in the Abu Ghraib prison.)

Much of the polarization surrounding The Grayzone’s reporting centered on OIP’s previous partnership with the influential investigatory nonprofit Bellingcat, whom Zinc funded with more than 65,000 euros between 2019 and 2021. Grayzone’s 2021 publication noted that one of the potential Bellingcat trainers named in Zinc’s documents was Christiaan Triebert, who subsequently moved to the Visual Investigations team of The New York Times. Bellingcat’s former director of training and research, Aric Toler, recently joined the same team.

Zinc Network and Bellingcat did not respond to detailed requests for comment sent two days before publication. Additional emails to the two official public accounts associated with OIP bounced due to the author’s email address not being on a pre-approved list, but both Zinc and its OIP team confirmed receipt directly before the requested response deadline. This article will be updated if any of the organizations provide a post-publication comment.

The former head of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s short-lived Disinformation Governance Board, Nina Jankowicz, has also prominently advertised their role as a member of OIP’s advisory board. Much of the concern surrounding such a content moderation board within DHS stemmed from fears that it could become a tool for suppressing even factual critiques of the U.S. Government — an overt aim of the newly public OIP report.

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A screenshot from the second page of the leaked final report of the Ukraine War Disinfo Working Group which details the distribution of narrative analysis tasks to eleven different organizations.
The Ukraine War Disinfo Working Group’s study was largely outsourced by Zinc to eleven separate organizations: the Ukrainian narrative surveillance firm LetsData led the social media data collection and network analysis, while each of the ten Eastern European regions of study was handled by a separate think tank. For example, analysis of Ukraine was assigned to Detector Media, whose 2020 annual report listed the U.S. Embassy in Ukraine, the U.S. Agency for International Development, OIP, and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Denmark as funders.

The number one target of Detector’s campaign in Ukraine, journalist and politician Anatoliy Shariy, has been twice charged with treason by the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU). The first charge, for posting a map of Ukraine to his YouTube channel which excluded Crimea and the Donbas, resulted in his brief arrest in Spain as a result of what the SBU itself described as a “multi-level special operation”. The second charge was announced in July through the SBU’s Telegram channel, based on an accusation that Shariy provided filming advice to Russian intelligence.

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A screenshot from Detector Media’s list of “Key actors” for “pro-Russian” narratives in Ukraine from page 125 of the final report of Open Information Partnership’s Ukraine War Disinfo Working Group. Detector’s primary target, journalist Anatoliy Shariy, has twice been charged with treason by the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU). Shariy was temporarily arrested in Spain last year through what the SBU labeled a “multi-level special operation” in response to posting a map of Ukraine to his YouTube channel which excluded the occupied regions of Crimea and the Donbas.
Leaked emails from the Twitter Files revealed that the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) forwarded requests from the SBU to Twitter which included a demand to censor both Shariy and Canadian journalist Aaron Maté. Maté is perhaps the second most prominent contributor to The Grayzone behind founding editor Max Blumenthal, whom OIP names alongside Columbia professor Jeffrey Sachs as an influential American figure in “pro-Russian” narratives in Belarus. The SBU’s request for Twitter to censor Shariy and Maté came one year after Grayzone’s exposé of Zinc’s Open Information Partnership.

The OIP working group’s recent recommendation of “coordinated action to pressure social media and digital market actors” to censor even factual journalism is laid out in the leaked final report. The first page of its introduction defines disinformation to include even verifiable criticisms of NATO, with two such explicit categories including “Content based on verifiable information which…uses emotive or inflammatory language” and “Not-attributable…information which fits with existing pro-Kremlin narratives, aims or activities”. Under a non-partisan extension of this system, the U.S. Congressman-endorsed online troll army known as the North Atlantic Fella Organization (NAFO) would have its communications labeled as disinformation, regardless of the veracity of its individual arguments. But OIP’s targets are instead influential journalists who report critically on NATO.

The basic methodology of the report was to collect 50 postings each week using keyword searches on individually selected “pro-Russian” information sources in each of the ten studied regions, typically taking 35 of the 50 posts from social media such as Telegram and Facebook and 15 from online media outlets. U.S. Army Cyber Command has similarly been purchasing bulk copies of the public content of social media platforms such as Facebook and Twitter as part of its mission to protect the “NATO brand”, as was revealed by the author in April.

(Twelve pages of the Ukraine War Disinfo Working Group’s final report were made public six days ago on LinkedIn by the Lithuanian non-profit Civic Resilience Initiative (CIR), which handled the Baltics region for the group. Several weekly reports from OIP’s study were also published by Political Capital, the Hungarian think tank tasked with monitoring narratives in its own country. While of a similar format, the weekly reports do not contain, for example, the final report’s noteworthy recommendation of a coordinated pressure campaign against social media companies and “digital market actors”. CIR’s twelve pages similarly are focused on the Baltics and do not contain the full report’s more controversial definitions or recommendations.)

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A screenshot from the ninth page of the leaked final report of the Ukraine War Disinfo Working Group commissioned by the Zinc Network’s Open Information Partnership with funding from the U.K. Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office. The contained text explains the group’s methodology for surveilling “pro-Russian narratives” on select Telegram and Facebook accounts, as well as in targeted media outlets, through a partnership with the Ukrainian company LetsData.
The leaked U.K. government-funded report explicitly warns against usage of the phrase “the West”, arguing that “This may fuel the narrative that the so-called ‘collective West’ exerts undue control over Ukraine.” On the other hand, the final pages of the report argue that “intelligence agencies across Europe can and should do more and they require a more unified approach [emphasis theirs]”. The group further recommends “Improving and intensifying cooperation among the intelligence agencies within the EU with the focus on malign foreign information influence.”

https://orinocotribune.com/exclusive-br ... s-of-nato/

******

Army War College Report Predicts Mass Casualties in Near-Peer Fight Against [Russia] - Analysis

SIMPLICIUS THE THINKER
OCT 2, 2023
A few weeks ago the U.S. Army War College released a paper which was an urgent call for the U.S. armed forces to adapt to the modern style of warfare being innovated in the Ukrainian conflict.

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The paper made the rounds due to some startling admissions, which we’ll get to. But what’s most important to understand is that it represents a general shift in thinking that’s propagating throughout the entire sphere of the Atlanticist West, and was released in concert with several other key thinktank pieces and policy shift announcements from the EU, NATO, etc., which holistically represent an internal panic deep within their structures, resulting in an urgent need for a strategy change.

And this point is one of the central themes of the War College paper itself. Its opening preamble can be summarized in a single sentence: the current time period marked by the Ukrainian conflict represents the largest “inflection point” in 50 years of military history. The authors believe that the Yom Kippur War of 1973 was the previous most impactful inflection point. They recount how the U.S. army was demoralized by its experience in Vietnam, and inability to meet its objectives, followed by Israel almost losing to a Soviet-equipped Egypt in the Yom Kippur War.

As a very brief and over-generalized backdrop, though Israel is listed as officially having “won” the Yom Kippur War, Egypt in fact achieved most of its political objectives, which was to seize some land east of the Suez in order to eventually take back the Sinai peninsula, which they did. And although Egypt made huge blunders that caused part of their army to be routed, ultimately the war proved to Israel, the U.S., and allies that the future would be dangerous as the Arabs were getting much stronger, particularly under Soviet backing. In fact, for anyone interested, just purely coincidentally there’s a new article from a week ago in the Jerusalem Post about the irony that years later, Israel views the Yom Kippur War as a somber experience whereas in Egypt it’s celebrated as a grand victory.

Either way, the War College explains that as a result of this inflection period, the U.S. founded TRADOC (United States Army Training and Doctrine Command) school. Which is actually a network of schools tasked with creating new operational doctrines to prepare the U.S. military for future conflicts. In short, they were spooked by the developments of the previous years, and needed a way to “jump ahead” of the competition. This resulted in a series of new doctrines like the AirLand Battle I wrote about at length in this previous dissection of a U.S. internal thinkpiece:
Dissecting West Point Think-tank's New Analysis of Russia's Military Evolution
SIMPLICIUS THE THINKERJUN 20
Dissecting West Point Think-tank's New Analysis of Russia's Military Evolution
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The Modern War Institute at West Point—a sort of think tank chaired by Mark Esper and which is a part of the Department of Military Instruction—released a very interesting in-depth analysis of Russia’s battlefield innovations in the SMO, called: THE RUSSIAN WAY OF WAR IN UKRAINE: A MILITARY APPROACH NINE DECADES IN THE MAKING.

Read full story https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/dis ... hink-tanks
Their point culminates as follows:

DePuy’s new organization (TRADOC) was charged with studying the Yom Kippur War to develop concepts, drive procurement and materiel changes, and prepare the Army to fight a modern war.

Secretary of Defense James R. Schlesinger, Abrams, and DePuy recognized that the Army was at a critical juncture and that only a monumental shift could prepare the force for the changing character of war. It would be 50 years before the next great inflection point suggesting the need for doctrine and materiel changes emerged.

Fifty years later, the Army faces a new strategic inflection point, a choice to alter the fundamental way the US Army prepares for the next fight. As the Defense establishment emerges from 20 years of counterinsurgency operations and begins to embrace a future of large-scale combat operations, the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian conflict brings the changing character of warfare into sharp relief—a future of warfare marked by advanced autonomous weapons systems, artificial intelligence, and a casualty rate the United States has not experienced since World War II.


They go on to state that the war has been a wake up call for the army, which requires a major ‘culture change’ in order to fully internalize and embrace the battlefield developments being witnessed. And in fact, this War College report comes at the request of and under the auspices of TRADOC.

The general gist of their chief point of concern is something we’ve all known, and something I’ve continuously written about, including in the previously posted report. It’s the fact that the past two decades of U.S. military action abroad have been nothing more than glorified policing actions against insurgent threats, dealing primarily with COIN (Counter Insurgency) training, tactics, and general strategic doctrine.

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They now understand that years of fighting in a way where signal dominance and air supremacy reigned, allowed the U.S. to become undisciplined and lax, never having to worry about being ‘contested’ in any domain. This is the same point made by Dr. Philip Karber’s West Point Talk, where he repeatedly emphasized how bright the U.S. army’s rear logistical and C2/C3 points “glow” in the electromagnetic spectrum, and how easily this would be seen and pinpointed by Russia or any advanced peer force.

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Dr. Phillip Karber at West Point
The Russia-Ukraine War makes it clear that the electromagnetic signature emitted from the command posts of the past 20 years cannot survive against the pace and precision of an adversary who possesses sensor-based technologies, electronic warfare, and unmanned aerial systems or has access to satellite imagery.

The paper reveals that at the moment Ukrainian battalion command posts reportedly consist of only seven soldiers who dig in and change positions twice daily.

Another complementary new report corroborates this:

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Quoting JRTC’s (Joint Readiness Training Center) Brigadier General David Gardner, this article states:

In turn, Army formations are learning to adjust, including by using their communications equipment as little as possible. “In the past, it was only scouts that would go into radio silence, ” Gardner said. “Now we're seeing that across entire formations.”

Formations are also adapting by changing up their communications—using parabolic antennas to direct radio waves, using fiber-optic cables, and trying to match the pattern of other signals traffic in the area so as to not stand out, Taylor said.


Gardner’s chief point of concern about the modern battlefield is the completely “transparent nature” of it—nothing you do can truly be concealed, at least not with any measure of ease and not without great disproportionate effort.

Turning back to the War College report, we now come to the most eye-opening part which has been making the rounds across the internet. The stark admission that facing such an unprecedented high-intensity war as the Ukrainian conflict, the U.S. can expect to suffer 3,600 casualties per day:

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For context, the United States sustained about 50,000 casualties in two decades of fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan. In large-scale combat operations, the United States could experience that same number of casualties in two weeks.

Firstly, this seems an interesting admission of what they likely believe Ukraine’s true daily casualty rate to be, including all total wounded. But perhaps also an admission that the U.S. can end up suffering even higher casualties because they don’t currently have the capability to disperse and de-centralize with the efficacy that Ukraine manages. Not to mention a general understanding that in a war between U.S. and Russia, the latter would not be fighting with ‘kid gloves’ in the way it’s currently doing with Ukraine, which it views as a fraternal brother war and has certain mission priorities to reduce civilian casualties and infrastructure damage in a land it intends to occupy and annex afterwards. All of that would go out the window against the U.S. or NATO.

But put that in perspective. That’s the official Army War College admitting that against Russia, they would suffer in a single day more casualties than they suffered in the entirety of the twenty-year-long Afghan war (2001-2021). This should tell you how profoundly disturbed U.S. planners secretly have been by Russia’s capabilities in the Ukrainian conflict.

In a mere two weeks, the U.S. can suffer 50k casualties, according to the report. But the biggest issue here is they foresee a need of 800 daily recruits to sustain such a war, yet they call attention to major deficiencies in the current reserve system:

The Individual Ready Reserve, which stood at 700,000 in 1973 and 450,000 in 1994, now stands at 76,000.

It goes on:

These numbers cannot fill the existing gaps in the active force, let alone any casualty replacement or expansion during a large-scale combat operation. The implication is that the 1970s concept of an all-volunteer force has outlived its shelf life and does not align with the current operating environment. The technological revolution described below suggests this force has reached obsolescence. Large-scale combat operations troop requirements may well require a reconceptualization of the 1970s and 1980s volunteer force and a move toward partial conscription.

What’s most interesting is that this release comes amid a timely and clearly coordinated push from other publications to begin conditioning the U.S. public for the need of a new future draft to restock the depleted American armed forces.

(Much more at link.)

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/arm ... t-predicts

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JAMES TWEEDIE: UK JOURNO ARRESTED FOR ‘MALINFORMATION’ AFTER EXPOSING TRUDEAU APPLAUDING NAZI
OCTOBER 2, 2023

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Photo by Markus Winkler on Pexels.com

By James Tweedie, Sputnik, 9/26/23

Free speech advocates have warned that the British government’s Online Safety Bill could be used to crack down on anyone questioning the official narrative on issues from the COVID-19 pandemic to the conflict in Ukraine.

A British independent journalist has been arrested after he condemned the Canadian parliament’s lauding of a Ukrainian Nazi Waffen-SS member.

Warren Thornton was hosting an edition of his webcast The Real Truth on the evening of Sunday September 24 when police officers knocked at his door.

The video blogger has been critical on social media of NATO’s support to Ukraine in its conflict with Russia. He had also helped expose the dark past of 98-year-old Ontario resident Yaroslav Hunka, who was given a standing ovation in the Canadian House of Commons last week during a speech by Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky at the invitation of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

Guest Fiona Ryan recounted how Thornton “vanished” 20 minutes before the show ended, as she was talking with fellow guest Johnee, host of the Café Revolution YouTube channel based in Donetsk on the front line of the conflict with Ukraine.

When she sent a WhatsApp message to Thornton after the webcast ended to ask what happened, he texted back the single word “police”.

Thornton confirmed to Sputnik that officers from the regional Cyber Crime Unit “invited” him to be “interviewed”. When he declined, they put him under arrest and drove him to a police station in Bristol, many miles from his home.

There they attempted to serve him with a formal caution for ‘malinformation’ in relation to 16 videos he had posted on social media.

Thornton said the officers interrogated him became “flustered” when he asked which videos in particular they objected to. He added that his lawyer “ripped them to bits” and demanded the police “charge him or release him.”


He was finally released without charge or caution on Monday, left with a lengthy train journey home.

Several of the videos presented by Thornton discussed the conflict in Ukraine, focussing on the failure of Kiev’s counter-offensive and its indiscriminate shelling of civilian areas. Another discussed the evidence presented by the Russian Ministry of Defence of the US biolab program in Ukraine, linking it to the COVID-19 pandemic.

One in particular, entitled ‘Spies, Lies and Mercenaries’, exposed how French intelligence agents were working with foreign militants in Kiev as early as 2020, two years before the conflict with Russia. Another delved into last week’s invitation of Ukrainian Nazi Yaroslav Hunka to the Canadian parliament.

During the Second World War, Hunka was a member of the notorious 14th Waffen-SS Grenadier Division Galicia, a unit of Ukrainian collaborators recruited by the Nazi occupiers which took part in massacres of the civilian population. After the Axis defeat in 1945, Hunka was among thousands of Ukrainian Nazis who emigrated to the Soviet Union’s erstwhile ally Canada — including the grandfather of Foreign Minister and Deputy PM Christia Freeland.

Trudeau apologised for the outrage on Monday — before attempting to shift the focus to alleged “Russian disinformation.”

The incident highlights the concerns of free speech advocates that the Online Safety Bill, currently being debated in Parliament, which could be used to crack down on commentators who criticise the official government line.

In a video on social network site X (formerly Twitter) — since taken down — Thornton said that “being taken away and questioned for ‘malinformation’ is quite an honour.”

He noted that “disinformation is when you knowingly know something is a lie, and you publish it. Misinformation is when you don’t know something is a lie, and you go ahead and publish it.”

“’Malinformation’ is when you know something is completely true, and you publish it, and they consider it harm to take it from the private sphere and put it into the public sphere,” Thornton argued.


He pointed out that journalists have a “duty” to expose crimes, impropriety, risks to public health and safety and to prevent the people from being misled by public figures.

“So thank you very much for showing that all 16 of the videos you were investigating are completely and utterly true,” Thornton told the police, pointing out that “no further action” was being taken against him.

“There is no way that we are going to keep silent, and we are going to keep telling people the truth,” Thornton vowed. “It is incumbent upon them to prove that what we are doing doesn’t benefit the public.”


He stressed that his and others’ critical coverage of the West’s proxy conflict with Russia in Ukraine was vital in the interests of humanity, and that he was entitled to point out breaches of Article 39 of the UN Charter — which mandates a response to ‘any threat to the peace, breach of the peace, or act of aggression’ — which he believed “all NATO members have been guilty of.”

“We need to stop the killing and all the money that is flowing to these lunatic people and this lunatic war that is being fought on behalf of these lunatics in power,” Thornton said.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2023/10/jam ... ding-nazi/

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This Proxy War Can’t Be Both ‘Unprovoked’ AND A Great Strategic Investment

If you accept that this war is a very low-cost, high-reward means for the US to advance its strategic interests overseas, then you’d have to have tapioca for brains to also believe that the US wouldn’t have gone out of its way to make sure the war happens.

Caitlin Johnstone
October 3, 2023

As opposition to funding the US proxy war in Ukraine increases on Capitol Hill, empire apologists have been frantically churning out think pieces about how much the war serves US strategic interests in order to manufacture support for its continued backing by Washington. Such arguments flatly contradict the propaganda messaging we were inundated with at the beginning of the war that this was an “unprovoked invasion”, but empire managers don’t seem particularly interested in defending that narrative anymore.

The latest appearance in this new “our Ukraine proxy warfare greatly advances US strategic interests” genre of op-ed comes to us courtesy of notorious war propagandist Max Boot via The Washington Post. Boot’s article was originally titled “Ukraine aid is a great investment. Don’t let MAGA Republicans end it.”, but the headline has since been revised to the slightly less creepy “This is what the U.S. is getting by aiding Ukraine.”

Claiming that funding the war is “the right thing to do strategically,” Boot argues that “it is hard to think of any U.S. foreign policy initiative since the end of the Cold War that has been more successful or more important than U.S. aid to Ukraine.”


“Russia has lost an estimated 120,000 soldiers and 170,000 to 180,000 have been injured,” Boot writes. “Russia has also lost an estimated 2,329 tanks, 2,817 infantry fighting vehicles, 2,868 trucks and jeeps, 354 armored personnel carriers, 538 self-propelled artillery vehicles, 310 towed artillery pieces, 92 fixed-wing aircraft and 106 helicopters.”

“The Russian armed forces have been devastated, thereby reducing the risk to front-line NATO states such as Poland and the Baltic republics that the United States is treaty-bound to protect,” Boot continues. “And all of that has been accomplished without having to put a single U.S. soldier at risk on the front lines.”

“That’s an incredible investment,” gloats Boot.

At no time in his masturbatory gushing about how many Russians this war has helped kill does Boot make any mention of the immense toll this deliberately provoked and completely unnecessary war has taken on Ukrainian lives. Their deaths and dismemberments and displacement are the largest price being paid into this “investment” by far, but Boot doesn’t deem them worthy of even a footnote.

We’ve been seeing this “investment” line being promoted with increasing frequency by US empire managers and their apologists. In an article published in the Connecticut Post last month, Senator Richard Blumenthal assured Americans that “we’re getting our money’s worth on our Ukraine investment.” A few days prior to that Senator Mitt Romney had described the proxy war as “the best national defense spending I think we’ve ever done,” because “We’re diminishing and devastating the Russian military for a very small amount of money… a weakened Russia is a good thing.” In December Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said that funding the proxy war is “a direct investment in reducing Vladimir Putin’s future capabilities to menace America, threaten our allies and contest our core interests.” Last November the imperial war machine-funded think tank Center for European Policy Analysis published a report arguing that “US spending of 5.6% of its defense budget to destroy nearly half of Russia’s conventional military capability seems like an absolutely incredible investment.”



We saw one of the most glaring examples of this new genre of empire apologia last week, when the Bill Kristol-led group “Republicans for Ukraine” put out a television ad explaining how much this war is a fantastic investment which serves US strategic interests.

“When America arms Ukraine, we get a lot for a little,” the ad said. “Putin is an enemy of America. We’ve used 5% of our defense budget to arm Ukraine, and with it, they’ve destroyed 50% of Putin’s Army. We’ve done all this by sending weapons from storage, not our troops. The more Ukraine weakens Russia, the more it also weakens Russia’s closest ally, China.”

We are asked to believe a lot of very stupid things by the propagandists of the US-centralized empire, but one of the very stupidest is the claim that this war simultaneously (A) was completely unprovoked, and (B) just coincidentally happens to massively advance US strategic interests.

It really cannot be both. If you accept that this war is a very low-cost, high-reward means for the US to advance its strategic interests overseas, then you’d have to have tapioca for brains to also believe that the US wouldn’t have gone out of its way to make sure the war happens. And indeed that’s exactly what occurred, which is why US intelligence operatives and western foreign policy analysts spent years saying that the actions of the US and its allies were going to provoke Russia to war.


The reason it matters so much that the war in Ukraine was provoked by the US-centralized empire is because that shows you where the path to peace lies. When empire simps object to criticisms of western proxy warfare in Ukraine with “Oh so you’re saying we should just ABANDON THE UKRAINIANS and let Putin take over the country???”, what they are missing is that this is not a war between only Russia and Ukraine, and Russia doesn’t see it as such. Russia believes it is fighting a war against the aggression and expansionism of the NATO alliance, which the head of NATO himself recently confirmed. What this means is that the NATO alliance can facilitate peace in Ukraine by agreeing to roll back the aggressions which led to this war in the first place.

NATO powers have always been fully aware that they could bring about peace in Ukraine in this way, but they choose not to move NATO war machinery away from Russia’s borders and grant Moscow the same freedom from military threats in its immediate surroundings that Washington insists on in its own immediate surroundings. The managers of the empire chose not to do this, and indeed actually sabotaged peace negotiations in the early days of the conflict, because they firmly believe that this war advances their interests.

This is what empire apologists are omitting from the story when they claim that Putin can end this war by withdrawing troops from Ukraine; they are leaving out their own government’s role in starting and perpetuating this war. To demand that Russia cease its aggressions, without the western empire ceasing the aggressions which provoked the war in the first place, is to demand that Russia lie down and submit itself to the dictates of the empire. People who call for an end to Russian aggressions but not the western aggressions Russia is reacting to don’t really want peace, they just want the empire to conquer and subjugate the insolent curs who dared to defy it.

It’s good to be clear on this, because it shows who the obstacles to peace really are. The longer we pretend the only people keeping this war going reside in Moscow, the longer any path toward peace will elude us.

https://caitlinjohnstone.com.au/2023/10 ... nvestment/
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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part V

Post by blindpig » Wed Oct 04, 2023 12:01 pm

Call to unity
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 10/04/2023

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With its meeting in Kiev, the Foreign Affairs representation of the European Union wanted to send a message of unity and optimism that does not always correspond to reality, even in aspects in which Brussels' control is practically absolute. This is the case of the good words that were spoken at the event and that contrast with reality and also with the official political discourse. While public relations events like Monday's only highlight positive aspects, the messages are much colder when it comes to concrete steps to achieve common goals, specifically Ukraine's accession to the EU.

Already in the country, the High Representative of the European Union for Foreign and Security Policy referred to the path that Ukraine still has to travel to reach the chosen goal. He did so, as usual, from an openly pro-Ukrainian point of view, without doubting what the point of arrival will be, but making it clear that kyiv will have to meet certain conditions. “We support Ukraine on two fronts,” Borrell said, “in the war and in becoming a member of the European Union. The first is a terrible fight, the second is a difficult fight. It's not terrible, because there are no people dying, but it will still be difficult and you have to do everything to make Ukrainian society work for it. It is a serious promise of the European Union, it cannot be empty. It won't happen tomorrow or the day after tomorrow, "But we want it to happen sooner rather than later because it is the best guarantee of security for Ukraine." The words, which imply clear demands and sacrifices to the Ukrainian population, contrast with the happiness with which the The establishment gave its speeches on Monday, designed for the media and as a reaffirmation of support for Ukraine to pressure the United States to maintain the level of military and economic assistance.

Because despite falsely proclaiming itself a guarantee of Ukraine's security - the best guarantee of peace for the country was compliance with the Minsk agreements, for which the EU did not take any real steps in seven years - the European Union is a supplier key when it comes to the supply of weapons and financing to Kiev. A few weeks ago, the EU boasted that it had overtaken the United States as Ukraine's main sponsor. Monitoring aid to Ukraine clearly shows that position, although it can be misleading in terms of the type of assistance provided by each party. Apparently, much of the burden of military assistance falls on the United States, although with a prominent role for Germany. The European Union, for its part, is responsible for maintaining, through financial assistance, the Ukrainian State.

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That graph and the weight that the United States has in the supply of weapons is one of the reasons for concern at the moment. The failure of the Democrats to negotiate an increase in the spending ceiling to avoid a partial government shutdown has meant that there was no provision for Ukraine in the 45-day pact that was finally reached. One of the objectives of the summit of Foreign Affairs representatives in kyiv was precisely to show European unity and commitment to demand the same from the United States. In the last few hours, several media outlets have begun to publish articles about the concern in the Pentagon regarding the lack of resources, a discourse that also contrasts with the one maintained just a few months ago. Before the start of the Ukrainian offensive, Antony Blinken stated in a press conference that Ukraine now had everything it needed to fight Russia. Yesterday,AP published an article in which Pentagon auditor Michael McCord “informed congressional and Senate leaders that $1.6 billion remains of the $25.9 billion that Congress provided to replenish U.S. military stocks that have been flowing to Ukraine. The weapons include millions of rounds of artillery, rockets and missiles critical to the Ukrainian counteroffensive aimed at retaking territory gained by Russia in the war.”

The new round of concern is fundamentally due to the danger of a US government shutdown, averted last Saturday with a temporary 45-day partial financing agreement that explicitly excludes assistance to Ukraine. Members of the political establishment such as Michael McFaul, the Democratic Party as a whole and all types of columnists have already begun the work of demanding increased assistance to Ukraine. Of all of them, the neocon stands out Max Boot, whose main argument is the great benefit that the proxy war against Russia represents for the United States, in which it does not even have to worry about its weapons falling into the hands of extremists like the Haqqani Network. Boot's example is but one of many cases in which Washington's complete lack of scruples in its choice of proxies has been revealed. In the case of Afghanistan, Jalaluddin Haqqani, patriarch of the future Network, was one of the recipients of American and British assistance, since he commanded his units under the umbrella of the group of Yunnus Khalis, the mujahideen who posed with Ronald Reagan in his visit to the White House. Equally extremist, Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, who according to some sources helped both Osama Bin Laden and Abu Musab al Zarkawi leave Afghanistan and flee US persecution, was the main recipient of US military assistance. As then, the war against Russia is more than enough argument to demand a greater supply, even if these weapons are delivered to the groups commanded, for example, by Andriy Biletsky or his Azov units, not so long ago considered a neo-Nazi and white supremacist by the United States Congress. He is also not concerned about the proliferation of fascist symbols that the images of the Ukrainian Armed Forces continually show, a reflection of a country that has moved towards nationalism, praising groups and people who collaborated with Nazi Germany.

As the episode of the ovation for the veteran of the Galizien Division in the Canadian Parliament has shown, it is possible to rehabilitate even the SS as long as its soldiers fight only against Russia. Hence the widespread attempt by the press to normalize symbols such as that of Azov, suspiciously similar to those of the Das Reich Division, which committed gruesome massacres against the civilian population of France during the Second World War, is not surprising.

The war justifies everything, not only in ideological terms, but also in terms of the destruction of the country and the death of thousands of soldiers in an offensive that involves a tactic for which Ukrainian troops lack the necessary weapons. In the absence of strategy, Western politicians resort to campaign slogans. Yesterday, Joe Biden demanded unity and coordination from his partners in assistance to Ukraine. All the machinery works to put pressure on those who have to accept that the supply not only continues but, as Josep Borrell stated, even increases. And although in total terms the European Union is Ukraine's main supplier, in the case of weapons, European countries seem to have already reached their maximum potential. The dependence on the United States is clear especially in terms of ammunition, where the European Union is aware that its production capacity is not sufficient to cover the needs of a war like the one in Ukraine. Added to the budgetary difficulties of the United States is the statement that has come from the United Kingdom, which says that “it has run out of weapons to send to Ukraine.” Both cases show high degrees of theatricalization. In the first, the fight is fundamentally due to the internal political game of the two main parties, which are using the Ukrainian issue to position themselves for the electoral campaign season. In the second, a reduction in the assistance provided to Ukraine is not proposed, but rather a change: that this military assistance does not come at the expense of its own arsenals.

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Despite the appearances of the tracking monitoring the type of assistance that each country sends to Ukraine, the European Union is already one of the main providers of the war as such. This is shown by the spending structure of the Ukrainian State, currently maintained largely by financing from the European Union. According to data provided by the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine and published by the Ukrainian press, practically half of the spending goes directly to the war. In this sense, any reduction, even temporary, in the flow of weapons by the United States or the United Kingdom will have to be covered by Brussels, which through the leader of its diplomacy, has declared the war in Ukraine as existential for the European Union.unity , commitment and, above all, to bear the cost of a war that they all want to continue until Russia is worn down to the maximum.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/10/04/llama ... more-28277

Google Translator

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Chronicle of a special military operation for October 3, 2023
October 4, 2023
Rybar

Ukrainian formations again indiscriminately fired at the border territories of the Bryansk , Kursk and Belgorod regions , including using cluster munitions. Residential buildings and infrastructure were damaged, but no civilians were injured.

Last night, Russian drones attacked enemy targets on Ukrainian territory: according to the Russian Ministry of Defense, in the Dnepropetrovsk region , workshops of an enterprise producing solid rocket fuel and explosives in Pavlograd were hit .

Fierce fighting continues along the entire line of combat contact. In the Starobelsky direction, the Ukrainian command is trying to restore supplies to the group on the eastern bank of Oskol after the destruction of the crossings by Russian troops.

At the same time, the situation in the Bakhmutsky , Vremyevsky and Orekhovsky sectors did not undergo significant changes: all attempts by enemy units to advance were stopped by artillery and small arms fire from military personnel of the Russian Armed Forces.

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The situation on the front line and combat operations

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In the Starobelsky direction, Russian troops began to destroy crossings across Oskol in the Kupyansk area. Over the past couple of weeks, at least five crossings have been destroyed by air strikes, which cannot but affect the supply of the Ukrainian forces on the eastern bank. It is difficult to guess whether any active offensive operation is planned in this area, since this would require the transfer of significant forces to break through the enemy’s defenses. Current activity so far boils down to attempts to push through the front line. Having partially disrupted the logistics capacity of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Russian troops will have the opportunity to somewhat increase the pace of advance. However, even taking into account the attacks on the bridges, it is not yet possible to talk about the assault on Kupyansk.

At the same time, sporadic fighting continues in the Kremensky sector in the Serebryansky forestry area. Russian troops are launching massive attacks on the Ukrainian Armed Forces' concentration areas, including from the Solntsepek TOS. At the same time, to the south, Russian assault troops continue to attack enemy strongholds in the Belogorovka area. Fire support for the attackers is provided by artillery and aviation, delivering targeted strikes on concentrations of Ukrainian forces.


In the Bakhmut sector, positional battles continue along the railway near Andreevka and Kleshcheevka . Despite constant attacks on the positions of Russian troops, the enemy is unable to achieve success in this direction.


In the Donetsk direction, the front line has not undergone significant changes. Russian tactical aviation daily strikes the Avdeevka coke plant , which is a major enemy stronghold.


Positional battles continue in the Yuzhnodonetsk direction . The enemy is active mainly in small infantry groups without the support of armored vehicles, trying to covertly approach the forward positions of the Russian Armed Forces. As a rule, such activity is stopped by artillery fire, but it often leads to shooting. In addition, there have been reports of a massive attack by the Russian Armed Forces at the junction of the Zaporozhye and Donetsk regions in the Vremevka area , but there is no confirmation of this yet.


In the Zaporozhye direction, the situation has also not undergone significant changes. Ukrainian formations are still trying to get through to Verbovoy and Novoprokopovka , they are met with missile and bomb attacks. In addition, there are reports of a counterattack by the Russian Armed Forces, but as in the case of the Vremyevo salient , there is no confirmation of this yet.

Shelling of rear areas and residential areas
Russian air defense systems intercepted two Ukrainian Neptune anti-ship missiles in the Sevastopol area : debris from one of the missiles damaged the roof of one of the residential buildings, and windows were broken in several apartments.

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Ukrainian formations continue to launch attacks on the border areas of the Bryansk region . Russian anti-aircraft gunners intercepted an aircraft-type drone over the Trubchevsky district and Starodubsky district . In addition, the enemy fired cluster munitions at the village of Klimovo : residential buildings and outbuildings were damaged. According to preliminary information, there were no casualties. In addition, local residents reported attacks on Kister and Sevsk , but official authorities did not comment on these incidents.

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In the neighboring Kursk region, the Ukrainian Armed Forces shelled Tyotkino and Kozino : a residential building and a cell phone tower were damaged, but there were no casualties. In addition, information was received about attacks on Elizavetovka and Gorodishche .

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In the Belgorod region, the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched artillery strikes on the Shebekino industrial zone : no civilians were injured. In addition, Russian air defense systems intercepted enemy drones in the areas of the village of Masychevo and the village of Golovino , and three air targets were shot down in the sky over the Grayvoronsky urban district : twelve private households were damaged by falling debris, but no one was injured. At the same time, according to RSChS, the villages of Babka , Bezymeno and Kolotilovka also came under enemy fire .

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The Ukrainian Armed Forces are conducting massive shelling of populated areas of the DPR , having carried out three dozen attacks and fired almost a hundred shells. Several residential buildings were damaged in the Kuibyshevsky district of Donetsk, and another one was damaged in Petrovsky . In Yasinovataya , four apartment buildings were damaged and one person was injured.

Gorlovka suffered the most : the enemy destroyed the building of the Nikitovsky District Distribution Zone , three six-kilovolt power lines were damaged, and over 7,500 subscribers were left without electricity. In addition, three residential buildings were damaged and one person was injured. Throughout the day, Makeevka , Zaitsevo and Luhanske were also under attack . In Novoluganskoye , two residential buildings were damaged; in Vladimirovka , one man received moderate shrapnel wounds and was hospitalized. In addition, a man was injured near a forest belt as a result of an explosion at a GP in Sukhanka , Novoazovsky district.

In the Zaporozhye region in the morning, the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched a missile attack on the village of Chernigovka . A private home came under fire, where a 79-year-old civilian was injured. It was not possible to save the woman.

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Ukrainian formations continue to shell the left bank of the Kherson region . One of the enemy shells hit the territory of a hospital in Novaya Kakhovka . Arrivals were reported in the following settlements: Kakhovka , Golaya Pristan , Solontsy and Kardashinka . In addition, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported on the work of air defense in the area of ​​​​Golaya Pristan and Peschanovka .

Political events
About problems with the supply of British weapons to the Ukrainian Armed Forces

The British publication The Telegraph published an article entitled “ Britain has run out of weapons to send to Ukraine .” With reference to a representative of the defense department, the authors write that the country no longer has free tanks, ammunition and air defense systems that could be donated to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

There is indeed some truth in these statements: the reserves of the United Kingdom are still much smaller than those of the United States . But even in this situation, London can continue to supply the Kyiv regime with military products of a different type, and even now they are taking measures to promote their own military-industrial complex.

Such loud statements should be interpreted in the same way: on the one hand, they are made as part of a campaign to prepare British society for an increase in military spending. At the same time, such publications act as a signal to the Kyiv regime that further military assistance will be determined by its readiness to wage “a war until the last Ukrainian.”

And in Foggy Albion they expect concrete steps from the Ukrainian authorities, one of which is the large-scale mobilization of youth, which, by pure coincidence, the British ex-Minister of Defense Ben Wallace just spoke about the other day .

About military assistance to the Czech Republic and its nuances

The Czech authorities are planning to launch the production of rifles in Ukraine. Deputy Czech Minister of Defense Daniel Blazkovec stated this at the International Defense Forum in Kiev . We are talking about either the production of CZ Bren 2 rifles from the company Česká zbrojovka (CZ) under the name “Sech” or the launch of a line of small-caliber ammunition from the company Sellier&Bellot.

According to Blazhkovets, joint projects, their standardization and compatibility with NATO are necessary for the further integration of Ukraine into Western defense and military structures. Interestingly, just the other day it became known that the Czech Republic did not fulfill its obligation to supply Ukraine with 30 M80 infantry fighting vehicles.

It is significant that in mid-September the Ukrainian government filed lawsuits against several Western companies. The reason was the failure to fulfill contracts for the supply of equipment or non-reimbursement of commissions paid by Kiev to secure the transaction. The Czech Republic was one of such countries. The Czech company PAMCO INT., engaged in the production of defense equipment, did not fulfill several contracts at once.

The company systematically postponed delivery dates under prepaid contracts until the Ukrainian state-owned arms company Ukrspetsexport applied to the Vienna International Arbitration Center to recover the advance payment and cancellation fees for breach of contract.

One of these agreements was an agreement for the supply of 30 units of M80 infantry fighting vehicles through PAMCO. Interestingly, this is not the first time that the latter has been included in the list of debtors of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine: in 2022, the company owed about $17 million. According to some reports, the total debt of the key Czech arms holding Česká zbrojovka (CZ) is over $75 million.

About the Polish repair of Leopard tanks


Poland finally repaired the Leopard 2 tank for Ukraine and handed it back. This was done in the most pretentious way possible: the state concern Polska Grupa Zbrojeniowa (PGZ) emphasized that while “others are making statements about the future,” the Poles are working.

It is quite difficult to assess the speed of their work: two tanks were handed over for repair to the Bumar Labędy plant in the city of Gliwice at the end of July (https://t.me/rybar/49992). Let me remind you that the Poles returned only one Leopard.

At the same time, there was no information about the transfer of other copies for repair. As well as about the damage that the Poles had to eliminate. Interestingly, there are still no specifics regarding the supply of parts to the center or the costs of its maintenance.

About the concerns of Moldovan and Romanian human rights activists due to Ukrainian mobilization

The National Council of Romanians of Ukraine sent a letter to the Romanian Ambassador Corneliu Ionescu with a request to intervene in the mobilization policy of the Kiev authorities and stop the unjustifiably active recruitment of ethnic Romanians into the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Information about the conscription of a high percentage of citizens in areas where national minorities live is confirmed by Romanian mercenaries taking part in hostilities in Ukraine. In their video message, they demand to stop mobilization actions in settlements where their relatives live, and where there is no one left except the elderly, children and disabled people: in the villages of Dmitrovka and Aleksandrovka , the cities of Izmail and Kiliya in the Odessa region and the city of Hertsa in the Chernivtsi region.

The Association of Moldovans of Ukraine “ Vatra ” joined the calls : its head, Vitaliy Nikula , sent a letter to the Ambassador of Moldova to Ukraine Valery Kiver with a request to prevent increased mobilization in areas densely populated by the Moldovan national minority in the Odessa region.

The efforts of Romanian and Moldovan activists were again supported by Hungarians: representatives of the Society of Hungarian Culture of Transcarpathia (KMKSZ) appealed to the Hungarian Ambassador to Ukraine Ontal Geyser with a similar request: to stop the forced mobilization of their compatriots.

It is quite logical that, against the backdrop of criticism of Ukraine’s financial assistance and the lack of success in the counter-offensive, Eastern European neighbors will try to squeeze the maximum benefit out of the national issue, at least earning political points from the conservative electorate and, at maximum, bargaining for economic benefits for themselves .

Western opinion on corruption in Ukraine

The main sponsor of the war, the United States, demands that the Ukrainian authorities, as a matter of priority, begin the fight against corruption in the country. The problem is so acute that the Biden administration , according to Politico, is questioning further assistance to Kiev if the situation does not change, although they are trying not to make this public. Here it is appropriate to recall the refusal of Congress to include assistance to Ukraine in the interim budget, when the main formal argument of the Republicans for this was the requirement to strictly control the expenditure of military assistance.

Moreover, the West has already sent its own auditors to check the situation on the spot: from mid-October, Robert Storch will assume the responsibilities of the lead inspector general for oversight of American aid supplies , and similar tasks will fall on the special representative for the economic recovery of Ukraine, Penny Pritzker .

But what does this anti-corruption case give to the White House? In such conditions, the United States gains greater control over the internal processes of Ukraine, expanding the functions of the same NABU. In addition, the case of the fight against corruption itself can be used for one’s own consumption in order to respond to criticism from the same Republicans and other opponents of further support for Ukraine. This would buy time for the pro-Ukrainian part of the American establishment while elections are being held in the country. The United States also receives a formal reason to withdraw from agreements on further support for Ukraine, citing the fact that the Zelensky administration has failed to fulfill its obligations. Thus, the United States will be able to force Ukraine to peace without serious reputational losses when the Ukrainian media project exhausts itself.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

Google Translator

(Other images at link.)

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Ukraine’s Unraveling, the Funding Row, and Coalition Wobbles
Posted on October 3, 2023 by Yves Smith

Economist Herbert Stein famously said, “That which can’t continue, won’t.” That applies to Ukraine. It is increasingly becoming obvious that Ukraine can’t prevail in its proxy war with Russia. Absent a nuclear war or some Yellowstone-caldera-blowup-level natural disaster in Russia, the fact that Ukraine can only pursue a war of attrition against the much better resourced Russia means Ukraine will lose on the battlefield. How total that loss is in military terms is a matter of Russia’s resolve and its willingness to continue to commit men and materiel.

But it is still striking to see Russia doubling down on a battlefield resolution even as the West clearly needs some way out but can’t, as they say in Maine, get there from here.

The 2022-2023 level of funding and arms have not been enough to beat Russia. Politically, the West cannot continue that level of support without a prospect of a Ukraine win, or at least fighting to a not-horrible-looking standstill, in say a year, eighteen months tops. The new mantra in some circles of a long war is an admission of defeat, of trying to buy time until a face-saving is found. And that’s before considering the elephant in the room, that the Beltway “rules based order” types see China as the bigger threat, and don’t want to blow their wad on Ukraine.


In light of all that, we’ll argue that the failure of the Administration to get $24 billion (then cut to $6 billion) of additional 2023 funding to Ukraine as part of the so-called continuing resolution is a bigger deal than the press is acknowledging and many pundits seem to appreciate. Even though many default to “of course Ukraine will get the money,” the procedural path for getting that done is not obvious.

First, the fact that the Administration failed to prevail is a sign that Biden is in lame duck terrain. Normally, the continuing resolution drama is a very effective vehicle to get all sorts of Congresscritters to hold their noses and vote for things they don’t much like to keep the government open. Must haves like disaster relief serve as cudgels to pass the entire package.

The whole point of putting a huge chunk of additional Ukraine spending in that bill was because that was the easiest way to get it done. Any other scheme will be more visible. And now that one round of Ukraine spending has been denied, it makes it less risky for other Congresscritters to oppose Ukraine spending or insist on lower amounts.

Specifically, Biden is now talking up having the House and Senate vote on a stand-alone Ukraine funding measure. He is acting as if that House Speaker McCarthy agrees to that.1 But McCarthy denies that as Florida representative Matt Gaetz, the leader of the campaign to block Ukraine funding, is now taking a run at McCarthy’s speakership. From BBC:

The deal late on Saturday that averted a government shutdown left out $6bn (£5bn) of funding for Ukraine because Mr Gaetz, of Florida, and other ultraconservatives insisted the US has spent too much on that country’s war with Russia.

Mr Gaetz has wielded the threat of dethroning Mr McCarthy ever since January when he led party rebels in opposing the California congressman’s bid for the speakership, forcing him to endure 15 gruelling rounds of voting in the chamber.

During the political horse-trading before he ultimately won the gavel, Mr McCarthy agreed to a change of rules that would allow any single lawmaker to call for a vote to oust the Speaker.
That paved the way to the motion to vacate.

In a speech on the House floor on Monday, Mr Gaetz accused Mr McCarthy of striking a secret deal with the White House to insert new Ukraine funding into separate legislation.
Mr McCarthy has said there is “no side deal on Ukraine”.

After filing the motion to vacate, Mr Gaetz told a crowd of reporters: “Well, I have enough Republicans where, at this point next week, one of two things will happen.

“Kevin McCarthy won’t be the Speaker of the House, or he’ll be the Speaker of the House working at the pleasure of the Democrats, and I’m at peace with either result, because the American people deserve to know who governs them.”


As an aside, the seemingly obvious route of tucking the extra 2023 Ukraine spending in the Pentagon kitty is problematic too. The House and Senate each passed their versions of the National Defense Authorization Act for 2024, as in the next spending year, in July. The two versions have yet to be reconciled. Trying to cram more Ukraine monies in there won’t lead to a faster outcome even assuming both sides are willing to give much on other contested issues, which is what the Ukraine confidence fairy needs right now.

Now the Pentagon is sure to be able to find some change in the sofa cushions to toss some more cash to Ukraine. But scaring up $6 billion would look unseemly even if they could find out of 2023 authorizations.

Since it’s only six week until the next go at a spending bill, the normal solution to the problem of stubborn representatives is bribes, in the form of pork for their district. For instance, the originally fiercely derided TARP passed after liberal application of handouts. But these Republican ideologues are fierce opponents of more spending save for a few pet categories like border control. They thus might be unwilling to take these inducements out of cussedness or reluctance to be depicted as hypocrites. And as the Washington Post pointed out:

GOP support for Ukraine’s defense has been dropping precipitously with each House vote, and there is little reason to believe McCarthy will face any less resistance to supporting Kyiv if he tries to rally his conference next time he tries to do so.

The US going visibly wobbly is happening just after various commentators have noted, in the last few weeks, Russia has been taking a tougher line, with Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, Chairman of the Duma Vyacheslav Volodin, and now deputy chair of the Security Council Dmitry Medvedev all making statements that pretty much amount to Russia now being committed to a maximalist goal, of either getting Ukraine to capitulate or ending its existence as a state.

Note that is not tantamount to taking all of Ukraine, but of following Clausewitz: “War is thus an act of force to compel our enemy to do our will.” But as Alexander Mercouris and Alex Christoforu have pointed out, Russia has been broadcasting in what look to be recruitment ads that portray campaigns against Odessa and Kiev, as well as others that signal that Russia now expects to move forces west of the Dnieper. Recall not just Kiev but many other cities, such as Dnipro, Nikopol, and Kherson straddle the river, making how far Russia eventually goes West not obvious. 2

As Russia has become more bloodyminded, Ukraine’s allies seem caught in their own conflicting boundary conditions. There is no willingness to mobilize to defend Ukraine. There isn’t even a serious effort to ramp up military production to an adequate level to match, let alone surpass, Russia’s output. which using a population of 36 million, only has 5 EU states larger than it.

And that’s before getting to the fact that Ukraine as a county has become a very costly ward of all its backers. Alex Vershinin, in his important paper, The Return of Industrial Warfare, clearly envisioned the implications of Ukraine’s dependence on coalition support:

The Ukrainians’ terrain-focused war of maneuver is constrained by two factors: limited artillery ammunition and equipment production, and coalition considerations…Ukraine simply cannot go toe to toe with Russia in artillery battles…

Ukraine’s second constraint is the coalition nature of its warfare. Since running out of its own stocks, Ukraine is increasingly reliant on Western weaponry. Maintaining the Western coalition is crucial to the Ukrainian war effort. Without a constant string of victories, domestic economic concern may cause coalition members to defect. If Western support dries up due to depletion of stock or of political will, Ukraine’s war effort collapses for lack of supplies. In some ways, Ukraine has no choice but to launch attacks no matter the human and material cost.


Due to not wanting to overload this post, we will put to one side the magnitude of funding for Ukraine ex military support and how its economy is buckling even with all of that backing. Commentators have a understandable tendency to focus on what they can observe, even though that runs the risk of the “drunk under the streetlight” syndrome. As we hope to discuss in a separate post the dire conditions in Ukraine’s economy and the extreme measure now taken to keep it going. Many commentators discuss the prospects for the collapse or conquest of Ukraine’s military, but desperate conditions away from the front can also sap the will to keep fighting.

The problem is that factions in the US leadership have conflicting objectives that are becoming harder to paper over. And now we have fractures in Europe, witness the win of Ukraine-war-skeptic Robert Fico in Slovakia and the prospect of Poland’s opposition to providing more arms and other rows with Ukraine becoming not just the spat of the day to appease voters before October 15 elections, but enduring as policy. The very short version is Poland’s lead party Law and Justice (PiS), which was once a diehard Ukraine loyalist, has backed away from that position as Polish voters have soured on Project Ukraine. Ukraine filing a WTO suit against Poland (and others) for rejecting Ukraine grain was correctly perceived as a hostile, ungrateful act after too many displays of Ukraine entitlement. And as one reader pointed out with respect to Ireland, the official budgetary support for Ukraine does not include all of the benefits extended to Ukraine refugees, another source of resentment. Former president Donald Tusk, who is staunchly pro-Ukraine, is running as the opposition leader but even with massive turnout at rallies last weekend, is polling only at 30% The touts seem to favor PIS (now at 38%) forming a coalition with the conservative and Ukraine-critical Confederation party. You’ll note Politico does not even deign to mention that outcome in its latest story. But Associated Press did take note last week:

Poland’s hard-right Confederation party … made their case for lower taxes, less regulation and an anti-European Union and anti-Ukraine foreign policy….

Confederation has turned up the heat on the Polish political establishment, riding a wave of support for nationalist conservative parties across Europe. Similar political forces have surged on opposition to widespread migration to Europe and anger over COVID-19 lockdowns and vaccine mandates…

The Polish party, which won nearly 7% of the vote four years ago, was polling at around 15% in the summer, creating the prospect of a third-place finish after the governing national conservative party Law and Justice, which is the frontrunner in surveys, and the opposition Civic Coalition, led by former Prime Minister Donald Tusk, which is trailing in second place.

That created speculation that it could end up as a coalition partner in the next government with Law and Justice. Such a scenario could push the EU and NATO even further to the political right and weaken Poland’s support for the Western alliance defending Ukraine.


While every country is different, polls in other EU members have tended to understate support for anti-EU/NATO factions. Viktor Orban was predicted to at risk of losing when he won in a rout. Fico was projected to be only a possible winner and exit polls had his party as beaten when he won by five points. So that suggests that the conservative groups in Poland might do even better than now projected.

If PiS and Confederation do form a solid coalition after the Polish elections on the 15th, Victoria Nuland’s head might explode. Too bad it won’t be televised.

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1 In fairness, the Biden statement was slippery: “I fully expect the Speaker will keep his commitment to the people of Ukraine and secure passage of the support needed to help Ukraine at this critical moment.”

2 We warned from the outset that Russia could win the war and lose the peace; we think trying to subdue Western Ukraine would be a huge resource drain as well as corrupting, which is why we suggested forcing significant depopulation of that area as potentially the least bad of not good options. Medvedev early on had suggested what amounted to partitioning it among countries with reasonable claims, as in Poland, Hungary, and Romania, but EU and NATO heads would explode over member states of these two organizations executing what they would deem to be a nefarious Russian plot. Medvedev having floated that scheme early on makes it seem unlikely that the Collective West would embrace it as their idea.

https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2023/10 ... bbles.html

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OCTOBER 3, 2023 BY M. K. BHADRAKUMAR
War Fatigue Complicates West’s Aid to Ukraine

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Left-winger former prime minister Robert Fico emerged as winner in Slovakia’s parliamentary election, Bratislava, Sept 30, 2023

A pall of gloom descended on Europe as the long-feared uncertainty set in over the weekend as to how long would the collective West underwrite the proxy war in Ukraine. To lift their sagging spirit, some European foreign ministers impromptu took the train to Kiev to spend Monday with President Zelensky. It was an extraordinary sight of defiance of the call of destiny, as the war passed the 19-month mark.

A deal in Washington that averted government shutdown for now but cut funding for Kiev; the Polish election campaign in which the ruling Law and Justice party, until recently one of Ukraine’s staunchest supporters, has toyed with various measures such as questioning more arms deliveries and blocking agri-products from its neighbour in order to court voters; and, the stunning parliamentary election results in Slovakia catapulting a pro-Russian left-wing political party to power and signalling the first true political embodiment of “Ukraine fatigue” — suddenly, the West’s mantra of being by Ukraine’s side “for as long as it takes” feels seriously open to question.

The CNN exaggerated, perhaps, while commenting that the above developments “appear to have thrown Ukraine and its war with Russia under the bus” — but only by a bit. The politics of Ukraine war has crossed an inflection point and is poised for bigger things in the critical months ahead.

The White House has vowed to seek quick passage of a stand-alone Ukraine aid bill totalling $20.6 billion that the Biden administration has said is essential to fight Russia, but it will likely continue to face determined opposition, particularly from Republicans in Congress. At the root of it is the fierce polarisation in US politics, which now threatens to shake the balance of power in the Congress in a no-holds barred election year that looms ahead.

This does not mean stopping the US aid to Ukraine. The administration has enough resources to support Kiev over the next month and a half and, above all, it is too far-fetched to expect any serious changes in the Ukrainian direction of US foreign policy before the 2024 election. But the salience lies somewhere else — namely, the topic of assistance to Ukraine is frothing in the cauldron of disputes between Republicans and Democrats and is becoming inseparable from the tendentious issues of social programmes that tear apart the American society and become fodder for its combative politicians.

The Ukraine war has become a political football in the Beltway just over a year from the US presidential election, with questions mounting over aid approved by Congress that totals $100 billion so far, including $43 billion in weaponry. Simply put, for right–wing Republicans, financing Kiev is becoming a tool of political manipulation of the Biden Administration through which they hope to seize advantages and concessions. And Donald Trump is waiting in the wings.

Meanwhile, there is a vicious sub-plot playing out within the Republican Party itself in a bid to unseat the Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy next week by hardline Republican Matt Gaetz, one of a core of hard-right members of the party implacably opposed to any more aid for Ukraine.

In order to survive, McCarthy has treated to link aid for Ukraine to funding to stop immigrants crossing the Mexican border, a key Republican demand. “I’m going to make sure that the weapons are provided for Ukraine, but they’re not going to get some big package if the border is not secure,” McCarthy told CBS ominously.

Most important, the wider signal to the world is damaging. European capitals are already nervously eyeing the possibility of a return to the White House by Trump. Josep Borrell, the European Union’s foreign policy chief and a major US partner in delivering aid to Ukraine, expressed surprise and regretted the US decision “deeply, thoroughly.”

Borrell said, “I have a hope that this will not be a definitive decision and Ukraine will continue having the support of the US.” Indeed, there is a wider problem — war fatigue among inflation-hit American voters.

In many ways, the victory of former Prime Minister Robert Fico’s left-wing populist Smer party in this weekend’s parliamentary election in Slovakia is also to be attributed to war fatigue. Fico has said no more weapons will go to Ukraine; questioned the logic of the EU’s Russia sanctions; praised Moscow; and blamed the NATO for causing the war, which he says, began after “Ukrainian Nazis and fascists started to murder Russian citizens in Donbas and Luhansk.” Economic anxieties further compound the societal Ukraine fatigue and the dramatic turn in Slovakian politics, which is likely to impact the West’s relations with Kiev.

Within the EU, Hungary and Austria will now have an ally in Slovakia, a frontline state, advocating an immediate cessation of hostilities in Ukraine and peace negotiations. Fico himself is a close ally of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban — and they could be joined by Poland if the ruling Law and Justice Party secures a fresh mandate, which seems likely, in the parliamentary election on October 15.

All indications are that Poland is veering away from its long-standing pro-Ukraine position. Poland’s PM Mateusz Morawiecki said recently, “we are no longer transferring any weapons to Ukraine because we are now arming ourselves with the most advanced weapons.”

Then, as the CNN wrote, “Beyond EU, within NATO there is an equivalent fear of the consequences of an expanding anti-Ukraine bloc… And both Hungary’s Orban and Slovakia’s Fico have declared themselves adamantly opposed to any move to welcome Ukraine into the alliance… The reality is the Ukraine counteroffensive, which will have to diminish with the advent of winter, has so far achieved little substantive progress on the battlefront. The arrival of newly-empowered anti-Ukraine parties in frontline states, together with waffling by leading Kremlin foes like the United States, all comprise a truly toxic mix.”

Looking ahead, further erosion of support for the Ukraine war can be expected and even a possible collapse of support for Ukraine across the collective West cannot be ruled out in the months ahead, especially if the Kremlin leadership finally decides to give a knockout punch to Ukraine’s military and/or orders the Russian forces to cross the Dnieper and take over Kiev and Odessa.

Even otherwise, the crunch time comes with the elections to the European Parliament on 6-9 June 2024. There is a clear possibility of anti-Ukraine parties winning a substantial bloc of votes in the elections. If and when that happens, the invidious conspiracy mooted by Germany and France to abolish the rule of unanimity required for taking major EU decisions (eg., Russia sanctions and their six-monthly renewal) will flounder.

Both Orban and Fico have declared their opposition to Russian sanctions. Suffice to say, the politics of Ukraine war and Russia sanctions is entering uncharted waters, as Hungary allied with Slovakia — and potentially with Poland — would be in a position to complicate pro-Ukraine, anti-Russian efforts by the rest of the EU.

In the art of politics, American politicans originally patented “filibuster”, a political procedure in which one or more members of a legislative body prolong debate on proposed legislation so as to delay or entirely prevent decision, and European politicians are now inventing their own variant of it.

Orban has been practising it for a decade already, and with growing dexterity, to push through his nationalistic programme of “sovereign democracy” in Hungary. That is where the weekend’s Slovakian election and Fico’s return to power has the potential to become a defining moment in the politics of Ukraine war.

https://www.indianpunchline.com/war-fat ... o-ukraine/

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The General Staff has no plans for a new mobilization
October 3, 17:25

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From Shoigu’s statements:

1. The General Staff currently has no plans for additional mobilization.
2. Since the beginning of the year, 335,000 volunteers have been recruited into the ranks of the armed forces and related formations for contract service.
3. September was a record year - 50,000 volunteers were recruited in a month.
4. Shoigu considers the current strength of the armed forces sufficient.
5. Conscripts will not be sent to the Northern Military District zone. This also applies to conscripts from new regions of Russia.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8678237.html

Google Translator

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Ukraine SitRep: Bad Demographics - End of Support

Via a Responsible Statecraft piece I came onto a EU study that tried to predict the future demographics of Ukraine's population.

The War and the Future of Ukraine’s Population

The study is from early 2022 and is based on Ukrainian casualty numbers from only the very first month of the war. Their worst case scenario was this:

Our third and fourth scenarios assume that the war will continue for a month or longer so that further casualties and refugees are expected. We assume the following casualties: 5,000 deaths among soldiers and 1,500 civilian deaths based on the current trends. There will be 5 million refugees, which is an estimate by UNHCR (UNHCR 2022a)

The real refugee numbers are twice as high and the casualty numbers, wounded and dead, are of course about 100 times higher than the study assumed. It was thus not worth the money that had been spend on it.

Still, some graphs in it are usable.

Yesterday I shortly discussed the op-ed by the former British Minister of Defense Ben Wallace in which he asserts:

The average age of the soldiers at the front is over 40.

He then urges the Ukrainian government to throw more young men into the meat grinder.

My response to Wallace was this:

The young Ukrainians are gone. They either have fled from Ukraine or are wounded, disabled or died. You can not mobilize what is no longer there.

Unfortunately the real situation is worse than I had thought. The EU demographic study included this graph:

Ukraine’s population by age and sex in 2020

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The 'age pyramid' in Ukraine isn't a pyramid. In 2020 there was a huge lack of 15 to 20 years old people. They were simply not there. They never existed. The number of newborns around 2000 must have been horribly low.

The reason for that was likely the serious downturn of Ukraine's economy after it had separated itself from the Soviet Union.

Ukraine’s GDP(PPP)

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It took a decade long severe recession for Ukraine to find a bottom for its economy. Bad economic times and low expectations of betterment had influenced the desire of its people to procreate. Two more downturns followed during the global recession around 2008 and due to the 2014 Maidan coup and the civil war following it.

Thus when the war started there were only half as many people of 20 year age than 40 year old ones. It is no wonder then that few of younger age are seen at the front line.

There is still one measure Ukraine might take to increase the numbers of young soldiers. There currently are exemptions from mobilization for those who study at a university. If Ukraine would draft these if could probably find a few ten-thousand additional soldiers. But it would also strip itself of its future elite.

The already bad demographic prediction some 20 years out would then look even worse than they currently do.

Early this year Ukraine's birthrate had hit a new low:

To keep a population steady, research shows it's necessary to have an average of about 2.1 babies per family — known as a replacement rate. In Ukraine, fertility rates have remained under that threshold since 1990. Over the last two decades, the rate has often dropped below what experts call a "very low" fertility rate of 1.3, when a population begins to shrink at an ever increasing rate. In January 2021, a year before Russia's full-scale invasion, the fertility rate was 1.16, according to national statistics.

The birthrate has since dropped further and is now the lowest one in the world:

Birthrates in Ukraine have fallen by 28% in the first half of 2023, compared to the same period prior to the war, marking the most significant drop since Ukraine gained its independence in 1991, The Wall Street Journal reported on Sept. 25.
...
Due to the ongoing war, millions of Ukrainian women with children were forced to leave the country, while men aged 18 to 60 were prohibited from leaving. As a result, many couples were physically separated, while others delayed starting families, the report says.
In the first half of 2023, there were 96,755 children born in Ukraine. Since 2013, the country's fertility rate has been dropping by approximately 7% per year.

The population of Ukraine will shrink further. In 1990 Ukraine had a population of more than 50 million people. Twenty years from now the country will have less than maybe 25 million inhabitants. This even if all refugees return. A large if that this is unlikely to happen.

Support for Ukraine is shrinking:

As Russia has become more bloodyminded, Ukraine’s allies seem caught in their own conflicting boundary conditions. There is no willingness to mobilize to defend Ukraine. There isn’t even a serious effort to ramp up military production to an adequate level to match, let alone surpass, Russia’s output.

And that’s before getting to the fact that Ukraine as a county has become a very costly ward of all its backers.

Yesterday a meeting of the EU's foreign ministers on further military assistance for Ukraine ended without results (machine translation):

The foreign ministers of the EU countries at today's summit in Kiev could not agree on the allocation of military assistance to Ukraine in the amount of 5 billion euros for 2024.
This was announced at a press conference following the event by EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Josep Borrel.


The EU's budget for 2023 was €168.6 billion. €5 billion are peanuts but the EU countries could not unite over it. The senseless generosity has reached the end of the possible.

Borrel predicted the inevitable outcome:

Earlier, EU Foreign Policy Chief Josep Borrel said that the cessation of military support for Kiev from the West will lead to a quick end to the conflict in Ukraine, but as a result, the country will lose its independence.
A quick end to the conflict is what all sane people should hope for.

Look at the demographics and economics above and ask yourself what 30 years of 'independence' have done for Ukraine.

To end it could well be the best that could ever happen to it. Unfortunately for it Russia is unlikely to step in and to subsidize its further existence.

Posted by b on October 3, 2023 at 13:30 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/10/u ... .html#more

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Blinken factchecked: X users give U.S. Secretary of State history lesson
Originally published: Al Mayadeen on October 2, 2023 by News Website (more by Al Mayadeen) | (Posted Oct 03, 2023)

Users of the social media network X (formerly Twitter) have taken it upon themselves to fact-check a recent statement made by United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken regarding the Babyn Yar massacre in Kiev back in 1941, which resulted in the death of around 100,000 and 150,000 including Jews, Soviet prisoners of war, communists, and Romanis.

In a post on X, on the anniversary of the 1941 massacre, Blinken exclusively cited the Jewish victims dismissing the rest, and even going as far as accusing Russia of manipulating history for political purposes pertaining to the war in Ukraine.

“Eighty-two years ago, Nazis murdered 34,000 Jews at Babyn Yar. Soviets buried this history, which today Putin’s government manipulates to provide cover for Russia’s abuses in Ukraine,” Blinken said.


X users were quick to fact-check Blinken’s statement, providing additional context to the historical events. They pointed out that Soviet prisoners of war were among those massacred at Babyn Yar–perpetrated by Nazi Germany’s forces and their local Ukrainian collaborators–and the Soviets subsequently liberated Babyn Yar and Kiev in 1943. Furthermore, a trial was held in 1946 in Kiev for 15 German policemen involved in the Babyn Yar massacres.

The atrocities have been, in fact, a source of debate in Ukraine over reports of local collaborators being involved.

On his part, Russia’s First Deputy Permanent Representative to the UN, Dmitry Polyansky, slammed the U.S. Secretary of State for his “sacrilegious post” that is “beyond any basic notions of decency,” stating,

I was brought up in the USSR, and we all knew about Babyn Yar. Nazi crimes were never ‘buried’ in my country, unlike yours. Writing such a sacrilegious post is beyond any basic notions of decency.

https://mronline.org/2023/10/03/blinken-factchecked/

Even these revelations gloss over the fact that most of the actual murderers were Ukrainians recruited into special police units. It is said that the German Nazis present were appalled by the brutality employed, though that might just be a limited hangout.
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part V

Post by blindpig » Thu Oct 05, 2023 12:22 pm

Water and collective punishment
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 10/05/2023

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This week, several Russian media report on the improvement in the water supply situation in the city of Donetsk, one of the great forgotten crises of this war. “Residents of the DPR capital must remember with nostalgia the uninterrupted water supply,” admits Komsomolskaya Pravda,“but the situation is improving significantly.” The city has been suffering for more than a year from the supply cuts that many towns in the area had suffered since the start of the war. However, as the most populated city in Donbass, the water supply problems in Donetsk have posed a logistical challenge for the DPR and Russia that, with many difficulties, it has managed to minimize, although not definitively resolve. The water supply of the Donetsk urban agglomeration, which also includes large cities such as Makeevka, depends directly on the Severski Donets canal, one of the scenes of some of the toughest battles fought in Donbass, so there cannot be a definitive solution while the necessary infrastructures are the subject of struggle.

With the recovery of the territory in which the canal and the filtration stations are located an impossible short-term objective, Russia was forced to look for alternative, logistically complicated and budgetarily compromised solutions. All this in conditions of open war in Donbass, which further complicates any infrastructure project. However, as with the reconstruction of Mariupol, which began almost immediately after the end of the battle, the credibility of the Russian authorities with the local population depended on their ability, and especially their willingness, to seek a solution. . The reality of war has meant for the population of the DPR and the LPR, who enthusiastically watched the entry of Russian troops in 2022, a notable worsening of their conditions, especially in places that, like central Donetsk, had not suffered the direct effects of war since the end of the major battles of the Donbass war in 2015. Much more protected than on the front line, the population of central Donetsk Donetsk had not suffered since then from the water and electricity supply cuts common on the front line. The passage of an apparent normality, which never was, since the state of neither war nor peace not only affects the population in terms of the bombings, Donetsk began to lack water supply for much of the day, most of the days.

The temporary solution planned and carried out by the Russian authorities initially involved the exploitation of local wells, a patch that prevented the supply cut from being complete, but which could not satisfy anyone. As time went by, even Russian reporters like Dmitry Steshin expressed in their reports the skepticism of the population of Donetsk regarding the news that the pipelines with which the authorities planned to connect the city with the Russian border could already be seen near the Russian border, water of the Don River. Despite doubts about the cost and capacity of building infrastructure in the middle of the war, the water arrived and currently the two rivers that have marked the history of this region, the Don and the Severski Donets, which gives its name to Donbass, They are united again to alleviate a crisis that for Donetsk had begun to be unsustainable. Although the supply is not continuous, nor can it possibly become so until the situation in the Severski Donets Canal is resolved, the minimum service allows Russia to show the population its ability to solve, even partially, a serious problem. According to Russian authorities, currently 280,000 cubic meters of water from the Don are pumped daily to achieve a supply that, although partial, is no longer as sporadic as it became in 2022.

Still, Komsomolskaya Pravda remember that Ukraine still has the capacity to interrupt the supply through attacks that damage - intentionally or accidentally - pipes, filtration plants or electrical substations whose energy is essential to pump water. This situation is reminiscent of what was experienced throughout the years of war in Donbass, when concern for the well-being of the civilian population was also scarce. If Russian attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, which have caused power outages but not long supply interruptions - after all, Kiev inherited a huge network of power plants from the Ukrainian SSR -

However, it cannot be said that the situation is new or unknown. “Residents of large areas of rebel-controlled Donetsk were left without water after the power supply to a filtration plant was hit by artillery, said the city's independent mayor,” he stated, without specifying the origin of the bombings - then -, as now, a sign that it was not bombing from the rebel side -, a BBC article published in November 2014. Nor was there any mention of the Donetsk water filtration plant, one of the most complicated points of the war. Located in the neutral zone and the scene of Ukrainian bombings, since that year it has been one of the most dangerous workplaces in the region.

“Parts of the city center still had some water, although the rest of Donetsk was cut off,” the BBC added., which later gave way to the rest of the news about the region. That same article in which it was announced that a city of more than a million inhabitants - to which we must add the rest of the cities in the urban agglomeration, whose source of supply is the same - had been left without water supply, also announced the latest measures decreed by then-president Petro Poroshenko. “The news comes after Ukraine has ordered the withdrawal of all state services from areas under rebel control,” the outlet explained, adding that “pensions and benefits to citizens residing in the area had already been interrupted, although Mr. Lukyanchenko [Ukrainian mayor of Donetsk] continues to contribute to the Ukrainian treasury.” Ukraine continued to collect taxes from Donetsk and the rest of the cities in the area,

At that time, Ukraine had already signed the first Minsk agreement, negotiated at a time when kyiv's troops had suffered the terrible defeat at Ilovaisk and the army was at serious risk of falling into chaos. The agreement implied a ceasefire that was evidently never fulfilled and would ultimately lead to the resumption of full-scale hostilities, culminating in the battle for Debaltsevo. But long before that second Ukrainian defeat was consummated, kyiv had already opted for collective punishment of the population of Donbass. Hence the constant attacks on infrastructure - especially electrical substations, which occurred throughout the entire Donbass war - and also the political measures that sought to do, through economic means, what they had not achieved through economic means. military:

Now, all of this is analyzed by the media and think-tanks.Westerners, a large part of them linked to the American public-private industrial complex, such as a Russian aggression, an invasion of Donbass that broke out the war and began a thread that gave rise to February 24, 2022. The repetition, now with greater severity, from situations that occurred between 2014 and 2022, Ukraine's complete lack of will to comply with the peace agreements it signed and the economic measures approved to subjugate the population show that collective punishment was always an integral part of the plans of Kiev. Hence, any conversation, not only about peace, but about minimum agreements such as repair work to guarantee water supply to the population of Donetsk, currently seems unfeasible.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/10/05/28286/#more-28286

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Chronicle of a special military operation for October 4, 2023
October 4, 2023
Rybar

At night, the Ukrainian Armed Forces once again attacked Crimea, using anti-ship missiles. The shells were intercepted, but a few hours later the enemy tried to land troops at Cape Priboyny . Russian border guards intercepted the DRG and took one of the saboteurs prisoner.

Also at night, the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched a massive drone attack on the border areas of the Bryansk , Kursk and Belgorod regions : 31 Ukrainian UAVs were intercepted over the regions. In addition, artillery shelling of the Russian border area did not subside throughout the day.

Meanwhile, clashes continue on the front line near Urozhainy, where the enemy launched another attack. The Ukrainian Armed Forces also carried out several unsuccessful attacks in the direction of Priyutnoye .

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Combined attack on Crimea

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On the night of October 3–4, Ukrainian formations again attacked the Crimean peninsula . First, at around 20.25, the crew of the Pantsir-S1 air defense missile system of the 31st Air Force and Air Defense Division shot down one Neptune missile on approach to Cape Tarkhankut . And just half an hour later, Russian units shot down another Ukrainian anti-ship missile (not a drone) in Inzhenernaya Balka in Sevastopol . The wreckage of the Neptune damaged several civilian vehicles.

At that moment, there was an American RQ-4B UAV in the air, which was monitoring the results of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ strikes on Crimea, and the target of the missiles, judging by the areas of their destruction, were air defense position areas. Closer to midnight, four landing groups on three jet skis and one boat set out from the Ovidiopol area south of Odessa in the direction of Cape Tarkhankut.

Only this time, enemy units intended to land northeast of the cape. It was in the area where their reconnaissance group monitored the coast on September 22-23. At around 01.22 near Cape Priboyny, Russian border guards discovered four surface objects.

To strike a group of boats and jet skis, a Su-30SM aircraft of the Black Sea Fleet naval aviation was scrambled into the air and attacked the retreating enemy units. Three enemy craft were shot down, and the rest returned back to Ovidiopol. Through the joint efforts of units of the 31st Air Force and Air Defense Division, the Black Sea Fleet and border guards, the Ukrainian Armed Forces attack was successfully repelled.

During this night battle, one of the Ukrainian saboteurs who took part in the attack was captured. According to him, the purpose of the raid was to take photos and videos of the raid participants against the backdrop of the Ukrainian flag in Crimea.

What role do satellites play in the lead-up to Ukrainian attacks?

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Against the backdrop of the night attack on Crimea and Sevastopol , we again raise the question of the role played by TOPAZ military satellites in planning missile strikes and airborne landings. From October 1 to October 3, 45 photographs of various objects on the peninsula were taken. These include air bases and the proposed locations of air defense systems and personnel.

Particularly interesting is the activity of “Topaz” at Cape Tarkhankut on the night of October 2, that is, a day before the GUR landing attempt to land in Crimea. Chernomorskoye, Olenevka, Kalinovka and Novoselskoye were filmed - it was there that they tried to attack the DRG. Also, increased attention is being paid to monitoring airfields in Crimea and geographic heights (it is logical to place air defense systems in such places). In this way, the West determines the most suitable targets for possible cruise missile attacks.

Therefore, by monitoring the activity of a satellite constellation, it is possible not only to roughly understand the enemy’s short-term plans and which attack directions can be chosen, but also to take countermeasures and camouflage measures.

The situation on the front line and combat operations

Fierce clashes continue in the Starobelsky direction west of Kremennaya . Ukrainian formations in this area suffered serious losses in manpower and armored vehicles. Now the command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is transferring new reinforcements here.


In the area of ​​​​Andreevka and Kleshcheevka in the Soledar direction , heavy clashes continue; the enemy is unable to advance despite the transfer of reserves. Artillery and unmanned aircraft are actively working against the advancing formations of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

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In the Vremyevsky sector, Ukrainian formations continue to launch sporadic attacks in the direction of Priyutnoye , as well as concentrate forces in the forest belts northwest of Staromayorsky . In turn, Russian units confidently repel enemy attacks and disrupt the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ rotational activities with artillery fire. At the same time, positional battles continue in the Urozhainy area.


On the Orekhovsky sector of the front, fighting continues at the Rabotino-Verbovoe line . Ukrainian formations from time to time make attempts to advance to Novoprokopovka , but each of them ends the same way: with losses and a retreat to their original positions. At the same time, footage of the clearing of one of the enemy strongholds in the Rabotino area appeared on the Internet .


In the Kherson direction, the situation has not undergone significant changes: Russian troops are striking at places of concentration of members of Ukrainian formations in the Antonovsky Bridge area and on islands in the Dnieper delta, as well as at temporary deployment points of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the opposite bank.

Shelling of rear areas and residential areas
At night, Russian military personnel intercepted 12 enemy drones over the territory of the Bryansk and Kursk regions.

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Ukrainian formations again massively fired cluster munitions at the border areas of the Bryansk region . In the Sevsky district , shrapnel damaged a service station and several trucks. Power lines were damaged in the Klimovsky district . There are ten residential buildings in the Pogarsky district , no casualties. In addition, early in the morning the Ukrainian Armed Forces attempted to attack the regional capital of the region with an aircraft-type drone: air defense crews shot down a target in the sky over the Bryansk region , no one was injured.

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Ukrainian formations attacked with a drone and fired artillery at the border area of ​​the Kursk region . The village of Plekhovo , Sudzhansky district , came under fire . Several houses and power lines were damaged, and restoration work is underway. In addition, one of the vigilantes involved in guarding the border area was injured by a shell dropped from a UAV. In the village of Gornal , as a result of the fall of an enemy drone, a barn and a garage burned down, one residential building was damaged, but there were no casualties.

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Last night , the Belgorod region was subjected to another massive attack by Ukrainian drones: according to preliminary data, Russian anti-aircraft gunners intercepted at least 19 devices over Belgorod , Belgorod and Korochansky districts. An administrative building in Belgorod, as well as one household and three cars in the village of Shishino were damaged by debris .

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Ukrainian formations continue to daily shell the civilian infrastructure of the Donetsk People's Republic . In Yasinovataya , several residential buildings were damaged, one car and an outbuilding were burned, but there were no casualties. In the village of Golmovsky , power lines were damaged and the settlement was without power. In addition, the Kuibyshevsky, Kirovsky and Petrovsky districts of Donetsk and Gorlovka were under attack ; there was no information about the wounded or damage. In Aleksandrovka , one residential building burned down as a result of shelling, but there were no casualties.

In the Zaporozhye region, the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched rocket attacks on the city of Tokmak : all the ammunition hit a field near a grocery store. According to preliminary data, there are no casualties or destruction.

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Last night, the Ukrainian Armed Forces once again randomly fired at populated areas on the left bank of the Kherson region , firing a total of 45 shells from cannon artillery. Novaya Kakhovka, Kakhovka, Korsunka, Peschanovka, Proletarka and Cairo were under fire . In the Gornostaevsky district, power lines were damaged; at the moment, emergency crews have completely restored power supply.

Political events
Use of Iranian ammunition by the Russian Armed Forces in the Northern Military District zone

The German publication Bild was surprised to note that Russian troops began to actively use Iranian 122-mm ammunition for the Arash MLRS, produced in 2023. We spoke back in February of this year that the Russian government is actively negotiating with the Iranians regarding the supply of not only drones, but also ammunition .

Iran has rich reserves of artillery shells that are suitable for Russian weapons systems . And the Arash rocket launchers are used with the BM-21 Grad MLRS. Producing enough ammunition for the needs of the entire front is a rather difficult task, so such cooperation with what is essentially a strategic partner is logical.

This allows Russia not only to replenish supplies of ammunition for defense, but also to accumulate them in case of an active winter campaign. And Iran gets a large market for its products.

On the problems of the Ukrainian counteroffensive

In an interview with one of the European news agencies, President Zelensky admitted that due to a shortage of shells and air defense systems, Ukrainian formations cannot develop their success. Besides. The speed of advancement is affected by the high density of minefields. The President said that the winter period will be very difficult for both the army and the population.

At the same time, the head of the Ministry of Strategic Industry, Alexander Kamyshin , announced that an agreement in principle had been reached with the United States on the production of air defense systems in Ukraine. Whether this will help strengthen the enemy’s defenses in a short time is an open question.

About “security guarantees” for Ukraine

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba, at a meeting with his Swedish counterpart Tobias Billström , announced that his country was preparing to conclude a bilateral agreement on so-called security guarantees.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

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{Other images at link.)

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McCarthy Ouster, Senate Republican Opposition Bode Ill for 2023 Ukraine Funding
Posted on October 4, 2023 by Yves Smith

The House of Representatives is playing out a Ukraine dynamic that UK voters might recognize from Brexit. After Theresa May’s gambit of snap elections backfired, she was left with a small majority in the House of Commons. The hard Brexit radicals, often called the Ultras, had more than enough votes in their solid bloc to deny May a majority. As Chris Grey was early to point out, their disproportionate power, their dogmatism, and relentless messaging enable the to refine what for the general public had been a Rorschach test Brexit into a very hard Brexit being normalized and then institutionalized.

Or rather, that’s one way to look at the picture, that the unfortunate thin Republican margin in the House has allowed a radical fringe to get its way. But another way to look at it is that this hard core is allowing all sort of factions that doubt the wisdom of continuing to support Project Ukraine to let them do the initial heavy lifting and see how to position themselves as events play out.

The fact that the drama of the nixing of more Ukraine funding in the short-term funding and now the defenestration of speaker Kevin McCarthy1 has also diverted attention from the fact that Senate Republicans ex Mitch McConnell are also cooling on more Ukraine spending.

Normally, the cynical view would be that of course the Ukraine 2023 funding that was stripped from the so-called continuing resolution will eventually be restored. But it is becoming more and more apparent that Ukraine is not winning proposition, literally and figuratively. A majority of voters oppose more funding. That poll was as of early August. Since then, more and more press organs have been forced to admit that the much-hyped Ukraine counteroffensive was a bust. As the movie General Patton said, in an opening monologue cobbled together from actual Patton speeches:

Americans love a winner and will not tolerate a loser. Americans play to win all the time. Now, I wouldn’t give a hoot in hell for a man who lost and laughed. That’s why Americans have never lost and will never lose a war. Because the very thought of losing is hateful to Americans.

Fortunately for us, or at least many in the political classes, it is Ukraine that is losing this war, but there is still an increasingly desperate-looking effort to either pretend Ukraine can win, or that Russia will let us have a peace with honor outcome which as we and others have pointed out is na ga happen.

Moreover, it isn’t as if voting against more Ukraine largesse that would necessarily lead to defense contractors pulling support from that particular Congresscritter. Admittedly, some might have product mixes that benefit more from a land war in Ukraine than a naval/air escalation against China. But the hawks have bigger martial ambitions than the arms merchants can satisfy, and the belligerent consensus is that China is the bigger priority, so writing off Ukraine sooner rather than later is probably not a terrible outcome for them.

Keep in mind that the immediate play is whether Biden can get a stand-alone bill for additional Ukraine funding for 2023 or get it included in the next “continuing resolution” bill or more permanent funding package, which has to be passed by November 17 to prevent a government shutdown. We had argued that the precedent of this defiance of the Administration and Republican grandees lowered the bar for it happening again. The ouster of McCarthy make getting more near-term dough for Ukraine even more fraught.

First from Bloomberg on the implications of McCarthy being forced out as Speaker:

Kevin McCarthy’s ouster as US House speaker plunged Congress into an internal power struggle as it faces key deadlines on avoiding a government shutdown and approving aid for Ukraine — all as the country hurtles toward a presidential election.

McCarthy lost his leadership post after hardliners in his own party revolted over his compromise with Democrats to avert a government shutdown last weekend. He said he won’t run again for speaker and hasn’t thought about resigning from Congress….

Goldman Sachs said in analysis for clients that the ouster raises the risk of a government shutdown next month. McCarthy’s successor will probably be under “even more pressure” to avoid a temporary funding package or additional funding for Ukraine, Goldman said.

From an op-ed at The Hill:

Whoever walks into the Speaker’s office will inherit the same harsh reality that led to McCarthy’s ouster. The only difference is that McCarthy’s successor will have even less negotiating leverage against a House Freedom Caucus capable of removing an uncooperative Speaker at will. That’s a lofty amount of power, and caucus member Rep. Matt Gaetz has proven he can wield it effectively, assisted by the GOP’s razor-thin House margin. Any future Speaker will in effect become one member of the Freedom Caucus’s politburo — or they’ll quickly find themselves exiting stage (far) right.

Mind you, some Republicans, particularly coup-meister Matt Gaetz, are unhappy that the voting on a replacement speaker won’t start until October 11. He’s wanted it done straight away. Another bone of contention among the harder-core House Republicans is the way McCarthy and his ally, House Judiciary Committee chair Jim Jordan, have been (in their eyes) slow-walking the Biden impeachment investigation. So the week delay in the Speaker vote is another week delay in turning the screws tighter on Biden.

Initial commentary, such as from the New York Times and Politico, depicts McCarthy as having pleased no one, taking moves to try to placate the hard-right faction that alienated the Democrats who could have rescued him.2

The focus on the House drama has meant other stories that describe how Congressional support for Ukraine is slipping are going unnoticed. For instance, from The Federalist, which Beltway-watchers tell me is good at reporting on Republican dynamics, in How Conservatives Quietly Outmaneuvered Weakened McConnell On Ukraine:

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell suffered a stunning blow this weekend when Republicans in the upper chamber disregarded his repeated calls for prioritizing Ukraine funding by passing the House GOP’s short-term spending bill, which included no provisions for the Volodymyr Zelensky regime.

Publicly, McConnell pretended his move to finance the proxy war in Ukraine was temporarily tabled for the convenience of avoiding an imminent government shutdown. Behind closed doors, the Senate minority leader’s plan to indefinitely send U.S. tax dollars to Eastern Europe was shunned by nearly every member of his party who expressed discomfort with hinging the fate of the government shutdown on Ukraine.

One source familiar with the situation told The Federalist that even McConnell quietly acknowledged to his colleagues that any spending bill that included Ukraine funding was not a winning issue for the party. Yet, he was so committed to putting another country’s financial well-being ahead of his own that he fought his own conference on it.

The Senate GOP’s defiance of McConnell was confirmed when they, at the urging of Senate GOP steering committee members like Sens. Mike Lee and Rick Scott, passed House Republicans’ continuing resolution (CR) instead of the Senate bill.

Note that another indicator of Ukraine’s sliding support are Matt Gaetz’s efforts to strip Ukraine funding entirely from 2024 Defense Department appropriations. From NBC five days ago, as in before both the continuing resolution passed without monies for Ukraine and the McCarthy defenestration:

An amendment to the defense funding bill by Rep. Matt Gaetz, R-Fla., to prohibit all military assistance to Ukraine won 93 Republican votes Wednesday, as 126 Republicans and all 213 Democrats voted against it. That’s up from 70 Republicans who voted for a similar measure by Gaetz in July.

A separate amendment by Rep. Andy Biggs, R-Ariz., to slash $300 million in arms assistance for Ukraine — an allocation that has been the status quo since Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea in 2014 — got 104 GOP votes, with 117 Republicans joining 213 Democrats to vote it down.

Where this funding fight wind up is anyone’s guess. But Ukraine looks to be en route to a serious diet.

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1 For those interested in the House Ultras’ bill of particulars, from the New York Times:

Only a few of them rose on the House floor ahead of the vote to list their grievances against Mr. McCarthy, chief among them that he had relied on Democratic votes to push through two bills they opposed — one to prevent the nation from defaulting on its debt for the first time in history and another, over the weekend, to avert a government shutdown.

“The speaker fought through 15 votes in January to become speaker, but was only willing to fight through one failed C.R. before surrendering to the Democrats on Saturday,” Mr. Good said, referring to a measure known as a continuing resolution for a stopgap spending bill. “We need a speaker who will fight for something, anything besides just staying or becoming speaker.”

2 Again from the Times:

But their [House Democrats’] disdain for Mr. McCarthy ultimately overrode any political will they had to save him, and in a closed-door meeting on Tuesday morning, Representative Hakeem Jeffries of New York, the minority leader, instructed fellow Democrats not to do so, citing Republicans’ “unwillingness to break from MAGA extremism.”

That meeting, which was billed as a listening session and strategy meeting to determine how Democrats would vote on Mr. Gaetz’s motion to remove Mr. McCarthy, quickly became an airing of grievances against the speaker.

The litany piled up: his vote to overturn the 2020 presidential election results after pro-Trump rioters stormed the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021; his decision to renege on the debt limit deal he had brokered with President Biden in the summer to appease the rebels; his friendly relationship with former President Donald J. Trump; and his decision to open an impeachment inquiry into Mr. Biden without evidence of wrongdoing.

https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2023/10 ... nding.html

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Poland and Ukraine at Loggerheads
Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360° on OCTOBER 3, 2023
Thierry Meyssan

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Former Prime Minister Jarosław Kaczyński, president of the PiS party, is still pulling the strings of Polish politics.

Poland, hitherto a staunch ally of Ukraine, is suddenly realizing who the country’s leaders really are. The Yaroslav Hunka affair in the Canadian Parliament has set the world alight. The entire political class condemned the Ukrainian integral nationalists. A series of disputes is piling up. This turnaround comes at a time when the Republican majority in the US House of Representatives wants to distance itself from the Ukrainian conflict.


Poland is governed by the conservative Law and Justice Party (PiS). This political grouping is deeply opposed to the European Union, not only as a supranational project, but also as the unity of the continent. Indeed, throughout its history, Poland has completely disappeared four times. Its powerful Russian and German neighbors have often shared its territory. So the Poles don’t want a continental unity that has already enslaved them several times. On the contrary, they remember with nostalgia the period when they asserted themselves in alliance with Lithuania. They therefore promote a third way, between Moscow and Berlin: “Prometheism”. It’s about freeing oneself from both Russian and German influences, and developing with one’s Central European neighbors. This is the project of the “Intermarium”, known since 2016 as the “Three Seas Initiative”: to confederate all the states from the Baltic to the Mediterranean and the Black Sea. Knowing that, for Warsaw, the Three Seas Initiative will eventually replace the European Union, Poland can’t count on Brussels. It has found a new ally in the United States, a great power far away and therefore, a priori, not dangerous.

This alliance was illustrated during the war against Iraq. Poland gave its all, out of loyalty to its new ally. It used the funds made available by the European Union to upgrade its economy, to buy… US fighter jets.

Polish distrust of the Russians should not mask their distrust of the Germans. Last week, the German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz, tried to interfere in the Polish election campaign by insisting that the visa scandal was continuing. Piotr Wawryk, Deputy Foreign Minister, has already resigned after it was revealed that his administration was selling Polish visas for 5,000 euros. This new accusation has no basis in fact, but it was supposed to cast doubt on the PiS administration. Zbigniew Rau, Poland’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, took it very badly. He bluntly reminded Germany to respect its sovereignty.

While the majority of Poles support the nationalism of the PiS, the opposition is organized around the Civic Platform of former European Council President (2014-19) Donald Tusk. As a child, Tusk played with former German Chancellor Angela Merkel. The two families knew each other and had the privilege of traveling within the Eastern bloc. Donald Tusk hoped to win this time against the PiS. He took on board Brussels’ accusations against Mateusz Morawiecki’s government and the PiS’s conception of freedom. He relied on the fact that Brussels has still not paid out the subsidies allocated under the Recovery and Resilience Fund (FRR). However, current events are not in his or the EU’s favor.

At the start of Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine, Warsaw declared its solidarity with Kiev because Washington was calling for mobilization against Moscow. It seemed normal to give asylum to 1.5 million Ukrainians and to integrate this former Soviet country into the “Three Seas Initiative”. However, the Poles knew no more than anyone else about what was really happening in Ukraine. Historically, they remembered that Ukrainian “integral nationalists” had supported the Nazis and massacred 120,000 Poles under their orders. However, since the break-up of the Soviet Union, they had accepted many Ukrainians as immigrant workers. They therefore took it upon themselves to charitably receive the wives and children of their poor neighbors.

The PiS government then banned any criticism of Volodymyr Zelensky’s Ukraine, interpreting it as “Russian propaganda”. Right from the start of the war, the Polish Defense Council forbade Internet operators from relaying the Voltairenet.org website and Voltaire Network articles in the country. This military censorship prevented the Polish ruling class from understanding what the Zelensky government was really about. Poland has become Ukraine’s main military ally, after the United States.

On September 22, 2023, the Canadian House of Commons welcomed President Volodymyr Zelensky for a solemn speech. After his speech, the presiding officer, Anthony Rota, introduced a member of the audience as “a Ukrainian-Canadian veteran of the Second World War who fought for Ukrainian independence against the Russians” and as both “a Ukrainian hero and a Canadian hero”, a member of the “1st Ukrainian Division”. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, parliamentarians and the public applauded wildly. Immediately, however, outraged Jewish associations protested: the “1st Ukrainian Division” is the SS Galicia! After three days of controversy, Anthony Rota apologized to the Jews and eventually resigned. But the Polish ambassador, Witold Dzielski, would have none of it. He demanded an apology for the insult to the 120,000 Poles massacred by Ukrainian mainstream nationalists. Przemyslaw Czarnek, Poland’s Minister of Education, began extradition proceedings against the former SS officer.

In an instant, the Ukrainian bluff was cleared in the eyes of the Poles. As Beata Szydło, former PiS Prime Minister and now Member of the European Parliament, has pointed out, the problem is not Anthony Rota’s ignorance, but the attitude of the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, and Canadian Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland (co-editor of the Encyclopedia of Ukraine). None of these personalities can claim to be unaware of what the “1st Ukrainian Division” of sinister memory was. Yet none of them showed the slightest embarrassment and warned Prime Minister Justin Trudeau of what was happening. On the contrary, they applauded with pride.

Incidentally, the Ukrainian hero was not a member of the SS combat troops. He belonged to a reprisal unit, tasked with murdering people who resisted the Third Reich.

So how can we fail to remember that the two most important battles of the Ukrainian war were fought in Marioupol and Bakhmut? Both were fought under the command of the military leader of the Integral Nationalists, Andriy Biletsky, alias the “White Führer”, with whom President Zelensky was filmed a month ago.

Suddenly, the Poles realize that they acted hastily in granting Ukraine observer status in the “Three Seas Initiative”. It is obvious that, although Jewish, Volodymyr Zelensky is leaning on the “mass murderers of Jews”, as Israeli general Benny Gantz put it.

The Canadian incident comes at a time when Polish farmers are up in arms against unfair competition from the US-Ukrainian food industry. Three US agribusiness multinationals, Cargill, Dupont and Monsanto, have bought up a quarter of Ukraine’s territory. They import their cereals and chickens into the European Union at unbeatable prices. They don’t pay for their GMO seeds donated by the US State Department. The European Commission had initially banned their imports, knowing that these products did not meet EU standards, but bowed to US pressure. Three states, including Poland, passed laws banning them. However, President Zelensky has announced that, as these states are members of the EU, he is taking them to the World Trade Organization (WTO).

Agriculture is Poland’s main source of income. In the midst of a legislative election campaign, the question of Ukrainian imports is at the center of debate. The right-wing Confederation party came out on top. The PiS would then be forced to form an alliance with it to stay in power. The Minister of Agriculture addressed the Ukrainian people. He told them that taking Poland to the WTO would seriously damage relations between the two countries. But nothing happened.

At the same time, the Polish population as a whole is becoming exasperated with the steady stream of Ukrainian refugees. The Polish president, Andrzej Duda, has spoken of a possible halt to aid to Ukrainian refugees, given the opposition they are now encountering in public opinion. He compared Ukraine to a drowning country that poses a danger to its rescuer: sometimes a drowning person struggles helter-skelter and drags his rescuer with him.

Finally, the only state for which Poland has any reverence is the Holy See. Yet Ukraine has just curtly voiced its opposition to the Holy Father, whom it accuses of not hating Russian culture. In so doing, it has released Poland from its commitments to him.

The PiS government then decided to revive the Przewodów affair. On November 15, 2022, missiles fell on this Polish village, not far from the Ukrainian border, killing two people and destroying agricultural facilities. Initially, they were attributed to Russia, but fearing that Poland might provoke a world war, the United States revealed that they were Ukrainian. The case was hushed up. The Ukrainian judiciary has just revealed its investigation report. It confirms what Washington was saying. Poland should therefore demand reparations from Ukraine.

The Canadian incident is not over. For the moment, neither the Slovaks nor the Slovenes, who were victims of the SS Galicia, have received an apology. Moreover, the Polish-Ukrainian quarrel will not be without consequences. Firstly, because today Polish territory is the main transit base for Western aid to the Ukraine. Secondly, it will have repercussions on the Baltic States, particularly Lithuania.

Translation by Roger Lagassé

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2023/10/ ... ggerheads/

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Ukraine - Fatigue Sets In

The increasing fracture of support for Ukraine not only destroyed House Speaker Kevin McCarthy but is also threatening the structures of the EU and NATO.

The Russian government had predicted that this process would happen:

The Kremlin said on Monday it believed a decision by U.S. Congress to pass a stopgap funding bill that omitted aid for Ukraine was a temporary setback for Kyiv, but forecast war fatigue in the West would grow and increasingly split opinion.
...
Asked about the U.S. development, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said he thought the setback for Ukraine was "a temporary phenomenon" and that Washington would clearly continue what he called its direct involvement in the conflict.
But Peskov, speaking after the party of Robert Fico won a weekend election in Slovakia pledging to end military aid to Ukraine, said that Moscow had long forecast that the West would grow increasingly weary of supporting Ukraine.

"Obviously, this (the U.S. setback) is a temporary phenomenon. America will continue its involvement in this conflict, in fact direct involvement," said Peskov.

"But we have repeatedly said before that according to our forecasts fatigue from this conflict, fatigue from the completely absurd sponsorship of the Kyiv regime, will grow in various countries, including the United States.

"And this fatigue will lead to the fragmentation of the political establishment and the growth of contradictions."


And so it plays out:

In America, Republican voters are growing increasingly pessimistic about continuing U.S. support for Ukraine, while Democratic support has ebbed but remained relatively strong, according to recent polls.

In Europe, war fatigue and domestic strain is playing out at the polls, with voters in some countries choosing leaders that are increasingly turning away from Kyiv.


Letting the war continue until the West gives up was and is obviously part of Russia's political strategy. A short war and a Ukrainian capitulation to Russia's demand for it to stay out of NATO would surely have been better. But the Biden administration wanted to 'weaken Russia' and thereby a prolonged war. It had thought that Russia could not sustain a long fight.

But only people who did not know Russia or were misinformed about its resources would have believed such nonsense. It was obvious to others that Russia has everything one needs to sustain as a nation: land, people, energy, food, minerals and an industry that is capable of making nearly everything it needs. The only way to weaken or even defeat Russia was on the battlefield. But none of the western wonder weapons was able to do make a decisive difference. Russia found counter measures to all of them.

The way out of the war requires U.S. negotiations with Russia. But the Biden administration as well as the current EU leadership are too deeply invested in Ukraine to launch serious talks. To find an end to the war will necessitate regime-change in Washington and Brussels.

The process has started. But it will still take some time. Unless the Ukrainian army suddenly collapses I do not expect any real change before the U.S. election or before a new administration has settled in.

---
Dear commentators, please stay on the topic. Otherwise I might have to ban you.

Posted by b on October 4, 2023 at 14:27 UTC | Permalink

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/10/u ... .html#more

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Zelensky sidelined, Canada’s Nazi gaffe and Biden struggling to change tack

As a third Ukrainian army perishes to no avail, now even the west is looking thin of donors when Zelensky rattles the collecting tin.

Proletarian writers

Monday 2 October 2023

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Volodymyr Zelensky and Justin Trudeau join the jubilant and unanimous standing ovation for Ukrainian Nazi war criminal Yaroslav Hunka in the Canadian House of Commons. But of course, nobody had any idea that Mr Hunka was a Nazi. He only ‘fought Russians in WW2’ after all. What could be more noble than that?
Imperialism planned to use Ukraine as a battering ram against Russia, engineering a proxy war by which it might advance one crucial step towards the balkanization of Russia – a vast territory just waiting to be looted by monopoly capital.

But things have not gone according to plan. Rather than breaking up Russia, the war which the west initiated has broken up Ukraine. Instead of uniting the ‘collective west’, it has divided it. And now is the time for mutual recrimination, finger-pointing and the hunt for scapegoats.

As a barometer registering the shifting fortunes of war, there is none better placed than the west-backed stooge Volodymyr Zelensky. Not so long ago, this former actor-turned president was cutting a dash as the poster boy for democracy, European values and the American way. He wowed the United Nations, hob-nobbed with heads of state, received ovations galore, and easily persuaded governments across Europe to part with ever more cash and weaponry.

But as the sanctions campaign against Russia boomeranged, doing more economic harm to the west than to its intended object, and the real cost of the war in blood and pelf began to dawn, Zelensky rattled the begging bowl more insistently, warning that failure to come up with the requisite cash and weapons would prejudice the chances of the famous ‘spring counteroffensive’, which was supposed to change the tide of the war.

But the ignominious collapse of the counteroffensive has finally forced an agonising reappraisal onto the administration of Joe Biden in Washington.

Whilst the neocons like Victoria Nuland might still be urging a fight to the last drop of Ukrainian blood, it seems probable that President Biden and his secretary of state Antony Blinken are now bent on washing their hands of the war, urging Zelensky to quit the heroics and start talking to Russian president Vladimir Putin, with a view to sidelining the war into a so-called ‘frozen conflict’.

Of course, all these calculations take no account of the reality that in the real world it is Russia and not the USA that is in a position to call the shots, and nothing is on offer that could tempt the Russians to stop their mission halfway.

All the same, the moves indicate that some shred of reality is starting to penetrate the hazy minds of US officials and ruling elites. Not so President Zelensky, however. He is like an actor who, half way through the script, realises he is in the wrong play. Oblivious to all the chatter about frozen conflicts, he is clinging desperately to the dogged refrain that all Russian forces must be withdrawn and Vladimir Putin must stand trial – and only then would Ukraine consent to talks!

Perhaps the Kiev junta and its president might have a clearer idea of the reality of the situation if Zelensky spent more time at home and less time hanging around the UN and western capitals. His latest visits to the UN and Washington were very different from his earlier forays, however.

The much-trailed joint Biden/Zelensky announcement in Washington about the transfer to Ukraine of the ATACMS missile system, billed as evidence of Washington’s long-term commitment to the war, never happened.

Catastrophic slip of the ‘plucky Ukraine’ mask in Canada’s parliament
And then, to cap it all, Zelensky went to Canada – a trip to the heartland of his most loyal fanbase that was supposed to shore up his faltering image and restore his wounded pride after the UN general assembly turned a cold shoulder and the US Congress refused to give him an audience. But instead of restoring his flagging icon status, Zelensky found himself pulled into the centre of the most disastrous public relations fail of the war.

Given that the west has been running its proxy war more like a Hollywood movie (complete with compliant actor in the main role) than a military operation, the scriptwriters and producers under Nato’s direction have been careful to airbrush out all uncomfortable facts regarding the true context and content of Ukraine’s supposedly heroic ‘brave resistance’ against inexplicable and evil ‘Russian aggression’.

Just as BBC journalists have been careful to edit out and avoid mention of symbols and regalia that clearly indicate the fascist ideology and direct Nazi connections with which today’s Ukrainian armed forces and polity are saturated, so Ukrainian film editors were assiduous in filling in the empty seats that greeted Zelensky’s address to the UN general assembly in New York.

Presentation and packaging have been the key to the whole of the west’s war, which has been based on the idea that, as invincible masters of the universe, the Russian economy will fall over at their say-so and the people of the world will believe whatever they tell then to.

In just such a vein, the editors of the UN footage were clearly hoping to fool the credulous and inattentive into believing that President Zelensky remains as popular as ever. Except that rather too many of those who saw that footage spotted a continuity slip-up that placed our ‘Churchillian’ speaker in the audience for his own speech.

But the indifference and even hostility that met our hero in New York and Washington would certainly not be repeated in Canada. Prime minister Justin Trudeau was keen to show that his personal love for Zelensky, his administration’s enthusiasm for the war and their collective keenness to fight to the last Ukrainian remain undimmed.

Equally unshaken it seems is Canada’s willingness to scrape the national coffers in the imperialist cause. While Poland shouts ‘no more’ from the rooftops and the USA itself starts to mumble about the limits of its ability to keep stumping up the $25 billion that is needed every quarter to keep the Ukrainian army and state afloat, Trudeau was announcing $650m in new military assistance.

In a jubilant session of the Canadian House of Commons, Trudeau hugged and praised his Ukrainian counterpart, and went so far as to honour him with the presence of a 98-year-old veteran of an earlier ‘anti-Russian’ war. Two standing ovations and a Zelensky fist-pump showed that the Ukrainian president was as buoyed up by this tribute as were Canada’s parliamentarians – not one of whom made the slightest protest.

When the inevitable storm blew up on social media, however, a flurry of innocent apologies for ‘confusion’, ‘misunderstandings’ and ‘unwitting ignorance’ were issued in quick succession. The speaker of the house was persuaded to take the fall for having ‘failed to do the necessary checks’ and ‘misled the house’ and the media ran with the story that it was all an innocent mistake and we should certainly not make too much of it given that further reporting or investigation would only help the cause of ‘Russian disinformation’ in confirming the presence of nazis in Ukraine.

After all, how could hundreds of well-paid well-educated representatives of the people be expected to understand that if you were fighting against the ‘Russians’ in WW2, you were fighting with Nazi Germany?

How could the country that gave shelter to thousands of such criminal scum (at the urgent request of the British government, be it noted, and saving them from the Soviet gallows that were their just deserts) have any clue about the ideology this ‘Ukrainian-Canadian community’ might bring with them? How could they possibly know that those who arrived on Canada’s shores fresh from the killing fields, drenched in the blood of massacred innocents, had been perpetuating, celebrating and whitewashing their sins as ‘traditions’ for the last 80 years and waiting for their chance to continue in the same vein?

Perhaps Trudeau could have sought enlightenment from his deputy Chrystia Freeland? Herself descended from just such stock, and a graduate of Canada’s Ukronazi youth camps, Freeland’s former career was as an academic and journalist engaged in the rewriting of Ukraine’s history to whitewash the crimes of Bandera-ite fascists and attribute all their massacres to the Soviet defenders of the people.

While all this has been blowing up, Zelensky himself has been noticeably silent. After all, what can he say? ‘Nazis? Us? Surely not!’ Moreover, while whatever he said would stink of hypocrisy and inevitably lead to further discussion of an uncomfortable topic, even the most mealy-mouthed of fake apologies would bring down the very real opprobrium of the very powerful Ukrainian fascists who surround him in Kiev.

This heavily armed goon army has been groomed for decades to act in Nato’s service by just such propaganda as Freeland and her family have been pushing – that the wrong side won in WW2 and that they, the upholders of Hitler’s legacy, are on a mission from God to cleanse the world of Russian and other Untermensch. And it is on these goons that poor old Vlod depends for the continuation of his political and physical existence.

Zelensky is running out of road fast, and his travels outside Ukraine may increasingly be less to do with international diplomacy than about scouting out future rat runs and bolt holes.

Meanwhile, as military defeats multiply and the wheels are falling off the propaganda machine even in the western heartlands, Biden is not going to find it easy to disentangle his own political fortunes and that of his party from the catastrophic failure of his proxy war.

https://thecommunists.org/2023/10/02/ne ... raine-war/

******

Trophy flag GUR

October 4, 22:09

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One of the two captured flags captured by our border guards during the repulsion of the DRG attempt to land in Crimea.
The enemy admitted losses among the participants of the DRG. Some of them drowned while fleeing the coast.
The one who was captured was still lucky. Taking into account the value of the captured footage, it will most likely be exchanged in the future for one of our valuable ones.
The story of the landing for the sake of photography is almost 1 in 1 copy of the well-known clownery with the installation of a border post on the border with the Belgorod region, when the DRG of the Ukrainian Armed Forces with a border post stolen from a Kharkov supermarket walked to the border and, not reaching the line, stuck the post near the bushes, recording a video of the incident, after which While retreating, it came under artillery fire and suffered significant losses.

PS. GUR MOU and SBU must be recognized as terrorist organizations.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8681314.html

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"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Footnotes from the Ukrainian "Crisis"; New High-Points in Cynicism Part V

Post by blindpig » Fri Oct 06, 2023 11:46 am

"Security" agenda
POSTED BY @NSANZO ⋅ 06/10/2023

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Just a few days after its last propaganda act, the visit of foreign ministers of the bloc to kyiv, the European Union held another summit yesterday in Granada that was more media-driven than political. It did so in the form of what some official media describe as an enlarged European Union, that is, the European Political Community, a construct that simply shows the expansionist ambitions of the community bloc. This insatiable desire for expansion is based on purely geopolitical criteria and the idea of ​​spheres of influence. It is not, as the official narrative states, about preventing the countries of Eastern Europe, the Caucasus or the Balkans from falling “under the influence of Moscow”, an argument that is being used even in the case of Georgia, where Russia does not have not even an embassy, ​​but to apply George W. Bush's maxim, “if they are not with us, they are against us,” to the entire continent and even beyond.

An important part of the summit's prominence was to go to Armenia and Azerbaijan, whose heads of state were to meet, supposedly in the hope of signing a definitive peace agreement between the two countries now that Baku has achieved its objective. Azerbaijan has obtained the territory of Nagorno Karabakh, Artsakh, without its population, which largely fled to Armenia before Azeri authorities began renaming the streets of Stepanakert in honor of those who participated in the Armenian genocide. At the last minute, Ilham Aliyev announced that he would not be present in Granada, citing Turkey's absence. The enlarged European Union has clearly shown its priorities and Turkey is aware that its EU membership application has been stalled for decades. Aliyev's absence has prevented the meeting with Pashinian, which has opened the door to a complete role for Volodymyr Zelensky, who made his first visit to Spain since the beginning of his presidency. Unlike Turkey, and despite not meeting most of the accession criteria, Ukraine is a country in which the European Union is interested, especially due to its usefulness as a political - and perhaps military - tool against Russia, the country against which the enlargements of the EU and NATO are directed.

Aware of this, Volodymyr Zelensky, who denounced a Russian bombing that left dozens dead in the Kharkiv region - Ukraine claims it was a wake, while Russian sources claim it was an act by the Aidar battalion - actively uses that advantage. for your benefit. Also yesterday, the Ukrainian president used geopolitical and security arguments to achieve his objectives, that is, preferential rapprochement with the European Union and more weapons and financing for the common war against Russia. In this game, Ukraine knows that its trick is to offer itself to the EU and NATO as a tool against Moscow, which makes it possible for absolutely fallacious arguments to be accepted as dogma. This is the case of continental security.

The use that Western countries can make of Ukraine as a tool against Russia makes the country that for seven years consciously risked a resumption of hostilities by choosing not to implement the peace agreement it had signed - and that European Union leaders had negotiated -, can present itself as a champion and guarantee of peace without receiving reproaches. “We are working together with our partners to improve the European security architecture, in particular regional security. “Ukraine has substantial proposals in this regard,” Zelensky said.

During his visit, Zelensky received all kinds of praise from the host, Pedro Sánchez, who defined the war as “a conflict that threatens, dear Volodymyr, global stability and security.” The acting President of the Government of Spain linked his interpretation of the current situation with the work of Federico García Lorca and his ideas of freedom and fight for the most vulnerable. In this war without analysis, without context and without nuances, the death of Federico, murdered and disappeared by fascism, can be used in favor of a country in which the Mariupol journalist Sergey Dolgov, editor of a local communist newspaper, disappeared. When a Greek communist deputy brought the issue to the European Parliament with a parliamentary question to the then leader of community diplomacy, Federica Mogherini,

Harassment, harassment and aggression against all types of non-nationalist dissidents, especially those linked to the left, those who fight for the most vulnerable, precedes the Russian invasion by many years and continues today. The image of Federico García Lorca raising his fist at the founding of the Association of Friends of the Soviet Union, for example, would be illegal in Ukraine, which has demonized everything related to the Soviet past except for the borders it inherited from the Republic Ukrainian Soviet Socialist. With all left-wing parties banned and their media, even local ones, silenced, any demonstration of support for symbols such as the hammer and sickle, even a like on social media, may be susceptible to criminal prosecution.

However, none of this was a concern for the European Union before 2022 and is even less of a problem today. In the latest report on Ukraine's progress in meeting the requirements to begin accession negotiations with the bloc, Ursula von der Leyen highlighted the issue of press freedom as one of the points on which Kiev had complied with the requirements. As she publishes this week Politico , it is expected that the talks will begin in December. The announcement of accession could be made, according to the media, at the beginning of next year.

Ukraine's ability to justify the unity of the bloc against Russia and the making of decisions that had been impossible until now - the increase in military spending, uncontrolled expansion, the breaking of economic relations with the largest country on the continent and the turn of the EU towards increasingly belligerent geopolitical positions not only against Russia but also against China - are more than enough arguments for a country that does not meet the requirements to be admitted to the bloc through an evidently simplified route and access created to measure. All the acts that the different institutions and creations of the European Union currently carry out are aimed at this.

https://slavyangrad.es/2023/10/06/agend ... more-28293

Google Translator

******

Chronicle of a special military operation for October 5, 2023
October 6, 2023
Rybar

From the very morning, the enemy launched massive combined attacks on Russian territories, including using cluster munitions. The civilian infrastructure of the Belgorod , Kursk , Bryansk , and Kherson regions , as well as the DPR , was under enemy fire . Unfortunately, there were casualties - three people were killed, eight more were injured in Gorlovka as a result of shelling and the detonation of an unexploded cassette from a 155-mm shell.

At the front, the enemy made several unsuccessful attempts to attack in the Torskoye area in the Starobelsky direction . Heavy fighting continues in the Kleshcheevka area in the Soledarsky sector . In the Orekhovsky sector , the Armed Forces of Ukraine are carrying out a rotation after heavy losses near Rabotino , the intensity of the fighting has decreased. In the Kherson direction, battles continue for Pereyaslavsky Island , as well as in the area of ​​​​the Antonovsky Bridge . Despite the losses, the Ukrainian Armed Forces continue to hold their bridgeheads.

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The situation on the front line and combat operations

Positional battles continue in the Starobelsky direction in the Serebryansky forestry area ; units of the Russian Armed Forces repelled all the advances of the Ukrainian formations. In the Torskoye area , the enemy, numbering up to several platoons and two armored vehicles from the 63rd infantry brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, attempted to attack Russian positions. Having lost up to ten people killed and one piece of equipment, he retreated.


In the Soledar direction, fierce clashes continue over the railway near Kleshcheevka and Andreevka . The Ukrainian Armed Forces made several attempts to attack in small groups, but were unsuccessful. Russian artillery is working against approaching enemy reinforcements.


Positional battles continue in the South Donetsk direction without changing the configuration of the front line. The enemy's rear targets are being attacked by aircraft and artillery of the Russian Armed Forces, and a counter-battery fight is underway.

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In the Orekhovsky sector, the plans of the Ukrainian command changed somewhat: due to failures in the assault on the Rabotino - Verbovoye line , the Ukrainian Armed Forces began to prepare for defense in the autumn-winter period. Due to large losses and the lack of serious successes, the enemy command plans to focus on pinning strikes along the front in small groups in order to prevent the transfer of the Russian Armed Forces to other directions. North of Orekhov, intensive training is underway for four assault units of the 3rd battalion of the 82nd airborne brigade of the Ukrainian DShV. New units will replace those currently located at Verbovoy .


Just the other day, Russian fighters carried out a counterattack west of Verbovoy with artillery support, as a result of which 12 people from the 82nd brigade were killed and another 25 were injured. To strengthen its capabilities, the enemy transferred units of the 80th airborne brigade to Yurkovka to help the 82nd airborne brigade. As part of the brigades, mine trawls are installed on tanks to overcome minefields. Judging by the plans, the Ukrainian Armed Forces plan to attack in small groups from Zherebyanki to Marthopol in order to divert attention from the build-up of forces in the Kherson direction, where pontoon-bridge formations have already been deployed.

According to some reports, in the evening the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched an offensive in the area of ​​the village of Kopani in the Orekhovsky sector, but there is no confirmed information yet.

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In the Kherson direction, the main events unfolded in the island zone of the Dnieper. On Pereyaslavsky ( Kazatsky ) island, Ukrainian units from the tactical group (TG) “Omaha” continue to hold the bridgehead, no matter what. TGr's losses are growing, one of the formations has already been withdrawn for replacement. Russian troops are actively targeting the island with air bombs and artillery. From time to time the enemy tries to carry out a rotation on boats, and the Russian Armed Forces sink the boats.

To the west the situation is somewhat more complicated. Yesterday evening, to strengthen the group, construction materials and ammunition were delivered from Pridneprovsky and Sadovoy on six boats to equip positions on Alekseevsky Island. Also, a sabotage group of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is actively operating near the Antonovsky Bridge . Cover is provided by mortar crews, and guidance is provided by reconnaissance groups of the 35th Marine Brigade equipped with UAVs.

We also observe interesting changes in the direction of the Kinburn Peninsula . TOPAZ military satellites photographed objects in several settlements in this area. The attention of the “Topaz”, together with the transfer of four brigades of marines, including to Ochakov , as well as the activity of the DRG GUR from the Odessa region near the Tendrovskaya Spit , suggests that it is here that an attempt to force the water barrier and further movement inland is possible.

Shelling of rear areas and residential areas

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The Ukrainian Armed Forces carried out strikes during the day and attacked the border area in the Bryansk region with drones . In the village of Suzemka , power lines were damaged as a result of the shelling; the consequences of the accident have now been eliminated, and there were no casualties. Local residents reported arrivals in the area of ​​the village of Klimovo ; there was no information about injuries or damage. In the sky over the Starodub district and Bryansk , an aircraft-type UAV of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was intercepted, without consequences.

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Ukrainian formations carried out massive combined attacks on populated areas of the Kursk region . A Ukrainian Armed Forces drone dropped several explosive devices on the central substation of the city of Sudzha , leaving 14 settlements without electricity. In the village of Glushkovo , another UAV of Ukrainian forces attacked a substation, cutting off power to 53 settlements. Local residents also reported damage to a substation in the village of Korenevo, the regional governor confirmed the damage, and restoration work is underway.

In the city of Rylsk , Ukrainian formations fired cluster munitions from MLRS, presumably "Hurricane", one woman was wounded, she is receiving medical assistance. In the populated area itself, multiple damage to houses and cars was recorded, the damage is being assessed, and sappers are working. In addition, local residents reported shelling of the village of Tetkino and the village of Kozino ; there is no information about casualties or damage. In the evening, an air target was shot down in the sky over Kursk : the regional governor reported on the work of air defense, there are no details yet.

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In the Belgorod region, daily attacks by Ukrainian forces on border settlements do not stop. The Ukrainian Armed Forces shelled the village of Shebekinsky twice . Shell fragments damaged power lines, eight residential buildings and a bus, but no one was injured. The center of the city of Shebekino also came under fire . The building of a non-operating bakery, a shopping center undergoing renovation, as well as several administrative buildings were damaged. There were no casualties.

In the Grayvoronsky urban district, air defense crews shot down an aircraft-type drone of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the sky over the village of Gorkovsky , there were no injuries or damage. Local residents also reported shelling of the villages of Borki , Terebreno and Krapivnoye , in the latter residential buildings were damaged, but no official information has yet been received.

In the evening, the Ukrainian Armed Forces conducted a massive drone raid on the region. Over Belgorod and the Belgorod region, air defense crews shot down six aircraft-type UAVs; there were no casualties.

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The Ukrainian Armed Forces continue shelling populated areas of the Donetsk People's Republic , including using cluster munitions. As a result of the detonation of an unexploded shell, one teenager in the Kalininsky district of Gorlovka , who was trying to dismantle it, was killed, and three more were injured. In the Nikitovsky district , two women were killed and five more people were injured. In addition, several houses and a cultural center were slightly damaged, the shells also damaged power lines, and the villages of Golmovsky , Nikitovka and Zaitsevo were cut off from power.

In the Kuybyshevsky district of Donetsk, a man was killed as a result of a direct hit by a shell on a house. In the Kirovsky and Petrovsky districts there is destruction of civilian infrastructure, but there are no casualties. One man received shrapnel wounds as a result of the explosion of an unknown explosive object in the Kommunarovka area of ​​the Starobeshevsky district. In Yasinovataya , the building of a local distribution zone was damaged. Ozeryanovka and Mironovsky also came under attack ; there was no information about the destruction.

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In the Kherson region, attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the left bank of the Dnieper continue. Kakhovka , Radensk , Novaya Kakhovka and Golaya Pristan are under enemy fire . In Malaya Lepetikha , a fire broke out as a result of shelling, and a civilian was wounded by shrapnel. In Knyaz - Grigorivka , eight arrivals were recorded, several buildings and fences were cut by shrapnel. In Novaya Zburevka and Proletarka, several UAVs of Ukrainian formations were shot down.

Political events
On the possible supply of German Taurus missiles and other weapons to Ukraine

The German newspaper Bild reports that the German government has no plans to supply Ukraine with Taurus long-range missiles in the near future . According to the publication, Germany has not yet sent an official refusal to supply Ukraine, but during non-public discussions “made it clear that missiles will not be supplied for now.” Journalists add that Chancellor Olaf Scholz is leaving the Taurus issue open for Ukraine, but future deliveries are considered extremely unlikely.

This insight through a yellowish German newspaper should be perceived as part of the game and a way to balance the calls of the military-industrial complex lobbyists to accelerate the supply of weapons to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which obviously do not fall in unison with the coordinated pressure of the West on Ukraine. The Kyiv regime is expected to “war until the last Ukrainian” and take more decisive action before providing advanced weapons. And in this matter, Berlin is relying on the go-ahead from Washington - as soon as the White House officially announces the use of ATACMS in Ukraine, Germany will immediately send Taurus.

At the same time, other arms deliveries from Germany have been announced. Olaf Scholz promised to supply Ukraine with another Patriot air defense system , and the German arms concern Rheinmetall confirmed the start of deliveries to Ukraine of a new batch of automated reconnaissance anti-UAV systems SurveilSpire .

On Crimea’s demand for compensation from Ukraine

The head of the Crimean parliament said that Crimea will demand that Ukraine pay each resident of the peninsula 200 thousand rubles for the water blockade as moral compensation. The total amount of the claim will be 3.066 trillion rubles. The plaintiff will be the Public Chamber of Crimea.

On recognizing the oppression of the UOC as a violation of human rights

The report of the Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights states that Vladimir Zelensky’s actions against the UOC are a violation of human rights. In particular, the violations included the termination of the lease agreement for the Kiev - Pechersk Lavra , as well as the massive use of physical violence and threats against clergy and parishioners.

https://rybar.ru/hronika-speczialnoj-vo ... 2023-goda/

(Other images at link.)

Google Translator

*****

NO THANKS FOR THE MEMORY – POLAND IS AFRAID TO UPSET THE NATO WAR AGAINST RUSSIA BY PROSECUTING YAROSLAV HUNKA

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By John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

The Polish government is dragging its feet, closing its eyes, and covering its mouth over prosecution of Ukrainian war crimes against Poles, Jews, and Russians during the German war of 1939 to 1945.

Officials reveal they are reluctant to pursue the Canadian Ukrainian Yaroslav Hunka (lead image, right) for war crimes against Poles and Jews between 1943 and 1945, when Hunka was a volunteer in the German-led SS unit, the SS Waffen Grenadier Galician Division. After it was routed by the Red Army at the Battle of Brody in July 1944, Hunka and the survivors fled southwest where the German SS command re-formed them in a new unit called the SS 14th Grenadier Division; later the 1st Ukrainian Division, which in May 1945 surrendered to the British Army. But not before the Ukrainians had operated against the anti-German partisans of Slovakia, Yugoslavia, and Austria, where investigations have identified more of their war crimes.*

There is also more to the Polish government’s reluctance. It is a combination of misinformation, deliberate inaction, and camouflage to pacify Jewish communities in the US, Israel and Canada; satisfy the Ukrainian diaspora of Canada led by Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland (lead image, left); and mislead Polish voters who go to the polls in ten days’ time.

The four Polish officials responsible for this deceit are the former prime minister Beata Szydlo; the current minister of education Przemysław Czarnek; the chief archivist and spokesman for the Institute of National Remembrance (IPN) Rafał Leśkiewicz, who is also an adviser to Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki; and Poland’s ambassador to Canada in Ottawa, Witold Dzielski.

Despite their public statements about the Hunka case, they are Russia haters, proponents of the war against Russia, and defenders of the Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky.

To obscure the contradiction between what the four have said publicly after Hunka was saluted by Zelensky and the Canadian parliament on September 22, and what they have done behind the scenes with senior officials in Warsaw, they are now covering up what Polish, British, Yugoslav, and Russian records already expose of Hunka’s wartime actions, along with those of the Galician units in which he participated.

Cynically, the four Poles are proposing to request information and assistance from the two sources certain not to provide it, the Canadian and Ukrainian governments; and make promises to the Polish media certain that journalists will ask no further questions.

It was past midnight on Saturday morning, September 23, when the news of Zelensky’s speech and the Canadian parliament salute to Hunka first reached Warsaw. Szydlo was first to respond publicly after she had eaten her lunch on Monday afternoon.

She had been the Law and Justice (PiS) party’s prime minister between 2015 and 2017, after succeeding Mateusz Morawiecki. He then succeeded her and remains in the job. But Morawiecki made no response himself to the news from Ottawa. Speaking at an election rally on the Friday, September 22, before the House of Commons session started in Ottawa, Morawiecki had told Polish voters: “I want to tell President Zelensky never to insult Poles again, as he did recently during his speech at the UN.” Morawiecki then took time off from the Ukrainians over his weekend.

So did the Polish President, Andrzej Duda. Two days before the Ottawa events, he had told a London newspaper that “Ukraine is behaving like a drowning person clinging to anything available. A drowning person is extremely dangerous, capable of pulling you down to the depths … simply drown the rescuer. We have the right to defend ourselves against harm being done to us.” Duda was hitting at Ukrainian dumping of farm products in Poland, which is an acute grievance among the farmers of eastern Poland where the PiS draws its majority voter support.

The next day, Friday morning, Duda softened on the Ukrainians. “I have no doubt, “ he now claimed, “that the dispute over the supply of grain from Ukraine to the Polish market is an absolute fragment of the entire Polish-Ukrainian relations. I don’t believe that it can have a significant impact on them, so we need to solve this matter between us.”

On Sunday, Polish Foreign Minister Zbigniew Rau spent his sabbath attacking the Germans, the bigger traditional enemies of Poland, not the lesser Ukrainians. At a meeting with Polish businessmen he attacked Chancellor Olaf Scholz for publicizing the innuendo that the government in Warsaw has been corruptly granting visas to Ukrainian refugees to induce them to move out of Poland and on to Germany. “The competence of the German Chancellor clearly does not concern the ongoing proceedings in Poland,” Rau said. “Statements in this regard indicate an attempt to interfere in the internal affairs of the Polish state and the ongoing electoral campaign in Poland.”

Between themselves, the president, prime minister, and foreign minister had decided not to say anything on Hunka. Szydlo, it was agreed, would speak instead; that’s to say, tweet once.

She claimed the Canadian MPs didn’t know what they were doing in their standing ovations for Hunka, Zelensky likewise. “Canadian politicians – though it doesn’t speak well of them – may not have known who they were applauding. But did the Ukrainian president not guess what a 98-year-old ‘Ukrainian hero’ was doing during World War II? Perhaps President @ZelenskyyUa didn’t notice the problem, just as he didn’t pay much attention to the increasingly widespread cult in Ukraine of WWII Ukrainian formations collaborating with Nazi Germany. In recent months, Ukrainians have fought bravely against Russia and seemed to have new heroes. I hope that Ukrainian identity will not be built on a foundation of red and black tradition.”

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“Applause by @ZelenskyyUa and @JustinTrudeau of an SS Galizien veteran in the Canadian parliament is part of a broader problem. Canadian politicians – though it doesn’t speak well of them – may not have known who they were applauding. But did the Ukrainian president not guess what a 98-year-old “Ukrainian hero” was doing during World War II?

Perhaps President @ZelenskyyUa didn’t notice the problem, just as he didn’t pay much attention to the increasingly widespread cult in Ukraine of WWII Ukrainian formations collaborating with Nazi Germany.

In recent months, Ukrainians have fought bravely against Russia and seemed to have new heroes. I hope that Ukrainian identity will not be built on a foundation of red and black tradition”.

Source: https://twitter.com/

Przemysław Czarnek, the PiS party’s minister of education, followed a day later on Tuesday. “In view of the scandalous events in the Canadian Parliament, which involved honouring, in the presence of President Zelensky, a member of the criminal Nazi SS Galician formation, I have taken steps towards the possible extradition of this man to Poland,” Czarnek wrote in a mid-morning tweet.

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Source: https://twitter.com/

Czarnek attached a letter he had just written to the head of the Institute of Public Remembrance (IPN is the Polish acronym):
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That was the first step Czarnek took on the Hunka case. It was also his last; he hasn’t mentioned the issue again publicly. Czarnek has also said nothing about the Ukraine war or Ukrainians during the election campaign. He has concentrated instead on winning voter sentiment against Russia which Czarnek equates with Marxism and atheism. “Marxism is unfortunately taking over universities in Poland, including the University of Warsaw,” he has announced in the case of a student reprimanded for electioneering for the PiS. “If [this student] were a member of the Left’s youth wing, he would be honoured with medals by these Marxists for expressing his views. This is the problem of today’s world in the academic sphere.” Czarnek has also attacked Polish academics who have published the historical evidence of Polish collaboration in the killing of Polish Jews.

“Poland will either be Christian or it will not exist,” Czarnek added the week before the Ottawa episode. By this Czarnek meant to establish Polish credentials as crusaders against godlessness to its west and also to the east. “Those who today not only throw off Christian values, but fight against them, are trying to forcefully throw out the key to understanding Polishness…[Poland’s survival as] “a great, strong nation between Russia and Germany…If there were only those among us who cut off – who sawed off – Christianity, we would probably be speaking Russian or German today”.

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Przemysław Czarnek at a seminarian ceremony on September 10. Source: https://notesfrompoland.com/

To avoid offending Jews, Czarnek then promoted the memory of Polish Christians who were murdered by the Germans for trying to shield and hide their Jewish neighbours during the war.

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Source: https://twitter.com/

To Czarnek’s letter to IPN, there was a prompt reply from Rafał Leśkiewicz, the Institute’s spokesman. On September 27, he said “the [IPN] prosecutor will take steps to obtain foreign legal assistance to obtain information on Hunka…The request is to be addressed to the Canadian authorities. He recalled that there is no doubt that Hunka, upon entering Canada, had to provide information about himself to immigration authorities. Leskiewicz added that Hunka’s case is reminiscent of that of Ivan Demyaniuk, a Ukrainian guard at the German camps at Treblinka, Sobibor, Flossenburg and Majdanek, who fled to the US after the war and was deported to Germany and later tried and convicted.”

Following the Ottawa salute to Hunka, Leśkiewicz claimed an investigation is under way of the role of the Galician division, and of Hunka’s unit, in the murder of more than 800 Poles at Huta Pieniacka. “This investigation is being conducted by the Branch Commission of Crimes against the Polish Nation in Cracow. The crime of February 28, 1944 was the largest crime committed by the SS Galizien.”

Leśkiewicz is a historian who has worked at the IPN for more than twenty years; he headed the IPN archives since 2010. He then directed the computerisation of the Institute’s files in 2016. With rapid access to these, Leśkiewicz and his subordinates may already know what Galician division units were at Huta Pieniacka. In a telephone interview, he said some of the IPN files are digitised; many are not. “Are you sure Hunka is his real name?” he said. “We are not,” adding that for checking this and other details the IPN investigation “will last some weeks.”

In the press briefing the IPN spokesman gave, he added that “soldiers of the formation in which Hunka served are also suspected of committing crimes in Iwonicz, Chodaczkowo Wielki, Prehoryłe and Smoligów. He added that the purpose of analysing dozens of volumes of files is to check whether Hunka’s name appears in them. Dr. Leśkiewicz emphasized that these actions were taken immediately after receiving information about Jarosław Hunka and the greeting for him with an ovation by the Canadian parliament and President Zelensky.”

“Regardless of these analyses, the prosecutor will take action to obtain foreign legal assistance in order to obtain information about Hunka. The request is to be addressed to the Canadian authorities. He recalled that Hunka undoubtedly had to provide information about himself to the immigration authorities when he entered Canada. Leśkiewicz added that the case of Hunka resembles the case of Ivan Demjanjuk, a Ukrainian guard in the German camps in Treblinka, Sobibór, Flossenburg and Majdanek, who fled to the US after the war and was deported to Germany, and then tried and convicted. The IPN spokesman added that other directions of archival research concerning Hunka are also being analysed. Perhaps information about him is in the Ukrainian archives. Recently, as part of legal assistance, Ukrainians gave us documents concerning the crime in Huta Pieniacka. The investigation documents have already been supplemented with these materials.”

According to this statement by Leśkiewicz, the IPN in Warsaw and the Cracow branch are looking to Canada and the Ukraine for information. They are not acknowledging that the most detailed and comprehensive files on Hunka and the other members of the Galician division which surrendered to the British Army in May 1945, are in the UK.

The British “Rimini List”, for example, is the alphabetical roll of every Ukrainian in the prisoner-of-war camp run near Rimini, Italy, from 1945 and 1947. The Rimini List is still classified as a British state secret. Even more secret are the records of the combined services interrogation units and the subsequent recruitment of Ukrainians for anti-Soviet operations by the British Secret Intelligence Service (MI6). Hunka was under British guard and control from May 1945 until 1954, when he emigrated to Canada; the British files on Hunka are likely to be more thorough than the Canadian and Ukrainian papers. In Warsaw Leśkiewicz said by telephone he is not himself familiar with the Rimini List or the British files on the Galician division and Hunka. Until now there has been no IPN contact with the UK authorities, he said. “I don’t know exactly the plan of the prosecutors. It is secret.”

IPN has been particularly supportive of the Canadian military since the special military operation began in February of 2022. Eight months later, in October 2022, an IPN delegation paid an official visit to the Royal Canadian Military Institute to plan “the mission, aims and goals of the two institutions and a discussion on possible future forms of cooperation.”

The IPN director, Karol Nawrocki, is as anti-Russian, and in favour of the war, as the rest of the PiS government and the NATO allies. “Though weakened and impoverished by the fall of the Evil Empire,” Nawrocki wrote in an essay published on the IPN website on September 19, “Moscow has not stopped seeing Poland and most of our neighbours as part of its sphere of influence. In this respect, the current geopolitical visions of Putin’s criminal regime hardly differ from the Red dictators’ superpower assumptions in the Soviet era. As someone who firmly believes in the role of history as a teacher of life, I find this lesson particularly relevant today.” The title of Nawrocki’s piece is “Three centuries under the Russian bayonet”.

At the Foreign Ministry in Warsaw, Rau decided to limit official reaction to the Ottawa salute for Hunka to a script prepared for the Polish ambassador, Witold Dzielski, to make public in English. Witold received his orders from Warsaw over Sunday night, and in the early morning of Monday, Ottawa time, he issued a tweet. He told the Canadian government he “expected[ed] an apology”. This was several hours before Szydlo issued her semi-official tweet for Polish consumption.

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Source: https://twitter.com/

There has been no further tweet on the Hunka affair from the ambassador since then.

Instead, Dzielski gave three Canadian media interviews, starting on September 25 with the state organ, the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation (CBC). By then House Speaker Anthony Rota had issued his Sunday apology, taking “full responsibility” for inviting Hunka to the House session with Zelensky. “In my remarks following the address of the President of Ukraine,” Rota announced, “I recognised an individual in the gallery. I have subsequently become aware of more information which causes me to regret my decision to do so. I particularly want to extend my deepest apologies to Jewish communities in Canada and around the world. I accept full responsibility for my actions.”

This apology had been prepared in advance with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. It wasn’t good enough for the Poles, Dzielski was told by Warsaw to say – with the qualification that he was not to attack Zelensky or the war against Russia. The “priority is continuously to provide support to Ukraine that is fighting a brutal, horrid oppressor,” the ambassador began his remarks to CBC. “The problem is that it [Rota’s apology] is not complete.”

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Source: https://www.cbc.ca/

Asked what the ambassador wanted Canadians to understand about the Galician division, he said: “I don’t want to go into detail…because this is a difficult element of Polish-Ukrainian history. And I don’t want to allow the Russian trolls to play with our discussion.” Dzielski went on to say he had spoken earlier that day with Rota. “He apologised, as he did in the public. The meeting was full of understanding, so to speak.” Dzielski added that he supported prosecution of Hunka.

“We need to make sure…er, this is a lesson. It should make us stronger as allies, and it should not stop us in providing support to those who are fighting for freedom, for democracy, and for security of our countries… the Polish people, Polish voters as well, need to understand that we need to remain friends of Ukrainian. This is essential. ”

In his speech Dzielski carefully avoided using Hunka’s name. He also avoided the words German, Nazi, and fascist. He wanted to avoid, he repeated, assisting “Russian trolls”.

Dzielski then spoke to CTV News. He exonerated Zelensky. “ cannot imagine” that he understood who he was applauding on Friday. “For me, this is not possible.”

“This is a person,” the ambassador meant Hunka, not Zelensky, “who participated in an organization that was targeting Poles, was committing mass murders of Poles, not only the military personnel but also civilians. For me, such people should not be present in public life and probably should be prosecuted.” He repeated the point: “That person should not have appeared in any public place, to tell you the truth, due to his history in SS Galicia [he should] face prosecution for what his unit was doing.”

Exactly who should prosecute Hunka, if anyone, Dzielski tried to avoid the next day when he gave his third Canadian press interview. “I don’t think we’re beginning an extradition process. There was a request of a Polish minister to the Institute of National Remembrance to consider that option. This institution in particular is very important in Poland and its role is to preserve the memory and to investigate crimes against the Polish nation, historically speaking. So, I’m sure this request will be considered at the Institute of National Remembrance, and possible some steps will follow. But at this point, it’s the first steps of the request for the institute to get involved in the process.”

On September 29 Fakt, a large-circulation Polish tabloid owned by the German Springer group, questioned what IPN was planning to investigate.

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Fakt report of September 29.

“‘The prosecutor is currently reviewing all the evidence,’ the institute’s spokesman, Dr. Rafał Leśkiewicz, told Fakt. He also explained what the next moves would be. ‘Then we will apply to the Canadian authorities, but also to the Ukrainian authorities for access for us within the framework of international legal assistance to all documents concerning Yaroslav Hunka. There is a high probability that as a member of the SS Galizien he could have participated in actions directed against the Polish underground or civilians in the lands that were part of the Second Polish Republic before 1939,’ emphasises the historian. ‘We want to verify that. We also want to find out what Mr. Jarosław Hunka wrote in his immigration documents when he entered Canada, what facts from his life he gave and whether he wrote the truth.’

‘We are also conducting a query in the archive of the Institute of National Remembrance to verify whether we can find any materials concerning this person in our documents. I hope that soon we will be able to report a little more about what we have been able to find. If it turns out that Jarosław Hunka took part in the massacre that the SS Galizien committed during the pacification of Huta Pieniacka, or took part in committing other crimes, the Institute does not intend to let go.’ When asked how realistic it is to bring a man before a Polish court, taking into account his age, Dr. Leśkiewicz dispels doubts, emphasizing that although it is difficult to determine at the moment how the case will go, such a legal possibility exists.”

‘In a situation where it turns out that Hunka took part in crimes against Poles, we will make every effort to be able to bring him to Poland and bring him to court. However, we know very well that this is a long-term process. Hunka is 98 years old, but his age here does not prejudge the possibility of charging and bringing him to justice for crimes he may have committed. Anyway, there are examples of sentencing the elderly. At the end of 2022, a former secretary from [concentration camp] Stutthof, 98-year-old Irmgard F. was convicted of aiding and abetting crimes.”

Not only did Leśkiewicz withhold the full name of Irmgard Furchner, he omitted to say it was a German court which tried and convicted her, not a Polish court, although the Stutthof concentration camp was near Gdansk, in Poland; and that in addition to Jews murdered there, many thousands of Poles, Russians, and other nationalities were also killed.

What other restrictions have been placed on IPN and Polish prosecution Leśkiewicz was asked directly this week. Why is the IPN focusing on the two governments least likely to give up any information about Ukrainian war crimes, the Ukrainian and Canadian governments, when the most extensive records are the British files on the Galician division and Hunka, after they became prisoners of war? “I am sure we will ask the British”, Leśkiewicz said. “We will do it.”


[*] In the September 25 session of the House of Commons which followed the Hunka salute, this is what MP Michelle Rempel Garner said: “the individual in question who was recognised on Friday was part of the division that was used against the Slovak National Uprising, which was the military uprising organized by Slovak resistance movements during World War II, comprising the anti-Nazi political faction of the Slovak nation, which is my heritage. Units of this division this man [Hunka] fought with were sent to help squash the Slovak rebellion. Battle groups were formed to actively search out and destroy members of the resistance. According to Slovak historian Karol Fremal, the division's members were helping anti-partisan, repressive and terrorist actions, and they committed murders and other excesses.”

https://johnhelmer.net/no-thanks-for-th ... more-88634

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SITREP 10/4/23: The Beginning of a Long Fall for Ukraine

SIMPLICIUS THE THINKER
OCT 4, 2023

As we head into fall and winter, the situation continues to worsen for Ukraine. The biggest developments have happened outside the locus of the conflict itself, but rather in the geopolitical scene where Ukraine is faced with a disastrous loss of financial support.

The U.S. House of Representatives has just removed its Speaker for the first time in history, primarily over his secret side deal with Biden to get funding to Ukraine. Some of the current options on the table for his replacement would spell disaster for Ukraine as they are all staunchly anti-funding Republicans.


On top of that, there’s been a concerted media campaign to really push the narrative that European weapons are completely running out:

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The narrative is now coming fairly out into the open on both sides. In the West, top officials are actively speaking on how Putin plans to “fatigue” the West into giving up on Ukraine, while Russian officials like Medvedev are openly admitting to this fact, and stating that the West will give up on Ukraine soon.

The West has never looked weaker, not only in general, but specifically vis a vis their support for Ukraine. All of their recent attempts at portraying a unified front look increasingly hollow and desperate. The facade is literally falling apart before our very eyes, showcased most poignantly in this Sky News interview with Ukrainian MP Lesia Vasylenko, which was taken down soon after because of how inconvenient her “slip ups” were in admitting that Russia is winning the war:

But these latest things are just the outward manifestation of something that had privately started long ago. Ukraine’s support had already been slowly coming to a trickle:

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And the fact is, this is not something you can turn around even if you wanted to. The way military support works is your logistics chains from many months ago are critical to the efforts of today. What would be essential to a hypothetical Ukrainian spring 2024 offensive would need to be heavy arms shipping now. The fact that there is nothing new of note being shipped means Ukraine’s near and medium term future look stark.

CNN and others had forecast this gloomy change weeks ago:

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Now, in a desperate plea to reengage the public on the putative ‘threat’ that Russia poses in defeating Ukraine, the globalist scriptwriters have rolled out a new narrative: saving Ukraine means saving Taiwan from China. You can see this—as usual—in the orchestrated nature of the sudden, totally aligned messaging, which has clearly been sent down as ‘guidance’ from above.

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<snip>

This represents a fairly prosaic and predictable escalation in language. They have no other way to fearmonger the progressively disinterested populace other than bringing up the specter of some other newer, larger looming conflict as consequence of losing this one.

In reality, it’s probably likelier that Russia losing the war, rather than winning, would cause China to invade Taiwan. The reason being that Russia losing the war would greatly destabilize the world by giving a huge new power boost to the West. And given their precedent to always escalate to bring dominion and hegemony to their adversaries, the West will use the momentum of that victory to up the ante on their pressure against China—that perennial pressure to slowly chip away at and balkanize all competitors.

Russia winning on the other hand would give the West a major reality check which would greatly weaken them and could lead to their backing off on the Taiwan issue, particularly due to the fact that many “heads will roll” in Western leadership, most of whom will be the top ‘swamp’ creatures of the deepstate.

This will lower tensions and lead to China banking on the eventual mutual-political reunion with Taiwan, rather than a forced military take over. You see, China doesn’t want to invade Taiwan—just like Russia didn’t want to invade Ukraine. China made that clear many times that they are completely against it, and are seeking a natural reunification driven by consensus from both sides. However, if the West corners China by continuing to arm Taiwan (as they’ve begun doing now) and turning Taiwan into a similar dangerous thorn in China’s side, then China will have no choice but to “pull the bandaid off” and effect a sharp military take over.

Thus, I believe the calculus is as follows: Russia wins in Ukraine = the West is weakened and pressure on Taiwan defuses, lessening the chances of war and strengthening the chances of China pursuing peaceful reunification.

Russia loses in Ukraine = the West gets arrogant and uses their victory as proof they can weaken China the same way they did to Russia. This will lead China to feel they have no alternative than to act decisively.

(Much more...)

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sit ... -of-a-long

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Further to “Divine Intervention”: Too good to be true?
October 5, 2023

I am glad to see that my last newsletter found a strong reception among subscribers and that a goodly number of you have sent me emails asking whether my newfound optimism regarding an early end to the war in Ukraine is justified.

The maximum consequence of the political stalemate in America is that the Ukrainians will run out of munitions before Congress can authorize additional military aid to them. At a minimum, the Ukrainians and their backers in Europe will be demoralized by the chaos in America even if appropriations are eventually voted. Given the importance of the psychological dimension, that alone can hasten the denouement of regime change in Kiev and Ukrainian capitulation.

Allow me to add here an additional consideration underpinning my argument for the ”vacancy” of the House Speaker’s post being a godsend.

No one can say how long the Senate Republicans will be fighting among themselves before they reach a consensus on who should succeed McCarthy in the speakership, putting an end to the present chaos. However, this period of confusion provides the Russians with a window of opportunity to proceed with their new thinking on how to end this war quickly and with minimum loss of life among their armed forces.

There has been very little coverage of this in the media, Russian state media as well as Western media, but the fact remains that in the past few weeks the Russians have been testing the effectiveness of using heavy bombs, both expensive smart and cheap dumb bombs, to pound Ukrainian fortified positions and troop concentrations. So far these have been 1.5 ton bombs. But there are in the Russian arsenal larger and still more devastating bombs weighing up to 9 tons.

On yesterday’s morning edition of Sixty Minutes, the regular military expert panelist on the show who is also a contributor to the country’s leading newspaper Rossiiskaya Gazeta, stated explicitly that this is the best way to end the war quickly.

He pointed to the NATO operations in a bombing campaign on Belgrade and more widely in Serbia during 1999. Though there were more than a thousand NATO aircraft engaged in bombing Serbia during that campaign, the expert drew attention to the heavy bombs flown in directly from the States on B2 stealth bombers and even on transport planes. He maintained that heavy bombs can be a game changer today, especially while the Russians still enjoy unchallenged air dominance. As we know, F16s and Typhoons will be made available to the Ukrainians rather soon.

Washington is usually intimating that Russia plans to use tactical nuclear weapons to have its way in the war. However, Moscow is now saying it can take a page from U.S. military practice and get the job done with highly impactful conventional weapons. Forget the drones, artillery duels, trench digging and war of attrition: the Russians can perhaps bomb their way to victory.

Confusion and navel gazing in Washington provide excellent cover for a Russian breakthrough, one way or another. The other way is, of course, to stage a massive ground offensive, for which the Russians have the men and materiel prepared already. But that will be more costly in the lives of their own men and will take longer, giving the Americans and their allies time to implement a new round of escalation that brings us closer to a full-blown NATO-Russia war.

How this plays out will be clear in the coming weeks.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2023

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US and Allies ‘Extremely Unhappy’ About Slovakian Election: Alexander Mercouris
OCTOBER 4, 2023

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Promotional billboard for Fico's campaign in Slovakia. Photo: Boell.de.

(OrinocoTribune.com)—The Social Democratic party (Smer) of Robert Fico won last week’s parliamentary election in Slovakia. Among other campaign promises, Fico pledged to immediately halt his country’s substantial military aid to Ukraine.

“People in Brussels, in London, in Berlin, and in Washington are extremely unhappy about these developments,” said Alexander Mercouris, political analyst with Youtube channel The Duran.

Fico was prime minister of Slovakia from 2006 to 2010 and again from 2012 to 2018. His Smer party (called Direction in English) was created following a split within the Party of the Democratic Left which, in turn, was the successor to the Communist Party of Czecho-Slovakia, which held power during the Czechoslovak Socialist Republic. In 2018, amid a national scandal surrounding the murder of journalist Ján Kuciak, who had been investigating Italian criminal networks operating in Slovakia, Fico resigned in order to allow a new government to be formed.

Mercouris described Fico’s Smer as “what you might call an old-style leftist party, I mean, not the kind of leftists that we have become used to in the West, you know, with a focus on identity and social issues. It is more like Social Democratic parties used to be. Of course, there has been these allegations of corruption and authoritarianism. I am not going to waste time discussing them in this program. The fact is that, being a sort of old-style leftist, almost by definition, is going to make the European elite deeply mistrustful of somebody like Fico.”

Mercouris predicts that the US and its vassals will attempt to destabilize the new Slovakian government, in addition to that of Hungary, where Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has opposed Ukraine’s integration into NATO and the EU.

“They are going to try and undermine the economies of these countries, and Slovakia is a small place, as we have discussed, and, of course, they will use corruption,” said Mercouris on October 2. “They used corruption successfully against Fico before, and they will use corruption to undermine him again. They will try and weaken him by working on his coalition partners, and, of course, they will also organize the usual protests in the streets: young people coming out, easily swept along by the slogans that we have seen used so effectively in so many places. So that kind of campaign for destabilization is probably going to start now, and probably the plans for it are already in place.”

During his previous tenures, Fico opposed planned construction of US military bases in neighboring Czechia and Poland. During his first administration, Fico pulled Slovakian troops out of Iraq and described the US-led war on the country as “unjust and wrong.”

Mercouris noted that the election process was marred by inauspicious details: “The exit poll suggested that, in fact, Fico had lost, and it was the Liberal party that had actually won. For several hours, this was all over the media and, of course, that was not true. It was completely wrong. But it is a good sign that the gremlins are already working, that they are doing the usual things, manipulating surveys and polls, and we will be getting an awful lot more of that over the next few years.”

Although Fico’s party emerged as the leading party in the parliamentary elections, it will need to form a coalition in order to achieve a majority. It is imagined that Fico will be able to band together with the Social Democratic party and the deeply conservative Slovak National Party (SNS), which also opposes continuing military aid to Ukraine.

“For a time, [Fico] was a discredited figure,” explained Mercouris. “His party split… It did not look like he would ever come back, and he has been able to come back because of the stance he took over the war and fact that a solid critical mass of people in Slovakia, a Slavic country, remember, agree with him. So I think this is a solid win, it is a solid coalition government that he is going to form, and it has got a clear agenda.”

https://orinocotribune.com/us-and-allie ... mercouris/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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