Russia today

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Sun Dec 03, 2023 8:49 pm

IN MEMORIAM – BEFORE AND AFTER HENRY KISSINGER TOOK MONEY TO WORK FOR RUSSIA’S PUBLIC ENEMY No. 1, MIKHAIL KHODORKOVSKY

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by John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

When President Vladimir Putin wrote a condolence on the death of Henry Kissinger (lead image), according to the Kremlin communiqué, the president said things in private to Kissinger’s widow which he left unreported to the Russian press.

The Kremlin communiqué says: “Condolences over the passing of Henry Kissinger. Vladimir Putin offered condolences over the passing of Henry Kissinger to his wife, Nancy Kissinger. The message reads, in part: An outstanding diplomat, a wise and far-sighted statesman who enjoyed well-deserved respect around the world for decades, has passed away. Henry Kissinger’s name is inextricably linked with America’s pragmatic foreign policy, which played a pivotal role in defusing international tensions at the time and achieving crucial Soviet-American agreements that contributed to strengthening global security. I had multiple opportunities to talk face-to-face with this profound and extraordinary man, and I will certainly cherish the warmest memories of him.”

What the Russian intelligence services, General Staff, Foreign Ministry, and Russian historians remember about Kissinger, and Putin’s relationship with him, has also not been reported. In the official record of Putin’s communications with Kissinger, Putin himself has never acknowledged, let alone agreed with the official assessments of Kissinger by advisors led by Yevgeny Primakov, former KGB head, foreign minister, prime minister, and, like Kissinger, of Jewish origin. They told Putin that Kissinger was an untrustworthy liar; a violent schemer; a hegemonic expansionist if he could get away with it – always dangerous for Russia’s security.

Putin has revealed that he felt complimented when Kissinger sought him out at the beginning of their relationship in 1992. Putin was then an assistant to Anatoly Sobchak, Mayor of St. Petersburg and candidate to replace Boris Yeltsin as President of Russia; Putin’s role was management of external economic relations. “As for our personal relations [with Kissinger],” Putin said on June 21, 2012, “they began while I was working as deputy mayor of St Petersburg, back in the mid-1990s. You [Kissinger] came here as the head of the Russian-American commission [October 1992]. I am very glad that we have maintained these relations to this day.”

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Kissinger’s group of Americans arrived with their investment pitches a year after the St.Petersburg-Melbourne (Russia-Australia) commission began its meetings on investment cooperation in November 1991. In that commission I played the Kissinger role. Across the table, Putin was in the same position at Sobchak’s left hand; he did not take part in the project negotiations and in the follow-up. Left to right, Mayor Anatoly Sobchak, interpreter, Vladimir Putin; John Helmer, Melbourne Lady Mayoress Colleen Meldrum, Melbourne Lord Mayor Richard Meldrum. Source: https://drive.google.com/

In a 2018 interview with NBC, Putin again referred to that time. “I was Deputy Mayor of St Petersburg. I assumed even greater and broader responsibility. I dealt with St Petersburg’s international ties, and that is a metropolis with a population of five million people. While working in this capacity in St Petersburg, I first met Henry Kissinger. Of course, all this helped me in my work at that time, and my additional experience later helped me in my work in Moscow.”

Follow the Kremlin archive on Putin’s meetings with Kissinger from 1992. And for analysis of Kissinger’s performance, click to read this archive.

Missing from Putin’s recollection of their relationship is the story of Kissinger’s employment by Mikhail Khodorkovsky. Here is that story again.


You can always tell when an American politician is well and truly washed up, a has-been.

He comes to Russia to meet the tsar so that he can go back to Washington and get the Marine salute at the White House before he divulges the very latest on what the big, bad Russian had to say. Since wash-ups and has-beens are mean with folding-money, their expenses have to be paid for by somebody. Sometimes it’s companies that make airplanes, sometimes soda pop. Ex-Senator Gary Hart used to come when he was still in his prime; ex-President Richard Nixon when he was in his dodders. Now it’s the turn of ex-President George Bush Sr. and ex-Secretary of State Henry Kissinger. So long as Boris Yeltsin was in the Kremlin, he could manage to disguise how washed up his guests were, by comparison with himself. President Vladimir Putin is a different kettle of fish.

Putin must return to the United States shortly, and, now that things are going so much worse internationally for the Americans than they had imagined possible the last time Putin met George Bush Jr., it’s no skin off Putin’s nose if he sends his guests back to Washington with a cozy little feeling they aren’t likely to get from reading U.S. Embassy cables or the Washington Post. Not being much of a reader, Bush Jr. prefers to get his intelligence in the form of cozy little feelings.

Besides, Putin is just a little curious himself to see how badly the U.S. government wants to save the necks and fortunes of New Russians like Mikhail Khodorkovsky. Never before has an American of Kissinger’s rank wiped his shoes on the Kremlin doormat as the paid agent of a Russian businessman. So Putin can afford himself the pleasure of observing how the legendary warmaker in Vietnam and peacemaker in the Middle East — maybe I’ve got the war and peace back-to-front — lays out the pitch for Khodorkovsky, Kissinger’s current paymaster.

Since Yukos is far from being as secure as a secret service, it’s possible that leaks of Khodorkovsky’s communications with Kissinger could find their way into the public domain. But, then again, the idea that Khodorkovsky has told Kissinger what he needs doing and what he wants done, could be someone’s idea of a joke. Why else would the Russian market listen to the current rumour that Yukos-Sibneft is engaged in negotiations with a U.S. oil major that could lead to the announcement of an equity-stake sale to the big American, either during the Sept. 24 meeting of the Russia-U.S. energy partnership in St. Petersburg or not long after, during the Putin-Bush meeting in the United States? Why on earth would a U.S. oil major think of such a risky venture if the Kremlin is likely to veto it and, maybe, keep two Yukos shareholders in prison, instead of one?

What Khodorkovsky needs Kissinger for right now is plain enough. He wants to know what the Bush Administration is prepared to do if Khodorkovsky agrees to sell, merge or swap his and Platon Lebedev’s shares in Yukos with an American oil company. That the prospect of such a deal led to the arrest in July of Lebedev, Khodorkovsky’s partner and co-shareholder, is already evidence of the Kremlin’s hostility. It is also evidence of Putin’s relative weakness and his lack of any other means to control his country’s capital.

On the other hand, Bush isn’t looking as if he’s made of strong stuff either. The failure of Khodorkovsky’s appeals for White House help to date have encouraged the Kremlin to toughen its position towards the selloff of assets like Yukos and to convince Khodorkovsky that he should expect more trouble if he provokes Putin’s anger in a showdown over who should own Yukos-Sibneft and on what terms. The weakness of the Americans has also accelerated the decline of the pro-Americans inside the Kremlin and exposed with embarrassingly clarity that this faction, led by Alexander Voloshin, the presidential chief of staff, is out of tune with their boss and unable to influence or predict what he will do next. It is already obvious — as an Alfa Bank research note described the position this week — that, if Khodorkovsky tries to sell out to the Americans — the move Sibneft owner Roman Abramovich didn’t dare make — “Yukos-Sibneft is sitting front and center with a large target painted on its forehead.”

But what is Khodorkovsky paying Kissinger for, if not to lobby for him at the White House? If Bush Jr. can persuade Putin to receive Kissinger, then Kissinger may fancy he can do double duty — to persuade Bush that it’s good U.S. policy to endorse the takeover of Yukos when he and Putin meet later this month and to persuade Putin that it would be good Russian policy for him to lay off Khodorkovsky if and when the sell-out takes place.

From Kissinger’s point of view, if he could pull off both assurances — or at least persuade each president of the other’s readiness to oblige for the time being — he could even demonstrate that, in contrast to Nixon’s expensive but fruitless visits, his trip to Moscow will have earned him two of his retainers. The U.S. oil company might even offer him the standard dealmaker’s 5 percent, if Kissinger can claim to have pushed both presidents into accepting the deal, and five percent of several billion dollars is a clean-up, not a wash-up.

On the other hand, Kissinger’s assurances notwithstanding, U.S. corporate boards of directors must be able to certify that, when they spend their shareholders’ money abroad, they aren’t violating the provisions of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. (That’s the new American law against money-laundering and foreign corruption. And that’s one of the vulnerabilities Khodorkovsky cannot escape in this tussle with the Kremlin.) Putin may not dare to send Khodorkovsky to court on similar charges to those holding Lebedev in prison right now. He may even agree with Bush to keep both pairs of presidential hands off. But then the clever boys in the Kremlin shouldn’t have much trouble pointing out to U.S. lawyers doing due diligence for the big oil company that the evidence against Khodorkovsky is strong enough to contravene Sarbanes-Oxley. That’s as good as a veto of the Yukos sale — with the political advantage that it originates from Washington, not Moscow. It’s a wash-up for Kissinger’s percentage, after all.



This was published on September 11, 2003. A fortnight later, Putin visited Kissinger at home in New York and gave him a present; Putin was officially visiting the United Nations at the time.

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September 26, 2003. Source: http://en.kremlin.ru

The two men signaled the informality of their meeting by not wearing ties. As they met, in Russia Khodorkovsky had one month of freedom remaining.

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Putin’s first official meeting as president with Kissinger took place on July 13, 2001. The communiqué says they “discussed topical international issues, including developments in the Middle East, U.S.-Russian relations, missile defence and international security. Messrs. Putin and Kissinger agreed that Russia must be reintegrated into the global community as a full-fledged member. The Russian president pointed out that this would not be possible to achieve without industrialised nations coming together to address European security problems.” A year earlier, on December 14, 2000, Putin told a Canadian press interview: “I don’t know if it is appropriate to recall my first meeting with Mr Kissinger for whom I have great respect. When I told him that I started my career as an intelligence officer, he paused and then said: ‘All decent people started their careers with the intelligence. Me too.’ I am ashamed to say that was something I hadn’t known before.”

On May 27, 2003, Putin made public that he and Kissinger were on friendly terms by sending Kissinger a birthday card. It said “in part” (NB) that “you are well known in Russia as one of the major politicians and diplomats in recent history. Many key events and important decisions that in many ways determined the character of world processes are associated with your name. Today you are engaged in active social and academic work. Your assessments and recommendations based on your extensive political and life experience are invariably interesting and original.”

Whether Kissinger was on Khodorkovsky’s retainer before or after the birthday card is not known. On October 25, 2003, Putin ordered Khodorkovsky’s arrest.

Two weeks later, on November 5, 2003, the New York Times caught up with the story that Kissinger was being paid by Khodorkovsky. According to the newspaper, Kissinger had arranged a deniable cutout for the cash. The deniability didn’t work. According to the newspaper, Kissinger had accepted a seat on the board of a foundation Khodorkovsky was financing called the Open Russia Foundation. “Henry Kissinger, secretary of state in the Nixon administration, is on the foundation’s board, a position he said he accepted at the invitation of Lord [Jacob] Rothschild, another board member. Mr. Kissinger said he had only met Mr. Khodorkovsky twice, briefly and in a group. ‘It is in no sense an endorsement of Mr. Khodorkovsky’s business practices,’ Mr. Kissinger said of his board seat, adding that Mr. Khodorkovsky exercised ‘no particular influence’ over the foundation’s grants. He declined to comment further on Mr. Khodorkovsky.”

At the time, the newspaper also reported that not even Fiona Hill and the Brookings Institution would agree to take Khodorkovsky’s money. Also, the National Security Council had refused to allow Khodorkovsky to meet the National Security Adviser, Condoleezza Rice, because background checks on Khodorkovsky had turned up “’’allegations of past business improprieties.’”

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Source: https://www.nytimes.com/

How much money Kissinger made on the side by trading the appearance of his influence may become clearer when his will is published. Hustling of this kind is an honourable profession for American officials out of office, and for the Clinton and Biden families, in office too.

Kissinger’s Russian hustle had started in October 1992 when he appeared in St. Petersburg as the head of a delegation of American corporate executives who calculated that the St. Petersburg mayor, Anatoly Sobchak, was a better bet than Boris Yeltsin for Russian president and also for the US takeover of Russian state assets. Officially, Kissinger’s operation called itself “the International Action Commission for St. Petersburg…organised under the co-leadership of Dr. Henry Kissinger and Mayor Anatoly Sobchak to support actions which will increase investment and business growth and speed the process of economic conversion in St. Petersburg city and region.”

Look carefully at the list of US business interests Kissinger was leading in their talks with Sobchak; and just as carefully look at who outranked Putin on the Russian side in the negotiations on “economic conversion” – Anatoly Chubais and Alexei Kudrin, soon to become the directors of state privatisation and creators of the Russian oligarch system. In the thirty years which have elapsed since then, Putin has protected both Chubais and Kudrin.

So what is it, or what was it, that Putin learned of Kissinger’s “wisdom”, “farsightedness”, “pragmatism”, “profundity”, and “respect”, to repeat the terms of his encomium?

In June 2019 Putin was asked that question by a Financial Times reporter. “Mr President, you are a student of history. You have had many hours of conversation with Henry Kissinger. You almost certainly read his book, World Order. With Mr Trump, we have seen something new, something much more transactional. He is very critical of alliances and allies in Europe. Is this something that is to Russia’s advantage?” Putin avoided answering the Kissinger part of the question.

The US attack on Russia was escalating by then, and Putin was being careful. In September 2013, five months before the putsch in Kiev began the present war, Putin had been more voluble. At a Valdai Club session, asked about his “friend and admirer Henry Kissinger [who] says it’s a well-known double standard in international relations when you differentiate between friends and adversaries; this double standard is normal, but you must know when to stop”, Putin answered: “Yes, it is too bad that Henry is not here. He would add some very interesting insight to the discussion. You know, I say this sincerely, because there are people in the world who, in spite of patriotism and international interests, have learned to say what they think. He is one of them.” Again, Putin avoided being precise. He also added: “I think the President of Israel is like that as well; he states his position freely. I mean, he is the acting President, he certainly has limitations, but in personal discussions, he is very open, and I am sometimes amazed by how free he is with his words. And Kissinger – he is not even in government service and can speak sincerely.”

Who in Russian government has believed Kissinger’s record was one of sincerity?

When Putin paid Kissinger another compliment on the public record, his intention was to compliment German Chancellor Helmut Kohl: “I rate Helmut Kohl among outstanding international-class politicians, outstanding political figures of our time, on the same scale as, for example, Henry Kissinger in America. And besides, Kohl is a historian by training. He could look back on the past, assess the present and peep into the future, and that too is a unique combination of knowledge and experience.” Who in Russian government believes that Kissinger’s “combination of knowledge and experience” has been beneficial for Russian security before or after the Ukraine war began in 2014?

“It is not possible to bring Russia into the international system by conversion,” Kissinger said in November 2016. “It requires deal-making, but also understanding. It is a unique and complicated society. Russia must be dealt with by closing its military options, but in a way that affords it dignity in terms of its own history.” There is no evidence that from the Soviet Chief of the General Staff Marshal Sergei Akhromeyev to General Valery Gerasimov, the current Russian Chief of the General Staff, Kissinger’s idea of “closing Russian military options” was ever acceptable or negotiable. As far as Kissinger’s idea of “dignity”, it has been the Moscow assessment that this meant a combination of public flattery, private bribery, brute force, and false promises.

In the end – that’s to say, Kissinger’s end – Putin is now in a position to explain whether his 31-year record of Kissinger’s sincerity achieved more from the US for Russia’s security than Joseph Stalin achieved by cultivating Adolf Hitler, before June 22, 1941.

https://johnhelmer.net/in-memoriam-befo ... more-88935

An interesting take. Amongst the reams of deserved grave-dancing for that swine one voice unexpectedly goes against the tide, Scott Ritter. As an arms control guy himself his opinion was that Henry, while surely a bloody handed war criminal nonetheless prevented a nuclear holocaust by his work on several arms control treaties which stood for decades until the US began ignoring them whenever it suited and Russia finally gave up on them. I guess he might know, though could be a 'hammer - nail' thing.
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Tue Dec 05, 2023 3:48 pm

RUSSIA’S IDEOLOGY IS NOW NATIONAL LIBERATION OF THE WORLD FROM THE US EMPIRE, WITH AN ASSIST FROM PATRIARCH KIRILL

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by John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

Between 1917 and right now in Russian history, it has been clear that the horse pulls the cart. That’s to say, the ideas people have, or the ideology of groups and the propaganda of media, churches, and governments are pulled along by their economic interests, by the class structure of the underlying society.

Not the horse in the picture. That’s the icon image, popularised in the Georgian Orthodox Church from the 11th century, depicting St. George, patron saint of believers, spearing to death the Roman emperor Diocletian. Actually, Diocletian ruled the Roman empire from 284 until 305 AD, when he became the first emperor to resign voluntarily and retire harmlessly. Before that Diocletian, a professional soldier, did a lot of spearing of Gauls, Balkan tribesmen, and Persians, as well as Christians in Syria, before he decided to rusticate in his garden on the Adriatic.

The icon doesn’t represent what really happened. Long after Diocletian was forgotten, the icon has come to represent the victory of Orthodoxy over the anti-Christian empire. The icon image was mentioned last week by Andrei Ilnitsky, an advisor to the Russian Defense Ministry and lead ideologist for the United Russia party, in a speech to the Patriarch and President Vladimir Putin. According to Ilnitsky, St George represents Russia, and the spearing of Diocletian represents what Russia is doing to the US empire on the Ukrainian battlefield.

Now — most precisely at the World Russian People’s Council meeting in Moscow on November 28 — Ilnitsky, the Patriarch, and Putin are reversing the order of history. It’s now the cart of Russian ideology pulling the horse of Russian forces into battle with the Americans.

“They are fighting with us,” declared Ilnitsky, “for the way people think, for the way they perceive the world. Right now we are fighting a civilisational war for the future. It is this war that we are waging on the battlefields of our own. We will win and revive ourselves by being reborn, or our identity will be wiped out. This is exactly what happened in the Ukraine for thirty years before the start of the SVO [Special Military Operation].”

Putin went further than spearing the emperor. “Our fight”, he declared, “for sovereignty and justice is, without exaggeration, one of national liberation, because we are upholding the security and well-being of our people, and our supreme historical right to be Russia – a strong independent power, a civilization state. It is our country, it is the Russian world that has blocked the way of those who aspired to world domination and exceptionalism, as it has happened many times in history. We are now fighting not just for Russia’s freedom but for the freedom of the whole world.”

This is the first time Putin has identified the doctrine of national liberation in ideological, economic, and in battlefield war against the US doctrine of hegemony and exceptionalism.

“We can frankly say that the dictatorship of one hegemon is becoming decrepit. We see it, and everyone sees it now. It is getting out of control and is simply dangerous for others. This is now clear to the global majority. But again, it is our country that is now at the forefront of building a fairer world order. And I would like to stress this: without a sovereign and strong Russia, no lasting and stable international system is possible.”

During the World Russian People’s Council, Ilnitsky said the threats of the US empire are emanating from three directions of US strikes on the country and the people. “I will not talk about purely military aspects, but about how we do not lose the world. This is what is called ideology. A month ago, the US national security strategy was adopted. The Americans position themselves as the global hegemon. The so-called autocracies have been declared enemy number one; in fact, they are the nation states which are pursuing a sovereign policy. Russia is mentioned in this document 69 times! Even more often than China. And Ukraine is cited only as anti-Russia. Russia is the civilisational opponent of the West. Without the elimination of Russia, the development of the Western world is impossible. It will not be possible to normalise relations because of the deepest difference in goals and values.”

“At the same time,” Ilnitsky went on, “violence has become the defining concept of Western politics. War is a component of such a world of violence. How are they going to implement this violence? Everything is said in the US national defence strategy. They confront us on land, in the air, at sea, in space. And also in the information sphere. But now they are striving for informational and cognitive dominance. The US Joint Chiefs of Staff identified three areas of their attack: technological warfare (including artificial intelligence); the war in the city; the transition from informational to cognitive-mental dominance. Psychological operations will be enhanced as much as possible. This is no joke. This is the same mental war where the destruction of the enemies’ self-consciousness is the goal,” Ilnitsky emphasised.

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Andrei Ilnitsky speaking to the World Russian People's Council in Moscow on November 27. Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rTbHrAS0EyY

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Ilnitsky has provided a written summary of his speech on his website here.

Andrei Ilnitsky has been employed at the Ministry of Defense as an advisor to Minister Sergei Shoigu since 2015. He is ranked State Councilor of the Russian Federation 3rd class, and is deputy chief of the Central Executive Committee of the United Russia Party and head of the ruling party’s Department for Work with Environments, Public Associations and the Expert Community. At the Defense Ministry he is considered an expert on information warfare, and is reputed to have been the inventor of the “Z” symbol for the Special Military Operation. Before his military job, he worked on election campaign strategy for the governor of the Moscow Region, Andrei Vorobyov.

“Russian is a spiritual and political concept. We are great integrators. We jointly build the common, without destroying the particular. We are being led to hell. So if we want to defeat the West, we have to defeat it in our heads. Victories on the battlefield will follow victories in the field of thinking, ideology. But ideology is not a product of the mind of political scientists. It follows from the whole of Russian history. In the West, by the way, the main threat is considered to be the Russian conservative offensive. And here our opponents are right. Therefore, Russia needs a mental security strategy.”

In last week’s Council speech, Ilnitsky was summarising the detailed analysis he had given in an interview with a Kazan internet publication last May. The significance of his remarks then have been missed in Russia and abroad: he was spelling out that the Defense Ministry’s war objective, and thus the Kremlin’s, is not simply to destroy the Ukrainian military, but to “demilitarise NATO” on the territories of the Ukraine, Poland, and the Baltic states. In short, to roll back NATO to the alliance frontiers of 1997 – before Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic joined the pact in 1999, followed by Romania, the Baltic and Balkan states in 2004.

Ilnitsky has prefaced his public statements with the disclaimer that they are his personal views only.

Notwithstanding, he is making an explicit official repudiation of claims by Ukrainian, Israeli and US officials, as well as of reporters repeating what they have been told by the CIA, that an end to the war can be negotiated with Moscow on the terms of the purported Istanbul agreement of April 2022. In what Ilnitsky thinks aloud and is saying in public, there is the clearest hint from the General Staff and the Stavka that the war cannot end without NATO’s capitulation, not just the defeat of the regime in Kiev and Lvov.

This is also the official position of the Russian Foreign Ministry in the non-aggression treaties it presented the US and NATO on December 17, 2022. Follow the analysis of those treaties and the escalation to war when the terms were summarily dismissed by Washington and Brussels, beginning here and concluding four weeks later here.

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Source: https://www.reddit.com/

In Ilnitsky’s May elaboration, “now we are not fighting with Ukraine, but with NATO. World War III has already begun. Not only is Ukraine now a de facto member of NATO, but also Germany and France have become secondary partners of NATO. Paris and Berlin did not know that the Americans, British and Poles had already armed Ukraine sufficiently to wage an expanded war… the main axis of NATO had shifted. It now looks like this: Washington —London — Warsaw— Kiev. That is, behind the back of Old Europe, the North Atlantic Alliance of NATO was reassembled, and Ukraine is a de facto member of NATO to a much greater extent than many of its de jure members. Therefore, today our army on the territory of the USSR is engaged not only in the demilitarisation and denazification of this territory, but also in the demilitarisation of NATO.”

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Source: https://www.business-gazeta.ru/

Ilnitsky’s remarks are the clearest sign from the Stavka of what he describes as the turning of Clausewitz’s dictum on its head. “Yes, the popular widely quoted ideology of the 19th century military analyst Clausewitz that war is the continuation of politics by other means is no longer relevant. Today, war is politics itself. The most important element of such a policy is mental warfare.”

“The movement that directly led to the armed conflict began in 1994, when the decision was made to expand NATO. Prior to that, Western strategists tried to implement a slightly different project on the territory of the USSR: to create a showcase of Western democracy on the territory of the Russian world. But this plan failed rather quickly and miserably. Ukraine turned out to be a failed state — an insolvent state for which the West assigned the role of a frontline anti-Russian entity, the function of which was reduced to a process of constant pressure on Russia. In 2014, this took the form of a coup d’etat, as a result of which a junta came to power, and the transition to the hot stage began. The process of creating a mercenary country with anti-Russian functionality from the entity called the Ukraine then accelerated dramatically.”

“By 2022, the project of a pseudo-state built exclusively on an anti-Russian basis and ready not only for defensive, but also for offensive actions against Russia had been implemented in a fairly complete form on the territory of the former Ukrainian SSR… [This project is not] without its limits — moreover, they are at their limit now. The West is already concerned about the emptying of its military reserves, which has begun to directly affect and undermine the level of national security and defence of both the United States and NATO. In this regard, it is interesting to learn that in the early spring of 2023, the Pentagon used an American ammunition depot in Israel to supply 150-millimeter shells to Ukraine for those US-supplied M-777 howitzers. The fact is that this warehouse was created in 1973 for special purposes and could only be used in emergency situations. Before that, Israel was allowed to unpack it only once — in 2006 in the war with Lebanon. Nevertheless, according to Israeli and American officials, as of April, more than half of the 300,000 shells from this warehouse have already been shipped through Poland to Ukraine. Thus, in 2022, arms supplies to Kiev exceeded the volume of the previous eight years by ten times. The United States has spent more than $50 billion on this, more than all other countries combined.”

“The ‘Hyena of Europe’ [Poland in Winston Churchill’s characterisation in his memoir, The Gathering Storm] has now become very lively and is beginning to justify its purpose in practice. So, there was information that recently several thousand professionals, mainly from intelligence and management structures, abruptly left the Polish army. This was explained by their dissatisfaction with their pay, but my version is that this may be an element of a completely different process.”

“Let us recall how at the beginning of 2023, the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) became intensely active on the territory of the USSR – de jure Ukrainian, and de facto a purely Western special service. Dozens of mid-level specialists were arrested almost every day, there were noisy resignations of major officials, and threats to continue doing this ‘regardless of the situation’ still persist. And here the question arises: are these processes interrelated, given that last summer laws were passed allowing Polish citizens to take up positions in the civil service of Ukraine, move quietly and live on the territory of the USSR? What is happening is very similar to a kind of cleansing with the elimination of the remnants of Ukrainian statehood and officialdom with the prospect of their replacement by Polish and other Western officials. That is, it seems that while our [NATO] colleagues are placing staff advisors in the bunkers, and Ukrainians are massively dying in the trenches for the interests of the West, the latter has launched the process of personnel training of an occupation administration to lead the population and territories of the USSR. This is my working version.”

“We — it must be clearly understood — are a stumbling block, a fundamental civilisational obstacle to the development of the West. Therefore, their policy will be aimed at the destruction of Russia over the next decade. The goal of the West’s mental war is our history, culture, and education — the substantial core of our civilisation, the organisational basis of which is a strong state that ensures the security of the country. Mental warfare, like others, has three levels: tactical, operational and strategic. Its tactical, lowest level is information confrontation. Its operational level is cognitive information operations, including the use of artificial intelligence elements. Simply put, if the first level is what people hear and see, then the second is how they interpret information, how they think. Its strategic level is ideological. This is how people see themselves — what they are, who they are, and what they live for.”

“Ideology is a field of mental warfare. Highly organised states do not exist without ideology. On the territory of the USSR, we are waging an ideological/mental war precisely for our Russian — in the ontological sense — understanding of how we live. We are fighting against the world of lies, waging a civilisational war in which the events on the territory of the USSR are only a stage of global confrontation with the West.

Following Ilnitsky at the Congress, Putin explicitly adopted the idea that the ideology horse is now pulling the national survival cart – and not only for Russia. “Friends,” the President declared, “our fight for sovereignty and justice is, without exaggeration, one of national liberation, because we are upholding the security and well-being of our people, and our supreme historical right to be Russia – a strong independent power, a civilisation state. It is our country, it is the Russian world that has blocked the way of those who aspired to world domination and exceptionalism, as it has happened many times in history. We are now fighting not just for Russia’s freedom but for the freedom of the whole world. We can frankly say that the dictatorship of one hegemon is becoming decrepit. We see it, and everyone sees it now. It is getting out of control and is simply dangerous for others. This is now clear to the global majority. But again, it is our country that is now at the forefront of building a fairer world order. And I would like to stress this: without a sovereign and strong Russia, no lasting and stable international system is possible.”

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Source: http://en.kremlin.ru/

The hats in the front of the auditorium signify the predominance of churchmen at the event.

What end-of-war terms was Putin setting out?

“We know the threat we are opposing. Russophobia and other forms of racism and neo-Nazism have almost become the official ideology of Western ruling elites. They are directed not only against ethnic Russians, but against all groups living in Russia: Tatars, Chechens, Avars, Tuvinians, Bashkirs, Buryats, Yakuts, Ossetians, Jews, Ingush, Mari and Altai. There are many of us, I might not be able to name every group now, but again, the threat is directed against all the peoples of Russia. The West has no need for such a large and multi-ethnic country as Russia as a matter of principle. Our diversity and unity of cultures, traditions, languages, and ethnicities simply do not fit into the logic of Western racists and colonisers, into their cruel plans for total depersonalisation, separation, suppression, and exploitation. That is why they have started their old rant again: they say that Russia is a ‘prison of nations’ and that Russians are a ‘nation of slaves.’ We have heard this many times throughout the centuries. Now we have also heard that Russia apparently needs to be ‘decolonised’. But what do they really want? They want to dismember and plunder Russia. If they cannot do it by force, they sow discord.”

“I would like to emphasise that we view any outside interference or provocations to incite ethnic or religious conflict as acts of aggression against our country, and an attempt to once again wield terrorism and extremism as a weapon against us, and we will respond accordingly.”

In theory, this new doctrine of Russian national liberation and Russian support for the national liberation of others fighting against the US empire ought to back the Hamas fight against Israel in Gaza, the Palestinian struggle against Israel, and the wider Arab and Iranian fight against the American-Israeli combination. This isn’t new in Russia – Vladimir Lenin initiated the idea of support for worldwide national liberation; Nikita Khrushchev expanded it to be Soviet foreign policy in January 1961.

What is a stumbling block in current Russian thinking and planning is the war in Palestine, and what stance – military, ideological – Putin should take towards Israel and Palestine. Ilnitsky did not mention the Arab-Israeli conflict in his speech last week, nor in his May interview. Putin did not refer to it either. Putin did mention Jews, however, but only in a list of groups comprising Russia’s multi-ethnic society. Putin’s implication was that he is preserving Russia’s even-handed support for both the Jewish state and the Muslim states of Palestine, the Arab world and Iran in order to forestall and combat “any outside interference or provocations to incite ethnic or religious conflict as acts of aggression against our country, and an attempt to once again wield terrorism and extremism as a weapon against us, and we will respond accordingly.”

It is unclear from Putin’s remarks how the policy of support for wars of national liberation outside Russia and the fight against “terrorism and extremism” inside Russia can be interpreted without contradiction. A detailed assessment by Russian legal academics and criminologists concluded in 2018 that attempts to define terrorism and extremism in the criminal code “rely mostly on trial and error methods… [and] as a result of the excessive politicisation of the lawmaking process, the scope of criminally liable actions have been expanding continuously…It is necessary to clearly and distinctly disclose the nature of the crime for subsequent application – that is, for both the potential criminal and the law enforcement official.”

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Source: https://drive.google.com/

The conclusion of this review is that “the main problem (and this includes both terrorism and extremism) as a result of the political conjuncture in the legislation [is that] the scope of the ban began to expand uncontrollably, which led to excessive congestion in the dispositions of norms and the uncertainty in the composition of the crime…Wrong or limited theories about the causes and consequences of the changes, embodied in the amendments to the laws, also slow down the process of counteracting.”

A well-connected Moscow political analyst concedes there is a potential contradiction between national liberation and terrorism in Russian policymaking and ideology, and that the Kremlin has yet to resolve it between its apparent sympathy for Israel and the majority of Russians and the military who support Palestine. “Being for or against Hamas now makes no difference at all,” the source says, “because its ability to provide any administration in Gaza is now decimated, even if its guerrilla warfighting is not. Statements of a two-state solution carry even less potency and credibility. The government’s actions and narrative must shift to keeping Gaza alive, then autonomous without Israeli occupation, and then pumping in enormous aid and support into the West Bank while beefing up the Northern forces [Hezbollah].”

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Left to right: Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Mousa Abu Marzouk, head of international relations for Hamas, and Ismail Haniyeh, the head of the Hamas Political Bureau, meeting in Moscow in September 2022. Also attending were Sheikh Saleh al-Arouri, deputy head of Hamas, and Maher Salah, a Hamas Politburo official in charge of the Palestinian diaspora.

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Left to right: Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Ali Bagheri Kani, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister and Special Envoy to the Middle East Mikhail Bogdanov, and Mousa Abu Marzouk of Hamas, during their trilateral meeting in Moscow on October 26, 2023.

“I believe the Russian and Chinese failure is not in being critical of Hamas. Hamas is an entirely different matter and you can understand that no one is willing to identify publicly with them. The failure is in not supporting the Palestine cause through the decades. To go into Syria and not defend all of it, this is a failure. To not stand up to Israel in Syria is an even bigger failure. To not stand up against US phobias in every shape and form executed through their wars has been a failure – until now.”

“For Russia, what we are looking at is the start of a new decade-long cycle – the Fatah leadership is old and terminal. Hamas will be largely destroyed. No one will come to its help. Hezbollah will emerge intact – even if it fights now. I therefore see the necessity for an intervention – purely humanitarian – to break the Israeli blockade of Gaza which is at once significant and yet does not provide a military cover to Hamas. The future should be an overwhelming domestic and international movement within Russia and China to break the blockade of Gaza; followed by an air cover against the Israelis for Gaza, Syria and Lebanon.”

https://johnhelmer.net/russias-ideology ... more-88962

I got no more time for Russian chauvinism than I do for US Exceptionalism. All this talk of 'Russian civilization' and spiritual Russia' I see as reaction to Western aggression, not only on the battlefield, in politics and economic matters, but the wide spectrum propaganda thrust referencing almost every aspect of society. They focus on the apparent government/corporate 'Wokeness' campaign. All of the various people and causes grouped under this term have a long and honorable history of opposing the power structure which has oppressed them. Why should we believe that said power has done an'180', a sincere effort to right their previous wrongs? Neither we nor the Russians should be so gullible. What we are seeing is the latest iteration of 'divide and conquer' of the working class, the constant in your face, often over the top presentation of the righting of wrongs. US and European society, by and large', have been moving in that direct in the slow motion of societal, generational change. The massive media acceleration is I think designed to upset this change for the purpose of sowing division in the working class which has ever more reason to demand radical change which can only be accomplished by unity. The Russians, and the Western Right and Left have all 'bought into' this scam, we should agitate for clarity.

When the current struggle is ended with the defeat of US/Western hegemony then perhaps this animosity and chauvinism can subside. Not that I expect some golden age of 'multipolarity', as some appear to. Rather we shall see a return of 'classic' imperialism, as Lenin described it. Only socialism can allow the possibility of civilizational survival and the long term chance of a 'golden age'.

*******

Russia’s Sputnik news agency doing just fine…
Despite efforts by the authoritarian powers-that-be in Europe who have introduced nanny-like supervision to protect their subjects from ‘fake news’ by denying access to media sites contradicting official Western propaganda, Russian media outlets have proven adept at keeping the doors ajar and having their say.

The nimble folks at Sputnik demonstrate this yet again today by putting the following on line:

https://sputnikglobe.com/20231204/why-e ... 74023.html

I leave it to readers to draw their own conclusions on where the value of The Financial Times ends and that of Sputnik begins.

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2023/12/05/ ... just-fine/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Wed Dec 06, 2023 4:15 pm

“The Way Home”: how Navalnists play on the feelings of relatives of mobilized Russians
December 6, 2023
Systemic pesticide

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The scandal with the “Way Home” telegram channel, which supposedly unites relatives of those mobilized, does not subside: recently the administration of the messenger labeled it FAKE, which, of course, did not prevent the organizers from continuing their activities. Before this, the entire community was vigorously discussing the connections of administrators with Navalnists and fake relatives of those mobilized.

Why “The Way Home” became the reason for discussions that have been going on for a month, we will tell you in our material.

Action of relatives of the mobilized and deputies of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation
On November 7, a coordinated rally of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation was held in the center of Moscow , dedicated to the anniversary of the October Revolution. At the same time, a rally was held nearby by relatives of the mobilized , who demanded that the servicemen be returned home and their terms of service determined.

About 15-20 people took part in the rally, who said that they were able to personally talk with deputies from the Communist Party of the Russian Federation Viktor Sobolev and Nina Ostanina, and also convey their written appeal to Gennady Zyuganov.

The main initiator of the action was the telegram channel “The Way Home” : it was their message on November 5 that published a call to go to a “coordinated rally” and “meeting with deputies.”

The topic was very quickly picked up and began to be disseminated by foreign media outlets (“Medusa”, “Novaya Gazeta.Evropa”, “Layout”, “Support Service”, etc.), which clearly indicates coordination of actions with opposition centers, including and abroad.

The day before the rally, it was the fugitive oligarch Mikhail Khodorkovsky , claiming to be the leader of the “Russia of the Future in Exile,” who said that the Russian authorities were allegedly “afraid of the relatives of the mobilized.”

By the way, in September-October, foreign agents whipped up hysteria about the second wave of mobilization, which ultimately did not happen. It is simply impossible not to connect all these factors into a single outline of theses: the families of the mobilized simply became another point for processing by opposition political strategists.

“The Way Home”: the brainchild of the Navalnists
When it became clear that one of the main agitators in support of actions on the issue of mobilization in the Russian Federation was the “Way Home” telegram channel, observers noted several strange moments. For example, excessively high activity for such a young channel, as well as the author’s obvious familiarity with the methods of conducting public and political campaigns.

In particular, the channel was created in August of this year, and a network of supporters already exists in almost 30 regions of Russia . This prevalence was fully explained by the fact that the administrators could be connected with the opposition network , which was later confirmed: as our sources suggested, he interacted with the structures of Alexei Navalny . The latter have grown like an octopus throughout the country over the past few years.

In early November, activists of the movement began to work more actively - going to rallies and writing appeals to deputies and the government with requests to return military personnel from the combat zone. The media hype turned out to be so successful that the community quickly released its manifesto , backing up its merits with reporting that any workaholic would envy.

Later it turned out that the Telegram channel is supported by foreign agents and other anti-Russian media resources that ensure the mass distribution of community content. But at the same time, activists allegedly complained about the media’s refusal to cooperate with them and “cover the topic of demobilization,” although these same administrators themselves refuse to give comments to journalists, even with all the attention to their persons.

In the manifesto, the authors of the project advocated the complete demobilization of “civilians” and the establishment of a maximum service life in the case of partial mobilization of one year. They also demand the right to protest and public assembly. Activists claim that they act only on behalf of the interests of the soldiers and to “form the opinion that all those mobilized are in the combat zone voluntarily and consciously.”

Meanwhile, the author of another large community of relatives of the mobilized, Olga Kats (her brother died in the Northern Military District) complained that the Navalnists were organizing provocations against them, sending fake “wives of the mobilized” to social networks and wanted to stage a coup.

“Mobilized Wife” and admin: Natalya Peterimova
Later, other colleagues confirmed our sources’ information about Navalnists’ involvement in the channel . They pointed out that “The Way Home” is led by a former employee of Navalny’s headquarters, Natalya Peterimova: she is now in Batumi, from where she coordinates protests.

Last year, a criminal case was opened against the activist in Krasnoyarsk - she was accused under the article of discrediting the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and was put on the interstate wanted list. For Peterimova, encounters with law enforcement are common: at the end of September 2021, she was detained on charges of distributing extremist materials. In November, the court acquitted her, but the woman did not stop collaborating with Navalny’s headquarters.

Peterimova also collected fines for organizing unauthorized rallies in the amount of 750 thousand rubles, but the court took pity on her and the final penalties were reduced to 400 thousand, which she paid with the help of Navalny’s “hamsters”, and not from her own pocket.

After the searches that took place in her apartment in May of this year, according to an established scheme, in which immediately after such actions by the security forces, she, as a curator, was redirected abroad to support connections and the remaining activists. Peterimova actively leads the community, which has quickly grown with the help of connections from Navalny’s headquarters. At the same time, she herself does not take any risks, acting according to the favorite training manual of the Navalnists - setting up impressionable people, playing on their emotional state.

Now “The Way Home” is agitating to raise the topic of mobilization directly with the President of the Russian Federation. It is absolutely clear in what context they plan to do this - clearly not from sincere motives to help relatives or the servicemen themselves.

What's next?
It is not difficult to imagine why law enforcement agencies will not take charge of the community. The topic of mobilization and rotation of troops is a sensitive one: it is based too much on feelings and at the same time requires serious controversial decisions that are really difficult to make.

However, the opposition cannot be allowed to continue to use impressionable relatives: without an emotional connection to the events, administrators would not have been able to achieve such participation. Now they have already recruited their accomplices, who consciously or not completely joined the dangerous movement: after all, how many times history has shown how Navalnists set up other people to serve their own interests.

https://rybar.ru/put-domoj-kak-navalnis ... -rossiyan/

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"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Thu Dec 07, 2023 5:17 pm

THE DIAMOND CRACK-UP – RUSSIA AND THE AFRICAN STATES DEFEAT US-EU-ISRAELI PLAN TO DRIVE RUSSIAN DIAMONDS OUT OF THE MARKET

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by John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

It has never happened before among the world’s diamond-producing and diamond-processing countries.

Meeting together last month in Zimbabwe in what is called the Kimberley Process (KP), the 57-member states refused to agree to the US and European Union (EU) attempt to exclude Russia, producer of half the diamonds in global trade. To camouflage the outcome of the fight, the KP delegates decided not to issue a communiqué. Without that, the rules of the meeting nullified all points of agreement which the Kimberley Process states had accepted during their two-day sessions.

This dramatic collapse of the Kimberley Process happened in Harare on November 10. The disagreement and deadlock came over a letter from the Kiev regime, backed by the US, the EU, Japan, and Canada (the G7 member states) to impose a full ban on the trade in Russian diamonds. The Ukrainian attempt was backed by intense pressure from the US State Department and by Jewish diamantaires in New York for the international diamond trade to accept the US Diamond Protocol, a scheme of registration, inspection, auditing, and certification enforced by US intelligence and Treasury agents, to prevent any Russian-mined diamond from entering the international diamond jewellery market.

Instead, what has happened is that the global diamond industry has been cracked in half by the sanctions war. The defeat of the so-called “western bloc” in Zimbabwe is big news in Africa and India. It has not been reported in the New York and London financial press.

Diamonds are now likely to follow oil, gas, coal, gold, and other commodities into parallel and competing global market operations. In the diamond war, however, the outcome is also going to backfire on the Israeli diamond industry and the traditional Jewish centres in Antwerp, Belgium, and New York City, which have combined to take sides against Russia. In time, they will be replaced by the Arabs, Indians, and perhaps the Chinese.

The Israelis don’t think so. They are calculating that in the short run they will gain from the recovery of diamond prices when the shortage of Russian supplies hits much harder than it has to date. A source in Antwerp reports “absolutely no backlash [against the Gaza war] here from any of the five main diamond communities including the Lebanese. The Israeli industry has been declining for many years anyway, especially manufacturing – it’s uncompetitive with the Indians — but also trading. There is no diamantaire sympathy with any Arab country (or Iran). I hope and believe business rises above the political nonsense.”

The Kimberley Process, first created in 2003 to stop “blood diamonds” from entering the market from the genocidal wars of western Africa, is about to be confronted by blood diamonds from Israel.

The story of the US attempt to start sanctions against Russian diamonds from the US and its allies began here when the Belgian government was resisting to save the multi-billion dollar Antwerp diamond business.

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Source: https://johnhelmer.net/

Belgium, which has taken part in most NATO schemes against Russia, including the fabricated MH17 trial and the engagement of Belgian judges in European Court cases against Russia, has tried to protect its multi-billion dollar stake in the diamond industry since the first sanctions scheme was debated n 2015.

The most detailed account of the defeat of the US diamond sanctions at the Kimberley Process (KP) meeting in Harare last month can be followed here. This puts the diamond industry, particularly the diamond miners, at loggerheads with the US and NATO governments, with the US-dominated jewellery business, and with the processing and marketing roles played by the Arabs in Dubai, Indians in Mumbai, and Chinese in Shanghai.

The US and the EU have followed with a defiant announcement yesterday, December 6. They are proceeding, they say, with their scheme of “staged embargoes… The G7, whose leaders were set to meet virtually on Wednesday, will agree to ban imports of non-industrial diamonds from Russia starting on January 1 2024. A ban on the stones processed in third countries will also be introduced from March 1 and a full traceability system for rough diamonds traded in G7 nations from September 1, according to people briefed on the contents of a draft joint statement. [The G7] will continue consultations . . . with other partners including [diamond] producing countries as well as manufacturing countries [to implement the traceability measures]”, according to the Financial Times.

The newspaper, owned by Japan and directed by an Arab editor, editorialised in favour of the new attempt. “The diamond ban is a welcome sign of support from western allies as Ukraine has recently become increasingly anguished by the failure of the EU and the US to commit to long-term financial and military support and as its counteroffensive against Russian troops has largely failed to make significant gains on the ground.” The US and Israel claim that Hezbollah has been using the diamond trade to finance its military operations.

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“To further the effectiveness of these measures, those G7 members who are major importers of rough diamonds will establish a robust traceability-based verification and certification mechanism for rough diamonds within the G7 by September 1, 2024, and we will continue to consult with partners, including producing and manufacturing countries on its design and implementation. We will continue consultations among G7 members and with other partners including producing countries as well as manufacturing countries for comprehensive controls for diamonds produced and processed in third countries on measures for traceability.”

The African diamond producers – representing all the continent’s diamond production states – led the attack on the Europeans in the battle over Russian diamond sanctions. The recent KP plenary “became hostage to the desire of an aggressive minority to politicize the meeting’s agenda and include geopolitical issues that go beyond the KP mandate,” the African Diamond Producers Association (ADPA) announced it a statement. The African diamond producers account for 51% of global diamond output by weight, 66% by value.

The Indians at the KP meeting remained “neutral, waiting to see who would win”, according to one source.

Ironically, the Russian Finance Ministry representatives said in Zimbabwe, if the sanctions plan is adopted, what will happen next year is that there will be a shortage of genuine diamonds so synthetic diamonds will flood into the market, destroying the market pricing of diamonds for the long term. “This shows how high the tensions are in the diamond industry at the moment,” commented Rapnet, the Israeli-American diamond source run by Martin Rapaport.

The defeat by the African alliance with Russia has struck directly at Rapaport and his US and Israeli government prompters. Rapaport has personally called for tightening the sanctions against Russian diamonds in an open letter to the EU on November 16: “The Rapaport Group supports the implementation of effective restrictive measures in order to reduce the revenues that Russia extracts from the export of diamonds.”

Rapaport is backing the new sanctions regime to close the “loophole [which] allows for the continued flow of Russian rough diamonds to India, where they are polished and exported to the US as ‘Indian origin’ polished diamonds. Money moves unimpaired from the US to India and then on to Russia. The net result is that there is no reduction in revenue to Russia. In fact, Alrosa’s revenue for H1 2023 was the same $1.9 billion as H1 2022.”

Rapaport has also been backing greater US government intervention in the diamond trade to stop the “whitewashing system, whereby self-interested international trade organisations replace the role of government regulatory agencies charged with the enforcement of sanctions against Russian diamonds… The numerous conflicts of interest render the WDC [World Diamond Council]protocol’s auditing system unacceptable.”

Rapaport has his own interest in cutting the Russian diamond supply and increasing US dominance of the global trade. “There is no doubt”, according to an independent North American diamantiare, “that the diamond market would be weaker if more Russian goods had been exported, and that benefits everyone, including Martin Rapaport. In the last few weeks, the markets do seem to have bottomed out and are rising again a little. But the lack of Russian material is only responsible for a small part of that uptick – seasonal factors, De Beers cutting right back, the voluntary import restrictions which the Indians have adopted, etc., are all playing a bigger role.”

“Next year will be a different story”, African miners and Dubai diamond market sources believe. If the diamond market cracks in half, as the oil market has done, the value of market price-setters like Rapaport’s Rapnet will be erased. No one in the trade is ready to predict with confidence what the alternative diamond trade will look like, and what impact it will have on diamond pricing.

The Rapaport assessment is that the market crisis caused by the over-supply of mined rough and synthetics, and weak consumer demand in China, Europe and the US cannot get much worse.

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The RAPI is the average asking price in hundred $/ct. of the 10% best-priced diamonds, for each of the top 25 quality round diamonds (D-H, IF-VS2, GIA-graded, RapSpec-A3 and better) offered for sale on RapNet. Source: https://rapaport.com/

“Polished prices have seen their sharpest drop in recent memory. The RapNet Diamond Index (RAPI) fell 38% from April 2022 to November 1, after sharp increases recorded in the post-pandemic years of 2021 and 2022. Twice before in the past decade and a half has the RAPI index seen a similar diamond industry pattern. Pre-2008, the market was on a strong upward trajectory before the financial crisis. When the markets crashed the 1-carat RAPI fell 29% from its peak in August 2008 to its bottom in April 2009. The retail expansion in China then drove a recovery, fueling prices to rise sharply until mid-2011. The index subsequently slumped 26% between July 2011 and December 2012, with the decline continuing at a more gradual pace until the pandemic hit and the market froze in 2020. The diamond industry recovered from the Covid-19 crisis, with the 1-carat RAPI rallying 51% between April 2020 and April 2022, before its subsequent downtrend. Based on those metrics, the current slide is worse than 2008 and the initial slump of 2011.”

The solution, according to Rapaport, is war against Russia. “Regulatory and compliance requirements have become even more important and broader in scope. These now include considerations relating to sustainability, which encompasses environmental, social and governance (ESG) concerns. Additional source-verification requirements are being considered by the Group of Seven (G7) nations in response to Russia’s war in Ukraine… But as the industry finds its supply-demand balance in the current fourth quarter, it has an opportunity at least to address the inefficiencies that have plagued the market in the past 15 years. Keeping supply in check will empower the industry to focus on the more important task of stimulating demand and inspiring a sustainable recovery in the long term.”

In Russia, concern about the impact of the new sanctions is being expressed by the officials and the press in the eastern Siberian republic of Sakha (Yakutia) where the Russian state diamond miner Alrosa [acronym from the Russian for “Diamonds of Russia”] is based, and where most of Russia’s diamonds are mined. More than 40% of the republic’s budget revenues come from Alrosa’s operations. In addition, Alrosa has transferred one billion rubles to the Trust Fund for Future Generations of Yakutia to finance social and infrastructure projects.

Alrosa is also the main employer in the western regions of the republic. The company employs related enterprises, river and road transport, builders, and entrepreneurs. And as a city-forming enterprise, Alrosa is the foundation and driver of the public sector. “Any failure, therefore, in the work of such a company will bring huge problems for the budget of the republic, which cannot be estimated only in money,”, a source has warned in the region media platform, Yakutia.info.

For the archive on Alrosa and the Russian diamond sector since 2001, click to read.

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Top, left, President of Sakha Republic since 2018, Aisen Nikolayev; right, CEO of Alroa, Pavel Marynichev, appointed in May 2023, succeeding Sergei Ivanov, who has been on US and NATO sanctions lists since February 2022.

Alrosa’s financial report for the first half of 2023 indicates its sales have been holding firm, although profit and earnings (Ebitda) have been suffering from the global diamond market recession, in common with other international diamond miners. The company’s revenue in the six months to June 30, 2023, amounted to Rb188.2 billion compared to Rb188.9 billion in the same period of 2022, and Rb182 billion in the first half of 2021. Ebitda (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation) also remained virtually unchanged from last year.

As the two following charts show, the decline in Alrosa’s financial position has been relatively smaller than for its international peers. One reason for this is that Alsoa has been transferring diamonds it cannot sell abroad in the export market to the Russian state stockpile, Gokhran, and increasing its own unsold reserves of stones.

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Source: BKS Mir in https://rough-polished.expert/

Lucara Diamond is a diamond mining company established in Canada, listed on several stock exchanges, and operating in Botswana. Petra Diamonds is a London-listed diamond miner working in South Africa and Tanzania.

The published estimate of the company’s diamond reserves has increased by more than 7.5 times in a year and a half, from Rb6.12 billion in estimated value to Rb46.8 billion rubles, although it has decreased by 11% since the beginning of 2023.

Experts quoted in Sakha media are anticipating a fall in Alrosa’s sales revenues to follow the new sanctions next year. “Sanctions will complicate sales, workarounds will be found, but this will still reduce revenue. And the costs will grow. Potentially, the budget revenues may be reduced by 20-30 billion rubles because of this. This is a lot,” a source told Yakutia.info late last month.

This republic publication also reports a negative outlook for the region from another source. “The accounts payable are growing, which is transferred by the chain to energy companies, gas companies and further. These same companies are now in a difficult situation with a sharp increase in bank interest on loans, and it is also not possible to shift additional costs by increasing tariffs for consumers. A vicious cycle. By April-May of next year, the republic will face a shortage of funds. It will become difficult to fulfill budget obligations…In the future, the reduction of production in the diamond industry and the maintenance cost of some of the most capital-intensive, costly facilities, will lead to an outflow of the population from western Yakutia, so unemployment and discontent of the population will increase – everything is very bleak, the expert concludes.” The timing of this publication should be understood as the presidential re-election gets under way.

Russian financial analysts covering Alrosa are more optimistic. “The company’s financial indicators for the first half of 2023 were better than the analysts’ forecasts. A strong cash position and negative net debt allow the company to share profits with shareholders for the first time since the autumn of 2021. The interim dividends recommended by the Supervisory Board for the first half of 2023 turned out to be conservative, but this is not a bad option if we take into account that the vast majority of Russian representatives of the metals and mining sector, including companies not affected by sanctions, have refused to pay any dividends.”

“Alrosa is too large a supplier of diamonds on the world market to be excluded from it, Boris Krasnozhenov from Alfa Bank believes. “ ‘The company will find ways to optimise the financial component, as well as sales logistics,’ he believes, recalling the underlying positive conditions. ‘The market is on track to face a shortage of rough diamonds in the medium term, as demand is growing and the largest deposits around the world are being depleted. Industry sources predict a 25% drop in rough diamond production by the end of the decade,’ Krasnozhenov told the Russian industry bible, Rough-Polished.Expert.ru.

Russian diamond expert Sergei Goryainov warns that Rapaport and the Israelis are miscalculating if they expect the new sanctions to raise diamond prices and their profits to grow. The reverse will happen, according to Goryainov. “Due to sanctions on the largest producer, 30% of the diamond market is going to enter the ‘gray zone’. You can also figure that Alrosa will be forced to dump, because only by introducing dumping prices can you compensate for the risks which customers who cooperate with a company listed in the SDN-list fall under.”

Other Moscow sources agree that dumping will be a Russian tactic for the very short term, as it has been in the Russian oil export trade. In that case, the discounts have gradually dwindled as the ineffectiveness of the sanctions became obvious and demand has pushed the commodity price upward. The Moscow sources add they expect a combination of state support for Alrosa, the Gokhran stocking mechanism, new trade logistic arrangements, and secret deals with the UAE, India and China will take the Americans and the Israelis by surprise.

For the time being, no one in Moscow, Dubai, or in the African capitals wants to say what the impact on the diamond business will be as the US-Israeli war against Palestine becomes a protracted military failure against Hamas and an obvious genocide against the Palestinians. For the time being, a source close to the Jewish diamantaires in Tel Aviv, Antwerp and New York is confident. “There is no likelihood of a campaign happening to drive the Israelis out [of the diamond business], in my view. Who would start such a campaign and why?”

https://johnhelmer.net/the-diamond-crac ... more-88973
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Fri Dec 08, 2023 4:27 pm

The presidential elections of the Russian Federation will be held on March 17, 2024
December 7, 11:45

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The Russian presidential elections will be held on March 17, 2024.
In totalitarian Russia, elections will be held during the war. And in a democratic Ukraine, elections will not take place during a war. Be careful not to get confused.

Regarding the results, no intrigue is expected. Putin will gain 70-75% (if there are no hellish force majeures like last year’s collapse of the front near Balakleya or economic shocks), 2nd place Zyuganov with the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, for 3-4 place there is a deep struggle.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8812827.html

"The Boy's Word"
December 7, 13:36

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I watched 5 episodes of the “high-profile” series “The Boy’s Word” about young gopniks from Kazan. There are still 3 episodes left, but the diagnosis is quite clear.
The film demonstrates to the best of its ability the processes of decay of late Soviet society on the eve of the destruction of the USSR.
In this environment of growing collapse, youth gangs are maturing, which will later begin to form into organized criminal groups. Not only everyone will survive this race to a “happy life”. From what I’ve read on the topic, I can say that the authors actively relied on real events and groups.

In our city, as a child, I practically didn’t notice this period and I remember it from Sevastopol rather as the war of organized crime groups (corpses on the streets, a blown up hairdresser, executions of bandits, etc.) The film is more about where it came from specifically in Kazan.

In fact, this is an “instructive” story about the “formation” of corpse worms that parasitized on the corpse of the country being killed.
Is it interesting to watch? Well, perhaps as a cross-section of an era to which few in their right mind would want to return. The “heroes” of the series are disgusting scum, hiding behind criminal rhetoric (like modern AUE people). I don't feel sorry for any of them. Based on the content, it will end badly, as in general it happened in reality. Actually, the author leads to this, that while young morons are chasing chushpans and giving their word to the boys, they and those around them get screwed.

It is clear why the film “suddenly” took off in Ukraine; there is now approximately the same atmosphere of internal growing collapse as in the film, where young people gather into Nazi or criminal groups “opposing the wrong reality.”
If we talk about Russia, even without Kryzhovnikov’s opus, AUE flourished quite well, until the authorities realized that all this had to be suppressed (the success of these measures is debatable). And the question of the need to restore the Organized Organized Crime Control comes up periodically.

Could the film have a negative impact on certain “young morons”? Probably it can. They will imagine themselves to be the salt of the streets and will go to beat the chushpans. They will finish as well. But in fact, we had and still have gopniks without Kryzhovnikov.



There is nothing special to prohibit there. On the contrary, the inflated hype with cries about the need to ban it led to more people starting to watch, if only out of the principle “What did they decide to ban?” Moreover, the series has been lying around on torrents for a long time and whoever needs it will watch it anyway. In 10-15 years, someone will make a film about AUE in Russia or about hehe PMC "Redan". And Mizulina’s granddaughter will demand a ban.

Out of entomological interest, I’ll check it out. I'm unlikely to ever watch it again.
And in general, Kryzhovnikov’s work is clearly not mine.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8813057.html

About the necessary
December 6, 21:35

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According to the Main Directorate of the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation for the Moscow Region, Kiva was shot dead with a firearm.
A criminal case has been opened. Again, regardless of Kiva’s personality, I remind you of my position on such issues:

1. The SBU and the GUR MOU must be recognized as terrorist organizations.

2. The treatment of any persons collaborating with the SBU and the GUR MOU should be identical to how persons associated with ISIS and Al-Qaeda are treated.

3. The death penalty for terrorism should be restored in the country. Current punitive measures are seen as insufficient.

4. The creation of a structure identical to SMERSH with a similar methodology and the broadest powers has long been overdue.

5. I would like the praises of Sudoplatov to be confirmed not only by monuments and words, but also by deeds. Both on the territory of Ukraine and abroad.

Some will say the program is too ambitious.

But once upon a time the closure of Echo of Moscow and Memorial in our country seemed incredible. So the water wears away the stone.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8811923.html

(A little unclear on the background here. Kiva was apparently some sort of 'personality' in Ukraine who defected to Russia.)

Google Translator

******

Some Numbers For America's European Lapdo... I mean "Allies".
Nothing personal, guys, just business. And this is just the warmup.

Стало известно, сколько ЕС переплатил за импорт газа из-за кризиса в отношениях с Россией. Меньше чем за два года европейцы потратили на газ 300 млрд евро, тогда как раньше они столько тратили за девять лет и за большие объемы. Главным бенефициаром стали США, которые заработали на этом 53 млрд евро. 304 млрд евро потратил Евросоюз на импорт газа с февраля 2022 года. Раньше он столько тратил за девять лет, а теперь всего за 20 месяцев. По сравнению с 2021 годом ЕС переплатил за газ за этот период целых 185 млрд евро. Это следует из расчетов РИА «Новости» по данным Евростата.
В 2022 году каждый месяц ЕС тратил на импорт газа 15,2 млрд евро. Это в 2,5 раза больше, чем он тратил в 2021 году – 5,9 млрд евро. Причем расходы европейцев выросли как на трубопроводный, так и на сжиженный природный газ (СПГ). В 2022 году трубопроводный газ обошелся в 7,5 млрд евро, СПГ – в 7,7 млрд евро. В 2021 году расходы были в разы меньше – 3,6 млрд евро на трубопроводный, 2,3 млрд евро – на СПГ.Таким образом, за 20 месяцев с февраля 2022 года переплата за газ составила 185 млрд евро, а всего на эти цели члены Евросоюза потратили 304 млрд евро. Раньше ЕС тратил такие суммы за несколько лет. В 186 млрд обошелся газ с апреля 2017 года по конец 2021-го, то есть почти за пять лет, а в 292 млрд – с 2013 по 2021 год, то есть за девять лет.



Translation: It became known how much the EU overpaid for gas imports due to the crisis in relations with Russia. In less than two years, Europeans have spent 300 billion euros on gas, whereas previously they spent that much in nine years and for larger volumes. The main beneficiary was the United States, which earned 53 billion euros from this. The European Union has spent 304 billion euros on gas imports since February 2022. Previously, it spent so much in nine years, but now in just 20 months. Compared to 2021, the EU overpaid for gas during this period by as much as 185 billion euros. This follows from RIA Novosti calculations based on Eurostat data. In 2022, the EU spent 15.2 billion euros on gas imports every month. This is 2.5 times more than it spent in 2021 – 5.9 billion euros. Moreover, European costs have increased for both pipeline and liquefied natural gas (LNG). In 2022, pipeline gas cost 7.5 billion euros, LNG – 7.7 billion euros. In 2021, expenses were several times less - 3.6 billion euros for pipeline, 2.3 billion euros for LNG. Thus, over the 20 months since February 2022, the overpayment for gas amounted to 185 billion euros, and in total for these purposes members The European Union spent 304 billion euros. Previously, the EU spent such amounts over several years. Gas cost 186 billion from April 2017 to the end of 2021, that is, almost five years, and 292 billion from 2013 to 2021, that is, nine years.

Anyone expected anything else? Hey, "democracy" needs sacrifice and we all know what and who this sacrifice is. Europe, of course. And this is just the start of the "democratic" de-industrialization, wait when (very soon) real effects of it will start kicking in in earnest. They already started, but that just the warmup, when the shit hits the fan, boy, I don't want to be European. It is too late for Europe, anyway. Europe, of course, tries to buy Russian LNG, but that too is until the master allows it. Well, America needs to eat too, you know. Russia, meanwhile, is very happy with her Asian-Pacific customers.

As per Biden's desire to fight Russia in 404, I can only quote Vladimir Putin:

Москва не раз подчеркивала, что не представляет угрозы ни для одной из стран Североатлантического альянса, но не оставит без внимания действия, потенциально опасные для ее интересов. При этом она остается открытой к диалогу, но на равноправной основе, а Запад должен отказаться от курса на милитаризацию Европы. Как отметил Владимир Путин, Россия не хочет прямого военного столкновения с НАТО, но если кто-то пожелает — Москва к этому готова.

Translation: Moscow has repeatedly emphasized that it does not pose a threat to any of the countries of the North Atlantic Alliance, but will not ignore actions that are potentially dangerous to its interests. At the same time, it remains open to dialogue, but on an equal basis, and the West must abandon its course towards the militarization of Europe. As Vladimir Putin noted, Russia does not want a direct military clash with NATO, but if someone wishes, Moscow is ready for this.

You see, that explains where all those massive reserves of Armed Forces of Russia are and what they are being readied for. Somebody has to explain to Lord Austin that no NATO force, US Army first and foremost, know how to operate and maneuver when the comms are jammed, headquarters and other C4 centers are under constant attack and when GPS is completely disabled on the theater. Putin is not bluffing.

In related news, another one bites the dust. Challengers are definitely having a very bad time in 404. Another one was confirmed burned beyond recognition, almost, and that is why the US wants its Abrams back. Man, that Chobham armor, legendary, right?

Image

http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2023/12 ... opean.html

Do I Hear Kinzhal?
Yes I do. The big Guy opened the curtain just a little bit.

‘No limit’ to sharing tech with China – Putin. Even military secrets are not off the table, the Russian president has suggested. Washington’s current policies are meant to preserve its dominant status, the Russian president claimed, but “if we act across the board, supporting and helping each other, no restrictions by whoever tries to keep its advantage can stop us.”As for China specifically, Russia is ready to cooperate in every area, Putin assured. “We have no limits. This includes the military sphere,” he said. “When it comes to security, we are moving away from the traditional ‘buy-sell’ kind of relationship. We think about the future, about technologies.”

Take it any way you want, but I am telling you, China is getting Kinzhals (first iteration) and... in whisper, MiG-31K(I), maybe? Nobody needs the war in Pacific and Kinzhal, being mature and combat proven system, will keep US naval forces away. Evidently there is a military alliance between China and Russia.

http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2023/12 ... nzhal.html

******

Putin visits Saudi and UAE on West Asia tour: featured interview on WION Indian global broadcaster

It was a pleasure to re-join the WION news team for an on-air discussion of Vladimir Putin’s visit yesterday to its closest business partners in the Arab world, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia.

As the news presenter remarks in the introductory segment to this interview, this was Putin’s first trip to these countries since 2019 and given the very tense and volatile atmosphere in the region due to the savage attacks on Gaza by the Israeli Defense Forces, his visit is very timely.

Of course, all major Western media never fail to raise the question of the arrest warrant for Putin issued by the International Court of Justice in the Hague as a limitation on where the Russian president can travel these days. Regrettably the WION news team did the same, even going so far as to misidentify what the indictment was all about: it certainly was not a condemnation of the Russian invasion as such; instead it was based on perverse and incredible accusations of ‘kidnapping’ against the Russians for removing orphans and unsupervised children from the war zone in Ukraine to secure locations in Russia pending their reunion with relatives.

Nonetheless, I share the WION team’s characterization of this visit as an important reassertion by Russia of its military, economic and diplomatic presence in a region that the United States has long considered as its privileged back yard.

The link to this interview is below:



https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2023/12/07/ ... oadcaster/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Sat Dec 09, 2023 5:07 pm

IRAN PRESIDENT RAISI ASKS PRESIDENT PUTIN TO SUPPORT GAZA ACTION – PUTIN IS EVASIVE FOR THE MOMENT

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by John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

An Iranian-Russian initiative on the Gaza War was tabled when Iranian President Sayyid Ebrahim Raisi met with President Vladimir Putin for several hours on Thursday. For the time being the Kremlin is doing its best to hide it.

According to Iran’s Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian, speaking after Raisi had returned home, “a significant part of the negotiations focused on the Palestinian issue and Russia is thinking about an initiative on Gaza. The two sides stressed the need for an immediate cessation of the war and genocide in Gaza and the West Bank, he said, noting that the presidents of Iran and Russia also called for stopping the forced migration of Gazans and the immediate opening of the Rafah border to deliver massive humanitarian aid to Gazan people.”

There was a one-on-one session between Raisi and Putin at the commencement of the talks; a session of the two presidents with brief public statements; and then closed delegation presentations and a supper. Altogether, the talks lasted five hours. There were no press briefings at the conclusion.

There has been a blackout on the talks by Russian Defense Ministry, the military bloggers, and Moscow media like Vzglyad which has been taking a pro-Israel line. No Russian official will clarify what Abdollahian meant by his claim that “Russia is thinking about an initiative on Gaza” – except to point out that Abdollahian’s wording does not mean that the “initiative” at this stage was initiated by the Russian side.

Vedomosti reports that “Iran would like Russia to more actively express the pro-Palestinian position within the framework of public discourse, which would correspond to Iranian rhetoric. From the point of view of the North–South economy, of course, Tehran has a priority, it’s just that against the current background it, like any Muslim country, cannot demonstrate that it can have something more important than the situation in the Gaza Strip.”

According to the Kremlin communiqué, Raisi told Putin “the events unfolding in Gaza” are “surely genocide and a crime against humanity. It is lamentable that more than 6,000 children have been killed by the hands of the Zionist regime. Even sadder is the fact that all these crimes have been supported by the United States and Western countries. What is even more regrettable is that international organisations and the human rights organisations have lost their effectiveness… One of the issues that I would like to discuss with you, Mr Putin, is Palestine, as well as the challenges faced by the oppressed but strong Palestinian people. According to statistics, one child dies every ten minutes. Bombing must be stopped as soon as possible. This is not a regional issue, but a global issue, and a solution should be found promptly.”

Putin replied by changing the subject.

“Mr President, I will definitely take you up on your invitation [to visit Iran]. And I should note that we will keep working almost through the end of the year. We have scheduled the signing of an agreement on creating a free trade area between Iran and the Eurasian Economic Union in late December. It will create additional opportunities for expanding our interaction.”

The Kremlin has published the names of the Russian delegation accompanying Putin at the talks but refuses to disclose the names of their Iranian counterparts. “Wait for additional materials on our website”, the spokesman said.

Although Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu was the second ranking member of the Russian side, Iranian sources confirm there was no military counterpart on their side.

Privately, Russian sources believe the two sides are discussing the protracted, long war strategy of Hamas and Hezbollah and the parallel engagement from Yemen and Iraq. They are also discussing ideas for breaking the Israeli blockade of Gaza with massive humanitarian aid in which the Arab states and China are also engaged in the planning.

“The war has to be economic and infrastructure suffocation [of Israel],” a Moscow source says. “Yes, that’s the only way to beat the beast.”

Raisi’s aircraft landed at Vnukovo at 1400 in the afternoon. The meetings with Putin began at the Kremlin at 1740. The first meeting between Raisi and Putin appears to have lasted less than 45 minutes — enough time to agree on the format for the detailed planning negotiations to follow, but too little time for negotiating a personal understanding on the Gaza war.

Putin had returned to Moscow early the same morning from his Wednesday’s talks in Abu Dhabi with President Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, and in Riyadh with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS). Planning for the talks with the Arab heads of state had been under way for more than a week, but were accelerated, Putin told Russian television, after there were “changes to plans.”

For what was tagged officially as a “working visit”, the imperial display turned on for Iran’s President by the Russian side was unusual. It was designed to match the palatial arrangements for Putin in the UAE and Saudi Arabia the day before.

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Following the personal meeting of the presidents, Putin and Raisi made public statements at this session of what the Kremlin has called the “narrow format”. The Kremlin communiqué names the Russian four on the right of the picture: right to left, Deputy Prime Minister and Co-Chairman of the Russian-Iranian Commission on Trade and Economic Cooperation Alexander Novak, a former Russian oil minister; Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu; presidential assistant for foreign affairs, Yury Ushakov; and Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Vershinin. The Kremlin refuses to identify the four Iranian officials on the left. Iranian sources say they are, left to right: Iran’s Ambassador to Russia, Kazem Jalali; Mohammad Jamshidi, head of foreign affairs in the presidential office; Javad Owji , Oil Minister; and Hossein Amir Abdollahian, Foreign Minister.

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In the Iranian official news agency report, the third session of the talks involved expanded delegations. “The gathering was attended by Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian, minister of roads and urban development [Mehrdad Bazrpash] oil minister [Javad Owji], head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran [Mohammad Eslami], the governor of the Central Bank of Iran [Mohammad-Reza Farzin], and their Russian counterparts. The two sides discussed a range of bilateral issues in the meeting, exchanged views on cooperation in the fields of energy, monetary and banking sector, transportation, and agriculture, and weighed plans for new initiatives to speed up the implementation of the past agreements.”

https://johnhelmer.net/wp-content/webpc ... &nocache=1[/img]
The third session was followed by a luncheon at the same table. There was no military discussion.

One outcome, if not intention, of this set-up, according to a Moscow source, was that it helped to isolate Putin as far as possible from Raisi, and prevent the two of them having intimate conversation. It’s unclear whether the one-on-one conversation with which they began, was resumed after the planned luncheon, which for timing turned out to be dinner at around 2100.

About two hours into the talks, the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) published the first report and picture. This appears to shows the two presidents together in the Kremlin. In fact, the picture is from the Kremlin archive and dates from a meeting between the two presidents in Ashgabat, capital of Turkmenistan; that was on June 29, 2022. The IRNA text following the Kremlin private meeting is here.

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The primitive portrait of a young Arabian stallion on the wall and the new Bokhara pattern rug on the floor ought to be recognised as clues this is not a location in the Kremlin. Source: http://en.kremlin.ru/

In his public introduction, Putin told Raisi: “Yesterday, you know, I was in a neighbouring region, I flew over the territory of your country and I wanted to land and meet in Tehran, but they told me that the President had already packed up and was flying to Moscow.” Raisi replied, contradicting him: “I must tell you, Mr Putin, after your visit [to Saudi Arabia], I wish you godspeed, we were ready for your plane to land at Tehran Airport, and we were ready to welcome you as well.”

The strategic significance of the meeting sequence for the Russian, Emirati, Saudi, and Iranian leaders is great, and therefore secret. The London press is reporting that MBS of Saudi Arabia had delayed his London trip so that he could meet Putin — that had been decided several days before Putin’s arrival. Putin’s schedule on Wednesday had been grueling, and the meeting time was extended beyond schedule in Riyadh. The Russians also wanted to manage the public appearances to achieve parity between the Arabs and the Iranians.

The close-up video and audio record of the opening statements show Raisi in mental command, Putin hesitant, fidgeting, and fatigued.
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Source: https://t.me/s/rybar/ -- 19:25 Moscow time

Putin’s repetitive right-hand motion on his chair arm, his persistent voice-clearing cough, and his resort to mnemonic formulas are indicators of his uncomfortableness following the private meeting with Raisi.
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Source: https://twitter.com/

Notwithstanding, Moscow sources comment, there has been a noticeable improvement in the relationship between Putin and Raisi since Raisi was given the long-table treatment on his first visit to Moscow on January 19, 2022. The opening of the Special Military Operation in the Ukraine, NATO’s escalation on the battlefield, and the accelerating military collaboration between Iranian and Russian forces have transformed Putin’s conduct.

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Source: http://en.kremlin.ru/

The Iranian positions were made clear ahead of Thursday’s trip to Moscow, and then immediately afterwards. Raisi’s priority, he said himself, was Gaza and breaking the Israeli blockade. “Holding talks on ways to send humanitarian aid to Palestine and help the Palestinians fulfill their legitimate rights will be among the plans during the Moscow visit, the president underlined.”

On Thursday morning, Teheran time, IRNA headlined Raisi’s objective was to get Putin to agree to a joint call for “immediate halt to Gaza bombardment”.

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Source: https://twitter.com/

By the late evening, Raisi authorised his spokesman to issue a statement of agreement between the presidents which was significantly less. “In a 3 hour closed meeting btw Presidents Raisi & Putin, the two had a detailed and very useful negotiations on bilateral and regional issues, focusing on Gaza. Reminding successful cooperations in Levant, President Raisi proposed ideas. The two agreed to act in coordination.”

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At Raisi’s right and head of delegation was the Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian who is at the right in this Iranian press agency picture. Following the refusal of the Kremlin to identify the four, Iranian sources have revealed who they are. At the extreme left of the picture is Iran’s ambassador to Russia, Kazem Jalali. Second from left is Mohammad Jamshidi, a former professor of politics at the University of Teheran and currently deputy chief of the presidential staff for political affairs; he acts as the presidential spokesman. His comment on the talks is Raisi’s authorised version:

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Source: https://twitter.com/MhmmdJamshidi

In the IRNA photograph of the Kremlin session, seated between Jamshidi and Abdollahian there was Javad Owji, Iran’s Oil Minister.

This lineup indicates there were Iranian matches for three of the Russian delegation, but not for Defense Minister Shoigu. Mohammad-Reza Gharaei Ashtiani, Brigadier General and Iran’s Defense Minister since 2021, is Shoigu’s counterpart, but he was not present in the Moscow meetings.

The Fars news agency has also announced that participating in the Iranian delegation, but not in the front row of the “narrow format” session, there were Minister of Roads and Urban Development Mehrdad Bazrpash; head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, Mohammad Eslami; and the Governor of the Central Bank of Iran, Mohammad-Reza Farzin.

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Left: Mohammad-Reza Ashtiani; centre, Mohammad-Reza Farzin; right, foreign ministers Abdollahian and Lavrov sign the “Declaration by the Russian Federation and the Islamic Republic of Iran on the Ways and Means to Counter, Mitigate and Redress the Adverse Impacts of Unilateral Coercive Measures” on December 5 in Moscow.

Farzin’s role, together with that of Russian Central Bank governor Elvira Nabiullina, is to devise counter-measures for US and European sanctions, and to implement “a road map [to] be drawn up by States to reduce the dependency of international trade on national currencies that are prone to being used to implement unilateral coercive measures or to sustain a particular State’s monetary hegemony over the global economy.” This is one of the sixteen points of agreement which Abdollahian signed with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov on December 5, two days before Raisi’s arrival.

Read the full economic counter warfare plan here.

Moscow analysts note that while Putin may be keeping his distance from the Iranian rhetoric against Israel, at the working group level the collaboration of the two states in military, financial and strategic operations means much more. There is also discreet evidence that the Chinese are active in the planning of a major humanitarian operation for Gaza.

“On the battlefield Russians are very fast learners from their mistakes,” a veteran Moscow analyst says. “But in Russian politics and business they are slow to accept that the US and Israel have always been enemies to Russian interests, and will remain so. What the Americans and Israelis don’t realise is that Putin was the slowest to change his mind towards them. The Ukraine war and now the Gaza War have changed all that.”

https://johnhelmer.net/iran-president-r ... more-88984

That final paragraph is what I've been saying for a long time in reference to Donbass. Putin tried to sell out Donbass at Minsk but nothing but abject capitulation would satisfy the US: 1991 borders, loss of Crimea and Ukraine in NATO. Good thing for Russia that he finally came to his senses.
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Sun Dec 10, 2023 6:36 pm

DECEMBER 10, 2023 BY M. K. BHADRAKUMAR
Russia readies for a brave new world

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The ceremony marking presentation of Gold Star medals to Heroes of Russia, St George Hall, Kremlin, Moscow, December 8, 2023

The announcement on Friday by Russian President Vladimir Putin that he will seek reelection for a fifth term in office came as no surprise. That he chose the occasion of a Kremlin ceremony conferring the Hero of Russia medals to servicemen who had taken part in Russia’s military operation against Ukraine to make the announcement is striking.

Putin was found responding to an exhortation by the Hero of the Donetsk People’s Republic Artyom Zhoga, commander of the famous Sparta Battalion (who succeeded his son Vladimir, who died at the age of 28 in 2022 and was posthumously awarded the title “Hero of Russia”) that the entire Donbass would like him to participate in the election. There is no question that Col. Zhoga voiced a collective wish of the Russian people.

The Ukraine war has turned out to be a defining event in Putin’s political life. There was some misjudgement initially when the special military operation commenced in late February 2022 that it would be a short-lived affair and President Vladimir Zelensky would take up the Russian offer to negotiate. But where Moscow went horribly wrong was that the US wouldn’t get into a proxy war with them with such gusto and manipulate Zelensky from seeking peace. (See an excellent account, in English, of the US’ sabotage of the Istanbul Agreement, titled Peace for Ukraine authored by a distinguished German troika of a diplomat, a historian and a general.)

Indeed, Putin eventually steered the tentative special military operation out of the woods by making a tactical withdrawal of troops in the northern sectors, allowing a large mobilisation of troops to pursue a war of attrition and ordering an effective multilevel fortification of the frontline. In retrospect, his military decisions turned the tide of war and Russian weaponry and military technology outclassed what the US and NATO supplied to Kiev.

As of now, Russian forces are pressing ahead all across the 900-km frontline and the momentum might carry them far even across the Dnieper. Crimea and the Black Sea are not in any serious danger; the four new territories are resource-rich and Russia controls all the ports in the strategic Sea of Azov, which is an important access route for Central Asia from the Caspian Sea via the Volga-Don Canal.

However, although the US failed to achieve a military victory in Ukraine, the Biden Administration will try to prolong the conflict for as long as possible through 2024 hoping to bleed Russia in a gruelling struggle as in Afghanistan in the eighties. But it is a vain hope.

Sergey Naryshkin, chief of Russia’s foreign intelligence service wrote last week in the agency’s journal Razvedchik (The Intelligence Operative) that “there is a high probability that further support for the Kiev junta, especially given the increasing ‘toxicity’ of the Ukrainian theme for transatlantic unity and Western society as a whole, will accelerate the decline of the international authority of the West.

“Ukraine itself will turn into a ‘black hole’ absorbing material and human resources the further it goes,” he continued. “In the end, the US risks creating ‘another Vietnam,’ which every new US administration will have to deal with until some sensible person who has the courage and determination to break this vicious circle takes over in Washington.”

Ukraine will remain a priority issue for Russia and that is one main reason why the Russian elite and the nation at large want Putin to remain in power until 2030. The heart of the matter is that Putin also brilliantly tweaked the economic and social policies to sequester the lives of ordinary Russians from the usual deprivations characteristic of a ‘war economy’. Life moves on, and the ‘new normalcy’ is working well.

Putin has scattered the US’ goal to entrap Russia in an apparent quagmire — sending the Russian economy into a tailspin and stoking social discontent and creating conditions for an insurrection against the regime — to weaken Russia and remove it from the global stage as an increasingly effective counterpoint to the western hegemony by fuelling fissiparous tendencies to threaten the unity and integrity of the Russian Federation.

In reality, Putin’s achievements are a work in progress and his continuance in power remains a pre-requisite for Russia’s re-emergence as a ‘superpower’ surpassing even the Soviet Union in some ways in circumstances that are as much challenging as offering opportunities that must be creatively seized in a volatile world environment in historic transition.

Putin tested the waters and has put Russia on the right side of history, so to speak, which presents a study in contrast with the disarray and lack of conviction and mediocre leadership in the US and the transatlantic system as a whole.

If the above-mentioned essay by Naryshkin (entitled 2024 Is the Year Of the Geopolitical Awakening) is taken as benchmark, the world in transition can be expected to have a trajectory on the following lines:

A fundamental conflict between the ‘old’ and the ‘new’ world, which has been maturing below the surface through the three decades since the end of the cold war, has “moved into an open phase” with the commencement of Russia’s special military operation and has “acquired a geographically all-encompassing character” in the last year.
An increasing number of countries that “share the ideas of multipolarity and adhere to a traditional worldview” are pushing back the West’s globalist and anti-humanistic agenda.
Consequently, the risks of instability are multiplying, which lead to “an increase in the chaotic nature of the processes taking place in the foreign policy arena.” The emergent situation demands “remarkable restraint and foresight” from world leaders.
In sum, the current situation is “increasingly reminiscent of a class revolutionary situation, when the ‘upper classes’ in the face of the weakening United States can no longer provide their own leadership, and the ‘lower classes’, as the Anglo-Saxon elite refer to all other countries, no longer want to obey Western dictates.”
In order to preserve their global hegemony, the Euro-Atlantic elite will follow the well-trodden path of creating controlled chaos — de-stabilising the situation in key regions by pitting some ‘recalcitrant’ states against others and “forming a sub-system around them as operational and tactical coalitions controlled by the West.”
However, “responsible world players, especially Russia, China and India and some others demonstrate their readiness to resolutely resist external threats and independently implement crisis management.” Even the closest allies of the US are striving to diversify external relations faced with lack of confidence in America as provider of security. The eruption of Israel-Palestine conflict is “a sobering example” for many Western politicians.
In such a backdrop, “the world stage will be marked by a further intensification of the confrontation between the two geopolitical principles — namely, the Anglo-Saxon, or island, ‘divide-and-rule’ and the continental ‘unite-and-lead’ directly antagonistic to it. Manifestations of this fierce confrontation in the coming year will be observed in even the most remote regions of the world.”
Interestingly, in Naryshkin’s prognosis, it is not the Indo-Pacific but the Arab world that will remain “the key arena of the struggle for a new world order” in 2024. By the way, the essay appeared on the eve of Putin’s daylong trip to the UAE and Saudi Arabia on Wednesday where he recieved a hero’s welcome. In an extraordinary courtesy by the host countries, Putin’s presidential jet was flanked by four armed Su-35 multi-role 4th + + generation multi-role fighter jets noted for great combat power, high speed and matchless flight range.

https://www.indianpunchline.com/russia- ... new-world/

******

BBC’s interview with Former Austrian Foreign Minister Karen Kneissl and other assorted news
December 9, 2023

As readers of these pages know well, it is not my custom to embed links to television interviews with political personalities or other celebrities. However, today I will make an exception and recommend to readers the interview taken several days ago with Austria’s former Foreign Minister Karen Kneissl (2017-2019) conducted by the BBC’s Moscow bureau chief Steve Rosenberg.



The interview took place in St Petersburg, where Kneissl now works as director of the Global Observatory for Russia’s Key Issues, a think tank within the St Petersburg State University. After leaving government in 2019, she had tried to find an academic position in some West European university and to resume her work as lecturer, which she had performed in many prestigious institutions for well over a decade in the past, but her political baggage as a “friend of Putin” marked her as blacklisted.

Kneissl’s unusual and outstanding life, both in its private and public aspects, are set out very well in her Wikipedia entry and I will not duplicate that here. What I do call attention to is the exceptional poise and self-confidence that we see in her answers to Rosenberg’s needling questions.

References to this interview have picked out the raisins from the cake. First is her characterization of Vladimir Putin as “the most intelligent gentleman I have ever met,” a gentleman in the tradition of Jane Austin’s Pride and Prejudice, as she further explains. Second is her rejection of Rosenberg’s suggestion that the Russian invasion of Ukraine had turned the world upside down. No, said Kneissl, that was not true at all. It was the war in Iraq that turned the world upside down. With both answers, she left her interrogator-interviewer speechless.

Bear in mind that Rosenberg puts his accusatory remarks to her softly, softly, in contrast to the frontal assault approach of his BBC colleague Steven Sackur, host of Hard Talk. A brief clip of the exchange between Sackur and Kneissl from an earlier BBC interview is included in the link above. Rosenberg’s fleshy face corresponds to his fat cat personality. Sackur’s lean and mean face speaks for itself. Kneissl handles herself very well with both.

*****

In the Russian news, one of the lead stories has been Vladimir Putin’s announcement yesterday that he will stand for re-election in 2024. The date has now been set at 15-17 March.

Today’s 20.00 o’clock Vesti program devoted perhaps ten minutes to the electoral campaign team that Putin has assembled, drawn from leaders in all walks of life.

At this point, he is the only declared candidate. It will be interesting to see whether any of the Duma parties decide to put up their own candidates to challenge him. I would say it is unlikely given the full-throated support of the Communists, A Just Russia and the Liberal Democrats for the war leadership of the President up to now. Instead, such candidates as emerge are to be expected from existing or to be formed parties enjoying less than 5% support in the electorate, and we may expect that Putin will not participate in any televised debates that may be scheduled.

Since 2024 is also the year of U.S. presidential elections, the topic of who will stand for election there has been a source of amusement to Russian television viewers. In last night’s Vladimir Solovyov talk show, the consensus of panelists was that Russia will throw its backing to both Biden and Trump because the victory of either one spells the continued self-destruction of the United States. Brain-dead Biden supervises contradictory foreign and domestic policies that are tearing America apart while bankrupting the Treasury. Trump achieved the same by gross incompetence. As the Russians say, ‘Oy, oy, oy.”

*****

I close out today’s ruminations on the state of the world by a brief comment on the impact Ukrainian ‘war refugees’ have had on Brussels. You see it most everywhere if you take the time to look around. I think, for example, of how the International Press Club of Brussels, which was always CIA financed and had its share of spooks on the board of directors, was swiftly renamed and repurposed as the Ukrainian Press Club. That is what the sign on the door tells you today.

But a bigger issue is in the linguistic domain. Going back to the early days of Russia’s Special Military Operation when we had a substantial influx of Ukrainians arriving in Belgium to escape the war, to make their fortunes, or for whatever other reason, the Belgian government did what it could to reach out to them in what was assumed to be their own language. I remember how at the Covid testing and vaccination center in downtown Brussels that my wife and I visited, there were signs in proper Ukrainian outside and inside the building to guide any of the refugees who came in for processing.

Now on the basis of what I hear around me, I would say that the Belgian authorities got it all wrong. I use public transport and I see and hear a lot of Ukrainians around me. But these folks are all Russian speakers.

In two years I have yet to hear anyone speaking Ukrainian on the streets of Brussels, whereas Russian speakers are today many times more numerous than in the pre-2022 past, when we still welcomed Russian tourist groups. There can be no doubt that today’s Russian speakers who seem to be permanently installed here have arrived from Ukraine and not from Russia, because for all practical purposes there are no visas being issued to Russians from the Russian Federation for tourism or for business.

The commonplace fact of Russian speaking Ukrainians here is such that a couple of weeks ago when taking a bus out to the suburbs I overheard a Russian speaking passenger conversing in Russian with a Russian speaking “Belgian” bus driver with whom he had just met and somehow entered into a conversation.

These seemingly random observations confirm a very important truth: that Ukraine before the coup d’etat of 2014 and onset of its civil war had a very large Russian-speaking minority of perhaps 40% of the general population that could be compelled to learn and speak Ukrainian, as the folks in the West of their country wanted, only at the point of a gun.

And at the point of a gun, sensible people pull up stakes and leave.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2023

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2023/12/09/ ... rted-news/

*******

"About events in Bryansk"
December 10, 13:25

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"About events in Bryansk"

A tragedy has occurred. Children died. Emotions are overwhelming. Society demands to take action and punish everyone.
If our society really cares about the safety of children, then we need to understand, analyze, draw conclusions and propose solutions.
In reality, what do we see on the news?
Tragedy in Bryansk.
My father didn't follow through - he went to prison.
A security guard at a school couldn't check 500 people in 30 minutes - she went to jail.
The director of the private security company won the contract and sent the woman to the post - to prison.
The school director entered into a contract with the private security company for the tragedy that occurred and went to prison.
Who else needs to be sent to prison to punish everyone?
One gets the impression that turning a blind eye to existing problems, not assessing the complexity of the situation and forgetting about the consequences, the “punitive hand of justice” does not solve the problem, but only aggravates it. Of course, the investigation is not over yet and all the facts have not been established, but...
Let's honestly face the truth.
There is a stratification of society. If you have money, then your children will study in a private school, with excellent security, but there will still be no upbringing because Education is a service and there is no talk of any upbringing.
We want to have security for schools and educational institutions as at a secret facility, but we will pay on a residual basis. That's why pensioners sit as security guards. Parents, if they decide to give up and hire decent security, it will turn out that most of them do not want to pay or cannot. If suddenly a miracle happens and they put not one, but six guards and they carefully examine the students, then there will immediately be a “howl to the heavens” that the school has been turned into a prison.
Where is the golden mean that will suit all layers of society? It does not exist and will not exist until we have an understanding of what “public safety” is and how it is achieved.

Finding someone to blame is always easier than understanding the problem and trying to solve it.

This opinion may not coincide with the opinions of others.
12/10/23
Kutyr V.B.

https://t.me/kak_prosto_bit_soldatom/681 - zinc

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Mon Dec 11, 2023 4:33 pm

“ONE WAR, ONE ELECTION AT A TIME” – ONE STEP FORWARD FOR NATIONAL LIBERATION, TWO STEPS BACK

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by John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

Not even in revolutionary times have Russian elections been waged on the issue President Vladimir Putin proposed a few days ago of what it means, what it costs, what it risks for Russia to lead the national liberation of the world.

Nor has Putin revealed after two days of intensive talks with Emirati, Saudi, and Iranian leaders, and then a telephone call with the Egyptian President, Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, what plan of action for the Gaza war they discussed. “Russia is thinking about an initiative on Gaza,” Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian has announced after the talks concluded.

El-Sisi was so negative about this, the Kremlin record of his Saturday morning telephone call reveals no more than that he and Putin talked over “a number of issues related to Russian-Egyptian cooperation, which has been developing very successfully. Both parties expressed their interest in further expanding cooperation in various areas in a traditionally friendly manner based on the principles of strategic partnership.” The two presidents then wished each other good luck for their re-elections.

The Egyptian presidential vote is running for three days from Sunday with the result to be declared on December 18; the Russian poll will be held on March 15-17. The outcome is certain for both.

Two hours after Putin put down the phone with el-Sisi, he picked it up again to call Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The Kremlin communiqué has omitted to report what Netanyahu said.

Instead, Putin gave the Israeli his personal assurance there will be no Russian participation in a Gaza blockade-busting plan to deliver humanitarian aid to the Palestinians by sea, or across the Egyptian land border. Nor will the Russian military intervene to threaten Israeli aircraft if they commence bombing Beirut and southern Lebanese targets in the war against Hezbollah.

A Russian source on military strategy believes the Russian objective is to protract the Palestine war on all fronts simultaneously, and exhaust the US and Israel by threatening Israeli ports and shipping, Israel’s offshore gas supplies, and the economy’s principal sources of income. Exhausting the US in the Middle East helps exhaust the US and NATO in the Ukraine, the source adds.

Tactically, the source said, this should mean an international humanitarian operation to break the Israeli blockade of Gaza in order to deliver as much aid as the besieged Palestinians need; action at the international level to deter the Israelis using uranium radiation warheads, poison gas, and other weapons to attack the Hamas tunnel network; and a no-fly zone to cover Lebanon and Syria from Israeli bombing and missile attacks. Military action, the source cautions, should be indirect and confined to proxy forces like Hezbollah on the northern front; Iraqi groups in the east; the Houthis in the south; and support for the Palestinians fighting in the West Bank.

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Hezbollah forces flying the Hezbollah and Syrian flags in Syrian operations to support President Bashar Assad.

The Israeli reaction – “what we can do in Gaza we can do in Beirut” — is to deter Russia, Iran, and the Arab states from allowing their “initiative” to adopt any of these tactics; and to deter an expanded operation by Hezbollah. “If Hezbollah chooses to start an all-out war,” Netanyahu declared publicly just before he spoke to Putin, “then it will, by its own hand, turn Beirut and southern Lebanon, not far from here, into Gaza and Khan Younis.”

Russian sources acknowledge the blackout on debate of these options in the Russian media, including the military bloggers who have become the most outspoken journalists in the country. “One war at a time, one election at a time”, according to one source. “That’s how Putin is thinking right now. How can the General Staff argue with that?”

The official Russian record on Hezbollah is almost empty; Russian officials are reluctant to pronounce the name in public. In 2005, asked what Russian policy was towards Hezbollah, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said: “It is necessary to implement UN Security Council Resolution 1559 in all its aspects. Like all the other decisions on the Middle East, they cannot be implemented just by one half or one third. This concerns matters related to Hezbollah and the Palestinians. As to the role of Hezbollah, I think that it is in the interest of Lebanon and the entire Middle East that the political role of Hezbollah should be taken into consideration and that the party receive a possibility to represent its interests through the elections for the power structures to be formed in Lebanon. Russia can help by being in contact with the Lebanese friends and the Syrian friends, the US, the Europeans, and the countries of the region and by advocating a well-balanced, comprehensive and just implementation of UNSCR 1559 and that in its implementation no one would pursue aims which do not relate to it.”

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Source: http://unscr.com/en/resolutions/doc/1559

A year later, Lavrov’s ministry attempted “well-balance” between the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) and Hezbollah. “The Russian MFA resolutely condemns the abduction of the [IDF] servicemen, and the firing of rockets at Israeli territory. At the same time we regard the military actions launched by Israel as a disproportionate and inadequate use of force, endangering the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Lebanon and peace and security across the region…We urge Israel to cease incursions into Lebanon and the destruction of civilian infrastructure in the country and lift the blockade of its territories…In its turn, the Hezbollah movement should give up anti-Israeli actions that endanger the interests of its own country as well, release the kidnapped Israeli servicemen, cease firing into Israeli territory and respect the UN Blue Line.”

The same balancing act is being attempted now, as Lavrov told Al-Jazeera on Sunday in answer to questions on Russia’s policy towards Hamas. “Hamas committed a terrorist attack on the 7th of October, which we condemned immediately. Hamas has a political branch which operates in Doha, and we have relations with this political branch. We immediately got in touch with the people in Doha to negotiate the fate of the people taken hostages, Russian citizens (but not only Russian citizens), Israeli citizens, and citizens of the neighbouring countries to Russia, and some others. We managed to reach a deal which, as far as I can say, Israelis understand and even appreciate it as far as their citizens are concerned.”

Lavrov attempted to distinguish between national liberation as a political strategy which the Kremlin supports, and Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthi operations which amount to “terrorism” the Kremlin condemns.

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Listen to the exchange on “terrorism” from Min 13:40 to 16:14. https://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/1920028/

“I don’t believe I am hypocritical or Russia is hypocritical,” Lavrov said. “We never have been hiding the operations which we conducted in the Republic of Chechnya. We never have been hiding what we have been doing in Syria at the request of the legitimate government, member of the United Nations, fighting ISIS, Jabhat al-Nusra, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, and other organizations which have popped up after the American interventions in Iraq when Al-Qaeda was created, then in Libya, Jabhat al-Nusra, and you know this story. And we will continue to fight terrorism. Exactly with the rules.”

One of the “rules” to which Lavrov refers is that Russian military engagement in the Middle East must be requested by a government for the security of its territory. In August 2019, when then- Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri requested Russian intervention after the IDF flew drones over Beirut, the response from the Foreign Ministry in Moscow was: “The Russian side reaffirmed its commitment to the sovereignty, independence, territorial integrity and stability of friendly Lebanon and underscored the need for unfailing compliance by all sides with international law.”

There is no reliable evidence that Russian air defence missile systems have been supplied to the Lebanese government. Hezbollah is better equipped, but there is also no reliable evidence for Israeli and US propaganda claiming Russian deliveries of the Pantsir system to Hezbollah since the Gaza War began.

The evidence is much clearer that there has been no Lebanese government request for Russian air cover, nor even a Lebanese government conversation with the Russians since November 2021.

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Last official communication between Lebanon and Russia – November 22, 2021.

“If the Egyptians won’t agree to request Russian backing for a blockade-busting operation,” comments a Moscow source, “and the Lebanese government will not request Russian military support for its airspace, what can the Kremlin do, let alone the General Staff? Considering the Russian attitude towards Hezbollah, and the position in Syria leaving gaping holes in their air defence against Israeli attack, I think we should expect nothing. I do not see the Arabs, Russians, and Chinese forming an alliance of any military consequence for now.”

How long is now?

A veteran of NATO military operations in Afghanistan observes: “The Ukrainian lines are breaking up all along the front. The push is on and that’s where Putin will put his effort to keep his credibility at home. If [Chief of the General Staff General Valery] Gerasimov can keep destroying the fascists riding NATO junk at the current rate of a battalion per day and gain ground doing it, everyone is happy — for now. As for the Arabs, no one in the region will directly take Israel on. The Lebanese Government is petrified of Israel — and they know better than to ask for Russian help. Sisi, with the most capable military, is a coward. The rest will make noise while clandestinely helping the Palestinian resistance, and causing trouble for the US in the neighbourhood. The Iranians know how to fight and won’t stop. The Israelis should and do see them as threat number-one.”

“The only way I see a direct intervention is if China takes the lead on, or announces support for, one. But [President] Xi [Jinping] has some trouble at home, and nothing I’m reading shows Chinese popular support for intervening. If anything, they’re indifferent.”

In wars for national liberation and in civil wars, the terrorism label is one side’s propaganda against the other – this is the consensus of the Russian sources, unspoken and unpublished for the time being. Russian public policy has yet to resolve the contradiction between Russian support for Palestine’s national liberation and opposition to Hamas’s “terrorism” – this can’t happen, the sources say, before the presidential election in March, and the success of the Russian military offensive in the Ukraine by then too.

“There’s nothing new here. Putin is following the old Soviet line on exercising ‘the greatest possible caution’ towards the ‘frightful collisions’ which Stalin’s famous speech on revolution and tactics spelled out a century ago.”https://soviethistory.msu.edu/1924-2/in ... evolution/

https://johnhelmer.net/one-war-one-elec ... more-89002

************

Unknown pages of the withdrawal of the Russian army from Latvia
December 11, 14:04

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Unknown pages of the withdrawal of the Russian army from Latvia

"Withdrawal of the Russian Army. Unknown Pages" is a story about one of the most large-scale and hidden to this day plots of Russian history. After all, things could have turned out in such a way that not only 23,000 military pensioners of the Russian Federation and members of their families would remain in Latvia, but also several key strategic objects - the Liepaja military port, the Skrunda missile defense locator, the Zvezdochka space tracking station near Ventspils. This was the maximum program of the Russian side, and in this case the military-political status of our country could have turned out to be completely different. With a corresponding effect on membership in the European Union and NATO...

Washington was shocked by the independence of the Republic of Latvia, and it was recognized only on September 2, 1991. “When negotiations began on the withdrawal of the Russian army, the US interest was not great,” explains A. Pupols against the backdrop of the White House. “The Bush administration believed that it was necessary to support perestroika. And the Baltic states are not particularly important for America. The situation has changed significantly, when Bill Clinton came to power."

In January 1994, Clinton arrived in Moscow and in negotiations with Yeltsin reached a package agreement - “protection of the rights of Russians” in the Republic of Latvia in exchange for the operation of the old Skrunda radar station for 4 years and a year and a half for demolition. The new, unfinished locator was supposed to be blown up that year. “Nobody asked Latvian opinion,” states A. Pupols. Riga was convinced after the fact.

The then Prime Minister Valdis Birkavs said in an interview for the film that Foreign Minister Andreev handed him the phone so that the head of the Latvian government could talk to Christopher Warren. The US Secretary of State was just flying to Minsk (negotiations on the withdrawal of nuclear weapons from Belarus were also the most important for Washington). “He asked me - how long can you keep the Skrunda locator? I said: the residents demand immediately, we are targeting a year, the maximum that we could politically withstand is two years. And I hear the calculation: he says - the Russians demand seven. Two plus seven is nine, that's four and a half in total. Is it okay? I said let it go."

In 1993, Martins Virsis was elected deputy of the V Seimas on the Latvian Way list, and on behalf of the Foreign Affairs Commission led the negotiations with the Russian Federation. Along the way, he was the chairman of the group on parliamentary cooperation with Russia. According to him, he “regularly received” from Aleksandrs Kirshteins, Andrejs Krastins and other radical national politicians. The Birkavs government at that time relied on a minority in the Seimas. Therefore, to convince Latvian politicians... they were invited to Washington! The American side received the leaders of all parliamentary factions, the head of the Foreign Affairs Commission, Kirshteins, and Virsis himself.

“Vice President Al Gore promised to remove Skrunda from the list of US nuclear targets,” states A. Pupols in his film. This is a very important circumstance - it turns out that because of the Russian missile attack warning radar, independent Latvia has remained a potential target for American strategic forces for three years already!

Well, at a banquet for the Latvian delegation, the renowned ace of American foreign policy Zbigniew Brzezinski told A. Kirshteins that retired Russian military personnel “would not be a great misfortune.” “You could give them land ,” suggested the former assistant to the US President for National Security, who did not understand the sacred significance of this factor for the Latvian people.

After such a combination of flattery and pressure, Martins Virsis initialed the text of the agreement with the Russian Federation, and President Guntis Ulmanis signed it upon arriving in Moscow. Then, for the first time in the Russian capital, a red-white-red flag waved, the anthem “God Bless Latvia” was played, and Boris Yeltsin, when asked how much the Russian Federation would pay for Skrunda, leaned back in his chair and said: “This is not the Tsar’s business.”

As for the ratification of the package of Latvian-Russian treaties in the Seimas, deputies of the Movement for the National Independence of Latvia (LNNK) simply left the hall, thereby ensuring a quorum. And in the same summer of 1994, Riga received a visit from President Bill Clinton. Interestingly, Vilnius dropped out of the list, since at that time Lithuania was ruled by the “post-communist” Brazauskas, and besides, the Lithuanian and Estonian airports had too short runways for the presidential Boeing 747.

Clinton was able to sweeten the pill for Yeltsin at the next summit in Naples, where, as A. Pupols put it in his film, “better treatment of Russians” will be emphasized. After all, the intelligence services reported to the White House that the Eastern Slavs make up 48% of the population of Latvia and control 80% of the state’s economy! “It was the fear of Russia,” suggests A. Pupols. After all, the LDPR just won the State Duma elections.

One of the characters in the film was dollar billionaire Petr Aven, who was filmed against the backdrop of the church in Jaunpiebalga. Having tried to start his speech in Latvian, he switched to Russian and told about the history of his family, many of whose members were repressed during Stalin’s times.

30 years ago, Minister for Foreign Economic Relations Petr Aven was a participant in the negotiation process with Latvia. Despite the fact that the Russian side, represented by Ambassador Sergei Zotov and the head of a number of government agencies Sergei Shakhrai, outwardly expressed full readiness to cooperate, in reality there was a slowdown. Marshal Shaposhnikov, who held the position of Commander-in-Chief of the CIS Armed Forces, generally proposed disbanding the North-Western Geographical Forces on the spot! And then Aven joined in with his lobbying position – in favor of Latvia.

“When the issue of troop withdrawal was being decided, the position of our, economic, part of the government was clear. We need to get it out. Both from political relations and from economic ones. I accompanied Yeltsin on all his trips abroad, and, of course, we talked a lot about history. I told him about my family in Jaunpiebalga...

According to Ansis Pupols, it was the influence exerted by P. Aven on the course of negotiations that was credited to him when receiving citizenship of the Republic of Lithuania and is still taken into account, despite the constant demands to expel the disgraced tycoon from our country. Although the Russian oppositionist Andrei Piontkovsky, who spoke in the film, spoke extremely negatively about the role of Mr. Aven and others like him.

https://bb.lv/statja/nasha-latvija/2023 ... -iz-latvii - zinc

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Thu Dec 14, 2023 4:06 pm

US HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES PASSES DEPLETED BRAINS & BLACKOUT BILL FOR BANNING IMPORTS OF RUSSIAN URANIUM

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by John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

US Congressmen have adopted the unusual procedure of approving by voice vote – no tally — a ban on imports of Russian uranium to fuel US nuclear reactors. Hidden from the record are the Congressmen who insisted on including a loophole, Section 2, allowing a waiver of the law until January 2028 to keep the lightbulbs in their districts from blacking out.

The Pentagon also insisted on a loophole, Section 3A, allowing a waiver so that the manufacture of depleted uranium munitions for the Israeli, Ukrainian, and US armies, as well as nuclear warheads for tactical and strategic missiles aimed at Russia, will not be cut off from their Russian import source.

One-fifth of the US electricity supply is dependent on the special enrichment quality of imported Russian uranium, although the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) is reporting that as of June 2023, just 12% of imported enriched uranium fuel in total comes from Russia; 25% from Kazakhstan, where Russian companies hold a substantial stake; and 27% from Canada.

In the first six months of last year, following the start of the Special Military Operation, US importers more than doubled their purchases of enriched uranium fuel from Rosatom, the state corporation which has not been sanctioned by the US, despite appeals from Kiev and George Soros. Almost $700 million was paid for the imports.

In 2022 the price of the Russian imports was $22.76 per pound. This was the lowest priced import of all US import sources — 62% below the Australian uranium delivery price; 54% below the Canadian price; 33% below the Kazakh price. Rosatom’s delivery quote to the US has been falling steadily; it’s down 39% since 2018.

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https://www.eia.gov/

The high quality, low cost, and contract reliability of Russian and Kazakh uranium fuel have driven domestic American uranium processors out of the market since 1980, when the US-produced fuel amounted to almost 44 million pounds, and the imports just 4 million pounds. In 2022 the business had reversed. Imports totalled 32 million pounds; domestic supplies just 4 million pounds.

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Source: https://www.eia.gov

Reviving the fortunes of the domestic industry is one of the reasons for the promotion of the new Russia trade sanction by congressmen and senators from nuclear industry states.

“U.S. civilian nuclear reactor operators,” declared the Breakthrough Institute in a press release on Monday, “providing a fifth of the nation’s electricity, are dependent on an international nuclear fuel supply chain. U.S. reactor developers will also struggle to market their products, both domestically and internationally, without stable fuel availability. Russia has a large influence on the global nuclear fuel supply chain—accounting for 35% of the world’s uranium enrichment capacity—and is the only country producing high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) for commercial use that many advanced nuclear reactors require.” The Breakthrough Institute is financed by Bill Gates and the Pritzker family, well-known backers of Hillary Clinton.

“Without action, Russia will continue its hold on the global uranium market to the detriment of U.S. allies and partners,” declared the House sponsor of the new law, House Energy and Commerce Committee Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers (Republican, Washington state). “One of the most urgent security threats America faces right now is our dangerous reliance on Russia’s supply of nuclear fuels for our nuclear fleet. This threat has intensified as a result of the war in Ukraine. American nuclear fuel infrastructure has been stunted by policies that Russia has exploited by flooding the U.S. market with its cheaper fuel. Today, that accounts for more than 20 percent of nuclear fuels for American reactors. Last year alone, our industry paid over $800 million to Russia’s state-owned nuclear energy corporation, Rosatom and its fuel subsidiaries. That number could be even higher this year and these resources are no doubt going towards funding Putin’s war efforts in Ukraine. Further, we’ve seen how Putin has weaponized Europe’s reliance on Russian natural gas. There’s no reason to believe Russia wouldn’t do the same with our nuclear fuel supply, if Putin saw an opportunity. Rosatom has also supported China’s nuclear energy ambitions. The risks of continuing this dependence on Russia for our nuclear fuels are simply too great.”

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Left: Congresswoman Rodgers; right, Senator Barrasso. The two leading uranium miners listed on the New YHork Stock Exchange are both Canadian in operation – Cameco and NexGen Energy. Uranium Energy Corporation (UEC) comes third, ahead of Energy Fuels. The main uranium mining sites in the US are in Wyoming, Texas, Nebraska, and Utah.

According to Senator John Barrasso, Republican from Wyoming, “the inclusion of this legislation…is the first step towards taking uranium production out from under the thumb of Vladimir Putin and his corrupt regime. Russian energy has no place in the American marketplace.” Barrasso represents the financial interests of several uranium mining and processing operations in his state, including TerraPower and the Uranium Energy Corporation (UEC) in a coal-to-nuclear conversion project, the first of its kind in the US. Although there is a Senate majority for the bill, it is unlikely to be voted until the new year.

The share price of UEC, which is listed on the New York Stock Exchange, is currently recovering from a 15-year slump, and is now worth $2.7 billion in market capitalization. War against Russia is very good for UEC’s shareholders: since the start of the Special Military Operation, UEC’s market cap and share price have almost tripled.

Russian analysts are more than sanguine about the uranium import ban. If and when the sanction starts without the waivers, they are forecasting a rise in global uranium fuel prices and increase in Rosatom’s revenues.

Here is the report of this assessment, published yesterday in Vzglyad, the Moscow-based security analysis platform. The text has been translated verbatim without editing; illustrations and URLs have been added.

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Source: https://vz.ru/

What will the US rejection of Russian nuclear fuel mean? Giving up Russian nuclear fuel is much harder for the United States than giving up oil
by Olga Samofalova

The United States plans to ban the import of Russian uranium for twenty years ahead. At the same time, the United States is now completely dependent on imported nuclear fuel. The consequences for the nuclear market from such an embargo may be even more severe than for the global oil market, experts say.

A draft law banning the import of low-enriched uranium of Russian origin until 2040 has been approved by the House of Representatives of the US Congress, news agencies report. The bill proposes to ban the purchase of uranium that was produced in Russia or by one of the enterprises registered in Russia.

However, the main point of the bill is different: it proposes to prescribe the possibility to lift the ban if there are no other sources of supply or “for the sake of the national interests of the United States.” This can be done jointly by the US Secretary of Energy in coordination with the State Department and the Secretary of Commerce. Moreover, the US Department of Energy will be able to issue permits for the import of Russian uranium in the amounts permitted by current American legislation.

If this law is passed, the [United] States themselves will suffer the most. “Russia still remains a critically important supplier of nuclear fuel to the United States and the global market. If the United States intervenes so abruptly in the nuclear sector, the consequences will be more severe and complex than the consequences for the global oil market after the imposition of oil sanctions. The nuclear market is more focused on long-term contracts than the oil market. In addition, the nuclear sector has a higher concentration, and this is a problem.”


“Russia controls 11% to 12% of the world’s production capacity in the global oil market, and Russia occupies more than 40% of the market for uranium enrichment services. For the nuclear fuel market, this can be a game with completely unpredictable consequences, primarily for the American market itself,” said Sergei Kondratiev (right), deputy head of the Economic Department of the Institute of Energy and Finance.

Once upon a time, the United States was a leader in nuclear energy and, along with the Soviet Union, controlled most of the sphere of uranium enrichment and fabrication of nuclear fuel. But the situation has been different for a long time.

According to the World Nuclear Association, 17 thousand tons of uranium are required annually for the operation of American nuclear reactors, but uranium production in the States themselves last year amounted to less than 100 tons. Only one uranium enrichment plant in New Mexico remains operational in the United States, and it belongs to the European consortium Urenco (Great Britain, Germany, The Netherlands). All raw materials are imported. The United States is forced to import fuel, in particular from Urenco, which supplies fuel to the United States from European plants, and from Rosatom.

According to the expert, an attempt to limit such a major player in the nuclear market as Russia is, will inevitably lead to an increase in fuel costs and prices around the world, and it will be American consumers who will have to pay the most.

“We can see a situation similar to the situation on the oil market, when Russian oil began to be sold at a discount after the imposition of sanctions. The new consumer will sign contracts for the supply of Russian nuclear fuel at a discount. But since prices in the world will rise very significantly, even with a discount, our fuel will cost higher than the prices that are now. In fact, the American consumer, who will pay the highest price, will pay for these sanctions,” Kondratiev argues.

URANIUM FUEL PRICE TAKEOFF AFTER THE WAR BEGAN

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Uranium fuel delivery price, USD per pound (lb), source: https://tradingeconomics.com

“Uranium prices in the US surged past $82 per pound for the first time since January 2008, soaring past pre-Fukushima disaster levels as high demand was met with increasing supply risks. The US lower house passed a bill to ban the import of nuclear fuel from Russia, the world’s top producer of enriched uranium and the biggest US supplier, magnifying supply risks following European utility's partial shunning of Russian nuclear fuel. The developments added to supply risks from elsewhere, including uncertainty from Niger’s military coup and lower output from Canada. In the meantime, fossil fuel volatility and de-carbonization goals drove countries to extend the life of existing generators and increase investments in new plants, led by China's pledge to build another 32 nuclear reactors by the end of the decade. The optimistic demand outlook aligned with lower nuclear fuel inventories for utilities, resulting in large-scale near-term purchasing activity.”

At the same time, unlike the oil market, the nuclear market is unlikely to have intermediaries – traders who will resell Russian nuclear fuel to American companies. “This is another market where it is difficult to carry out trading activities. Given the scale of the American market, they will rush all over the market and try to find other suppliers. For the moment this looks like an almost impossible task. This is because long-term contracts for fuel supplies are valid for decades. It seems to me that it will be very difficult to find consumers in the market who will be ready to allocate their volumes to the Americans. The current capacity structure does not imply the possibility of choice. It was possible in the early 1990s, but a lot has changed since then. There is no such surplus of capacities in the Western world now,” the expert of the Institute of Energy and Finance believes.

It is difficult for the United States to count even on its European friends. “Right now France does not fully supply itself and depends on supplies from Russia. If French companies start working on the American market, it will mean even greater dependence of French consumers on Russia. I am not sure that the French government will go for it, or that the United States will be ready for such a scenario,” says Kondratiev.

In Asian countries, in India for example, Rosatom is also active. China has a lot of its own facilities, but it will be very difficult for the United States to negotiate with Beijing. “I do not believe that such a global redistribution would happen for everyone to agree to supply uranium to the United States to replace supplies from Russia, and for all of this to go relatively quickly and according to plan,” the industry expert believes.

Therefore, these potential sanctions are more like an element of political bargaining within the United States between different political forces. “The generating companies that operate nuclear power plants in the United States usually support the Republicans. The Democratic Party is more likely to receive support from the renewable energy companies. Probably the Democrats are trying to play the Russian card here, which they have been doing often in recent years, and imposing sanctions against the Russian nuclear industry. Their political opponents, in order not to be accused of sympathizing with Russia, are often forced to support the strangest anti-Russian measures. Therefore, this could potentially lead to such sanctions being adopted,” Kondratiev does not rule out.

However, the most likely scenario is that a decision will be made at the congressional level for political reasons, but then the US administration will act rationally and freeze or suspend these restrictions, the expert adds. This scenario has played out more than once.

Nevertheless, the expert does not rule out that something will go wrong in the US government — and sanctions will really begin to take effect. But in this case, there is a high probability that after some time – conditionally a year – they will be suspended.


The peculiarity of the nuclear industry is that there are large reserves of nuclear fuel for several months or even years ahead. And the fuel itself is poured into the reactors every few months. Therefore, the imposition of sanctions will not lead to the rapid closure of nuclear power plants in the United States: they will continue to purchase stored fuel, simply at a higher price. And when the reserves run out, the US authorities will be able to lift the ban on the import of Russian fuel. It is no coincidence that this possibility is clearly spelled out in the bill.”


https://johnhelmer.net/us-house-of-repr ... more-89026

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The next military exercise of NATO troops in Lithuania
December 12, 2023
Rybar

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Against the backdrop of increasing tensions in relations between Russia and NATO countries, the activity of alliance troops in the Russian border area is also growing.

At the end of November and beginning of December 2023, the authorities of the Baltic countries continued to prepare the population and troops to “repel Russian aggression.” At the same time, traditionally, military training activities were carried out near the borders of the Kaliningrad region and Belarus.

"Cobra Strike 2023"
From November 20 to 26 , an assessment exercise called Kobros Kirtis 2023 (“Cobra Strike 2023”) of the 1st infantry company of the mechanized battalion took place in the Ukmerge district . Algirdas of the Lithuanian Armed Forces. The squads practiced combat skills close to the real situation. Among other things, a crisis situation with mass protest of the population was simulated.

The command introduced a new feature of the exercise related to the involvement of the local population - a separate group was created on Facebook, which is banned in the Russian Federation, where residents were asked to send videos of the movement of troops indicating the place and time. Thus, the component of a kind of “partisanship” was improved, and the fighters trained to identify and suppress facts of recording the maneuvers of troops and military equipment.

"Confidence 2023"
From December 2 to 8, in several regional centers of Lithuania (Šakiai, Jurbarki, Pagegiai, Šilut and Tauragė municipalities), military specialists held trainings in the field of information activities. The goal is to prepare to repel hybrid threats and the activities of military personnel in the civilian environment. About 200 soldiers took part, including from Estonia, Latvia, Poland and the USA.

This is an annual exercise that has been held in Lithuania for the 11th time. They are carried out by simulating an international conflict situation, in which formed military special groups assessed the civil situation and its impact on military operations, planned and carried out information actions in areas of responsibility. Military personnel have honed their communication skills with key officials, civilian institutions and organizations, and local residents.

The work of the non-kinetic operations platoon of the civil-military cooperation company of the volunteer regional security forces of the Lithuanian Armed Forces was separately assessed as part of the upcoming duty in 2024 as part of the NATO Readiness Initiative.

Kurmis 2023
The annual exercise Kurmis 2023 took place on December 5 with the participation of 200 members of the Kaunas 2nd detachment of the paramilitary organization Lithuanian Riflemen's Union. During the maneuvers, they practiced repelling a hybrid attack and improved the work of shooters in a civilian environment.

The emphasis was on the formation of small groups with the task of working in a specific area, assessing the civilian environment. Particular attention was paid to the analysis of propaganda and the fight against its methods. The exercise simulated enemy occupation power, civilians and civilian objects.

"Charging Bull"
Approximately on December 6-7, at the Pabradė military training ground (10 km from the Ostrovets region of Belarus), ATAKUOJANTIS BULIUS (“Charging Bull”) maneuvers of the NATO battle group in Lithuania took place with shooting. The commander of the NATO integration unit in Lithuania attended the exercise and met with the commander of the 3rd battalion of the 67th armored regiment of the US Armed Forces.

Sniper seminar
From November 30 to December 1 at the training center named after. A tactical sniper shooting exercise took place in Lukshi in the Jonavsky district. Representatives of other law enforcement agencies also took part: the anti-terrorism squad of the Aras police, the operational team of the public security service, the 3rd detachment of the paramilitary organization “Lithuanian Riflemen's Union”, and the volunteer regional security forces.

Police officers also conducted training with snipers. Forensic experts introduced modern gunshot investigation equipment to prevent shooters from making mistakes that could give them away. Dog handlers helped improve the tactics of reconnaissance raids.

"Recruitment point 2023"
On December 5 , a training exercise of the recruitment and military conscription service of the Lithuanian Armed Forces took place in the Siauliai region . During it, they tested the procedures for conscription into military service, during announced mobilization and martial law. Until December 8, the personnel of the conscription administration trained in appropriate conditions - they mastered the conscription center outside the point of permanent deployment.

Other teachings
In November, maneuvers of engineering units completed at the Gaizhunai military training ground (Jonavsky district) . Shooting sessions and classes on detonating TNT blocks were organized for newly recruited military personnel.

On November 25 and 26, the 310th and 313th companies of the 3rd detachment of the paramilitary organization “Lithuanian Riflemen Union” took place in the Klaipeda region. Issues of setting up roadblocks, repelling armed attacks, providing first aid and evacuating the wounded were practiced.

In addition, on November 30, a seminar “Reception, Staging and Onward Movement” was held in Vilnius. During it, logistical tasks for moving and supplying the NATO integration unit in Lithuania were worked out.

On December 2 and 3, in the villages of Pagiriai and Paneriai, Vilnius region (30 km from the Oshmyany region of Belarus), a training exercise was held for the 810th infantry company of the 8th detachment of volunteer regional security forces of the Lithuanian Armed Forces. 60 military personnel were involved in military and civilian vehicles.

Other events
Also of interest is the meeting on December 7 between the commander of the Lithuanian Armed Forces, Valdemaras Rupšis, and the commander of the Bundeswehr ground forces, Lieutenant General Harald Gante. They also discussed the deployment of the German brigade in Lithuania: its headquarters element will arrive in April next year, and its support units in October 2024.

In addition, on December 1, the commander of the Italian Armed Forces, Cavo Dragone, paid an official visit to Lithuania . Essentially, the military official arrived to pick up his air force contingent, completing a NATO mission to guard the airspace of the Baltic states with Eurofighter Typhoon fighters.

They discussed joint projects and prospects for cooperation with Rupshis. The Italian side was invited to participate in major international exercises of the Lithuanian army next year.

Thus, despite assurances from some alliance officials that NATO is not preparing for war, it is clear that this is exactly what its troops are doing. And the countries of Eastern Europe, especially Poland and the Baltic states, are the main points in this regard due to their geographical location.

https://rybar.ru/voennye-ucheniya-vojsk-nato-v-litve/

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"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Fri Dec 15, 2023 3:34 pm

Vladimir Putin’s “Direct Line” Q&A session today

Today, 14 December, I watched a long segment of Vladimir Putin’s highly promoted annual “Direct Line” televised question and answer session delivered on all channels of state television to orbi et urbi.

The Russian president was seated at an elevated platform in a Moscow auditorium and responded to a sampling of questions from among the 2.5 million Russians who called in, who sent SMS and emails, as well as from among a mixed audience of ‘ordinary’ Russians and journalists, both foreign and domestic, including from ‘unfriendly states’ who had managed to procure seats. This year his customary end-of-year press conference was folded into the “Direct Line” exercise.

The show went on for four hours and four minutes. Putin responded to 67 questions with his only “technical aid” being a pencil and note pad on which he took down key words of multiple questions from a single person or jotted down their name and patronymic so as to respond with traditional Russian formality. There were no souffleurs to whisper answers into his ear or screens on the table for him to consult. And yet his answers to questions in every imaginable domain were detailed and knowledgeable. This was a performance that few if any global leaders could rival, and the audience was appreciative.

Did he say anything new or particularly noteworthy? My answer is a qualified ‘no.’ From the very outset, he remarked that he had answered the questions many times over in the recent past.

My impression is that he came to the Direct Line somewhat fatigued and for that reason his answers were more prolix than is customary. And yet, tired or not, he never lost his sense of humor. I think in particular of his answer to a pensioner in the South of Russia who complained that egg prices have doubled in the past year. Indeed, this issue has figured in the Russian news in the past several weeks and Putin explained that he had taken it up with the Minister of Agriculture, asking him “как ваши яйца?” meaning literally “how are your eggs?” To which, the answer came back: “все в порядке,” meaning “they are ok.” After which, Putin reproached him for the shortages and sharp price rises that people had written in to him about. The audience in the auditorium and, one may assume, at home before their television sets, lapped this up and broke into smiles, because ‘яйца’ in the Russian vernacular is the equivalent of Madeleine Albright’s ‘cojones’ or “balls” in rude English. The solution to the problem is being found by belatedly opening up the frontier to imports from Turkey, from Belarus and to other potential suppliers. However, I found Putin’s basic response, that Russian supply had simply not kept up with rising demand, to be unconvincing. Since the key cost element in raising chickens for eggs or for meat is grain, and since Russia is one of the key suppliers of grain globally, with a record 2023 harvest, it is hard to see why domestic poultry farmers did not respond to demand in a timely way.

The Q&A provided Putin with an opportunity to boast of Russia’s fine economic performance in 2023 which all European countries might well envy: GDP growth of 3.5%, unemployment at 2.9%, industrial production up 3.6%, processing manufacturing up 7.5%, company profits up 24%, banking sector profits of 3 trillion rubles, which attest to a solid banking system, nominal increase in salaries across the country of 18% and real pay rises of 8% after inflation. In this snapshot alone, Putin used the Direct Line in the way that BBC Moscow bureau chief Steve Rosenberg remarked, namely to promote his just announced electoral campaign for the presidency.

Western journalists commenting on the Direct Line have otherwise directed attention to Putin’s answer to a question about whether Russia’s objectives in the Special Military Operation in Ukraine have changed since the launch back in February 2022. He said that the objectives remain exactly the same, namely to keep to de-Nazify and to demilitarize the country. To a significant extent, the latter objective has already been realized given the way the Russian armed forces have destroyed a very large part of Ukraine’s original and then Western donated military equipment. He insisted that Russia will continue the war until Kiev capitulates.

On a related question which holds especial interest for the broad Russian public, Putin said there is at present no consideration being given to issuing a new mobilization order in 2024. The ranks of the Russian armed forces are being filled by volunteers under contract. So far 486,000 Russian men have signed up this year to serve in the war and it will go over the 500,000 mark by year’s end.

My own take-away from the Direct Line was in a very different domain, his response to a question relating to the war in Gaza. The questioner asked whether the United Nations has any usefulness given the inability of the Security Council to pass a resolution calling for a cessation of hostilities and massive delivery of humanitarian assistance to the Palestinians in Gaza. And, his add-on question was what Russia is trying to do about the war.

With respect to the United Nations, President Putin said there was nothing unusual in the present deadlock in the Security Council, which had occurred quite regularly during the days of the Cold War. And then it was USSR Foreign Minister Andrei Gromyko who earned the sobriquet “Mister Nyet” because of the frequency with which Moscow exercised its right of veto. Moreover, the principle of obligatory consensus behind UN resolutions was consciously built into the institution by its founders. The task now is to find an actionable consensus.

As regards what Russia is doing to address what he called the tragedy in Gaza, Putin called attention to his recent visits to the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia to coordinate positions, as well as outreach to Egypt and to Turkey to formulate steps to an overall solution to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict in terms of two sovereign states.

What was more interesting, though, was his remark that he had been in discussion with Benjamin Netanyahu to see if Russia would be permitted to open a field hospital in Gaza near the Rafah crossing in a stadium as the UAE had been allowed to do. Netanyahu rejected the idea because security could not be assured, meaning that Israel is continuing its savage attacks in every part of the Gaza Strip. Nonetheless, it appears they reached agreement on Russia’s sending in to Gaza large deliveries of medical supplies. This little story effectively explains what the two leaders had to discuss in their 50 minute phone conversation in the past week. And I had naively assumed that Putin was trying to apply maximum pressure on Netanyahu to wind down the attacks.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2023

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2023/12/14/ ... ion-today/

Most unfortunate. But Russia has to deal with the fact that a huge number of Israelis are Russian emigres, though not of the exterminationist faction. Also there is the standing Russian foreign policy dictum of 'one war at a time'. Hard to blame them for that.

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Neutral athletes will not be sponsored
December 15, 14:27

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The Russian Olympic Committee decided not to act as cuckolds and stated that it would not finance athletes who will go to the Olympics in a neutral status. Funding for all athletes who compete in a neutral status will be stopped.

Found a little courage in ourselves to do what should have been done back in 2022.

I note the position of grandmaster Sergei Karyakin, who spoke about this from the beginning of sanctions against Russian athletes after the start of the SVO.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8829909.html

Books by enemies of the people are withdrawn from sale
December 15, 11:59

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Books by enemies of the people are withdrawn from sale

The bookstore chain “Chitai-gorod - Bukvoed” suspended sales of books by Boris Akunin and Dmitry Bykov* after their statements. Also, the AST publishing house decided to suspend the distribution of books by these writers.

The reason for such decisions were statements by Akunin and Bykov, which they made during a conversation with showmen Vovan and Lexus, who introduced themselves as Ukrainian officials.< a i=2>General Director of the AST Publishing House Pavel Grishkov, in particular, noted that the public statements of writers, which caused a wide public response, require a legal assessment. “Until the situation is clarified, the publication and shipment of books will not be resumed,” he said.In the retail chain of stores “Read” -gorod - Bukvoed" also reported that the withdrawal of circulation from the plot will take some time, and this decision is due to recent statements by writers, writes TASS


https://russian .rt.com/russia/news/1245976-ast-i-chitai-gorod-bukvoed-akunin-bykov - zinc

Since it is now possible to imprison characters no, it is necessary to deprive them of the opportunity to earn at least something in Russia.
Well, a legal assessment is really necessary.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8829393.html

The terrorist attack failed
December 15, 9:40

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The gang of Islamists who wanted to blow up the FSB building on Lubyanka in 2022 got it in full.

The Wahhabis who tried to blow up the FSB building were given 16 to 22 years today.

A group of radical Islamists planned a terrorist attack at the central office of the FSB on Lubyanka, demanding the withdrawal of troops from Syria. Among the terrorists there was one native of Dagestan, the rest (including the gang leader) were foreign specialists from Tajikistan.

It is interesting that one defendant testified against the rest of the “brothers” and received 12 years, others were given from 16 to 22.

“Based on the totality of crimes and by partial addition of sentences, assign Manuchehra Buriev 22 years of imprisonment in a maximum security correctional colony, Samandar Toshmurodov - 20 years, Gadzhimurad Gasanaliev - 19 years, Abdukodir Toirov - 17 years , Abdumalik Samiev - 17 years old and Rajabali Buriev - 16 years in a maximum security colony,” the verdict says.

The terrorist attack was planned to be carried out last year with the help of a suicide bomber, and the key requirement was the withdrawal of Russian troops from Syria . By the time of their arrest, the radicals were diligently spending their time in Moscow, working as couriers and laborers on construction sites; most of the most valuable specialists had only graduated from high school.

Merob Khaitov, who ratted out the entire group, was convicted back in October.2. Of course, no one is leaving Syria. On the contrary, in light of the expansion of the African campaign, the role of Khmeimim as a transit base will only grow.

1. It is a pity that the country does not have the death penalty for terrorism.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8829135.html

Bad saboteurs
December 15, 16:45

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Information saboteurs from "Lenta" they think that no one sees what they are doing.
And this is not the first time.

As I wrote back in March 2022, it is not those internal enemies who are dangerous, who took a shit on social networks and fled abroad (everything is clear with these characters and they are generally not very dangerous), dangerous are those who silently continued to crap, engaging in actual sabotage at different levels of state and public activity, including in the information field, in this case broadcasting enemy lexical narratives justifying terrorism and the murder of Russian citizens by foreign intelligence services.

Perhaps this publication needs verification by the relevant regulatory agencies in order to dispel the prevailing attitude on “Lenta” the musty atmosphere of a fig in your pocket. If such seasoned enemy bedbugs as "Echo of Moscow" and "Novaya Gazeta" multiplied by zero, then bring the "Tape" I think it won’t be too difficult to get the feeling. This is in the interests of society and the state.

PS. Vladlen was killed by Ukrainian terrorists and their Russian collaborators.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/8830045.html

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The Russians take the 'security state' seriously. Given history, it is hard to blame them.

******

American biological laboratories in Kazakhstan: what are the US plans for the coming years?
December 14, 2023
Rybar

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The Internet information has appeared that the United States plans to finance the construction of a BSL laboratory in 2025 -4 in the village of Gvardeysky, Zhambyl region of Kazakhstan.

In principle, US cooperation with Kazakhstan in the field of biological safety is not new: it began in 2003, and since 2005 the States have been actively financing various projects and research in medicine and biology are invested in infrastructure. Over these 20 years, 25 studies have been carried out in the republic and over 20 million dollars have been spent.

A BSL-3 level laboratory for storing especially dangerous pathogens near Almaty was also built and is functioning. The beneficiary of the construction of this institution in 2016 was the US National Security Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA), with which “New Kazakhstan” cooperates quite closely. In early November 2023, senior U.S. Department of Defense officials, including DTRA Director Rebecca Hersman, visited Kazakhstan to celebrate the anniversary of cooperation.

A brief reminder about the levels BSL 1/2/3/4. This is an abbreviation for Biosafety Level, and it indicates the level of protection against pathogens.
The first levelis suitable for working with benign pathogens that are not capable of causing disease in healthy people.< /span>fourth< /span>has exactly level 4. is the highest level of safety precautions because such laboratories study easily transmitted pathogens that can cause fatal diseases, such as the Ebola virus. Little-studied pathogens are also studied here, and level 4 installations are used in planetary defense. The laboratory in Wuhan, from where, according to one version, COVID-19 came out into the world,Well is much more serious in ensuring the safety and qualifications of personnel: after all, they work here with microbes that can cause serious and potentially fatal diseases.Third level is only slightly stricter than the first in terms of safety precautions, the personnel are more qualified, and entry into the laboratory is limited during work. At this level they work with hepatitis A, B and C viruses, HIV, pathogenic strains of Escherichia coli and staphylococcus, salmonella, malarial plasmodium and toxoplasma.
The second level


With all the need for a presence in the post-Soviet space for the Pentagon, building a BSL-4 level facility in Kazakhstan is this is too ambitious a project. But the creation of a large monitoring and surveillance center, which would become a support for the intelligence center, is quite possible. It is also possible in the future to use such a center and the data obtained against the Russian Federation, where disease monitoring lags significantly behind.

https://rybar.ru/biolaboratoriy-sha-v-kazahstane/

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Now imagine if the Russians were to do this in Sonora......
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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