Russia today

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Fri Jul 25, 2025 3:46 pm

Special Report: The systematic process of sanctions evasion
Betzabeth Aldana Vivas

July 22, 2025 , 12:57 pm .

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The sanctions regime imposed by the United States against target countries such as Iran, Venezuela and Russia reveals a strategic pattern based on the principle of "sequencing", a tactic that attempts to first impact hydrocarbon export capacity, with the aim of progressively collapsing the rest of the value chain (production, financing, refining, domestic distribution and consumption).

This piecemeal approach allows Washington to administer its attacks in series, rather than simultaneously, selectively weakening the most sensitive links in the energy sector before moving toward other structural components of the sanctioned economy.

More than 70 years after the start of the US sanctions policy (1950), and after confirming that the target countries have developed legitimate mechanisms to evade these unilateral coercive measures, the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC ) of the Department of the Treasury and the United States Congress have created new regulatory surveillance frameworks, now aimed at controlling the global fleet and alternative transport routes.

On April 9, 2025, U.S. Senators Joni Ernst, Republican from Iowa, and Richard Blumenthal, Democratic from Connecticut, introduced into the Senate a bill known as the " Global High Seas Human Smuggling and Trafficking Pursuit Act , " referred to by its acronym in English as the GHOST Act .

Although formally presented as an initiative to combat smuggling , in its real content it is a new legislative instrument intended to reinforce the extraterritorial application of the unilateral and illegal sanctions imposed by the United States against the Russian Federation, in open contravention , as is well known, of International Law and the principles of sovereignty and equality among States.

Days later, on April 16, 2025, OFAC published a new version of its "Guidance for Maritime Sector Actors on Detecting and Mitigating Sanctions Evasion Related to the Transportation of Iranian Oil."

This document, which updates a 2019 version , is part of the "maximum pressure" policy promoted by the United States government, formalized in the National Security Presidential Memorandum NSPM-2, issued in February of this year.

In this policy, Washington orders not only the tightening of illegal sanctions against Iran, but also the intensification of global surveillance mechanisms to restrict its hydrocarbon exports, with the stated objective of trying to reduce them to zero :

" Implement a robust and ongoing effort, in coordination with the Secretary of the Treasury and other relevant executive departments or agencies, to reduce Iran's oil exports to zero, including Iranian crude oil exports to the People's Republic of China ."

Although the measure was presented under the well-worn guise of regulatory compliance, this action demonstrates a systematic intensification of surveillance and control practices in the international energy market. This new phase of attacks responds to the fact that, despite decades of pressure, the illegally sanctioned countries have managed to maintain their operational capabilities , resorting to legitimate defense mechanisms against U.S. coercion.

BACKGROUND TO RECENT MEASURES
The core of the GHOST Act is the creation of a Russia Sanctions Enforcement Fund , designed to finance seizure, forfeiture, and eventual liquidation of assets, particularly merchant vessels and their cargo, that U.S. authorities believe are linked to the international trade of the Russian Federation or to entities affiliated with its government, such as the state-owned Gazprom.

This fund will have automatic and unlimited budget allocation, allowing the Executive Branch to act with complete autonomy, without requiring prior approval from Congress or being subject to ordinary legislative deliberation periods.

The law's approach prioritizes the seizure of oil, oil products, and any means of exchange that, at the unilateral discretion of U.S. authorities, may be associated with Russia's economic support.

This logic exposes the central objective of the US sanctions regime : to prevent countries from generating revenue from their own productive capacities through a multi-stage attack on the strategic sectors that comprise their national economies. In essence, the goal is to consolidate a system to block states ' legitimate sources of income .

Within this framework, the legislation not only intensifies pressure but also tends to sophisticate the infrastructure of the sanctions apparatus by formalizing the Export Control Enforcement Coordination Center, attached to the Department of Homeland Security. It would be comprised of federal agencies, intelligence agencies, and military entities. Its mandate would be to centralize the flow of information, coordinate investigations, and strengthen the application of trade restrictions, especially in the energy sector .

This structure is complemented by incentive mechanisms such as rewarded informants, the hiring of private companies to manage seized assets, and the flexible use of financial resources for joint operations with foreign agencies.

The result is the creation of a self-sustaining, financially self-reinforcing system in which seizures not only serve as an economic " punishment " but also feed the very apparatus that executes them, thus creating a sort of deeply flawed and destabilizing circular economy of sanctions, capable of global expansion.

On the other hand, OFAC's updated " Guidance for Maritime Sector Actors on Detecting and Mitigating Sanctions Evasion Related to the Transport of Iranian Oil " is presented as a technical " compliance " tool .

The aforementioned memorandum imposes a "maximum pressure" strategy with the explicit objective of reducing Iranian oil exports to zero, especially those to the People's Republic of China.

In this case, the United States seeks to disrupt Iran's logistics network in the global maritime market by pressuring not only ship owners but also operators, insurers, financial intermediaries, ports, and governments to facilitate or simply not interfere with Iranian crude oil shipments.

All of this , as is well known, is based on an illegal sanctions system that contravenes the fundamental principles of international law, particularly respect for economic sovereignty, free navigation, and non-interference in internal affairs.

So the guidance warns of a set of "deceptive practices" it attributes to the Iranian government, including the use of indirect routes, flag changes, manipulation of location data, and transfers between vessels on the high seas. But it's worth emphasizing that such mechanisms are largely a direct consequence of the sanctions themselves, which force Iran , and any country targeted by similar measures , to seek alternative routes and methods to sustain its legitimate trade.

OFAC even issues recommendations to coastal states, suggesting that suspicious vessels be denied entry to ports, flag registrations deemed fraudulent be revoked, and controls over insurance companies and maritime brokers be tightened.

What Washington presents as " fraudulent or deceptive practices" actually responds to a dynamic created and stimulated by the system of illicit sanctions itself , which attempts to expel the targeted countries from conventional trade and push them towards parallel routes.

Now, the main focus of this US offensive is the so-called "dark fleet" or "ghost fleet" ( a label adopted by OFAC with an evidently disparaging bias ), which refers to vessels that, faced with the threat of sanctions or confiscation, choose to operate under concealment or logistical protection mechanisms.

In reality, this fleet does not constitute a threat to maritime security, but rather a legitimate means of defense against an unjustified economic blockade.

Under siege conditions, sanctioned countries are forced to protect their strategic assets and secure their exports through extraordinary means, in response to a system that denies even their basic right to international trade.

This guide deepens the consolidation of a pattern of systematic coercion that affects not only Iran but also third countries , including major buyers of Iranian crude oil, such as China. The intention to " zero out " exports to Beijing not only directly impacts the Iranian economy but also seeks to interfere with the energy access of one of the United States' main strategic competitors.

In this sense, the collateral damage is not accidental, but functional , because by destabilizing China's energy security, Washington expands the geopolitical reach of its sanctions and distorts the balance of the global market, affecting free competition and further fragmenting trade routes .

In short, this document is not a technical update, but rather a further step in the sophistication of the sanctions regime as an instrument of power. With it, the United States attempts to redesign the rules of international maritime trade to suit its own interests, penalizing the economic autonomy of sanctioned countries, weakening its strategic partners, and creating an environment of global legal risk that transforms hydrocarbon trade into an operation subject to surveillance, penalization, and plunder.

The combination of the GHOST Act and the updated OFAC guidance sets a new precedent in the evolution of the U.S. sanctions regime, which not only criminalizes hydrocarbon exports but also designs an increasingly sophisticated extraterritorial control architecture capable of global replication.

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In an apparent sanctions evasion operation, a Russian "ghost" vessel transfers oil to an unsanctioned tanker at sea (Photo: Reuters)

These types of instruments, although formally directed against Russia and Iran, constitute an operational model that can be extended to other target countries, such as Venezuela, under the "manual" logic that characterizes Washington's foreign policy: apply, measure, escalate.

In this architecture, hydrocarbon exports are always the first target , the first step in the sequence; what follows is a staggered offensive against the entire productive, financial, and logistical value chain, until internal imbalances or geopolitical concessions are forced.

In this scheme, the United States not only imposes sanctions , it builds a network that monitors, suffocates, and sanctions outside of international law and with destabilizing effects on global markets.

VENEZUELA CASE: THE ATTACK ON EXPORTS AS AN INITIAL PHASE
Since its founding, the Venezuelan economy has been deeply tied to oil activity. The state-owned oil company PDVSA, responsible for managing the hydrocarbon sector since its nationalization in 1976, has been responsible for more than 90% of the country's foreign currency.

This structural dependence made oil the backbone of the Venezuelan economic model and, therefore, the priority target of the strategy of financial and operational suffocation imposed by the United States.

The sanctions regime against Venezuela, formally launched in 2014 with the Law on "Defense of Human Rights and Civil Society in Venezuela," also adopted the logic of "sequencing ," as previously noted.

The first blow was directly directed at PDVSA's export capacity. As Venezuela is an oil-exporting country, its revenue-generating capacity was curtailed, precipitating an unprecedented contraction in the flow of foreign currency that sustained the functioning of the state, public policies, and social stability.

Between 2014 and 2019, according to figures released by President Nicolás Maduro, Venezuela lost 99% of its external revenue. This decline was the result of a planned aggression that combined financial, operational, and commercial sanctions to cripple regular export channels.

PDVSA was forced to resort to unconventional marketing methods that exposed it to new vulnerabilities, such as deep discounts and the threat of sanctions against buyers, insurers, and transporters.

As formal routes were closed, what is labeled in the West as "gray trade" emerged, an alternative channel where sanctioned countries sell their crude oil at significant discounts to offset the risks assumed by the actors involved. Its development is not driven by a logic of illegality, but rather by the legitimate need of producing countries to safeguard their revenues and maintain the operation of their industries in the face of economic coercion.

In this scenario, Venezuela began shipping oil below global reference prices, severely impacting revenue collection. This imposed dynamic not only reduced the nation's purchasing power but also cumulatively deteriorated its operational and financial capacity.

The sanctions not only impacted exports but also disrupted access to international financing, the acquisition of spare parts, the contracting of service companies, and logistics operations, completing a comprehensive siege on the national energy system.

It was an offensive with geopolitical intent, designed to try to displace Venezuela as an energy supplier and replace its exports with sources more aligned with Washington's interests, such as Canada .

This structural blockade was implemented in multiple phases, starting with financial and trade restrictions, through the criminalization of intermediaries and contractors, and even extending to the persecution of tankers and shipping companies transporting Venezuelan crude oil.

However, starting in the second half of 2020, Venezuela began a phase of production recovery.

Thanks to internal contingency plans, such as the activation of the Oil Workers' Productive Councils and the enactment of the Anti-Blockade Law, the country managed to halt the decline in production and stabilize its production levels , which currently stand at the threshold of one million barrels per day.

This stabilization, achieved in a context of "maximum pressure," reflects not only the industry's technical and organizational responsiveness, but also the State's adaptation to a hostile and unprecedented environment .

EXPORT UNDER ATTACK: LICENSE 40D
On July 7, 2025, OFAC issued General License 40D , within the framework of the unilateral and illegal sanctions regime that has been applied against the Venezuelan energy sector since 2014.

This new provision, which formally replaces License 40C, introduces a substantial change compared to previous renewals of the same scheme: it does not constitute a full renewal, but rather a temporary and restrictive mechanism whose sole purpose is to allow the conclusion of operations already initiated.

Unlike licenses 40A, 40B and 40C, which, although limited, enabled specific operations under strict conditions, License 40D exclusively authorizes the discharge of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cargoes that have been shipped before July 7, 2025 .

It does not allow new export operations, nor in-kind payments, nor transactions with blocked intermediaries, and establishes an extremely short operational validity , until September 5, 2025. In other words, it truncates the Venezuelan LPG export cycle without openly repealing it, in a maneuver that seeks to limit the country's income through technical and administrative means.

This new mutation in the 40 series marks a turning point in the license administration scheme. Rather than a renewal, as has been done annually since 2021, this new version functions as a kind of ultimatum: arbitrarily, unloading what has already been shipped is permitted , but nothing else is authorized. In September, it will be known whether OFAC definitively revokes this exception or implements a modification under different conditions.

Since their inception in 2020, these licenses were designed as exceptional instruments to authorize certain transactions within the framework of Executive Orders 13850, 13857, and 13884, issued between 2018 and 2019, which blocked Venezuelan state assets in the United States, prohibited transactions with PDVSA , and expanded the category of "Government of Venezuela" to include key actors in the economic apparatus.

Within this sanctioning regime , licenses did not represent commercial openings, but rather minimal oxygen valves, with severe restrictions, to preserve basic functions such as domestic supply.

40D breaks with that pattern, showing that the focus of the attack remains on the export of hydrocarbons, even in their most essential forms.

From an economic perspective, Venezuela has managed to maintain sufficient installed capacity to fully cover its domestic demand for LPG, without the need for imports.

Furthermore, it has consolidated its presence in new trade corridors such as Brazil, Morocco, and Burkina Faso, with a growing presence in alternative energy markets, particularly in Brazil, which has reached export volumes four times greater than other destinations.

By preventing new shipments and limiting deliveries only to ongoing operations, the United States is attempting to deliberately disrupt the export flow of this resource, applying sanctions sequencing; it is assumed that hitting export capacity first will accelerate the internal economic destabilization of the target country.

In this context, the 40D (Republic of Venezuela) functions as a tool of pressure, not as a final measure. It is part of a negotiating table in which energy policy once again operates as a geopolitical vector.

In short, by closing the technical channel for export, a legitimate source of long-term income is stifled , without altering either demand or availability. In principle, it is a blockage specifically aimed at commercial integration .

A structural reading of this measure confirms that the sequencing of sanctions against Venezuela remains intact. First, exports are attacked, then pressure is placed on the financial system, and finally, an attempt is made to disrupt the entire economy.

NAVIGATION AMID ILLEGAL SANCTIONS
It has become clear how the sanctions regime imposed by the United States has generated changes in traditional international trade patterns, especially in the energy sector. Venezuela, like Iran and Russia, has had to confront an architecture of restrictions designed to stifle its export capacity.

In early 2025, before leaving office, the Biden administration sanctioned 183 vessels linked to the transport of Russian crude oil, in one of its latest moves to increase pressure on alternative energy routes .

Over the past decade, the tightening of the sanctions regime has led to an unprecedented expansion of its collateral effects on global energy trade.

This global siege not only affects the illegally sanctioned countries , but also distorts energy flows, increases logistics costs, and encourages the development of alternative routes and mechanisms to sustain the hydrocarbon trade.

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The sanctions evasion system is creating a logistics chain completely different from the terms established by the International Maritime Organization (IMO, affiliated with the UN) (Photo: UN)

Although the parallel logistical structure that evades sanctions violates some parameters governed by international maritime conventions and the International Maritime Organization, what is truly worrying is the causal factor: a widespread phenomenon of deterioration of the international institutional system that has given rise to the execution of illegal sanctions.

Sanctions evasion networks are the result of practices by governments, international institutions, and companies, through the legal and systematic deterioration of their policies, by endorsing and complying with unilateral economic sanctions against countries outside the UN Security Council, the sole body empowered to apply them, according to the UN Charter.

Within these alternative circuits, the so-called ghost fleet or dark fleet has gained prominence , a network of vessels that must navigate around multiple obstacles, employing evasive maneuvers to escape the surveillance of the powers imposing sanctions. By 2024, according to Kpler, this phenomenon reached an unprecedented magnitude , with a gray fleet of more than 3,000 vessels , already representing 10% of global capacity. An estimated 15% of these vessels have transported sanctioned oil from Russia and Iran to Asia, often through risky ship-to-ship (STS) transfers on the high seas.

These fleets employ strategies such as disabling AIS transponders, using unconventional routes, and deliberately manipulating the automatic identification system, a practice used by at least 23% of gray vessels in 2024 , Kpler notes. In turn, 40% of these vessels operate under flags of convenience, which allows them to evade oversight and inspection systems.

In this context of sustained pressure, it is estimated that the gray fleet could exceed 13% of global tanker capacity by 2025, although tightening sanctions could force an operational redesign or fragment its current deployment. This projection reflects the structural nature of this alternative maritime network, which continues to expand despite the global siege.

This panorama demonstrates the consolidation of an alternative maritime network, forced by economic siege, which defies the purpose of sanctions by keeping strategic resources in motion.

This redirection of trade has also led to a sustained increase in the average distance of maritime routes. In fact, the average per ton transported increased from 3,993 nautical miles in 2002 to 4,578 in 2023, reaching a historic record. This change has increased the demand for vessels with specific capacities , such as Aframax and Suezmax vessels, essential for covering long routes to destinations like India or China, replacing European markets.

Some countries have even opted to expand their own shipping capacities. In 2023, Russia had at least 14 Aframax tankers under construction at the Zvezda shipyard, while Iran was building a similar tanker destined for Venezuela, highlighting the new patterns of South-South cooperation in energy, which are articulated outside of traditional corridors.

It is, in essence, an infrastructure not recognized by the sanctioning countries, but it continues to play a key role in the circulation of hydrocarbons in a global market that, despite pressure, maintains demand.

This phenomenon has been made even more viable by the flexible nature of the tanker market, which has historically proven resilient to wars, blockades, geopolitical conflicts, and extreme weather events.

According to estimates, of a global fleet of approximately 7,500 tankers in 2023, at least 1,600 have been involved in the transport of sanctioned oil between 2021 and 2023.

Furthermore, it is estimated that between 300 and 600 of these vessels belong to this unidentifiable network, many of them more than 16 years old, reflecting a revaluation of the market for older vessels in the face of the prolonged uncertainty surrounding sanctioned trade flows.

The used tanker market has reached record levels , registering more than 600 sales in 2022 and around 900 name changes between 2022 and 2023, reflecting an intense market reconfiguration.

This phenomenon was formally included on the agenda of the Legal Committee of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) during its 110th session, held in March 2023.

In that instance, the organization addressed the increase in ship-to-ship transfers on the high seas, a practice that , as discussed , deviates from the standards established by conventions such as MARPOL and compromises the rules of traceability, liability, and compensation in the event of maritime incidents.

However, the institutional approach adopted by the IMO still fails to address the structural cause that generates significant impacts on global maritime trade: the systematic blockade of trade channels of hydrocarbon-exporting countries by the United States sanctions regime.

Rather than discussing the geopolitical and commercial impacts of these coercive measures, the IMO prioritizes a technical interpretation that ignores the pressure environment that forces countries like Venezuela, Iran, and Russia to operate outside traditional maritime trade corridors.

This partial approach ignores the fact that it is precisely the restrictions imposed by Washington that have distorted the functioning of the global maritime market.

In fact, the diversification of flag registries, the complexity of vessel ownership structures, the use of non-traditional intermediaries, and the creation of parallel financial networks have been part of the technical repertoire developed to preserve the flow of sanctioned crude oil.

In many cases, the vessels are registered under flags of convenience, such as Liberia or the Marshall Islands, whose registries are controlled by U.S. companies, according to Rodney Carlisle in "Second Registers: Maritime Nations Respond to Flags of Convenience, 1984–1998," adding further contradictions to the enforcement system itself .

In parallel, the market has responded with structural adjustments: the increase in the average voyage distance, the greater demand for vessels with specific capacities, and the record sales of second-hand tankers , more than 600 transactions in 2022 alone , are unequivocal signs that the sanctions regime has reshaped trade flows without managing to stop them.

The existence of a parallel energy infrastructure, not aligned with the Western sanctions system , is, today, one of the most visible consequences of sanctions policy as an instrument of geopolitical pressure.

The sanctions regime implemented by the United States operates under a strategic logic: to initiate a siege on hydrocarbon exports, with the aim of weakening the target countries' main source of foreign income. From there, a chain of impacts is unleashed on the rest of the economic apparatus, from the financial system to essential services, in a process of progressive and calculated deterioration.

It is clear that the United States has been showing signs of progressive change and sophistication in the instruments that make up its sanctions regime, expanding its extraterritorial reach and adapting its regulatory frameworks to sustain pressure on energy trade.

Faced with this scenario, the countries targeted by these measures have developed increasingly structured responses based on South-South cooperation, the construction of parallel logistics routes, and the use of legal and technical tools that allow them to maintain operations outside the conventional system. These mechanisms, although they make trade more complex and expensive, have proven effective in circumventing restrictions and maintaining the flow of strategic resources.

As more countries become subject to unilateral coercive measures, or as long as the siege on current sanctioned exporters remains in place, it is reasonable to anticipate an even greater expansion of this alternative maritime network. In other words, the gray fleet is growing as a structural response to an economic order that seeks to criminalize the energy trade of non-aligned countries.

Based on these same calculations, the US political class has launched a new agenda to create a more rigorous regulatory framework, aimed at improving surveillance methods and strengthening pressure to curb the response and offensive capabilities of sanctioned countries.

What emerges is a parallel system that, without aligning itself with Western architecture, sustains the flow of resources and reaffirms the right of states to trade, produce, and sovereignly decide their development model.

https://misionverdad.com/investigacione ... -sanciones

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Arrests in Bryansk
July 25, 13:35

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Even after the arrests in Kursk Oblast, I wrote that all you have to do is poke the same issues in Bryansk Oblast with a stick, and the same thing will come out from there. They poked. It came out.

Deputy Governor of the Bryansk Region Nikolai Simonenko was sent to a pretrial detention center for two months. What is the official accused of and what does he now face?

The Meshchansky District Court of Moscow sent Deputy Governor of the Bryansk Region Nikolai Simonenko to a pretrial detention center for two months. He is suspected of abuse of office. We will tell you everything in order.

Unexpected searches
On the morning of July 22, employees of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and the FSB came to search the Deputy Governor of the Bryansk Region Nikolai Simonenko in the case of defensive structures. It was reported that investigative measures were carried out both at home and at his workplace. Nikolai Simonenko himself was detained.

It was noted that employees of the Main Directorate for Economic Security and Anti-Corruption (GUEBiPK) of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia and the FSB took part in the searches, which indicates the seriousness of the charges brought against the vice-governor. Moreover, Simonenko supervised the work of the Bryansk Region Construction Department, the Architecture and Urban Development Department, and the State Construction Inspectorate of the Bryansk Region, among others.

* * *

The Meshchansky Court of Moscow has arrested Yevgeny Zhura, a detective for the Bryansk Region Capital Construction Department, and Yuri Simonenko, CEO of Bryansk Metalworking Plant LLC, until September 21, the court's press service reported on Thursday.

They are defendants in a case of abuse of office (Part 3, Article 285 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation). Earlier on Thursday, Nikolay Simonenko, Vice Governor of the Bryansk Region, was remanded in custody for the same period in connection with the same case

. The criminal case is based on the results of an audit of the costs and work performed to build fortifications in border areas. According to the Kommersant newspaper, the damage amounted to about 900 million rubles.


https://www.interfax.ru/moscow/1037902 - zinc

I am sure that these are far from the last arrests. Well, and probably questions to the governor may also arise.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9973301.html

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Russia Launches 20 Satellites Into Orbit

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Soyuz rocket launch from Vostochny Cosmodrome, Russia, July 25, 2025. X/ @RusEmbIran

July 25, 2025 Hour: 8:19 am

An Iranian telecommunications satellite Nahid-2 is among them.

On Friday, Russia successfully launched 20 satellites into space, including an Iranian telecommunications satellite, the Russian state space corporation Roscosmos announced.

A Soyuz-2.1b carrier rocket lifted off from the Vostochny Cosmodrome in Russia’s Far East at 8:54 Moscow time (0554 GMT), Roscosmos said on its website.

The primary payload of the mission was the Ionosfera-M satellites No. 3 and No. 4, designed to study physical processes in the Earth’s ionosphere caused by both natural and human-induced factors.

These include changes in the ionosphere’s spatial and temporal structure, electromagnetic field disturbances, the composition of the upper atmosphere, and ozone distribution. The satellites will also help monitor the radiation environment.


The launch also carried 18 small satellites. Among them were nine developed by the Russian company Geoscan, which will conduct Earth imaging, track air and sea traffic, and study near-Earth space physics.

Some of the satellites are intended for educational purposes, including projects aimed at exploring satellite-to-Earth communication links and testing small satellite control technologies in low Earth orbit.

According to TASS news agency, the payload also included the Iranian-made Nahid-2 telecommunications satellite.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/russia-l ... nto-orbit/

3-Day Mourning Declared in Russia’s Far East Regions After Plane Crash

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People pay tribute to the victims of a plane crash in Tynda, Russia, July 25, 2025. Photo: Xinhua

July 25, 2025 Hour: 8:31 am

PM Mishustin ordered the creation of a government commission to oversee the response and compensation process.
On Thursday, authorities in Russia’s Amur Oblast and Khabarovsk Territory declared three days of mourning following the crash of an An-24 passenger aircraft that claimed the lives of all people on board.

“With deep sorrow, I must announce that there are no survivors in the An-24 plane crash in Tynda, according to preliminary data. A three-day mourning period has been declared in the Amur Oblast. On July 25, 26 and 27, flags will be flown at half-mast across all territories of the region,” said Governor Vasily Orlov on his Telegram channel.

The Khabarovsk regional government has also announced mourning, as some of the victims were residents of the area. Governor Dmitry Demeshin said that each victim’s family would receive US$12,500 in compensation, along with coverage of travel expenses to the crash site.

All necessary payments should be made to relatives of all deceased passengers and crew members, said Transport Minister Andrey Nikitin in a statement. Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday expressed his condolences.


The aircraft, operated by Angara Airlines, disappeared from radar on Thursday morning when approaching Tynda airport. Its wreckage was later found on a mountainside approximately 15 km from the city.

Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin has ordered the creation of a government commission, headed by Nikitin, to oversee the response and compensation process. A criminal case has been opened to investigate the crash.

The Transport Ministry said 42 passengers and six crew members were on the crashed plane, including five children. The Chinese Consulate General in Khabarovsk confirmed that one Chinese citizen was on board.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/3-day-mo ... ane-crash/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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blindpig
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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Sat Jul 26, 2025 3:21 pm

ZUGZWANG IN ZANGEZUR – IN THIS CAUCASIAN GAME ARMENIA HAS DEFEATED ITSELF, TRUMP CLAIMS ANOTHER PEACE PRIZE

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By John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

No one in their right mind puts himself or herself in a zugzwang.

Zugzwang is the German word which has become the name in all languages for the well-known position in politics, warfare, and games of chess which is the last one before capitulation. Literally, it means “being forced to move”. Metaphorically, it refers to the situation when one adversary has placed his opponent in a position where he must make the next move, and whatever move he makes will be his defeat.

In his chess manual of 1777, François-André Philidor illustrated the position at the end of the game when White has played his king and queen into the position where Black, forced to make the next move, must separate his rook from his king and lose the game (lead image, left).

Right now, Zangezur, an Armenian word Զանգեզուր with geographical and historical meaning for a mountainous region of southeastern Armenia (lead image, right), has been Armenian, Mongol, Turkic, Ottoman, Persian, and Russian over a very long past of sheep herding and fighting. Today it refers to a lowland transportation route for road and railway moving cargoes from east to west, north and south, and vice versa — the Zangezur Corridor. Operation of this route and control of it by force of arms pit the strategic interests of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Turkey, Iran, Russia, China, United States, US, France, India, and others, against each other in several shifting combinations.

If the powers strategize these combinations to benefit their interests at the expense of the others, the only one in the zugzwang is Armenia and its current prime minister, Nikol Pashinyan, who has put himself there.

At dinner on July 19, President Donald Trump made a move to sweep everyone else’s pieces from the board, leaving the US with a victory in the game, and a new notch on his Nobel Peace Prize shooter. There were five, he said — and that was not counting the ceasefires Trump says he has notched publicly between Pakistan and India, Israel and Iran, and the one he’s hoping for in September in Beijing — Russia and the Ukraine.

Zangezur is now his, Trump claimed. “Armenia and Azerbaijan, we worked magic there. And, uh, it’s pretty close. If not, it’s already done.”

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Baku television footage of this week showing construction work under way at the Zangezur Corridor site. For more panoramic images, click on source. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JMDtml9D4GQ

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Trump speaking at White House dinner for Republican senators on July 18. Source: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/tra ... y-18-2025/

“Uh,” Trump celebrated with a group of Republican senators, “we did the Congo, this was going on for over 30 years, the Congo and Rwanda and, uh, close to 7 million people were really violently killed. This was a rough, a rough one, but going on over 30 years. And we had the, uh, various representatives here last week. The presidents will be coming to sign final documents, but we got that one solved. Armenia and Azerbaijan, we worked magic there. And, uh, it’s pretty close. If not, it’s already done. And, and Gaza, uh, we, we, we got most of the hostages back. We’re gonna have another, uh, 10 coming very shortly. And, uh, we hope to have that finished pretty quickly…Serbia, Kosovo, they were going at it. They’ve gone at it for years, I guess for centuries, but they’ve gone at it for years. And we got that one taken care of. And Egypt and Ethiopia, as you know, they’ve been fighting over the dam. Ethiopia built a dam with United States money, largely…I get pictures and satellites and everything, and I’m looking at this massive dam and I’m saying, “Is that gonna be blocking the water to the Nile?” And anyway, that should have never sort of happened the way it happened, but financed by the United States of America, the whole thing is a little crazy…But we got that solved.”

Trump’s reference to “working magic” on the Zangezur Corridor was spelled out a week earlier by Thomas Barrack; he is another of the real estate speculators (Steven Witkoff, Howard Lutnick) whom Trump has appointed to US Government posts in return for his re-election campaign financing; also for Trump family bailouts from bankruptcy. Presently, Barrack is US Ambassador to Turkey and Special Envoy to Syria.

On July 11 Barrack briefed the press on the US takeover of Zangezur.

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Source: https://www.state.gov/briefings-foreign ... with-syria

“Through the largesse of an American system that’s understanding, that’s charitable, that’s not dictating. And as an example of all the things that we hope – and this President has done a good job of establishing that in the world today. It’s a complicated ZIP code. It’s day by day, and I think you win souls one soul at a time. And Türkiye is in the middle of all of it, just like Azerbaijan and Armenia. They’re arguing over 32 kilometers of road, but this is no joke. It’s been going on for a decade – 32 kilometers of road. So what happens is America comes in and says, ‘Okay, we’ll take it over. Give us the 32 kilometers of road on a hundred-year lease, and you can all share it.’ But these tribal points of view do not fade. We came into a – e pluribus unum. What does that mean? It means give up the masses for one. It exists in America. It doesn’t exist there. It’s individual, family, tribe, and then the nation. But my hope is over time this e pluribus unum will catch on and we can convert from Latin to Arabic, from Arabic to Russian, from Russian to China – maybe we have a shot.”

In a calculated leak from Paris on July 22, these terms of the US takeover of the Zangezur Corridor, retitled the “Trump Bridge Bilateral Regional Defense Gateway and Economic Corridor”, have been accepted by Pashinyan’s government as a memorandum of understanding.

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Source: https://www.periodistadigital.com/mundo ... 405115123/

According to the press leak, which does not reveal the document itself, “the memorandum, made available to the Armenian diaspora, states that Armenia maintains its sovereignty over the Syunik region. However, it was clarified that the transport corridor will be managed by a private U.S. company that has obtained the corresponding licence. The distribution of the revenue generated by the use of the broker highlights the underlying interests of this agreement. The U.S. management company will receive 40% of the revenue, while Armenia will only receive 30%. Armenia is thus deprived of its territory for a minimum period of 99 years. It should be noted that the memorandum provides for the deployment of significant US forces on Armenian territory. According to the information available, these will not be from the regular US army, but from a US private military company. This PMC, whose number is currently estimated at 1,000 combatants, will be responsible for ensuring security in the transport corridor.”

Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev declared on July 19 that he is opposed to the US-Armenian scheme. “ ‘No operator, no trader, no lessee can be on our territory.’ President Ilham Aliyev noted that Armenia can do a lot, they have already invited European Union observers to the border: ‘These are professional spies on the border and they are conducting espionage activities against Iran. Especially during the recent Iran-Israel conflict, they are moving along the Iranian border.’”

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Source: https://en.apa.az/official-news/preside ... -media.org

Turkish President Tayip Recep Erdogan has followed with his support for Aliyev. He “stressed the geopolitical importance of the Zangezur Corridor, which will benefit not only Azerbaijan, Armenia and Turkey, but the entire region. According to him, the project will revive trade and become a symbol of harmony, not discord. Erdogan noted that Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev is striving to launch the corridor as soon as possible for the benefit of all countries in the region.”

A month earlier, just before the US and Israel launched its war on Iran, Ali Akbar Velayati, a foreign affairs advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, told the Tasnim news agency that “the aim of the so-called Zangezur Corridor scheme, in fact, was an effort by Baku to partition and close Iran’s access to Europe. Velayati stressed that the ultimate goal of the Zangezur corridor was not only to cut off Iran from the northern direction, but also to surround and close the circle around Russia from the south. However, this effort has also failed.”

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Source: https://asbarez.com/iran-thwarted-so-ca ... cial-says/

Velyati was reported by Tasnim, a media outlet for the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, as saying “one of the clear signs of his country’s influence was its rapid and decisive response to the crisis in the South Caucasus. ‘When some countries attempted to link Nakhichevan to Azerbaijan through the territory of Armenia with the pretext of creating a Zangezur corridor which would, in fact, mean partition and closure of the Iranian corridor to Europe, the Islamic Republic of Iran decisively opposed that program and thwarted its implementation.”

For an introduction to this problem in the context of current Russian conflict with Azerbaijan, click to read this.

The semi-official Russian security analysis platform, Vzglyad, has just published this assessment of the Zangezur corridor and the Trump claims. The following is a verbatim translation without editing. Additional illustrations and captioned references have been added.

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Source: https://vz.ru/world/2025/7/24/1347560.html
July 24, 2025
Overseas PMC claims Armenian territory
By Yevgeny Krutikov

The Western press claims that the United States, Armenia and Azerbaijan have allegedly already agreed on a solution to the key conflict between Baku and Yerevan, the so–called problem of the Zangezur Corridor. Is this really the case, what is this option, and why does it mean for Armenia the complete loss of sovereignty over a part of the country?

Armenia, Azerbaijan and the United States have agreed on a memorandum of understanding on the creation of the Zangezur Corridor, according to the Spanish online publication Periodista Digital. “We managed to obtain a confidential document called the Memorandum of Understanding on the creation of the Trump Bridge transport Corridor. According to our sources, this document has already been approved in Armenia, Azerbaijan and the United States,” the newspaper writes.

It is stated that the publication managed to get acquainted with the document with the help of unnamed representatives of the Armenian diaspora in France who have contacts in the Armenian government. The memorandum allegedly provides for the implementation of a transport corridor project that will run through the Syunik region in southern Armenia. The corridor should connect the main territory of Azerbaijan with its exclave, the Nakhichevan region. The memorandum also states that Armenia retains sovereignty over Syunik. However, the transport corridor will be operated by a private American company that has received the appropriate licence.

There is no official confirmation of this yet and there cannot be, since, according to the newspaper Vzglyad, there are currently three different proposals on the so-called Zangezur Corridor on the negotiating table between Armenia and Azerbaijan. None of them has been accepted, because all of them, for one reason or another, do not suit any of the parties.

What is the essence of the American version? 42 kilometres of the corridor between Azerbaijan proper and the Nakhichevan region tis to be transferred to an American operating company for 99 years. The income is divided into the following proportions: 40% for Americans and 30% each for Armenia and Azerbaijan. The corridor and cargo will also be guarded by Americans, but not by the regular army, but by PMCs [Private Military Companies] without heavy weapons numbering about one thousand people.

The Information Department of the Armenian Foreign Ministry has already stated that “the article does not correspond to reality.” But most likely, this refutation can only refer to the statement that the parties have already agreed on the treaty on Zangezur (Syunik) in its American version. The actual existence of such a proposal is not commented on. In addition, the agreement on the transport corridor is linked to the demarcation of borders and the conclusion of a full-fledged peace treaty between Azerbaijan and Armenia.

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Source: https://www.gov.am/en/news/item/10675/

There is no provision for Russian presence in this regard, although according to the 2020 agreement, transport links in the Zangezur Corridor should be carried out with the participation of the border troops of the FSB [Federal Security Service] of the Russian Federation.

The other two projects also ignore Russia’s role. One of them is Armenian and lies in the fact that the corridor should be controlled either by a purely Armenian special military unit, or by some (most likely French) peacekeepers from Europe.

The Azerbaijani option assumes the presence of only Azerbaijani military personnel in this area. For Armenia, adopting this option would mean a complete loss of sovereignty over the entire Syunik (the southernmost region of the country). However, the American version means the same thing.

Of course, there is no doubt that the preservation of this sovereignty will be proclaimed rhetorically, it may even be fixed on paper, But in practice Armenia will become a country, part of which is occupied by a private military company of another country (for example, the United States). In any case, this is a loss of sovereignty, even if Armenian flags are displayed along the entire road.

Azerbaijan has not yet linked all three issues in its relations with Armenia (the transport corridor, border demarcation and the peace agreement) into one package, but theoretically this is possible. The fact is that only 32 km of the Armenian-Azerbaijani border has been delimited over the years, and there is no end in sight to this process. But in such a situation, it is impossible to sign a full-fledged peace treaty, since there must be an article on respect for each other’s territorial integrity.

And when the border is not defined, it is impossible to understand where this territorial integrity begins and ends. In what specific geographical areas should it be respected?

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Map of border demarcation lines as of April 20, 2024; for analysis of the line, area conflicts and claims, read this.

In addition, Baku puts forward another condition for concluding a peace treaty – changing the preamble to the Armenian Constitution, which is possible only through a referendum. At the same time, the dominant public mood in Armenia today is apathy. And in such a situation, with a competent approach, the Pashinyan government can successfully hold a referendum, change the preamble, and delimit the border.

However, at the same time, Armenia is not satisfied with the complete exclusion from the negotiation process and from the Zangezur Corridor of Europe and especially France. Indeed, in this case, Pashinyan’s main foreign policy myth will be destroyed, that instead of Russia, France and the European Union as a whole will help Armenia to guarantee its security. The Pashinyan government supports the “myth of Europe” solely for electoral purposes. After undermining allied relations with Russia, it is necessary to demonstrate at least some kind of national perspective.

As a result, at the moment, the most affected party in this situation is France, whose entire strategy in the region is being destroyed before our very eyes. This, by the way, is a possible reason why the leak of the American-proposed version of the corridor agreement came from Paris.

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President Emmanuel Macron holds a “private meeting” in Paris with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan on July 14. The Armenian communiqué did not refer to the Zangezur Corridor or any other details of their talks. Macron posted this comment: “I reaffirmed France’s support for his brave efforts to establish peace with Azerbaijan. The swift signing of a peace treaty between Armenia and Azerbaijan could open a new chapter for all peoples and countries in the region and beyond. This meeting also provided an opportunity to discuss our bilateral relations with the goal of further deepening cooperation in all areas and rapidly strengthening our strategic bilateral partnership.”

The main beneficiary is Turkey, and this is not about economic benefits (the whole history of the South Caucasus, starting with the Karabakh wars, is not about economics at all), but about geostrategic ones. First of all, this is the successful promotion of the “Ottoman project” in the South Caucasus.

Iran is also closely monitoring what is happening, which does not like the appearance of armed Americans on its northern border, albeit in the form of PMCs. In addition, if the American project is implemented, Iran’s border with Armenia will be reduced, and the Americans will have many opportunities to control and monitor both Iranian cargo and territory. This is an excellent springboard for intelligence and sabotage activities.

At the first stage, Azerbaijan managed to remove the obstacle that they considered to be the main one: Russia and other mediators, starting with the Minsk process. But the fact is that Armenia itself agreed to the liquidation of the Minsk Group as a precondition for concluding a peace treaty and did not retain any other negotiating platforms where it could count on the help of its allies. The removal of Russia from the negotiation process, as well as the withdrawal of Russian border troops, occurred not just with the tacit consent of Yerevan, but with its active participation.

But at the same time, the involvement of Europe and France separately as a new partner has remained a foreign policy myth. As a result, Armenia found itself in a stalemate.

In this context, the prospects for an early conclusion of a peace agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan seem very vague. However, Baku is in no hurry and seems ready to put the squeeze on Yerevan for years. This strategy allows us to consider all fundamental issues gradually: first, the Zangezur Corridor, then the border and the constitutional amendment, and then the actual text of the peace agreement.

And Donald Trump really wants to receive the Nobel Prize for settling something that is almost impossible to settle, especially without Russia’s participation. In the current situation, no peace treaty, even with maximum concessions from the Armenian side, can guarantee the observance of peace for the very 99 years that are stipulated in the American version of the corridor agreement. It is only possible to fix the current state of affairs.

And at the same time, Baku will maintain constant pressure on its neighbour, which is severing ties with its only strategic ally in Russia, and is now losing a potential support group in Europe. For many years, years of sitting on two or even more chairs have led to a corresponding fall into the pit.


This pit (Яма) is Pashinyan’s zugzwang.

Unlike chess, in politics there is a way out – that’s by making no move, doing nothing. When he gave up Armenia’s alliance with Russia, Pashinyan forfeited that option.

https://johnhelmer.net/zugzwang-in-zang ... more-92164

*******

Court refuses to review sentence of former 58th Army commander
July 25, 18:59

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Court refuses to review sentence of former 58th Army commander

The 2nd Western District Military Court upheld the verdict of former commander of the 58th Army Ivan Popov

The 2nd Western District Military Court did not change the decision in the case ( https://t.me/readovkanews/95537 ) of Major General Ivan Popov, who was among the military leaders who stopped the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Zaporizhia region in 2023. The former commander of the 58th Army will remain in prison - initially he was given ( https://t.me/readovkanews/95536 ) 5 years in prison, and was also fined ₽800 thousand.

At the same time, the day before, Ivan Popov, along with other military leaders, was awarded the Order "For Merit to the Zaporizhia Region" of the 1st degree - this decision ( https://t.me/readovkanews/99038 ) was made by the Governor of Zaporizhia Yevgeny Balitsky. Popov did not admit guilt in the case against himself, and his sentence and arrest itself caused heated public discussion.

The case was heard behind closed doors. The general was accused of official forgery and fraud on an especially large scale with the sale of metal structures intended for the construction of fortifications in the Zaporizhia region. The now deceased Lieutenant General Tsokov was also involved in this case.

Popov asked to be sent to the SVO, but he was also denied this, at least for the time being.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9974266.html

The adventures of a dumb asshole from Chuvashia in Ukraine
July 26, 13:00

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A true story from the series "Do you know these assholes, Earl? - I know a lot of assholes, but I've never seen such fucking stupid ones." Below is its funniest description. Be careful, there is obscene language.


I found a story of a truly phenomenal moron Alexey Gerasimov.

This young man:

1. Lived peacefully in Chuvashia, studied at a university, and didn’t stand out in any way.
2. Then he had a revelation that he was Chuvash and Chuvashia should be separated from Russia. Well, this decolonization schizophrenia.
3. Then in January 2024, he crossed the border of Ukraine (!) from the Belgorod region, found some local khokhols there and told them that he wanted to fight in the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
4. For some reason, the khokhols didn’t reset his account right there and then, but dragged him to the training center of one of their cock battalions. And he sat there and farted.

Further quote:

“He didn’t participate in training at all then, he stayed like, ‘I don’t feel well, I’m not going to train,’ and just sat there and ‘stared.’” The guy crossed the border with Russia, and now "I'm in bad health, I can't run around with a machine gun," says Makarov.
He believes that Alexey "definitely didn't want to go to war." "Fighting was probably not part of his plans, he wasn't eager to go to war and he didn't want to take up arms either."

Kolbin says that Gerasimov often played chess with his fellow soldiers, but spent the rest of his time at the computer and hardly talked to anyone. As it turned out later, according to Alexey's words in the Ukrainian court's decision on his arrest, he used the computer to study to become a "political activist" at the "University of Free Peoples."

That is, this Gerasimov showed up in the hoholland, recruited himself into a cockerel battalion there, but had no intention of fighting for the hohols. He sat at the computer and "studied to become a political activist." And the hohols were like, "okay, fine, let him study." And he sits there for SEVEN MONTHS. The hohols have already broken into Kursk and beat the shit out of him, and he's still sitting at the computer.

It gets even more interesting. Apparently, Gerasimov has even pissed off the hohols and they're like, "Here's the contract, sign it and go fight." And Gerasimov says, "No, I haven't finished my studies yet, dispose of yourself, you fucking hohols.

" Verstka's interlocutors, former and current fighters of national battalions in the Ukrainian Armed Forces, almost unanimously say that the reason for Gerasimov's transfer to a migration camp is a conflict with the command due to the lack of a contract.

On August 16, 2024, the Repkinsky District Court of the Chernihiv Region ruled to detain the Russian for identification purposes, place him in a temporary residence center for foreigners, and then forcibly deport him from Ukraine.
Well, that is, he was literally thrown out of the Ukrainian Armed Forces for his complete uselessness. In the eighth month, the hohols apparently began to suspect that they were being screwed somewhere. But Gerasimov is not despondent:

Judging by conversations with Gerasimov's colleagues and acquaintances, Alexey himself was quite optimistic, wanted to sit out the migration prison until the end of the war or even go to Europe. And, our idiot spends another TEN MONTHS in the migration prison.

And then... take a deep breath... the back rows have already guessed...

And then this idiot is SENT TO AN EXCHANGE OF PRISONERS OF WAR!
AHAHAHAHAHA!

At the end of May 2025, following the Istanbul talks between Ukraine and Russia, a large-scale prisoner exchange took place. In addition to the military, Kiev handed over 120 civilians to Moscow, including some of those who were in migration prisons. Alexey Gerasimov was on this list.

My God, how stupid this is, even by the standards of the khokhols. He sat at the computer for seven months, then sat in a migration prison for ten months, thinking he would sit there until the end of the SVO. And then the khokhols simply handed him back to Russia. And they don't even have anything to complain about here, except for the fact that "why the fuck did you feed him for 17 months?"

And in Russia, this idiot was already expected:

Three sources of Verstka — one in the GUR, two in the Russian security agencies — said that after his extradition to Russia, a case was opened against Gerasimov under the terrorism article and he was sent to a pretrial detention center. This is confirmed by the fact that on June 19, Alexei was added to the list of extremists and terrorists with the note "terrorist".
The end.

*all participants in this story are faggots and terrorists, including the author of the text quoted here. I will not provide a link, they have no reason to boost views. And I have provided everything interesting.

https://t.me/AlexCarrier/12613 - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9975763.html

"faggots", jfc, grow the fuck up...

Google Translator

******

Moscow Times: So You Want to Travel to Russia. Here’s What You Should Know.
July 25, 2025
Moscow Times, 7/16/25

Tourism from the West to Russia took a major hit after the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Flight bans, banking restrictions and a range of logistical hurdles, as well as overall geopolitical tensions, have made travel more complicated and less appealing for many Western visitors. Even so, thousands of people from countries in Europe and North America still visit Russia each year, alongside growing numbers of tourists from Asia and the Middle East.

If you’re thinking about making the trip, The Moscow Times has put together a list of things you should know before you go.

Is it safe to go?

Whether or not it’s advisable to travel to Russia depends largely on whom you ask. Since the start of the full-scale invasion, most Western governments have strongly advised their citizens against traveling to Russia and have urged those already there to leave immediately.

The U.S. State Department, for example, cites a range of safety concerns, including “arbitrary enforcement of local laws” and “the risk of harassment or wrongful detention by Russian security officials,” in its guidance for Americans. Similar advisories have been issued by countries including Canada, Britain, France and Germany.

In contrast, countries like China, Brazil and India do not issue comparable warnings. However, even countries generally seen as Russia-friendly, such as Serbia and Hungary, advise their citizens to exercise increased caution when visiting. Their foreign ministries stop short of recommending against all travel to Russia but do caution against visiting areas deemed to pose “high security risks,” likely referring to regions near the Ukrainian border that are regularly targeted by drone attacks.

If you’re considering travel to Russia, it’s essential to first consult your own government’s travel advisories so you can make an informed decision about whether a trip is right for you. While Russia is by and large not an active warzone, parts of the country, particularly in the south and west, experience regular drone and missile strikes that have killed or injured people even far from the front lines. The overall risk in places like Moscow and St. Petersburg remains relatively low, but it is not completely absent.

Getting a visa

Visa requirements for travel to Russia vary depending on your citizenship. The most reliable source of information is your local Russian consulate or embassy, where you can find the most up-to-date guidance on how to apply.

Citizens of some countries, including many in the European Union, are eligible for a short-term electronic visa for tourism. Others may not require a visa at all. For U.S. citizens, the application process remains largely unchanged, according to recent travelers who spoke to The Moscow Times. In some cases, wait times may even be shorter due to reduced demand for Russian visas in Western countries.

Traveling to Russia

The easiest and most commonly recommended way to travel to Russia today is by flying through countries such as Turkey or the United Arab Emirates, with onward connections to other major cities from Moscow or St. Petersburg. Due to airport closures that have been in place since early 2022, most airports in southern Russia remain inaccessible.

Traveling by land, such as taking a bus from Estonia or Lithuania to the Kaliningrad region and flying to mainland Russia from there, is possible and often cheaper. However, this option comes with additional challenges, including more extensive security screenings at the border as well as restrictions on bringing euro banknotes into Russia.

Among Moscow’s airports, Sheremetyevo is generally considered the most straightforward for international travelers compared to Domodedovo. Pulkovo Airport in St. Petersburg is also widely recommended. Travelers who spoke to The Moscow Times said security checks at Sheremetyevo and Pulkovo are usually less intensive than at Domodedovo, where longer waits and more frequent questioning have been reported. That said, security checks at Sheremetyevo can still take a few hours.

Interviews by border officers can appear random. Some travelers report being questioned nearly every time they cross the border, while others say they have never been questioned. Questions may include the purpose of your visit, your place of stay, your occupation and whether you have traveled to Ukraine.

Border officials also have the authority to request access to your mobile phone. While only a few travelers reported this happening, it is strongly advised not to carry sensitive information or any content related to Ukraine on your phone. Though you have the right to refuse access to your device, doing so could result in being denied entry into the country.

Bringing money into Russia

Since spring 2022, Visa and Mastercard bank cards issued outside of Russia no longer function within the country. Chinese UnionPay cards issued by foreign banks, meanwhile, are still accepted in Russia. For short-term stays, the simplest and most reliable way to bring money into Russia is by carrying cash.

However, travelers should be aware of several important restrictions. The European Union has banned the transportation of euro banknotes into Russia via EU borders as part of sanctions introduced after the invasion of Ukraine. This means that if you’re entering Russia from an EU country, you cannot carry euro cash across the border. That restriction does not apply if you’re entering from a non-EU country, such as Turkey or the United Arab Emirates, as Russia itself does not prohibit the import of euros. Regardless of currency, travelers are allowed to bring up to $10,000 (or equivalent) in cash without having to declare it.

For those planning a longer stay, opening a local bank account is recommended. Depositing your cash into a Russian account can make everyday transactions easier, as card and electronic payments are becoming more ubiquitous.

Exchanging foreign currency in major cities is generally straightforward, and some exchange offices offer competitive rates, travelers told The Moscow Times. However, it is crucial to bring only clean, undamaged banknotes, they said. Russian banks and exchange offices often refuse old, marked or torn bills.

Mobile phone service

Accessing mobile phone service in Russia has become significantly more complicated for foreign nationals. As of July 2025, new regulations require foreigners who wish to sign mobile phone contracts to register with the Unified Biometric System (UBS), a government-run database that collects biometric data.

To do so, foreign citizens must visit a Sberbank branch to submit their biometrics, which include a facial photo and a voice recording. They are also required to obtain a SNILS (the Russian equivalent of a U.S. Social Security number), register on the Gosuslugi public services portal and provide the IMEI number of their mobile device.

To apply for a SNILS, foreigners must visit a branch of the Moi Dokumenti government services office (also known as a “Multifunctional Center”). After submitting the necessary documents and biometrics, and once the SNILS is issued — a process that typically takes several days — foreigners can then visit a mobile service provider to buy a SIM card and phone plan.

This process is lengthy and impractical for short-term visitors. As an alternative, travelers can purchase eSIMs from international providers such as eSIM.sm, although it’s possible that Russian authorities may restrict some of these services in the future. Another option is to check whether your existing mobile provider offers roaming in Russia, though this is often expensive. One Italian traveler told The Moscow Times that his provider recently offered 15GB of data and limited calling in Russia for 30 euros per month.

Accommodation and registration

Western platforms like Airbnb and Booking.com are no longer available in Russia. Russia has its own alternatives for short-term hotel and apartment bookings, with Ostrovok.ru and Sutochno.ru being the most widely used. Travelers can also book directly through hotels, hostels or other types of accommodations. Some hotels allow you to pay in cash on arrival.

As before, if you are staying at a hotel, the staff will handle your mandatory registration with the authorities, so no additional steps are needed. However, if you are staying at a private address for several days, you will need to register yourself at a local branch of Moi Dokumenti.

VPNs

The Russian government has blocked scores of websites and online platforms in recent years, including Instagram and Facebook, making it impossible to access them without a VPN. While many VPN services do still work in Russia, major providers have been blocked, so lesser-known VPNs can often be more reliable. However, the availability of VPNs is constantly changing, so it’s important to consult up-to-date sources online before choosing one.

Travelers are advised to download and set up their VPN before entering Russia, as access to VPN websites may also be restricted once inside the country.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/07/mos ... ould-know/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Tue Jul 29, 2025 3:01 pm

Putin speaks of threat to Russian sovereignty
July 27, 2025
RT, 7/20/25

Russia would inevitably lose its sovereignty if it relies solely on oil and gas revenues and abandons domestic production in favor of imports, President Vladimir Putin has said.

In an interview with journalist Pavel Zarubin released on Sunday, Putin defended Russia’s decades-long effort to localize automobile manufacturing, saying it was essential for protecting the country’s economic and political autonomy.

He recalled that in the 1990s many of his government colleagues wanted to abandon efforts to develop the car industry and instead rely on foreign-made vehicles, a view that he opposed.

“We must talk about technological independence… If we buy everything with the oil and gas [revenues] – and now they [the West] are trying to cut us off from oil and gas – then Russia will simply lose its competitiveness, and with it, its sovereignty,” he said.

According to Putin, efforts to improve the domestic car industry began with cooperation with Western partners that were licensed to build assembly plants in Russia. Starting in the early 2010s, the authorities gradually tightened localization requirements, demanding that automakers produce more components domestically.

“This was serious work. We were essentially creating our own cars,” Putin remarked, adding that the effort paid off after the escalation of the Ukraine conflict in 2022, which saw an exodus of Western companies from Russia as Kiev’s backers introduced sanctions against Moscow.

Russia sold about 1.571 million new passenger cars in 2024 (up 48%), with Lada accounting for roughly 28% (436,155 units) and remaining the market leader, according to the analytical agency Autostat. However, all others spots in the top ten were occupied by Chinese brands. Russia’s Kamaz also distributed the most trucks in the country last year, despite an overall drop in sales, the agency said.

Putin has personally promoted the domestic automobile industry and has often been seen driving Lada and Kamaz vehicles. He also uses a limousine from the Russian luxury brand Aurus as his presidential car. In 2024, he gifted Aurus limos to North Korea’s Kim Jong‑un and Bahrain’s King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/07/put ... vereignty/

******

Lavrov: "[T]hey are all Nazis."

Sorry to announce the situation is worsening globally.
Karl Sanchez
Jul 28, 2025

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The above quote was made by Lavrov today as he addressed the 11th Terra Scientia National Youth Educational Forum, Solnechnogorsk, and then took media questions for a total time of 80-minutes. Other strong language was uttered today by Alastair Crooke during his chat with Judge Napolitano, and also by the trio of Pepe Escobar, Larry Johnson and Nima during the latter’s program. And I’m certain more were uttered during the programs I didn’t choose to watch since I need to write at some point. Somewhat of a primer to what’s happening globally and for the Pepe-Larry chat is Pepe’s article, “Why Thailand and Cambodia Are at War in the Heart of ASEAN.”

IMO, we must heed what Mr. Lavrov says as he backs up his assessment with current and historical evidence. And note the pronoun—“they”—for it’s not just the Germans. In this regard I disagree with Mr. Crooke about the intentions of Mr. Trump—his intentions toward Russia are the same as Biden’s but are camouflaged by the smiling face and the handshake that both hide the snake. One point I’ve not noted is the fallout from the Epstein business. The latter portion of the Crooke chat covered that and is rather unnerving, not that other actions aren’t. I must also highly suggest watching the chat between Dmitri Orlov and Nima when they discuss Armenia, Azerbaijan and Turkey. Yes, that’s almost three hours of video with more featuring others. But not captured in those linked above are Lavrov’s very specific and alarming words because they were being said while those chats were ongoing or already completed. I should also direct readers to this free portion of Crooke’s recent substack offering, “'The Last Phase before Genocide … The Jewish state is erecting a ghetto. What a horrifying sentence.'" The peoples of West Asia need to finally awaken to the fact that they’re being targeted for elimination—genocide—cease being passive and fight back to the last breath. And that includes Iran and Iraq, Egypt and Jordan, and the Gulf States beyond them—their enemies are shared, and their words of friendship are utterly worthless. The Global Fracture that Hudson predicted and wrote about back in 1973 as a sequel to Super Imperialism appears to be finally occurring as the Collective West plus its Zionist and Terrorist proxies attempt to retain their hegemony while being opposed by the Global Majority. Yes, this is extremely serious as Lavrov explains:
Dear Colleagues,

I am glad to be at the "Territory of Meanings" once again. I like to communicate with young people, the future of our Motherland, and the one that is already being created in the present, including on the fields of a special military operation. I appreciate the opportunity to communicate with the guys working there. Most recently, I presented diplomas to graduates of the program of additional professional education organized by MGIMO, "Management of Urban Infrastructure and Territorial Development". 19 participants in the special military operation are graduates of this program. I talked to them.

I took part in the Time of Heroes programme initiated by President of Russia Vladimir Putin. I see how much our young people understand the importance of the international, external contour of our country's development at the present time.

The foreign policy of the new Russia after the Soviet Union went into oblivion has always been based exclusively on national interest. There is no mentoring, no ideological imposition of certain approaches on our neighbours and our partners in general. As it is written in our conceptual documents – in the Constitution, in the Foreign Policy Concept – this is how we work. The main task of our foreign policy is to ensure safe conditions for the country's development and improve the well-being of our citizens.

Now many political scientists, scientists and experts are seriously beginning to say that the Third World War is not only inevitable, but is already underway in new forms, starting with the Western aggression against Yugoslavia in 1999, then the aggression against Iraq, then the destruction of Libya, and the attack on Syria. All these countries in the Middle East are now in an alarming state. The territorial integrity of Iraq, Syria and Libya, which the West cares so much about only in the case of Ukraine, was seriously undermined in 2011 during the Arab Spring. These countries still remain in a "semi-disassembled state".

Now the West has spread to the neighboring region. This is the Gaza Strip and, in general, the Palestinian territories. There was aggression against the Islamic Republic of Iran.

In Europe, the Ukrainian issue is a manifestation of the West's policy of inflicting a "strategic defeat on Russia." They do not hesitate to confirm that they have been preparing for this for a long time. They also speak without a twinge of conscience about the Minsk agreements, which were designed to put an end to all problems. President of Russia Vladimir Putin, together with his interlocutors – then German Chancellor Angela Merkel, President of France François Hollande and President of Ukraine Petr Poroshenko – spent 17 hours without rest or sleep. And then these "guys" who were sitting with him said that they were not going to do anything. They say that they needed to "mold" something on paper in order to buy time for Ukraine in preparation for a further war with Russia, in order to pump it up with weapons. And these people are now demanding that we immediately cease fire and leave everything as it is, so that they again win a "respite" for their "clients" in Kiev and continue to "pump them up". The fact that the Europeans seriously want to "defeat us" is confirmed every day. The new German Chancellor, Friedrich Merz, said (I don't know if he understands what he said) that they must once again make Germany the largest military force in Europe. It was the largest military force on the eve of the First World War, when it unleashed it, on the eve of the Second World War, when it also unleashed it. And now he wants to make Germany "the first military power in Europe" again. And German Defence Minister Benjamin Pistorius said that if necessary, the Germans would kill Russian soldiers without any doubt. In the European elites, this is almost taken for granted. This reflects, first of all, the fact that the West cannot become just one of the large, strong regions of a multipolar world. He cannot give up the hegemony he has enjoyed for half a millennium. And this is especially observed now in Europe, when they want to subordinate everything and everyone to their will and do not want to take into account pragmatic considerations.

The other day, US President Donald Trump met with President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen. She then proudly announced with pleasure that they had reached an agreement under which European goods would enter the United States and would be subject to a 15 percent duty, and the United States would supply its goods to Europe with zero duties. Europe will spend $750 billion on the purchase of American energy, primarily liquefied natural gas and nuclear fuel, at the expense of a complete refusal to purchase Russian energy. And about $600 billion more, as President Donald Trump announced, investments will be made in America. It is clear that American energy resources will be significantly more expensive than Russian ones. It is clear that such an approach will lead to further deindustrialization of Europe, to the "flow" of investment from Europe to the United States. Of course, this will be a strong blow. First of all, energy prices, the outflow of investments for European industry and agriculture in Europe. But figures like Ursula von der Leyen literally boast that they are following this path. They agree that they will be forced to spend more money, that they will probably have fewer opportunities to solve the social problems of the population, but, they say, they must "defeat Russia."

If we recall the previous US administration, as President of Brazil Lula da Silva recently said, Joe Biden once said in a conversation with him that it is necessary to "destroy Russia." Not even to inflict a "strategic defeat", but to "destroy". A war of annihilation. US President Donald Trump takes a different position. He proceeds exclusively, as he has repeatedly said, from common sense, meaning, first of all, business considerations, which is beneficial for the United States. Surely follow the actions that he takes first of all in the trade sphere. Agreements have been reached with Europe, which are detrimental to the old continent. You don't even have to analyze it. President Donald Trump is a pragmatist. He does not want any wars. And unlike his predecessor, Joe Biden, and the current European elites (all sorts of fonderleyens, Starmers, Macrons), he is open to dialogue.

Always, even during the Cold War, dialogue has developed and allowed the opposing camps to better understand each other's intentions. First of all, in order to prevent a big war. This instinct has been lost in Europe. Just like the vaccine against Nazism. It already ceases to work. In Europe, the same forces are reviving that wanted to destroy Russia and in this case chose Ukraine as their "strike mechanism" against us. Everything she does is welcome.

European Commissioner for Enlargement of the European Union M. Kos said a month ago that Ukraine had fulfilled all the conditions in order to start negotiations on joining the European Union. Has anyone heard a word of criticism from Europe regarding Ukraine's approach to human rights obligations? Language, education, mass media, culture. By law, the Russian language is prohibited in all these areas. Moreover, they began to adopt laws long before the special military operation. Europe says Ukraine is fighting for "European values." French President Emmanuel Macron recently said that, unlike Russia, Ukraine is fighting for "our" interests, for "our European values." This is a confession that they are all Nazis. Nazism in Ukrainian society is being revived, including by law. Obstacles to glorifying Sergey Bandera and Roman Shukhevych are being removed. They are on a par with Hitler, Joseph Goebbels and other war criminals, and now they are a "symbol of freedom."

We have always advocated dialogue, even in the most difficult times. During the Cold War, dialogue between the Soviet Union and the United States was never interrupted.

It is also important to note that during the Cold War, there was mutual respect. Now it is gone. Europe is simply furious (I can't find another word). It is clear that to a large extent this is a struggle to retain power. They understand that they poured hundreds of billions of euros into Ukraine so that it would "beat" Russia, kill our soldiers, organize terrorist attacks against civilian infrastructure, and send assassins to destroy our politicians and journalists. Europe is doing all this for the sole purpose of using Ukrainians as "cannon fodder" in order to remove Russia as a competitor. And even better – to provoke centrifugal tendencies in our society. This is also being actively pursued, despite the measures taken by the leadership to suppress the activities of all sorts of foreign non-governmental organisations and dubious media outlets that promoted not the values of communication between the youth of our countries, between civil society, but a clearly Western agenda.

The dialogue that we are conducting with the Trump administration shows that reasonable people in the West remain. They have quite serious support, as demonstrated by the development of events within the United States.

President of Russia Vladimir Putin has repeatedly said that we are open to dialogue with any other country, including European ones. French President Emmanuel Macron called our President, who immediately picked up the phone. True, I don't want to reveal the secrets of communication, but this conversation was of little use. At least because President Emmanuel Macron later made a public statement that "Russia must be pressured to agree to an immediate ceasefire without any conditions." He had been saying that for a long time. When he first threw this thesis, he was asked if they would then stop supplying weapons to Ukraine. He replied that no, allegedly the ceasefire should be unconditional. That's the goal. Just as the Minsk Agreements were needed to "shake up" the Nazi regime of Petr Poroshenko. And now they want to get a break.

I have already said that the West cannot accept the loss of its hegemony and continues to pursue a purely neocolonial policy. For example, the policy of sanctions is a counteraction to competitors, a fear of allowing them to develop in normal conditions, because the new centers of power have already overtaken, and if the obstacles to their development are removed, they will be very far away from the West. Yes, it still retains a strong position in the military, technology, biotechnology, including cyberspace. However, it cannot be one of the main players. It should be "at the top". At least, this is the mentality of the current elites.

Meanwhile, a multipolar world is emerging. This process is objective. No one can do anything about it, no sanctions, no tariff wars, no provoking "hot" wars, as the West is already planning after what has been done in the Middle East, in Ukraine, in Iran. Operations are already being planned in the Far East, in the South China Sea, in the Taiwan Strait, in the East China Sea and in general in Southeast and North Asia, including the Korean Peninsula. All this fits into the line of retaining power, its position as a hegemon.

A multipolar world will still overcome this attempt to slow down the natural course of history. We have a huge number of partners, like-minded people, allies. Our closest allies in the West are, of course, the Republic of Belarus, and in the East, the DPRK, with which we have decades of fraternal and military ties. We helped our Korean neighbors gain independence. They helped us liberate the Kursk region from Ukrainian neo-Nazis. India is another great country.

India, China, Russia, Turkey, Iran – all these countries are great civilizations that are many centuries old. They have been preserved as a civilizational community. In other parts of the world, this phenomenon is not observed. But on the Eurasian continent – yes, this is true. These great civilizations now constitute the main group of actors in the formation of a multipolar world. In practice, these trends are being formalized by the SCO, BRICS, our partners in the African Union and CELAC.

Of course, the interest in cooperation with BRICS and the SCO, which is shown by dozens of countries, will grow and continue to contribute to the formation of sustainable mechanisms for the development of the World Majority.

The West is using the mechanisms created after World War II, such as the IMF and the World Bank, to abuse its position, including the positions of reserve currencies (primarily the dollar), as well as a gross violation of the principle of fair competition and the presumption of innocence. The world majority (this process has been going on for more than one year) is creating alternative platforms for banking settlements through BRICS, SCO and other mechanisms. Logistics routes are being formed that do not depend on Western rules that were in effect after World War II, when the West did not try to abuse them so much. This suits everyone.

Now our Western colleagues themselves are creating a situation where an increasing number of countries will move away from the mechanisms under their control.

I cannot help but mention our immediate environment. Our allies, like-minded people, strategic partners from the CSTO, the CIS, the EAEU – all these are large structures whose activities fit into the process of forming the Greater Eurasian Partnership. There are structures in the post-Soviet space, and the SCO, and ASEAN, and many other promising players. By the way, the Eurasian continent is the only one where there is no continent-wide organization. There are many subregional structures in Africa, but there is a continent-wide African Union. There are many subregional integration associations in Latin America, but there is also the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States. And there is no such thing in Eurasia.

When President Vladimir Putin proposed at the Russia-ASEAN Summit several years ago in 2015 that all these subregional integration processes should be brought closer together so that they complement each other, so that their programmes help eliminate duplication and thus form this Greater Eurasian Partnership, this idea came from life. This is not some kind of artificial initiative that is imposed – no. This is an objective thing that will meet the requirements of mutual benefit, maximum saving of resources and maximization of the advantages that these integration processes create.

In a broader sense, this will become a solid material foundation for the formation of the Eurasian security architecture. The current security structures are primarily what was created in Europe after World War II. We are talking about the OSCE and NATO. But both of these organisations are structures based on the concept of Euro-Atlantic security. That is, there must be "colleagues" from the other side of the Atlantic Ocean. But those who want to cooperate with the United States, with Canada, are not forbidden. But why can't we have a continent-wide structure open to all countries of the continent? Moreover, now President Donald Trump is not very eager to maintain a special role in Europe. He believes that it should deal with its own problems, whether security or economic development, on the terms that the United States dictated to the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen. Therefore, the architecture of Eurasian security is "knocking on the door". And for the third year in a row, the International Conference on Eurasian Security (2023, 2024) is being held in Minsk in October, where the Draft Charter on Diversity and Multipolarity in the 21st Century is being considered. It was prepared by our Belarusian friends together with us. In the first two conferences, participation was quite interested. Some countries of the European Union also took part. I think that their number will grow. Therefore, we have a lot to do. The main one is to defeat the enemy. For the first time in history, Russia is fighting alone against the entire West. Both in the First and Second World Wars, we had allies. Now we have no allies on the battlefield. Therefore, you need to rely on yourself. Neither weakness nor lack of effort should be allowed.

President Vladimir Putin outlined the tasks that we are addressing in the international arena, primarily on the line of contact. They will be fulfilled. We insist on what is our legitimate demand: ensuring our safety. Firstly, no drawing of Ukraine into NATO and no expansion of the alliance at all (it has already expanded close to our borders, contrary to all the promises and documents that were adopted). Secondly, everyone says: "Russia must return to the borders of 1991." In 1991, when Ukraine was recognized as an independent state, it had its Declaration of Independence as its main principle, which said: "Non-aligned, nuclear-free, neutral state." It was in this capacity that the territorial integrity of Ukraine was recognized. When they began to destroy, exterminate everything Russian, we could not stand aside, we tried to persuade, negotiate - it did not work. Therefore, there was no alternative to the start of a special military operation.

Territories are not important to us. Sometimes they say: "They have seized the territory, we need to liberate them." These territories are not important to us - we have the largest country in the world. It is important for us that people who have lived there for centuries and who are carriers of Russian culture, language, education, who want to raise their children in the same culture, so that they are not exterminated and their rights are protected. This is an absolutely legal requirement. Recognition of the realities enshrined in our Constitution is an absolutely non-alternative requirement. We have a lot to do.

I hope that the meetings that we hold here and that you hold here with my colleagues will help you better understand what the foreign policy structures of the Russian Federation are doing. And I hope that the ranks of diplomats will be replenished, including at the expense of graduates of this Forum.

Question: I would like to go back to your speech here at the Territory of Meanings in 2018, when you said that "the multipolar world is a positive trend that brings more democracy and justice." Of course, over these seven years, the world has changed very seriously. In this regard, the following question: do you agree with yourself seven years ago, or would you like to add something, correct yourself then, taking into account the emergence of some real signs of a multipolar world?

Sergey Lavrov: Of course, I agree with myself. And not because I'm so, you know, an egoist.

Since 2018, the multipolar world has indeed begun to take shape even more actively. And it does bring democracy into international relations as opposed to dictatorship, hegemony, which the West wants to preserve. The resistance to the process of forming a multipolar world is enormous. But, as you know (who has studied physics), the greater the resistance, the more the motion acquires a stable character. And that's what happens.

US President Donald Trump recently commented on the activities of BRICS in his classic manner. And he said that the association is some kind of "incomprehensible shop" that wants to use alternative currencies, and he will not allow "someone to ignore the dollar." But when he was still campaigning, he spoke differently about the dollar. At that time, Donald Trump said that Biden and his administration were people who had caused enormous damage to the interests of the United States because they had discredited the dollar as a currency that everyone relied on, and that the dollar would inevitably weaken. He admitted this. Now he wants to stop this process by threats, blackmail and based on common sense, because this is important for the financial situation of the United States, which relies heavily on the role of the dollar.

I remember when the issues of international monetary and financial cooperation were discussed a long time ago, the US administration declared, addressing the entire world community, that the dollar was not American property, but the property of all mankind. This is the kind of "lubricant" that is required for the entire global economy, and it will work flawlessly in all weather conditions. Everything has changed. Of course, multipolarity is also stimulated by the fact that the old system has ceased to meet the interests of the World Majority. By the way, it all started when the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank Group and the World Trade Organisation were established after World War II, the rules they set for the global economy were all right: some realised that there were no others, and that it was necessary to move forward in the general row. China has also adopted these rules. And then, according to these rules, which were invented by the Americans and in their own "glade", the Chinese "outplayed" the Americans. Why are they so worried? Because the PRC has nevertheless reached the position of the undisputed leader within the framework of the current monetary and financial trading system, and the pace of development of its economy and all other areas will only increase.

That is why the IMF reform is now being slowed down. If we take the real economic weight of the BRICS countries, they would have increased their share of votes long ago, and the Americans would have lost the right of veto. They artificially constrain this reform in order to maintain a "controlling stake" that allows them to single-handedly block decisions to democratize these institutions. The same is true in the WTO. The Americans blocked the work of the dispute resolution body. There are thousands of Chinese complaints there. The Americans simply do not allow you to get a quorum in this body, it does not work. Therefore, it is probably possible to artificially restrain development, but it will not be possible to restrain it. Yes, it will take a long time. Probably, the formation of a multipolar world is a whole era. But the trend is objective and inevitable.

Question: Tell me, what crises of the global security system do you see on the horizon of 10 years?

Sergey Lavrov: I partially touched on this issue in my speech. It is no longer threats, but real security problems that exist around Ukraine. We are fighting for our security, for our legitimate security interests, and we will achieve results, and in neighbouring regions such as the Middle East, Palestine and Iran, not everything is over in Syria, as well as in Libya and Iraq.

There are security problems in the West as well. First of all, the Americans do not hide the fact that they are interested in extending their power influence to the Asia-Pacific region, which they specifically call the "Indo-Pacific region," in order to draw our Indian friends into this cooperation and make them "pleasant." In fact, all these "Indo-Pacific strategies" are aimed at containing China, isolating Russia, destroying the open universal cooperation structures that have developed around ASEAN in Southeast Asia, and transferring NATO's military infrastructure to the Far East: to the South China Sea, to the Taiwan Strait, to the Korean Peninsula. "Quartets" and "troikas" were created. The "troika" (the United States-Japan-South Korea) is already planning increasingly powerful military exercises around the Korean Peninsula, around the DPRK. Moreover, in these exercises, when the United States and South Korean forces work together, elements of nuclear weapons already appear there. This is alarming. Especially against the backdrop of the fact that this AUKUS (US-UK-AUSTRALIA) trio, created to build nuclear submarines for Australia, is also a transfer of nuclear technology, and there are serious doubts that these actions comply with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.

There are many problems that are already visible. Including the fact that NATO is actively penetrating here (Japan seems to be going to open some kind of special representative office of the alliance). It is indicative that then-NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg was asked at one of the news conferences that the North Atlantic Alliance, which was always presented as a defensive organisation when it was created and existed in subsequent years, and that its main goal was the physical protection of the territory of its member states, how did it happen that it now wants to expand to the east and significantly go beyond the borders of its association? Jens Stoltenberg replied without even blinking that they still have the sole purpose of protecting the territories of member states. But in the current conditions, threats to these territories come from the "Indo-Pacific region" (the South China Sea, etc.). This is an indicative statement that reflects the evolution of mentality. This mentality is evolving towards a search for the meaning of preserving the alliance. We have found meaning in this territory, and they are all trying to find an excuse for why the North Atlantic Alliance should exist. There are many threats. The decade will not be easy.

Question: Sergey Viktorovich, can I shake hands with you and take a photo with you? This is my dream. Moreover, this is the dream of my grandmother, who told me not to return home without a photo with Sergey Lavrov.

Sergey Lavrov: Unfortunately, your grandmother and I did not meet in our youth. If your colleagues let you in (not now, but when we're done), then of course.

Question: In your opinion, what programmes are the most effective for promoting Russian values and traditions abroad?

Sergey Lavrov: Our preference has always been to participate in universal sports and cultural events. Unfortunately, completely unacceptable discrimination (I can't even find a decent word) against all our athletes and our culture has begun.

Recently, Vladimir Gergiev's tour with soloists of the Mariinsky Theatre was cancelled in Italy. Outrageously. Italy, which has always been the "cradle of culture", also came under the influence of Ukrainian neo-Nazis, by and large. In the leadership of Italy and in the UN, for example, there are also people who, like Germany, refuse and vote against the resolution "Combating the glorification of Nazism, neo-Nazism and other practices that contribute to fuelling contemporary forms of racism, racial discrimination, xenophobia and related intolerance." Germany, Italy and Japan vote against.

We are right to defend the need to return to the origins of the international Olympic movement, to the principles of developing cultural, educational and scientific ties, which are enshrined in UNESCO's statutory documents and which are grossly violated. The fact that now in Georgia our fencers receive gold and other medals is already a sign of the recovery of those who lead international sports.

But at the same time, we are developing alternative platforms. In 2024, the BRICS Sports Games were held. Of course, our invention is the "Games of the Future", the "phygital" movement – a mixture of "physical" and "digital". That is, the same team plays basketball, and then the same guys play basketball on the computer. It will be an annual event.

We were not very offended that we were not allowed to participate in Eurovision, which had already turned into an advertisement for non-traditional, alien values. This year, in September, we are holding the first Intervision International Song Contest near Moscow at the Live Arena. Almost all BRICS countries and their partners, about 20 countries, have already confirmed their participation.

We never close ourselves off from universal forms of cooperation. But when they try to "close the way out" to us on fair, generally acceptable terms, of course, we will not just sit idly by. But this, too, as well as sanctions, primarily manifests the desire of the West and those who are engaged in such things to suppress competitors. Competitors in trade, in investment, in energy markets, in sports, in art. This obsession to preserve and maintain hegemony is evident in all of these things. But, I repeat, we are creating a framework that ensures the development of our sport and art in all forms.

Question: What is the line between the trend towards globalisation and the preservation of national sovereignty? How not to go from one extreme to the other? How to maintain balance?

Sergey Lavrov: I think that a truly multipolar world is possible only in the composition of states, each of which respects, firstly, its sovereignty and, secondly, makes sure that the others respect this sovereignty. I do not see a contradiction here.

For example, BRICS. There, none of the participating countries gave up its sovereignty. All decisions are made exclusively by consensus. Yes, it is much more difficult to form a consensus than just put to a vote, as the European Union is now trying to do. Instead of taking into account the interests of Hungary, Slovakia and a number of other countries that do not agree with many of the actions of European bureaucrats, who, by the way, no one elected, unlike national governments. To overcome this resistance, the European Commission came up with a transition to a "qualified majority". In other words, there will be a vote, and decisions will be imposed on those who want to defend their national interests, their sovereignty.

Neither in BRICS, nor in the SCO, nor in the EAEU, nor in the CIS, nor in the CSTO, will this ever happen. Not in any other association where we work. I see here that preserving, strengthening and ensuring respect for your sovereignty by yourself and your partners is the most important cementing factor for a multipolar world.

Question: At the autumn marathon "Knowledge. First”, Minister of Sport Mikhail Dyagterev said that there is a lot of pressure on our sport now. He shared the story that there is a whole department of sports diplomacy in Hungary, which is just aimed at establishing relations with countries through sports. History knows many examples of how relations with countries are established through sports ("ping-pong diplomacy" and many others). Do we have any plans to create the same department?

Sergey Lavrov: Under the Ministry of Sport?

Question: At the Foreign Ministry.

Sergey Lavrov: The Ministry has a department headed by the Ambassador-at-Large, the Special Representative of the Minister for International Sports Cooperation. The Foreign Ministry has been dealing with this issue for more than a dozen years.

But M.V. Dyagterev and I spoke. The Ministry of Sports has extensive international relations. The current minister has a taste for international contacts. They have people who do this. We are in close coordination. We are ready to help them and coordinate our steps.

Question: What was the motivating factor in your difficult path at the Foreign Ministry and before that? What should today's young people do if they want to develop in international relations?

Sergey Lavrov: You need to apply to MGIMO.

In fact, we have people not only from MGIMO. Every year, boys and girls are also hired from Lomonosov Moscow State University, St Petersburg State University, the Far Eastern Federal University, and the Higher School of Economics.

But, of course, the lion's share are MGIMO graduates. After all, the programmes there are already set up to train personnel for the Ministry. When hiring, it is necessary to pass tests.

What influenced the choice of my profession? I have already said it once. There is no big secret here. When I graduated from school, I had a silver medal. However, in order to get it, I was forced to retake biology. I had a "C" in biology. The teachers, the school principal wanted me to have a medal. I retook it, but with a "four". But it was still enough to get a silver medal.

We had an excellent class teacher, S.I. Kuznetsov, who taught physics and mathematics. He went hiking with us, went on long journeys during the holidays. We loved him very much. Probably, due to the sympathy that he aroused, he influenced me.

I wanted to enter MEPhI. My late mother worked at the Ministry of Foreign Trade and told me, yes, at MEPhI, like in all other universities, entrance exams begin on August 1, and at MGIMO on July 1. What should you try? I knew English, I studied. With a medal, I passed two exams - July 1 and 3 - history and English. I received two "fives". I really wanted to pass the exam at MEPhI later. But when I came to my school to collect some documents, I looked at my classmates who were running, everyone was kind of nervous, I thought, okay. In general, almost by accident. But I don't regret it.

Question: What opportunities do you consider the most promising for young people in the field of international relations?

Sergey Lavrov: Young people have a good way to go everywhere. There are many opportunities. I mean how a person who wants to realize himself or herself in the international space should act, right?

Question: What path would you advise them to overcome, what is better not to try at all?

Sergey Lavrov: We need to try. It is difficult to advise. Each person is an individual. Those forms of self-education and self-improvement that will be ideal for someone may not be suitable for another person.

There are international faculties. At MGIMO – by itself, but also at most other universities. If you are interested in foreign policy, international cooperation (this is not necessarily foreign policy, it can be international cooperation in the economy, in trade processes), you need to enter the faculties, get acquainted with the program that each faculty offers. I can't advise you anything more specifically.

Question: Our President once said (and it has become a catchphrase) that after the death of M. Gandhi, unfortunately, there are no people left with whom it would be possible to talk on the world stage. Tell me, please, is there a person in the world with whom you could talk, conduct a dialogue?

Sergey Lavrov: Do you mean, despite the fact that we have been isolated or...

Question: Yes, a rational dialogue.

Sergey Lavrov: I mean, are there any reasonable people left?

The President really uttered this phrase at a time when it had already become clear what global strategic goals the West is pursuing in relations with the Russian Federation.

But, of course, the President has many interlocutors. Almost every day he conducts some international contacts. I have already spoken about Belarus, North Korea and China. We have unprecedentedly deep, broad, trust-based and strategic relations with the People's Republic of China.

President of the People's Republic of China Xi Jinping visited us at the events in honour of the 80th anniversary of the Victory. In early September, President Vladimir Putin will visit China at the invitation of President Xi Jinping to celebrate the 80th anniversary of the defeat of Japanese militarism. These are important measures, including in terms of preserving historical memory and preventing the success of the attempts that the West and the Japanese are making to "eradicate" the memory of those years.

I can endlessly list the leaders who regularly work together with President Vladimir Putin within the framework of BRICS, the SCO and the post-Soviet space.

I never refuse contacts, but I do not impose myself either. I regularly meet with the foreign ministers of Hungary and Slovakia. The Swiss Foreign Minister is also sometimes asked for contact. I never refuse. In December 2024, former Austrian Foreign Minister Alexander Schallenberg asked for a meeting at the OSCE Ministerial Council in Malta, but he was embarrassed to do so in front of the cameras and invited me to "go out for a smoke." Let's go and talk.

Just as President Vladimir Putin never refuses offers and requests to meet and talk, I see no point in avoiding anyone. If they avoid you, declare a boycott of you, leave the hall when you speak, go ahead. As we say, someday they will go berserk. But when they do this and want to communicate with us again, it will no longer be as it was.

We now know the value of their words. There is a phrase that "a spoken thought is a lie", and for them "a spoken word, something promised to us – this is also a lie". As was the case with the Minsk Agreements, as was the case on the eve of the coup d'état in Kiev in February 2014, when Viktor Yanukovych, the then president, and the opposition signed an agreement that they should calmly prepare together for early elections. France, Germany and Poland guaranteed this treaty with their signatures. In the morning, these signatures were spat upon, and the opposition occupied all government buildings.

April 2022, shortly after the start of the special military operation. In Istanbul, our negotiators agreed with the settlement principles proposed by the Ukrainian delegation. And then they were told, they say, no, guys, "you have not yet laid enough heads, so go on fighting, weaken Russia."

So, when they (I'm sure it's not if, but when) come to their senses and offer us to resume relations, we will strictly approach the principles on which these relations can be built in the future.

Question: After the global events of the past, we are witnessing a crisis in global international infrastructures: security, communications, and law and order. They ceased to inspire confidence. Many countries stop participating in them. It seems as if we can take a step back. What do you think about this? Do we need new infrastructures? If so, which ones?

Sergey Lavrov: I touched on this topic in my speech. Of course, the UN is being tested, first of all, because of the actions of the West, which, in fact, has already privatized the leadership of the Secretariat. The Secretary General, the Deputy for Political Affairs, the Deputy for Peace Operations, the Deputy for Humanitarian Affairs and the Deputy for Security of the entire UN system around the world are all members of NATO.

Now UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has started a reform. He published the UN80 report. I will not cite examples from this document, but its meaning is to significantly reduce the opportunity for UN member states to influence the activities of the Organization and the Secretariat and expand the powers of the Secretariat in matters that have always been the subject of intergovernmental coordination.

The pretext is simple – it takes a long time, but, they say, you need to act quickly. This is also an example of the West's policy, which, through its "protégés" in the leadership of the secretariats of international organisations, promotes decisions that are beneficial to it.

The Council of Europe, from which we came, is in the deepest crisis. Instead of developing a universal international legal framework for cooperation in the humanitarian sphere, it threw all its efforts into the illegal activities of creating "tribunals against Russia" and "commissions to calculate the damage caused to Ukraine." This is sad. There was good organization.

The OSCE is now also in a deep crisis. Now the Secretary General is a Turkish citizen and a former diplomat. He tries to act within the powers of the Secretary General, following the principles of neutrality and impartiality. Before him, there were representatives in this post who grossly abused their powers. They did not comply with the requirements of the OSCE statutory documents. The presiding countries behaved in the same way.

The current chair is Finland. The Helsinki Final Act turns 50 years old. It was adopted in 1975 and gave birth first to the Conference and then to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. This is also not easy.

I have listed the organizations in which the principle of equality applies. These are BRICS, SCO, CIS, CSTO, EAEU. In our relations with colleagues from Africa. By the way, this autumn there will be the second ministerial conference of the Russia-Africa Partnership Forum and the first ever Russia-Arab World summit. These are formats in which we and our partners feel comfortable.

There is another place, in addition to the UN, where we sit down with the West at the same table – the G20. The G7 and the expanded BRICS and its like-minded countries are represented there. If you look at the balance of power: the G7 plus its like-minded people and the BRICS and like-minded countries, then the G20 is divided exactly in half – 10 to 10. The G20 has the principle of consensus, and it cannot be bypassed. Therefore, this is the platform where you can reason with the West. And that's what we do.

Three years ago, the West's attempt to Ukrainize the G20 agenda failed. Everyone followed us in saying that the G20 was not created to consider a political issue. On political issues, the UN Security Council.

We continue to consider the UN to be an important structure. If you read the UN Charter, you don't need to change anything there. And nothing needs to be changed to the concept of multipolarity. It lays down the principle of the sovereign equality of states, the principle of equality and self-determination of peoples. There is also territorial integrity.

But later the UN General Assembly clarified that it is necessary to respect the territorial integrity of each state whose government respects the right of peoples to self-determination and therefore represents the entire population living on its territory. But did those who came to power after the putsch in Kiev represent the Crimeans, the residents of Donbass, Novorossiya? Of course not.

Everything is written down in the fundamental documents. Now the West has recognized the independence of Kosovo without any referendum and said that this is just the right of a nation to self-determination, and six years later a referendum was held in Crimea, when residents were fleeing from the Nazis who sent armed militants to storm the building of the Supreme Council of Crimea in Simferopol, the West said that this is not the right to self-determination, but territorial integrity must be respected. We have a proverb "the law is what it takes: where you turn, there it goes." So it is with international law.

It is also necessary to demand respect for the Charter in the UN. And not when you want one principle, when you want another. All principles in their entirety and interrelatedness must be respected. The work will continue. The resistance is very strong.

Question: How do you assess Russia's role in the formation of a new global security architecture? How can we make sure that the interests of our Motherland are taken into account?

Sergey Lavrov: I thought I had already tried to answer this question.

First, in organizations that we do not consider to have completely lost their raison d'être, we need to uphold the principles on which they were based.

I have just spoken about the UN and the strong attack on the rules of procedure and the principles of the Charter. There are many allies here, and this number is growing. In 2021, at the initiative of Venezuela, the Group of Friends in Defense of the UN Charter was formed. It regularly accepts applications. Now it has about 20 countries. There are those who want to join this process. It regularly receives applications (several applications a year on issues of principle).

Recently, a statement was adopted, and then we passed a General Assembly resolution on its basis. This is already a UN document on the suppression of modern practices of colonialism. This is the most important question, because, it would seem, when did all this happen. Africa gained political independence, but inherited borders that the colonial powers cut "according to the ruler", dissecting areas inhabited by the same ethnic group, which periodically led to clashes. As was the case 30 years ago between Burundi and Rwanda, so it is now happening between Mali and Algeria. The same group, the Tuaregs, live on both sides of the border. Some contradictions and disagreements arise. But the most important thing is that, having gained political independence along with these territorial problems, the African Union does not want to change borders. It is doing the right thing. It is necessary to reach a consensus.

But Africa did not gain economic independence. I have been on business trips. For example, in South Africa. When the special military operation began, difficulties began to arise in order to refuel the plane. Because the companies that are doing this were either British or American. With difficulty, they agreed at the air base. Our South African friends would have done whatever was necessary in any case. This is an indicator. Sovereign states, holding international events, cannot guarantee the invited members of the association that all technical and logistical issues will be resolved.

Now the "second wave of awakening" in Africa is already economic. Our relations with the African Union have advanced significantly in recent years. In 2019 was the first Russia-Africa summit, in 2023. –second. Now we are preparing the third summit. It will take place on African territory. Meanwhile, the first ministerial conference of the Russia–Africa Partnership Forum was held in 2024, and this year there will be a second one.

We need to keep universal structures like the UN in good shape and demand that everyone respect the principles on which it was founded, while developing our centers of the future multipolar world. These are the SCO, the EAEU, the CIS, the CSTO, all associations in Eurasia, and at the global level – BRICS. This is a strong movement.

If the West cannot become one of the large, strong centers, but seeks to maintain complete hegemony, it will not succeed.

Question: You are a diplomat with a human face. You are no strangers to weakness, sometimes you can quarrel with a "strong word", for which we love you, for this "realness". In this regard, a question. How do you manage to carry a person in yourself, given the closed conservative conditions in which you find yourself?

Sergey Lavrov: I did not know that a "strong word" is a sign of weakness. If this is perceived as such, then this is not a weakness, but a character trait.

No profession without humor can really excite. And diplomacy is more than many other professions. When there is an opportunity to joke somewhere in a conversation, somewhere to start "goading" partners (if you know him well and know how he reacts), this often plays a positive role.

President Vladimir Putin, when communicating with his colleagues, has a deeply developed sense of interlocutor. This is one of the key things in diplomacy. Knowledge can be obtained, but the art of communication must be practiced under all circumstances, but to a large extent it’s innate.

For example, it happened that in childhood he was a hooligan in the yard with boys, and suddenly some overgrown boy 3-4 years older comes out and begins to chase little boys. This is about what the West is doing now in relation to everyone else. People are walking in the yard - do not touch them. No, you need to come there to "cut down" all 15 kopecks or something else. Therefore, I am in favor of humor being present everywhere.

Question: Tell us a secret about what you said at the BRICS summit in Kazan when you were stepped on?

Sergey Lavrov: There are a lot of fabrications. A beautiful girl walked by and stepped on my foot. I decided that she was flirting and said that I would soon go out for a smoke.
Very important that Lavrov has changed his tune on Gaza; it’s now Western Aggression. Note the big problem of pursuing a policy leading to deindustrialization while attempting to build the largest military in Europe—even bigger than Russia’s. IMO, Trump is duping Russians. Yes, most Americans don’t want war and voted for Trump because he promised to end wars. However, the record proves him a liar. There’s no improvement in basic Russia-American relations as the stolen properties and monies remain stolen, and support for Trump is evaporating as he shows himself to be a liar and not just about Russia. Furthermore, Lavrov must look at the Congressional attitude, which remains very much Anti-Russian as proven by the veto-proof majority in favor of Graham’s insane 500% tariff legislation. And as explained by many, Trump’s main goal is to get EU/NATO to take the blame for Obama’s War on Ukraine’s failure, not on the Outlaw US Empire where it rightfully belongs—morally and legally.

IMO, Turkey doesn’t qualify as a “great civilization,” nor even a civilization. Anatolia has been home to several great civilizations over its time as a host for humanity. But the Ottoman civilization died during WW1 and was replaced by a secular nationalist government that has great problems with Islamists and has yet to determine what its personality will be, and Erdogan’s actions don’t help. Orlov’s description was excellent. In place of Turkey are several contenders—the four Southeast Asian nations excluding Myanmar and the Central Asians as a whole. Indonesia and Malaysia can be seen as civilizations in their infancy, although humans have lived there for many thousands of years—longer than in Russia and Europe. As Lavrov noted several times during the Q&A, honesty and trust are of vast importance and the Turks fail on both accounts as do their cousins the Azeris.

Will the Collective West and its Zionist proxy ever learn how to cooperate and cease their quest for Exceptionalism and Primacy, for that’s at the root of today’s strife and chaos? Unfortunately, the Collective West has chosen war to preserve its Primacy and reinforce its Exceptionalism. That means for the Global Majority to attain the peace and development it seeks it must defeat the West both militarily and ideologically—the basis for its exceptionalism must be destroyed. And unlike the last world war where Nazism was allowed to survive and nurtured for future use, that cannot be allowed for the West’s ideology.

https://karlof1.substack.com/p/lavrov-t ... -all-nazis
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Wed Jul 30, 2025 3:28 pm

HAS THE KREMLIN CROSSED THE S-400 THRESHOLD TO FIRE ON ISRAELI, US AIRCRAFT ATTACKING IRAN?

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By John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

President Vladimir Putin has held three telephone calls with the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu this year so far. What matters most now, after the third of these calls on July 28, is that Putin has omitted to put on the Kremlin record what he told Netanyahu – and what Netanyahu has just relayed to President Donald Trump that is Putin’s warning to them both.

If the latest press leaks, calculated in Iran and possibly in India too, are correct, then Putin has crossed a warfighting threshold he has refused to cross before.

In Putin’s first telephone call to Netanyahu on May 6, the Russian communiqué reports an exchange of greetings for the Victory Day celebration and the “determination of both countries in defending the truth about the Second World War, as well as in countering any attempts to revise its outcomes or falsify history.” Logged for the record was a discussion on “various aspects of the situation in the Middle East and some pressing bilateral matters”. Omitted from the record was mention of the truth and history of the Israeli genocide against the Palestinian state and its people; the Israeli invasions of Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria; and Israeli arms deliveries to the Ukraine for war against Russia.

In the second call on June 13, the communiqué combined Putin’s call to Netanyahu with his call to Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian. It is clear Putin gave Pezeshkian his “condolences to the authorities and citizens of Iran over the heavy death toll resulting from Israeli strikes, including among civilians”, and his emphasis that “Russia condemned Israel’s actions.” It is not clear Putin said the same thing to Netanyahu. Instead, the communiqué says Putin “emphasised the importance of resuming the negotiations and resolving any issues pertaining to Iran’s nuclear programme exclusively via political and diplomatic means.”

Omitted from this record was something Putin admitted at a press conference several days later, on June 18. That is when he admitted asking Netanyahu that while the Israeli Air Force (IAF) was attacking Iranian targets around the country, it should refrain from hitting the Bushehr nuclear reactor and the two hundred Russians working there. Putin acknowledged “we have agreed with the leadership of Israel which will ensure their security.”

In the third telephone call, reported by the Kremlin in the afternoon of July 28, Putin said he spoke of Syria and Iran. About the latter he said he had offered “to facilitate in every possible way the search for negotiated solutions to the Iran’s nuclear issue.” Omitted was any mention by Putin of Israel’s campaign of starvation in Gaza, which Israel’s allies — including US President Donald Trump on the same day — have publicly acknowledged and condemned.

Also omitted by Putin was any mention of the visit to Kiev last week of Israel’s Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar. He confirmed to Vladimir Zelensky “Israel’s solidarity with Ukraine”, and the “importance of tightening bilateral relations between our nations.” Those relations, Putin understands, include deliveries of Israeli arms to attack Russia on the Ukrainian battlefield.

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Source: https://x.com/gidonsaar/status/1947955817098944615, 12:43 pm.

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Source: https://x.com/gidonsaar/status/1948039758740914521, 6:17 pm.

Netanyahu also omitted to record what was said in this call for more than a day, a delay that was noted by the Israeli press. He then issued a tweet saying only that “the conversation between the two leaders was on the issue of Iran.”

The brevity is telling. It has triggered speculation among Moscow sources that Putin called Netanyahu to warn that recent Iranian press leaks of the operational testing and deployment of the S-400 air defence system in Iran are correct; that Putin has ordered several hundred Russians to man and train the Iranians to operate the system; and that they have orders to fire against any Israeli or US target which comes within the 400-kilometre range.

“That would be a reply to Trump about the super-invisibility of his best-in-the-world B-2 bombers,” one Moscow source commented. “Will he risk bombing Iran again, as he’s been threatening?”

The Russian sources agree that if Putin has decided to deter fresh Iranian and American attacks on Iran, and if he has lifted his longstanding no-fire order against the Israeli Air Force in Syria, this is a major change in Russian policy on the southern front.

So far, no Russian military blogger or mainstream news platform in Moscow has reported the published Iranian claims. US bloggers have expressed scepticism, but they have misspelled the original Iranian source and misinterpreted what was announced. A military source adds: “So far, I have not seen an official or unofficial refutation of the [Iranian] report. I’ve also seen nothing that leads me to believe it’s not valid.”

Initial public reports of the delivery of the S-400 to Iran commenced a year ago; the history of the S-400 operational deployment goes back to 2007.

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Source: https://www.iranintl.com/en/202411171565

According to this source, an anti-regime publication based in the UK and Saudi Arabia, “ 'Our current systems offer far superior capabilities compared to the S-400,’ said Davood Sheikhian, deputy for operations of the IRGC Aerospace Force, in a video interview shared by state-controlled media. He added that Iran is also actively using the Russian-made S-300 system and sees no need for the S-400.” That was said seven months before Israel and the US launched their war.

Anti-Russian reports have claimed the S-400 has failed to perform effectively in the recent India-Pakistan war, in Syria, and in the Ukraine; and that the Turkish S-400 deployment has been withdrawn. These claims have not been corroborated.

In the breaking news over the past four days, operational testing of the S-400 at a site near Isfahan has been reported, following evidence of several military transport flights from Russia to Iran since the ceasefire between Israel, the US, and Iran came into effect on June 24. Click to follow these developments.

Here is the original Iranian report which appeared on the site bitrun.info, dated July 26. Note the English spelling of the site name. Subsequent pick-up by military news aggregators in Belgium, South Korea, Malaysia and the US can be traced to the single bitrun.info origin which they have repeatedly misspelled as birun, failing to verify the report itself.

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Source: https://bitrun.info/1404/05/%D8%A7%D8%B ... %B0%DB%B0/

The originating bitrun.info report claims that “according to a report published by BRICS News, Iran recently received the advanced S-400 air defense system and today conducted its first operational test in areas around Isfahan.” The BRICS News reference is an Instagram platform apparently publishing media materials from BRICS members, including Iran. This source report is much briefer than the bitrun.info publication.

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Source: https://www.instagram.com/brics_countri ... kclxFNgAY/ -- dated July 26, 2025

First pickup of the Iranian S-400 story came from a military news aggregator in Belgium on July 27:

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Source: https://armyrecognition.com/news/army-n ... ile-system

The Military Watch Magazine site, published in Seoul, South Korea, also reported the news on July 27, but with a caveat: “With no details on any deliveries of foreign systems to Iran having been confirmed, a significant possibility remains that there is little substance to reports of either Chinese systems or S-400s being delivered to the country.”

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Military Watch Magazine has been published in South Korea since 2017. It reports itself as having “no sources of external funding and no affiliation to any state, party, movement or political ideology.” https://militarywatchmagazine.com/about_us

The Malaysian aggregator, Defence Security Asia, repeated the bitrun.info report on July 28.

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Source: https://defencesecurityasia.com/en/iran ... 0-isfahan/

On July 29, Hook Global, an Indian media outlet based in New Delhi, began running this 7-minute report of the S-400 test at Isfahan (see lead images). This publication has gone further than the Iranian reports because it has added information from “regional open-source intelligence platforms”. These reportedly had detected “unusual electromagnetic emissions consistent with the S-400 radar profiles” as well as “transport signatures matching the S-400 components”. Indian military experts are also cited in this report.

By contrast, the initial bitrun.info report claimed no more than that “explosions were reported in the vicinity of Isfahan, which, according to informed sources, were caused by the test activities of the said defence system.”

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Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DF03QEAQo70

This is a breaking news development. For follow-up discussion with Nima Alk
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https://johnhelmer.net/has-the-kremlin- ... more-92198

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About "Dyukovshchina"
July 29, 15:10

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Dyukovshchina is pseudo-scientific anti-Leninism

All these fashionable "exposures of Lenin" promoted by Alexander Dyukov and others like him actually do not bring anything new. They are a carbon copy of the old émigré journalism of the Civil War and nothing more. Even then there was a type - a "disillusioned leftist" who allegedly "saw the light" and now tells how Lenin and the Bolsheviks destroyed Russia, gave the country to the "national minorities" and planted a bomb under the state. Neo-populist Sergei Melgunov, for example, wrote about the same thing, only in a slightly different language.

Dyukov works according to the same templates: he pulls out an archival document, presents one paragraph as a sensation, makes a loud headline - and that's it, the "insider information" is ready. The point is not in the research, but in the effect. No one shows the entire document, does not explain the context, does not compare with other sources. And certainly no one will say that most of the "conclusions" collapse with minimal verification.
Here's a favorite technique: take a letter from Lenin, where he, for example, argues with Stalin about the future of the union republics. One phrase is pulled out, interpreted as "look, Lenin wanted to break up Russia" - and presented as a revelation. Although, if you read on, it is clear that the discussion was about a tactical compromise to keep the outskirts under common control. Or another example: Lenin defends Dontsov - which means he supports Ukrainian nationalism. Only "defense" is a protest against the repressions in 1913, when Dontsov was still a Marxist, not a Nazi. And Lenin himself later called him a "bourgeois chauvinist." There are plenty of such examples. "Lenin is a Russophobe," "the Soviets are an ethnocracy against the Russians," "national policy is a bomb under the empire" ... All this sounds impressive, but historically does not stand up to criticism. In fact, the center had a lot of weight in the republics, the personnel were both Russian and national, and the rhetoric of equality of peoples and their friendship was real.

Why does all this "work"? Because it is presented simply, emotionally, without unnecessary things. Clip thinking requires short conclusions: Lenin is bad, the archive confirmed it - we believe it. Real historical analysis is more complex, more boring and does not always give an unambiguous answer. Dyukovshchina is moral labels, images of enemies and screenshots as evidence.
If you really want to understand - read not only Telegram, but also normal studies, Zhukov, Zemskov, etc. There are no yellow sensations, but there is understanding and methodology.

Dyukovshchina is certainly not a science. This phenomenon is very convenient, emotional - but empty in essence. And you need to be able to work with it: check, think, compare. And this is the only way to defeat them.

https://t.me/PAL_PAL/18348 - zinc

Dyukov has long since turned into a withered caricature of the opuses from Korotich's "Ogonyok". There he would have looked very organic. Together with the rehash of Goebbels's fakes.
Now,simply part of the mummy of modern Russian anti-communism in the fight against Lenin's energy ziggurats and atomic bombs.

P.S. In the same vein are the recent dross from the pomaded Black Hundreds from "Spas", a branch of the Russian Orthodox Church Outside of Russia in New York on the payroll of the CIA, on the topic of insufficient decommunization in Russia, the dross from the French baguette lover Marquis Rudois, etc., etc. As many may have already noticed, the higher the level of anti-communism in the former Soviet republics and Eastern Bloc countries, the more hostile their position is to the modern Russian Federation. Domestic "fighters against the Soviet Union" are essentially modern-day Hiwis in this matter in the context of the ongoing war to destroy the Russian Federation, the complete "decommunization" of which is among the strategic goals of the West. Therefore, against the backdrop of the dismal dross from domestic anti-Soviets, a campaign to demolish Soviet-era monuments, desecrate the graves of Soviet soldiers, and "cancel" Soviet toponymy in the former republics of the USSR is actively supported. These are all parts of the same process.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9981922.html

Google Translator

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About youth

Being a direct representative of this social and age group of the Russian population, I thought that it would be interesting to read some of my thoughts about the state of youth, which is written about in the notes .

At the history department, where I am currently studying, there is a very motley palette of ideological preferences among the youth. This is not surprising, since the department is a humanities department, where people who have certain historical knowledge, their politicized interpretation, formed under the influence of various factors and circumstances, such as state protective propaganda, the opinion of LOMs from the environment of the so-called "non-systemic policy", the positions of prominent media historians, a variety of popular science and educational materials, masquerading as at least some scientific research, etc.

Thus, the university has representatives of such currents of political thought as market anarchists, libertarian socialists, fascists, monarchists, liberals and, of course, communists.

Sometimes I call my department “behind the scenes” and jokingly “the neo-Nazi department”, since all sorts of orders about suppressing the activities of ultra-right extremists constantly come from the security agencies to the university administration as a whole. The nationalists, in turn, arrange various kinds of petty dirty tricks (for example, they will draw a swastika on a desk or write “1488” on the door of a bathroom, etc.), which resonate very strongly in the university community, therefore, because of these constant edifications, meetings, lectures dedicated to ultra-right extremism and fueled by these petty dirty tricks, it seems that the students in the department are all fascists. However, this is not so.

In addition to everything said about nationalist students, it is worth saying that they are the most active of the entire "political rainbow". But such a "successful" right-wing organization has, of course, direct reasons in the form of material conditions for its existence. For example, the brown-white association "Danilevsky Club" has as its sponsor the NGO "Socio-Cultural Fund for Development and Innovation", which is financed by the regional deputy, expert at the Federation Council and major capitalist S.N. Kutenev. And the conservative and monarchist student organization "Brotherhood of Academicians" is financed directly by the "Tsargrad" society of the oligarch K.V. Malofeev and the international public organization "VRNS".

But it should be noted that if we speak in general even about nationalists and monarchists in my faculty, they are far from being fanatics who are ready to join the "blackshirt stormtroopers" tomorrow. They either have no authority in modern politics, or these authorities compete with each other, hence their disarray and lack of genuine unity. And the inertia and formalism of various conservative and nationalist associations further emphasizes the immaturity of the activists of this reactionary political trend.

Speaking about a significant part of the politically charged students at the history department, it is impossible not to say that they do not have at least a somewhat verified system of values, ideals and knowledge. People sometimes carry completely delirious concepts and ideas in their worldview, which gives rise to the most terrible eclecticism. Thus, one character of this kind, with whom, fortunately or unfortunately, I was not personally acquainted, according to eyewitnesses, stated that the ideas of Lenin V.I. and Ilyin I.A. are not that radically different in their origins and content, but on the contrary, complement each other. But if we take the rest of the students, then the overwhelming majority of them are completely apolitical and represent typical philistines. They are primarily concerned with everyday issues, relationships with relatives and loved ones, various parties, hobbies and other interests. Such people try not to think about politics and social problems and either ignore all conversations about it or transfer them to other topics.

It is worth noting that there are gender differences in interest in socio-political issues among students. Thus, male students are much more interested in politics than female students. The former constitute the overwhelming majority among the politically savvy part of students. Personally, for example, I have not met girls who would be interested not in "office" politics (these are various pro-government events, work in "Young Guard", etc.), but in real politics, interest in which would be a manifestation of a personal position on social phenomena, issues, and not a simple desire to receive material and reputational dividends from the state.

Apoliticality is indicative even in the VUC (Military Training Center), which performs the same functions that the military department performed in Soviet times and in the Russian 90s and 00s. The organization itself is pro-war, militaristic, therefore the contingent is more or less right-wing, despite the fact that many entered there in order to somehow dodge the army, which pours many apolitical guys into the ranks of cadets. In general, there are no outright fanatics in the military training center, either in the political and ideological sense, or in terms of serious study in comprehending military affairs.

But despite this state of mind of the youth, everything is not as terrible as it seems. As you wrote in your note, the inclinations and, accordingly, the development prospects of modern youth are better than those of previous generations.

Recently I thought exactly the opposite. Every conversation with a politically aware, or even worse, with an apolitically minded applicant became a reason for disappointment and despondency. However, later I began to see in many representatives of the youth such qualities as a developed sense of self-worth; a sincere and deep feeling of indignation about any injustice and stupidity, tyranny of the authorities, albeit so far mainly with an individualistic coloring; a desire to work honestly, etc.

Of course, the youth suffers from the vices of capitalism, so far they practically do not see any alternatives to the modern socio-economic system, and mostly do not even think about it. For now they *live relatively comfortably in bourgeois society*. But these are the people who will be the main force of the revolution during the destruction of this "bourgeois idyll". It is the young citizens of our country who will be *the most active part of the vanguard of the working class and the working class itself in the upcoming hot struggle of the forces of communism with the momentarily collapsing system of world imperialism*.

We do not choose the era and the country in which to be born. We do not choose the specific family in which we are born, we do not choose the circumstances. The same is true for the youth: as Marxists, we cannot choose the most “suitable material” for revolutionary transformations. All we can do is continue our work at the moment to forge cadres from the human mass that is available. The most persistent in understanding social laws and conscious representatives of the youth will follow us and become part of the fighting backbone of the PNC. The rest, one way or another, will be sucked into the whirlwind of upcoming global events, and they will still have to make their choice either for communism or for reaction.

A. Malgunov
07/28/2025

https://prorivists.org/107_reply/

Google Translator

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Azerbaijan: A pawn on the West’s chessboard?

Laura Ruggeri

July 28, 2025

By alienating Russia, antagonizing Iran, and seeking Western favour, Aliyev is engaging in a high-stakes gamble, Laura Ruggeri writes.

In The Grand Chessboard*, Zbigniew Brzezinski, a major influence on U.S. foreign policy, referred to Azerbaijan as “the vitally important ‘cork’ in the bottle containing the riches of the Caspian Sea basin and Central Asia.” His metaphor, laden with imperialist undertones, vividly captures Azerbaijan’s strategic value as a gateway to vast energy and mineral resources. At the time of the book’s publication in 1997, Azerbaijan’s potential as a major gas and oil producer was already well-known (the Baku oil boom started in the 1870s, when the country was part of the Tsarist empire). Its importance as an energy corridor and critical node in global trade emerged later, but it was already clear that the West would seek to leverage Azerbaijan’s position not only to gain an edge in energy and trade, but also to extend its reach in the region in an attempt to undermine Russian security and interests.

During the Cold War, the Caucasus was largely off-limit to Western shenanigans, but following the Soviet Union’s dissolution in 1991, this region re-emerged as a contested space. The spike in the number of reports published by U.S./UK/EU think tanks after the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh War, along with other indicators, suggest a surge in attention to the South Caucasus and Central Asia.

These studies highlight areas of opportunity and recommend to engage the region in a more systematic and coordinated manner in order to exploit its vast resources and reduce the West’s dependency on China for critical mineral and rare earths resources, which they see as a strategic Achilles’ heel. A typical example is Eric Rudenshiold’s January 2025 report, A Trans-Caspian Trajectory: A New U.S. Strategy for Central Asia and the Caucasus, which has already been endorsed in Washington circles as a sort of roadmap. Rudenshiold, a former National Security Council Director for Central Asia and USAID director for the same area, urges the Trump administration to increase funding and deepen engagement in the South Caucasus and Central Asia, particularly through the Middle Corridor, in order to counter Russia and China. He also argues in favour of moving Central Asia responsibilities from the Asia Bureau to the Europe and Eurasia (E&E) Bureau and from CENTCOM to EUCOM to better reflect the American vision for Eurasia. A delusion that boils down to ‘EU-NATO in, Russia and China out.’

Praising his friend’s report, Daniel Runde, another USAID old-timer who advocated for the merger of USAID with the Department of State long before it actually happened, said that the Caspian region and Central Asia “is going to get a lot more tensions in the next five years.” Coming from him, it sounds more like a plan than the assessment of an analyst. Runde also sits on the board of the Ukraine-Moldova American Enterprise Fund, a USAID creation, which provides direct investments, loans, coaching and technical assistance to local SME and start-ups. He is eager to replicate this scheme in Central Asian countries where, in the battle for global tech supremacy between China and the U.S., the race for critical minerals now rivals the race for oilfields or for trade routes, adding a new dimension and new actors to the old Great Game.

Runde remarked “There is going to be a lot of interest in minerals, and we need a buyer’s club for metals.” He then emphasized Azerbaijan’s role as a key transit point in the Middle Corridor (Trans-Caspian International Trade Route) for their transport as it bypasses Iran and Russia: “My deepest thought from visiting Central Asia this summer is that if we’re going to go big on the Middle Corridor, we’re going to have to learn to love Azerbaijan in a much deeper, more profound way.”

Crucially, Runde suggested the EU should pull its weight to complement U.S. efforts in the region, as it is currently doing in Ukraine.

I assume the reader understands what ‘loving Azerbaijan more deeply’ means in the given geopolitical context. Runde’s suggestion brings to mind ‘love bombing’, a manipulation tactic notoriously used by cults to recruit new adepts. It involves flattery, validation, intense attention, feigned mutual interests, empty promises, offers of help and pressure for very rapid commitment. Then a wedge is driven between the recruit and anyone who might provide a reality check, as isolation from former friends and family is deemed crucial to exercise control on cult members and create a dependency relationship. The effects of the ‘charm offensive’ launched towards the Azerbaijani leadership are hard to ignore. Baku ramped up anti-Russian rhetoric, closed down Russian cultural centres and news outlets, arrested and mistreated Russian journalists and citizens, and is using any pretext to escalate tensions with Moscow in order to please Washington.

After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Azerbaijan pursued a foreign policy of strategic equidistance aimed at maintaining beneficial relations with both Russia and the collective West, a balancing act that allowed Baku to maximize economic benefits. But as global and regional power competition for geopolitical, economic, and cultural dominance increased, all countries in the South Caucasus were targeted by Western influence operations, a key component of hybrid warfare. The goal of these operations was to eradicate both Soviet and Russian legacy from the region, and upend these countries’ relations with Moscow.

Influence is exerted through multiple vectors. Investments, trade, energy deals, market access and financial aid, control over energy resources, pipelines and supply routes, defence agreements, arms sales and security partnerships, diaspora communities, cultural soft power, education and religious ties, institutional reforms, integration into regional and international organizations, psyops and media campaigns that increasingly rely on social media. But influence becomes hegemonic when it transitions from episodic to systemic and structural, that is when it captures the political, economic and cultural elites of the country. This capture relies more on coaxing than on coercion. It hinges on education, integration and assimilation, a form of soft incorporation that reproduces a Western worldview almost effortlessly – elites internalize a foreign power’s narrative without recognizing its ideological bias, adopt Western policies as their own because they are presented as solutions to local needs or as universal norms, not as foreign constructs.

So-called “elite knowledge networks” are the transmission chain of Western narratives and worldview – they are embedded in university programs, philanthropic foundations, think tanks, cultural institutions, business and professional associations, etc. Transnational knowledge networks socialize and validate leaders who will eventually be in a position to shape their country’s policies and decision-making in alignment with the foreign power’s interests. Hegemony, as distinct from mere influence, implies a pervasive, structural dominance that often appears natural or inevitable to the host country’s elites. The control of minds is reinforced by coordinated narratives that dominate both global media and social media networks.

When we look at Azerbaijan it’s impossible not to notice the elephant in the room: the UK is the largest investor in Azerbaijan’s economy, followed by Turkey and Hungary. More than 450 UK companies operate in Azerbaijan. In the last 33 years BP, together with its co-venturers, has invested more than $87 billion in oil and gas exploration, development and transportation projects in Azerbaijan. In addition to oil and gas, UK companies are active in areas such as construction management and design, waste management, retail and education.

Almost immediately after Azerbaijan recaptured parts of territories of Nagorno-Karabakh, Baku announced ambitious reconstruction plans for these territories. British planning and architecture firm Chapman Taylor secured a $2.4 million contract from Azerbaijan to develop a new master plan for the city of Shusha (Shushi in Armenian). In tandem with Pasha Holding, owned by the Aliyev family, Chapman Taylor played an active role in deciding the fate of various structures within Shusha: by marking buildings and homes for demolition it contributed to the systematic erasure of Armenian heritage in Shusha. Chapman Taylor also won a tender to prepare a draft master plan for Jabrayil, now a ghost town after being destroyed during Azerbaijan’s recent war with Armenia. BP and the Azerbaijani government plan to build a 240-MW Shafag solar plant near Jabrayil, a stone’s throw away from the Iranian border. Areas razed by war are like a “a blank white paper,” said Orkhan Huseynov, a spokesman for SOCAR, the State Oil Company of the Republic of Azerbaijan. “We can write whatever we want.” To put a politically-correct spin on the destruction, Baku announced that the area would be developed as a carbon-neutral, green energy zone. The push for ‘smart cities’ in territories now controlled by Azerbaijan and close to the Iranian border has alarmed Tehran. The intelligence and military applications of a web of sensors and surveillance cameras that enables data sharing and real-time analytics among physical objects are well-known. With the help of AI, multiple data sources can be integrated into a single point of view and used to “accelerate the closing of complex kill chains,” as Anduril, the defence startup backed by Palantir’s Peter Thiel, boasts on its website.

BP, Azerbaijan’s largest investor, plays a role that extends far beyond the economy. The energy giant is deeply involved in the country’s politics and society, both through its outreach organizations and initiatives, and collaboration with the local British Council, universities and various Azerbaijani ministries, including the Ministry of Education. BP has always been contiguous with Britain’s MI6 and Ministry of Defence. Not only are they working closely at the highest levels, the revolving door between BP and British military and intelligence apparati never stops turning. Senior officials who became advisers to BP include former MI6 chief Sir John Sawers, who joined the corporation as a non-executive director, its former head of counterterrorism Sir Mark Allen who joined BP after leaving government service. General Nick Houghton, the former chief of the defence staff, and Lord George Robertson, the former Secretary of State for Defence and NATO secretary-general, also became advisors to BP.

Turkey’s position as the second-largest investor in Azerbaijan is driven by a combination of strategic, economic, and cultural factors. The two countries share linguistic, ethnic, and cultural affinities, and are joined at the hip by economic interests, trade, energy projects and close military cooperation. So much so that both Turkey and Azerbaijan frequently use the slogan ‘two states, one nation’ to describe their relations. Azerbaijan is a key energy partner for Turkey, supplying oil and gas through pipelines like the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) and Trans-Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline (TANAP). While Azerbaijan invests heavily in Turkey (SOCAR invested $18.5 billion in Turkey’s energy sector over 17 years), Ankara reciprocates with significant investments in Azerbaijan’s oil and non-oil sector.

Turkey makes no mystery of its geopolitical ambitions. In the Caucasus and Central Asia it is leveraging cultural, linguistic, and historical ties with Turkic nations to expand its influence. The Organization of Turkic States (OTS) is a cornerstone of Turkey’s strategy to unite Turkic-speaking nations and project its power. Founded in 2009 as a Turkic Council, the OTS includes Turkey, which is home to its general secretariat, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, with Turkmenistan, Hungary and Northern Cyprus as observers. Some analysts suspect that, beneath the banner of cultural unity, Turkey harbours a geopolitical agenda to form a bloc whose undeclared objective is to counter China, Iran, and Russia.

In 2021 the OTS increased its focus on mutual security and strategic alignment and adopted a roadmap called ‘Turkic World Vision 2040.’ One of the recommendations contained in this programmatic document is to “strengthen institutional relations with the UN and its bodies, Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) and Conference on Interaction and Confidence Building Measures in Asia (CICA), and establish new partnership relations with relevant regional institutions including the European Union (EU), Organization of the Black Sea Economic Cooperation (BSEC), Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO), and Visegrad Group.” The document made no reference to BRICS, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), the Eurasian Economic Union, and the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), although several members of the OTS are also members of the latter three organizations and Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan recently became BRICS partner countries.

China and Russia’s public stance on the OTS has been generally cautious, reflecting a mix of wariness and pragmatic engagement. Beijing views the OTS’s promotion of Turkic identity like the Common Turkic Alphabet adopted in 2024 and Turkey’s decision to replace the term ‘Central Asia’ with ‘Turkestan’ in textbooks as potentially encouraging Uyghur nationalism, but believes that OTS members’ involvement in its Belt and Road Initiative would likely deter them from alienating Beijing. Since China is focusing on economic integration, it views the Middle Corridor promoted by both the OTS and Western powers as a complement to the BRI’s China-Central Asia-West Asia Economic Corridor. For this reason China has invested in related infrastructure, such as the Trans-Kazakhstan Railroad and is now working on the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan (CKU) railway project which is planned to start in Kashgar (Xinjiang autonomous region) and end in the eastern Uzbek city of Andijan. At the 2024 BRICS Summit in Kazan, where OTS members participated, China emphasized connectivity and trade, signaling a willingness to align with OTS economic goals when mutually beneficial.

Although the OTS hasn’t adopted a confrontational stance, one shouldn’t underestimate the potential of OTS initiatives to shape current and future perceptions, a potential that extends beyond their currently limited impact. Prompted by Turkey, the organization even created a so-called “unified map of the Turkic world”, which in addition to the OTS member countries, includes the Balkans, Cyprus, regions of Iran, the Xinjiang Uyghur region of China, part of Mongolia and some Russian territories (Crimea, Kuban, Tatarstan, the Caucasus, Siberia, Yakutia and the Altai Territory). Initiatives such as this underscore a key aspect of Turkey’s soft power: education. Ankara offers scholarships, exchange programs, and established foundations, institutes and universities like Manas University in Kyrgyzstan and Ahmet Yesevi University in Kazakhstan, while the Yunus Emre Institute and the Turkish Maarif Foundation play important roles in Turkey’s current policies toward Central Asia. Clearly these efforts aim to strengthen long-term ties and educate future political elites. According to several surveys, they seem to have positively contributed to Turkey’s overall perception in the region.

Russia, like China, would rather not antagonize Turkey – the form and extent of their collaboration are determined by their respective motives and current priorities rather than past rivalries – but presumably keeps an eye on the OTS, regarded by some Russian analysts as an expansionist project of the West implemented through Ankara. They are particularly concerned about the role British intelligence plays behind the scene, since Pan-Turkism, like other forms of ethnic nationalism, has historically been nurtured and supervised by Britain in its confrontation with Russia.

Considering that the West seeks to expand control over Western and Central Asia’s natural resources and trade routes, Russia and China ought to align and coordinate their soft power initiatives if they want to boost the relevance and capabilities of their regional projects. Russia’s position could be bolstered by a reorientation in terms of identity, stressing the idea of Russia as a multiethnic, multicultural and multiconfessional Eurasian civilisation, whose spiritual, cultural, political and economic development must have both eastern and western trajectories.

Although at present President Recep Erdoğan is still balancing Turkey’s Western allies and non-Western powers like China and Russia to gain economic and strategic benefits – the collective West lacks sufficient leverage to enforce Turkey’s full compliance with anti-Russia and anti-China diktats and policies – but the grooming of Turkish elites continues at a steady pace. American and European think tanks have recently suggested the revitalization of Turkey’s economic integration with the West and recommended making it a major partner in Western infrastructure projects with a focus on Central Asian connectivity.

Iran is understandably concerned about the expansion of Turkish influence and the OTS’ hidden agenda, Azerbaijan’s military and intelligence cooperation with Israel, its decades-old “energy-for-arms” pact with the Zionist state which in 2024 topped the list of destinations for Azerbaijani oil, Turkey’s military industrial complex and NATO membership, its soft power and neo-Ottoman regionalism present a challenge to Iran’s security.

Add to the mix the fact that Armenia, Iran’s strategic partner, under Pashinyan’s rule has been pivoting to the West and is currently engaged in negotiations with Azerbaijan to strike a peace deal that could further embolden Turkey and open the door to Western control of the Zangezur corridor. The opening of this transportation route would connect Azerbaijan’s mainland with its Nakhchivan exclave through Armenia’s Syunik Province and significantly weaken Iran, which would lose transit revenue from Azerbaijan-Nakhchivan trade and control of the greater part of its border with Armenia.

By connecting NATO-member Turkey to Azerbaijan, a direct Turkic link between Europe and Central Asia could be established through the South Caucasus to bypass Iran. If the West, or one of its proxies, is allowed to control this strategic route, NATO would have a highway to the Caspian region at its disposal, a scenario that neither Iran nor Russia, two of the five countries that have coastlines along the Caspian Sea, can accept.

Washington didn’t show much interest in the Zangezur corridor when it was first officially proposed by Baku in 2020 because, as part of the Trilateral Ceasefire Agreement signed then by Ilham Aliyev, Nikol Pashinyan and Vladimir Putin, Armenia and Russian FSB border guards would monitor transport connections between the western regions of Azerbaijan and Nakhchivan. The U.S. turned its eyes on this corridor after Azerbaijan’s flash military conclusion of the longstanding Nagorno Karabakh conflict in September 2023, when the region came under Baku’s control thus making Russian peacekeepers redundant – Armenian civilians were driven out and there was no ceasefire to monitor. Last but not least, following the colour revolution in 2018, Yerevan was eager to please its Western sponsors and distance itself from Moscow.

In July 2025 several news outlets reported that according to U.S. Ambassador to Turkey Tom Barrack, Washington intends to lease the Zangezur corridor for 100 years and let a large American logistics company manage it. At the time of writing there is still no official confirmation of such intention, but the news has been received with a mix of interest, scepticism, and outright rejection. Several sources insist that Ankara supports the plan and has been urging Baku to sign a peace agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia as it would lead to Ankara’s own normalisation process with Armenia.

As to Armenia, its political leadership stresses it is pursuing a multi-vector policy, but actions speak louder than words. Yerevan suspended participation in the work of the CSTO (a military alliance consisting of Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, and Tajikistan) and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan recently stated that Armenia is more likely to quit the organization than resume its membership. Armenia has also officially applied for EU membership candidacy, hosted joint military exercises with the U.S. and engaged in talks with NATO. At the same time, Armenia declared it doesn’t intend to withdraw from the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), which prompted the Kremlin to remind Yerevan that it is impossible to be a member of both the EU and EAEU.

Meanwhile Yerevan continues its crackdown on pro-Russian forces: ahead of the next parliamentary elections, Armenian authorities have been busy targeting opposition figures and groups perceived as aligned with Moscow. Hardly surprising when you consider that Pashinyan’s government receives financial backing from the EU and U.S. Since 1992, the U.S. has provided about $3 billion to influence Armenia’s elites and society. In just five years (2019-2024), USAID spent almost twice as much money in Armenia ($ 2.1 billion) as in the previous twenty-seven to promote “the development of democracy,” codename for “the demonization of Russia and support of pro-Western forces” in the country.

Brussels too funnelled hundreds of millions of euros to Yerevan. In 2024 alone the EU approved a €270 million EU aid package “to underpin the Armenia-EU Partnership Agenda.” Brussels has recently increased engagement with Central Asia and the South Caucasus through various initiatives and projects which, in its intentions, would facilitate interregional integration and counter Russia’s influence. In May 2025, the European Commission’s Directorate for Enlargement and the Eastern Neighbourhood announced a new Black Sea Strategy. As part of this strategy, the EU vows to deepen cooperation with Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia, Turkey, Armenia, and Azerbaijan, focus on transport, energy, digital, and trade corridors, particularly the Trans-Caspian International Transport Corridor (Middle Corridor), which bypasses Russia and Iran. The official document stresses that “a coordinated approach with Turkey, an EU partner of strategic importance and a candidate country, is crucial. Likewise, deepening relations with Armenia and Azerbaijan through cooperation in strategic areas is an important objective for the EU.”

I would like to point out that this is not an isolated policy and has a clear military angle. The strategy has already been woven into the EU Defense plan as part of a broader campaign known as “ReArm Europe” which includes the participation of arms manufacturers from neighbouring and ‘like-minded’ countries as potential partners in joint procurements. The Black Sea and Caspian regions are implied in EU’s plans concerning preparedness and crisis response coordination and civil-military cooperation.

The European Commission has taken formal steps to strengthen ties with countries that serve as a bridge between Europe, the South Caucasus and Central Asia, eyeing the energy resources, minerals and critical rare-earth metals of the region. In this light we should consider the first EU-Central Asia summit held in Samarkand in April 2025 which upgraded relations between the EU and five Central Asian states (Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan) to a strategic partnership. The summit aimed to diversify trade relations away from Russia and China and strengthen diplomatic connections. However, this ambition requires not only political will but also reliable infrastructure. Recognizing this need, Brussels has pledged billions of euros in investments as part of its Global Gateway project, a pipedream in which the EU would provide the Global South with a better alternative to China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

One of its flagship initiatives is the upgrading of the Trans-Caspian International Transport Corridor (TITR), also known as the Middle Corridor, a multimodal trade and transport network connecting China to Europe via Central Asia, the Caspian Sea, the South Caucasus (Azerbaijan, Georgia), and Turkey, bypassing Russia and Iran. The corridor is operational and expanding, mainly because many shipping companies cannot use the Northern Corridor through Russia due to the threat of Western sanctions. The Middle Corridor, despite being shorter than the Northern one, faces higher costs, slower transit times, and persistent congestion, with the Caspian Sea presenting the primary bottleneck due to limited vessel availability, outdated port infrastructure, and inefficient cargo-handling processes.

It is estimated that building the necessary infrastructure in Central Asia will require around €18.5 billion. Keep in mind that Chinese investments in Central Asian projects have already exceeded €60 billion in total value. More than half of the EU funding, €10 billion, was pledged during an investor forum held in Brussels in early 2024, which was attended by EU member states, private sector representatives, the European Investment Bank (EIB) and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD).

Despite the EU’s poor track record in infrastructure development even within EU countries — budget overruns and delays are the norm — and its inability to match China’s swift and efficient progress, Brussels’ ambitions shouldn’t be underestimated: the EU’s promises often fall flat, but it excels at co-opting elites, grooming future leaders, and pushing its narrative to those spared the misfortune of living under the technocratic rule of this dysfunctional, and increasingly totalitarian, supranational organization that has turned national parliaments into mere simulacra.

On 24 April 2025, the day Armenians worldwide commemorated the 1915 genocide, EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas…visited Azerbaijan! Why would Kallas court Azerbaijan on such a sensitive date, ostensibly trampling on Armenian feelings? Because Armenia was already in the bag, so to speak, with Prime Minister Pashinyan doing everything the EU had asked of its Eastern partners. Azerbaijan, on the other hand, needed some blandishment. There were other considerations too. Since the tragic accident involving the Baku to Grozny flight that crashed near Aktau in Kazakhstan a few months earlier, relations between Moscow and Baku had been under strain. Kallas swooped down like a vulture to take advantage of the situation. The EU, which had signed a major energy memorandum with Baku in 2022 to double gas imports, treated Azerbaijan as a coveted partner.

The reason lies in and beyond its energy resources. Azerbaijan is positioning itself not only as a Caucasian or Caspian state but also as a springboard to Central Asia, which explains why the EU is doubling down on its efforts to engage with the OTS. In 2025, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Turkmenistan recognized the Greek Cypriot administration, diverging from Turkey’s support for Northern Cyprus and suggesting EU diplomatic leverage in Central Asia.

In recent years, there has been a flurry of Western diplomatic initiatives in the region to enhance ties and explore cooperation in areas like trade, education, and critical minerals. It appears we are witnessing a “Great Game 2.0,” a modern iteration of the historical geopolitical rivalry over Central Asia between the Russian and British Empires, with old and new actors.

Over a year ago, RUSI, the UK’s leading defence and security think tank, stressed the synergy between the OTS and the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route (Middle Corridor) and their strategic importance for the EU. Keep in mind that although the UK left the EU it retained its influence.

In September 2024, Richard Moore, the former head of Britain’s MI6, stepped onto the stage at Baku’s ADA University, and delivered a lecture that barely masked the significance of his visit. No official statements from Baku or the British Embassy detailed the agenda, but the presence of MI6’s chief signaled more than academic pleasantries. Analysts whispered of discussions with Azerbaijan’s Foreign Intelligence Service (XKX) focusing on countering Russia in the South Caucasus after Vladimir Putin’s August 2024 visit to Azerbaijan intensified Western concerns about a potential deal that would allow Russian border guards to monitor the Zangezur Corridor, considered as a future component of the Middle Corridor.

In April 2025 the House of Lords hosted a roundtable in London to discuss the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route, or Middle Corridor. Officially framed as promoting development, the event primarily aimed to bolster British influence in the region and advance the interests of Anglo-American capital. Among the initiatives announced, the UK’s Export Credit Agency was slated to provide up to £5 billion in credit guarantees to Azerbaijan for priority projects in energy, aviation, transport, and infrastructure. It was revealed that $10 billion was raised via the London Stock Exchange the year before. The roundtable was followed by a conference three months later “to harness the momentum.” In a typical neocolonial arrangement, the region supplies raw materials as collateral, while Britain and the U.S. reap control, profits, and influence.

The transition to a multipolar world, where power is distributed among multiple global and regional actors rather than concentrated in one or two superpowers, is reshaping international relations. However, the West continues to approach global affairs with a Cold War binary mindset, relying on Cold War tools like sanctions and narratives rooted in Cold War ideology. Last but not least, it expanded NATO, a Cold War-era alliance, and increased military spending.

Resistance to a shifting world order is inevitably fraught with geopolitical conflicts and intensified competition, particularly over resources and trade corridors as Western elites scramble to arrest the crumbling of U.S. hegemony. At the Valdai Discussion Club in October 2022, Vladimir Putin described the coming decade as “the most dangerous, unpredictable and, at the same time, important decade since the end of WW2.”

In the context of heightened geopolitical and geo-economic tensions between the West and the rest of the world, several actors have a clear interest in damaging Baku-Moscow and Yerevan-Moscow relations and leveraging an Armenia-Azerbaijan peace deal to control this strategic region. They pull out all the stops and weaponize every tool at their disposal to achieve this objective.

But they are swimming against the tide of geopolitical shifts, as the Global South consolidates its economic and strategic position through growth, partnerships like BRICS, and resistance to Western hegemony.

The course taken by the political leadership of both Armenia and Azerbaijan is clearly out of sync not only with this global trend but also with the reality of their trade relations with Russia. Russia is Azerbaijan’s third-largest trading partner after Italy and Turkey, accounting for 10.33% of Azerbaijan’s foreign trade in the first half of 2025 and 10.08% in 2024. Russia is Azerbaijan’s leading import partner and ranks sixth as a destination for Azerbaijani exports. In 2025, Russia-Azerbaijan trade has grown significantly, reaching $2.52 billion in the first half (up 16.2%), driven by Russian exports of vehicles, fuels, and agricultural products.

Russia pursued a mutually beneficial arrangement with Azerbaijan to maintain friendly relations. Moscow overlooked several provocations, including the 2020 downing of a Russian helicopter and the deaths of its crew, Azerbaijan’s capture of Nagorno-Karabakh (during which Russian soldiers were killed), and the withdrawal of Russian peacekeepers. Russia’s restrained response suggested informal agreements to safeguard its interests despite these incidents. However, Western powers seem to have secured considerable sway over Ilham Aliyev, influencing his stance towards Moscow. After the unfortunate accident involving the Baku to Grozny flight, Azerbaijani authorities could have reacted the way friendly nations do, wait for the result of the investigation, pursue a diplomatic route and private negotiations with Russia. Instead Baku chose to exploit this accident and adopt a confrontation approach that fueled anti-Russian hysteria in the country. Azerbaijani information flows indicate that it mobilized significant political, expert, and media resources in its anti-Russian campaign.

By alienating Russia, antagonizing Iran, and seeking Western favour, Aliyev is engaging in a high-stakes gamble that runs roughshod over his proclaimed equidistance and multi-vector foreign policy. Prioritizing alignment with Western powers, amidst the ongoing shift in the global balance of power, represents a most questionable strategic decision.

(*) Zbigniew Brzezinski, The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy And Its Geostrategic Imperatives, 1997

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Fri Aug 01, 2025 3:05 pm

THE HIDDEN HAND OF RUSSIAN OLIGARCH CAPITAL IS A BRITISH LAWYER’S CLAW

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By John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

The Russian oligarchs created by the Yeltsin Administration and continued by the Putin Administration (with a handful of deductions) have never trusted Russia.

That’s why they have been willing to pay exorbitant prices for offshore assets – mines, steelmills, jet planes, motor yachts, Old Master paintings, and mansions with sea views – because the cash had been transferred out of Russia tax free, often stolen from other Russians or the state, sometimes in suitcases, concealed in chains of transfers between impenetrable holding companies, trusts and cutouts, laundered in violation of the Russian statutes on money laundering, which on Kremlin and Central Bank orders are not enforced. In other words, money that was hot and cheap.

Naturally, this lucrative cashflow has been vulnerable to raiding by individuals, especially Russians, acting on the principle that it isn’t illegal to steal from a thief and on the method that it is easy to raid when asset ownership depended on whispers and handshakes.

When these Russian robbers have fallen out, however, they have taken their disputes to the High Court of London to adjudicate. But why would such Russians trust the British courts and lawyers? Of course, they haven’t; they don’t. But they trust the Russian courts and lawyers much less.

The most famous of the High Court cases between two Russian robbers was Boris Berezovsky versus Roman Abramovich. That was decided in 2011 by the judge on her conclusion that while on the evidence testified to, the two were grand larcenists, especially from the Russian state, Abramovich was the more convincing liar of the two. Berezovsky lost, and as he faced bankruptcy, he killed himself in his London mansion full of paintings which he couldn’t sell because they were all forgeries. Altogether, the case lasted for five years, 2007-2012; Berezovsky’s losing claim totalled $5.6 billion, and more than twenty barristers were engaged for all sides, and more than that number of solicitors. The legal costs of the case came to more than $100 million.

This is how it ended. Then-Prime Minister Vladimir Putin added his finale months before the judge: “What can I say? It would be better if they held this trial in Russia. [Question: Would Russian gain from this economically?] This would be more honest – both for them and our country. The money was made and stolen here – let them divide it here, too.”

Less famous, but much longer and more costly, was the group of London court cases revolving around the Russian state shipping group Sovcomflot and its associated companies which, altogether, run the largest energy tanker fleet in the world. The cases ran for sixteen years (2005-2021); were heard by thirteen judges in the High Court, the Court of Appeal, and the Supreme Court; in legal fees and penalties they cost more than $200 million. Two Russian shipping executives and a Russian charterer were acquitted and compensated. They were then tried in a Moscow court; convicted on evidence the London courts had dismissed; and sentenced to long prison terms in absentia, because they had won refuge from the injustice and granted asylum in the UK.

President Putin has had nothing at all to say about the two outcomes of the case. For his reasons and the conflicting directions he has given over the years on Russian shipping policy, read the book.

The Russian aluminium (Rusal) oligarch Oleg Deripaska (lead image, right) has probably run more cases in the High Court and over more years than any other Russian litigant. They can be followed in this archive. In one of these lawsuits decided last year, the judge opened his ruling by saying: “It is fair to say that the Claimants (“the Deripaska Parties”) and Vladimir Chernukhin and his company Navigator Equities Ltd (“Navigator”) (“the Chernukhin Parties”) are not the best of friends. It is also fair to say that the honesty and integrity of both of Mr. Deripaska and Mr. Chernukhin has from time to time been found to be wanting in cases before the English Courts, not least in previous proceedings before this court under sections 67 and 68 of the Arbitration Act 1996.” — Para 1. Deripaska won his case as the judgement concluded that “the Deripaska Parties wish to discover the identity of the persons who, it is strongly arguable, forged a document designed to deceive this court and an arbitral tribunal, and to defraud them of some US$300m. I consider that the granting of the relief sought in this case is a necessary and proportionate response to this serious wrongdoing in all the circumstances.” — Para 123.

The notoriety of these cases and of the litigants has advertised the availability of the British courts and lawyers to serve increasingly large numbers of corporations and individuals with big-money claims and personal axes to grind. Better and more predictable value, they calculate, to spend their money on British lawyers in London courts than on bribes and other “administrative measures” in the Russian courts.

In practice, the escalation of the British Government’s war against Russia on the Ukraine battlefield and in economic sanctions, especially against the oligarchs, ought to have stopped the lawyers from taking on new cases and the courts from hearing them. But this hasn’t happened.

The big reason is the war itself — the Russians are retaliating against the sanctions by refusing to repay British and other banks for the credits they received before they were sanctioned. The principle is the same – it isn’t illegal to steal from a thief. The foreign banks are also using the sanctions to shield themselves from the judgements of the Russian courts in paying their obligations to Russian companies.

Reviewing 257 judgments handed down by the London commercial courts between April 2024 and March 2025, Portland’s bible for the legal profession, Commercial Courts Report 2025 — published on May 19 — recorded that the courts “have had a record year for litigant diversity, with ninety-three different nationalities represented – the highest ever recorded. This is the third consecutive increase year on year. Sixty-two per cent of litigants were not from the UK. This is the second highest ratio of international to domestic parties recorded since data collection began.”

Last year also marked a return to prominence for the Russians. “Since 2018, Portland’s report has found a sustained, strong presence of Russian litigants in the Commercial Court. Last year this number dropped dramatically. But 2025 has seen a dramatic rebound, with 60 Russian litigants, the highest figure since our records began, up from 27 last year. 80% of Russian litigants had legal representation, up from just 30% in 2024. Just nine Russian parties appeared as claimants, compared to 51 as defendants, meaning that 85% of Russian litigants were on the defending side, the widest gap we’ve seen in recent years.”

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"Between 2020 and 2023, Russian litigants steadily climbed the ranks, rising from 32 cases in 2020 to a peak of 58 in 2023. For four consecutive years, Russia held firm in the top three foreign jurisdiction spots, taking 2nd place in both 2022 and 2023. It was a clear indication that, despite mounting international and legal pressure, claims involving Russian parties were continuing to make their way through the courts due to the lag time between sanctions biting and this coming through in the judgment data. That trend seemed to falter in 2024, when Russia dropped to 10th place with just 27 litigants, a more than 50% decline year-on-year. The fall likely reflected a mix of factors: ongoing sanctions, a cooling legal appetite and growing uncertainty around international enforcement. But 2025 has seen a dramatic rebound, with 60 Russian litigants, the highest figure since our records began, and a return to 3rd place." Source: https://portland-communications.com/ -- page 11

“The number of Russian litigants using the Commercial Courts could well be higher when considering that Russian-owned businesses remain involved in the courts. Their owners could simply have moved their headquarters to a new jurisdiction outside of Russia.” These appear, for example, in the growing number of litigants registered in the financial havens of Cyprus, Cayman Islands, British Virgin Islands, Luxembourg, and of course, the UK.

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Source: https://portland-communications.com/ -- page 3.

In the 26-page Portland report, the impact of the war in the Ukraine was noted as causing a severe downturn in London court litigation by Russians in between 2022 and 2024, but then a revival last year. There was “a fall of over 50% year-on-year from 22/23 to 23/24. The number has, however, rebounded significantly this year, recovering all lost ground and then some, even though the geopolitical and sanctions landscape has not really thawed. It is likely that there are several factors underpinning this return to form. Perhaps most importantly, it has clearly become easier for Russian litigants to access legal representation in the UK (even where sanctioned – which many of the 60 referred to in this publication are). This is borne out by the analysis in this report revealing that 80% of Russian litigants this year had legal representation, compared to just 30% the year before.”

The main driver of this wartime growth of legal business has been the British Government’s sanctions war itself. On the one hand, one form which Russian defence and fightback have taken is to refuse to pay contract charges, loans, and other obligations to British and European banks and business intermediaries because the sanctions regime has blocked the payment system. For their defence, the foreign banks have disputed the jurisdiction of the Russian courts and sued in the High Court to keep jurisdiction in the UK and block the Russian courts from ruling in favour of the locals.

Prominent examples are the litigation, first in Moscow, then in London, between Barclays Bank and Russian state bank VEB for recovery of $147 million in currency swaps; between Barclays and the Russian commercial bank, Sovcombank; and between RusChemAlliance (RCA) and Commerzbank, Unicredit and Deutsche Bank for payment of several hundred million euros in performance bonds for LNG plant construction contracts worth €10 billion; €2 billion had been paid up front by RCA before the sanctions war stopped the projects. The court papers of these cases also reveal the foreign banks are using the sanctions war to avoid meeting their payment obligations to the Russians.

“The recent trend is the sheer number of high-value commercial disputes arising out of the Russian sanctions themselves, for example where one party claims performance of a contract is prohibited by sanctions. While not solely the preserve of Russian parties, such disputes are naturally more likely to arise where one party is Russian and even more so where that party is designated. Equally, while the effects on a commercial transaction of sanctions can cut both ways, one explanation for the disproportionately large number of the Russian litigants in the London Commercial Court this year defending claims (51 of the 60 litigants) may be a trend of default by Russian parties who have been designated or who are otherwise impeded in carrying out their contractual duties by sanctions which are ultimately designed to have a greater impact upon them.”

The UK Treasury, which directs the sanctions war against Russia, has also made it more profitable for British lawyers to run Russian litigation by raising the initial fee cap of £500,000 which lawyers could bill sanctioned Russian clients to £2 million, thereby “permitting”, according to Portland, “more heavy-weight commercial disputes to be properly [sic] litigated.”

For Private Eye — now a nose ahead of The Economist as the most widely read London news magazine — this is nothing short of war profiteering by traitorous Englishmen in the service of criminal Russians. The principal Private Eye reporters on business are Michael Gillard father and son, who write under the singular nom de plume “Slicker”. The Gillards and Ian Hislop, editor of Private Eye, are Russia-haters applauding the Ukraine war.

In the magazine’s issue of June 27-July 10 (No. 1652), they reported data obtained by a freedom of information request to the Treasury Office of Financial Sanctions: these show the total paid to UK lawyers to represent sanctioned Russians between October 2022 to April of this year came to £62 million. But in the most recent six months to April, the total reached a record high of £18.95 million; the previous record had been £13.94 million between April and October 2024. The new record came from 46 law firms filing 280 applications for a sanctions relief licence to cover their Russian client fees.

Summing up the Portland report, the Gillards declared: “Lawfare continues to rage in the courts, generating multi-millions for London’s legal finest from representing sanctioned Russian individuals and companies involved in commercial spats over money while the real war in Ukraine grinds on, costing more lives…The irony is that often no judgement or damages award can be effected. If it is against a sanctioned Russian litigant, the courts in Russia are likely to refuse to enforce it, as this is Kremlin policy.”

Omitted from the Gillard judgement is the evidence in the London cases that the British judges favour their own jurisdiction to support the sanctions war and block multi-million dollar, euro and pound payments to the Russian claimants. Private Eye’s intrepid investigators have missed that the increased relief allowance the British Government has provided the London lawyers has subsidized the vaster sums which the courts have ruled should not be returned to Russia.

PORTLAND REPORT — TABLE OF RUSSIAN CASES IN LONDON COURTS, 2024

Judgments with Russian Litigants
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Magomedov & Ors v TPG Group Holdings (SBS) LP & Ors [2025] EWHC 304 (Comm) (14 February 2025)
https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/upl ... 1-25-1.pdf
Magomedov & Ors v TPG Group Holdings (SBS) LP & Ors (Rev1) [2025] EWHC 59 (Comm) (17 January 2025)
https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/upl ... 1-25-1.pdf
Google LLC & Anor v NAO Tsargrad Media & Ors [2025] EWHC 94 (Comm) (22 January 2025)
https://jusmundi.com/en/document/decisi ... nuary-2025
Renaissance Securities (Cyprus) Ltd, Re [2024] EWHC 2843 (Comm) (06 November 2024)
https://www.bailii.org/cgi-bin/format.c ... (Chlodwig)
Barclays Bank PLC v VEB.RF [2024] EWHC 3088 (Comm) (28 November 2024)
https://www.bailii.org/ew/cases/EWHC/Co ... /3088.html
Barclays Bank Plc v VEB.RF [2024] EWHC 2981 (Comm) (19 November 2024)
Magomedov & Ors v Kuzovkov & Ors [2024] EWHC 2527 (Comm) (04 October 2024)
Filatona Trading Ltd [Oleg Deripaska] & Anor v Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan UK LLP [2024] EWHC 2573 (Comm) (14 October 2024)
Filatona Trading Ltd & Anor v Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan UK LLP [2024] EWHC 2751 (Comm) (30 October 2024)
https://caselaw.nationalarchives.gov.uk ... /2024/2573 Renaissance Securities (Cyprus) Ltd v ILLC Chlodwig Enterprises & Ors [2024] EWHC 2460 https://www.bailii.org/ew/cases/EWHC/Co ... /2460.html
Gorbachev v Guriev [2024] EWHC 2174 (Comm)
https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/upl ... nddown.pdf
Google LLC & Anor v Nao Tsargrad Media [2024] EWHC 2212 (Comm) (19 August 2024) https://www.casemine.com/judgement/uk/6 ... 3ea8e47e86
Bayerische Landesbank & Anor v Ruschemalliance LLC [2024] EWHC 1822 (Comm) (28 June 2024)
https://jusmundi.com/en/document/decisi ... sion_66678
Magomedov & Ors v PJSC Transneft & Ors [2024] EWHC 1176 (Comm) (21 May 2024)
LLC EuroChem North-West 2 v Societe Generale SA & Ors [2024] EWHC 1084 (Comm) (08 May 2024) https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/upl ... .05.24.pdf
Commerzbank AG v Ruschemalliance LLC [2024] EWHC 1474 (Comm) (13 May 2024)
https://www.bailii.org/ew/cases/EWCA/Civ/2024/64.html
Barclays Bank PLC v VEB.RF [2024] EWHC 1074 (Comm) (10 May 2024)
Barclays Bank PLC v PJSC Sovcombank & Anor [2024] EWHC 1338 (Comm) (24 May 2024)
https://www.bailii.org/ew/cases/EWHC/Co ... /1338.html
__________________________________________________________________________
Cases with Russian Litigants

_________________________________________________________________

Magomedov & Ors v TPG Group Holdings (SBS) LP & Ors
Google LLC & Anor v NAO Tsargrad Media & Ors
Barclays Bank PLC v VEB.RF
Magomedov & Ors v Kuzovkov & Ors
Filatona Trading Ltd [Oleg Deripaska] & Anor v Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan UK LLP
Renaissance Securities (Cyprus) Ltd v ILLC Chlodwig Enterprises & Ors
Gorbachev v Guriev
Bayerische Landesbank & Anor v Ruschemalliance LLC
Magomedov & Ors v PJSC Transneft & Ors
LLC EuroChem North-West 2 v Societe Generale SA & Ors
Commerzbank AG v Ruschemalliance LLC
Barclays Bank PLC v PJSC Sovcombank & Anor

https://johnhelmer.net/the-hidden-hand- ... more-92230

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Lavrov's Talks With Syria & Presser
Karl Sanchez
Jul 31, 2025

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Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's remarks and answers to media questions at a joint news conference following talks with Minister of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates of the Syrian Arab Republic Abdullah Shibani, Moscow, July 31, 2025. When I saw this event had occurred, I wondered what would be said given the horrific events Syria’s undergone. I knew Lavrov’s talk would be tactful, but I was surprised that only two Q&As were directed at him. I’ll wager most of the Q&A was directed at the Syrian Minister of Foreign Affairs, which unfortunately aren’t included in this readout. RT had a short report citing some of the Minister’s words, while Sputnik and TASS reported nothing more than RT. Here’s Lavrov:
Ladies and gentlemen,

We have held talks with Minister of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates of the Syrian Arab Republic Ahmed Shibani. We noted our mutual interest in ensuring that the dialogue is constant and on a regular basis at all levels. Today's talks confirmed that we are working constructively and are conducting a frank exchange of views on the state and prospects of bilateral relations between Russia and Syria and on current issues on the regional and international agenda.

For us, Syria (we reaffirmed this today, and our partners recognise this) is a good friend both in the Arab world and in the global arena. Our position in favour of developing cooperation with the Syrian Arab Republic is consistent and aimed at strengthening mutually beneficial ties between our peoples. It does not depend on the political situation, on the change of government, and is based on the time-tested traditions of friendship and mutual respect.

This relationship has a long history. Today, we recalled the extensive experience of close cooperation in previous decades and how the Soviet Union played a significant role in laying the foundations of the modern Syrian economy, strengthening its defence capability and training national personnel. Many tens of thousands of Syrians were educated in the Soviet Union and in Russia. Now about four thousand citizens of the Syrian Arab Republic are studying at our universities.

We stand for the further development of our bilateral ties based on the principles of mutual respect and mutual benefit that we have formed over the past decades. We are interested in intensifying dialogue between our foreign ministries.

Today we talked about the work of our embassies: ours in Damascus and the Syrian one in Moscow. Given the specifics of the current situation in Syria, we are grateful to our Syrian colleagues for the steps they are taking to ensure the safety of Russian citizens and Russian facilities in the Syrian Arab Republic.

Our colleagues shared their assessments of the situation in Syria. We sincerely hope that it will be possible to overcome the difficulties encountered in the transition period. The recent sharp aggravation of the situation in the province of Suwayda, as well as the preceding events on the Syrian coast, of course, demonstrated the persistence of the challenges faced by the Syrian leadership and society at this stage.

We support the initiative of the International Committee of the Red Cross to agree with the Syrian authorities on the deployment of a presence in the province of Suwayda. I think this will help stabilize the situation and prevent relapses.

We are convinced that the path to long-term normalisation in Syria lies through a broad dialogue, the strengthening of national accord and civil peace, and the protection of the rights of all representatives of the multi-religious Syrian society. In this regard, we expressed hope that the measures announced by the government of the President of the Transitional Period A. Al-Sharaa will work precisely to solve these problems. We are confident that in the process of nation-building, the timetable for which has been announced, all this will be fully and duly taken into account.

We reaffirmed our support for the preservation of the unity, territorial integrity and independence of the Syrian Arab Republic. We are ready to provide the Syrian people with possible assistance in post-conflict reconstruction. We agreed that the dialogue on these issues will continue.

We have always opposed the use of Syrian territory as an arena for geopolitical rivalry between other powers, for settling scores between different states. We consistently call for the consolidation of international efforts in a single direction to normalise the situation in the Syrian Arab Republic. It is important that all members of the international community avoid steps that could provoke a further escalation of tensions.

We agreed to continue contacts. The negotiations were very useful. The Syrian delegation currently has several more rounds of talks planned in various instances in Moscow. I am sure that all this will play a positive role in the development of our dialogue.

Question (retranslated from Arabic): Damascus and Moscow have repeatedly emphasised the importance of developing bilateral relations in the new conditions. President of the transitional period of the Syrian Arab Republic Abdullah al-Shara' has repeatedly said that relations with Russia are deep and of great importance. In turn, the Russian leadership stressed the need to ensure the sovereignty, territorial integrity and security of Syria. This is from a political point of view. From an economic point of view, are the issues of economic cooperation being touched upon today in the new conditions? What is the fate of the previous agreements and what are the prospects for the participation of Russian companies in the process of rebuilding Syria?

Sergey Lavrov: Today we really discussed the prospects for developing our cooperation in the new conditions in all areas: trade and the economy, security (which has also accumulated a wealth of experience), humanitarian, cultural and educational spheres.

It is clear that over the previous years, many agreements and contracts were signed under different conditions. We are well aware that the new authorities in Damascus are interested in bringing the entire legislative framework of their communication with foreign states in line with the interests of the Syrian people, as they are seen by the current leadership.

We agreed to conduct an inventory of all existing agreements. This topic has already been touched upon. There were some contacts, but today we decided that this process should be put on a regular basis. Issues related to cooperation in the field of security, training of personnel (both civilian and military) – all this is of interest to our Syrian colleagues. We will do this.

As for trade and economic agreements and contracts, of which there are also many. We agreed that our Syrian colleagues will expedite the appointment of their co-chair in the bilateral intergovernmental trade and economic commission. We have a co-chairman. As soon as the Syrian part of this mechanism is formed, we will ask this intergovernmental body to review all existing agreements and contracts in order to find mutually beneficial and mutually acceptable ways for Russia to participate in helping to restore the Syrian economy.

At the international level, the lifting of all sanctions against the Syrian people will be of particular importance. We have never supported such decisions of the West, nor have we allowed any sanctions to be promoted in the UN Security Council. Now our American and European colleagues are slowly and gradually beginning to lift some sanctions. This is a move in the right direction. But we consider it necessary to lift these sanctions once and for all. They harmed only the Syrian people, and not the political figures against whom we were told they were imposed.

We have outlined a work plan. We will try to promote these agreements in our daily activities through our ambassadors.

Question: How do you assess the current political and humanitarian situation in Syria? What steps is Russia taking to improve it?

Sergey Lavrov: We discussed this issue today. Our colleagues shared their assessments. We see how the remaining problems are being addressed in the international information space. From time to time, there are outbreaks of violence, as was the case in the province of Suwayda, as was the case with the Christian church in Damascus.

We supported the measures taken by the government of the transitional President of the Syrian Arab Republic Abdel al-Shara', including the formation of a new government a couple of months ago, as well as the elections scheduled for September. We are interested in ensuring that these elections are inclusive and that all ethnic and religious groups have the opportunity to participate in the formation of new legislative bodies.

In this regard, we talked about Damascus' relations with Kurdish groups. We are interested in the Kurds remaining full-fledged members of Syrian society within the framework of a single state.

How can Russia help? Most recently, we were the main coordinators in the UN Security Council. A resolution was adopted to extend the mandate of the UN Disengagement Observer Force in the Golan Heights until December 31. That resolution, to which my colleague has already referred, has been seriously violated by Israel. It was important to extend the mandate of the Security Council in order to try to resolve this problem within the next six months in full compliance with the status that the Golan Heights has in accordance with the UN decisions.

We are providing assistance in sending humanitarian aid to the Syrian people through bilateral channels, through the UN World Food Programme through UNRWA and FAO. Today we talked about how our actions can be made more effective, including in the context of organising coordination with other countries that are ready to provide such assistance. We will continue to work.
As I noted above, Lavrov was indeed tactful, although many readers would prefer he use incendiary rhetoric. Of course, that would solve nothing, and we don’t know what happened behind closed doors. I know Lavrov sincerely wants the best for Syrians. That Russia wants the Kurds to remain within the Syrian state structure and not form an impendent state. Only vague words were used about the need to all foreign military forces to vacate Syria; those could’ve been stronger. IMO, what’s happening to Syria needs to be seen in the larger West Asian picture. I see that Crooke had a chat with Nima but have yet to watch it where some further info might be provided.

https://karlof1.substack.com/p/lavrovs- ... nd-presser

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Former head of the armored vehicle disposal service of the GABTU of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation received 9 years in prison
July 31, 20:54

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Former head of the armored vehicle disposal service of the GABTU of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation received 9 years in prison

Ilya Timofeev, former head of the armored vehicle disposal service of the Russian Defense Ministry, was sentenced to 9 years in prison in a bribery case, a RIA Novosti correspondent reports from the courtroom. According to the indictment, Timofeev demanded a bribe from NPP Samaravzryvtekhnologiya for general patronage and signing the necessary papers (the company was engaged in the demilitarization of decommissioned armored vehicles). The amount of the alleged bribe, according to the case materials, was about 3 million rubles. Timofeev did not admit guilt. The prosecutor's office requested 10 years in prison for Timofeev.

Military prosecutors also demanded that Timofeev be brought to criminal responsibility under Article 285.4 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation ("Abuse of office") in connection with the investigation of the case of top managers of the Spetstekhnika company Oleg Ivanov and Igor Mironov, who are accused of violations in the implementation of state defense orders.

"Putin's repressions in the army continue", We continue to lose the best.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9987132.html

The oil business of the schismatic Fyodor Pryadunov
July 31, 15:00

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The oil business of the schismatic Fyodor Pryadunov

The dishonest struggle for oil profits is not a modern phenomenon. This is proven by the dramatic history of the first oil production in Russia, which began operating steadily two and a half centuries ago. Criminal incidents, bureaucratic intrigues, "raids" by the prosecutor's office and tax officials - all this was already in the forgotten oil drama of the 18th century.

Fyodor Savelyevich Pryadunov, a simple "tradesman" from Arkhangelsk, seemed to be very lucky twice. An Old Believer schismatic, that is, "second class" in the legal reality of the Russian Empire, he accidentally discovered a rich silver vein on the shores of the White Sea. In February 1733, the cunning schismatic gave the largest silver nugget as a gift to Tsarina Anna Ioannovna. The lucky find brought Pryadunov a merchant title and three thousand rubles of capital - an impressive sum at that time.

The second time the newly-minted merchant was lucky was in 1741 - during a trip to the banks of the northern Ukhta River, he accidentally learned about the local "oil springs", natural sources of oil. They tried to search for "black gold" here under Peter I, but they were never able to establish its regular extraction. The merchant Pryadunov decided to invest the capital he had earned from silver in oil.

Already on November 18, 1745, the capital's Berg-Collegium (in fact, the Ministry of Natural Resources of the 18th century) received official permission "to start an oil refinery in an empty place near the small Ukhta River and sell the oil, a mineral that had not been explored in Russia before." This day can rightfully be considered the beginning of regular oil production in our country.

At the "factory" of the merchant Pryadunov, oil was collected from the surface of the water manually, using some "narrow-bottomed dzhans". Over the next two years, the "plant" produced 40 poods (about 640 kg) of pure oil - an insignificant amount by our standards, but quite commercially significant for the 18th century. The merchant Pryadunov decided to sell the extracted oil where it would fetch the highest price - in Moscow.

Since the spring of 1748, brisk commerce began in the old capital, a report of which even made it into the famous "History of Russia" by S. M. Solovyov: "The Arkhangelsk schismatic merchant Pryadunov, going from house to house, treats people for various diseases with oil, which he himself sells in Kitai-gorod near Trinity on the Moat in the state chambers ..."

And then the oil business was "attacked" for the first time - the Medical Collegium (that is, the Ministry of Health of the 18th century) declared that the merchant did not have the right to sell this "medicine" without its permission ( https://t.me/alter_vij/4433 ). A real departmental war broke out, when the Berg Collegium permitted, and the Medical Collegium forbade, Pryadunov's oil trade. The prosecutor Vasily Suvorov (the father of the famous future commander Alexander Suvorov!) intervened in the case, he put Pryadunov under arrest, and reported the details of the dispute to the Saint Petersburg Senate - thus the oil dispute reached the Russian government.

The essence of the dispute becomes clearer if we look at the financial indicators - the cost of oil production at the "factory" of the merchant Pryadunov did not exceed 11 rubles per pood of oil, while in Moscow the same pood, as a medicine, was sold for more than 30 rubles.

Tsarina Elizabeth Petrovna herself stood up for the merchant - by her decree in December 1749, the first oil industrialist was released, but with the condition that from now on he would not sell oil independently, but would undertake to supply it to the "Moscow main pharmacy at a price lower than the overseas one."

Even after the intervention of the Tsarina, the misadventures of the first oil industrialist in Russia did not end - the authorities of the Arkhangelsk province immediately accused his "factory" of tax evasion. Fleeing from a new arrest, Pryadunov tried to justify himself in Moscow, where he died in 1753. His widow, under pressure from the Arkhangelsk authorities, had to give the "plant" to a merchant named Nagavikov, allegedly for a promissory note from her late husband "for one hundred and twelve rubles." Three years later, Pryadunov's son tried to challenge the deal on the forged promissory note and immediately... disappeared. "He went to the said oil plant and disappeared without a trace for some unknown reason," the Arkhangelsk governor's office wrote to the capital.

Disputes and litigation over Russia's first oil plant would continue uninterrupted for another 12 years. It would change owners several times, allegedly in exchange for dubious promissory notes and paltry debts. Meanwhile, the plant's oil production would double, and they would even build their own "cookhouse" for refining the oil. But by the end of the 18th century, Russia's first oil plant would have to be closed - continuous "raids" and raider takeovers would not allow it to compete with the generous Caspian oil.

https://t.me/alter_vij/4509 - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9986471.html

Google Translator

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Living With Russia.

The alternative is what, exactly?
Aurelien
Jul 30, 2025

<snip>

I’ve written several essays in the last year or two trying to peer dimly into the post-Ukraine world, including one on the political consequences of defeat, and one on the difficulty and consequences of a Russian “victory.” I’ve been very critical of the West’s incapacity to understand and react to what’s going on, but I haven’t said very much about what options might still be practically open to the West, and especially Europe, when the time comes to start picking up the pieces and mopping up the blood.

Now of course we all remember the old cliché about prediction being difficult, especially about the future. But today, rather than prediction, I’m going to propose a structured approach to this problem which may help to reduce the final uncertainty a bit. The first step is to divide all the relevant factors into

Things that have already happened or can be considered as such.

Things whose general outline of development is fairly clear, but where there is room for debate about exactly how it might turn out.

Everything else.

By thinking hard through the first two categories, we can in principle reduce the rest to more manageable proportions. When we’ve done that, we can look at what room for manoeuvre the West may actually have, and perhaps identify a few realistic possibilities.

So where are we now? I would suggest there are at least four things that we have to regard as fixed. Some of them may surprise some of you.

The first is the size and power of the Russian military, and the industrial and scientific base that supports it. Put simply (and to repeat once more), at a time when the West largely gave up its capability for heavy-metal land/air warfare, the Russians kept theirs. There’s no magic about these choices: the Russian tradition is one of land warfare, and they have important land frontiers. This meant that they retained a sizeable military, and also retained national service to produce large numbers of trained soldiers. Their equipment was optimised for the kinds of wars they expected to fight, and the structure and doctrine of their Army (though this is a complex subject) stayed much closer to the Cold War model than that of the West did. Their defence industry remained under state control, and in general the country retained its traditional emphasis on science, technology and engineering. It has also worked hard to become strategically independent as far as possible. In addition, it is a large and diverse country, with land communications to much of the world, and impressive deposits of raw materials. Among other things.

None of this is going to change. That means that Russian military dominance over the West is not a future threat, or a danger to avoid, it is a present reality, and for reasons we’ll go into in a moment, is not likely to change in any useful timescale. Now as in previous essays, I want to underline the difference here between weapons systems and actual capability. Weapons systems by themselves are useless if they don’t provide you with the ability to do what you want to do. Thus, the real issue is whether the weapons systems a military has, enables the military to carry out the tasks it is given. So the maritime (and especially underwater), capability of the West is very good, and probably better than that of Russia. But there is no obvious prospect of a maritime conflict with Russia. Likewise, western nuclear systems, although possibly less modern than those of Russia, are certainly adequate, but nuclear systems don’t fight each other, and at least at the moment there’s no sign of nations being mad enough to engage in nuclear war. If we look at actual tasks that militaries might be given, the Russians have a far greater capability to perform their tasks than ours have.

Nor is it useful to compare the performance of Russian and western equipment directly, as military nerds have a habit of doing. It’s probable that at least some western fighter aircraft are superior to at least some Russian fighter aircraft, but that has first to be adjusted by numbers, and the capabilities of the main armament, and then seen in the context of actual operations, which are not about knightly jousts between individual aircraft, but rather control of airspace. At the moment, the Russians can effectively control airspace much more easily than the West can, by use of missiles rather than combat aircraft. The same applies to tank vs. tank comparisons, another favourite standby of military nerds. (Tank vs. tank combat in Ukraine has been extremely rare.)

The second is the political, military and intellectual infrastructure to support the military capability. This is a bit more complicated, so bear with me. The war in Ukraine is being fought by something like 700-800,000 Russian soldiers with a sizeable administrative, logistic and command infrastructure in the rear, with facilities for replacing losses and repairing what cannot be repaired in the field, deploying new and modified equipment, treating the seriously wounded, organising the endless flow of personnel and logistics in both directions, recruiting, training, deploying and discharging huge numbers of personnel, developing and procuring new equipment and modifications and improvements, adapting doctrine and tactics, collecting intelligence on the enemy and planning future operations and making contingency plans. Among other things. Such a war also needs high-level strategic and operational direction, and close integration with the intelligence services and the diplomatic service.

Such an infrastructure does not remotely exist in the West at the moment. Even were a magic fairy to grant western nations ten times the holdings of high-intensity warfare equipment they now have, and even if recruitment offices were to be overrun by human waves of volunteers, there would be no infrastructure to turn any of that into deployable forces, let alone be able to sustain them. Russia calls up roughly 300,000 conscripts per year in two batches, and has recently been taking 30-40,000 volunteers per month. By contrast, the United Kingdom recruits 12-15,000 military personnel per year, and the US about 50-60,000. These two situations are simply not comparable, and of course the Russians have a single infrastructure, whereas the West has dozens of them. The Russians also have well-established and rehearsed supply lines going West towards any potential conflict. The West now has nothing resembling that.

The Russians also have the doctrine, training and experience of commanding very large numbers of troops at what is called the Operational level of war, which is about the high-level military planning and concepts designed to achieve the strategic political objective. The Russians, students of Clausewitz, have always been good at this. One way of thinking of it in practice is to consider that there are Russian Generals in Ukraine commanding forces the size of the entire German Army, and reporting in turn to an officer with even higher level responsibilities. I don’t think there is reliable information about either troops numbers in Ukraine or Russian orders of battle, but it’s enough to say that the Russians are operating at a scale and with a complexity that no western military would know how to do, even if the troops and equipment were suddenly to appear. Moreover, western militaries would have to develop these organisational and intellectual capabilities collectively, whereas the Russians by definition are one force doing the same thing. This is not going to change.

Knowing how to do this in theory is only part of it, of course: you also need the practical experience of manoeuvring and fighting massive forces, which the Russians have and the West does not. The West may still study the theory in its military academies, but the gap between theory and practice is why militaries make mistakes when war starts. The Germans made mistakes in Poland in 1939 and learned from them. The Russians made mistakes in Finland in 1940 and learned from them. It took the armies of 1914 perhaps a year to understand the nature of the war they were fighting, and another couple of years to begin to find answers to the problems it posed. They could do this because they had the population and the military and industrial base to endure over the long term. The West today does not. The Russians made a number of mistakes in the early months of the Ukraine war, but had the capability to learn from them and make changes and improvements. The West does not. It is trapped in a Catch-22 situation: the only way to acquire experience of this level of warfare is by practicing it, but practicing it would destroy the forces that the West actually has, with no chance of replacing them. This is not going to change.

The third is the nature of geography. Russia is an enormous country with land communications to most parts of the world. In the event of a conflict with any NATO state it can quickly move forces to where they are needed, along secure interior lines of communication and largely free of the threat of attack. It also has the space to concentrate large forces for purposes of intimidation, if not necessarily to fight. This is not going to change. Western forces are scattered everywhere: think for a moment of the logistic and other challenges of bringing Spanish forces to Rumania or Italian forces to the Baltics, over long distances, mostly by sea and with the constant threat of attack. A token Brigade in Poland for a period is one thing. The entire French Army sitting in fields in Estonia is something quite different. Moreover, Russia can keep very large forces adjacent to NATO borders for as long as it likes. NATO cannot do the reverse. By extension, geographical dispersion means political weakness. NATO’s membership, from Portugal to Iceland to Turkey, constrained by geography and with borders with Russia that were never planned, now has few common interests. Overwhelmingly consisting of small countries with very limited military forces, and subject to the principle that as numbers increase arithmetically, the potential for disunion increases geometrically, NATO is an alliance which has recently become even more fragmented than it was. This is not going to change.

The US now has no serious ground combat forces in Europe. It has a single armoured division in the US which could in theory be brought up to operational capability and despatched across the Atlantic, but that would take months or even years, and there is nowhere to put it. There are US aircraft in Europe and they could be reinforced to some degree in a crisis, but it’s hard to see how they could be effective against the kind of layered air defence that Russia possesses. In any event, the idea of forward basing of military units in the Cold War was that in crisis and war they would be reinforced by mobilised reserves. Even if such reserves existed (which it’s hard to imagine they ever would) there is no administrative and physical infrastructure to bring them to where they would be needed. In a crisis, Russia could mobilise its Army and move units fairly quickly around, using its interior lines of communication. But imagine, for a moment, trying to recall and send hundreds of thousands of reservists from France and Germany to Rumania, with all their equipment. All this is why facile calculations of the total size of western and Russian military forces completely miss the point. Moreover, it’s easy to see that a political crisis in Sweden, and some threatening noises from Russia could lead to massive and expensive movements of troops to the North to respond to fears that in the end turn out to be hopelessly exaggerated. There is a limit to the number of times NATO can play this game, whereas Russian with its interior lines of communication can keep playing it for some time. None of the above is going to change.

Finally, there are permanent changes in military technology. Now by “permanent” I do not mean that the technology will remain the same forever, or that it will be as important as it currently is forever; I mean that it has now been invented, and so will be permanently available. There are two technologies in particular which are important here. The first is conventionally called “drones” but it’s more complicated than that. Several different technologies brought together enable autonomous but networked remotely-controlled flying vehicles to attack targets with great precision at anything from a kilometre or two to several hundred kilometres beyond the front line, and this distance is increasing all the time. Small, cheap drones can be guided to their targets manually. Longer-range drones can be sent independently, use their sensors to detect and attack targets in a programmed order, and share targeting data with other drones or aircraft. Drones can be used for patrols and reconnaissance, and to attack other drones, as well as to confuse enemy defences. This has two principal consequences.

One is that the battlefield becomes much more transparent. Surprise, though not impossible, has become much more difficult except at low level and in special circumstances such as the Ukrainian attack on Kursk. Concentrations of forces can be spotted quickly, and this ability (by infra-red for example) is improving all the time. The other is that drones have also produced a revolution in accuracy. The Russians are now using them, in coordination with missiles, to attack very precise targets well behind the front line, thus finally fulfilling the dreams of airpower enthusiasts a hundred years ago. In World War 2, the accuracy of bombing was simply not adequate to disarm a country from the air: today, with drones, it is getting that way.

The result of these two developments is in principle to favour the defence, because it’s the attacker that has to move and expose himself. I suspect I’m not the first to have noticed, several years ago, that the battlefield in Ukraine resembles nothing so much as the Western Front in the First World War. In that era, the problem for the attacker was to cross the open ground between the front lines of the two sides before the defender could emerge and set up their defences and bring up reinforcements. Barbed wire and other fortifications made the attacker’s job even more difficult. The solutions that were found—creeping barrages, armoured vehicles, infiltration tactics—have their analogues today, but, even at the end of the War, the attacker’s role was still the more difficult. Bear in mind though that we are talking only of the tactical level, and only of a defender in a prepared position with fortifications. Just because NATO forces rushed to Finland might be strategically defending, does not give them any special advantages. Indeed, networked reconnaissance drones can provide an advantage every attacker has always wanted: knowing which attacks are succeeding, and thus should be reinforced, and which are failing. At the moment, the Russians have a significant lead in these technologies, and they have the advantage that data-sharing within one force is much easier than data-sharing within many. That is not going to change.

The second technology is that of highly accurate and very fast missiles. This is an area that the Russians have specialised in since the late 1940s (they made off with many of the scientists and much of the technology of the German V2 programme) and have continued to advance it, as well as associated defensive missile defence technologies. The West has not emphasised missiles anything like as much, preferring manned aircraft for both purposes. The result is that Russia has today an arsenal of very accurate missiles which can be fired from land, from ships or from aircraft, and used in conjunction with drones. The West has a limited capability against some of these missiles, but it looks as though the Russians have now managed to cross a technology threshold to the production of missiles against which there is, in principle, no defence possible, because of the speed with which they arrive.

It may be possible at some hypothetical moment in the future, using technologies that have not yet been thought of, to destroy these missiles in the number required to defeat an a serious attack, but for practical purposes the situation is not going to change. Like drones, such missiles are now extremely accurate, and the effect of any missile on its target is highly dependent on this accuracy, because the power of the explosive warhead falls off very quickly with distance. Thus, under some circumstances, modern high-speed high-precision missiles can achieve effects which only tactical nuclear weapons could have achieved in the past. This means that highly accurate attacks can be carried out at distances of hundreds of kilometres, using missiles that in principle cannot be intercepted. This will give countries, at last, the capabilities that manned bomber advocates dreamed of in the 1920s. It is a technology (a series of technologies really) that cannot be disinvented, and which will have a transformative approach on combat, and on the management of crises.

(Much more, good clear analysis)

https://aurelien2022.substack.com/p/living-with-russia

******

A Famous 19th-Century Russian Painter Is At The Center Of The Latest Tensions With Azerbaijan
Andrew Korybko
Aug 01, 2025

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The scandal over Azerbaijan’s demolition of a monument to Ivan Aivazovsky in the former “Nagorno-Karabakh” region dramatically escalated after Baku threatened to shutter Russian-language institutions in the country in response to Moscow’s sharp reaction to this move.

Russian-Azerbaijani relations have been going downhill over the past month, which readers can learn more about here, here, and here, with the latest tensions surprisingly being over a famous 19th-century Russian painter of ethnic Armenian origin, Ivan Aivazovsky (baptized as Hovhannes Aivazian). Azerbaijan just demolished a monument to him in Khankendi, the self-proclaimed capital of the now-defunct separatist entity of “Artsakh” that local Armenians called “Stepanakert”, which was erected in 2021.

Publicly financed TASS first reported that this happened in “Stepanakert” before changing the location to “Nagorno-Karabakh”, the geographic description of which is no longer used by Baku. Russian Special Presidential Envoy on International Cultural Cooperation Mikhail Shvydkoy then lamented that “The issue, I am sure, would have been resolved in a civilized manner [had Russia been informed in advance], for example by moving it to Russian soil. Instead, it is a demonstrative, unfriendly action against Russia.”

Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry spokesman Aykhan Hajizada angrily responded to this by condemning TASS’ initial use of “Stepanakert”, defending the removal of Aivazovsky’s monument on the grounds that it was erected on his country’s territory during the brief Russian peacekeeper period without Baku’s consent, and ominously threatening to shutter Russian-language theaters, schools, and publications in Azerbaijan if high-ranking Russian officials’ “anti-Azerbaijani actions and statements continue”. Here’s what he said:

“While there are Russian-language theaters, schools, and publications in Azerbaijan, there are no Azerbaijani-language theaters, schools, newspapers, or magazines in Russia. Despite this disparity, we do not make allegations about the ‘cancellation’ of Azerbaijani culture in Russia. However, high-ranking Russian officials should be aware that if their anti-Azerbaijani actions and statements continue, this disparity in cultural representation may be addressed and adjusted by Azerbaijan accordingly.”

This represents a very serious escalation from Russia’s perspective that risks turning their tensions over the dismantlement of Aivazovsky’s monument into a full-blown political crisis from which bilateral relations might never recover if Azerbaijan goes through with what Hajizada just threatened. After all, he could have just condemned TASS’ initial word choice and defended his government’s actions, which would have been diplomatically acceptable even if observers disagreed with the points that he made.

It would have still been scandalous that he declined to address why Russia wasn’t informed of the monument’s demolition in advance, which could have led to the issue being “resolved in a civilized manner” per Shvydkoy, but they could have still more easily overcome this in that case. Now that the shuttering of Russian-language institutions is being threatened, however, Russian policymakers will worry whether Azerbaijan is going down Ukraine’s path like RT chief Margarita Simonyan hinted on X.

Putin praised Ilham Aliyev for supporting ethnic Russians and the Russian language in Azerbaijan during their Baku Summit in August 2024, yet now his counterpart is evidently considering a policy reversal that could lead to the “Ukrainization” of Azerbaijan as the Kremlin would certainly see it. If Hajizada’s threat isn’t soon formally rescinded, then Russia might reverse its policy of trying to patch up their problems, which could at the very least see Azerbaijan designated as an “unfriendly country” with all that entails.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/a-famous ... an-painter
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Sat Aug 02, 2025 2:31 pm

What "Rooting Out the Causes of the Crisis" Entails

Putin & Lukashenko at Valaam
Karl Sanchez
Aug 01, 2025

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I’m not Russian nor Orthodox, so I can’t give an in-depth comment on what this particular Monastery signifies to Russians and Orthodox worshipers, although the brief info provided here is somewhat helpful. That Putin and Lukashenko assumed the roles of tourists and pilgrims perhaps as the photos indicate I also see as important—symbolic. The locations full name is Smolensk Skete of the Transfiguration of the Savior Valaam Stavropegic Monastery. The video shows the Union State leaders sharing a bench and having an informal chat before the assembled media asks its questions—a very different “garden” press conference. Do read the brief info at the link about Valaam as it will tell you why IMO this visit was planned to be symbolic mainly for Russians and Belarusians but also for everyone wanting Truth & Justice in our world—not just in Ukraine but beyond to every corner. Valaam was a place of struggle and suffered deeply from several Patriotic Wars; and as we see the War against the Russian Orthodox Church—indeed, much of Orthodoxy—continues. RT says “rooting out;” I use “eradicate.” IMO, the latter’s the better term. Putin will reveal more about Valaam during the Q&A:
Media: Vladimir Vladimirovich, Alexander Grigorievich, hello!

Let me take this opportunity to ask you a few questions.

V. Putin: Yes but let me first greet Alexander Grigorievich again.

A. Lukashenko: Thank you.

V. Putin: To thank him for accepting the invitation and coming on such a day...

A. Lukashenko: As agreed, every year.

V.Putin: On such a day, when we remember all the soldiers who gave their lives for the Fatherland, we have a memorable date, and it has become a tradition. We meet here regularly. And, of course, we will have the opportunity to discuss our current affairs, as we have agreed.

The government is working very actively. We already have a trade turnover of over 50 billion. This is a very good achievement. There are many projects, and they are in very important and promising areas. Of course, there are always many questions when dealing with such a large volume. We will have the opportunity to discuss these issues.

A. Lukashenko: We will put the weekend on the altar of discussion.

Vladimir Vladimirovich, you said very correctly: when I flew here, I noted that we have developed a good tradition–-two Orthodox peoples, we as representatives, every year [meet here], and this church is already like a native one. But at the entrance I noticed that the Smolensk skete is good, but there is no Belarusian skete here.

V. Putin: This is our common goal.

A. Lukashenko: Yes.

V. Putin: It was founded in 1914.

A.Lukashenko: Yes, in 1914, and Smolensk is practically nearby. So we'll think about it too. There's plenty of space here.

V. Putin: Yes, please.

A.Lukashenko: To build a little church. We'll think about it, since the road has already been laid. Many Belarusians come here, and we share the same Orthodox faith. Thank you for establishing a good tradition.

Vladimir Putin: Thank you.

Question: Vladimir Vladimirovich, we wanted to ask you about the third round of negotiations that took place in Istanbul; you did not comment on them. We wanted to clarify whether a response had been received from Kiev regarding the proposal that was made in Istanbul about three groups that could operate online. How do you assess the progress of the negotiations and their prospects? And one more thing. Recently, just a few days ago, [Vladimir] Zelensky said, in my opinion, today, that it makes no sense to negotiate with Russia at the moment and that we should wait for the regime to change.

V. Putin: In principle, you can wait if the Ukrainian leadership believes that now is not the time, but you need to wait. Please, we are ready to wait. This is the first.

Secondly, our political regime is based on the Constitution of the Russian Federation, and the government is formed strictly in accordance with the Basic Law of the state, which cannot be said about Ukraine. I don't want to go into details now, but the current government is not based on the Ukrainian constitution, and the constitution has clearly been violated, but I don't want to go into these details.

As for negotiations, negotiations are always in demand and always important, especially if it is a desire for peace. I have a generally positive assessment. How can we not have a positive assessment of the fact that hundreds of people have returned to their homeland? This is positive. As you know, for humanitarian reasons, we have handed over thousands of the bodies of deceased Ukrainian soldiers, and in return, we have received several dozen of our own soldiers who have laid down their lives for their homeland. Isn't this positive? Of course, this is a positive development.

As for any disappointments on the part of anyone, all disappointments arise from excessive expectations. This is a well-known general rule, but in order to approach the issue in a peaceful way, it is necessary to have detailed conversations, and not in public, but in a calm and quiet negotiation process. This is precisely why we proposed the creation of the three groups that you mentioned. Overall, the Ukrainian side's reaction was positive. We have agreed that we can conduct such negotiations without a camera, without any political noise, in a calm environment, and look for compromises. They have not yet started working. This work has not yet begun, but overall, I repeat, the first reaction from the Ukrainian side seemed positive. Therefore, we expect this process to be launched.

Question: Another additional question: are the conditions for a long-term ceasefire that you announced a year ago still valid?

V.Putin: Yes, these conditions have certainly remained the same. These are not even conditions, but goals, I have formulated Russia's goals. Until now, until that moment, we were told that it was unclear what Russia wanted. We formulated them in June last year at a meeting with the leadership of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. Everything is clear there, but the main thing is to eradicate the causes of this crisis, this is the main thing.

And, of course, there are humanitarian issues and security issues in a broad sense – security issues for Russia, but also for Ukraine. By the way, the Ukrainian delegation suggested that it might be worth talking about the security of both Russia and Ukraine in the context of pan-European security. This was suggested by one of the leaders of the Ukrainian delegation. We generally agree with this idea.

And the humanitarian issue is the Russian language, the independence and decent conditions for the development of the Orthodox Church, the Christian Church in Ukraine. All of this should be discussed and should form the basis for a long-term, lasting peace, without any time restrictions at all.

Question: Dear Alexander Grigoryevich, Vladimir Vladimirovich, I can't help but ask about the current situation: there are constant sanctions from the West, and the European Union is literally stamping-out package after package; we have already counted 18. In this regard, I have a question: how will the strategy of the Union State change, and how will we respond and modify our anti-sanctions strategy?

A. Lukashenko: We have already changed everything we needed to: if someone closed the door in front of us, there are many open doors in the world. Both Russia and Belarus have made a very serious turnaround today. I think that time will pass, and the world will appreciate what we have done. It was simply impossible to imagine this in the early 2000s, but we have done it, we have turned around, and we will continue to live. No one will be able to bring us to our knees in our world. We are determined to defend our interests. Russia is a treasure trove of minerals and technologies. Therefore, it takes time to prove to our doubters and the rest of the world that we are capable of much.

Yesterday, you heard the meeting with the diplomats, I said that there are no sanctions, there are no sanctions, and that's it. There's nothing to talk about them. As soon as we start talking about sanctions, then everyone refers to those who don't want to work, and they say it's difficult. No, and that's it. Sanctions are opportunities. I think that Russia is acting in the same way, even more sharply, understanding this issue. We have always been and will always be there for you, as I said yesterday, don't worry about these sanctions.

What was asked of Vladimir Vladimirovich about negotiations and his position, I absolutely support in this case. Very correct. The President says that war is war, but negotiations are always conducted. The Americans fought in Vietnam far away and negotiated from the first day of the war. The mistake of the Ukrainians, I am watching this, is that they demand the impossible. What they say and what Russia offers – the President just announced this – is being resolved at the negotiating table. There may be compromises, retreats, turns, and reversals. But you're right when you say that it's for the public. It's about saying a lot and not doing anything.

I've spoken publicly, and the statement of our mutual friend, for whom we were so worried, Donald Trump. I remember our worries that he would win and so on. There are 50, 60, 10 days. This is not how politics are done. If he wants peace, he must connect carefully and thoroughly. This is a military confrontation, and it is impossible to point out, especially to a nuclear power. Listen, it's just ridiculous.

You know, I recently met with the Americans. I told them openly — they're his close friends — and I told the president that we need to do this carefully. We can reach an agreement.

Today, there's an air truce again. I say, "Yes, Russia is interested in this, President Putin, but you don't want it. Tell Zelensky to go for it, so that there won't be any flying objects falling on people's heads. This is the last one. You know, there was a case in Belarus where 59 kilograms of explosives filled with balls and other items were detonated. Well, it didn't explode, but it hit a ten-story building where ordinary people lived. This is a dangerous escalation. We need to stop, and we need to do it carefully.

Vladimir Vladimirovich knows that the Russians are negotiating with the Ukrainians in Istanbul, and he called me to thank me. We are continuing our work in Belarus, and we are doing everything we can to facilitate border exchanges. The Ukrainians have opened the border, and they have restored the railway connection. This means that progress is being made.

There was a lot of shouting about the children. Please, the Russians say, come and see, negotiations are being held by the Russian and Ukrainian Human Rights Ombudsmen, and negotiations are being held about the children. What did Russia do wrong? There is a war, the children are homeless, they are being fed and clothed. No, they are being accused of this. Why? Please, let's negotiate. And the exchange is taking place.

V. Putin: It turned out that there are no children.

A. Lukashenko: There are no [such] numbers, of course. There are three or four children who have been exchanged, and their [parents] have lost them. Please.

V. Putin: When we said during the negotiation process in Istanbul: please, give us the lists. There is nothing.

A. Lukashenko: There are no lists. Therefore, there is a public build-up, which is not beneficial, and we should just sit down at the table and negotiate, regardless of our positions.

V. Putin: And the negotiations, by the way, began in Belarus.

A.Lukashenko: Yes, three rounds have passed. If you don't like it in Belarus, well, Vladimir Vladimirovich and I have discussed it, even if it's on the moon or anywhere else. But we need to sit down at the negotiating table and talk, rather than throwing stones at each other.

"I want to meet with Putin!" - well, why are you shouting about it? Prepare the appropriate ground, the statement, and so on—I told the Americans about this—prepare it, and then sit down and sign it. And call Trump, Macron, anyone, Starmer, but you have to prepare it. Don't they understand this? They do. And if they say this, it means they don't want to, they're just playing to the public

Question: If you don't mind, I have one more question. You said that there is always a broad agenda between our countries, and you will discuss it. Will you discuss security issues?

In particular, is there any clarity on the Oreshnik issue? Both sides have confirmed that the Oreshnik project will continue in Belarus, but is there any specific information available?

A. Lukashenko: The specifics are that the military, although they are concrete people, are in a hurry everywhere, wanted this “Oreshnik” – this refers to the Belarusian position – to place “Oreshnik” somewhere in the future year. Vladimir Vladimirovich said correctly: this year we should basically finish these processes – construction, creation and so on. We do not back down from this yet.

V. Putin: No [, we are not retreating].

The first thing I want to say in this regard. We have produced the first serial complex "Hazel", the first serial rocke-t-and it entered the army. Now the series is working. First.

Second. Our specialists–-both Belarusian and Russian military specialists—have chosen a location for future positions, and work is currently underway to prepare these positions. Therefore, it is likely that we will resolve this issue by the end of the year.

A. Lukashenko: We don't rush, we do it calmly, there's no need to run ahead of time. As soon as they're ready, not just the positions. As you said, building is easy. We need military equipment, charges, and missiles, which are not cheap.

V. Putin: And to protect this position.

A. Lukashenko: And of course, we need to protect them.

V. Putin: Everything is going according to plan.

A. Lukashenko: Don't worry about security.

Question: Vladimir Vladimirovich, how do you assess the current situation in the special military operation and the overall dynamics?

V. Putin: Yesterday, as usual, I discussed these issues several times with the Minister of Defense [Andrey Belousov] and the Chief of the General Staff [Valery Gerasimov], and I knew that we would have an approach to the press, so I asked them myself. I said, "How should we answer this question about the situation in the special military operation?" Their response was, "Please answer honestly." Now they will see this and remember it.

And what is fair today? It means that our troops are advancing along the entire line of contact–-along the entire line: in the border zone, in the Donetsk [People’s] Republic, in the Luhansk Republic, in Zaporozhye, and in Kherson-–everywhere, on all fronts, somewhere more, somewhere less, but positive activity. Thanks, of course, to the courage and heroism of our guys.

In addition, we are currently in a special place, where a church has been built in memory of all our soldiers who have died in all times for the Fatherland. However, we are currently discussing the Special Military Operation. The current positive dynamics on the frontline are undoubtedly due to the heroism of our soldiers who are advancing, but we also owe this to the soldiers who have remained on the battlefield and given their lives for their homeland.

Because it was they who created the conditions for today's people, who are in the ranks today, to move forward and have this opportunity. This is a shared achievement. In this sense, we have no wasted losses.

This is the general picture, and the dynamics are clear. Recently, you may have heard that a new settlement, Chasov Yar, has been taken, and it is a fairly large settlement. We have already heard that this is not true. I can tell you and assure you that this is completely true. Moreover, the Ministry of Defense announced only yesterday, I believe, that Chasov Yar was actually taken a few days ago.

They were engaged in the so-called mopping up. Although there are probably attempts at counterattacks. But, in addition, such statements that this is incorrect information on our part, it says that the top political leadership of Ukraine is not very informed about the course of events. Well, that's their problem.

But in general, I repeat, the dynamics are positive. After all, just recently, remember, everyone was talking about the need to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia on the battlefield, but today they have a different, single, but fiery passion: to stop our offensive at all costs, either by promising a better life, or by threatening us, or by rearming and replenishing the Armed Forces of Ukraine. To stop it, and then deal with these issues of rearmament and replenishment.

I will repeat once again: we need a long-lasting and stable peace on good, basic foundations that would satisfy both Russia and Ukraine and ensure the security of both countries. And perhaps the negotiators on the Ukrainian side are right when they carefully, but still, put forward the idea that we should talk about European security in general.

Question: If the ideology of peace and the desire to resolve all difficulties are increasingly heard from Minsk and Moscow, then we only hear dictates and ultimatums from the West. Even the EU and the United States have called the latest deal a shame for the EU. What will this dictate, ultimatum, trade war, and tariff dictate do to the global economy? And what does it mean for us?

A. Lukashenko: Recently, the Russian leadership correctly stated that such a continuation, although it has already happened, will lead to the deindustrialization of Europe, although it has already happened there.

V. Putin: It's happening.

A. Lukashenko: And this process continues. They will destroy Europe, the European Union. There were rumors that the Americans also have this goal-–to weaken this center of power. After all, the European Union was not a weak organization. This is what will happen.

And they should not have been fighting us head-on, as I have said more than once, but should have been working together. The European Union and Russia would have been a powerful force if they had united. Of course, the Americans would never allow this to happen, as it would be too frightening for them, even more so than China. If they had united, they would have been a formidable force. However, they do not understand this. Perhaps they do not need to understand it.

I look at these leaders–-I don't want to characterize them in front of Vladimir Vladimirovich. Some of them are already leaving, as they're called, lame ducks, and others have just arrived, with a rating below 20%. The people don't like this policy. And why don't the people of Europe like it? The main reason is their stance on Ukraine. They're impoverished themselves, but they're spending billions, even trillions, on weapons and aid to Ukraine. I don't know, maybe it's wrong.

V. Putin: You know, until recently, political scientists and the so-called political circles in general said that the European Union is an economic giant, but a political dwarf. These are not my words, I do not want to offend anyone–-so we have read this in Western sources ourselves? But, and I have always said this before, in the modern world–-it has always been important, and today especially–-sovereignty plays a key role, one might say, including for economic development.

It was clear that the European Union and Europe did not have much sovereignty. Today, it is evident that they have none at all. This is followed by economic losses in the current critical situation, and the loss of political sovereignty now leads to the loss of economic sovereignty and enormous losses.

Therefore, as I have always said, one of the key tasks, including the tasks of the special military operation, is to strengthen Russia's sovereignty.

Question: The topic of Ukraine is somehow raised in all questions. The recent scandals in Ukraine related to anti-corruption agencies, what do you think they are? How can you comment on what happened?

V. Putin: Alexander Grigorievich, can you comment on this?

A.Lukashenko: You know, I thought, thought, thought. Well, the West is now putting pressure on Zelensky. I'm watching this and thinking: well, what did Zelensky want? He took billions, billions, hundreds of billions of money. The West says: well, we want to see where this money will be spent. And they once proposed the creation of an anti-corruption bureau and an anti-corruption prosecutor's office–-this is exactly about [the issue of] sovereignty.

He took the money–who gave it, says: we want to see how. Agreed–-now woke up. Probably, or elections, or something else they want to organize–-this is on the people. Tried to do, the West quickly organized, said “no”. And after two days–-or there was how many–-he said: no. And after two hours the Rada cancelled everything. He signed the law.

What kind of sovereignty? There is no sovereignty. And there is no need to be indignant: you took the money, and the person who gave it to you wanted to control where you put the money as a non-sovereign state. And you know where you put it: during this time, people on the Côte d'Azur and beyond have built impressive palaces and are doing well, and some of them are even running for president of Ukraine. Therefore, this is a mess, and there is no other way to describe it.

The basis is the loss of sovereignty and independence.

V. Putin: In general, corruption is a negative phenomenon in society that is typical for very many, if not all, countries in the world. There is nothing unusual about this. The question is the degree of corruption and the ability of society, the willingness and ability to fight this phenomenon. And what is the willingness and ability of society to fight corruption? In other words, society itself must be willing and able to fight corruption.

And if society influences such processes, it is part of democracy. But democracy cannot be imposed from the outside, just as it is impossible to fight corruption from the outside. Especially if those who suffer from corruption themselves are doing it. Is there no corruption in Europe or the United States? In fact, it is legalized there, and there is an institution of lobbying. What is this? It means that people go around giving money to government officials at all levels. That is also corruption.

It is clear that Ukraine is a country where corruption is rampant. Is it possible to combat it from the outside? Alexander Grigoryevich said that these various bureaus were created, but they are not subordinate to the local authorities: neither the president, nor the parliament, nor anyone else. This is an external institution.

Listen, I just said, is it possible to bring democracy from outside, including anti-corruption institutions? When were these institutions established in Ukraine? In 2015. And what year is it today? 2025.

A. Lukashenko: We won, in short.

V. Putin: Of course! So what? It has been around for ten years, and everyone around the world is shouting at the top of their lungs: “Help! Corruption is sweeping Ukraine.” Yes, it is. But the effectiveness of the institutions brought in from outside is zero.

Instead of imposing external institutions of governance on the people, in this case the Ukrainian people, we need to help them stand on their own feet and create these institutions themselves.

It is impossible for people to elect a president and a parliament and not influence the processes that take place in society. This is a humiliating state. There is no sovereignty, no sovereignty at all.

Yes, that's right, they tried to change something, to regain at least some of their sovereignty. But when they didn't like it from above, they just whistled, clicked, and everything was returned to its original state. It would have been better if they hadn't done anything. If they had just stayed in one place, everything would have been hidden and smooth. But they only brought shame upon themselves.

But the idea that they need to regain at least some of their sovereignty is certainly correct.

Let's get this over with, or we'll be here all day.

Question: I would like to clarify the negotiation process on Ukraine. It is going through difficult and slow stages. In this regard, Alexander Grigoryevich has already partially addressed this issue, but nevertheless, is Belarus ready to provide any assistance, and is it necessary for Russia at this time?

A.Lukashenko: We have long agreed with Vladimir Vladimirovich – if necessary, he will always say, connect Belarus both to the process and to the processes.

Today, I just said that we have reached an agreement in Istanbul. There are important issues to be addressed, such as the exchange of prisoners of war, the exchange of wounded soldiers, and so on. I have called Vladimir Vladimirovich and told him that we treat everyone equally. He supports this approach. Both Ukrainians and Russians are warriors. Some are wounded, while others require immediate medical attention. We are ready to provide assistance to those in need. There are indeed such individuals.

[It's not just about] prisoners of war, [but also about] the transfer of the bodies of the deceased. The Ukrainians don't trust anyone. Let the Belarusians, for example, transfer the bodies of some people here and others there, but only the Belarusians. They've restored the railway tracks to bring the refrigerators. No, let only the Belarusians take the helm of this steam locomotive and drive the refrigerators back and forth.

We were looking for people, we had to [recruit] Afghans who fought in Afghanistan, we found railway workers who were doing this. The Russians asked us, the Ukrainians agreed to this–-we are doing this. If necessary, more will be offered.

But Vladimir Vladimirovich said something very correct–-my point of view is completely in line with his–-about Chasov Yar. We are absolutely on the subject–-this is really the case. I don't know, maybe on the outskirts, somewhere, some houses are still not cleared–-I don't know how today.

V. Putin: No, it's not there.

A. Lukashenko: But Chasov Yar is the road to Kramatorsk, which is actually the center of Ukraine's special military operation. And then what? What am I getting at? Ukraine should be running around right now, begging Vladimir Vladimirovich: "Let's sit down at the negotiating table and come to an agreement." Otherwise, in a month, a month and a half, or two months, I don't know, there won't even be any defensive structures left. The Russians will gradually take over and conquer the area.

V. Putin: They will return it. It's ours.

A. Lukashenko: They will return it. Therefore, we need to negotiate. If they want something, they should run after it.

Because the day before-–obviously, we will discuss this topic-I collected all the information on the front line and also coordinated it with your military. In our country, it absolutely coincides in all points, even in the Sumy region, where you are trying to create a buffer zone. There is an offensive everywhere. Not fast, but slow. Why slowly--I asked Vladimir Vladimirovich. He says, "I feel sorry for people."

That's right: it's slow, but it's steady. And there aren't as many casualties as in the Great Patriotic War, when hundreds of thousands were thrown into battle and hundreds of thousands died. In Poland alone, 600,000 of our people, the Soviet people, lost their lives. There's no such war in Ukraine; it's quiet and peaceful. However, this provides an opportunity for the Ukrainians to say, "Listen, let's sit down and negotiate." But they don't want to do that.

V. Putin: As for Ukraine's participation in the negotiation process, we are very grateful to Alexander Grigoryevich and Belarus in general for the support and assistance that Belarus and the President of Belarus are providing to us.

We are in constant contact. I constantly inform Alexander Grigoryevich about the results of this negotiation process. And all our exchanges take place on the territory of Belarus. The negotiation process began there in 2022, and then moved to Istanbul, where we continue.

But we know the position of Alexander Grigoryevich, the entire Belarusian leadership, and the Belarusian people, who want to see peace between our two countries, Russia and Ukraine, as soon as possible. Alexander Grigoryevich is directly and actively involved in this process. Thank you.

Question: There was a very powerful earthquake in Kamchatka, and the world was captivated by the footage of doctors who continued to perform surgeries despite the difficult situation and the risk to their lives. Many people believe that these doctors deserve awards, while others believe that they were simply fulfilling their duty. Will you reward them?

V. Putin: It is possible to perform one's duty in different ways. These doctors performed it with dignity and heroism. Of course, they deserve state awards.

I was recently briefed by the Governor [Vladimir Solodov] on the situation in Kamchatka. Let me remind you that many years ago, we worked on strengthening buildings and structures in Kamchatka, which is located in a dangerous seismic zone, and we also worked on communication systems. I hope that this has also played a role, as there have been no serious damages or casualties, which is very good news.

As for the doctors you mentioned, I have already given my assessment. However, I would like to assure you that we have many specialists who perform their duties to the best of their abilities, and we always strive to respond appropriately and provide the necessary recognition from the government, including through awards.

Thank you.
I’m very surprised more wasn’t said by media about this meeting as some very important things were said—not just the need to deal with what caused this conflict, whose roots happen to be related to all current conflicts on the planet. I have no idea if any pre-presser strategy was discussed between Putin and Lukashenko; probably very little since they know each other so well. Thus, the atmosphere of a casual discussion between media and the two leaders was carried off very well. The main issue aimed at by both was sovereignty and the lack of it within the EU and by Ukraine, while the Union State continues to strengthen its combined—shared—sovereignty via its expanding trade, shrugging off illegal sanctions and using them as “opportunities” and improving their security. Calling out Trump and BigLie Western media for its empty “public build-ups” and promoting false, “excessive expectations.” Incorporating the title of the very powerful Russian film, Come and See, regarding the children question was masterful. The negotiations are happening with Putin saying he’s okay with the progress, the proposed new format and saying twice that Ukraine suggested joint European security and Russia would be pleased to discuss that since it’s part of the end solution.

Turning the corruption issue into an example of Ukraine’s lack of sovereignty was also exemplary. Ukraine’s government is unconstitutional, which in itself presents its own problems, while Putin also said it was good to try and regain a portion of its sovereignty by trying to control corruption. I found that a very curious point with the implication being that Zelensky was merely an agent of those giving him monies, not a president able to allocate those monies as he deemed correct. And that begs this question: When appropriations are made, to whom or what are they made to? Zelensky is accused of being give Billions$$Euros, but was he really the one named as the recipient? Putin once again essentially stated the EU is merely a colony of the Outlaw US Empire, that it and thus its members lack national sovereignty, although some are more captured than others. There were several interesting quips, several of which were important, such as Putin on the area beyond Chasov Yar:

They will return it. It's ours.

And of course, more will be taken before the SMO ends, which is why Lukashenko says the Ukrainians ought to “run” to negotiation.

I thought this an outstanding answer to the recent bouts of Trumpian Bluster over the past several days and his juvenile attempt to rhetorically fence with Dmitri Medvedev. The first half of Judge Napolitano’s Intelligence Roundup discussed that and other related aspects which I urge people to watch. The symbolism of the location and the matter-of-fact style of the event while conveying the fact that the Union State will do what it must to protect, preserve and advance their interests, and their main interest is in peace. The other side’s actions prove that’s not what it wants—and it can’t really be honest about what those wants are, just as the Zionists can’t admit they’re committing Genocide.

https://karlof1.substack.com/p/what-roo ... ses-of-the

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Brian McDonald: Is Russia’s Economy Really Just Spain and Portugal? Let’s Do the Math.
August 1, 2025 natyliesb
By Brian McDonald, Substack, 6/7/25

Brian McDonald is an Irish journalist based in Russia for many years. Writing about politics, sports and culture.

You’ve seen the line before. Usually delivered with blue-check sneer: “Russia’s GDP is smaller than Texas.” Or Italy. Or Belgium and the Netherlands combined. This week, it’s Spain and Portugal.

As if geopolitics were a pub quiz and nominal GDP the mic drop.

It’s nonsense. Lazy nonsense chasing engagement from the prejudiced and poorly informed—and the kind of barstool analysis that’s fuelled decades of failed Western policy on Russia.

You can forgive X for favouring punchlines over substance. But when this thinking seeps into diplomatic briefs, “expert” commentary, or editorial pages, the damage is real. Russia becomes a caricature: a “gas station with nukes,” a fading petrostate ripe for sanctions and collapse. And we wonder why each new round of economic war fails to crack the Kremlin.

Here’s the truth: if you want to gauge the scale and resilience of Russia’s economy, you need more than exchange-rate illusions and a glance at the oil ticker. Nominal GDP is a crude lens—distorted by sanctions, currency manipulation, capital controls, and the whims of global markets. It tells you what a bank in Zurich might see—not what Russia can actually do.

Measured by nominal GDP—using current exchange rates—Russia does rank lower than many Western economies. Even trailing Texas. But this isn’t just misleading—it’s economically meaningless.

Exchange rates are volatile and don’t reflect real productivity. In Russia’s case, the ruble is distorted by sanctions, oil fluctuations, and heavy state management. Comparing that to the euro or dollar is like comparing pineapples to hand grenades.

In order to understand Russia’s real weight, look at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), which adjusts for local prices and actual living costs. A ruble may not go far in Paris, but in Kazan or Yekaterinburg, it stretches much further.

Russia’s economy was worth over $6.9 trillion in 2024 (IMF) in PPP terms. The fourth-largest in the world—ahead of Japan and Germany.

Now let’s look at the week’s favourite punchline, and compare it to Spain ($2.74 trillion) and Portugal ($0.51 trillion). That’s a combined $3.25 trillion.

Russia’s economy, even just on official numbers, is more than twice that size. Not a little bigger—double. That’s a gulf, not a rounding error.

And those are just the numbers we count.


The irony is that Russia’s real economy might be even larger, while Spain and Portugal’s might be smaller. Why? Because of what each includes in its GDP.

In the EU, national accounts include estimates for drug sales, prostitution, and other “non-observed” activities. Eurostat mandates this. Even if a country doesn’t legalise them, statistical agencies estimate their value and add them in.

Russia doesn’t. It leaves out vast swathes of the informal economy—under-the-table wages, grey-market services, barter, unregistered small business, and rural trade. Entire segments of economic life, particularly outside the big cities, simply go uncounted.

So we end up comparing apples padded with cocaine and brothel receipts to potatoes traded for firewood. No wonder the numbers look strange.

This isn’t a moral critique. It’s a statistical one. And when people glibly claim “Russia’s economy is the size of Spain and Portugal,” they’re peddling fiction dressed up as fact.

None of this is to say Russia is an economic superpower. It’s not. It faces real challenges—demographics, investment, capital flight, a tech gap. But it’s also a globally significant economy with vast resources, strategic industries, and real industrial capacity.

It builds jets, icebreakers, submarines, nuclear plants. It feeds itself. It fuels half of Eurasia.

Dismissing that with a GDP soundbite isn’t analysis. It’s self-soothing. And it leads to bad policy.

Russia is not Spain and Portugal. It’s Russia. And we’d do well to treat it accordingly.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/08/bri ... -the-math/

******

Russia To Build a High-Speed Rail Network

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President Vladimir Putin visits the Moscow-Saint Petersburg high-speed rail project, June 2025. X/ @lacherbaue

August 1, 2025 Hour: 8:20 am

About US$3.7 billion will initially be allocated to the Moscow-St. Petersburg high-speed rail line.
On Thursday, President Vladimir Putin instructed the government to develop a roadmap for building Russia’s high-speed rail network by March 31, 2026.

The Russian government, together with Russian Railways, the open joint-stock company, shall formulate a development model for Russia’s high-speed rail network. This includes specific timelines and parameters for implementing each project to create high-speed rail lines,” the Kremlin said.

Putin also ordered the government and SberBank, Russia’s largest lender, to outline plans for utilizing 300 billion rubles (about US$3.7 billion) allocated from the National Wealth Fund as initial funding for the Moscow-St. Petersburg high-speed rail line. A report on the funding is due by Oct. 1.

The Moscow-St. Petersburg route will be Russia’s first high-speed railroad, a specialized electrified double-track line on which trains can travel at speeds from 200 to 400 kph. Trains are expected to cover the distance between the two cities in two hours and 15 minutes.

Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin and Russian Railways CEO Oleg Belozerov have been appointed as the responsible parties.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/russia-w ... l-network/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Mon Aug 04, 2025 2:55 pm

Ideological sabotage of the Spas TV channel and its roots
August 3, 17:14

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Ideological sabotage of the Spas TV channel and its roots

"Lenin is a demon, the mausoleum is a ziggurat, the Soviet Union is an occult project." This is not a tabloid fabrication, but the essence of the film "The Mummy," shown on the Spas TV channel in June 2025 and presented as a documentary.

In fact, this is not a documentary, but crude propaganda disguised as educational rhetoric. The title of the film itself is provocative, and the premiere demonstratively took place in a cinema with the symbolic name "October." This is not just a libel on Lenin, but a blow to historical memory and Russian statehood itself.

The authors of the film "The Mummy" do not just want to "bury" Lenin - they seek to erase an entire layer of history. Behind the religious façade of the film-craft "Spas" there is a deep class conflict: the attack is not only on Lenin's person, but on the very foundations of Soviet power - the system created by the workers, which for the first time ensured liberation from the oppression of capital.

This is part of the ideological war waged by the representatives of the exploiting classes and their political agents against the socialist project. Their goal is to undermine the self-awareness of the workers, deprive them of memory, split their unity, and strengthen bourgeois rule. This methodical work of breaking with the Soviet legacy is the path to strengthening capitalist oppression in Russia and to its colonization.

But it is especially vile that this blow is being dealt at a time when, during the SVO, the Red Banner has once again become a symbol of resistance and Victory, when unity is vitally needed in society.

Archive - by forgery

The creators of "The Mummy" persistently impose the image of the Mausoleum as something sinister, resorting to conspiracy theories and church mystification. Particularly outrageous is the assertion of Doctor of Historical Sciences N. Narochnitskaya that Lenin allegedly left a will with a request to bury him next to his mother at the Volkovo Cemetery in St. Petersburg. However, as a historian, she cannot help but know: not a single documentary evidence of such an expression of will exists.

As M. Kostrikov accurately noted in the article "Don't Climb into the Mausoleum!" ("Pravda", No. 66 of 06/26/2025), Lenin was buried in the crypt in strict accordance with the will of the people, his party and the customs that existed at that time. Lenin's burial also complies with modern legislation.

The key document dispelling the myth of Lenin's "last will" was obtained in 1997 at the request of the administration of President B.N. Yeltsin, who wanted to find justification for removing Lenin's body from the Mausoleum. The Russian Center for the Preservation and Study of Documents of Modern History (RCSIDNI, formerly the Central Party Archive) provided an exhaustive report stating: "RCSIDNI does not have a single document from Lenin or his close relatives regarding Lenin's "last will" to be buried in a specific Russian (Moscow or St. Petersburg) cemetery..." The report cites a letter from Nadezhda Konstantinovna Krupskaya to her daughter Inessa Armand, which clearly expresses the position of Lenin's widow: "He must be buried with his comrades; let them lie together under the Red (Kremlin) Wall."

Krupskaya's position was not limited to the letter: in 1924, she supported the decision of the II All-Union Congress of Soviets to create a mausoleum. Although she initially opposed long-term embalming, she changed her mind under pressure from workers.

The argument about "burial next to the family" sounds hypocritical in another sense: Lenin already rests next to his wife Nadezhda Krupskaya and sister Maria Ulyanova, whose ashes are in the necropolis near the Kremlin wall.

It is surprising that such a film was released on a TV channel that claims to be Orthodox. The film "The Mummy" is much more like a show like REN TV. This has nothing to do with religion or science. But the main thing is that by engaging in mystification, the authors distort not only historical facts, but also the essence of Christian teaching. There is no place for lies and slander in the Bible: "Every lie is from the devil" (John 8:44). To build rhetoric on fictitious archetypes means to participate in deception.

To understand how false the image of the "demon" Lenin created by the authors of the film is, it is enough to turn to historical facts. Ilyich was not a godless man, but he was not a hypocrite either. He was a consistent Marxist, materialist, humanist and statist. His goal was not to offend someone's feelings, but to destroy the system that used faith as an instrument of suppression.

Lenin, following Marxist science, did not fight religion, but separated the church from the state and school. In the article "On the Attitude of the Workers' Party to Religion" (1909), he wrote that the task of Marxists is not to persecute faith, but to fight its social roots: "Religion is the opium of the people. Religion is a kind of spiritual moonshine in which the slaves of capital drown their human image…”

The authors of the film “The Mummy” deliberately hush up the main thing: the repressions of the 1920s fell not on those who lit a candle in the church, but on those who blessed the White Guards from the pulpit, incited armed rebellion, and prevented the building of a new, better life for the entire people, and not for a handful of rich people parasitizing on the body of the people.

The path of Patriarch Tikhon is indicative; in 1923 he declared: "From now on I am not an enemy of Soviet power." In 1927, the hierarchy of the Russian Orthodox Church recognized Soviet power as "given by God" and proclaimed a course of loyalty. This was an acknowledgement of historical reality.

Nevertheless, part of the clergy - especially abroad - continued the fight against Soviet Russia. It was precisely with such "spiritual leaders" that the communists fought. A typical example is Metropolitan Anthony (Khrapovitsky), the first head of the Russian Orthodox Church Outside of Russia (ROCOR). Even during the Civil War, he blessed the White generals, and in 1930 he called: "Rise up against the red Antichrist... I bless every weapon raised against the red Satanic power..." This is not a sermon, but a political call by an emigrant priest to a fratricidal war.

On the contrary, Lenin warned against rudeness towards religious feelings. At the congress of women workers in 1918, he emphasized: “A lot of harm is caused by those who bring into this struggle insults to religious feelings. We must fight through propaganda, through education… The deepest source of religious prejudices is poverty and ignorance; we must fight this evil.”

This approach is not “Satanism,” as Spas tries to instill, but the position of a humanist who sought to free the people from social slavery. Those who now brand the Bolsheviks as “godfighters” forget a simple truth: in February 1917, it was the Church that was one of the first to renounce Nicholas II, calling the overthrow of the monarchy “the will of God” and pledging allegiance to the Provisional Government. Its break with the people occurred before the revolution, and responsibility for this lies with the pre-revolutionary hierarchy, not the Bolsheviks.

Historical Truth versus Split

The public reaction to the film "The Mummy" turned out to be unifying - contrary to the intentions of its authors. Not only the left, but also Orthodox, patriotic forces, and veterans' organizations spoke out against the falsifications. Speaking in the State Duma on July 8, Chairman of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation G.A. Zyuganov emphasized: "We have no right to show disrespect for this era, which the Spas channel recently did by showing the false and provocative film "The Mummy". This is a product "worthy" of the most notorious foreign agent."

Archdeacon Vladimir Vasilik, a theologian and member of the Synodal Liturgical Commission of the Russian Orthodox Church, came out with harsh criticism. In his article “Emptiness of Emptiness” (published on July 1), he directly stated: “Viewers of the Spas TV channel are being forced to accept the idea of Lenin as a destroyer, incapable of creation. But this is not so. The grandiose breakthrough of the first five-year plan would have been impossible without the preparatory work that began under Lenin: the GOELRO plan, the creation of a health care system, the revival of domestic aviation and missile developments…” He put the question bluntly: “We won the Great Patriotic War thanks to national unity - when a communist and a non-party member, a believer and a non-believer, an Orthodox Christian and a Muslim were in the same trench. There was unity then. Why split society today along the line of “Orthodox - socialist”?”

Respected representatives of church and historical circles expressed their negative position on the film: Hegumen Evstafiy (Zhakov), Deacon Ilya Maslov, Editor-in-Chief of the Russian People's Line Anatoly Stepanov, famous historians Evgeny Spitsyn and Yegor Yakovlev. In a statement by the Russian Lad and RUSO movements, published in Pravda (No. 70 (31707) from July 4-7, 2025), it was said: "At the time of armed confrontation between the Russian world and neo-Nazism and Banderaism, the near-church channel Spas found nothing better than to sow new unrest. Cynically pit patriots - supporters of the left-wing idea - against Orthodox believers." Such unity of voices - from communists to Orthodox traditionalists - clearly shows that this is about protecting the truth and national dignity.

The silence of the liberal media is noteworthy and eloquent. Apparently, they are ready to applaud any attack on Soviet symbols, even under the guise of church decorations.

By falsifying history, the Spas TV channel, by the way, violates the biblical commandment: "You shall not bear false witness against your neighbor" (Ex. 20:16). We consciously turn to the Bible not as a dogma, but as a cultural code, which Spas shamelessly exploits. If the channel calls itself Orthodox, its lie is a double crime: before history and before the commandments that it is called to respect. Behind the facade of "faith" here lies ideological sabotage. The words of Christ sound like a sentence: "Woe to you, scribes and Pharisees, hypocrites ... You seem righteous to people, but inwardly you are full of hypocrisy and lawlessness" (Matthew 23:27-28).

It is especially cynical that Spas' attacks are also directed against millions of believers for whom socialist values are not hostile but deeply consonant with the Gospel: justice, care for the poor, condemnation of exploitation. It is not for nothing that Fidel Castro said: "Christianity and communism have 10,000 times more in common than Christianity and capitalism."

For Orthodox workers, veterans, and intellectuals who march with the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, the Mausoleum is not an "amulet" but a symbol of the era when, for the first time in history, the gospel ideals were embodied: labor for the sake of all, universal education, and social protection. And Spas is effectively giving these people an ultimatum: "Either faith or Lenin." This is not pastoral work. The Bible says clearly: "A false witness who speaks lies, and one who sows discord among brothers, is an abomination to the Lord" (Proverbs 6:19).

From "prophecy" to betrayal

It is significant that the head of the Spas TV channel, Boris Korchevnikov, on the eve of the premiere of the film, referred to the "prophecy" of the elder Elijah (Nozdrin), popular in certain marginal circles. The elder allegedly claimed that Russia's victory in the SVO was possible only if three conditions were met: ban abortions, ban swearing, and "bury" Lenin. Such statements are not faith, but superstition, dangerous in its naive cruelty. This is a carbon copy of sectarian logic: to replace state tasks with an archaic rite, to make the fate of the country dependent on ritual. This is not a prophecy, but an ideological fetish designed to intimidate and fool.

Such preachers do not pray for Victory, but for clearing space for a new ideological foundation - anti-Soviet and reactionary, essentially Russophobic. This is where the meanness lies: the Spas TV channel, hiding behind religion, replaces concern for the country with superstitious folklore. And it does this when the people are waiting for the truth, help, and mobilization, and not magic lists from elders.

The defenders of the Mausoleum do not offer rituals, but a time-tested Victory Program, invariably defended by the CPRF. Back in 2022, G.A. Zyuganov emphasized: “Nationalization of strategic sectors of the economy, maximum support for innovative development, dissemination of the experience of people's enterprises, social protection of citizens, free and high-quality medicine and education - this is the basis of our initiatives and proposals. This is the Victory Program that must be adopted at the state level. Without this, it is impossible to give a decisive rebuff to those who seek to destroy the Russian world and wipe off the face of the earth the state it gave birth to.” This course was confirmed by the 19th Congress of the CPRF.

Apparently, this is what frightens those who are behind the ideological campaign against Lenin and Soviet history. It is not faith that drives them, but fear of nationalization, social justice, and a new mobilization of the people in the interests of the majority. This is the fear of comprador capital and oligarchic structures that lived happily before the SVO, profited from the sale of the country and are now afraid of losing their influence.

The Mausoleum is not being attacked, but the idea. Those who made money on privatization and trading in the Motherland are not afraid of the dead Lenin - they are afraid of the people's power. They do not need Victory - they need profit. Their country is like a shop: sell, surrender, retreat. That is why attacks on socialism fit so well into the interests of compradors and external forces. They were the ones who exported capital to the West. They were the ones who were hit by sanctions. They are the ones who are afraid of the mobilization of society and the new course. These are not statists, they are national traitors.

When the "sword of the Lord" was in the hands of the Wehrmacht

Boris Korchevnikov, CEO of Spas, is not original with the theme of prophecies. Similar revelations have already been heard in history. In June 1941, in the White émigré pro-fascist newspaper Novoye Slovo, published in Berlin, Archimandrite John (born Prince Shakhovskoy) published a text in which, with reference to the Athonite elder Aristokliy, he asserts: "Russia's salvation will come when the Germans take up arms." He calls Hitler's aggression "the sword of the Lord," and the Wehrmacht the executor of Providence.

The Nazi offensive was presented as a spiritual resurrection, and June 22 as "Easter in the middle of summer." These lines were written not by an SS chaplain, but by an Orthodox archimandrite, later the Archbishop of San Francisco and the Western American ROCOR.

One must understand who wrote such "sermons." Shakhovskoy is not an abstract theologian. From the summer of 1918, he fought against the Soviet power in the ranks of Denikin's army, and received a concussion near Tsaritsyn. In 1937, in Spain, he was a spiritual mentor of a volunteer company in Francisco Franco's army. He fought for the monarchy, then for fascism, and later became an "archimandrite-ideologist.

" The rhetoric of the film "The Mummy" continues the same line, but in new forms. Bolshevism is shown here not as an ideology, but as evil incarnate; Victory - as a "missed opportunity." Thus, the phrase of the film's author Andrei Afanasyev sounds blasphemous, who claims that "the tragedy of the Great Patriotic War became a chance to get rid of the amulet," that is, Lenin's body. It turns out that the author regrets the Victory of the Soviet Union in the Great Patriotic War? This is precisely what follows from his logic: if war is a chance to get rid of the Mausoleum, then the Victory of the Red Army is a missed opportunity.

This rhetoric is close to those who prayed for the defeat of the Red Army in 1941. Afanasyev, consciously or not, confirms the old axiom: "Scratch an anti-Soviet - you will find a fascist." When in 1945 the Red Army soldiers threw the banners of defeated Germany at the foot of the Mausoleum, it became a symbol of Victory, and not an "amulet." Afanasyev's statements fall under the definition of rehabilitation of Nazism in spirit, if not in the letter of the law. Justification of collaborationism is always a call for betrayal.

Andrey Afanasyev's "Mummy" is not his first attempt at ideological sabotage. Back in 2018, he was exposed on the oligarch Konstantin Malofeev's Tsargrad TV channel for using fabricated "quotes" from Lenin. For example, in order to create an image of Lenin as a Russophobe in the viewer's mind, he attributed the following statement to Ilyich: "We need to fool the Ivashki. Without fooling the Ivashki, we will not seize power." However, the source of this phrase turned out to be a text by anti-Semite Anatoly Glazunov, the author of the 2008 nationalist pamphlet "How Lenin's Jewish Blood Was Searched for and Banned." Glazunov later admitted that the quote was not confirmed and promised to delete it.

The mechanism of the forgery is simple: it is based on a quote from the work "State and Revolution", where Lenin criticized the Socialist Revolutionaries for hypocrisy: "A revolutionary democratic phrase - for fooling village Ivanushkas ..." In the original, the criticism was directed against pseudo-socialists, not Russians, the affectionate "Ivanushkas" was replaced by the dismissive "Ivashkas", the phrase was taken out of context, the intonation was distorted, ascribing to it the exact opposite meaning.

Afanasyev was forced to admit his mistake, writing on the Tsargrad website: "From the point of view of journalistic ethics, we made a serious mistake ... It is impossible to provide confirming sources ... We ask that you use only verified sources." However, in the film "The Mummy" he repeats the same techniques: the myth of the "ziggurat", "Lenin's Freemasonry" based on Nazi fakes, the presentation of science as "occultism".

Afanasyev's treatment of Lenin's quotes seems like a mockery of the viewers of "Spas". In "The Mummy" it says: "...Any religious idea is the most inexpressible abomination... even a pedophile priest is nicer and more understandable than an "ideological priest". Lenin does not have such a formulation. It is a falsification. In the original, in a letter to Gorky (1913), Lenin wrote that an "ideological" preacher is more dangerous than a priest convicted of a crime, because the former is more difficult to expose.

In another case, Afanasyev's words are not just a substitution, but an outright falsification. Against the background of a story about the events in Shuya, a supposedly Lenin letter is shown with the phrase: "The more representatives of the reactionary bourgeoisie and reactionary clergy we manage to shoot on this occasion, the better. We must teach this public a lesson right now so that for several decades they will not dare to think about any resistance."

This phrase is a fake, which has been exposed many times. In particular, the article “The best lies are made from half-truths” (Pravda newspaper, No. 5 (30648), 19-22.01.2018) shows that this “document” has no authentic sources and was thrown into circulation through émigré and anti-Soviet circles. We quote Pravda: “No serious academic collection of V.I. Lenin’s works contains such a text. No self-respecting historian, no serious publication uses this “document”. But it stubbornly wanders through anti-Soviet pamphlets...”

The authors of "The Mummy" deliberately or through negligence committed deception, which is even more outrageous given the declared "documentary nature".

According to the precepts of the CIA

Decommunization in Ukraine, organized by Western intelligence agencies, which began with the demolition of Lenin monuments, became the next step after the glorification of the Nazi accomplice Bandera towards the split of society and civil war. The film "The Mummy" uses the same methods: replacing history with myth, "satanization" of the Soviet period, generation gap.

At the same time, in Donbass, since 2014, Lenin monuments have been restored and historical names of settlements and streets renamed by the "Maidan" authorities have been returned. It is noteworthy that the son of Alexander Zakharchenko, the first head of the DPR, who died in 2018, Sergei joined the Communist Party of the Russian Federation in February 2023 and was soon elected first secretary of the Donetsk regional committee of the Leninist Komsomol of the Russian Federation. In July 2025, at the 19th Party Congress, Sergei joined the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. This is a symbolic step, emphasizing the aspiration of the new generation of Donbass for the Leninist ideal and social justice, as opposed to attempts to rewrite history and erase the Soviet Union from it.

The destruction of the Mausoleum will become a "Maidan" - a symbol of capitulation to the West. The anti-Leninist hysteria unleashed by "Spas" undermines not only domestic political unity, but also Russia's international ties. It complicates allied relations with China and other socialist countries, for which Lenin is a key figure in the Marxist tradition. This is a threat to dialogue within the framework of BRICS+, SCO, CSTO.

The film "The Mummy" is just the tip of the iceberg. For years, the Spas TV channel has been constructing a false historical picture: Nicholas II is a "passion-bearer," the White Guards are "heroes," and the émigré clergy are "martyrs." And the Soviet era is presented as one continuous "darkness and curse." Everything valuable was allegedly destroyed by the revolution, and the revolution itself was not the result of the people's struggle, but the machinations of "external forces." The methods are the same as in the 1990s: de-Stalinization, de-Sovietization, "demythologization of the Victory." But if earlier this was presented in the name of "liberalism," now it is under the flag of "traditional values.

" Meanwhile, the rhetoric of Spas literally reproduces the cliches of the "cold war." And this is not surprising: the ideological origins of many of its leaders go back to the ROCOR. Even after the formal "reunification" with the Moscow Patriarchate in 2007, the ROCOR retained its own autonomous network, a control center in the United States, and a specific ideology. Its representatives actively penetrate the Russian information space, promoting attitudes borrowed from White émigré propaganda.

Here is a clear example of how the White émigré sermon becomes an ideological weapon. Everything we have talked about above was embodied in the fate of one "archpastor" - a long-time enemy of the Soviet power, who served both at the front and on the air. That same Prince Shakhovsky - a White Guard, a confessor of the Francoists, a preacher of the "sword of the Lord" in the hands of the Hitlerite army, whom we mentioned, after serving with the Nazis, surfaced in the United States with the same ideological task.

In his new homeland, John (Shakhovsky), Archbishop of San Francisco and Western America, became an active participant in the ideological war against the USSR. For almost forty years, he hosted the "Conversations with the Russian People" column on the Voice of America radio station - the main mouthpiece of the "cold war", financed by the US government and coordinated by structures associated with the CIA.

They want to present Shakhovsky's activity as harmless pastoral work. However, declassified CIA documents, in particular the "Report on the First Six Months of Broadcasting of Radio Liberation" (CIA Reading Room, No. 06760840), clearly show otherwise. It records Shakhovsky's address to the soldiers and officers of the Soviet Army: under the guise of a spiritual sermon - an attempt to demoralize the fighters, to undermine trust in the command and the state.

This is not spiritual care, but an instrument of ideological warfare. His programs, broadcast in Russian, were carefully directed by the CIA. Under religious cover, a systematic attack was carried out on the Soviet Army, on faith in the rightness of Victory, on the very existence of the socialist state.

Thus, the "sword of the Lord", with which the Wehrmacht was blessed, later ended up in the hands of another aggressor - the USA. Under the same flag of “spiritual salvation,” with the same quotes from elders, images of guilt and retribution. The ROCOR was turned into a weapon against its own people. With this very sword, as Alexander Zinoviev accurately noted, “they aimed at communism, but ended up in Russia.” And the blame for this lies, among other things, with the pastors who entered the service of the imperialists.

In the midst of the SVO, their ideological heirs are once again serving the same forces. Under the cover of church rhetoric, narratives are being thrown into the public consciousness that replace the truth about the Soviet period with demonization and repentant hysteria. This is not just an attack on historical memory, it is ideological subversive work aimed at delegitimizing the state itself, its history, its Victory, its sovereignty. The followers of those who yesterday blessed the fascist armies and broadcast from CIA radio stations are today acting on the air of “Spas” in the role of “spiritual experts.”

The 19th Congress of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation noted in the resolution "Russophobia and anti-Sovietism are the enemies of creation, justice and the future of Russia": "...Russophobia, starting with attacks on the image of Lenin and monuments of the Soviet era, leads in only one direction - to the collapse of the statehood of Russia. Anti-Sovietism is an ideology of degradation, which serves as a justification for shooting in the back of the people who are fighting neo-Nazism and Banderaism ..."

Red flags and the Victory Banner are once again flying over the positions of the heroes of Donbass, and the images of Lenin and Stalin are on the chevrons of the fighters. These are not "ghosts of the past", but living banners of the struggle for the future of Russia. And at this moment they are stabbed in the back.

On June 5, 2025, the Synod of Bishops of the Russian Orthodox Church Outside of Russia (ROCOR), based in the United States, issued a harsh political statement condemning the revision of the assessment of the Soviet period in Russia, the restoration of monuments to Stalin and Dzerzhinsky, the restoration of the Mausoleum, and the refusal to rehabilitate a number of people convicted in the USSR. Under the guise of “spiritual concern,” a frontal attack on historical truth was launched. Today, during the war against neo-Nazism, armed and directed by the West, such statements from the ROCOR, which has collaborated with the CIA for decades, cannot be perceived as anything other than hostile propaganda aimed at demoralizing society and undermining national unity.

At the same time, on July 16, an unsigned article appeared on the RIA Novosti website — and therefore an editorial one — in which, to our surprise, a “prophecy” by the Athonite elder Aristokliy surfaced, which had already been heard in 1941 on the pages of the fascist newspaper Novoye Slovo. At that time, it was announced by Archimandrite Shakhovsky: “The Lord will liberate Russia from the godless government through the Germans.” The Germans, they said, were bringing “spiritual liberation,” opening churches, and “millions” of Soviet citizens greeted them as saviors. At that time, this was a justification for the Wehrmacht’s attack; today, it is the position of a major state media outlet.

After a wave of criticism, RIA quickly edited the material, blacking out everything that concerned the Germans and the occupation. But what was said had already been said, and in the year of the 80th anniversary of the Great Victory, such texts are not just a “mistake,” especially the enthusiasm about the “Opening of churches by the Germans.” In 1941, the Pskov Spiritual Mission operated in occupied Pskov under German control, formally "for the revival of Orthodoxy." The investigation into the case of its head, Archpriest Kirill Zayets, recorded that the mission was engaged in "pacifying the masses." Only a few, like priest Fyodor Puzanov, refused to serve the invaders, helped the partisans, and were awarded by the Soviet government. This is ideological sabotage, disguised as "spiritual care."

It is time to speak frankly: the ROCOR is not just a foreign jurisdiction. It is a structure whose activities raise questions from the point of view of national security interests. It is necessary to raise the question of its legal status in Russia, of recognizing its activities as a foreign agent, and its channels of influence as part of the information war. If the country takes its sovereignty seriously, such subversive work under the guise of "pastoral care" cannot remain unanswered.

By releasing the film "The Mummy", the Spas TV channel does not save, but destroys - the truth, trust, and social unity, and replaces spirituality with political incitement. It uses faith as a backdrop, broadcasting old émigré narratives - the same ones that blessed both Hitler's army and the propaganda of the CIA era. It stabs in the back those who are fighting for the future of Russia.

Modern communists have repeatedly proven that they respect millions of believers. Lenin emphasized: "We are against oppression, not against faith." Moreover, in the article "On the Attitude of the Workers' Party to Religion" he wrote: "We must not only admit, but strictly attract all workers who retain faith in God to the Social Democratic Party... We are certainly against the slightest insult to their religious beliefs, but we attract them for education in the spirit of our program."

The common task of Russian patriots: not to allow the history of our country to be rewritten at someone's behest - the Spas TV channel or the "Washington regional committee."

(c) Ivan EGOROV, reserve major, combat veteran.

https://gazeta-pravda.ru/issue/82-31719 ... miya-lzhi/ - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9992582.html

India to Continue Buying Oil from Russia
August 3, 13:05

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Mint: Indian state oil companies continue to buy fuel from Russia.
Negotiations are underway to conclude spot deals.

The Indian newspaper Mint, citing sources, wrote that the agreements are planned to be signed by Indian Oil Corp (IOC), Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd (BPCL) and Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd (HPCL).

It is noted that the consultations are being conducted despite the EU sanctions against Russia and US President Donald Trump's reproaches against New Delhi for large purchases of Russian energy resources.

"The deals that are currently being negotiated provide for deliveries in September. Until then, oil refineries are already loaded," the publication's sources emphasized.

Earlier, the American leader said that India would stop buying Russian oil in order to conclude a trade deal with Washington. At the same time, he clarified that he does not yet "know whether this is true or not."

https://govoritmoskva.ru/news/461252/ - zinc

Earlier, the Indian Foreign Ministry said that trade operations between Russia and India are a matter of their bilateral relations and third countries should not interfere. The most India will do is to restructure the schemes for importing and paying for Russian oil. Of course, India will not give up the favorable margin on purchasing Russian oil at a discount, which gives India billions of dollars in net profit, including on resale. Russia is happy with this scheme, since the discount for India allows it to bypass Western sanctions, devaluing the Western strategy of economically isolating Russia.
If India and China continue to buy Russian oil (and then resell it, among other things), then all efforts with "price corridors" will end in nothing. At most, they will slightly reduce Russia's income from the sale of energy resources. With plus or minus the current volumes of energy sales, Russia will easily be able to economically provide for the army and the growth of the military-industrial complex until the end of the 20s, maintaining an acceptable standard of living for the population and an average level of inflation.

India has also officially abandoned plans to purchase American F-35 fighters. Accordingly, in the future, Russian Su-35, Su-57 and Su-75 will compete on the Indian market primarily with French Rafales, which facilitates the fight for the profitable Indian market. India took the local fiasco of its Air Force in the war with Pakistan quite painfully and intends to update its fighter fleet in the coming years in order to compete on equal terms with Pakistan, which is armed with relatively new Chinese fighters with long-range missiles. Accordingly, Russian aircraft factories may have profitable contracts in the medium term if agreements are reached on the supply of modern Russian aircraft to India. Although now, of course, the main thing is the supply of new aircraft for the Russian Aerospace Forces.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9992116.html

Google Translator

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Krasheninnikov Erupts After Major Earthquakes Rock Kamchatka

A historic eruption in Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula follows the strongest earthquake recorded in the region in over 70 years, raising concerns about sustained seismic and volcanic instability.

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The Krasheninnikov volcano emits a 6,000-meter ash plume during its first recorded eruption in centuries. Photo: @RT_com

August 3, 2025 Hour: 6:21 am

The Krasheninnikov volcano erupted on Sunday for the first time in more than 600 years, following a series of powerful earthquakes that continue to shake Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula—a region already known for its intense seismic and volcanic activity.

The eruption began at 4:50 a.m. local time on August 3, sending an ash column six kilometers into the air from the 1,856-meter peak, according to the Kamchatka Volcanic Eruption Response Team (KVERT).

“This is the first historic eruption of Krasheninnikov in 600 years,” said Olga Girina, head of KVERT, in a statement to RIA Novosti. A lava dome has begun forming on the volcano’s slope, accompanied by sustained gas emissions and an ash plume emerging from its northern crater.

The reactivation of Krasheninnikov comes just days after an 8.8-magnitude earthquake struck offshore southeast of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky on July 30—the strongest seismic event recorded in the area since 1952. A 6.8-magnitude aftershock followed early Sunday, deepening concerns over regional geological instability.


The Russian Geophysical Service has reported more than 65 aftershocks since the initial quake, including 10 within the past 24 hours. Sunday’s tremor occurred 279 kilometers from Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, at a depth of 25.9 kilometers.

“These are extreme events unfolding in Kamchatka,” said Alexei Ozerov, director of the Far Eastern Institute of Volcanology and Seismology. “We associate the eruptions with the recent earthquake, which activated magmatic centers and injected additional energy.”

The aviation color code for Krasheninnikov has been raised from green to orange. Ash from the eruption has drifted up to 75 kilometers eastward, though no deposits have reached populated areas.

Krasheninnikov, named after Russian explorer Stepan Krasheninnikov, consists of two overlapping stratovolcanoes inside a large caldera located within the Kronotsky Nature Reserve, approximately 50 kilometers from the regional capital. The last confirmed lava flow occurred around 1463, with some fumarolic activity observed in 1963, but no eruptions had been documented—until now.


The impact of the July 30 earthquake has not been limited to Krasheninnikov. Klyuchevskaya Sopka, one of Eurasia’s tallest and most active volcanoes, erupted shortly afterward in what officials described as its most significant event in seven decades. Other volcanoes, including Shiveluch, Karymsky, Bezymianny, and Kambalny, have also shown elevated activity.

Authorities have warned that ash clouds from these eruptions could reach up to 10,000 meters in altitude, posing risks to aviation and prompting flight route adjustments across the Pacific corridor. Travelers and residents have been advised to stay at least 10 kilometers away from active volcanoes.

With seismic aftershocks ongoing and volcanic unrest escalating across multiple sites, experts caution that the current phase of geological activity in Kamchatka may extend for months. The region, situated on the volatile Pacific Ring of Fire, remains under close observation as researchers monitor signs of further instability.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/krasheni ... kamchatka/

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Larry Johnson: More Unnecessary Bellicosity From a Senior US General Raises Tensions with Russia
August 3, 2025
By Larry Johnson, Substack, 7/22/25

The West continues to operate under the delusion that it has the military strength and political support to bully Russia into a ceasefire. The latest example comes from General Christopher Donahue, commander of U.S. Army Europe and Africa, who made an incredibly dangerous assertion during a speech to the Association of the U.S. Army’s inaugural LandEuro conference in Wiesbaden, Germany last week. Donahue stated that NATO land forces have developed the capability to strike and seize Russia’s Kaliningrad exclave “in a timeframe that is unheard of”—faster than ever before. He touted NATO advances in rapid land-based operations and emphasized that Kaliningrad—a heavily militarized Russian enclave surrounded by NATO territory—could be neutralized from the ground much more swiftly than previously possible. He said:

“We can take that down from the ground in a time frame that is unheard of – faster than we’ve ever been able to do.”

Donahue’s statement was not intended to suggest that NATO had imminent plans to launch a first strike; rather it was a warning to Russia about the alliance’s readiness in the event of further aggression, especially against the Baltic states. Commentators and officials interpret these remarks as reassurance to NATO partners and a signal to Moscow that any attack on NATO would prompt a decisive and rapid response. Regardless of Donahue’s intent, this is a reckless, dangerous statement in light of his position as the head of the US European Command. While it may have boosted morale among the Lilliputian Baltic nations, the Russians viewed it as a serious threat and a provocation.

Son of the New American Revolution is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

Russian authorities responded that any military assault on Kaliningrad would be treated unequivocally as an attack on the Russian Federation itself. Leonid Slutsky, chair of the Russian parliamentary Foreign Affairs Committee (a senior figure who often reflects Foreign Ministry rhetoric), explicitly stated:

“An attack on the Kaliningrad Region will mean an attack on Russia, with all due retaliatory measures stipulated, among other things, by its nuclear doctrine…. The American general should consider this before making such declarations.”

A parliamentary defense committee member called the threats “essentially a declaration of war.”

Donahue’s remarks, beyond being incredibly stupid, displayed the arrogance and contempt that US political and military leaders have for Russia. To make matters worse, NATO is conducting, or will soon conduct, a military exercise that simulates invading Kaliningrad. The Russians have taken notice and do not dismiss this as an idle threat. One retired Russian intelligence officer reacted by saying:

“And what would happen to Washington or New York if we deployed our troops in the ocean, for example, including the submarine fleet, and rehearsed strikes on New York and Washington. How would Trump react?”

I think we know the answer to that rhetorical question… Trump would attack. Now that Russia is mass-producing the Oreshnik hypersonic missile, Putin has an option other than going nuclear. The Oreshnik can hit any target in Europe — i.e., it is a hypersonic version of an intermediate range ballistic missile, except it can be maneuvered while in flight and a single missile can deliver multiple warheads. The West does not have any defense against this missile. I wonder if Donahue understands that?

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/08/lar ... th-russia/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Tue Aug 05, 2025 3:15 pm

Lavrov Again: A Voice of Clam Assuredness in One Answer
Karl Sanchez
Aug 05, 2025

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Sorry for the delay in providing this reply that shows Trump is no match for Lavrov as he answers a “media question:”
Question: In an interview with Fox Radio on July 31, Marco Rubio spoke about continuing cooperation with the Russian side and referred to some recent contacts and conversations in the hope of coming to an understanding of the path to peace. But he said that so far the United States has not seen "any progress" in this direction. What can you say about this?

Sergey Lavrov: Indeed, we regularly communicate with our American colleagues at various levels, including telephone conversations between the presidents and Miguel Rubio, through Special Presidential Representative Stephen Witkoff. The resumption of direct dialogue by the current US administration is fully in line with normal diplomatic practice, the rejection of which under Joe Biden was contrary to common sense. The substantive discussion of the Ukrainian issue between Moscow and Washington, which has been taking place since the beginning of the year, is very useful and yielding results. It was thanks to President Donald Trump's insistence that the Kiev regime agreed to our proposal to resume the Istanbul talks.

Three rounds have already taken place. In addition to important humanitarian agreements, we proposed the creation of working groups on political and military issues, which would be a significant step towards agreeing on sustainable agreements, as the President of Russia emphasised during his meeting with Alexander Lukashenko on August 1 in Valaam.

We are waiting for a concrete reaction from Kyiv. In the meantime, it is replaced by Zelensky's mutually exclusive statements: an immediate truce without preconditions again (with a direct call on the West to use the truce to pump Ukraine with weapons again), the replacement of the Istanbul format of talks with a personal meeting with Vladimir Putin, or a demand for the West to achieve a "change of Russian leadership." All this is done at intervals of one or two days. Therefore, all those who care about progress in the settlement would do well to pay attention to this obvious stratification of consciousness.

In the meantime, progress is being made primarily in the fact that our American colleagues, unlike the Europeans who are focused on aggressive Russophobia, are aware of the current realities and are trying to take into account the root causes of the crisis, which Vladimir Putin has repeatedly described in detail, including the need to respect the will of the residents of Crimea, Donbass and Novorossiya in response to the 2014 coup d'état, whose leaders proclaimed them "subhumans" and "terrorists." And while the Europeans are hysterically demanding that Ukraine be dragged into NATO and prepare for war with Russia, Marco Rubio recently reaffirmed his responsible approach, clearly stating that a direct military confrontation between the United States and Russia should never be allowed. We fully agree with that. And this is also the result of mutual understanding reached during the Russian-American dialogue.

Progress in reliably eliminating the root causes of the crisis also presupposes a clear clarification of the positions of all Kiev's patrons regarding the actions of the Ukrainian regime to legislatively and physically exterminate everything Russian: language, education, culture, history, memory, and to ban canonical Orthodoxy. There is no other country in the world, except Ukraine, where any language is officially banned. We are convinced that the United States, which, unlike many hypocrites in the European Union, is sincerely interested in ensuring human rights and national minorities, could give an objective assessment of this situation. That would be an important step towards tangible progress.

We are also encouraged by the openness of our colleagues in Washington to continue an honest and mutually respectful conversation, taking into account such a factor as the expediency of inscribing the formula for a sustainable settlement of the situation in Ukraine in the context of reliably ensuring pan-European security based on a balance of the legitimate interests of all states involved. Vladimir Putin also emphasised our readiness for such a conversation during his talks with media representatives on Valaam on August 1.
Sense some veiled sarcasm? Or perhaps explaining things to an adolescent? I get the feeling that when they’re out golfing Graham tells Trump that the Russians are laughing at him, and Medvedev is being disrespectful, that the Empire must get tough with the Russians. Meanwhile, plenty of dirt is being tossed at Trump and the Ds as several corruption scandals are erupting. That so many nations are ignoring the Imperial Diktat to cease trading with Russia, China, and Iran is also unnerving Trump and provides evidence for the “They’re laughing at you” goad. Lula’s response is a case in point:
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva says his country will not forget that the United States “helped stage a coup” in Brazil, condemning Washington’s attempt to exert political pressure and impose economic punishment.

Speaking at a Workers’ Party event in Brasília on Sunday, Lula de Silva warned that Brazil would not accept unequal treatment from the US and is ready to defend its interests on the global stage.

“Trying to use a political issue to economically sanction us is unacceptable,” Lula de Silva said, referring to recent US threats to impose a 50% tariff on Brazilian exports.

“I won’t forget that they have already helped stage a coup here,” he added. He did not specify whether he was referring to the 1964 Operation Brother Sam, the 2016 impeachment of former President Dilma Rousseff, or the recent attempt by ex-President Jair Messias Bolsonaro to overturn the 2022 election results.

US President Donald Trump has linked the tariff threat to what he called a “witch hunt” against his ally Bolsonaro, who stands accused of attempting a coup to stay in power.
PressTV was keen to point out that Brazil has suffered several coups imposed by the Outlaw US Empire and the tariff attack has caused Brazilians to rally to the flag boosting Lula’s political support. The other BRICS party to be assaulted by Trump is India, which will hopefully push Modi and his supporters off the fence and finally entrench them into the SCO/BRICS camps and sink further talk of the Quad.

https://karlof1.substack.com/p/lavrov-a ... ssuredness

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Brian McDonald: Too rich for BRICS, too Russian for Brussels
August 4, 2025
By Brian McDonald, Substack, 7/23/25

There are questions that sound academic until you realise entire wars have been built on their answers. One of them, heavy with history and the kind of political quicksand that swallows men faster than bullets, is this: Where does Russia belong?

Not in the atlas—that part’s clear. Russia’s right where it’s always been, draped across the continents like a great old beast, spine deep in Siberia, face still turned—half-defiantly—toward Europe. But if you look past the borders and into the bones, the question comes again: what is it now?

Is it still the outlier in the European family—wounded, estranged, but recognisably kin? Or has it thrown in its lot with the Global South, shoulder to shoulder with Brazil and South Africa in that loose alphabet of ambition we call BRICS?

The numbers say one thing. The stories we tell say another. And somewhere between the two lies the truth—stubborn, shifting, and hard to hold.

Take the latest data measured by the IMF. Russia’s PPP-adjusted average (net) salary now sits at $3,340 a month—a not-so-gentle reminder that this is no longer an “emerging market” in any serious sense. That puts it above Italy ($3,307), Czechia ($3,022), and Lithuania ($2,870). It’s knocking at the door of Spain ($3,459) and not far off the UK ($3,597). And the direction of travel matters: incomes in ruble terms rose 16% year-on-year, according to Rosstat. The numbers aren’t just big—they’re getting bigger.

Then we look at BRICS. China stands at around $2,000, a full tier above Brazil ($1,210), India ($900), or South Africa ($965). For all of China’s rise—its bullet trains, high-rises, and sprawling megacities—Russian living standards remain, on average, markedly higher. It doesn’t really swim in the same waters as its BRICS partners. The shelves are fuller, the flats warmer and better air conditioned, the middle class—however bruised—more securely anchored. This isn’t the landscape of unfinished industrial revolutions or sprawling poverty. And yet, BRICS was never really about income. It was about leverage. A counterweight. A refusal to accept the world as arranged in Brussels or Washington. And here, Russia fits like a clenched fist: sanctioned, ringed by rivals, yet impossible to ignore. A battle-scarred heavyweight among rising strivers.

But averages are for economists and liars. Russia remains a country of gulfs, not gradients. The gap between richest and poorest regions has now hit a record ₽182,000 per month—a difference of $2,330. In Chukotka, the average salary’s $2,855. In Ingushetia, it’s $525. In Moscow, Yamalo-Nenets, Magadan—you can clear $1,850. In Chechnya, Dagestan, Ossetia—you’ll be lucky to get past $600.

And those are just the visible figures. The informal economy is vast, anywhere from 30 to 50 percent of GDP by some estimates. Wages are paid in cash, favours, or silence. The real economy—the one people actually live in—moves in ways no spreadsheet can mode

But even through the distortion, a picture emerges. This isn’t India or Brazil. It isn’t South Africa. Not in income, not in infrastructure, not in human capital. Russia is something else—wealthier than it lets on, more developed than many would like to admit, and far harder to categorise than any acronym can allow.

Still, the Kremlin has made its choice. Not just in trade, but in tone.

“European markets, European economies—these are dying economies,” said Maxim Oreshkin, Putin’s top economic aide, standing at a forum outside Moscow, this week, like a man delivering last rites. “Germany has been in stagnation for years.” In his eyes, only India compares to Russia in long-term potential—but even there, he says, “the mentality” stifles initiative.

You may scoff. You might nod along. But you can’t ignore it—this is how the Kremlin sees the world in 2025. And from that vision comes policy. Comes alignment. Comes strategy.

It’s not just rhetoric, either. Russia is rebuilding itself in the image of South Korea’s chaebols—not through design, perhaps, but necessity. The old oligarch model is being nudged aside. In its place: corporate giants like Severstal, Norilsk Nickel, Rosatom, sprawling, vertically integrated, politically aligned.

Billionaire Alexei Mordashov has warned this shift comes with risks—monopolies, stagnation, a strangling of small business. But is it worse than what came before? The era when Roman Abramovich, Mikhail Friedman, Andrey Melnichenko stripped billions out of the country, bought mansions in London, chalets in Switzerland, parked their yachts in the Med, and passed through airports with more passports than principles?

One Moscow tycoon told me last year, without blinking, that over $2 trillion net was “ripped out of Russia” between 1991 and 2021. A staggering sum. A slow bleed, year by year. Maybe now, at last, the arteries are being tied off.

So again we ask—where does Russia belong?

Not in BRICS, if we’re talking economic fundamentals. Its income levels, industrial base, and urban development look more like Warsaw or Milan than Pretoria or São Paulo. It may trade with the Global South, but it doesn’t live like it.

And yet… it doesn’t quite belong in Europe either. Not politically. Not anymore.

It’s been a long while in the cold now. Years of it. Locked out, boxed in, talked about in every room but never let through the door. NATO’s right up at the fence, sufficiently close to hear it breathe. And all the while, Western Europe pulls its collar up and crosses the street. Brussels has been doing its best impression of a fainting duchess, pretending this is all one-way traffic—as if history were a thing that only happens to other people. And every Russian artist, every athlete, every voice with that distinctive accent—brushed with the same shade of guilt.

Some of it, of course, is Russia’s own making. No getting around that. But by no means is all of it. And the effect’s the same either way: a continent turning away from a country that once helped shape its soul.

Because let’s not kid ourselves—Russia is European. Not just on the map, but in the marrow. In its music, its cathedrals, its tragedies. In the long, bleak arc of its novels. It suffers like Europe. It thinks like Europe. It dreams in the same key.

What are Pushkin, Tolstoy, Chekhov, if not European masters? What is Tchaikovsky if not the echo of a continent? Have we forgotten Tarkovsky? Shostakovich and his Lady Macbeth of Mtsensk?

What of Orthodox Christianity, born of Byzantium, rooted in Constantinople, branching into the same soil as Rome and Athens?

That Western Europe has chosen to forget this—out of fear, fury, or fatigue—is a tragedy. That Russia might forget it too would be a far greater one.

So no, Russia doesn’t fit neatly into BRICS. But neither is it fully out of Europe. It’s caught between orbits, spinning under a sky that no longer knows how to name it.

Maybe that’s the most Russian place to be of all.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/08/bri ... -brussels/

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(This is dated but well worth the time.)

A Step from Peace to War, or Peace as a Respite in Permanent War

Very few are capable of taking a scientific, adequate attitude to military actions before the artillery cannonade begins. And during the battles that have begun, attention is completely fixated on particular phenomena, tragic events and superficial political fuss. And even if you begin to study a fundamental problem from any arbitrarily chosen moment in history, it is very difficult to arrive at the truth. Therefore, the majority wanders in the darkness of "geopolitics", "denazification", "demilitarization", "Putinism", "de-Putinization" and strained historical analogies with the First World War, then with the Soviet-Finnish War. Adjusting theoretical research to a concept deliberately proposed by the bourgeoisie of one side or another is the most impudent anti-Marxism and anti-science. If the essence of phenomena lay on the surface, from where all the experts and analysts without exception draw their conclusions, then there would be no need for science.

Every war, just or not, liberating or aggressive, revolutionary or counter-revolutionary, is predetermined by the laws of the economic basis of class society . Violence in general is an integral part of private property relations, and the state form of violence, that is, systemic, operational, professional and concentrated forceful coercion, is a qualitative component of the superstructure.

No war in the world has ever been started by monarchs, presidents or prime ministers, although the role of the state creates the illusion that exploiters are not directly involved in violence. War is always and everywhere waged only by the ruling class , although the representatives of this class themselves may not understand the difference between a howitzer and a cannon, or a tank and an infantry fighting vehicle. The independence of the top of the state apparatus from the will of the ruling class is relative, and dependence is absolute. State policy as a whole is a concentrated expression of relations generated by exploitative private property . Therefore, victory in a war by one bourgeois state over another bourgeois state never leads to a change in the economic system, only the superstructural elements, jurisdictions, political institutions, persons in power and detachments of the oligarchy change, the redistribution of property by which is the main motive for the beginning of hostilities.

The key to understanding the essence of armed conflicts is to fix in the consciousness the moment when the peaceful development of capitalism passes into the phase of clashes of armies and fleets, that is, the main institutions of state violence. Outwardly, it seems that there is a fundamental difference between the era of peaceful life and the period of military actions, that these are two completely opposite states of society. Bourgeois ideology and bourgeois theory of wars are filled with hypocritical pacifism and focus all attention on the moment of the beginning of military actions, on the validity, political expediency or inexpediency of the external side of the conflict. The conflicts between states themselves are considered as a product of the will of individual politicians, a clash of some abstract "national interests".

However, if we consider the moment of transition from peace to war from a dialectical point of view, we will see that military actions become only a more radical means of resolving the contradictions of competition , which was, is and will be as long as private property prevails. MLRS salvos differ from stock market takeovers, duties, displacement from the market, nationalizations only in the form and speed of the desired economic consequences.

Within a single country, competition between capitalists, if you don't count contract killings, takes place in a relatively peaceful form and consistently leads to monopolization. But outside the national market, the growth of individual capital runs into the sovereignty of other states, which also have their own oligarchs, dreaming first of regional and then of world domination. Each class of capitalists has not only its own police, but also its own national army, which guarantees all the necessary conditions for the existence of a given economic system and the economy that they consider their fiefdom.

Hence:

“War is a necessary phase in the functioning of a capitalist economy, and the higher the concentration and centralization of capital, the higher its objective tendency to absorb the weakest capital, its natural aggressiveness” (Podguzov).

Capitalism is not constantly at war only because war requires resources and forces that must be accumulated and concentrated. Peace under capitalism is therefore only a natural stage in preparation for war . If capitalists had the opportunity to wage war continuously, they would do so. But since warfare exhausts human resources, and the instruments of destruction are technologically increasingly deadly and destructive, war under capitalism is periodic and seems out of the ordinary.

War in the broad sense of the word never ceases under capitalism, since it is one of the forms of objective economic relations between owners . But the difficulty of such a perception of war for the majority of ordinary citizens, the future victims of every war in the narrow sense of the word, is that open mass battles occur only from time to time, although they sometimes last for decades.

Consequently, when considering the moment of the onset of war, we have before us two phases of the same economic process of capital accumulation: commodity-money, or peaceful, and violent, or military. Their content is the same - the production relations of capitalism. This is precisely why wars are a natural companion of capitalism and, in general, all exploitative formations . In pre-capitalist private property formations, war appears in a more obvious form as a means of concentrating slaves, peasants, arable, ore-bearing and logistically valuable land in the hands of magnates.

Moreover, the phase of open war gives capitalism a more dynamic way of concentrating capital, allows it to quickly get rid of "bubbles" and "imbalances", of unnecessary, weak capitalists, and destroys a large number of material and virtual values. The human victims and suffering of war worry capitalists as little as the poverty and unemployment of peacetime.

It is easy to see that where in peacetime there is a self-expansion and concentration of capital, there is an active accumulation of special means of waging war, in which practically all entrepreneurs are involved. And to form a submissive consciousness of cannon fodder, all the forces of market arts, "Bologna systems", nationalism and religion are mobilized. War in the narrow sense of the word, as a series of battles, with its roar, the brilliance of thoughtless "heroism", tragedies, eclipses in the minds of even many theorists war in the broad sense of the word, as an aspect of the capitalist formation as a whole.

“In the military-political, narrow sense, imperialist war is an extremely violent, immanent form of the policy of the bourgeois state, and at the level of a higher order of essence, in the broad, socio-economic sense, war is a violent form of economic relations that periodically and inevitably arises between exploiters regarding the appropriation, distribution and redistribution of the world’s material wealth” (Podguzov).

War serves as a natural means of eliminating the discrepancy between the growth of productive forces , above all in the idiotic form of capital accumulation, on the one hand, and the division of spheres of influence for finance capital, on the other . Take, for example, this Leninist truth:

“The era of modern capitalism shows us that certain relations are developing between capitalist unions on the basis of the economic division of the world, and alongside this, in connection with this, between political unions, states, certain relations are developing on the basis of the territorial division of the world, the struggle for colonies, the struggle for economic territory.”

Thus, between the capitalists of the West, primarily the USA, England, France, Germany, certain relations have developed on the basis of a complete economic division of the world, which look like the hegemony and dictatorship of Western transnational corporations from military-industrial conglomerates and oil and gas corporations to IT giants and "big pharma". And next to this, in connection with this, an alliance of states has developed, including in the form of the NATO alliance, which suppresses the sovereignty of individual countries and resorts to force of arms where necessary, or provokes wars with the hands of maddened nationalists.

As soon as the Soviet state was destroyed and the dictatorship of capital prevailed, all the conditions were created for entrepreneurs, firstly, to tear the country to pieces, and secondly, to fall into universal competition, that is, a war of all against all, creating many configurations both among themselves and with their Western "partners", thus setting fire to new "hot spots" on the territory of the USSR. The mass death of people and the rampage of fascism are the price for the bungling shown by the people in 1991 .

From a general theoretical approach to the specifics of a particular
On February 24, 2022, the bourgeois Russian Federation, represented by President Putin, announced a special military operation in Ukraine, citing NATO expansion policy and a number of other circumstances that became the reason for the outbreak of hostilities. In essence, we are talking about one bourgeois state openly intervening in a civil war in another bourgeois state on the side of the rebellious people of Donbass and the bourgeois "people's republics" that subsequently emerged.

Let us recall some of the conclusions about the situation in Ukraine that we made in 2019. Thus, we stated:

1. After 2014, a pro-Western group of oligarchs seized power in Ukraine, finally turning the Ukrainian state into a puppet of the American oligarchy. Ukraine, like Poland and the Baltic countries before it, became an outpost of American imperialism in Eastern Europe.

2. Power in the Russian Federation is in the hands of the oligarchy, that is, financial capital, and is guided exclusively by the interests of preserving state-monopoly capitalism in Russia and expanding its dominance abroad. All talk about protecting the "Russian world" and the multipolar structure is a screen and cover.

3. The civil war in Ukraine was unleashed by the Western oligarchy:

"Maidan, the annexation of Crimea to the Russian Federation, the formation of the LPR and DPR, and the civil war, with all the complex and contradictory course of these processes, are first and foremost a product of the policies of American and European oligarchs. In this case, the Russian bourgeoisie acted according to the situation, trying not to weaken its position in the context of losing influence in Kyiv."

4. The participation of the bourgeois Russian Federation in the civil war in Ukraine through the so-called Minsk and Normandy formats, that is, essentially the preservation of the conflict, was dictated by political motives of counteracting American imperialism. The bourgeois Russian Federation, feeling its weakness, did not openly interfere in the civil war in Ukraine, but also did not allow the Ukrainian Armed Forces to seize Donbass. Such participation of the Russian Federation was not of an imperialistic nature, was not aimed at seizing territories or redrawing spheres of influence. However, we noted that it was quite possible that the Russian oligarchy was hatching expansionist plans regarding Ukraine.

5. We have pointed out that the fundamental position of Marxism in any such conflict is that the proletariat must turn its weapons against any bourgeoisie: Ukrainian, Russian, American, European, Donetsk, Lugansk. But since such a slogan would be empty air shaking in the current situation, since there are no appropriate conditions for its advancement, the most productive solution to the situation would be the defeat of the Ukrainian government in the civil war.

6. We predicted three most likely scenarios that could lead to the end of the civil war: 1) if a communist revolution occurs in Russia, Ukraine or Donbass and the dictatorship of the working class resolves the issue peacefully or militarily; 2) if power in Ukraine passes into the hands of a pro-Russian oligarchy; 3) if the Russian oligarchs feel the need to resolve the issue militarily.

At the same time, since 2019, there has been a significant change in the international situation. The confrontation between world imperialism and China has sharply intensified, the American oligarchy has essentially unleashed a new cold war against the PRC, in which the bourgeois Russian Federation is a springboard for encircling and isolating China. The pressure of American and European imperialism on the bourgeois Russian Federation has increased significantly in all directions, including through internal attacks on Belarus and attempts to provoke an "orange revolution" in Russia (the poisoning of Navalny and the activation of the liberal opposition). There have been many publications about this, in which we developed the idea that the world system of imperialism is on the verge of a new world war.

The behavior of the bourgeois RF in the changing situation was consistently commercial and "businesslike". First, it made proposals to Western imperialism led by the USA to voluntarily leave Eastern Europe, primarily Ukraine, that is, to recognize the sphere of influence of Russian financial capital, which would guarantee the neutrality of the RF in the confrontation between the USA and China. And after these proposals were ignored, the RF proactively began a special operation in Ukraine.

There was clearly a change in the strength of the potentials of the Russian and Western oligarchies, since for the first time the conversation was on equal terms. And also that the degree of pressure from the US turned out to be critical for the Russian oligarchy. The military-political leadership of the Russian Federation, expressing the interests and needs of the Russian oligarchy, considered that further passive delay only worsened the country's situation, and a "fight" was inevitable anyway. It cannot be ruled out that the Ukrainian Armed Forces were indeed preparing a massive offensive on Donbass and even on Crimea.

The outbreak of hostilities in Ukraine ended the period of preparation for the open struggle of American imperialism to preserve its hegemony and the world order that had emerged after the collapse of the USSR . There was a sharp mobilization of Western countries, they all began to pump the Ukrainian army with weapons, supply it with intelligence data and staff it with mercenaries. In the domestic politics of Western countries, exactly the same rejection of bourgeois democratic freedoms is taking place, as was observed in the 1950s during the so-called McCarthy era.

In turn, the actions of the United States as an imperialist state are dictated by the tasks of maintaining the hegemony of American corporations and the business interests of all the main entities belonging to the structurally Anglo-Saxon system of globalized economy, which after the collapse of the USSR stretched its tentacles across the globe. In them, one can conditionally distinguish two sides - political and economic.

The political side is the unleashing of a new cold war against China, in which the Russian Federation is an important foothold on the approaches to the PRC. In it, economic benefits appear indirectly through competition with Chinese state capital, and, of course, there is an element of fear of communism and the socialist state as such. The dynamics of development of modern China clearly demonstrates the high efficiency of communist power even in the conditions of a market economy.

The economic side of the actions of American imperialism is connected with direct benefits from specific decisions, for example, in the form of enrichment of the private military-industrial complex from arms supplies and the arms race in general, oil and gas giants from the redistribution of the European gas market, the ruin of masses of small owners, etc.

The same is true for the position of the imperialists of France and Germany, with the only difference being that it reflects the balancing and relations of the monopolists of these countries with their American "colleagues", that is, in this case they directly and openly support the US in the confrontation with the Russian Federation, but are somewhat hesitant, not wanting a direct confrontation with China. The inter-imperialist contradictions between the US and the EU are also growing, since the US oligarchs are directly using Europe in their own interests, without regard for the economic and social damage to the power of their "partners".

The complexity of the moment has exposed the theoretical helplessness of the left
The start of the Russian special operation in Ukraine has become an event in which left-wing activists and organizations have diverged in their assessments. But the special operation has not only caused a split in the left into supporters and opponents of the war, but has also transferred the entire theoretical assessment of the situation to the plane of purely external phenomena. Some leftists are taking it out on Putin and Russian imperialism, while other leftists are taking it out on Zelensky, Biden, and American imperialism. Much discussion revolves around Ukrainian fascist gangs and the role of NATO countries in the conflict. However, almost no one is revealing the role of capitalism itself in the war.

None of the leftists dared to reason from the general to the particular. Thus, all entrepreneurs are competitors, and they are much more internationalists than the proletarians. They do not need to be called to internationalism, they themselves are always looking for combinations on the side. It is not for nothing that some Russian oligarchs kept their money abroad, they are always for any war, but on the side of the potential, as they think, winner. Another issue is that the Russian Federation is full of entrepreneurs who have nothing to look for abroad, but they never pay attention to race, nationality, or religious affiliation. Periodically, political leaders appear on the scene, expressing the aspirations of some groups of capitalists, not only large ones, but also small ones, sometimes comprador, sometimes nationalistic, but this changes little in the overall picture. So all wars are generally waged exclusively by the bourgeoisie, regardless of what nation they belong to, what country they live in, and in what combination they entered the war. But the state and the army always become the scapegoat. If there were no entrepreneurs, there would be no competition between them, there would be no bourgeois parties and presidents reflecting the interests of groups of entrepreneurs, both small and large, both strong and weak, who are at war with each other to the death.

Therefore, no matter what the specifics, no matter how significant the nuances of a specific military campaign may seem, as long as the masses of ordinary people are under the impression of political chatter, the militaristic component, state policy, the role of presidents and field commanders, immersed in an attempt to embrace all these nuances in the process of searching for personal culprits, nothing threatens capitalism itself. The topic of capitalism in war is considered by modern leftists so sluggishly and dullly that the masses of citizens do not have any complaints, hatred or contempt for capitalism as the source of all wars. The fact that today there are borders, countries, governments, political systems and figures is all secondary, inherited by the earthly community as remnants of slavery, feudalism, clerical fragmentation. That is the main thing.

We are not against identifying specific nuances and the role of superstructure institutions, but only after our readers have come to the realization that all wars are prepared and unleashed by ordinary entrepreneurs, including the smallest ones .

This position is dictated both by the general considerations of the propaganda of Marxist theory and by the fact that the most we are capable of in fact is to formulate a scientifically sound point of view on current events, without having the ability to exert practical influence on it. If our point of view is scientific, then this is what will work over time and generate a constructive practical reaction from the masses and their leaders who are closest to the left position.

For a more detailed examination of the position of opponents of the Russian special operation, we will resort to the joint statement of the Communist Parties of Greece, Spain, Mexico and Turkey, which in its theoretical content covers almost all the arguments of the left. Thus, fairly large and respected Communist Parties claim that the Russian-Ukrainian war is an imperialist war between the US, NATO, the EU - on the one hand - and the Russian Federation - on the other - in the struggle for control over the markets, raw materials and transport networks of Ukraine. A similar risk of wars is present in other regions, as the confrontation between the US and China for primacy in the capitalist world is intensifying. They recognize the anti-fascist rhetoric of the Russian Federation as false, designed to disorient workers.

It is unclear what specific outcome of the RF special operation these communist parties see as the most acceptable for the cause of communism. They are simply against imperialist wars, that is, they take a position of abstract pacifism. It is clear that the statement "no to war" in the current circumstances means actual support for the military defeat of the RF.

It is difficult to call such a position anything other than schoolboyish, it is the product of some compromise between organizations that do not want to look into the situation in detail. And again, their criticism has no place for capitalism itself, the origins of the conflict are not considered in connection with the collapse of the USSR and the transition from communism to capitalism. The equation of American and Russian imperialisms, the equation of American imperialism and socialist China looks especially obscene, which again only plays into the hands of preserving the hegemony of the Western oligarchy. The confusion that these communist parties have created further pushes back the matter of introducing the Marxist worldview to the masses.

At least now there are a number of socialist states in the world (China, Cuba, North Korea, Vietnam, Laos), and communists are obliged to view all international political processes through the prism of the needs of their existence and development. They oppose world imperialism, and in this class struggle we are obliged to firmly take the side of the forces of communism. The fact that some leftists do not like “Marxism with Chinese characteristics” or Juche, that, in their opinion, the socialist power in these countries is not correct enough, and the policy is opportunistic, is a manifestation of dogmatism and Trotskyism. We have the right to form our own opinion in the field of the theory and practice of communism in these countries, but it should not run counter to their support. It is not for us to teach Chinese, North Korean, Vietnamese, Cuban and Laotian communists, and certainly not the Greek, Spanish, Mexican and Turkish leftists.

In addition, there are a number of states with a socialist orientation (Venezuela, Nicaragua, Bolivia, Nepal, Syria, Eritrea, Belarus, Transnistria), there is a national liberation struggle of various peoples. Of course, communists sympathize with all anti-capitalist and anti-imperialist processes and are obliged to take them into account when assessing certain political events and phenomena, especially global ones, having international significance.

But all this has been forgotten by the left and sacrificed to "Marxist" pedantry and "revolutionary" posturing. Such theoretical assessments evoke nothing but regret.

Important nuances in assessing the situation
The first important nuance in assessing the situation is that the basis of imperialism corresponds to the superstructure of imperialism, the ideology of which is fascism.

"The highest stage of development of capitalism, i.e. imperialism, corresponds to the highest, i.e. the most genocidogenic ideology, which is the subjective prerequisite for the withering away of market capitalist relations, since private monopolistic property has exhausted its possibilities for ideological maneuvering, for generating theories that mask the reactionary essence of exploitative formations. The bourgeoisie of each nation is forced to openly admit that under the conditions of the dominance of monopolies, those who want to continue the growth of the profitability of their capital have no other way to do this than to "wet" their competitors on a global scale. Free trade, fascism and globalization differ somewhat in the terms used, but are synonyms from the point of view of the final goals of the policy of establishing world domination of one ethnic group of financial capital tycoons" (Podguzov).

The combined strength of imperialism of a particular group of oligarchs and the states under their control is proportional to the degree of its reaction . Unlike the era of the First World War, the contradictions of modern imperialism are not a struggle between two blocs of equal potential. The world market is already under the control of American imperialism, and the oligarchies of other nations are trying to free themselves from the dictate of Washington. That is, we already live in a world of victorious American fascism , even if its terminological veil revolves around the doctrines of neoliberalism and globalization. The situation with political regimes in Ukraine, the Baltics, Poland, Taiwan, Japan, Kosovo and the like shows how easily American democracy on the ground turns into nationalism and support for openly fascist gangs when it is advantageous to Washington patrons.

Furthermore, American imperialism (USA, England, Canada, Australia, Israel, Japan, Poland, the Baltics and other openly pro-American regimes) is not equal to the imperialism of the EU (France, Germany), the imperialism of Turkey, the imperialism of India or Russia. They treat each other as the strong to the weak, block, compete, and engage in open confrontation at the regional level.

Consequently, fascism as an ideology and practice of the aspiration of the financial capital of one nation to world domination is inherent in all bourgeois countries, but to varying degrees, depending on the strength and the ratio of potentials of the ruling bourgeois classes in them . Countries in which national capital, due to their size and total subordination to the world market, is not capable of achieving the level of financial monopolization, become an arena for the struggle of foreign financial capital and fall into political dependence.

Thus, Ukrainian fascism - Banderaism - with all its gangs, nationalism, terror is an element of the superstructure not of Ukrainian capitalism, but of American imperialism . Ukrainian oligarchs are not capable of laying claim to world domination, but are simply the tail of American corporations, typical compradors who are allowed to exist and enrich themselves for the time being.

The second important nuance in assessing the situation is the understanding of the objective nature of the inter-imperialist class struggle, which follows from what has been said above. The fact that American imperialism = fascism does not imply an unconditional approval of the struggle against it, because it is also carried out by an imperialist force, albeit weaker and less reactionary in this regard.

Communists regard the war in Ukraine as an objective reality of capitalism . As has already been said, capitalism is generally a war of all against all, and specific military actions are only an undisguised, overt form of this war. That is, under capitalism, war is something like a natural disaster, it is inevitable, because such is the very basis of capitalism, which permanently gives rise to military conflicts here and there.

The fascism of the USA and the West as a whole is a superstructure serving the imperialist base. The struggle of the bourgeois RF for spheres of influence with the West is a squabble between two imperialists , which, strictly speaking, does not concern the proletariat, since the weakening of one leads to the strengthening of the other with all the ensuing consequences in the superstructure.

The majority of people with a petty bourgeois consciousness are fixated on Putin, on his personal role in the war, or at best on the fact that it is not Ukraine that is fighting the Russian Federation, but NATO countries. Russian entrepreneurs are developing Crimea just fine and will not “choke” on the territories of the LPR and DPR and Ukraine if the war ends with their victory. And Polish capitalists will happily introduce their troops into Galicia to enthusiastically develop the Lviv region.

The current war in Ukraine was initiated by presidents, but first of all by American ones, as in Vietnam, Yugoslavia, Sudan, Libya, Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria…, at the behest of the most aggressive detachment of the entrepreneurial class. Until 2014, there was not a single sign, not a single thesis was voiced that Putin personally or, especially, the Russian Federation had territorial claims to Georgia, Kazakhstan, the Baltics or Ukraine. On the contrary, calls were systematically heard: guys, let's live in peace in the CIS and the CSTO. But territorial claims against the market-oriented Russian Federation by the above-mentioned states for the sake of receiving loans from the US and the EU have not ceased since 1991, although the Russian Federation bought, for example, equipment from Ukraine, paid for the transit of oil and gas, for the lease of the Sevastopol Bay at world prices, and Poroshenko's factory worked quietly in Lipetsk. The Ukrainian population had no objective reasons to inflate nationalism and fascist hysteria. This means that it was inflated in the interests of the United States with the billions of dollars that they invested in the policies of Ukrainian presidents and the insanity of the masses over several years.

Although now, in comparison with Ukraine and the West, the Russian regime is softer and more loyal, nevertheless, the imperialist basis guarantees that as the power of the Russian oligarchy grows, the mug of the same fascism will become increasingly apparent . The Russian and Ukrainian proletarians, who have fought enough and drunk the cup of military suffering, must understand that the force that drove them into the trenches is capital. Groups of financial capital playing "tabletop monopoly" with the lives of ordinary proletarians of different nations.

However, in the struggle of any forces against the dominant American imperialism (even in the weathervaning of the oligarchy of France, Germany, Turkey, India, the confrontation with the regime of the ayatollahs of Iran and the armed struggle of the Taliban, Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis) there is a progressive moment . The weakening of the hegemony of the USA and NATO plays into the hands of socialist states, countries of socialist orientation and all anti-imperialist forces in different regions . The loss of hegemony by the US oligarchs creates a more favorable configuration in the world. In this and only in this connection can we speak of a sympathetic attitude towards "anti-Americanism", as well as towards those internal political processes in Western countries that undermine the potential of American and, in some cases, European imperialism.

The third important nuance in assessing the situation is the practical implementation of the Marxist thesis on supporting any just struggle of the people, because a struggling people learns more willingly and better in the course of such a struggle, including communism . The struggle of the people of Donbass to be independent or even part of the bourgeois Russian Federation, and not Bandera's Ukraine, is just and liberating. It requires our unconditional sympathy.

It is difficult to say anything definite at the moment about the position of the Kherson or Zaporizhian people, so the inclusion of Zaporizhia and Kherson into the Russian Federation should be treated simply as a political fact. In any case, firstly , there are no signs that the population of Ukraine perceives the war as a domestic one, and secondly , it is in any way loyal to either the pro-American regime in Kiev or the Russian bourgeois government. Marxism teaches that all countries on a market basis and with a market ideology tend to collapse and redraw borders.

The fourth important nuance in assessing the situation is the unconditionally positive attitude of the communists to the physical extermination of ordinary fascists by the armies of the Russian Federation and the LPR/DPR. These are incorrigible subjects who will be the first to rise up in armed struggle against communism and the first to unleash terror against the working class. The righteous anger of the people regarding the crimes of fascist gangs in Ukraine is worthy of all support.

At the same time, when Russian nationalists and chauvinists who took up arms to build a “Russian world” die in the ranks of the “allies,” it is also difficult to perceive this as anything other than the cleansing of our people from rot.

The fifth important nuance in assessing the situation is the presence of nostalgic and emotional references of Russian and LPR fighters to the USSR and the demand for social justice as a motive for conducting military operations. This creates favorable conditions for the propaganda of communism and the introduction of Marxist consciousness to the masses both at the front and in the rear. The tactical task of our propaganda is to shift attention from external form, from emotional attitude to the essence of political processes.

To summarize, the following should be noted.

Firstly , the reasons for the emergence of this particular war, which is more reminiscent of a type of national liberation movement from a pro-fascist and pro-American regime, must include all one hundred years of the immediate history of class struggle after the end of the civil war in Soviet Russia.

Secondly , the answer to the question of whether the current war is purely imperialistic in nature must be sought not through historical analogies, but dialectically.

Communists in their work for scientific and theoretical authority among the proletarians of mental and physical labor must be able to demonstrate a dialectical approach to the study of events and from the standpoint of essence "dissect" them in all "colors and paints", shades and halftones, and not demonstrate schematic r-r-r-revolutionary, as many leftist Kisa Vorobyaninovs do today. We fully approve only of the struggle of the people of Donbass against American fascism and local Banderaism and do not intend to interfere in any way with the leadership of the Russian Federation in providing it with comprehensive assistance .

Classical imperialist wars, as recorded by the classics, had virtually no subtext - the imperialists openly fought for the redistribution of colonial possessions: the war between the USA and Spain, the First World War, the Second World War until 1941. But it is already impossible to call the Second World War unambiguously imperialist, if we keep in mind its transformation in 1941. In those wars before 1941, the dumb Western cannon fodder did what the oligarchs ordered them to do.

If we talk about the fact that in fact two identical market systems have entered into an armed conflict in Ukraine, in which the main role is played by national big capital, oligarchs, then yes, this war has many imperialistic features. From the point of view of official statements, the leadership of the Russian Federation tried to implement the Minsk agreements, according to which Ukraine retained sovereignty and the territory of the LPR and DPR (that is, it lost only Crimea). But this was not part of the US plans. From the side of billionaires and Democrats, this war is, indeed, clearly imperialistic, and if during it, as a result of sanctions or the explosion of the Zaporizhzhya NPP, the Ukrainian and the entire European economy collapses, then for the US oligarchs this will be an acceptable outcome.

The policy that the current leadership of the Russian Federation is pursuing in relation to, for example, South Ossetia, Abkhazia or Syria, proves that for now Putin’s government does not intend to pursue a policy that is in any way similar to the bloody, predatory tyranny of England, France, Spain, Portugal, Belgium in their colonies or the policy of the United States in relation to the DPRK, Vietnam, Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria.

And if we proceed from the fact of the abundance of cases of demonstrations of red flags by the fighting contingent of the LPR and DPR, the mood of the masses, then it is clear that people perceive military actions somewhat differently than it was at the beginning of the 20th century. Although in the First World War the Russian soldier seemed to be going to war with the Germans with understanding to protect the Serbian brothers, nevertheless, before 1917 there was no talk in the trenches about any red flag or about turning the imperialist war into a civil war. And in our case, for eight years the people of Donbass waged a struggle of a predominantly national liberation nature with minimal material and moral support from the bourgeois Russian Federation, though with mysterious losses among the leaders of the LPR and DPR of the left and leftist persuasion - which also fully fits into the laws of class struggle.

So:

1) war is a product of capitalism, it is a natural and organic policy of the entrepreneurial class - the objective reality of capitalism and the counter-revolutionary destruction of the USSR;

2) the Ukrainian conflict from the West’s side is purely imperialistic in nature;

3) the imperialism of the Russian Federation is also present, but is still limited by the specifics of the Bonapartist regime;

4) the struggle of the people of Donbass is just, and the collapse of the Kyiv regime and the weakening of US imperialism in the region are progressive.

If we examine the line of behavior of the CPC and the WPK in relation to the Ukrainian conflict, it is generally consistent with these conclusions.

EDITORIAL
22/08/2022

https://prorivists.org/72_ukraine-war/

Google Translator

And in our case, for eight years the people of Donbass waged a struggle of a predominantly national liberation nature with minimal material and moral support from the bourgeois Russian Federation, though with mysterious losses among the leaders of the LPR and DPR of the left and leftist persuasion - which also fully fits into the laws of class struggle.


Some of us ain't forgetting...Given the correlation of forces we should support Russia in this conflict without forgetting the class issue. Two heroes in particular stood out in bringing the class issue to the fore:

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Aleksei Mozgovoi, 1975-2015

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Oleksandr Bednov, 1969-2015

These guys were talking expropriation of oligarchic enterprises. It is notable that Russian aid did not really 'flow' until these were 'gotten out of the way'. I don't think the oligarchs in Moscow would have it any other way.

One day...

******

"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Wed Aug 06, 2025 3:43 pm

Russia lifts moratorium on deployment of short- and medium-range missiles
August 5, 8:58

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Yesterday, the Russian Federation ended its unilateral moratorium on the development and deployment of short- and medium-range missiles.
There has long been no point in observing these self-imposed restrictions, since the INF Treaty was ordered to live long by the efforts of the United States. Medvedev announced some steps that will follow this, which are linked to the preparation of some launches at the Kapustin Yar test site.

It can be expected that in the coming year we will see the revival of some late Soviet or new Russian projects of short- and medium-range missiles, including those with the option of installing nuclear warheads. In the current reality, strengthening the nuclear missile shield is the best guarantee against a NATO attack.

It goes without saying that the nuclear missile arms race will intensify in the coming years (at least), and the Russian Federation cannot lag behind.

+ + +

Statement by the Russian Foreign Ministry on the moratorium on the deployment of ground-based medium- and shorter-range missiles

Against the backdrop of targeted steps by the United States, as a result of which the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) ceased to exist in 2019, as well as in subsequent years, the Russian Federation has proactively made efforts to maintain restraint in this area. In particular, this was reflected in statements made at the highest level in 2019-2020. and providing for the voluntary adoption by our country of unilateral self-restrictions on the deployment of land-based INF missiles until similar American-made missile weapons appear in the corresponding regions of the world. At the same time, Russia directly called on NATO countries to declare a reciprocal moratorium on the deployment of weapons systems previously prohibited by the INF Treaty, and on US allies in the Asia-Pacific region to support our efforts to prevent an arms race for such systems in this region.

However, it must be noted that Russian initiatives have not been reciprocated. The United States and its allies have not only openly outlined plans to deploy American land-based INF missiles in various regions, but have also already made significant progress in the practical implementation of their intentions. The growing array of objective data indicates, in particular, the following: testing of the basic versions of the said weapons, developed by Washington in a wide range of variations, has been mostly completed or is in the final stage; serial production of some of these systems has begun; To ensure their forward deployment and use, the Pentagon is forming and deploying specialized units and commands in the relevant regions; the necessary infrastructure is also being prepared for these tasks; cases of direct movement of missile systems of the aforementioned range to areas of joint military training activities with allies outside the national territory of the United States are becoming more frequent.

In specific terms, since 2023, we have been recording precedents of the transfer of American systems capable of ground-based launch of intermediate-range missiles to European NATO countries for the "testing" of these weapons during exercises that have a clear anti-Russian focus. In particular, we are talking about training in Denmark, during which a mobile (mobile) launcher of the Mk70 standard was used.

In relation to the Asia-Pacific region, we note that under the pretext of exercises in April 2024, the Typhon medium-range missile system was delivered to the Philippines, which is still on the archipelago. The same system was used in July of this year in Australia for live firing during the Talisman Saber 2025 multilateral training events. As part of these same exercises, the US military carried out the first overseas deployment of the Dark Eagle medium-range hypersonic system, openly stating that this was being done "for the purpose of projecting power" and emphasizing the suitability of such systems for rapid redeployment.

In addition, during Talisman Saber 2025, the Australian crew of the Hymars system purchased from the US launched the American PrSM missile, which was tested by the Pentagon back in 2021 for a range of over 500 km and, accordingly, belongs to the class of land-based intermediate-range missiles. Previously, such missiles were launched by US ground forces units from the territory of the Republic of Palau during firings conducted in June last year from a promising autonomous platform based on the Hymars system.

It should be noted that the said tests and training launches of the PrSM missile, subsequent modifications of which are planned to be tested at a range of over 1000 km, essentially allow each combat unit of the M142 Hymars complex and the similar M270 MLRS tracked system to be considered as a ground-based INF launcher. At the same time, American weapons of the specified types have already been deployed in significant quantities and continue to be deployed in many countries around the world, including replenishing the arsenals of US allies and partners, including Ukraine, which uses these systems in combat operations against the Russian Federation.

Thus, there are growing facts of the appearance in various regions, including those of particular importance to the Russian Federation in terms of national security, of American-made weapons, the characteristics of which allow them to be classified as ground-based medium- and shorter-range missile systems.

The aforementioned actions of the United States and its allies are accompanied by official statements about the desire to ensure the "long-term" (and essentially permanent) presence of American weapons of this class in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region. In particular, Washington and Berlin announced plans to begin deploying the aforementioned Typhon and Dark Eagle systems in Germany starting in 2026, with an eye to their "long-term deployment". At the same time, a specialized "task force" of American military personnel has been permanently stationed in Germany since 2021.

A significant additional factor is the stated intention by several US allies to purchase land-based INF missiles from Washington and/or develop their own missiles with a launch range of 500 to 5,500 km, or to increase the existing national arsenal of such weapons. Obviously, such weapons systems will supplement the arsenal of means for use in the development and potential conduct of so-called "integrated" operations, the planning of which is carried out jointly by the militaries of the United States and these countries within the framework of the relevant alliances and coalitions.

The above-mentioned steps of the "collective West" in aggregate lead to the formation and build-up of destabilizing missile potentials in regions adjacent to the Russian Federation, creating a direct threat to the security of our country, moreover, of a strategic nature. In general, such a development of events carries a serious negative charge and significant detrimental consequences for regional and global stability, including a dangerous escalation of tensions between nuclear powers.

As has been consistently stated by the Russian side, such a scenario will require our country to take compensatory military-technical measures in order to counter newly emerging threats and maintain strategic balance. Since our repeated warnings on this matter have been ignored and the situation is developing along the path of the actual deployment of American-made land-based INF missiles in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region, the Russian Foreign Ministry notes the disappearance of the conditions for maintaining a unilateral moratorium on the deployment of similar weapons and is authorized to declare that the Russian Federation no longer considers itself bound by the corresponding previously adopted self-restrictions.

Decisions on specific parameters of response measures will be made by the leadership of the Russian Federation based on an interdepartmental analysis of the scale of deployment of American and other Western land-based INF missiles, as well as the general development of the situation in the field of international security and strategic stability.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9995655.html

The Zimin Case
August 6, 12:54

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Not all their rewriting and weaponising of history, culture and religion can prevent the spectre of communism once more looming over the bloodsucking imperialist bourgeoisie.

The city of Stalingrad, currently named Volgograd, is situated on a bend of the river Volga and was named Tsaritsyn before the Russian revolution of October 1917. It was an early industrial centre and its working-class population made it a stronghold of strategic importance for Soviet forces and the Red Army during the bloody imperialist-inflicted civil war and war of intervention that lasted from 1918-22.

It was through Tsaritsyn that supplies of food and oil from Baku (Azerbaijan) reached Moscow, and the railway running through the city provided communication with central Asia. The city was also a key centre for the manufacture of munitions.

Tsaritsyn was besieged three times by Don Cossacks under the command of tsarist general Pyotr Krasnov (who would become a Nazi collaborator during WW2). A further attempt to conquer Tsaritsyn was made by the tsarist volunteer army in May/June 1919, which successfully captured the city. Between August 1919 and January 1920, tsarist forces defended the city against the Reds, but in early 1920 it was retaken and held by Bolshevik forces.

Josef Stalin had been sent by the Communist party’s central committee to take personal command of the forces at this crucial turning point in the civil war, during which the very survival of the young Soviet republic was at stake, and at Tsaritsyn he commanded extremely effectively, working with Kliment Voroshilov.

After the victory at Tsaritsyn, the broader victory in the civil war, and the consolidation of the revolution, and in commemoration of Stalin’s role, the city was renamed Stalingrad in 1925.

How Stalingrad’s name became so iconic
Merely two decades after the conclusion of the civil war, the city of Stalingrad was at the centre of one of the bloodiest battles in human history, which lasted from 17 July 1942 to 2 February 1943 and was dubbed “Two hundred days of fire”.

To put into perspective how monumental this battle was, it should suffice to note that the total number of US combatants killed in action during the entirety of WW2, in all theatres, amounted to just over 250,000 men, whereas at the battle of Stalingrad alone, the Soviets lost over 1.1 million.

Fascist German losses in the battle, across the Volga-Don-Stalingrad area, amounted to some 1.5 million combatants, 3,500 tanks and assault vehicles, 12,000 guns and mortars, 3,000 aircraft, and a vast array of other equipment. Nazi general Friedrich von Paulus and the 500,000 men who remained of the Sixth German army were all encircled and captured.

The crippling defeat at Stalingrad dealt a strategic blow to the Nazis’ plans, decisively turning the tide of the war and marking the beginning of their retreat to Berlin. Before their defeat, however, they managed to inflict total destruction upon the city of Stalingrad. According to President Vladimir Putin, the city and its environs “had to be restored literally from scratch by the whole country”, because “there was practically not a single tree, not a single building left intact” in Stalingrad by February 1943.

Without doubt, the Soviet triumph at Stalingrad made the city famous the world over. It became a symbol of defiance and heroism that lives to this day in the hearts of millions of people – the essence of proletarian internationalism and a reminder of the ultimate victory of socialism over capitalism.

Renaming to Volgograd
Stalingrad was renamed Volgograd in 1961 as part of revisionist Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev’s ‘de-Stalinisation’ campaign. Khrushchev’s clique, representing the interests of capitalist and petty-bourgeois remnants at home and imperialists abroad, wanted to undermine the dictatorship of the proletariat and planned economy because they aimed to restore capitalism in the Soviet Union.

Like Trotsky, they consistently worked in lockstep with the propagandists and politicians of the imperialist west. It was no coincidence that barely a year after Khrushchev took power, in 1954, the Soviet Union applied to join Nato as well as inexplicably transferring Crimea from the Russian SFSR to the Ukrainian SSR.

Perhaps the worst crime of all was giving amnesty to hundreds of thousands of Nazi collaborating terrorists (‘partisans’) who had kept fighting against socialist rule in eastern Europe after the war (with logistical, military and financial support from British and US secret services).

The burying of Stalin’s legacy was an attack on Marx, on Lenin and on socialism. It was also an attack not only on the Soviet people and their class rule, but on the oppressed people of all nations. It came with the deliberate concealment of the lessons that had been learned about imperialism by the collective forces of world socialism.

Under Khrushchev, the road to capitalism was being paved with liberal-pacifist social-democratic phrases and ideas about peaceful coexistence and rapprochement with the west. The Khrushchevite flunkeys desperately wanted to dine in NYC and shop at Harrods. They wanted a seat at the imperialist table and to be praised by the English-language media. To achieve these goals, there was no level to which they would not stoop.

By dividing the Soviet people and the global communist movement, by weakening the Soviet Union through so many self-destructive policies, Khrushchev increased the chances of war breaking out on Soviet soil. His policies are what lead to the Sino-Soviet split and later to the Nato encroachment to surround and strangle Russia.

Thankfully Khrushchevism reached a dead end in 2022, having led Russia directly into the very war it purported to prevent. In today’s Russia there is growing momentum to undo all the lies, all the damage, and all of the weakness caused by the treacherous ideological poison that this rotten class has been spreading in the Soviet sphere over the last half century.

Momentum grows behind the demand to bring back Stalingrad
With the escalation of war against Russia via Ukraine in February 2022, a fundamental change has taken place. The stubborn insistence with which the Russian bourgeoisie previously followed the collaborationist line set by Nikita Khrushchev, the sheer naivete with which it sought acceptance at the table of the imperialists as equal ‘partners’, has been irrevocably shattered.

Since 2022, the economic and political line of Stalin and his government in many spheres, from planned production (at least of all those industries considered vital to national interests in a time of war) to genuinely fraternal relations with other countries against imperialism, has been proven correct in the eyes of many who previously had not understood their significance, and this has had important repercussions.

On the one hand, the collective west is trying harder than ever to manipulate historical truth and impose its imperialist version of history, drawing on Nazi propaganda and ideology to increase the effectiveness of its war effort.

On the other hand, the Russian Federation, to counter this threat, is delving deeper into her past and drawing on the glorious social and military achievements of Stalin’s USSR, in particular its defeat of the Third Reich and its success in holding the entire imperialist camp at bay.

Even though President Putin emerged from Khrushchev’s clique, the class of Russian national bourgeois whom he represents has been shifting its position throughout the first few decades of the 21st century, not out of any fondness for communism, but because the imperialists have left them with no choice.

To put it simply, they have moved Russia from being a reserve and subservient ally of imperialism against the world communist movement into an alliance with the world anti-imperialist and communist camp against Nato and the gobal imperialist camp.

The war in Ukraine marks the point of no return in this process. It is because of the aforementioned processes that the legacy of Stalin is being increasingly turned to and upheld, and some key aspects of Khrushchev’s de-Stalinisation programme are being exposed and reversed.

On 2 February 2023, the 80th anniversary of the Soviet victory at the battle of Stalingrad, President Putin assigned federal status to the anniversary by presidential decree and personally attended the ceremony, where he spoke at length. Among other things, he said:

“Stalingrad has become an eternal symbol of the invincibility of our people.

“Our moral duty – first of all to the victorious soldiers – is to cherish and fully preserve the memory of this feat, pass it on to future generations, not allow anyone to belittle or distort the role of the Battle of Stalingrad in the victory over nazism, in the liberation of the whole world from this monstrous evil.”

Vyacheslav Volodin, chairman of the Russian state duma, published the following message on his Telegram channel on 30 April 2025:

“Dear friends, yesterday in Volgograd, together with colleagues from other countries, we discussed at an international forum the need to protect historical memory and counter attempts to distort the truth about the Great Patriotic War.

“While we were in Volgograd, the topic of the battle of Stalingrad, which became the turning point that determined the outcome of the Great Patriotic War, did not leave our lips. Heroically defending our country, 1,130,000 Soviet soldiers and officers died at Stalingrad.

“Our President Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin has decided to assign the historical name ‘Stalingrad’ to Volgograd international airport. This is extremely important and correct. Stalingrad is a symbol of the courage, steadfastness, indomitable will and dedication of the Soviet people.”

In a video released by Russian news agency Tass on the same day, and reported on by Ria Novosti, viewers can see a dialogue between President Putin and a couple of local girls.

Girl 1: I want to thank you from all the people of Stalingrad for changing the name of our city.

Putin: We only renamed the airport.

Girl 1: Oh, right.

Putin: You think that the city should be renamed?

Girl 1: Yes, because it is linked with history. We would be very happy.

Putin: OK. In many European countries no one changes the names of streets and prospects despite our bad relations.

Girl 2: I will never forget when beneath the Reichstag, on May ninth [Victory day], a person asked me “Where are you from?” and I replied “Volgograd”. That person stared at me and asked “Stalingrad?”

Putin: I understand. We need to ask the residents so they can decide.

From just this short conversation, there are two interesting takeaways. The first is that Putin mentions many European countries not changing street names despite bad relations with Russia. In other words, he is criticising the decision made in 1961 to change the name from Stalingrad to Volgograd, as part of Khrushchev’s ‘bad relations’ with the memory of Stalin.

The second takeaway is that Putin’s government has changed the name of the airport from Volgograd to Stalingrad and shows an understanding of the benefits that would come with restoring the city’s iconic name of Stalingrad.

More pressure will no doubt be brought to bear by the second-largest political party in the Russian Federation, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF). At the party’s 19th congress a resolution was approved on the 23 July that deemed it necessary, among other things, “to call on President Putin of the Russian Federation to return to the city of Volgograd and the Volgograd Oblast their heroic names Stalingrad and the Stalingrad Oblast” because “the decisions on renaming them were ungrounded. They do not contribute to preserving the historical memory and the solution of Russia’s strategic tasks of defeating neo-nazism, protecting sovereignty and national security.”

Anyone flying to or from Volgograd today, will be flying into or out of Stalingrad airport. As for whether the city and oblast will be renamed, it remains to be seen, but recent events and statements from Russian’s political representatives point to this being a necessary step sooner rather than later.

The plain fact is that, whether it wants to or not, today’s Russian national bourgeoisie needs to draw on the legacy of the USSR if it is to survive the multifaceted war now being waged against it by the entire imperialist camp. To ensure its survival and victory, it needs to resuscitate many crucial aspects of the Soviet Union’s agricultural, industrial and scientific base, its central planning, its military capabilities, its educational excellence and its fraternal relationships with other nations.

To that extent, the Russian Federation has objectively become a reserve of the revolutionary forces worldwide.

Resuscitation of Stalingrad’s name, with all its associated proletarian glory and socialist traditions, cannot but hold deep significance at a time when global capitalism is reeling under the pressure of its deepest-ever crisis of overproduction.

It would seem that not all their rewriting and weaponising of history, culture and religion can prevent the spectre of communism once more looming over the bloodsucking imperialist bourgeoisie.

https://thecommunists.org/2025/08/01/ne ... talingrad/

******

(Another dated piece, recall that Russia was just starting to emerge from the 'terrible 90s' under the leadership of Putin, whose restoration of some degree of civility after the madness of vindictive libertarianism unleashed easily explains his continued popularity.)

TRIP REPORT: ST. PETERSBURG, August-September 2001
by Gordonhahn
August 5, 2025

[I do not recall publishing this anywhere, but found it in my files while on vacation and thought it worth publishing as it could be useful for anyone doing research on early Putin-era St. Petersburg and federal-regional politics]

TRIP REPORT: ST. PETERSBURG, August-September 2001


by Gordon M. Hahn, Visiting Scholar, Hoover Institution, Stanford University

ST. PETERSBURG AND PUTIN’S FEDERAL REFORMS

Neither St. Petersburg Mayor Vladimir Yakovlev, his administration, nor the Legislative Assembly has emerged as harsh opponents of President Vladimir Putin’s federal reforms. This reflects the emergence of an apparent, perhaps temporary truce, even modus vivendi between Putin and Yakovlev. There is little if any resentment on the part of Yakovlev, Smolny, or the Legislative Assembly of Putin’s efforts to put an end to the unofficial, non-institutionalized side of Russia’s asymmetrical federalism by attempting to bring regional laws and constitutions (and charters) into conformity with federal law. St. Petersburg was not a major violator of federal law, but like many other regions, it has been tardy in bringing its laws into compliance and continues to adopt new laws which violate federal law. In March it was one of four of the NorthWest Federal Okrug’s (SZFO) eleven regions that Deputy Prosecutor-General for the SZFO Vladimir Zubrin singled out (along with Pskov Oblast and Komi and Karelian Republics) for presenting “serious difficulties” and ignoring prosecutors’ demands to change laws that violate federal legislation. The Legislative Assembly only recently brought the city’s law on state service and state servants into compliance with federal law. In August Zubrin had to protest a new order of Yakovlev’s on the creation of the city-owned St. Petersburg Electrical Grid (SPbES).

St. Petersburg’s elite is less concerned about the second wave of Putin’s federal reforms intended to tackle the “official asymmetry” established by bilateral federal-regional treaties and agreements signed by Moscow and some 46 federation subjects between 1994 and 1999. St. Petersburg’s own agreement with the center brought it few, if any concrete benefits. Petersburg’s politicians hold to the now generally held consensus that the bilateral treaties have served their purpose by preserving the unity of the federation in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union and that now they should be modified, if not abrogated.

Some deputies in the Legislative Assembly — in particular the ‘Yabloko’ faction — who are active on issues of state-building and the division of powers between the federal, regional and local levels have raised several issues in response to the center’s offensive. While acknowledging that it is inappropriate for the regions to pass legislation that violates the Constitution or federal laws, the chairman of the Yabloko faction and member of the assembly’s Budget and Finance Committee, Mikhail I. Amosov, criticizes the federal authorities’ growing tendency to centralize tax revenues. The federal government has been trying since 1994 to centralize tax revenues in Moscow. Under Putin, this policy has been pursued more aggressively. According to a study by the Legislative Assembly’s Yabloko faction, in 1993 the federal/Petersburg ratio was 36/64 in the northern capitol’s favor. The distribution of tax revenue between the federal and Petersburg’s budget for 2001 will reach the national average of 58% for the federal and 42% for the regional budget. St. Petersburg estimates a R6 billion loss for its budget (14% of total revenues) as a consequence of the 2001 change by the federal government of the federal/regional ration. Centralized funds are to be transferred to the regions on needs-tested basis, in part on the assumption that federal bureaucrats are more honest than regional apparatchiks, who routinely divert funds to projects for which they have not been designated. Amosov doubts the soundness of this assumption, questioning the honesty of Moscow bureaucrats and the efficiency of the federal bureaucracy. He argues that centralization of tax revenues is depriving the regions of the wherewithal to address their socio-economic problems and development challenges.

Moreover, Amosov is also demanding that federal authorities adhere to their own laws, in particular those pertaining to inter-budgetary issues. He argues that the federal government, in particular the Finance Ministry, using contradictions and loopholes in the law, has consistently violated its own budget legislation, infringing on the rights of the regions in the process. The Budget Code is written such that funds designated for a region can be sequestered or cut unilaterally by the Finance Ministry despite budget parameters, recalculated at the end of the fiscal year, or re-designated for different goals by decision of Finance Ministry’s main distributor to the tune of as much as 10% of the region’s designated transfers. The city has been victim of chronic failure by federal authorities to transfer monies designated in the federal budget for social security and other benefits for veterans and invalids and for reconstruction of the Kirov-Vyborg branch of the Petersburg metro, which collapsed in 1995 and cut off half a million people from the city center. Even after State Duma deputy from St. Petersburg, Sergei Popov, won a court case in 1999 against the Finance Ministry for such practices, the city never received the funds, which the court had ruled were illegally withheld.

To address such problems, the Petersburg Legislative Assembly’s Yabloko faction is sponsoring a draft federal law ‘On Guarantees for the Budgetary Rights of the Subjects of the Russian Federation’ to be submitted to the State Duma that would amend the Budget Code. The amendments require that all transfers for each region be delineated with functional classification in a separate sub-section of the federal budget and that a “special regime” be set up to execute budget transfers. That regime requires quarterly reporting on fulfillment of transfers such that a fourth of the funds will be transferred to the regional budgets every quarter. Federal obligations to regional budgets may be reduced only in accordance with a precise regime for the reduction or redirection of expenditures established in the Budget Code. Any re-direction of funds intended for regional budgets to a purpose other than that stipulated in the federal budget could be undertaken only with the permission of the executive body of the federation subject and would have to be compensated for in full.

The appointment of St. Petersburg’s representatives to the reconstituted Federation Council still needs to be completed with election the executive branch’s representative, who will replace Yakovlev. In June the Legislative Assembly elected its vice-speaker Sergei Mironov as its senator to Moscow. Interviews revealed that the Kremlin attempted to influence the selection of the Legislative Assembly’s representative by telephoning deputies. This is likely to be true of the executive representative’s selection given the relative ease with which a single chief executive’s choice can be swayed as compared to a body of 50 lawmakers. Thus, the Council’s new membership is proving to be the result of federal-regional inter-elite bargaining, limiting the degree to which the new senators represent their region’s elite, no less its electorate.

St. Petersburg in many ways dominates the SZFO created along with six other FOs in Putin’s effort to restore Russia’s “executive vertical.” It composes about half of all budget revenues produced in the SZFO, which includes ten other federation subjects. While expectations were high that relations between Governor Yakovlev and SZFO Presidential Representative Viktor V. Cherkesov would be contentious, this has not turned out to be the case thus far as compared with the conflictual relations between Sverdlovsk Governor Eduard Rossell and the Urals FO’s Presidential Representative Pyotr Latyshev. In large part, this is because Cherkesov is seen as having been largely ineffectual and the okrug is viewed as being little more than a feeding trough for lesser bureaucrats and scholars. In this regard, Peterburgers frequently mention the SZFO’s Institute for Strategic Research, modeled on Russian Economic and Trade Minister German Gref’s Moscow institute of the same name.

Yakovlev put up no argument against Putin’s reform, which put the appointment of regional police chiefs back under federal control. MVD Chief Boris Gryzlov’s critical comments on crime-fighting in St. Petersburg in introducing the new MVD Deputy Chief in the SZFO sent shock waves throughout the city’s political elite. Gryzlov’s attack on the city’s failure to root out the Tambov organized crime group was seen as a warning to Yakovlev, who is viewed by some as the group’s protector. With his parliamentary immunity set to expire by the latest on 1 January by which time he must surrender his seat in the Federation Council, Yakovlev is vulnerable to investigation. The threat or beginning of an investigation would be a useful weapon for Putin in dissuading Yakovlev to forego any effort to rearrange current legislation that forbids him from running for a third term.

At the same, the groundwork for a war of kompromat between Smolny and the SZFO has been laid. A division of the city’s media into organs loyal to Smolny or the okrug has been played out since the SZFO’s creation. Yakovlev’s administration controls or enjoys the support of the local television and radio company TRK “Peterburg”, the city’s daily Sankt-Peterburgskie vedemosti, Peterburg-Ekspress, and the largely apolitical Vechernii Peterburg, the national newspaper St. Petersburg supplements Izvestiya SPb and Komsomolskaya pravda, and the news agency RosBalt. The SZFO has taken control over the Petersburg broadcasts of Russia’s state television and radio company VGTRK (RTR & Radio Rossii), the Petersburg branch of ITAR-TASS, the weekly newspaper Petersburgskii chas pik (whose editor is Cherkesov’s wife), the daily Nevskoe vremya, and Chas Pik Publishers. In addition, Boris Berezovskii has been using his dailies Kommersant and Nezavisimaya gazeta against Yakovlev or at least to foment conflict between Smolny and the SZFO to further his own as yet unclear ends. There have been rumors that Berezovskii intends to enter the St. Petersburg media market aggressively. He has recently added a St. Petersburg supplement to editions of Kommersant sold in the city and purchased Radio ‘Modern’, a popular city music channel.

While there has been no major outbreak of kompromat between the okrug and the administration, this may be due to the intercession between elections. With the Legislative Assembly elections now set for late 2002, it is likely that after the New Year preparatory artillery strikes will begin. The degree of Smolny’s involvement will be a good barometer of Yakovlev plans to orchestrate a third term.

PETERSBURG’S ELECTORAL POLITICS

Yakovlev’s decision will have an important impact on St. Petersburg’s future and relations between the federal and northern capitols. His prospects for a victory will be crucial in shaping that decision. At present, his approval rating is at about 60 percent. His rating will be determined in large part by the socio-economic condition of the city, given the increasing tendency of “economic” voting behavior even in less democratic-oriented regions. The in-part federally funded drive to give the city a complete facelift before its 300th anniversary celebrations in May 2003, a year before the gubernatorial elections, could give the city a boost sufficient to rub off on Yakovlev. Thus, in addition to federal assistance, the draft 2002 St. Petersburg budget devotes nearly R4 billion for the anniversary makeover.

The facelift is an extensive one. One cannot walk anywhere in the city without confronting road repair, restoration and construction projects. There are currently some 50 large-scale building reconstruction or construction projects going on in the city center. Construction of the new city circle road (MKAD), a central part of this drive, has been plagued with financial problems and work delays and is badly behind schedule. In September, around the clock drilling and other construction activity within tens of meters from houses around the city’s outskirts provoked a public protest and court appeal. The Russian Supreme Court mandated that the city had to provide alternative housing, otherwise the project would be ruled illegal. This is a harbinger of what could come should reconstruction projects not be completed on time or yield unsatisfactory results. Public consternation will only be compounded should reports continue to come out about misuse of funds. The fund that Yakovlev recently set up for the 300th anniversary is a potential feeding trough that may replicate the corruption that plagues the city. Cherkesov and the SZFO’s Audit Chamber and Prosecutor can be expected to watch the use of these and federal expenditures on the anniversary.

Petersburg was recently ranked the fifth most corrupt federation subject, according to data from a research institute affiliated with the Prosecutor-General’s Office published on 7 September. The city has been rocked by several major corruption scandals over the last few months. Vice Mayor Valerii I. Malyshev has been forced temporarily to leave his post, accused by prosecutors of taking bribes in return for his appointment of EKSI Bank as depository for the city’s R200 million non-devaluated rubles account for St. Petersburg’s 2004 Olympic Committee in 1996. There is speculation that these charges are part of a struggle between Malyshev and Vice Mayor Yurii Antonov to succeed Yakovlev. In part because of its reputation for crime and corruption, the city lags behind neighboring Leningrad Oblast in attracting foreign investment. This persists despite Putin’s efforts to draw foreign dignitaries and businessmen to the city by holding summits or escorting foreign guests there.

Several mid-term elections and the Legislative Assembly elections likely to be held in late 2002 also will influence Yakovlev’s efforts to finagle a third term. The campaign for the State Duma deputy’s mandate in the 209thdistrict formerly held by Audit Chamber Chairman Sergei Stepashin may be an unfortunate political harbinger for Yakovlev. The joint support for Yedintsvo’s candidate, the dean of St. Petersburg State University’s Philosophy Department Yurii Solonin, by Otechestvo, SPS, Yabloko, and Volya Peterburga holds out the prospect of an anti-Yakovlev coalition in the city legislature elections and the 2004 gubernatorial elections. The leaders of St. Petersburg Yabloko (the last party to join the coalition), including Amosov and Chairman of its Political Council Dmitrii N. Lenkov, do not deny the possibility of such a coalition even including the Communists. Petersburg Yabloko’s willingness to make this alliance is a clear departure from national Yabloko leader Grigorii A. Yavlinskii’s isolationist strategy. In interviews with Lenkov and others, Yavlinskii was criticized for this, and some sympathy was expressed for those in Moscow who have challenged Yavlinskii’s leadership.

THE DESANT OF MOSCOW OLIGARCHS

A wave of Moscow oligarchs has been descending on the northern capitol. PromStroiBank is the most powerful St. Petersburg bank with ambitions to become a countrywide player; ambitions that enjoy the favor of close relations between Putin and bank chairman Vladimir Kogan. A year ago the MVD sent troops into PromStroiBank’s headquarters on Nevskii Prospekt in what was condemned as an illegal search by Kogan. Then MVD chief Vladimir Rushailo is said to be an agent of Berezovskii, who apparently has designs on Petersburg. PromStroiBank’s leading position on the Petersburg financial stage now is under pressure from Berezovskii-allied oligarch Aleksandr Mamut’s MDM Bank. It has purchased several Petersburg banks and taken a controlling stake in the city’s Petrovskii Narodnyi Bank. It lured from PromStroiBank a top executive, Olga Kazanskaya, among others, to take over at Petrovskii.

Muscovites are invading Petersburg’s telecommunications market as well. While Moscow’s Mobile TeleSystems (MTS) has expanded into more than ten regional markets, it is just entering the Petersburg market. It recently purchased the second largest standard signal licensee in the SZFO, Telecom XXI, to compete with Northwest GSM, the most lucrative holding of St. Petersburg-based Telecominvest. While there are political consequences from economic competition, Peterburgers like Amosov, Lenkov, and St. Petersburg Deputy to the State Duma Aleksandr V. Shishlov discount any political motive in Muscovites’ advance.

Still, St. Petersburg has issued an asymmetrical response to Moscow by challenging YeES’s plans to monopolize electricity distribution under the reform plan initiated by YeES Chairman Anatolii Chubais and backed by the government. In September St. Petersburg Deputy Governor in charge of fuel and energy, Aleksandr Smirnov, confirmed that the city’s creation of SPbES was aimed at blocking Moscow’s control over the city’s grid under the reform, declaring it “is incorrect when distribution grids belong to generating companies.” SPbES director Sergei Milokhin disclosed that significant funds were being invested so SpbES could expand.

The descent of Moscow oligarchs on Petersburg mirrors the much larger and well-known descent of Petersburg bureaucrats on Moscow, as Putin tries to build a loyal team. This trend is depleting the ranks of talented administrators in Petersburg, while simultaneously raising the ire of Muscovites who lose out to the newcomers from the north.

https://gordonhahn.com/2025/08/05/trip- ... mber-2001/

*******

The Russian Bear has finally woken up from hibernation and is taking action; alternatives of Western Empire and Poland in this new situation

There is very little time and room for maneuver left.
Dr Ignacy Nowopolski
Aug 05, 2025

The six-month controversy between the Russian Bear and the new clownish "emperor" of “the Western empire of lies”, Trump and his even more imbecile "EU vassals", led to the right conclusion that any attempts to reach an amicable agreement with this adversary are doomed to failure in advance. The credibility of the Western "elites" is equal to zero, and the Western societies are so degenerated that they are no longer able to make any personnel changes in them.

Although the Kremlin continues to demonstrate its aversion to the kinetic conflict with the “collective West”, and especially to the absurd goal (stubbornly promoted by Western propaganda) of the conquest of Western Europe, it seems that it has lost patience in enduring and ignoring the constant attacks and provocations of the West in a kinetic and/or verbal form.

The lack of appetite of the Russian Federation for territorial conquests (outside its ethnic sphere) has been demonstrated in practice by the 3 years of the Ukrainian conflict, where Russia has limited itself to constantly decimating the Ukrainian army and destroying the structures supporting it, but leaving population untouched.

All the more absurd would be its desire to conquer the EU, which currently has nothing worth conquering.

Exploited of raw materials with a collapsing industry, a financialized economy and a completely degenerate population of autochthons and masses of emigrants of color from former colonies, for any potential invader, it is “a no go zone”.

However, the constant aggression of the West, against practically the entire world not controlled by it, makes the Kremlin realize that it must get rid of these "Western lice", otherwise they will never stop biting the Russian Bear.

The events of recent days and weeks suggest that the Bear has made the final decision to radically delouse his fur. It has sufficient military and technical means for this purpose and there is no alternative to this choice.

And it is this lack of choice that is a mortal danger for the West in general and Poland in particular.

The crazy, imbecile and delirious "elites" of the the West left Russian Bear with any alternative except unconditional surrender.

And it is this lack of alternatives that will lead the western population to extermination. Since there is no political will and intellectual forces in the West to install new, even slightly more rational "elites", this alone is a kind of death sentence for the citizens of the West. At the same time, the fact of the existence of humane and rational governments in Hungary and Slovakia does not change anything. This is too small a group to change the course of the entire Western satanic juggernaut.

Therefore, the only alternative to delousing the West by the Russian Bear is a potential revolution and the disintegration of the USA, which would entail the collapse of the EU vassal.

The situation in the United States is very unstable and the final economic collapse is clearly visible on the horizon. The only question that remains open is whether Divine Providence will catalyze the fall of this satanic creation in time?!

https://drignacynowopolski.substack.com ... ally-woken

Google Translator

******

Zionist Settlers Attack Russian Diplomats in Occupied West Bank

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(FILE Maria Zakharova. Photo: EFE.

August 6, 2025 Hour: 5:32 am

A Russian diplomatic vehicle was targeted last week by Israeli settlers in the occupied West Bank, in yet another act of aggression carried out under the protection of the Zionist regime. The attack resulted in mechanical damage, and as Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova reported on Tuesday, “The Israeli Defense Force soldiers didn’t even bother to try and stop the attackers’ aggressive actions.”

RELATED: Israel Prepares Gaza Occupation Pending Cabinet Green Light

Zakharova confirmed the incident took place on July 30 near Giv’at Asaf, an illegal outpost established by settlers on occupied Palestinian land, just east of Ramallah. She added that the attackers shouted threats at the diplomats while regime soldiers stood idly by. Russia condemned this blatant act of hostility, denouncing the occupation military’s refusal to intervene as “particularly puzzling.”

“We regard this incident as a blatant violation of the 1961 Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations,” Zakharova stated, affirming that Russia’s embassy in Tel Aviv has submitted a formal diplomatic note to the occupying authorities.

The Russian vehicle was carrying members of its diplomatic mission to the Palestinian Authority, who are also accredited with the Zionist regime’s Foreign Ministry. Despite the attackers targeting foreign diplomats, no action was taken by Israeli forces, underscoring the regime’s culture of impunity for settler violence.

This diplomatic incident comes at a time when the Zionist regime continues its genocidal campaign in Gaza. Since the escalation in October 2023 the IDF has unleashed a brutal response that, according to Gaza’s health authorities, has killed over 59,000 Palestinians, most of them women and children, and left entire neighborhoods in ruins.

Meanwhile, the Russian Federation has reaffirmed its longstanding support for Palestinian statehood. “Russia has always adhered to a two-state solution as the basis for resolving the Palestinian issue,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said last month. Moscow’s recognition of a sovereign Palestinian state dates back to 1988, when the Soviet Union supported the Palestinian declaration of independence.

As settler violence escalates and Gaza suffers under siege, Russia’s call for justice and adherence to international law stands in sharp contrast to the policies of Western powers who continue to enable Netanyahu’s actions.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/zionist- ... west-bank/

Perhaps this might shake up that pro-'Israeli' sentiment in the Kremlin. Those millions of emigres might consider going 'home'.

******

The “Trump Bridge” Could Lead To Russia’s Expulsion From The South Caucasus
Andrew Korybko
Aug 06, 2025

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Armenia might formally withdraw from the CSTO and then replace Russian troops with American PMCs.

US Ambassador to Turkiye Tom Barrack proposed in mid-July that his country lease the Zangezur Corridor for 100 years as a means of breaking the deadlock between Armenia and Azerbaijan over this issue. Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova reacted negatively to his suggestion by accusing the US of trying to take over the peace process and jeopardizing regional stability. Her remarks followed a report alleging that a secret memorandum had already been signed for creating the “Trump Bridge”.

The Spanish outlet Periodista Digital claimed that members of the Armenian diaspora procured this document from their state contacts, which will also see the deployment of around 1,000 American PMCs to secure this route. RT chief Margarita Simonyan, who’s ethnically Armenian and passionate about her ancestral homeland’s affairs, popularized the report by sharing it on X. She’s also been very critical of Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, who she earlier accused of selling Armenia out to Turkiye.

If agreed to, and the report remains unconfirmed for now, the “Trump Bridge” could lead to Russia’s expulsion from the South Caucasus. The last clause of the Moscow-mediated November 2020 ceasefire between Armenia and Azerbaijan calls for Russia’s FSB Border Guards to secure what Baku has since taken to calling the Zangezur Corridor through Armenia’s southern Syunik Region. Replacing them with American PMCs could precede the expulsion of Russian troops from Armenia.

Pashinyan confirmed in mid-July that Armenia will likely leave the CSTO instead of unfreeze its membership that he unilaterally suspended. This could be the pretext for requesting the withdrawal of Russian troops simultaneously with welcoming American PMCs. From his perspective, their deployment could function as an informal security guarantee vis-à-vis Azerbaijan and Turkiye since they’d think twice about endangering US citizens, especially those guarding a project called the “Trump Bridge”.

What the US wants to gain from this, apart from some easy profits, is setting into motion the sequence of events required for removing Russian forces from Armenia as explained above. The US can also monitor Turkish military traffic across the route to Central Asia while possibly stoking Azeri separatism in neighboring Iran’s majority-Azeri northern regions. Another benefit is that Trump could present this deal as having averted war and thus possibly raise the prospects that he’ll be awarded the Nobel Peace Prize.

Armenia’s latest political unrest earlier this summer was driven in part by concerns that Pashinyan was on the brink of clinching a deal to open the Zangezur Corridor without any Russian role. That scenario coupled with Armenia’s possibly imminent withdrawal from the CSTO could leave Syunik vulnerable to an Azerbaijani(-Turkish?) invasion. He might have thus thought that inviting American PMCs to replace Russia’s FSB could placate his people, but they might still protest if he leases Armenian land to the US.

In the event that he does and isn’t deposed by a popular revolution or patriotic military coup, the “Trump Bridge” is expected to result in a surge of Turkish influence across Central Asia as explained here, which might then lead to Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan defecting from the CSTO. The easiest means to this geopolitical end is for Armenia to cut an economic-security deal with the US that excludes Russia’s envisaged role in monitoring Turkish military traffic to Central Asia. It’s unclear how Russia could stop this.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/the-trum ... to-russias
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Thu Aug 07, 2025 3:10 pm

"Dagnefteprodukt" has been nationalized
August 7, 11:08

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"Dagnefteprodukt" has been nationalized

Law enforcement officers have uncovered a fraudulent scheme to steal the largest federal oil transshipment complex in the North Caucasus, Dagnefteprodukt, from the state - the property of those involved in the theft, worth about three billion rubles, has been seized, and the complex itself has been returned to the state. This was reported by the Public Relations Center of the FSB of Russia.

The scheme was uncovered by the FSB together with the Prosecutor General's Office of the Russian Federation and the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia, and the theft episode itself dates back to 2001-2005. Former State Secretary of Dagestan Magomed-Sultan Magomedov is involved in the fraudulent scheme.

"The previously stolen Dagnefteprodukt oil transshipment complex and the newly built oil refinery OOO Dagnotekh, worth more than 100 billion rubles in total, have been returned to the state, and the property of the defendants, obtained fraudulently, worth more than three billion rubles, has been seized," the FSB Public Relations Center reported.

As established by the security forces, Magomedov used administrative resources and ordered the transfer of the state enterprise to the ownership of the republic, in order to then sell it to persons under his control at a reduced price.

The Investigative Department of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia opened a criminal case under Part 4 of Article 159 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation on fraud and Part 4 of Article 174.1 on the legalization of funds obtained by criminal means.

Magomedov was detained on June 25, the next day he was released on his own recognizance not to leave, TASS reported. On the same day, the Soviet District Court of Makhachkala satisfied the claim of the Prosecutor General's Office of the Russian Federation to recover the Dagnefteprodukt complex, now Kaspetrolservis LLC, and related companies for the benefit of the state.

The property complex includes 67 land plots, more than 360 buildings, structures and facilities, including pipelines, gas stations and reservoirs, as well as other infrastructure.

Magomedov was dismissed from his post for loss of trust, investigative actions are ongoing, the FSB Public Relations Center added.

https://rg.ru/2025/08/06/krupnejshij-ne ... rstvu.html - zinc

The next "effective owners" turned out to be not very effective.
As we can see, there are no problems nationalizing a large enterprise stolen from the state in the early 2000s. In fact, there are no particular problems doing the same with what was stolen from the state in the early 90s.

So, one of the largest nationalizations in recent years. One can only wish that the FSB would continue this fascinating process of searching for stolen enterprises.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9999992.html

Google Translator

Death of oligarchy by a thousand cuts? Naw, certainly not the intent, but nonetheless tending in that direction.

*****

Moscow condemns Israeli settler attack on Russian diplomats in occupied West Bank

The Russian Foreign Ministry says Israeli occupation forces allowed the assault to proceed without intervention

News Desk

AUG 6, 2025

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(Photo credit: Anton Novoderezhkin / TASS)

Moscow has lodged an official complaint with Israel over what it calls a violation of the Vienna Convention, after settlers attacked a Russian diplomatic vehicle near Jerusalem on 30 July.

“On 30 July, a vehicle of the Russian Federation’s mission to the Palestinian National Authority, bearing diplomatic license plates and carrying personnel accredited by Israel’s Foreign Ministry, was attacked near the illegal Israeli settlement of Givat Assaf by a group of settlers,” Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said.

She added that the assault occurred “with the acquiescence of Israeli military personnel, who were present at the scene and did not attempt to stop the attackers’ aggressive actions.”

Zakharova said the vehicle sustained mechanical damage, and the Russian embassy in Tel Aviv has delivered an official diplomatic note to Israeli authorities.

“We regard this incident as a blatant violation of the 1961 Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations,” she said, further describing the conduct of Israeli occupation forces at the scene as “particularly puzzling.”

The complaint comes amid growing diplomatic contact between Moscow and Tel Aviv as the Kremlin increasingly positions itself as a mediator in the region.

On 28 July, Russian President Vladimir Putin told Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that Syria’s “sovereignty and territorial integrity must be respected,” and affirmed Moscow’s readiness to support diplomatic efforts on the Iranian nuclear issue.

Earlier in the month, Tel Aviv and Moscow held high-level talks following the ceasefire in Israel's war on Iran, with discussions reportedly aimed at a framework modeled on previous negotiations with Hezbollah.

Russia had offered to mediate between Tehran and Tel Aviv during the fighting and maintained neutrality throughout, with Putin referencing Israel’s large Russian-speaking population, saying, “Almost two million people from the former Soviet Union and the Russian Federation reside in Israel … we always take this into account in Russia’s contemporary history.”

https://thecradle.co/articles/moscow-co ... -west-bank

*****

Brazil, India and Azerbaijan In Play

As The US Sees It Anyway
Roger Boyd
Aug 07, 2025

The wheels of geopolitics keep turning, and the aims of the US policies have become very evident with respect to these three countries:

Brazil: Reinstate US dominance and Brazilian vassalage in America’s “backyard”

India: Undermine Russia by cutting off its oil sales, while forcing India to reduce its linkages with BRINKCISTAN (Belarus, Russia, Iran, North Korea, China, Iraq, and the “Stans”)

Azerbaijan (and Armenia): With Georgia lost, use Azerbaijan (and Armenia) as a pivot point to cause trouble in the Caucasus and as a base for US forces to infiltrate Russia and Iran

Brazil



The US had a goods trade surplus with Brazil in 2024 of US$6.8 billion (up 23.9% from 2023) and a services trade surplus of US$23.1 billion (up 31.9% from 2023) with the country. It is very obvious that the sanctions have nothing to do with trade, and everything to do with direct interference in the internal affairs of Brazil (the demands wth respect to Bolsonaro). The US good exports are predominantly fossil fuels, chemicals (including fertilizers), plastics, leather goods and some manufactured goods (e.g. aircraft and machinery); all of which can be sourced from other nations. Main Brazilian exports to the US are refined and non-refined fossil fuels, semi-finished iron, aircraft, coffee and beef. Most of these exist within global fungible markets allowing Brazil to export to other nations than the US, and a China with a rapidly growing GDP per capita that as an increasing taste for coffee and beef.

The US has next to no leverage upon Brazil, and Trump’s actions have needlessly fed into a nationalist and anti-US fervour with his 50% import tariff. This has strengthened Lula’s position and his ability to deepen economic and financial linkages with other nations. Brazil’s biggest trading partner is China, with which it ran a trade surplus in 2024 of US$31 billion. China represented 28% of exports and 24% of imports, while the EU was 14%/18%, and the US 12%/15%. Brazil has a free trade agreement with the EU under Mercorsur. Although Brazil does not have a free trade agreement with China, the two nations signed memorandums of understanding and protocols to deepen the relationships between the two countries on July 10th. Chinese companies, especially in the automotive sector, are also setting up large production plants in Brazil.

India



The imposition of a 25% tariff on India, together with the threat of an additional 25% tariff within a few weeks if India does not stop buying Russian oil shows an utter misunderstanding of Indian internal political, and the geopolitical, realities. India is not the vassal EU, and is very proud of its independence and sovereignty. It would also be a very dangerous political thing for Modi to cave into such US pressure.

In 2024 Indian goods exports to the US totalled US$87.3 billion. With Indian GDP at US$4.19 trillion, that’s 2% of GDP. Top exports were mobile phones (Apple), and Drugs and Medical Accessories, while imports (US$41.5 billion) were mainly oil, coal, and electronic components. The overall Indian goods trade surplus with the US is equivalent to about 1% of GDP. Pharmaceuticals are exempted from the tariffs.

In 2024 Indian services exports to the US totalled US$41.6 billion and services imports totalled US$41.6 billion - balanced. The Indian exports were mostly IT-enabled, such as IT and call centres. US imports were mainly travel, finance, business services, communication services and software. Services are not covered by the tariffs, so India’s offshoring industry is not at risk.

The rational decision of India would be to replace the US goods imports (relatively easily done) and improve relations with China, including with respect to Chinese firms setting up shop in India to help manufacturing development. Also, India joining the RCEP free trade zone with South East Asia, China, Australia, New Zealand, Japan and South Korea would help orient India’s trade toward Eurasia. India needs to follow Brazil’s example and teach the Trump administration a lesson. Its rejection of the over-priced and low performing F35 was a good start, but it must do much more to display the strength that Trump respects.

Azerbaijan (and Armenia)



The New Azerbaijan Party, controlled by the countries oligarchy such as the dominant Aliyev family, has been in power since 1993. The nation is run by a corrupt oligarchy fed by its oil and gas wealth, with some fluidity within the oligarchy. The nation borders Russia, Georgia, Armenia and Iran so you would think that Azerbaijan would prioritize good relations with its neighbours; especially the much more powerful Russia and Iran. In the Caucasus, the West’s main play had been Georgia but that project of vassalization has now been destroyed so they have been looking for other troublemakers in the region.

Armenia, under the idiot traitor Pashinyan, has gone all in with the West even though it had been Russian peace keeping troops that had kept Azerbaijan at bay. He has already stated that Armenia will be withdrawing from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) between Armenia, Belarus, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. Relations with Turkey have been historically poisoned due to the Armenian genocide and Turkey’s refusal to acknowledge it, but Pashinyan is now pushing to normalize relations between the two countries. Turkey has strong relations with Azerbaijan.

Pashinyan came to power through a 2018 colour revolution, and has increasingly shown himself to be nothing more than a Western vassal; with France a source of military supplies. He has already lost the Nagorno-Karabakh region in the 2020 war with Azerbaijan, is in direct conflict with the church authorities, has had disputes with the military, and has current poll ratings below 20%; the next parliamentary elections (Pashinyan is PM) will be held in June 2026. The current discussions about a US presence in the Zangezur Corridor that passes through Armenia to link the two parts of Azerbaijan are an obvious self-preservation play by Pashinyan to gain a US presence to back up his failing regime before the 2026 elections. For the US, it will provide not just influence in Armenia and Azerbaijan but also a base from which to infiltrate Iran. Such a move would also reduce the earnings that Iran currently enjoys by providing a linkage between the two parts of Azerbaijan. Of course, Iran and Russia would be extremely hostile to such a US presence.

Azerbaijan is playing with fire with its aggressive moves against Russia in response to the arrest of several dozen ethnic Azerbaijanis in Yekaterinburg in connection with a series of murders that took place fifteen years ago; with two brothers dying in custody. The Azeri diaspora within Russia has always provided security and criminal gang concerns, and it seems that Russia has decided that it was time to crack down on Azeri criminal networks. The Azeri authorities accused the Russians of deliberately killing the suspects (who were accused of killing other Azeris in Russia), cancelled cultural events, raided Sputnik and detained its employees who were beaten and accused of drug dealing and cyberfraud, implemented regular document checks for Russian nationals, and aired criticisms in the state media. This would seem to be a significant over-reaction and as Carnegie Politika notes, may be the result of larger Azeri machinations that used the situation as a pretence to increase conflict between the two nations:

Brutality and impunity among the security forces are hardly anything new on either side of the Russia–Azerbaijan border, but they have never previously led to such a crisis in relations. It would appear that the deaths in custody of two men—even ones accused of involvement in organized crime and the murder of ethnic Azerbaijanis in Russia fifteen years ago—are a convenient pretext for the Azerbaijani authorities to use a confrontation with Moscow to strengthen their position both at home and abroad.

Russia is bogged down in its war against Ukraine and isolated in the West by countless sanctions, which has made Azerbaijan an important logistics partner for Moscow. Since the start of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Moscow has been actively investing in transport infrastructure on Azerbaijani territory and projects along the Russia-Iran-India route.

At the same time, Russia’s initiative and influence in the South Caucasus has drastically weakened. First, Russian peacekeepers deployed to the disputed area of Nagorno-Karabakh after the 2020 Armenian-Azerbaijani war put up no resistance to Azerbaijan’s blockade of the region. Nor, in September 2023, did they intervene in Baku’s successful military operation to take control of Nagorno-Karabakh. And in the spring of 2024, the Russian peacekeeping contingent left the region ahead of schedule.


So the Azeri oligarchy saw their chance to throw their weight around and renegotiate their relationship with Russia.

The standoff with Moscow is designed to show that Azerbaijan is not in fact an authoritarian ally of Russia, but a strategic partner of the West in the global confrontation with Russia, especially in the energy sector. Accordingly, it would be wiser for Brussels and Washington to turn a blind eye to the internal problems of a country that is so useful to them. Baku’s statements in support of Ukraine, and Aliyev’s recent phone call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky were aimed at shoring up this image.

They cannot afford to escalate things further, as the Azeri economy is so dependent upon trade with Russia.

By falling out with the Kremlin, Azerbaijan’s authorities are trying to score points both at home and internationally—but all within boundaries that allow Russia to remain a key economic partner. In this regard, Azerbaijani foreign policy bears a growing resemblance to that of Turkey: aggressive demarches followed by fresh rapprochements, conflicts without severing relations, and maneuvering between various blocs.

This is the same short-term stupidity displayed by Turkey, which thinks it can play games while Russia is engaged in the Ukrainian War with no consequences when Russia inevitably wins that war. Also, in moving toward a West that is in decline and will not subjugate an Iran that will only grow stronger. Instead of embracing Russia, China, Iran and Eurasia in general. Azerbaijan has been working on ways of reducing its reliance upon Russia, through such things as the Black Sea electricity cable that will carry electricity via Georgia to the EU and its recent export of natural gas through the Trans-Balkan gas corridor that links Turkey to the Balkans and Ukraine (via a hub in Orlivka, Ukraine). This hub, that also facilitates the supply of US gas to Ukraine, was attacked by Russia on August 6th. The supply of gas from Azerbaijan to a country that Russia is actively at war with is a significant escalation by Azerbaijan, and Russia’s attack on the Orlivka hub may be sending a message that the Azeris should listen to.

The Trump administration saw the opportunity and leapt in to act as a mediator between Armenia and Azerbaijan (replacing Russia) and to push for US control of the Zengezur Corridor. Such an agreement would be extremely stupid for the Azeris to reach, as they can already link the two parts of the nation through Iran and know that this would greatly escalate tensions with its biggest trading partner and with its powerful neighbour to the south. Whether or not such an agreement is signed will be highly indicative of the Azeri elite’s understanding of medium term geopolitics and on the level of patience that Russia and Iran exercise. The Iranians have the additional concern of the at least 10 million Azeri diaspora (one in nine Iranians) in Iran that predominantly live in the areas bordering Azerbaijan; something that would serve the usual Western drive to break up adversaries into smaller ethnic pieces.



Once the Ukraine War ends, or even perhaps before then, there will be consequences for the Azeri oligarchy and for Pashinyan (who may quite possibly flee to the West to escape the consequences brought upon him by his own population if he loses next years elections). The extreme tactical and short-sighted moves of the US show a weakening power that is engaged in tactical responses rather than any strategic long-term plan. Tactics that are undermining its relations with other nations, and pushing many closer to BRINKCISTAN.

https://rogerboyd.substack.com/p/brazil ... an-in-play

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NATO targets Kaliningrad

Lorenzo Maria Pacini

August 7, 2025

But, despite increasingly aggressive rhetoric, most Western threats appear to be statements of principle lacking any real will – or ability – to act.

Year 2027

In recent days, there has been an intensification of rhetoric from several NATO member countries, which have made new accusations against the Russian Federation, claiming that Moscow is planning a military attack against Europe, scheduled, according to these statements, for 2027. These statements, which appear surprisingly coordinated, seem to reflect more a Western communication strategy than a real alarm about imminent threats from Russia.

A significant development concerns the hypothesis, put forward by some Western military authorities, of a possible simultaneous offensive conducted jointly by China and Russia: Beijing through an invasion of Taiwan, Moscow with a direct attack on Europe. This thesis was explicitly expressed by the new NATO Supreme Allied Commander in Europe, General Alexus Grynkewich, and subsequently supported by Polish government officials, such as the deputy prime minister and defense minister. The emphasis on 2027 as a reference date appears singular. According to some interpretations, this insistence stems from internal NATO simulations that predict a possible collapse of Ukraine in that year, which could require the opening of new fronts to contain the Russian advance. Alternatively, this narrative could reflect an attempt to generate a larger-scale military crisis in order to ease Russian military pressure on Ukraine.

The Russian region of Kaliningrad, which has recently been the subject of increasing attention and hostile rhetoric from Atlantic Alliance officials, is of particular strategic importance. General Christopher Donahue, commander of the U.S. Army for Europe and Africa, has publicly stated that NATO would develop a detailed plan for the conquest of Kaliningrad “in unprecedented times” in the event of a large-scale conflict with Russia.

This announcement is part of the broader “eastern flank deterrence line” strategy, which aims to strengthen the Alliance’s land capabilities, harmonize industrial production in the defense sector, and introduce standardized digital systems to facilitate operational coordination. According to Donahue, land capabilities are now becoming increasingly important, to the point where they can effectively counter so-called A2/AD (anti-access/area denial) strategies and enable power projection in the maritime domain.

The implicit message emerging from this strategic narrative is that some of NATO’s statements and postures seem designed to provoke an armed response from Russia, which would allow the Alliance to characterize that response as “aggression” and thus justify its own escalation.

The key factor is timing: the year 2027 plays a perhaps highly symbolic role and, above all, is close enough to the implementation of the war plans that NATO has developed in recent years. There is one significant problem: the EU has planned rearmament for 2030, not 2027… Who teaches math to the Alliance’s generals? NATO needs the EU to fight this war. There is a communication problem in the secretariat. Perhaps it is time to change the reception staff.

Strategic consistency in the balance

However, there are also those who do not share this view, such as Admiral Rob Bauer, former chairman of NATO’s Military Committee, who recently stated that a limited Russian attack on a Baltic state would not automatically trigger a military response from the Alliance, but would instead trigger a consultation process among member states. The officer acknowledged that NATO’s expansion towards Russia’s borders took place in the absence of a symmetrical military expansion on the Russian side and even admitted that Moscow is increasing arms production beyond operational needs in Ukraine, suggesting a military reserve capacity for future scenarios. This, let’s be clear, is the most logical thing a country can do when it has an entire military partnership threatening it for decades… but NATO’s high command is incapable of seeing this.

Another factor frequently cited as justification for the Western escalation is the so-called Russian ‘shadow fleet’, a group of ships used to transport energy resources in circumvention of sanctions. Former Lithuanian Foreign Minister Landsbergis has claimed that the Russian “ghost fleet” numbers around a thousand naval vessels.

Some analysts also argue that the small Baltic states are seen as potential “sacrificial pioneers” in an attempt to drag Russia into a wider conflict and prolong Western hegemony through widespread militarization. Bauer’s own words seem to suggest that a limited Russian attack would not trigger an automatic response, but rather an opportunity to intensify propaganda, increase military spending, and gain time to manage internal crises.

There is therefore a discrepancy between the statements, which leaves questions open about the communicative objectives of such rhetoric. The Russian authorities, for their part, have reacted firmly to these statements: an attack on Kaliningrad would be considered an attack on the entire Russian Federation, triggering all measures provided for in military doctrine, including those of a nuclear nature. What can we expect? Russia, on the other hand, continues to maintain a measured position, without echoing the diplomatic arrogance of the Atlantic Alliance.

Despite increasingly aggressive rhetoric, most Western threats appear to be statements of principle lacking any real will—or ability—to act. In such a scenario, any crisis can be subordinated to the urgency of war, justifying extraordinary measures and suspending all forms of democratic dissent. The widespread perception is that the West is trying to project an image of cohesion and strength that contrasts with systemic difficulties and the progressive decline of Atlantic influence. It should be clear that Russian success in Ukraine would be a serious blow to the credibility of the entire Euro-Atlantic system.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... liningrad/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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