Some notes from El Murid:
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Yesterday, information began spreading about possible US measures against Russian thieves and corrupt officials in power. Naturally, while any such information has the nature of either leakage (for any purpose) or speculation, so it only makes sense to listen to it, but only.
In this information, interest is caused by a possible number of persons against whom personal sanctions can be imposed: 50,000 people. This is an unprecedented number, there has never been such a thing before.
There is a conditional and not entirely scientific concept of "111 thousand families" describing the Russian ruling nobility and its servile servants: a thousand families of high dignitaries (the highest federal authority, top managers of federal corporations), 10,000 first-tier families (regional level) and 100,000 families families of servants (the leadership of law enforcement agencies, judges, journalists, actors, employees of other creative and propagandistic professions, and so on). These families presumably concentrated in their hands up to 95 percent of the total national wealth and have 90-95 percent of all income in the country. The remaining 140 million are satisfied with the remaining scraps.
If the number of 50 thousand really becomes a reality, we will talk about the fact that the US will work with the main part of the Russian nomenclature, which controls most of Russia's national wealth. The phrase of Brzezinski: "You decide whose elite this is" becomes the guide to action. In fact, Brzezinski is absolutely right - if this elite voluntarily transferred itself to the West, then the West considers itself fully entitled to execute and pardon at its discretion.
Sanctions of this level will become untenable for the Russian leadership. The nobles need the protection and security of what it has been able to steal from the people over the years of the existence of a young democratic Russia. If Putin's regime is not in a position to do this, there is an objective need to replace it.
Technically, the regime can extend its existence for some time. He has for this two possibilities, more precisely, one, but with different directions: war. It can be the creation of an open fascist dictatorship and, hence, a war within the country with any discontent, and this can be any external war that will allow for a time to tighten domestic policy. Actually, any fascist state goes exactly along one of such paths. This is a completely objective and perfectly rational policy of self-defense. Another question is that both of these scenarios will require the exertion of all forces, the mobilization of events, that for the half-dead Putin's Russia, which is struggling to drag out existence in a peaceful regime, can become a complete catastrophe. Fascist Germany at least had an idea, picked up by the masses - on which it existed for 12 years. Putin has no idea and never will. The idea of "Enriching" is aimed only at a very narrow circle of associates and does not include all the others - because the enrichment of his friends and associates is exactly at the expense of all the others.
The pick-up truck, which cleans tram passengers, only redistributes the already available ones in their own pocket. He does not make them richer, he steals them. Thirty years ago, a troop of pickpockets climbed into the tram named "Russia", and there is no other idea whatsoever, except to cut off the wallets of everyone, this landing can not and can not be.
In other words, the Putin regime will not save dictatorship in any form - it does not have any use for this complex instrument, and the rusty vertical can not stand the twisting of the nuts - it will start to pour.
The states have quite rationally assessed the current state of affairs, and if a decision on such unprecedented sanctions is taken, this means that, at a minimum, they expect a rapid shift in the situation in the direction they need.
Well, and how it will be in reality - we'll see in February-March. For the umpteenth time, in addition to moral satisfaction, the collapse of the Putin regime to the people of Russia and the future of the country will bring little: thieves and mafiosi can be replaced by outspoken traitors and collaborators. Both are worse, as they say. However, at the same time there is an opportunity at a transitional stage to take advantage of the chance that such a transition stage provides. But while he looks very hypothetical.
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Against, at the expense of, on the rubble
30-Nov-2017 05:31 pm •
In the Kremlin, it is believed that attempts by the US to adjust through sanctions the Russian business elite against President Vladimir Putin are linked to the impending presidential elections. The press secretary of the Russian President Dmitry Peskov told journalists, answering the list of issues that the Kremlin received from an international news agency. Let's leave aside the question of how long a technician (and the press secretary in any hierarchy is treated solely as a technical person, such a voice of Sauron) becomes a "statesman". If, by the way, this is so, then the question is inevitable, as far as it is normal for stableers and postmennymi to form the basis of state policy. But that's not the point.
The essence of what is happening is very obvious. Putin's Russia went beyond the permissible from the West's point of view, and came out for quite objective reasons, at the system level. The Russian "elite" of the nineties was composed mainly of people from the Soviet party and economic nomenklatura, who converted power into property, transferring security issues to the West, which guaranteed her immunity in exchange for a significant decline in Russia's status. This nomenclature quite reasonably believed that organized crime was its rival and did everything possible to cut it off from power. Very revealing in this sense was the cancellation of the election of the mayor of Nizhny Novgorod in the spring of 98, when the "authoritative entrepreneur"
The West in this issue was fully in agreement, believing that the criminal, deprived of power levers, will be forced to proceed to relatively civilized methods of influence through the organization of managed lobbying structures. Someone, and the US experience of cleaning the management structures from the mafia is very solid, and what the threat of having a mafia in power, they know on their own skin. By the way, the fierce cleansing of oligarchs in Ukraine has the same goal - dividing power and business, the US expects controllability of political processes and removal of oligarchs from them, as an outrageous and uncontrollable factor. Classical neo-colonialism, whose management is based on two main mechanisms - the debt burden of "neocolony" and the creation of a comprador political elite.
Putin, as you can understand, was "hired for the kingdom" as a man from the security forces who can continue the policy of keeping organized crime away from political power. The main miscalculation of the "Family" was precisely this assumption. By the end of the 1990s the power structures were already permeated with their own organized crime groups and clans linked with "wards" criminal structures. It is enough to read the existing descriptions of Putin's activities and his team during the St. Petersburg period of their activity in order to understand how the splicing mechanism worked and what forms he took. Actually, this was happening all over the country.
Naturally, with the advent of Putin everything happened exactly the opposite - it was organized crime that became the basis for the formation of new power structures. "Family" and compradors of the 90s managed to beat off their "plot" in the financial industry, but the raw material was captured by crime. The pressure was so strong that the "Family" simply did not have time to repel the pirate raid on "Yukos", surrendering it to Putin almost without a fight.
Mafia, who came to power, of course, was not going to build capitalism - neither advanced modern, nor even cave archaic. The key market paradigm - competition - is absolutely unthinkable for the Mafia, and the classical monopolistic raw oligopoly began to form in full swing in the country.
Naturally, oligarchs are obliged to focus on their own and clan interests, which objectively contradicted the interests of external managers. Another question is that for this country's future and the people of Russia this hostility did not and can not have any positive meanings: the interests of both the mafia and the conditional West are deeply antagonistic not only to each other, but also to the interests of Russia.
Actually, further everything is quite simple. Peskov, speaking of the fact that the "business elite" is a supporter of Putin, as always, says untruth. The business elite is not homogeneous, and that part, whose genesis goes back to the "conquests" of the nineties, a priori hostile to Putin and his regime. As you might guess, it is mostly represented by financial capital, and by the way, to a large extent, the cleaning up of the banking system, which is now being conducted by the Central Bank, is precisely an element of the intra-elite struggle of the Putin mafia system with the "family" system - that is, the remnants of the former, Yeltsin's elite.
The criminal part of the elite, which broke through to the levers of government already in the zero years, is also heterogeneous, and US sanctions are precisely designed to crush it even more. The part that can survive outside the system built by Putin will be undressed, but most likely, limited to ransom - roughly the same thing is now doing Mohammed bin Salman in Saudi Arabia. Putin's environment, which has no chance, if their patron will be removed from power, will be cleared to the very root.
The goal of the United States is to return Russia to the category of classical neocolonies, dividing power and business by building a managerial political vertical structure that is subordinate only to them. There are certain contradictions in the model of building such a neocolony between the globalist and imperial part of the elite of the United States, Europe and the West as a whole. They are trying to play the current Kremlin, but not very well, as for all their opponents the negative agenda - the demolition of the Putin regime - is a consensus.
That's why the "Trampnash" design arose, because only the non-systemic president of the United States is able to deepen these contradictions and give the Kremlin, if not a chance, at least a delay in time. It seems, however, that Trump's opportunities are overrated, and he has to make concessions on the basis of consensus issues for the American elite. Therefore, he had to sign a law, according to which the hunting season for Russian mafiosi should be opened in February 18. He simply does not have the resource to resist.
The binding of the elite pogrom to the elections of 18 years, probably, is, but most likely, the US proceeds from other considerations. The stability of the Putin regime is rapidly collapsing along with the economy and the social situation in the country. The year 18 should be the last relatively stable year, after which Russia enters a period of uncertainty and turbulence. It is logical that just by this moment the US wants to maximally unbalance that part of the Russian thief, which will become a liquidated social group. Its assets will be the booty of the winning part of the elite, and therefore the United States can count on the revolution not only relatively bloodlessly, but also at the expense of Russia itself. Let us recall Brzezinski's phrase: "The new world order under US hegemony is being created against Russia, at the expense of Russia and on the ruins of Russia"
Again - it is not and can not go about the interests of Russia and the people. Mafiosi and thieves are no better than compradors. The only rational thing that can be done in such conditions is to try to prepare for the inevitable in this case the period of transformation of the system, when it becomes as unstable as possible. When the transformation period is passed, something to do in terms of changing the situation will become more complicated and costly.
Naturally, the West will do everything possible to liquidate any organized counteraction system, and in this sense it fully and completely agrees with the Putin regime itself, which is engaged in the same. But the key goal remains the same - the demolition of the Putin regime through destabilization of the ruling mafia elite in Russia. How exactly this will be done is a matter of technology and practice. But the goal is unchanged.
And what is said there statesman Sands - it's the tenth thing. He simply voices what he should, and only.
https://el-murid.livejournal.com/3558085.html#cutid1
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