Re: Brazil
Posted: Tue Oct 04, 2022 3:01 pm
PRESIDENCY OF BRAZIL WILL BE DEFINED IN THE SECOND ROUND: NUMBERS AND RESULTS
3 Oct 2022 , 2:27 pm .
Former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won the general elections that took place this Sunday, October 2 in Brazil, but the numbers did not give him enough to win in the first round. In total, he got 48.43% of the votes and will face the current president, Jair Bolsonaro, on October 30, who registered 43.2% of the votes, much more than the polls predicted.
The votes of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), led by Simone Tebet, who came in third position (4.16%), and of Lula's former minister, Ciro Gomes (3.04%), fourth place, will be decisive in defining who He will be the next president of Brazil. It is expected to be a close ending.
Beyond Lula's victory in the first round, it was shown that Bolsonarism will be very much alive in Congress and the Senate and will be strongly opposed if the Workers' Party (PT) wins on October 30.
Other results:
*513 deputies were also elected, a third of the senators, governors and hundreds of state and Federal District deputies.
In the three most populous states, Sao Paulo, Minas Gerais and Rio de Janeiro, candidates for governor allied with Bolsonaro won.
*President Bolsonaro's Liberal Party (PL) won the largest bench in Congress, according to an estimate based on figures from the Superior Electoral Court.
*Jair Bolsonaro's PL won at least 23 deputies in the elections this Sunday, reaching 99 and becoming the largest bench that has been elected in the Chamber in the last 24 years. In 2018, the PL had obtained 33 federal deputies, that is, less than half of the current bench.
The PT also increased its bench, from 56 to 76.
*Bolsonaro won nine governorships and Lula won six in the first round. There are still 12 states to define their rulers in the second round.
*In this first round, three PT candidates emerged as winners: Fátima Bezerra in Rio Grande do Norte, Elmano de Freitas in Ceará and Rafael Fonteles in Piauí. In addition, three others from parties allied to Lula were also victorious: Clécio Nunes (SD) in Amapá, Carlos Brandão (PSB) in Maranhão and Helder Barbalho (MDB) in Pará.
*The nine governors elected by Bolsonarism are: Ratinho (PSD) in Paraná, Mauro Mendes (Union) who was re-elected with a wide lead in Mato Grosso, Gladson Cameli (PP) who also managed to be re-elected in Acre, Ibaneis Rocha (MDB) in the Federal District, Ronaldo Caiado (UB) in Goiás, Romeu Zema (Novo) in Minas Gerais and Antonio Denarium (PP) re-elected in Roraima. Bolsonaro also has elected allies in Rio de Janeiro, with Cláudio Castro (PL), and Tocantins, with Wanderley Barbosa (Republicans).
https://misionverdad.com/presidencia-de ... resultados
TURN IN THE PT AND RISE OF BOLSONARISM: ON THE ELECTIONS IN BRAZIL
3 Oct 2022 , 7:50 p.m.
The Liberal Party won the majority in Congress and remained close to Lula's votes in the first Brazilian electoral round (Photo: AFP)
Contrary to what the main polls in Brazil predicted, the general elections gave results that call into question the way politics is done from the left in the vast South American country. Lula da Silva and the Workers' Party (PT) could not achieve the long-awaited presidential victory in the first round (with 48.4% of the votes), which translates into an upcoming electoral battle that will take place on October 30 by the presidency and key positions throughout the country.
For his part, Jair Bolsonaro and the Liberal Party (PL) achieved 43.2% of the votes in the presidential election, a distance of just five points from Lula. The PL showed its strength in the suffrage to Congress, reaching the largest benches with 14 of 81 seats in the Senate, and in the Chamber of Deputies, with 99 of 513. A hypothetical future Lula government could be in difficulties with the majority of conservative-leaning parliamentary representation. Not surprisingly, Bolsonaro said that "this was our highest priority at this first moment."
In such a way that the strategy from Bolsonarism seemed to be tied to the legislative forces (in a country marked by lawfare in the last decade) in the first place, to achieve the highest concentration of votes in the presidential round facing a second and definitive round and dominate the political scene with a conservative narrative that represents a good part of the social desires in Brazil.
Looking at the map of the results, it is clear that the current president dominates what in sociology is called the "deep Brazil" of the center-south, a macro-region that now seems to be the antagonist of the immense northeast, dominated in the voting by Lula and the pt. In other words, there is no homologation in the political identity of the Brazilian "interior", historically despised from the big cities, as has happened in other electoral contests.
Electoral map of the Brazilian elections: in red, in favor of Lula; in blue, in favor of Bolsonaro (Photo: File)
This does not mean that Lula is not the favorite to win the second, rather it shows that polarization has grown over the years and that the PT's political and electoral strategies have not given the expected results. The type of campaign carried out by the Lulista left is revealed, a reflection of what the party is today in its organic composition and program.
MINIMUM PT EXAM
Whether from the communicational or strategic point of view or merely in the proposal, the errors of political identification with the electorate from the PT took their toll in the first round and in the legislative and gubernatorial elections. As a clear example, the profusion of artists as the axis of the electoral campaign above the expectations and representations of the working people and the common people is a thermometer of the political development of Lullism, a distinction that took its toll on him, like da Silva himself. He admits it: "I will visit more regions. And my advice is: from tomorrow there will be less conversation between us and more conversation with the voters."
Rather, Lula's campaign lacked emotional fiber and was, according to sociologist Rudá Ricci, " extremely rational and professional ." In that sense, it replicated much of what had been practiced in the 2018 elections with Fernando Haddad in contention, who was advanced by seven points in this election for governor of São Paulo by the PL candidate, Tarcísio Gomes Freitas, in a state characterized by being the richest in the country.
The repetition of political personalities who do not unite the vote of the impoverished majorities in Brazil, such as Haddad, was a miscalculation that the PT made and with which they will have to insist for the second round in those regions where they still have a chance of winning. win the match against Bolsonarism.
But, in addition, there is the fundamental fact that popular organizations, social movements, NGOs and leftist networks, related to Lula and progressive representatives, lost their power of formulation and traditional mobilization in other decades. Leftist parties and organizations have progressively lost their channels of communication with their social base. This is reflected in what has been said about the campaign, which shows an existential break in the PT.
AND OF BOLSONARISMO
Suddenly, the political movement led by Bolsonaro was ratified in a trail of votes and political representations in different instances of power. An extreme right that has the still current president as its leader, but that was already consolidating beyond him, at least in social practices such as evangelism, which has been on the rise for decades in Brazil, and a certain conservative political culture.
Due to the cooling of relations between leftist parties and the struggle for fundamental rights in the South American country, individual success and the protection of certain communities and social identities in the political spectrum take precedence: that is where Bolsonarism intends to make a dent, be it to nuclear towards itself said wills or to implode them with partisan objectives.
A key factor in supporting the PL has been the reported economic growth , despite widespread hunger, in this year 2022, after a disastrous management of the covid pandemic by the current administration. Inflation has decreased compared to the last two years, as well as unemployment. Brazil remains the largest producer of meat in the world and the fourth largest producer of cereals.
The international vertex has also favored the current group of Brazil under the presidency of Bolsonaro in recent times. His position in the face of tectonic changes in the geopolitical order has been favorable to the multipolarism promoted by the BRICS and other entities led by China and Russia, in clear antagonism with the imperial decline of US unipolarity.
In any case, the PL works on the basis of the strong conservative movement that exists in Brazil and shows that it has greater power of mobilization and political projection than years ago, when Bolsonaro took the reins of the Planalto Palace.
In addition, it promotes the political scene as a gladiatorial arena in which the re-election candidate faces Lula personally, and that is a gain for a right that does not want to see a return of the PT to power crystallized, seeking the demobilization of its programmatic bases and giving flight to its own political tendency. Not surprisingly, Bolsonaro transferred the vote of his former Social Liberal Party to the PL under this strategy. It is a political culture on the rise, and we are still trying to understand the implications of this for the future.
Lula is likely to receive the support of the third-place finisher in the first round of elections, Simone Tebet, who received 4% of the vote, and to take the majority of the vote from Ciro Gomes, who received 3%. Lula will have no choice but to approach the center now to form greater alliances and give a quick turn to political identity if he does not want to suffer a setback that would be difficult for the left and progressives to assimilate not only in Brazil, but also in the region. South American
For this, it is necessary to deepen the social analysis of Brazilian politics and return to a national class position that is far removed from the latest progressive tendencies promoted by the American democratic establishment and the European community. We have already seen the throes of it in Chile and Argentina.
https://misionverdad.com/globalistan/gi ... -en-brasil
Google Translator
3 Oct 2022 , 2:27 pm .
Former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won the general elections that took place this Sunday, October 2 in Brazil, but the numbers did not give him enough to win in the first round. In total, he got 48.43% of the votes and will face the current president, Jair Bolsonaro, on October 30, who registered 43.2% of the votes, much more than the polls predicted.
The votes of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), led by Simone Tebet, who came in third position (4.16%), and of Lula's former minister, Ciro Gomes (3.04%), fourth place, will be decisive in defining who He will be the next president of Brazil. It is expected to be a close ending.
Beyond Lula's victory in the first round, it was shown that Bolsonarism will be very much alive in Congress and the Senate and will be strongly opposed if the Workers' Party (PT) wins on October 30.
Other results:
*513 deputies were also elected, a third of the senators, governors and hundreds of state and Federal District deputies.
In the three most populous states, Sao Paulo, Minas Gerais and Rio de Janeiro, candidates for governor allied with Bolsonaro won.
*President Bolsonaro's Liberal Party (PL) won the largest bench in Congress, according to an estimate based on figures from the Superior Electoral Court.
*Jair Bolsonaro's PL won at least 23 deputies in the elections this Sunday, reaching 99 and becoming the largest bench that has been elected in the Chamber in the last 24 years. In 2018, the PL had obtained 33 federal deputies, that is, less than half of the current bench.
The PT also increased its bench, from 56 to 76.
*Bolsonaro won nine governorships and Lula won six in the first round. There are still 12 states to define their rulers in the second round.
*In this first round, three PT candidates emerged as winners: Fátima Bezerra in Rio Grande do Norte, Elmano de Freitas in Ceará and Rafael Fonteles in Piauí. In addition, three others from parties allied to Lula were also victorious: Clécio Nunes (SD) in Amapá, Carlos Brandão (PSB) in Maranhão and Helder Barbalho (MDB) in Pará.
*The nine governors elected by Bolsonarism are: Ratinho (PSD) in Paraná, Mauro Mendes (Union) who was re-elected with a wide lead in Mato Grosso, Gladson Cameli (PP) who also managed to be re-elected in Acre, Ibaneis Rocha (MDB) in the Federal District, Ronaldo Caiado (UB) in Goiás, Romeu Zema (Novo) in Minas Gerais and Antonio Denarium (PP) re-elected in Roraima. Bolsonaro also has elected allies in Rio de Janeiro, with Cláudio Castro (PL), and Tocantins, with Wanderley Barbosa (Republicans).
https://misionverdad.com/presidencia-de ... resultados
TURN IN THE PT AND RISE OF BOLSONARISM: ON THE ELECTIONS IN BRAZIL
3 Oct 2022 , 7:50 p.m.
The Liberal Party won the majority in Congress and remained close to Lula's votes in the first Brazilian electoral round (Photo: AFP)
Contrary to what the main polls in Brazil predicted, the general elections gave results that call into question the way politics is done from the left in the vast South American country. Lula da Silva and the Workers' Party (PT) could not achieve the long-awaited presidential victory in the first round (with 48.4% of the votes), which translates into an upcoming electoral battle that will take place on October 30 by the presidency and key positions throughout the country.
For his part, Jair Bolsonaro and the Liberal Party (PL) achieved 43.2% of the votes in the presidential election, a distance of just five points from Lula. The PL showed its strength in the suffrage to Congress, reaching the largest benches with 14 of 81 seats in the Senate, and in the Chamber of Deputies, with 99 of 513. A hypothetical future Lula government could be in difficulties with the majority of conservative-leaning parliamentary representation. Not surprisingly, Bolsonaro said that "this was our highest priority at this first moment."
In such a way that the strategy from Bolsonarism seemed to be tied to the legislative forces (in a country marked by lawfare in the last decade) in the first place, to achieve the highest concentration of votes in the presidential round facing a second and definitive round and dominate the political scene with a conservative narrative that represents a good part of the social desires in Brazil.
Looking at the map of the results, it is clear that the current president dominates what in sociology is called the "deep Brazil" of the center-south, a macro-region that now seems to be the antagonist of the immense northeast, dominated in the voting by Lula and the pt. In other words, there is no homologation in the political identity of the Brazilian "interior", historically despised from the big cities, as has happened in other electoral contests.
Electoral map of the Brazilian elections: in red, in favor of Lula; in blue, in favor of Bolsonaro (Photo: File)
This does not mean that Lula is not the favorite to win the second, rather it shows that polarization has grown over the years and that the PT's political and electoral strategies have not given the expected results. The type of campaign carried out by the Lulista left is revealed, a reflection of what the party is today in its organic composition and program.
MINIMUM PT EXAM
Whether from the communicational or strategic point of view or merely in the proposal, the errors of political identification with the electorate from the PT took their toll in the first round and in the legislative and gubernatorial elections. As a clear example, the profusion of artists as the axis of the electoral campaign above the expectations and representations of the working people and the common people is a thermometer of the political development of Lullism, a distinction that took its toll on him, like da Silva himself. He admits it: "I will visit more regions. And my advice is: from tomorrow there will be less conversation between us and more conversation with the voters."
Rather, Lula's campaign lacked emotional fiber and was, according to sociologist Rudá Ricci, " extremely rational and professional ." In that sense, it replicated much of what had been practiced in the 2018 elections with Fernando Haddad in contention, who was advanced by seven points in this election for governor of São Paulo by the PL candidate, Tarcísio Gomes Freitas, in a state characterized by being the richest in the country.
The repetition of political personalities who do not unite the vote of the impoverished majorities in Brazil, such as Haddad, was a miscalculation that the PT made and with which they will have to insist for the second round in those regions where they still have a chance of winning. win the match against Bolsonarism.
But, in addition, there is the fundamental fact that popular organizations, social movements, NGOs and leftist networks, related to Lula and progressive representatives, lost their power of formulation and traditional mobilization in other decades. Leftist parties and organizations have progressively lost their channels of communication with their social base. This is reflected in what has been said about the campaign, which shows an existential break in the PT.
AND OF BOLSONARISMO
Suddenly, the political movement led by Bolsonaro was ratified in a trail of votes and political representations in different instances of power. An extreme right that has the still current president as its leader, but that was already consolidating beyond him, at least in social practices such as evangelism, which has been on the rise for decades in Brazil, and a certain conservative political culture.
Due to the cooling of relations between leftist parties and the struggle for fundamental rights in the South American country, individual success and the protection of certain communities and social identities in the political spectrum take precedence: that is where Bolsonarism intends to make a dent, be it to nuclear towards itself said wills or to implode them with partisan objectives.
A key factor in supporting the PL has been the reported economic growth , despite widespread hunger, in this year 2022, after a disastrous management of the covid pandemic by the current administration. Inflation has decreased compared to the last two years, as well as unemployment. Brazil remains the largest producer of meat in the world and the fourth largest producer of cereals.
The international vertex has also favored the current group of Brazil under the presidency of Bolsonaro in recent times. His position in the face of tectonic changes in the geopolitical order has been favorable to the multipolarism promoted by the BRICS and other entities led by China and Russia, in clear antagonism with the imperial decline of US unipolarity.
In any case, the PL works on the basis of the strong conservative movement that exists in Brazil and shows that it has greater power of mobilization and political projection than years ago, when Bolsonaro took the reins of the Planalto Palace.
In addition, it promotes the political scene as a gladiatorial arena in which the re-election candidate faces Lula personally, and that is a gain for a right that does not want to see a return of the PT to power crystallized, seeking the demobilization of its programmatic bases and giving flight to its own political tendency. Not surprisingly, Bolsonaro transferred the vote of his former Social Liberal Party to the PL under this strategy. It is a political culture on the rise, and we are still trying to understand the implications of this for the future.
Lula is likely to receive the support of the third-place finisher in the first round of elections, Simone Tebet, who received 4% of the vote, and to take the majority of the vote from Ciro Gomes, who received 3%. Lula will have no choice but to approach the center now to form greater alliances and give a quick turn to political identity if he does not want to suffer a setback that would be difficult for the left and progressives to assimilate not only in Brazil, but also in the region. South American
For this, it is necessary to deepen the social analysis of Brazilian politics and return to a national class position that is far removed from the latest progressive tendencies promoted by the American democratic establishment and the European community. We have already seen the throes of it in Chile and Argentina.
https://misionverdad.com/globalistan/gi ... -en-brasil
Google Translator