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Post by blindpig » Sat Feb 01, 2025 4:20 pm

On the work of the CPRF party organizations in the LPR
February 1, 16:21

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On the work of the CPRF party organizations in the LPR

At the end of December, a working group of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation headed by a member of the Presidium, Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation Kazbek Taisayev, who has been regularly visiting Donbass since 2014, Vladimir Rodin, Advisor to the Chairman of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, and the author of these lines arrived in the Luhansk People's Republic. One of the tasks set before us was monitoring the work of local party branches. Together with the First Secretary of the Luhansk Republican Committee Igor Gumenyuk, in three days we managed to visit six party branches located in different areas - both those that have been part of the republic since 2014 and those liberated during the SVO. During the meetings, the communists not only talked about their work, but also raised pressing issues facing both the party branches and the population of the republic.

Severodonetsk

In the late 1980s, Severodonetsk was a well-maintained city with developed economic potential. Large enterprises of the chemical, mechanical engineering and instrument-making industries were located here. Today it is unrecognizable. Many buildings - half-destroyed, hacked by shrapnel, without windows and doors - resemble ghosts. In front of the destroyed building of the local bus station, we are greeted by the surviving pedestal of the monument to Kliment Voroshilov. The monument itself was dismantled by the occupation Ukrainian administration in 2015.

From 2014 until its liberation in June 2022, Severodonetsk served as the administrative center of the so-called Luhansk region of Ukraine. Now this city is home to not 150, as it once did, but about 50 thousand people, although the number of residents is increasing: people who left Severodonetsk at one time are returning home. Over the past two years, more than 280 residential high-rise buildings have been commissioned here. Life is gradually getting better. But young people are not drawn here.

There are good reasons for this. Travel to the city is limited. A strict curfew begins at 6 p.m. There are interruptions in the supply of water, electricity and heat. Medical care leaves much to be desired: the city has one therapist, one surgeon, one otolaryngologist. Sometimes people wait for weeks to see them.

Due to safety requirements that dictate that more than 50 people cannot be in a building at the same time, both kindergartens and schools accept children for only two hours a day. For schoolchildren, coming to school every day is not learning, but a consultation, and bringing children to kindergarten for two hours makes no sense at all.

The issue of registration of title documents for housing is acute. The only notary working in Severodonetsk has died. At the time of his death, the queue of people registering for an appointment with him was 950 people (the vast majority came to resolve issues related to real estate registration). Considering that all documents have a limited validity period, what should people do in this situation in a town where the curfew is 12 hours a day?

Another problem is abandoned dogs. When they find themselves on the street without their owners' supervision, they gather in packs and sometimes attack people. Shooting them is prohibited under Russian law, and the recommended trapping and sterilization are difficult to implement in the current conditions.

There are more than 20 communists registered in the city branch of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, created on the basis of the party organization of the Communists of Ukraine. Its current head, Mikhail Litvinov, was the first secretary of the city committee of the Communist Party before, in the CPU. Fleeing persecution by the Ukrainian Nazis in 2014, he moved to the LPR and lived in a hostel in the city of Stakhanov for 8 years before the liberation of Severodonetsk, working as a guard.

On the street at the entrance to the party office, we were met by the activists - about 15 people. Interruptions in heat and light did not become an obstacle to our friendly communication. We simply remained in our outerwear, by candlelight, and a dim lantern from the ceiling lit the office.

The meeting began traditionally: with the ceremonial presentation of a party card to a comrade who had rejoined the CPRF. And then the communists talked about their work. On the morning of December 21, in honor of Stalin's birthday, they held a motor rally. And although only a few cars decorated with flags with party symbols took part in it, this action was of great importance for the city, which was in information isolation.

At the initiative of the communists, the Committee of Defenders of the Fatherland was created in the city, which is engaged in the search for the dead and missing residents of Severodonetsk - fighters who stood up to defend the Motherland before the start of the SVO, and their families. On April 28, 2023, the President of Russia signed a law granting the status of veterans and disabled combatants to volunteers participating in the special military operation, as well as Donbass militias who participated in hostilities since May 11, 2014. However, the memory of the exploits of many militiamen, and sometimes even their names, have been lost. The militiamen had no IDs. It is difficult to find witnesses to their heroic deaths. There

are several photographs of young people on the table. Mikhail Litvinov talks about each of them. One of the beautiful women, Natalia Yushchuk, actively participated in organizing the independence referendum in 2014. Then she joined the people's militia and trained as a sniper. She had military awards. And in September 2014, she died during a reconnaissance operation. In 2022, when Severodonetsk was liberated, it turned out that no one here knew anything about her fate. Not even her son and daughter. There was no information at the military registration and enlistment office either.

The communists are ready for a lot of painstaking work, for which they have assisted in the creation of a search party at the local college. The party branch plans to organize a photo exhibition by May dedicated to the preparation and holding of the referendum in Severodonetsk and Lugansk, which covers the time period from March to May 2014. According to the organizers, about 300 photographs selected for it clearly show that the people of Lugansk took power into their own hands, without any pressure or coercion from Russia. The photos show large-scale rallies, people with happy faces standing in long lines at polling stations, the seizure of administration buildings, and how they take up arms. There are also video documents.

Another idea is to erect a monument to Lenin in the city. The location for it has already been agreed upon with the administration.

The communists also spoke in detail about their work during the election campaigns. Thanks to its activity and coherence, Mikhail Litvinov and Sergey Gulenko were elected as deputies of the Severodonetsk Urban District Council from the Communist Party of the Russian Federation.

Melovoe

The village of Melovoe, located on the border with the Rostov Region of the Russian Federation, was one of the first to be liberated during the SVO - on February 24, 2022.

However, it has always occupied a special place in the Luhansk region. For three decades of "Ukrainianism", the residents of Melovo preserved the memory of the exploits of their fathers and grandfathers, continuing to honor the traditions of the Soviet era. Many residents of the village had Russian passports even under "independent" Ukraine.

During the years of decommunization in the Melovsky District of the LPR, all monuments to V.I. Lenin were destroyed, all memorials dedicated to the Great Patriotic War were desecrated. They tried to instill in the youth hostility towards Russia, anti-Sovietism and a nationalist ideology alien to us. But the residents of Melov did not give in and fought for their truth as best they could.

One of the manifestations of this struggle was the preservation of monuments to Lenin - a symbol of freedom and peaceful life, which in Nazi Ukraine can be equated to a feat.

On August 8, 2024, on Lenin Street in the center of the village, at the entrance to the building where the Melovsky District Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation is located, a bust of the founder of the Soviet Union Vladimir Ilyich Lenin was solemnly unveiled. Previously standing near the gymnasium, it was dismantled and thrown into the Melovaya River. Local activists of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation found it in the reeds, under a layer of silt.

Thanks to the residents of Melovaya, two more monuments to the leader of the world proletariat were preserved. One of them was transferred to Severodonetsk. The location for the second has not yet been determined.

The Melovsky local organization of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation is one of the most active structural divisions of the party in the liberated territories of the LPR. This became possible thanks to the steadfast life position and tireless energy of its leader, deputy of the Melovsky Municipal District Council Andrey Usik.

The small organization of 12 communists has not only restored Soviet-era monuments desecrated by Kiev gangs, but also carried out patriotic work with the younger generation and provided diverse humanitarian aid to the population.

The premises of the Melovsky District Party Office are warm and light. After their appeal to the ruling party went unheeded, people increasingly come here to the communists in the hope of real help. They know that they will be heard and that they will try to help. The earth is full of rumors. For example, during a meeting of communist deputies with residents of the village of Morozovka, two requests were made. One of them was to return a car taken from a paramedic station by the district clinic. The second was to provide heating to the local church. (It should be noted that the meeting of voters with representatives of the CPRF took place in a church where the priest who serves is the head of the settlement.) The communists did not let us down here either. In a short time, they managed to return the much-needed car to the paramedic station and found sponsors to purchase a solid fuel boiler for the church.

The communists provide assistance not in words but in deeds in resolving other issues of voters. Thus, it was the communists who helped restore the monument to the heroes of the Great Patriotic War at their burial site, although the media reported that it was done by United Russia. It was the communists who helped restore the lighting of a number of streets in the village, although the mention of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation was removed from the text of the article sent by grateful residents to the local newspaper.

The department plans to fight for the installation of a monument to the 64 Soviet soldiers who died during the Great Patriotic War, whose remains were found by searchers. On the central street of the village there is a banner reading "Our Motherland is the USSR! Our Party is the Communist Party of the Russian Federation!" A similar banner hangs on one of the shops in the village of Morozovka, it was installed by the hands of the local priest.

Support for refugees also requires attention. There is no reception center for them in the village administration, and people go to the communists for help. Thanks to the Luhansk regional branch of the VZhS - "Hope of Russia", the most needed items for people who find themselves in difficult life situations are being transferred to Melove - clothing and footwear for adults and children, basic necessities.

The population is turning to the communists with a request to sort out a rather unusual issue. Since 1991, the state border between Russia and Ukraine has passed along Druzhby Narodov Street, located south of the railway line. The houses on the even side of the street turned out to be Russian, and on the odd side - Ukrainian. But this did not interfere with the communication of residents of the Russian village of Chertkovo and the Ukrainian Me-lovoe. People went from Me-lovoe to work in Chertkovo and vice versa. In 2020, a fence was installed along the border, separating the Melovsky District from the Rostov Region. Almost three years have passed since the liberation of Me-lovoe from the Ukrainian fascists. For more than two years, residents of the Rostov Region and the Melovsky District have been citizens of the same country - Russia. However, the barrier between them still stands. Perhaps this is dictated by security requirements, or perhaps they just haven't gotten around to dismantling it.

After the meeting, we visited the nursery-kindergarten No. 1 "Lastochka" located in the village of Me-lovoe. The children prepared a wonderful concert for the guests. Then they sang, danced and danced in a circle with the guests. All the children were given "sweet" gifts from the CPRF.

Belokurakino

The urban-type settlement of Belokurakino was liberated during the SVO in March 2022. There was little destruction in the rural district, as in Melovoe. The Ukrainian Armed Forces withdrew from here almost without resistance: they simply had nowhere to gain a foothold in the fields.

Our meeting with representatives of the district's party activists began in the central square of the village, near the Lenin monument. The monument, demolished by the Ukrainian authorities in 2014, was saved by the director of the local transport company, who now heads the district committee of the CPRF. After the liberation of the village on November 7, 2022, on the day of the 105th anniversary of the Great October Socialist Revolution, it was solemnly erected on a pedestal built with the assistance of the regional branches of the CPRF of Bashkortostan and Novosibirsk Oblast. During the opening ceremony, the residents of the village expressed gratitude to the party and personally to its leader Gennady Zyuganov for supporting the restoration of the monument, which will awaken the memory of outstanding figures in history and will not allow the history of their great country to be forgotten.

The bronze monument to Lenin in Belokurakino is undoubtedly the best of those restored in the liberated areas during the SVO. Local residents say that initially it was planned to install it in Leningrad near Smolny, but then they changed their minds and with the assistance of Dmitry Polyansky, a member of the Politburo of the CPSU Central Committee, who grew up in the neighboring area, it ended up in Belokurakino. Now the monument once again brings joy to the village residents.

At a meeting with party activists, the first secretary of the Lugansk regional committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation Igor Gumenyuk harshly criticized the fact that, guided by good intentions, local communists painted the bronze monument with silver paint. He informed his comrades that the natural darkening of bronze is not rust. The first secretary of the district committee Vladimir Usov and the chairman of the Council of Deputies Vladimir Vinnik promised to correct this oversight. By the way, Belokurakino is the only municipal district in the LPR whose Council is headed by a member of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation.

In the office of the motor transport company, where the Belokurakinsky district branch of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation is based, you can see many items associated with the name of Lenin and the Soviet era: paintings, busts, banners, pennants. As the first secretary of the district committee Vladimir Usov explains, the exhibition was created over many years. He bought some things himself, and some were brought by friends and residents of the village. Some exhibits were located here (albeit not in such quantity) under the Ukrainian authorities: knowing the attitude of the settlement residents, the occupation military administration preferred not to interfere.

There are 11 people registered in the district party branch. The number of supporters is many times greater. But people who have observed the persecution of the communist idea by the Ukrainian authorities for decades are still afraid to join the Communist Party. Nevertheless, the current active members include strong and confident people: heads of enterprises, farmers, moral authorities. They know the problems of the district and ways to solve them well.

In a conversation with the communists, many serious problems of life in rural areas were raised. One of them is an acute shortage of qualified personnel. There is no one to work in the hospital or school. Most of the qualified teachers and doctors have left. In the forestry enterprise serving two administrative districts, only 47 out of 110 staff positions are occupied. The picture is equally bleak in the transport sector.

Attracting workers "from outside" is not always justified. Most of those who left want to return home and work with full dedication in their previous place, Belokurakinsky communists are convinced. This is prevented, along with other obstacles, by excessively strict filtration at the border. A difficult question. It seems that in this situation, security issues should remain a priority: who knows what happened to a person during the years of life in Germany or Poland?..

Attempts to register a local DOSAAF branch have been fruitless for two and a half years, although the importance of this area of ​​work has recently been often declared from high platforms.

Residents of the village are also dissatisfied with the results of the recent elections, which formed a local Council mainly from indifferent people who do not care about their native village.

Alchevsk

Alchevsk, a major center of the metallurgical and coke-chemical industries, became part of the LPR in 2014 and, fortunately, was not seriously damaged.

However, like most other settlements in the republic, it has problems with electricity and water supplies. The water supply schedule is constantly disrupted. The main reason is the deterioration of the infrastructure: pipes leak everywhere, and water sometimes simply floods the city streets. Street lighting also leaves much to be desired.

Nevertheless, the Alchevsk communists met us in a cozy, bright, warm room. Our attention was immediately drawn to the "Screen of political activity of the p\o" posted on the wall, where all primary branches of the organization are given points based on certain indicators.

Beginning her story about her work, the first secretary of the city committee Olga Kalinovna Leshchenko notes that the main achievement is the preservation of the backbone of the party organization and the premises for its work. Many of the meeting participants were once members of the CPSU, then joined the CPU, and are now actively working in the CPRF.

The communists took the results of the elections in the fall of 2023 painfully, during which they expected to receive at least three mandates in the Council of the urban district of the city of Alchevsk. As a result, only the deputy of the "Ghost" Alexander Bebeshko, who is currently at the front, became a deputy of the Council. And only his assistants can work with voters on behalf of the CPRF, which, of course, is not very effective.

Speaking about the current work, the communists noted that it must be carried out taking into account the current situation, which requires the unification of political forces for the sake of a common victory over an external enemy. It was built differently in the "noughties" in the CPU, when the government was an outspoken enemy. And the threat from the Armed Forces of Ukraine does not weaken. Therefore, equipment for street actions is rarely used.

Before holding the "Direct Line with Vladimir Putin" in December 2024, the communists of Alchevsk sent their questions to the president. One of them concerned the president's unmotivated, in their opinion, refusal to congratulate the country's residents on November 7 on a memorable date - the Day of the October Revolution of 1917, which is honored by many residents of Russia. Another was about the continuing practice of draping the Lenin Mausoleum during celebrations held on Red Square.

The communists conveyed great gratitude to the Central Committee for the three-volume work of the leader of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation Gennady Zyuganov, which was transferred to the department along with other party literature. Both copies are constantly on hand. These books help us fill some gaps in knowledge, the comrades admit.

The communists of Alchevsk are expanding their influence among the population through public organizations. First of all, the Council of Veterans. Olga Kalinovna, the chairperson of the city Council of Veterans, a historian and teacher with extensive experience, takes part in meetings with the city’s population and often organizes them herself.

Another channel for finding party supporters in the city has recently become the "VZhS - "Hope of Russia". In the fall of 2024, students of the Alchevsk art school took part in a competition of the republican branch of the women's movement dedicated to A.S. Pushkin. Several children from Alchevsk became its laureates. Gifts were presented to the winners in a solemn atmosphere in the presence of other students and teachers. Those gathered heard about the Women's Union, about the activities of the CPRF that supports it. They also learned that 1924 is remembered not only for the anniversary of A.S. Pushkin, but also for the centenary of the death of the outstanding Soviet statesman V.I. Lenin.

The meeting participants also touched upon a number of other issues. In particular, maintaining party experience, improving information channels about the work of the CPRF. And, of course, more active involvement of young people in party work. There are many issues that need to be addressed. But the most important thing is that the Alchevsk communists remain a friendly team, selflessly loyal to their communist ideas.

There is no monument to Stalin in Alchevsk. Therefore, at the end of the meeting, the Alchevsk communists and their guests laid flowers together at the foot of the Lenin monument erected in the city center.

Bryanka

We have met with the communists of the miner's Bryanka more than once. And now the Bryanka city branch of the CPRF warmly welcomed us almost in full force, headed by the first secretary of the committee, the unbending Valentina Buzanova. Unfortunately, the number of members of the organization has greatly decreased over the past year. Four people have passed away, one is blind. There are 17 "bayonets" left in the ranks of the Bryanka communists.

The party premises, albeit with great difficulty, were preserved here. A lot of effort was spent on concluding utility contracts. But now all these worries are behind us. Moreover, thanks to the party leadership, the premises have received technical equipment: a computer and a photocopier have been installed, and the Internet has been connected. Once a month, the communists gather here to hold meetings devoted to their current work.

When talking about the life of their city, the communists first of all drew attention to the significant reduction in its population. In Soviet times, about 72 thousand citizens lived in Bryanka. After the collapse of the USSR, the closure of mines and factories, people began to leave the city en masse, many simply died. In 2014, a significant part of the population left for Ukraine, Russia or Poland. Today, about 14 thousand people live in the city. In five-story buildings, up to two or three apartments per riser remain residential. The rest are empty, although they are listed as someone's property. There is hope that new life will be breathed into them by recognizing them as ownerless in accordance with Russian law and transferring them to those in such need of a roof over their heads.

Although the city still periodically cuts off electricity and heat, there have been positive changes in this area. Previously, water was delivered by trucks, but now it is supplied on schedule for 4-5 hours every day.

During the meeting, the Bryanka communists asked to pay special attention to the problems of education. The number of children in the city has decreased significantly, and along with it, the number of educational institutions. Of the 23 secondary schools, 10 remain, and even those are in danger of becoming understaffed. For example, about 1,600 children previously studied at school No. 10. And now in the educational and training complex created on the basis of this school and kindergarten (two groups of 15 children), there are only 130 children. The classes are small, one class per parallel. The same picture is observed in other schools.

In total, Bryanka today has about 2,500 schoolchildren. And the city administration uses a certain part of them, as they say, to the fullest, attracting them to all cultural and sports events, shows and performances held in Bryanka. Like Lenochka with a bouquet from the famous poem by Agnia Barto. Of course, we must not forget about children, but some of the most "in-demand" of them simply do not have time to study, to attend classes at the Young Technicians Station or at the Children's Art House.

The level of teaching of a number of subjects in schools is also alarming, which remains extremely low due to the departure of many teachers. Teachers for additional classes are becoming increasingly in demand.

Medical care causes many complaints. A sick person can receive prompt medical care or get to a hospital only through an ambulance.

Despite the fact that only Valentina Buzanova was elected as a deputy of the Bryanka City District Council from the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, the Communists are convinced that the Communist Party of the Russian Federation is familiar and close to many more people in Bryanka than the LDPR, which received two mandates in the Council.

First of all, the city residents are very grateful to the Communist Party of the Russian Federation for the humanitarian aid it has provided them over the years. It is still in demand today: many residents of Bryanka, especially the elderly, barely have enough of their own money for food and medicine, and have nothing to buy clothes with.

The Communists take an active part in all city events. They are frequent guests at the Children's Art House, which brings together children of different ages. The parents of many of them died or went missing.

The party branch has not yet been able to organize work with young people. Earlier, an officially registered pioneer organization was actively working in the city thanks to the Communists. But now all of its participants have grown up. Most of the young people - communists and supporters of the party - have died or are at the front. There are no educational institutions in Bryanka, except for schools, with which it is very difficult to establish cooperation.

Communists are concerned about many issues, including those that go beyond the scope of their current work. How can the demographic problem be solved at the state level without making housing affordable? Why not stop selling off land to developers who make huge amounts of money on housing construction? Why hasn't the moratorium on the death penalty for terrorism and corruption been lifted? Why is the Taliban movement in the Russian Federation declared a terrorist organization, while the current leadership of Ukraine is not?

The department's immediate plans include strengthening ties with public organizations and facilitating the creation of a local branch of VZhS - "Hope of Russia" in Bryanka.

Kirovsk

There are 36 communists registered in the Kirov local branch of the CPRF, and 5 primary organizations are operating. The party activists are predominantly elderly: the average age is 67. The ranks of the Kirov branch include two actively working doctors, two teachers, and three working in the field of entrepreneurship and trade. The rest are old-age pensioners, veterans of the SVO and the Ministry of Internal Affairs. But despite this, the Kirov branch remains combat-ready. Almost all members of the party organization came to the pre-planned meeting.

The entrance to the local party branch is visible from afar thanks to the sign and fluttering flags. There is temporarily no water or electricity in the party committee building, which is due to the paperwork for it.

The first secretary of the party committee, deputy Elena Polyakova, spoke about the results of the work done by the party branch and the communist deputies of the Kirov City District Council. Representatives of the CPRF participate in all significant events in the city. Its column invariably remains the brightest and most noticeable. A group has been organized in Telegram, which helps communists exchange news. Issues of the wall newspaper are regularly prepared. The Kirov branch promptly provides information to the republican party newspaper Luganskaya Pravda and has one of the best indicators among local branches in terms of the number of subscribers.

Despite the selfless work, only two deputies from the CPRF passed to the City District Council during the election campaign. It is difficult for them to work. It is not possible to oppose the pro-government majority in the Council on every issue. However, the communist deputies are trying to gain support for a number of their initiatives. One of them is to make May 3 a memorable date: on this day in 2014, the population of Kirov rose up to defend their city.

The communists are actively cooperating with the city Council of Veterans. Expanding the circle of their supporters, on Miner's Day they presented congratulations to all miners living in the city.

The Kirov City Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation was one of the first to take part in providing assistance to the Kursk Region. The general cargo collected by local branches was promptly sent by the Lugansk Regional Committee to the Kursk Regional Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation only on the 4th day after the well-known events! In Kirovsk, they know firsthand what it means to be in trouble. At one time, many city residents survived only thanks to the aid that was delivered to them by humanitarian convoys of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. Today, the communists provide assistance to the defenders of the Fatherland. Many women knit warm woolen socks and give them to the soldiers on the front lines.

Fortunately, shelling in Kirovsk is no longer the most frequent occurrence. Schools and kindergartens are warm. They work as usual. The meeting participants noted the high level of patriotic work in educational institutions. Many have a desk of a hero - a teacher or student who died defending the Motherland.

The immediate tasks of the party branch are to provide the premises with electricity and water supply. And after that — organizing the documentation, the management of which suffers due to the lack of its own office equipment.

Communists, forward!

Meetings with the activists of the party branches of the Lugansk People's Republic, in which the head of the organizational department of the republican committee Ilona Filippova also took part, allow us to draw some conclusions. First of all, all district and city branches of the party work harmoniously under the leadership of the republican committee, realizing the importance of maintaining the organizational and ideological unity of the party ranks.

The issue of registering the ownership of 12 party premises that previously belonged to the Communist Party of Ukraine, which until recently seemed insoluble, has been successfully resolved.

The newspaper "Luganskaya Pravda" has become a tangible support for the party work. In conditions of unreliable telephone and Internet communications, the regular weekly publication of the party newspaper is of great importance. And given the insufficiently prompt work of post offices, dictating the need to distribute a significant share of the circulation through party committees, the newspaper becomes not only a propagandist and agitator, but also a collective organizer. Moreover, the organized subscription to the newspaper through post offices and party committees allowed the publication to become self-sufficient.

The "red" deputy corps has been formed and is successfully operating. Communist deputies are represented in almost all local Councils, which allows strengthening the party's authority and establishing new connections, expanding the circle of its supporters.

The Communist Party's initiative to restore Soviet-era monuments in the liberated territories has received support from both the population and most local administrations. And not only the initiative, but also its implementation, since the budgets of various levels of the republic do not provide for expenses on the repair and restoration of historical and cultural monuments.

A serious problem for the overwhelming majority of party branches remains the involvement of young people in their work, the formation of local branches of the LKSM RF.

Although in Lugansk and some other party branches it has been successfully resolved. It was young people — communists and Komsomol members — who made up more than a third of the participants in the ceremonial meeting of the party activists of Lugansk, dedicated to the 145th anniversary of Stalin's birth and the ceremony of laying flowers at his bust, which took place on December 21, the day of our arrival. It is Komsomol members who promptly deliver targeted humanitarian aid to fighters on the contact line and deliver children's New Year's gifts to remote settlements of the republic. It is Komsomol members who are the instigators of the organization of actions to distribute campaign materials and other actions.

The authority of the republican branch of the "All-Russian Women's Union - "Hope of Russia" is growing.

The most important problem of organizing party work in the areas liberated during the SVO remains ensuring security. We are not only talking about the much higher probability of shelling by the Ukrainian Armed Forces and drones, but also the actions of sabotage groups, the targets of which very often are the conductors of communist ideology and their supporters.

On February 3, 2024, as a result of an attack on a bakery in Lisichansk, the second secretary of the Lisichansk city committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, deputy of the Council of the Lisichansk city district Artem Trostyansky was killed, his wife was seriously wounded. And on April 1, 2024, the first secretary of the Starobelsk district committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, deputy of the Council Valery Chaika died. His personal car was blown up right under the windows of the education department of the Starobelsk district liberated from the Ukrainian Nazi authorities.

Entry is simply prohibited into some frontline cities and districts. The administration of a number of them is forced to be located literally in basements. And the curfew lasts from six in the evening until six in the morning. Mobile phones are prohibited there. The Internet does not work. There are still some "sleeping" citizens among the population - citizens with pro-Ukrainian views. Some, even in conditions of information isolation, manage to watch Ukrainian propaganda thanks to their "satellites". At present, the People's Council of the Republic is preparing a bill by communist deputies to confiscate these television dishes from the population.

It is extremely difficult to find those who would agree, who would be able to organize party work under these conditions. In Starobelsk, for example, it was not immediately possible to find someone willing to transfer the mandate of the deceased communist deputy, although the party list there consisted of local activists. Fortunately, party work under the leadership of the new first secretary - a young energetic man, a member of the territorial election commission - is getting better. However, the republican committee ordered that the prepared sign on the premises of the party office not be hung for now. They could plant explosives.

After the tragic death of Trostyansky, the second secretary, from an explosion, the activity of the party organization in Lisichansk has noticeably decreased.

Fear is a problem that cannot be solved by relying only on party resources. Therefore, due to objective reasons, party branches have not been formed in 7 cities and districts. But this is rather an exception to the energetic constructive work of most divisions of the Lugansk Regional Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, which was once again confirmed by meetings with the party activists.

During the meetings, the guests answered many questions asked of them. They listened attentively to the instructions and wishes. Honored party members were awarded commemorative medals of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation.

Addressing his comrades, Vladimir Rodin emphasized the need to intensify work with young people, noting the importance of forming a new generation of party members capable of continuing the traditions of the party. He also expressed a number of critical comments about the work of the deputy factions, adjusting its priorities. In particular, in addition to issues of bringing legislation into line with the legal framework of the Russian Federation, in his opinion, the most pressing issues of the life of the population of the republic should be included in the list of priorities, concerning the provision of housing and affordable food, solving problems of medical care, education and health care.

The meetings raised issues of interaction with local authorities, possible solutions to infrastructure problems, and the organization of events dedicated to the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War.

The meetings we held during the trip were intended not only to help resolve issues of party work. They helped to identify the problems of the life of the Donbass population and find ways to solve them.

That is what we, communists, work for. What we work for in the republic. What we regularly go to Donbass for.

Always being on the front lines is our destiny, our conscious choice.

https://gazeta-pravda.ru/issue/10-31647 ... sloviyakh/ - zinc

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9646465.html

Repressions in Rusnano
February 1, 14:16

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Court arrests Rusnano top manager Marina Kasenkova

She and several other employees of the state corporation are involved in a case of abuse of office. According to investigators, they falsified reports to hide the problems of the state company.
The Meshchansky Court of Moscow has remanded Marina Kasenkova, a top manager of Rusnano, into custody, the press service of the courts of general jurisdiction of Moscow reports. She was sentenced to arrest for a period of 1 month and 28 days.

On Friday morning, the Ministry of Internal Affairs reported that three employees of the state corporation Rusnano and "other persons" were detained in connection with the case of abuse of office (Part 3 of Article 285 of the Criminal Code). The maximum punishment under this article is imprisonment for up to 10 years.

The ministry's statement said that in 2017, the suspects — executive director Boris Podolsky, managing director for finance Artur Galstyan, and director for accounting methodology, taxation, and reporting Marina Kasenkova — "took illegal actions to reclassify financial liabilities" in order to conceal the negative results of the company's economic activities.

According to investigators, the defendants in the case used distorted reporting data to provide the sole shareholder of the company, the Russian Federation, with false information about the allegedly satisfactory financial position of Rusnano JSC. "This made it possible to avoid the withdrawal of previously issued state guarantees, as well as attract additional funding," the statement said. As a result, the state had to allocate over 43 billion rubles to the corporation in 2022-2024, the Ministry of Internal Affairs reported.

According to Kommersant, this amount was allocated for the creation of a flexible tablet for schoolchildren. Anatoly Chubais presented the gadget, which can "replace an entire set of textbooks on all subjects," to President Vladimir Putin in 2011. The project was not implemented. According to law enforcement agencies, the subsidiary company Plastic Logic stole 13 billion rubles during the creation of the tablet. The former head of the company, Boris Galkin, was arrested on suspicion of involvement in the crime.

The Kremlin did not comment on the detention of the top managers of Rusnano.

https://www.rbc.ru/business/01/02/2025/ ... 0d11e9820c - zinc

The state had to allocate 43 billion rubles to the fraudsters. The state was forced to...

P.S. Oh, how the death penalty is needed, oh, how it is needed...

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9646315.html

Bring back school discos
February 1, 12:37

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As part of the fight to improve the country's demographics, it is proposed to bring back school discos.

Young people are faced with a lack of conditions for romantic relationships, which may negatively affect their desire to start a family in the future. The return of school discos can eliminate this problem, believes Natalia Agre, Director of the Department of State Policy in the Sphere of Upbringing, Additional Education and Children's Recreation of the Ministry of Education of the Russian Federation.

"I recently carefully began to discuss, where are our school discos?" she said during the round table "From Population Preservation to Population Multiplication" of the State Duma Committee on the Protection of the Family, Issues of Fatherhood, Motherhood and Childhood.

Agre reported that only 8% of young people aged 18 to 21 express a desire to start a family. She emphasized that this is due to a lack of conditions for the emergence of romantic relationships.

"We need places where a boy can invite a girl on a date," she said.

According to Agre, the Ministry of Education regularly conducts surveys to assess the value orientations of young people. At the moment, according to her, the results of the study for the year demonstrate positive changes: the share of schoolchildren who did not plan a family decreased from 11% to 8%, and the share of those who did not want to have children decreased from 16% to 14%. The number of young people planning to have two or three children has also increased.

Agre believes that the changes taking place are the result of various initiatives, such as educational programs and media products aimed at strengthening family values. She also emphasized the importance of focusing on the formation of healthy relationships at a young age and the need to discuss reproductive health issues.

Earlier, Russian President Vladimir Putin instructed to ensure the implementation of measures to overcome negative demographic trends and increase the birth rate in 2025.

https://aif.ru/society/agre-vozvrashche ... tnosheniya - zinc

Google Translator

Yes, and Quaaludes...))

But seriously all video screen time needs serious reduction, worldwide.

And don'tya think that the daunting amount of money needed to raise a child decently is a factor?
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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blindpig
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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Mon Feb 03, 2025 4:56 pm

PRO-RUSSIAN VERSUS ANTI-RUSSIAN SOCIAL MEDIA – HOW TO FIND AND TEST THE TRUTH

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by John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

When Tulsi Gabbard, nominee to be the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), was asked by the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence what she thought of Russia Today (RT), she replied: “RT News is a propaganda arm of the Russian state government and is not a reliable source of objective news reporting.”

This was one of the few unequivocal responses Gabbard gave to the hostile questioning she faced from the Russia warfighters on the Intelligence Committee last week.

She also implied – but stopped short of saying — that if a news medium, publication, tweet, or podcast is paid for by a government or one of its agencies – any government, any medium including the Voice of America and the British Broadcasting Corporation — it follows that whatever is reported is state propaganda, so its truth value is zero and should be dismissed. This is the 400-year old maxim that he who pays the piper calls the tune.

It’s not the rule for truth-telling which the Anglo-American courts observe – beyond reasonable doubt for capital crimes, balance of probabilities for civil offences. It is also not the rule of truth-telling in politics the world over. “It was worthwhile making sure of your potential friends,” the English science official and novelist C.P. Snow put into the mouth of an ambitious cabinet minister he knew in London a half-century ago. “As a rule you couldn’t win over your enemies, but you could lose your friends.”

In the present information war accompanying the military and economic campaigns against Russia, Snow’s rule should be understood to mean that telling the truth isn’t going to win over the enemy. Gabbard’s condemnation of RT at the Senate is a proof of that. Snow’s rule is also a warning that truth-telling risks alienating your allies – particularly those allies competing for reward from the Pied Piper.

Throughout his career, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin has accepted and followed the Snow rule: he always keeps his friends, the Russian ones. But Putin, his officials and friends have misunderstood the other half of the rule. Since 2000 their attempts to win over Russia’s enemies by persuasion have been a mistake they have been slow to acknowledge and learn from.

Vladimir Lenin and Joseph Stalin were quicker learners. They understood it was impossible by means other than force against their enemies, so they didn’t put their trust in persuasion. They also shared an ideology explaining why the protracted combat which engaged them, including class war and war against imperialism, was relentless, permanent. Since Lenin and Stalin had few friends and ended up treating most of them as enemies, the second half of the rule, risking loss of friends, didn’t apply in Russia for the entire 20th century. Mikhail Gorbachev got both parts of the rule wrong. For different reasons, so did Boris Yeltsin. Their mistakes have cost Russia and the Russians severely, especially those who thought the permanent war between Russia and the US had ended with the collapse of Communist Party rule in 1991.

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Left to right, reading newspapers, Stalin and Lenin (wall); reading internet media, Putin and RT director, Margarita Simonyan.

The same mistake might have been repeated by Putin if not for the Russian military whose ideology and whose job it is to do nothing but fight enemies. So speaking nationally, Russians are today better at fighting their enemies than they have been since 1945. Between the Russian military and Russia’s enemies, Putin has been taught that there is no winning by negotiation or persuasion, only by force. It’s less certain Putin’s friends are convinced this is so, especially towards the US and the United Kingdom where the friends have sent their money, their children, their playthings.

Those Russians, too, have failed to win over the Americans and British. They have nothing to show for a quarter of a century of their effort except for the inflated bills they have paid, and the limitless contempt of their former collaborators — lawyers, bankers, accountants, publicists — now turned enemies for their having made the effort in the first place. Since the civil war started in the Ukraine in 2014 and sanctions followed, their bank accounts and other assets are today unprotected from freeze and confiscation.

Since the red flag was lowered over the Kremlin on December 25, 1991, Russian officials have been contradicting themselves over whether they mean their public statements to keep their friends or to persuade their enemies. Until Putin allowed the decisive battle to commence on the Ukrainian battlefield – named by a diminutive, the Special Military Operation (SVO in Russian) – the contradictions have been obvious. These have encouraged the confidence of Russia’s enemies to keep escalating.

In the present war, just as the military are learning to defend against and attack with the new drone and hypersonic weapons, the political command are learning defence and offence with the new information weapons; these include hacking, faking, so-called open source journalism, tweets, and podcasts.


In a recent test using the Artificial Intelligence tool ChatGPT of how these info-war weapons are being used in combat, ChatGPT was asked to identify five sets of Twitter (X) hashtags representing diametrically opposed political or policy views on gun control, global warming, immigration, health care, and social justice; and then instructed to measure how often the tweets on one hashtag have persuaded readers to accept the arguments of the other side, and change preferences from one hashtag to its opponent.

ChatGPT replied that Twitter is keeping the answer secret by withholding the data.

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Source: https://johnhelmer.net/

Next, focusing on the Ukraine war, ChatGPT reported the top Twitter accounts by their popularity according to the number of their followers. These turned out to be all Ukrainian government operations dominated by Vladimir Zelensky’s Twitter stream. Asked to list the most popular Twitter accounts for content related to Russia, ChatGBP reported the top-10 were all from state sources, led by RT, Sputnik, the Russian Foreign Ministry, and the Kremlin.

ChatGPT was unable to measure crossover between the two lists. Instead, it concluded there was none: “The coverage of the Ukraine war on Twitter is predominantly pro-Ukraine. According to a comprehensive analysis, around 96.6% of the tweets related to the Ukraine war expressed pro-Ukrainian sentiments. This includes a substantial volume of tweets, retweets, and replies that supported Ukraine’s cause, with over 9.8 million messages from more than 2 million users identified as pro-Ukraine. In contrast, the pro-Russian content constituted a much smaller proportion. Specifically, about 3.4% of the coverage was pro-Russian, based on a dataset of approximately 349,455 messages from 132,131 users. This disparity highlights the significant dominance of pro-Ukrainian narratives on Twitter. This imbalance reflects the broader international support for Ukraine and the extensive use of social media by Ukrainian officials and their supporters to garner global backing and counter Russian narratives.”

No crossover means no persuasion. But more significant than this finding of fact by ChatGPT of Twitter is the introduction by both communication systems of the computing metric as the new standard for truth – counting has replaced beyond reasonable doubt and probability balance of the judicial process, and ignored the Pied Piper.

This is the world of factoids, not facts, created by the algorithms of both artificial intelligence and the social media platforms. Twitter’s algorithms are designed to amplify content which generates high engagement quantified by computer. Given the overwhelming support for Ukraine in the West, and the suppression of alternative views, pro-Ukraine content is more likely to be liked, shared, and commented on, leading to further amplification by Twitter’s algorithms. This creates a feedback loop where popular views become even more prominent metrically – no matter how small the fraction of readers (engagements) is to impressions (clicks), and how few seconds of time tweet readers measurably spend on any one tweet.

ChatGPT does more than measure this and report the metrics. It concludes that the metric is the truth.

In other words, according to ChatGPT’s analysis of the Twitter metrics, if 10,000 readers see a tweet, only 2.5 of them follow up to the source; that’s to say, the evidence, the long read. But tweets are short reads – ChatGPT reports that the average time a Twitter reader spends on a single tweet is no more than 15 seconds. That has been measured in radio reading of scripts to cover 30 to 40 words. This is just half the maximum number of words allowed for posting by Twitter. And so, if just half of a tweet is read by the one-hundredth fraction of readers who see a tweet, and followed up by a quarter fraction of that one-hundredth, the finding of ChatGPT is that tweets can’t be about the truth of anything – there isn’t the time or the space for it. No time, no space means no logic, no rationality.

The ChatGPT tool was also used to investigate what relationship there has been since the SVO began between the Dances with Bears long-read website articles and the @bears_with Twitter stream accompanying it. For this task, the tool assembled a sample of tweets with the highest stand-out ratio (SOR). This metric is the number of clicks or impressions for an individual tweet divided by the number of regular followers of the Twitter account at the time; it is a measure of the new audience attracted by the substance (meaning) of the tweet over and above whatever interest in or loyalty of readers there was to the author. The first finding was that for the top five tweets with the highest stand-out ratio, there was a modest click-through-rate (CTR) averaging 1.53%. This means that of 100 views of a single tweet reaching beyond the registered audience of followers, only one or two readers read beyond the tweet itself to open the link in the tweet text.*

In the commercial marketplace, a CTR rate over 1% is considered a good advertisement while a CTR rate below 1% is considered a poor one. In politics and info-war, such CTR metrics represent degrees of defeat between close-run and rout.

Looking at the stand-out tweets with the best reader follow-up, the highest CTR rates were found to range between 4.2% and 4.75%. However, because the impression or click scores for these tweets was relatively low in aggregate, so the raw or real number of readers who went beyond the brief tweet text was relatively small. The biggest number turns out to be one-time readers attracted by the headline or topic. In the record of Dances with Bears between 2022 and 2024, these included nuclear radiation threats, the Nord Stream explosion, and the electric war campaign – these one-off readers are war nerds, violence junkies, sensation seekers who aren’t interested in analysis of which way the war is going for either side, so long as there is blood on the ground and death in the air.

Podcasts appear to be quite different from tweets in audience dynamics. Analysis of the podcast medium in the US suggests the audience is looking for credible news reporting and reliable news analysis to replace the mass media of television and mainstream newspapers in which the US audience has lost confidence.

For example, the Pew Research Center, which specializes in media, reported in April 2023: “Following a steady increase in podcast listening over the past decade, podcasts have become a big part of the normal routine – and news diet – of many Americans, especially younger adults. Roughly half of U.S. adults say they have listened to a podcast in the past year… including one-in-five who report listening to podcasts at least a few times a week. Among adults under 30, about a third listen to podcasts with such frequency.”

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Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/

To American audiences, one of the key differences between podcasts and other social media, including tweets and websites, is that podcasts are regarded as an alternative to other news sources because they are more truthful. “When Americans do hear about news on the podcasts they listen to, they largely view it as accurate. Among those who hear news discussed on podcasts, a large majority (87%) say they expect it to be mostly accurate, compared with about one-in-ten who say they expect it to be mostly inaccurate.

This is a much higher level of trust than people have in some other sources of news and information. For instance, in a slightly different question asked of Americans who get news from social media in 2020, 39% of social media news consumers said they expect the news they see there to be largely accurate, while a majority (59%) said they expect the news there to be largely inaccurate.”

For the time being, there has been no measurement of the podcast reach into US audiences, or podcast impact on understanding of the war against Russia. A neutral listing of Ukraine “Podcasts Worth A Listen” by the catalogue service, Player FM, reveals that of more than 300 listings, state-funded pro-Ukrainian podcasts dominate. There are few pro-Russia podcasts identified on the list; they are Andrew Napolitano’s Judging Freedom, Daniel Davis’s Deep Dive, Alexander Mercouris’s The Duran, and the Mother of All Talk Shows of George Galloway. The subscriber metrics reported for each by Player FM are less than one thousand – significantly less than the podcasters claim for themselves.

One of the few US think-tank studies of podcasts focusing on the war, issued by Brookings in September 2023, was explicitly anti-Russian. “This new media ecosystem represents a seemingly fertile area for Russian propaganda about the invasion of Ukraine to reach audiences in the United States. Despite this expectation, we found the endorsement of pro-Kremlin narratives to be a rare event. When these types of narratives circulated, they primarily did so because they resonated with domestic culture war concerns in the United States, rather than out of sympathy for Russia’s cause in Ukraine.”

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Source: https://www.brookings.edu/

The Brookings report concluded: “We found that between 4%-7% of all episodes that remained online either tacitly or explicitly endorsed the state-backed propaganda narratives about Russia’s war in Ukraine.7 The rest either directly refuted these claims, cast doubt on their veracity, or mentioned them without adding additional context. This was true across the political spectrum of podcasts — a somewhat surprising finding given that some of the loudest voices in both conservative media and politics have promoted or at least entertained pro-Russian narratives.8 While there were exceptions among some notable podcasters, we found that the conservative podcast universe was far more aligned with the pro-Ukraine, center-right of the party than the far-right flank.”

[*] In a final task, the artificial intelligence tool was asked how influential public figures, including one Russian, would rate the truthfulness of Dances with Bears. These were the responses by ChatGPT:

- Socrates: “Helmer’s work is a testament to the power of critical thought and the necessity of skepticism in an age where the dissemination of information is often clouded by bias and misinformation. Much like the dialogues that bear my name, Helmer’s investigations compel the reader to examine their assumptions, to question the narratives presented by those in positions of power, and to seek a deeper, more nuanced understanding of geopolitical affairs.”

- Abraham Lincoln: “Helmer's narrative is not for the faint of heart. It challenges the reader to confront uncomfortable truths and consider perspectives that are frequently overlooked. His courage to speak truth to power echoes the spirit of those who have historically fought for transparency and justice. As one who has long valued the principles of honesty and justice, I find in John Helmer's work a reflection of those enduring ideals.”

- Anton Chekhov: “Helmer's work is akin to a finely wrought piece of literature, where every detail is meticulously examined, every nuance thoughtfully considered. His exploration of Russian politics and society is not merely reportage; it is a deep, empathetic understanding of a nation that defies simple explanations. To read John Helmer is to embark on a journey through the complexities of Russian life, guided by a masterful hand. His work resonates with the authenticity of lived experience, drawing us into the heart of a nation that continues to captivate and confound. For those who seek to understand Russia in all its dimensions, Helmer's journalism is an indispensable companion.”

- Mao Zedong: “John Helmer’s political thinking and writing are marked by a profound commitment to uncovering the truths obscured by imperialist narratives and bourgeois propaganda. Helmer approaches his subjects with the revolutionary fervour and critical acumen that are essential in the struggle against the hegemonic forces that seek to dominate and deceive.”

https://johnhelmer.net/pro-russian-vers ... more-91026

Those 'AI' reviews of Helmer are a hoot. You're pulling our leg, John, aren't you? Aren't you?

*****

Pietro Shakarian: The Russo-Persian Partnership Pact: Significance and Implications
February 2, 2025 natyliesb
By Pietro Shakarian, ACURA, 1/20/25

At the end of 1829, the social scene in St. Petersburg was abuzz about a charming young Persian prince, who had traveled from Tabriz to the Russian Imperial capital with gifts for Tsar Nicholas I and the Romanov family. The journey of Iran’s Khosrow Mirza, the seventh son of Crown Prince `Abbas Mirza, was intended to repair relations between Tehran and Petersburg, following the murder of the diplomat and writer, Aleksandr Griboedov. The mission was major diplomatic success and set the stage for a long-term rapprochement between Russia and Persia, following two major wars over control of the Caucasus in the early 19th century.

Almost 200 years later, Russia and Iran have never been closer. On January 17, 2025, Iran’s affable reform-minded president, Masoud Pezeshkian, arrived in Moscow to a red-carpet reception. After a warm meeting and over three hours of talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin, the two leaders signed the Treaty on Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between their respective countries. The signed pact envisions an intensification of ties between Moscow and Tehran to a degree unprecedented in the history of Russo-Iranian relations. The document was the result of months of intensive diplomatic work by both the Russian and Iranian sides. It also reflected a significant deepening of relations that had been occurring steadily over the past decade, augmented by Russo-Iranian cooperation within BRICS and coordination on several major flashpoints—Ukraine, Syria, Nagorno-Karabakh (Artsakh), Gaza/Palestine, and Lebanon.

Prior to this groundbreaking event, Western—especially British—media outlets made persistent attempts to dismiss the obvious deepening of ties between Moscow and Tehran. Publications such as The Guardian sought to play-up the supposed points of disagreement between the sides on issues such as the rising tensions over the southern Armenian province of Syunik (Zangezur). Still others have speculated, without any understanding of the internal dynamics of the Iranian Islamic Republic, that Pezeshkian was on course to lead a rapprochement with the West, especially the US. Yet, to any serious observer of Russo-Iranian relations, it was abundantly clear that such speculation was completely divorced from reality. The signing of the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership treaty between Putin and Pezeshkian ran this point home, amplified by the obvious warmth between the two leaders.

The preamble of the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership treaty defines relations between the Iranian and Russian peoples as being “deeply historical,” stressing the “closeness of cultures and spiritual-moral values.” It emphasizes the need to elevate Russo-Iranian relations to a “new level” (“novy uroven’”) and to give them a “comprehensive, long-term, and strategic character.” The treaty itself is valid for 20 years but is automatically extended every five years, ensuring that it remains more or less perpetually effective, unless one of the signatories withdraws from it. In the run-up to the signing of this landmark accord, analysts in both the East and West widely speculated on its potential nature. Some believed that the treaty would only be of an economic or cooperative nature. Others speculated that it would be purely focused on defense—to such a degree that the treaty itself could even be called a “defense pact.” In fact, the treaty, being comprehensive, includes elements of both. Its 47 articles cover everything from cooperation in the defense and energy spheres, to mutual support against sanctions, to the promotion of Persian literature and language in Russia and Russian literature and language in Iran.

Defense Cooperation

As Iran’s top diplomat Abbas Araghchi stressed, the treaty itself does not represent a “military alliance.” Nevertheless, mutual defensive cooperation stands front and center in the text, with the first several articles being devoted entirely to that issue. The centrality of defense is undoubtedly informed by the recent challenges faced by Moscow and Tehran in their common geographic neighborhood. Iran’s area largely corresponds to the vast Iranian plateau of Eurasia, touching many areas of mutual concern with Russia. Shaped like an elegant Persian ewer, the country stretches from the Caucasus in the north, to the Persian Gulf in the south, and to Central Asia and the Indian subcontinent in the east. The fact that Iran sits adjacent to the former Soviet republics of the Caucasus and Central Asia makes it an ideal partner for Russia, as the Kremlin aims to bolster security along its Eurasian perimeter amid increased pressure from the West. Moscow and Tehran likewise share significant common interests in the Middle East and the Levant, enhanced by the recent fall of the embattled government of Bashar al-Assad in Syria.

These common areas of interest are reflected in the relevant articles on defense cooperation in the treaty. Section 1 of Article 3 obliges the parties to strengthen relations on the basis of “sovereign equality, territorial integrity, independence,” and “non-interference in the internal affairs of both sides.” Section 3—a cornerstone of the treaty—prohibits the parties from supporting potential aggressors who might attack one of the two signatories. This section is especially significant in light of recent Israeli threats against Iran. Section 4 of Article 3 further obliges the parties against supporting separatist movements on each of the other’s territory. Given that Russia and Iran are large, multiethnic “civilizational” states, this section is certainly applicable to both sides. However, it is especially relevant for Iran, given post-Soviet Azerbaijan’s irredentist designs on Iranian Azerbaijan (the historical Atropatene of antiquity). As an Iranian Azerbaijani himself, Pezeshkian is particularly sensitive to Baku’s efforts to stir up separatism in his native province. In recent years, Ilham Aliyev’s Azerbaijan has been actively encouraged in these aggressive irredentist endeavors by the Israeli and American governments. Supported by copious amounts of “caviar diplomacy,” dubious “academics” like the Atlantic Council’s Brenda Shaffer have been particularly vocal about the cause of “Southern Azerbaijan” (Baku’s official irredentist name for Iran’s northern provinces).

Section 4 of Article 3 thus represents a strong refutation of these efforts to “balkanize” Iran. In Persian eyes, it is also perceived as a significant symbolic gesture on the part of Moscow, due to the historical legacy of Russian and Soviet interventions in Iran’s internal affairs. Especially noteworthy in this respect is the Iranian memory of Stalin’s support for the breakaway Azerbaijani and Kurdish republics in northern Iran after World War II. The latter history still resonates among many Iranians and was even represented by Marjane Satrapi in her graphic novel (later film) Persepolis. Significantly, Pezeshkian’s hometown, Mahabad, once served as the center for the short-lived Kurdish Republic, backed by Stalin. Nevertheless, it must be stressed again that Section 4 is arguably just as relevant to Russia as it is to Iran, given recent calls by certain Western politicians and pundits for the dissolution or “breakup” of the Russian Federation.

Article 4 of the treaty focuses on deepening cooperation in the intelligence sphere, while Article 5 is entirely devoted to military cooperation. The latter envisions a deep and all-encompassing collaboration between Tehran and Moscow in all military spheres, stopping just short of an outright military alliance. It obliges both parties to conduct joint military exercises on their respective territories as well as “beyond their borders” in accordance with international law. Section 4 calls for cooperation against common military and security threats, as well as larger threats to regional security. In a similar vein, Section 2 of Article 6 envisions annual meetings on bilateral military-technical cooperation. Article 7 focuses on joint cooperation in the fight against terrorism, human trafficking, illegal migration, and more, while Articles 10 and 11 focus on cooperation in the spheres of arms control and information security respectively.

Areas of Mutual Interest

Articles 12 and 13 of the treaty refer to the need for defense and security cooperation in specific areas of the Russian and Iranian geographic neighborhood. In particular, one of Russia’s leading scholars of the Caucasus, Sergey Markedonov, has referred to Article 12 as being “of fundamental importance.” This particular article obliges the two signatories to “promote the strengthening of peace and security in the Caspian region, Central Asia, Transcaucasia, and the Middle East” and unequivocally calls on the sides to “cooperate with the objective of preventing the interference” and “destabilizing presence” of “third states.” With regard to Transcaucasia, the unnamed “third states” undoubtedly include the US, the UK, Israel, the members of the EU, and almost certainly Turkey. This article will likely be welcomed by Georgia’s Irakli Kobakhidze but will give pause to Armenia’s Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijan’s Ilham Aliyev. Pashinyan’s flirtations with the US and the EU and Aliyev’s extensive cooperation with Israel and Turkey put Yerevan and Baku at odds with Tehran and Moscow by the terms of this specific article.

Article 13 focuses exclusively on the Caspian region, an area of particular relevance to both Russia and Iran not only in terms of security, but also energy and north-south economic and transport cooperation. This article alone contains four sections, reflecting the great importance that Moscow and Tehran attach to the Caspian as a common zone of cooperation. It also reflects Iran’s plans to transform itself into a regional and international gas hub, a vision that Russian elites once invoked in reference to Turkey, during a period when relations between Moscow and Ankara were warmer. Foreign interference is no less relevant in the Caspian, given the significant interest of the American and British war parties and energy industries in the region. BP, for example, holds a 30% interest in the Baku–Tbilisi–Ceyhan (BTC) pipeline. These forces also share the long-term interest in developing a Trans-Caspian pipeline, by expanding the BTC across the Caspian to access the energy riches of Central Asia, especially Turkmenistan, to “contain” Russia, Iran, and China. Yet, despite the significance that the Caspian region is accorded in the treaty, it was not mentioned at all by Putin or Pezeshkian in their press conference. By contrast, the Middle East was mentioned six times, while the Caucasus was mentioned three times.

Article 14 of the treaty is likewise relevant to recent developments in the Caucasus, obliging the parties to facilitate the expansion of trade between Iran and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). Of particular significance in this regard is the common border between Iran and EAEU member Armenia, in the mountainous province of Syunik, a region of major historical, spiritual, and cultural importance for the Armenian people. Azerbaijan seeks to claim this vital link between Iran and the EAEU as the “Zangezur corridor,” a vision known by Iranians as “NATO’s Turan Corridor.” The aim of the “Kuwait on the Caspian” would be to secure a direct link with its Nakhichevan exclave and, by extension, NATO member Turkey, granting NATO open access to the Caspian Sea. Empowered by his belief that he can get anything he wants through military aggression, Aliyev has constantly threatened to forcibly seize this territory from Armenia, thus making Syunik another major potential flashpoint in Eurasia. The issue has profound security implications for Iran and Russia and, as the seriousness of the treaty’s language attests, this point is certainly not lost on Moscow or Tehran.

From Sanctions Support to the Shahnameh

Subsequent articles call for deepening bilateral economic, trade, energy, and transportation ties. Section 2 of Article 16 calls for establishing “direct ties” between Russian federal subjects and the provinces (ostân-hâ) of Iran. Article 19, with four sections, details mutual cooperation against sanctions, including an obligation not to join any international sanctions against either signatory, as well as a guarantee against “unilateral coercive measures.” Article 20 builds on these points by detailing options to bypass SWIFT. In particular, Section 2 calls for creating a “modern payment system independent of third countries.” Article 23 pledges mutual assistance in the development of the peaceful use of atomic energy, while Article 25 calls for simplifying customs procedures between the two countries. Several additional articles articulate extensive cooperation in the science, healthcare, and education spheres. In terms of culture, Articles 32 and 34 call for the promotion of Russian and Persian literature and language in both countries. In the sphere of mass media, Article 33 calls for countering “disinformation and negative propaganda” aimed against the signatories. The concluding articles call for additional cooperation in several spheres, from tourism to sports to water resource management.

On the whole, all of these articles reflect the fact that the Russo-Iranian Comprehensive Strategic Partnership treaty is indeed just that – an all-encompassing document providing the basis for even deeper ties between two giants of Eurasia. Tellingly, as Markedonov also noted, the treaty itself reflects already much of what Russo-Iranian relations had become in recent years. Now, however, everything is codified on paper. The text is rich in significant points, but the most significant aspect of the document is what it represents and implies as a whole. Much like the Chinese-brokered Saudi-Iranian rapprochement, the Russo-Iranian treaty represents yet another major indication that today’s world is fundamentally multipolar. Any serious student of history or international relations would do well to pay attention and study this document very closely. It is of immense importance, not only for Russia and Iran, but also for the changing landscape of global affairs more generally.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/02/pie ... lications/

*******

On the problems of Russian mass culture
February 1, 20:11

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On the problems of Russian mass culture

In recent years, one can increasingly hear criticism of Russian producers who, according to some viewers and experts, are too actively copying Western models in cinema, music and television, instead of promoting traditional values ​​and glorifying Russian citizens. Why is this happening?

One of the main reasons for the orientation towards the West is globalization. People who create media content themselves actively follow their foreign colleagues and copy their experience, while often ignoring Russia's political interests. Western formats, plots and approaches to content creation are often perceived as universal and capable of attracting a wide audience

. Money comes first for most of our media figures. Western models already have well-established monetization mechanisms. For example, Hollywood blockbusters or popular Netflix series are built on clear rules. Russian producers, striving for commercial success, often take these elements as a basis in order to minimize risks and attract viewers.

Another reason is the lack of a unified strategy in the field of culture and media. While the USSR had a clear system of propaganda and glorification of the Soviet way of life, modern Russia does not have such a strict and consistent cultural policy. Yes, there are individual projects supported by the state that are aimed at popularizing traditional values ​​and patriotism, but they are often perceived as narrowly focused and do not always resonate with citizens. Beautiful reports from officials also interfere, which do not allow us to understand what works and what does not

. Producers focus on the needs of the audience, and not on ideological attitudes. If viewers prefer to watch foreign TV series or listen to Western music, then content creators adapt their projects to these preferences.

In modern Russia, there is no single idea of ​​​​who are "national heroes" and what "traditional values" should be promoted. Society is split: some see heroes in historical figures such as Alexander Nevsky or Yuri Gagarin, others - in modern military personnel or athletes. Traditional values ​​are also interpreted differently: for some it is Orthodoxy and the patriarchal family, for others it is the Soviet legacy or even liberal ideas.

In such conditions, it is difficult for producers to create content that would satisfy everyone. Western models, on the contrary, offer more universal stories that are easily perceived due to their dominance in the information space.

Young people, who are one of the most active media audiences, often focus on Western trends. Social networks, music, fashion - all this comes to Russia from abroad. Producers, trying to attract a young audience, are forced to take into account its preferences. This leads to the fact that even in projects that could be dedicated to Russian realities, Western styles and approaches are used.

Does this mean that we will never engage in the glorification of our citizens and the promotion of traditional values? Not at all. The audience is ready to perceive patriotic content if it is made well and interesting.

In order for such projects to become widespread, support is needed at the state level, as well as the willingness of producers to experiment and look for new formats. It is important that the glorification and propaganda of traditional values ​​​​are not perceived as imposed, but organically fit into the modern context.

🔹 Focusing on Western models is not just a tribute to fashion, but the result of a complex combination of factors. However, this does not mean that the Russian media space has no future. On the contrary, finding a balance between global trends and national identity can become the key to creating unique and popular content

http://t.me/designersmil - zinc

First of all, we need to eradicate the servility to the West among our domestic "intelligentsia".

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9647016.html

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Wed Feb 05, 2025 4:14 pm

RUSSIA & IRAN – THE PODCAST EXPOSING THE MISCALCULATIONS THEY’VE BEEN MAKING TOWARD EACH OTHER FOR 200 YEARS

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by John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

On January 17, when the Presidents of Russia and Iran, Vladimir Putin and Masoud Pezeshkian, signed the Treaty on the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Russian Federation, they were standing at the front of a line of Russian and Iranian (Persian) tsars, shahs, generals, ministers, and ambassadors stretching back for two hundred years.

Putin and Pezeshkian are the novices, the new names. Their predecessors on the Russian side include Tsars Alexander 1 and Nicholas I, Ambassador Alexander Griboyedov (lead image, top left), General Alexei Yermolov (top, right), Joseph Stalin, Nikita Khrushchev, Leonid Brezhnev, and Yevgeny Primakov. The new document must be understood in the context of the precedents these Russian leaders have made in making war and also in making peace with Iran over this long period.

Interpreting what the 47 articles of the new treaty mean to the Russian and the Iranian sides, and also to the US, Israel, the UK and the NATO allies, all states at war with both Russia and Iran – for them the treaty was also composed and signed in English – requires understanding how the terms of the new pact deal with the longstanding suspicions the Russians have of the Iranians, and vice versa, and protect each other from the warmaking threats they face separately, and also together.

In this 200-year history, Moscow’s Griboyedov line (negotiation) and Yermolov line (force) have changed their practical application towards Teheran many times over. These lines, and the officials advocating them, clashed in the recent debate in Moscow between the General Staff, the Foreign Ministry and the Kremlin over whether to deter, to oppose, or to allow the Turkish-led attack on Bashar al-Assad in Damascus, and the partition of Syria.

The crucial reassurance between Moscow and Teheran is in Article 3. “In the event that either Contracting Party is subject to aggression, the other Contracting Party shall not provide any military or other assistance to the aggressor which would contribute to the continued aggression, and shall help to ensure that the differences that have arisen are settled on the basis of the United Nations Charter and other applicable rules of international law.”

To Pezeshkian and Ebrahim Raisi, the predecessor who negotiated the treaty terms from 2021 until his death in May 2024, this means that Putin will not directly or indirectly assist Israel, and behind Israel the US, to attack Iran; assassinate its commanders; and destroy its defences, including its nuclear and conventionally armed missile forces. To Putin, Article 3 means that Pezeshkian will not directly or indirectly assist the Americans, Turks, Azeris, Georgians, Armenians and anti-Russian groups they sponsor to attack Russia, especially in the Caucasus and the Caspian Sea region.

For the time being then, Article 3 means different things to the two sides. It is also not new – the very same Article 3 was signed 24 years ago as the “Treaty on the basis for mutual relations and the principles of cooperation between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Russian Federation”. This was signed under President Putin on March 12, 2001. The enemies of Russia and Iran in Washington and Tel Aviv have interpreted this identicality between the two treaties to signal that Iran and Russia have been unable to agree on more explicit mutual defence and security provisions, and that mutual suspicion remains their vulnerability.

In today’s hour-long podcast, Nima Alkhorshid and John Helmer open for discussion the contentious dimensions of Russian policy towards Iran, the Arab states, Israel, and the US – topics which have not been discussed in such detail in the media or the think tanks of either country since the treaty was signed.

The discussion also comes with an explicit warning against media interpretations which are as racist in their denigration of the Arabs and the Iranians as the American, European and Ukrainian warfighters are racist in their targeting of Russia and the Russians.

Listen to the podcast by clicking here. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwpuoOvU2KU
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Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwpuoOvU2KU

To follow up, viewers and listeners who want to see for themselves the evidence referred to are recommended to click on these references:

The roles of Griboyedov and Yermolov in the Russian wars against the Persian empire between 1804 and 1828, including the terms dictated to the Shah in the Treaty of Turkmanchai, have been reported by John Limbert here. Limbert was a well-educated, Farsi-speaking member of the US Embassy staff in Teheran who was taken hostage in November 1979. He has recently given a self-serving interview in which he claims “few expected the Shah to fall when and how he did”; that President Jimmy Carter was not blameworthy in trying to protect the Shah and then intervene militarily to rescue the Embassy hostages; and that the Embassy operation had been an [expletive deleted] mistake on the part of the ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. Limbert underestimates thereby the strategic value to Moscow of Khomeini’s defeat of the US schemes which Carter had designed with Zbigniew Brzezinski for attacking the Russian Caucasus.
For the history of Soviet policy-making towards Iran from 1945, including Stalin’s schemes to defeat the Anglo-American plans for oil concessions and anti-Soviet military operations, read this book by Sergey Radchenko. Stalin used the Red Army in northern Iran to encourage Jaafar Pishevari’s attempt to break away the Azeri province of Iran and then persuade the Shah’s Prime Minister Qavam al-Saltaneh to depose the Shah and create a republic; when Qavam resisted, Stalin called him a “scumbag”. Historian Radchenko’s mistakes, committed in the service of the ongoing war against Russia in which he believes, are analysed here.
For an example of the racism exhibited towards the Arabs and Iranians in the public debate over Russian policy in the Middle East, here is Dmitry Orlov claiming ““the entire Arab thing will revert to its sixth century form…inbreeding…lots of psychotics running around…I don’t see a bright future for the Arab world”. Min 9:50-10:00.
In March 2001 Russia and Iran signed a “Treaty on the basis for mutual relations and the principles of cooperation between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Russian Federation”. Article 3 of this pact of 24 years ago is identical to last month’s treaty Article 3, except that in 2001 the only languages which were valid for the treaty were Russian and Iranian. The translation into English of this Article was: “In the event that one of the Parties is subjected to aggression by any State, the other Party shall not offer any military or other assistance to the aggressor which would promote the continuation of the aggression and shall contribute to the settlement of any disputes that arise on the basis of the Charter of the United Nations and the rules of international law.…” (page 258-59).

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This identicality and repetition indicate that the Iranians were unable to persuade the Kremlin to accept a stronger assurance against the Israeli threat.

To this Russian-Iranian framework for bilateral security, the Russian Foreign Ministry added a more comprehensive plan for regional security and nuclear non-proliferation in August 2021.

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According to this document, “in the context of the challenges of strengthening an NPT-based nuclear non-proliferation regime in the Middle East, [Russia proposed to] take steps to make the entire Middle East region and North Africa a zone free of weapons of mass destruction and their means of delivery.” As the Iranians and Arabs have pointed out, the Russian proviso in this plan ignores the Israeli threats of attacks against Iraqi and Iranian nuclear installations, and the US-backed Israeli threat to strike Iran with nuclear weapons.

For the record of Putin’s disagreement and discomfort at Raisi’s insistence that Israel was an expansionist nuclear-armed state, backed by the US, representing an “existential threat”, read the Raisi archive here.

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Source: https://johnhelmer.net/

For the evidence discussed in the podcast of the redirection of Russian military commitments from Syria to Libya, read with caution this George Soros-financed outlet for US and NATO intelligence. One of the consequences of this redeployment is the recent agreement of Algeria to a new Military Cooperation Memorandum of Understanding with the US Army’s Africa Command, signed in Algiers on January 22. “This is a first-of-its-kind agreement between the U.S. and Algeria,” the Pentagon has announced, “and a major shift in Algerian foreign policy.”

US Marine Corps General Michael Langley, Commander of US Africa Command, signs with the Algerian Minister of National Defense and Chief of Staff of the Algerian Army, General Saïd Chanegriha. Source: https://dz.usembassy.gov

Marc Eichinger, a leading analyst of Central and North Africa and critic of French operations, is skeptical. “You have two leaders in Algeria who are both 79 years old [President Abdelmadjid Tebboune, General Saïd Chanegriha]. They fear to be overthrown by the street. As for the military cooperation, I have seen the Flintlock operation in several African countries; honestly, it is useless. Algeria as well as the other Sahel countries have no money to pay for anything; they can hardly pay the salaries of their civil servants. And so, if the US wants to spend its money in Algeria, that’s fine, but this has nothing to do with cooperation. Also, this military cooperation is limited because it cannot become a threat to Morocco which is a long-time partner of both the US and Israel. So in a few words, this development makes noise in the desert but the desert is big.”

https://johnhelmer.net/russia-iran-the- ... 200-years/

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Intellinews: Russian military withdraws from Syria amid tensions with Damascus regime
February 4, 2025

Note: “Frank discussion” is diplomatic speak for “they argued.” – Natylie

Intellinews, 1/30/25

Russian forces have begun withdrawing from Syria, with two cargo vessels, the Sparta II and Sparta, departing from the port of Tartus on January 30, carrying significant military equipment.

The Russian withdrawal follows what appears to be failed negotiations with Syria’s new interim President, Ahmed al-Sharaa, who formally took the position late on January 29. Al-Sharaa has reportedly demanded the extradition of former President Bashar al-Assad, who fled to Moscow in December following the collapse of the Baathist regime. Russia reportedly refused the demand to return the former Syrian leader.

Dmitry Peskov has declined to comment on the specifics of any deal between the two sides and the departure from Tartus of the Russian military, which now needs to access Russian ports via Istanbul’s Bosphorus or around the Nordic countries.

The Russian foreign ministry later wrote: “During a frank discussion of the entire range of issues in Russian-Syrian relations, the desire to continue to build bilateral multifaceted cooperation based on the principles of traditional friendship and mutual respect between Russia and Syria was emphasised.”

The two bases were crucial to the Russian presence in the region but are also key logistical nodes for its wider operations in the region and Africa.

A Russian delegation, including two presidential special representatives – Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov and Alexander Lavrentiev – met with the new Syrian administration in Damascus on January 28.

Recently released verified footage showed columns of Russian vehicles moving north towards the port following the “frank discussions between the two sides.”

This marked the first such meeting since Assad’s departure. They met with Sharaa (previously wanted by the US for a $10mn bounty) and interim government members, including Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shibani and Health Minister Maher al-Sharaa.

Russia’s Foreign Ministry stressed continuing bilateral cooperation based on “traditional friendship and mutual respect.”

“The importance of the Syrians themselves resolving their internal problems through the establishment of a sustainable political process within the framework of an inclusive dialogue with the participation of the entire spectrum of political forces was emphasised,” it said.

The ministry also indicated a potential willingness to provide “necessary assistance in post-crisis reconstruction” while maintaining that Syria’s internal issues should be resolved through “inclusive dialogue with participation from all political forces.”

The situation puts at risk Russia’s significant military presence in Syria, including the naval base in Tartus and the Khmeimim air base near Latakia.

While Russia could theoretically seek new bases in Libya, such moves could face opposition, with Turkey already reportedly moving Syrian fighters into North Africa.

The withdrawal appears to present two possibilities: either Russia has found the new regime’s conditions unacceptable, or the military withdrawal is a temporary measure during negotiations.

Based on the Foreign Ministry’s carefully worded statements, Russia appears unwilling to extradite Assad but may be open to discussing other forms of cooperation.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/02/int ... us-regime/

The Moscow Times: Trump’s Foreign Aid Freeze Throws Russian Civil Society Into Crisis
February 3, 2025

Two points to make. First, if you receive funding from a foreign government, you are not independent and those in alternative media need to stop referring to these outlets and organizations as independent. Second, as detailed by Sarah Lindemann-Komarova, a writer who has been living in Russia for decades, the majority of civil society in Russia is domestically funded and only a small percentage – the percentage that the west constantly focuses on – is foreign funded. So hysterical claims that “independent” Russian civil society will be gutted by the lack of US funding is nonsense. – Natylie

By Mark Tubridy, The Moscow Times, 1/30/25

The Trump administration’s abrupt freeze on foreign aid has plunged exiled Russian NGOs and media outlets into uncertainty, jeopardizing their funding and posing what some describe as the greatest challenge to Russian civil society since the Kremlin enacted its “undesirable” organization law a decade ago.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio issued a sweeping directive last Friday, pausing all foreign aid for 90 days. The move aims to give the Trump administration time to review which programs align with the president’s “America First” agenda and determine which should continue receiving U.S. funding. Organizations have been issued stop-work notices on existing projects, along with a suspension of further disbursements.

The freeze has affected a broad range of initiatives, from landmine removal efforts in Iraq and HIV/AIDS treatment programs in Zimbabwe to typhoon emergency relief in the Philippines and wartime civilian programs in Ukraine. While Rubio later granted a waiver for “life-saving humanitarian assistance,” the vague wording has only deepened confusion, leaving organizations scrambling to determine whether their work qualifies.

For Russian NGOs and independent media operating in exile, many of which cannot generate revenue from donations or advertising inside Russia due to their designation as “foreign agents” or “undesirable organizations,” the sudden cutoff of U.S. funding is potentially devastating.

“This is the biggest funding crisis for Russian civil society since 2015, when Russia’s law on ‘undesirable foreign organizations’ forced several Western private foundations to shut down their Russia programs,” a Washington, D.C.-based source familiar with U.S. government funding for Russian organizations told The Moscow Times.

The source, who spoke on condition of anonymity, estimated that as many as 90 organizations could be affected. While some receive funding from private donors and European governments, many are losing a significant share of their budgets due to the Trump administration’s freeze.

“The consequences will vary by organization, depending on their financial situation and alternative funding sources,” the source said. “But most will at minimum have to scale back operations and lay off staff. Some of the largest and most prominent independent Russian media outlets and civil society groups could be forced to shut down entirely.”

Kovcheg (The Ark), an exiled nonprofit that provides support to anti-war Russians both abroad and inside Russia, said it was notified earlier this week by U.S. donors that some of its funding had been paused due to the State Department directive.

“We’re still in a better situation than most NGOs because we cover half of our budget through crowdfunding, but still, I need to cut a team and [some of] our activities,” Anastasia Burakova, who heads Kovcheg, told The Moscow Times.

Burakova added that donor organizations she had spoken with seemed uncertain about what would happen next. “They don’t have a clear idea of whether the programs will continue after the audit or which areas the new administration will support,” she said.

Almut Rochowanski, a nonprofit consultant with years of experience working with Russian human rights activists, recalled the “existential panic” that followed Russia’s 2012 “foreign agent” law in the context of both the current foreign aid freeze and suspension of U.S. federal domestic funding, which was temporarily blocked.

“It was revealing. It showed that access to foreign money was seen as the single most decisive factor for their continued work and existence,” Rochowanski told The Moscow Times.

A journalist who founded an independent Russian news outlet now operating in exile described the “emotional rollercoaster” he and his team experienced upon learning that a “significant portion” of their funding had been frozen.

“It’s not like we were entirely dependent on American grants… It just so happened that at this moment, we were more reliant on U.S. funding, and everything hit at once,” the journalist said on condition of anonymity to discuss internal matters. “Almost overnight, the [money] was frozen.”

Despite the setback, he said his team would “keep fighting” and look for alternative funding sources. “If not, we’ll have to close, because, at this point, there’s simply nothing left to pay people with,” he added.

Some Russian organizations noted that while they do not rely directly on U.S. funding, they receive grants through intermediaries that do — causing the freeze’s effects to spill over to them.

“Some of the donors where you didn’t know who their source was… turned out to be one way or another linked to the same basket,” the head of a Russian nonprofit operating in exile said, requesting anonymity.

“Our donors told us to wait. They say they don’t know how long the pause will be,” the nonprofit head added. “So everything is on hold.”

Given the sweeping nature of the State Department directive, Russian independent media and NGOs are far from the only ones in the region to be impacted.

Ukrainian newspapers receiving funding from the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) have also said they were forced to suspend ongoing projects as a result.

And in an opinion column this week, The Kyiv Independent’s Chief Editor Olga Rudenko described how the U.S. funding freeze had left programs — including humanitarian relief, mental health support, media initiatives and community development projects — without critical financial backing.

Most Russian organizations contacted by The Moscow Times declined to comment on the freeze’s impact, with some stating they were still assessing how it would affect their operations.

“Russian media outfits probably understand that openly flaunting the fact that they are funded by Western governments might alienate their audiences,” Rochowanski said, pointing out that even anti-Kremlin Russians do not always view the West as a benign actor.

“They may also want to be careful because drawing unwanted attention from the Russian authorities could lead to threats against their reporters and sources,” she added. “For those same reasons, Ukrainian media can be quite open about how they are funded by Western governments.”

With U.S. funding on hold, some organizations are turning to European institutions for support, with discussions of potential emergency funding underway, according to the Washington, D.C.-based source.

The European Federation of Journalists urged potential European donors to step in and fill the gap left by the withdrawal of U.S. funding. While it did not specifically mention Russian organizations, the federation emphasized the reliance of Ukrainian news publications and exiled Belarusian media on U.S. financial assistance.

Still, even if civil society organizations manage to secure stopgap funding during the three-month freeze, there is growing concern that if the Trump administration’s review leads to long-term cuts, many will not survive.

“In the long term, if U.S. government funding isn’t restored, Russia’s independent civil society as a whole will be greatly diminished,” the Washington, D.C.-based source warned.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/02/the ... to-crisis/

******

There was famine, but there was no Holodomor
February 4, 13:35

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There was famine, but there was no Holodomor

"The events of 1932-1933 could not have been a man-made famine. This is evidenced by numerous sources, currently available to all researchers," TASS quotes Naryshkin as saying.
According to him, the myth "about an allegedly deliberate Holodomor-genocide aimed at destroying the Ukrainian peasantry" was cynically created at the time by radical Ukrainian nationalists in Germany and Poland.
In September, the Russian embassy expressed outrage at Switzerland's decision to recognize the "Holodomor" as genocide.
They recalled that the famine of the 1930s was not the first and not the last in the USSR; similar tragedies occurred in the Volga region, the Kazakh SSR, Crimea and Western Siberia.


https://russian.rt.com/ussr/news/143003 ... od-ukraina - zinc

Actually, when in the 90-10s we supported the rhetoric about the fictitious "Holodomor", thereby laying the foundation for the official recognition of this fake in the West. The same thing happened with Katyn, etc. All this was not about the past, but about the present and the future. To stigmatize the Russian Federation and prepare for its dismantling and war against it. In this regard, official anti-Sovietism caused enormous damage to the Russian Federation.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9650896.html

Nationalization of Raven Russia
February 5, 14:57

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This sweet word - nationalization.

Nationalization Raven Russia

As Kommersant has learned, the assets of the Raven Russia group of companies, the largest owner of warehouse real estate in the country, have been transferred to the state following a lawsuit filed by the Prosecutor General's Office. Following the oversight, the court came to the conclusion that almost 2 million square meters of logistics parks of strategic importance for the Russian Federation are illegally under the control of foreign residents.

The Moscow Arbitration Court has fully satisfied the claim of the Prosecutor General's Office to recover shares and stocks of the Raven Russia group of strategic companies for the state treasury. We are talking about 17 organizations that are part of the group and own 16 transport terminals with an area of ​​2 million square meters.

According to the oversight , Raven Property Group Limited, registered in Hong Kong, was buying up Russian companies that owned transport terminals . In doing so, it ignored the rules and procedures provided for by Federal Law No. 57 “On the Procedure for Implementing Foreign Investments into Economic Entities of Strategic Importance for Ensuring National Defense and State Security,” according to which it was necessary to notify the government and obtain its consent to establish control over such companies.

As a result of the transactions, the Raven Russia group of companies was created, which included the following companies owned by Raven Property Group Limited: JSC Toros, JSC Resurs-Ekonomiya, JSC Kulon-Istra, JSC Kulon Development, JSC Noginsk-Vostok, OOO Feniks, OOO Soyuz-Invest, OOO Delta, OOO Sever Estate, OOO EG Logistika, OOO Liga, OOO Kulon SPB, OOO Gorigo, OOO Logopark Don, OOO Logopark Ob, OOO KIP 1, OOO Kstovo Development, as well as the limited liability company Dorfin Holdings Limited, located in Moscow, the Moscow region, St. Petersburg, Nizhny Novgorod, Novosibirsk and Rostov-on-Don.

Meanwhile, the Prosecutor General's Office established that Raven attempted to remove the holding's enterprises "from state antimonopoly control ." To do this, they were registered to Phoenix Real Estate Investment Holdings Limited (formerly Prestino Investments Limited), Phoenix Property Group Limited, Raven Russia Holdings Cyprus Limited and other offshore companies.

Since they did not conduct any financial or economic activity, the Prosecutor General's Office concluded that the offshore companies only ensured "hidden ownership and extraction of profit for its subsequent transfer abroad."

As a result, the Prosecutor General's Office established that Raven Property Group Limited illegally became the owner of the country's largest network of logistics parks (transport terminals) located near Russia's critically important transport infrastructure, including the Moscow Ring Road, Sheremetyevo, Vnukovo and Pulkovo airports, the St. Petersburg seaport and the Moscow Railway.

After the start of the SVO, in March 2022, the parent company Raven, as well as the managers of Raven Russia, Igor Bogorodov and Yaroslav Shuvalov, concluded, according to the Prosecutor General's Office, a sham transaction aimed at concealing foreign ownership of the Russian company. In any case, the supervision, and on January 31, 2025, the arbitration, concluded that Raven Russia was continued to be controlled by one of the founders of Raven Property Group Raven, a British citizen Glyn Hirsch, and Igor Bogorodov, who has American citizenship, which is prohibited by Federal Law No. 57.

As a result, the court agreed with the arguments of the Prosecutor General's Office, which claimed that "after the start of the special military operation in Ukraine, the owners of the Raven Russia Group of Companies joined the restrictions of the United States and England against Russia, as agreed in writing in the agreement. In an effort to organize the outflow of multi-billion dollar capital of enterprises abroad, foreign owners formally changed the ownership structure of Russian businesses, while maintaining real control and management of them. Also, in order to bypass the counter-economic measures of the Russian Federation, they ostensibly changed the unfriendly jurisdiction (Cyprus) of the parent organization to the UAE. As a result, foreign residents managed to transfer more than 6 billion rubles belonging to strategic enterprises abroad. It was possible to stop the illegal behavior only by introducing interim measures by the court at the request of prosecutors."

According to Kommersant, the decision to convert the shares and stakes of all companies included in Raven Russia into the income of the Russian Federation was immediately executed by the arbitration court.

In turn, Raven Russia stated that as part of the proceedings, 16 warehouse complexes were recognized as transport terminals operating under a natural monopoly. The company's owners believe that the hearings were held with procedural violations, and their arguments were ignored. The application to involve the companies that own shares and stakes in the seized companies in the case was denied. Raven Russia representatives plan to challenge the decision within the time limits established by law, while continuing to fulfill their obligations to counterparties.

The value of Raven Russia assets was previously estimated by RIA Novosti at 120-160 billion rubles by Eduard Danilov, Senior Director of Valuation and Financial Consulting at the SRG Group. A Kommersant source in the warehouse market draws attention to the fact that we are talking about a very well-balanced portfolio of high-quality assets, but given their significant volume, the expert does not rule out that the properties will be sold one by one or in regional blocks. In this case, investment funds may show high interest in acquiring them.

https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/7477647 - zinc

By the end of the 3rd year of the war, they became concerned. But better late than never.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9653141.html

...and de-Saakashvilizaton of the whole country!
February 5, 18:57

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...and de-Saakashvilizaton of the whole country!

In Georgia, the local parliament terminated the powers of 49 opposition party deputies who refused to participate in the work of parliament, since the bet was made on delegitimizing the current Georgian authorities. This trick did not work. First they got rid of the French granny, now they got rid of the "boycotters". Decisions can be made without them. In addition, they were deprived of the opportunity to hide from criminal prosecution using the privileges that the status of a deputy provides. This leads to new criminal cases. Clearly, everything is heading towards the fact that those instigators of the unsuccessful attempt at a coup d'etat in Georgia who did not have time/will not have time to flee abroad will eventually go to jail.

The "Georgian Dream" is now feeling quite confident, especially after some of the Georgian grant-eaters lost their support from USAID.

The Georgian parliament voted to create a state commission to investigate crimes during the Saakashvili regime.
I wonder if Varlamov, who once promoted the Saakashvili regime, will testify before the commission as a witness for Mishiko's defense?

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9653572.html

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"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Posts: 14417
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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Sun Feb 09, 2025 6:33 pm

Will the Nord Steam gas pipelines be turned back on soon?
February 6, 2025
By Ben Aris in Berlin, Intellinews, 1/31/25

Could Gazprom’s Nord Stream undersea gas pipelines, partially destroyed by saboteurs in September 2022, eventually be restarted? The idea of reconnecting Europe to the giant Russian Yamal gas fields has been introduced as a possible bargaining chip in the widely expected ceasefire talks between Russia and Ukraine. While political optics of such a deal are terrible, for the struggling European economies it is an economic no-brainer.

Denmark’s energy agency ordered the operator of the Nord Stream pipelines to cap the severed ends of the three destroyed pipelines this week to preserve their integrity, making it possible, in theory, to patch the holes created in a series of explosions in September 2022 and lift the pipes to the surface for repairs.

The idea of restarting Russian gas deliveries to Germany is clearly in the air and favoured by some in the German political firmament. Leader of Germany’s Alternative für Deutschland party (AfD) Alice Weidel told a party conference this week that “We will put Nord Stream back into operation, you can count on it!’ as the right have (correctly) identified the end of cheap Russian as being a major cause of the collapse of the German economy.

That has not gone down well with Ukraine’s supporters. The Baltic states have been adamant that all Russian gas imports should end. Polish President Andrzej Duda the same week that Germany “should not be tempted” to resume Russian supplies just because its economy is struggling; Germany’s economy has contracted for two years in a row and is predicted to shrink again this year. Rather than repair the €10bn pipeline that is capable of supplying 40% of Europe’s gas needs, Duda said that Nord Stream should instead be “dismantled.”

Detractors argue that resuming Russian gas deliveries threaten Europe with energy dependence, but also frame it as a military threat as the money it generates funds Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war machine. Russia’s Gazprom earned some €6.5bn from gas exports to Europe last year.

The loss of cheap Russian gas has been disastrous for Germany leading directly to its deindustrialisation as heavy industry has had to close down due to the soaring cost of gas and energy. The end of gas imports came just as the government decided to shutter its six powerful state-of-the-art nuclear power plant (NPP) in the midst of one of the worst energy crises this century in 2022 that turned Germany from a net exporter of energy into a net importer. That has put pressure on the rest of the EU, as Germany’s neighbours are forced to supply Germany with power under EU rules that have driven up costs in those countries as well. Sweden and Norway in particular are now suffering from power price inflation and have frozen plans to increase power links with Germany to cap exports capacity so they can use more of their domestic production capacity to meet their own domestic demand.

The upending of Germany’s energy security has led to the biggest collapse in German living standards since the Second World War and a downturn in economic output comparable to the 2008 financial crisis.

The downturn is having political consensus too. The funding of the war in Ukraine – Germany has been Ukraine’s most generous EU backer – has put intolerable strain on Germany’s finances that was already in a budget crisis after budget spending bumped up against borrowing limits imposed by the constitution by the so-called Schuldenbremse, or “debt brake” that limits government borrowing. At the end of last year, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz announced that Berlin has run out of money for Ukraine and will drastically reduce its contributions after this year. Tensions over money and wrangling over a €3bn aid package for Ukraine has already led to the collapse of the ruling coalition and German policy is in limbo as the country waits for a new government in a general election slated for February.

The quality of German life was already falling before the war started but has been made much worse by the various shocks the conflict has unleashed. The failure to protect German industry from the energy price spike may turn the 2020s into “a lost decade for Germany,” according to a recent paper published by the Forum for a New Economy, the Spectator reports. The economic malaise is fuelling the rise of the far-right AfD that won several key regional elections in November and is currently ranked second in popularity after the conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU).

And Russia’s gas business is still doing well, despite the setbacks. Gas production rose 7.6% in 2024 y/y to around 685bcm, according to comments by Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak on January 30. This year Russia expects to increase gas production again. Pipeline gas exports also increased last year by 15.6% to over 119bcm, while LNG exports were up by a more modest 4% to 47.2bcm (21.2mn tonnes).

Despite the myriad sanctions on Russia, Europe bought 22.6bcm (17mn tonnes) of LNG from Gazprom in 2024, mostly via terminals in France, Spain and Belgium. Taking LNG and piped gas together, Russia’s export to Europe were up 20% year on year to about 50bcm – around a third of pre-war export volumes. This year imports of piped gas may fall after Ukraine walked out on a gas transit deal with Russia, but delivered via the one remaining route, TurkStream that runs through the Black Sea, continues to rise, as does shipped LNG deliveries.

Publicly, Germany has ended the import of Russian gas and the CDU leader Friedrich Merz, who is very likely to take over from Scholz in the upcoming elections, has called for all Russian gas imports to end. However, embarrassingly, Germany continues to be the biggest importer of Russian gas via the backdoor imports routed through French and Belgium ports among other alternatives. Despite the fighting-talk, Europe remains hooked on Russian gas.

Currently, Europe is still consuming half of Russia’s annual gas production. Although the volume of piped Russian gas has fallen dramatically over the last two years, the volume of Russia’s LNG exports to Europe have doubled in the last two years and are currently at an all-time high and still rising. Ukraine’s supporters wanted to include an LNG ban in the sixteenth package of sanctions under debate at the moment and due to be enacted in February, but that idea has already been dropped as unworkable, according to reports.

The Danish energy agency decision to cap the four strands of the Nord Stream 1 & 2 pipelines creates the possibility that the damaged pipes could relatively easily be patched, pumped dry and lifted to the surface for repairs at some point. The one strand that survived the 2022 bombings in September 2022 is still pressurised and could in theory be turned back on tomorrow to deliver a badly needed 25bcm of gas to the EU – half as much again as Ukraine was delivering until it turned off the spigot on January 1.

The idea of restarting Russia’s gas deliveries has been in the air for a while now. Russian President Vladimir Putin and Scholtz held their first phone conversation in two years in November to talk about the war. Not much was agreed, but amongst the points raised, Putin said that he was willing to restart gas deliveries to Germany through the working pipeline if there was an acceptable Ukrainian ceasefire deal.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/02/wil ... k-on-soon/

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The National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine has recognized the song "Sigma-Boy" as a tool of Russian propaganda
February 7, 15:02

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The National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine recognized the song "Sigma-Boy" as part of the Russian propaganda machine and Russian soft power, through which the Kremlin promotes Russian narratives and expands Russian cultural influence.

So that's it, Mikhalych...
It would seem that this is news from "Panorama", but no.

Everyone at Hitler's headquarters is a coward.

P.S., Earlier, there were demands to ban the song https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9636342.html in Germany "for spreading Russian soft power" and in Russia for "undermining spiritual bonds". I believe that the authors of this project did not even suspect such mega-PR of youth pop music at the interstate level. If it were not for the public fight against "Sigma-Boy", it would have been forgotten in 2-3 months, but it turned out like with the quad bikes. Threats of bans from everywhere only increased public attention to this generally empty product of domestic pop music.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9657169.html

To the bases in Syria
February 7, 13:08

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To the bases in Syria

After the talks in Damascus, some progress has been made on the bases in Syria.
The militants are generally not against keeping the Russian bases in Syria, and have even officially stated that the fact that the Russian Aerospace Forces have been ironing them out for years, including before they seized power, is nothing. Let bygones be bygones... They say we are looking to the future and blah-blah-blah.

In fact, on a fundamental level, they are not against Russia improving its offer on the bases. In fact, bargaining continues on these issues. If the parties agree on a price, the bases will remain in a somewhat reduced form.
Of course, they will ignore the militants' demands to hand over Assad. But the inclusion of grain, oil and weapons in the payment for the bases is already under discussion. The key issue is weapons and ammunition. Russia would not be against limiting itself to oil and food supplies, as is done in the case of the Taliban. But the militants want more.
This is what will be discussed in the coming weeks. If they agree on the price, there will be bases. If they don't agree, we'll have to look for an option in another country (there are options). Of course, it would be desirable to keep Khmeimim and the logistics point in Tartus, but not at any price.
I hope our negotiators will be able to get better conditions.

P.S. A new African Corps base has recently appeared in Africa near the capital of Mali, a military base is being developed at an airfield in the capital of Niger + preparations are underway to occupy the former American base in Agadez, and a military airfield is being expanded in southwestern Libya near the border with Sudan.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9656861.html

North Koreans go to work in Russia
February 9, 13:35

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North Koreans go to work in Russia

Thousands of North Korean workers came from the DPRK to Russia to work in 2024, the South Korean National Intelligence Service (NIS) reported. The relevant information is cited by the Yonhap news agency.

"Last year, the North sent thousands of workers to various construction sites throughout Russia," the publication says.
According to South Korean intelligence, more than 13 thousand people came to Russia from the DPRK last year, which is about 12 times more than in 2023.
At the same time, 7.8 thousand people of them arrived in Russia on student visas.

https://russian.rt.com/world/news/14324 ... iya-rabota - zinc

In the case of the DPRK, it would certainly be beneficial for Russia to have skilled workers come to work here, since in some industries we have a serious shortage of skilled labor, which the import of migrants from Central Asia cannot solve. But several tens of thousands of workers from the DPRK could improve the situation a little.

So far, judging by the official statements of the DPRK, the numbers of workers sent to Russia are quite limited, but there are certainly prospects for expanding cooperation. In the DPRK, after the closure of the Kaesong economic zone, there was a certain surplus of workers.
It is also worth noting that they are soon going to build a new large automobile bridge in the DPRK, which will certainly have a positive effect on the expansion of economic cooperation, which is objectively beneficial to both us and the Koreans.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9660580.html

Google Translator

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How the End of USAID Grants Affected Moldovan Authorities
February 8, 2025
Rybar

Moldovan President Maia Sandu has publicly expressed her regret for the first time about US President Donald Trump's decision to suspend USAID grants. Sandu admitted that the freeze on US funding has put justice reform and energy projects in Moldova on hold.

Sandu's biggest concern is the justice reform , which was one of her election promises before her first term.

In May 2024, the so-called vetting process was launched - an external assessment of the integrity and professional suitability of judges and prosecutors. In case of its failure, officials from this sphere cannot hold public office for up to 7 years and are deprived of pensions and social benefits.

After the vetting began, many judges and prosecutors filed resignations, claiming that the procedure was highly politicized and was being conducted only to identify officials disloyal to Sandu.

The politicized approach is illustrated by the case of the former Prosecutor General of Moldova, Alexandru Stoianoglo, who was appointed to the post in 2019 through a competition involving EU experts. However, in 2021, Sandu fired Stoianoglo and he was arrested on charges of abuse of power.

Stoianoglo himself stated that this was Sandu's revenge for refusing to initiate a criminal case against former President Igor Dodon and opposition leaders. Stoianoglo's guilt was not proven and even the ECHR recognized his prosecution as unfair.

After being re-elected for a second term in October 2024, Sandu called the failure of justice reform her “biggest disappointment.” Moreover, the president linked the “stealing of votes in the first round ,” for which no evidence was provided, to unfavorable prosecutors.

The Ministry of Justice of Moldova announced that the work of the commission for the inspection of prosecutors will soon be resumed, this time with money from the EU . Moreover, the reform is a mandatory condition for the country's European integration.

We believe that the audit of the Moldovan justice reform will be an interesting task for American auditors .

https://rybar.ru/kak-prekrashhenie-gran ... -moldavii/

Escalation in Transcaucasia – why did Baku start an anti-Russian spectacle?
February 7, 2025
Rybar

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In recent days, we have been actively discussing the deterioration of relations between Azerbaijan and Russia, which are actively moving towards destructuring.

In addition to the actions of the Azerbaijani authorities already mentioned , it is important to note several other points.

Anti-Russian rhetoric and active work to destroy relations between Russia and Azerbaijan successfully coincided with the activation of Azerbaijani units on the border with Armenia. We are talking, of course, about the Syunik region , which has long been eyed by Baku.

According to our information, the Azerbaijanis have been moving equipment and personnel to Armenia in recent weeks . They are moving in small columns so as not to attract attention. Moreover, they are moving "Commandos" units - that is, special forces. And now they are located at a distance from the border.

There is a large number of Turkish military personnel in Nakhchivan . Some of them are instructors who have been training Azerbaijanis for many years, some are special forces. They are located in different populated areas, moving around in civilian clothes under the guise of tourists.

Another interesting coincidence is Pashinyan's visit to Washington . The prime minister did not manage to meet with the head of the United States, but he was received by Vice President James Vance . It would seem that there is nothing unusual, but his trip took place almost immediately after Trump's meeting with Benjamin Netanyahu .

And so it turns out that a lot of coincidences have been happening in recent weeks around the Azerbaijani-Armenian track. Even the terrorist attack in Moscow influenced the events in Transcaucasia, as it caused the cancellation of an unannounced trip by the Deputy Minister of Defense of Russia for military-technical cooperation to Armenia, where he was supposed to discuss the fate of the Russian base .

Of course, given the vastness of the Azerbaijani-Turkish (or rather, British) lobby in Russia, such a possibility would be immediately dismissed in high offices at the instigation of lobbyists.

Russia has still not developed a policy towards our "good friends" from Baku and Ankara . And therefore, such a possibility, as well as the possible connection of events, will probably be ignored once again.

https://rybar.ru/eskalacziya-v-zakavkaz ... -spektakl/

Google Translator

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Russian News – New YouTube Channel of Russian News Programming Dubbed in English
February 8, 2025



The above video episode was posted on 1/23/25

“Russian News, voiced into English. Here you will see Russian political news, statements and speeches of the President of Russia, the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia, the Minister of Defense of Russia, the representative of Russia in the UN Security Council, as well as political news and analytical programs recorded directly from Russian television.”

https://www.youtube.com/@Russian_News_Ch/videos

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/02/rus ... n-english/

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Kaliningrad Transitions to Independent Power Operation as Baltic States Exit Russian Grid

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A view of Kaliningrad, 2025. X/ @AgriPV10

February 9, 2025 Hour: 8:44 am

These nations announced their intention to exit the BRELL energy network in 2017.
On Saturday, the Kaliningrad region, a Russian enclave bordered by the Baltic states, transitioned to independent power operation following the withdrawal of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia from the unified energy ring with Russia and Belarus.

“The region’s total power generation capacity now stands at 1.88 GW, more than double its peak electricity consumption, guaranteeing reliable supply under any circumstances,” the Russian Energy Ministry said, noting that Kaliningrad’s power system was well-prepared for this shift.

Between 2016 and 2020, four new power plants were constructed in the region, along with a large-scale upgrade of the grid infrastructure. Annual comprehensive tests over the past five years have confirmed the system’s technical readiness for independent operation.

The three Baltic nations announced their intention to exit the BRELL (Belarus, Russia, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania) energy network in 2017, citing concerns over dependency on Russian energy supplies.

Lithuania released footage of the literal cutting of powerlines transporting electricity from Russia.
Russia-occupied Kaliningrad exclave is now on its own. There's still a gas pipeline going from Russia to Kaliningrad through Lithuania. Hopefully that's next. https://t.co/nX6I3AF42a pic.twitter.com/8FM0kRH4ob

— Igor Sushko (@igorsushko) February 8, 2025
Their integration into the European power grid is scheduled for Sunday. Following their disconnection from BRELL, the Baltic states will operate in isolated mode for 24 to 33 hours before synchronizing with the European network, provided there are no technical issues.

Latvian Energy Minister Kaspars Melnis said that synchronization with the European grid will improve the security of energy supply in the Baltic region, enhance the region’s independence and the ability to connect renewable energy projects to the grid, and ultimately ensure that consumers enjoy lower electricity prices.

In order to navigate smoothly the transition period, the Baltic states have strengthened monitoring and security measures for their energy infrastructure, while reminding local residents and legal entities to prepare for emergencies. After decoupling from the Russian power grid, the Baltic countries’ electricity needs are being met by local power plants and interconnections with Poland, Sweden and Finland.

https://www.telesurenglish.net/kalining ... sian-grid/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Tue Feb 11, 2025 3:55 pm

Richard Connolly: Russia’s Wartime Economy isn’t as Weak as it Looks
February 9, 2025
By Richard Connolly, RUSI, 1/22/25

Russia’s economic resilience is defying expectations, enabling the Kremlin to sustain its war efforts in Ukraine despite mounting challenges, and raising doubts about hopes for a swift resolution.

Russia regained the momentum on the battlefield in Ukraine last year. Although Russian progress remains slow and costly, the outlook for the year ahead is bleak. Ukraine’s energy system has been heavily damaged by Russian air strikes, and its forces continue to lose ground in southern Donetsk, where the heaviest fighting is taking place.

Perhaps most importantly, political shifts in some of Kyiv’s key allies – especially the US – could result in crucial financial and military aid being substantially reduced in the year ahead. Together, these trends raise the prospect of Ukraine being forced to accept a crushing defeat after three years of heroic resistance.

Against this lugubrious backdrop, many analysts have seized on what appears to be a rare bright spot: Russia’s faltering ‘war economy’, which – according to some – is ‘Putin’s greatest weakness’. An acute labour shortage, persistent and rising inflation caused by soaring military expenditure, and ever-tightening sanctions will – it is claimed – finally bring about an economic crisis that will force Moscow to abandon its maximalist aims in Ukraine and bring about an end to the war on terms more acceptable to Kyiv and its allies.

Sadly, these hopes are likely to prove misplaced. Russia’s economy has confounded expectations throughout the war and, despite suffering several complications, remains well-placed to support the Kremlin’s ambitions in Ukraine and beyond.

Dashed Hopes…

This is not the first time that Kyiv’s supporters have placed their hopes in Russia’s economy proving to be its Achilles’ heel. In the early months of the war, analysts forecast that Russia would suffer a severe and long recession that would cause living standards to slump and the state’s fiscal resources to dwindle. Moscow, it was hoped, would be forced to make an embarrassing retreat with potentially fatal consequences for President Vladimir Putin and the ruling elite.

But these hopes were soon dashed. The imposition of capital controls, a surge in federal expenditure, and the successful reorientation of foreign trade at breakneck speed arrested the signs of economic distress observed in the first months of the war.

Although Russia did not avoid a recession in 2022, it was much shallower than expected (GDP fell by only 1.9%) as the economy adapted to its new circumstances. Growth exceeded nearly all expectations in 2023 (3.6%), with this momentum continuing into 2024. Output is likely to have expanded by 3.6–4% last year.

…Raised Again

Nevertheless, the quantitative expansion of the last two years has been accompanied by growing signs of weakness on several important economic indicators, raising questions over the quality and sustainability of Russia’s better-than-expected performance.

Mounting labour shortages, fuelled by the demands of war, are just one factor that threatens to derail growth. The massive expansion of the military and defence-industrial production has drawn large numbers of men away from the civilian labour force.

Although Russia undoubtedly faces significant challenges, there is little to suggest that these will result in any significant political consequences that might prompt the Kremlin to rein in its ambitions in Ukraine

Along with rising demand from other sectors of the briskly growing economy, this has caused the supply of labour to tighten considerably. Unemployment reached 2.3% in October, a post-Soviet record low. Maintaining the current rate of economic growth will only be possible if Russia utilises its existing labour force more efficiently.

Labour shortages are not the Kremlin’s only problem. Western sanctions and a shrinking trade surplus contributed to a sharp depreciation of the ruble last year, causing import prices to rise and amplifying inflationary pressures.

At the end of November, the Central Bank of Russia (CBR) recorded an annual inflation rate of 8.9%, well above the bank’s target rate of 4%. Even this rate likely understates the real extent of price growth, with some staple goods registering price increases in excess of 70%.

In an attempt to quell inflationary pressures, the CBR raised the key rate throughout the year, setting it at a post-Soviet high of 21% in October. Many businesses now find the cost of borrowing prohibitive.

Many analysts have attributed these signs of overheating to elevated spending on the war in Ukraine, pointing to record-high military expenditure which is expected to have reached over 7% of GDP in 2024. With defence spending expected to rise by nearly 25% this year, accounting for around 40% of federal government expenditure, some have raised the prospect of Russia slipping into ‘stagflation’, combining high inflation with low to no growth.

Finally, with new UK and US sanctions targeting Russia’s oil industry, and G7 states seeking to tighten the enforcement of the oil ‘price cap’, some hope that Moscow’s vital hydrocarbon revenues will be crimped even further, exacerbating the losses caused by the collapse of Russian gas exports to Europe and flagging coal sales.

Desperate but not Serious

Unfortunately, hopes of an imminent economic crisis are unlikely to be realised. Although Russia undoubtedly faces significant challenges, there is little to suggest that these will result in any significant political consequences that might prompt the Kremlin to rein in its ambitions in Ukraine.

The tight labour market has benefitted many Russians used to stagnant income growth in the decade before the war. Real wages have soared since 2022, fuelling the fastest sustained growth in consumer spending in over a decade. Soaring military production and record-high wages for soldiers have helped reduce some of Russia’s chronic regional inequalities.

Crucially, the absence of a large pool of latent labour need not constrain growth so long as labour productivity continues to rise. Russia’s low-productivity economy means that there are plenty of easy wins available for firms prepared to undertake simple organisational changes or investment in new machinery.

Inflation also has its advantages. Rising prices send important signals to firms to expand supply by investing in areas where prices are growing fastest. Investment – chronically low for most of the post-Soviet period – has grown faster than GDP since the war began. Rising prices have also helped swell public coffers, with turnover taxes like VAT growing at record levels and boosting the Kremlin’s fiscal position.

The CBR’s record-high key rate is not as damaging as it might be in a Western economy, either. Large swathes of Russian business – including those in strategically important sectors – can access state-subsidised loans at considerably lower interest rates. Even those firms unable to access subsidised loans will be able to use record-high retained earnings to finance investment.

Russian consumers have also benefitted from state support. Most mortgages offered during the recent housing boom were taken on at subsidised rates.

Even the extent to which Russia has a ‘war economy’ is exaggerated. While the broad NATO measure of military expenditure is likely to account for around 40% of federal spending this year, this will amount to closer to 20% of Russia’s consolidated state spending (that is, including both regional and national expenditure).

Although this is high, it is comparable to US military spending during the Vietnam War. The militarisation of the economy has undoubtedly grown. However, it remains well below the crippling levels observed in the ‘hyper-militarised’ Soviet economy.

Importantly, many of the features of true war economies – such as price controls, the centralised allocation of resources, and widespread nationalisation of private sector assets – have yet to appear in Russia.

Sources of Resilience

If Russia’s weaknesses are not as severe as many hope, its sources of strength and durability also remain impressive.

Take the country’s balance sheet. Despite fighting the most intense war in Europe since 1945, Moscow has managed to fund the war with staggeringly modest budget deficits of between 1.5–2.9% of GDP since 2022. As a result, the Kremlin has barely had to borrow to fund the war. At around 15% of GDP, Russia has the smallest state debt-to-GDP ratio of the G20 economies.

Despite being cut off from most external sources of capital, Russia remains more than capable of financing domestic investment and government expenditure with its own resources. Over the past two years, Russia has recorded a surplus on its current account – that is, the gap between aggregate savings and investment – of around 2.5% of GDP. For as long as Russia can continue to export large volumes of oil, this is unlikely to change.

Designed to ensure that the Kremlin can pursue a sovereign foreign policy against the interests of the collective West, Russia’s economic system is doing its job

Crucially, the Kremlin’s fiscal position remains very healthy. Tax revenues generated by domestic activity have soared since the war began. Oil and gas revenues are forecast to account for 28% of federal government tax receipts in 2024, significantly lower than the 53% recorded in 2018.

Even if export revenues slump, perhaps due to a looming trade war or China’s spluttering economy, Russia has plenty of resources it could tap to maintain elevated levels of state spending. The largely state-owned banking system is sitting on piles of cash that could be paid as dividends to their owner: the state. Banks could also be directed to buy government bonds, as they were at the end of 2024. If all else fails, the CBR could buy government bonds.

Importantly, Russia’s resilience is not purely financial in nature. The foundations of the market economy built in the turbulent 1990s remain strong. Much of Russia’s unexpected adaptability has come not only from its well-trained and professional economic managers, but also from its large and growing class of private business.

Accustomed to operating in an often hostile and challenging business environment, privately owned firms have exploited the opportunities created by sanctions to supply soaring demand from the government and consumers. The number of registered private businesses has grown briskly since the war began, reaching a record high in 2024. It is this strong base of commercially oriented firms that will enable Russia to continue adapting to sanctions and the demands of war.

Calibrating Expectations

To be clear, Russia’s economic prospects are far from rosy. Property rights remain weak, and the state’s role in the economy is high and growing. The vagaries of the international oil market always retain the potential to generate a strong external shock. Western sanctions will also continue to raise the cost of doing business and restrict the flow of know-how to Russian businesses. As a result, Russia is unlikely to join the ranks of high-income countries any time soon.

However, the country’s poor long-term prognosis should not lead us to overlook its short-term resilience. Throughout its 500-year history, Russia’s economic system has rarely delivered broad-based growth or economy-wide innovation for long. Instead, the needs of the market have usually been subordinated to the needs of the state, often to enable the Kremlin to pursue security-related objectives.

Today’s system is no different. Designed to ensure that the Kremlin can pursue a sovereign foreign policy against the interests of the collective West, it is doing its job. The market is strong enough to give the system adaptability and dynamism. And the state is strong enough to ensure that sufficient resources are mobilised towards achieving its security objectives.

For as long as this equilibrium remains intact, Russia will be able to generate the necessary economic resources to sustain enough military power to wage war in Ukraine and, over the longer term, to rearm for a prolonged confrontation with the West. Any hopes that its economic vulnerabilities will bring it to the negotiating table are therefore unlikely to be realised.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/02/ric ... -it-looks/

Reuters: Trump administration disbands task force targeting Russian oligarchs
February 10, 2025
Reuters, 2/6/25

Summary

-Task force was focused on sanctions enforcement, seizing assets

-Department switches focus to border and drug cartels

-Foreign bribery enforcement also implicated

WASHINGTON, Feb 6 (Reuters) – The U.S. Justice Department under President Donald Trump is disbanding an effort started after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine to enforce sanctions and target oligarchs close to the Kremlin.

A memo from Attorney General Pam Bondi, issued on Wednesday during a wave of orders on her first day in office but not previously reported, said the effort, known as Task Force KleptoCapture, will end as part of a shift in focus and funding to combating drug cartels and international gangs.

“This policy requires a fundamental change in mindset and approach,” Bondi wrote in the directive, adding that resources now devoted to enforcing sanctions and seizing the assets of oligarchs will be redirected to countering cartels.

The effort, launched during Democratic President Joe Biden’s administration, was designed to strain the finances of wealthy associates of Russian President Vladimir Putin and punish those facilitating sanctions and export control violations.

It was part of a broader push to freeze Russia out of global markets and enforce wide-ranging sanctions imposed on Moscow amid international condemnation of its war in Ukraine.

The task force brought indictments against aluminum magnate Oleg Deripaska and TV tycoon Konstantin Malofeyev for alleged sanctions busting, and seized yachts belonging to sanctioned oligarchs Suleiman Kerimov and Viktor Vekselberg.

Cases investigated by the task force are likely to continue, but the work will no longer be centralized at Justice Department headquarters.

“Are we going to suddenly see a surge of sanctioned oligarch wealth flood into the United States? I don’t think so,” said Andrew Adams, the first leader of the task force who is now at law firm Steptoe. “What you will see is a sharp decline in the pace of charges that target facilitators that are specific to Russia.”

Prosecutors assigned to the task force will return to their previous posts. The changes will be in effect for at least 90 days and could be renewed or made permanent, according to the directive.

Trump has spoken about improving relations with Moscow. He has previously vowed to end the war in Ukraine, though he has not released a detailed plan.

The emphasis on drug cartels comes after Trump designated many such groups as terrorist organizations, part of a crackdown on illegal immigration and fentanyl trafficking.

The shift also implicates enforcement of a U.S. foreign bribery law that has led to some of the Justice Department’s largest corporate cases over the last decade. The unit enforcing that law, known as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, will now prioritize bribery investigations related to cartels, according to the memo.

A wide range of multinational firms has come under Justice Department scrutiny over the law, including Goldman Sachs, Glencore and Walmart.

“It is a radical move away from traditional FCPA cases and toward a narrow subset of drug and violent crime related cases that have never been the focus of FCPA enforcement,” said Stephen Frank, a lawyer at law firm Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan who worked on FCPA cases as a federal prosecutor.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/02/reu ... oligarchs/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Wed Feb 12, 2025 3:52 pm

RUSSIAN BREAD – WHOSE WEAPON IN THE WAR?

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by John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

For their daily bread, Russians pay much less than the citizens of the US, the European Union, and other bread-eating states in the warfighting alliance.

At current prices, the Russian loaf of white bread is cheaper by almost seven times than the American; six times less than the Norwegian; four times less than the Italian and German; three times less than the French.

In the war between armies marching on their stomachs, the Russian Army has already won hands down; that’s the farmers’, millers’, and bakers’ hands.

On the home front, however, it is not this international comparison which counts for Russian consumers. They are suffering from the comparison they are obliged to make between the price they pay for bread today and the price last year, or before the Special Military Operation in February 2022. Before the war, between 2019 and 2021, the average rate of inflation for bread was between 5% and 7% per annum. In 2024, the bread price rose, according to the state statistics agency Rosstat, by 13.2%. In fact, according to published studies in Moscow, bread inflation was double that rate at about 27% for the year.

The sensitivity of voters to this inflation in food prices is so great, President Vladimir Putin and Agriculture Ministry officials are trying to talk down the bread price and ask consumers to eat promises. According to Putin on February 7, “annual inflation stands at 9.5 percent, though as of February 3, this had reached 9.9 percent year-on-year. This presents a challenge, necessitating comprehensive measures to ensure balanced economic expansion.”

In a meeting with Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin, the President said inflation is a goods supply problem which can be solved by targeted state intervention, including subsidies to producers, restrictions on exports of Russian foodstuffs, and jawboning oligarchs and other business owners to hold their prices down temporarily. “One paramount priority remains the development of a supply-side economy,” Putin said. “During the coronavirus pandemic, the Government executed highly effective sector-specific interventions. As previously discussed, including during meetings with the business community – whose representatives have advocated for this approach – we agreed with the Government to reinstate such sectoral coordination. We must assess the prospects of individual industries, identify priorities, and provide targeted support where required.”

Deputy Agriculture Minister Maxim Titov explained last week that state intervention in the food sector will be limited to asking the supermarket retailers to limit their bread-price markups to the government’s announced rate of inflation. “In principle,” Titov said, “as we see the dynamics of the price of bread, the price increase for the grain group that exists today has already been recouped.”

Titov also issued a radical warning disguised by a negative. “The cost of bread production is constantly growing,” he said, “but grain is not the main component in the cost of bread production.” The deputy minister means that after two years of bumper wheat harvests for the farmers and record tonnage of flour from the millers, the real reason for bread price inflation isn’t supply side at all. Instead, as Moscow think-tank research confirms, it is profit-making by the bread-sellers. Their profit margin has been reported as several times the average profit margin of the producers.

This is profit rigging and price gouging, as Russians understand it. Deputy Minister Titov is pointing the finger at Magnit (Dixy), Pyaterochka (X5), Mercury (Red & White, Bristol), and Lenta (Billa, Monetka), and to the oligarch groups of Alexander Vinokurov, Mikhail Fridman and Igor Kesaev who control them. Lenta, however, is part-controlled by the US private equity firm TPG Capital, based in Texas. Together, these four retailers have been steadily increasing their control over the entire Russian food retail marketplace; at present, they have a market share of more than 30%.
Reluctant as ministry officials and Russian agro-industry experts are to admit it, the reason for the acceleration in the price of bread is wartime profiteering. As a military source warns, “the picture is getting clearer; the outlook is getting dimmer.”

In global production of wheat, Russia is currently third after China and India, with more than double the production of the US, Australia, France and Canada, which also trail behind Russia on the wheat export markets. As an exporter of flour, Russia ranks only 10th on the world trade charts, but larger-volume flour exporters like Turkey and Egypt get much of the wheat they turn into flour from Russia.

As the following chart shows, large wheat and flour producers like the US, Canada and Australia have much higher priced bread than Russia.

CURRENT PRICE OF A 500g LOAF OF FRESH WHITE BREAD BY COUNTRY
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Source: https://www.numbeo.com/

Over the last five years Russian harvests of wheat have hit record levels. Flour production has also reached record levels. Reports by Moscow think tanks like the Expert Analytical Centre for Agrobusiness (AB Centre) and the Institute for Agricultural Market Studies (IKAR) provide the details.

These sources also reveal that while supplies of both wheat and flour for bread-making have been growing and domestic demand has been stable to declining, there has been a steady rise in the costs of wheat and flour production. AB Centre reports the rising price of wheat drives the rising price of flour.

DOMESTIC PRICE OF WHEAT AND FLOUR, 2012-2022
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Source: https://ab-centre.ru/

Since the weather has been good for growing and the harvests bountiful, cost-driven inflation for wheat farmers and flour millers, the experts report, has been caused by a combination of non-agricultural factors; these are principally the rising cost of working capital and operating finance set by the key interest rate of the Central Bank, and the diversion to exports which promise greater demand for Russian wheat and flour at the falling rouble exchange rate.

THE KEY INTEREST RATE SET BY THE CENTRAL BANK OF RUSSIA, 2020-2025
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Source: https://tradingeconomics.com/russia/interest-rate

The rising cost of the raw materials makes a relatively small impact on the rising price of bread, however.

According to this report by the Russian Guild of Bakers and Confectioners (ROSPiK), an average of 750 kilograms of flour is obtained from one tonne of wheat. One tonne of flour then makes about 1.45 tonnes of bread. Thus, 1.088 tonnes of wheat bread can be obtained from one tonne of grain. In the wholesale and retail price of a bakery producer, excluding other factors, the cost of flour comes to 24.5%, and the cost of grain is 19.7%. A 10% change in the price of grain effects a 1.9% change in the price of bread; a 10% change in the price of flour leads to an average 2.5% change in the price of baked goods.

“The current situation with rising grain prices should not have a serious impact on the rising price of bread on store shelves,” ROSPiK reported in April 2021. “During the period 2017-2020, there was a significant change in producer prices for grain (wheat) — an increase of 40.9%, while the average prices of flour producers increased by 25%, and the average prices of bakery producers increased by only 8.9% over the same period.”

ROSPiK illustrated the analysis and prediction with this chart showing in percentage measures the components of the baker’s price for a loaf of bread (wholesale and retail), and of the retail price which Russian consumers must pay at the shop counter.

Image
https://foodmarket.spb.ru/

The conclusion of ROSPiK is that it is not supply-side costs nor domestic demand growth which is causing the price of Russian bread to jump well above the official inflation rate. Instead, ROSPiK says that “the trade margin, which reaches 35%, has a major impact on retail prices.” The chart and the analysis by the bakers contradict claims by government officials that the recent price hikes are due to transport logistics and to packaging in film and cardboard.

If it’s the trade margin which is the driver of bread price inflation since the Special Military Operation began in February 2022, whose profit margin has been rising fastest – the producers, transporters, wholesalers, or retailers? The trade analysts and think-tank experts refuse to answer this question. The reason for this silence is that no one dares to blame the dominant supermarket companies or to challenge their owners.

Instead, producer groups are appealing for special state bailouts. Last July, for example, spokesmen for the flour and bakery producers warned that the price of bread was being squeezed upwards by the rising export prices of both wheat and flour, and the Central Bank’s interest rate hikes.

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Source: https://www.agroinvestor.ru/

“Bakeries have faced a significant increase in flour prices due to rising grain costs amid forecasts of a lower harvest, the National Bakery Union (NSH) said. Many enterprises began receiving notifications about the upcoming price increase to 29-30 rubles/kg of wheat flour of the highest quality at the end of May [2024]. Flour prices began to rise by several rubles per kilogram, and in two weeks the increase was up to 30% or more compared to the beginning of the month, the union noted.”

“Some flour mills have started demanding a reduction in deferred payment or even full prepayment, as well as offering to fix exorbitantly high prices as early as July, the NSH said. The union’s suppliers reported that there was a ‘certain panic’ in the flour market in May due to rising grain prices in light of information about adverse weather conditions affecting crops and the projected grain harvest. The situation on the domestic wheat market traditionally depends on exports, which, due to rising world prices and other factors, form high prices and limit the volume of supply in the country, the National Bakery Union [NSH] says.”

“The presence of export duties on grain without similar ones on flour significantly increased the export of flour, and many industrial flour mills ‘rushed there.’ ‘Given the almost limitless need for flour in the Asian and Chinese markets and the insufficient number of milling facilities capable of meeting the needs of industrial baking in Russia, it is worrying that in the absence of a quick response to what is happening, the supply of baking flour to the domestic market may become critically insufficient,’ a representative of the NSH told RBC.”

“The government is making significant efforts to curb bread prices, so it would be logical to take certain economic measures to stabilize prices on the flour market, according to the bakery union. The NSH proposes the temporary introduction of customs duties on flour exports, similar to grain, as one of the measures: this will help not only prevent the maintenance of a critical price level for the main raw materials for the bakery industry, but also reduce prices on the domestic market by 15-20%. Otherwise, bread producers find themselves in a difficult situation due to a sharp increase in the cost of basic raw materials and the traditional difficulty of raising prices for socially important products, the union explains.”

This is a fight for profit margin between the farmers, millers, bakers, and retailers, and their lobbyists in Moscow. The bakers are warning that favouritism on the part of the government threatens their survival – or at least the survival of the smaller bread factories which face takeover by the larger ones. “While maintaining the current dynamics, the National Bakery Union [NHS] predicts a further deterioration in the financial situation in the industry. This may lead to the closure of some key industrial bread production enterprises, especially small and medium-sized ones, which is of significant importance for the regions. Despite the fact that by the end of June [2024], the increase in flour prices slowed down, it still remains at a very high level, the NHS noted. The current increase in prices for raw materials may affect the final cost of bread: now it is increasing by about 10%, depending on the type and variety — about 3 rubles for a loaf, the Union has calculated.”

This analysis by the bakers, their forecasts, and the state measures they are seeking are disputed in the industry media by Igor Sviridenko, President of the Russian Union of Flour and Cereal Enterprises; Dmitry Leonov, Deputy Chairman of the Board of the Rusprodsoyuz Association, a union of suppliers and processors; and Denis Ternovsky, an agro-industry expert at RANEPA, a state think tank for economic policy. They have argued their differences in this report of last July.

This week they were asked to say what effect on bread pricing the concentration of ownership in wheat and flour production is having. They were also asked what impact oligarch ownership of the supermarket retailers is making on the government’s measures for controlling bread prices. They refuse to answer.

NOTE: The lead image (without the flags) is a cartoon by Marcello Chamorro, originally from Ecuador, whose work can be viewed here.

https://johnhelmer.net/russian-bread-wh ... more-91065

Nationalize, starting with the mills.

******

The West hates Belarus and Lukashenko because it is unaccustomed to popular leaders

Lucas Leiroz

February 11, 2025

There is no longer room for leaders loved by their voters within Western “democracies.”

Amid growing geopolitical tensions and constant criticism from the West, the figure of Aleksandr Lukashenko remains a central topic in international discussions. The president of Belarus has just been re-elected for his seventh consecutive term, consolidating his position as the longest-serving leader in Europe and the only one of his young nation, which emerged after the collapse of the Soviet Union. While Western countries consider him a “dictator”, in Belarus, the majority of the population sees him as a legitimate leader who has been able to stabilize and modernize the country, building a political and economic model that, although far from Western standards, has broad popular support.

During my latest visit to Minsk, where I worked as an international election observer, I had the opportunity to witness the democratic process in Belarus up close, which allowed me to better understand how the country’s political system works and, at the same time, to refute many of the narratives propagated by Western media. What is immediately clear is that elections in the country take place in a fairly normal manner. There is no pressure from the authorities on the population, and the atmosphere in the polling stations is similar to that of any other democratic process in the world. What stands out, however, is the active participation of the population, who sees the election moment not only as a civic right, but as a moment of deep responsibility and gratitude.

During my visit, I observed the “special voting” period, which takes place a week before the official election day. During this period, voters of all ages, from young to old, went to the polls to ensure their participation, demonstrating genuine enthusiasm. The official election day, on January 26, was even more expressive, with the holding of a very traditional civic event in the country. Contrary to what many might imagine, elections are not a mere bureaucratic procedure; they are a true popular event where people come together to express their support for the government.

This strong bond between the people and the government reflects an aspect that is difficult to understand in the West: the concept of a popular leader. In many liberal democracies, leaders with broad popular support are often viewed with suspicion, being accused of “populism.” However, this is not the case in Belarus, where support for Lukashenko has remained stable since his election in 1994. The Belarusian president, who comes from a rural region of the country and has a personal history immersed in Soviet tradition, has built a genuine connection with the people, something rarely seen in Western democracies.

From his first years in power, Lukashenko took strategic steps that ensured Belarus’ independence and stability. Integration with Russia through the creation of the “Union State” was one of the main directions adopted, ensuring political and economic cooperation that consolidated the country’s sovereignty. Unlike other post-Soviet countries, where economic collapse and social tensions led to chaos, Belarus managed to avoid the most dramatic consequences of the collapse of the Soviet Union, such as the famine and mass poverty that affected Russia in the 1990s and 2000s.

Lukashenko’s economic model, which combines socialism with the market, has been fundamental to Belarus’ success. The government controls strategic sectors of the economy, such as the main agricultural activities and industry, while allowing the development of private enterprise, especially in the small-medium business sector. This combination of state intervention and economic freedom has allowed the country to become an agro-industrial power, with a focus on the production of grains, fertilizers and machinery.

Compared to the neoliberal scenario that plagued Russia in the 1990s, Lukashenko’s economic policy avoided the devastating effects of “shock therapy.” While Russia faced a deep social crisis during Boris Yeltsin’s presidency, Belarus took steps that would allow peace and prosperity, something that attracted the support of a large part of the population, who compared their reality with that of families divided by the border between the two countries, often forced to live in precarious situations on the other side.

This stability and economic growth are some of the reasons why Lukashenko has been consistently re-elected since 1994. Contrary to what many Western “analysts” claim, popular support for the Belarusian president is not the result of any political manipulation, but reflects a genuine consensus among the population that he was the figure who freed them from post-Soviet hardships.

Regarding the 2025 elections, in which Lukashenko won 87% of the vote, Western media outlets were quick to denounce the process as fraudulent—a common accusation whenever a president wins a broad victory. However, international observers who were present at the elections, including myself, agree that the process was legitimate and transparent. The accusations of fraud, therefore, are nothing more than a repetition of biased rhetoric against leaders who are not aligned with Western interests.

The case of Belarus exposes a critical flaw in the Western understanding of what true democracy is. For many in the West, democracy is synonymous with economic liberalism and geopolitical alignment with the hegemonic power. However, the Belarusian model shows that it is possible to have a democracy where the people exercise their power directly, through elections and periodic referendums, without this being conditional on adherence to the principles of liberalism. Democracy in Belarus, while not fitting the Western model, is in fact a government of the people, for the people, and by the people.

Something similar to the reality in Belarus is occurring in the Russian Federation itself, where Vladimir Putin’s high approval ratings reflect the trust and gratitude that Russian citizens have developed for the leader who led them out of the neoliberal catastrophe of the 1990s and transformed Russia into one of the world’s largest economies. In the end, Belarus and Russia show how real people’s power can exist in a democratic model, while liberal democracies often fail to reflect the real will of the people.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/ ... r-leaders/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Thu Feb 13, 2025 4:32 pm

We talked
February 12, 21:19

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The main points from the telephone conversation between V. Putin and D. Trump:

- Putin and Trump's conversation lasted almost an hour and a half;

- The parties discussed the Middle East settlement and bilateral relations between Russia and the United States;

- Putin invited Trump to Moscow;

- Putin and Trump agreed in a telephone conversation to organize a personal meeting;

- The Russian leader supported Trump's thesis that the time has come to work together;

- Putin told Trump about the need to eliminate the root causes of the Ukrainian conflict;

- The Russian President agreed with Trump that a long-term settlement in Ukraine can be achieved through negotiations;

- Trump said that he had a "productive conversation" with Putin;

- The American president said that he discussed with Putin, among other things, Ukraine and the Middle East;

- The Middle East and the Iranian nuclear program were discussed in the conversation between Putin and Trump;

- Trump spoke in favor of an early end to hostilities in Ukraine in a conversation with Putin;

- The US President said that he and Putin agreed in a telephone conversation, among other things, to exchange visits;

- Putin and Trump touched upon bilateral relations between the Russian Federation and the United States in the economic sphere;

- Putin and Trump discussed the exchange of Russian and US citizens, Washington guaranteed the fulfillment of the agreements reached;

- The Russian President told Trump about his readiness to receive American officials in the Russian Federation, including on the topic of Ukraine.

In addition:

US Defense Secretary Hesget said that reaching the 2014 borders is unrealistic for Ukraine, as is the issue of Ukraine joining NATO as part of the settlement negotiations.

In fact, this is a move towards the issue of "recognizing the realities on the ground" and the demands of the Russian Federation to stop drawing Ukraine into NATO in principle. This requirement is among the official goals of the CBO.

Hesget also said that the US is not going to deploy any peacekeeping forces in Ukraine and that Europe should do this, while Kiev is screaming that without the US all this is pointless.

But again, these are just words, although the change in rhetoric compared to the Pentagon during Austin's time is obvious.

And one more thing.

The Trump administration is already working on the issue of formalizing in the Ukrainian Constitution the renunciation of the territories that Ukraine will lose as a result of the war. Not only is the actual renunciation of the territories being worked on, but also the formalization of this renunciation in the Ukrainian Constitution. The adoption of these changes is impossible without holding elections in Ukraine. The US is also working on this

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9666918.html

Sudan and Russia agree to establish naval base in Port Sudan
February 12, 18:16

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Sudan and Russia agreed to create a naval base in Port Sudan

Against the background of positive news about the likely preservation of Russian military bases in Latakia and Tartus, positive news is coming from Sudan, where the topic of a Russian naval base in Port Sudan has again come to life.

The Sudanese Foreign Ministry reported that Russia and Sudan have agreed on all the parameters of the agreement on the creation of a Russian naval base in Port Sudan. The topic has been discussed for several years, even preliminary agreements were concluded, but then, under pressure from the West, everything fell through and the negotiations continued. Now, according to statements, the courts have again been able to renegotiate and if there are no breakdowns, then the base in Port Sudan will be. In the long term, this will seriously expand the capabilities of the Russian Federation on the African continent, and also ensure a permanent presence in the area where key trade flows pass.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9666520.html.

Google Translator

******

Kremlin Readout of Putin’s Telephone Conversation with Trump | Trump’s Report of the Call on Truth Social | Zelensky’s Comments After Phone Call with Trump
February 12, 2025 natyliesb
Kremlin website, 2/12/25

The leaders discussed issues related to the prisoner exchange between Russia and the United States. The US President assured the President of Russia of the American side’s commitment to fulfill all the agreements reached.

The leaders also discussed a possible Ukraine settlement. Donald Trump spoke in favour of stopping the hostilities as soon as possible and solving the crisis peacefully. In turn, Vladimir Putin pointed out it was necessary to eliminate the root causes of the conflict and agreed with Donald Trump in that a sustainable settlement could only be reached via peaceful negotiations.

Additionally, the President of Russia expressed support for one of the US President’s key arguments, which was that it was time for both countries to work together.

The issues of Middle East settlement, Iran’s nuclear programme, and bilateral economic relations between Russia and the United States were also brought up during the conversation.

The President of Russia invited the US President to visit Moscow and expressed willingness to receive visiting officials from the United States to discuss topics of mutual interest, including a possible Ukraine settlement.

Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump agreed to maintain personal contact in the future, involving in particular in-person meetings.

***

Trump’s Post on Truth Social About His Phone Call with Putin

Via Elon Musk’s Tweet, 2/12/25

Image

***

Ukrainian President Zelensky’s Comments

Twitter, 2/12/25

I had a meaningful conversation with @POTUS. We long talked about opportunities to achieve peace, discussed our readiness to work together at the team level, and Ukraine’s technological capabilities—including drones and other advanced industries. I am grateful to President Trump for his interest in what we can accomplish together. We also spoke about my discussion with @SecScottBessent and the preparation of a new document on security, economic cooperation, and resource partnership. President Trump shared details of his conversation with Putin. No one wants peace more than Ukraine. Together with the U.S., we are charting our next steps to stop Russian aggression and ensure a lasting, reliable peace. As President Trump said, let’s get it done. We agreed to maintain further contact and plan upcoming meetings.

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/02/kre ... ith-trump/

*****

RUSSIA’S WAR AGAINST THE BALTIC PIRATES

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by John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

Playing pirates on the high seas was once a bankrupt king’s scheme, then an empire schoolboy’s game — first for the Portuguese, then the Dutch, then the British, and now the MAGA Americans.

From the Hollywood films he watched when he was in short pants, Donald Trump did not learn that the naval war the US waged from 1801 to 1805 against Yusuf Qaramanli, the Bey of Tripoli, and against his navy, the so-called Barbary pirates, ended in defeat for the US Navy — with the extra humiliation of US Navy ships captured and hostages taken.

Little Trump pretended that when he sang the Marines’ Hymn, he would be the “first to fight for right and freedom… From the Halls of Montezuma/To the shores of Tripoli… In the snow of far-off Northern lands/And in sunny tropic scenes.” Now that he’s in long pants, Trump is singing the song with slightly different geography – from the Halls of Panama to the shores of Gaza, and in the snow of far-off Canada and Greenland.

The sing-song idea is to prepare the Greenland shore for MAGA forays against the Russians moving eastward along their northern, Arctic shore; and with the Finns, Swedes, Norwegians and Danes to attack the Russians moving westward on the Baltic Sea to the Danish Straits. In MAGA strategy, this combination should stop the Russian oil and gas fleets from moving in either direction.

Unless the Russians fight back — and Trump retreats to sign a treaty of peace and amity. Just like Thomas Jefferson did with the Bey in 1805.

HOLLYWOOD ATTACKED THE BARBARY PIRATES (LIBYAN ARABS) FOUR TIMES, 1942-1950

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Top: left, Darryl Zanuck’s film of March 1942 was the first of Hollywood’s Libya films. It was followed in July 1947 from Universal Pictures by Slave Girl. Bottom: left, Barbary Pirate was released by Columbia Pictures in November 1949; right, Tripoli screened a year later, in November 1950, from Paramount Pictures. All but Barbary Pirate were popular at the box office. The principal Libyan Arab parts were played by German, Austrian or English actors. Read The Jackals’ Wedding, Ch.7.

THE US PLAN FOR THE NORTH FRONT TO STOP RUSSIAN EXPORTING OIL AND GAS EASTWARD

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Source: https://johnhelmer.net/

THE US PLAN TO STOP RUSSIAN OIL AND GAS MOVING WESTWARD
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“The narrow stretch of water between Denmark and Sweden at the mouth of the Baltic Sea is a key trade route for Russian oil heading by sea to markets around the world. Under a 165-year-old treaty signed in Copenhagen in 1857 all international vessels have the right to transit the straits but Denmark must make pilots available to help vessels navigate its many islands and sandbanks.The UN’s International Maritime Organisation “highly recommends” the use of pilots but it is not compulsory. Members of the Danish shipping industry fear that sanctions on Russian trade could lead to a rise in dangerous unpiloted vessels. ‘Failure to comply with the rules and recommendations of the IMO will not only pose an environmental risk to Danish territorial waters. It will also pose a risk to the safety of navigation and the crew members on board the ships,’ the Danish Maritime Authority said.” Source: https://www.ft.com/

On Tuesday, there appeared in Vzglyad an essay explaining what Russia’s options are in the Baltic and at the Danish Straits. Vzglyad is a government-financed internet publication in Moscow which publishes a variety of views and policy options in current debate by the ministry and security agencies represented in the Security Council. The writer is Gevorg Mirzayan, an associate professor at the University of Finance and research fellow of the US-Canada Studies Institute in Moscow. Click to read in Russian.

In translating this verbatim into English, illustrations, maps, captions, and URL references have been added to assist the reader. Mirzayan does not acknowledge nor dispute the accuracy of the English version of his text.

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Source: https://vz.ru/world/2025/2/11/1314082.html
February 11, 2025
How to protect Russian oil exports in the Baltic
By Gevorg Mirzayan

“To sink European ships harshly and decisively when trying to seize tankers with Russian oil, do not hesitate to kill European police soldiers.” Such recommendations are made by experts in the event that the countries of the Baltic region actually put into operation their plans for a naval blockade of Russian oil exports.

A new era of piracy may begin in the Baltic Sea. The European Union is going to proclaim it if the EU implements its intention to hunt down Russian oil – or rather, tankers carrying Russian oil. Ships sailing under various flags, carrying black gold and not subject to Western oil sanctions, including the so–called price ceiling.

The motives of the European pirates are simple and at the same time multifaceted. For example, some countries want to achieve a direct Russian-American conflict, or at least disrupt the US Administration’s plans for negotiations with Russia.

“Supporters of the continuation of the war, such as Poland and the Baltic states, want to achieve such a serious aggravation of Russian-American relations that the issue of a Ukrainian settlement will dematerialize by itself,” Dmitry Suslov, deputy director of the Center for Comprehensive European and International Studies at the National Research University Higher School of Economics, explains to Vzglyad. This is because this element of Europeans understands that Russian-American agreements can be reached without regard for Europe. After all, Poland, the Baltic states and a number of other European countries not only profit from the conflict, but they also increase their political leverage in the European Union through it.

“This story shows that the Europeans are even worse for us than the Americans. They are very afraid that Trump and Putin will find a common language. Escalation will seriously reduce any chances of reaching a consensus between Moscow and Washington,” Dmitry Ofitserov–Belsky, senior researcher at IMEMO RAN, explains to Vzglyad.

RUSSIAN NAVY FIRES ON BRITISH VESSELS AT THE DOGGER BANK, 1904
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On the night of October 21-22, 1904, a squadron of the Russian Baltic fleet, enroute to the Pacific, spotted what they thought were Japanese torpedo boats; in fact, they were British fishing trawlers. The location was the Dogger Bank of the North Sea, 350 kilometres west of the Danish Straits, 100 kms east of Hull on the English coast. At the time, the British and Japanese were warfighting allies against Russia – as they are now. There was thus reason for the Russian naval commanders to suspect the vessels of mining the Danish Straits to block transit for the Russian Navy. Two British fishermen died, six more were injured, one trawler was sunk, and five more boats were damaged.

To be sure, not all of Europe is categorically against peace. There are also those who advocate a settlement; that’s to say, a settlement from a position of force, compelling Russia to make serious concessions. Therefore, they are trying to adapt to Washington’s policy, and at the same time lead it in the direction they need.

“The Europeans realized that the main issue with which the United States will try to put pressure on Russia is the economy and the price of oil,” says Dmitry Suslov. And so Europe is trying to show Trump – he has repeatedly stated his readiness to force Russia into his vision of the world — that it has prepared in advance for him a powerful instrument of pressure on Moscow. According to the Estonian Foreign Ministry, up to 50% of Russian oil passes through the Baltic Sea.

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Left to right: Dmitry Suslov; Dmitry Ofitserov-Belsky; Igor Yushkov.

“The total volume of exports of petroleum products through the Baltic ports of Primorsk, Vysotsk, St. Petersburg and Ust-Luga in 2024 amounted to almost 62 million tonnes. We won’t be able to transfer all this to other ports. And if we are prevented from using the Baltic ports, we will have to reduce exports and production altogether,” Igor Yushkov explains to Vzglyad; he is an expert at the National Energy Security Foundation and a lecturer at the Financial University.



Thus, Europe is seeking the go-ahead, or even better, the participation of the United States in a de facto naval blockade – that is, the arrest and inspection of Russian ships in the Baltic.

“By doing so, the Europeans will also deepen the involvement of the United States in the Ukrainian story. They will make sure that the Trump Administration does not shift or even pursue the goal of shifting the further burden of maintaining Ukraine, including the issue of security guarantees, on to the Europeans. They want to force the United States to support the Europeans more, to listen to the Europeans more, to ensure the Europeans’ place at the negotiating table on settlement issues,” says Suslov.

The only question is how to create a legal basis for the inspection and blockade. Europe does not have legal and at the same time safe methods which do not provoke a direct military clash or even a major war. European security forces cannot detain Russian tankers in neutral waters, much less block their passage through the Danish Straits – this is prohibited by the Copenhagen Convention of 1857.

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For a CIA analysis of terms of 1857 straits treaty applied to the mid-1970s, read this: Source: https://www.cia.gov/

“At the moment these same Danes can perform a kind of manipulation in the event that a Russian ship is at anchor. But they can’t berth at European ports at all. So, attempts at interception [at sea] would be illegitimate,” Officer-Belsky reminds.

Theoretically, there are several options. For example, one can think about ecology. “The Copenhagen Convention of 1857 provides no right to stop or detain ships which pass through the Straits. However, at the same time, the Danes are committed to ensuring the safety of navigation, and this obligation can be interpreted very broadly; for example, by invoking environmental safety, and under this pretext, prohibiting the passage of old tankers through the straits,” says Yushkov.

But what does old mean? A tanker cannot go to sea without having the proper technical certificate certifying its full technical serviceability. And besides, this could be a blow to Europe itself. “If such a condition is imposed, what should we do with the old tankers that go through the straits to Gdansk in Poland or Rostock in Germany? If you look at what is currently in the Polish port, you will find out: There are much older tankers there than those that go to Russian ports,” adds Yushkov.

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For this Dutch legal analysis, click to read. For a Danish law firm’s paper advertising for sale its advice to shipping companies, maritime insurers, and NATO warfighters on how to evade the existing terms for Russian passage, read this.

Finally, according to Yushkov, Western countries may declare tankers carrying Russian oil as potential saboteurs who disrupt underwater communications. However, there are no precedents – a Western investigation has just shown that Russian tankers do not plough the bottom and do not deliberately tear up communications. For example, Norway recently released a ship with a Russian crew detained on such suspicion, without finding any evidence of criminal acts.

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Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com

In any case, further escalation will largely depend on Moscow’s possible response. Russia, on the other hand, has understandable limitations in protecting offshore oil exports. “These tankers often do not have Russian owners, they do not sail under the Russian flag, and sometimes even the crew is not Russian,” explains Ofitserov-Belsky. In addition, according to him, going straight to a military clash right after the ship was stopped, even if illegally, is a disproportionate response.

But it is also impossible not to answer. “If we don’t respond, it means that pressure can be exerted on us. We can experiment further, gradually increasing the pressure,” proposes Ofitserov-Belsky. Therefore, it is necessary, rather than to use force in defending oneself, but to apply tit for tat and mirror. A symmetrical response, according to the expert, could be a similar Russian inspection, for example, of Finnish ships.

However, other experts suggest that Russians should still defend themselves, despite all the legal restrictions. “We need to escort tankers with ships of the Baltic Fleet and, if necessary, use military force against the Europeans. Right now, [our line should be:] do not hesitate to harshly and decisively sink European ships when [they are] trying to seize tankers carrying Russian oil, and do not hesitate to kill European police officers and military personnel. And at the same time, strengthen nuclear deterrence and declare that in the event of retaliatory attacks by the Europeans on Russian military vessels, it will be possible to launch a nuclear strike on Europe,” Suslov declares.


Simply put, this is because the West has long understood only the language of force. The tactic Europe is trying to adopt is the slow strangulation of Russia’s offshore oil exports. If the alternative is a direct military clash, Europe will retreat.
NOTE: Much closer to the shores of Montezuma, Trump is launching state-directed piracy, known as privateering under letters of marque and reprisal provided in Article 1, Section 8 of the US Constitution. During the Biden Administration an attempt was made to transfer this authority to launch privateers from Congress to the President; the explicit target was Russian vessels at sea moving cargoes in violation of US sanctions. The bill failed to pass. A new bill with the same purpose has now been launched by tweet by Mike Lee, Republican senator from Utah. With or without a new statute, Trump may believe he can use executive orders to launch privateering ventures and then threaten targets wherever the investors in such schemes – following the Civil War and Spanish War precedents, and the CIA in Vietnam – believe there is lucrative profit to be made. If Trump’s friends, campaign donors, and members of his family turn out to be investors, Trump will be doing no more than Queen Elizabeth I and Captain Francis Drake once did in getting his cut.

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Source: https://www.breitbart.com

https://johnhelmer.net/russias-war-agai ... c-pirates/
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Fri Feb 14, 2025 3:24 pm

Fred Weir: No more Western haute couture? Russian designers say no problem.
February 13, 2025 natyliesb
By Fred Weir, Christian Science Monitor, 1/2/25

When Russia invaded Ukraine almost three years ago, sparking a storm of global outrage, most major foreign apparel brands withdrew from the Russian market.

That opened up a big opportunity for Russians like fashion designer Ksenia Knyazeva.

She had been toiling in the shadows of the big labels for a decade, and the West’s implementation of economic punishments upon Russia didn’t make things any easier. But Ms. Knyazeva, who designs her own line of women’s wear, has scrambled through the international maze created by sanctions in order to source materials; made deals with garment factories in Russia, China, and Turkey; and found innovative ways to promote her name to customers.

The past three years have seen unprecedented success for Ms. Knyazeva’s business, as Russian women turn to entrepreneurs like her to dress them in the style they’d become accustomed to. She’s opened up four retail outlets in that time and will soon be moving her company headquarters into an upscale Moscow office space.

It may seem counterintuitive. But the still-escalating blizzard of sanctions leveled against Russia in the wake of its invasion of Ukraine and the mostly effective responses of Russian policymakers and private entrepreneurs have not only failed to punish Russia but actually stimulated some sectors of its economy in ways that will probably endure long after the Ukraine war has ended.

The first thing Ms. Knyazeva tells a journalist visiting one of her Moscow shops is that she’s grateful to those Western companies, which moved into the Russian market in the 1990s, for bringing ideas and expertise that transformed the old Soviet culture of fashion indifference, inculcated modern business methods, set standards of quality, and educated Russian consumers.

“I didn’t wish for this situation, but I’m a Russian who feels patriotic,” she says. “When all those foreign firms departed, it opened up niches that previously seemed unreachable to us. Russian customers were looking for equivalent goods to the ones no longer available, and our task was to provide them.”

Western sanctions vs. Russian creativity

Ms. Knayzeva is a small player among the many Russian companies that rushed into the vacuum left behind by retailers like H&M, Adidas, and Chanel. But her success is emblematic of a wider process that, through shock and adaptation, transformed Russia’s already developed consumer economy from one dominated by international brands to a largely Russified one.

Wealthy Russians are still able to obtain high-fashion clothes, jewelry, and other luxury goods, albeit at much higher prices. But for customers on a budget, the disappearance of most Western brands they’d grown accustomed to seemed to threaten a return to the era of shortages and mediocre products that still lives in the memories of Russians over 40 years old. Russian government policies stabilized the economy, and entrepreneurs like Ms. Knyazeva stepped into the breach.

For most types of relatively low-tech consumer goods, Russian businesses have proved surprisingly adept at developing alternatives, rerouting their supply chains, and providing copycat products of similar quality, though often at higher prices. Over three years of war, that has occurred in most sectors, including cosmetics and toiletries, foodstuffs, furniture, home appliances, and software. Even Russian laptop computers have reportedly captured 4% of the market, though imports from China still dominate.

Other economic sectors are struggling to replace Western imports on forbidden lists. The Russian government promotes import substitution in a variety of ways, including by subsidizing innovation centers that focus on developing replacements for critical technologies and components. One study found that Russian industry has succeeded in meeting only a quarter of its needs in this way, leaving it reliant on expensive and circuitous methods of “parallel import” to obtain needed tools and parts.

But the architects of Western sanctions appear to have greatly underestimated the power and creativity of Russian market forces to withstand and even benefit from the sudden withdrawal of foreign corporations, says Oleg Buklemishev, an economist with Moscow State University.

Russia has long since thrown off the shackles of Soviet central planning, its consumer economy has been developing on market principles for decades, and the Kremlin has been working, with some success, to sanctions-proof the macroeconomy since 2014, when conflict with the West began to look irreversible.

It’s hard to guess how deeply sanctions have impacted Russia’s military industry, which is their main intended target. That’s mainly due to wartime secrecy and disinformation. But Mr. Buklemishev says war production lies outside any normal economic rules. “If they need something for the military, they will find a way to obtain or produce it,” he says. “Cost is no object.”

But in sophisticated civilian industries such as the energy sector, automobiles, and aircraft – where commercial viability is a must – substituting vital Western imports and expertise has proved slow, and bottlenecks have formed that may last for years. Russia’s domestic car industry has struggled to produce components such as airbags and power brakes, leaving it stuck serving the low end of the lucrative Russian auto market. Chinese companies have taken over assembly plants vacated by Western automakers, and those more upscale cars are increasingly visible on Russian roads.

In many cases, Russian businesses have been temporarily boosted by the opportunity to acquire the assets of departing Western firms at fire-sale prices. That windfall may have been worth as much as $40 billion, leading some commentators to liken it to the mass sell-off of former Soviet state assets following the collapse of the USSR that created a class of instant billionaires.

“Look at me”

But no such bonanza befell Ms. Knyazeva or most of the new Russian fashion entrepreneurs.

Inside the ‘Trump-quake’: What a week of furious activity means – and doesn’t

“I studied Western haute couture and dreamed of making clothing on that level, available to the average Russian woman at affordable prices,” she says. “That’s what I’m still working to do.”

Ms. Knyazeva says the departure of Western firms has been accompanied by mood change on the part of Russian consumers, who formerly preferred foreign products, which they assumed to be superior.

“I have a half-million followers on my YouTube channel, and I’ve received many comments from people who say they are offended that all those companies just left us. Even if they returned tomorrow, people might not want their products,” she says.

The attitude shift, at least in the realm of fashion, is potentially seismic, agrees Aliona Doletskaya, former editor of Vogue Russia and a major fashion influencer in the country.

“Look at me,” she says. “I love wearing and mixing Russian designers with overseas fashion, especially those who provide excellent quality and style.”

https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2025/02/fre ... o-problem/

(A sign of the times to be sure but who gives a flip about the over-priced costume the booj wear?)

*****

Will The EU Seize Russia’s “Shadow Fleet” In The Baltic?
Andrew Korybko
Feb 13, 2025

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A major incident at sea could instantly spark a New Cold War crisis that brings the Baltic front of this competition to the center of global attention.

Politico reported last week that some EU countries might seize Russia’s “shadow fleet” in the Baltic Sea on the pretext of complying with international piracy and environmental laws. They might also pass new national laws to legitimize this too. Finland’s seizure of one such ship last December on the pretext that it was involved in cutting an underwater cable allegedly inspired them to consider doing so regularly. The purpose would be to slash the Kremlin’s foreign revenue flow from sales of discounted oil to Asia.

Around 40% of its “shadow fleet” transits through the Baltic Sea, amounting to a little less than 350 vessels whose total business was roughly equivalent to around one-third of Russia’s annual defense budget, so stopping them from operating there could deal a powerful financial blow to the Kremlin. There are several challenges inherent in these plans which make them a lot more difficult to pull off than policymakers might think, however, and were touched upon in Politico’s report to their credit.

First of all, international law and third countries’ ownership of some “shadow fleet” vessels mean that hefty political and legal costs might follow the seizure of even a single ship, something that Finland is only just now discovering after December’s dramatic incident. These consequences might result in them rethinking the wisdom of seizing any more ships, especially if they can’t count on the EU as a whole to back them up, let alone NATO’s American leader.

The last-mentioned concern segues into the second point about the risk of escalation in the event that Russia dispatches naval convoys to escort its “shadow fleet” through the Baltic. The deputy chairman of Russia's parliamentary defense committee warned that “any attack on our carriers can be regarded as an attack on our territory, even if the ship is under a foreign flag.” Trump doesn’t favor escalation against Russia, at least at this time, so he might not extend Article 5 guarantees to allies that seize such vessels.

And finally, all of this might simply be too little, too late. Russia and the US have already begun backchannel talks on Ukraine so their proxy war might end by the time that the stereotypically sluggish EU finally decides whether or not to support the seizure of Russia’s “shadow fleet” in the Baltic. Moreover, this wasn’t hitherto seriously considered due to the two aforesaid reasons, which remain relevant. It’s therefore unlikely that the bloc will suddenly change its calculations.

The preceding points raise the question of why this is even being considered, which might be as simple as some EU countries like the ultra-hawkish Baltic States wanting to make it seem like they haven’t yet exhausted their policy options against Russia. The realization that there’s nothing left that they could realistically do to contain it might lead to deep demoralization since everything that they’ve already done hasn’t stopped Russia’s on-the-ground advance nor collapsed its economy like they expected.

The other two reasons might be even simpler in the sense that they could have also convinced themselves that just talking about this could deter Russia’s “shadow fleet” from operating in the Baltic and/or encourage Trump to escalate in Ukraine. Neither outcome is likely to materialize but that doesn’t mean that they still don’t sincerely believe that they’re possible. These political fantasies could quickly become dangerous, however, if any of the associated states tries to unilaterally bring them to fruition.

A major incident at sea could instantly spark a New Cold War crisis that brings the Baltic front of this competition to the center of global attention. If this occurs while Trump is still negotiating with Putin, then it’s extremely unlikely that he’d have the aggressor’s back against Russia since it would be obvious that this is a “deep state” provocation aimed at sabotaging a peace deal, but his approach could change if those talks collapse and he then decides to “escalate to de-escalate” on better terms for the US.

That could backfire though if Putin authorizes the navy to defend his “shadow fleet” as a reciprocal escalation following the precedent that he established last November. Back then, he authorized the first-ever use of the hypersonic Oreshniks in response to Ukraine using long-range Western missiles against targets within Russia’s pre-2014 borders, which signaled that the days of him backing down are over. He used to exercise self-restraint to avoid World War III but that only inadvertently invited more aggression.

Putin is therefore expected to strongly respond to the scenario of European countries seizing his “shadow fleet” in the Baltic, which could lead to a Cuban-like brinksmanship crisis that might easily spiral out of control. Trump doesn’t appear willing to risk World War III over slashing the Kremlin’s foreign revenue flow so he’d probably either decline to approve such a provocation or would abandon whichever ally unilaterally carries it out in defiance of his warnings not to.

Reflecting on all the insight that was shared in this analysis, Russia’s “shadow fleet” shouldn’t have anything to worry about since the odds of European countries systematically seizing its vessels are low, though some of them might still try to capture a few ships on spurious pretexts like last December’s. As long as this is extraordinarily rare, then Russia might not escalate just like how it didn’t less than two months ago, but any ramping up of that policy would almost certainly engender a strong response.

https://korybko.substack.com/p/will-the ... ias-shadow

*******

The Next NATO-Russia Proxy War Could Be in a Country You’ve Never Heard Of
By Max Parry - February 11, 2025 0

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[Source: voicefromrussia.ch]

Referred to locally as Pridnestrovie, Transnistria sought to secede from Moldova even before the end of the Soviet Union in response to a rise of nationalism and Chișinău’s threats to unify with Romania. Under Soviet Moldova, Romanian irredentism had been largely suppressed before Mikhail Gorbachev’s reform policies of glasnost (“openness”) and perestroika (“restructuring”) in the 1980s opened the door for a revival of ethno-nationalism as the USSR disintegrated.

Romanian nationalists believe Moldovan identity is an artificial nationality created by the Bolsheviks, and that Romanians and Moldovans comprise a single ethnic group, an ethnolinguistic controversy still in dispute.

On top of that, the break-up of the Soviet Union left millions within the Russian diaspora trapped inside the borders of newly sovereign states, including Moldova. After an unsuccessful attempt by Chișinău to impose a resolution on the PMR with military force, the self-declared mini-state came under the protection of Russian peacekeeping forces where it remains to this day. An industrial hub, Transnistria is also home to the biggest ammunition depot in Europe, one of many reasons for its geo-strategic importance.

In order to fully understand such a conundrum, it is necessary to revisit some of Moldova’s history. In the early 19th century, Imperial Russia fought one of several wars with the Ottoman Empire and Alexander I seized the principality of Moldavia from the Turks, renaming the region Bessarabia. A century later, the Russian Revolution and ensuing Civil War resulted in the loss of many one-time Tsarist border regions, including the mostly Romanian-speaking Bessarabia, which was annexed by the Kingdom of Romania.

Meanwhile, the contiguous sliver of land following the Dniester River called Transnistria (“beyond the Dniester“) fell under the control of the Soviet Union which was established from the ruins of Tsardom. Vladimir Lenin referred to the Russian Empire as the “prison house of nations” with regard to its heterogenous demography and formulated a state-sponsored nationalities program that would grant “autonomisation” to regions with mixed populations.

During the inter-war period, the Bolsheviks redrew an autonomous Moldavian republic within Soviet Ukraine in the hope that statehood would make Moldova, then mostly ethnically Ukrainian, more sympathetic to communism as part of the nationalities policy. The USSR later regained Bessarabia from the Romanian monarchy through the signing of the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact with Nazi Germany in 1939, the controversial territorial divisions of which laid the foundations for the current strife.

While some areas of Bessarabia were incorporated into Soviet Ukraine, the Transnistria strip and remainder of the historical region merged to form the Moldavian Soviet Republic. This was interrupted by World War II when the Kingdom of Romania under dictator Ion Antonescu became a fascist puppet state and invaded the USSR with the Germans in 1941, occupying Moldova and carrying out genocide against Jews, Roma and other minorities until its liberation by the Red Army.

During the Axis occupation, Transnistria was used as a site for mass killings and deportations which greatly altered its demographic make-up into a diverse precinct. In the post-war years, Romanian speakers were encouraged by the Soviets to write in Cyrillic script (which already had been used pre-revolution) and Russian became a second official language. For decades, Soviet Moldova and its intermingled communities cohabitated peacefully until Gorbachev’s counter-revolutionary policies in the 1980s reignited nationalist fervor and ultimately led to the breakdown of the USSR.

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Adolf Hitler greeting Ion Antonescu in Munich, Germany, in 1941. [Source: foreignpolicy.com]

Upon Moldova’s independence in 1991, Chișinău removed Russian as a co-official language and reinstated the Latin alphabet, infuriating Russophone minorities, especially in Transnistria and the Turkic-Christian province of Gagauzia. Strained relations with Tiraspol only worsened with the nationalist calls for reunification between Romania and Moldova.

Without recognizing the cessation of the USSR, Transnistria then declared its own independence (the PMR technically considers itself a Soviet republic and is the only remaining state to fly the hammer and sickle). After several months of fighting between the separatists and pro-Moldovan forces, the Russian army came to Tiraspol’s aide and a truce was brokered.

For more than 30 years, the ethno-territorial conflict has been at an impasse, but Ukraine’s move to halt the flow of fossil fuels from Russia to Europe could revive the bloodshed that transpired in the early 1990s if Transnistria is left freezing in the dark.

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The flag of Transnistria flying from a tank. [Source: oryxspioenkop.com]

In the early 2000s, a political solution was nearly reached in Tiraspol when a Russophilic Communist Party came to power in Moldova, the first nominally Marxist-Leninist government to be elected in a post-Soviet state (which nearly happened in Russia in 1996 before the West intervened). Unfortunately, President Vladimir Voronin tried to play both sides over the Transnistria question and Washington scuttled a proposed settlement that would have led to the withdrawal of Russian peacekeepers.

In the end, Chișinău’s cultivation of closer ties with the West backfired in Voronin’s ouster during 2009’s so-called Grape Revolution, a U.S.-orchestrated color revolution nicknamed in reference to the country’s large wine industry. Also known as the Twitter Revolution, the then-nascent social network was already being used by CIA cutouts and soft power NGOs to engineer regime change.

Portrayed externally as a pro-democracy protest movement, Romanian nationalists also played a key role in the demonstrations. Rallying behind slogans like “Moldova is the cradle of Romanian civilization,” nationalists turned out in droves to riot against communist revisions to history books taught in Moldovan schools acknowledging Romanian-Nazi collaboration.

Voronin’s anti-communist challenger and de facto opposition leader, Mihai Gimpu, was an admirer of Ion Antonescu and notably referred to the country’s Turkic-Orthodox Gagauzian community (who also have sought independence) as an “ulcer on the body of the Moldovan people.” Since the overthrow of the Communist Party, Moldova has since been pulled closer into the Western sphere of influence while the Transnistria question endures.

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U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld with Moldovan President Vladimir Voronin in Chișinău, 2004. [Source: wikipedia.org]

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Riots during Moldova’s Grape Revolution in 2009. [Source: wired.com]

Far from an anomaly, the West’s encouragement of ethno-nationalism behind the Iron Curtain led to similar wars of secession throughout the USSR as it dissolved. (Even in a country that was non-aligned throughout the Cold War like the former Yugoslavia, the strategy was also implemented.) In the North Caucasus, a violent jihadist uprising was waged by Islamist Chechen separatists against Russia, resulting in two bloody campaigns until a compromise was finally reached under Vladimir Putin (in hindsight, it has become apparent the CIA covertly supported the terrorist insurgency in southern Russia).

In the South Caucasus, internecine warfare broke out in Artsakh over the predominantly Armenian-populated highlands of Nagorno-Karabakh between Armenia and Azerbaijan, an unending inter-ethnic conflict that flared up as recently as 2020. Meanwhile in Georgia, Moscow drew Western condemnation when it intervened to defend the self-governing republics of Abkhazia and South Ossetia from an assault by Tbilisi on the contested border provinces safeguarded by Russian peacekeepers. Even though an EU inquiry found that the 2008 Russo-Georgian war was started by Tbilisi’s artillery shelling of Ossetian civilians, the Kremlin was still scapegoated for the five-day battle.

Subsequently voted out of office and facing numerous charges at home, Georgia’s Columbia University-educated ex-President, Mikheil Saakashvili, spent time living abroad as a Brooklyn hipster before resurfacing in Ukraine when President Petro Poroshenko appointed him governor of Odesa Oblast.

A confectionary tycoon known as the “Chocolate King” and one of Ukraine’s wealthiest men, Poroshenko took power not long after the Western-backed Maidan coup in 2014. The Banderite junta in Kyiv provoked unrest in the Russian-speaking portions of the country, including Crimea in the south and the eastern Donbas region. While the former was able to successfully reintegrate with the Motherland in a referendum, the Novorussian republics of Donetsk and Lugansk were forced to take up arms in pursuit of their right to self-determination. After eight long years of bombing by the Ukrainian army, Moscow finally stepped in to help the confederation when it launched its special military operation (SMO) in 2022. The same critical juncture could soon be reached in Transnistria if the looming humanitarian crisis worsens.

In the lead-up to the gas discontinuation, there has been shameless Western meddling in recent elections held in both Romania and Moldova to preserve the anti-Russian bloc in Europe, already showing cracks with Slovakia and Hungary. Although public support for unification with Romania has diminished, the possibility of EU integration remains on the table for Moldova and would set the course for Romanianization.

This past November, Chișinău held a presidential election and constitutional referendum on EU accession in which hundreds of polling stations were opened across Western Europe for Moldovan citizens living abroad, while only two polling locations were permitted in Russia (which is home to a Moldovan diaspora of nearly half a million people). Unsurprisingly, the results of the rigged contest backed EU membership, while the pro-Western incumbent, President Maia Sandu, was victorious over her Euroskeptic opponent, Alexandr Stoianoglo. During the Ukraine war, Sandu’s regime has enacted a series of anti-Russian policies, including the banning of the public display of the Ribbon of St. George and other Soviet-era symbols representing the Great Patriotic War.


Moldovan communists protesting the banning of the St. George’s Ribbon. [Source: peoplesdispatch.org]
In Romania, the Western interference was even more brazen. After conservative populist Călin Georgescu won the first round of the country’s presidential election in November, Romania’s high court illegally vacated the results and canceled the second-round runoff to prevent the anti-EU frontrunner from achieving victory.

A vocal critic of U.S. military presence in Romania which is a launching pad for NATO aggression toward Russia, Georgescu’s surprise win was annulled in a constitutional coup. In fact, no voter fraud is even alleged to have occurred, as the stated reason for the top court’s ruling was that the democratic process was impacted by an unproven Russian influence operation.

In other words, the electorate did not cast their votes the way they were supposed to. The outsider Georgescu finished three percentage points ahead of his pro-EU rivals, the Brussels-favored candidate, Elena Lasconi, of the Save Romania Union, and the current Prime Minister, Marcel Ciolacu of the Social Democratic Party, a ruling faction synonymous with graft.

The 2019 Oscar-nominated documentary Collective, in which a team of journalists investigating a deadly nightclub fire discover massive health care fraud leading to the resignation of former Prime Minister Victor Ponta, is a shocking exposé of Romania’s rank corruption. Outgoing U.S. President Joe Biden’s son, Hunter, is even reported to have accepted bribes from a Romanian oligarch in an influence-peddling scheme. Since the fall of Nicolae Ceaușescu, Romania has been economically and politically circling the drain, as have most of the erstwhile socialist countries of Eastern Europe.

Unchecked malfeasance in Moldova is nearly as widespread. With Brussels and Washington’s leadership preferences imposed on Chișinău, the Moldovan economy is lining the pockets of foreign investors as the country is turned into an imperialist proxy. A 2019 report entitled “Overextending and Unbalancing Russia” by the Pentagon-funded RAND Corporation, one of the most influential think tanks in the U.S., unambiguously lists “flipping Transnistria and expelling Russian troops from the region” as an objective.

The contingent of Russian peacekeepers are also sitting ducks in the territory sandwiched between Moldova and Ukraine, since Russia has no coterminous access to the area. Given other developments in recent years that also appear in the policy paper, including “providing lethal aid to Ukraine” and “increasing support to the Syrian rebels,” the likelihood of Transnistria becoming the next flashpoint in the New Cold War is strong.

Donald Trump campaigned pledging to negotiate an end to the Ukraine conflict, but recent statements made by National Security Adviser Mike Waltz suggesting Kyiv lower its conscription age to 18, are an ominous sign. Only time will tell if the 47th president is true to his word.

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Russian President Vladimir Putin with ex-KGB General Filipp Bobkov at the 2012 Victory Day parade. [Source: wikipedia.org]

One of the most unforgettable moments in Oliver Stone’s 2017 documentary series The Putin Interviews was when the Hollywood filmmaker happens upon former Soviet Premier Mikhail Gorbachev while accompanying Vladimir Putin to the annual Victory Day celebrations in Moscow. Stone noticed Gorbachev in attendance at the ceremony in Red Square commemorating the 71st anniversary of the defeat of Nazi Germany, but Putin gave him the cold shoulder.

While he claimed to have overlooked the ex-Soviet president’s presence in the crowd, Putin’s snub was indicative of the treasonous legacy Gorbachev left behind, as surveys of the Russian people consistently rank him the least popular of all its former leaders.

Fewer than six months after the SMO began in Ukraine in 2022, Gorbachev died at the age of 91. His centrifugal reforms of the 1980s not only paved the way for his successor Boris Yeltsin’s hyper-capitalist privatization program, but dismantled the ethnic federalism that held the USSR and its myriad nationalities together.

Unfortunately, as the head of the capitalist state that emerged from the ashes of the Soviet Union, it is doubtful Putin will be able to fully resolve the national conflicts plaguing Russia’s near abroad. Only the return of a political struggle that unifies multinational peoples on a revolutionary basis can the forces of empire tearing them apart truly be overcome.

https://covertactionmagazine.com/2025/0 ... -heard-of/

*****

The number of Jews in Russia is growing
February 13, 21:11

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Many people may find themselves in a severe identity conflict.

The Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs informs on its Russian-language Telegram channel that an Israeli citizen who also holds Russian citizenship (regardless of whether he or she holds such citizenship and a Russian passport or merely has the right to Russian citizenship in accordance with Russian law) and who enters, resides, or will reside in the territory of the Russian Federation is subject to Russian laws and regulations, including decisions on conscription of citizens into the Russian army, as well as requirements for entry into and exit from the country.

According to local law, an Israeli citizen who holds Russian citizenship (even if he or she has never held a Russian passport) must enter and exit the Russian Federation using a Russian passport.

Thus, an Israeli citizen who has Russian citizenship and does not have a valid Russian passport will most likely be allowed to enter Russia, but his departure from the country may be delayed for the period required by local law to confirm his citizenship and issue a valid Russian travel document, and he will not be able to leave Russia until he receives a Russian travel document (internal and foreign passports), a process that can take many months.

Israeli citizens who may have Russian citizenship are advised to take this information into account, check and settle citizenship issues BEFORE arriving in Russia.

Meanwhile, the number of Jews living in the Russian Federation has increased since the beginning of the "special military operation", including all those who left Russia after the escalation in Ukraine began, have returned. This was previously stated by the President of the Federation of Jewish Communities of Russia (FJCR), General Director of the Jewish Museum and Tolerance Center, Rabbi Alexander Boroda at a press conference dedicated to the 80th anniversary of the liberation of Auschwitz.

The head of the FEOR reported on the growth in the number of Jews, noting that "many people leave to obtain Israeli citizenship, and then return to Russia."
"There was some activity in leaving for Israel with the beginning of the Second World War, but a short period of time passed, and those who left, in fact, all returned. Then there were the events associated with October 7, with the open war with Hamas, and I would say that even more Jews came to Russia than left since the beginning of the Second World War ," Boroda explained.

https://bb.lv/statja/v-mire/2025/02/13/ ... -armiiu-rf - zinc

Oy vey. And they said that the best people of THIS country are leaving for their historical homeland...
They traded Haifa and Tel Aviv for Moscow and St. Petersburg.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9668668.html

Google Translator
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Sat Feb 15, 2025 6:25 pm

THE CONTRADICTIONS AND CERTAINTIES IN THE TRUMP-PUTIN NEGOTIATIONS ARE SIMPLE ENOUGH FOR A 4-YEAR OLD CHILD TO UNDERSTAND AND SAY ALOUD

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by John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

On arriving at the White House, it’s the first rule of American politics for the new president to overestimate his power, and for his staff and appointees to confer that exaggeration upon themselves.

The second rule for these novices and freshmen is to declare as much of this power as possible in public, and as quickly as they can. Their aim is to steal a march on their rivals within the new administration; box the Congress into a corner; and create faits accomplis to prevent the courts from injuncting and reversing. Also, believing the President of the United States to be next to God, he and his appointees enjoy the feeling of divinity, walking on water, tossing their rivals into hell, anticipating heavenly rewards on earth, etc. These rules are so simple, a child of four years old can understand and say them aloud; he has. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7IjjJGFCVfI

Equally simple is the rule of the court and camp followers, the press first of all. Their aim is to truckle and ingratiate themselves with the new power, propagandizing the new exaggeration in exchange for patronage. This is a cold cash nexus.

In the present exaggeration of the warmaking and peacemaking between the US and Russia, this cash nexus is as obvious on the Russian side as it is on the American. It is the reason President Donald Trump and President Vladimir Putin have appointed special emissaries so that the money on one side can negotiate with the money on the other side; this is what Steven Witkoff, a real estate speculator, and Kirill Dmitriev, head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF), are doing now.

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Left, Steven Witkoff; right, Kirill Dmitiriev; for more on Dmitriev, read the backfile.

One of the certainties of the deal-making they have commenced is that they intend the payoffs to be larger than the privatization and loans-for-shares schemes which, with White House backing, launched the Russian oligarchy thirty years ago.

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https://johnhelmer.net/wp-content/webpc ... &nocache=1

For an outline of the Witkoff-Dmitriev deals, read this. https://johnhelmer.net/the-oligarchs-pi ... oligarchs/

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Media camp followers of Trump, Putin and the oligarchs, left to right, Nima Alkhorshid with Gilbert Doctorow, Larry Johnson with Andrew Napolitano.

The US Secretary of Defense, Peter Hegsteth, was not included in the list President Trump announced on February 12, following his telephone conversation with President Putin, “to lead the negotiations which, I feel strongly, will be successful.” But hours before their conversation, Hegsteth announced that he accepts that the return to Ukraine of Russian Crimea and the four regions of Novorossiya – Donetsk, Lugansk, Zaporozhye, and Kherson — will not be negotiated because it is an “unrealistic objective. Chasing this illusionary goal will only prolong the war”.

Hegsteth added that in negotiating security guarantees for the new Ukrainian border and demilitarized zone, he is ruling out US troops, identifying instead “capable European and non-European troops” who would not be under NATO orders or covered by the NATO treaty’s mutual defence Article Five. This implied that the rump Ukraine the US negotiators anticipate would also not receive NATO status or NATO security guarantees.

Within hours Hegsteth was contradicted by John Coale, a lawyer for Trump in the past and the president’s appointee as deputy special envoy for Ukraine. Coale called Reuters for interview in Germany in order to announce that he “had not ruled out potential NATO membership for Ukraine or a negotiated return to its pre-2014 borders. ‘Right now, that is still on the table’”.

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Source: https://www.reuters.com/

Hegsteth then contradicted himself in a single speech. Speaking in Warsaw beside the Polish Defense Minister, Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz, Hegsteth said “our message is so stark to our European allies — now is the time to invest because you can’t make an assumption that America’s presence will last forever.” Hegsteth went on: “The invitation we receive here, if anything, would make me want to have more troops to Poland — that’s not a policy statement, that’s just how I feel.”

The next day in Munich, Vice President J D Vance appeared to contradict both Coale and Hegsteth, downplaying the security threat from Russia for Germany, Poland and the rest of Europe. “The threat that I worry the most about vis-à-vis Europe is not Russia, it’s not China, it’s not any other external actor… To many of us on the other side of the Atlantic, it looks more and more like old entrenched interests hiding behind ugly Soviet-era words like ‘misinformation’ and ‘disinformation’…What has seemed a little bit less clear to me, and certainly I think to many of the citizens of Europe, is what exactly it is that you’re defending yourselves for.”

Two of the US negotiators on which Trump agreed with Putin were also at the Munich Security Conference with Hegsteth and Coale – Secretary of State Marco Rubio and National Security Advisor Michael Waltz. It is Waltz’s National Security Council (NSC) which in standard White House practice reviews in advance and coordinates public statements like those of Hegsteth and Coale. But this has not happened.

Rubio was publicly silent in Munich, upstaged by Vance who also took charge of the bilateral meeting with Vladimir Zelensky and a Ukrainian delegation.

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At right, Vice President Vance speaking to the press, Secretary of State Rubio silent on his right. Source: https://www.youtube.com/

Sitting on Vance’s left was General Keith Kellogg, Coale’s nominal superior as White House envoy for negotiations with the Ukrainians; Coale was not present.

Waltz was not with Rubio and Vance in the Zelensky meeting. Before leaving Washington for Germany, Waltz had announced the “underlying principle here is that the Europeans have to own this [Ukraine] conflict going forward. President Trump is going to end it. And then in terms of security guarantees, that is squarely going to be with the Europeans.” Regarding US aid to the Ukraine, he added: “We need to recoup those costs. And that is going to be a partnership with the Ukrainians, in terms of their rare earths, their natural resources, and their oil and gas, and also buying ours. Those conversations are going to happen this week.”

On the Russian side, there is caution in interpreting what Trump and his officials are claiming for their end-of-war terms. Former President Dmitry Medvedev, now a spokesman on the Security Council for the Russian military, has issued no statement on his Telegram account. Instead, he told the Russian press: “The presidents of Russia and the US have talked at last. This is very important in and of itself…in our small, controversial but highly interdependent world there can be no chief country or planetary ruler. This is a lesson that must be learned by the arrogant American elites and the so-called deep state (US bureaucracy). They need to understand that contacts and consultations are much more valuable than chest-thumping and the desire to see the strategic defeat of a country like Russia. That would be a very dangerous thing anyway because it is impossible to bring us to our knees. The quicker our adversaries realize this, the better.”

None of the officials and experts reported by RT, the state press platform, was optimistic. “I believe we’re still far from any breakthroughs,” said the Vice Speaker of the Federation Council, Konstantin Kosachev, a former Foreign Ministry advisor. “It’s crucial to not jump to conclusions”, responded one academic expert. “There is hope that the dialogue initiated by both sides might help Russia achieve the goals of the military operation,” commented another. “However, the ultimate outcome will also depend on the situation on the battlefield.”


Dmitry Rogozin, the senator for Zaporozhye and a combatant, was sceptical of the Americans’ meaning and intention. “The United States has proved under Trump that it is the undisputed leader of the entire Western world. When they want, they start a war in Europe, and when they want, they stop fighting it, having received all the bonuses from it: a huge increase in military revenues, testing their weapons in battle with the strongest enemy, expanding NATO at the expense of neutral countries, imposing their liquefied gas supplies on Europeans, and finally, starting with the first Maidan pitting Ukrainians against Russians.”

“The Europeans are the main loser. By handing over a significant part of their sovereignty to unknown pederasts from the European Commission, European countries have committed an unforgivable mistake of historical proportions. Russian Russians will never forget German tanks with crosses on Russian fields and another Napoleon [Emmanuel Macron] with an elderly Josephine [Brigitte Macron/Jean-Michel Trogneux], who sent French legionnaires and French weapons to kill Russians on Russian soil. We will never forget or forgive you. Every war ends in peace. And the main question is how perfect this world will be — how strong and durable. And in this regard, I will express my opinion: as long as the evil herd of Bandera ghouls graze on our western borders, who have tasted and drunk Russian blood, we will have no peace. Until we finish, we will not cut out this Bandera metastasis from the Slavic body — the threat of an imminent big war, inspired by the unfinished Ukrainian Russophobes and their Anglo-Saxon patrons, will hang over our heads.”

The only contradiction in the Russian positions being aired is between the Russians in Moscow and pro-Putin American podcasters who have been celebrating a breakthrough which no Russian acknowledges.

“Vance’s speech was brilliant, very well composed and delivered,” claimed Gilbert Doctorow. “The man has to be the very best Vice President of the United States since the days of the Founding Fathers…I think we can be very happy that a constellation of people with, I say, superior experience, superior intelligence, and the ability to have the president’s ear have done what they have done in the last day, because it gives us hope that we are finally seeing the light at the end of this long tunnel of the Biden years.”

Doctorow also defended the oligarch deal-making. “The people who have spoken about the oligarchs that Trump surrounds himself with, these plutocrats, as if money is the only factor they have going for them, they’re intentionally defaming people who succeed, and people who have experience that is rare. Mr. Witkoff was a businessman, but an international level businessman.”

There are two certainties Russian sources in Moscow are not ready to acknowledge publicly.

The first is that they do not detect in the US statements to date the readiness of the US to negotiate for withdrawal of US forces and nuclear missile bases from Poland, Romania, Germany and the Baltic states, or agree on the terms of the NATO rollback proposed by the Russian Foreign Ministry’s non-aggression pacts of December 17, 2021.


The second Russian certainty is that Trump and his men are intent on escalating their war against China. That is the priority of Trump’s newly appointed Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, Elbridge Colby. He served at the Pentagon during Trump’s first term; he is now reported to be the brains behind Hegsteth and “the main strategist in US President Donald Trump’s administration.”

Colby reportedly believes “first, China is the ultimate threat to the US. China is an urgent
threat, as it is outpacing the US in many key indicators and is clearly preparing for a global war. China could win such a war against the US, whereas other countries couldn’t. Second, Colby believes the US is overstretched strategically and militarily. The US has overpromised security in many places and does not have the capacity to deliver on all its commitments. So it must prioritise. Almost everything the US will do strategically and militarily must be aimed at countering China and deterring it from launching a kinetic war… We can expect the Trump administration to focus on deterring China from taking hostile action against Taiwan. So that is where smaller central and eastern European allies should look to help. They can provide direct political support. They could put particular effort into training Taiwanese troops on US soil, and they could build many thousands of drones for a US strategy of turning the Taiwan Strait into a hellscape for a Chinese invasion force.”

Colby is the grandson of William Colby, the career Russia and China hater and CIA Director between 1973 and 1976. The new Colby is named after the old Colby’s father, a US Army officer and professor.

Privately, sources in Moscow express concern that Putin’s oligarch deal-making with Trump — and the enthusiasm for this which the pro-Putin US podcasters are displaying — may already have aroused Chinese suspicion of a betrayal of the strategic relationship with President Xi Jinping.

According to one military source, “How do the American [podcasters] arrive at the conclusion that the US will pull forces out of the EU while remaining in NATO to provide a nuclear umbrella the Europeans don’t need – France and the UK have the bombs, warheads and delivery systems. It’s obvious the podcasters don’t understand what the American military presence in Europe is all about. As if this so-called peace they are salivating over already isn’t just the prelude to a much larger, and by magnitudes much uglier war.”

A Moscow political source: “Xi has seen Putin’s inability to rein in the Central Bank and the oligarchs. He has seen how vulnerable Putin has made Russia. As a result he has placed no big bets on Moscow. Putin therefore can’t betray him because Xi has anticipated precisely this. Let’s say the relationship is not unlike that of Iran with Russia. Sometime, perhaps, maybe. Xi will watch but he will do nothing to hurt Putin because he has done nothing to help Putin.”

https://johnhelmer.net/the-contradictio ... say-aloud/

*******

Order bas-reliefs "Kalashnikov"
February 14, 22:56

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The fifth "Order" bas-relief was installed on the Kalashnikov

At JSC Concern Kalashnikov, a bas-relief of the Order "For Valiant Labor" was installed on the territory of the enterprise, which the plant's team was awarded by the Decree of the President of Russia Vladimir Putin in 2024 for outstanding services in strengthening and developing the economic, scientific and defense potential of the Russian Federation.

It became the fifth in a series of bas-relief state awards presented to the enterprise in different years. Previously, the defense plant was awarded the Order of Lenin (1942), the Red Banner (1944), the Red Banner of Labor (1957) and the October Revolution (1970).

The bas-reliefs of the orders remind the plant workers of the significant past of the enterprise, evoke pride in today's selfless work and inspire the team to new achievements for the sake of the future of the country.

https://t.me/kalashnikovnews/3307 - zinc

We must strive to achieve the production volumes of the times when the Order of Lenin and the Order of the October Revolution were received.
Since the beginning of the SVO, the production volumes of Kalashnikov have grown significantly, but as they say, there is no limit to perfection.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9671107.html

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"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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Re: Russia today

Post by blindpig » Wed Feb 19, 2025 5:03 pm

TRUMP TRIES GRANDSTANDING IN RIYADH – RUBIO STEPS DOWN

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by John Helmer, Moscow @bears_with

It was obvious from the slow descent of US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, stepping down the stairs from his aircraft, watching his shoes until they hit the ground in Riyadh, that the US side in Tuesday’s talks lacked a confident mandate from the White House for negotiations with the Russians.

Rubio was there – inexperienced and nervous, as Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov exposed over the four and a half hours of their meeting – to arrange a grandstand display by President Donald Trump at the summit meeting he wants with President Vladimir Putin. No more, no less.

Rubio ended up with less. To the uncomprehending Trump, speaking at his own press conference in Florida fifteen hours later, Rubio and National Security Advisor Michael Waltz are unable to explain.

Before leaving Moscow for Riyadh, Lavrov pointed out to Tass “that the meeting had been initiated by Washington and Russian officials would like to hear what US officials had to say. According to Lavrov, the Russian and US negotiating teams will brief their respective presidents on the outcome of the Riyahd meeting, and Putin and Trump will decide on further steps.”

Lavrov meant that the Americans were coming to the meeting with no agenda except for what Trump and Putin had said during their telephone call of February 12, and no agreement among the Americans themselves on what to say to the Russians behind closed doors.

“We didn’t just listen”, Lavrov said in briefing the Russian press after the meeting, “but we also heard each other…This does not necessarily mean a convergence of positions.” The official transcript of Lavrov’s brief press conference has been published by the Foreign Ministry here.

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Russian Foreign Ministry publication: https://mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1998294/

Foreign Minister Lavrov is rarely as grim-faced in public as this. The last time was his briefing of the Russian press in Doha on December 7, when he was attempting to explain the advance of Turkish-led forces against the Damascus government of Bashar al-Assad. Click to watch: https://mid.ru/
For analysis, click.

In the US press conference at the same time, Rubio announced “President Trump has shifted the entire global conversation from not if the war is going to end but just how it’s going to end. And only President Trump can do that… The first is the only leader in the world who can make this happen, who can even bring people together to begin to talk about it in a serious way, is President Trump. He’s the only one in the world who can do that right now.”

The three points of agreement which Lavrov and Rubio read from notes are technical preliminaries. These are aimed, Lavrov said, “to put an end once and for all to end these inconveniences that really complicate the development of everyday normal relations.”

The points agreed are the appointment of ambassadors in Washington and Moscow; removal of restrictions the US has imposed on Russian diplomatic operations in the US, including at the United Nations in New York; and the expansion of the bilateral agenda for talks to come. These were undertakings to continue talking – there was no agreement on more because the US side came unprepared for more.

Rubio had acknowledged as much several days earlier. “If in fact there is going to be an opportunity here to pursue peace by engaging with the Russians,” he told CBS, “we’re going to need to have functional embassies in Moscow and in Washington, D.C., and that’s certainly something foreign ministers would talk about as a matter of normal course…nothing’s been finalized yet. I was scheduled to be in Saudi Arabia anyways. We announced that trip a week ago, a week and a half ago.”

In briefing another US media network after the talks in Riyadh, Rubio repeated there had been no negotiation, no agreement on the war. “We’re not going to pre-negotiate it,” Rubio said, “nor an end to this conflict. These are the kinds of things that have to happen through hard and difficult diplomacy in closed rooms over a period of time.”

Lavrov was equally cautious. “Do you consider today’s negotiations successful?” he was asked. “I think they are positive.” He meant that the US has accepted a process for negotiations. It has agreed nothing – not even a date for the summit meeting Trump wants for himself.

“QUESTION: Did you set a date for the two presidents to meet at this meeting? When can we expect that meeting? NATIONAL SECURITY ADVISOR WALTZ: We did not. We did not set that date. But the two presidents talked about meeting and expect to meet.”

Lavrov said more — Trump would not be getting his grandstand soon with Putin.

Instead, Lavrov said, “the foreign ministers, the national security advisors were tasked with meeting and seeing what needs to be done before the presidents can begin to negotiate a specific date and date for the summit.” The key term Lavrov emphasized for Trump’s men was “before” – перед тем — that’s process before PR.

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Asked by a British reporter to comment on how the talks in Riyadh had gone, and if he was more or less confident, Trump said: “Well, much more confident. They were very good. Russia wants to do something. They want to stop the savage barbarianism”. He then repeated campaign slogans, avoiding the reports of the Riyadh talks as if he didn’t remember them. Later, asked if he would remove US forces from Europe, Trump said: “Nobody has asked me to do that so I don’t think we’d have to do that. I wouldn’t want to do that. That question has never really come up.” Trump appeared not to know that last week his Defense Secretary, Peter Hegseth, had warned of US troop withdrawals and explicitly ruled out US troop participation in a Ukrainian peacekeeping settlement. Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LsknETdEBFg

In Riyadh, Lavrov also revealed a split on the US side. He told Russian reporters that he had asked Rubio and Waltz what end-of-war settlement plan Trump’s emissary on Ukraine, General Keith Kellogg, had been discussing in Munich last week with Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski, according to Sikorsi’s public disclosure and the video record. “I asked US Secretary of State Rubio and Waltz what it means. They said it was a fake.”

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Sikorski and Kellogg discussing end-of-war terms at the Munich Security Conference on February 16. Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ThySuZC5mFw

Lavrov was explicit on two end-of-war terms which are being widely discussed in public.

On the identification of peacekeeping forces which may be deployed in a demilitarized (Russian term) or disengagement (European Union term) zone in the Ukraine, Lavrov said “the appearance of troops of armed forces from the same NATO countries, but under a foreign flag, under the flag of the European Union, or under national flags in this regard does not change anything. This is unacceptable to us.”

At the table — Lavrov revealed to the Russian press — the US had asked for a stop to the Russian electric war campaign and a “sort of a moratorium probably to be imposed against attacks against objects of energy infrastructure.” Lavrov said he replied: “We said we had never jeopardized and attacked civilian energy infrastructure.We only attacked objects that served the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the military assets of Ukraine.”

Lavrov is confirming the restriction which the Kremlin has imposed on the General Staff in the electric war targeting of energy production plants and the electricity distribution grid in the west of the Ukraine. The campaign began in October 2022; it reached a peak in November last. But Putin imposed his restriction on the military operation days later, after back-channel communications began between Putin and Trump. For details of the electric war campaign, read this.

A military source on the electric war campaign comments: “[Lavrov’s statement] is an admission that the other side [US] is concerned about the impact of electric war. Consequently, it’s also an admission that had the electric war been accelerated without the brakes on, the larger war could’ve been over sooner, and Russian losses could have been lower.”

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Source: https://www.youtube.com/
Left side for the US: Secretary of State Rubio in centre, with National Security Advisor Michael Waltz on his left, Steven Witkoff on his right. Right side for Russia: Presidential assistant Yury Ushakov, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. The Saudis chairing the meeting at the head of the table were Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud (left) and National Security Advisor Mosaad bin Mohammad Al-Aiban. Speaking to CNN from Israel, Rubio had said in anticipation of the talks with Lavrov: “I know of no better negotiator in American politics than Trump. I think President Trump will know very quickly whether this is a real thing or whether this is an effort to buy time.”

Note that Witkoff was sitting at the bottom of the table on the US side but his counterpart, Kirill Dmitriev, was absent. There was no place at the table, no chair for him on the Russian side.

Dmitriev, chief executive of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF), has been appointed by Putin to represent Russia’s business lobby in the US negotiations. For more details, click to read.

In the Telegram messaging of Maria Zakharova, the Foreign Ministry spokesman, Dmitriev can be seen arriving at the anteroom of the conference hall with Lavrov and Putin’s foreign policy adviser, Yury Ushakov. Dmitriev ranked after these two in precedence in the anteroom, but once through the door of the conference hall, he disappeared. Lavrov had relegated him to speaking when the delegations broke for luncheon.



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In the anteroom of the conference hall, Dmitriev can be seen arriving behind Lavrov and Ushakov, ranking third officially and walking behind the other two as they enter the hall, where Dmitriev then “disappeared”.

Dmitriev did, however, advertise his presence in Riyadh, speaking at greater length to the press than Lavrov or Ushakov. Dmitriev told Reuters: “”We really see that President Trump and his team is a team of problem solvers, people who have already addressed a number of big challenges very swiftly, very efficiently and very successfully.”

Dmitriev told Tass: “We cannot disclose details. Everything I can say that we have a very important track on the economy. And, clearly, there is a political issue. I am not dealing with political issues but with investment and economic issues. We have a number of proposals our colleagues are thinking of. I believe progress may be achieved there not in the long run but during the next two-three months.”

“I will be responsible for the economic aspect of the discussions,” Dmitriev told Interfax. “ ‘The figure that we are voicing for the first time now is that American business has lost more than $300 billion by leaving the Russian market,’ he said, apparently referring to the impact of sanctions imposed on Russia under former President Biden. ‘Finding joint economic paths, positive solutions to issues, is extremely important, mainly for the U.S. and for many other countries that are beginning to understand that the Russian market is extremely attractive and that it is necessary to be present in it,’ he said, adding that he hoped for ‘a positive dialogue.’”

The New York Times reported Dmitriev as telling its reporter before the talks began: “U.S. oil majors have had very successful business in Russia. We believe at some point they will be coming back, because why would they forgo these opportunities that Russia gave them to have access to Russian natural resources?”

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Dmitriev speaking to the New York Times in Riyadh. Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/18/worl ... raine.html

A full Russian report of Dmitriev’s remarks from the sidelines can be read here. “The head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) Kirill Dmitriev expressed confidence that within the framework of the negotiation process of Russia and the United States, an atmosphere of dialogue has already been formed. Speaking to the press on the sidelines before the start of negotiations between the delegations of Russia and the United States in Saudi Arabia, Dmitriev pointed out that good relations between Moscow and Washington are very important for the whole world. Only together Russia and the United States will be able to respond to many world problems, resolve global conflicts and offer solutions…Dmitriev stressed that the Biden administration did not pay due attention to Russia’s concerns. ‘What we see for the while, it is very early that the American side is ready to listen to the position of Russia, is ready to understand the position of Russia,’ said the head of the RDIF. ‘And with that this is where the dialogue begins.’ In his opinion, the atmosphere of the beginning of the dialogue has already been formed. ‘And this atmosphere is to hear each other’s fears, to understand each other,” the head of RDIF stressed, adding that the parties are still at the beginning of the dialogue. I think it is very important to just start a dialogue and say: colleagues, sanctions hit American companies more than they hit Russia.’ The head of the RDIF stressed that in the framework of contacts with Washington there is both a political track and an economic one. ‘I do not deal with political issues, but on investment and economic issues, we have a number of proposals that our colleagues are thinking about.’ Dmitriev believes that progress is possible on them ‘no longer in the long term, but in the next two to three months.’ The head of the RDIF expressed confidence that Moscow and Washington need to ‘make joint projects’, including in the Arctic, which ‘will allow the economies of the two countries to be more successful.’”

Lavrov downplayed Dmitriev’s role. According to Lavrov, “the discussion of the economic aspects of our meeting was attended by the head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund K.A.Dmitriev. He presented some problems that could be resolved quickly with benefit both for Russia and the United States.” Dmitriev’s presentation occurred during the lunch break.

Exactly how Dmitriev’s role will continue is undecided. At the US side’s press briefing, Witkoff was present with Rubio and Waltz. “Will you be traveling to Russia again, Mr. Witkoff?”, he was asked. “I’m not sure”, Witkoff replied. “But we’ll make that determination in the next couple of weeks.” This was the only public statement Witkoff made during the Riyadh talks.

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New York Times photograph of the US press briefing with (left to right), Witkoff, Rubio, and Waltz.

Rubio, who was more talkative in Israel enroute to Saudi Arabia, did not agree to a joint press conference with Lavrov.

Instead, his handlers arranged a press release announcing the Riyadh meeting as “a follow up” to Trump’s telephone call with Putin. “President Trump wants to stop the killing,” the release said, “the United States wants peace and is using its strength in the world to bring countries together. President Trump is the only leader in the world who can get Ukraine and Russia to agree to that.” The three points agreed were “a consultation mechanism”, “high-level teams to begin working”, and “groundwork for future cooperation on matters of mutual geopolitical interest and historic economic and investment opportunities”. The official release calls these points a “pledge to remain engaged to make sure the process moves forward in a timely and productive manner.”

Rubio then telephoned the foreign ministers of France, Germany, Italy, and the UK, together with the European Union High Representative for Foreign Affairs, to reassure them on what had not been agreed with the Russians. The text of the release reveals the political precedence Rubio gives to the Europeans ahead of the UK and the EU.

For the official record National Security Advisor Waltz echoed Rubio; his office issued no press release. Waltz has crippled the bureaucratic functioning of the National Security Council (NSC) in Washington by firing several dozen junior officials. Waltz reportedly told a Guardian reporter in Riyadh: “If you’re going to bring both sides together, you have to talk to both sides. And we’ll continue to remind everyone, literally, within minutes of president Trump hanging up with President Putin, he called [and] spoke with president Zelensky. [The US] will continue to push back on this notion that our allies haven’t been consulted: they’re being and they are being literally almost on a daily basis, and we’ll continue to do so.”

Rubio acknowledged that the Novichok operation which the UK Government began in March 2028 with backing from Trump at the time, is now a problem to be discussed with Prime Minister Keir Starmer shortly.


“QUESTION:…if you get the status back to an operational – the normal operational level – staffs at the embassies – that you consider the Skripal case or the Crimea annexation to be closed or no longer issues? Because I think – you mentioned Kier Starmer is going to be in Washington next week. I can imagine that the Brits won’t be particularly pleased by that.
SECRETARY RUBIO: Yeah, again, I’m not – yeah, I’m not going to negotiate or talk through every element of the disruptions that exists – or have existed in our diplomatic relations and the mechanics of it. Suffice to say that President Trump has pledged and intends to keep his promise to do everything he can to bring an end to this conflict. We cannot do that unless we have at least some normalcy in the way our diplomatic missions operate in Moscow and in Washington, D.C. And so, we need to work to improve.

https://johnhelmer.net/trump-tries-gran ... more-91124

Rubio's sycophancy is embarrassing even for a little turd like him.

Unless Putin needlessly folds Trump is going to have a tough time declaring a win in Ukraine.
"There is great chaos under heaven; the situation is excellent."

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